Worst Case Scenario: 2017 Jeremy Maclin

A 32-year-old receiver that has relied on athleticism to win at the catch point isn’t a great combination. Add in the fact that he missed the entire second half of last season with a neck injury, and the picture grows darker. Garçon additionally had a lower yards per reception and a striking 10% lower catch rate from in his 2017 season compared to 2016. Another year older, the 49er will not be spoon-fed targets by a limited quarterback in an offense scarce of alternatives. In his career, Garçon has seen 115 targets three times. He has never scored more than six touchdowns. There’s a real chance that the veteran pass catcher sees a drop in volume and physical ability, relegating him to a complementary/mentorship role for promising receivers like George Kittle, Jerick McKinnon, Marquise Goodwin, and possibly even 2nd-round pick, Dante Pettis. Provided he stays healthy the entire year — quite the assertion to begin with — Garçon could still result as a wasted draft pick, accumulating fewer than 100 targets and 600 yards receiving. Given the limited TD upside, such a season would signify the forfeiture of a mid-to-late 6th round pick.

Personal approximation of outcome: 30%