According to the Florida Department of Health. The total cases in Florida now stands at 13,629. Florida had a new daily high of 1,279 confirmed cases besting the number set on Saturday at 1,277 by just two. The total amount of tests increased by 9,150 and now stands at 126,048. Unfortunately, 33 deaths were reported bringing the total to 254.

Around the state, cities and counties led by local leaders such as Tampa Mayor Jane Castro fought for stricter stay at home measures and Gov. Ron Desantis asked incoming New Yorkers to self-quarantine as the number of new cases and deaths rose at an exponential pace.

The graph below shows the 3 Day Average of New Cases and Deaths per Day in Florida. According to the 3 day average, Florida peaked (at least temporarily) for both new cases and deaths on Saturday. Yesterday, was the first day we had a decrease in the 3 day average and today represents a small increase in new cases from 1,114 to 1,120.

Looking at confirmed cases for Florida adjusted per Population, Florida is doing just about average out of the 50 states. And this would correspond with the data from other states like New York that the amount of cases and deaths is starting to flatten.

The growth of New Cases and Deaths per Day has slowed down rapidly in Florida thanks to Social Distancing and mitigation measures that went into effect in March and early April. It was shortly after the President’s address in the Oval Office on March 11th that schools in Florida soon after.

When President Trump ordered a continuation of his 15 Days to Stop the Spread to 30 Days to Stop the Spread and Gov. Ron Desantis took the opportunity to declare a Stay-at-Home order for all of Florida.

Below is a graph of the 5 Day Average of Daily Growth. This graph takes out a lot of the noise in the fluctuations of the day to day numbers and it helps make sense of the daily exponential growth we are seeing.

Beginning on March 29th we can see a clear downtrend in the daily growth average and this began a few days before the Governor’s order on April 1, 2020. In the three days proceeding the Governor’s order, the average of the daily growth had fallen from 27.6% to 19.5%.

If daily growth is less than 9.4% tomorrow, we will have a lower amount of confirmed cases tomorrow and Florida might go through the peak a lot earlier than experts were predicting. As long as Floridians continue to stay home except for essential business, Floridians can get through the peak early. But Daily growth must continue to fall quickly.