Ethan Sherwood Strauss, ESPN.com: They're in a significant amount of trouble. Dropping Game 3 means they either need to win three in a row, or take Game 7 in San Antonio. Neither of those scenarios is likely, especially considering how out of sorts some of their role players are right now. Chris Andersen looks hurt out there, and he was arguably their fourth-best player this season. This all bodes poorly.

David Thorpe, ESPN Insider: Considerable. The Spurs are good enough to beat Miami even when Miami plays well. They are good enough to blow the Heat out when Miami is just good. To beat them three times in four games is going to be very difficult without some cooperation from the Spurs, and they are not a team that is prone to big energy swings like the Heat are. Losing Game 3 was a real killer, I suspect.

Michael Wallace, Heat Index: As Erik Spoelstra would say, the Heat aren't necessarily in trouble. They're in the Finals. There will be adversity. There will be tremendous challenges. There will be momentum swings. There will be leads. There will be deficits. The Spurs are on scholarship, too. Miami isn't entitled to rolling through the postseason free of worries. That said, a loss tonight would put the Heat in deep, deep, trouble.

Royce Young, ESPN.com: Not too much. The way Game 3 went, it appeared the Heat might just be overmatched and unable to cope with the Spurs' clinical offense. But then again, it was really about a lot of shots going in rather than not. The Heat just need Game 4, and then it's a pivotal Game 5 back in San Antonio. They've been set back, but they've been here before, too.

McNeill: Great Spurs O. Miami's defense in the first half of Game 3 wasn't as hyperactive as it could've been, but I wouldn't call it bad, either. Gregg Popovich was upset with his team's refusal to move the ball at the end of Game 2, so it only makes sense that passing and people movement were top-notch to start Game 3.

Strauss: I'd say it's mainly good Spurs offense. They're nearly unguardable when they go away from those Tim Duncan-Tiago Splitter lineups and just play one big. It's hard for any team to cover that much space, and it doesn't help that one of Miami's rangy big men (Andersen) is moving at half-speed out there.

Thorpe: Absolutely a combination of the two. The Spurs still had to make the shots, but those shots were easier to make because Miami just did not bring the same "fight" to the individual matchups that the Spurs brought, or that we saw from Miami in Game 2. Plus, it's not as though the Spurs have had only the one big quarter (41 in the first quarter of Game 3) -- they have put together four big quarters in the first three games. They have an elite offense full of smart players, a brilliant system, complementary pieces and a huge amount of confidence.

Wallace: Great Spurs O. By continuing to play at their pace, the Spurs have perfected a beautiful brand of basketball by getting into transition and initiating their offense early in the shot clock. It has put a tremendous amount of pressure on the Heat to keep up with the ball movement, the cutting and the flashing. It seems like a Spur was open on every possession in the first half of Game 3. No, San Antonio won't shoot 75 percent in a half again. But they have proved capable of shooting well above 50 percent in quarters time and time again in this series.

Young: Great Spurs O. There's no defense for contested shot-making. There were a few sloppy rotations and a couple of lazy transition situations, but overall, the Heat were sound defensively. It's just that great offense can beat great defense, especially when the ball is going in.

3. Kawhi Leonard's Game 3: Outlier or the real deal?

McNeill: A little of both. Leonard has been working toward performances like Game 3 for some time. He might be the hardest-working player on the team, but with so many dynamic scorers for San Antonio, he won't always get his chance. The shots he took are those he makes regularly; it's just a matter of getting the attempts.

Strauss: Outlier, just as his first two games were outliers in the opposite direction. He's a very good player with a bright future, but his offense is a bit limited right now. That's more than OK, considering the fantastic defense he provides.

Thorpe: Neither. He's not likely to be someone who will be a premier scorer all of a sudden, but he's also a better offensive player than what we saw in the first two games. He allowed the defensive challenges of dealing with LeBron to impact his offense, so in Game 3 it was clear he wanted to make a point to look to score every time he got chances to. But it's not a switch that just takes one flick to work permanently.

Wallace: Outlier, to a large extent. That was not only the best game of Kawhi's NBA career, it was the best he has performed since his high school days. Not only did he score 29 points on 10-of-13 shooting, he also contributed to forcing LeBron James into seven turnovers and five fouls. It was as remarkable of a two-way performance as you'll ever see. It's tough to expect that to be the new norm for Kawhi, but that effort could spark more consistency the rest of the series.

Young: Outlier, because he's not a scorer. And certainly not a scorer on 77 percent shooting. Leonard has big talent and can be an offensive force at times, but Game 3 was his career high in points. Leonard's offensive comfort zone is 12 to 15 points on an efficient number of shots.

4. What's the Heat's biggest adjustment for Game 4?

McNeill: I don't know if it's an X's and O's adjustment so much as a mental one. San Antonio was firing on all cylinders to start Game 3 and Miami couldn't match that focus. That is likely a point of emphasis for the Heat to start Game 4 and I would expect them to have a good first half because of it.