By firing head coach Leslie Frazier, the Vikings signaled their intention to aggressively pursue a new coach for the 2014 season, who presumably will retain some of the coaches currently on the roster while bringing in many of his own assistants.

It's not uncommon for a coaching search to take a significant amount of time, although in order to hire the best possible assistants, it's better to grab the new job earlier rather than later. That said, the Vikings will want to do their due diligence and have already compiled a massive list of potential head coach candidates.

Spielman told players he's got 13 traits he looks for in a head coach. Translation, as I see it: This could take a while. â Ben Goessling (@GoesslingESPN)Â December 30, 2013

I can't speak to all of the traits, although we can begin to parse them later if we want. But I do know that there are a few qualities in head coaches that I feel either do not get discussed enough or get emphasized the wrong way.

Below is a clickable table of contents, and at the end of each section is the ability to "jump to the top," which mostly means being able to jump back to this table of contents.

General Breakdown

College

NFL

Recruiters

One thing that comes up when talking about potential college head coaches is the importance of recruitment ability to their success. Obviously, good recruiters are not discounted off-hand, because they very well could have a number of qualities in addition to attracting high-quality players to their program that made them successful (after all, an ideal college coach would be a recruitment savant, a tactical genius and a political mastermind), but if the skills profile of a college coach is imbalanced and tilts too strongly towards "recruitment," they tend to get dismissed.

I'm not sure that's entirely wise. We discount "recruiting" as a strength of a head coach, but a lot of the job of an NFL head coach includes transferable skills that come from a strong recruitment background.

This wouldn't just include the ability to sell a program (or a team) to people thinking about joining-in the fashion of pulling out all the stops to sign a free agent-but maintaining trust and relating to players, establishing a culture of group confidence. A lot of coaching involves getting players to believe in you.

More importantly, recruitment doesn't just come from personal charm or persuasive skill but a high level of logistical prowess, time management and intelligent heuristics for prioritizing. It involves staying abreast of all relevant information and keeping a catalogue of what works and what doesn't.

There's a different kind of accountability that comes from that background, but I don't think it's easy to brush off. Denny Green built a powerful Stanford program with excellent recruiting, and Jim Harbaugh did the same, albeit in one of the most interesting ways possible. He was heavily involved in coordinating recruitment efforts at San Diego, and nearly recruited Robert Griffin III to pair up with Andrew Luck at Stanford. He was an unpaid recruiter for his dad to Western Kentucky, as well. It was a passion of his. In fact, James Franklin is known for his excellent recruiting, and he took a page or two out of Harbaugh's book.

I don't have to drive home the point with Pete Carroll, as it's fairly common knowledge that one of his biggest strengths was selling the program at USC. But a link here or there could help. ESPN called Carroll the best recruiting closer in the nation. Recruitment ability is the first item in his list for "success," and he's well known to give his coordinators leeway.

I think there are transferrable skills in terms of recruitment and it would be a mistake to brush it off entirely.

Schemers

Related to that, there are a lot of skills that good coordinators have that do not provide a lot of additional value at the head coaching position. In many ways, the NFL embodies the "Peter Principle," a concept in management that refers to the idea that organizations will promote individuals past their level of competency.

Or more succinctly: Employees tend to rise to their level of incompetence.

People are promoted so long as they show competency at their job and then stay where they are when they no longer do that.

The issue in the NFL is that the hierarchy of jobs does not include a smooth transition of skills from one level of the hierarchy to the other. Being a really good groundskeeper does not make a person a great quality control assistant. And being phenomenal at identifying player jersey numbers, down and distance and personnel through hours of tape does not make that person qualified to start teaching individual positional skills.

And of course, teaching players techniques is far different than organizing a scheme.

All these things happen, and the failure rate for these jobs would be considered astonishingly high in traditional businesses, but is in fact surprisingly low considering the process (and the arbitrarily enforced limited talent pool, but that's a different issue).

Either way, the fact that there are six to eight new coaching jobs every year in a small way attests to the flawed approach of teams-although perhaps the larger reason is that the NFL is one of the few businesses that are truly zero-sum. In order to win, someone has to lose, so there will always be a crop of coaches who did poorly.

It also happens to defy the odds, however, that most of the coaches who are fired are coaches that showed sustained incompetence, and are not simply the coaches with the worst records at the time. In that sense, that number is still high. If coaching were equally good, we'd expect fewer firings every year because it wouldn't be the same coaches at the bottom of the pile.

So the fact that a coach was or is an offensive genius or defensive mastermind is overblown. It's not irrelevant by any means, but for every Bill Walsh there's more than one Buddy Ryan. An interesting effect of the Peter Principle is thatÂ it often implies that promoting randomly from a mixed pool of candidates who are the worst and the best at their current job is the optimal strategy.

The danger here is that it could very well lead toÂ the Dilbert Principle, where employees are promoted simply so they can stop being bad at their current job (although the problem arises with a more conventional management structure that relies on a degree of competency over things being supervised).

Looking at the 2013 playoff teams reveal mixed results in terms of the purported tactical ability of head coaches:

The Denver Broncos made the playoffs solely on the back of Peyton Manning, and the offensive genius behind putting together successful squads with Kyle Orton and Tim Tebow is now the coach of the Chargersâwho made the playoffs on the slimmest of odds and with another quarterback specialist in tow. John Fox is probably a very good NFL coach, but it would be difficult to credit him for an offense that Manning has run since 1998.

The New England Patriots clearly have a tactical genius in Bill Belichick, but it's odd that he came in as a defensive specialist with revolutionary ideas on how to fix the Patriots in stopping the ball, while the Patriots have been known for some time as an offensive team. Belichick clearly knows quite a bit about offensive football; he was their offensive coordinator in 2005 after Charlie Weis left for Notre Dame. But that was a big dip, as the offense went from 4th in points to 10th, and the defense went from 2nd in points allowed to 17th.

After promoting Josh McDaniels to OC, the offense bounced right back, just in time for McDaniels to be the coordinator on one of the best seasons in NFL history. The Patriots defense, of course, has consistently been underrated and have only ranked below 10th in points allowed twice in the past ten years, have ranked in the top three on three occasions and in the top five on two others.

Marvin Lewis looks to be getting his coordinators taken out from under him, although he was a spectacular defensive coordinator for the Baltimore Ravens. That Bengals team does not have the same defensive structure, by any means, of the ones he ran, but it does throw another piece of data into the curve.

Chuck Pagano did an excellent job with the Ravens as a defensive coordinator as well, even though the team he's coaching right now isn't really known for their defense. Andy Reid notably brought his offense with him to Kansas City, although they too are built on the opposite side of the ball as his background.

In the NFC, it's clear that both New Orleans and Philadelphia are led by masterful offensive playcallers and designers. On the other hand, Green Bay is led by Mike McCarthy, who right before joining the Packers coordinated the worst offense in the NFL in terms of yardage and 30th-ranked offense in points scored. He was never inspiring at New Orleans, either.

Jim Harbaugh was a great recruiter, but was never known for designing particularly interesting offenses despite his somewhat successful stint as a quarterback (although he did lead the way for Peyton Manning by not being good at his job by the end). Greg Roman has been his offensive coordinator since 2009 (along with co-offensive coordinator David Shaw).

Ron Rivera had been a good defensive coordinator for two years (2005 and 2006) in terms of points scored, but was hired in 2011. In fairness, he did lead the 2010 San Diego defense to be first in yards allowed, but that was largely the result of having to defend short fields because of historically abysmal special teams play.

They ranked 10th in points allowed, which would be an unfair measure for the same reason. DVOA and Drive Success Rate both control for field position and ranked 7th in DVOA and 4th in Drive Success rate. On average, his defenses have been in the top 30th percentile, which isn't amazing.

We've already covered Pete Carroll and his strengths, although it should be maintained that he was no defensive slouch. On average, his record as a defensive coordinator is the same as Rivera's (top ten), but there's a marked difference. His first three years as a defensive coordinator were mediocre (17th, 10th, 18th), but his next three years were great-6th, 2nd, 4th. That's a significantly different trend pattern than Rivera, who was fairly random.

In all, that looks like a mixed bag of coaches who were tactically amazing as coordinators. Importantly, it should be noted that last year's Super Bowl winner was a special teams coach, with only positional coaching experience otherwise. Last year's playoffs had even fewer geniuses (Frazier and Harbaugh), and importantly it looks like those who were successful as coordinators or have a particular reputation for genius often found success on the other side of the ball.

I don't think this means we should discount tactical ability when finding coaches. The most recent playoff contenders happen to contain a high percentage of coaches with a good history of solid Xs and Osâbut so too do the pretenders.

I think there's generally a positive to be had with strategically sound coaches, but for the most part I think it's similar to recruitingâthere are transferrable skills there that are important. Wade Phillips, the Ryan family, Gary Kubiak, Steve Spurrier etc. prove that it's likely the transferrable skills you want and not the ability to draw up a play.

Bonafides

It looks like Rick Spielman will be searching for coaches from every conceivable background, and expanding the available pool of talent to draw from can only be a good thing. Aside from raising the bar on maximum talent, it allows the Vikings to take advantage of inefficiencies in the coaching market, just like the Bears did last year when they hired Marc Trestman.

That doesn't necessarily mean hiring an accomplished Madden player or an arbitrary football fan. Thinking outside the box doesn't mean going off the reservation. But merely looking at good coordinators, or coordinators on good teams, is severely limiting.

Instead, figuring out what the transferable skills are from the examples above can be useful in identifying those who have those skills but do not fit the mold.

This doesn't just mean potentially hiring CFL or UFL coaches, or even special teams coaches like John Harbaugh (although it could), but coordinators on bad teams who show the skill it takes to be a head coach, even if they don't show excellent coordinating.

It could also mean hiring a position coach instead of simply looking at coordinators. Aside from the obvious candidates with previous head coaching experience (like Hue Jackson or Tom Cable), there are potentially worthy ones around the league.

Moving from merely skilled coordinators to all coordinators expands the pool by 75% or so, and special teams coaches do it 33% once more. This pool will in all likelihood contain much less talent on average, but it will increase the likelihood of finding the single best candidateâwhich is all a team needs from expanding the pool.

