Statistics

Since December 2014, every time a simulation is played on this site, some data are sent to our server which allow us to ellaborate the following statistics. Take them for what they are: statistics of this site.

Return on Investment

Euromillions Eurojackpot Primitiva Bonoloto Cupón ONCE Lotería Nacional El Gordo Powerball Mega Millions

Return on Investment Calculation

Return on investment in a simulation is calculated by dividing total wins by total investment. Results may differ quite a lot on every simulation and depend on chances, simulated period, price per draw and particularities of each game.

Of course it also depends on the number of users that by playing the simulators contribute to shape this statistics. As participants and collected data grow, these graphs will be more precise and close to reality.

Since December 2014, there have been 2.225.878 simulations played between all lottery games available: Primitiva, Bonoloto, Euromillions, Eurojackpot, Cupón de la ONCE, Lotería Nacional, El Gordo de la Primitiva, Powerball and Mega Millions



Currently the best return on investment percentage in 25 years is Lotería Nacional Simulator, where participants would have recovered 36,91% of total investment. The game where less money is recovered seems to be Mega Millions, with a return of 8,85% in 25 years. Both Powerball and Mega Millions are more difficult and less profitable than any of the lotteries analyzed. Their jackpots are the highest though.

Negative Balance vs Positive Balance

As already intuited from the previous graph, where average loss represents 65-92% of investment, the percentage of users who lose their money is by far highest than those who reach or surpass the break-even point. Bet prices vary on each game (from €0.50 the cheapest up to €3) which determine the quantity that one has to win so that results are positive: betting twice a week during 25 years, total investment would be $2600 in Mega Millions, $5200 in Powerball, €5200 in Eurojackpot, €6500 in Euromillions, €1300 in Bonoloto, €2600 in Primitiva and €3900-€6500 in Cupón (counting a weekly expense of €3-€5).

Bonoloto's lower price (€0.50) seems decisive for it being the game where more users got a positive balance after simulating 25 years: 2,56 of every 100.

On the other side, Powerball is the game where more users lost their money: 99,89% of users ended up with a negative balance.

How many have won more than €1M in 25 years?

The picture looks even worse when we examine how many users became millionaires, winning more than €1 million. At best, they don't exceed 0,01232% of total simulations played.

19 of 587.130 users (0,00324%) in Primitiva. 36 of 449.495 users (0,00801%) in Bonoloto. 55 of 662.259 users (0,00830%) in Euromillions. 2 of 121.744 users (0,00164%) in Eurojackpot. 34 of 346.460 users (0,00981%) in Cupón. 0 of 45.343 users (0,00000%) in Lotería Nacional. 0 of 4.339 users (0,00000%) in 'El Gordo'. 4 of 32.463 users (0,01232%) in Powerball. 2 of 26.327 users (0,00760%) in Mega Millions.

Odds

Next graph is not based on simulators results. They are the known mathematical probabilities:



Which are the odds of winning an important prize?

In order to calculate the equivalence in years we divide the prize's probability by 104 annual draws (2 weekly draws):

Powerball Match 5+1: 1 in 292.201.338 (equivalent to 2.809.628 years)

Match 5+0: 1 in 11.688.053 (equivalent to 112.385 years) Mega Millions Match 5+1: 1 in 302.575.350 (equivalent to 2.909.378 years)

Match 5+0: 1 in 12.607.306 (equivalent to 121.224 years) Euromillions Match 5+2: 1 in 139.838.160 (equivalent to 1.344.597 years)

Match 5+1: 1 in 6.991.908 (equivalent to 67.229 years) El Gordo de la Primitiva Match 5+1: 1 in 31.625.100 (equivalent to 304.087 years)

Match 5+0: 1 in 3.513.900 (equivalent to 33.787 years) Eurojackpot Match 5+2: 1 in 95.344.200 (equivalent to 916.771 years)

Match 5+1: 1 in 5.959.013 (equivalent to 57.298 years)

