It’s time for the second season of Celebrity Big Brother! This sped-up version of the classic Big Brother game has been going strong in the UK for over a decade, but just made its debut here last year. With a cast full of reality TV regulars, has-beens, never-weres, and TV trainwrecks going for each other’s throats in the Big Brother house, it was a ratings hit last year. So of course it’s back with a cast even more full of offbeat names.

Last year saw a trio of superfans – Shannon Elizabeth, Mark McGrath, and Ross Matthews – placed in house with a bunch of Big Brother rookies. While Matthews did dominate the game and made it to the final two, he lost in the finals to casual Marisa Jaret Winokur in a vote spearheaded by a bitter Elizabeth determined a woman would win. Of course, what everyone was talking about last year wasn’t who would win – it was what Apprentice contestant-turned Trump appointee Omarosa would get up to. And she delivered in drama.

To no surprise, this new season has a Trump appointee as well in short-lived communications director Anthony Scaramucci (who was canned for getting into twitter fights before actually starting his job). He’ll be up against a group including pro athletes (Olympic athlete Lolo Jones, former NFLer Ricky Williams, wrestler/actress Natalie Eva Marie, and swimmer/professional trainwreck Ryan Lochte); TV regulars (actor-turned-host Jonathan Bennett, edgelord comedian Tom Green, former sitcom star Joey Lawrence, Real Housewife Kandi Burruss, singer and talk show host Tamar Braxton); and a pair of older contestants who defy classification (Houseguest turned OJ Simpson trial witness Kato Kaelin and “Momager” Dina Lohan).

The Celebrity Big Brother game moves fast and furious, with multiple evictions every week and the game wrapping up in under a month in time for the next season of Survivor. Tune in here on Break the Fourth for regular post-eviction updates, but before the show premieres tonight, here are my first impressions of the twelve houseguests based on their reputation and pre-show videos, along with their odds of winning.

Celebrity Big Brother 2 Pre-Launch Analysis:

Anthony Scaramucci – 250 to 1

There’s always that one contestant best summed up as “Here for a good time, not for a long time”. Scaramucci is a great casting coup for the show, because not only does he keep the Trump gossip going from last season, but he’s notorious for his explosive personality and is sure to be good for drama. But he’s also likely to be an immediate outsider in the house – one of the oldest contestants, and tied to an administration that most of the houseguests likely hate. His best bet is to be seen as a non-threat and get dragged along for a while, but even by those standards he’s one of the season’s biggest underdogs.

Dina Lohan – 150 to 1

Another case of a contestant who is coming into this as a massive underdog, Hollywood’s most famous “Momager” has long had a reputation as a drama queen and trainwreck. She reminds me of last season’s Brandi Glanville, in that she’s going to be an older female contestant with a sharp tongue who’ll cause a lot of fights in the house. She’s likely to be seen as a non-factor in challenges, which means she’ll avoid being an early target unless she just makes herself impossible to be around. But once it comes down to the elite players, she won’t have a chance.

Joey Lawrence – 15 to 1

Joey is one of the most familiar faces on the cast, a mainstay of mediocre sitcoms ever since the 80s. Naturally likable and a fan of the Big Brother game, he’s likely to emerge as one of the power players in the game. But his pre-game videos hinted at a very different Joey – at least coming off as slightly unbalanced. He’s coming off as much more like last season’s Marc McGrath than the friendly face he was expected to be. But that could work in his favor – an unpredictable houseguest is a dangerous houseguest.

Jonathan Bennett – 3 to 1

There’s always one shark in the minnow pool. The charming, openly gay Mean Girls actor turned Cake Wars host is a reality TV mainstay and a well-known fan of the game. He’s coming into this game as a heavy favorite, and the only thing he needs to worry about is being too obvious of one. Much like Ross Matthews last season, everyone should be worried about a Big Brother superfan who knows reality TV this well.

Kandi Burruss – 45 to 1

A Grammy-winning R&B artist turned Real Housewives of Atlanta star, Kandi is a reality TV regular – but her brand of reality TV is most known for broadcasting spectacular arguments. She’s going to make for good TV, but she’s not likely to come in with a lot of game skills. The good news is, there’s going to be a lot of people ahead of her in threat level. She could easily find herself at the endgame, but winning will be a lot harder.

Kato Kaelin – 30 to 1

As the oldest contestant, Kato is in serious danger of being the first boot just because that’s how it goes so often. But if that contestant sneaks past the first week, they often slip VERY deep in the game. See fan favorite Kevin from Big Brother 19. Known for his laid-back personality, Kato isn’t going to be high on anyone’s threat radar and could easily charm his way into a jury win at the end. After all, if he’s good at anything, it’s lying on someone else’s couch and turning that into money.

Lolo Jones – 5 to 1

Maybe the best all-around contestant this season, Lolo Jones is an elite athlete who is also one of the youngest contestants this season. She has to worry about being targeted early as a threat by the older contestants, but in all her press apppearances she’s come off as likable. The key for Lolo to win will be to manage her threat level and challenge wins early on so she can get to the point where she pull an HOH/Veto streak to the end.

Natalie Eva Marie – 12 to 1

Equal parts athlete and celebrity, this professional wrestler – also the youngest contestant this season – is known for her larger-than-life personality. But she’s also one of the savvier female wrestlers and has built a brand for herself. What works to her disadvantage as compared to Lolo is that she’s more obviously a threat and will have to fight to stay in the game in the early going. But she’s starting the game in one of the better positions.

Ricky Williams – 8 to 1

Ricky Williams is probably the contestant I’m most looking forward to seeing play this time. A former elite NFL running back turned yoga practitioner and legal weed activist, he’s gained a reputation as a laid-back guy. That’s going to work to his advantage when the early threats are targeted. Last season, everyone loved Metta World Peace in the house, but he didn’t want to stay. If someone like that has some actual game skills, they could go all the way.

Ryan Lochte – 100 to 1

Oh, Ryan. Olympic swimming’s professional trainwreck celebrated his exile from the sport by immediately doing the reality TV circuit starting with Dancing with the Stars and now Celebrity Big Brother. He’s clearly the most elite athlete on the show and will be hard to beat in any physical competitions – but he’s also such an obvious threat that he’ll be lucky to get past the first few weeks. It’s going to take an enormous amount of luck and challenge wins for Lochte to have a shot. At least he won’t lose to Michael Phelps this time?

Tamar Braxton – 25 to 1

Tamar is solidly in the middle of the pack of the contestants, and that’s not a bad place to be. She doesn’t come off as a big threat like Lochte or Eva Marie will, and she’s not likely to be immediately at the center of the drama like Burruss or Lohan. She’ll slip through for a while with little trouble, and the R&B star could easily find herself with a lot of friends on the jury – but does she have the game skills needed to get to the end?

Tom Green – 40 to 1

If you grew up in the early 2000s, you definitely remember when Tom Green’s crude brand of “Edgy” comedy was the hottest thing around. Remember “Freddy Got Fingered”? I hope not! Now approaching 50 and his hit career a thing of the past, Tom is ready to kick off his revival. His success in this game will heavily depend on who shows up – if the clever guy in his videos shows up, he could go surprisingly far, but if he gets schticky with it he’ll annoy people too quickly to make any game moves.

Who will win Celebrity Big Brother 2? Who will be the first one out the door? More importantly, will Zingbot and OTEV show up this year? Find out starting tonight at 8 PM EST on CBS!