March 4th, 2018

Itâs Oscar night and we will be live blogging the show. We will announce the winners and have our reactions as they happen, while keeping track of how our readers did in predicting the outcomes. More...



March 4th, 2018

Itâs Oscar night and we will be live blogging the show. Before that, letâs take a last look at the nominations with a few annotations. Nominees in Italics are those that have received the most votes from our readers so far in our Oscar contest (which is open to new entries until noon, Pacific, todayâenter now!). Bold films are those films I think will win. Meanwhile, those that are Underlined are those I want to win. Not all categories have underlined nominees, because not all categories have someone Iâm cheering for, or because there are two nominees I couldnât pick between. For example, I will be happy no matter who wins Best Supporting Actress. One last note: The contest is still going and the leading for Best Picture Switched from The Shape of Water to Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri to tied over the time I was writing this story. This is the closest Iâve ever seen it. Guessing the best picture correctly will go a long way to winning. More...



February 18th, 2018

The BAFTAs were handed out on Sunday night, with Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri winning the most awards at five. This is not too surprising, as it was technically a British film, despite its setting, and that gave it a leg up on the competition. More...



January 23rd, 2018

The Oscar nominations were announced starting at just after 5 am Pacific time. They do this every year and no one has been able to adequately explain why to me. At least there were some interesting results this year. The Shape of Water led the way with 13 nominations, which is one below the current record and nearly as many as the next two films combined. Overall, there were seventeen films that earned two or more nominations. More...



January 15th, 2018

Itâs not a particularly good week on the home market with no one film that is a must have dominating the rest of the pack. However, this is actually a good thing, as there are several smaller releases that get a chance to shine and there are several Pick of the Week contenders as a result. This includes the biggest release of the week, Blade Runner 2049, as well as a limited release, Loving Vincent, and a forgotten film, Matinee. In the end, I went with I, Daniel Blake: The Criterion Collection as the best of the week. More...



January 11th, 2018

The BAFTA nominations were announced and this time The Shape of Water led the way with 12 nominations. The same films appear on many of the lists of nominees, but so far no one film has come to dominate the list. This makes it interesting, to say the least. Thereâs a good chance no one film will win the majority of prestige awards and that multiple films will have lots of reason to celebrate on February 18th when the awards are handed out. More...



December 25th, 2017

This Tuesday is Boxing Day, which is a holiday celebrated in Canada, the U.K., and I assume other countries. It is the celebration of boxes. ... I donât know what it is. According to Wikipedia, âThere are competing theories for the origins of the term, none of which is definitive.â ... So it is probably not important. What is important is the total lack of quality DVD and Blu-ray releases. Haikyu: Season 1 is the best release on this weekâs list. The Paper is the second best, and it only managed a spot on the Secondary Blu-ray releases. More...



November 2nd, 2017

Thor: Ragnarok got its international start off with a bang dominating the market with $107.6 million in 36 markets during its opening weekend of release. The filmâs biggest opening came in the U.K. where it dominated the market with $16.22 million in 611 theaters, which is 27% higher than Doctor Strange opened with in that market. This film also dominated South Korea earning $12.00 million on 1,639 screens over the weekend for a total opening of $15.87 million. This total is 12% lower than Doctor Strange, but that was an aberration, because overall, Thor: Ragnarokâs debut was 22% ahead of Doctor Strangeâs debuts in the same market. If Thor can have similar legs, it will finish with more than $500 million internationally and possibly even $800 million worldwide. More...



October 31st, 2017

It was a terrible weekend at the box office with only two films cracking $10 million, Jigsaw and Tyler Perryâs Boo 2: A Madea Halloween. Geostorm earned third place with just $5.90 million. Overall, the box office fell 21% from last weekend to just $75 million. More importantly, this is 15% lower than the same weekend last year. Year-to-date, 2017 continues to struggle with a running tally of $8.57 billion. This is $470 million or $5.2% below last yearâs pace, meaning we fell behind last yearâs pace by a further 0.2 percentage points. The box office really needed to be eating into the deficit during the month of October, but that hasnât been the case. More...



