You want to win an argument while watching the NFL playoffs? Trust the formula.

We asked stats guru Garth Sundem to develop a clutch-quarterback algorithm: Pull stats describing overall quarterback play, adjust them by how much better or worse he performed under pressure, then add special situations—game-winning drives, 21-plus-yard throws late in the game, turnovers inside an opponent's 30—and rank 'em for 2016.

Now that is clutch. Or at least that's our working definition of "clutch" based on 2016 regular-season stats. (Remember: Running a really good offense hurts your score—blowouts don't leave a lot of room to be clutch.)

Below, B/R's NFL analyst Chris Simms offers his reactions, all the way to the formula's No. 1 pick. Argue away.