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Nigel Farage on target to win: Poll puts him NINE points ahead of Tory rival

Posted on by UKrepublican

NIGEL FARAGE'S hopes of becoming an MP have been given a massive boost with an opinion poll showing the Ukip leader has a commanding nine-point lead in South Thanet.

Research privately commissioned by the anti-Brussels party revealed he has opened up a significant gap ahead of Tory candidate Craig Mackinlay in race to win the Kent seat on May 7.

Figures also show that Mr Farage has met more voters over the past month than his Labour and Tory rivals put together.

Raising a pint of bitter to celebrate St Georges Day in the constituency today, Mr Farage said: There is a buzz and momentum about the Ukip campaign with two weeks to go.

He insisted the findings demolish claims that he has been barely visible in the constituency and is heading for defeat.

The poll of over 1,000 voters in South Thanet put Mr Farage on an expected vote share of 39 per cent at the general election.

The Tories were on 30 per net and Labour candidate Will Scobie was lagging behind on 26 per cent.

Polling firm Survation carried out the survey, which was funded by Ukip donor Alan Bown.

The findings contrast starkly with a ComRes poll last month that gave the Tories a one-point lead over Ukip in South Thanet.

It also showed that more than 18 per cent of voters in South Thanet have met Mr Farage over the past month.

The figure compared with 8 per cent who have met the Labour candidate and 7 per cent for the Tory candidate.

And nearly a third (31 per cent) of voters in South Thanet say they have had a knock on the door from Ukip activists over the past month compared with 13 per cent for the Tories and 15 per cent for Labour.

A Ukip source said: This shows up the lies from the other parties that Nigel is never in the constituency.

Our support has been really galvanised over recent weeks. We have had coachloads of members and supporters coming down to deliver leaflets and knock on doors."

Mr Farage marked St Georges Day by drinking with Army veterans at the Northwood Club in Ramsgate in the constituency.

He said: Were nicking a bit of vote from everybody. Weve clearly hurt Labour more than weve hurt anybody else.

The thing that really strikes me about these figures is the number of non-voters, the people who did not engage in 2010, who have said they are going to vote Ukip. I think that is really exciting.

Nearly a quarter of our voters didnt vote in 2010. Some have not voted in 20 years, some have never voted in their entire lives.

I get criticism every day - they say Nigels not here enough, is he? You know, I dont actually do everything in the full glare of cameras, there is something called hard work, knocking on doors and meeting people and Ive done loads of it.

The number of voters who say they have actually met me is more than the Labour and Conservative figures combined.

We have taken a big lead here.

And this whole narrative here - Ukip fading away, its not doing any good, it aint going to take any seats; actually we take the very opposite view.

He added: In the last 72 hours weve become very excited about how we are doing in some of our target seats.

I think we are the party in this campaign now with the optimism - which I think Mr Cameron appears to be lacking ever so slightly - and the energy and we are pretty bullish with two weeks ago.

Ive said all along we are confident but not complacent, but I now feel much more confident.

If you give me evens, Ill have ten grand with you!

The one dilemma for Ukip is the very large number of people who are not in the habit of voting. Making sure they actually turn up, thats our challenge for us in the next couple of weeks.

He also attacked the political class for sneering at St Georges Day and England flags.

After stepping behind the social club bar to pull himself a pint of John Smiths, the Ukip leader said: St Georges Day, we shouldnt be ashamed of that.

St Georges Day is something our political classes look down upon, they sneer at it.

I think we should be proud to be English. We should not be ashamed of the St Georges Flag, we should not be ashamed of St Georges Day, we should make it a national holiday.

He accused other parties of appeasing the terror of Scottish nationalists.

Weve just about had enough of that. We want a fair deal for the English.

Earlier, Ukip held a press conference in London to highlight its plan - revealed last month by the Daily Express - for a new Bank Holiday in England to mark St Georges Day - April 23 - with another in Wales for its March 1 St Davids Day, to mirror Scotlands and Irelands widely celebrate St Andrews and St Patricks Days.

Ukip culture spokesman Peter Whittle said St Georges Day would be an inclusive opportunity for people in England to celebrate their common values.

