Despite being the handpicked successor to President Obama, the first black president who retains strong approval numbers among African-American and young people, Democrat Hillary Clinton is having trouble attracting the same kind of numbers that Obama pulled with minority voters and millennials.

Clinton, with barely five weeks left in the election, has still not locked down her own base, frantically working black voters and young millennials to get them to come home.

“Donald Trump is going to surprise people with the Hispanic and black voters, especially Venezuelans and the Haitian community.”

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The struggle shows how the Democrats could be more fractured than the Republicans, despite the media hype over GOP disunity and the high-profile GOP holdouts.

The problem is especially sharp in Florida, a state that Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump likely must win to enter the White House. On Wednesday, Politico reported some Florida Democrats think the Clinton campaign has shifted into high gear in its quest to shore up the Democratic base in the Sunshine State.

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Yet some Democrats have another term for it.

[lz_jwplayer video=HG8PgmFz]

“Hillary Clinton’s campaign is in panic mode. Full panic mode,” Leslie Wimes told Politico. Wimes is a South Florida-based president of the Democratic African-American Women Caucus.

Clinton and her surrogates are thus crisscrossing Florida to work up black voters and millennials. President Obama will visit here twice. Former President Bill Clinton will also work hard here.

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At stake are 29 electoral votes. For Trump, the Electoral College math doesn’t add up if he loses Florida. Democrats are crowing about this, and even using it in fundraising appeals.

In 2012, Mitt Romney knew the math too, and he targeted Florida. Romney made frequent trips to Central Florida, which is rich with swing voters. In the end, Romney lost Florida by a mere 75,000 votes — out of 8.47 million ballots cast.

Today, Hillary Clinton’s problems in Florida with minority voters must come as a surprise to her. The Clintons have a long history with Florida’s political leaders.

The Clintons see the growing state as crucial to the Democrats. But her campaign has struggled to run up a lead in the state. Part of the reason is that once Democrats leave highly populated South Florida — Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach Counties — the state gets more Republican. Even the transplants from the Northeast lean conservative in other parts of Florida. But the state is also diverse in population.

It’s why the state has so vexed both parties’ strategists.

In 2000, in one of the most competitive fights for any state in U.S. history, then-Texas Gov. George W. Bush won the state by a mere 537 votes, after a dramatic and testy recount that gripped the nation.

[lz_table title=”Past Florida elections” source=”The American Presidency Project at UCSB”]

|1996

Bob Dole (R), 2.2M

Bill Clinton (D), 2.5M

Ross Perot (Ref.), 483000

|2000

George W. Bush (R), 2.9M

Al Gore (D), 2.9M

|2004

George W. Bush (R), 3.96M

John Kerry (D), 3.58M

|2008

John McCain (R), 4.0M

Barack Obama (D), 4.3M

|2012

Mitt Romney (R), 4.16M

Barack Obama (D), 4.24M

[/lz_table]

The Democrats tried to target the state again in 2004, to no avail. By then, hundreds of thousands of new GOP-leaning voters had arrived in Florida, and President George W. Bush won the state by almost 400,000 votes.

Then came 2008. The housing crisis gave then-Sen. Barack Obama an easy win, by 236,000 votes. But in 2012, Romney took note of the weak recovery and the growing conservative population in Florida. Romney almost caught President Obama, losing by just 75,000 votes

This time, the Florida Republicans are ready for another fight. They say the numbers again are on their side. They are also targeting Florida minority voters.

“The momentum is clearly on the side of the Trump campaign,” said Blaise Ingoglia, Florida state Republican chairman. Ingoglia said the Florida Republican primary saw 150,000 new voters who hadn’t voted in the last two elections.

If those people vote, it will provide Trump twice the margin that Romney lost by, Ingoglia said.

Meanwhile, the Republican Party of Florida is also working to nullify any gains Hillary Clinton is trying to make with Florida’s diverse minority voters — including voters from all over Latin America.

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“Donald Trump is going to surprise people with the Hispanic and black voters, especially Venezuelans and the Haitian community,” said Ingoglia.

Millennials are another issue. Millennials are young voters between the ages of 18 and 35, those born after 1980, according to the Pew Research Center.

While young people do not vote as much as older voters, the share of millennials taken by Obama has been significant. Pew has said 2016 could be the last election decided by baby boomers, those born from 1946 to 1964.

The problem for Clinton is that many millennials preferred socialist Sen. Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary. The number of independents lost to third parties this year has not been seen since 1992, when billionaire Ross Perot sliced into the GOP, according to The New York Times.

The Times reported on Wednesday that more than a third of voters 18 to 29 said that they would vote for either Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate, or Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll.

Clinton and her surrogates are now also scheduled to visit college campuses in swing states. Between Florida’s minority voters and millennials, Clinton’s task to win is getting harder, her room for errors getting smaller.