Since 2014 HPN has trawled the internet in order to find out which club is meant to pick which player in the upcoming draft, in lieu of our lack of knowledge about junior footy.

This is HPN’s fourth annual attempt at the Consensus Phantom Draft. In most years the method is within the two or three most accurate phantom drafts with respect to the final place that a given player is selected at, however the method becomes increasingly more accurate as the time until draft day narrows.

The method is simple – we have assembled eight draft rankings in order to sort the prospective draftees. We’ll use this to identify which players and clubs there is consensus on, and where the experts disagree. HPN looks at two different measures: the average draft position and the “mode” – the position a player is most .

At the end of the draft, we’ll take a look back and see which phantom drafters have been the most accurate. Last year, Callum Twomey nailed the first round, and Brett Anderson was the most accurate across the whole draft.

The phantom drafts/power rankings we’ve used so far are:

We are not re-publishing their work here in full because we don’t want to steal traffic away from these sites, and want them to get fair reward for their hard work. If you want to read the reasons for all the selections made by those writers above, we encourage that you have a read.

We encourage readers to bring new phantoms and power rankings to our attention, especially those at independent websites which we might have missed. Hit us up @hurlingpeople on twitter, via email at hurlingpeoplenow [at] gmail.com or via the comments below.

Here, then, is the first version of the Consensus Phantom Draft:

Pick Club Name Pick High Low Mode 1 Brisbane Lions Luke Davies-Uniacke 2.0 1 4 2 2 Fremantle Cameron Rayner 2.1 1 4 1 3 Carlton Paddy Dow 2.4 1 3 3 4 North Melbourne Adam Cerra 4.8 2 7 7 5 Fremantle Jaidyn Stephenson 5.8 4 8 5 6 Collingwood Andrew Brayshaw 6.6 4 13 5 7 St Kilda Darcy Fogarty 8.6 4 12 12 8 St Kilda Nick Coffield 9.0 6 11 9 9 Western Bulldogs Aaron Naughton 9.1 5 14 6 10 Carlton Hunter Clark 10.9 8 15 8 11 GWS Aiden Bonar 12.0 8 23 10 12 Adelaide Jack Higgins 12.8 7 18 11 13 West Coast Charlie Constable 15.1 8 20 20 14 Sydney Jarrod Brander 15.4 6 38 12 15 Brisbane Lions Nathan Murphy 16.8 11 24 15 16 Western Bulldogs Oscar Allen 17.0 13 38 13 17 Richmond Ed Richards 20.4 11 37 19 18 Brisbane Lochie O'Brien 23.3 14 38 21 19 Gold Coast Sam Hayes 23.6 10 38 26 20 Richmond Noah Balta 25.3 6 44 17 21 West Coast Lachlan Fogarty 29.0 15 49 17 22 Richmond (F/S) Patrick Naish 29.5 16 41 38 23 Brisbane (Academy) Connor Ballenden 29.8 18 40 38 24 Geelong Joel Garner 32.3 16 44 44 25 North Melbourne Matthew Ling 32.9 22 49 38 26 Geelong Charlie Spargo 33.1 23 49 38 27 West Coast Zac Bailey 33.6 19 49 38 28 GWS Jack Petruccelle 33.9 19 49 38 29 GWS Gryan Miers 34.9 28 49 28 30 Melbourne Sam Taylor 35.4 22 49 38 31 Carlton Tim Kelly 37.4 23 49 38 32 Melbourne Jordan Houlahan 39.3 23 49 38 33 West Coast Harrison Petty 39.4 24 49 38 34 Sydney Charlie Ballard 40.0 29 49 38 35 St Kilda Dylan Moore 40.3 31 49 38 36 Geelong Bailey Fritsch 40.4 32 49 38 37 Melbourne Toby Wooller 40.8 35 49 38 38 West Coast Brandon Starcevich 41.0 37 49 38 39 Collingwood Ryley Stoddart 41.1 37 49 38 40 Adelaide Kane Farrell 41.3 37 49 38

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