Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.996% 92 points 43 21-6 Add your own league How are these numbers calculated? Big Games How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Wednesday 100.0* Win Stanley Cup 100.0* Pres Trophy Colorado 3 NY Rangers 2 (ot) -0.1 If winner is: Home Home OT Home SO Away SO Away OT Away Thursday 100.0* Win Stanley Cup 100.0* Pres Trophy Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia +0.1 +0.1 +0.1 -0.0 -0.1 -0.1 +1.0 +1.0 +0.6 -0.8 -0.8 -1.6 Dallas vs Florida -0.1 *-0.0 *-0.0 +0.0 +0.1 +0.1 Toronto vs Nashville -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 +0.0 +0.0 +0.1 Washington vs Detroit -0.0 -0.0 -0.0 +0.0 +0.0 +0.1 * A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season. Explain 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Pres Division seed Conference seed (wildcard race) TP W L - OT playoffs Trophy 1a 1b 2 3 WCb WCa 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Count 116 12 0 - 0 In 41.7 % 42 0 58 10,838,842 115 11 0 - 1 In 28.4 29 0 71 16,344,489 114 11 1 - 0 In 19.3 20 0 80 55,417,182 10 0 - 2 In 17.6 18 0 82 11,287,775 113 10 1 - 1 In 10.7 12 0 88 76,547,632 9 0 - 3 In 9.6 10 0 89 4,650,315 112 10 2 - 0 In 5.9 7 0 93 129,744,982 9 1 - 2 In 5.1 6 0 94 47,248,330 8 0 - 4 In 4.0 5 0 95 1,268,116 111 9 2 - 1 In 2.3 3 0 96 160,181,546 8 1 - 3 In 2.0 3 0 97 17,431,683 * 110 9 3 - 0 In 0.9 2 0 98 180,994,701 8 2 - 2 In 0.7 1 0 98 87,403,246 7 1 - 4 In 0.5 1 0 99 4,122,837 * 109 8 3 - 1 In 0.2 1 0 99 197,526,674 7 2 - 3 In 0.2 0 0 99 27,736,485 6 1 - 5 In 0.1 0 0 100 671,719 * 108 8 4 - 0 In 0.0 0 0 100 167,454,418 7 3 - 2 In 0.0 0 0 100 94,027,242 6 2 - 4 In 0.0 0 0 100 5,733,911 * 107 7 4 - 1 In 0.0 0 0 100 159,349,989 6 3 - 3 In 0.0 0 0 100 25,581,121 5 2 - 5 In 0.0 0 0 100 781,640 * 106 7 5 - 0 In 0.0 0 0 100 108,043,202 6 4 - 2 In 0.0 0 0 100 65,030,547 5 3 - 4 In 0.0 0 0 100 4,453,317 * 105 6 5 - 1 In 0.0 0 0 100 0 88,205,303 5 4 - 3 In 0.0 0 0 100 0 14,845,900 4 3 - 5 In No 0 0 100 0 493,169 * 104 6 6 - 0 In 0.0 0 0 100 0 49,827,825 5 5 - 2 In 0.0 0 0 100 0 30,205,516 4 4 - 4 In No 0 0 100 0 2,104,919 * 103 5 6 - 1 In No 0 0 99 1 0 34,131,560 4 5 - 3 In No 0 0 99 1 0 5,791,662 * 102 5 7 - 0 In No 0 0 98 2 0 0 16,530,545 4 6 - 2 In No 0 0 98 2 0 9,516,277 3 5 - 4 In No 0 97 3 0 619,617 * 101 4 7 - 1 100.0 % No 0 95 5 0 0 0 9,215,045 3 6 - 3 In No 0 93 7 0 0 1,417,474 * 100 4 8 - 0 100.0 No 0 91 9 0 0 0 3,903,591 3 7 - 2 100.0 No 0 88 12 0 0 0 2,115,329 * 99 3 8 - 1 100.0 No 80 20 0 0 0 0 1,915,417 * 98 3 9 - 0 99.9 No 71 28 0 0 0 0 640,464 2 8 - 2 99.9 No 66 33 1 0 0 0 281,086 * 97 2 9 - 1 99.3 No 53 44 1 1 1 0 0 221,914 * 96 2 10 - 