Editor's note: ESPN.com has teamed with ESPN The Magazine and the SweetSpot Blog Network to produce this year's preview capsules.

Baseball has become so unpredictable

that we needed to invent an entirely

new way of guessing what will happen

next. Below you'll find ESPN Insider Dan Szymborski's projections

for the likely range of every team's wins, based on projections for every

player on every roster. Why Dan, why now?

Because since he started doing this 10

years ago, Dan's median prediction has

been accurate within 6.5 wins, on average.

We also asked Szymborski to create a

new metric, the unpredictability index,

which gauges what version of hope fans of

every team should have. The metric is an

offshoot of Szymborski's ZiPS projection system -- a

sabermetric standard-bearer that factors

in age, injury history and statistical highs

and lows going back four years, and

makes its projections based on database

comparisons across MLB history. With it,

he sums up the volatility from 0 (what you

see is what you get) to 2 (who knows).

Meanwhile, Tim Kurkjian predicts division standings,

including wild-card teams, and offers up

the breakdowns that show how Szymborski's

best- and worst-case scenarios will play out.

Click on the links below to go directly to a capsule for each National League Central team:

St. Louis Cardinals | Cincinnati Reds | Pittsburgh Pirates

Milwaukee Brewers | Chicago Cubs