The Prime Minister’s Plan for Britain was launched this week in Cardiff to mass disinterest. Her obsession with the ‘Precious Precious Union’ is a sideshow to her European disaster. But both have resurgent English nationalism at their heart.

The omens were not good. “May’s appeal falls flat as EU seizes control of Brexit date” read one headline, while redtops frothed about “betrayal” and bad foreigners.

After a marathon late-night session of talks, the EU’s leaders ripped up May’s proposals and a new Brexit timeline was pushed on the beleaguered PM to avoid the cliff-edge deadline of 29 March. Under the deal agreed by May, Britain will now stay a member state until 12 April if the withdrawal agreement is rejected by MPs at the third time of asking.

So the Coronation Chicken is binned, the Silly String and the Harvey’s Bristol Cream put back in the cupboard for another day. For the Brexiteers and Lexiteers hope springs eternal, Brexit lives!

Independence Day is postponed till nearer Easter and becomes a kind of Constitutional Kinder Surprise. Having spent the end of the week facing her own MPs publicly turning on her, she herself rounded on parliament in an extraordinary broadcast from Downing Street.

But May’s latest trip to Brussels has not gone well for those who are still mouthing the Take Back Control mantra in the face of the evidence that power and agency is seeping away from the British state like an animal bleeding out in the dark night. Like our transatlantic cousins “Draining the Swamp” the reality of the world seems to have overtaken the populist slogans of the MAGA and Brexit projects now mired in criminal investigations and exposed networks of collusion, data corruption and dark money.

Of Theresa May’s desperate Brussels pleading “It was 90 minutes of nothing,” one EU source said. “She didn’t even give clarity if she is organising a vote. Asked three times what she would do if she lost the vote, she couldn’t say. It was fucking awful. Dreadful. Evasive even by her standards.”

Family of Nations

If the Prime Minister’s forays into foreign affairs look crippled by indecision, a complete lack of inter-personal skills and an inflexibility that makes her look both wooden and robotic, her descent into domestic constitutional politics is far worse.

Unveiling her Plan for Britain at the Conservative Forum in Cardiff, her vision for the country’s future under her leadership, Mrs May told her audience that: “The Union is more than just a constitutional artefact. It is a union between all of our citizens, whoever we are and wherever we’re from.”

“So our Plan for Britain will put strengthening and sustaining that Union at its heart.”

“We are four nations, but at heart we are one people… and I will always fight to strengthen and sustain this precious, precious Union.”

As with so many utterances from Theresa May you are left speechless and incredulous at the gap between reality and rhetoric. The idea of the United Kingdom being “one people” after the miserabilist pantomime of Brexit in which politicians – but particularly Therese May – have evoked racism and xenophobia and enacted punitive immigration policies is a “is a union between all of our citizens, whoever we are and wherever we’re from” is a dark fantasy.

That Brexit is held up as a cradle of democracy whilst also being used to shut down the possibility of another referendum for Scotland is a sick joke.

However this level of delusion and denial may prove useful.

May’s Precious Precious Union speech happened in Cardiff, where, as Angus Robertson points out: “Plaid Cymru are surging in the opinion polls, have won every single Welsh by-election this year, membership is up by 3,000 and Adam Price is the most popular party leader in Wales.”

On the 6 May 2021 there will be elections to both Holyrood and the Senedd.

It is highly likely given the mixture of demographics in Northern Ireland (the long-awaited catholic majority is almost here), the crude contempt with which Ireland has been treated throughout the Brexit process and the emergence of a more benign and socially enlightened Irish state, that Ireland may be facing the prospects of unification.

It’s a cliché going back to Lloyd George meeting with de Valera in 1921 that the English do not remember any history, while the Irish forget none. But we are living through historical ephocal times and it’s deeply ironic that Ireland, which for so long looked like a stuckist backward theocracy has been transformed by the Thirty Fourth Amendment and becoming the first country to legalise gay marriage by popular vote in 2015, and by the landslide referendum to change the law on abortion in 2018. While Ireland has seemingly evolved England sees itself hurtling backwards. With the The Lords Spiritual of the United Kingdom – the 26 bishops of the established Church of England who serve in the House of Lords along with the Lords Temporal – who’s the theocracy now?

So May’s Precious precious Union faces an existential threat on three fronts at a time when its leader is proclaiming us to be One People.

Displacement Activity

None of this has gone un-noticed. The magnificent irritant of Fintan O’Toole, who seems to have risen like a muse at precisely the right moment tells us that: ‘Brexit is a fabulous form of displacement – it acknowledges a profound and genuine unhappiness about how the British are governed but deflects it on to Europe.”

