China's people have been brainwashed into meek subservient sheep by propaganda and censorship. Chinese revolution is not plausible because the government has too much control. The Chinese government controls the population so well, that they do not even know they are being oppressed. This brainwashing starts from a very young age and it is not likely that a revolution will happen any time soon. Those who do speak out are often dealt with very quickly and brutally. With the use of censorship, propaganda and surveillance, the government controls absolutely everything. Even if a revolution does spark even a little, it is immediately stamped out. Unless there is some outside assistance to educate the people about basic rights, there can be no revolution for the people. Posted by: 26hungb Report Post

No, it isn't politically feasible or realistic. One of the first obstacles to Chinese democracy is the structure of the Party-State system itself. The president, that is, the Head of State, occupies the top state billet despite the fact that he can technically be removed from office by the National People’s Congress (NPC) (Charlton 2009, 224-225). This is contrary to democratic practices seen in the United States where the president has an extremely influential position but has powers that do not exceed that of Congress or the Supreme Court and vice versa. Simply, the Chinese government does not have a system of checks and balances normally seen in fully functioning democracies. In China, the President is mostly a symbolic position and he has relatively limited authority compared to the Premier, who is the head of government and exercises enormous autonomy and authority. However, it is possible for an individual to hold multiple billets to give an individual more authority, as is the case with the current president, Xi Jinping. The organization of the Chinese Communist Party is also a self-licking ice cream cone; the Politburo nominates members of the Central Committee as the Central Committee elects members of the Politburo (Chartlon 2009, 227). Members of the government are unlikely to not support their immediate leaders who are supporting them.



Democratic governments generally feature a civil service that does not answer to any particular party. In China, the entire civil service, as well as the military, is subordinate to the Communist Party (Charlton 2009, 229). Because of the history and ideology behind Mao Zedong and his party, implementing democratic institutions would require a complete abandonment of communism. This is unlikely to happen as doing so would admit ideological, and thus, political defeat by China in the face of Western competition. China remained a communist state long after Mao’s death, and the current success of China’s massive economy is not going to provide an incentive for abandoning communism (Perry 2007, 1). The ongoing disconnect between regional and central governments as well as the glaring disparity between rural and urban quality of life would further contribute to the difficulty of establishing a democracy in China (Charlton 2009, 241). For a revolution to occur in the same way it did, the country would need to be in political upheaval in the way it was when the nationalists and communists were fighting for power. Although China has its own problems, the current situation is not restive enough for a revolution to spark (Perry 2007, 5-6).



Reference List:



Charlton, Sue Ellen M.. 2009. Comparing Asian Politics : India, China, and Japan. Boulder, CO, USA: Westview Press. Accessed January 19, 2015. ProQuest ebrary.



Perry, Elizabeth J. 2007. “STUDYING CHINESE POLITICS: FAREWELL TO REVOLUTION?” The China Journal (57): 1-22. Accessed January 19, 2015. http://search.proquest.com/docview/222736038?accountid=8289. Report Post

Regional rebellions are plausable, but revolution is unlikely The current economy, though slowing of late, will keep most of the Chinese citizens happy with the current state of affairs. Additionally, the government is currently too powerful for widespread revolt excluding the possibility of massive foreign destabilization. I can imagine smaller regional conflicts arising, but nothing further in the next decade Report Post

China will not have a revolution in next few years Most chinese, especially who live in countryside, are not literate enough. They would not go against the government, as long as there have money to make and food to feed, and they could not see what a revolution could bring to them.

Secondly, there is no other party in China could replace the Communist Party, which is at the overwhelming advantage compared to other parties. In other word, chinese have no choice but obey the ruling of Communist Party. They have no alternative better solution.

Thirdly, chinese elites are on the movement of move out of china. The most rich, smartest people in china turn out to be citizens in other countries, because they don't believe the whole revolution thing would work out. Report Post

The people are too distracted The average Chinese are used to strict rule and will not openly revolt. Also most Chinese living in the cities are too worried about making money to rebel. I think that as a long as there is money to be made and food to be eaten the people will not do anything crazy. Report Post

China will not experience a revolution in the next ten years, because things are going too well. It's true that Chinese society is changing rapidly, and that lower and rural classes are being somewhat left out of the industrialization and rapid urbanization of their country. However, a lot of this growth and change is planned and managed by a central authority with absolute power. Western nations that also underwent this transformation without governments getting overthrown, and Beijing is managing their change. Posted by: FlakyHerb64 Report Post

Unlike other countries in recent times, I do not believe that China will be experiencing a revolution any time in the near future. In spite of the success of revolutions in other countries, in recent years, I do not believe that China will be experiencing any revolutions any time soon, let alone in the next decade. China, in contrast to those other countries, and in spite of its many human rights abuses, is a rather stable and rich country. Posted by: BrownDustin82 Report Post

They will experience a revolution, but I doubt it will happen in the next decade. This is a typical characteristic of Chinese history: they always have revolutions where the latest dynasty is overthrown and a new one rises up in its place. While Communist China may not be technically termed a 'dynasty' by some it is basically the same thing, and is likely to follow in the footsteps of previous Chinese dynasties. When this will happen is not predictable. Posted by: MariaR Report Post

No, the Chinese government is continually improving the quality of life in China. While China certainly suffers from political and social problems, on the whole the Chinese government continues to increase the quality of life and wealth of the Chinese people. For example, currently many Chinese people remember a life that changed from being a hungry peasant to being a well-fed city dweller. Revolutions are inspired by suffering of the people rebelling, and without that suffering people do not revolt. There may be protest and reform movements in China, but a wide-scale revolt is unlikely. Posted by: tacomoon Report Post