I ran a monthly poll through the 2016 Oscar race on the Movie Awards board asking 'What do you think will win Best Picture?' Films are listed in order of their latest appearance. Blue indicates Best Picture nominee. Red indicates the Best Picture winner.



Films that have been our consensus #1: 01. La La Land - 7 months 02. Silence - 4 months 03. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - 1 month



February (out of 49 votes): 01. La La Land - 48 (98.0%) 02. Moonlight - 1 (2.0%)



January (out of 57 votes): 01. La La Land - 52 (91.2%) 02. Moonlight - 4 (7.0%) 03. Manchester by the Sea - 1 (1.8%)



December (out of 59 votes): 01. La La Land - 49 (83.1%) 02. Silence - 5 (8.5%) 03. Moonlight - 4 (6.8%) 04. Manchester by the Sea - 1 (1.7%)



November (out of 46 votes): 01. La La Land - 31 (67.4%) 02. Moonlight - 5 (10.9%) 03. Jackie - 3 (6.5%) 04. Silence - 3 (6.5%) 05. Manchester by the Sea - 2 (4.3%) 06. Fences - 1 (2.2%) 07. Loving - 1 (2.2%)



October (out of 61 votes): 01. La La Land - 43 (70.5%) 02. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - 6 (9.8%) 03. Jackie - 6 (9.8%) 04. Moonlight - 2 (3.8%) 05. Silence - 2 (3.8%) 06. 13th - 1 (1.6%) 07. Manchester by the Sea - 1 (1.6%)



September (out of 68 votes): 01. La La Land - 45 (66.2%) 02. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - 12 (17.6%) 03. Jackie - 3 (4.4%) 04. Moonlight - 3 (4.4%) 05. Silence - 2 (2.9%) 06. Lion - 1 (1.5%) 07. Manchester by the Sea - 1 (1.5%) 08. Voyage of Time - 1 (1.5%)



August (out of 60 votes): 01. La La Land - 15 (25.0%) 02. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - 14 (23.3%) 03. Silence - 14 (23.3%) 04. Loving - 7 (11.7%) 05. Allied - 2 (3.3%) 06. Manchester by the Sea - 2 (3.3%) 07. Arrival - 1 (1.7%) 08. The Birth of a Nation - 1 (1.7%) 09. Fences - 1 (1.7%) 10. Hell or High Water - 1 (1.7%) 11. Moonlight - 1 (1.7%) 12. Nocturnal Animals - 1 (1.7%)



July (out of 57 votes): 01. Silence - 14 (24.6%) 02. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - 13 (22.8%) 03. La La Land - 8 (14.0%) 04. Loving - 8 (14.0%) 05. Allied - 3 (5.3%) 06. The Birth of a Nation - 2 (3.5%) 07. American Pastoral - 1 (1.8%) 08. Elle - 1 (1.8%) 09. Fences - 1 (1.8%) 10. Gold - 1 (1.8%) 11. The Light Between Oceans - 1 (1.8%) 12. Manchester by the Sea - 1 (1.8%) 13. Moonlight - 1 (1.8%) 14. Nocturnal Animals - 1 (1.8%) 15. A United Kingdom - 1 (1.8%)



June (out of 46 votes): 01. Silence - 15 (32.6%) 02. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - 11 (23.9%) 03. Loving - 7 (15.6%) 04. Elle - 4 (8.7%) 05. American Pastoral - 1 (2.2%) 06. The Birth of a Nation - 1 (2.2%) 07. Bleed For This - 1 (2.2%) 08. Collateral Beauty - 1 (2.2%) 09. Gold - 1 (2.2%) 10. The Light Between Oceans - 1 (2.2%) 11. Manchester by the Sea - 1 (2.2%) 12. Nocturnal Animals - 1 (2.2%) 13. The Zookeeper's Wife - 1 (2.2%)



May (out of 46 votes): 01. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - 15 (32.6%) 02. Silence - 14 (30.4%) 03. Loving - 12 (26.1%) 04. The Birth of a Nation - 1 (2.2%) 05. Bleed For This - 1 (2.2%) 06. Fences - 1 (2.2%) 07. The Light Between Oceans - 1 (2.2%) 08. Rules Don't Apply - 1 (2.2%)



April (out of 50 votes): 01. Silence - 22 (44.0%) 02. Loving - 14 (28.0%) 03. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - 7 (14.0%) 04. The Birth of a Nation - 2 (4.0%) 05. Bleed For This - 1 (2.0%) 06. Fences - 1 (2.0%) 07. The Light Between Oceans - 1 (2.0%) 08. Nocturnal Animals - 1 (2.0%) 09. A United Kingdom - 1 (2.0%)



March (out of 62 votes): 01. Silence - 26 (41.9%) 02. Loving - 14 (22.6%) 03. The Birth of a Nation - 8 (12.9%) 04. Billy Lynn's Long Halftime Walk - 7 (11.3%) 05. La La Land - 2 (3.2%) 06. The Light Between Oceans - 2 (3.2%) 07. Nocturnal Animals - 1 (1.6%) 08. Snowden - 1 (1.6%) 09. The Zookeeper's Wife - 1 (1.6%)



Best Picture nominees never mentioned: Hacksaw Ridge Hidden Figures