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Jessica Hill/Associated Press

Kevin Ollie led Connecticut to the Division I men's college basketball national championship in 2014, but a third missed NCAA tournament in four years and a possible second consecutive sub-.500 season got Ollie a spot at the top of the hot-seat rankings.

Because contract details and buyout information are as much a part of these decisions as wins and recruiting class rankings, that data (when publicly available) is included and considered in this rankings process. We always speculate as to whether a program could even find a better coach than the one it currently has, but it often boils down to a question of whether the cost to replace the coach is less than the cost of living with another year of what he is doing to the program.

That said, wins and losses matter a lot, and most of the coaches on this list simply have not been winning.

Just like every year, there will be dozens of coaching changes this offseason, but most of those will be contained to the minor and mid-major conferences. For this exercise, we're only interested in the seven primary conferences—ACC, Big East, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC and American. Candidates from that pool are ranked in ascending order of how likely it is that they get the ax within the next two months.

Two quick notes before we dive in: