Note: This article was originally written on Thursday afternoon but wasn’t published because of poor planning and generally disagreeable life choices.

Marvel hopes to continue their winning streak with this weekend’s release of Ant-Man and the Wasp, though it doesn’t seem like the comedic sequel will continue the brands streak of $100 million openings that has been the norm since Guardians 2 back in May of 2017. Meanwhile, The First Purge looks to top $30 million after a very strong Wednesday start.

Ant-Man and the Wasp is the latest Marvel sequel, and is being sold as a more lighthearted, comedic alternative to the grim tone of Avengers: Infinity War from April. Considering that film set a new record for opening weekend and has grossed over $2 billion worldwide, it’s safe to say that the brand remains alive and well, though whether or not that can translate to an opening of over $100 million remains to be seen. Current tracking shows the pic at around $75-85 million, which would still be a hefty jump compared to its predecessor. However, considering the buzz surrounding the expanded universe, an opening closer to $90 million seems feasible.

The First Purge is, despite its title, the fourth installment in Universal’s wildly successful horror thriller franchise, which has pulled off the very unique hat trick of a trilogy of films that all outgrossed their predecessor – the first film taking in around $64 million (serving as one of the most front loaded wide releases on record) – while the third film made close to $80 million. Considering the strong marketing campaign and huge 3,000+ theater count, it’s safe to assume that this latest installment can top $30 million, if not closer to $35 million, based on its $9.3 million Wednesday opening. Its relatively low budget of just $13 million is actually the highest for any Blumhouse title, but should still see plenty of profit thanks to this strong opening. While it is the first film in the franchise to open on a Wednesday, making comparisons somewhat difficult, a start above $30 million is essentially a lock.

Also opening in moderate release is Whitney, the documentary being distributed by Roadside Attractions. As previously mentioned, this summer has been very strong for documentaries, namely Won’t You Be My Neighbor? and RBG. Additionally, Annapurna Pictures will open Sorry to Bother You in 16 locations, ahead of some sort of wide release next weekend.

Predictions

Ant-Man and the Wasp – $91 million Incredibles 2 – $27 million Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom – $26.5 million The First Purge – $19 million ($34 million five day) Uncle Drew – $7.8 million