Chase Stuart could have put it best inÂ his piece on hiring special teams coordinators:

There are good reasons for owners and general managers to prefer a special teams coach over a similarly-qualified coach with an offensive or defensive background. Many times, the "whiz kid" coordinators struggle to shake that habit once they are promoted - seeÂ Rex Ryan,Â Mike Martz - and often ignore the other side of the ball. In Dallas,Â Jason Garrett kept his role as play-caller even after being promoted to head coach. That led, in my opinion, to Garrett becoming overwhelmed on gameday, as the Cowboys have constantly mismanaged end-of-half and end-of-game situations. Now, Jerry Jones has removed that role from Garrett (Bill Callahan will be calling the plays in 2013), which should relieve some of the burden on his plate, and in my opinion, make him a better coach. While many great coaches have called their own plays, being a head coach is about much more than calling plays, and Garrett needs to transition to that role if he wants to succeed. There's another reason why I like the idea of hiring a special teams coach as your head coach: I suspect it is easier to attract the best candidates for OC and DC when those coaches know that they will be running the show.Â Mike Tomlin was fortunate enough to inheritÂ Dick LeBeau, but in general, it's probably harder for defensive head coaches to hire the promising young DC who wants to make a name for himself. Similarly, Harbaugh probably has an advantage when it comes to hiring his OC, too, because that man knows he will get all the credit.Â Lovie Smith was the linebackers coach on a team coached byÂ Tony Dungy on a defense run byÂ Monte Kiffin; if he wanted to make a name for himself, he needed to go to a team where he would be the face of the defense, and that was to St. Louis' benefit. The brothers Gruden both sought out their first OC job under defensive-minded head coaches (Ray Rhodes forÂ Jon andÂ Marvin Lewis forÂ Jay). A special teams coach has the benefit of being able to attract the best offensive coordinators and best defensive coordinators. Being a head coach is more about managing a team, creating a vision for the roster, hiring talented people, and being a leader more than it is about play-calling. I wonder if the success of Harbaugh will bring about a new wave of special team coaches in the NFL.

From a different article that looked at the history of NFL coaches, he came up with this nifty chart, too:





I encourage you to read the article that it's from, it's an interesting read.

Winners

There is a vocal contingent of folks who want to hire coaches who have won Super Bowls and therefore have a winning formula (or at least credibility) when coaching the Vikings (or any other team).

Of the 54 coaches who have won an NFL championship, only one has repeated with a ring (unless you count player-coaches like Guy Chamberlin and Jimmy Conzelman, who won championships as player-coaches with one team, then as coaches of another team)âWeeb Ewbank won two championships with the Baltimore Colts in 1958 and 1959, then won Super Bowl III with Joe Namath in 1968.

No coach has won two Super Bowls with different teams, and five have appeared in the title game with two different teams (1. Don Shula lost Super Bowl III with the Colts and won with the Dolphins, 2. Bill Parcells lost Super Bowl XXXI with the Patriots after winning two with New York, 3. Mike Holmgren won Super Bowl XXXI with the Packers and then got robbed against the Steelers in Super Bowl XL, where he coached the Seahawks 4. Dan Reeves lost all three Super Bowls he appeared as a coach in, for the Atlanta Falcons and the Denver Broncos. 5. Dick Vermeil lost Super Bowl XV with the Eagles and won XXXIV with the Rams).

This is a long way of saying that these past wins are becoming far too much a criteria for some.

What we could be missing is the very real effect of aging on mental faculties and coaching ability. Ditka at 53 was not Ditka at 46. Landry at 64 was a shell of Landry at 47. Joe Gibbs was a fantastic coach for Washington when he was 51. When he unretired, he was 64.

This even works at the coordinator level. In 1985, Buddy Ryan coached history's (second)-best defense at the age of 51. He did very well for Philadelphia as a head coach until he was 56. One could say he put together an effective defense for Houston, but they didn't change all that much in points per game from Jim Eddy. And his time at Arizona experience a significant dropoff.

From the bookÂ Game Plan: A Radical Approach to Decision Making in the National Football League, there's a largely generalized graph one can use to look at aging of coaches in the NFL.





There are of course exceptions like Howard Mudd and Tom Coughlin, but knowing that these Super Bowl winning coaches that have retired are ten years or more away from their most recent ring is a little daunting. That chart is shockingly smooth for how low the sample size should be, and I wouldn't be surprised if the mean-squares regression is friendlier than you'd have thought going in.

Popular coaching candidate Jon Gruden is only 51 this year, so he's not someone to dismiss using the aging criteria, but I would hesitate to choose an offensive coach for winning a Super Bowl on the back of one of the five best NFL defenses of all time. More on Gruden later.

Philosophers

How a coach puts together a program and the standard of behavior (ethical, professional, social, etc) are much more important than some people think, although probably less important than what many others think. It's true that the coach sets the tone for the team, but in the NFL, players are adults that should act like professionals and execute.

It's obviously never that simple and the complex arrangement of social networks and chemistry in the locker room play a big part in how teams handle the beginning of the season, adversity and pressure. I've mentioned the impact ofÂ organizational philosophy before and it's worth mentioning again.

Building a solid team culture that finds other areas to motivate oneself is critical. There are probably very few players in the NFL that aren't motivated to do well on Sundays (although Eddie Lacy may be one of those few), but finding players with internal motivation at the end of July is probably a lot harder than it sounds.

Most people who work find fairly immediate results (not in productivity or pay, but in established goals or success metrics) and this short-term reward-be it at the end of the day or week-makes grinding through a work day easier. NFL players (at least those relatively sure of making a roster) don't have that payoff for months and have subjective measures of performance to work with until the stats pile up in September.

When we get shots of a locker room or even a corporate office, we see some signs and posters that tell players or employees to "keep that chin up" or to "hang in there." Pointless, right? Who gets motivated by a poster or a pithy saying? Does that John Wooden quote really force people to kick it into an extra gear or suck it up and run that 40th play in summer weather at the end of the day?

via www.marcofolio.net

What's interesting is that there's good evidence that this sort of thing does matter. Not in the sense that someone having a bad day will look up and see a picture of a cat hanging from a thread and turn themselves around, but it contributes to a cultural and framing effect that positively changes outcomes. A review of literature on corporate culture reveals that defining expectations and appropriate reactions to information is a critical part of organizational success.

The claim that organizational culture is linked to performance is founded on the perceived role that culture can play in generating competitive advantage (see Scholz, 1987). Krefting and Frost (1985) suggest that the way in which organizational culture may create competitive advantage is by defining the boundaries of the organization in a manner which facilitates individual interaction and/or by limiting the scope of information processing to appropriate levels. Similarly, it is argued that widely shared and strongly held values enable management to predict employee reactions to certain strategic options thereby minimizing the scope for undesired consequences (Ogbonna, 1993).

A lot of it has to do with hiring the right people. Leadership is important as well. But small things like posters and motivational speeches are important signifiers of the culture because of their subconscious effects on attitudes and expectations.

A lot of this may be linked to the neurological process (and psychological concept) of framing. It's a relatively popular if somewhat new (and more difficult to prove than many hard science concepts) notion that simply argues that all of our information is mediated by frames that we can relate to. George Lakoff has advocated it since the 1970s and made a name for himself when he applied it politically to describe the strategic failures of the 2004 Kerry campaign.

The fundamental argument he makes is that our brains are hardwired to accept information within the context of the frame, or larger metaphor, theme or value, and apply that information in that context. People will make different decisions upon the same information, which was demonstrated by the Asian Disease Problem, where respondents selected different programs to combat a hypothetical disease based not on outcomes, but how the outcomes were described.

That's why it's important that Leslie Frazier talk to Greg Jennings about keeping within the core values of the team. Focus inwardly on execution instead of outwardly on perceived slights or flaws of others. One of the key components of framing is unity of message. In order to propose a core ideal under which everything is done, then everything must be accountable to that ideal.

Creating motivation and getting players to operate out of one core value is an important part of making sure that the team can operate without clear rewards or markers of progress. Football in September and November is often won in August. Organizing around the concept of simple, clean and effectively executed football is how the Vikings have chosen to run their training camp. Others, like the Seahawks, Eagles or Dolphins have chosen to treat their camps like competitions, experiments or extensions of the season. Some methods are effective and some are not.

CEOs

There's an understandable desire to grab a coach with experience running an organization runs strong across fanbases, doubly so if they were successful as NFL head coaches. Sometimes, they didn't have to be successfulâpeople just want someone with organizational experience.

It's easy to gather rough data with a generous filterâidentifying any coach that has had a degree of success, like a conference championship appearance and working backwards allows you to produce the following table from the 2013 season (all new coaches were graded as "successes" based on common media interpretation):

History Successes Failures Total Success as an NFL head coach 4 1 5 Failure as an NFL head coach 2 0 2 Success as a football head coach 8 3 11 Failure as a football head coach 1 1 2 No head coaching experience 10 9 19

This list is very generous in that it mostly counts any success with the team in question as a success. So, while Coughlin was a failure in 2013, he was a success for the Giants as a hire. It does not account for the reasoning behind the successâShanahan is often cited as an example of a coach who owed John Elway for his ring, but I counted him as a success for Denver (and therefore the only "previously successful head coach" to fail with their new organization).

Another way to look at it is to focus exclusively on success and find the backgrounds from there. Looking at the past 20 Super Bowls and grading each participant as a success (but with no overlapsâso no quintuple counting Belichick, for example) can produce a decent background.

Below is a table of the 29 head coaches who have participated in a Super Bowl. It has criteria for whether or not they made it to a Super Bowl with another team, whether or not they were "successful," per the previous chart's criteria, and whether or not they were failures. To clarify, any success will count as not a failure and as a success, so if a coach had previously had multiple stops and failed in one, but succeeded in another, it would count as one previous success and no previous failures.

Super Bowl Participating HCs Previous SBs Previous Successes Previous Failures Previous NFL Head Coaching Experience 5 7 2 Previous Team Head Coaching Experience 5 12 5

Of the 29 coaches who have participated in a Super Bowl, only five had done so with another team before. Seven had successes in the NFL before that, and two were failures as head coaches in the NFL before they were hired by their team.

There were seventeen coaches who had success with an organization before joining the team that allowed them to be added to this list. Nine of those coaches counted an NFL team as that organization and eight counted either the CFL (Marv Levy) or a college team. Of those eight, two had failed with the other team and six were successful.

