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Re: HRC and DMR

Research is good with one edit: change to one week on Microsoft instead of two On Feb 5, 2016, at 12:24 AM, Christina Reynolds < creynolds@hillaryclinton.com> wrote: One thought for the group: given that, as Lily pointed out earlier, he said people were making too big a deal out of this, but they are really just HIS people--should we add that in here? On Feb 5, 2016, at 12:13 AM, Lily Adams <ladams@hillaryclinton.com> wrote: Actually adding Tony this time. Reynolds/JP should give their ok. --------- Lily Adams cell: (202) 368-4013 On Feb 4, 2016, at 11:12 PM, Rob Flaherty <rflaherty@hillaryclinton.com> wrote: Here it is unlisted: https://medium.com/@Matt_Paul/6e563f2f7ab4 On Thu, Feb 4, 2016 at 11:23 PM, Lily Adams <ladams@hillaryclinton.com> wrote: > + Tony whose team should check my facts as well aside from the delegate > math > > > --------- > Lily Adams > cell: (202) 368-4013 > > On Feb 4, 2016, at 10:03 PM, Teddy Goff <tgoff@hillaryclinton.com> wrote: > > + JFerg if we wanna move this to tipsheets > > On Thu, Feb 4, 2016 at 11:01 PM, Lily Adams <ladams@hillaryclinton.com> > wrote: > >> Great - JP/CR, once one of you all are good then Teddy's team can post. >> >> On Thu, Feb 4, 2016 at 10:00 PM, Robby Mook <re47@hillaryclinton.com> >> wrote: >> >>> Ditto >>> >>> On Feb 4, 2016, at 10:58 PM, Teddy Goff <tgoff@hillaryclinton.com> >>> wrote: >>> >>> + Rob to proof and post once this is locked. I think it's great. >>> >>> On Thu, Feb 4, 2016 at 10:56 PM, Troy Price <tprice@hillaryclinton.com> >>> wrote: >>> >>>> Love it. Let me know when it's out and I will send around to our >>>> endorsers/influencers. >>>> >>>> Troy >>>> >>>> Sent from my iPhone >>>> >>>> On Feb 4, 2016, at 9:23 PM, Elias, Marc (Perkins Coie) < >>>> MElias@perkinscoie.com> wrote: >>>> >>>> >>>> Excellent. >>>> >>>> >>>> -- >>>> Marc E. Elias >>>> Perkins Coie LLP >>>> 700 13th St, NW >>>> Washington, DC 20005 >>>> 202-434-1609 >>>> >>>> melias@perkinscoie.com >>>> >>>> @marceelias <https://twitter.com/marceelias> >>>> >>>> >>>> Sent from my iPhone >>>> >>>> On Feb 4, 2016, at 10:15 PM, Matt Paul <mpaul@hillaryclinton.com> >>>> wrote: >>>> >>>> + Troy >>>> >>>> This is really strong. >>>> >>>> >>>> On Thursday, February 4, 2016, Lily Adams <ladams@hillaryclinton.com> >>>> wrote: >>>> >>>>> This has some suggestions from Reynolds but wanted to get it to the >>>>> full group since she's in debate mode. we still havent heard from the IDP >>>>> on what the specific 11 precincts are. the math is what they gave us so we >>>>> havent been able to double check. >>>>> >>>>> *Draft Medium Post on Iowa* >>>>> >>>>> There's been even more bluster than usual from the Sanders campaign, >>>>> this time in an effort to disqualify Hillary Clinton's historic victory in >>>>> Monday night's Iowa caucus. >>>>> >>>>> Disparaging good news for Hillary Clinton has become a pattern for the >>>>> Sanders camp. It you support someone else? You're dismissed as part of the " >>>>> establishment >>>>> <https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A__www.kcci.com_politics_sanders-2Ddes-2Dmoines-2Dregister-2Dis-2Dmedia-2Destablishment_37615894&d=CwMFaQ&c=XRWvQHnpdBDRh-yzrHjqLpXuHNC_9nanQc6pPG_SpT0&r=mJZthOcamSml7FV7KXYLE6P2EQrjV525p9lKVucDNWI&m=fxp5A3e2l6MHoiCdTpQ4t9KSUdqCsbOHjjj78BQpsLc&s=J7446Lo-8SD46_sbmDQ5dhoqZacxrQXrm4JyXIshVjU&e=>," >>>>> unless of course they want to claim your support in ads >>>>> <https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A__bigstory.ap.org_b99bdd52d829418490695b81aa0bfeb7&d=CwMFaQ&c=XRWvQHnpdBDRh-yzrHjqLpXuHNC_9nanQc6pPG_SpT0&r=mJZthOcamSml7FV7KXYLE6P2EQrjV525p9lKVucDNWI&m=fxp5A3e2l6MHoiCdTpQ4t9KSUdqCsbOHjjj78BQpsLc&s=UiyekSV0HNsbSqf2N4XdW7DSVIkVzT4_xh1u_Ccvgrc&e=> anyways. >>>>> If a process doesn't go their way? It's invalid or flawed or they blame the >>>>> Iowans who ran it. >>>>> >>>>> In Iowa, the Sanders camp started floating conspiracy theories leading >>>>> up to the caucus. First, it was two weeks ago when they posited that >>>>> Microsoft >>>>> <https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A__www.msnbc.com_msnbc_sanders-2Dcampaign-2Dsuspicious-2Dcorporate-2Dinfluence-2Diowa-2Dcaucus&d=CwMFaQ&c=XRWvQHnpdBDRh-yzrHjqLpXuHNC_9nanQc6pPG_SpT0&r=mJZthOcamSml7FV7KXYLE6P2EQrjV525p9lKVucDNWI&m=fxp5A3e2l6MHoiCdTpQ4t9KSUdqCsbOHjjj78BQpsLc&s=WpE8u5rGccFk7CdBBmxnrqjF5A332B9QdIi8W-a5jwM&e=> might >>>>> steal the caucus from them. Now that