Julio Teheran’s 6-7 record for the Atlanta Braves on the surface may not look impressive, but since the beginning of May he has been one of the league’s top pitchers and will be on the mound against the Reds on Sunday.

In 14 of Teheran’s past 16 starts, he has given up two earned runs or fewer and the team is 12-4 in those starts. He’s only been giving up 0.62 home runs per nine innings in that span and has done so with the team averaging just 4.2 runs per game.

His counterpart, Sonny Gray, also has been pretty impressive this season, racking up a career-best 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. He also has a record that is not gaudy at 6-6, but the team is 10-3 over his past 13 startsand he has been terrific at limiting damage.

Gray gave up four runs in his last start against the Pittsburgh Pirates in a game the Reds won 11-6, and before that start, had allowed more than three earned runs in just one out of his previous 15 starts.

Both teams have bullpen ERAs that for the year are in the top 12 of the MLB, but have regressed since the All-Star break, ranking in the bottom eight in that span. With that said, these two pitchers have been highly underrated in a year in which scoring has been climbing and both should keep the total low.

The play: Braves-Reds, Under 9 runs