From those two types of data, it looks like (given very small sample size) that previous experience as someone who's run an organization before is not predictive at all (the Super Bowl appearances had 17 with experience, 12 without. The 2013 successes had 13 with experience and 19 without). But it looks like if they were previously a had coach, there is weak but potentially not significant predictive value in their previous success (17 SB participants had previous experience and 12 of them were successful in that experience. The 2013 successes have 13 with experience and 11 were successful).

For those with previous NFL experience specifically, their NFL head coaching success was also predictive (the previous Super Bowl participants had 9 former NFL head coaches, 7 of whom were successful. The 2013 successes had 6 former NFL head coaches, 4 of whom were successful. The one NFL head coach with previous experience who was a failure was successful in his previous endeavor), but small sample size would have me caution reading too much into it.

For what it's worth, Tony Dungy (or more likely his PR department, given the third person nature of the message) were rather salty on the topic of re-treads:

Here's a rundown on some of the names that may cross your feed, in no particular order (as a note, I'll keep updating this over time as I get new infoâit's definitively not complete:

Buyout: minimal

Record: 23-15 (season before he arrived: 2-10)

Bowl appearances: 3 (1-1 pending this season's bowl game)

Penalty Rate in 2013: 0.95% (53rd)

Nearest I could tell, his buyout is small, and most reports of his buyout are actually in reference to his time in Maryland, where he had a $1 million buyout if he didn't become a head coach by 2012 (not triggered, because he took the Vanderbilt job in 2011).

James Franklin has only had one year as a coach in the NFL (wide receivers coach for the Packers in 2005), but he's been in coaching circles since 1995. From 2000-2004, he was the receivers coach at Maryland and between 2006-2007, was the quarterbacks coach and offensive coordinator at Kansas State underneath Ron Prince.

That means he was Josh Freeman's quarterbacks coach for two years before he moved onto Maryland. Before he arrived at Kansas State, their offensive efficiency ranked 78th, according to Football Outsider's Fremeau Efficiency Index. In his two years, they ranked 82nd, then 50th.

Maryland, in 2007, ranked 42nd. After he took OC duties, they ranked 46th, 95th, then 60th before moving on to Vanderbilt as the head coach.

The sense seems to be that his coordinating was limited by recruiting classes, but I think a lot of what's happening is that he's a better coach than coordinator.

One hot name already garnering big-timeÂ @NFL interest from multiple teams:Â #Vanderbilt coach James Franklin. â Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet)Â December 29, 2013

I contacted the SBNation blog for Vanderbilt,Â Anchor of Gold, a few months ago to ask about James Franklin. They had quite a few things to say:

Franklin's successes at the college level have been primarily through changing the culture at Vanderbilt and luring big recruits to Nashville. While he has some limited NFL experience (coaching WRs for the Packers back in 2005), I'm not sure his current success would translate to the NFL. His playcalling is inconsistent, and his most notable calls at Vandy have been a combination of trick plays, bubble screens, and other choices that work well on a smaller scale but don't necessarily work against professional defenses. That's not a great sign from an offense-oriented coach, and his defenses at Vandy have been...underwhelming. However, part of that could be a personnel issue. Franklin's been coaxing big wins out of two and three-star recruits that came to Nashville under Bobby Johnson (and kinda/sorta Robbie Caldwell, the interim coach/turkey inseminator from 2010). Zac Stacy developed from a platoon guy into a NFL tailback under Franklin, and the coach made sure to feed him the ball to drive this offense to 15 wins over two years (for reference, 15 wins at Vandy is the equivalent of 36,000 wins at Alabama). Jordan Matthews is following a similar path. Franklin has also had success in developing players like Josh Freeman and Danny O'Brien, though the bloom has fallen off those roses in recent years. Franklin's recruits are just starting to make an impact, so we'll see how this team does with a new class of football players in coming years. How they perform would be a better testament to his abilities as an Xs and Os coach. In terms of control, Franklin brought his own guys in from Maryland when he came to Vanderbilt, retaining only offensive line coach/Food Network favorite Herb Hand. Hand is a rising star, so that call made sense, but the coach has made it a point to retain his staff over the years. Part of the team's efforts to keep him in Nashville have included making sure his staff was made whole and that the school's athletic facilities were upgraded to SEC standards. I'd imagine that he'd have similar requests in the NFL - although the Vikings wouldn't have a thing to worry about with their new stadium on the way to replace the 1970s airport terminal that you currently play in (I say this with love). So, strengths: recruiting, building a culture, relating to players Weaknesses: playcalling, lack of professional experience, penchant for getting in fights with Georgia's defensive coordinator after games. I think Franklin would rate out as a Pete Carroll type coach right now, and Carroll obviously needed some time to find the right fit in order to be a successful head coach. That might be a stretch, but it's tough to project a guy who has been a college coach for less than three full seasons.

That matches my intuition. I don't mind the fighting thing.

So long as he stays away from Xs and Os (Vanderbilt dropped in offensive efficiency after he left), he could be a very good hire. He'll have a staff in mind and his organizational prowess will matter a lot more than his tactical ability, so long as he brings in someone who can run an NFL system.

Minnesota personnel wouldn't have to adapt much to a new system, as it's fundamentally an Erhardt-Perkins system with similar terminology. The biggest change would be for the offensive linemen, where offensive line coach Jeff Davidson had a lot of free reign to design the running schemes relatively system-independent.

Luckily, that meant playing in basically every running scheme that exists in the NFL, so the change wouldn't be too much.

There are a few red flags here as a coach, but being a head coach is a lot less about being a tactical genius and more about managing an organization with clear goals in mind.

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Buyout: $6.48 million (recently reduced)

Record: 15-9 (Record before he arrived: 9-4)

Bowl Appearances: Barred from bowl games

Penalty Rate in 2013: 1.42% (115th)

UPDATE: Bill O'Brien has agreed to terms with the Houston Texans

The structure on that buyout matters a lot, and it looks like he could owe millions in taxes if he chooses the buyout route.

When I contactedÂ Black Shoe Diaries with the same questions a few months back, I didn't get much of a response:

Save your time. He's not going to Minnesota.

At any rate, he was more of a target for Houston than Minnesota, which would make BSD correct, although I'm not confident they would be correct in spirit should that play out. He was contacted by NFL teams (namely the Philadelphia Eagles and the Cleveland Browns) the year before and chose to stay in Happy Valley.

"I'm not a one-and-done guy. I made a commitment to these players at Penn State and that's what I am going to do. I'm not gonna cut and run after one year, that's for sure." -Bill O'Brien on his decision to stay at Penn State

Naturally the "record before he arrived" is irrelevant and what's significantly more important is the fact that he kept the ship upright at Penn State after losing bowl eligibility and a host of players following the massive scandal that rocked the campus.

He's seen as a quarterbacks guru and is a big fan of Ryan Mallett, with the New England Patriots, whom he worked with since New England drafted him. He's also worked with Matt McGloin, who outperformed expectations at Penn State and is currently a quarterback with the Oakland Raiders, as well as Christian Hackenberg, who is frankly having an insanely good season for a true freshman.

It was O'Brien who had to convince Hackenberg to stay with the program after he was originally recruited by Joe Paterno's regime. ESPN ranked him as the best pro-style quarterback high school prospect, while Rivals called him the second-best such prospect (behind Max Browne, now at USC). Keeping Hackenberg was a big coup.

O'Brien has strong Georgia Tech roots, as he worked there from 1995 to 2002, moving from a graduate assistant to a combined role as the assistant head coach, offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach. After that, he spent two years as the running backs coach for Maryland before moving onto Duke, where he accepted an offer to be the offensive coordinator/quarterbacks coach.

FEI rankings don't exist for 2004, but Duke ranked 87th in College Football References' strength-of-schedule adjusted ratings on offense before he arrived, and ranked 98th both years afterwards.

He then took a job as an offensive assistant for New England right before their historic 2007 season and accepted a job as the wide receivers coach in 2008. After McDaniels left, he became the quarterbacks coach and also called the plays for New England and became their offensive coordinator before the 2011 season, after which he accepted the Penn State job.

O'Brien started the season off with a quarterback competition that McGloin ended up winning and he also took control of the offensive playcalling.

He, like Bill Musgrave and James Franklin, runs an Erhardt-Perkins offense, although one quite a bit different and more complicated than the one the Vikings ran. There's an emphasis on versatility in the offense. For example, he often ran two-tight end sets and had a fullback when with the Patriots and Penn State, but doesn't necessarily have a history of sticking with that personnel set.

While all coaches will tell you that they are "committed to the running game," and while O'Brien is no different in words, his actions imply that he's fairly committed to whatever's working.

In 2012, with Zach Zwinak and Matt McGloin, they ran the ball 466 times (college statisticians count quarterback sacks as runs) and passed it 446 times. In 2013, with young gun Christian Hackenberg and returning running back Zach Zwinak, they rushed the ball 501 times and passed it 409 times. The 2011 Patriots passed 612 times and ran 438 times.

A quick view of his offense will tell you that there's a balanced view of "success rate" and explosive plays, without necessarily a heavy emphasis on either (short passing and runs on "running downs" are good indicators of an emphasis on success, while deep passing and a heavy emphasis on play-action on "running downs" are the opposite).

Two quick examples can illustrate one of the differences between O'Brien's emphasis on success/explosion balance, against McDaniels' preference for explosive plays: 1) Tom Brady's average depth of target rose with McDaniels (9.1 yards) and was league average (8.6) with O'Brien. 2) play-action passing comprised 24% of Tom Brady's passes with McDaniels, but only 16% with O'Brien.

O'Brien established six principles for Penn State that should provide a small glimpse into his organizational attitude when running a team:

BILL O'BRIEN'S 6 PRINCIPLES OF THE PROGRAM

1. Football should be fun and fulfilling for the student athlete involved.

2. Football must be part of the educational experience at Penn State.

3. Football should be played to win. We will never accept losing at Penn State.

4. No individual in the program is ever bigger than the team/program.

5. We will promote a team/family atmosphere through loyalty and communication.

6. We will have a standard of performance for the players on and off the field.

I've talkedÂ quite a bit about organizational philosophy in the past, and I think it's more important than simply words on a poster, and what I reference above (in the link and in the breakdown) should encompass why it's important.

