You can see it in Telvin Smith’s endless smile.

Sunday is going to be a good day for the Jaguars (3-1) in Arrowhead Stadium.

“I love our matchups,” Smith said during his press conference on Wednesday.

I agree with him.

The Jaguars defense ranks first in the NFL in scoring defense, total defense and passing defense. The Chiefs (4-0) rank first in the NFL in scoring offense at 36.3 points per game.

An even battle, right?

I’m not so sure.

Kansas City second-year quarterback Patrick Mahomes is a dazzling talent. He’s thrown an NFL-best 14 touchdown passes without an interception.

The Chiefs also have a brilliant supporting cast, led by tight end Travis Kelce, running back Kareem Hunt and receiver Tyreek Hill. Kansas City’s offensive line is good.

I’m expecting the Chiefs to come right after the Jaguars. That plays to Sacksonville’s advantage.

The offenses that tend to fair best against this elite unit are guided by savvy, veteran quarterbacks who take what’s there, get the ball out fast and don’t regularly test the secondary.

That’s a big reason why the Jaguars rank 25th in takeaways and 12th in sacks. The four primary quarterbacks the Jaguars have faced: Eli Manning, Tom Brady, Marcus Mariota and Jets rookie Sam Darnold didn’t take many chances and didn’t hold the ball. Darnold did give the Jaguars three excellent chances at interceptions but the picks were dropped or negated by penalty.

That’s not how Mahomes operates and it could be his downfall on Sunday.

Kansas City has defeated the Chargers, Steelers, 49ers and Broncos. I would argue that those four teams have a combined six elite defenders: Chargers – end Melvin Ingram and cornerback Casey Hayward; Steelers – tackle Cameron Heyward; 49ers – cornerback Richard Sherman; Broncos: linebacker Von Miller and cornerback Chris Harris. I’m not counting rookies like Los Angeles safety Derwin James or Denver defensive end Bradley Chubb. Remember, the Chargers played without star end Joey Bosa against Kansas City and San Francisco tackle DeForest Buckner has yet to make a Pro Bowl. Sherman might even be a reach at this point of his career.

Now, look at what the Jaguars will throw at Mahomes.

Four Pro-Bowl defensive linemen: end Calais Campbell, tackle Malik Jackson, tackle Marcell Dareus and end Yannick Ngakoue.

A Pro-Bowl linebacker in Smith.

Three Pro-Bowl defensive backs in cornerback Jalen Ramsey, cornerback A.J. Bouye and free safety Tashaun Gipson.

The defense has playmakers in linebacker Myles Jack and end Dante Fowler, as well as reliable veterans in strong safety Barry Church and tackle Abry Jones. The Jaguars defense also has two rookies playing in first-round end Taven Bryan and third-round safety Ronnie Harrison.

Jaguars coach Doug Marrone and defensive coordinator Todd Wash should allow Ramsey and Bouye to play physical press coverage and consistently send an extra rusher at Mahomes. Smith and Jack are well suited to track Mahomes down, as is Harrison.

Kansas City won’t be able to consistently block the Jaguars.

I can’t say for certain how Jacksonville’s inconsistent offense will play against a statistically-poor Chiefs defense. However, I’ll be shocked if the Chiefs continue their prolific run on offense.

Mahomes hasn’t seen a defense like this. Not many quarterbacks in NFL history have.

Expect the Jaguars to snap out of their turnover drought against the Chiefs in a big way and earn a statement victory.

Expect a big smile from Smith and company after the game.

(You can email Hays at haysc@1010xl.com and follow Hays on Twitter @HaysCarlyon)