The CNN/Time/ORC Florida survey released this afternoon looks less like South Carolina than it does like Iowa. Overall, Romney led Gingrich in the survey, conducted from Sunday through Tuesday, by a statistically insignificant 36 percent to 34 percent -- a difference well within the poll's 5-percentage-point margin of sampling error. But the internal pattern has to give Romney heart: Once again, Romney is posting bigger numbers among the groups generally supportive of him than Gingrich is among the groups that have consistently resisted the former governor.

Romney, for instance, leads Gingrich in the survey by 36 percent to 28 percent among voters with a college degree; Gingrich only manages a tie with Romney among voters without a degree. In the survey, Gingrich leads Romney by six percentage points among evangelical Christians; Romney though leads by 11 percentage points among voters who don't identify as evangelicals. And while Gingrich leads Romney by four percentage points among tea party supporters, Romney leads the former speaker by 11 percentage points among those neutral toward the movement or opposed to it.

Part of Romney's advantage is that Rick Santorum draws slightly more from the groups favorable to Gingrich than from the groups that tilt toward Romney. Most dramatically, Santorum in the survey attracts 18 percent from Tea Party supporters, and only four percent from those indifferent or opposed to the movement; he also wins slightly more from those identify as evangelical Christians than those who don't. Once again, fragmentation on the right is favoring Romney.

Ron Paul somewhat offsets the Santorum effect by attracting more from the pro-Romney groups (like college graduates, non-evangelicals, and those not aligned with the Tea Party) than the pro-Gingrich groups. But generally, Santorum peels away slightly more from Gingrich than Paul does from Romney. Moreover, Florida leaves Gingrich with less margin for error because the groups favorable to him aren't as prevalent there as in South Carolina. In particular, evangelicals, which comprised almost two-thirds of the South Carolina vote last Saturday, represented only two-fifths of the vote in the 2008 Florida GOP primary. Adding to Gingrich's challenge is that Romney himself in the survey is also recording deeper inroads among conservative groups in Florida than he did in South Carolina.

A Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday morning produced an identical 36 percent to 34 percent lead for Romney in Florida -- although it noted that in interviews conducted solely after Gingrich's South Carolina victory, the former speaker led. Still, the Quinnipiac survey generally showed a similar pattern, with Romney leading among non-evangelicals and voters with a college-degree by a larger margin than Gingrich held among the opposite groups.