Here, there's nothing that particularly stands out as unique among coaches, but the priority of the philosophical principles will likely matter when compared to other coaches. O'Brien is definitely committed to building, but it's clear that he doesn't accept mediocrity from a program expected to fail, either. Take from it what you will.

At the very least, O'Brien's background in academia should help, as he studied organizational management at Brown. That should give him a small leg up on what matters for head coaches, and he knows how to surround himself with talent, as well. Having a clear philosophy, principles and outlined goal can go a long way, and I don't think that it's easy to dismiss his academic background as irrelevantâtoo many times we see coaches enter with values but no plan to fulfill or execute those values within the context of their organization (see: Greg Schiano). Having someone trained in that specific effort can only help.

Small but likely insignificant red flags have been leaking about O'Brien's time at Penn State, namely thatÂ he grew "weary" of the "Paterno people" at Penn State, and was sick of the politics of the job.

"â¬ÅYou can print this: You can print that I don'â¬â¢t really give a (expletive) what the 'Paterno people'â¬â¢ think about what I do with this program. I'â¬â¢ve done everything I can to show respect to coach Paterno. Everything in my power. So I could really care less about what the Paterno faction of people, or whatever you call them, think about what I do with the program. I'â¬â¢m tired of it. â¬ÅFor any 'â¬ËPaterno person'â¬â¢ to have any objection to what I'â¬â¢m doing, it makes me wanna put my fist through this windshield right now."â¬Â -Bill O'Brien to pennlive.com, printed 1/1/14

O'Brien's personality has been described generously as "passionate," although some would call it "controlling," and he's prone to occasional outbursts, although rarely expressing anger at a specific person. Much of his frustration at Penn State evidently came from both the lack of control he had over things he (rightly) should have had control of and what he perceived to be a lack of leadership at the top. He's not a fan of being a figurehead or a spokesperson (another minor flag).

That said, O'Brien made pretty clear that it isn't that he's necessarily picking up an NFL job to move away from Penn Stateâhe could have had offers last year to do what he wantedâbut chose a specific situation that was right for him, along with the added benefit of not having to deal with college football politics.

Penn State had no business playing with a winning record, much less after one season. The work that O'Brien did should speak for itself, but I'll let Penn State PR play him out:

"To call Bill O'Brien's first year as a head coach 'great' would be a vast understatement. A thesaurus is unable to contain all the superlatives that could be used to describe the overall efforts by O'Brien, his staff and the Nittany Lion squad members during his thrilling, challenging and memorable first season as head coach at Penn State."

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Buyout: $5 million (just agreed to a new deal with Baylor in November, 10 years/$45 million)

Record: 44-31 (Record before he arrived: 3-9)

Bowl Games: 4 (2-2)

Penalty Rate in 2013: 0.95% (52nd)

UPDATE: Art Briles said he wasn't interested in the NFLÂ in a way that makes him seem really, really interested in the NFL.

UPDATE: Art Briles evidently reaffirmed his commitment to stay at Baylor, although that was in reference to the Texas job.

Having just signed an extension in November, Art Briles is an unlikely (though still possible) candidate for a head coaching job. A guy who leaves after signing an extension might not be your top candidate for the coach, but the new deal extended him three years beyond the seven-year contract he was already in, so it could be more about job security than commitment.

Baylor finished off the season (before bowl games) ranked third in the country, which is a massive change from where they were before he arrived, unranked entirely. Briles turned the Baylor program around and has groomed two successful quarterbacks in Robert Griffin III and Bryce Petty.

In addition to that, the receivers he's produced just recently include Terrance Williams, who has had a very promising rookie year with Dallas; Kendall Wright, who might be the most underrated wide receiver outside of Antonio Brown; and Josh Gordon, who had the single-best receiving performance in the NFL this year.

Before Briles arrived at Baylor, they ranked 110th in offensive efficiency according to FEI (out of 119 teams). This year, they rank second.

Chip Kelly's success in Philadelphia really gives credit to the idea that spread-style tempo-heavy offenses can translate into the NFL, and Briles has been arguably better at constructing an adaptable college offense, especially knowing that Baylor's offensive concepts were folded into the successful Washington offensive concepts last year.

There's quite a bit written about the Baylor offense, in large part because of Washington's success in Robert Griffin III's rookie year, but there's some interesting wrinkles to take a look at.Â This is one of my favorites. It's a pass-first offense with underrated complexity and a keen understanding of the space afforded football offenses.

Even though it has a strong passing identity, it does have an explosive running game (used more as a constraint than the primary ball-mover) and features Lache Seastrunk, a running back prospect withÂ a second-round grade from CBS Sports and is Mocking The Draft'sÂ top running back prospect.

It would naturally change as a result of massive differences in NFL talent, rules and football dimensions, but it's not a difficult changeâespecially because the offense doesn't need a running threat at quarterback to be successful. The biggest concepts (horizontal geometry and packaged plays) have been extraordinarily successful in the NFL this year for a variety of teams.

Art Briles isn't just his offense. He's shown a remarkable ability to be adaptable. As a high school coach, he originally ran the wishbone before adapting to multiple styles, then getting into the spread offensive concepts he's famous for now.

After that, he joined Mike Leach at Texas Tech, where he recruited Wes Welker. Then he became the head coach at Houston (who had gone 0-11 two years before him, then 4-7) where he immediately led them to a 7-5 record and a bowl berth (they lost the Hawai'i bowl, making them 7-6). They ended up 34-29 with him with a bad sophomore season dragging it down. He lost all four bowl games with Houston.

I didn't get any feedback fromÂ Our Daily Bears, the Baylor SBNation site, but more has been written about Briles than nearly any other college coach (Chip Kelly being the former titleholder in that category).

With that Grantland piece, you could take a look at these:

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Buyout: Unknown, but likely small given the limited salary and years left on his contract (2 more years/$2 million)

Record: 31-43 (Record before he arrived: 1-11)

Bowl Games: 2 (1-1)

2013 Penalty Rate: 0.41% (4th)

Cutcliffe honestly should have been on my radar before because of the amazing work he's done, but it slipped my mind until the exciting Chik-fil-A bowl.

Coach David Cutcliffe is most well-known for being the mentor behind the development of both Mannings, as he was Peyton Manning's offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach at Tennessee, which is where he got his start as a viable college coaching candidate.

He got his start as a high school coach, and he credits much of his development as a coach to his upbringing in Birmingham, Alabama which was often referred to as the "most segregated city in the South" in the 1960s, when he grew up.

He played in the first integrated high school football game in Alabama, and was also subject to persecution as a (deeply faithful) Catholic living in a city known for its Klan presenceâan experience that saw Cutcliffe and his family asÂ an unusually tolerant bunch for their time.

At Banks High School, he played nearly everywhere, as a tight end, wide receiver, quarterback, safety and linebacker.

After graduating high school, he attended Alabama, where he joined Bear Bryant's staff as a student assistant. He watched film with Ken Donahue and Jack Rutledge (who gave him the job after he injured his knee in the summer before playing for Alabama), although he never coached. Of interest, he took extensive notes of Bear Bryant's management strategies and refers to it often in his time with Dukeâmost importantly the mantras of staying up to date and how to interact with players, with a particular emphasis on discipline.

Once he graduated (he says with a "degree in Player Psychology," although nominally it is a bachelor of science degree in health, physical education and recreation), he returned to Banks, this time as an assistant coach (mostly on the offense). He was an assistant for four years before becoming the head coach. In those four years, Banks went 29-11 and appeared in the playoffs twice, going 1-2.

His inaugural season as a head coach started off slow (0-3-1) but finished strong (6-0) with a playoff berth, going 1-1. The next year, they went undefeated in the regular season (10-0) and lost in the first round of the playoffs. From there, he became a part-time assistant coach at Tennessee, and in 1983 was made the tight ends coach (and assistant offensive line coach).

In 1989, he was given the running backs job, a year the team went 11-1 and finished #5 in the country, a year they expected to rely on Reggie Cobb. A suspension to Cobb gave redshirt freshman Chuck Webb to emerge, and when Cobb came back from the suspension before the season, they decided to go with a dual-threat offense at running back (dubbed "Cobb-Webb"), and Cobb was once again suspended midway through the season.

Despite missing Cobb, Tennessee ranked sixth in the nation in rushing average despite playing the 14th-most difficult points-adjusted schedule (ahead of them were Houston, who only had 119 attempts that year, Nebraska, Colorado, Air Force, and Cal State Fullerton)âmaking them arguably the third-best running attack in the country behind Colorado and Nebraska.

He became the quarterbacks coach in 1990. In 1991, they also gave him the title of "passing game coordinator" for two years. Before the 1993 season, he was named the offensive coordinator and assistant head coach, but retained his quarterback coaching duties.

Preceding the 1995 season, he was also given Assistant Head Coach duties in addition to his offensive coordination and quarterback coaching, which is where he stayed until 1998.

Between 1991 and 1998, the Tennessee offense in strength-of-schedule adjusted points ranked 9th, 12th, 8th, 19th, 8th, 16th, 1st and 13th. Between 1991 and 1998, the offense' adjusted points ranked fourth, just behind Florida, Florida State and Nebraska. If limited to just his years as an offensive coordinator, Tennessee still ranks fourth.

His quarterback resume at Tennessee is pretty stunning. Aside from Peyton Manning, he also coached Tee Martin, Heath Shuler and Andy Kelly. In 1998, he won the Broyles award, given to the best assistant coach in college football.

After that, he was hired by Ole Miss in 1999 and took over for Tommy Tuberville, and immediately coached the team in the Independence Bowl. Tuberville went 7-5 that year, and Cutcliffe functionally followed suit, going 8-4, 7-5, 7-4, 7-6, 10-3, then 4-7 before they fired him and went with Ed Orgeron (who went a combined 10-25 in three seasons). In those first two years, Cutcliffe coached Romaro Miller and ranked 6th and 27th in offense.

The next three years, he had Eli Manning as his starting quarterback, with whom he achieved the offensive ranking of 5th, 75th and 12th. He was the only coach in that school's history to start off a program with five wins, and in that final year with Eli Manning, produced the first 10+ win season in 30 years. They were the only school in the SEC West to be bowl-eligible for seven straight years.

