NFL Week 4 Monday Night Football: Chiefs vs Broncos Odds & Picks

by Aengus Moorehead

Chiefs Look to Maintain Dominance over Broncos

Time: 8:15 PM ET

Date: Monday, October 1, 2018

Where: Broncos Stadium at Mile High, Denver, Colorado

Watch on: ESPN

Spread: Chiefs -4½

Moneyline: Chiefs -200

Total O/U: 55

The red-hot and undefeated Kansas City Chiefs will attempt to cultivate their winning disposition and will strive to capture their fourth consecutive victory while looking to take a two-game lead in their division as they get ready to resume hostilities with the Denver Broncos. The two AFC West division rivals are scheduled to compete in a showdown set to be broadcasted on the ESPN network Monday night at 8:15 p.m. ET and live from Broncos Stadium at Mile High in Denver, CO.

The Chiefs, who are firing on all cylinders with almost 40 points per game in their first three contests, have dominated the rivalry winning five consecutive games against the Broncos while covering the line in each of the contests. The Chiefs enter this affair as a 4½-point road favorite, according to Bovada Sportsbook, with the total sitting on 55 points. Along with the Rams, the Chiefs are the biggest story in the NFL this season as both are undefeated and have put up ridiculous numbers while destroying their opponents in the process.

The Chiefs are the league's highest-scoring team behind QB sensation Patrick Mahomes, who became the first quarterback in league history to throw 13 touchdown passes in the first three games of the season. The second year player out of Texas Tech has been lighting it up with 896 yards and no interceptions. His favorite target Tyreek Hill has been reaping the benefits with 310 yards and three scores. Plus, the Chiefs also have a potent running game to go along with the passing unit as well. Kareem Hunt has ran for 168 yards and two TDs.

It’s a good thing the Chiefs have Mahomes because the defense has been terrible all year and it looks like for the team to have success it’s going to need the offense to bail them out on most occasions. Despite being outscored by nearly three touchdowns a game by the Chiefs, Denver is only averaging 10 fewer yards per contest, and rushing for 41 yards more per game. If they can get the ground attack flowing and keep the ball out of Mahomes hands then they have a solid shot here. If they have a lot of three-and-outs then it will likely be a rough night in the mountains.

Gm# Team Opener Bovada MyBookie BOnline 277 Kansas City -5 -4½ -4½ -4 278 Denver 55 55 54½ 54 Moneyline -220/+184 -200/+170 -220/+180 -190/+165

Kansas City Chiefs Denver Broncos 3-0 Won 3 27 3-0 39.33 30.67 8.66 1-0 2-0 3-0 1-0 2-0 Report Record Streak Last Meeting ATS Offense Defense Diff. ATS Home ATS Away O/U Record O/U Home O/U Away Injuries 2-1 Lost 1 24 0-2-1 20.33 23.33 -3 0-1-1 0-1 1-2 1-1 0-1 Report

Kansas City:

Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games

Kansas City is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games on the road

Kansas City is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games on the road

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road

Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver

Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Denver

Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver

Kansas City is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Denver

Denver:

Denver is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Denver is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games

Denver is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Denver is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home

Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City

Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Kansas City

Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Denver is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Kansas City

The Bottom Line:

Kansas City 38, Denver 24.

Aengus Moorehead NFL Predictions: Kansas City -4½

Total O/U: Over 55

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