The seat of House GOP Conference Chair Cathy McMorris Rodgers of Washington just moved from "likely" R to "lean" R.

Cook Political Report issued new ratings changes in 13 districts and concluded that all of them are now less favorable to Republicans than they were deemed before. A combination of 37 GOP open seats compared to just 19 for Democrats, a yawning double-digit enthusiasm gap, and GOP pr*sident hovering around a 40 percent approval rating (up slightly in recent weeks, but still pathetic in comparison to other presidents) continues to boost Democratic chances of winning the 23 seats necessary to win back the House. David Wasserman writes:

If Democrats pick up at least eight Republican open seats (and today, eight of the 36 are leaning their way), they'll already be a third of the way to the 23 they need for a majority. Beyond those, there are 18 Republican incumbents in the Toss Up column and another 20 in the Lean Republican column —- including five in California, three in Texas and three in Virginia. Private partisan polling continues to show most GOP incumbents in much weaker positions than last cycle — even in districts Trump won.

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