© Kai Pfaffenbach / Reuters



Race to the bottom

No deal?

given what we know of the US's negotiating tactics, it will be one or the other.

The bogeyman cometh once again

Is there anyone left who supports TTIP? After Monday's leaks of the negotiation texts by Greenpeace which exposed the extent of US demands surrounding the deal, it's doubtful.If there had been any remaining uncertainty over the dubiousness of the proposed US-EU trade agreement, the 248 pages of leaks have now removed it.The leaks reveal that theIn practice the deal, if it was signed the way it stands, would give American companies much the same level of influence over and input into EU regulations as European companies have. If EU nations passed laws raising standards, American companies would be able to challenge them. If that seems like an arrangement that benefits one side more than the other, it's because that's exactly what TTIP is. No wonder some UK residents aren't exactly delirious over the prospect of remaining part of an economic bloc that would consider a deal like that.But the texts released by Greenpeace expose not only new demands," It's a race to the bottom on public health and safety, according to the director of Greenpeace EU.In another particularly interesting revelation, the German newspaper Süddeutsche Zeitung reported thatAnd, if you were among those concerned about the effects of TTIP on previously agreed efforts to combat climate change, the Greenpeace leaks will have done nothing to mitigate your worries — as none of the 248 pages of leaks made any reference to the supposed global effort to cut greenhouse gas emissions, despite repeated assurances from the European Commission that this would be a top priority.The reasons for the secrecy surrounding these negotiations are now crystal clear. It's not hard to decipher why the European Commission had placed a 30-year ban on public access to the key negotiating texts.It is a black mark on Western "transparency" and democracy that it was left to Greenpeace to provide the first real insight into how this trade agreement is being negotiated.But what the leaks also reveal is that a deal is still nowhere near being done. The documents don't represent a completed text, as Europe's commissioner for trade Cecilia Malmstrom wrote in a blog post on Monday. They represent the negotiating positions of both sides. Malmstrom argues that this makes the "alarmist headlines" nothing more than "a storm in a teacup."Malmstrom vehemently denied that any trade deal would ever lower Europe's level of consumer protections — and it was a pretty steadfast denial on the face of it.Maybe her next blog post will see her admitting either that this was a lie, or that the deal is headed nowhere but the trash bin, becauseYou don't negotiate with the exceptional nation and expect to come out with much to your name.EU leaders had already been waning in their enthusiasm for a deal in recent weeks — a promising sign that perhaps there are still some things which Europe will refuse to be pushed around on. French Prime Minister Manuel Valls had previously warned that if TTIP did not preserve France's quality of life, the chances of an agreement would fall. Germany's economy minister has publicly called Washington out for refusing to make concessions. Looking at the fallout from these leaks, it wouldn't be surprising if that theme continued.Unfortunately, this is the point at which I must again mention Vladimir Putin. My apologies for the seeming irrelevance; but the powers that be simply refuse to leave him out of anything at all.James Stavridis, former NATO supreme allied commander, dedicated a whole article to this in 2014. As yet another attempt to fear-monger by casting Putin as a winner or loser in something, it obviously misfired because it's highly unlikely that any of the hundreds of thousands who have in recent months taken to the streets over TTIP, actually give a toss what Putin thinks of it. Not that this would stop the deal's few fans from doing their utmost to involve him in the debate regardless. In April, Judy Dempsey, editor of the Strategic Europe blog at Carnegie Europe, decided to have a go herself.A weakened transatlantic partnership is "to Russia's benefit," she says, and TTIP will strengthen that partnership.But now, Dempsey warns, the debate has been "hijacked" by a "highly organized" anti-TTIP campaign tinged with "anti-Americanism." Imagine the horror of highly organized protesters marching against a deal they believed would harm their democracy. Abominable indeed. But it's all Putin's fault, because Russia is running a "sophisticated propaganda campaign that does everything to publicize populist and [Eurosceptic] movements and anti-US sentiments."Only 17 percent of Germans and 18 percent of Americans think TTIP is a good thing — and it's nothing to do with it being a corporate power grab that spells bad news for both Europeans and Americans. No, no. It's all because of Putin's propaganda.A friend of mine who hasn't kept up with the controversy surrounding TTIP asked me what all the fuss was about yesterday. I explained, in brief, what the Greenpeace leaks had revealed. Her response was simple:Good question.