Clegg’s YouGov ratings were substantially better than Corbyn’s now getting just before the election that saw his party almost wiped out

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Corbynistas in denial about his dire ratings – historically best pointer to GE outcomes. Chart via @liamjlhill pic.twitter.com/w4rR3LGPyw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 27, 2015

One of the polling elements that I’ve been highlighting in recent weeks is how leader ratings have proved to be a better pointer to electoral outcomes than voting intention polling.

The above charts seek to put into context Corbyn’s latest ratings. Clearly there’s four and a half years still to go and things can happen but I can find no example of a leader doing so badly on this scale who went on to turn things round. It is hard to see anything other than another CON majority.

Mike Smithson

Follow @MSmithsonPB



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