In 2004, his final year with the program, he started the season off with Micheal Spurlock as the starting quarterback, but switched in the middle of second game toÂ Ethan Flatt. Midway through the season, he kept up a three-quarterback rotation with redshirt freshman Robert Lane throwing for them on occasion.

Unsurprisingly, they ended up 83rd in offense and ended up going 4-7, though importantly losing all of those games by a touchdown or less.

The defense didn't often keep up, and overall their point differential, after adjusting for opponents, would net 47th in his time with Ole Miss. He did consistently make bowl games, and went 4-1 in those games. The perception in his final year at Ole Miss was that he was unable to recruit a new quarterback to replace Eli Manning, and that played a somewhat significant role in his dismissal.

At the end of that season, athletic director Pete Boone asked Cutcliffe to submit a written plan to fix the problems at Ole Miss and specifically cited the defense (which ranked 58th in opponent adjusted points over his tenure and ranked only above Vanderbilt and Kentucky, Mississippi State and Arkansas in the SEC in his last two years).

He was also asked to fire his assistant coaches before submitting the plan. He refused to fire any assistants or submit a plan and said that the urge to fire his assistants was motivated by panic on the AD's end.

Given that his defense over the course of his tenureâbeyond the 03-04 seasonsâranked above Tennessee, Mississippi State, LSU, Arkansas and Auburn in the SEC, it makes some sense that he thought the administration was being too hasty at condemning his season.

As a result, the Ole Miss staff fired him, which in hindsight was both the correct and incorrect move.

"It's essential that the football program be competitive. It's not now-and-then competitive. It's every-year competitive. We expect our program to be outstanding, to be moving forward. We will not accept ... mediocrity." -Chancellor Robert Khayat, quoted in ESPNon 12/1/04

After they fired, him the Ole Miss Rebels went in the opposite direction philosophically, and hired Ed Orgeron in order to improve their recruiting capability. It worked, and Mississippi put together incredible recruiting classes. Unfortunately, they went 10-25 with him. They hired Houston Nutt after that, and he went 9-4 with Orgeron's classes twice and then went 2-10.

That is not to say they would have been better with Cutcliffe. Aside from the fact that it is fallacious to project alternate histories, Cutcliffe was only briefly able to fulfill his responsibilities as an assistant head coach, offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach for Charlie Weis at Notre Dame in 2005 because of health issues.

He suffered from chest pains in March of 2005 during spring practices and went to his doctor in Mississippi. The next day, he successfully underwent triple-bypass surgery to correct a 99 percent blocked artery and suffered from weakness for the rest of the year.

In 2006, he came back to the Vols to revive an offense that ranked 87th in the FBS in opponent-adjusted scoring the previous year. With him as the offensive coordinator, Tennessee and junior quarterback Erik Ainge quickly established a dominant offense (ranked 11th) to go 9-3 before losing to Penn State in the Outback Bowl. The next year, they ranked 11th once more and went 9-3 again, but won the SEC East. They lost the Championship game against Les Miles' LSU squad, but won the Outback Bowl on their return trip, this time against Wisconsin.

With that body of work, he took on the head coaching job at Duke, who that year ranked 100th in opponent-adjusted point differential, an improvement on their 2006 point differential rank of 112th. Over the course of their previous two coaches, they ranked 104th out of 120 schools.

That means they were beat out by schools like Middle Tennessee State, Western Michigan, and Alabama-Birmingham. Duke was arguablyÂ the worst team in the FBS, and ESPN ranked the program 115th in Division I-A football. Under the previous coach, Duke went 4-42. Combined with the coach before that, they went 13-90, including a winless streak of 23 games (and the wins on either side of the streak were themselves bookended by losses). Since their last bowl game, they had gone 22-125.

His first season with Duke saw him match the win total of the previous four seasons combined, and they went 4-8 (and with three of those losses within a score) against what Jeff Sagarin concluded was theÂ sixth-toughest schedule in the nation . This immediately earned Cutcliffe a contract extension through 2015.

Some of the numbers he improved upon were fairly shocking, decreasing the sacks allowed on the season by 23 and improving the field goal kicking percentage from 31.8 percent to 72. percent. Quarterback Thaddeus Lewis, receiver Eron Riley, defensive tackle Vince Oghobaase and linebacker Michael Tauiliili all earned All-ACC honors. In that first year alone, they decreased the amount of points allowed by 11 a game and held three opponents to fewer than 10 points for the first time since 1976.

Of note, Tennessee's offense dropped to 94th the season after Cutcliffe left, climbing up to 28th the year afterwards. They dropped to 69th after that and didn't recover until last year, ranking 6th that year (but not before a painful 2011 where their offense ranked 80th). Head coach Derek Dooley was fired that season anyway, having had gone 4-7.

While the period before this impressive 10-3 showing was a bit more painful than people would have wanted (improved to 5-7, then 3-9, 3-9 before a bowl-eligible season of 6-6, losing in the Belk Bowl), it's clear he's improved.

There are a lot of interesting stories about "Duke's rise" under Cutcliffe that are cute but potentially irrelevant in a coaching search. For example, much was made about his challenge to the players toÂ collectively lose 1000 pounds (although as a motivational tactic with a big board of updated counts in a training room, I'm sure it was fairly effective) in order to close out gamesâhe had diagnosed that their late-game collapses were due to endurance problems.

It can be said that fitness has been a key principle in his coaching, as there are references littered throughout his pressers and notes before his arrival in Duke, but it seems unlikely that that would be much of an issue for most NFL players. His goal here was not necessarily to make the team lighter so much as to use weight loss as a measure for doing the types of workouts he wanted to have done; Duke was the lightest team in the ACC when he arrived, and they had only one offensive lineman above 300 pounds.

He also learned how to be a recruiter (or surround himself with assistants who could recruit). The 2007 recruiting classÂ ranked 79th in Rivals.com's rankings and lost out to teams like Akron, Toledo and East Carolina. The 2008 class ranked 65th and the 2009 class ranked 51st. There was reason for concern, as the next two classes dipped back down and ranked in the 70s, but he was back to 51 in 2012.

This year, going 10-3, he posted the highest win total in Duke history and the best winning percentage since 1960.

Philosophically, it's no surprise that he draws from a lot of what Bear Bryant did at Alabama. Not only is it important for him to remain up to date on what teams are doing, he constantly updates his offenses to match his personnel and new concepts. Late in his Tennessee career, there was a lot of I-formation running with power concepts and a passing game predicated on play action. This last year at Duke, the offense has been a zone-read option spread attack.

And those two offenses are different than the ones that he brought with him early on into Tennessee, where he was more of a West Coast coordinator.

The Duke offense hadn't fully committed to a spread-style Air Raid in 2013, however. There's a lot of drop-back passing, variable formations and all kinds of personnel, with jokers, H-backs, fullbacks, slotbacks and jumbo packages. The primary personnel grouping was a three receiver set with a hybrid tight end/fullback and a running back and they would work out of the pistol, I-formation, shotgun, etc.

"He used to always talk about, âOn first-and-10 there's a completion out there somewhere, there's a completion out there somewhere. I still write that down on my notes and I still go into a game on a play-call on first-and-10 and second down saying, âHey, there's a completion out here somewhere, let's find it.'" -Peyton Manning in the NY Daily News, 9/14/13

There's also a heavy emphasis on team discipline. Out of the 125 FBS schools, Duke ranks as having the 4th-best penalty rate at a paltry 0.41 percent of plays. The challenge to "lose 1,000" was much more likely a way to establish a different team culture than it was a specific weight-loss goal, and Duke has played some disciplined football under his watchful eye.

Of course, a school like Duke will always have a coach be vocal about a commitment to academics, so mentioning it probably isn't worth much, but it has been a core focus of his approach and places a big emphasis on character. Organizationally, Cutcliffe seems to have his ducks in a row, and far better at it than he had been in previous stints (although his organizational talent is underrated).

Should a team hire Cutcliffe, he'll likely reach out to Florida's new offensive coordinator Kurt Roper, who has been with him since 1996 in Tennessee. It seems unlikely that Cutcliffe would be able to grab Roper simply because he just signed, but having someone who has worked with you for 17 years is no joke and fairly significant.

At any rate, there's a good chance that either Scottie Montgomery or John Latina would go with Cutcliffe to the NFL, as they are the passing game coordinator and running game coordinator respectively. Montgomery was mostly the receivers coach and went to Duke after his NFL career was over (playing briefly for the Broncos, Panthers and Raiders).

Three years after that, he was hired by the Steelers after a wealth of their coaches were dismissed or left. He worked under Arians until 2012, where he took the co-coordinator job at Duke with Cutcliffe.

John Latina was originally an offensive lineman at Virginia Tech and became a graduate assistant for one year after he graduated in 1980. He signed on to the coaching staff at Pitt as a tight ends coach in 1982 and Temple from 1983 to 1988 as the line coach. After that, he spent five seasons with Bill Snyder to begin Snyder's tenure at Kansas State in 1989 as an offensive line coach (the same position he had at Temple and Pitt). After that, he joined Tommy West and Clyde Christensen at Clemson as the offensive line coach.

In 1999, he joined Cutcliffe's staff at Ole Miss as the OL coach underneath Roper and stayed with Cutcliffe throughout his tenure at Mississippi. After Cutcliffe was hired at Notre Dame, Latina followed and stayed on staff after Cutcliffe declined and recovered.

After 2008, when Notre Dame lost much of its staff, Latina became the offensive coordinator Akron for two years before rejoining Cutcliffe at Duke in 2012 as the OL coach and then the assistant coach at 2013.

If Cutcliffe chooses one of those two, it'll be a clue on how he intends to move the offenseâLatina has been a run game enthusiast with a heavy emphasis on offensive line schemes (having run multiple blocking schemes), while Montgomery has not only worked mostly on the passing game, but has been with offensive coordinators who are particularly pass-happy.

Regardless, whatever Cutcliffe chooses to do will be interesting, now that longtime assistant Roper is gone.

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Buyout: $3 million ($500,000 for every year left in the contract)

Record: 12-1 (Record before he arrived: 3-9)

Bowl Games: 2 (1-0 pending results of the BCS National Championship)

Penalty Rate in 2013: 0.77% (22nd)

Gus Malzahn was originally in my draft list for coaches, but I took him off the list after he agreed to a six-year extension for $3.85 million a month ago. The BrownsÂ have reportedly expressed an interest in Gus, which I suppose makes him viable.

