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With Summer officially in the rearview mirror, the Fall season kicks off this weekend with only one new nationwide release: sci-fi action sequelopens in 3,107 theaters, and should easily take first place at the box office. Add in some appealing holdovers—including surprise hit—and this weekend should be a step above the norm for September.marks the third time that Vin Diesel has portrayed the titular character, though it's the first time in nearly a decade. The first appearance was in 2000's, which earned a decent $39.5 million before becoming a bit of a cult classic. Four years later—and after Diesel had appeared in hitsand—he returned to the Riddick role inUnfortunately, that sequel cost significantly more than its predecessor but only earned $57.8 million—and it wasn't particularly well-liked either. Nine years later, though, it's likely that fans ignore that in favor of fond memories ofand, to a lesser extent, the well-received Riddick video gameAfter a few quiet years, Diesel's star has gone up again recently thanks to the enormous success of the last threemovies, which have combined to earn over $600 million at the domestic box office (and over $1.17 billion overseas). This newmovie—which is much more modest in budget and scope than—is being sold almost entirely on Diesel, who has particularly strong drawing power among males and Hispanics.With an aggressive marketing campaign and little competition,could come close to matching's $24.3 million debut. Another good comparison is the last fourmovies, all of which opened between $21 and $27 million in September. Universal is more modestly forecasting $18 to $20 million for the weekend.Over Labor Day weekend, Spanish-language family comedystunned box office observers when it earned $10.4 million from just 348 locations. Audiences were thrilled with the movie, which received a rare "A+" CinemaScore, and Lionsgate is taking advantage of the movie's strong buzz by expanding it in to 717 theaters this weekend. At a minimum, it should be able to match its $7.85 million three-day start.opens at 412 theaters this weekend, and is hoping to attract underserved Christian audiences. Past Christian moviesandhad similar releases and brought in just over $1 million in opening weekend; it wouldn't be surprising ifwound up at about the same level.In an attempt to capitalize on the buzz generated by this week's, Sony is re-releasingin to 2,161 locations. Through Monday, the comedy hit had earned $96.9 million, and this expansion should help the movie get past the coveted $100 million mark.1.- $21.4 million2.$10.1 million (-32%)3.- $9.7 million (+24%)4.- $8.4 million (-34%)5.- $4.7 million (-39%)6.- $4 million (-75%)With a modest budget and decent foreign potential,doesn't need to be a huge hit at the domestic box office. If it can get to $20 million this weekend, it will be a nice win for everyone involved.