SUMMARY OF FINDINGS

• Justin Trudeau and the Liberals find themselves in majority territory with just under 40% support among decided and leaning voters. The Conservatives find themselves with 32.4% support, while the NDP has 10.9%. The Greens with interim leader Jo-Ann Roberts at the helm have 5.4%. The Bloc Quebecois has 6.6% nationally, but enjoy 28.4% in Quebec.

• That said, the country remains divided regionally. The Liberals have double-digit leads in Ontario, Quebec, and the Atlantic provinces, while the Conservatives enjoy a massive advantage over the Liberals in BC, Alberta, and the Prairies.

• A gender divide persists in federal voting intentions. The Conservatives lead by 2% among men, while the Liberals lead by 16% among women.

• The Liberals jump in support since the election can likely be attributed to how Canadians perceive how Justin Trudeau has handled the issue of the downing of Flight 752. A total of 57% of respondents said that they at least somewhat approve of how the Prime Minister has handled the issue.

• Approval of how Trudeau has handled the issue is net positive across the ages and genders, and most of the regions. Alberta is the only region where more people disapprove of how Trudeau has handled the issue.

• A majority of people (50%) think that the Iranian government is more to blame for the downing of Flight 752. This is consistent across age, gender, and region.

• However, we see big differences in terms of party identification on this question. Conservative supporters overwhelmingly believe that the Iranian government was responsible for the downing of Flight 752.

• The poll also asked Canadians about different ballot scenarios with Marilyn Gladu, Peter McKay, and Pierre Poilievre as leader of the Conservative Party of Canada. MacKay (31.7%) significantly outperforms both Poilievre (26.9%) and Gladu (24.1%) in voter intention.

Mainstreet Canada 20january2020 by Mainstreet on Scribd