Authors: Sean McElwee, Executive Director of Data for Progress, Jason Ganz, CTO of Data for Progress,

From 2/23 to 2/27, Data for Progress Data for Progress surveyed 536 likely voters in North Carolina and 513 likely voters in Texas via text to web. Likely voters were identified from the voter file and weighted to a likely electorate. Our margin of error is +/- 4.2 percent for NC and +/- 4.3 percent for TX.

Topline Results

Texas:

Sanders - 30

Biden - 21

Bloomberg - 21

Warren - 13

Buttigieg - 9

Klobuchar - 5

Steyer - 1

Gabbard - 1

North Carolina

Sanders - 27

Biden - 25

Bloomberg - 18

Warren - 11

Buttigieg - 10

Klobuchar - 6

Steyer - 1

Gabbard - 1

Senator Bernie Sanders maintains a lead Texas and North Carolina, two states which are casting their ballot on Super Tuesday, March 3rd. Sanders leads by 9 points in Texas, which is particularly notable given the huge number of delegates at stake in the country’s second most populous state. Sanders’ margin in North Carolina is smaller at 2 points, but given that this was a state which he lost by fourteen points in 2016, this is still a results the Sanders camp would be happy with.

Sanders, Biden and Bloomberg are the only candidates to cross the 15% delegate threshold, and all three are on track to get delegates in both of these states. Senator Elizabeth Warren and former Mayor Pete Buttigieg both miss delegates by a fairly narrow margin.