The United States is the favorite to win the upcoming Women's World Cup with a 28% chance, just edging out Germany (27%) according to Nate Silver's World Cup prediction model published in ESPN the Magazine.

The U.S., who last won the World Cup in 1999, and Germany, the 2003 and 2007 champions, are the only two teams being given more than a 1-in-10 chance to win it all. Japan, the defending World Cup champions are next at 9%.

Silver's model also give the U.S. a 96% chance to get out of the group stage and a 41% chance to reach the final.

In all, only seven of the 24 teams have a legit shot to win the tournament (>5%) and only ten countries are given more than a 1% chance to lift the cup at the end.