February 6th, 2016 (Toronto, ON) – A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll find if an election were held today in Alberta it would be a tight three way race – with the NDP in third. The Mainstreet/Postmedia Poll has a margin of error of +/- 1.76%, 19 times out of 20.

“Quite frankly Premier Notley walked into a fiscal disaster” said Quito Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. “The big story here is the return of Alberta’s PC party. There’s nothing they’ve particularly done in the last few months that stands out – this is movement based on disappointment with the NDP government. Even though the Premier doesn’t set the price of oil, she’s the one in power. She just happens to be in the right place at the wrong time.”

Among decided voters it would be a tight race with all parties within 5%. The Wildrose would lead with 33%, the PCs would follow at 31% and the NDP would stand at 27%.

Meanwhile Notley’s approval rating continues to fall to a new low of 36%. She is universally beloved by NDP supporters however. 98% of NDP voters approve of her performance.

“Those who like her, love her,” continued Maggi. “Meanwhile, most Albertans are happy with the results of the Royalty Review, 60% say they approve of the outcome. NDP supporters are the most supportive so this has gone over well with the NDP base.”

”We also found strong support for job incentive programs. 56% say they approve and only 25% are opposed,” he finished.

About Mainstreet Research

Mainstreet is a national public research ﬁrm. With 20 years of political experience at all three levels of government, President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian public aﬀairs.

Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, a majority Liberal government in British Columbia and a majority Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has been the most accurate polling firm in several by elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral election. Most recently, Mainstreet was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election.

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Mainstreet Alberta Feb 2016 B