Welcome to the free version of the Top Dogs daily email. This system bets on the biggest underdogs every day. Underdog win %s are low, but with the proper capping and staking, long term profits are possible.

Hi everyone.

2 of our 5 underdogs won yesterday… enough to give us a (small) profit on the day.

A few nights ago I sent out historical performance data for the current capping and staking weighting system - you’ll see a new graph in the season graphs below, but if you want to see the full post, it’s here. I’ll be adding more MLB seasons to that post as well as the NHL and NBA.

DAILY RESULTS:

Here are our results from yesterday, with what games underdogs won, total units invested and profited, and daily ROI:

The premium version of this email has unit sizes every morning if you’d like to play along.

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PERFORMANCE DATA:

Yesterday’s ROI: +0.80%

Last 7 days ROI: +2.25%

Last 14 days ROI: +1.60%

Since June 10 (27 days): +4.79%

Last 30 days ROI: -4.06%

2019 MLB Season ROI: -6.21%

Recent Summary Posts:

SEASONAL GRAPHS:

On June 10th, we re-weighted the capping and staking models that make up this system to account for underdogs losing more than usual in the early part of the season.

If we had been using the post-June 10th weighting from the start of the season, our season graph would look like this (you can see this post for more performance data):

The blue line is June 10th, the start point of our new weighting for capping and staking:

TODAY’S PICKS:

Here are the underdogs to bet on today, according to our Top Dogs System (I use decimal lines and always bet the “moneyline” - if a team wins the game. No spreads).

The premium version of this email has unit sizes every morning if you’d like to play along.

Have a great day. See you tomorrow!

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