With less than a month until training camp gets started and NFL teams pretty much locked into their 2017 rosters, we have a pretty good idea of what teams are looking like headed into the regular season. Armed with that knowledge, we’ve enlisted FTW’s Luke Kerr-Dineen, Charles Curtis and Steven Ruiz to sort all 32 teams into tiers, ranging from “Super Bowl contenders” to “Now on the clock.”

Each staff member submitted their own tiered rankings, and from there we used majority rules to come up with a consensus. Here are the results…

Tier 1 (Super Bowl Favorites): Patriots, Packers, Seahawks

Luke (Patriots, Seahawks):

I keep going back-and-forth on whether the Seahawks belong in this group alongside the Patriots, but ultimately, I think they do. Injuries to Russell Wilson held them back last year and they got to the divisional round. A clean slate this season, plus the bad teams in its division getting even worse, and they could certainly go all the way in 2017.

Charles (Patriots, Packers, Seahawks):

I also struggled where to put the Seahawks, but ultimately, they’ll be among the NFL’s elite this year. Period. I’m already pumped up for a Seahawks-Packers NFC Championship Game, which feels like a foregone conclusion heading into the season.

Steven (Patriots, Packers):

My explanation is simple: This is a quarterbacks league and the Pats and Packers have the two best quarterbacks in the world. New England is the prohibitive favorite in the AFC, and I think we’ll feel the same way about Green Bay in the NFC by November as long as the defense can just be mediocre.

Tier 2 (Super Bowl Contenders): Cowboys, Steelers

Luke (Panthers, Steelers, Packers, Texans):

The Texans are deeply undervalued right now. Nine wins under the guidance (if you can call it that) of Brock Osweiler, eighth in rushing offense and seventh in Defensive DVOA last season with JJ Watt due to return. Now they’ve got a NCAA-winning quarterback. If he’s anything around average and this season, this is a Super Bowl contender.

As for the Panthers, my working theory is that people have forgotten about that. Carolina was coming off a Super Bowl loss last season, Cam was getting hit in a bunch of questionable ways, and five of its 10 losses were by three points or less. They’re bouncing back — hard — this season.

Charles (Cowboys, Steelers):

Okay, Luke. Couldn’t agree more than the Texans are undervalued. but a Super Bowl contender? With a rookie quarterback that many thought had some major flaws? At least put them in the “playoff contenders” tier until you see him take snaps in a pro game.

Meanwhile, the Steelers could move up a tier, but I’m extremely nervous about Ben Roethlisberger’s health these days. And if the Cowboys’ defense gets better? There’s so much potential there.

Steven (Cowboys, Steelers, Seahawks):

Wait, Luke actually put Houston in this tier…

I was so close to joining you guys and putting Seattle in Tier 1, but I just couldn’t do it. My reasoning? I just feel like the defense is bound to fall off a little in the coming years. Great defenses do not tend to stay as dominant as Seattle’s has these last five seasons.

Dallas remains a contender as long as the offensive core remains in tact and Rod Marinelli is in charge of the defense. Same goes for the Steelers offense. Pittsburgh’s defense could be very good in 2017, which would vault the team into Tier 1.

Tier 3 (Playoff Contenders): Falcons, Giants, Dolphins, Texans, Colts, Broncos, Chiefs, Raiders, Vikings, Panthers, Ravens

Luke (Falcons, Cowboys, Giants, Colts, Broncos, Chiefs, Raiders, Vikings, Ravens):

People will probably come after me for putting the Cowboys and Giants alongside each other here, but it’s not that much of a stretch. Dallas’ offense is a year older and the league will adapt to Dak in his second year. The Giants, meanwhile, are going hard to win one more for Eli.

Charles (Falcons, Giants, Dolphins, Texans, Colts, Broncos, Chiefs, Raiders, Vikings, Panthers, Titans, Buccaneers):

Hey guys, we’ve run out of Kool-Aid. I drank all of it believing that the Titans and Bucs are ready to make The Leap this year. Which means I get to hear Luke and Steven argue endlessly about Marcus Mariota vs. Jameis Winston again. I also couldn’t put the Ravens in this tier like Steven did, but it wouldn’t be that shocking to see Baltimore back in the postseason again.

