Rajendra K. PachauriLater this month, the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is likely to release its fifth major report since 1992 on the state of the Earth’s environment and climate.

Why do I say likely?

Because there have been reports the IPCC is badly divided over what to say.

This is nothing new. Despite a steady drone by environmentalists and media that the science of climate change is “settled” and that there is an “overwhelming consensus” that human activity is causing dangerous climate change, the truth is more complex.

While most climate scientists do believe human action is having some impact on climate, there is far less than the 97% certainty trumpeted by the David Suzukis and Al Gores of the world. And there never has been.

If anything, the uncertainty is growing and that, according to leaked reports from inside the IPCC, is what is causing the delay in releasing the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5).

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