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Winners

Kyler Murray

Murray is ready to take the next steps in his development into year two. The Cardinals said, let’s get you arguably the second-best wide receiver in the league for pennies. (Jokes at the Texans). Cardinal made the deal for DeAndre Hopkins to join Murray and Co. Murray will have that alpha dog receiver that Larry Fitzgerald was for many years and create easier one on one matchups for the rest of the receiver core. Murray’s receivers had 23 drops in 2019, and you bring in a guy who just two years ago had zero drops in a season. Murray already had a top-eight fantasy finish, and now you give him a pure wide receiver one to a pass-heavy offense.

Titans Dream

The Titans are bringing the band back together from their magical 2019 run they had in the NFL and our fantasy teams. The Titans gave the franchise tag Derrick Henry and gave Ryan Tannehill 100 million over four years. Titans made it their point to bring back what worked for them last year, but we’ll see if it works. Their efficiency seems likely to regress going into the 2020 season. The Titans should still be fantasy relevant for us, but how relevant that remains to be seen. The Titans had their dream and brought back the league’s leading rusher and the number three fantasy quarterback. Titans are winners on their terms.

Teddy Bridgewater

Bridgewater will see a considerable increase in his fantasy stock going into the 2020 season. He signed a three year 63 million dollar contract to be the starting quarterback for the Carolina Panthers. Bridgewater’s story is interesting as he was a former first overall pick in 2014. He showed promise after two excellent seasons but fell to a life-threatening knee injury that derailed his career. Over the past two seasons, he was Drew Brees’ backup but also saw significant playing time in 2019. You could argue that he even has better talent around him now. He has the leagues best running back in football and two young up and coming receivers in the game in DJ Moore & Curtis Samuel. He was able to produce three games over 18 fantasy points with Michael Thomas and Alvin Karama (who was having a down year). Bridgewater is one of the most accurate quarterbacks out there and could see the top 15 status by the end of 2020.

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Chris Godwin & Ronald Jones

As we all know now that Tom Brady has signed a two year deal with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The first thing that comes to mind is, what does Tom Brady like to do? He is a short pass thrower & wants to dump off to the running backs. Enter in 2019 breakout Chris Godwin and Ronald Jones. Brady’s two main targets in 2019 were Julian Edelman and James White. Godwin could easily see up to 130 targets next year based on the way he plays the game. He is the better route runner compared to Mike Evans and should see more of the underneath routes. Ronald Jones started seeing more targets during the second half of the season. As long as the Buccaneers don’t bring in any real competition, then Jones could be poised for a breakout season.

Kenyan Drake

Drake received a transition tag from the Cardinals as free agency opened. At first, we were not sure how that would play out in fantasy since David Johnson was sitting on the team. The Cardinals ended up trading away their former star, which feeds up carries for Drake. Now Drake will be the lead rusher for the up and coming team whose only competition is Chase Edmunds. Once Drake was traded to the Cardinal midseason, he put up three games over 100 yards and eight touchdowns in an eight-game span. He seems to be perfect in the offensive scheme the Cardinals like to run. He should be on the rise now getting a real shot as a lead rusher.

David Johnson

David Johnson, as stated in the last paragraph, was traded away to the Houston Texans. I believe that David Johnson isn’t washed up, nor he doesn’t have it anymore because there is still plenty of talent left in his tank. He will become the lead rusher for a team that lacks skill now and could use Johnson in many ways. Folks seem to forget that Johnson was running back seven before him getting injured, and it looks like when Johnson returned, he wasn’t fully healthy. He should now have the full offseason to recover and be a surprise to many in 2020.

CIN Rookie QB

I only say rookie QB since there is a possibility that the Bengals don’t select Joe Borrow and trade back. The rookie will have a stud offense to play within 2020. Now that AJ Green received the franchise tag, that can only mean better things for him.

Hayden Hurst

Hayden Hurst is feeling pretty good now that the Falcons traded for him this week. Hurst was a former first-round pick never panned out for the Ravens with the emergence of Mark Andrews. He should fill in nicely as the third option behind Julio Jones & Calvin Ridley. Hooper was able to see 97 targets and 18 red zones targets just last season. Hurst was a talented tight end coming out two years ago and could be a major sleeper in 2020.

Darrell Henderson

Being a highly paid running back right now is something you don’t want to be. Todd Gurley was once the high paid running back in the NFL, but the Rams decided to cut him. Gurley had moved back home to join the Atlanta Falcons. Gurley’s departure leaves a wide-open door for a new starting running back to take over. That player should be Darrell Henderson, the former 2019 third-rounder. His rookie season was one to forget, and he still had tons of talent that should make him the lead back in 2020. He will have to compete with Malcolm Brown’s experience, but I do believe talent will overcome experience. If he can improve his game and get a deeper understating of the playbook, then we could see the Henderson who ran for 1900 yards and 22 touchdowns his junior year at Memphis.

