Liberals Creep Back Into Contention in Toronto

Claw back support from weakening PCs in the city

Toronto, May 31st – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 1035 Toronto voters, amongst those decided and leaning, the Liberals (34%) and Progressive Conservatives (34%) sit even. A quarter (25%) support the NDP, and (5%) say they support the Green Party.

(2%) say they support another party.

Respondents most likely to say they support the Liberals include those 34 and younger (38%), females (38%), the least wealthy (55%), the least educated (44%), public transit users (39%), and living in North York (41%).

Respondents most likely to say they support the PCs include those aged 55-64 (42%), males (41%), the most wealthy (54%), with some college/university (35%), or a college/university (35%) or post-graduate degree (32%), and living in Etobicoke (48%).

Respondents most likely to say they support the NDP include those aged 35-44 (31%), earning $40,000-$60,000 (32%) or $80,000-$100,000 (31%), with a post-graduate degree (28%), and living in East York (37%).

“Following months of weak numbers for the Liberals, they’ve bounced back slightly in fortress Toronto, likely their most important region. With a variety of big-ticket, campaign-style announcements in the budget and its aftermath, it seems as though for now, the Liberals are making inroads with the electorate,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.