0 97.1 No 40 53 1 3 2 1 0 90,617 * 95 1 10 - 1 90.8 No 24 62 1 4 6 3 0 14,912 * 94 1 11 - 0 79.1 No 13 62 0 4 10 9 2 5,151 * 93 0 11 - 1 60.7 No 5 54 1 11 18 10 438 92 0 12 - 0 49.0 No 3 45 0 1 7 23 21 0 155,134 Total: 100.0 % 2.5 % 3 0 97 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,932,120,806 * Row combines multiple less frequent records. First Round Opponent What If First round opponent based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season. Explain If finish: Chance will play in first round TP W L - OT Win Cup Boston Washington Philadelphia Pittsburgh Carolina Toronto NY Islanders Florida Columbus NY Rangers Montreal Buffalo New Jersey 116 12 0 - 0 13.3 % 0 0 2 8 42 14 23 6 6 0 0 0 115 11 0 - 1 13.0 0 0 2 5 51 9 25 4 4 0 0 0 114 11 1 - 0 12.9 0 0 1 3 56 6 27 3 3 0 0 0 10 0 - 2 12.9 0 0 1 3 58 6 26 3 2 0 0 0 113 10 1 - 1 12.7 0 0 0 1 2 62 4 28 2 2 0 0 0 9 0 - 3 12.7 0 0 1 2 64 3 27 2 1 0 0 112 10 2 - 0 12.7 0 0 0 1 1 65 2 28 1 1 0 0 0 9 1 - 2 12.6 0 0 0 1 67 2 28 1 1 0 0 0 8 0 - 4 12.7 0 0 0 1 69 1 27 1 1 0 0 0 111 9 2 - 1 12.6 0 0 0 0 1 69 1 28 1 0 0 0 0 8 1 - 3 12.5 0 0 0 1 70 1 27 1 0 0 0 0 110 9 3 - 0 12.5 0 0 0 0 0 70 1 28 0 0 0 0 0 8 2 - 2 12.5 0 0 0 0 0 71 0 27 0 0 0 0 0 7 1 - 4 12.5 0 0 0 0 72 0 26 0 0 0 0 109 8 3 - 1 12.4 0 0 0 0 0 72 0 28 0 0 0 0 0 7 2 - 3 12.4 0 0 0 0 0 73 0 27 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 - 5 12.3 0 0 0 0 74 0 26 0 0 0 0 108 8 4 - 0 12.3 0 0 0 0 0 72 0 28 0 0 0 0 0 7 3 - 2 12.3 0 0 0 0 0 73 0 27 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 - 4 12.3 0 0 0 0 74 0 26 0 0 0 0 107 7 4 - 1 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 73 0 27 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 - 3 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 74 0 26 0 0 0 0 5 2 - 5 12.2 0 0 0 0 75 0 24 0 0 0 0 106 7 5 - 0 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 73 0 26 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 - 2 12.2 0 0 0 0 0 74 0 25 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 - 4 12.1 0 0 0 0 0 75 0 24 0 0 0 0 105 6 5 - 1 12.1 0 0 0 0 0 75 0 25 0 0 0 0 5 4 - 3 12.1 0 0 0 0 0 76 0 24 0 0 0 0 4 3 - 5 12.1 0 0 0 0 77 0 23 0 0 0 0 104 6 6 - 0 12.0 0 0 0 0 0 75 0 25 0 0 0 0 5 5 - 2 12.0 0 0 0 0 0 76 0 24 0 0 0 0 4 4 - 4 12.0 0 0 0 0 0 77 0 23 0 0 0 0 103 5 6 - 1 11.9 0 0 0 0 0 76 0 24 0 0 0 0 4 5 - 3 11.9 0 0 0 0 0 77 0 23 0 0 0 0 102 5 7 - 0 11.9 0 0 0 0 0 76 0 24 0 0 0 0 4 6 - 2 11.8 0 0 0 0 0 77 0 23 0 0 0 0 3 5 - 4 11.8 0 0 0 0 0 78 0 22 0 0 0 0 101 4 7 - 1 11.8 0 0 0 0 0 77 0 23 0 0 0 0 3 6 - 3 11.8 0 0 0 0 0 78 0 22 0 0 0 0 100 4 8 - 0 11.7 0 0 0 0 0 77 0 23 0 0 0 0 3 7 - 2 11.7 0 0 0 0 0 78 0 22 0 0 0 0 99 3 