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Andrew Scheer has three politicians blocking his potential path to becoming the next Prime Minister, and none of them are Liberal or named Justin Trudeau.

What’s worse for Scheer is there isn’t much he can do to get them out of the way.

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The political actions and tactics of Maxime Bernier, Jagmeet Singh, and Doug Ford could all fall like a row of dominoes, creating a political result in October of splintered voting and support in crucial ridings and propel Justin Trudeau to another Liberal majority.

First, there is the political quagmire of Maxime Bernier and the People’s Party of Canada.

In 2017 Bernier led 12 of 13 rounds of voting in the Conservative leadership race. He was first place on every single ballot except the last. He came within a whisker of winning the leadership before losing to Andrew Scheer 50.95% to 49.05%

Bernier was a threat to Scheer then, and he is a more significant threat now. By leaving the Conservatives and forming his party, Bernier will both push Scheer further right and take away some vital conservative votes.