Pennsylvania is just more than two weeks away from the worst of the COVID-19 and more than 3,000 people in the state will succumb to the virus, according to a recent analysis by researchers at the University of Washington.

The virus will reach its peak in the state in 18 days — on April 17 — according to the analysis. It projects 109 deaths from the virus on that day and 3,094 death projected out to Aug. 4.

The projected peak day for the country is April 14 with 2,341 deaths projected that day.

There’s some good news in that the projections are lower than other recent analyses.

If the projections for Pennsylvania hold up, the research shows the state will need an additional 428 ICU beds on April 17.

Researchers at Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation compiled the research.

The analysis, published on March 26, predicts COVID-19 impact over the next four months.

The estimates are based on Pennsylvania maintaining current social distancing measures throughout the pandemic.