October 26th, 2017

Kingsman: The Golden Circle returned to top spot with $48.7 million in 61 markets for totals of $250.3 million internationally and $344.9 million worldwide. Nearly all of the filmâs weekend haul came from China, where the movie earned $39.15 million over the weekend for a total opening of $39.83 million. This is almost double what the original opened with in this market, meaning Kingsman: The Golden Circle could top the originalâs international numbers making a third film in the franchise almost a sure thing. More...



October 24th, 2017

The weekend box office was weaker than expected with only one of the new releases topping predictions. Tyler Perryâs Boo 2: A Madea Halloween wasnât that one film, but it still led the way with $21.23 million. The only other film to top $10 million was Geostorm with $13.71 million, but it lived up to its disaster genre due to its $100 million production budget. Overall, the box office fell 6.5% from last week to $95 million. That decline is positively glowing compared to the year-over-year comparison. Compared to this weekend last year, 2017 was down 25%. Year-to-date, 2017 is now behind last yearâs pace by 5.0% or $440 million at $8.46 billion to $8.90 billion. Unless November and December are stellar, thereâs no way 2017 is going to catch up to 2017. More...



October 20th, 2017

There are five films opening wide or semi-wide this week, but only one of them, Tyler Perryâs Boo 2: A Madea Halloween, has a real shot at top spot. The best-reviewed new release of the week is Only the Brave, while the Geostorm is the widest release. Then there are the two semi-wide releases, The Snowman and Same Kind of Different as Me. Because there are so many new releases coming out this week, one or two of them are practically guaranteed to slip between the cracks. This weekend last year, the box office was led by the original Boo! with $28.50 million, while the new releases made just over $70 million combined. That seems out of reach for this yearâs crop, so 2017 will likely lose in the year-over-year comparison. More...



October 19th, 2017

Never Say Die remained in first place on the international chart with $30 million over the weekend for a three-week total of $281 million. Almost all of that has come from China, where it made $29.74 million this weekend for a total of $278.99 million. By the end of the weekend, it was less than $1 million away from overtaking Meet the Fockers as the biggest Comedy hit in any one single market. It got there on Monday. More...



October 17th, 2017

Happy Death Day led the weekend, as expected, but did so with a surprisingly strong $26.04 million. The only other truly wide release of the week was The Foreigner, which also beat expectations, albeit by a smaller margin. The overall box office still fell from last weekend, down 4.2% to $100 million. This is 1.4% higher than the same weekend last year. On the one hand, this is not enough to compensate for inflation. On the other hand, at this point, any win is worth celebrating. Year-to-date, 2017 is still behind 2016 by a large margin, but at least it was able to close the gap by a little bit at $410 million / 4.7% at $8.34 billion to $8.75 billion. More...



October 15th, 2017

This weekend will be another winner for horror movies, with Happy Death Day powering into first place with a projected $26.5 million, according to Universalâs Sunday morning numbers. That puts it miles ahead of Blade Runner 2049, which failed to broaden its audience this weekend, and is down 54% to $15.1 million, for $60.6 million in total. More...



October 14th, 2017

Happy Death Day topped expectations by earning $14.3 million on Friday. Even with short legs, it will still make $25 million over the weekend, possibly a little more. This is likely more than it cost to make and advertise, at least initially. I suspect Universal will up their ad buy after this result and will also increase the initial print run for the DVDs / Blu-rays as well. The filmâs reviews are 68% positive, while it earned a solid B from CinemaScore. Earning a B would be bad for most movies, but horror films routinely fall in the C range, as horror fans tend to be very negative. For example, gorehounds will hate anything without enough blood, but torture porn will turn off even more fans. Pleasing even half of the opening day audience is impressive. More...



