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Re: ADP strategy

Released on 2013-11-15 00:00 GMT

Email-ID 2883152 Date 2011-08-03 04:48:05 From hughes@stratfor.com To rbaker@stratfor.com, gfriedman@stratfor.com, bhalla@stratfor.com, stewart@stratfor.com, hughes@stratfor.com, leticia.pursel@stratfor.com, friedman@att.blackberry.net, kendra.vessels@stratfor.com

Re: ADP strategy





Stick, I think you should talk to both bergman and black. SI doesn't want

Bergman, and their judgment may be sound. I'm happy to drop him. Black may

also not be impressive but I'd like you to make the call.



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From: "George Friedman" <friedman@att.blackberry.net>

Date: Tue, 2 Aug 2011 21:46:02 -0500 (CDT)

To: Reva Bhalla<bhalla@stratfor.com>; Nathan Hughes<hughes@stratfor.com>

ReplyTo: friedman@att.blackberry.net

Cc: Scott Stewart<stewart@stratfor.com>; Kendra

Vessels<kendra.vessels@stratfor.com>; Leticia

Pursel<Leticia.pursel@stratfor.com>; Rodger Baker<rbaker@stratfor.com>;

George Friedman<gfriedman@stratfor.com>

Subject: Re: ADP strategy

I'd like to set a rule. Strategic picks strategic and tactical tactical.

Each should want different things in people or there is no point in the

disttinction. One of our ptoblems is that strategic dominated adp and

tactical fed on that. Skewed them to area specialists with a tactical

bent. So let's let stick run this.



Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T



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From: Reva Bhalla <bhalla@stratfor.com>

Date: Tue, 2 Aug 2011 21:35:42 -0500 (CDT)

To: <hughes@stratfor.com>

Cc: Scott Stewart<stewart@stratfor.com>; Kendra

Vessels<kendra.vessels@stratfor.com>; Leticia

Pursel<Leticia.pursel@stratfor.com>; <friedman@att.blackberry.net>; Rodger

Baker<rbaker@stratfor.com>; George Friedman<gfriedman@stratfor.com>

Subject: Re: ADP strategy

I interviewed Aaron Black. I really wasn't impressed with him at all. I

think we should move Bergman to the tactical pile



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From: "Nate Hughes" <hughes@stratfor.com>

To: friedman@att.blackberry.net, "Rodger Baker" <rbaker@stratfor.com>,

"George Friedman" <gfriedman@stratfor.com>

Cc: "Scott Stewart" <stewart@stratfor.com>, "Me" <hughes@stratfor.com>,

"Reva Bhalla" <reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>, "Kendra Vessels"

<kendra.vessels@stratfor.com>, "Leticia Pursel"

<Leticia.pursel@stratfor.com>

Sent: Tuesday, August 2, 2011 9:28:27 PM

Subject: Re: ADP strategy



I want Frank Boudre. Period. If he has no stratigic value in terms of

priority, we need to bring him into tactical. I will take him on 100% if

necessary.



I think Mawhinney (Sp?) should also make the cut but not a TI decision.



We should accept Adam Bergman even if it is just to throw him into the

deep end with OC and see how he does. TI can handle that.



I want us to interview and barring serious red flag accept aaron black.

He's done some OC and chased down bail bonds. If we have anybody on our

ADP applicant list that has any understanding of OC and has cut his teeth

on the street, it's him. Don't know if this is true, but he stands out and

he's worth an interview and, passing that, 90 days of our time.



That's my list for TI. Stick?



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From: "George Friedman" <friedman@att.blackberry.net>

Date: Tue, 2 Aug 2011 21:18:34 -0500 (CDT)

To: Rodger Baker<rbaker@stratfor.com>; George

Friedman<gfriedman@stratfor.com>

ReplyTo: friedman@att.blackberry.net

Cc: Scott Stewart<stewart@stratfor.com>; Nathan

Hughes<hughes@stratfor.com>; Reva Bhalla<reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>; Kendra

Vessels<kendra.vessels@stratfor.com>; Leticia

Pursel<Leticia.pursel@stratfor.com>

Subject: Re: ADP strategy

I will leave this to you to organize. Stick, make certain that you are

getting maximum benefit from this list. As training your staff will fall

to you and have a different protocol, I expect we can confine strategic to

12 and add some if you have some picks. As I said to nate, tactical in our

trans terrorism mode may need more experienced hands.



Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T



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From: Rodger Baker <rbaker@stratfor.com>

Date: Tue, 2 Aug 2011 21:13:32 -0500 (CDT)

To: George Friedman<gfriedman@stratfor.com>

Cc: Stick<Stewart@stratfor.com>; <hughes@stratfor.com>; Reva

Bhalla<reva.bhalla@stratfor.com>; kendra

vessels<kendra.vessels@stratfor.com>; Leticia

Pursel<leticia.pursel@stratfor.com>

Subject: Re: ADP strategy

I think we can, with an intense effort, handle the 10 or 12, but agree

that much beyond that we just dont have the ability to fdo more than

superficial training and mentoring, which doesnt help the ADPs nor us.

Prioritizing the list works, and we can talk to Leticia first thing AM to

see if the offers are out or not.

On Aug 2, 2011, at 7:44 PM, George Friedman wrote:



In thinking about the outer limit of the number of people we can train,

I put that number at 10-12. Beyond that and we can't do it. Ideally it

would be less but frankly we don't have the option of an ideal. I

expect of the 18 we were to invite, we would wind up with 10-12. But if

we wound up with 18 that would do more harm than good.



Let me propose this. Let's prioritize again from the list for areas and

quality and go down that list until 12 asking for very rapid

commitments. If all accept, that's it. If we need to go deeper we do.

If Leticia has already sent out invites, then that's that and we'll see

what happens. If she hasn't let's do a priority list.



We can always withdraw offers if we need to. It happens, and we can ask

them for Spring.



I'm open to other ideas. Remember, we must get out of the danger zone

and even having ADPs still leaves us months away from committed analysts

and even having committed analysts leaves us at least a year from people

who can carry the load, and possibly 2 years. So as much as I hate the

surge, I don't see a way around it.

--



George Friedman



Founder and CEO



STRATFOR



221 West 6th Street



Suite 400



Austin, Texas 78701







Phone: 512-744-4319



Fax: 512-744-4334













