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April's home game against Southampton could be the point where Aston Villa are relegated from the Premier League.

The Birmingham Mail's statisticians have projected how many points each team will have at the end of every remaining gameweek based on their record this season to see when Remi Garde's side might be mathematically down.

Villa have 16 points from 27 games so far this season, which works out at an average of just under 0.6 a game.

That means that they would have 16.6 points at the end of game week 28 with 30 points left to play for, 17.2 at the end of game week 29 with 27 left to play for, 17.8 at the end of gam eweek 30 with 24 left to play for and so on.

Sunderland and Norwich have both averaged just under 0.9 points per game this season, while Newcastle have averaged just over 0.9 a game.

If things remain unchanged then the bottom four would look like this at the end of the season

17th: Newcastle, 35 points

18th: Norwich, 34 points

19th Sunderland, 32 points

20th Aston Villa, 23 points

The point of no return for Villa will come in gameweek 35 based on each team's points per game averages.

Aston Villa's total projected points at that stage of the season (20.7) plus all of the remaining points that they could win (nine) wouldn't be enough to get them into 17th place.

The league based on projected points at the end of gameweek 35 would look like this:

17th: Newcastle, 32 points

18th: Norwich, 31 points

19th: Sunderland, 30 points

20th: Aston Villa, 21 points

With nine points left to play for the most Villa could end the season with would be 29.7 points, which wouldn't be enough to get past the team in 17th.

So if the Premier League relegation goes true to form then April 23, when Saints visit Villa Park, is set to be a miserable date for the claret and blue faithful.

Gregg Evans' Villa man of the match at Stoke