Cumulative Overrated/Underrated Teams

This is a table of teams' under-/over-ratedness over the span 1989 to present. Teams are sorted by total rating, with the most underrated teams at the top. All teams rated in the preseason or final ratings in any year in the span are given. Additional notes on the table's contents follow the table.

Team Total 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 Washington State 79 -2 - -5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 17 4 16 - - - 17 - - 5 - 11 - - - Utah 78 -3 - - 3 9 5 - - - - 3 24 - - - 16 5 - - - - - - - - 16 - - - - - Boise State 74 3 -4 4 - -7 10 -6 7 -2 -6 10 15 - 21 -6 14 10 11 - - - - - - - - - - - - - Oregon 64 7 -1½ - -2 -14 1 -7 3 -1 7 4 12 3 -1 13½ -3 - -13 7 19 7 - - - 8 15 - - - - - Kansas State 53½ - - -2½ - - 3 - 11 11 - - - - - - -15 -8 19 -14 1 14 -6 14 1 12 7 6 - - - - Texas Christian 52½ - -7 14½ -13 -4 23 -7 -4 3 3 12 19 -6 2 15 - 1 3 - -2 - - - - - - - - - - - Central Florida 49½ -5 13½ 20 - - - 16 - - 5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Boston College 44½ - - - - - - - - - - - - 15½ 6 7 5 - -3 5 - - - - - -5 3 6 5 - - - Cincinnati 44 5 2 - - - - - - 1 - 18 9 9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Northwestern 37 - 5 9 - 3 - -2 9 - - - - - - - - - - -10 - - - - 5 18 - - - - - - Team Total 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 Missouri 39 -3 - - - -1 12 21 - -7 8 - -13 22 - - -11 - - - - - 5 3 - - - - - - - - Brigham Young 33 - - - - - - - - - - 11 -10 12 10 - - - - 1 - - - -6 21 - 8 -4 - 3 -17 4 Oregon State 30½ - - - - - - - 6 - -1 -2 8 1 5 - - - - -8½ 22 - - - - - - - - - - - Minnesota 30 16 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 6 - - - 8 - - - - - - - - - - Kansas 27 - - - - - - - - - - -1 -12 19 - - - - - - - - - - - 17 - - 4 - - - Louisville 25 - - -8 1 - 2 0 13 - - - - -17 5 -8 20 - -6 9 - - - - - - - 2 - - 12 - Iowa 24½ 3 1 - -8 17 - - - - -15 12½ 6 - -11 -14 11 18 18 - - - - -5 1 1 - - -12 2 8 -9 North Carolina State 24 - - 3 - - - - - - 1 - - - - - - -10 14 - - - - - - - 9 -3 8 2 - - Mississippi State 23½ -5 -10 7 - - 15 - - -5 11 - - - - - - - - -8½ 2 13 - - - - 2 -1 3 - - - Houston 23 - - - -7 18 - - - 8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -6 13 -3 Team Total 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 Texas Tech 23 - - - - - - - - - - 5 0 4 -6 2 8 - - - - - - - - 3 - - - - - 7 Michigan State 22½ -9 -15 11 -14 0 3½ 20 -10 9 12 - 2 - - - - - -9 - - 19 -6 -2 - - - - - -2 3 10 Mississippi 22½ - - - -15 5 0 - - - - -7½ 12 - - - - 13 - - -8 4 - 4 - - - - 10 - 5 - Maryland 22 - - - - - - - - - 3 - - - - - -4 0 8 15 - - - - - - - - - - - - Baylor 21 13 - - -9 -9 4 12 - 13 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -3 - - - Wisconsin 21 11 -20 2 17 -1 2 0 -13 6 5 10 -13 -17 19 11 4 -5 - - -19 6 13 - - -2 -15 20 - - - - Georgia Tech 20½ - - - - -9 18 - - - -6 3 4 - - - - - - -14 9 -7 16½ 1 - - - - - -19 24 - Tulane 19 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 19 - - - - - - - - - Alabama 16½ -6 0 - -1 1 -2 -6 1½ 0 -9 5½ 18 - - 13 - -2½ 14 - -23 11 - -9 4 -10 4 -11 8 18 -11 9 Miami-Ohio 16 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 16 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Team Total 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 Navy 16 6 - - - 8 - - - - - - - - - - 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Southern Miss 16 - - - - - - - - 6 - - - - - - - - - - -4 12 -5 7 - - - - - - - - Arizona State 15 - - - - -10 13 5 - -1 - - -9½ 10 -4 -7 7 -½ - - - - -18 12 18 - - - - - - - Colorado State 15 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 