Hurricane Earl: All forecast models These are all the hurricane models for Hurricane Earl, as they relate to the Long Island region.The markers on top of the line include the name of the specific model, the timespan of the prediction, its location and wind speed in knots.These models are produced by computers and not revised by meteorologists. Over a timespan of several hours, models have proven to err significantly in predicting a hurricane track.For more information on hurricane models, click here. The National Hurricane Center cone of uncertainty is portrayed in dark blue for days 1-3 of the forecast, while the light blue area depicts the uncertainty on days 4-5. Historical data indicate that the entire 5-day path of the center of hurricanes will remain within the cone about 60-70% of the time.