The Los Angeles Rams pulled off a blockbuster trade to acquire the first overall pick in the NFL draft on Thursday, sending their first-round pick, two second-round selections and a third-rounder in this year’s draft to the Tennessee Titans to move up to No. 1. The Rams also agreed to part with their first- and third-round picks in next year’s draft.

The Rams are expected to draft a quarterback, with North Dakota State’s Carson Wentz and Cal’s Jared Goff in consideration.

Some may see Goff as a safer bet after starting for three years in the Pac-12. In contrast, Wentz (pictured) didn’t even play for a major-college program, playing less than two full seasons in the lower-level Football Championship Subdivision.

But an analysis of recent drafts suggests spending a first-round pick on a player from a non-major conference school is actually one of the surest bets in the draft. The Count looked at the past 10 NFL drafts to gauge how first-round selections from schools that currently reside outside college football’s Power 5 conferences had fared after draft day.

Of the 320 first-round draft selections since 2006, 26 (8.1%) have hailed from non-Power 5 conferences. Remarkably, all of these players were still active in the NFL during the 2015 season, with all but a handful likely to remain on an NFL roster in 2016.