Regarding the new conventional wisdom, Mark Halperin at TIME writes: “Romney…is in danger of living out the Haley Barbour dictum: in politics, bad gets worse. Super PACs might start shifting their money from the presidential race to save the House majority and look to pick up Senate seats.” I’m glad to see everyone catching up with what I’ve been writing for the last month.

From a resource-allocation standpoint, focusing on Congress is a wise move – for both sides. Put briefly, resources are most effective where the odds are right on the edge. And that is precisely where the Presidential race is not. Indeed, it appears that a major priority of Karl Rove’s Crossroads GPS has been to fund winnable Senate races. All of this is supported by “the math,” as Rove put it in 2006. This time, he’s telling the truth – with money. So why don’t you make like Uncle Karl. [Optimal Democratic Senate ActBlue picks] [Republicans – NRSC]

Update: thank you for getting us so close to the goal! Who will be the one to get the thermometer over the top…