Electoral College Estimates

The table below shows the results of our prediction algorithm for the Presidential Elections in November. The method by which a projection is determined is complicated, using local regression, but its all explained if you're really curious. The algorithm outputs a projected result and the Electoral Votes are assigned based on those percentages. If a candidate gets a higher percentage than their opponent they will receive all of the Electoral Votes for that specific state. In the real election Maine and Nebraska award their EVs based on congressional districts, but for the current analysis a complete allocation will be used. Perhaps in the future after further data has be collected Nebraska and Maine will be predicted on the congressional level. The polls used in the calculations can be viewed on our polls and graphs page.

* 270 Electoral Votes needed to become president elect.