Four films are entering nationwide release this holiday weekend, though none will be able to top Sony’s Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, which is set to easily repeat in first.

The most prestigious of these newcomers is Steven Spielberg’s The Post, which has garnered plenty of awards season buzz and pulled in very strong numbers in the last few weeks of limited release. The $50M Fox drama has received very strong critical response, and should easily be able to top $20M for the four day weekend thanks to strong appeal to adult audiences.

Sony is opening their R rated action film Proud Mary into a somewhat modest 2,200 theaters. There were no press screenings, meaning reviews are still unavailable, which is typically not a good sign. Marketing and buzz have been surprisingly light in the weeks leading up to release, which brings into question whether or not Sony has much faith in the project. Luckily, the budget was a very low $14M, meaning this should have no problem turning a profit. A close comparison would be last summers Atomic Blonde, which only made it to $18M despite opening in 1,100 more theaters. A similar number would be very solid for Mary.

Lionsgate is opening yet-another-Liam-Neeson-action-thriller this weekend with The Commuter, a film which borrows the very familiar premise from Non-Stop and the Taken films. Historical numbers show Neeson is unable to bring in a crowd when working outside his typical wheelhouse (take a look at Run all Night or Silence), so bringing him back into the typical role may work well. The Commuter is also receiving a limited IMAX release, though the trailers didn’t do much to make it seem like something that needed to be seen on the biggest screen possible. Mid-teen numbers for the four day seem like best case scenario here.

Finally, Warner Brothers will release family sequel Paddington 2, which still carries a 100% on Rotten Tomatoes with a whopping 118 reviews. The original Paddington pulled in a strong $25M over its four day opening back in 2015, a number this sequel will most likely not be able to reproduce. Still, an opening near $20M seems likely given the lack of family friendly competition in recent weeks.

Fox Searchlight will be expanding Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri back into just over 1,000 theaters this weekend following a number of Golden Globe wins. The arthouse drama has racked up a solid $26M domestically so far, but will likely not do terribly strong business this weekend. Neon will double the theater count of I, Tonya as it nears nationwide release, while Phantom Thread hits 65 theaters before going nationwide next weekend.

For holdovers, Star Wars will likely see a sharp decline due to the number of new releases and the fact that it is losing over 1,000 theaters, while Insidious should see the typical 60%+ Blumhouse dropoff. Look for both to be in the low teens for the four day weekend.

Predictions (Four-day)

Jumanji – $32M The Post – $23M Paddington 2 – $19M The Commuter – $16M Proud Mary – $15M