The Indianapolis Colts picked up a big win Thursday night.

Yes, they lost to the Denver Broncos but with no hope for the playoffs, this season is all about draft position now. The Broncos were one of only two teams at the bottom of the standings to currently hold the tiebreaker — strength of schedule— on the Colts.

Here are the possibilities for the Colts draft pick assuming strength of schedule doesn't change:

Colts lose out

>>First: With Cleveland's loss Sunday, the Colts (at Baltimore, Houston) can't pick No. 1.

>>Second: New York (Arizona, Washington) wins at least one more game. The Colts have the tiebreaker (see below for the current draft order and strength of schedule) over New York.

>>Third: New York loses out.

Colts finish 1-1

>>First: See above.

>>Second: New York wins its last two games.

>>Third: The Giants lose once.

Colts finish 2-0

The Colts can't pass Cleveland or the Giants in this scenario.

San Francisco (Jacksonville, Rams), Houston (Pittsburgh, at Indianapolis), Tampa Bay (Atlanta, at Carolina, New Orleans) and Chicago (Cleveland, at Minnesota) all have four wins. The Colts would finish ahead of any that wins one or more of its remaining games, behind any that lose out.

Denver and Cincinnati have five wins and would pass the Colts if they lose out in this scenario. The New York Jets also have five wins but the Colts currently own the tiebreaker. So the Colts, theoretically, could draft anywhere from third to ninth if they win out.

CURRENT DRAFT ORDER

NOTE: It's possible for the tiebreaker to change. If all 13 opponents for a team were to win or lose, it can swing by more than 30 points.

(Statistics through Sunday's games. List will be updated.)

1.Cleveland 0-14, .513

2.Giants 2-12, .529

3.Indianapolis 3-11, .487

4.Houston 4-10, .505

5.San Francisco 4-10, .513

6.Chicago 4-10, .559

7.Tampa Bay 4-9, .545

8.Cincinnati 5-9, .473

9.Denver 5-9, .482

10.N.Y. Jets 5-9, .521

Here is a rough estimate of how valuable each pick has been based on the players selected over the past 20 years by pro-football-reference.com's Weighted Career Approximate Value (an effort to evaluate every player with a single number):

No. 1: 1,239 (8 booms, 3 busts)

No. 2: 917 (6 booms, 8 busts)

No. 3: 859 (1 boom, 9 busts)

No. 4: 904 (4 booms, 7 busts)

No. 5: 873 (3 booms, 8 busts)

No. 6: 828 (1 boom, 11 busts)

No. 7: 780 (1 boom, 11 busts)

No. 8: 792 (2 booms, 9 busts)

No. 9: 860 (3 booms, 11 busts)

No. 10: 656 (1 boom, 12 busts)