Over the next several days, you undoubtedly will hear the same ol’ tired Tom Brady tale, a story presented as compelling evidence that any anonymous quarterback picked in the sixth round could potentially develop into one of the most accomplished athletes in American sports.



If there’s one guarantee during NFL Draft week, it’s that you will hear this story. It underscores the very nature of the draft and the fundamental reason it is among the most anticipated events on the NFL calendar. The draft is about possibilities. And, yes, it is technically possible that a late-round pick could ascend to a level akin to Brady.



But this oft-cited story should be accompanied by an important disclaimer: That kind of outcome is a one-in-a-million, needle-in-a-haystack event.



I bring this up because the Colts, with 38-year old Philip Rivers providing a short-term solution, find themselves in the market for a quarterback. This means they are actively trying...