28 September 2018 (Toronto, ON) – Giorgio Mammoliti would face defeat against Anthony Perruzza in the municipal ward of Humber River-Black Creek if the election were held today.

That is the main finding from five Mainstreet Research polls fielded on September 24th and 25th of key Toronto wards to watch.

“Doug Ford stands to lose one of his biggest allies on City Council if the election were held today,” said Quito Maggi, President and CEO of Mainstreet Research. “As it stands right now, Giorgio Mammoliti would be one of the big-name casualties in the new 25 ward city council.”

Among decided and leaning voters, Perruzza has 30.2% support and Mammoliti is tied with former public school trustee Tiffany Ford with 21.1% support. Recent provincial Liberal candidate Deanna Sgro has 17.2%.

In Scarborough-Agincourt, Jim Karygiannis has a 3.3% lead over Norm Kelly among decided and leaning voters. Karygiannis has 47.3% while Kelly comes in with 44%.

Moving over to the race between incumbents in York South-Weston, Frances Nunziata has a ten point lead over Frank Di Giorgio. Among decided and leaning voters, Nunziata enjoys 40.4% support while Di Giorgio has 30.2% support. Previous candidate Lekan Olawoye has 7.2% while Chiara Padovani has 3.8%.

Looking at Toronto Centre, Kristyn Wong-Tam leads with 44% support among decided and leaning voters. Former Liberal cabinet minister and 2010 mayoral candidate George Smitherman comes in with 27.7% support. Incumbent Lucy Troisi has 7.7% support while Walied Khogali has 3.5%.

Turning to Beaches-East York, former MP Matthew Kellway has a solid lead with 56.3% of decided and leaning voters. Main challengers Diane Dyson and David Del Grande have 7.4% and 7.5%.

Maggi said that the high number of undecided voters places caution on these early numbers.

“It not surprising the see such a high undecided rate for councillor races at this stage of the game, so it is too early to make hard conclusions on who is going to win on October 22nd.” said Maggi. “That said, our polling shows that Mamolitti, Di Giorgio, Smitherman, and Norm Kelly have some work to do if they want to be elected in less than a month’s time.”

Mainstreet Toronto 28sept2018 by Mainstreet on Scribd