How to read the model: For the actual number of hospitalizations in the past, we use the blue dots. To look at the future, we use the dark blue line and the light blue area. The dark blue line is the most likely number of hospitalizations in the future. Since models are not perfect, the light blue wider area shows the range of likely hospitalizations.

Why We Forecast Hospitalizations

We all rely on our hospitals to take care of us when we are very ill. If a hospital gets too full, it doesn’t have enough space or staff to care for everyone.

So, it is important to keep track of how many people are staying in a hospital at one time. It is also important to use our forecasts to predict when hospitals might get too full.

When our hospitals start to get too full, we need to take actions to slow the spread of COVID-19.

Tracking and forecasting how many people are in our hospitals help us SAVE Lives in our community.