Good Thursday morning. Here are some of the stories making news in Washington and politics today.

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• The global economy is under increasing stress as growth cools and trade tensions with China take a mounting toll. The warning signals, from Germany’s possible coming recession and China’s overall slowdown, are not only a measure of the trade war’s significance — they could also complicate President Trump’s ability to wage it.

• Mr. Trump insists China is paying the full cost of his tariffs. But his decision to push some of them off until December is an admission of their consequences for American consumers.

• With the deadline to qualify for the next Democratic presidential debates just two weeks away, candidates on the bubble are mounting some of their final offensives, urgently seeking supporters who can help them make the cut.