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Alonzo Adams/Associated Press

Everybody loves an underdog story, and we'll do our best to find some among the eight pairings that compose the first round of the 2017 NBA playoffs.

None of these possible surprises—not even the ones that rank toward the top of the "upset potential" scale—are likely. After 82 games, these teams are where they're supposed to be.

If you're first, you deserve to be there. Same deal if you're eighth.

There are some exceptions in which teams are playing significantly better or worse than their seeding suggests, but those discrepancies tend to overrate the low seeds. The Memphis Grizzlies, for example, have been much worse than seventh in the West for several weeks.

But anything's possible in the NBA playoffs.

Ranked from least to most probable, here's how we see the chances of a first-round stunner.