Another exciting ski jumping season is already a history so it is the time for all kinds of summaries. For the nearest weeks, our portal will concentrate on statistics concerning the last season. We’d like to start with well-known Ranking of Luck.

A quick reminder: Ranking of Luck is strictly linked to wind points deduction participants receive. The average number of points added or substracted has been computed for every round of the competition (individual and team competition of World Cup and World Championships). Then, the difference between a point compensation and the average has been computed for a given round. If the point compensation was higher than the average (which means better conditions), a participant was given negative points. Analogically, if the point compensation was lower (worse conditions), positive points were granted.

Suddenly, it turned out that the greatest luck to conditions had… Casey Larson. Individually, this 18-year-old American performed only in Trondheim and Lahti’s Men Large Hill Competition, but he was a member of team USA in a few team competitions. Surprisingly, after 7 jumps given, Larson had better conditions than an average of a round in 6 cases. The bulk of points received by American was in the team competition in Vikersund, when Larson had excellent conditions during his jump. By the way, Larson did in these conditions really well as he set his new personal best on 216.5 m.

The second place went to Lukas Hlava, who regularly had better conditions during the first part of the season. Czech was the most fortunate during the first competition in Lillehammer and in Innsbruck. Throughout his feeble season, those were the best competitions for him.

The third most lucky of the season was Stephan Leyhe but, in his case, the result does not mix with his accomplishments. In the most important moment of the season, which was the World Ski Championships in Lahti, poor conditions during Leyhe’s jump took away a medal for the whole team. Besides this instance, the Germans were feeling lucky in the course of the season, including the competition in Pyongchang where advantageous conditions let Leyhe take the highest position in the season, 5th place.

“Lucky men” ranking of the 2016/2017 season:

No. Jumper Nation Pts 1 LARSON Casey -29.6 2 HLAVA Lukas -29.2 3 LEYHE Stephan -27.1 4 STJERNEN Andreas -26.7 5 KASAI Noriaki -23.5 6 KORNILOV Denis -23 7 SAKUYAMA Kento -21.8 8 JANDA Jakub -19.3 8 GRANERUD Halvor Egner -19.3 10 BAZHENOV Aleksandr -19.2 11 EISENBICHLER Markus -16.6 11 DELLASEGA Roberto -16.6 13 KRAFT Stefan -16.2 14 SEMENIC Anze -15.9 14 JOHANSSON Robert -15.9 16 KOUDELKA Roman -14.8 17 ITO Daiki -13 18 NOUSIAINEN Eetu -11.4 19 TOLLiNGER Elias -11.3 20 ZOGRAFSKI Vladimir -11.1 21 HAYBOECK Michael -10.8 22 KLIMOV Evgeniy -10.6 22 PASCHKE Pius -10.6 24 TROFIMOV Roman Sergeevich -10.2 25 PAVLOVCIC Bor -9.3 26 INSAM Alex -8.3 27 KOT Maciej -7.8 28 VASSILIEV Dimitry -7.4 29 STURSA Vojtech -6.5 30 NAZAROV Mikhail -6.4 31 SCHIFFNER Markus -6.1 32 BOYD-CLOWES Mackenzie -5.8 32 TKACHENKO Sergey -5.8 34 IWASA Yuken -5.7 35 DESCHWANDEN Gregor -4.6 36 SATO Yukiya -4.5 37 AALTO Antti -4.3 38 AIGNER Clemens -4.1 39 TANDE Daniel Andre -4 39 ALTENBURGER Florian -4 41 SCHULER Andreas -3.8 42 MURANKA Klemens -3.6 42 HUBER Daniel -3.6 44 POLASEK Viktor -3.4 45 HUBER Stefan -3 45 OSTERC Aljaz -3 47 BARTOL Tilen -2.9 47 WELLINGER Andreas -2.9 49 SIEGEL David -2.8 50 ROMASHOV Alexey -2.7 51 SCHLIERENZAUER Gregor -2.6 52 BRASME Paul -2.2 53 AHONEN Janne -1.8 54 NOMME Martti -1.5 54 NOGIN Roman -1.5 56 KOBAYASHI Ryoyu -1.3 57 ITO Masamitsu -1.2 58 KARPENKO Nikolay -0.7 58 HVALA Jaka -0.7 60 DEZMAN Nejc -0.6 60 SCHMID Constantin -0.6 62 LARINTO Ville -0.4 63 FREUND Severin -0.3

Anze Lanisek turned out to be the most most unlucky person of the season. Slovenian, despite that one case in Korea when he was 4th, was unlucky throughout the season. The biggest bad luck happened to him during the team competition in Vikersund when he had terrible conditions in the first round. Additionally, he didn’t have luck during the skiflying event in Oberstdorf and competitions in Japan.

