Any sweat Sony is apt to endure this weekend with the potential under-performance of Men in Black: International will be extremely alleviated in less than three weeks when their Marvel Cinematic Universe co-production Spider-Man:Far From Home puts summer back on track with a $170M-plus opening over six days.

And there’s a bulk of historical and current B.O. and social diagnostics to support that projection. Read on.

One of the top tracking services has Far From Home at $165M, and more aggressive box office analysts believe the movie has a shot to make $200M (though some say that would be a shocker). Sony is being very conservative, with $154M for the Tuesday-Sunday spread.

We hear tracking demos for Far From Home are on par with Captain America: Civil War ($179.1M). Of course, Far From Home is skewing more male, with older females over 25 the lower demo — but even that is super strong, we hear. The first Spider-Man: Homecoming, a team-up with Sony and Disney’s MCU characters, opened to $117M over the July 7-9, 2017 weekend, and reps Sony’s second-highest domestic opening of all-time, behind 2007’s Spider-Man 3 ($151.1M).