Last week’s captain picks of Firmino (13 points) and Agüero (6) turned out quite well, although an in-form Heurelho Gomes denied Harry Kane (2) a spot on the scoresheet. Still, 2 for 3 isn’t bad, and that brings Doc up to 7 for 9 on captain picks so far.

Below are the results of the shot predictions for Gameweek 25. The Tottenham/Watford clash proved especially difficult to predict, as Spurs took a whopping 25 shots compared to Watford’s three.

Moving on, below are the shots predictions for Week 26. Home sides Chelsea, Bournemouth, and Arsenal lead the pack here, with Stoke looking like they may struggle the most.

It can be seen above that shot predictions provide a quantitative tool for judging fixture strength. A player’s form certainly plays a role in how likely he is to score, although it’s debatable how strong of a factor it actually is. Keeping all this in mind, here are Doc’s Captain Picks for Gameweek 26.

Diego Costa: Chelsea are clear shots favorites this week and Costa is in good form, scoring 6 in his last 7 Premier League starts. The Spaniard should certainly start at home against Newcastle and could easily bag a goal or two.

Mesut Özil: It is difficult to pick Özil over Alexis Sánchez, but points consistency is what wins it for the German international. Özil has been a chance-creating machine all season and has another good opportunity to score some fantasy points against Leicester.

Sergio Agüero: Tottenham boast the league’s strongest defense, but the Argentine’s red-hot form makes him difficult to ignore. Man City sit uncomfortably in fourth place and will look to bounce back after a difficult home loss against Leicester. Expect Agüero to get his fair share of chances against a Spurs defense who will be without defensive mainstay Jan Vertonghen.

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DoctorFootie is a 7th year FPL manager with an interest in the statistical intersection of form and fixture. For FPL draft recommendations, look for further writeups here using Togga’s scoring system.