Note: Clean sheet and anytime goalscorer odds for the second set of fixtures in Gameweek 37 are unfortunately, at the time of writing, not yet available.

This article offers the odds and percentages for the first set of games, whilst our squad selection takes into account those players with a second game, even though those odds are currently unknown.

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Defensive odds

Team Best clean sheet odds Implied chance of a clean sheet Chelsea 1.91 52% Everton 2.2 45% Man City 2.38 42% Tottenham 2.45 41% Liverpool 2.5 40% Southampton 2.75 36% Swansea 2.75 36% Crystal Palace 2.81 36% Arsenal 3 33% Bournemouth 3 33% Hull 4.25 24% Middlesbrough 4.65 22% Burnley 5 20% Man Utd 5.2 19% Sunderland 5.5 18% West Ham 6.3 16% Stoke 6.8 15% Watford 7.8 13% West Brom 7.9 13% Leicester 15 7%

Chelsea’s favourable fixture away to West Brom on Friday sees them top the bookies’ defensive rankings with a 52% chance of keeping a clean sheet. Throw in a second fixture at home to a toothless Watford side on Monday evening and Marcos Alonso, who scored, kept a clean sheet and registered 2 bonus points against Middlesbrough last time out, stands out as our premier defensive pick.

With no double, but also enjoying a home fixture against the Hornets, who are without an away goal in 5 matches, Mason Holgate offers a value route into the Everton (45%) defence and starts for our squad.

Manchester City (42%) and Tottenham (41%) rank third and fourth respectively ahead of home games against Leicester and Manchester United. Both have recorded 3 clean sheets in their last 4 matches, and both offer us a double gameweek, with the Citizens also welcoming West Brom to The Etihad on Wednesday, whilst Spurs travel to Leicester on Thursday. As a result, Willy Caballero and Jan Vertonghen, who provide security of starts, make our starting XI.

On the bench, Jordan Pickford should offer a mix of clean sheet and save point potential as he entertains Swansea before travelling to Arsenal, whilst Jack Stephens (mid, MUN) and Rob Holding (stk, SUN) both offer value routes into defences that have shut out their opponents in 2 of their last 3.

Attacking odds

Player Best anytime goalscorer odds Implied chance of scoring Sergio Aguero 1.67 60% Romelu Lukaku 1.73 58% Diego Costa 1.83 55% Gabriel Jesus 1.91 52% Alexis Sanchez 2.07 48% Harry Kane 2.15 47% Olivier Giroud 2.25 44% Christian Benteke 2.3 43% Eden Hazard 2.45 41% Manolo Gabbiadini 2.5 40% Roberto Firmino 2.5 40% Fernando Llorente 2.5 40% Divock Origi 2.7 37% Joshua King 2.75 36% Raheem Sterling 2.75 36% Leroy Sane 2.8 36% Gylfi Sigurdsson 2.88 35% Jermain Defoe 2.88 35% Philippe Coutinho 2.9 34% Theo Walcott 3 33% Son Heung-Min 3 33% Dele Alli 3 33% Kevin de Bruyne 3 33% Pedro 3.1 32% Andre Gray 3.25 31% Alvaro Negredo 3.3 30% Ross Barkley 3.35 30% Sam Vokes 3.4 29% Dusan Tadic 3.5 29% Nathan Redmond 3.5 29% Willian 3.55 28% Andy Carroll 3.75 27% Oumar Niasse 3.8 26% Abel Hernandez 3.8 26% Jamie Vardy 3.85 26% Wilfried Zaha 3.9 26% Christian Eriksen 4 25% Marcus Rashford 4.2 24% Troy Deeney 4.2 24% Andros Townsend 4.3 23% Marko Arnautovic 4.5 22% Peter Crouch 4.5 22% Andre Ayew 4.6 22% Anthony Martial 5.3 19% Henrikh Mkhitaryan 5.3 19% Manuel Lanzini 5.5 18% Gaston Ramirez 5.5 18% MBaye Niang 5.75 17% Adnan Januzaj 5.8 17% Riyad Mahrez 6 17% Kamil Grosicki 6 17% Robbie Brady 6 17% Etienne Capoue 9 11% Tom Carroll 12 8%



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A trip to West Brom followed by a home clash against Watford sees Diego Costa (55%) attract top billing in attack as we place our captain’s armband on the fiery Spaniard. Three goals and an assist in his last trio of outings signal a return to form for the former Atletico Madrid man as the Blues close in on the title.

Romelu Lukaku (58%) looks set to profit at home against Watford on Friday evening, with the big Belgian currently leading the race for the Golden Boot (24 goals in the league this term), but misses out on the captaincy due to the lack of a double gameweek. Gabriel Jesus (52%) completes our strikeforce ahead of home games against Leicester and West Brom, with the Brazilian prodigy having scored 4 goals in 4 league starts for the Sky Blues. Teammate Sergio Aguero is overlooked due to injury concerns.

In midfield, heavy hitting duo Alexis Sanchez (48%) and Eden Hazard (41%) sit first and third in the FPL rankings having scored 228 and 210 points respectively this season to date. With both enjoying two fixtures in Gameweek 37 – stk/SUN and wba/WAT respectively – those totals could be edging closer to the 250 point mark come the end of the campaign as the pair look to add to the 20 and 15 goals they have already scored.

Completing our midfield and starting XI are Josh King and Raheem Sterling (both 36%). Despite having only one fixture, at home to Burnley, King’s recent form – 12 goals and 2 assists in his last 15 appearances – along with his OOP status and price make him an invaluable pick, whilst Sterling’s pair of home fixtures mean we double up on Pep Guardiola’s attacking juggernaut. A productive season for the England winger has seen him notch 7 goals and 14 assists in the league. Etienne Capoue (11%) takes the first spot on our bench ahead of his double – away to both Everton and Chelsea.

Team of the Week