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Season record: 24-19 (56 percent) Week 2

Thursday

1, 2. Clemson at Louisville +7, and Under 51.5: Clemson's offensive line has not been tested, and Louisville's defensive front is very talented. Louisville losing to Houston (a game in which I had the Cougars) creates value.

Friday

3. Florida State at Boston College Under 47.5: Both of these young offenses make a ton of unforced errors, and both veteran defenses look stout. A score like 23-13 FSU would be comfortably under the number.

Saturday

4. South Carolina at Georgia Under 53: Georgia's passing game just isn't there yet, and South Carolina is a mess.

5. Auburn +7 at LSU: Auburn QB Jeremy Johnson has been rough, but also unlucky in the early going. I think Auburn will run Johnson a bit more in this one. Auburn has failed to cover in nine of its last 10 games, but I'll jump on right as everyone is jumping ship.

6. Ole Miss at Alabama -6.5: I am very impressed with Ole Miss, but still not convinced that the Rebels can run the football. And Alabama is the best front seven in college football. I expect Ole Miss' offense to become much more one-dimensional in Tuscaloosa.

7. Georgia Tech -2.5 at Notre Dame: Georgia Tech made quick work of a decent mid-major defense in Tulane in Week 2, and Justin Thomas is the perfect QB for the Yellow Jackets.

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8. Temple at UMass +11: Temple was incredibly fortunate with turnovers in defeating Cincinnati, and that has inflated the value of this spread.

9. Charlotte +20 at MTSU: Alabama beats on teams, and Middle Tennessee might not be so fresh after its trip to Tuscaloosa.

10. Illinois at North Carolina -9.5: North Carolina outplayed South Carolina but lost due to turnovers. If the score had reflected the play, this spread would be two touchdowns.

11. NC State -18 at Old Dominion: The Wolfpack are an improved squad, and ODU probably should have lost to Eastern Michigan. Surprisingly, there is no lookahead game here for NCSU, since its schedule is terrible.

12. Tulsa +30.5 at Oklahoma: This is an obvious letdown situation for Oklahoma after its big road win at Tennessee. Meanwhile, Tulsa can put up a lot of points in garbage time.

13. Central Michigan +7 at Syracuse: This is an obvious sandwich game for 'Cuse, coming off a very lucky ACC win over Wake Forest and having LSU on deck.

14. Northwestern at Duke -3: The turnover luck Northwestern had in beating Stanford is unsustainable, and the Blue Devils already punished me for underestimating them against Tulane in Week 1.

15. Rice -7 at North Texas: Rice covered last week against Texas and could have had a shot to win if not for terrible turnovers.

16. Nebraska +3.5 at Miami: I thought Brad Kaaya would be improved. He is. I thought Miami's offensive line would be a mess. It is. I thought Miami's defense would again be strong. I was wrong. Huskers and the hook.

17. Utah State at Washington Under 44.5: These are two of the most inept offenses I have watched so far this season.

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18. Cincinnati -18.5 at Miami (Ohio): I had Cincinnati last week, and the Bearcats blew it with turnover after turnover. This is doubling down.

19. South Florida at Maryland Under 51.5: USF completed just one pass to a receiver against FSU. Maryland's offense is not very good.

20. Cal -6 at Texas: This line opened at 2.5, but I think Cal will win by two touchdowns or more because Jared Goff is an awesome QB and Texas cannot score with Cal.

21. Florida at Kentucky Under 52.5: Florida's offense is not very good despite scoring 92 points in two weeks, and its defense is still strong. It appears all-world cornerback Vernon Hargreaves III will play, which also helps this wager.

22. Western Kentucky +1.5 at Indiana: Indiana's 14-point win over Florida International was much closer than the score, and though Western Kentucky did lose its star running back, I like the Hilltoppers over the Hoosiers.

23. San Jose State at Oregon State Under 49: Oregon State's offense is pretty bad, and San Jose State isn't exactly lighting up scoreboards.

24. SMU +38 at TCU: SMU is a much improved team under Chad Morris, and TCU is not a top-five team in my eyes. There might not be too many weeks left to bet against the Horned Frogs at inflated numbers.

25. Pitt +5.5 at Iowa: I think Pitt is a better team than Iowa and would take them at anything more than a field goal, even with the loss of James Conner.

26. BYU at UCLA -16.5: Both teams are led by promising freshmen quarterbacks, but only one has elite talent at most other positions on the field. That's UCLA.