This at first reaches out the prospect of English nationalism joining the other four of the dysfunctional “family of nations” in the joint task of over-throwing the parental home. Under closer scrutiny this seems unlikely:

“The other, closely related, problem is the English nationalism that is at once such a powerful force in Brexit and so poorly articulated. As every former colony knows, nationalism is a great beast for carrying you to the point of independence – and then it becomes a dead horse. Shaw wrote to his friend Mabel FitzGerald (mother of the future taoiseach Garret) in December 1914: “Even the subject nations like Ireland must never forget that the moment they gain home rule, the horse will drop down under them, and reveal, by a sudden and horrible decomposition, that he has been dead for years.” Brexit is a dead horse, a form of nationalist energy that started to decompose rapidly on June 24th, 2016, as soon as it entered the field of political reality. It can’t go anywhere. It can’t carry the British state to any promised land. It can only leave it where it has arrived, in a no-man’s land between vague patriotic fantasies and irritatingly persistent facts. But equally, because of the referendum result, the British state can’t get down off the dead horse and has to keep flogging it.”

Not everyone is as happy about O’Toole’s analysis or the definition of Brexit as a product of inchoate English nationalism.

David Goodhart writing in the New Statesman responds to the analysis he sees forming a consensus from the likes of David Olusoga, Anthony Barnett, Afua Hirsch and Pankaj Mishra.

Goodhart complains that: “In his latest book and numerous columns, O’Toole graciously concedes that England is allowed a national identity but then implies that expressing it to the disadvantage of the smaller countries in its orbit is prohibited. Ireland can act in its own interests even if those conflict with England’s interests – Second World War neutrality, for example, or more recently by adopting an ultra-low corporate tax policy – but England, because of its size and history of colonial oppression, is not allowed to do the same.”

Except that Goodhart misses the key point. England does not exist to “act in its own interests”. Stating the obvious it acts as – and dominates Britain.

Goodhart is so blind to this he frequently confuses and misplaces England and Britain as if they are either interchangeable or the same thing.

He writes:

“O’Toole repeats the canards of Britain becoming a less tolerant country, and of racism not diminishing but merely going underground. Yet the Britain of Danny Boyle’s Olympic opening ceremony of 2012 has not vanished: attitude surveys show a continuing decline in most prejudices in recent years. And while reported hate crime has been rising – arguably because of greater official encouragement to report – the Crime Survey for England and Wales, which is based on face-to-face interviews and covers unreported incidents, finds that hate crime has continued on a downward trend notwithstanding a brief spike after the Brexit vote.”

And then again:

“Surely if the English were so nostalgic for empire, and Ireland’s place in it, there would have been much more anti-Irish bluster over recent months. In fact, what is remarkable about 20th century British history is how little resistance in Britain there was to decolonisation in general after 1945. If British people today feel a vague pride in empire, it is, like Italians and the Roman Empire, a pride in ancestors that does not extend to endorsing their brutal methods.”

He can’t help himself. Britain/England are virtually the same thing, even in an extended essay moaning about the lack of self-expression for English identity.

The dismissal of the very real problems of an increase in racism is a common new post-Brexit trope amongst right-wing commentators, as is the revival of Empire Loyalism and revisionism.

Brexit Delayed

If the extension to Brexit imposed by the European states on a floundering British leader represents a new humiliation for those desperately seeking power and sovereignty (whilst being quietly terrified of it) it also extends the notion of Brexit being a process rather than an event.

Brexit was supposed to be an event, a liberatory event, even if you didn’t vote for it or were resolutely against it, like Scotland. Still we would have our liberation even if we didn’t want it, kind of like Stalin meets St George.

In his new book Dreams of Leaving and Remaining, James Meek writes:

“Of the two folk myths bound up with Englishness, the myth of St George and the myth of Robin Hood, the myth of St George is the simpler. Robin Hood is a process; St George is an event. Where Robin Hood steals from the rich, which is difficult, to give to the poor, which is trickier still, and has to keep on doing it over and over, St George kills the dragon, and that’s it. Before the dragon is slain, the people are tyrannised. They live in a state of misery, fear and humiliation. When the dragon is slain, society’s problems disappear.”

If you wonder why the political debate in Britain has become so toxic, this offers one explanation, Meek again:

“For every political St George event there has to be a designated dragon. In order to parse Brexit as a St George event, Brexiteers had to portray their target – variously the European Commission, any one or combination of European countries/leaders, immigrants, even Britons who wanted to stay in the EU – not merely as political opponents but as actively malign forces who desired to do harm to Britain, either to line their own pockets or just for the sake of it.”

Brexit is English nationalism using Britain as a proxy. It has to dress up as the oppressed and act out various stages of “liberation” whilst simultaneously repressing self-determination within the Precious Precious Union.

On the 6 May 2021 there will be elections to both Holyrood and the Senedd.

It is now very likely that this will be the point in which the union collapses and a new set of relationships emerge from this broken shambles.