Washington Post-ABC News Poll

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone January 12 to 15, 2012, among a random national sample of 1,000 adults, including landline and cell phone-only respondents. The results from the full survey have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by Abt-SRBI of New York.

*= less than 0.5 percent

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/15/12 48 25 23 48 11 37 4 12/18/11 49 25 24 47 13 34 4 11/3/11 44 22 22 53 15 37 3 10/2/11 42 21 21 54 14 40 4 9/1/11 43 21 22 53 16 38 3 8/9/11* 44 18 26 46 9 37 10 7/17/11 47 25 22 48 14 35 5 6/5/11 47 27 20 49 13 37 4 5/2/11** 56 29 27 38 14 24 6 4/17/11 47 27 21 50 12 37 3 3/13/11 51 27 24 45 12 33 4 1/16/11 54 30 23 43 15 28 3 12/12/10 49 24 25 47 15 32 4 10/28/10 50 27 23 45 11 34 5 10/3/10 50 26 24 47 13 34 3 9/2/10 46 24 22 52 14 38 3 7/11/10 50 28 22 47 12 35 3 6/6/10 52 30 22 45 12 33 4 4/25/10 54 31 23 44 11 33 3 3/26/10 53 34 20 43 8 35 3 2/8/10 51 29 22 46 12 33 3 1/15/10 53 30 24 44 13 32 2 12/13/09 50 31 18 46 13 33 4 11/15/09 56 32 23 42 13 29 2 10/18/09 57 33 23 40 11 29 3 9/12/09 54 35 19 43 12 31 3 8/17/09 57 35 21 40 11 29 3 7/18/09 59 38 22 37 9 28 4 6/21/09 65 36 29 31 10 22 4 4/24/09 69 42 27 26 8 18 4 3/29/09 66 40 26 29 9 20 5 2/22/09 68 43 25 25 8 17 7 *Washington Post **Washington Post/Pew Research Center

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Obama is handling [ITEM]? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

1/15/12 - Summary Table* -------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion a. The economy 41 19 22 57 11 46 2 b. Creating jobs 45 21 25 51 11 40 3 c. Taxes 45 21 24 47 13 34 8 d. The federal budget deficit 35 15 20 58 11 48 7 e. The threat of terrorism 56 36 20 38 10 28 6 f. International affairs 49 26 23 44 10 33 7 g. The possibility of Iran obtaining nuclear weapons 33 15 18 48 11 37 19 *Full sample asked item a; half sample asked items b,c,d; other half sample asked items e,f,g. Trend: a. The economy -------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/15/12 41 19 22 57 11 46 2 12/18/11 41 17 24 56 13 43 2 11/3/11 38 18 20 61 13 48 2 10/2/11 35 17 19 61 13 48 4 9/1/11 36 15 21 62 15 47 2 7/17/11 39 18 22 57 15 43 3 6/5/11 40 20 20 59 10 49 2 5/2/11* 40 18 22 55 16 39 4 4/17/11 42 23 19 57 11 46 2 3/13/11 43 22 21 55 13 41 2 1/16/11 46 22 24 51 13 38 2 12/12/10 43 21 22 54 15 39 3 10/28/10 RV 44 21 23 54 15 39 3 10/3/10 45 22 23 53 13 41 2 9/2/10 41 20 21 57 13 44 2 7/11/10 43 20 23 54 13 41 4 6/6/10 50 26 24 49 12 37 2 4/25/10 49 24 25 49 10 39 2 3/26/10 45 23 22 52 12 40 3 2/8/10 45 22 23 53 15 38 2 1/15/10 47 22 24 52 13 39 1 12/13/09 46 23 24 52 12 40 2 11/15/09 51 26 25 47 12 36 2 10/18/09 50 29 22 48 13 35 1 9/12/09 51 28 24 46 13 33 2 8/17/09 52 27 25 46 13 33 2 7/18/09 52 29 23 46 10 35 3 6/21/09 56 28 28 41 13 27 3 4/24/09 58 31 28 38 13 25 4 3/29/09 60 34 25 38 12 26 3 2/22/09 60 NA NA 34 NA NA 6 *Washington Post/Pew Research Center b. Creating jobs -------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/15/12 45 21 25 51 11 40 3 12/18/11 39 17 22 55 13 43 5 11/3/11 40 20 20 57 13 44 3 10/2/11 35 17 18 60 14 47 4 9/1/11 36 15 21 62 18 45 2 7/17/11 41 16 25 52 13 39 7 2/8/10 47 25 22 51 15 35 3 c. Taxes -------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/15/12 45 21 24 47 13 34 8 11/3/11 41 21 20 53 18 35 6 10/2/11 42 22 20 51 14 37 7 7/17/11 45 24 21 47 13 34 8 1/16/11 50 23 27 44 14 31 6 8/17/09 51 23 28 40 12 28 8 4/24/09 56 NA NA 38 NA NA 6 d. The federal budget deficit -------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/15/12 35 15 20 58 11 48 7 9/1/11 36 18 18 60 14 46 4 7/17/11 38 22 16 60 14 45 2 6/5/11 33 16 17 61 12 49 6 4/17/11 39 21 18 58 11 47 3 3/13/11 39 18 20 55 13 42 6 1/16/11 43 21 22 52 11 41 6 12/12/10 38 16 22 55 19 36 7 9/2/10 39 18 20 58 13 45 3 7/11/10 40 20 20 56 11 45 4 6/6/10 39 22 17 56 13 42 6 4/25/10 40 20 20 55 14 42 5 3/26/10 43 22 21 52 14 38 5 2/8/10 40 17 23 56 16 40 4 1/15/10 38 18 20 56 15 41 6 12/13/09 37 16 21 56 12 44 6 11/15/09 42 19 23 53 10 43 5 10/18/09 45 20 25 51 14 37 4 9/12/09 39 17 22 55 13 42 6 8/17/09 41 19 22 53 12 41 5 7/18/09 43 19 24 49 11 38 8 6/21/09 48 22 26 48 13 35 5 4/24/09 51 NA NA 43 NA NA 7 3/29/09 52 NA NA 43 NA NA 5 e. The threat of terrorism -------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/15/12 56 36 20 38 10 28 6 11/3/11 60 37 23 34 12 22 6 9/1/11 62 33 29 32 12 21 6 6/5/11 60 35 25 34 13 21 6 5/2/11* 69 42 27 21 9 12 10 2/8/10 56 28 28 39 14 25 5 1/15/10 55 31 23 42 14 28 4 11/15/09 53 31 22 41 14 27 6 9/12/09 55 31 24 34 12 23 11 6/21/09 57 NA NA 36 NA NA 7 4/21/09** 57   26   17 *Washington Post-Pew Research Center **Pew Research Center f. International affairs -------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/15/12 49 26 23 44 10 33 7 11/3/11 47 26 21 45 13 31 8 11/15/09 60 30 30 37 13 23 3 10/18/09 57 34 23 36 15 21 7 9/12/09 57 32 25 33 12 21 10 6/21/09 61 NA NA 32 NA NA 7 4/24/09 67 27 6 3/29/09 62   27   11 g. No trend.

