Fantastic comment from a reddit user (full discussion here).

“This is a bigger deal than anyone is acknowledging.

This isn't necessarily about preparing for one large, known object to hit as an Earth-ender, it's not the movie scenario you see in "Deep Impact" with one large object incoming.

The threat we are under are the smaller unknowns, the 100-200 ft "buckshot" which can cause massive amounts of damage and are nearly impossible to account for.

Allow me to elaborate.

A NEW COMET:

Comet C2019 Y4 ATLAS was discovered on December 28th (3 months ago).

It is currently passing Mars's orbit on an inbound trajectory.

It has far surpassed all estimates for brightness and speed, ramping up several hundred times more than the original calculations have suggested. This indicates that they have no idea how to measure it accurately, or at least not in a timely enough manner.

https://earthsky.org/space/how-to-see-bright-comet-c-2019-y4-atlas

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-8135827/Newly-discovered-comet-Atlas-shine-bright-MOON.html

http://aerith.net/comet/catalog/2019Y4/2019Y4.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_b5rxSds7Lw&feature=youtu.be

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C/2019_Y4_(ATLAS))

" John Bortle, who has observed hundreds of comets and is a well-known expert in the field, got his first look of comet ATLAS through his 15×70 binocular on the night of Sunday, March 15, and he's stumped. He said that,

For the first time in many years I am left at a bit of loss as to what honestly worthy advice I can offer would be observers. I really don't know quite what to make of this object. The head (or coma) of comet ATLAS is big, very faint and ghostly, which doesn't make sense. If it's a truly significant visitor, it should be considerably sharper in appearance. Instead we see at best, a quite modestly condensed object with only a pinpoint stellar feature near its heart.[7]#cite_note-7)"

" Carl Hergenrother, an assiduous comet observer based in Arizona, said,

We should expect the rate of increase to slow down. Until a couple of weeks ago,it was brightening at an astounding rate. The brightening has slowed somewhat,but it is still an impossible rate of brightening to maintain. This is where it gets tricky to predict just how bright it will get. Were ATLAS to continue to brighten with this rate all the way to its closest approach to the sun at the end of May,it would end up rivalling the planet Venus in brightness. Right now, no one can predict how long it will continue to quickly brighten and how dramatically that brightening will slow.[10]#cite_note-10)"

It's leaving a lot of experts stumped, and its travelling and brightening quicker than they ever thought possible.

But it's not the comet which is the wildcard.

THE COSMIC BUCKSHOT:

With this comet comes a debris field, including the many asteroids which are now making flybys of Earth. 2020EF, 2020DP4, 52768 (1998 OR2), etc.

People in Northeast Pennsylvania may have witnessed portions of this a few days ago when a 100-mile long sonic boom and blue lights in the sky. This is similar to what happened in Chelyabinsk, Russia a few years ago, but the PA event was hidden by cloud cover that night.

There was also an event the first two weeks of February where a potentially hazardous asteroid came and went and nothing was ever said about it until the day before.

https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/ca/

https://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr=2020%20DP4;old=0;orb=1;cov=0;log=0;cad=0#orb

https://www.zmescience.com/science/asteroid-close-approach-airburst-135134/

https://themindunleashed.com/2020/03/nasa-warns-two-asteroids-could-cause-atmospheric-explosion-over-earth-this-week.html

The problem here is NOT the known objects, it is the unknown. These comets and asteroids all stand the risk of breaking up and causing smaller debris that cannot be adequately tracked, or if it is spotted, it is not spotted soon enough to do anything about.

This is the wildcard.

In April 2019 NASA held the Planetary Defense Conference in Maryland.

https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/pd/cs/pdc19/

https://iaaweb.org/iaa/Scientific%20Activity/conferencereportpdc2019.pdf

https://sservi.nasa.gov/event/2019-iaa-planetary-defense-conference-live-stream/

Their modelling exercise was around one large asteroid headed towards Denver which they are able to divert, but in so doing, it breaks off a 180ft chunk which they can't do anything about.

This chunk falls over New York city and airbursts at 5000 ft.

The resulting fallout is the equivalent of a 14 megaton nuclear warhead dropped on the city and decimates all of Manhattan.

It is considered "unsurvivable".

We have several known asteroid pieces that are that large coming towards us right now, and that's just what they managed to catch and publicize.

This isn't theory, this is a fact.

I don't have any conclusions to draw about this. I am not saying this has anything to do with the quarantine. I don't particularly give a shit about Coronavirus or Ellen Degeneres.

What I am saying is that it's now being acknowledged that major destructive events like Tunguska, the vitrified forts of Europe and the glass fields of Asia are all related to airburst events of smaller asteroids which caused massive destruction which came out of nowhere.

Airbursts, just like the ones happening now.

Deploy all the National Guard you want. A single 200-foot rock can cause more destruction than the largest and most powerful nuclear device ever developed by mankind.

Given the circumstances, *if* this is not about the flu, I think the president quarantining the population, telling everyone to stay at home with their families, and preparing to hunker down, is the most humane and decent way to deal with the situation. I think they are doing a wonderful job in what would be the most difficult situation a leader could ever experience.

Now you know.”



