All the latest political news and more: sign up for the Morning Briefing. Free to your inbox. Candidate Party Votes Pct. Jones Doug Jones Democrat Dem. 671,151 49.9 % Moore Roy Moore Republican Rep. 650,436 48.4 % 1,344,406 votes, 100% reporting (2,220 of 2,220 precincts) U.S. Senate Map » Doug Jones, a Democrat, won the special election on Tuesday to fill the United States Senate seat vacated by Jeff Sessions, now the attorney general. Mr. Jones aimed to create a lead in the urban counties that include Birmingham and Montgomery, and across a band of largely black counties. Strong support for Roy S. Moore, the Republican, was expected in rural, mostly white parts of the state. One critical battleground was a trio of smaller, whiter cities: Mobile, Tuscaloosa and Huntsville. Late Tuesday night, Mr. Jones led by a large margin in Mobile County, and he had won Tuscaloosa County and Madison County, home of Huntsville. Vote share Dem. 50 60 70 Rep. 50 60 70 Other 50 60 70 No results County Rpt. Jefferson 100 % Madison 100 % Mobile 100 % Montgomery 100 % Shelby 100 % Baldwin 100 % Tuscaloosa 100 % Lee 100 % Morgan 100 % Etowah 100 % Calhoun 100 % Limestone 100 % Houston 100 % Lauderdale 100 % St. Clair 100 % Elmore 100 % Cullman 100 % Talladega 100 % Marshall 100 % Walker 100 % Colbert 100 % Autauga 100 % Blount 100 % Dallas 100 % DeKalb 100 % Coffee 100 % Tallapoosa 100 % Dale 100 % Jackson 100 % Russell 100 % Chilton 100 % Covington 100 % Escambia 100 % Lawrence 100 % Clarke 100 % Pike 100 % Chambers 100 % Marengo 100 % Geneva 100 % Marion 100 % Monroe 100 % Macon 100 % Barbour 100 % Pickens 100 % Franklin 100 % Butler 100 % Winston 100 % Cherokee 100 % Hale 100 % Bibb 100 % Washington 100 % Henry 100 % Randolph 100 % Lowndes 100 % Fayette 100 % Sumter 100 % Wilcox 100 % Choctaw 100 % Conecuh 100 % Perry 100 % Greene 100 % Crenshaw 100 % Lamar 100 % Clay 100 % Bullock 100 % Coosa 100 % Cleburne 100 % + Show all – Collapse

Live Estimates of the Final Vote Our estimates are based on the results reported so far, the results of previous elections and demographic data. Unlike reported results, they attempt to account for precincts that have not yet reported their votes. The shaded area in the gauge below shows the range of our forecasts. Right now, our most likely estimates span to . Our model starts with the assumption that the race is tied and updates as the vote is counted. The more we know, the narrower our range will be.

Below, our best guess for how many votes both candidates will end up with when all votes are counted...

Candidate Estimated votes

...and where those votes will come from:

Reported Vote Margin votes have been counted. leads in that count by . Estimated Votes Remaining We think votes remain to be counted. This is a very rough guess. We think leads in that vote by .

Projected Vote Margin

Estimated vote margin Best guess 5% 50% of outcomes 95%

Once all the votes have been counted, our estimated margin and the reported margin will match. As a rule, when our estimated margin is steady, our forecast is more trustworthy.

Estimated Percentage of Votes Counted