New Orleans is emerging as the next major hotspot for COVID-19.

A breakdown of known coronavirus cases at the county level appears to show Orleans Parish — home to New Orleans — far outpacing other jurisdictions in COVID-19 rate per capita in the U.S.

The New Orleans Public Radio analysis looked at the latest available statistics for some of the counties with the most coronavirus cases. While most of the national attention has focused on Washington’s King County and New York City, these grim figures show why Louisiana’s Governor John Bel Edwards is warning residents to expect a surge in new cases.

“I want people to be prepared for this,” said Edwards at a press conference Wednesday. “It is going to get much worse before it gets better.”