It’s been a day in Houston, with some very heavy rainfall across parts of the city. If you live in Kingwood, congratulations, so far you’re the big winner with about 6+ inches of rain. With lots of street flooding in the area, it’s a mess trying to get home this evening along I-59 north, as well as I-59 south toward Sugar Land.

Most of the high-resolution model forecasts indicate that the current widespread activity should die down this evening, by 6 to 9 pm, which should coincide with the loss of daytime heating. From that point on, we will hopefully see a reprieve from heavy rainfall during the overnight hours.

Wednesday is a bit of a crapshoot. There is a scenario, which I’d probably lean toward, that keeps most of the heavy rain away from Houston as a cold front remains north of the metro region—including away from Kingwood and surrounding areas hard hit on Tuesday. But frankly, given the intensity and widespread nature of the storms Tuesday I don’t have great confidence in the forecast for Wednesday. Hopefully the forecast is a bit more clear in the morning.

From now through Saturday it’s going to be a day-to-day thing.