Rating Changes NC-Pres: Weak DEM Gain to Weak GOP Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 10 new polls added. ID-Sen : Natalie Fleming (Independent) changed from Unaffiliated.





Rating Changes TX-Pres: Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 10 new polls added.

Rating Changes NC-Pres: Weak GOP Hold to Weak DEM Gain to SC-Pres: Mod GOP Hold to Strong GOP Hold to TX-Pres: Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold to NC-Sen: Weak DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 33 new polls added.

Rating Changes MN-7: Weak DEM Hold to Weak GOP Gain to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 19 new polls added.

Rating Changes FL-15: Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold to VT-Gov: Strong GOP Hold to Solid GOP Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 23 new polls added.

Rating Changes ME-Pres: Strong DEM Hold to Mod DEM Hold to TX-Pres: Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold to AR-2: Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold to ME-2: Mod DEM Hold to Strong DEM Hold to MI-6: Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold to NY-1: Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold to TX-10: Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold to VA-5: Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 32 new polls added; 10 pundit rating changes added. AZ-Sen : Robert Kay (Independent) removed. NM-2 : Steve Jones (Independent) removed.

Rating Changes ME-Pres: Mod DEM Hold to Strong DEM Hold to NC-Pres: Weak DEM Gain to Weak GOP Hold to MI-Sen: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to ME-2: Weak DEM Hold to Mod DEM Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 17 new polls added.

Rating Changes ME-Sen: Weak DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to ME-2: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to MI-6: Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold to NY-1: Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold to TX-10: Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold to VA-5: Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 46 new polls added.

Rating Changes MN-Pres: Weak DEM Hold to Mod DEM Hold to TX-Pres: Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold to MI-Sen: Weak DEM Hold to Mod DEM Hold to CA-25: Weak DEM Gain to Weak GOP Hold to NC-2: Strong DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to NC-6: Strong DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to PA-10: Weak DEM Gain to Weak GOP Hold to TX-22: Weak DEM Gain to Weak GOP Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 26 new polls added.

Rating Changes MN-Sen: Weak DEM Hold to Mod DEM Hold to CO-3: Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold to OH-1: Weak GOP Hold to Weak DEM Gain to PA-10: Weak GOP Hold to Weak DEM Gain to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 27 new polls added; 14 pundit rating changes added. AL-Sen : Michael Parrish (Independent) removed. GA-Sen : Allen Buckley (Independent) removed; Nathan Franklin (Unaffiliated) removed; Tom Jones (Independent) removed; Clifton Kilby (Independent) removed. IL-Sen : Kane County Regional Board of School Trustee Chad Koppie (Constitution) removed. NC-Sen : Jeremy Thomas (Independence) removed. OR-Sen : Gary Dye (Libertarian) removed.

Rating Changes OR-Pres: Solid DEM Hold to Strong DEM Hold to AZ-Sen: Mod DEM Gain to Strong DEM Gain to GA-Sen: Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold to NC-Sen: Mod DEM Gain to Weak DEM Gain to AK-AL: Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold to CA-48: Weak DEM Hold to Mod DEM Hold to CO-3: Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold to NJ-7: Weak DEM Hold to Mod DEM Hold to TX-7: Weak DEM Hold to Mod DEM Hold to TX-23: Weak DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 37 new polls added. TX-10 : Olis Bahari (Independent) removed; Lloyd Coker (Conservative) removed. TX-23 : Official tracking initiated, candidates: Tony Gonzales(R) vs. Gina Jones(D); Steven Sanders (Independent) removed. TX-31 : Jeremy Bravo (Independent) removed; Moshe "Cal" Schrauth (Independent) removed.

Rating Changes IN-5: Weak GOP Hold to Weak DEM Gain to PA-1: Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold to TX-21: Weak DEM Gain to Weak GOP Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 27 new polls added.

Rating Changes MI-Sen: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 5 new polls added.

Rating Changes MI-Pres: Mod DEM Gain to Weak DEM Gain to NC-2: Strong DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to NC-6: Strong DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to TX-22: Weak DEM Gain to Weak GOP Hold to TX-24: Weak DEM Gain to Weak GOP Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 21 new polls added.

Rating Changes LA-Pres: Strong GOP Hold to Solid GOP Hold to MN-Pres: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to TX-Pres: Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold to WI-Pres: Mod DEM Gain to Weak DEM Gain to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 6 new polls added.

Rating Changes TX-Pres: Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold to WI-Pres: Weak DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to NC-2: Mod DEM Gain to Strong DEM Gain to NC-6: Mod DEM Gain to Strong DEM Gain to TX-22: Weak GOP Hold to Weak DEM Gain to TX-24: Weak GOP Hold to Weak DEM Gain to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 11 new polls added.

Rating Changes AR-Pres: Solid GOP Hold to Strong GOP Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 8 new polls added.

Rating Changes WI-Pres: Weak DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to KS-Sen: Strong GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold to NC-Sen: Mod DEM Gain to Weak DEM Gain to NC-Gov: Strong DEM Hold to Mod DEM Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 12 new polls added.

