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“Justin Trudeau continues to solidify his position at the top of the pops, and his influence is being felt in the generic poll, as well,” said Lorne Bozinoff, founder and president of Forum Research. “We stopped polling the Liberal leadership months ago, as it’s all over bar the shouting; Trudeau and his team are organizing (and recruiting) for the general election now. Don’t expect to see them let up after April 14.”

The swing to Trudeau comes with a similar swing away from NDP leader Thomas Mulcair. His approval rating dropped from 38% to 35%, about comparable to Liberal interim leader Bob Rae. Stephen Harper has a similar approval rating at 34%, however, his disapproval rating is much higher.

Forum estimates that under the generic scenario the Conservatives would take 125 of the 208 seats, with the Liberals taking 88 seats and the NDP getting 76 seats. The Bloc would win 18 seats and the Greens would keep just Elizabeth May’s seat.

Under the Trudeau scenario, the Liberals would still only get a minority, despite having a comparable number to votes to the currently ruling Conservatives in the 2011 election. There the Forum poll projects the Liberals would get 149 seats with the Tories netting 115 seats and the NDP just 41.

The poll found that the Liberals were supported most by older voters while the NDP was favored by the young. The Conservatives had their strongest support amid middle-aged voters. Conservative support is strongest in Alberta, the prairies and Ontario. Under the Trudeau scienario the Liberal numbers improve in most demographic groups, and the party becomes dominant over older voters.

The poll was conducted on March 6 and 7 among a randomly selected sample of 1755 Canadians 18 years of age and older. The poll was conducted by Interactive Voice Response (IVR) and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2%, 19 out of 20 times, according to Forum.