3. Do you think things in this country (are generally going in the right direction) or do you feel things (have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track)?

Right Wrong No direction track opinion 1/15/12 30 68 2 11/3/11 22 74 3 9/1/11 20 77 3 6/5/11 32 66 2 1/16/11 38 60 3 12/12/10 31 67 2 10/28/10 RV 27 71 2 6/6/10 37 60 3 3/26/10 38 60 2 1/15/10 37 62 1 11/15/09 44 55 2 10/18/09 44 54 2 8/17/09 44 55 1 6/21/09 47 50 3 4/24/09 50 48 2 3/29/09 42 57 1 2/22/09 31 67 2 1/16/09 19 78 3 12/14/08 15 82 3 10/25/08 LV 13 85 2 10/11/08 RV 8 90 2 9/22/08 RV 14 83 3 8/22/08 19 78 2 6/15/08 14 84 2 5/11/08 16 82 2 1/12/08 21 77 2 11/1/07 24 74 2 6/1/07 25 73 2 1/19/07 26 71 3 11/4/06 RV 39 59 2 10/22/06 30 68 2 10/8/06 32 66 2 5/15/06 29 69 2 11/2/05 30 68 2 10/24/04 LV 41 55 4 4/18/04 42 57 1 4/30/03 52 46 2 9/26/02 43 53 4 2/21/02 54 42 4 2/14/99 55 41 4 11/1/98 55 43 2 8/21/98 57 40 4 7/12/98 50 45 6 4/4/98 55 41 4 1/31/98 61 34 5 1/30/98 61 34 5 1/19/98 44 50 6 8/27/97 39 57 4 6/8/97 37 60 3 3/9/97 34 62 4 10/17/96 RV 40 55 5 10/16/96 RV 42 53 5 10/15/96 RV 43 52 5 10/14/96 RV 44 51 5 10/13/96 RV 44 51 5 9/04/96 RV 40 54 6 8/21/96 28 67 5 6/30/96 26 70 5 3/17/96 27 70 3 1/21/96 27 66 6 1/3/96 21 77 3 4/5/95 23 73 3 1/4/95 27 68 6 10/31/94 27 69 4 7/20/94 26 70 4 3/27/94 28 69 3 1/23/94 31 60 10 11/14/93 25 69 6 8/8/93 26 71 3 6/20/93 26 71 3 4/26/93 27 71 2 3/11/93 36 57 7 2/28/93 37 59 4 1/17/93 31 63 6 12/14/92 35 60 5 10/27/92 RV 22 76 2 10/4/92 RV 18 78 4 6/7/92 14 83 3 4/9/92 16 81 3 3/11/92 18 79 4 1/15/92 19 78 3 11/10/91 24 72 4 10/29/91 26 71 3 8/27/91 31 60 9 7/28/91 30 67 3 6/2/91 39 57 4 4/9/91 42 51 7 2/26/91 58 39 3 1/27/91 49 48 4 10/14/90 19 79 2 9/9/90 36 60 4 8/20/90 35 60 5 7/24/90 37 60 2 5/21/90 39 60 2 3/26/90 44 53 2 2/4/90 49 48 3 1/16/90 48 49 3 5/23/89 42 55 3 3/16/89 46 52 2 1/16/89 LV 51 46 3 10/25/88 LV 49 46 6 9/27/88 48 44 8 7/11/88 40 56 4 5/25/88 35 59 6 3/21/88 40 56 4 1/23/88 39 59 2 12/13/87 49 47 4 12/2/87 35 61 4 9/23/87 43 54 4 6/29/87 35 62 3 4/13/87 37 60 3 3/9/87 38 58 4 1/18/87 39 56 5 9/8/86 50 48 2 1/26/86 45 47 8 7/29/85 52 43 6 1/16/85 59 36 4 5/22/84 47 48 5 12/13/83 43 51 6 11/7/83 51 44 5 4/12/83 41 54 4 3/2/83 43 53 3 10/11/82 35 57 8 1/30/82 39 56 5 2/80 20 70 10 2/78 34 53 13 2/77 41 44 14 10/75 19 71 9 10/74 15 75 11 10/73 16 74 10

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the U.S. Congress is doing its job? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

