After getting a very important road sweep against the Southern California schools Oregon's Pac-12 Tournament seeding is as cloudy as ever. As crazy as it sounds the Oregon Ducks (20-8, 8-8) are still mathematically in the race for the fourth seed in the Pac-12 Tournament next week.

Dana Altman and the Ducks still have a shot at getting the No. 4 seed and a first-round bye in the Pac-12 Tournament next week in Las Vegas.

The Ducks enter the final week of the regular season tied for seventh with Utah and Washington at 8-8 in league play. The Ducks are just one game back from fourth place and two games back from third. Tuesday night's home game against ASU and Saturday's season finale vs Arizona will go a long ways in deciding where the Ducks finish.

Where things get murky for Oregon is what happens outside of what the Ducks can control.

Utah and Colorado head to the Bay Area for two games at Cal and Stanford, and Oregon State also plays Arizona State Saturday. All five games come with major seeding implications. The Utes are currently tied with Oregon for seventh, but Colorado, Stanford, and Cal are all just one game ahead of the Ducks at 9-7 in league play. ASU sits alone in third heading into the final weekend at 10-6, but the Sun Devils hold just a one-game lead over Colorado, Stanford, and Cal, and a two game lead over Oregon, Utah, and Washington.

Most importantly Oregon will have no shot at the No. 4 seed if they don't take care of their own business by beating ASU Tuesday (8 p.m. tip at Matthew Knight Arena and broadcast on FS1) and then Saturday vs Arizona (1 p.m. tip at MKA and broadcast on CBS). Fail to do that and the rest of this scenario means nothing.

The second order of business will require the Beavers to upset ASU on senior day in Corvallis. Earlier this season the Sun Devils beat the Beavers 86-82 in an offensive shootout. This is one of the more realistic upsets Oregon needs. The Sun Devils are just 2-6 in games away from home and against teams inside the RPI Top 100. The Sun Devils also lost a neutral site game to Miami this year who sits 108th in the latest RPI by CBSSports. The Beavers are 3-2 at home this season against teams inside the Top 100 of the RPI. Add in the emotional ties to Oregon State with seniors Roberto Nelson, Angus Brandt, and Devon Collier playing their final home games and you have the makings for a potential upset.

Where things will get tricky for Oregon is the road swing to the Bay Area schools for Utah and Colorado. Neither team has a road win this season against a Top 100 RPI team. Combined the two schools are 0-12 on the road vs Top 100 teams. Yikes. The Ducks will need them to do something they’ve never done before this season not once but twice, each!

Cal and Stanford are both susceptible to home losses this year however. Against Top 100 RPI teams Stanford has lost to Arizona, BYU, and Cal while the Bears have lost at home to UCLA, ASU, and Stanford. Probable, no. Possible, yes.

Utah comes into this week's games hot and riding a two-game winning streak. Back on Feb. 23rd the Utes blew the doors off ASU winning 86-63 at home, and then most recently they beat Colorado 75-64 on senior day. The Buffs however haven't been as impressive over the last two weeks. This past Saturday Colorado suffered a blowout road loss at Utah 75-64 and two weeks ago were drilled at home 88-61 by Arizona.

One thing to note going into this week's games is that Utah and Colorado haven't played against Stanford or Cal this season, so the familiarity aspect won't be there in a sense. Sure each team has plenty of film to scout, but nothing beats personal knowledge of an opponent.

If Oregon handles their business against the Arizona schools, OSU beats ASU, the Bay Area schools get swept this week, and assuming UCLA doesn't drop a shocker to Washington or Washington State the Pac-12's standings would finish in this order:

1. Arizona 15-3

2. UCLA 13-5

3. Colorado 11-7

4. Arizona State 10-8

4. Oregon 10-8

4. Utah 10-8

7. Cal 9-9

7. Stanford 9-9

Arizona State, Oregon, and Utah would finish in a three-way tie for fourth and to decide the outcome for seeding purposes the Pac-12 would have to use the multiple-team tie-breaking procedures. The Pac-12 will look at the collective head-to-head competition during the regular season among the tied teams.

Oregon vs ASU 1-1

Oregon vs Utah 1-0

ASU vs Utah 1-1

If more than two teams are still tied, which under this scenario is true, the Pac-12 would start comparing records vs the team occupying the highest position in the final regular season standings, and then continuing down through the standings, eliminating teams with inferior records.

Arizona clinched the Pac-12 regular season title Sunday and would be the first team compared. Under this scenario Oregon and ASU would have split with the Wildcats while Utah failed to claim a win.

Utah is eliminated and claims the No. 6 seed.

Once the multiple-team tie is broken the Pac-12 shifts to the two-team tie-breaker rules, which start with head-to-head. Oregon and ASU under his scenario would have a split. The Pac-12 would then look at the records against the league's top team in the final standings, and then once again continue down through the standings until one team gains an advantage.

Since Oregon and ASU both split under this scenario with Arizona the league would compare records against UCLA who finished second. Oregon got a huge road win last Thursday for a season split and ASU lost their lone meeting with UCLA 87-72 back on Jan. 12th.

ASU is eliminated and claims the No. 5 seed. Oregon assumes the No. 4 seed and receives a first-round bye in the Pac-12 standings.

The probability of all these moving parts aligning perfectly for Oregon seems small, but Oregon's chances of a first-round bye are there. It starts with taking care of their own business Tuesday and then hoping a few things land their way.