If ClearSky Advisors’ forecast is correct, Ontario may become the leading market for solar PV in North America in 2011.

The summary of the forecast, one of a series on the Ontario solar market by ClearSky Advisors, will turn heads in the solar PV world.

ClearSky Advisors forecasts that Ontario will install more than 400 MW of solar PV in 2011. This would be nearly double that installed by California in 2010, presently the largest North American market for solar PV.

California has more than three times the population of Ontario, Canada.

With contracts on the books, Ontario is expected to reach 2,650 MW of solar PV by 2015. For comparison, the USA has installed slightly more than 2,000 MW of solar PV during the past thirty years. California has installed half of that amount.

Of the more than 30 module manufacturers ClearSky has been tracking, 17 to 24 are expected to become compliant with Ontario’s domestic content rules by the end of the year.