Well, it's almost certainly not Fine Gael, who they've had in power for 9 years now. It could be Fianna Fail, albeit that is a change back to a party they know all too well, and who are still not totally forgiven for the economic crash of a decade ago. Then there is Sinn Fein, who are indeed change, but probably too much of a change for the average, conservative Irish voter to give the reins to on their own.