written by: @TheGersReport

On the surface, the permanent signing of Florian Kamberi was a no-brainer for Hibs. He came in & scored seven goals in half-a-season & averaged 0.50 goals per 90 minutes (note: I don't include penalties when evaluating players & Kamberi slotted home two of those). That's an average of a goal scored in every other match. That kind of success made people quickly forget that Anthony Stokes & Simon Murray both actually played more minutes for Hibernian last season.

Re-signing Kamberi was always going to be a priority for Neil Lennon - however, it's imperative for teams to examine the underlying numbers to make the best decision of how to spend their resources. Given Hibs' openness to applying analytics to their recruitment process, I'm pretty sure that they did indeed take apart the data to see if Kamberi's form will be sustainable moving forward.

The first place I look for seeing how sustainable a player's scoring will be is to look at his Shooting Percentage (Sh%). That measures the rate of shots on target that are goals. Typically, if a player scores on 40% or more of his shots on target, his finishing is bound to regress.

Let's just say, there's a reason why Stuart Armstrong went from averaging 0.62 goals per 90 one season to 0.18 the next (hint: his Shooting Percentage went from 47% to 17%).