12 - -13 6 - - 10 - - - - - East Carolina 15 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -2 - - - - - - - - - 17 - - Nevada-Reno 15 - - - - - - - - - 15 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Kentucky 14 - 14 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Utah State 14 - 4 - - - - - 10 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Air Force 13 4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 13 - - - - - - -4 - - Western Michigan 11 - - - 11 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Team Total 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 Memphis 10 9 - 1 - - 1 - - - - - - - - - -1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - South Carolina 10 - - - - - -18 2 3 5 4 - -1 - - - - - - 8 7 - - - - - - - - - - - Oklahoma State 9½ - - -2 9 6 - -4 -11 7½ 13 -17 10 - - - - -4 - - - - - 2 - - - - - - - - Hawaii 9 - - - - - - - - - - - - 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 6 - - - Marshall 9 - - - - - 0 - - - - - - - - - - - -5 - - 14 - - - - - - - - - - Stanford 8½ - -12 -6½ -2 15 -14 -6 13 0 22 - - - - - - - - 10 - - - -8 - - -5 -10 8 4 - - Army 8 - 7 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1 - - - - - - - Appalachian State 7 7 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Illinois 7 - - - - - - - - - - - -6 6 - - - - - 14 -3 2 - - - -4 -2 - - - -16 16 Tulsa 7 - - - - - - - - - 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 5 - - Team Total 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 Fresno State 6 - 8 - - - - - - - - - - - - -8 4 - - - - - - - - - - - 2 - - - Wake Forest 6 - - - - - - - - - - - -3 - 8 - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1 - - - Arkansas 5 - - - - -4 - - -16 8 3 - - -2 11 - - - - - - 5 10 - - - - - -2 - -10 2 San Jose State 5 - - - - - - - 5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Toledo 5 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 3 - - - - - 2 - - - - - - Vanderbilt 5 - - - - - - 2 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Rutgers 4½ - - - - - - - - - - - - -9½ 14 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Northern Illinois 4 - - - - - - - 4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Wyoming 4 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 4 - - - - - - - Bowling Green 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Team Total 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 Central Michigan 3 - - - - - - - - - - 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Duke 3 - - - - - - 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Purdue 3 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -11 - 2 - -3 4 -2 2 11 - - - - - - - - Colorado 2 - - - 9 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -13 13 -1 -12 - -18 -3 9 3 -7 3 5 2 12 Western Kentucky 2 - - - - 2 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - San Diego State 1 - - - 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Virginia 1 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -5 -7 4 - - -1 -1 - -1 1 11 - -5 - -3 8 Pittsburgh 0 - - - - - - - - - -8 11 - - - -3 1 -17 7 - - - - - - - - - - - - 9 UNRANKED 0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - South Florida -1 - - -1 7 - - - - - - - -7 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Team Total 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 Penn State -3 7 -5 0 19 - - - - - -9 -1 13 -9½ -6 23 - - 8 - -6 -8 -2 -13 5 -10 8 7½ -23 2 3 -6 Iowa State -5 -6 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1 - - - - - - - - - - - Arizona -6 - - - - -2 7 