Primadog Profile Blog Joined April 2010 United States 4408 Posts Last Edited: 2011-04-18 12:10:04 #1 Fantasy NASL A fantasy league based on the North American StarLeague playable at





Introduction

A fantasy league is a game where participants act as owners to build a team that competes against other fantasy owners based on the statistics generated by the real individual players or teams of a professional sport. This guide provides detailed statistics and analysis to maximize your chances for winning season 1 of fantasy NASL.





More information

Official Fantasy NASL teamliquid thread

Fantasy NASL rules

NASL format

NASL results & standings

NASL player spreadsheet by Bobster

Detailed work sheet







Salary cap analysis

The entire NASL league is valued at 8350 , but each fantasy team is restricted to a salary cap of 1500 . There are 51 players (including 1 open winner) in the league distributed into 5 divisions. Players available for draft are:

+ Show Spoiler + 500 : 1 player



: 1 player 400 : 1 player



: 1 player 350 : 1 player



: 1 player 300 : 2 player



: 2 player 250 : 9 player



: 9 player 200 : 8 player



: 8 player 150 : 9 player



: 9 player 100 : 6 player



: 6 player 50 : 14 player (including 1 open winner)

3 points are awarded for each division match win and 5 for every grand final match win, while 1 point is deducted for every lost. No points are awarded or deducted for playoff matches. Additionally, 12 points are awarded for top two seed in each division. Total points awarded league-wide for division play will be between 1020 and 1470 points, with additional 148 to 232 points for the grand final bracket, for a grand total of 1168 to 1702 points possible league-wide.



The expected value of a 1500 team is between 211 and 308 points. For example, a team that drafted nine 150 , one 100 , and one 50 player with 50% overall winrate and two players advancing to ro8 of the grand finals will score approximately 216 to 326 points. For an average team, each point is valued at between A fantasy league based on the North American StarLeague playable at http://fantasystarcraft.net/ A fantasy league is a game where participants act as owners to build a team that competes against other fantasy owners based on the statistics generated by the real individual players or teams of a professional sport. This guide provides detailed statistics and analysis to maximize your chances for winning season 1 of fantasy NASL.The entire NASL league is valued at 8350, but each fantasy team is restricted to a salary cap of 1500. There are 51 players (including 1 open winner) in the league distributed into 5 divisions. Players available for draft are:3 points are awarded for each division match win and 5 for every grand final match win, while 1 point is deducted for every lost. No points are awarded or deducted for playoff matches. Additionally, 12 points are awarded for top two seed in each division. Total points awarded league-wide for division play will be between 1020 and 1470 points, with additional 148 to 232 points for the grand final bracket, for a grand total of 1168 to 1702 points possible league-wide.The expected value of a 1500team is between 211 and 308 points. For example, a team that drafted nine 150, one 100, and one 50player with 50% overall winrate and two players advancing to ro8 of the grand finals will score approximately 216 to 326 points. For an average team, each point is valued at between 4.9 and and 7.1 .





Points system analysis

The The points distribution chart provide detail cost comparison for the players in various scenarios. Yellow cells indicate a player overperform his salary, gray cells perform roughly as expected, while red cells indicate the player underperform his valuation. It is important to note that a particularly low performing player can actually deduct points from the team total. A play that sweeps the tournament can score up to 111 points, a player that lost all sets will be deducted -18 .

Division Play

+ Show Spoiler + 9 wins: 49.5 (45 ~ 54) points



8 wins: 43.5 (38 ~ 49) points



7 wins: 37.5 (31 ~ 44) points



6 wins: 31.5 (24 ~ 39) points



5 wins: 25.5 (17 ~ 34) points



4 wins: 19.5 (10 ~ 29) points



3 wins: 13.5 (3 ~ 24) points



2 wins: 7.5 ( -4 ~ 19) points



~ 19) points 1 win: 1.5 ( -11 ~ 14) points



~ 14) points 0 win: -4.5 ( -18 ~ 9) points

Additional 12 points are awarded for top two seed in division play. Additional 12 points are awarded for top two seed in division play.

Grand Final

+ Show Spoiler +

1st: 51.5 (48 ~ 55) points



2nd: 36.5 (27 ~ 46) points



3rd: 35 (28 ~ 42) points



4th: 23 (12 ~ 34) points



ro8: 10 (7 ~ 10) points



ro16: 0.5 ( -2 ~ 3) points Consolatory match are played to determine 3rd/4th placement.

