Trump has a very good chance of winning 265 electoral votes by winning the following states, FL, NC, OH, IA, AZ and NV. His problem comes in that he needs to add one more state from the following list. CO, NH, WI, MI, NM, PA or ME. The Reuters/Ipsos polls have some good news for Trump on both sides of the equation. In both Nevada and Colorado, their most recent finding shows Trump two points up. Trump is leading 44 to 42 in Nevada and 45 to 43 in Colorado. Trump is also drawing to a tie in Wisconsin and Michigan in the latest Reuters/Ipsos polling. In Wisconsin the two candidates are tied at 42. In Michigan they each pull 39. Some other polls in Colorado show a different picture, but the state has been somewhat volatile. It may be hard to get a good feel for Colorado until very close to the election. It would not be a surprise for Nevada to go to Trump. Much of the polling in the state is showing a close race. Wisconsin would be more of a surprise than Nevada. The conventional wisdom labels this a blue state, but Trump has turned Ohio into a likely red state because of its demographics. Wisconsin shares some substantial similarity to Ohio demographically, so it's certainly a real possibility. Last, Michigan is a surprise. Most polls do not show Trump very close there. But with Trump's different message, Michigan very may be there in the end if Trump takes the lead in national polls. Follow my new account on Twitter for daily updates on the election!