Rep. Jerrold Nadler (N.Y.), on Tuesday, won the first leg of the race to become the leading Democrat on the Judiciary Committee, marking an early victory for seniority in the contest to replace former Rep. John Conyers John James ConyersBiden's immigration plan has serious problems Tlaib wins Michigan Democratic primary Tlaib holds lead in early vote count against primary challenger MORE Jr. (Mich.) atop the powerful panel.

The Democrats’ Steering and Policy Committee voted 41-18 to recommend Nadler, over Rep. Zoe Lofgren Zoe Ellen LofgrenBusiness groups start gaming out a Biden administration Top Democrats call for DOJ watchdog to probe Barr over possible 2020 election influence DHS opens probe into allegations at Georgia ICE facility MORE (D-Calif.), to succeed Conyers, who was forced to resign from Congress earlier this month over a string of sexual harassment allegations.

“It turned out very nicely,” Nadler said, emerging from the meeting in the Capitol basement.

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The vote is just a procedural step, setting up a broader vote among the entire House Democratic Caucus, which will huddle Wednesday morning to decide the ultimate victor. To prompt the second vote of the full caucus, each candidate must win at least 14 votes before the Steering panel — a threshold Lofgren met.

Both Nadler, in his 13th term, and Lofgren, in her 12th, are seasoned veterans with strong liberal bona fides, and both are well respected across the various factions of the Democratic Caucus. Indeed, both candidates are quick to acknowledge there’s little daylight between them when it comes to policy.

Plenty of external political factors, though, are driving the contest.

Nadler is the longer-serving member of the Judiciary Committee — an influential distinction in a Democratic Caucus that’s historically put a premium on seniority. The 49-member Congressional Black Caucus (CBC), for instance, tends to favor the seniority system, which has rewarded its members’ longevity, and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi Nancy PelosiHoyer: House should vote on COVID-19 aid — with or without a bipartisan deal Ruth Bader Ginsburg lies in repose at Supreme Court McCarthy threatens motion to oust Pelosi if she moves forward with impeachment MORE (D-Calif.) has backed that arrangement with few exceptions.

Nadler is also known as the constitutional expert among House Democrats, and his pitch to colleagues in recent weeks has featured the argument that the ongoing investigations into the Trump White House could create a “constitutional crisis” that he’s particularly qualified to manage.

Tuesday’s lopsided vote in the Steering and Policy Committee — a panel over which Pelosi holds notable sway — is some indication that his message has been well accepted.

Still, the Steering and Policy vote is no sure prediction of how the larger caucus will lean. In the 2014 race for the ranking member spot on the Energy and Commerce Committee, Rep. Anna Eshoo Anna Georges EshooDemocratic chairman says White House blocked FDA commissioner from testifying Hillicon Valley: Zuckerberg acknowledges failure to take down Kenosha military group despite warnings | Election officials push back against concerns over mail-in voting, drop boxes Democrat asks intel agencies if they're surveilling members of Congress MORE (D-Calif.) won the support of the steering committee, only to lose the seat to Rep. Frank Pallone Jr. Frank Joseph PallonePharma execs say FDA will not lower standards for coronavirus vaccine Dem chairmen urge CMS to prevent nursing homes from seizing stimulus payments Federal watchdog finds cybersecurity vulnerabilities in FCC systems MORE (D-N.J.) when the full caucus weighed in.

Lofgren, an immigration expert, has won key backing from influential members of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, particularly Rep. Luis Gutiérrez (D-Ill.), who see immigration as their most pressing issue in the face of the tough-enforcement approach adopted by the Trump administration.

Lofgren is also making the case that the Judiciary Committee, which has never had a woman in either the chair or ranking member seat in 204 years, is due for a change. Diversity, she emphasizes, is among the factors the caucus is expected to weigh in picking committee leaders. And the ignominious exit of Conyers, she says, only lends additional weight to that argument.

The Democrats will meet at 9 a.m. Wednesday in the Capitol to pick their winner. Rep. Rosa DeLauro Rosa Luisa DeLauroOvernight Health Care: CDC pulls revised guidance on coronavirus | Government watchdog finds supply shortages are harming US response | As virus pummels US, Europe sees its own spike Trump HHS official faces firestorm after attacks on scientists Ahead of a coronavirus vaccine, Mexico's drug pricing to have far-reaching impacts on Americans MORE (D-Conn.), a co-chairwoman of the steering committee, cautioned against the notion that Nadler’s overwhelming win Tuesday guarantees him the victory.

“You never know in this institution,” she said. “We take ‘em one vote at a time.”