2016 Atlantic Hockey Playoffs

← Week Two Week Three

Army had the biggest suprise in the second round, after sweeping Holy Cross despite being given just a 30% chance of winning the series. Robert Morris and Air Force were both heavy favorites in their matchups. Meanwhile RIT was a slight underdog, but with a 43% chance of advancing their win was not a real surprise. The seven teams eliminated so far had been given a combined 33.8% chance of winning the tournament before it all began.

Robert Morris will have the easist first round match up with a 67% chance of beating Army. However, Army overcame very similar odds just last week. Air Force and RIT are expected to have a close matchup that is sure to build upon the long rivarly that these two teams have had in the conference.

The formula used here does not account for home ice advantage, so RIT is not given any boost for playing at a "neautral site" just 10 miles from its campus. However, last weekend the away team actually won 56% of the games anyhow.

The following table shows the odds of each team winning in each of the remaing two rounds.

Semifinals Finals Robert Morris 67.25 38.70 Air Force 57.85 29.78 RIT 42.15 18.47 Army 32.75 13.06