As the 2020 Grammys approach, change is seemingly in the air. After being criticized as an old, out-of-touch boys club for years, the 2019 ceremony was actually almost well-rounded and entertaining. Plus, expanded nominee lists have brought slightly more diversity to top categories over the last two years. Relative newcomer Lizzo leads the pack this time with eight nods, followed by Gen Z weirdos Billie Eilish and Lil Nas X, with six nominations each. Women in general earned their biggest share of nominations within top categories in eight years—though, at just 21 percent, the Grammys clearly still have a lot of work to do.

Meanwhile, the Recording Academy itself seems to be in turmoil after its new president and CEO, Deborah Dugan, was ousted under contentious circumstances last week. Since then, Dugan has filed an explosive discrimination complaint, alleging sexual harassment, racial discrimination, and corruption; current and former Grammy officials have denied the claims.

With all the surrounding drama, this should be quite the ceremony. It airs at 8 p.m. ET Sunday on CBS. Until then, here are our predictions of who will win and who should win—two very different things in the allegedly compromised Grammy universe.

Album of the Year

Bon Iver - i,i

Lana Del Rey - Norman Fucking Rockwell!

Billie Eilish - When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?

H.E.R. - I Used to Know Her

Ariana Grande - thank u, next

Lil Nas X - 7

Lizzo - Cuz I Love You

Vampire Weekend - Father of the Bride

Will Win: When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?

Should Win: Norman Fucking Rockwell!

From movie franchises to streaming services, Billie Eilish has been the go-to choice this past year for gazillion-dollar brands hoping to stay relevant. It helps that her debut album, When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go?, warranted some genuine excitement by crashing through genre barriers with a sneer and a duh. As such, Eilish seems like a no-brainer pick for Grammy voters. This would make the 18-year-old the youngest Album of the Year winner ever, besting past record-holders like a 20-year-old Taylor Swift, a 21-year-old Alanis Morissette, and a 22-year-old Barbra Streisand.

As for who should win: Lana Del Rey’s Norman Fucking Rockwell! was our No. 1 album of 2019, and we’re standing by that. –Marc Hogan

Record of the Year

Bon Iver - “Hey, Ma”

Billie Eilish - “Bad Guy”

Ariana Grande - “7 rings”

H.E.R. - “Hard Place”

Khalid - “Talk”

Lil Nas X - “Old Town Road (Remix)” [ft. Billy Ray Cyrus]

Lizzo - “Truth Hurts”

Post Malone and Swae Lee - “Sunflower”

Will Win: “Old Town Road (Remix)”

Should Win: “Old Town Road (Remix)”