-------- Approve -------- ------- Disapprove ------ No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/15/12 13 3 11 84 19 65 3 10/2/11 14 3 11 82 20 62 4 3/13/11 27 7 20 69 24 45 4 1/16/11 28 6 21 66 24 43 7 10/28/10 RV 23 6 17 74 21 53 3 10/3/10 24 6 18 73 22 51 3 9/2/10 25 5 20 72 21 51 4 6/6/10 26 7 20 71 20 51 2 3/26/10 24 7 18 72 18 54 4 2/8/10 26 NA NA 71 NA NA 3 7/13/08 23 71 6 2/1/08 33 59 8 12/9/07 32 60 8 11/1/07 28 65 7 9/30/07 29 65 6 7/21/07 37 60 4 6/1/07 39 " " 53 " " 8 4/15/07 44 8 36 54 25 29 3 2/25/07 41 NA NA 54 NA NA 5 1/19/07 43 50 8 12/11/06 37 " " 57 " " 6 11/4/06 RV 36 7 29 60 25 35 4 10/22/06 31 5 25 65 27 38 4 10/8/06 32 5 27 66 29 37 2 9/7/06 40 NA NA 55 NA NA 5 8/6/06 36 60 4 5/15/06 33 63 4 4/9/06 35 62 3 3/5/06 36 62 3 1/26/06 43 53 4 1/8/06 41 55 5 12/18/05 43 53 4 11/2/05 37 59 4 8/28/05 37 59 4 6/5/05 41 54 4 10/29/03 40 52 9 4/30/03 57 37 6 9/26/02 51 43 6 7/15/02 57 36 7 2/21/02 57 39 4 1/27/02 58 35 7 12/19/01 59 34 7 9/9/01 45 48 7 7/30/01 48 48 4 4/22/01 58 33 8 10/31/99 42 53 6 9/2/99 46 47 7 6/6/99 48 46 6 3/14/99 44 49 7 2/14/99 46 50 4 12/20/98 44 51 5 12/19/98 45 50 5 12/13/98 49 46 5 11/7/98 41 55 4 11/1/98 49 47 5 10/25/98 45 44 11 10/18/98 46 45 8 9/28/98 52 44 4 8/21/98 55 39 6 7/12/98 46 44 11 5/12/98 45 45 9 4/4/98 47 45 8 1/31/98 55 35 10 1/30/98 55 35 10 1/25/98 56 37 8 1/24/98 55 38 7 1/19/98 47 49 5 10/13/97 36 57 7 8/27/97 39 54 7 7/8/97 40 53 6 4/24/97 40 53 7 3/9/97 35 60 5 1/15/97 38 56 6 8/5/96 42 52 7 6/30/96 35 58 7 5/22/96 35 60 5 3/10/96 30 64 6 1/7/96 31 65 5 11/19/95 27 68 5 10/1/95 32 65 3 7/17/95 34 63 3 4/5/95 37 57 6 3/19/95 39 56 5 1/29/95 42 52 6 10/31/94 21 72 8 10/23/94 18 78 4 9/11/94 24 70 5 6/26/94 34 61 5 3/27/94 35 62 3 2/27/94 32 64 4 1/23/94 29 60 11 11/14/93 28 66 6 8/8/93 33 64 3 4/26/93 30 69 2 1/17/93 29 66 6 6/7/92 16 77 6 4/9/92 17 78 5 3/18/92 19 76 5 3/8/92 22 73 6 2/2/92 32 64 4 12/15/91 35 59 6 10/21/91 45 50 5 6/2/91 49 46 5 10/14/90 34 63 3 2/4/90 41 55 4 1/16/90 39 55 6 8/21/89 42 53 5 5/23/89 54 44 2 2/14/89 53 44 3 1/23/88* 43 53 4 6/1/87 56 40 4 6/22/85 54 37 9 5/83 33 43 24 6/81 38 40 22 6/79 19 61 20 9/78 29 49 22 6/77 34 42 24 6/75 29 54 17 8/74 48 " " 35 " " 17 *1/23/88 and previous: Gallup

5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way [ITEM] are doing their job?

1/15/12 - Summary Table Approve Disapprove No opinion a. The Democrats in Congress 33 62 5 b. The Republicans in Congress 21 75 4 Trend: a. The Democrats in Congress Approve Disapprove No opinion 1/15/12 33 62 5 12/18/11 27 66 7 4/17/11 36 60 4 10/3/10 36 61 3 7/18/09 47 48 5 4/24/09 45 49 6 2/22/09 50 44 6 7/13/08 35 57 8 2/1/08 39 54 7 12/9/07 40 53 6 11/1/07 36 58 6 9/30/07 38 57 5 7/21/07 46 51 2 6/1/07 44 49 6 4/15/07 54 44 2 10/8/06 48 50 3 5/15/06 39 58 4 11/2/05 41 54 5 6/5/05 42 56 3 6/6/99 51 42 7 3/14/99 51 42 7 7/8/97 45 49 6 4/5/95 36 60 4 10/31/94 39 53 8 10/23/94 36 59 5 9/11/94 41 53 6 b. The Republicans in Congress Approve Disapprove No opinion 1/15/12 21 75 4 12/18/11 20 72 7 9/1/11 28 68 3 4/17/11 34 63 3 10/3/10 30 67 3 7/18/09 36 58 6 4/24/09 30 64 6 2/22/09 38 56 6 7/13/08 25 69 6 2/1/08 30 63 7 12/9/07 32 63 5 11/1/07 32 63 6 9/30/07 29 67 4 7/21/07 34 64 2 6/1/07 36 58 6 4/15/07 39 59 2 10/8/06 35 63 2 5/15/06 33 64 3 11/2/05 35 61 4 6/5/05 42 56 2 6/6/99 41 52 7 3/14/99 40 56 4 7/8/97 40 54 6 9/15/96 RV 46 48 6 6/30/96 38 56 6 4/5/95 45 50 5 10/31/94 33 59 7 10/23/94 31 64 5 9/11/94 35 59 6

