As it stands today, the 4-11 Cowboys hold the fourth overall draft pick. But the final game of the season can still see the Cowboys move up or down the draft order. Here are the teams currently picking first through eighth, based on the full 16-game opponent strength of schedule:

1. TEN, 3-12 (.492)

2. CLE, 3-12 (.536)

3. SD, 4-11 (.523)

4. DAL, 4-11 (.529)

5. SF, 4-11 (.552)

6. JAC 5-10 (.471)

7. MIA, 5-10 (.475)

8. BAL, 5-10 (.506)

The ninth team in the draft order, the Buccaneers, already has six wins. So even in a scenario where the Cowboys win their season finale against the Redskins, they would end up 5-11 and wouldn't drop below the eighth overall spot.

There's also a chance the Cowboys could move up to the second overall pick, but that would require a lot of things to fall the Cowboys' way.

The Cowboys have to lose against the Redskins. That can be done, even if the Redskins bench Kirk Cousins and half their starting offense. The Chargers have to win in Denver. That's a tall order, but in a season of wacky outcomes, why not? The Browns have to beat the visiting Steelers. The Steelers lost against the Ravens, why not against the Browns as well? But even if all of that happens, the Cowboys would still have an opponent strength of Schedule (SOS) of .533, while the Browns would be at .531, and keep their spot ahead of the Cowboys, so the Cowboys need another game to go their way: The Jets have to win in Buffalo. If that happens, in addition to everything outlined above, the Cowboys' SOS would drop to .5328, while the Browns' SOS would climb to .5331.

Losses by the Packers and Seahawks would further improve the Cowboys' SOS, but with the Cowboys' luck this season, there's no way the scenario described above actually happens. Even if the Cowboys were to lose against the Redskins next week, they'll very likely stay locked into the fourth overall pick.

But what happens if they win against the Redskins?

Ultimately, that depends on what the four teams below the Cowboys (SF, JAC, MIA, BAL) do in Week 17. If all four lose, the Cowboys drop all the way to the eighth spot, based on their strong SOS. A win by any of the four teams equals a one-spot improvement in the draft order for the Cowboys.

But do you think this Cowboys team can pull off a win against the Redskins, even a Redskins team resting a bunch of its starters?

Here's the full draft order with the results of the Sunday games included (Strength of schedule based on full 16-game schedule)

Order Team Record Opp. Strength Of Schedule 1 Tennessee Titans 3-12 0.492 2 Cleveland Browns 3-12 0.536 3 San Diego Chargers 4-11 0.523 4 Dallas Cowboys 4-11 0.529 5 San Francisco 49ers 4-11 0.552 6 Jacksonville Jaguars 5-10 0.471 7 Miami Dolphins 5-10 0.475 8 Baltimore Ravens 5-10 0.506 9 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6-9 0.483 10 New York Giants 6-9 0.492 11 New Orleans Saints 6-9 0.508 12 Philadelphia Eagles 6-9 0.513 13 Detroit Lions 6-9 0.536 14 Chicago Bears 6-9 0.544 15 Indianapolis Colts 7-8 0.498 16 Buffalo Bills 7-8 0.510 17 Oakland Raiders 7-8 0.511 18 St. Louis Rams 7-8 0.527 19 Atlanta Falcons 8-7 0.471 20 Pittsburgh Steelers 9-6 0.511 21 Washington Redskins 8-7 0.471 22 Houston Texans 8-7 0.498 23 Seattle Seahawks 9-6 0.527 24 New York Jets 10-5 0.438 25 Kansas City Chiefs 10-5 0.494 26 Minnesota Vikings 10-5 0.510 27 Green Bay Packers 10-5 0.527 28 Denver Broncos 10-4 0.506 29 Cincinnati Bengals 11-3 0.473 30 New England Patriots (forfeited pick)

12-3 0.460 31 Arizona Cardinals 13-2 0.469 32 Carolina Panthers 14-1 0.442

Reminder: These are the rules for determining the draft order for the 2016 draft: