I think it’s mostly safe to tell people to follow whatever career that want to, as it doesn’t matter anyway.

Jobs are being eliminated and offshored across every field, in every domain, and none of them are very safe – save perhaps plumbers and a few others that absolutely require on-site presence (for the moment, anyway).

Some careers are for the moment “safer” than others, but that could change very quickly. Increasing automation is coming faster than most people now realize, and with global climate change now a fait accompli of being alive in the 21st century, the economy is pretty likely to worsen over time.

In my field, the jobs that I used as a stepladder to gain the experience I have today increasingly do not exist anymore. It would be really difficult if not impossible to get where I am today how I did so, and I started only 15 years ago.

What’s interesting about that – and horrible – is that those lower-level positions are of course how people gain experience to occupy higher-level ones. If those jobs go away, obviously one cannot ever move up as there is no path of preparation to, say, move from a helpdesk to an infrastructure architect.

This fact I believe companies will use to argue that there are “no qualified candidates” and thus all should be offshored where experienced (and cheaper) people can be hired. Or, failing that, H-1B visa employees can be brought in.

So pursue whatever career strikes your fancy. Likely as not, your job will not exist in 10 years anyway – at least not in your home country – so it doesn’t really matter.