6. Who do you trust to do a better job [ITEM] - (Obama) or (the Republicans in Congress)?

1/15/12 - Summary Table* Both Neither No Obama Reps (vol.) (vol.) opinion a. Handling the economy 43 41 1 12 3 b. Creating jobs 45 37 1 13 3 c. Protecting the middle class 48 35 * 13 3 d. Handling taxes 40 42 1 13 4 e. Handling the federal budget deficit 40 41 1 14 4 *Full sample asked item a; half sample asked items b,c; other half sample asked items d,e. Trend: a. Handling the economy Both Neither No Obama Reps (vol.) (vol.) opinion 1/15/12 43 41 1 12 3 12/18/11 44 40 1 13 2 11/3/11 42 42 1 12 2 10/2/11 43 42 1 11 2 9/1/11 42 39 1 16 2 6/5/11 42 45 2 9 2 3/13/11 46 34 2 15 4 1/16/11 46 41 3 7 3 12/12/10 44 45 2 7 2 4/25/10 49 38 1 9 2 2/8/10 47 42 1 7 2 12/13/09 48 36 1 12 3 11/15/09 52 37 1 8 1 9/12/09 48 37 1 12 2 7/18/09 56 33 1 9 2 6/21/09 55 31 2 9 2 4/24/09 61 24 2 11 2 3/29/09 58 25 1 14 2 2/22/09 61 26 1 9 3 b. Creating jobs Both Neither No Obama Reps (vol.) (vol.) opinion 1/15/12 45 37 1 13 3 12/18/11 44 41 1 12 2 11/3/11 40 40 1 16 4 10/2/11 49 34 1 14 3 9/1/11 40 40 1 17 2 6/5/11 43 42 2 11 2 2/8/10 48 41 2 8 2 c. Protecting the middle class Both Neither No Obama Reps (vol.) (vol.) opinion 1/15/12 48 35 * 13 3 12/18/11 50 35 1 10 3 11/3/11 45 41 1 11 2 4/17/11 51 39 1 8 1 1/16/11* 51 37 1 8 3 12/12/10 53 38 1 6 2 *1/16/11 and previous: "Helping the middle class" d. Handling taxes Both Neither No Obama Reps (vol.) (vol.) opinion 1/15/12 40 42 1 13 4 12/18/11 46 41 1 10 2 10/2/11 39 46 1 11 2 4/17/11 47 42 1 8 2 1/16/11 44 42 2 9 4 12/12/10 43 44 1 7 5 e. Handling the federal budget deficit Both Neither No Obama Reps (vol.) (vol.) opinion 1/15/12 40 41 1 14 4 9/1/11 39 42 1 16 2 6/5/11 39 47 2 10 2 3/13/11 45 36 2 14 4 1/16/11 44 41 4 8 2 12/12/10 39 47 2 9 4 4/25/10 45 41 1 10 3 2/8/10 45 43 1 9 1 9/12/09 50 36 1 12 1 7/18/09 54 35 * 9 2 6/21/09 56 30 2 9 2

7. Please tell me whether the following statement applies to Obama, or not: [ITEM]?

1/15/12 - Summary Table Yes No No opinion a. He understands the problems of people like you 51 47 2 b. He is a strong leader 51 48 1 c. He shares your values 49 49 3 d. He sticks with his principles 61 35 4 Trend: a. He understands the problems of people like you Yes No No opinion 1/15/12 51 47 2 11/3/11 49 49 2 6/5/11 49 49 2 1/16/11 58 40 2 9/2/10 50 48 2 6/6/10 51 48 2 3/26/10 56 43 2 1/15/10 57 42 2 7/18/09 63 35 1 4/24/09 73 25 1 1/16/09 72 24 4 b. He is a strong leader Yes No No opinion 1/15/12 51 48 1 11/3/11 48 51 1 6/5/11 55 44 1 6/6/10 57 43 1 3/26/10 65 33 2 1/15/10 63 35 1 7/18/09 71 27 2 4/24/09 77 22 2 1/16/09 72 18 10 c. He shares your values Yes No No opinion 1/15/12 49 49 3 11/3/11 49 49 2 6/5/11 49 49 3 9/2/10 49 50 1 1/15/10 55 43 1 4/24/09 60 38 2 1/16/09 67 30 3 7/13/08 56 39 5 d. No trend.

8. Obama has been president for about three years. Would you say he has accomplished a great deal during that time, a good amount, not very much or little or nothing?

-Grt deal/Good amt- -- Not much/nothing -- Great Good Not Little or No NET deal amt NET much nothing opinion 1/15/12 47 12 35 52 25 27 1 1/15/10* 47 12 35 52 30 22 1 10/18/09 49 14 35 50 27 23 1 4/24/09 63 24 39 36 21 15 1 Compare to: Clinton 8/16/94 36 6 30 64 39 25 * 1/23/94 47 11 36 53 33 19 1 4/26/93 37 5 32 63 38 25 * *Question updated for passage of time.

9. (IF NOT MUCH/NOTHING) Who's mainly responsible for that - (Obama) or the Republicans in Congress)?

Neither Both No Obama Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opinion 1/15/12 56 18 3 19 3 1/15/10 52 20 6 20 3 4/24/09 49 24 8 16 3 Compare to: Clinton Neither Both No Clinton Republicans (vol.) (vol.) opinion 8/16/94 48 26 5 20 2 4/26/93 40 40 1 17 2

10. Regardless of whether or not the recession is over, in terms of your own personal experience, do you feel the economy has or has not begun to recover?

Has Has not No opinion 1/15/12 45 54 1 11/3/11 36 63 1 6/5/11 42 57 1 3/13/11 46 53 1 12/12/10 41 57 2 10/5/10* 34 63 2 2/8/10 45 53 1 12/13/09** 50 49 1 11/15/09 44 54 1 *ABC News/Yahoo! News **Add "Regardless of whether or not the recession is over..."

11. (IF ECONOMY HAS BEGUN TO RECOVER) Do you think the economys recovery so far has been a strong one or a weak one?