Rating Changes AR-Pres: Strong GOP Hold to Solid GOP Hold to FL-Pres: Mod DEM Gain to Weak DEM Gain to GA-Pres: Weak GOP Hold to Weak DEM Gain to ME-Pres: Strong DEM Hold to Mod DEM Hold to WI-Pres: Mod DEM Gain to Weak DEM Gain to NC-Sen: Strong DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to NC-Gov: Solid DEM Hold to Strong DEM Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 43 new polls added.

Rating Changes CA-48: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to FL-26: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to IL-14: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to NJ-7: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to TX-7: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to TX-23: Mod DEM Gain to Weak DEM Gain to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 9 new polls added.

Rating Changes AR-Pres: Solid GOP Hold to Strong GOP Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 3 new polls added.

Rating Changes MT-Sen: Weak DEM Gain to Weak GOP Hold to CA-48: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to FL-26: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to IL-14: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to NJ-7: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to TX-7: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to TX-23: Mod DEM Gain to Weak DEM Gain to MT-Gov: Weak GOP Gain to Mod GOP Gain to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 14 new polls added; 16 pundit rating changes added. AR-Sen : Daniel Whitfield (Independent) removed. SD-Sen : Clayton Walker (Independent) removed.

Rating Changes MI-Sen: Strong DEM Hold to Mod DEM Hold to NC-Sen: Mod DEM Gain to Strong DEM Gain to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 54 new polls added.

Rating Changes GA-Pres: Weak GOP Hold to Weak DEM Gain to ME2-Pres: Mod GOP Hold to Weak GOP Hold to WI-Pres: Weak DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to CA-48: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to IL-14: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to NJ-7: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to NC-2: Strong DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to NC-6: Strong DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to PA-8: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to TX-7: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to TX-22: Weak DEM Gain to Weak GOP Hold to TX-23: Mod DEM Gain to Weak DEM Gain to TX-24: Weak DEM Gain to Weak GOP Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 11 new polls added. ME-Sen : Joshua Arnone (Libertarian) removed; Tiffany Bond (Independent) removed; Danielle VanHelsing (Independent) removed; Linda Wooten (Independent) removed. ME-2 : Official tracking initiated, candidates: Jared Golden(D) vs. Dale Crafts(R).

Rating Changes GA-Pres: Weak DEM Gain to Weak GOP Hold to WI-Pres: Mod DEM Gain to Weak DEM Gain to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 3 new polls added.

Rating Changes NC-Sen: Weak DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 4 new polls added. NY-1 : Official tracking initiated, candidates: Lee Zeldin(R) vs. Nancy Goroff(D).

Rating Changes PA-Pres: Mod DEM Gain to Weak DEM Gain to WI-Pres: Weak DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 7 new polls added.

Rating Changes WI-Pres: Mod DEM Gain to Weak DEM Gain to AZ-Sen: Mod DEM Gain to Weak DEM Gain to AZ-6: Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold to MI-6: Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold to NY-1: Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold to UT-4: Mod DEM Hold to Weak DEM Hold to WA-3: Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 34 new polls added.

Rating Changes FL-Pres: Mod DEM Gain to Weak DEM Gain to ME2-Pres: Weak GOP Hold to Mod GOP Hold to MT-Pres: Strong GOP Hold to Solid GOP Hold to WI-Pres: Weak DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to AZ-Sen: Strong DEM Gain to Mod DEM Gain to Page Updates Daily Poll Report : 34 new polls added.

Welcome to Election Projection

Since late 2003, Election Projection has been in the business of projecting the upcoming elections. Here you'll find data-driven calculations that gauge the status of all Senate, House and gubernatorial elections on tap for 2020, as well as state-by-state coverage of the 2020 Presidential Elections. Once the nominees are known, Election Projection employs a proprietary formula to arrive at a projection for all the races covered here. This election cycle, I'm currently tracking 155 races, and that number is sure to climb as more House races are deemed competitive between now and Election Day.

Rather than a prediction of the outcome, the projections you find here serve to tell who would be expected to win if the elections were held today. As the election nears, my numbers become more predictive in nature. And history bears out the accuracy of my methodology. Over the last eight election cycles, Election Projection has correctly named the winner in 96.6% of the 3,665 races called. In addition, unlike many prognosticators, I refuse to cop out on any race. You'll never see a "toss-up" rating here.

Since public opinion polls are an integral part of the projections, EP also publishes a vast assortment of polls. Updated multiple times each day except Sunday, Election Projection's latest polls are a valuable resource as well for those seeking every last bit of info on the important races of the cycle. I hope you enjoy perusing the polls for the races you are most interested in.

Thank you for stopping by. Since you're here, you probably share my interest in politics - and especially election outcomes. Take a look around. I think you'll find Election Projection to be just the kind of online repository you're looking for. It is, after all, "the original election projection website."

Whether you are a conservative Republican or a liberal Democrat, you can count on the objectivity of EP's projections. I am staunchly conservative in ideology, but I am just as staunchly objective when it comes to calculating election winners. Through the years, whether a red wave was on the horizon or a blue year was in the offing, EP has earned a reputation of telling it like it is. That's my commitment to all my readers. I will never fudge the numbers here - even when I don't like the outcome they project.