New Mexico will hold its presidential primary on Tuesday, the same day primaries are held in California, New Jersey, Montana and South Dakota.

Thus far, the state appears to be a lock for Hillary Clinton. The democratic candidate holds an impressive lead in polls, and the fact that the state is a closed primary works in her favor. This means that only those who are registered as Democrats may vote on Tuesday, and in the past Bernie Sanders has generally lost many Independent votes during these closed systems. Clinton is also ahead with Hispanic, a group that makes up a significant percentage of New Mexico’s voters.

Both candidates have spent a fair amount of time campaigning in New Mexico, though. Sanders recently held three campaign stops in the state, and Bill Clinton held some events and appeared at hot spots to speak with voters. The turnout is expected to be impressive, as according to the CT Post, over 88,000 early and absentee ballots have been cast in New Mexico already.

There haven’t been a whole lot of polls in New Mexico, but two major ones still give us a bit of a preview of what to expect on Tuesday evening.

BWD Global

The BWD Global poll was released on May 30, and it surveyed 1,455 likely voters. The group notes that they expect Sanders to close the gap a bit on primary night itself, as some of his supporters were difficult to contact. The margin of error is 2.5 percentage points.

Candidate Percentage Hillary Clinton 53% Bernie Sanders 28% Undecided 19%

Research & Polling

The Research & Polling poll was released back in February, and it surveyed 401 likely voters. The margin of error is 4.9 percentage points.