8 - 1 11.6 0 0 0 0 0 78 22 0 0 98 3 9 - 0 11.5 0 0 0 0 0 77 22 0 0 2 8 - 2 11.5 0 0 0 0 0 78 21 0 0 97 2 9 - 1 11.3 1 0 0 0 0 77 20 0 0 96 2 10 - 0 10.9 3 0 1 0 0 75 19 0 0 95 1 10 - 1 10.3 4 0 0 0 70 16 0 0 94 1 11 - 0 8.4 4 0 0 0 63 12 0 93 0 11 - 1 4.3 1 51 8 92 0 12 - 0 5.3 1 0 0 0 42 6 0 0 Total: 12.4 % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 70.5 0.9 26.9 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 Points (Full Screen) Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen) Lottery Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big Games Wednesday None If winner is: Home Home OT Home SO Away SO Away OT Away Thursday 100.0* Lottery seed Tampa Bay vs Philadelphia -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 +0.1 +0.1 +0.3 Washington vs Detroit +0.0 +0.0 +0.0 -0.0 -0.0 -0.1 What If 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TP W L - OT 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 116 12 0 - 0 42 0 0 58 115 11 0 - 1 28 0 0 71 0 114 11 1 - 0 19 1 0 80 0 0 10 0 - 2 18 1 0 82 0 0 113 10 1 - 1 11 1 0 88 0 0 9 0 - 3 10 1 0 89 0 0 112 10 2 - 0 6 1 0 93 0 0 9 1 - 2 5 1 0 93 0 0 8 0 - 4 4 1 0 94 1 0 111 9 2 - 1 2 1 0 95 1 0 8 1 - 3 2 1 0 95 2 0 110 9 3 - 0 1 1 0 94 4 1 8 2 - 2 1 1 0 93 5 1 7 1 - 4 0 1 0 92 6 1 109 8 3 - 1 0 0 0 87 10 2 7 2 - 3 0 0 0 85 11 3 6 1 - 5 0 0 0 83 13 3 108 8 4 - 0 0 0 0 0 76 18 6 7 3 - 2 0 0 0 0 73 20 7 6 2 - 4 0 0 0 0 69 23 7 107 7 4 - 1 0 0 0 0 57 29 14 6 3 - 3 0 0 0 0 53 32 15 5 2 - 5 0 0 0 49 34 17 106 7 5 - 0 0 0 0 0 38 36 25 6 4 - 2 0 0 0 0 35 38 27 5 3 - 4 0 0 0 0 31 40 29 105 6 5 - 1 0 0 0 0 19 38 42 0 0 0 0 5 4 - 3 0 0 0 0 17 38 44 0 0 0 0 4 3 - 5 0 0 14 38 47 0 0 0 104 6 6 - 0 0 0 0 0 9 31 60 0 0 0 0 5 5 - 2 0 0 0 0 7 31 61 0 0 0 0 4 4 - 4 0 0 0 6 30 64 0 0 0 0 103 5 6 - 1 0 0 0 3 21 76 0 1 0 0 0 4 5 - 3 0 0 0 2 20 77 0 1 0 0 0 102 5 7 - 0 0 0 0 1 11 87 0 1 0 1 0 0 4 6 - 2 0 0 0 1 10 87 0 1 0 1 0 3 5 - 4 0 0 0 9 87 0 2 0 1 0 101 4 7 - 1 0 0 0 4 90 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 3 6 - 3 0 0 0 4 88 1 3 0 4 0 0 100 4 8 - 0 0 0 0 1 88 2 2 1 6 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 - 2 0 0 0 1 85 2 3 1 8 0 0 0 0 0 99 3 8 - 1 0 0 74 6 2 1 17 0 0 0 0 0 0 98 3 9 - 0 0 59 13 1 1 26 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 8 - 2 0 54 12 1 1 31 0 1 0 0 0 0 97 2 9 - 1 0 34 19 0 0 42 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 96 2 10 - 0 17 23 0 0 48 4 1 0 3 0 2 1 0 95 1 10 - 1 5 18 0 47 14 1 0 4 0 6 3 0 94 1 11 - 0 1 12 34 27 0 0 3 0 10 9 2 93 0 11 - 1 0 5 16 38 0 0 10 19 10 0 92 0 12 - 0 0 3 6 39 0 0 0 0 6 20 21 3 0 0 Total: 2 0 0 0 69 15 13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0