Believe it or not, the opening week of the 2016 college football season is just four months away. It’s only April, but it’s never too early to analyze the first SEC slate of the season.

On paper, roughly half of the SEC’s Week 1 matchups appear to be competitive, and some are obviously more difficult than others. We’ve taken a look at the openers for each conference team and ranked them according to degree of difficulty.

In other words, these are the teams most likely lose in Week 1:

Auburn

The good news for Gus Malzahn’s team is that it opens at home. The bad news is that it faces Clemson, which lost a one-score game to Alabama in last season’s national championship game and returns Heisman Trophy finalist Deshaun Watson and most of a strong defense.

Auburn goes into the season with some big questions, including: Who will start at QB and will the defense improve under new coordinator Kevin Steele. That uncertainty, coupled with a team that will probably ranked No. 1 or No. 2 in most preseason polls, will test War Eagles right out of the gate.

Ole Miss

The only time the Rebels faced Florida State, they stomped the Seminoles 33-0 in 1961, according to winsipedia.com. This year’s matchup on Labor Day night at Camping World Stadium in Orlando should be a bit closer than that.

QB Sean Maguire has been up and down for Florida State, which returns one of the top RBs in the country in Dalvin Cook. Cook recently had shoulder surgery but is expected to be ready for the opener. Ole Miss will also have to contend with skilled DE DeMarcus Walker.

Georgia

New Bulldogs coach Kirby Smart will be tested right away against North Carolina in the Chick-fil-A Kickoff Game in the Georgia Dome on Saturday, Sept. 3. The teams haven’t faced each other since 1971.

The Tar Heels, who are coming off an 11-3 season under Larry Fedora, return 15 starters but will break in a new quarterback in Mitch Trubisky. RB Elijah Hood and CB M.J. Stewart are among UNC’s top returnees.

LSU

The Tigers have won all three meetings against Wisconsin — most recently a 28-24 victory in the 2014 season opener in Houston. This year’s matchup is at another neutral site — Lambeau Field, the home of the NFL’s Green Bay Packers — which will hold its first college football game since 1960.

At QB, Wisconsin might start the season with Bart Houston, a senior who threw only 47 passes in 2015. The Badgers’ top returning players include RB Corey Clement and CB Sojourn Shelton.

Alabama

It’s about time Nick Saban’s squad took on USC, which hasn’t faced Bama since losing 24-3 to the Crimson Tide in 1985. The game is at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, where the Tide won twice last season.

Despite losing QB Cody Kessler to graduation/the NFL, the Trojans return plenty of talent, most notably WR Juju Schuster, who caught 89 balls for 1,454 yards and 10 touchdowns last season.

Texas A&M

The Aggies welcome UCLA to Kyle Field for their first meeting since 1998, a 29-23 victory by the Bruins in the Cotton Bowl on New Year’s Day. It will be their fifth matchup in a series that is even at 2 and began in 1940.

UCLA returns 16 starters, including one of the top QBs in the country in sophomore Josh Rosen. Jim Mora’s Bruins lost to Nebraska in last season’s Foster Farms Bowl to finish 8-5, a mark that A&M matched in 2015.

Missouri

The Tigers open at West Virginia on Sept. 3. The teams last played in the 1998 Insight.com Bowl, a 34-31 Mizzou victory. The Tigers — who beat the Mountaineers in 1926 and 1927 — lead the series 3-2.

This year, Missouri will have to contend with rising senior QB Skyler Howard, who threw for 3,145 yards and 26 TDs in 2015. The Mountaineers capped an 8-5 season with a 43-42 victory over Arizona State in the Cactus Bowl.

South Carolina

The Gamecocks, who have won seven straight against Vanderbilt, open the season in Nashville on Thursday, Sept. 1 in Will Muschamp’s debut.

Both teams are coming off difficult seasons — Vandy was 4-8 and the Gamecocks went 3-9.

We’ll eventually see what Vegas says about this year’s matchup. It could very well be a toss-up, and for now, we’ll give the Commodores the nod because they return 16 starters to South Carolina’s 13 and because they are the home team.

Tennessee

The Volunteers host Appalachian State, which memorably stunned Michigan at The Big House in 2007. The Mountaineers, who will face Tennessee for the first time, capped an 11-2 2015 season with a victory over Ohio in the Camellia Bowl, their first bowl win since moving up from FCS in 2014.

Arkansas

The Razorbacks open at home against Louisiana Tech, which finished 9-4 last season. In an all-time series that began in 1901, Arkansas is 3-0, including a 17-13 victory in Little Rock in their last meeting in 1997.

La. Tech, of course, must replace former Gators quarterback Jeff Driskel, who threw for 4,033 yards and 27 touchdowns as a senior last season.

Kentucky

The Wildcats open at home against Southern Miss, which lost to Washington 44-31 in last season’s Zaxby’s Bowl to finish 9-5. The teams have faced each other only twice — Kentucky won the last meeting 32-0 in 1986 after taking the first matchup 71-7 in 1949.

Mississippi State

The Bulldogs open at home against South Alabama, which went 5-7 in 2015. In a series that kicked off in 2012, Mississippi State has won both previous meetings by an average score of 33-7.

It will be a gentle way for the Bulldogs to break in a new quarterback.

Florida

UMass travels to Gainesville for the Gators’ opener. The Minutemen, who will face Florida for the first time, were 3-9 in 2015.