Political observers are watching nail-biter U.S. Senate races in Missouri, Tennessee, and Indiana, but another race to watch is unfolding in New Jersey.

A recent poll from Stockton University shows Democrat Bob Menendez (pictured at left) heading toward Election Day with just a two-point edge over his Republican challenger, retired businessman Bob Hugin.

The poll also found Menendez continues to be an unpopular candidate, with just 30 percent of New Jersians having a favorable opinion of him and 54 percent having an unfavorable opinion.

Pauken

The Daily Wire was the first news source to take notice of the Stockton poll and the possibility of a toss-up election.

The same story also noted that the well-known Cook Political Report rates Menendez's seat as "likely D," meaning it will remain in Democratic seats.

Despite the Stockton poll, Menendez is up by almost 6-and-a-half points in a compilation of polls tabulated by Real Clear Politics.

Tom Pauken, a former chairman of the Republican Party of Texas, says "blue" New Jersey is a "tough state" for Republicans but points out that voters elected longtime Republican Chris Christie.

"A Republican can win," Pauken agrees. "It takes an enormous set of circumstances, but I think it's possible and I sure hope he takes him out."

Despite the Stockton University poll, Menendez is up by almost 6-and-a-half points in a compilation of three polls tabulated by RealClearPolitics.