— Key Trump policies aren't playing well in this race: Nearly half of voters (48 percent) in the race say the president's trade and tariff policies will hurt the economy in that area, while 31 percent say the policies will help. On the GOP tax plan, there is a slight Republican advantage: 43 percent approve against 39 percent who disapprove. But 31 percent think their tax bill will likely go up, against 22 percent who think it will go down (even though nonpartisan estimates predicted that the vast majority of taxpayers would pay less, at least initially).