Apr 30, 2015; Chicago, IL, USA; Laken Tomlinson (Duke) poses for a photo with NFL commissioner Roger Goodell after being selected as the number twenty-eight overall pick to the Detroit Lions in the first round of the 2015 NFL Draft at the Auditorium Theatre of Roosevelt University. Mandatory Credit: Dennis Wierzbicki-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Lions draft pick at No. 16 overall in the 2016 NFL Draft is quite the mystery. Trying to figure out what player will cross the stage in Chicago and don a Lions jersey like Laken Tomlinson, Eric Ebron, Ziggy Ansah and Riley Reiff have done in the last four first rounds is quite the parlor game this year.

With a new GM and tight-lipped new organizational philosophy, this game is akin to roulette. In keeping with that theme, I decided to break down the selection potential for several different prospects. Of course the variability and unknowns with this being Bob Quinn’s first draft and how the board above the No. 16 pick plays out changes it from the straight roulette pays.

Beginners always gravitate towards the simple roulette bet. Red or black? Here, those choices are offensive line and defensive line. All the other positions offer about the same hit chance as the green on the wheel.

Positon group Odds Offensive Line 3-to-1 Defensive Line 3-to-1 Other 15-to-1

You can make a lot of money here if you really believe the pick will be a wide receiver or linebacker, as some national pundits still project.

Those who want to try for higher payouts know to narrow down the possibilities some. Instead of just picking color, pick the numeric range.

Position Odds Offensive Tackle 4-to-1 Defensive Tackle 5-to-1 Defensive End 12-to-1 Center 20-to-1 Wide Receiver 20-to-1 Linebacker 25-to-1

Then there are the high roller shots, picking your individual player. This is the hardest because several of the players here might be drafted before the Lions ever get a chance to choose.

Player Position Odds Taylor Decker, Ohio State OT 8-to-1 Shaq Lawson, Clemson DE 8-to-1 Jarran Reed, Alabama DT 10-to-1 Jason Spriggs, Indiana OT 10-to-1 Ronnie Stanley, Notre Dame OT 12-to-1 A’Shawn Robinson, Alabama DT 15-to-1 Jack Conklin, Michigan State OT 15-to-1 Kevin Dodd, Clemson DE 20-to-1 Laquon Treadwell, Ole Miss WR 20-to-1 Andrew Billings, Baylor DT 25-to-1 Michael Thomas, Ohio State WR 30-to-1 Ryan Kelly, Alabama C 30-to-1 Reggie Ragland, Alabama LB 30-to-1 Darron Lee, Ohio State LB 30-to-1 Other 40-to-1

Some of the players with longer odds here are more likely to be the actual pick than players with more favorable odds. That’s because while the Lions would be more inclined to select those players, it’s less likely they’re still on the board. There’s a balancing act here with the odds and speculation on player availability that no bookmaker would ever consider, which is why this is just for semi-informative fun.

If I had to bet right now (it’s 7:57 AM on April 18), I’d do this:

$20 on Offensive Line

$20 on Ronnie Stanley

$20 on Jarran Reed

$10 flier on Michael Thomas

I am a firm believer that if Stanley remains on the board at No. 16, he is the definitive choice. The question is, will he still be there?

The one name not listed I might consider investing in is Houston CB William Jackson. The house will not take any action on Ole Miss DT Robert Nkemdiche.

Where would you select? Place your bets!