Gray Area

Nick Chubb

Cleveland placed a second-round tender on the trouble running back Kareem Hunt. This resigning definitely could affect Nick Chubb going into 2020. Once Hunt came back in 2019, Chubb saw a decrease in snaps & targets as Hunt became the team’s passing-down back. Hunt, as we all know, can’t seem to stay out of trouble, so who knows how long he will be with the team. New head coach Kevin Stefanski was able to keep Dalvin Cook a star even with working in Alexander Mattison in 2019. Mattison had some relevant games, too, so we could see a similar situation.

Stefan Diggs

Stefan Diggs was a big highlight in the first week of free agency as he was traded to the Buffalo Bills for multiple picks. Diggs will go from being the 1B receiver on a Vikings team to being the Bills’ alpha dog receiver. I’m not sold that the switch will increase into more passing work. Although we saw significant improvements to Josh Allen’s play, he still was mediocre in the passing game. He ranked at the bottom inefficiency within the red zone, deep pass and pressured plays while Diggs former quarterback Kirk Cousins thrived in those situations. As Allen heads into his third season, perhaps the addition of Diggs can take him to the next level and keep Diggs as a high profile fantasy receiver.

DA Bears

The Chicago Bears have made questionable fantasy moves this offseason. They brought in Jimmy Graham as their new starting tight end and traded for former Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles. Is Nick Foles any better than Mitch Trubisky for fantasy football? We all know the type of player Foles seems to be outside of the Eagles. The difference appears almost the same where there is no win/lose situation. Is Jimmy Graham an upgrade over Trey Burton, who had an injury season in 2019. It seems the fantasy of the Bears doesn’t change that much.

Losers

DeShaun Watson & Houston

We are wondering what the heck the Houston Texans are doing with their team. They have been trading away their top picks, and now they have traded away their franchise player in DeAndre Hopkins. Houston put their star quarterback Deshaun Watson into a bad situation. Watson already had a struggling offensive line from this past season. Now they take away his best player and replace him with Randall Cobb. He just lost a receiver who he has targeted over 230 times over the last two seasons. He now has four injury-prone receivers who none of them are wide receiver ones. Watson should have some struggles until they get a new alpha dog.

James White & NE Offense

The Patriots’ offense is undoubtedly losers in free agency once you lose your Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady. Now they are without a star quarterback and could affect the entire offense for fantasy owners. Unless Bill Belichick shows, he was the real mastermind of the offense. James White has been a solid fantasy PPR running back over the last few seasons. He has had over 200 targets combined in 2018 and 2019, but most of that was due to the playstyle of Tom Brady. I don’t expect the next quarterback to be so keen on dumping it off to the running back. Also, there could be more focus on the running game with the change of quarterback. The offense could be on a downhill spiral going into 2020.

Austin Hooper Fantasy Value

Hooper’s paycheck is a winner of free agency, but his fantasy value takes a hit. The Atlanta Falcons are different from this Cleveland Brown team. Hooper will now have to compete with many mouths to feed. The Browns have two 100 target receivers with Odell Beckham & Jarvis Landry. The Browns have a strong running game with two backs who are excellent pass-catchers. Let’s not forget David Njoku, who Baker Mayfield seems to like over this tenure there. Hooper may not receive the 95 targets he had in 2019 but could be more in the range of 50 to 60 targets. Things may not look so clear for Hooper for our fantasy teams.

Devonta Freeman

Freeman was cut this past week from the Atlanta Falcons. He is a free agent and has been on a decline over the years in terms of fantasy production. He seems likely to see a backup job somewhere and could see limited work in fantasy. Freeman could be without a job until after the NFL draft comes back, so things are looking down for Freeman.

Philip Lindsey & Royce Freeman

No one lost more than the duo of Lindsey and Freeman as we inch closer to 2020. Royce Freeman has gone from starter to solid back up to third-string running back within three seasons. Things got worse for Freeman’s value once Melvin Gordon signed a two-year deal on Friday. There are talks that he could be released or traded to another team after seeing less work during the second half of the season. Lindsey seemed likely to take the next step in his development. The Broncos went out and hired Pat Shurmer as their new OC. His scheme usually calls for a multi-purpose back so, Melvin Gordon could fill that role. We could be looking at Gordon taking the lead role while Lindsey sees more of an Austin Ekeler role but less effective.