October 12th, 2017

I thought this would be a really busy weekend with Blade Runner 2049 repeating in first place and four wide releases competing for spots in the top five. However, last weekend, Blade Runner 2049 missed expectations, so it wonât dominate the chart this weekend. Meanwhile, two of the four wide releases are not going to open truly wide. This leaves Happy Death Day with a relatively easy path to first place. The Foreigner has almost made enough in China to pay for its production budget, so as long as it can cover its advertising budget here, it will break even before it reaches the home market. Meanwhile, Professor Marston & The Wonder Women is opening semi-wide and Marshall is opening nationwide. They may or may not open in the top ten. This weekend last year, The Accountant opened in first place with close to $25 million, while all three wide releases combined made $38 million. It is going to be tough for 2017 to match that. More...



October 12th, 2017

Never Say Die rose to first place with $67 million over the weekend for a two-week total of $223 internationally. The film added $66.28 million to its running tally in its native China, which now sits at $222.75 million after nine days of release. The film is on track to top Kung Fu Yoga as the biggest comedy hit in China. In fact, it is on pace to top Meet the Fockers as the biggest Comedy hit in any one single market. More...



October 11th, 2017

The winners of our Sharp as a Blade contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for Blade Runner 2049âs opening weekend were... More...



October 10th, 2017

October started on a soft note with none of the new releases meeting expectations over the weekend. Blade Runner 2049 led the way with $32.75 million, which would have been fine, had the movie not cost $155 million to make. (Thatâs $185 million on the screen, $155 million cost for the studio, after you take into account tax breaks, etc.) Neither The Mountain Between Us, nor My Little Pony: The Movie made much of an impact at the box office, but at least neither of them bombed. The biggest news was It hitting $300 million. Overall, the box office did climb compared to last weekend, growing 16% to $105 million. This is just 1.2% higher than the same weekend last year, but at this point, a win is a win. Year-to-date, 2017 is 5.1% or $440 million behind 2016 at $8.19 billion to $8.64 billion. We really needed a big win this weekend to put a dent in that number. Unless November and December are really big months, 2017 has already lost the year-over-year competition. More...



October 8th, 2017

After It smashed the September weekend record a month ago, further proving that films can open huge at any time of the year, prospects looked great for the long-awaited sequel to Blade Runner. Its trailers had created positive buzz, the early reviews were very favorable, and there was little by way of competition. The bar it needed to cross to break the record, Gravityâs $55.8 million wasnât even all that high. But something went wrong on the way to the multiplex. More...



October 7th, 2017

I was bullish about Blade Runner 2049âs chances for a number of reasons. It was setting October records for pre-sales on a number of sites. Its reviews were over 90% positive. Its previews were a little stronger than expected, so everything was looking up. Then Friday happened. The film only pulled in $12.7 million on Friday, which is well below expectations. This is not a case of critics loved it, but the audiences didnât, as it scored an A minus from CinemaScore. Perhaps not enough of the target audience even remembers the original Blade Runner and thatâs why this movie is struggling. A lot of people thought it had a shot at $50 million this weekend but now $35 million is likely out of reach. $33 million is more likely at this point. More...



October 6th, 2017

Blade Runner 2049 pulled in $4 million in previews on Thursday night. Unfortunately, thereâs not a lot of comparisons we can make here. The record holder for October is Gravity, but it opened in 2013, before previews were a major thing, so we canât compare its $1.4 million in previews. Even The Martianâs $2.5 million previews isnât a great comparison. We can say this is a good omen and a $50 million opening is a little more likely than it was yesterday. The reviews and its word-of-mouth should certainly help out, but it likely wonât be enough to break any records. More...



October 6th, 2017

Itâs a busy weekend with four new releases coming out; however, only one of them, Happy Death Day, has a real shot at topping Blade Runner 2049 for first place. Because of that, it is the only real choice for the target film in this weekâs box office prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening three-day weekend box office number for Happy Death Day.

