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A new poll suggests the incumbent Progressive Conservatives is the province’s most popular party, but there’s a fierce battle being waged in Winnipeg.

The survey, done by Probe Research, shows four-in-ten decided and leaning voters plan to cast their ballot in favour of Brian Pallister’s party. That 40% number is down 2% from where they were in June.

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The survey shows that support for the NDP grew by 3% in that span, up to 29%. The Liberals gained 2% support, with 18% of respondents saying they will vote for Dougald Lamont.

The Green Party, meanwhile, lost 4% down to 10%.

Twelve percent of voters declared that they were undecided.

In Winnipeg, both the PCs and NDP are virtually neck and neck, with the PCs holding the slightest of edges at 33% (+1% since June) vs. the NDP’s 32% (with no change since June).

The PCs held 53% of support in the province in April 2016 but has steadily dropped since then. In September 2017, support hit a lot of 36%, but has rebounded.

Support for the NDP was at 26% in the last provincial election, dropping to a low of 20% in September of 2016 and now sitting at 29% with less than two weeks until election day on Sept. 10.

Probe conducted an online survey of 1,200 respondents