Your school is going to sign a high school quarterback tomorrow. Congratulations! He’s really talented, maybe even the prize of your recruiting class. He’s probably set to enroll early, too, which means he’ll get to compete this spring for a chance to start. Could be a real special one, maybe even a program-changer.



And if that happens to come true, your program is one of the lucky ones. Because if you’re counting on this touted quarterback to stay at your school for the duration of his college career, recent history tells us the chances of that are not great.



The Athletic studied the careers of the top 50 high school quarterbacks who signed with FBS programs in the recruiting classes of 2014 through 2017 because those signees have all been in college for at least three years. So far, 57 percent of those QBs have transferred from the school they initially signed with. And that percentage will likely increase during this offseason.



For...