This is part of a series of posts tracking each team’s Elo rating, which changes week-to-week based not only on the outcome of their game but on the rating of their opponent. To learn more, read the post for Weeks 1 and 2.



1st to 3rd

T-1. Bengals 546 (+14)

T-1. Cardinals 546 (+15)

T-1. Eagles 546 (+15)

Four of last week’s 2-0 teams fell out of the highest tier by losing in Week 3. Each of our remaining undefeated teams beat a team that was 1-1 in Week 3 and all three are tied for first. The Bengals got one point fewer simply because they were already slightly higher, so the win meant slightly less. Teams with other records have a lot more variance.

4th to 16th

4. Chargers 518 (+17)

T-5. Cowboys 517 (+16)

T-5. Ravens 517 (+16)

T-5. Steelers 517 (+18)

T-5. Bears 517 (+16)

T-9. Lions 516 (+16)

T-9. Patriots 516 (+15)

T-9. Seahawks 516 (+17)

T-12. Bills 515 (-17)

T-12. Falcons 515 (+15)

T-14. Broncos 514 (-17)

T-14. Panthers 514 (-18)

16. Texans 512 (-19)

Unlike last season, the wide majority of teams are either 2-1 or 1-2, and each are clustered together still. But teams with the same record are already more spread out than they were in Week 2. The Chargers, yet to face a team that already had a loss, are on top of the 2-1 pack. They defeated the 1-0 Seahawks in Week 2 and the 2-0 Bills in Week 3. The Texans, yet to face a team that already had a win, are on the bottom of it. They lost the most points of any team in Week 3, going in 2-0 with 531 points, yet losing to the Giants who entered the week 0-2 with 469 points.

17th to 29th

The Giants, naturally, were the biggest climber of Week 3 and sit on top of the 1-2 pack, by virtue of defeating a team that had been 2-0. The post-Peterson Vikings continue their tumble, handing the 0-2 Saints their first win of the year to secure the lowest score of the 1-2 teams.

17. Giants 488 (+19)

18. Chiefs 486 (+17)

T-19. Colts 485 (+16)

T-19. Packers 485 (-16)

T-19. Redskins 485 (-15)

T-19. Saints 485 (+17)

T-19. Titans 485 (-14)

T-24. 49ers 484 (-15)

T-24. Browns 484 (-16)

T-24. Rams 484 (-16)

T-27. Dolphins 483 (-17)

T-27. Jets 483 (-16)

29. Vikings 482 (-17)

30th to 32nd

30. Raiders 454 (-15)

31. Buccaneers 453 (-15)

32. Jaguars 452 (-16)

Fortunately for the Buccaneers, Elo doesn’t account for margin of victory, and they were saved from last place by virtue of the fact they lost to the 1-1 Falcons, even if it was by a billion or so points. The Jaguars separated themselves from the other 0-3 teams by losing to two teams that had yet to win, giving them sole position of last place. The good news for Jags fans is that next week they have a chance to make a big jump in rating, as they’ll be facing the 4th-place Chargers. Raise your Bortles!

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