The voting is three weeks away, and the core question is the one we always knew it was going to be: Who’s gonna vote? Specifically, will Democratic groups—young people, people of color, unmarried women, urbanites—vote in higher numbers than they usually do in midterm elections?

You know the story. Upward of 130 million people usually vote in presidential elections. In midterm elections, that drops to below 100 million. The vast majority of the falloff is among Democrats.

If that happens this time, we’re cooked. I’ll not go into all that here as I’m planning to write another piece before the election on everything that’s at stake this Nov. 6. The point of this column is to offer a little bit of (I hope not premature) reassurance.