The second place was taken by Manuel Fettner who was the most unlucky out of top 10 competitors. The long list of unfortunate competition includes: the second competition in Lillehammer, Innsbruck, Bischofshofen, both competitions in Wisla or the second competition in Sapporo. Perhaps, if it wasn’t for the bad conditions, Fettner would have been able to collect more points in the best season of his career.

Tomas Vancura was classified on the lowest step of the podium. The 20-year-old was the most unlucky during the first ski flying event in Oberstdorf – negative rate of wind factor from two jumps combined stood for more than half of his score. The team event wasn’t the best either for Tomas.

“Unlucky men” ranking of the 2016/2017 season:

No. Jumper Nation Pts 1 LANISEK Anze 57.1 2 FETTNER Manuel 49 3 VANCURA Tomas 42.9 4 TEPES Jurij 36.7 5 PREVC Cene 32.4 6 DAMJAN Jernej 27.5 7 NURMSALU Kaarel 20 8 BICKNER Kevin 17.6 9 GLASDER Michael 17 10 STOCH Kamil 16.7 11 ZHAPAROV Marat 16.6 12 RHOADS William 16.3 13 GEIGER Karl 14.3 14 MATURA Jan 13.5 15 DESCOMBES SEVOIE Vincent 12.7 16 PEIER Killian 12.6 17 TAKEUCHI Taku 12.4 18 WANK Andreas 12 19 AUNE Joakim 11.8 20 ZIOBRO Jan 10.9 21 ASCHENWALD Phillip 10.7 22 KOFLER Andreas 10.5 23 FREITAG Richard 9.7 24 PREVC Peter 9.5 25 MAEAETTAE Jarkko 7.9 26 KARLEN Gabriel 7.8 27 COLLOREDO Sebastian 7.3 28 HULA Stefan 7.1 29 FORFANG Johann Andre 7 30 ZYLA Piotr 6.6 31 AMMANN Simon 6.5 32 CHOI Seou 6.3 33 NAKAMURA Naoki 4.8 34 ASIKAINEN Lauri 3.9 35 BRESADOLA Davide 3.5 36 ZNISZCZOL Aleksander 3.1 37 KOBAYASHI Junshiro 2.8 38 HAZETDINOV Ilmir 2 39 KUBACKI Dawid 1.7 40 HILDE Tom 1.1 41 HAUER Joachim 0.9 42 KIM Hyun-Ki 0.7 42 LAMY CHAPPUIS Ronan 0.7 44 FANNEMEL Anders 0.6 45 PREVC Domen 0.5 46 WOLNY Jakub 0.4 47 SOKOLENKO Konstantin 0.1 47 MUMINOV Sabirzhan 0.1 47 KOROLEV Alexey 0.1 47 KRATOV Ilya 0.1 47 BJOERENG Joacim Oedegaard 0.1 47 HOFER Thomas 0.1

When it comes to nations, Russians were the luckiest while Slovenians and Poles were the least fortunate. It has to be stated that 35.1 points is not that much concerning the fact that 6 Polish jumpers were regularly participating in competitions. By contrast, Slovenians might have missed their countryman as the one who turns on the green light. However, we can’t accuse Borek Sedlak of being mean – Czech was great in his new role this season.

Nations ranking of Luck of the 2016/2017 season:

No. Jumper Nation Pts 1 Russia -77.5 2 Japan -51 3 Norwey -44.4 4 Germany -24.9 5 Czech Republic -16.8 6 Italy -14.1 7 Bulgaria -11.1 8 Finland -6.1 9 Canada -5.8 10 Korea 7 11 Austria 8.6 12 Kazakhstan 9 13 France 11.2 14 Switzerland 18.5 14 Estonia 18.5 16 United States 21.3 17 Poland 35.1 18 Slovenia 131.3

The day after tomorrow we will handle the conversion rate for wind more precisely, but tomorrow the second part of the summary is coming in which we will take into consideration how the HS bareer was broken in particular competitions.

Author: Radosław Sarnik

Source: own information + FIS