The special election for New York’s 26th district is this Tuesday. And the latest poll has Democrat Kathy Hochul taking a lead over Republican Jane Corwin by 4 points among likely voters.

Hochul 42%, Corwin 38%, Davis 9%, Murphy 1%.

Key point. Hochul has jumped 11 points since the last poll, pretty much all from Davis. So the Tea Party candidate is faltering and his support is swinging overwhelmingly to Hochul.