Here's a look back at our 9th SEC road win during the last 2 seasons, which is tied for the second-most in the league. #RoadHogs ?? pic.twitter.com/lfENKu0Wxj — Razorback Basketball (@RazorbackMBB) February 25, 2018

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With Saturday’s road win over Alabama, the conversation surrounding Arkansas basketball seems to have shifted from whether or not the Razorbacks make the NCAA Tournament to where they’ll be seeded.

It was a game many people – fans and experts, alike – did not expect Arkansas to win, but it did just that, holding on for a 76-73 victory. Although that was enough to move the Razorbacks up in Joe Lunardi’s latest projection on ESPN.com, they remain on the dreaded 8-9 line as an 8 seed.

On BracketMatrix.com, though, Arkansas has moved up to the 7-seed range. The website tracks bracketology across the Internet and spits out a composite bracket, with emphasis placed on the most successful ones historically.

All 83 projections on the site include Arkansas, with seeds ranging from 5 to 11 and an average of 7.57. That makes the Razorbacks the third 7-seed, just behind Texas A&M and ahead of Creighton.

The 10 seeds they could be paired with in the first round are St. Mary’s, North Carolina State, Virginia Tech and Kansas State, with potential second-round matchups against 2-seeds Duke, North Carolina, Purdue and Michigan State.

The 1 seeds Arkansas would avoid in the Round of 32 by staying off the 8-9 line, according to BracketMatrix.com, are Virginia, Villanova, Xavier and Kansas.

However, there are still two games remaining in the regular season plus the SEC Tournament in St. Louis before Selection Sunday on March 11.

The Razorbacks host No. 14 Auburn on Tuesday before traveling to Missouri on Saturday for their regular-season finale. Both games are Quadrant 1 opportunities for Arkansas, which has five Q1 wins at the moment.

As previously discussed, the Q1 wins are fluid because there are still games to be played. Although Arkansas picked up a Q1 win at Alabama, it also lost one last week when Missouri fell out of the top 30 of the RPI. (The Tigers are No. 44, as of Sunday’s games.)

Also fluid is Arkansas’ RPI ranking. It is currently No. 30, but could still fluctuate greatly based on how the Razorbacks finish the season. Here’s a look at what their RPI would be entering the SEC Tournament in each possible scenario this week, using the RPIWizard.com tool:

2-0 … No. 23

1-1 (W vs. AUB) … No. 29

1-1 (W at MIZ) … No. 32

0-2 … No. 38

If the Razorbacks then go 1-1 at the SEC Tournament, those RPI rankings should hold relatively steady. With that in mind, here’s a look at the average seeding of high-major conference teams with those RPIs (+/- 2) over the last five years:

RPI 21-25: 5.3

RPI 27-31: 6.5

RPI 30-34: 7.1

RPI 36-40: 9.1

Several other factors will also contribute to where Arkansas is seeded this March, so it should be an exciting couple of weeks.

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