Finding No. 5828 – This special snap SMS Morgan Poll was conducted with a representative cross-section of 1,206 Australian electors today, Wednesday September 24, 2014. They were asked “Do you support Australia joining the US airstrikes in Syria?”

A special snap SMS Morgan Poll shows a majority of Australians (58.5%) support Australia joining US-led airstrikes in Syria and 41.5% do not support. Today’s special SMS Morgan Poll was conducted with a cross-section of 1,206 Australians.

Analysis by Voting Preference

Analysing the results by voting preference shows support for Australia joining the US-led airstrikes in Syria from Liberal voters (75% support cf. 25% against) and National voters (70% support cf. 30% against) while a majority of ALP voters are against (54%) cf. approve (46%). Greens voters are clearly against joining US-led airstrikes in Syria (79.5% against cf. 20.5% support).

Analysis by Gender

Analysis by gender shows a clear gender split with men heavily in support and women evenly split:

Men: Support (68%) cf. against (32%);

Women: Support (49.5%) cf. against (50.5%).

Analysis by Age

Analysing by age shows younger Australians (under 35) against joining US-led airstrikes in Syria while older Australians (35+) show strong support:

18-24yr olds: Against (56%) cf. support (44%);

25-34yr olds: Against (53.5%) cf. support (46.5%);

35-49yr olds: Support (61%) cf. against (39%);

50-64yr olds: Support (60%) cf. against (40%);

65+yr olds: Support (69%) cf. against (31%).

Gary Morgan says:

“A majority (58.5%) of Australians support Australia joining US airstrikes in Syria according to a special snap SMS Morgan Poll conducted today. Support is strongest amongst Liberal voters (75% support) and National voters (70% support) while both ALP voters (56% against) and Greens voters (79.5% against) are opposed to the idea. “Support for joining US airstrikes in Syria (58.5%) is slightly higher than for sending 600 Australian troops to Iraq (54% support last week, September 15, 2014). Analysing the results closely show there are similar splits along party-lines, and also with age and gender. “Support for joining US airstrikes in Syria is much stronger amongst men (68% support cf. 32% against), while women are evenly split (49.5% support cf. 50.5% against). Older Australians aged 35+ clearly support the idea and Australians aged 18-34 are opposed.”

Finding No. 5828 – This special snap SMS Morgan Poll was conducted with a representative cross-section of 1,206 Australian electors today, Wednesday September 24, 2014. They were asked “Do you support Australia joining the US airstrikes in Syria?”

Roy Morgan SMS Polling was extremely accurate at both the last two Federal Elections:

See 2014 Accuracy Results here.

Results analysed by Roy Morgan Helix Personas are available on a subscription basis.



www.HelixPersonas.com.au

Question:

Australian Electors were asked (September 24, 2014): “Do you support Australia joining the US airstrikes in Syria?”

Australian Electors were asked (September 15, 2014): “Do you approve or disapprove of the decision to send 600 Australian troops to Iraq?”

Previous question asked in May 1965: “Do you approve or disapprove of the decision to send 800 Australian troops to South Vietnam?”

Previous question asked in 1990, 1991, 2002 and 2003: “About Australians being part of an American military force used to depose Saddam Hussein, do you approve or disapprove of Australians being part of the American military force?”

Australian Troop deployments – Vietnam, Gulf War, Iraq War, Iraq (2014)

Vietnam War Gulf War (1991) Iraq War (2003) Iraq (2014) Syria



(2014) May

1965* Dec

1990* Feb

1991* Sep

2002* Dec

2002* Mar 24-25,

2003* Sep 15,

2014 Sep 24,

2014 % % % % % % % % Approve/Yes 58.5 57 72 43 46 52 54 58.5 Disapprove/ No 41.5 43 28 57 54 48 46 41.5 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

*Undecided electors in May 1965 (11%); December 1990 (5%); February 1991 (3%); September 2002 (6%); December 2002 (3%); March 19-20, 2003 (5%) & March 24-25, 2003 (3.5%).

Voting Preference

Total Electors Liberal National ALP Greens Other Can’t say Non

Electors % % % % % % % % % Yes 58.5 57.5 75 70 46 20.5 56.5 62 62.5 No 41.5 42.5 25 30 54 79.5 43.5 38 37.5 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

Age & Gender

Total Gender Age Men Women 18-24 25-34 35-49 50-64 65+ % % % % % % % % Yes 58.5 68 49.5 44 46.5 61 60 69 No 41.5 32 50.5 56 53.5 39 40 31 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

State & City/ Country

State Region Total NSW VIC QLD WA SA TAS City Country % % % % % % % % % Yes 58.5 59 59 60 58.5 49 51.5 56.5 61 No 41.5 41 41 40 41.5 51 48.5 43.5 39 Total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100

For further information:

Contact Office Mobile Gary Morgan: +61 3 9224 5213 +61 411 129 094 Michele Levine: +61 3 9224 5215 +61 411 129 093

Margin of Error

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.