RRH Elections February 2020 House Ratings

Likely D Lean D Tossup Lean R Likely R AZ-2 (Kirkpatrick)

CA-24 (Carbajal)

CA-49 (M. Levin)

CO-6 (Crow)

CT-5 (Hayes)

FL-7 (Murphy)

FL-13 (Crist)

IL-6 (Casten)

IL-17 (Bustos)

MI-5 (Kildee)

MI-11 (Stevens)

MN-2 (Craig)

MN-3 (Phillips)

NV-4 (Horsford)

NH-1 (Pappas)

NH-2 (Kuster)

NJ-5 (Gottheimer)

NJ-11 (Sherrill)

NY-17 (OPEN)

NY-19 (Delgado)

NC-1 (Butterfield)

OH-13 (Ryan)

PA-6 (Houlahan)

PA-8 (Cartwright)

PA-17 (Lamb)

VA-10 (Wexton)

WA-8 (Schrier)

WA-10 (OPEN)

WI-3 (Kind) AZ-1 (O’Halleran)

CA-10 (Harder)

CA-39 (Cisneros)

CA-45 (Porter)

CA-48 (Rouda)

FL-27 (Shalala)

KS-3 (Davids)

MI-8 (Slotkin)

NV-3 (S. Lee)

NJ-3 (Kim)

NY-18 (S. Maloney)

PA-7 (Wild)

TX-7 (Fletcher)

TX-23 (OPEN)

TX-32 (Allred)

VA-2 (Luria)

VA-7 (Spanberger)

CA-21 (Cox)

CA-25 (VACANT)

FL-26 (Mucarsel-Powell)

GA-6 (McBath)

GA-7 (OPEN)

IL-14 (Underwood)

IA-1 (Finkenauer)

IA-2 (OPEN)

IA-3 (Axne)

ME-2 (Golden)

MN-7 (Peterson)

NJ-7 (Malinowski)

NM-2 (Torres-Small)

NY-11 (M. Rose)

NY-22 (Brindisi)

OK-5 (Horn)

SC-1 (Cunningham)

UT-4 (McAdams)



3-Way Tossup:

MI-3 (Amash*) AZ-6 (Schweikert)

FL-15 (Spano)

IL-13 (R. Davis)

IN-5 (OPEN)

IA-4 (S. King)

KS-2 (Watkins)

MI-6 (Upton)

MN-1 (Hagedorn)

MO-2 (Wagner)

MT-AL (OPEN)

NE-2 (Bacon)

NJ-2 (Van Drew)

NY-1 (Zeldin)

NY-2 (OPEN)

NY-24 (Katko)

OH-1 (Chabot)

PA-1 (Fitzpatrick)

PA-10 (Perry)

TX-10 (McCaul)

TX-21 (Roy)

TX-22 (OPEN)

TX-24 (OPEN) AK-AL (Young)

AR-2 (Hill)

CA-1 (LaMalfa)

CA-4 (McClintock)

CA-8 (OPEN)

CA-22 (Nunes)

CA-50 (VACANT)

CO-3 (Tipton)

FL-16 (Buchanan)

FL-18 (Mast)

IN-2 (Walorski)

KY-6 (Barr)

MI-2 (Huizenga)

MI-7 (Walberg)

MN-8 (Stauber)

NY-21 (Stefanik)

NY-23 (Reed)

NY-27 (VACANT)

NC-8 (Hudson)

NC-11 (OPEN)

SC-2 (J. Wilson)

TX-2 (Crenshaw)

TX-25 (Williams)

TX-31 (J. Carter)

VA-5 (Riggelman)

WA-3 (Hererra-Beutler)

WI-7 (VACANT)

WI-8 (Gallagher)

Safe D Pickups: NC-2 (OPEN), NC-6 (OPEN). Bold denotes a projected, flip, Italics denotes a D-held Tossup seat. * Justin Amash is an Independent.

RRH Elections has made the following 31 changes to our House Ratings since our last update in December, 15 in Republicans’ Favor:

CA-24 Likely D from Safe D || CT-5 Likely D from Safe D || FL-13 Likely D from Safe D || FL-25 Safe R from Likely R || FL-26 Tossup from Lean D || FL-27 Lean D from Likely D || NJ-2 Lean R from Lean D || NC-1 Likely D from Safe D || NC-9 Safe R from Likely R || OH-12 Safe R from Likely R || OH-13 Likely D from Safe D || PA-16 Safe R from Likely R || WA-5 Safe R from Likely R || WI-1 Safe R from Likely R || WI-6 Safe R from Likely R

And 16 in favor of Democrats:

CA-1 Likely R from Safe R || CA-4 Likely R from Safe R || CA-7 Safe D from Likely D || IN-1 Safe D from Likely D || IN-2 Likely R from Safe R || MI-2 Likely R from Safe R || MI-11 Likely D from Lean D || NH-1 Likely D from Lean D || NY-19 Likely D from Lean D || NC-11 Likely R from Safe R || OH-1 Lean R from Likely R || OR-4 Safe D from Likely D || SC-2 Likely R from Safe R || TX-10 Lean R from Likely R || TX-25 Likely R from Safe R || WA-8 Likely D from Lean D

These ratings mean RRH is currently projecting a net shift in House seats of between R+15 and D+5 in 2020.