Lazzi Profile Joined June 2011 Switzerland 1917 Posts Last Edited: 2014-09-17 19:35:15 #541 But... where's Pigbaby? He has at least 2000 points from his win in WCS NA but he isn't between soO and Inno. Parting is god

Torrefy Profile Joined August 2014 41 Posts Last Edited: 2014-09-17 19:41:02 #542 I think Jaedong is in trouble if he doesn't make it out of his group, especially if he falls out in last place. Which is very possible considering his group. MMA is very likely to make it out of his group and would jump him. sOs just needs to pick up ANY points from Red Bull or Stockholm (assuming he goes, which I think he is.) Same with Snute, just making the RO.16 at Stockholm is enough.



That would put Jaedong at 16th. After that he can be jumped by either soO or Rain if they make the GSL finals. Also by HerO, Pigbaby, Bunny, INnoVation, Scarlett, ForGG, Welmu, Heart, HuK or Golden if they win their respective WCS regions. Scarlett could also tie him by taking second in WCS and winning Red Bull. Each of these individually may be pretty unlikely (although a few of them are actually somewhat likely) but the likelihood of NONE of these happening is also pretty low.



Of course players like soO, Rain, sOs and INnoVation deserve to be in there over Jaedong, especially considering the form he's shown for a lot of the year, but I'd still like to see Jaedong make it. Basically he either needs to get it together and squeeze out of his group (although even going out in third place and picking up 100 points would eliminate a few of these situations), or EG better ship him out to Stockholm if they want him at Blizzcon.



edit* Pigbaby actually only needs to make the semi-finals.

Die4Ever Profile Joined August 2010 United States 15974 Posts #543 On September 18 2014 04:35 Lazzi wrote:

But... where's Pigbaby? He has at least 2000 points from his win in WCS NA but he isn't between soO and Inno.

Innovation is at 1975 points, Pigbaby is at 2200, but Innovation has a ~29% chance to win GSL while Pigbaby only has a ~2.3% chance to win WCS AM. Part of this is because Innovation is already way farther in the tournament being in the semifinals instead of the ro16 so he has less matches he needs to win, also Pigbaby is in the group of death, and Innovation has a really good Aligulac rating. Innovation is at 1975 points, Pigbaby is at 2200, but Innovation has a ~29% chance to win GSL while Pigbaby only has a ~2.3% chance to win WCS AM. Part of this is because Innovation is already way farther in the tournament being in the semifinals instead of the ro16 so he has less matches he needs to win, also Pigbaby is in the group of death, and Innovation has a really good Aligulac rating. "Expert"

Die4Ever Profile Joined August 2010 United States 15974 Posts #544 On September 18 2014 04:36 Torrefy wrote:

I think Jaedong is in trouble if he doesn't make it out of his group, especially if he falls out in last place. Which is very possible considering his group. MMA is very likely to make it out of his group and would jump him. sOs just needs to pick up ANY points from Red Bull or Stockholm (assuming he goes, which I think he is.) Same with Snute, just making the RO.16 at Stockholm is enough.



That would put Jaedong at 16th. After that he can be jumped by either soO or Rain if they make the GSL finals. Also by HerO, Pigbaby, Bunny, INnoVation, Scarlett, ForGG, Welmu, Heart, HuK or Golden if they win their respective WCS regions. Scarlett could also tie him by taking second in WCS and winning Red Bull. Each of these individually may be pretty unlikely (although a few of them are actually somewhat likely) but the likelihood of NONE of these happening is also pretty low.



Of course players like soO, Rain, sOs and INnoVation deserve to be in there over Jaedong, especially considering the form he's shown for a lot of the year, but I'd still like to see Jaedong make it. Basically he either needs to get it together and squeeze out of his group (although even going out in third place and picking up 100 points would eliminate a few of these situations), or EG better ship him out to Stockholm if they want him at Blizzcon.

