Ceiling: 13-3. With games in New Orleans and Seattle, and the whole NFC North figuring to be better in 2014, 13 wins is pie-in-the-sky stuff for this club. More likely: 10 or 11 wins. That said, if Aaron Rodgers has another 45:6 TD-to-INT ratio this season (like he did three years ago), and Eddie Lacy piles up 1,350 rushing yards, the Pack will be fighting for its fifth Lombardi Trophy. The defense merely needs to hold its own, particularly the secondary, and limit the big plays. Green Bay allowed 77 plays of 20-plus yards last year, tied for fifth worst. In 2011, it was worst in the league, and the Packers still went 15-1.