It was more Realistic back around E3. Now, with only 460,000 Wii U sold during the first 6 months, I expect Wii U sells to come up a little short. 6 Million Wii U sold by March 31 seems more realistic.

Things to consider during the next 6 months:

– Games line-up. Most of the people that frequent this site, other Nintendo sites, and other Video Gaming sites are more in the know of which games are Releasing for the Wii U. The Average Consumer will just walk into their store of choice and have to go through the process of seeing the games available, seeing the price of the Consoles, and maybe talking with a few of the store customers about Features/Reliability of each Console if they go in Blind.

-Availability. Yes the HD twins (or PS4/XB1) will be Releasing in a few weeks. But if Sony/Microsoft undership Units to stores in certain areas then people may buy a Wii U just out of Convenience if a PS4/XB1 is unavailable. In Japan and other Countries Wii U will be the only Console available for purchase at retail.

-Reliability. It was back during E3 that something happened that made me sour a bit on the PS4. Sony representatives would NOT allow members of Gamespot and other Press members to go back and capture footage of the PS4 in action. With the additional Ram under the hood and not even sending PS4 kits even to members of the Video Gaming Press as we speak, it makes me wonder how cool the system runs and how long it\’ll be before reports of PS4 freezing and bricking will hit the internet. And a Report released just a few days ago saying the PS4 will feature Mandatory Game Installs for All games (with Knack being 37GB?!?!) and not being compatible to External Hard Drives.

-Bundles. Lots of different Wii U Bundles coming out in the next month and most people here know the different varieties, but did you Notice one thing. The New Super Mario/Luigi Bundle also includes a Demo disc of other games as well!!! (says so on the bottom of the circle sticker Announcing both games). I have NO idea what will be on that Disc but if Nintendo puts Demos of TW101, Pikmin 3, Mario Kart 8, Bayonetta 2, Sonic: Lost World, and Donkey Kong Tropical Freeze on there and word gets out.

-Demos. I went to my Local Gamestop two days ago to pick up my copy of Sonic: Lost World and tried out the Kiosk at the front of the store. Playable Demos of The Wonderful 101 and Sonic: Lost World were included. Now if Super Mario 3D World is available to Demo in store before Thanksgiving at say Toys\’ R\’ Us…

-Nintendo Direct (January Edition). Now I\’m assuming that Nintendo is going to wait until around January 22nd to give us their next ND so as to not overlook the Holiday Releases/give Developers more time to Refine/produce more games to Reveal. When it does come out and Konami, EA, Treasure, and Atlus Reveal New games for Wii U and Nintendo affirms Release Dates for Donkey Kong Tropical Freeze, X, Mario Kart 8, Bayonetta 2, and Announces a new game or two of their own then the hype will be brought back up.

-3rd Parties. With every additional Million Wii U that are bought the concern of 3rd parties of Releasing Games on the Wii U should lessen. With 4 Million Wii U sold, 25 percent of the Install Base must buy their game in order for a Million to be sold and for their Profit Margin to be Solid. With 5 Million/ 20 percent. With 6 Million/ 16.666 percent. With 7 Million/ 14.285 percent. With 8 Million/ 12.5 percent. With 9 Million/ 11.1 percent and with 10 Million/ 10 percent.

Sorry for the wall of text but you asked my opinion.