yep



~ 56.89 % of the time

Jaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16

This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances

from ~ 82.11 % to ~ 68.56 %



~ 0.43 % of the time

Jaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 and

INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and

Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and

soO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S

This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances

from ~ 82.11 % to ~ 8.5 %



~ 0.43 % of the time

Jaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 and

Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and

soO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S and

Cure gets 4th in GSL S3 Code S

This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances

from ~ 82.11 % to ~ 8.5 %



~ 0.16 % of the time

Jaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 and

soO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S and

MMA gets 4th in WCS EU S3 Premier and

Snute gets 16th in DreamHack Stockholm

This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances

from ~ 82.11 % to ~ 11.17 %



~ 0.59 % of the time

Jaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 and

soO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S and

Cure gets 4th in GSL S3 Code S and

sOs gets 4th in Red Bull Washington

This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances

from ~ 82.11 % to ~ 11.3 %



~ 0.59 % of the time

Jaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 and

INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and

soO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S and

sOs gets 4th in Red Bull Washington

This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances

from ~ 82.11 % to ~ 11.3 %



~ 0.14 % of the time

Jaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 and

Bunny gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier and

soO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S and

Snute gets 16th in DreamHack Stockholm

This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances

from ~ 82.11 % to ~ 11.35 %



~ 0.27 % of the time

Jaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 and

soO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S and

sOs gets 4th in Red Bull Washington and

Snute gets 16th in DreamHack Stockholm

This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances

from ~ 82.11 % to ~ 12.73 %



~ 0.75 % of the time

Jaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 and

INnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S and

Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and

sOs gets 4th in Red Bull Washington

This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances

from ~ 82.11 % to ~ 13.11 %



~ 0.38 % of the time

Jaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 and

Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and

sOs gets 4th in Red Bull Washington and

MMA gets 4th in WCS EU S3 Premier

This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances

from ~ 82.11 % to ~ 13.39 %



~ 0.49 % of the time

Jaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 and

Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and

soO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S and

MMA wins their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro16

This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chances

from ~ 82.11 % to ~ 13.58 % yep~ 56.89 % of the timeJaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chancesfrom ~ 82.11 % to ~ 68.56 %~ 0.43 % of the timeJaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 andINnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S andScarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier andsoO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code SThis would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chancesfrom ~ 82.11 % to ~ 8.5 %~ 0.43 % of the timeJaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 andScarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier andsoO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S andCure gets 4th in GSL S3 Code SThis would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chancesfrom ~ 82.11 % to ~ 8.5 %~ 0.16 % of the timeJaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 andsoO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S andMMA gets 4th in WCS EU S3 Premier andSnute gets 16th in DreamHack StockholmThis would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chancesfrom ~ 82.11 % to ~ 11.17 %~ 0.59 % of the timeJaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 andsoO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S andCure gets 4th in GSL S3 Code S andsOs gets 4th in Red Bull WashingtonThis would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chancesfrom ~ 82.11 % to ~ 11.3 %~ 0.59 % of the timeJaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 andINnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S andsoO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S andsOs gets 4th in Red Bull WashingtonThis would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chancesfrom ~ 82.11 % to ~ 11.3 %~ 0.14 % of the timeJaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 andBunny gets 1st in WCS EU S3 Premier andsoO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S andSnute gets 16th in DreamHack StockholmThis would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chancesfrom ~ 82.11 % to ~ 11.35 %~ 0.27 % of the timeJaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 andsoO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S andsOs gets 4th in Red Bull Washington andSnute gets 16th in DreamHack StockholmThis would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chancesfrom ~ 82.11 % to ~ 12.73 %~ 0.75 % of the timeJaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 andINnoVation gets 1st in GSL S3 Code S andScarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier andsOs gets 4th in Red Bull WashingtonThis would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chancesfrom ~ 82.11 % to ~ 13.11 %~ 0.38 % of the timeJaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 andScarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier andsOs gets 4th in Red Bull Washington andMMA gets 4th in WCS EU S3 PremierThis would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chancesfrom ~ 82.11 % to ~ 13.39 %~ 0.49 % of the timeJaedong loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16 andScarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier andsoO gets 2nd in GSL S3 Code S andMMA wins their next match in WCS EU S3 Premier ro16This would change Jaedong's Blizzcon chancesfrom ~ 82.11 % to ~ 13.58 % "Expert"

Torrefy Profile Joined August 2014 41 Posts Last Edited: 2014-09-17 19:48:07 #545 On September 18 2014 04:38 Die4Ever wrote:

Show nested quote +

On September 18 2014 04:35 Lazzi wrote:

But... where's Pigbaby? He has at least 2000 points from his win in WCS NA but he isn't between soO and Inno.

Innovation is at 1975 points, Pigbaby is at 2200, but Innovation has a ~29% chance to win GSL while Pigbaby only has a ~2.3% chance to win WCS AM. Part of this is because Innovation is already way farther in the tournament being in the semifinals instead of the ro16 so he has less matches he needs to win, also Pigbaby is in the group of death, and Innovation has a really good Aligulac rating. Innovation is at 1975 points, Pigbaby is at 2200, but Innovation has a ~29% chance to win GSL while Pigbaby only has a ~2.3% chance to win WCS AM. Part of this is because Innovation is already way farther in the tournament being in the semifinals instead of the ro16 so he has less matches he needs to win, also Pigbaby is in the group of death, and Innovation has a really good Aligulac rating.



