CHANCELLOR ANGELA MERKEL alienated a broad swathe of the German public on Friday by approving a request from Turkey to prosecute Jan Böhmermann, a comedian who insulted Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan by reading an obscene poem about him on late-night television. In the same statement, however, Merkel said that her government would move to repeal the law Böhmermann appears to have violated, an obscure provision of the German penal code that makes it a crime to insult foreign heads of state. If approved, the change would not take effect until 2018. In the meantime, Böhmermann now faces possible prosecution both for breaking that law — an artifact of the ancient prohibition on hurting the feelings of monarchs, known as lèse-majesté — and for ordinary defamation, because Erdogan has also filed a separate complaint with a state prosecutor. As The Intercept reported on Wednesday, Böhmermann’s poem — which describes Erdogan as a foul monster who has sex with goats and “watches child porn while kicking Kurds” — was presented to viewers as part of a sketch about the difference between the sort of satirical insults of the notoriously prickly Erdogan that are permitted under German law and legally prohibited slander.

For German speakers: this is the poem that prompted #Erdogan's lawsuit https://t.co/WOKtiG5TqM Bestiality jokes about goats & sheep — Bojan Pancevski (@bopanc) April 15, 2016

That the segment was perhaps intended to demonstrate the difference between satire and defamation to Erdogan himself was suggested by the show’s decision to add Turkish subtitles to the broadcast. That said, it was perhaps an error to subtitle just the poem itself, not the discussion of media law around it, so that Turks who do not speak German were only exposed to the stream of vile insults. Böhmermann clearly calculated that his fictional portrait of Erdogan as a sex offender would infuriate the Turkish president but still be permitted, since the offensive claims were so clearly exaggerated for comic effect. His confidence appears to have been misplaced, however.

Photo: Jörg Carstensen/AFP/Getty Images

According to Dr. Ralph Oliver Graef, an expert on media law in Hamburg, Böhmermann is likely to lose if either case goes to trial. “You can’t break the law to say, ‘This is what’s illegal,'” Graef told The Intercept. “You can’t shoot someone to say, ‘This is murder, but I am not guilty.'” Even so, Graef said Böhmermann is more likely to be fined than jailed if he is convicted. As an example of how strict an interpretation of defamation is usually applied in German courts, Dr. Graef explained that you can be convicted of slander and fined merely for calling someone “an asshole” in an argument on the street. Despite the fact that “public opinion is very pro-Böhmermann in Germany,” Dr. Graef suggested that the prosecutors would be looking at an open-and-shut case, once they set aside the political context. “I have never come across such a very drastic and very insulting poem, because every line is insulting — a normal person would go to court and they would win automatically. The language used by Böhmermann had nothing to do with the political positions of Erdogan, and thus could be justified, but was merely used to attack him as a human being. Under German constitutional law human dignity shall be inviolable.” He added that German newspapers across the political spectrum, which strongly support Böhmermann’s right to mock the unpopular Erdogan, “are playing their own game.”

Der neue SPIEGEL ist da - morgen überall am Kiosk, heute hier: https://t.co/cLVUNMmHmc pic.twitter.com/pvrzqaT1p7 — Der SPIEGEL (@DerSPIEGEL) April 15, 2016