Here you can keep track on how Liverpool in theory should be performing given the last four matches against the teams in Premier League. You can also see how far Liverpool is from securing the Champions League qualification compared to the highest amount of points there has been required to acheive a top 4 position in the last 10 seasons. As shown in the graph below is Liverpool currently 12 points behind the statistically expected amount of points. The graph will be updated after every match. Next up: Sunderland (Home)

Method: Expected amount of points : The expected amount of points are estimated on Liverpools four previous matches against the given teams on the horisontal axis in the figure. The points are aggregated to calculate the total amount of points Liverpool is expected to achieve for the whole season. Given these assumptions Liverpool is in theory expected to reach 74 point in the 2015/2016 Premier League season. Example: Liverpool was expected to achieve 2.25 points against Stoke City in the opening match given the four last matches against Stoke (3 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses). Liverpool won and got 3 points which made them 0.75 point on top of the expected amount of point curve in the graph. Actual amount of points : Liverpools current amount of points in the 2015/2016 Premier League season. Goal to secure top 4 position : The highest amount of points needed to reach a top 4 position in the Premier League the last 10 seasons. The goal is to achieve 73 point in order to exceed Tottenham Hotspurs' 5th place with 72 point in the 2013/2014 Premier League season.