Prediction States that Nintendo Switch Will Sell 40 Million Units By End of 2020: Verdict – Doubtful

Author: S.A.

Research firm DFC Intelligence just dropped the news that it predicts the Nintendo Switch will sell a sizable amount of consoles by 2020 – that amount is predicted to be 40 million Units. For Nintendo know it alls everywhere, you’ll know that’s about three times more than what the Nintendo Wii U sold over the course of its four years. That’s right gamers, the Wii U – by Nintendo’s own count – only sold a pitiful 13.36 million units. I say pitiful because the Wii sold 100 million during the course of its life span.

That said, I have some serious doubts on that figure.

Currently, Nintendo will be only releasing 2 million Nintendo Switches worldwide during its launch month. This might be to build up hype for the console, or to test the waters due to their last failed product. Either way, Nintendo has yet to offer any sort of long term game plan for their future mega hitter.

Nintendo’s own lack of direction aside – let’s examine the fact that their launch lineup is pitiful. It features only 10 games, and only one is a heavy hitter: The Legend of Zelda: Breath of The Wild. While admittedly in a four year span numerous games could be released for the console, currently I don’t believe any huge ones will be.

That is due to Nintendo’s own laziness – in my own humble opinion.

Nintendo use to be a heavy hitter in terms of games but as of late it just doesn’t seem to have games that are as memorable. There are admittedly a few good games here or there, Super Mario Odyssey being one and The Legend of Zelda being another – but it’s not enough to carry the franchise forward. The poor sales in the Wii U reflect that. Nintendo needs to step up to the plate and start really connecting with developers of hit titles, and upcoming indie developers, before they can secure their once naturally given crown of superiority.

The Nintendo Switch is without a doubt an impressive piece of hardware at first glance. With the ability to have a miniature system in the palm of your hand, and not tethered to a main console like the Wii U was, it has the potential to go far. However, with Nintendo’s own seemingly lack of motivation, and its rather poor choices as of late, it seems to me that the prediction of 40 Million in 4 years is rather hopeful.

The Christmas holiday of 2017 will be telling – as it will determine how well the system was taken in by the public and be a sign of possible future success for Nintendo. I will be picking up the console, despite my numerous remarks to the lack of Nintendo’s success. I believe the Switch can and will be fun, just not enough so to garner the attention of gamers worldwide.

Here’s to you Nintendo – I hope you can go far.

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