Primitiva Match 6+R: 1 in 139.838.160 (equivalent to 1.344.597 years)

Match 6: 1 in 13.983.816 (equivalent to 134.459 years) Bonoloto Match 6: 1 in 13.983.816 (equivalent to 134.459 years) Cupón de la ONCE Match 5 numbers + serial number: 1 in 90.000.000 - 150.000.000 (it depends on the day of the week and series printed) (equivalent to 865.348 o 1.442.307 years, respectively)

Match 5 numbers: 1 in 100.000 (equivalent to 961 years)

Note: in the graph, this prize's bar hardly reach 1 pixel wide, since 961 years is a tiny time compared with the scope of the graph of 3.000.000 years. Lotería Nacional Match 5 numbers (1st prize): 1 in 100.000 (equivalent to 961 years)

Match 5 numbers (2nd prize): 1 in 100.000 (equivalent to 961 years)

Note: in the graph, these prizes' bar hardly reach 1 pixel wide, since 961 years is a tiny time compared with the scope of the graph of 3.000.000 years.

Popularity



Among all avaliable simulators, the most used is Euromillions Simulator with 662.259 sessions played. Eurojackpot Simulator was added two years later than the others, so it's percentage in this graph has been adjusted.

The average duration of all simulations is 71 years (64 years in Primitiva, 33 years in Bonoloto, 87 years in Euromillions, 118 years in Eurojackpot, 30 years in Cupón, 530 years in Powerball and 218 years in Mega Millions). Few users outstrip 10.000 simulated years. If you decide to leave the application running during the night, don't miss to read the frequently asked questions.

Powerball and Mega Millions simulators were launched simultaneously on March 2017 so they deserve a personal popularity fight:

Equivalence in years Users of Primitiva Simulator have simulated 3.941.545.920 draws among all, which is equivalent to 37.899.480 years (counting 2 weekly draws, 104 a year) Users of Bonoloto Simulator have simulated 1.586.774.384 draws among all, which is equivalent to 15.257.446 years (counting 2 weekly draws, 104 a year) Users of Euromillions Simulator have simulated 6.012.907.000 draws among all, which is equivalent to 57.816.413 years (counting 2 weekly draws, 104 a year) Users of Eurojackpot Simulator have simulated 1.494.650.872 draws among all, which is equivalent to 14.371.643 years (counting 2 weekly draws, 104 a year) Users of 'Cupón' Simulator have simulated 1.085.377.592 draws among all, which is equivalent to 10.436.323 years (counting 2 weekly draws, 104 a year) Users of 'Lotería Nacional' Simulator have simulated 2.929.318.184 draws among all, which is equivalent to 28.166.521 years (counting 2 weekly draws, 104 a year) Users of 'El Gordo' Simulator have simulated 7.824.076 draws among all, which is equivalent to 75.232 years (counting 2 weekly draws, 104 a year) Users of Powerball Simulator have simulated 1.790.828.000 draws among all, which is equivalent to 17.219.500 years (counting 2 weekly draws, 104 a year) Users of Mega Millions Simulator have simulated 597.301.536 draws among all, which is equivalent to 5.743.284 years (counting 2 weekly draws, 104 a year)

Flukes

With such low probabilities, hitting the jackpot in any lottery game is extraordinarily difficult. Most of people will never become a lottery millionaire, which of course is inherent to lottery games: many lose so that a few might win.



Are there better combinations than others?

All possible combinations have EXACTLY the same probabilities to emerge. In the same way that when you roll a dice many times each side appears at least once, if you play a 6/49 game during, let's say, a million years, there is a certain probability that your combination might appear sometime. Naturally, a dice has 6 sides, but in lottery games there are millions of potential winning combinations...

But... what if I win?

Gambling generates the illusion that continuing to play will lead to a large win, so many are willing to spend a small amount each week (not so small when you play for years) in exchange for the posibility, as remote as it may be, of becoming rich overnight.

It's up to you to decide if you play in real life and how much to spend, just make sure you don't spend more than you can afford to lose!