First Uploaded: Sunday July 28

Last Updated: Feb 10, 2020

-includes all poll data released through 11pm

-main chart only

-detailed update Feb 11, a.m.

Next Full Update: ~Feb 29

#10at10 Daily Poll Average

Recent Articles:

CounterPunch: Polling the Warren Factor (Oct. 8)

CounterPunch: Ten Recent Democratic Primary Polls Good for Bernie Sanders Ignored by the Conventional Wisdom (Oct. 1)

CounterPunch: The Big Lie Democratic Centrists Are Telling About 2018 (Aug. 2)

CounterPunch: Can Biden or Any Democrat Avoid a Brokered Convention? (Jul. 30)

Rasmussen Reports: Can Warren Beat Biden? (Jun. 28)

Click by State for More Detail by State and Electoral District:

First Four: IA, NH, NV, SC (updated Jan 20)

Super Tuesday Southern States: AL, AR, NC, TN, VA

California: CA

Texas: TX

Remaining Super Tuesday States: CO, MA, MN, OK, UT, VT

Candidate Support by Race and Ethnicity, Strict Average, and Current 10at10 Weekly Projection

Race and Ethnicity Weighted Average (updated Jan. 6)

#10at10 Ranking 46 [Twitter link] (includes Strict Avg in column C)

Overall Average: (change over Oct. 7 – last full update

(Strict average * 0.42, Demographic * 0.33, #10at10 Weekly *0.25)

J. Biden: 28.7% (+3.2)

B. Sanders: 19.8% (+2.2)

E. Warren: 14.1% (-8.8)

P. Buttigieg: 6.5% (+1.0)

C. Booker: 2.4% (+0.2)

A. Yang: 4.4% (new)

A. Klobuchar: 3.2% (+1.8)

M. Bloomberg: 4.9% (new)

Previous Articles:

06/11/19: As First 2020 Debate Looms, Most Democrats Are Still Persuadable

05/16/19: Biden’s Support Among Democrats May Be Exaggerated

03/13/19: On the ‘Name Recognition’ Shibboleth in the Democratic Primary Data Discussion

02/20/19: “Electability” Is Real (Unless Married to the Junk Science of Ideological Spectrum Analysis)

02/13/19: A Preliminary Ranking of the Democratic Primary Contenders

Methodology Note [t/k]