The minimum division wins needed to to justify player salary:

50 : 2 wins



: 2 wins 100 : 4 wins



: 4 wins 150 : 5 wins



: 5 wins 200 : 6 wins (or 5 wins + top 2 seed)



: 6 wins (or 5 wins + top 2 seed) 250 : 7 wins (or 5 wins + top 2 seed)



: 7 wins (or 5 wins + top 2 seed) 300 : 6 wins + top 2 seed



: 6 wins + top 2 seed 350 : 7 wins + top 2 seed



: 7 wins + top 2 seed 400 : 9 win + top 2 seed (automatic)



: 9 win + top 2 seed (automatic) 500 : round of 8 in Grand Finals



Division comparisons

No division are particularly imbalanced in race distribution. Additionally, each division has exactly two Koreans, one 'underdog', and one 'fan favorite.' All divisions are valued roughly equally, except for Division 3, which has a total salary of 1250 compared to the average 1700 of other divisions.





Expert advice

The lower salary players are overall better value with significant upside potential. However, care should be taken to avoid any player that may end up winless.



Division 3 are particularly undervalued, load up on the cheap points available in that division. A complete draft of division 3 will provide at least 200 to 255 points with 250 left in the salary cap.



left in the salary cap. Keep in mind that division play tend to produce more 5-5 players than 0 or 10 wins.



Pick many dark horses, one luckly pick can net up to 111 points. This fantasy system inherently favors quantity over quality.



Expert picks

Sheth - Best 50 contender in division A with very high TLPD.I value; strong against .



- Best 50 contender in division A with very high TLPD.I value; strong against . KiWiKaKi - Best 150 contender in division A; Very high TLPD.I value and in very good form; recently placed 2nd MLG Dallas and likely top seed for this division.



- Best 150 contender in division A; Very high TLPD.I value and in very good form; recently placed 2nd MLG Dallas and likely top seed for this division. qxc - 150 in division B; Perform well in recent tournaments using constant aggression; ability to play from behind implies high win rate. Very high TLPD.I value with consistent participation in online and offline tournaments; likely to qualify into Grand Finales through the playoffs.



- 150 in division B; Perform well in recent tournaments using constant aggression; ability to play from behind implies high win rate. Very high TLPD.I value with consistent participation in online and offline tournaments; likely to qualify into Grand Finales through the playoffs. All of division C are high value targets and likely to overperform.



HasuObs - highest TLPD.I ranking for 50 . Likely darkhouse for division D.



- highest TLPD.I ranking for 50 . Likely darkhouse for division D. BRAT_OK - 200 in division D; highest overall TLPD.I and consistent high tournament finishes.



- 200 in division D; highest overall TLPD.I and consistent high tournament finishes. Open Bracket Winner - Good for completing the salary cap; near guranteed points with zero downside.



The minimum division wins needed to to justify player salary:No division are particularly imbalanced in race distribution. Additionally, each division has exactly two Koreans, one 'underdog', and one 'fan favorite.' All divisions are valued roughly equally, except for Division 3, which has a total salary of 1250compared to the average 1700of other divisions. Thank God and gunrun.

Primadog Profile Blog Joined April 2010 United States 4408 Posts Last Edited: 2011-04-04 20:25:33 #3 FAQ



Should I draft MC?

There is no doubt that MC is the favorite to sweep the tournament and the most likely to achieve a full 111 points. If he did not drop a single game, his points are valued at There is no doubt that MC is the favorite to sweep the tournament and the most likely to achieve a full 111 points. If he did not drop a single game, his points are valued at 4.5 per, a comparably bargain. However, the downside is quite high if MC falls even slightly short of perfect. Comparable value can be achieved with an 8 win ro8 finish for a 300 player, with much lower downside. Furthermore, betting a third of your salary cap on MC means your team's performance rise and falls with MC, a comparatively risky move with low multipler.



Should I just fill up with 50 and 100 players

A high yield bet, but chances are a few of lowest value players will end up at the bottom of the bracket. Not only will they underperform, they can quiet possibly end up deducting points from your team total.



Wouldn't drafting an completely unknown open winner be risky and losing out on the division points?

The worst possible standing the open winner can do is per, a comparably bargain. However, the downside is quite high if MC falls even slightly short of perfect. Comparable value can be achieved with an 8 win ro8 finish for a 300player, with much lower downside. Furthermore, betting a third of your salary cap on MC means your team's performance rise and falls with MC, a comparatively risky move with low multipler.A high yield bet, but chances are a few of lowest value players will end up at the bottom of the bracket. Not only will they underperform, they can quiet possibly end up deducting points from your team total.The worst possible standing the open winner can do is -2 , while a division player can possibly end up with , while a division player can possibly end up with -18 points. Therefore relatively speaking open winner is a safer bet, and almost guaranteed to be better than fallowing 50 . Here are the cost pf points earned by an open winner in the grand finals:

1st: 1.0



2nd: 1.4



3rd: 1.4



4th: 2.2



ro8: 6.0



ro16: 0



Disclaimer: I have no affliation with www.fantasystarcraft.net . points. Therefore relatively speaking open winner is a safer bet, and almost guaranteed to be better than fallowing 50. Here are thecost pf points earned by an open winner in the grand finals: Thank God and gunrun.