A country is not just its economy and its identity cannot just be read on a balance sheet. We believe in our hearts and our minds that this is a great country to be proud of and part of, said Mr Whittle.



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UKIP have a bit of momentum gaining in the last few days. The establishment have thrown everything at this guy and he's come through it all.



To: icwhatudo; Travis McGee; goodnesswins; Maine Mariner; FreedomPoster; OldNewYork; bunster; ...





Combative interview with Farage on newsnight (Youtube)





UKIP Ping list - ping for on/off.

To: UKrepublican

A rare bit of good news.



To: UKrepublican

There was a thread a week or so ago that indicated the liberal Labor party was leading in the polls. Is this report (hopefully) that UKIP is leading more accurate?



by 4 posted onby newfreep ("Evil succeeds when good men do nothting" - Edmund Burke)

To: UKrepublican

Hope he can be Prime Minister. He would give the Euroweinies fits.



by 5 posted onby ExCTCitizen (I'm ExCTCitizen and I approve this reply. If it does offend Libs, I'm NOT sorry...)

To: newfreep

Nationally it is close between The Conservative and the Labour Party. So no chance of UKIP winning the election, Labour and the Tories will get around 33% each, UKIP could be as high as about 15-18% which compared to 2010 where they only got 3.1% is remarkable. The poll refereed to in this article is for the seat Farage is standing in.



To: newfreep

Both could be true. This is just about the seat Farage is running for, not the overall Parliament.



To: UKrepublican

So is it possible the Tories might need UKIP to form a government? Isn’t that the way it work / might work?



To: FreedomPoster

Yes that’s absolutely right.



To: FreedomPoster

yes, a conservative UKIP coalition is the way it should work. But like our American uniparty, the one thing the tories and labor absolutely agree on is marginalizing any actual conservative opposition.



To: UKrepublican

Would his win be equivalent to a Republican Presidency?



To: UKrepublican

If you listen to the Daily Mail you would think that he was 90 points behind and broiled in all manner of scandals.



To: UKrepublican

It also showed that more than 18 per cent of voters in South Thanet have met Mr Farage over the past month. The figure compared with 8 per cent who have met the Labour candidate and 7 per cent for the Tory candidate. Sigh. I wonder how many Americans have ever met with their representative?



by 13 posted onby Carry_Okie (The fourth estate is the fifth column.)

To: Blennos

Isn’t he a Brit-Nationalist? I like him regardless...



To: UKrepublican

I look forward to his interview on Cavuto show after he wins I love the man



by 15 posted onby bert ((K.E.; N.P.; GOPc.;+12, 73, ..... Obama is public enemy #1)

To: Carry_Okie

Sigh. I wonder how many Americans have ever met with their representative? Congressional districts are simply too large, these days. Tripling the number of Representatives and districts may sound unpalatable at first, but it would marginalize the radical Leftists, greatly dilute the impact of gerrymandering, and make each Rep more accountable to his/her voting base.



To: UKrepublican

So no chance of UKIP winning the election, I don't know enough about UKIP's domestic policies to say it but from external appearances I would think it shouldn't be hard for a Tory to vote UKIP (with the exception of the few ardent globalists therewith). Is that correct?



by 17 posted onby Carry_Okie (The fourth estate is the fifth column.)

To: Mr. Jeeves

Congressional districts are simply too large, these days. Agreed, but the big problem is the 17th Amendment and Reynolds v. Sims, which forced State legislatures to apportion their Senates by population. Were my Senator selected by the legislature and my State Senator picked by my County supervisor, I could see my supervisor and gain real access to the Senate too. That's better representation than being one of 35 million Californians (or whatever it is these days).



by 18 posted onby Carry_Okie (The fourth estate is the fifth column.)

To: newfreep

No, UKIP is nowhere NEAR leading. A UKIP CANDIDATE is leading in a 75% conservative district. It’s like saying Republicans are ahead in a Presidential race because a single Republican candidate is leading in a district in Idaho.



To: VanDeKoik

It’s laughable. Have a look at the comments on each article about ukip and Farage, the top rated comments always have thousands of green arrows for positive comments about them.



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