Philadelphia Eagles head coach Doug Pederson, left, celebrates with the Eagles owner Jeffrey Lurie, center, as quarterback Nick Foles hugs his wife, Tori, after winning the NFL Super Bowl 52 football game against the New England Patriots, Sunday, Feb. 4, 2018, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II)

By Aaron Kasinitz | akasinitz@pennlive.com

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Philadelphia Eagles coach Doug Pederson is in Orlando this week for the NFL's annual league meeting, his team has been busy making roster moves the past month and preparation for the NFL draft is about to ramp up.

The Super Bowl honeymoon is over.

But what can we expect out of Pederson moving forward? As a coach coming off his first championship, is he more likely to surge toward sustained greatness or stumble back into mediocrity?

While every situation is different, we thought it’d be worthwhile to study all six of the first-time Super Bowl winning coaches over the past decade. We looked at how they fared the following season and how the next few years panned out after they reached the NFL’s mountaintop.

Take a look:

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Gary Kubiak (Broncos)

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Denver Broncos head coach Gary Kubiak on the sideline during the first half of an NFL football game against the Oakland Raiders, Sunday, Jan. 1, 2017, in Denver. (AP Photo/Jack Dempsey)

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Super Bowl season: 2015

Next season's record: 9-7 (missed playoffs)

Skinny: Kubiak was an experienced coach who took over an already top-notch Broncos team in 2015. He led Denver to the Super Bowl in his first season by leaning on a punishing defense, but quarterback Peyton Manning retired after the triumph, creating questions at quarterback the team still hasn't answered. A stagnant offense kept the Broncos out of the postseason in 2016, and Kubiak retired that offseason.

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Pete Carroll (Seahawks)

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Super Bowl season: 2013

Next season's record: 12-4 (lost in Super Bowl)

Skinny: Carroll captured the title with a young and talented Seattle squad in 2013 and came a yard away from repeating the next season. The Seahawks haven't had a losing season since, but they also haven't won another championship and missed the playoffs in 2017 for the first time in six years. Carroll's still held in high regard; he is also, however, entering a mini-rebuild of sorts after a run of sustained success netted the franchise just one championship.

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John Harbaugh (Ravens)

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Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh holds out the Vince Lombardi Trophy as owner Stephen J. Bisciotti, right, stands by after defeating the San Francisco 49ers 34-31 in the NFL Super Bowl XLVII football game, Sunday, Feb. 3, 2013, in New Orleans. (AP Photo/Marcio Sanchez)

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Super Bowl season: 2012

Next season's record: 8-8 (missed playoffs)

Skinny: Harbaugh made the playoffs in each of his first five seasons with the Ravens and ended that stretch in 2012 with somewhat of a surprise run to the franchise's second Super Bowl title. Baltimore hasn't been as dominant since. The Ravens have made the playoffs just once in the past five seasons, leading some to speculate that Harbaugh's time with the team could be nearing an end.

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Mike McCarthy (Packers)

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Super Bowl season: 2010

Next season's record: 15-1 (lost in divisional round of the playoffs)

Skinny: The Packers had the look of a juggernaut after winning the Super Bowl in 2010 and steamrolling through the NFL in 2011 behind quarterback Aaron Rodgers' record-shattering efficiency. But the Packers still haven't been back to a Super Bowl. McCarthy led the team to the postseason each year from 2009 to '16, and with a healthy Rodgers, he's well positioned to get back there in 2018. Success in the playoffs, though, has been elusive since 2010.

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Sean Payton (Saints)

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New Orleans Saints head coach Sean Payton celebrates with the Vince Lombardi Trophy after the Saints' 31-17 win over the Indianapolis Colts in the NFL Super Bowl XLIV football game in Miami, Sunday, Feb. 7, 2010. (AP Photo/Julie Jacobson)

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Super Bowl season: 2009

Next season's record: 11-5 (lost in the wildcard round)

Skinny: Payton and quarterback Drew Brees were the star figures of the Saints' memorable Super Bowl championship in 2009. In the years since, Payton has survived the Bountygate scandal and a string of three straight 7-9 seasons to keep his job as the team tries to squeeze a few more years out of Brees. New Orleans has been to the playoffs four times since winning the Super Bowl but hasn't advanced past the divisional round.

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Mike Tomlin (Steelers)

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Super Bowl season: 2008

Next season's record: 9-7 (missed playoffs)

Skinny: Tomlin led the Steelers to the Super Bowl in his second season as head coach, and he's kept the team among the NFL's best over the past decade — he just hasn't lifted the Lombardi Trophy again. Pittsburgh has made the postseason each of the past four seasons and will enter 2018 as the favorites in the AFC North.

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Takeaways

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Philadelphia Eagles head coach Doug Pederson speaks during a press conference at the NFL football scouting combine in Indianapolis, Wednesday, Feb. 28, 2018. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)

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None of these six coaches followed their Super Bowl wins with losing seasons, but none repeated as champions, either. That underscores a harsh truth of the NFL: Parity across the league and a single-elimination playoff system make the task of stringing together titles seem nearly impossible. Not a single one of these coaches has won a second Super Bowl. So the Eagles should know that no matter how well positioned they are to contend for the years ahead, championships won’t come easy.

If we stretched this list a bit further back, we'd find first-time Super Bowl winners Bill Belichick and Tom Coughlin who did ultimately get another chance (or chances in Belichick's case) to hoist the Lombardi Trophy. But they're more the exception than the norm.

It’s also notable that five of the six coaches we studied here are still with their respective teams, and all five of those guys are still relying on the same quarterback. That’s part of the reason Pederson’s accomplishment in 2018 looks so impressive and why Philly’s future appears so bright.

Carson Wentz seems to be the type of quarterback the Eagles can build around — much like the Saints did with Brees and the Packers with Rodgers. Yet Pederson led the Eagles to the championship while Wentz nursed an ACL injury by helping Nick Foles orchestrate an offensive outburst in the playoffs.

The job Pederson did last season was historic. Moving forward, he’ll try to buck a recent trend and obtain similar success in his follow-up act.

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