kaisr Profile Joined October 2007 Canada 697 Posts #4 i think the cost for players need major editing... whoever made it has a very large NA bias and seems to know next to nothing about europeans: Mana, socke, cloud, naniwa, hasu, strelok are all way too cheap and incontrol, grubby, fenix seem overpriced

MrCon Profile Blog Joined August 2010 France 23163 Posts #5 naniwa and kiwikaki are quite a bargain. I guess everyone will buy them.

vdale Profile Joined June 2010 Germany 1173 Posts #6 Really weird prices

floor exercise Profile Blog Joined August 2008 Canada 5629 Posts #7 I wish this guy was an oddsmaker

Primadog Profile Blog Joined April 2010 United States 4408 Posts #8 Disclaimer: I am not affiliated with www.fantasystarcraft.net , just a fan that is really into statistics. Thank God and gunrun.

Mikilatov Profile Blog Joined May 2008 United States 3897 Posts #9 This would be awesome if the player values weren't COMPLETELY out of whack.



I also am not really fond of being able to get (or so it seems) as many players as you want. ♥ I used to lasso the shit out of your tournaments =( ♥ | Much is my hero. | zizi yO~ | Be Nice, TL.

QuixoticO Profile Blog Joined March 2010 Netherlands 751 Posts #10



+ Show Spoiler +

500 - MC

400 - July

350 - Nada

300 - White-Ra

300 - IdrA

250 - Ace

250 - Sen

250 - Rainbow

250 - Ret

250 - Boxer

250 - Morrow

250 - Moon

250 - Zenio

250 - SjoW

200 - Tyler

200 - Ensnare

200 - mOOnglade

200 - TT1

200 - Fenix

200 - TLO

200 - Brat_Ok

200 - Squirtle

150 - QXC

150 - Haypro

150 - SeleCT

150 - Grubby

150 - KiWiKaKi

150 - Cruncher

150 - Drewbie

150 - Goody

150 - iNcontroL

100 - Naniwa

100 - Machine

100 - Socke

100 - PainUser

100 - ClouD

100 - Stalife

50 - CatZ

50 - KawaiiRice

50 - Slush

50 - HasuObs

50 - Mana

50 - Strelok

50 - MoMan

50 - Sheth

50 - Open Tournament Winner

50 - Artosis

50 - Axslav

50 - ViBe

50 - DarkForce

Like many said before me the prices are really interesting for some players to not get them :'d. I'll pay 50 for Artosis or all the cheap Europeans. For th people that are interested in the prices. "Suum Cuique" - Cicero

udgnim Profile Blog Joined April 2009 United States 7482 Posts #11 thanks for the guide it helped a lot E-Sports is competitive video gaming with a spectator fan base. Do not take the word "Sports" literally.

wattra Profile Joined July 2010 Canada 37 Posts #12 Wow this guide is well done, excellent work!

MechP Profile Joined April 2010 United Kingdom 3 Posts #13 Nice guide, I changed my team a little because of this. Whut?

Disciple7 Profile Joined August 2010 United States 194 Posts Last Edited: 2011-04-06 21:18:28 #14 Edit: Misunderstood rules about open tournament winner. A fanatic is one who can't change his mind and won't change the subject. -Winston Churchill

Nautis Profile Joined March 2011 United States 11 Posts #15 thanks for the guide :D http://tiny.cc/to84d

LwReisen Profile Joined March 2011 Australia 94 Posts #16 Nice guide. Helped me decide my team. MORDEKAIZER ES #1

FalcoMcGary Profile Joined February 2011 Canada 12 Posts #17



We have posted a link to it on our site This is a sweet guide!We have posted a link to it on our site FalcoMcGary - FantasyStarcraft.net

MangoTango Profile Blog Joined June 2010 United States 3670 Posts #18 I have never been able to figure out how to play fantasy, as is reflected in my abysmal SCBW TL FPL scores. Good luck with your fantasy league though. "One fish, two fish, red fish, BLUE TANK!" - Artosis

Blavek Profile Joined March 2011 United States 7 Posts #19 I like the guide. And while I know the writer of the guide did not select the price I think that the price setting was done with a fan appeal more so than a skill bias. I.E. more North Americans will know North Americans. Now obviously MC breaks the rule but since he has won 2 GSL's he has gotten a good deal of notoriety. As an example what has naniwa won prior to MLG Dallas? I have no idea I am sure there was something but I don't know what it is. I expect that future price setting of NASL players will adjust based on tournament performance. Also, I believe that July is set waaaaay too high but for me that is based off of one set of games I watched him literally hand to MC. However he also has quite a bit of notoriety. Smile, tommorow will be a better day.

Exley Profile Joined April 2011 United States 239 Posts #20 Turns out by far the best thing to do was to buy all of the cheap players.

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