PC Support in Toronto Shoots Upward

Toronto, February 9th – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 977 Toronto voters, amongst those decided and leaning, 4 in 10 (43%) say they would cast a ballot for the PCs if an election were held today.

A third (33%) say they would support the Liberals, 2 in 10 (19%) say they would support the NDP.



Few say they would support either the Green Party (4%) or another party (2%).

Support for the PCs has risen significantly, up 12 points since November (Nov 24: 31%). Support for the Liberals is unchanged since November (Nov 24: 33%), and the NDP sees a 6-point decline (Nov 24: 25%).





Respondents most likely to say they support the PCs include those aged 35-44 (44%), 45-54 (46%), or 65+ (46%), males (48%), earning $40,000-$60,000 (45%) or the most wealthy (48%), with a college/university degree (49%), and living in North York (55%).

Respondents most likely to say they support the Liberals include those aged 45-54 (34%), 55-64 (36%), or 65+ (37%), females (35%), the least wealthy (41%), or earning $60,000-$80,000 (38%), the least educated (38%), and living in Scarborough (45%).

Respondents most likely to say they would support the NDP include those aged 34 and younger (23%), earning $20,000-$40,000 (35%), with some college/university (25%), and living in York (n=60)(32%).

“The Progressive Conservatives have moved past the Liberals to assume a commanding lead in the city of Toronto,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “Perhaps the unceasing news coverage of the Progressive Conservatives’ internal problems has proved positive for their fortunes in the city. The PCs should be concerned slightly by the weakening support for the NDP, however, as a collapsing NDP vote is far more likely to help the Liberals, than it will help them.”

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.