Publié le 1 févr. 2017 à 12:55

Fillon’s Poll plunge. into whether his wife was paid for a job that allegedly did not exist (a “no-show” job), the presidential candidate François Fillon has lost support among likely voters, according to an exclusive survey published by Elabe for “Les Echos-Radio Classique.” The winner of the presidential nomination for the opposition party Les Républicains is only backed by 19% or 20% of likely voters for the first round of the presidential election – depending on whether François Bayrou runs. Fillon’s support has fallen 5 to 6 points in just four weeks.

If the presidential election was to take place this Sunday, Nicolas Sarkozy’s former Prime Minister would not make it to the second round. It is the first time that a survey has shown such a result and is all the more worrying for Fillon because the poll was conducted last Monday and Tuesday, just before the second release of compromising information by the journal “Canard Enchaîné.” At this point, “he is only able to draw 56% to 60% of Nicolas Sarkozy’s electors during the first round of the last presidential election; 18% to 20% of them are willing to vote for Emmanuel Macron and 14% of them for Marine Le Pen,” said Yves-Marie Cann, political science director of Elabe.

Emmanuel Macron is the beneficiary of Fillon’s difficulties. Though Macron’s poll numbers are still about 22-23%, for the first time, the founder of En Marche, is favored to make it to the second round of voting. Macron is still behind Marine Le Pen who has consolidated her position at the top of the polls by gaining 3 percentage points since the beginning of the year and now rests comfortably in first at 26-27% (if Bayrou runs). Today, the ex-Minister of the Economy would win 65% of the vote in the second round facing the president of the Front National.