POLLING AND SPENDING. Is the race for governor tightening up? The Democrats have a new poll that says it is. And the Republican Governors Association is apparently concerned enough to have sharply increased its already big buy for a television ad attacking Democrat Molly Kelly.New Hampshire Primary Source on Friday night obtained a poll conducted Oct. 27-29 by Democratic pollster Change Research that showed Republican Gov. Chris Sununu leading Kelly by a single percentage point, 47 percent to 46 percent. The poll was conducted for the New Hampshire Democratic Party.While Sununu has substantially higher name recognition, “the race is nonetheless close in large part because Kelly voters are more likely to turn out on election day,” the pollster wrote. “96 percent of Kelly voters say they will ‘definitely’ vote, while 92 percent of Sununu voters say the same.”The pollster said that both Sununu and Kelly are viewed favorably, but Sununu has higher unfavorable numbers. Kelly’s favorable/unfavorable ratings are 41 percent/26 percent, while Sununu’s ratings are 45 percent/36 percent.Recent independent polls have shown voters having a more favorable view of Sununu and the Republican incumbent holding leads in the 8 percentage point to 11 percentage point range.The Democratic poll showed Kelly with a 56 percent to 38 percent advantage among women, who are projected by the pollster to be 52 percent of the electorate, while Sununu held a 58 percent to 35 percent advantage among men.The pollster concludes that if election turnout is high, Kelly “can win on Nov. 6.”Change Research has said that it accurately predicted Andrew Gillum’s upset victory in the Florida gubernatorial primary in August and the 2017 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races.The Republican Governors Association, meanwhile, has heavily increased its airtime buy for its television ad accusing Kelly of voting to cut funding for social programs benefiting children, youth and families. The Kelly campaign has called the ad a distortion.The RGA’s Live Free PAC initially spent $410,000 on WMUR and more on cable television. Records show that on Friday, the RGA increased its buy to $587,000 on WMUR and to about $800,000 in total including cable -- an overall increase of about $300,000. “Chris Sununu’s lead has evaporated, and no infusion of cash from his D.C. allies will be enough to save him from defeat on Tuesday," said state Democratic Party Chairman Raymond Buckley.

POLLING AND SPENDING. Is the race for governor tightening up? The Democrats have a new poll that says it is. And the Republican Governors Association is apparently concerned enough to have sharply increased its already big buy for a television ad attacking Democrat Molly Kelly.

New Hampshire Primary Source on Friday night obtained a poll conducted Oct. 27-29 by Democratic pollster Change Research that showed Republican Gov. Chris Sununu leading Kelly by a single percentage point, 47 percent to 46 percent. The poll was conducted for the New Hampshire Democratic Party.



While Sununu has substantially higher name recognition, “the race is nonetheless close in large part because Kelly voters are more likely to turn out on election day,” the pollster wrote. “96 percent of Kelly voters say they will ‘definitely’ vote, while 92 percent of Sununu voters say the same.”

The pollster said that both Sununu and Kelly are viewed favorably, but Sununu has higher unfavorable numbers. Kelly’s favorable/unfavorable ratings are 41 percent/26 percent, while Sununu’s ratings are 45 percent/36 percent.

Recent independent polls have shown voters having a more favorable view of Sununu and the Republican incumbent holding leads in the 8 percentage point to 11 percentage point range.

The Democratic poll showed Kelly with a 56 percent to 38 percent advantage among women, who are projected by the pollster to be 52 percent of the electorate, while Sununu held a 58 percent to 35 percent advantage among men.



The pollster concludes that if election turnout is high, Kelly “can win on Nov. 6.”

Change Research has said that it accurately predicted Andrew Gillum’s upset victory in the Florida gubernatorial primary in August and the 2017 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races.

The Republican Governors Association, meanwhile, has heavily increased its airtime buy for its television ad accusing Kelly of voting to cut funding for social programs benefiting children, youth and families. The Kelly campaign has called the ad a distortion.

The RGA’s Live Free PAC initially spent $410,000 on WMUR and more on cable television. Records show that on Friday, the RGA increased its buy to $587,000 on WMUR and to about $800,000 in total including cable -- an overall increase of about $300,000.

“Chris Sununu’s lead has evaporated, and no infusion of cash from his D.C. allies will be enough to save him from defeat on Tuesday," said state Democratic Party Chairman Raymond Buckley.

