Updated 11/3 at 12:35 PM ET. Removed Sterling Shepard, moved Golden Tate up.

Updated 11/3 at 11:50 AM ET. Removed Tra Carson. Moved Ty Johnson into the top 30. Swapped Titans kickers. Added Chris Herndon, but low. He is expected to be on a snap count.

Coming off his second straight three-touchdown performance, Matthew Stafford already has four on the year in seven games. This, after he posted just one three-score day in all of 2018. The Lions’ philosophical change on offense is real and spectacular, and should grow more entrenched following the loss of Kerryon Johnson. A four-man backfield committee struggled to #EstablishIt in Week 8. Now Stafford gets a Raiders pass defense that’s one of the softest in the league. Only the Cardinals, who have played one more game, have allowed more passing scores. Stafford boasts one of Week 9’s highest floors to go along with an easily-reachable ceiling.

Week 9 Quarterbacks

QB Notes: Russell Wilson will sometimes have a gorgeous setup go askew thanks to strange game flow, but that's unlikely to be a problem in a contest with a 52.5 over/under. The Bucs’ pass-funnel defense should ensure Wilson gets the requisite attempts. … The Packers are averaging 33 points over their past four games, all played without No. 1 receiver Davante Adams. Now Adams (toe) is tentatively on track for Sunday’s “road trip” to Los Angeles to play the Chargers. A white-hot Aaron Rodgers will be feted by Cheesehead Nation in what amounts to a cruise trip for one of the league’s hottest offenses. … Improved skill corps depth has been a boon for the Texans’ offense, who didn’t miss a beat in Week 8 without Will Fuller (hamstring). Deshaun Watson had a quiet day against the Jags in Week 2, but that was with Jalen Ramsey still in teal. Even without Ramsey, the Jags are playing solid pass defense, but Watson’s floor should be easily reachable with his ceiling very much in play. … Dak Prescott entered the Cowboys’ bye with three passing scores in his past four games. A pair of rushing touchdowns kept him afloat in fantasy. A Giants team he obliterated in Week 1 should help get a new hot streak going.

Lamar Jackson vs. the Patriots’ defense is the most fascinating matchup of the season. The QB1 by average points, Jackson has yet to finish lower than QB16 and has been held outside the top 12 only once. That includes a QB9 Week 7 where Jackson completed just nine passes. New England’s defense, meanwhile, has buttered its bread with this schedule: A Tommy John’d Ben Roethlisberger, Ryan Fitzpatrick/Sam Darnold, Luke Falk, Josh Allen, Colt McCoy (literally how), Daniel Jones, Sam Darnold and Baker Mayfield. Something, as they say, has got to give. Jackson is the exact type of young quarterback Bill Belichick continues to scramble, but I’m betting on L-Jax’s dual-threat skill-set being essentially fantasy-proof, if not necessarily “real life” proof. … Only a non-competitive Redskins team could slow Kirk Cousins down in Week 8. Matt Moore poses a similar risk, but it wasn’t a problem for Aaron Rodgers in Week 8. Especially with the Chiefs at home, I think Andy Reid will smoke enough mirrors to keep the Chiefs in the game, and by extension keep Cousins throwing. … Jameis Winston was a Week 8 disaster. Jameis Winston was the Week 8 QB7. Although they stiffen near the goal line — the Seahawks have permitted nine passing scores in eight games — they hemorrhage aerial yardage. You can’t keep a man with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin down.

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Someone not getting fat off the Patriots’ schedule has been Tom Brady, who checks in as the QB10 by average points. He has eclipsed two touchdowns only twice. The Ravens, who are getting Jimmy Smith back, held Russell Wilson in check before their bye. … Coming off his first three-score start, Gardner Minshew gets a Texans Defense adjusting to life without J.J. Watt. Even with Watt, the Texans were serving up the seventh most QB fantasy points, including an 18:3 TD:INT total. … Disappointingly the QB13 vs. the Eagles, Josh Allen has another approachable matchup in the Redskins, who are letting opposing quarterbacks run passing drills as they complete 72.7 percent of their throws. … Having just traded S Quandre Diggs, a Lions Defense coughing up the seventh most quarterback fantasy points will now be missing S Tracy Walker (knee). CB Darius Slay (hamstring) is questionable. No team is allowing more weekly passing yards. Although he never comes with a ceiling, Derek Carr’s floor makes him one of Week 9’s top streamers. … Carson Wentz might finally be getting DeSean Jackson (abdomen) back. Wentz has mixed in just enough big weeks amongst his 180-yard duds to keep the QB1 hope alive even for inhospitable matchups like this week’s with the Bears.

Neither Philip Rivers nor Jimmy Garoppolo are providing spiked weeks. Garoppolo has the better Week 8 setup, but Rivers has established a significantly higher yardage floor. He also has multiple scores in 5-of-8 starts, whereas it’s just 3-of-7 for Jimmy. … It took comeback mode and a little bit of garbage time, but Daniel Jones finally had a second good start. Now he might be getting Sterling Shepard (concussion) back. Jones has yet to make an appearance with his Shepard/Golden Tate/Evan Engram/Saquon Barkley quartet intact. Of concern is a bend-but-don’t-break Cowboys D that’s permitted six passing scores in seven games. … Kyler Murray’s case remains so easy to make, but he hasn’t provided a single touchdown over his past two starts. With David Johnson (ankle) and Chase Edmonds (hamstring) both ailing, it stands to reason that the Cardinals will need Murray’s legs more vs. the 49ers’ elite defense, but there isn’t a whole lot else to cling to this week other than perhaps Murray’s yardage floor. … Matt Moore’s coaching and weapons are good enough that even a matchup like the Vikings doesn’t necessarily preclude him from a low-end QB1 finish.

I can’t unsee Sam Darnold’s past two starts. I also can’t ignore his matchup. The Dolphins made life difficult for Mason Rudolph for long stretches of Monday night’s game but lost top corner Xavien Howard in the process. With the league’s worst pass rush, the Dolphins lack the ability to make Darnold see ghosts. I am still hedging Darnold’s rank, probably too far for many people’s taste. … The Steelers are bad, but their defense is decent, especially against lower-tier quarterbacks. It’s hard to see where Jacoby Brissett’s ceiling comes from this week. … The Panthers are one of four teams with more interceptions than passing touchdowns allowed. It’s going to be a game manager special from Ryan Tannehill. … Mason Rudolph was unsightly for large chunks of Monday’s win over the Dolphins but still somehow emerged with 251/2. Although it is getting healthier, the Colts’ defense is far from a lockdown unit. … The Broncos kept Chris Harris. That means nothing got easier for Baker Mayfield before the trade deadline, as the Browns also failed to secure a new left tackle. … Will the Jets’ defense come out tired or inspired following a deflating trade deadline week? Ryan Fitzpatrick isn’t going to wait for the answer, gunslinging at will. … As coach Matt Nagy has made painfully clear, there is no such thing as a good spot for Mitchell Trubisky.

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