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Photo by Jeff McIntosh/The Canadian Press/File

For the Conservatives, Fournier predicts they have an almost 100 per cent certainty of winning most seats in Alberta, with the exception of two seats in Edmonton and one seat in Calgary.

“If you look at most safe seats and the trend in those seats over the past few elections, it would take a huge tsunami or unforeseen event for that many voters to swing in a single term,” Fournier said.

This is Fournier’s first time polling a federal election but he closely observed Hillary Clinton’s stunning loss in the 2016 U.S. presidential elections, which the majority of forecasters got dead wrong. “I was pulling my hair out for the Democrats. I saw the red flags. You should campaign in places you think are safe, just to make sure those you vote for you, will actually show up to vote,” he pointed out.

But with just over three weeks to go before Canadians vote, Lynn-Lawson says any kind of political atmosphere in Foothills is simply not apparent. “It definitely feels the same here. There are a couple of Conservative flags, a couple of lawn signs, but I haven’t had a candidate knock on my door yet. Maybe it’ll happen closer to voting day.”

“If I vote, I’ll probably vote for the Green Party, since they are the only choice on the left,” she added.

In the first week of the election campaign, both the NDP and the Liberals had not yet fielded a candidate in Foothills. The NDP has since put up a candidate to run against the Conservative incumbent and candidates from the Green Party and Maxime Bernier’s People’s Party of Canada.