Malzahn's introduction to football was as a receiver at Fort Smith Christian High School, then as a receiver at Arkansas, where he joined a as a walk-on in 1984. After the 1985 season he transferred to Division II Henderson State because "he realized he wasn't good enough" to play at Arkansas and played both as a receiver and punter.

He graduated in 1990 with a degree in physical education and sent resumes to at least 40 schools, but one interviewed with oneâWest Memphis. He didn't get the job, but they contacted a school of 1500 people, Hughes high school to set up a job for him.

He was hired on to become the defensive coordinator in 1991. A year later, they made him the head coach. In 1994, he led the team toÂ an improbable run at the state championship and lost on the last play of the game.

History was not on Hughes' side - the program rarely made the playoffs -- and they needed to beat Brinkley by 14 points and Rivercrest by seven. They blew out Brinkley and beat Rivercrest by seven on a goal-line stand, then ran through the playoffs with a win over state powerhouse Pine Bluff Dollarway to set up a meeting with Lonoke for the Class AAA state championship. The Blue Devils made plenty of mistakes. Troup remembers his receiver ran a hot route, a play they had run hundreds of times that year in practice. The ball was placed perfectly, but it went through the receiver's hands. "Maybe it was being on the big stage," Troup said. "He dropped it for some reason. If he had caught it, he'd have turned it up field and maybe would have scored. If we played them again, we would have won by 40." Hughes fell 11 yards short of the win in the final seconds, losing 16-13. Malzahn wasn't sure he would ever return to War Memorial Stadium as a coach. He would, of course, but not with Hughes. He left Hughes one year later to accept the coaching job at Shiloh Christian, a private school in Springdale on the opposite side of the state. He later led Shiloh Christian and Springdale High to state titles before coaching the University of Arkansas' offense in a pair of games in Little Rock. "I felt like I lost my best friend the day he left," Patrick said. The Blue Devils never went that far again. Seventeen years later, Hughes High disbanded the football program following the 2011 season because of a lack of participation.

In 1996, he signed on to become the head coach at Shiloh Christian high school in Springdale, Arkansas. There, he implemented the wide-open passing attack he's become known for, and installed a hurry-up offense partway through the 1996 season.

In that offseason, he took the team through 7-on-7s well before those leagues were common. The investment paid off in 1997, but it wasn't until 1998 that things really started rolling. The school won their first state championship then and their quarterback finished with 5,521 passing yards and 66 touchdowns.

Malzahn openly drew upon Steve Spurrier for inspiration when he was crafting his high school offenses and favored complexity and unpredictability, and when he coached at Shiloh, they were the first team to run a no-huddle offense in the state.

Shiloh broke state and national records with the offense, and were even inhibited by other high schools, who refused to play them because of an unfair advantage of awarding scholarships to students (the Arkansas Activities Association found no wrongdoing). Shiloh was a good program, but had never advanced past the third round of the playoffs before Malzahn arrived.

With Malzahn, Shiloh won two state championships, including an undefeated run spanning three seasons. After five seasons with Shiloh, Malzan moved to Springdale high school, where he led the team to become one of the best teams in Arkansas high school history.

Before he arrived, Springdale could generously be described as "run-first." In fact, they were run-only.

"At Springdale for years they had the mentality that only two things can happen when you throw a pass: an interception or incomplete pass. The only thing we ran close to a forward pass was a toss sweep." -Don Streubing, former Springdale offensive line coach, in al.com published in 7/14/13

His initial team in 2001 wasn't very good, and it's a credit to him that they were able to even put together a 7-4 record the next year. The fact that they made it to the state championship game is somewhat extraordinary. They returned to the playoffs in 2004, but a broken arm to the starting quarterback (Arkansas legend Mitch Mustain, one of the most decorated high school quarterbacks in history and Rivals.com #2 QB in the country behind Matt Stafford) in the semifinals on the first play made that too difficult a proposition.

In 2005, Springdale ended up ranked as the 5-7th best team in the country by various national outlets. They went undefeated that year and won the state championship 54-20, which was the closest margin of victory they had since the first game of the season (35-7).





Springdale didn't make it to a state championship game again, after Malzahn accepted a position as an offensive coordinator with Arkansas. The year before he joined, Arkansas' offense ranked 57th according to Football Outsiders' S&P+ and 59th in opponent-adjusted points. In 2006, they ranked 17th in S&P+ and 14th in opponent-adjusted points.

The problem is that Houston Nutt, the head coach, forced Malzahn to rein in the offense after a bad first showing (to the best team in the country at the time, USC). One might argue that giving up 50 points was a bigger problem than scoring 14, but three interceptions from USC didn't help matters.

Tension grew between Malzahn and Nutt, even though Malzahn ran the offense and provided fruitful and sometimes shocking results. Malzahn's time with Arkansas was over, because the no-huddle flavor that he was asked to bring was junked.Â Shortly after Rivals.com named him the offensive coordinator of the year, he left for Tulsa as an assistant head coach and co-offensive coordinator.

Evidently, Mitch Mustain committed to Arkansas because of Malzahn (who originally decommitted to Arkansas in 2005 in favor of Notre Dame after Cutcliffe recruited, but switched back to Arkansas after Malzahn signed on) and transferred to USC as a result of Arkansas losing Malzahn.

At any rate, Tulsa was able to grab Malzahn after ranking 44th in offense in S&P+ and 58rd in opponent-adjusted points, they advanced to 19th in offensive S&P+ and 17th in opponent-adjusted points. In his short time there, Tulsa became the first team in NCAA history to have a 5000 yard passer, three 1000 yard receivers and a 1000 yard running back in the same season. In total yardage, Malzahn's offenses ranked first in consecutive seasons at Tulsa.

For all the grief that Malzahn was getting early in his career for being "too pass-happy," his offenses were remarkably balanced at times and most times ranked higher in total rushing yardage than in total passing yardage.

After his success at Tulsa, Malzahn was hired by Gene Chizik, new head coach at Auburn, to be the offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach. The 2008 F/+ offensive ranking for Auburn was 94th and the opponent-adjusted offensive points ranked 104th. At the end of Malzahn's first year as a coordinator, Auburn ranked 29th and 6th in those respective systems.

In 2010, Auburn ranked first offensively in both systems.

Interestingly, with Chris Todd in at quarterback and the combination of Ben Tate and Onterio McCalebb in at running back, Auburn chose to run it (keeping in mind that NCAA statisticians track sacks as tackles-for-loss and runs) 545 times and pass it 363 times. At Tulsa, they decided to run 632 times and pass 421 times.

With Cam Newton, Michael Dyer and Onterio McCalebb in 2010, they ran 645 times but passed a scant 295 times. This wasn't because Newton decided to scramble, but because the play design itself would take advantage of Newton's unique physical capabilities. Cam Newton ranks fourth all-time in combined rushing and passing touchdowns (50), behind Tim Tebow of Florida in 2007, Chase Clement in 2008 at Rice and Paul Smith in 2007 at... Tulsa.

Losing Cam Newton was a big blow to the program, and the quarterback combination of Clint Moseley and Barrett Trotter wasn't working out, while highly-touted freshman recruit Kiehl Frazier (a Shiloh graduate) wasn't impressing either (he was converted to safety this year). They ranked 38th in opponent-adjusted points and 42nd in F/+. The bigger problem with the program overall was the defense, but the offense wasn't performing to its previous standards, either.

Either way, Malzahn made the strange decision to turn down Vanderbilt and Maryland to remain at Auburn as the offensive coordinator before making the more puzzling move of becoming the head coach of Arkansas State, a marginal competitor that did well against it's competition (10-3) and in its division (8-0), but didn't really have a dazzling resume, given that they were merely Sun Belt competitors.

At the time, there was speculation of tension growing between Chizik and Malzahn as it seemed like Chizik was becoming more and more involved with the offense. Malzahn had his own reasons for choosing Arkansas State for more established competitors out of state, although a viral video from his wifeÂ could have changed his calculations.

"When you take your first head college job, you need to know you can win, or you won't get to do it for very long. It was a place I knew I could recruit. I was very familiar with it because I knew all the high school coaches. A lot of them were my best friends. I planned on being there for two, three, four years at the very least." -Gus Malzahn to ESPN in an article dated 1/4/14

He didn't stay there for long, but in 2012 he moved a team that had been ranked 63rd in F/+ and 60th in opponent-adjusted point differential to 53rd in F/+ and 48th in opponent-adjusted point differential. Meanwhile, Auburn had dropped from 65th and 46th in those metrics to 105th and 70th.

Despite not improving the record (they stayed at 10-3, but this time won their bowl game, an improvement on last year), Auburn was reeling from their 3-9 showing under Chizik and promptly let him go. They came calling.

While it did seem like Chizik genuinely wanted to stay at Arkansas State for a few years, Auburn was "too big" to pass up. While he lost some recruits, he restored the program. Aside from the fact that they're not far from competing in the national championship, Malzahn took a team unranked in the preseason polls (or through Week 8 of the college season) to the cusp of the title. Auburn is currently ranked 6th in opponent-adjusted point differential, 4th in F/+ and 2nd in the national polls.

Over his early time in the high school ranks to the beginning of his college career, Malzahn's offenses moved from painstakingly complex to concisely simple, while still maintaining their cutting effectiveness and unpredictability. The height of this was put on display when Malzahn was hired by Auburn in order to make Cam Newton go.

As has become the mantra of Air Raid offenses over the years, Malzahn has come to embrace the philosophy, "if you're thinking, you're not playing."

All offenses had become simple, with no extra verbiage. It's easy to say that having Cam Newton made his job easy, but his earlier track record of success is hard to deny. Moreover, Cam may have been a phenomenal physical talent, but he had just come from Blinn College (and arrived there from a simple offense in Florida) and was now tasked with running a high-tempo offense where he would have to make a lot of calls at the line. There are very few, if any, college quarterbacks that can do that without a simplified system.