the caucus is over, they are calling >>>>> into question the results that were reported by everyday *Iowans*. >>>>> >>>>> Hillary Clinton won the Iowa caucus with incredibly high turnout - a >>>>> level of turnout the Sanders camp claimed would earn them a win. It was a >>>>> close contest and a hard fought campaign. But Hillary won. And once it >>>>> became apparent that they had lost, the Bernie Sanders campaign began to >>>>> peddle frivolous claims that have been disproven in an effort to poison an >>>>> otherwise historic night for Hillary Clinton, our supporters, and >>>>> volunteers. >>>>> >>>>> Remember coin flip-gate where people claimed Hillary won all the coin >>>>> tosses? Turns out that wasn't true >>>>> <https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A__www.cnn.com_2016_02_02_politics_hillary-2Dclinton-2Dcoin-2Dflip-2Diowa-2Dbernie-2Dsanders_&d=CwMFaQ&c=XRWvQHnpdBDRh-yzrHjqLpXuHNC_9nanQc6pPG_SpT0&r=mJZthOcamSml7FV7KXYLE6P2EQrjV525p9lKVucDNWI&m=fxp5A3e2l6MHoiCdTpQ4t9KSUdqCsbOHjjj78BQpsLc&s=FbkNcbQp3NvMofZAvMdLAHaMla9EwwxsTD1agErbXcc&e=>. >>>>> In fact, according to the official count, Sen. Sanders won more coin tosses >>>>> than Hillary Clinton. >>>>> >>>>> Or how about the "90 precincts" with no chairs? Also untrue. Certainly >>>>> there were precincts that took a while to report but once they all did, it >>>>> was clear Hillary had won. >>>>> >>>>> Now the Sanders campaign is disputing the reported results that were >>>>> sent in by everyday Iowans - volunteers, no less! - to the Democratic >>>>> Party. All three campaigns have checked the results of certain precincts >>>>> against their own data reported to them from volunteers. That's normal. For >>>>> the Sanders campaign's challenges, there are 7 total precincts they are >>>>> questioning (out of a whopping total 1,681 precincts!) and the Iowa >>>>> Democratic Party is checking the results on a few more. And they will >>>>> follow the same standard procedure for these questions as they did for >>>>> precincts we asked them to look at - they'll look at the numbers reported >>>>> that night, check the math and figure out if there are any discrepancies or >>>>> misallocation of delegates. >>>>> >>>>> Here's the kicker. Even if the Sanders campaign were to win all of >>>>> their challenges - the marginal bump they receive in support would not be >>>>> enough to overcome Hillary Clinton's win margin. Those are just the facts. >>>>> >>>>> Here's the math. >>>>> >>>>> *Total Precincts in Contest: 11 (7 from Sanders and 4 from the Iowa >>>>> Democratic Party)* >>>>> *Total State Delegates being Contested: 1.7947 (not enough to change >>>>> outcome)* >>>>> >>>>> *If every contest were to go in the favor of Sanders:* >>>>> >>>>> *HRC = -.775 * >>>>> *Sanders = +.758* >>>>> *MOM = +.0166* >>>>> >>>>> It may be inconvenient for the Sanders campaign that Hillary Clinton >>>>> won the Iowa caucus, but it's the truth. Eight years ago Hillary came in >>>>> third here in Iowa and when she did, she congratulated the winner. We >>>>> suggest Senator Sanders do the same. >>>>> >>>>> >>>>> On Thu, Feb 4, 2016 at 5:07 PM, John Podesta <jp66@hillaryclinton.com> >>>>> wrote: >>>>> >>>>>> +Teddy >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> Sent from my iPhone >>>>>> >>>>>> On Feb 4, 2016, at 5:47 PM, Michael Halle <mhalle@hillaryclinton.com> >>>>>> wrote: >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> >>>>>> On Thu, Feb 4, 2016 at 4:05 PM, Michael Halle < >>>>>> mhalle@hillaryclinton.com> wrote: >>>>>> >>>>>>> Just talked to the IDP and have some good data here. First, Kathy >>>>>>> Obradabadf;ljaksd from the DMR is writing a column on this to run either >>>>>>> tomorrow or Sunday (we should have IDP push to have it run tomorrow) but >>>>>>> that will give good ammo. We also need to push the IDP to release the below >>>>>>> >>>>>>> Total Precincts in Contest: 11 (7 from Sanders and 7 from Chairs) >>>>>>> Total State Delegates being Contested: 1.7947 (not enough to change >>>>>>> outcome >>>>>>> >>>>>>> If every contest were to go in the favor of Sanders: >>>>>>> HRC = -.775 >>>>>>> Sanders = +.758 >>>>>>> MOM = +.0166 >>>>>>> >>>>>>> >>>>>>> On Thu, Feb 4, 2016 at 3:56 PM, Jennifer Palmieri < >>>>>>> jpalmieri@hillaryclinton.com> wrote: >>>>>>> >>>>>>>> Sure >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> * -- *Rob Flaherty* Digital Communications Hillary for America Twitter: @Rob_Flaherty <https://twitter.com/Rob_Flaherty>