In a decision that will not have come as a surprise to those who are attentive to either international human rights law or abortion law in Ireland, the United Nations Human Rights Committee has found that a woman’s rights under the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights were violated by her having to travel for an abortion in a situation of fatal foetal abnormality.

What are the implications for constitutional politics in Ireland? The government argued (as it previously did) the Constitution reflected the people’s will on a question of moral significance and disagreement.This is summarised in paragraph 4.2 of the opinion: “The State party asserts that article 40.3.3 of the Constitution [ie the Eighth Amendment] represents the profound moral choices of the Irish people. Yet, at the same time, the Irish people have acknowledged the entitlement of citizens to travel to other jurisdictions for the purposes of obtaining terminations of pregnancy. The legislative framework guarantees the citizens’ entitlement to information in relation to abortion services provided abroad. Thus, the constitutional and legislative framework reflects the nuanced and proportionate approach to the considered views of the Irish electorate on the profound moral question of the extent to which the right to life of the foetus should be protected and balanced against the rights of the woman.”

International law perspective

Here, of course, is where the fact that this is a constitutional (rather than a merely legislative) position does pose a challenge. In Ireland, as is well known, the Constitution can be formally amended only by a referendum of the people. Thus, if the Constitution prohibits abortion in cases of fatal foetal abnormalities, and if that puts Ireland in violation of its international obligations, a referendum is the appropriate vehicle to resolving that.

This is tricky. Governments cannot guarantee that the conflict between the constitutional standard and the international standard will be resolved; they cannot copper-fasten the outcome of the referendum. Where a referendum to ensure compatibility with international standards is unsuccessful, the State remains in violation although it can at least claim that reasonable efforts to resolve that violation have been made. In the absence of a referendum, however, no such claim can be made.

In fact, a failure to hold a referendum both torpedoes the claimed justification for the incompatibility and reveals an unwillingness to resolve that incompatibility. That is, unless a referendum is held to ensure the availability of abortion in cases of fatal foetal abnormality the State can neither justifiably claim that it is the will of the people to maintain a ban on such abortions notwithstanding incompatibility with international human rights law, nor claim to be hand-tied in terms of resolving that incompatibility.

Thus, if it really is the case that the Eighth Amendment prohibits such abortions a referendum is unavoidable from an international law perspective. That is not because international law can force a state to hold a referendum, but rather because (a) the incompatibility flows from a constitutional provision, and (b) the only means of constitutional change is by referendum.

It is worth noting that it is not at all clear that article 40.3.3 really does require the criminalisation of abortion in cases of fatal foetal abnormality. We know that the provision does not require any activities that are futile, and that the foetal right to life is both to be balanced against the right to life of the pregnant woman and protected only as far as practicable. It is quite within the capacity of the Government to amend the Protection of Life During Pregnancy Act 2013 to allow for abortions in these cases, and allow the Supreme Court to assess the strength of the arguments in favour thereof from a constitutional law perspective.

Difficulties

AG v X

But one thing is sure: this decision reinforces the position, long held by many, that article 40.3.3 is unsustainable, unsuitable and incompatible with human rights. A referendum is urgently required.

Fiona de Londras is professor of global legal studies at University of Birmingham School of Law