Guest essay by David Archibald

Pierre Gosselin of NoTricksZone has a post by Mike Brakey on NOAA adjustments of the temperature record of Lewiston-Auburn, Maine. In short, the NOAA are shameless liars. Their cooling of the past to keep the global warming meme alive reminds me of the old Soviet joke – the future is known, it is the past that keeps changing. The NOAA can’t be accused of not thinking big. They lowered the average temperature of Lewiston-Auburn in 1913 by 4.0°F (2.2°C). But the perversion and corruption of the temperature record to serve dark ends is something that we are inured to. One of Mr Brakey’s complaints about the NOAA perversion of the temperature record is that he can’t trust official figures any more in serving his clients.

There was a paragraph in the post though that lit up like a beacon:

A BLACK SWAN event is forming in 2015 (see chart to right). Based on the first four months of 2015, there is an excellent chance 2015 Maine temperature might average, on an annual basis, well under 43.0°F. Not only have Maine temperatures been on a decline since 1998, we are now seeing temperatures reminiscent of the bitter turn of the early 1900s.

No chart was included but we have our own. Hanover, New Hampshire is just to the west of Maine and has a temperature record going back to 1835. This is what that looks like:

Mr Brakey wrote that the 2015 Maine temperature might average “well under 43°F” (6.1°C). That is marked on the chart. That temperature of 43°F would take us back to the 1970s. “Well under” would take us back to the mid-19th century. The latter result is the promise of the three year difference in solar cycle length between Solar Cycle 22 and Solar Cycle 23 under Friis-Christensen and Lassen theory. That was last written up on WUWT in July 2011. This is a graph from that post:

It is very gratifying to see this prediction on track. The ocean to the east is also cooling as shown by this graph from Professor Humlum’s Climate4you website:

The North Atlantic (60-0W, 30-65N) has been cooling for the last decade. The rate of cooling is just as fast as the rate of rise of the late 20th century. At that rate we will be back to Little Ice Age conditons lickety-split.

Lastly, a warning. Joe Bastardi of Weatherbell Analytics is predicting another “Garden of Eden” growing season for the midwest agricultural belt in 2015 and doubtless his forecast will prove correct. Those conditions won’t last forever though.

David Archibald, a visiting fellow at the Institute of World Politics in Washington, D.C., is the author of Twilight of Abundance (Regnery, 2014)

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