Strong Weak No opinion 1/15/12 21 77 2 11/3/11 19 77 3 6/5/11 17 81 2 2/8/10 25 75 1 12/13/09 24 73 3 10/11 NET: - Recovery's begun- NET Strong Weak Has not No opinion 1/15/12 45 9 36 54 1 11/3/11 36 7 29 63 1 6/5/11 42 7 34 57 1 2/8/10 45 11 34 53 1 12/13/09 50 12 36 49 1

12. Would you say you, yourself are better off financially than you were when Obama became president, not as well off, or in about the same shape as then financially?

Better off Not as well off About the same No opinion 1/15/12 15 30 54 1 11/3/11 13 34 52 1 9/1/11 15 35 50 * 7/18/09 8 27 64 * G.W. Bush 10/5/04 LV 30 30 40 1 10/29/03 22 27 50 1 9/13/03 21 30 49 * 8/11/03 17 25 58 1 Clinton: 6/11/00 34 14 50 2 7/19/98 30 15 52 3 3/1/98 32 9 57 1 6/23/96 29 22 49 0 2/27/94 12 17 71 * G.H.W. Bush: 1/17/93 27 28 44 1 8/9/92 22 32 45 1 6/7/92 19 32 49 * 3/11/92 20 33 46 1 2/2/92 19 31 49 * 12/15/91 17 33 49 * 10/21/91 20 27 53 1 3/4/91 19 18 63 1 Reagan: 1/16/89 42 18 39 1 1/18/87 37 23 40 1 9/8/86 41 20 39 1

13. Who do you think is more responsible for the countrys current economic problems  (Barack Obama) or (George W. Bush)?

Both Neither No Obama Bush (vol.) (vol.) Opinion 1/15/12 29 54 9 6 2

14. On another subject, how closely are you following the 2012 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

---- Closely ----- ---- Not closely ----- No NET Very Smwt NET Not too At all opinion 1/15/12 71 30 42 28 16 12 * 12/18/11 69 26 43 31 18 13 * 11/3/11 65 24 41 34 17 17 * 10/2/11 64 24 40 36 23 13 0 9/1/11 66 25 40 34 20 14 * 7/17/11 61 18 43 39 23 15 * 6/5/11 61 22 39 38 23 15 *

15. What is the single most important issue in your choice for president?

1/15/12 11/3/11 Economy/jobs 51 56 Ethics/honesty/corruption in government 6 7 Health care 3 4 Morals/family values 3 4 Beating the Republican/re-electing Obama/Supporting the Democrats 1 2 Federal budget deficit 2 2 Taxes 2 2 Beating Obama/electing a Republican/Supporting the Republicans 1 1 Change * 1 Education 1 1 Environment * 1 Immigration/illegal immigration * 1 Leadership/strong leadership/good leader 2 1 Social Security 1 1 Terrorism/national security 2 1 Abortion * 1 Afghanistan/War in Afghanistan 1 * Experience 1 * Gas/oil prices/energy/ethanol * * Iraq/War in Iraq 1 * Housing/mortgages 1 * Foreign policy 1 * Global warming 0 0 Iran/Situation in Iran * 0 Guns/Gun control * 0 Stock market/Wall Street 0 0 Middle class Americans/helping the middle class 1 NA Other (SPECIFY) 10 10 No opinion 7 5

16. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the choice of candidates for the Republican nomination for president this year - are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied or very dissatisfied?

----- Satisfied ----- --- Dissatisfied ---- No NET Very Somewhat NET Somewhat Very opinion 1/15/12 61 9 52 36 23 12 3 12/18/11 59 11 48 37 27 10 4 11/3/11 59 9 50 36 27 9 5 10/2/11 62 9 54 32 25 7 6 9/1/11 65 15 51 29 21 8 6 7/17/11 54 8 46 38 29 10 8 6/5/11 47 7 40 46 38 9 7 4/17/11 43 5 38 40 30 10 17 11/1/07 69 16 54 28 22 7 2 9/7/07 68 19 49 26 21 6 5 7/21/07 65 13 53 32 26 6 3 6/1/07 68 11 56 28 22 6 4 4/15/07 65 16 49 31 27 5 3 2/25/07 73 14 58 24 20 5 3

17. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that?*

Less Will not No primary/ than vote caucus Already No Cert. Prob. 50-50 50-50 (vol.) (vol.) voted op. 1/15/12 65 15 11 4 4 * 1 1 12/18/11 71 14 8 6 1 * NA * 2/1/08 68 10 9 8 4 * 1 0 1/12/08 69 12 12 4 3 * * 0 12/9/07 74 11 9 3 2 * NA * 11/1/07 68 12 11 6 3 0  0 *Wording adjusted for respondents in states where primaries or caucuses have been held.

18. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If the 2012 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state was being held today, and the candidates were (Newt Gingrich), (Jon Huntsman), (Ron Paul), (Rick Perry), (Mitt Romney), (Rick Santorum). For whom would you vote? Which candidate would you lean toward?*

1/15/12 - NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE -------- Among gen pop ------ --------- Among RVs ---------- 1/15 12/18 11/3 10/2 9/1 7/17 1/15 12/18 11/3 10/2 9/1 7/17 Mitt Romney 35 30 24 25 25 30 36 30 25 25 25 30 Newt Gingrich 17 30 12 7 6 6 16 30 12 9 5 6 Ron Paul 16 15 8 11 10 11 16 15 9 9 10 10 Rick Santorum 13 3 1 2 3 3 13 4 1 2 3 3 Rick Perry 9 7 13 16 29 8 9 6 14 17 30 8 Jon Huntsman* * 3 1 1 1 3 * 2 1 1 1 3 Michele Bachmann* 0 7 4 7 8 16 0 7 4 7 9 17 Herman Cain NA NA 23 16 4 7 NA NA 23 17 5 7 Tim Pawlenty NA NA NA NA NA 3 NA NA NA NA NA 3 Other (vol.) 1 * * 2 2 1 1 * 0 2 2 1 None of them (vol.) 2 1 2 5 5 2 1 1 2 4 4 2 Would not vote (vol.) 1 * 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 * No opinion 6 4 9 7 5 8 7 4 8 7 5 9 *Michele Bachmann and Jon Huntsman vote in 1/15 includes those who said they voted for them in previous primary/caucus. Those who chose Huntsman who have yet to vote were re-allocated to their second choice candidate.

