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Percent Of People Who Will Commit Murder?

Posted on by marktwain

Someone stopped by searching for percent of people who will commit murder.

That varies widely between societies, and within the same society depending on conditions. In particular, the incidence of murder declines as the population ages, so an older population will have a much lower murder rate. And while I could load this post up with graphics, I see little point since murder rates vary so widely between societies. And that being the case, the best I can do is to give the maximum and minimum  and the percentage for the United States.

The major factors involved in murder rates are toleration for crime; median age of males in that society; and the accessibility of the most effective means of self defense.

The societies with the very lowest murder rates on record were very intolerant toward crime and criminals, tended to mature late, and were very heavily armed. In those societies approximately three male individuals per million population between the ages of 16 and 34, plus one female individual in four million in that same age range, plus 1 individual in 1,350,000 outside that age range murdered someone each year, for a total of approximately four murders per million population per year. That is a rate of 0.4 murders per 100,000 population, incidentally. And when all factors are taken into account, approximately 72 out of every million population would commit murder during their lifetime.

Excluding genocide and democide, societies with the very highest murder rates on record share a great tolerance for crime and criminals; in the rare case where they were not controlled by criminals. Those societies tend to mature, take up a criminal lifestyle, early in life, and the criminals are very heavily armed while the general population is deliberately and totally disarmed. Bolshevik Russia and modern Venezuela are examples. In the worst of those societies, as many as 3000 of every million males between the ages of 15 and 33 will commit murder in any given year, along with 525 females in that population group, plus enough outside that age group to total 4500 to 4750 murders per million population per year. When all factors are taken into account, more than 95,000 of every million population will commit murder.

Here in the 21st Century United States, our homicide rate has been steadily falling as law abiding Americans have taken up arms against crime and whatever else comes. We still have lawless areas, Chicago, Baltimore and other places are examples, where crime is tolerated if not encouraged, and may be the expected lifestyle for young adults. These areas deliberately disarm the law abiding, encourage the adoption of a criminal lifestyle in various ways, and have murder rates that are far higher than the national norm. Overall, 38* Americans per million commit murder each year. When all factors are taken into account, approximately 735 Americans out of every million will commit murder at some time during their lifetime. That is one American in 1360, or approximately 0.00735 percent.

And I cannot in honesty conclude this post without observing that in wide areas of flyover country, where almost every bedroom contains at least one gun, the number of individuals who will commit one or more murders during their lifetime drops to as low as one in 14,500.

Stranger

*38 takes into account multiple murders, which reduces the number of murderers compared to murders.

S



TOPICS:

Education

History

Politics

Society

KEYWORDS:

banglist

culture

murder

murderrate

Stranger captures much wisdom with this article. I have been saying for decades that murder is culture based, not instrument based.



To: marktwain

Of course murder is culture based.Just look at the tribal slaughters in Africa.Or Chicago.



by 2 posted onby Farmer Dean (stop worrying about what they want to do to you,start thinking about what you want to do to them)

To: marktwain

Substitute the word “racial culture” for “societies” and the post gets closer to a truth that the “tolerance” crowd would murder to cover up.



To: marktwain

One in 1360 is actually about 0.07 percent.



To: All

There is a difference between killing and murder.



To: marktwain

This must not count abortions.



To: Proud2BeRight

This must not count abortions. Imagine if it did, one out of maybe two or three girls and women would be murders.



To: Proud2BeRight

Or Drunk Driving.



To: marktwain

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To: marktwain

Murderers were born that way. Murder is a lifestyle choice. There are so many murderers that it ought to be accepted by society. Who are you to impose your values on murderers? They have to be true to themselves. It take a lot of courage to come out as a murderer. We need programs in grade school to help kids be more accepting of murderers and not bully them. There should be special hate crime laws to keep people from assaulting murderers. Boy Scouts should accept murderers because all kids need to be accepted. The military should be more accepting of murderers. Perhaps if we promoted murderers to generals and let the murderers conduct surveys of the military, we'd prove that the average enlisted man welcomes murderers. These work for the homosexuals, why not for murderers?



To: angcat

Or Obamacare.



To: DannyTN

“Murderers were born that way.

Murder is a lifestyle choice.

There are so many murderers that it ought to be accepted by society.

Who are you to impose your values on murderers?

They have to be true to themselves.

It take a lot of courage to come out as a murderer.

We need programs in grade school to help kids be more accepting of murderers and not bully them.

There should be special hate crime laws to keep people from assaulting murderers.

Boy Scouts should accept murderers because all kids need to be accepted.

The military should be more accepting of murderers. Perhaps if we promoted murderers to generals and let the murderers conduct surveys of the military, we’d prove that the average enlisted man welcomes murderers.

These work for the homosexuals, why not for murderers?”

I believe we get the word “crime” from the French, and in French the word crime is the same word in English as sin. I believe we get the word “crime” from the French, and in French the word crime is the same word in English as sin. The same rationale used to excuse homosexual activity could be used for all sin: stealing, lying,bullying,sexual perversion etc. Once a civilization makes this leap, it has gone into the ash heap of history. Just look at what happened to Rome.



To: marktwain

I didn’t notice where he defined murder. If I recall correctly, in some societies if you kill someone in self defense under some circumstances, it can still be murder according to that societies law.



by 13 posted onby KrisKrinkle (Blessed be those who know the depth and breadth of their ignorance. Cursed be those who don't.)

To: KrisKrinkle

Stranger writes well, and I tend to agree with most of his analysis, but I do not see footnotes or sources in his articles. They appear to be based on actual sources, but he does not list them, or I have not found them at his blog.



by 14 posted onby marktwain (The MSM must die for the Republic to live. Long live the new media!)

To: Farmer Dean

What we consider murder in some cases Muslim culture consider keeping family honor.



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