There is a good chance that if Malzahn is hired, he'll bring in Rhett Lashlee, his current offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach. Lashlee was coached by Malzahn in Shiloh Christian and under Malzahn's system still holds a number of Arkansas high school records, some of which areÂ national high school marks as well. Â Lashlee had been an assistant at Springdale High School under Malzahn and was brought as a graduate assistant when Malzahn moved to Arkansas.

When Malzahn moved to Tulsa, Lashlee decided that Tulsa wasn't for him (he wanted a stable life after just getting married) and started working for a high school sports magazine with his brother-in-law. He organized events, interviewed college recruits and generally did everything a magazine of that nature needed from him.

When Malzahn became the offensive coordinator at Auburn, Lashlee rejoined him as a graduate assistant. When Malzahn became the head coach at Arkansas State, Lashlee decided to spend a year as the offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach at Southern Methodist before connecting back up with Malzahn at Arkansas State as the OC and QB coach. He followed Malzahn back to Auburn.

The offenses that Lashlee and Malzahn have run combine run blocking concepts, much like the Vikings and the 49ers do now, in order to maximize what they're doing in the running game. For example, Cam was an asset running both zone-read options as well as "veer options," which use power blocking concepts.

Malzahn's greatest asset as an offensive mind is the ability to adapt and fold in new concepts as he sees it. The initial offense at Shiloh was the Delaware Wing-T, while the spread attack at Tulsa looked very little like the spread attack at Auburn. In order to make things easier, he even took concepts players were familiar with from other systems and made them concepts that fit into the system he was installing.

Above, he converts the Buck Sweep play that many at Arkansas State knew and turned it into a spread-style play. You can see how, at the end, he refers to the versatility the play offers, with naked bootlegs and read-option concepts begging to be added.

He's another guy who preaches "discipline," although that hardly seems unique at this point. He removed quarterback contact rules as head coach at Auburn in order to beef them back up, and he implemented some fairly harsh if somewhat traditional measures, like forcing every player to re-run sprints if one jogged over the line.

There are two great reads on Malzahn worth checking out:

There are a few other reads that are pretty good as well

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Buyout: $5 million

Record: 19-6 (Record before he arrived: 7-6)

Bowl Games: 2 (2-0)

Penalty Rate in 2013: 0.88% (42nd)

After Art Briles left Houston, Kevin Sumlin was tasked with sustaining or improving the Houston program, which he did. They went 8-5, 10-4, 5-7, then 13-1 with Sumlin and made three bowl appearances (two wins) in his four years before heading to Texas A&M, where may be best known as the architect of the offense that used Johnny Manziel, Mike Evans and an incredible set of offensive linemen to pull off dazzling wins.

He was originally a linebacker at Purdue between 1983 and 1986, and played alongside Jim Everett, Rod Woodson, Mel Gray, Cris Dishman and Fred Strickland.

He was initially a graduate assistant at Washington State (under retired spread offense guru Mike Price, with Ryan Leaf and one year with Dennis Erickson), then spent two years in Wyoming as a receivers coach. Between 1993 and 1996, he was the receivers coach for Minnesota and then became the quarterbacks coach.

Returning to his alma mater briefly in 1998, he was the receivers coach again, this time between 1998 and 2000.

Texas A&M offered him his first coordinating position in 2001, where he also was the assistant head coach. He then spent some time with Bob Stoops at Oklahoma as a special teams and tight end coach until he was promoted to co-offensive coordinator (and receivers coach) in 2006. In 2008, he took over the Houston program.

If you want a history of the specific style of spread run by Mike Leach and adapted by Art Briles and Kevin Sumlin, take a look at thisÂ long history by Smart Football on the Air Raid.

A benefit of Sumlin is not just his commitment to simple offensive principles, but his ability to invigorate and connect to players. He runs high-energy practices, and many have compared the energy throughout practice to Chip Kelly's ability, and this is evidently one of his strengths.

Evidently he rides them pretty hard





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Buyout: $4.375 million

Record: 37-15 (record before he arrived: 4-8)

Bowl games: 4 (3-1)

Penalty Rate in 2013: 0.54% (8th)

UPDATE: Charlie Strong has just interviewed with Texas Athletic Director Steven Patterson

UPDATE: Charlie Strong has accepted the Texas head coaching job.

Two consecutive years of 7-6 records were followed by a 23-3 run inspired byÂ a massive recruiting run on Miami, FloridaÂ after Randy Shannon was fired from the University of Miami (Florida) program. 25 of the Louisville players in the Russell Athletic Bowl were from the Miami area and many were Miami commits before switching to Louisville. The biggest name among them is now the largely agreed-upon top quarterback in the draft, Teddy Bridgewater.

Charlie Strong is largely a defensive coach, although he's been on both sides of the ball. He was a graduate assistant with Florida and Texas A&M and took his first true coaching job as a wide receivers coach for Southern Illinois in 1986. In 1988, Florida hired him as an outside linebackers coach under defensive coordinator Gary Darnell, who is currently the associate executive director of the American Football Coaches Association.

He spent a year at Ole Miss in 1990 as the receivers coach, then returned once more to Florida as the assistant head coach and defensive tackles coach for three years. In 1995, he was the defensive line coach for Notre Dame, then was the defensive coordinator for South Carolina between 1999 and 2001. It should be noted that he served under Bob Davie at Notre Dame, who was revolutionary in his own way.

Before he joined, South Carolina ranked 84th of 112 schools in CFB-Ref's point and SoS-adjusted rankings. In his years at SC, they ranked 32nd, 5th and 10thâa massive improvement.

In 2002, Florida hired him to be the defensive coordinator after Jon Hoke was hired to be the defensive backs coach of the expansion Houston Texans. That's a fairly difficult ask, given that the Florida defense under Hoke were 19th, 25th and then 2nd in the country.

Following that, Strong's defenses ranked 23rd, 23rd, 34th, 19th, 1st, 43rd, 2nd and 2nd in his tenure. His time there must have been well respected, because he was the only assistant retained by Urban Meyer when he was hired in 2005. Incidentally, Strong was the interim head coach for one game in 2005 because head coach Ron Zook was fired midway through the season (although he continued to coach everything but the bowl game).

One controversy he has been a part of was an interview in 2009, where he identified race as a big reason he was not offered the head coaching job at Florida, and in particular his interracial marriage allegedly made his interviewers "uncomfortable".

Urban Meyer went on to win two national championships with Florida.

Charlie Strong is perhaps best known for his pioneering of the 3-3-5 Stack defense at South Carolina (invented by Joe Lee Dunn at Memphis). They shifted to the 3-3-5 after their first season was a disappointment (in 1999, the defense ranked 32nd in opponent-adjusted points given up, but they went 0-11 in their first season after replacing a coaching staff that went 1-10 the previous year).

In this defense, there were three down linemen (almost always one-gap), three linebackers ("stacked" behind the line), two safeties who served as hybrid outside linebackers and three more traditional defensive backs. This arose from his time with Bob Davie, who many credit with stopping the run-and-shoot in college.

That scheme relied on adaptive blitzing from the 3-4 that took advantage of specific offensive concepts used in the 'shoot. He was basically college's Dick LeBeau, as the use of zone concepts with the blitz ruined most hot reads.

Strong took this and hid his relatively weak linebackers and invested in defensive backs in order to make it happen, and was one of the first great answers to the spread.

His defensive philosophy has always been to focus on controlling the tempo by prioritizing disruption above all else. The zone blitzes were heavily flavored with an exotic mix of stunts and rushing linebacker, sometimes showing blitz but only rushing fourâbut leaving a rusher free by the way they attacked the protection scheme.

At Florida, the 3-3-5 was an occasional package as they were almost exclusively 4-3. The same thing has held true at Louisville.

Despite the fact that Louisville is now largely known for its offense (ranked 19th in the nation by FO's F/+ formula) than its defense, it's a surprisingly strong defense outside of a well-published key set of moments against Blake Bortles and Central Florida (the defense ranks 22nd in F/+).

Strong is a sharp defensive mind, who can adapt to changing conditions and seems to understand the organizational challenges that come with running a program. He lived up to expectations this year, and perhaps even exceeded them.

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Buyout: Unknown, but "cost-prohibitive" or "costly," according to NU's athletic director.

Record: 55-46 (Record before he arrived 7-5)

Bowl Games: 5 (1-4)

Penalty Rate in 2013: 0.53% (6th)

Apologies for not having the buyout information. I tapped a few of my resources from people who would know, but they didn't. Neither did the internet have any information I could find.

"We were going to make it costly for him to leave and as well for anybody that would be interested in his services. And that's not his intention. I don't think you sign a 10-year deal and then, in a year from now, put the periscope up to see what else is out there." -Northwestern Athletic Director Jim Phillips

It seems unlikely that Pat Fitzgerald would leave Northwestern, even for an NFL team given his passionate devotion to Northwestern University and the Chicago area.

An alum of the Chicago (er... Evanston) school, he was a linebacker for four years who was inducted into the College Football Hall of Fame as a player and was twice named the Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year. He was also a two-time Consensus All-American. He won both the Nagurski Trophy and the Chuck Bednarik Award in 1995 and 1996.

He was on the Dallas Cowboys roster, but never played a down for them.

In 1998, he was the linebackers coach for Maryland (under Ron Vanderlinden, a Northwestern legend as a defensive coordinator) and was a significant part of their massive defensive improvement that year. The next year, he went to Colorado to work under Gary Barnett, who coached him at Northwestern (who was later suspended as a result of hisÂ terrible handling of a sexual assault allegation from the NCAA Division-I's first female point scorer, among other issues dogging the program). There, he worked under co-defensive coordinators Tom McMahon and Vince Okruch.

In 2000, Fitzgerald took an on a position coaching job at Idaho, again as a linebackers coach, and followed former offensive coordinator of the Buffaloes, Tom Cable (current offensive line coach at Seattle and former Raiders head coach), to Idaho.

Again just a year after, he joined Randy Walker's staff to return to Northwestern as a linebackers coach and recruiting coordinator the year after they exploded onto the college football scene with an exciting spread offense. In 2006, Randy Walker unexpectedly died of a heart attack, and Pat Fitzgerald was named the head coach.

