Warner Brothers is hoping for the last sleeper hit of the summer with their romantic comedy Crazy Rich Asians, which got off to a solid start on Wednesday. Meanwhile, STX Entertainment is opening their action thriller Mile 22, while Sony is looking at a terrible opening for their survival drama Alpha.

Crazy Rich Asians opened on Wednesday with an estimated $5 million, and was one of the few major releases in recent memory to not hold any sort of early screenings the night before release. This makes comparisons tricky, but from here it’s likely targeting a five day start of around $30 million. That would be very solid considering its budget was the same number, and the A Cinemascore suggests word of mouth will push it throughout the next month.

Next up is Mile 22, the umpteenth team up between director Peter Berg and star Mark Wahlberg, who seemingly had their budgets scaled down following back-to-back flops Deepwater Horizon and Patriots Day. This is also being financed and released by STX Entertainment, who fronted the $35 million budget and is giving the film a very wide 3,500 theater release, including some IMAX and Dolby Cinema locations. Critics have mostly rejected the film, with the early Rotten Tomatoes score in the low 20s.

Finally, we have Alpha, Sony’s survival drama. The film has been delayed and shifted around countless times, and with tracking pegging the opening between $6-8 million. That would be a disaster considering the budget is presumably quite large, especially considering it was originally sold as a 3D IMAX event film. Reviews have been surprisingly good at 76%, but it just seems incredibly obvious that Sony is attempting to bury the film. Despite an initial marketing push when the first trailer dropped nearly a year ago, they’ve seemingly done almost zero marketing since then and are releasing the film in just 2,700 theaters. Anything over $10 million would be legitimately surprising.

Among holdovers, The Meg should be looking at around $20-22 million in its second weekend, Slender Man will likely take a big hit, while BlacKkKlansman should hold strong as it adds more locations this Friday.

Predictions

The Meg – $21.2 million Crazy Rich Asians – $21 million ($29 million five day) Mile 22 – $14.5 million Mission: Impossible Fallout – $12 million Christopher Robin – $7.5 million