Steven (Falcons, Giants, Dolphins, Ravens, Texans, Colts, Broncos, Chiefs, Raiders, Vikings, Panthers, Cardinals):

It makes sense that this tier is so cluttered given the parity in the NFL. The Falcons lead the group but I wouldn’t be surprised if they take a step back after losing Kyle Shanahan this offseason. One team that could elevate itself to a Tier 2 team by midseason is Baltimore. The Jeremy Maclin acquisition should make that offense dangerous to go along with what could be an elite defense.

Tier 4 (Playoff Sleepers): Chargers, Bengals, Lions, Redskins, Titans, Buccaneers

Luke (Chargers, Redskins, Lions, Buccaneers, Titans, Dolphins, Ravens):

Basically, all these teams’ season could swing either way depending on a central question facing each. Will Jameis Winston finally step up? What should we expect from Kirk Cousins? How will MArcus Mariota recover from his injury? Can Stafford stop relying on fourth-quarter comebacks? Will the Chargers be reinvigorated by its move to Los Angeles? Can the Ravens be more consistent? Will Ryan Tannehill prove to his doubters he’s legit?

Charles (Cardinals, Chargers, Bengals, Lions, Ravens, Eagles, Redskins):

I like the Eagles’ chances more than my colleagues do. I’m also betting on Arizona taking a step back with Carson Palmer under center, even with that secondary. I’m with Steven too: The Chargers are the best bet from this group to move up.

Steven (Chargers, Bengals, Redskins, Lions, Buccaneers, Titans):

I’m still not ready to jump on the Bucs and Titans’ bandwagons just yet. Give me a year and I’m there. Until then, both teams are just sleepers in my book. Bob Quinn is building a good roster in Detroit but I can’t shake the feeling that they are the third-best team in that division. The Chargers are the team I like most of this group. The coaching change and a little injury luck could get Los Angeles back to the playoffs.

Tier 5 (Mediocre): Rams, Jaguars, Bills, Saints, Eagles, Bears

Luke (Rams, Jaguars, Bills, Bears, Eagles, Saints, Bengals, Cardinals):

Rams and Jags should count themselves lucky to be alongside the Saints, Bengals and Cardinals here. The reason they are is because the outcome is the same. No playoffs for any of these teams.

Charles (Rams, Jaguars, Bills, Saints):

I need to see what Year 2 of Jared Goff looks like before I can say the Rams are ready to move up. And I want the Jaguars to be soooo much better than they’re going to be. That’s sad. At least the Saints offense will continue to be fun for another year.

Steven (Rams, Jaguars, Bills, Bears, Saints, Eagles):

I was thiiiiiiis close to putting the Rams in the “Sleepers” tier. That’s how high I am on the Sean McVay-Wade Phillips duo. I have no doubt Phillips will churn all those defensive pieces into a top-10 unit this season, and McVay is capable of making Jared Goff look like an average starting quarterback as soon as this year. He’ll also properly utilize Todd Gurley and Tavon Austin.

Rapid fire on the other teams:

Jaguars: Not until they move on from Blake Bortles.

Bills: Sean McDermott needs one season, then the Bills will be ready.

Bears: I like the roster … outside of the quarterback position, that is.

Saints: They’re destined to go 7-9. Sean Payton is the new Jeff Fisher, only more fun.

Eagles: Not confident Carson Wentz is going to be any better than he was a season ago.

Tier 6 (Now on the clock): Jets, Browns, 49ers

Luke (Jets, Browns, 49ers):

Just keep the television off for 2017, Jets, Browns and 49ers fans. See you in 2018.

Charles (Jets, Browns, 49ers, Bears):

Note that I’m the only guy who stuck Da Bears here. Sorry, Chicago, but the rebuild has begun and it might get messy with Mike Glennon and Mitchell Trubisky at quarterback. The Jets may seriously go winless in 2017, and that’d be just fine for them for next year’s draft. As for the Browns? I’m betting they won’t be in this tier by next July.

Steven (Jets, Browns, 49ers):

I don’t think any of these teams should be interested in winning this year. The Browns might surprise but the only potential answer in that quarterback room (DeShone Kizer) is still a year away. You’re so close, Cleveland.