How well can doctors and nurses really predict the outcomes of their ICU patients? In this episode, Scott Halpern from the University of Pennsylvania’s School of Medicine, discusses how he and his colleagues explored the accuracy of ICU physicians and nurses in predicting the health outcomes of their patients. Their work is detailed in his open-access article “Discriminative Accuracy of Physician and Nurse Predictions for Survival and Functional Outcomes 6 Months After an ICU Admission,” published in the Journal of the American Medical Association in May 2017.

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Article

If you do not have access to the Journal of the American Medical Association, you can request a PDF copy through ResearchGate.

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Full episode with available download

On the National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute grant

Consideration of including family predictions of mortality and morbidity

On the difficulty of assessing cognitive capacity

Likelihood ratios

Area under the receiving operating characteristic curve

Possibile utility of informatics in prognostic judgement

Discriminative accuracy vs. calibration: negotiation with JAMA

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Hosts / Producers

Doug Leigh & Ryan Watkins

How to Cite

Leigh, D., Watkins, R., & Halpern, S.. (2017, August 9). Parsing Science – Accuracy of Health Outcome Predictions. figshare. https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.5907412

Music



What’s The Angle? by Shane Ivers