Dave Tuley, senior reporter at VSiN.com, is in his second season with the Post’s Bettor’s Guide. His handicapping pieces appear in VSiN’s online magazine, Point Spread Weekly.

New York Jets (+23) over NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS: The past seven NFL underdogs of 20-plus points are 7-0 against the spread, but I like the J-E-T-S much better than the Dolphins in that spot this week. The Jets’ defense at least has a chance to contain Tom Brady’s offense, while I still like the effort of the Jets’ offense. RB Le’Veon Bell looked as if he was trying to carry the team on his back against the Browns, and WR Robby Anderson made some plays. With QB Luke Falk having a full week of reps with the starters, he should have more success if the offensive line can give him time. Bill Belichick doesn’t often take his foot off the gas, but his main goal should be to get through this game without injuries, so hopefully he’s content with a comfortable 10- to 14-point victory.

Denver Broncos (+7¹/₂) over GREEN BAY PACKERS: This line also looks inflated. Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense hasn’t been lighting up the scoreboard, while the success of the Packers’ D (allowing just 9.5 points per game) has had more to do with the ineptitude of the Bears’ offense in Week 1 and the Vikings’ (particularly Kirk Cousins’) miscues in Week 2. Also last week, the Broncos went toe-to-toe with the Bears, who I put on even footing with the Packers, so getting more than a touchdown looks like a bargain.

Last week: 1-1

Season: 1-3