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Four years ago, a wave of Trudeaumania washed over B.C., and voters sent an astonishing 17 Liberal MPs to Ottawa on election night.

For Justin Trudeau, the B.C. breakthrough put him over the top, delivering a solid governing majority, and a chance to return to his boyhood home: 24 Sussex Dr.

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But just like the prime minister’s official residence has fallen into disrepair (Trudeau doesn’t even live there, pending a pricey renovation), the Liberals have depreciated too.

Now Trudeau faces a challenge to keep his job in Monday’s razor-close federal election.

Will B.C. voters seal Trudeau’s victory again? Could Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer enjoy a breakthrough of his own? Or will a minority-government result plunge the country into a new phase of intrigue and uncertainty?

Let’s break down the variables in what could be a night of pure drama:

THE TRUDEAU FACTOR: Trudeau entered 2019 in seemingly good shape to win a second term in power. Then the SNC-Lavalin scandal rocked his government. And the shocking blackface photos threw his campaign into turmoil.