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -22 22 - - -1 -12 3 - - -2 1 West Virginia -6½ - 6 - 8 - - - -12 7 -2 1 -16 -1 -6 21 -15 - 1 - - - -15 - - - - 18½ - - - -2 North Carolina -7 - - - -3 11 - - - - -10 -4 - - - - - - - - - - -14 1 13 -6 -7 5 7 - - - Virginia Tech -9 - -3 -5 10 - - - -9 -13 -8 -3½ 1½ -1 -2 1 16 -18 -2 -10 5 9 3 - 4 16 -4 4 - - - - California -10 - - - - - - - - - - -15 - -13 -1 -1 7 - - - - - - - - - - 1 -6 18 - - Syracuse -23½ 11 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 12 - - -11 -6½ -12 7 - -20 4 8 -4 -12 Ohio State -25 3 0 -3 -2 -3 5 -9 9 -11 -3 0 -8 6 0 2 -11 -2 10 - -10 -17 -1 -2 8 6 6 6 4 -9 -1 2 Auburn -25½ 1 -19 0 2 -19 -17 24 - - 22 - -15 3 -2½ 3 9 -21 12 - 8 - -3 5 -8 -14 6 22 - -13 -15 4 Team Total 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 Clemson -34 -1 0 3 1 12 1 0 8 4 - 2 -18 5 -5 5 -9 4 - -7 -4 - - -7 - - -1 -2 -14 -8 -3 0 Georgia -37½ -1 14 -3½ -11 -18 1 -22 1½ -1 -4 -13½ -11 12 -7 3 -4 3 6 3 -11 -1 10 16 - - -3 -12 7 9 - - Texas A&M -49 -12 10 - - - -7 -11 20½ -15½ 7 - - -3 - -10 - - -4 - -2 -15 5 6 -13 -11 9 -5 -5 4 -3 6 Florida -52 2 13½ -11 12 1 - -14 12 -4 -22 -2 4 -7 5½ -3½ -12 -½ -20 -2 -2 -6 -2 -3 3 3 -4 5 -2 -4 8 - Washington -54 -15 -8 -12 12 - -4 1 - - - - - - - - - -14 -14 1 12 - -8 -12 8 -3 - -14 -6 6 13 3 UCLA -55½ - - - -5 -14 -3 10 - - - - - -11 - 10 - - - -12 - -9 1 21 - -10½ -10 8 -13 3 - -21 Tennessee -60 - - -1 -15 1 - - - - - - -8 0 -2 -23 0 -2 -21 3 -13 -7 9 -5 -6 6 -10 -1 14 -5 5 21 Louisiana State -61½ 4 14 -7 -7 -3 -13 -3 -11½ 3 11 -7 -17 1 6 1 -12 12 -11 4 4 - -19 -2 9 - - - - - - -18 Miami-Florida -68 -1 -16 4 6 - - - - - -13 7 - -1 -14 -7 -6 -2 1 1 3 -3 6 -13 -3 -10 1 -10 -2 3 -1 2 Notre Dame -83½ -3 8 15 -17 0 -8 -6 20 -17 - -6½ - - -16 17 - -8 9 -11 11 -8 0 -17 -13 -4 -22 5 0 -7 -5 0 Team Total 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 Nebraska -91½ - - - -1 - -2 -8 -7 -12 -11 12 - -7 -7 2 -2 6½ -18 -3 -7 2 -13 3 -5 1 1 5 -3 3 -17 -4 Oklahoma -91½ -3 4 3 -2 16 -22 10 -11 -14 1 -23 -1 2 -3 -17 -1 -2 -4 -2 20 - - - - -10½ -13 3 -7 -2 0 -13 Michigan -105 -11 -5 -12½ -2 14 - -9 -16 14 - - - -14 6 -22 -6 1 1 -7 -5 2 -7 13½ -6 -4 -7 -19 2 -4 4 -6 Florida State -118½ - -8 -23 -3 -4 -4½ 9 -4 -19 4 -9 5 -5 -16 -9 -9 4 -17 -9 -3 0 -1 1 -1 -3 -3 0 4 -3 6 2 Southern Cal -125 - -11 -7 11 -17 -6 2 -25 17 -12 -18 0 -2 1 -1 0 10 14 - -12 -10 - -1 -18 -6 1 -8 - -11 -12 -4 Texas -129 -15 8 -4 - - -6 -17 -10 - -20 0 6 -7½ -10 1 2 -8 -4 -2 -5 0 10½ -14 -16 4 -7 - -8 -15 14 -6

The teams at the top of the table were the most underrated (final poll standing furthest above preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present. The teams at the bottom of the list were the most overrated (final poll standing furthest below preseason poll standing) over the span 1989-present.

A "dash" in the table indicates that the team in question was unranked in both preseason and final polls that year; a "zero" indicates that the team's preseason and final rankings were the same that year. Any other number indicates that the team was ranked in at least one of the preseason or final polls, and the number is the difference between the two (with "unranked" counted as 26th).

For data on only frequently rated teams (eliminating those that only have a few years' data), see the Teams file.

Note: These numbers do not really reflect how good the teams are; they instead reflect how well they lived up to preseason expectations. The worst teams in the game would tend to have a score of zero, but that would not mean they are stronger than teams like Texas which ended up with negative numbers in this list.