19. (ASKED IF NAMED REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE, NOT YET VOTED) Will you definitely vote for (NAMED CANDIDATE), or is there a chance you could change your mind and vote for someone else? (IF CHANCE CHANGE MIND) Is there a GOOD CHANCE you'll change your mind, or would you say it's PRETTY UNLIKELY?

Definitely - Chance change mind- No vote NET Good Unlikely opinion All candidates: 1/15/12 36 60 36 24 3 12/18/11 32 64 36 28 4 11/3/11 27 69 45 24 4 Mitt Romney: 1/15/12 43 53 28 25 3 12/18/11 36 63 37 25 1 11/3/11 28 71 33 39 1

20. (ASKED IF NAMED REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE) Who would your second choice be? Which candidate would you lean toward as your second choice?

1/15/12 - NET LEANED SECOND CHOICE -- Among gen pop -- ---- Among RVs ---- 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 Mitt Romney 23 21 19 24 22 21 Newt Gingrich 24 20 13 26 21 14 Ron Paul 16 12 9 14 13 9 Rick Santorum 15 7 2 16 7 3 Rick Perry 12 11 13 11 10 11 Jon Huntsman NA 4 5 9 3 5 Michele Bachmann NA 11 9 NA 10 9 Herman Cain NA NA 17 NA NA 17 Other (vol.) 2 2 1 3 2 1 No one/None of them (vol.) 3 5 4 3 6 4 Would not vote (vol.) 2 1 * 1 1 1 No opinion 2 7 6 3 5 5

21. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Just your best guess, who do you think will win the Republican nomination for president?

1/15/12 12/18/11 Mitt Romney 72 40 Newt Gingrich 7 35 Rick Perry 5 3 Ron Paul 4 6 Rick Santorum 2 0 Jon Huntsman * 2 Michele Bachmann NA 5 Other (vol.) * * No opinion 9 8

22. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Are there any of these candidates you would definitely NOT support for the nomination for president? (MULTIPLE RESPONSES ACCEPTED.)

1/15/12 Ron Paul 26 Newt Gingrich 23 Rick Perry 16 Rick Santorum 11 Jon Huntsman 9 Mitt Romney 8 None of these 32 No opinion 7

23. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you trust most to handle (ITEM)?

Full item wording: a. The economy b. Healthcare c. Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage d. The federal budget deficit e. International affairs 1/15/12 - Summary Table Social International Economy Healthcare issues Deficit affairs Mitt Romney 35 28 25 33 25 Newt Gingrich 17 18 15 20 31 Ron Paul 14 15 10 15 10 Rick Santorum 8 10 14 8 7 Rick Perry 8 6 9 7 7 Jon Huntsman 3 3 3 2 5 Other (vol.) 1 * 1 0 * All of them (vol.) 1 2 1 * * Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 1 * 1 1 No one/None of them (vol.) 3 5 6 6 4 No opinion 9 13 16 8 9 Trend where available: a. The economy 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 9/1/11 Mitt Romney 35 31 22 22 Newt Gingrich 17 25 13 7 Ron Paul 14 13 7 8 Rick Perry 8 7 10 22 Rick Santorum 8 1 1 2 Jon Huntsman 3 3 2 * Michele Bachmann NA 7 4 5 Herman Cain NA NA 19 4 Sarah Palin NA NA NA 11 Other (vol.) 1 * 0 2 All of them (vol.) 1 * 1 0 Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 * 2 2 No one/None of them (vol.) 3 6 2 4 No opinion 9 7 17 12 *11/3 and previous, which of the Republican candidates do you think would do the best job handling the economy b. Health care 1/15/12 12/18/11 Mitt Romney 28 25 Newt Gingrich 18 23 Ron Paul 15 14 Rick Santorum 10 3 Rick Perry 6 6 Jon Huntsman 3 4 Michele Bachmann NA 11 Herman Cain NA NA Sarah Palin NA NA Other (vol.) * * All of them (vol.) 2 * Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 1 No one/None of them (vol.) 5 5 No opinion 13 9 c. Social issues, such as abortion and gay marriage 1/15/12 12/18/11 Mitt Romney 25 26 Newt Gingrich 15 15 Rick Santorum 14 4 Ron Paul 10 12 Rick Perry 9 7 Jon Huntsman 3 3 Michele Bachmann NA 13 Herman Cain NA NA Sarah Palin NA NA Other (vol.) 1 0 All of them (vol.) 1 * Any 2 or more equally (vol.) * * No one/None of them (vol.) 6 6 No opinion 16 12 d. The federal budget deficit 1/15/12 12/18/11 Mitt Romney 33 25 Newt Gingrich 20 25 Ron Paul 15 15 Jon Huntsman 2 2 Rick Santorum 8 2 Rick Perry 7 6 Michele Bachmann NA 9 Herman Cain NA NA Sarah Palin NA NA Other (vol.) 0 0 All of them (vol.) * * Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 * No one/None of them (vol.) 6 8 No opinion 8 9 f. No trend.

24. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Regardless of who you may support, which of the Republican candidates do you think [ITEM]? (IF NEEDED) I can repeat the list. Is it (Newt Gingrich), (Jon Huntsman), (Ron Paul), (Rick Perry), (Mitt Romney), or (Rick Santorum)?

