New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand announced Tuesday on “The Late Show with Stephen Colbert” that she is running for president. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team makes the case for why she will — and won’t — be the Democratic nominee in 2020.

Note: At 17:40 in the podcast, Nate Silver’s audio may be a bit unclear. He says, “It’s not that logical because, number one, a lot of Democrats are concerned about senators who allegedly grope people.”

You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes, the ESPN App or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen.

The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast publishes Monday evenings, with occasional special episodes throughout the week. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes. Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.