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As the Senate scandal’s shadow grows larger over Parliament Hill, the ruling Conservatives are falling further behind the resurgent Liberals among voters.

A new Forum Poll for National Post suggests that if an election were held today, the Liberals would win a large minority government under Justin Trudeau.

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Four-in-10 of Canadians surveyed would vote Liberal in the new poll, compared to 28% for the Tories and 20% for the NDP, the current official Opposition. The poll projects the Grits winning 146 seats in the House, nine short of a majority, to the Conservatives’ 104. The NDP would drop significantly to 47 seats.

The October 23 poll came amid Senator Mike Duffy’s explosive claims that Prime Minister Stephen Harper and his former chief of staff, Nigel Wright, bullied him into the cash-for-repayment scheme in an attempt to bury stories about his questionable housing expenses.

Harper furiously denied the senator’s claims, but was left on the defensive all week in the House of Commons, particularly by the meticulous questioning from NDP Leader Thomas Mulcair.