Mr. Goldmacher told us: “Here’s something the primary will test: Was Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s shock win in June an aberration? Or was it — and the polling misfire by Crowley, who by the way used one of the same pollsters as Cuomo — a sign of what’s to come?”

Attorney General:

The Democratic contenders for attorney general — who are seeking to formally replace the disgraced Eric T. Schneiderman — are Letitia James, Sean Patrick Maloney, Leecia Eve and Zephyr Teachout.

Ms. James, the New York City public advocate, is backed by the Democratic Party in New York.

“She has widely been seen as the front-runner,” Mr. Goldmacher said, “but in a televised debate last week, everyone was focused on Zephyr Teachout, who won the endorsement of The New York Times’s editorial board and seems to have some new energy in her campaign.”

He added: “The attorney general’s race is getting less attention, but don’t forget that this is one of the single races of most interest to President Trump in the country because of all the investigation potential into his businesses and foundation.”

Lieutenant Governor:

Kathy Hochul is the lieutenant governor, and her Democratic challenger is Jumaane Williams.

“She has had more than a million dollars in her campaign account; his campaign is basically dead broke,” Mr. Goldmacher said.

“What’s remarkable is the concern that he’s competitive anyway — based partly on demographics of New York in that he is from New York City, is relatively well known for a city councilman, and is an African-American candidate in a year in which every campaign is focused heavily on turning out African-American voters.”

Mark your calendars now for a debate for New York attorney general on Thursday, the Democratic primary next week and Election Day in November.