Up-to-date Overall Predictions

All weighted probabilities are generated using KRACH comparisons. The KRACH is static, it does not regenerate after each game. The current method of predicting a tie game using KRACH isn't the best, it overstates the likelihood of a tie against two closely matched teams, feel free to email reillyhamilton@gmail.com with suggestions.

Probabilites reflect the results of Thursday and Friday's games.

KRACH has been regenerated following Friday's games.

Want to generate your own rankings, predictions, and odds? Try the KRACH weighted PWR Predictor / Odds to see who is in/out and what seeding possibilities remain

Also check out the Game-by-Game Outcome Summarizer to see how a particular seed can be achieved

Quinnipiac - 100.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 1 100.0000% 100.0000% 384

Minnesota - 100.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 2 100.0000% 100.0000% 384

Miami - 100.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 3 50.4920% 48.9583% 188 4 40.4913% 43.7500% 168 5 9.0167% 7.2917% 28

Mass.-Lowell - 100.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 3 44.3442% 44.7917% 172 4 30.0866% 21.0938% 81 5 16.0954% 20.0521% 77 6 6.8851% 11.9792% 46 7 2.0260% 1.8229% 7 8 0.5626% 0.2604% 1

Boston College - 100.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 4 20.2492% 28.3854% 109 5 69.0534% 63.8021% 245 6 10.6975% 7.8125% 30

North Dakota - 100.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 5 1.5858% 0.7812% 3 6 71.9590% 56.7708% 218 7 17.9666% 33.5938% 129 8 6.8061% 4.6875% 18 9 1.6824% 4.1667% 16

New Hampshire - 100.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 6 0.5086% 0.2604% 1 7 52.5909% 40.8854% 157 8 46.1796% 58.3333% 224 9 0.7209% 0.5208% 2

Denver - 100.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 8 26.3308% 15.8854% 61 9 51.3751% 47.6562% 183 10 20.3327% 30.7292% 118 11 1.6445% 4.6875% 18 12 0.3170% 1.0417% 4

Minnesota State - 97.5105% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 8 13.9452% 11.9792% 46 9 21.7007% 21.0938% 81 10 31.8643% 30.4688% 117 11 22.2814% 24.2188% 93 12 6.5220% 5.9896% 23 13 1.1970% 1.0417% 4 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 17 2.1128% 4.1667% 16 18 0.3766% 1.0417% 4

Niagara - 92.0620% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 10 24.4510% 19.2708% 74 11 37.3928% 33.8542% 130 12 23.3518% 23.1771% 89 13 6.8664% 5.2083% 20 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 17 7.1772% 15.3646% 59 18 0.7608% 3.1250% 12

Yale - 82.7326% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 5 2.5679% 7.5521% 29 6 9.9498% 23.1771% 89 7 27.4166% 23.6979% 91 8 2.0584% 2.6042% 10 9 16.5503% 9.6354% 37 12 4.5234% 3.3854% 13 13 7.8870% 4.6875% 18 14 7.1262% 3.3854% 13 15 4.6532% 1.5625% 6 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 17 14.4077% 14.0625% 54 18 2.8596% 6.2500% 24

St. Cloud State - 81.2242% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 10 0.3170% 1.0417% 4 11 20.7298% 22.3958% 86 12 29.2108% 26.0417% 100 13 20.4277% 13.8021% 53 14 10.5390% 5.2083% 20 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 17 15.8751% 23.1771% 89 18 2.9007% 8.3333% 32

Notre Dame - 76.9622% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 3 5.1638% 6.2500% 24 4 9.1729% 6.7708% 26 5 1.6807% 0.5208% 2 8 4.1173% 6.2500% 24 9 7.9706% 16.9271% 65 10 19.9025% 16.6667% 64 11 7.5106% 8.0729% 31 12 6.2294% 2.8646% 11 13 9.5966% 4.9479% 19 14 2.4012% 1.5625% 6 15 3.2164% 1.5625% 6 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 17 10.2345% 11.9792% 46 18 9.0859% 9.3750% 36 19 3.7174% 6.2500% 24