Full item wording: a. Best understands the problems of people like you b. Best reflects the core values of the Republican Party c. Is the most honest and trustworthy d. Has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election e. Has the best experience to be president f. Is the most likely to stand up for what he or she believes in g. Has the best personality and temperament to serve effectively as president 1/15/12 - Summary Table Under- Exper- Person- stands Values Honest Defeat ience Believes ality Mitt Romney 21 26 23 57 30 24 40 Ron Paul 16 9 18 7 11 19 9 Newt Gingrich 13 25 11 10 34 19 13 Rick Santorum 13 13 14 5 6 12 12 Rick Perry 10 10 8 5 7 11 8 Jon Huntsman 3 3 3 1 2 3 4 Other (vol.) * 0 * 0 0 0 0 All of them (vol.) 2 1 1 5 * 4 * Any 2 or more equally (vol.) * 1 2 1 1 1 2 No one/None of them (vol.) 12 4 12 2 2 2 2 No opinion 9 10 8 7 7 5 10 Trend where available: a. Best understands the problems of people like you 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 9/1/11 7/17/11 Mitt Romney 21 20 17 13 18 Ron Paul 16 13 7 8 9 Newt Gingrich 13 18 11 6 4 Rick Santorum 13 4 1 2 3 Rick Perry 10 7 11 17 5 Jon Huntsman 3 5 1 1 2 Michele Bachmann NA 14 6 9 11 Herman Cain NA NA 21 3 5 Sarah Palin NA NA NA 19 23 Tim Pawlenty NA NA NA NA 1 Other (vol.) * * 0 1 1 All of them (vol.) 2 1 1 1 1 Any 2 or more equally (vol.) * 1 2 3 1 No one/None of them (vol.) 12 10 6 8 4 No opinion 9 6 16 10 12 b. Best reflects the core values of the Republican Party 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 9/1/11 7/17/11 Mitt Romney 26 23 20 18 19 Newt Gingrich 25 23 19 6 9 Rick Santorum 13 5 3 4 3 Rick Perry 10 7 10 19 7 Ron Paul 9 10 4 6 8 Jon Huntsman 3 3 1 1 1 Michele Bachmann NA 13 5 10 11 Herman Cain NA NA 13 3 4 Sarah Palin NA NA NA 12 20 Tim Pawlenty NA NA NA NA 1 Other (vol.) 0 0 0 * 1 All of them (vol.) 1 1 1 1 * Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 1 2 5 1 No one/None of them (vol.) 4 4 2 2 1 No opinion 10 11 20 14 14 c. Is the most honest and trustworthy 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 Mitt Romney 23 22 17 Ron Paul 18 14 8 Rick Santorum 14 7 2 Newt Gingrich 11 13 8 Rick Perry 8 6 7 Jon Huntsman 3 5 2 Michele Bachmann NA 15 6 Herman Cain NA NA 22 Other (vol.) * 0 0 All of them (vol.) 1 1 1 Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 2 1 2 No one/None of them (vol.) 12 12 7 No opinion 8 5 17 d. Has the best chance to defeat Barack Obama in the general election 1/15/12 12/18/11 11/3/11 9/1/11 7/17/11 Mitt Romney 57 38 33 20 32 Newt Gingrich 10 28 5 5 6 Ron Paul 7 9 3 4 3 Jon Huntsman 1 3 * 1 2 Rick Perry 5 3 11 30 6 Rick Santorum 5 0 0 1 1 Michele Bachmann NA 3 1 4 7 Herman Cain NA NA 21 1 2 Sarah Palin NA NA NA 8 14 Tim Pawlenty NA NA NA NA 2 Other (vol.) 0 * 0 1 1 All of them (vol.) 5 3 6 4 7 Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 2 2 5 2 None of them (vol.) 2 4 3 4 4 No opinion 7 8 13 10 11 e. Has the best experience to be president 1/15/12 12/18/11 7/17/11 Newt Gingrich 34 43 16 Mitt Romney 30 23 27 Ron Paul 11 8 6 Rick Perry 7 5 8 Rick Santorum 6 1 2 Jon Huntsman 2 3 2 Michele Bachmann NA 4 7 Herman Cain NA NA 3 Sarah Palin NA NA 11 Tim Pawlenty NA NA 1 Other (vol.) 0 0 1 All of them (vol.) * 0 2 Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 1 1 No one/None of them (vol.) 2 4 4 No opinion 7 7 11 f. Is the most likely to stand up for what he believes in 1/15/12 12/18/11 Mitt Romney 24 20 Newt Gingrich 19 23 Ron Paul 19 16 Rick Santorum 12 4 Rick Perry 11 6 Jon Huntsman 3 3 Michele Bachmann NA 17 Other (vol.) 0 * All of them (vol.) 4 2 Any 2 or more equally (vol.) 1 2 No one/None of them (vol.) 2 1 No opinion 5 6 g. No trend.

25. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) In his work as a corporate investor, do you think Mitt Romney did more to (create jobs) or more to (cut jobs)?

Create jobs Cut jobs No opinion 1/15/12 50 28 23

26. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) If elected, do you think Ron Paul would pursue policies that most people in this country would (accept), or do you think he would pursue policies that most people would (find unacceptable)?

Acceptable Unacceptable No opinion 1/15/12 38 50 12 12/18/11 42 46 12

27. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) For each item I name, please tell me if it is a major reason to (support) that candidate, a major reason to (oppose) that candidate, or not a major factor?

1/15/12  Summary Table Major Major Not a reason to reason to major No support oppose factor op. a. Mitt Romneys policies on health care when he was governor of Massachusetts 21 27 36 16 b. Ron Pauls opposition to U.S. military interventions overseas 25 49 19 7 c. Rick Santorums support for earmarks as a U.S. Senator 14 31 38 17 Trend: a. Mitt Romney's policies on health care when he was governor of Massachusetts Major Major Not a reason to reason to major No support oppose factor op. 1/15/12 21 27 36 16 12/18/11 28 36 27 9 b. Ron Pauls opposition to U.S. military interventions overseas Major Major Not a reason to reason to major No support oppose factor op. 1/15/12 25 49 19 7 12/18/11 29 45 20 6 c. No trend.

