One News Colmar Brunton poll July 2015

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 of whom 856 have a party preference

Undecideds: 12%

Dates: 11 to 15 July 2015

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

National 47.0% (-1.0%)

Labour 32.0% (+1.0%)

Green 13.0% (+3.0%)

NZ First 7.0% (nc)

Maori 0.4% (-1.1%)

United Future 0.0% (nc)

ACT 0.4% (+0.3%)

Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)

Conservative 0.0% (-2.3%)

Projected Seats

National 57

Labour 39

Green 16

ACT 1

Maori 1

United Future 1

NZ First 8

Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/123 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern

CL – Labour 39 + Greens 16 = 55/123 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern

C – NZ First 8 + Maori 1 = 9/123

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

John Key 40.0% (-4.0%)

Andrew Little 8.0% (-1.0%)

Winston Peters 7.0% (-2.0%)

Economic Outlook

Better 36% (-9%)

Worse 41% (+10%)

Same 24% (nc)

Genetic Modification

44% support law change to allow NZ businesses to use some form of GM organisms

49% oppose

Refugees

53% support increasing quote from 750 to 1,000

44% opposed

Organ donation compensation

67% say organ donors should get compensation similar to ACC

22% say organ donors should get the sickness benefit

Euthanasia