Wisconsin - 57.2551% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 10 3.1325% 1.8229% 7 11 1.5898% 1.8229% 7 12 7.8028% 9.8958% 38 13 17.2470% 18.4896% 71 14 20.9121% 14.8438% 57 15 6.5709% 3.1250% 12 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 18 8.8441% 4.6875% 18 19 11.2670% 10.4167% 40 20 5.7701% 7.8125% 30 21 7.9378% 9.1146% 35 22 7.0077% 11.7188% 45 23 1.9182% 6.2500% 24

Union - 55.9225% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 11 8.8511% 4.9479% 19 12 20.1246% 21.3542% 82 13 19.5392% 19.0104% 73 14 7.4075% 4.6875% 18 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 17 4.4277% 3.1250% 12 18 17.7217% 12.5000% 48 19 17.4407% 21.8750% 84 20 4.4875% 12.5000% 48

Mercyhurst - 53.1708% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 16 53.1708% 50.0000% 192 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 36 46.8292% 50.0000% 192

Canisius - 46.8292% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 16 46.8292% 50.0000% 192 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 40 53.1708% 50.0000% 192

Brown - 44.0775% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 13 4.9276% 12.5000% 48 14 20.5136% 25.0000% 96 15 18.6363% 12.5000% 48 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 21 20.1218% 10.1562% 39 22 12.3817% 11.7188% 45 23 15.0799% 14.8438% 57 24 8.3391% 13.2812% 51

Colorado College - 42.7449% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 14 7.5744% 18.7500% 72 15 35.1705% 31.2500% 120 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 24 19.8963% 12.7604% 49 25 12.0931% 5.2083% 20 26 15.1202% 13.2812% 51 27 10.1456% 18.7500% 72

Boston University - 38.9268% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 12 1.9182% 6.2500% 24 13 10.4189% 18.7500% 72 14 17.3857% 18.7500% 72 15 9.2040% 6.2500% 24 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 18 7.7360% 3.1250% 12 19 17.6404% 11.7188% 45 20 16.8575% 15.1042% 58 21 11.9730% 10.4167% 40 22 5.4322% 6.7708% 26 23 1.4340% 2.8646% 11

Ohio State - 14.3900% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 14 3.6050% 6.2500% 24 15 10.7849% 18.7500% 72 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 25 7.4371% 7.5521% 29 26 9.0109% 4.9479% 19 28 5.2152% 12.5000% 48 29 44.1325% 25.0000% 96 30 19.8142% 25.0000% 96

Michigan - 11.7639% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 15 11.7639% 25.0000% 96 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 28 0.5158% 1.5625% 6 29 12.7497% 10.9375% 42 30 5.9561% 12.5000% 48 32 64.7808% 44.7917% 172 33 4.2337% 5.2083% 20

Western Michigan - 4.4277% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 13 1.8926% 1.5625% 6 14 2.5351% 1.5625% 6 Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 17 45.7649% 28.1250% 108 18 41.0735% 46.8750% 180 19 8.7338% 21.8750% 84

Robert Morris - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 18 6.2114% 3.6458% 14 19 11.8560% 10.6771% 41 20 29.9489% 21.6146% 83 21 36.1682% 38.8021% 149 22 14.5610% 22.6562% 87 23 1.2545% 2.6042% 10

Rensselaer - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 18 2.4297% 1.0417% 4 19 29.3447% 17.1875% 66 20 42.9360% 42.9688% 165 21 20.1181% 28.9062% 111 22 4.8506% 9.1146% 35 23 0.3209% 0.7812% 3

Alaska-Fairbanks - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 21 3.6811% 2.6042% 10 22 11.6763% 10.9375% 42 23 12.3322% 22.9167% 88 24 16.7236% 16.4062% 63 25 34.1784% 24.2188% 93 26 20.7490% 21.6146% 83 27 0.6593% 1.3021% 5