That is true, and INno certainly should be above Pigbaby. However it's hard to believe that Pigbaby's chances could be so far below the likes of for example ForGG or Yoda as to not even get him into the top 25. Especially since he doesn't even have to win to give himself a reasonable chance, getting second would give him 3000 points and a decent possibility of making it. ForGG or Yoda or Scarlett or Bunny, etc would have to actually win their WCS regions to make it. That counts for something.



I guess the group of death factor must be really coming into play hard here. That is true, and INno certainly should be above Pigbaby. However it's hard to believe that Pigbaby's chances could be so far below the likes of for example ForGG or Yoda as to not even get him into the top 25. Especially since he doesn't even have to win to give himself a reasonable chance, getting second would give him 3000 points and a decent possibility of making it. ForGG or Yoda or Scarlett or Bunny, etc would have to actually win their WCS regions to make it. That counts for something.I guess the group of death factor must be really coming into play hard here.

opisska Profile Blog Joined February 2011 Poland 8848 Posts #546 The answer to the question "which foreigners could qualify" just got quite a bit more simple. "Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk

Die4Ever Profile Joined August 2010 United States 15974 Posts #547 On September 18 2014 04:46 Torrefy wrote:

Show nested quote +

On September 18 2014 04:38 Die4Ever wrote:

On September 18 2014 04:35 Lazzi wrote:

But... where's Pigbaby? He has at least 2000 points from his win in WCS NA but he isn't between soO and Inno.

Innovation is at 1975 points, Pigbaby is at 2200, but Innovation has a ~29% chance to win GSL while Pigbaby only has a ~2.3% chance to win WCS AM. Part of this is because Innovation is already way farther in the tournament being in the semifinals instead of the ro16 so he has less matches he needs to win, also Pigbaby is in the group of death, and Innovation has a really good Aligulac rating. Innovation is at 1975 points, Pigbaby is at 2200, but Innovation has a ~29% chance to win GSL while Pigbaby only has a ~2.3% chance to win WCS AM. Part of this is because Innovation is already way farther in the tournament being in the semifinals instead of the ro16 so he has less matches he needs to win, also Pigbaby is in the group of death, and Innovation has a really good Aligulac rating.



That is true, and INno certainly should be above Pigbaby. However it's hard to believe that Pigbaby's chances could be so far below the likes of for example ForGG or Yoda as to not even get him into the top 25. Especially since he doesn't even have to win to give himself a reasonable chance, getting second would give him 3000 points and a decent possibility of making it. ForGG or Yoda or Scarlett or Bunny, etc would have to actually win their WCS regions to make it. That counts for something.



I guess the group of death factor must be really coming into play hard here. That is true, and INno certainly should be above Pigbaby. However it's hard to believe that Pigbaby's chances could be so far below the likes of for example ForGG or Yoda as to not even get him into the top 25. Especially since he doesn't even have to win to give himself a reasonable chance, getting second would give him 3000 points and a decent possibility of making it. ForGG or Yoda or Scarlett or Bunny, etc would have to actually win their WCS regions to make it. That counts for something.I guess the group of death factor must be really coming into play hard here.

Pigbaby also has a pretty low aligulac rating. And Scarlett, Yoda, and Bunny are in the ro8 already.



And yea the group of death factor, he only has a ~36.5% chance to advance from the group, while the other players you mention are I think all above 50% chances to win their next match.



Starts in

Pigbaby must win this!

Jaedong! This match is important for

TaeJa, HyuN, Jaedong, Pigbaby in

- ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014

~ 64.44 % of the time ~ 100 % .

~ 35.56 % of the time ~ 100 % .

-------------------------------------------------

- ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014

~ 55.92 % of the time ~ 100 % .

~ 44.08 % of the time ~ 100 % .

-------------------------------------------------

- ~ 83.29 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014

~ 43.12 % of the time ~ 99.99 % .

~ 56.88 % of the time ~ 70.63 % .

-------------------------------------------------

- ~ 4.65 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014

~ 36.51 % of the time ~ 12.52 % .

~ 63.49 % of the time ~ 0.12 % .

