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8 people predicting a Romney win on Election Day

Storified by Digital First Media · Mon, Nov 05 2012 14:34:38

Although many professional prognosticators see President Obama as the favorite tomorrow, some notable conservatives are dissenting. Their maps show everything from a slim win by Mitt Romney with 275 Electoral College votes to a 325-vote landslide, with some maps putting Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and even Michigan in play.

One thing these seven maps agree on, however, is a Romney win in Ohio. (Updated: Ben Domenech’s map, added below, does not include Romney winning Ohio.)

Dick Morris: Romney 325, Obama 213

Denverpost

In an appearance on Fox News, conservative commentator Dick Morris predicted a massive Romney win with 325 Electoral College votes. To get there, Romney would have to win all of the swing states but Nevada and turn Minnesota, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania red.

Swing states for Romney: Colorado, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida

Swing states for Obama: Nevada

George F. Will: Romney 321, Obama 217

Denverpost

Conservative commentator George F. Will predicted a huge Romney win, with 321 Electoral College votes. His map is essentially the same as Morris’ scenario above, but he would keep Wisconsin in Obama’s column and give Nevada to Romney instead.

Swing states for Romney: Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Minnesota

Swing states for Obama: None

Michael Barone: Romney 315, Obama 223

Denverpost

Writing in the Washington Examiner, conservative columnist Michael Barone says he’s going “out on a limb” and predicting a healthy Romney win, with 315 Electoral College votes. That map would have Romney cleaning up in the South plus capturing Colorado, Ohio and New Hampshire and turning Pennsylvania into a swing state.

Swing states for Romney: North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin

Swing states for Obama: Nevada

Dean Chambers: Romney 311, Obama 227

Denverpost

Conservative activist Dean Chambers runs the website UnSkewed Polls, where he recalibrates polls to offset what he believes are misjudgments about sampling. His prediction calls for Romney to win the South and the Midwest, including Michigan, a state on few other lists.

Swing states for Romney: Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida

Swing states for Obama: Nevada

Andrew Beyer: Romney 284, Obama 254

Denverpost

As part of the biennial “Crystal Ball” contest in the Washington Post Outlook section, horse-racing columnist Andrew Beyer predicted a narrow Romney win, with 284 Electoral College votes to Obama’s 254. The newspaper does not post actual states called, but a likely scenario would involve Romney doing well in the South and West and winning Ohio.

Swing states for Romney: Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire

Swing states for Obama: Iowa, Wisconsin, Nebraska 2nd Congressional District (1 elector)

Karl Rove: Romney 279, Obama 259

Denverpost

Republican strategist and former Bush adviser Karl Rove predicted in an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal that Romney would win with at least 279 Electoral College votes. Though he didn’t specify which states, a likely route would be for Romney to clean up in the South plus win Colorado, Ohio and New Hampshire.

Swing states for Romney: Colorado, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, New Hampshire

Swing states for Obama: Nevada, Iowa, Wisconsin

Ben Domenech: Romney 278, Obama 260

Denverpost

In a post on Real Clear Politics, Red State blog co-founder Ben Domenech predicted a narrow Romney win with 278 Electoral College votes. His map includes Romney sweeping the South and picking up Colorado, Wisconsin and New Hampshire plus one of Maine’s Congressional districts.

Swing states for Romney: Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, New Hampshire, Maine Congressional district

Swing states for Obama: Nevada, Ohio

Leslie Sanchez: Romney 275, Obama 263

Denverpost

Also as part of the “Crystal Ball” contest in the Washington Post, Republican strategist Leslie Sanchez , a former adviser to George W. Bush, predicted a narrow Romney win. Again, the actual states aren’t known, but the most likely scenario would be for Romney to clean up in the South, plus win Ohio and Colorado.

Swing states for Romney: Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Colorado

Swing states for Obama: Nevada, Iowa, Wisconsin, New Hampshire