President Donald Trump said Friday there was a "good chance" of reaching a deal with Mexico to avert tariffs that could have an outsize impact on Arizonans.

"If we are able to make the deal with Mexico, & there is a good chance that we will, they will begin purchasing Farm & Agricultural products at very high levels, starting immediately," Trump said in a tweet during his return flight from Europe. "If we are unable to make the deal, Mexico will begin paying Tariffs at the 5% level on Monday!"

The tweet suggested a breakthrough on the trade issue that Arizona residents seemed to largely shrug off since Trump first threatened it May 31. Several members of Arizona's congressional delegation said throughout the week that the public had not been especially vocal on the president's economic threat.

The public calm stood in contrast to anxiety among at least some in the state's business community earlier in the week.

"We're extremely concerned," said Lance Jungmeyer, president of the Fresh Produce Association of the Americas, a Nogales-based industry group that supports uninterrupted access to Mexican-grown produce.

He noted the short turnaround from the time Trump announced the potential tariffs to Monday, when they could go into effect. That is too short for restaurants and grocers to boost their lines of credit to pay the higher costs of importing Mexican fruits and vegetables.

Jim Rounds, who heads a Tempe-based consulting firm, is part of a chorus of generally bad economic reviews of the president's threat.

In an analysis released Thursday, Rounds said that if the threatened tariffs were in effect for a year, they could eliminate up to 30,000 jobs in Arizona and cost every person in the state an extra $300 annually.

"We took the time to do it right," Rounds said. "There's different things that happen when goods come across the border. There's stuff that comes across that we buy. There's stuff that goes into another product that we may buy. ... The impact on the consumer is very complicated."

Rounds said that although the effects are complicated, the reason is not. The tariffs would be like a tax hike that is passed along to consumers, cutting job opportunities in the economy as a whole.

Some in the Arizona delegation reported that other issues, such as the debate among Democrats about whether to pursue impeachment against Trump garnered more attention.

Trump's tariff threat is tied to his frustration with the sharp increase in border entries, especially from migrants from Central America seeking asylum. The administration has demanded Mexico do more to significantly and quickly reduce the entries from Mexico.

The Washington Post has reported that officials from both countries were discussing a deal that would increase Mexico’s immigration enforcement efforts and give the U.S. more latitude to deport Central Americans seeking asylum.

Arizona's Democratic members have been critical of the tariffs and most of the Republican members have been supportive of his moves.

But Sen. Martha McSally, R-Ariz., and Rep. David Schweikert, R-Ariz., have spoken out against the tariff plan.

Reach the reporter Ronald J. Hansen at ronald.hansen@arizonarepublic.com or 602-444-4493. Follow him on Twitter @ronaldjhansen.

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