This is part of a series of posts tracking each team’s Elo rating, which changes week-to-week based not only on the outcome of their game but on the rating of their opponent. To learn more, read the post for Weeks 1 and 2.

1st to 9th

1. Cowboys 576 (+13)

2. Broncos 559 (+15)

3. Eagles 556

4. Cardinals 553 (+11)

5. Colts 550 (+16)

6. Packers 548 (+15)

7. Patriots 545 (+12)

T-8. Lions 542 (+14)

T-8. Ravens 542 (+13)

The Cowboys protected first place with a win over the Giants, though they’re so high now they only earned 13 points despite their opponent having had a rating above 500. With the Eagles bye week, however, they now have the best record in the league (6-1) and a healthy lead on second place.

The Broncos made quick work of the 49ers on Sunday Night Football to pass the Eagles. The Cardinals could not do the same, as beating the Raiders only got them 11 points, leaving them with the worst rating of the three 5-1 teams. The Patriots, who beat the Jets, also didn’t go up as much as other winners. The lowest rating among 5-2 teams is a tie between the Ravens and Lions, who beat the Falcons and Saints respectively, each of which only have two wins.

10th to 20th

10. Chargers 536 (-19)

11. 49ers 518 (-15)

12. Bills 515 (+15)

13. Bengals 511 (-16)

14. Steelers 510 (+16)

15. Chiefs 506 (+19)

16. Dolphins 500 (+17)

17. Panthers 500 (-15)

18. Seahawks 496 (-19)

19. Browns 495 (-21)

20. Giants 492 (-13)

Where last week mostly saw favorites win, there were a lot of big upsets and large shifts in rating Week 7. The Chargers were upset by the Chiefs for a big 19 point swing, and the Seahawks were upset by the Rams and fell by the same amount. Those weren’t even the biggest changes of the week though. The Browns, who had been 3-2, handed the Jaguars their first win of the season to fall a huge 21 points. The Jags were so low that losing to a middling team like Cleveland was enough to create the biggest exchange of Elo points yet.

While the Giants have lost two straight, it was against two of the highest rated teams in the league, the Eagles and then the Cowboys. They’re the highest rated team with a 3-4 record by far, a full 9 points ahead of the next one and only a few behind the 3-3 Browns and Seahawks. Though the Giants have their bye in Week 8, they may soon give us our first example of a team with a higher Elo rating than another with a superior record.

21st to 32nd

21. Bears 483 (-17)

22. Texans 480 (-16)

23. Rams 475 (+19)

24. Saints 472 (-14)

25. Redskins 459 (+17)

26. Vikings 454 (-15)

27. Falcons 452 (-13)

28. Titans 452 (-17)

29. Buccaneers 443

30. Jaguars 432 (+21)

31. Jets 431 (-12)

32. Raiders 417 (-11)

The Rams and Jaguars each shot up a bunch with their upsets, though they’re still near the bottom of the league. The Jags managed not only to lose their stranglehold on last place, they also passed the Jets, who lost their sixth straight game. The Redskins also “upset”, and passed, the Titans. The Raiders, though they lost just 11 points for their unsurprising defeat at the hands of the Cardinals, are now alone at the bottom as the only team yet to win. Fancy stuff like Elo doesn’t add much information when you lose literally every game.

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