The massive U.S. economy was unable to escape any harm from a trade war with China and a deteriorating global outlook during the summer. Growth likely slowed for the second quarter in a row.

Here’s are five things to watch in third-quarter GDP, the official scorecard for the U.S. economy, when the preliminary estimate is published by the Commerce Department on Wednesday. Analysts polled by MarketWatch predict growth tapered off to 1.6% from 2% in the prior quarter.

Consumers still king

There’s no way Americans could keep spending like they did in the spring, when outlays surged 4.6%. Since 2000 consumer spending has risen an average of 2.4% a quarter.