28. (ASKED OF LEANED REPUBLICANS) Given what you know, do you have a favorable or unfavorable view of (ITEM)? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

1/15/12  Summary Table -- Favorable --- - Unfavorable -- No NET Str. Smwt. NET Smwt. Str. op. a. Gingrichs work, since leaving elective office, as a consultant for companies with an interest in federal policymaking 29 8 21 51 25 26 20 b. Romneys work buying and restructuring companies before he went into politics 51 22 29 29 17 13 20 c. Santorums position that abortion should be illegal in all cases, including in cases of rape, incest or mortal danger to the mother 28 18 11 65 14 51 7 Trend: a. Gingrichs work, since leaving elective office, as a consultant for companies with an interest in federal policymaking ------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/15/12 29 8 21 51 25 26 20 12/18/11 33 10 23 44 25 19 23 b. Romneys work buying and restructuring companies before he went into politics ------- Favorable ------- ------ Unfavorable ------ No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/15/12 51 22 29 29 17 13 20 12/18/11 54 22 33 20 13 6 26 c. No trend.

29. If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were (Barack Obama, the Democrat) and ([ITEM], the Republican), for whom would you vote? Would you lean toward (Obama) or toward (ITEM)?

NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - GEN POP 1/15/12 - Summary Table Other Neither Would not No Obama Rep. (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion a. Mitt Romney 46 47 * 2 3 2 b. Newt Gingrich 53 38 * 4 4 2 c. Ron Paul 49 41 1 3 4 3 d. Rick Santorum 52 39 * 3 3 2 NET LEANED VOTE PREFERENCE - REG VOTERS 1/15/12 - Summary Table Other Neither Would not No Obama Rep. (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion a. Mitt Romney 46 48 * 2 2 2 b. Newt Gingrich 52 40 * 3 3 2 c. Ron Paul 49 42 1 3 3 2 d. Rick Santorum 52 41 * 2 2 2 Trend: a. Mitt Romney Other Neither Would not No Obama Romney (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion 1/15/12 46 47 * 2 3 2 12/18/11 49 46 * 2 2 1 11/3/11 48 45 * 3 2 1 10/2/11 47 46 * 3 1 2 9/1/11 46 47 * 2 3 2 7/17/11 51 44 * 2 1 2 6/5/11 47 47 * 2 1 2 4/17/11 49 45 * 3 1 2 1/15/12 RV 46 48 * 2 2 2 12/18/11 RV 47 47 * 2 2 1 11/3/11 RV 46 47 * 3 2 1 10/2/11 RV 46 48 * 2 1 2 9/1/11 RV 45 49 * 2 2 2 7/17/11 RV 49 47 * 2 1 1 6/5/11 RV 46 49 * 2 1 2 4/17/11 RV 49 45 * 3 1 1 b. Newt Gingrich Other Neither Would not No Obama Gingrich (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion 1/15/12 53 38 * 4 4 2 12/18/11 51 42 1 3 2 1 6/5/11 52 42 1 3 1 1 4/17/11 54 39 * 3 2 1 1/15/12 RV 52 40 * 3 3 2 12/18/11 RV 51 43 * 3 2 1 6/5/11 RV 50 44 1 2 1 2 4/17/11 RV 54 39 * 4 2 1 c. Ron Paul Other Neither Would not No Obama Paul (vol.) (vol.) vote (vol.) opinion 1/15/12 49 41 1 3 4 3 12/18/11 50 43 * 3 2 1 7/17/11 53 41 * 2 1 3 1/15/12 RV 49 42 1 3 3 2 12/18/11 RV 49 44 * 4 2 1 7/17/11 RV 52 42 * 2 2 2 d. No trend.

30. Just your best guess, who do you think will win the presidential election this year - (Obama) or (the Republican candidate)?

Obama Rep. candidate No opinion 1/15/12 46 49 5 12/18/11 46 49 5 10/2/11 37 55 8

31. What do you think is the bigger problem in this country  (unfairness in the economic system that favors the wealthy), or (over-regulation of the free market that interferes with growth and prosperity)?

Over- Both Neither Unfairness regulation (vol.) (vol.) No opinion 1/15/12 55 35 5 2 4

32. (IF UNFAIRNESS OR OVER-REGULATION) Who do you think will be better able to deal with that problem (Obama) or (the Republican candidate for president)?

Obama Rep. candidate No opinion 1/15/12 47 46 7 31/32 NET: -- Economic unfairness -- - Market over-regulation - Both Neither No NET Obama Rep. No op. NET Obama Rep. No op. (vol) (vol) op. 1/15/12 55 35 15 4 35 7 26 2 5 2 4

33. Some people say the country needs a third political party in addition to the Democratic and Republican parties, others say its unnecessary. Do you think this country needs a third party or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?

-- Third party needed -- -Third party NOT needed-- No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/15/12 48 29 18 49 17 32 4

34. Say an independent, third party candidate with whom you agree on most issues entered the 2012 race for president. Would you definitely vote for that candidate, consider it, or would you definitely not vote for an independent, third-party candidate for president?

Definitely Consider Definitely No vote for voting for not vote for Opinion 1/15/12 22 46 28 4

35. On another subject, what is your view of the tea party political movement - would you say you support it strongly, support it somewhat, oppose it somewhat or oppose it strongly?

-------- Support -------- --------- Oppose -------- No NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opinion 1/15/12 40 13 28 50 23 27 10 12/18/11 42 13 28 45 20 26 13 11/3/11 43 14 29 44 20 24 13 10/2/11 42 12 30 47 20 27 11 9/1/11 47 13 35 45 18 27 8 7/17/11 44 13 31 46 23 24 10 6/5/11 46 13 33 44 21 24 10 4/17/11 42 16 26 49 21 27 10

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