Pigbaby also has a pretty low aligulac rating. And Scarlett, Yoda, and Bunny are in the ro8 already.And yea the group of death factor, he only has a ~36.5% chance to advance from the group, while the other players you mention are I think all above 50% chances to win their next match.Starts inTaeJa, HyuN, Jaedong, Pigbaby in WCS AM S3 Premier TaeJa is atchances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014of the time TaeJa wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up toof the time TaeJa loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to------------------------------------------------- HyuN is atchances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014of the time HyuN wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up toof the time HyuN loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to------------------------------------------------- Jaedong is atchances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014of the time Jaedong wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up toof the time Jaedong loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to------------------------------------------------- Pigbaby is atchances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014of the time Pigbaby wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up toof the time Pigbaby loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to "Expert"

Die4Ever Profile Joined August 2010 United States 15974 Posts #548 On September 18 2014 04:52 opisska wrote:

The answer to the question "which foreigners could qualify" just got quite a bit more simple.

Snute ~ 49.04 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 70.58 % chance overall.

Scarlett ~ 6.78 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 19.63 % chance overall.

Bunny ~ 3.55 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 12.19 % chance overall.

HuK ~ 0.77 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.09 % chance overall.

Welmu ~ 0.73 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.64 % chance overall.

Dayshi ~ 0.13 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.54 % chance overall.

Happy ~ 0.06 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.52 % chance overall.

MaNa ~ 0.02 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.91 % chance overall.

TLO ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. Snute ~ 49.04 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 70.58 % chance overall.Scarlett ~ 6.78 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 19.63 % chance overall.Bunny ~ 3.55 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 12.19 % chance overall.HuK ~ 0.77 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.09 % chance overall.Welmu ~ 0.73 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.64 % chance overall.Dayshi ~ 0.13 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.54 % chance overall.Happy ~ 0.06 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.52 % chance overall.MaNa ~ 0.02 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.91 % chance overall.TLO ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. "Expert"

opisska Profile Blog Joined February 2011 Poland 8848 Posts #549 On September 18 2014 04:53 Die4Ever wrote:

Show nested quote +

On September 18 2014 04:52 opisska wrote:

The answer to the question "which foreigners could qualify" just got quite a bit more simple.

Snute ~ 49.04 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 70.58 % chance overall.

Scarlett ~ 6.78 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 19.63 % chance overall.

Bunny ~ 3.55 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 12.19 % chance overall.

HuK ~ 0.77 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.09 % chance overall.

Welmu ~ 0.73 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.64 % chance overall.

Dayshi ~ 0.13 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.54 % chance overall.

Happy ~ 0.06 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.52 % chance overall.

MaNa ~ 0.02 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.91 % chance overall.

TLO ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. Snute ~ 49.04 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 70.58 % chance overall.Scarlett ~ 6.78 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 19.63 % chance overall.Bunny ~ 3.55 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 12.19 % chance overall.HuK ~ 0.77 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.09 % chance overall.Welmu ~ 0.73 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.64 % chance overall.Dayshi ~ 0.13 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.54 % chance overall.Happy ~ 0.06 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.52 % chance overall.MaNa ~ 0.02 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.91 % chance overall.TLO ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall.



This is after TLO lost his group? How the hell does he qualify? This is after TLO lost his group? How the hell does he qualify? "Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk

The_Templar Profile Blog Joined January 2011 your Country 52593 Posts #550 On September 18 2014 04:58 opisska wrote:

Show nested quote +

On September 18 2014 04:53 Die4Ever wrote:

On September 18 2014 04:52 opisska wrote:

The answer to the question "which foreigners could qualify" just got quite a bit more simple.

Snute ~ 49.04 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 70.58 % chance overall.

Scarlett ~ 6.78 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 19.63 % chance overall.

Bunny ~ 3.55 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 12.19 % chance overall.

HuK ~ 0.77 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.09 % chance overall.

Welmu ~ 0.73 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.64 % chance overall.

Dayshi ~ 0.13 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.54 % chance overall.

Happy ~ 0.06 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.52 % chance overall.

MaNa ~ 0.02 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.91 % chance overall.

TLO ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. Snute ~ 49.04 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 70.58 % chance overall.Scarlett ~ 6.78 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 19.63 % chance overall.Bunny ~ 3.55 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 12.19 % chance overall.HuK ~ 0.77 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.09 % chance overall.Welmu ~ 0.73 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.64 % chance overall.Dayshi ~ 0.13 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.54 % chance overall.Happy ~ 0.06 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.52 % chance overall.MaNa ~ 0.02 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.91 % chance overall.TLO ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall.



This is after TLO lost his group? How the hell does he qualify? This is after TLO lost his group? How the hell does he qualify?

