Professor Helmut Norpoth from Stony Brook University told Lou Dobbs in August Donald Trump has an 87% chance of winning the November presidential election.

Professor Norpoth is a political science professor at Long Island’s Stony Brook University.

His model has been correct since 1996 on predicting the popular vote.

This 2016 forecast rests on a model that tracks cyclical movements in American presidential elections. It goes back to 1828, when popular voting became widespread and the two-party system took hold. Over nearly two centuries, American presidential elections have exhibited a distinct cycle. This is not the pattern associated with partisan realignments that may last 30 years or so, but a shorter cycle that relates to party control of the White House.

Norpoth made the prediction in March and says he still stands by his election prediction today.

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Norpoth added that Donald Trump will win by 5 percentage points.

That’s a landslide folks!

https://youtu.be/Za8M5SzprKE