Step 1. If God really exists, then the likelihood that God in His goodness would take steps to bring about the greatest goods is significantly higher than a 1% chance.

Step 2. Whether in fiction or reality, the greatest goods require a community of embodied1 moral agents in a moral choice arena.



Moral arena = def. The arena of moral choices. A community of persons—not necessarily humans—in circumstances where they can engage in moral decision-making, and can interact and mold themselves in morally significant ways. (Note: the “morality” here can be illusory, so a choice arena can exist even if objective morality does not.)

Step 3. Therefore, if God exists, there is a greater than 1% chance that God would bring about a community of embodied moral agents in a choice arena.

Step 4. By contrast, the likelihood of such an arena existing on the assumption of atheism is far lower than 1%. To see this, multiply the improbabilities of (a spatio-temporal world existing) x (of it being life-permitting) x (of life appearing in it) x (of life developing consciousness) x (and moral sensibilities). This leaves a lot out and yet already it seems far lower than 1%.

With this thinking in mind, consider all the evidences for theism below and judge for yourself whether our observations are more probable on theism than atheism.