On Thursday, a Guardian Lonergan poll reported that Prime Minister Kevin Rudd stands to lose his own seat of Griffith in a 10.5 per cent swing against Labor. If you haven't heard of Lonergan, it's because they are brand new; their accuracy is untested.

Robopolls have suggested PM Kevin Rudd is in danger of losing his seat of Griffith. Credit:Lyndon Mechielsen

But Lonergan is on a roll. Last week it stunned us by reporting that Labor's other big name in Queensland, Peter Beattie, would lose Forde in a swing of 8.5 per cent to the Coalition. And it told us Assistant Treasurer David Bradbury stands to lose his western Sydney seat of Lindsay in a swing of 11 per cent.

Uh-huh. Lonergan's own national poll reports only a 2 per cent swing against Labor. Yet in the three seats it polled individually, it found an average swing of 10 per cent. That's huge, far bigger than we have seen in any Federal election since 1943.

Its Rudd poll came out as The Australian's Newspoll reported a swing of 2 per cent to Labor in Queensland. Is there a swing to Labor in the other 28 seats in Queensland, but a landslide against it where Rudd and Beattie are standing? Maybe not.