So I recorded the last 1000 picks I had in blacktop. This is data from a couple of weeks of play. All from the last board, level 10. I don't know about the odds on lower boards, but I pulled only 1 Ruby on the first 9 boards. I always seemed to pull useless crap, that's why i started tracking.

Coin Card 235 = 23,5%

Points Card 165 = 16.5%

Technical Foul 135 = 13.5%

Injury Card 122 = 12.2%

Contract 112 = 11,2%

Reset Lineup 55 = 5.5%

Add Card 51 = 5,1%

Shoe 43 = 4,3%

Badge 36 = 3,6%

Jersey 30 = 3,0%

Player 16 = 1,6%



These are all the player cards I pulled:

Amethyst Amar'e Stoudamire

Ruby Ron Artest

Ruby Ron Harper

Ruby David West

Team USA Kyrie Irving

Emerald Jimmy Butler

Emerald Karl Anthony Towns

Emerald Damian Lillard

Emerald Klay Thompson

Emerald DeMarcus Cousins

Gold Jrue Holiday

Silver Kent Bazemore

Silver Shaun Livingston

Silver Richard Jefferson

Silver Shaun Livingston

Bronze Michael Gbinije

Bronze Sasha Vujacic

Only 5 were cards from the blacktop collection. That's a 0,5% chance of pulling a reward card. 12,5% chance of pulling something potentially valuable (player, badge, shoe, jersey), although only a few of these will actually be worth anything over 1000 MT. 87.5% chance of pulling something almost completely useless.

--UPDATE--

Results from the latest 300 picks:

Coin Card 68

Points Card 51

Technical Foul 38

Injury Card 36

Contract 36

Reset Lineup 18

Add Card 13

Shoe 13

Badge 11

Jersey 10

Player 6

Reward 0

Emerald Demar DeRozan

Gold Nicolas Batum

Gold Jonas Valanciunas

Silver channing Frye

Bronze Patrick McCaw

Bronze Michael Gbinije

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The current totals look like this:

Coin Card 303/1300 = 23.31%

Points Card 216/1300 = 16.62%

Technical Foul 173/1300 = 13.31%

Injury Card 158/1300 = 12.15%

Contract 148/1300 = 11.38%

Reset Lineup 73/1300 = 5.62%

Add Card 64/1300 = 4.92%

Shoe 56/1300 = 4.31%

Badge 47/1300 = 3.62%

Jersey 40/1300 = 3.08%

Curent Player 22/1300 = 1.69%

Reward 5/1300 = 0.38%

I'm on a streak of about 500 picks without pulling a reward. Almost losing patience, but statistically my luck should turn around soon.