Providence - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 22 24.8237% 15.6250% 60 23 33.5817% 25.0000% 96 24 23.2824% 21.8750% 84 25 10.8455% 18.7500% 72 26 7.4668% 18.7500% 72

Dartmouth - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 22 19.2668% 11.4583% 44 23 34.0786% 24.7396% 95 24 31.7585% 35.6771% 137 25 13.4723% 25.0000% 96 26 1.4237% 3.1250% 12

Cornell - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 25 21.9736% 19.2708% 74 26 46.2294% 38.2812% 147 27 31.7970% 42.4479% 163

St. Lawrence - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 27 54.6460% 36.4583% 140 28 27.6340% 26.0417% 100 29 12.9067% 27.8646% 107 30 4.8133% 9.6354% 37

Ferris State - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 27 2.7520% 1.0417% 4 28 66.6350% 59.8958% 230 29 30.2110% 36.1979% 139 30 0.4019% 2.8646% 11

Nebraska-Omaha - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 30 36.8370% 23.1771% 89 31 48.2725% 48.6979% 187 32 14.8905% 28.1250% 108

Holy Cross - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 30 32.1775% 26.8229% 103 31 51.7275% 51.3021% 197 32 16.0950% 21.8750% 84

Connecticut - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 32 4.2337% 5.2083% 20 33 95.7663% 94.7917% 364

Air Force - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 34 100.0000% 100.0000% 384

Merrimack - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 35 100.0000% 100.0000% 384

Northern Michigan - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 36 53.1708% 50.0000% 192 37 46.8292% 50.0000% 192

Bowling Green - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 37 38.1364% 35.9375% 138 38 57.5746% 58.8542% 226 39 4.2891% 5.2083% 20

Colgate - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 37 15.0345% 14.0625% 54 38 42.4254% 41.1458% 158 39 42.5401% 44.7917% 172

Lake Superior - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 39 53.1708% 50.0000% 192 40 46.8292% 50.0000% 192

Minnesota-Duluth - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 41 100.0000% 100.0000% 384

Massachusetts - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 42 55.4691% 56.7708% 218 43 44.5309% 43.2292% 166

Penn State - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 42 44.5309% 43.2292% 166 43 36.7763% 35.6771% 137 44 8.8833% 10.4167% 40 45 9.8095% 10.6771% 41

Maine - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 43 13.4973% 9.6354% 37 44 73.6073% 63.5417% 244 45 12.8953% 26.8229% 103

Princeton - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 43 5.1954% 11.4583% 44 44 17.5094% 26.0417% 100 45 70.6137% 59.1146% 227 46 6.6815% 3.3854% 13

Vermont - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 45 6.6815% 3.3854% 13 46 93.3185% 96.6146% 371

Michigan Tech - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 47 100.0000% 100.0000% 384

Michigan State - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 48 77.1402% 59.6354% 229 49 22.8598% 40.3646% 155

RIT - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 48 22.8598% 40.3646% 155 49 77.1402% 59.6354% 229

Clarkson - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 50 77.0652% 72.6562% 279 51 22.9348% 27.3438% 105

Harvard - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 50 22.9348% 27.3438% 105 51 77.0652% 72.6562% 279

American Int'l - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 52 100.0000% 100.0000% 384

Northeastern - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 53 100.0000% 100.0000% 384

Bentley - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 54 100.0000% 100.0000% 384

Bemidji State - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 55 100.0000% 100.0000% 384

Alaska-Anchorage - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 56 100.0000% 100.0000% 384

Army - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 57 100.0000% 100.0000% 384

Sacred Heart - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament

Seed Weighted Unweighted Permutations 58 100.0000% 100.0000% 384

Alabama-Huntsville - 0.0000% chance of being in the tournament