Ipswich councillor Paul Tully says he will carry a sack of potatoes on his back down the main street if Pauline Hanson wins the seat of Lockyer.

The two-candidate preferred breakdown on the Queensland Electoral Commission website currently has the One Nation founder ahead with 54.6 per cent of the vote compared to sitting LNP member Ian Rickuss' 45.3 per cent.

Passionate psephologist Paul Tully says Pauline Hanson will not win her seat.

However that figure is based on only five of the 61 booths to be counted.

Cr Tully, well known as an accurate psephologist, said the votes in the urban pockets of the electorate were still to be distributed, with Ms Hanson doing poorly in those booths on the primary count.