This Saturday, the UFC makes just its second visit to South Korea, with a headlining bout that could determine newly crowned UFC featherweight champion Alexander Volkanovski’s first defense.

In the main event, former UFC lightweight champion Frankie Edgar (22-7-1 MMA, 17-7-1 UFC) faces former featherweight title contender Chan Sung Jung (15-5 MMA, 5-2 UFC).

Let’s take a look at the last three results of the two men in Saturday’s main event:

Edgar suffered a first-round knockout defeat against Brian Ortega last March before notching a decision win over Cub Swanson just 50 days later. Edgar’s last fight came in July, a five-round unanimous decision loss in a fight for then-champion Max Holloway’s UFC featherweight title.

‘The Answer’ had been set to make his bantamweight debut against Cory Sandhagen next month, but an injury to Jung’s original opponent Brian Ortega saw Edgar step in on less than three weeks’ notice.

Jung scored a first-round knockout win against Dennis Bermudez before losing via a spectacular overhead elbow KO to Yaír Rodriguez, just one second away from a decision victory. The Korean Zombie returned to action in June, defeating Renato Moicano via first-round TKO.

Incredibly, Jung has picked up seven fight-night bonuses in his seven UFC contests.

Here’s a look at how these two fighters fared when competing against common opponents shared throughout their careers. On the left of the graphic, you’ll see how Edgar fared against any shared opponents and on the right, you’ll see Jung’s results against the same men.

The two men share two common opponents; former UFC featherweight champion José Aldo and Yaír Rodriguez.

Edgar came up short twice in five-round unanimous decision losses to Aldo, whilst Jung suffered a fourth-round TKO defeat against the Brazilian.

Jung suffered the aforementioned last-second knockout against Rodriguez, whilst Edgar scored a dominant second-round TKO victory over the unorthodox fighter in May 2017.

The Dwyer Score

Each event, I calculate a ‘Dwyer Score’ for the card. It essentially gives a numeric value to the momentum of fighters competing at any one event. I do this by assigning a figure to each fighter’s current streak; a fighter on a five-fight winning streak contributes +5 to an event’s score, whilst a fighter on a two-fight losing streak contributes -2 to the score. Only UFC results are considered and a fighter coming off a no-contest, a draw, or a bout with another promotion has a streak of 0. When you tally up the scores for every fighter on a card, you get a total for the event- the ‘Dwyer Score.’ This score does not claim to predict or measure the quality or excitement of any one card, but it does give you an idea of the general momentum of fighters heading into a specific event. The graphic to the above-right displays some of the highest-scoring events of all time, to help give some context to this score.

UFC Fight Night 165: Frankie Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie checks in with a score of +8.

This score ranks joint-27th out of all 43 UFC events in the past year, or 14th out of all 24 Fight Night events in the same period.

Here’s a look at how this score compares to other events’ scores over the past year:

As you can see, this score falls just short of the +8.4 average for Fight Night events in the last twelve months, as well as the +13 average for all events in the same time frame.

Let’s take a look at exactly how this score breaks down:

The highest individual contributors to the score are Aleksandar Rakić and Matt Schnell (both +4), with Raoni Barcelos (+3) close behind.

The lowest scorers are Doo Ho Choi, Marc-Andre Barriault, Seung Woo Choi and Dong Hyun Ma (all -2), whilst just one fighter will be making their promotional debut at this event.

Enjoy the fights!