By Steve Goddard

El Niño made it’s last gasp this week. Note that SST’s in the equatorial Pacific went from above normal to below normal during the past few days.

http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/sst/plots.php

Is there a La Niña on the way? Most of the models said no in April, though it appears they may be already wrong – given that they forecast positive ENSO through the summer. Two models forecast a very strong La Niña.

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf

The last El Niño to La Niña transition occurred in 2007, and caused a sharp drop in GISS global temperatures.

http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/gistemp/from:2006.9/to:2008.1

Most of the US had a miserably cold winter during the recently deceased El Niño. It is not pleasant to think what a cold La Niña winter might bring.

http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/maps/current/index.php?action=update_userdate&daterange=DJF&year=10

Here was my prediction from February, 2010 :

Flashback to 2007 – SST To Plunge Again?

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