Action for Big 12 Win Totals

By: Rex Eastwood

Oklahoma St. 7 Wins (Over -130, Under +110)



The Cowboys return star WR, Tylan Johnson for his junior season. He is expected to be First Team for All-Big 12 Team. He and the rest of the offense are going to need a solid season as they will have a redshirt freshman at QB. Spencer Sanders meshes well with the spread offense with his ability to roll out of the pocket. The offensive line returns three starters along with Chuba Hubbard at RB after rushing for 740 yards and 7 TDs. However, the defense needs to step up the most for this team. They struggled to defend the pass last season and ranked 97th in PPG allowed. The LB and secondary gained experience last season, but the defensive line will have new starters this year.



OK St. has a manageable schedule for this upcoming season. They will be favored by six points or more in seven of their games. Barring a home upset against TCU or Baylor, the Cowboys will have pushed the total. A loss in the season finale against rival OU can be expected, so that leaves four games for the over.



The remaining games are all on the road, so Sanders will need to step up in harsh environments. At Texas Tech stands their best chance where they will be around five point favorites. OK St.’s defense can step up against an average Tech offense for the win. Iowa St and WVU are potential wins as well, but may prove to be tougher match-ups. A sense of confidence can be found if the Cowboys win their first Big 12 game at Texas. A noteworthy win for Sanders and this squad could set them up to be contenders.



The Pick: Over 7 wins (-130). The defense will be the determining factor between a seven and 10-win team. This schedule sets up for seven wins so back OK St. on the over.



TCU 7.5 Wins (Over +115, Under -120)

The Horned Frogs are looking to rebound off a disappointing season. New starter, Alex Delton, will be under center. Although if he struggles, Greg Patterson may switch him out. Whoever is at QB has solid returning options in Darius Anderson and Jalen Reagor. The RB and WR produced over 1,700 yards combined. Regression on defense could be in store for TCU. The top defense in total YPG in the conference has new starters throughout. Don’t be surprised to see last season’s 23.1 PPG increase by a significant amount.



TCU schedule has some obstacles in their way. There are three favorable games on the schedule, in which they will be favored by fourteen or more. Next, they must travel to Oklahoma twice. The Horned Frogs will be six points or more dogs in those. That puts them at 3-2 with seven games remaining. In each of these, it should come down to the wire as they are within three point spreads. If they can sweep their home games against Texas, Baylor and WVU, TCU can stand a chance. Nonetheless, it will be too tough of a test to complete. The other four matchups come on the road at Purdue, Iowa St., Kansas St., and Texas Tech.



The Pick: Under 7.5 wins (-120). With questions surrounding QB, and a difficult schedule, the Horned Frogs will finish the season with seven wins at most.



Books are Daring You to Back OU!

Caesars has Oklahoma listed at 10 wins (-170). This seems to be a low number to me. The Sooners will be nine point favorites or more in all twelve of their games. Their toughest matchups come at Baylor and at OK St. I am passing on this line but I would not persuade someone off of backing OU.



Other Conference Win Total Previews:

Big 10

Pac 12

SEC

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