Over the past several weeks Republicans were feeling good — especially about the 2020 election. Donald Trump Donald John TrumpBiden on Trump's refusal to commit to peaceful transfer of power: 'What country are we in?' Romney: 'Unthinkable and unacceptable' to not commit to peaceful transition of power Two Louisville police officers shot amid Breonna Taylor grand jury protests MORE, they claimed, escaped the Mueller probe unscathed, the economy is humming, and Sen. Bernie Sanders Bernie SandersOutrage erupts over Breonna Taylor grand jury ruling Dimon: Wealth tax 'almost impossible to do' Grand jury charges no officers in Breonna Taylor death MORE (I-Vt.) is dominating the Democrats' presidential agenda.

Today, on each count, this optimism looks premature.

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The president's high-water mark on the special counsel's investigation into his ties to Russians was on March 24 when he falsely claimed he was "totally exonerated" following Attorney General William Barr Bill BarrHarris faces pivotal moment with Supreme Court battle Hillicon Valley: DOJ proposes tech liability shield reform to Congress | Treasury sanctions individuals, groups tied to Russian malign influence activities | House Republican introduces bill to set standards for self-driving cars McCarthy threatens motion to oust Pelosi if she moves forward with impeachment MORE’s enabling “summary” memo.

The actual report is devastating in detailing the president's sleazy conduct, and the contrary spin has failed. This was driven home when the Washington Post and New York Times disclosed that special counsel Robert Mueller Robert (Bob) MuellerCNN's Toobin warns McCabe is in 'perilous condition' with emboldened Trump CNN anchor rips Trump over Stone while evoking Clinton-Lynch tarmac meeting The Hill's 12:30 Report: New Hampshire fallout MORE wrote the attorney general taking issue with his initial characterization of the report.

Congressional inquiries may produce more revelations, as may the trial of the nefarious Roger Stone Roger Jason StoneThe agony of justice Our Constitution is under attack by Attorney General William Barr Justice IG investigating Stone sentencing: report MORE, a longtime Trump political confidant. There could be more charges brought by the U.S. Attorney in Manhattan.

The bottom line: The president, who according to Justice Department guidelines can't be indicted while in office, may have dodged the biggest bullet, but the fallout will continue to haunt both him and the Republican Party.

The economy, with robust growth, a soaring stock market and a jobless rate under 4 percent, looks terrific. Yet many Americans know that the 2017 tax cuts were skewed to the wealthy, that their wages are barely keeping pace, and that cutbacks in areas like health care would hurt them. Tellingly, a 2020 Trump political operative told Fox News that economic data matters less than how "average Americans feel." There is little of the "Morning in America" feel. Moreover, the president's style and character overshadow even the good grades he gets on the economy.

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While conditions may be as bad or worse for the struggling middle-aged white voters in West Virginia, they're likely going to stick with Trump, who’s against the media, the elites, “the swamp” and anyone they don't like. However, the president can't count on those good job numbers to retain blue states that defected to him last time. Trump recently bragged that the Pennsylvania unemployment rate has dropped to 3.9 percent. Joblessness has plummeted in Michigan too, and is down to 2.9 percent in Wisconsin. But the numbers were similarly bright six months ago when those three states elected Democratic governors (two that had been held by Republicans) and took over five GOP House seats. As of today, Democrats would be clear 2020 favorites in Michigan and Pennsylvania with a slight edge in Wisconsin.

In Wisconsin, Democrats won a special state assembly election in a middle-class suburban district, outperforming the GOP's usual showing there. Special elections this year have cut both ways — but importantly, Democrats are solidifying their gains in the suburbs.

Republicans argued that their ace-in-the-hole, as much as Mueller and the economy, was the left-wing domination of the Democratic presidential race, with Democrats embracing issues like government-run, single-payer health care. Republicans were salivating over the prospect of running ads charging that Democrats want to take away your choice of a health insurance plan and turn it over to the government.

But the pure single-payer scheme is losing steam. California Sen. Kamala Harris Kamala HarrisHarris faces pivotal moment with Supreme Court battle Nearly 40 Democratic senators call for climate change questions in debates Joe Biden has long forgotten North Carolina: Today's visit is too late MORE now says she would let people keep their private plan, while expanding the public role; others, like South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg Pete ButtigiegThe Hill's Morning Report - Sponsored by Facebook - GOP closes ranks to fill SCOTUS vacancy by November Buttigieg stands in as Pence for Harris's debate practice Hillicon Valley: FBI, DHS warn that foreign hackers will likely spread disinformation around election results | Social media platforms put muscle into National Voter Registration Day | Trump to meet with Republican state officials on tech liability shield MORE, say universal coverage is a goal, that the task now is to build on ObamaCare and cost controls, especially drug prices. This would put Republicans back on the defensive.

Rivals have also become less reticent to take on Sanders. A few weeks ago the Vermont socialist said prisoners, not just ex-felons, should be allowed to vote — even those who committed heinous crimes. New Jersey Sen. Corey Booker, on PBS Newshour, criticized Sanders for wanting "to get involved in a conversation about whether Dylann Roof or the Marathon bomber should have the right to vote." Roof is the white supremacist who killed nine African-Americans in a Charleston, S.C., church, and the two Boston Marathon bombers killed three bystanders and wounded hundreds more. Both Roof and the surviving bomber are in prison.

Since Vice President Joe Biden Joe BidenBiden on Trump's refusal to commit to peaceful transfer of power: 'What country are we in?' Democratic groups using Bloomberg money to launch M in Spanish language ads in Florida Harris faces pivotal moment with Supreme Court battle MORE entered the race, Sanders has slipped markedly in polls, which probably says less about Biden than the lack of breadth of Sanders support.

For Republicans, that's not good news.

Albert R. Hunt is the former executive editor of Bloomberg News. He previously served as reporter, bureau chief and Washington editor for the Wall Street Journal. For almost a quarter-century he wrote a column on politics for the Wall Street Journal, then the International New York Times and Bloomberg View. Follow him on Twitter @alhuntdc.