Wins dreamhack, wins placement tournament, something like that? Wins dreamhack, wins placement tournament, something like that? Moderator Starcraft 3 when

Die4Ever Profile Joined August 2010 United States 15974 Posts Last Edited: 2014-09-17 20:01:57 #551 On September 18 2014 04:58 opisska wrote:

Show nested quote +

On September 18 2014 04:53 Die4Ever wrote:

On September 18 2014 04:52 opisska wrote:

The answer to the question "which foreigners could qualify" just got quite a bit more simple.

Snute ~ 49.04 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 70.58 % chance overall.

Scarlett ~ 6.78 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 19.63 % chance overall.

Bunny ~ 3.55 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 12.19 % chance overall.

HuK ~ 0.77 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.09 % chance overall.

Welmu ~ 0.73 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.64 % chance overall.

Dayshi ~ 0.13 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.54 % chance overall.

Happy ~ 0.06 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.52 % chance overall.

MaNa ~ 0.02 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.91 % chance overall.

TLO ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall. Snute ~ 49.04 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 70.58 % chance overall.Scarlett ~ 6.78 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 19.63 % chance overall.Bunny ~ 3.55 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 12.19 % chance overall.HuK ~ 0.77 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.09 % chance overall.Welmu ~ 0.73 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 2.64 % chance overall.Dayshi ~ 0.13 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.54 % chance overall.Happy ~ 0.06 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.52 % chance overall.MaNa ~ 0.02 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.91 % chance overall.TLO ~ 0.01 % chance to be the only foreigner, ~ 0.01 % chance overall.



This is after TLO lost his group? How the hell does he qualify? This is after TLO lost his group? How the hell does he qualify?

well so far he's only qualified 2 times out of 4 million samples lol, it's literally half of a 1 in a million chance, so it's very rare and almost certainly includes the placeholder tournament and dreamhack, I force the %s to round in such a way that if it's not 0% it won't show 0%, and if it's not 100% then it won't show 100% even if it's really close well so far he's only qualified 2 times out of 4 million samples lol, it's literally half of a 1 in a million chance, so it's very rare and almost certainly includes the placeholder tournament and dreamhack, I force the %s to round in such a way that if it's not 0% it won't show 0%, and if it's not 100% then it won't show 100% even if it's really close "Expert"

opisska Profile Blog Joined February 2011 Poland 8848 Posts #552 Ok thanks, makes sense. I forgot you still have the placeholder (not a critique, I think it is a good idea). I just looked at the results today (not watching games) and i really lol'd that both of the remotely promising foreigners got booted together. "Jeez, that's far from ideal." - Serral, the king of mild trashtalk

Die4Ever Profile Joined August 2010 United States 15974 Posts #553 On September 18 2014 05:05 opisska wrote:

Ok thanks, makes sense. I forgot you still have the placeholder (not a critique, I think it is a good idea). I just looked at the results today (not watching games) and i really lol'd that both of the remotely promising foreigners got booted together.

Yea, we're getting pretty close though I think I'm gonna turn it down a bit. Right now the placeholder is at 25%, I'm thinking after WCS AM tonight I'm gonna bring it down to just 5%. Yea, we're getting pretty close though I think I'm gonna turn it down a bit. Right now the placeholder is at 25%, I'm thinking after WCS AM tonight I'm gonna bring it down to just 5%. "Expert"

argonautdice Profile Joined January 2013 Canada 2298 Posts #554 14 people fighting for 4 spots at blizzcon so intense I've waited for Newbee flair for so long I am now waiting for BSG flair.

Popkiller Profile Blog Joined March 2012 3412 Posts #556 it's getting gooooodddd

asongdotnet Profile Blog Joined March 2012 United States 1056 Posts #557 MMA is in a much better position from the bottom 4 of the top 16... he will almost assuredly win his ro16 group, which would give him an additional 300 points. He has to be a favorite over most of the remaining players in WCS EU

Trasko Profile Blog Joined July 2010 Sweden 972 Posts #558 Jaedong has to go to Dreamhack Stockholm so he can regain the points he lost T_T Jaedong <3

thantritue Profile Joined February 2010 Vietnam 70 Posts #559 WOW! Inno is so close!

Hope he can make it.

Shellshock Profile Blog Joined March 2011 United States 95646 Posts #560 I just feel like it's unacceptable if soO doesn't make it but his chances have really gone down after that unsuccessful kespa cup Moderator http://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png

Prev 1 26 27 28 29 30 50 Next All