



Raleigh,

N.C. – Predictions

about Texas eventually becoming a presidential battleground state could get

fast-tracked if Hillary Clinton is the Democratic nominee in 2016, according to

PPP’s latest poll.

The

results are within the margin of error, but Clinton leads Marco Rubio 46% to

45%, Chris Christie 45% to 43% and Rick Perry 50% to 42%. She has a +7

favorability rating (50/43) with Texas voters and strong support among moderate

voters—72% view her favorably, and she crushes her potential GOP opponents

among this voting group.

“If

Clinton is the 2016 nominee, she could conceivably expand the electoral map for

Democrats in deep-red Texas,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy

Polling.

Rubio

leads the pack in a potential 2016 GOP presidential primary with 21% support,

followed by 14% for Mike Huckabee, 13% for Rand Paul, 11% for Jeb Bush and Paul

Ryan, 9% for Christie, 4% for Bobby Jindal and Perry and 2% for Susana

Martinez. 10% support someone else or are undecided. 70% don’t want Perry to

run again for president.

Ted Cruz

has a +6 job approval rating (36/30), with 34% not sure. 41% of voters have a

favorable view of George P. Bush to 33% unfavorable and 26% unsure.

51% of

voters support continuing to allow Texas’ popular vote winner to receive all of

its electoral votes to 28% who support the congressional district proposal. 20%

support seceding from the United States because of President Obama’s reelection

to 67% opposed and 12% not sure. Same-sex marriage is opposed 55% to 35%, but

61% support some form of legal recognition—33% support marriage equality and

28% support civil unions.

42% of

Texas voters consider themselves to be Dallas Cowboys fans while 50% do not.

52% of Cowboys fans think the team would be better off without team owner Jerry

Jones, while 29% think it would be about the same and 14% think it would be

worse off.

PPP surveyed 500 Texas voters as well as 400 usual Republican

primary voters from January 24th to 27th. The margin of

error for the overall sample is +/-4.4% overall and +/-4.9% for the GOP portion. This

poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization.

PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews.

Topline results are below. Full results, including crosstabs, can be found here.

General Election Toplines

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Ted

Cruz’s job performance?

Approve …………….. .36%

Disapprove…………. .30%

Not sure …………….. .34%

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of George P. Bush?

Favorable……………………………………………….. 41%

Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 33%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 26%

Q3 Do you think same-sex marriage should be

allowed in Texas, or not?

It should …………………………………………………. 35%

It should not ……………………………………………. 55%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 10%

Q4 Which of the following best describes your

opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should

be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples

should be allowed to form civil unions but not

legally marry, or there should be no legal

recognition of a gay couple’s relationship?

Gay couples should be allowed to legally

marry ……………………………………………………..33%

Gay couples should be allowed to form civil

unions but not marry …………………………………28%

There should be no legal recognition of a gay

couple’s relationship …………………………………36%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 3%

Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of Hillary Clinton?

Favorable……………………………………………….. 50%

Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 43%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 7%

Q6 If the candidates for President in 2016 were

Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Chris

Christie, who would you vote for?

Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 45%

Chris Christie ………………………………………….. 43%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%

Q7 If the candidates for President in 2016 were

Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Rick

Perry, who would you vote for?

Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 50%

Rick Perry ………………………………………………. 42%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%

Q8 If the candidates for President in 2016 were

Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican

Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?

Hillary Clinton………………………………………….. 46%

Marco Rubio …………………………………………… 45%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 8%

Q9 Do you think that all of Texas’ electoral votes

should go to the presidential candidate who

wins in the state, or do you think one electoral

vote should be given to the winner of each

congressional district?

All of Texas’ electoral votes should go to the

presidential candidate who wins the state…….51%

One vote should be given to the winner of

each congressional district…………………………28%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 21%

Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of Lance Armstrong?

Favorable……………………………………………….. 16%

Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 59%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 25%

Q11 Would you support or oppose Texas seceding

from the union because of Barack Obama’s reelection?

Support ………………………………………………….. 20%

Oppose ………………………………………………….. 67%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 12%

Q12 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion

of Jerry Jones?

Favorable……………………………………………….. 13%

Unfavorable ……………………………………………. 50%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 37%

Q13 Do you consider yourself to be a Dallas

Cowboys fan, or not?

Consider yourself a Cowboys fan ………………. 42%

Do not ……………………………………………………. 50%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 9%

Q14 (Asked only of Cowboys fans:) Do you think

the Cowboys would be better off, worse off, or

about the same with a different owner than

Jerry Jones?

Better off ………………………………………………… 52%

Worse off ……………………………………………….. 14%

About the same……………………………………….. 29%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 5%

Q15 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,

somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat

conservative, or very conservative?

Very liberal ……………………………………………… 8%

Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 15%

Moderate………………………………………………… 30%

Somewhat conservative……………………………. 22%

Very conservative ……………………………………. 25%

Q16 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Woman ………………………………………………….. 56%

Man……………………………………………………….. 44%

Q17 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,

press 2. If you are an independent or identify

with another party, press 3.

Democrat ……………………………………………….. 32%

Republican……………………………………………… 43%

Independent/Other…………………………………… 25%

Q18 If you are Hispanic, press 1. If white, press 2.

If African-American, press 3. If other, press 4.

Hispanic…………………………………………………. 19%

White …………………………………………………….. 62%

African-American …………………………………….. 13%

Other……………………………………………………… 7%

Q19 If you are 18 to 45 years old, press 1. If 46 to

65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.

18 to 45………………………………………………….. 30%

46 to 65………………………………………………….. 48%

Older than 65………………………………………….. 22%

Republican Primary Toplines

Q1 Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie,

Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Susana

Martinez, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio,

and Paul Ryan, who would you most like to see

as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?

Jeb Bush………………………………………………… 11%

Chris Christie ………………………………………….. 9%

Mike Huckabee ……………………………………….. 14%

Bobby Jindal …………………………………………… 4%

Susana Martinez……………………………………… 2%

Rand Paul ………………………………………………. 13%

Rick Perry ………………………………………………. 4%

Marco Rubio …………………………………………… 21%

Paul Ryan ………………………………………………. 11%

Someone else/Undecided…………………………. 10%

Q2 Do you think Rick Perry should run for

President in 2016, or not?

He should……………………………………………….. 19%

He should not………………………………………….. 70%

Not sure …………………………………………………. 11%

Q3 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,

somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat

conservative, or very conservative?

Very liberal ……………………………………………… 2%

Somewhat liberal …………………………………….. 5%

Moderate………………………………………………… 15%

Somewhat conservative……………………………. 34%

Very conservative ……………………………………. 42%

Q4 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.

Woman ………………………………………………….. 53%

Man……………………………………………………….. 47%

Q5 If you are 18 to 45years old, press 1. If 46 to

65, press 2. If you are older than 65, press 3.

18 to 45………………………………………………….. 33%

46 to 65………………………………………………….. 41%

Older than 65………………………………………….. 26%