I asked the SBNation site,Â SippinOnPurple what could be had from Fitzgerald as a possible hire:

Pat Fitzgerald is a great coach for Northwestern. He loves the school because the school loves him: once upon a time, he was an unrecruited linebacker who only had an offer from NU. He repaid their faith in him as a 17-year-old with a pair of Big Ten championships as a player and with a fire and passion as a coach nobody has ever really matched. However, I'm not sure that will translate to other schools, and especially not to the NFL. He's not a tactician. He's great at what he does because he can sell 17-year-olds on attending Northwestern and making something of themselves, both as a football player and as a not-football player. They believe him because he's done it, and want to run through walls. Fans, too, want to run through walls, but we aren't good enough at football so we just show up to the games in record numbers. Fitz really, really, really likes where he's at right now. He's under contract through 2020. He likes living in Chicago with his family and watching the Bears as a fan. And having turned down Michigan and Notre Dame in past, he seems to be freakishly devoted to Northwestern in ways even us fans don't fully comprehend. I don't see the NFL coming calling for him, and I don't see him taking the call if it comes.

It's true that the innovation and excellence that had been at Northwestern just a year ago (although not in 2013, evidently) have been driven by surprisingly good recruiting.Â Sports Illustrated highlighted this earlier this year:

Northwestern crossed the threshold somewhere along the way. The school's ability to compete for, and land, prized prospects became normal. . . . Much like the situation surrounding David Shaw and Stanford, it's simpler: Northwestern has been to a bowl game each of the last five seasons and has a coach who, by all accounts, plans to stay with the program for a very long time. That, plus academics, makes for a compelling recruiting package. . . . Four-star quarterback Clayton Thorson committed to Northwestern over Iowa, Illinois, Penn State and Ole Miss in March. Four-star athlete Dareian Watkins pledged the Wildcats over Penn State, Wisconsin, West Virginia and Louisville, among others, in May. Heralded running back Justin Jackson picked Northwestern out of a group of more than a dozen major-conference offers and fellow back Auston Anderson, a Plano, Texas, native, chose Northwestern over hometown Texas, TCU, Baylor and Texas Tech. . . . "We used to get plenty of high-level football players, but now we feel like our recruiting classes from top to bottom are very, very talented," said Adam Cushing, Northwestern's current offensive line coach and recruiting coordinator from 2008-11. "... Probably our entire class is made up of our top targets." Looking back, MacPherson thinks the change dates to the 2010 Outback Bowl, when the Wildcats lost a 38-35 heartbreaker to Auburn. That defeat still stings in Northwestern circles -- costly kicking errors prompted the team's second consecutive overtime bowl loss -- but the close performance spread the team's brand. It put Northwestern football on the map -- quite literally, in some prospects' minds. "I think that was kind of the beginning of it," said MacPherson. "That's a team that the next year went on to win the national championship. So for people to see us compete with them, take them to the brink -- and we really should've won that game -- I think that was really kind of the beginning of the awareness level." MacPherson continued: "We're a great academic institution. One of the best in the country. But it doesn't matter where you are, athletics is the front porch of your university. And in most programs, that's the football program. I think with the success we've had -- six straight years of bowl eligibility, five straight bowl games, 10-win season -- I think that raises your profile not only in the Midwest but across the country." The process of changing a program's recruiting culture is a lot like trying to lose weight: The lasting solutions aren't built on shortcuts, quick fixes or empty promises. Real change takes time, and time requires patience.

I'm not sure there isn't something to be said about Mick McCall, the offensive coordinator and quarterback's coach, in terms of programmatic improvement and I'll reiterate my generic argument that while you don't necessarily need a good recruiter, but you could very easily use a good recruiter's skills.

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Buyout: Unknown, but thought to be relatively low given his contract ($2.5 million a year)

Record: 37-15 (Record before he arrived: 6-6)

Bowls: 4 (2-2)

Penalty Rate in 2013: 1.30% (104th)

It would be criminal not to include a Notre Dame head coach if Rick Spielman has any say in who gets hired, and Kelly has done an excellent job, leading the Fighting Irish to a national championship game shortly after the program was struggling to maintain competitive relevance before he arrived.

Brian Kelly played linebacker at Assumption College and was a four-year letter-winner. Immediately afterwards, he joined the Assumption coaching staff and starting out as a position coach (linebackers) before moving to defensive coordinator. In that time, he also happened to be their softball coach.

In 1987, he became a graduate assistant under head coach Tom Beck at Grand Valley State, known mostly for its explosive offenses. That team was a Division II wrecking ball, as it continuously found itself in the playoffs and even posted an undefeated season.

There, he moved up the ranks to defensive coordinator, and then became a head coach shortly after Tom Beck left for Notre Dame as the offensive coordinator under Lou Holtz in 1991. In order to get that job, Kelly beat out three other candidates at the age of 28, and he started off by taking down the national champions, North Dakota State in Fargoâwho just came off an undefeated season and a 25 home game winning streak.

Kelly stayed at Grand Valley State for 13 years. Early on, the Grand Valley State Lakers would continuously make the playoffs before exiting in the first round, but in 1998 took a turn for the better.

Not long after quarterback Curt Anes turned down rival Ferris State because he didn't want to play in Division II, KellyrecruitedÂ Anes to play for Grand Valley State.Â Reportedly, Anes told friends,Â "Here's another D-II guy. I'm going to lay him down softly." After the meeting was over, Anes changed his tune:Â "It was almost like he prophesied over me."

Over the course of Anes' scholarship, Kelly implemented new offensive changes, and eventually built a spread system despite his defensive background. In 2001, the offense averaged 600 yards and 58.6 points a game despite starters rarely playing in the second half. After Anes injured himself in the first round of the playoffs that year, Kelly installed a wishbone offense for the next week, and they advanced to the championship game.

They didn't grab the title, but they went undefeated the next year and rostered 11 all-Americans, including Anes who won the Harlon Hill Trophy (the Division II Heisman equivalent, an award Danny Woodhead has won twice, and a trophy Joique Bell earned once as well).

He won two national championships with Grand Valley State, and when he left for Central Michigan, his former assistant Chuck Martin, took over the program and won two more. Chuck Martin is now the Miami of Ohio head coach and accepted that position after four years of working under Brian Kelly once more at Notre Dame, as a defensive backs coach, offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach.

At Central Michigan, Kelly replaced a struggling Mike DeBord, who posted a 12-34 record in his four seasons there. Kelly improved the squad to 19-16. What's worrisome is that he was evidently not very well liked at CMU, but that could be the case for many successful coaches.

There is a scandal involving Kelly at CMU, where at least four of his players (three months before the season opener) evidently beat a man to death. Two former players pleaded no contest to involuntary manslaughter and two pleaded no contest to attempted assault with a dangerous weapon.

Kelly's response to the team didn't draw much ire, but his response to why CMU players may have perjured themselves in testimony when asked by the Detroit Free Press embroiled him in controversy:

"For example, a number of them were African-Americans that had been in that culture of violence, and they're taught to look away. You don't want anything to do with it. Get out of there. You don't say anything to anybody. "That is a culture that they are immersed in. When they come here, their first reaction is to react the way they've been taught to react in their culture and in their environment. That's difficult." -Brian Kelly in the Detroit Free Press on 9/22/05

Later, he was appointed head coach at Cincinnati and immediately was asked to coach the Bearcats in their bowl game right after Mark Dantonio left for Michigan State (on the heels of an 8-5 record). They won that bowl game (against Central Michigan rival Western Michigan, interestingly), and Kelly led Cincinnati to 10, then 11, then 12-win season, where he went undefeated in 2009.

The 10-win season was Cincinnati's first since 1949, and following it with one more win (and its first ever Big East title, with the program's first ever wins over WVU and Pitt) and then an undefeated season is huge. He left before that team played in the Sugar Bowl against Florida (ranked #3 before the game), so he ended up with an impressive 34-6 record.

He has a reputation as an obnoxious "climber," although I'm not really sure that's entirely a bad thing, although it did rub players the wrong way from time to time. When he left Cincinnati, a lot of people covering him were shocked that he left abruptly and after lying to his players, the administration and the media. Honestly, it feels like these people have never covered football.

Brian Kelly's time at Notre Dame are an improvement over Charlie Weis', but I do think his success is being overstated. He had one phenomenal season, to go with two 8-win seasons and a 9-win season this year. Nevertheless, it's not as easy to win at Notre Dame as it used to be, and it's clear he's thrust the program back into the national spotlight.

Partway through the season when I askedÂ One Foot Down, the Notre Dame SBNation partner site, they had a lot to say.

Prior to the end of last season I think the consensus was that Kelly was a college coach through and through and it would be unlikely that he'd want to move on to the NFL. After the contact with the Eagles back in January that belief may have taken a hit---and it certainly has done so for some Irish fans who think our coach should believe South Bend is the pinnacle of the coaching universe and even entertaining any NFL offers is outright treason. Yeah, some of our fans can be ridiculous. 10 months later it's still difficult to understand what Kelly's intentions were but I really don't think he's dying to coach in the NFL and his talks with the Eagles (where it's rumored he was never made an offer, by the way) were either curiosity having never been seriously considered for such an opening or a crafty negotiating tactic with Notre Dame. Honestly, it's hard not to look back and see how blown out of proportion the Eagles dalliance was for Irish fans. He was contacted by Philly prior to the national title game, he directed them to his agent, the Irish AD was made aware of the contact, etc. Basically, things exploded because Notre Dame got crushed in the title game and Kelly went MIA for about 2 days after the game when he was on vacation with his family and the Eagles rumors broke. Since then, he's negotiated a new deal with Notre Dame through (I think) the 2017 season, although you might want to double check that date. Some people are still worried because Kelly's been viewed as a "climber" in his profession but with this new extension I doubt he leaves South Bend any time soon. The negotiations took months and despite the talk from the school that it was no big deal most believe Kelly was fighting hard to get some more power within the University and to help him run the football program---no easy task at Notre Dame. I just don't think he'd go through all this trouble just to jet to the NFL this off-season. I also think he's seeing what's happening to Chip Kelly now and that example is probably hitting home for him to stay in college. Brian Kelly's specialty is building college programs and motivating 18 to 22-year olds. I think there's a chance that at some point down the road---maybe after he gets frustrated by Notre Dame's standards and/or meddling Administration or he can't get over the hump as it were---I could see him trying the NFL out. I just don't think it's going to happen this off-season. Maybe in 3 to 5 years.

Again, I do think that some