The Chances of Randomly Spelling 'The Theory of Evolution' with Scrabble Letters.







“ Let it (chance) spell this phrase: “the theory of evolution.” Drawing from a set of twenty-six small letters and one blank for the space between letters, what is the probability expectance?

All that is needed is simply to get those twenty-three letters and spaces in proper order, selecting them at random from the set of twenty-seven objects (twenty-six letters and one space). By the multiplication rule we learned, it will be 27 x 27 x 27 . . . x 27 using the figure twenty-three times.

The probability when computed is 1 in approximately 834,390,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000; that is, one success in over 8 hundred million trillion trillion draws.

To get an idea of the size of that number, let us imagine that chance is employing an imaginary machine which will draw, record, and replace the letters at the speed of light, a BILLION draws PER SECOND! Working at that unbelievable rate, chance could spell “the theory of evolution” once in something over 26,000,000,000,000,000 years on the average!

Again, a child could do it in a few minutes. Chance would take more than five million times as long as the earth has existed (if we use the five-billion-year rounded figure which some evolutionists now estimate as the age of the earth).

If we are drawing from a set which contains both small letters and capital letters and one blank for the space between words to spell “The Theory of Evolution,” the probability is 1 in 4,553,500,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Our machine drawing at the speed of light, a billion draws per second, would require 140,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 years. That is 28,000,000,000,000 times the assumed age of the earth!............So chance requires twenty-eight trillion times the age of the earth to write merely the phrase: “The Theory of Evolution,” drawing from a set of small letters and capitals as described, drawing at the speed of light, a billion draws per second! Only once in that time could the letters be expected in proper order.

Again, a child can do this, using sight and intelligence, in a few minutes at most. Mind makes the difference in the two methods. Chance really “doesn’t have a chance” when compared with the intelligent purpose of even a child.

'In the beginning, God...' begins to appear more scientific, as we see how limited are the abilities of mindless chance.”

Taken from Chapter Two, The Heart of Modern Probability Theory, by Dr James F. Coppedge and to be found here. We are grateful to the doctor.

The point in this is that to randomly spell 'The Theory of Evolution' is an absolutely tiny task compared to what the theory of evolution requires in order for even the first viable protein cells to appear on earth! And then through incredible and favourable 'chance mutations' (although 'chance mutations' are never favourable in real life, they are either neutral or, more often, extremely harmful), those cells had to turn to increasingly more advanced forms of life. All along the way, these 'chance changes' become subject to similar amazing leaps against all known odds which fly in the face of modern Probability Theory. We must always keep reminding ourselves that evolution rejects intelligence as being involved at any point in all of this. They are often embarrassed when confronted with this and usually attempt to get around this by saying, 'No – not just chance but chance combined with natural selection.' But this is sheer deviousness on their part, for they rely on us seeing 'natural selection' as a kind of order or intelligence. But 'natural selection' is a truly meaningless term within the schema which they themselves have chosen. In truth, intelligence is wholly rejected in evolutionism and nothing is left but blind chance.

To be blunt, both Probability Theory and sheer logic demonstrate to us that evolution could not have occurred. I repeat :Evolution COULD NOT have occurred.

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