This Saturday, the UFC makes just its second visit to New Mexico in the promotion’s 27-year and 508-event history, with a headlining fight that will likely determine the next contender for Jon Jones’ light-heavyweight belt.

In the main event, fifth-ranked Corey Anderson (13-4 MMA, 10-4 UFC) takes on number six, Jan Błachowicz (25-8 MMA, 8-5 UFC), in a rematch of their September 2015 bout.

Anderson won by a wide unanimous decision that night, with all three judges scoring rounds two and three 10-8 to Anderson as the American picked up two 30-25 scorecards.

Let’s take a look at the last three results of the two men in Saturday night’s main event:

Anderson followed back-to-back three-round victories over Glover Teixeira and Ilir Latifi with a spectacular first-round TKO stoppage against Johnny Walker, picking up the first $50k performance bonus of his UFC career.

Despite going 3-0 in his last three fights, Anderson closed as an underdog with the bookmakers in each of those contests.

Błachowicz rebounded from a third-round TKO defeat to Thiago Santos last February with a second-round KO win over former UFC middleweight champion Luke Rockhold and a five-round split-decision victory against former Strikeforce middleweight champion Jacaré Souza.

On a four-fight win-streak this time last year, the defeat to Santos saw the Brazilian go on to contest for Jon Jones’ title. Two impressive victories and a lack of clear contenders at 205 lbs. mean Błachowicz is likely one win away from a title shot once more.

Here’s a look at how these two fighters fared when competing against common opponents shared throughout careers. On the left of the graphic, you’ll see how Anderson fared against any shared opponents and on the right, you’ll see Błachowicz’s results against the same men.

The two men share three common opponents: Ilir Latifi, Patrick Cummins and Jimi Manuwa.

Both men scored victories over Latifi (Anderson via decision and Błachowicz via TKO), whilst Błachowicz was on the wrong end of the decision against Cummins- an opponent Anderson beat by a wide margin.

Both men suffered defeats against Manuwa (Anderson by KO and Błachowicz by decision), although Błachowicz did gain revenge in a decision win over Manuwa in March 2018.

The Dwyer Score Each event, I calculate a ‘Dwyer Score’ for the card. It essentially gives a numeric value to the momentum of fighters competing at any one event. I do this by assigning a figure to each fighter’s current streak; a fighter on a five-fight winning streak contributes +5 to an event’s score, whilst a fighter on a two-fight losing streak contributes -2 to the score. Only UFC results are considered and a fighter coming off a no-contest, a draw, or a bout with another promotion has a streak of 0. When you tally up the scores for every fighter on a card, you get a total for the event- the ‘Dwyer Score.’ This score does not claim to predict or measure the quality or excitement of any one card, but it does give you an idea of the general momentum of fighters heading into a specific event. The graphic to the above-right displays some of the highest-scoring events of all time, to help give some context to this score. UFC Fight Night 167: Corey Anderson vs. Jan Błachowicz II posts a score of +2. This score ranks joint-32nd out of all 43 UFC events in the last year or joint-16th out of 24 Fight Nights in the same period. Here’s a look at how this score compares to other events’ scores over the past year: