PC lead in Ontario Solid

Toronto, October 26th – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 946 Ontario voters, more than four in ten (45%) say they support the PCs.

One quarter (24%) say they would support the Liberals, with the NDP statistically tied at just over two in ten (22%). Just under one in ten (7%) say they support the Green Party, and few (2%) say they are supporting another party.

Respondents most likely to say they support the PCs include those aged 45-54 (49%) or 55-64 (46%), males (56%), earning $60,000-$80,000 (49%), $80,000-$100,000 (46%), or the most wealthy (49%), the least educated (47%) or with a college/university degree (48%), and living in Southwestern Ontario (53%).

Respondents most likely to say they support the Liberals include females (28%), the least wealthy (31%), or earning $40,000-$60,000 (29%) or $60,000-$80,000 (28%), with a post-graduate degree (30%), and living in Eastern Ontario (29%) or Toronto (32%).

Respondents most likely to say that they support the NDP include those aged 35-44 (29%) or 65+ (27%), earning $20,000-$40,000 (31%), with some college/university (25%) or a post-graduate degree (25%), living in Toronto (23%), the 905 (24%), or the Northeast (26%).

“The PCs continue to hold a big lead across the province,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “Despite the positive outcome for the Liberals in Sudbury, it hasn’t yet changed any minds, and as the election creeps closer and closer, it seems like the PCs are going to need a major stumble to give the Liberals a chance at re-election.”



Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.