Shortly after 7 p.m. Tuesday evening, British MPs confront a decision on Brexit that will affect the nation’s 66 million citizens for many years to come.

They will either vote to support Prime Minister Theresa May’s Brexit deal, negotiated with the European Union, and set the nation on its final road to leaving the EU on March 29. Or on the other hand they will vote against it, leaving the UK Parliament, and the nation, in the state of limbo it has possessed for more than two years.

By each figuring and expectation, May will lose the vote. Her ruling Conservative Party and its ally, the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), hold a bare majority in the 650-seat Parliament, however, a few estimates predict May’s Brexit bill could be defeated by in excess of 100 votes.

Final ditch

The Prime Minister has spent the previous week pushing hard for support for her deal, wielding both carrots and sticks – drinks receptions at Downing Street for wayward Conservative MPs and soothing telephone calls to opposition Labour members: and threats that inability to support her deal would prompt Brexit being canceled and paralysis in Parliament.

The PM told the House of Commons on Monday that a “no deal” Brexit could prompt the separation of the United Kingdom and appealed to MPs to give her plans a “second look.”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5MIenc4HaFU

Even EU pioneers tried to help May’s campaign by issuing an announcement on Monday setting out assurances that the controversial backstop, an insurance policy to prevent a hard border in Ireland, would just be temporary – yet pro-Brexit lawmakers stayed skeptical in light of the fact that the assurances carried no extra legitimate power.

Thus, excepting a few MPs who changed their opinions, it doesn’t look May’s attempts at persuasion have worked. The main issue in Westminster is now no longer regardless of whether she wins, but who will take control of the fallout narrative.

May’s aides in Downing Street are scrambling to guarantee the Prime Minister looks in command of events, regardless of whether she loses badly.

It is likely she will deliver a speech in the Commons not long after the vote setting out her next steps, including possibly an alternative plan that she can reclaim to the European Union for approval – and after that get through Parliament.

However, groups in every single political party will be ready to fix their own narrative, as well.

Prime minister Theresa May leaves from the rear of 10 Downing Street as she heads to the Houses of Parliament (Photo/thenational.ae)

Professional Brexit Conservatives, who attempted and failed to unseat May as Prime Minister in a certainty vote a month ago, think Downing Street is playing up reports that the margin of defeat for May’s bill could be higher than 200 – making it the most noticeably bad for a Prime Minister in British history – as a method for overseeing desires and making a smaller defeat look like a minor victory

These Brexiteers need to utilize the probable defeat to demonstrate that the government must take a radically extraordinary path – and leave the EU without a negotiated deal.

This is the hardest of all Brexit models, however, one which Euroskeptic Conservatives accept will give the UK their cherished dream of freedom from the EU.

Election time for Brexit?

On the opposition seats, the Labour Party, driven by Jeremy Corbyn, will demand a general election if May’s bill fails, hoping to prepare for new talks between another government and the EU.

There is no sign that a movement of no confidence in the government presented by Corbyn – which, if fruitful, would start a general election – will pass. Regardless of whether Labour takes power, the party is as divided as the Conservatives on Brexit, and huge numbers of its MPs need the country to vote in a more definitive manner – through a second referendum that could see Britain staying in the UK altogether.

Britain’s Prime Minister Theresa May makes a statement to the House of Commons in London on January 14, 2019 (Photo/france24.com)

Corbyn will face exceptional pressure from many Labour lawmakers and grassroots activists to back a second choice as the only way to break the impasse in the event that he fails to force an election.

There is a third main group who have gotten underway a procedure to take control of Brexit: a informal alliance of MPs from all parties who are plotting for a milder Brexit than the one imagined by May’s deal, one that holds economic ties with the EU, like the course of action embraced by Norway – which involves an highly unusual territory both in, and outside of, the EU.

It is this group that could form the focal point of gravity inside Parliament amid the fallout from May’s likely defeat.

Whatever occurs, the UK Parliament will be the scene of a PR war, as opposition groups attempt to take control of Brexit from the political vacuum left by May’s diminishing authority.

To a weary UK public, this spectacle is probably going to dismay voters who don’t realize whether to consider important warnings from government offices over the accumulating of medicines and food and substantial traffic lines in case of a no deal.

Source – CNN

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