We are continuing the Halloween Trick or Treat contests this week. Each winner will get a Frankenprize that is either Halloween Treat, a Horror film plus another prize, or a Halloween Trick, a movie so bad it is scary it was made plus another prize.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the filmâs opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a Frankenprize, as described above. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the filmâs opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will also win a Frankenprize, as described above. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who havenât won, or havenât won recently, and they will win the final win a Frankenprize, as described above.

Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so donât delay! More...



October 5th, 2017

September ended on a slow note, but it looks like October will open fast. Blade Runner 2049 has been setting October pre-order records for a few sites, but it will also need strong walk-up sales in order to actually break the October weekend record, currently held by Gravity, with $55 million. I donât think thatâs likely, but at this point I would be shocked if it didnât land in the top ten weekends for the month. The Mountain Between Us looks more and more like busted Oscar-bait. Its reviews have fallen from just over 70% positive to under 50% positive. As I started writing this, My Little Pony: The Movie still had no reviews, which is almost worse than bad reviews. (Reviews are starting to trickle in.) Finally thereâs Victoria and Abdul, which is expanding. It isnât expanding wide, or even semi-wide; however, it should still earn a spot in the top ten. This weekend last year, The Girl on the Train opened with $24.54 million. Blade Runner 2049 could earn twice that. If 2017 does win in the year-over-year comparison, then it will be on the back of Blade Runner 2049. More...



October 4th, 2017

The winners of our Halloween Arrives Early contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for American Madeâs opening weekend were... More...



October 1st, 2017

September destroyed the previous September monthly record for total box office take, with $800 million or so (we wonât know the exact figure until after the weekend), which tops 2016âs record of $616 million. Granted, this is almost entirely due to Itâs record breaking run, and the rest of the month was merely average. Kingsman: The Golden Circle was the only other film to come close to $100 million. October doesnât look any better, as far as depth is concerned. Blade Runner 2049 is widely expected to be the biggest hit of the month, but it is the only film expected to reach $100 million domestically. Boo 2 should be the second biggest hit of the month, while there are only a couple of other films that have a shot at $50 million. Part of the problem is the level of competition, as there are 16 films opening during the four October weekends. (Needless to say, some of the predictions below will be a little short, as thereâs not much to say about a film that will barely open in the top ten and disappear two weeks later.) Thatâs way too many and most will be buried by the competition. Last October was a flop, as no film earned more than $100 million at the box office. There were a few films that came close, including the original Boo! movie. As long as Blade Runner 2049 matches expectations, 2017 should win the year-over-year comparison by a small margin. If we get one surprise hit, then 2017 has a real shot at closing the gap with 2016 by a significant margin. I choose to be cautiously optimistic. More...



September 29th, 2017

Next weekend there are three wide releases, plus another film with a planned wide expansion. However, in reality, only Blade Runner 2049 has a shot at first place. It will very likely earn more than the other three films combined will earn this weekend. It will likely earn more over the weekend than any of the other three films earn in total. Because of that, it is the only real choice for the target film in this weekâs box office prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening three-day weekend box office number for Blade Runner 2049.

We are continuing the Halloween Trick or Treat contests this week. Each winner will get a Frankenprize that is either Halloween Treat, a Horror film plus another prize, or a Halloween Trick, a movie so bad it is scary it was made plus another prize.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the filmâs opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a Frankenprize, as described above. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the filmâs opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will also win a Frankenprize, as described above. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who havenât won, or havenât won recently, and they will win the final win a Frankenprize, as described above.

Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so donât delay! More...



July 18th, 2017

Sci-fi action movie starring Ryan Gosling and Harrison Ford, directed by Denis Villeneuve opens October 6 ... Full Movie Details. More...



May 9th, 2017

Sci-fi thriller starring Ryan Gosling and Harrison Ford, directed by Denis Villeneuve, opens October 6 ... Full Movie Details. More...



December 19th, 2016

Sci-fi action movie with Ryan Gosling and Harrison Ford opens October 6, 2017 ... Full Movie Details. More...

