After looking at the Super Bowl and NFC pictures the past two Mondays, we’ll focus today on the AFC. How big a long shot are the Jets? We’ll also devote Mondays to football through August as we gear up for “Big Money Monday” broadcasts on VSiN when the regular season begins.

It’s no surprise the Patriots are at the top of the table. But, William Hill sports books are giving respect to a few other contenders. Here are money line returns and with win-percentage equivalents for the AFC’s top contenders:

Team: Odds (Percent chance)

Patriots: +300 (25)

Steelers: +500 (17)

Jaguars: +600 (14)

Raiders: +600 (14)

Chargers: +600 (14)

Texans: +650 (13)

Just six teams in and we’re almost to 100 percent already. As we always mention with futures prices, sports books create a universe larger than 100 percent to represent the house edge. Respect given to teams just below the Patriots and Steelers on that list inflate the house edge while offering returns well below “true” odds.

Now let’s look at the dark horses and long shots (right).

Team: Odds (Percent chance)

Chiefs: +1200 (8)

Titans: +1400 (7)

Broncos: +1800 (5)

Ravens: +2200 (4)

Jets: +3500 (3)

Colts: +3500 (3)

Browns: +3500 (3)

Dolphins: +4000 (2)

Bills: +4000 (2)

Bengals: +5000 (2)

If you scour odds from Nevada and offshore, you’ll notice there’s some disagreement about who will be the worst team in the AFC. William Hill is an outlier in thinking the Bengals should be at the bottom of the table. The Jets and Browns are more common choices.

Even the most avid Jets fan is thinking that zero percent to win the AFC and reach the Super Bowl is more likely than 3 percent. What’s the best way for enthusiasts anticipating another season of improvement to bet? Over six wins on the regular-season win total prop might be too steep because it takes seven victories to cash the ticket.

Simply betting the Jets against weekly point spreads would be the way to go. The market isn’t likely to give the team much respect. That was true last season, when the Jets went 9-6-1 against the spread, a 60 percent success rate if you throw out the push. The Jets were 6-2-1 ATS out of the gate before the market finally took notice.