On Day 1, Conservatives Have Slight Lead On Liberals

Toronto, September 11th, – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 1001 Canadian voters, amongst those decided and leaning, a third (36.3%) say they would support the Conservatives, while a similar proportion (32.4%) say they would support the Liberals.

1 in 10 (11.6%) say they would support the Greens, while a similar proportion (8.6%) say they would support the NDP.

About 1 in 20 (4.1%) say they would support the BQ, while a similar proportion would support the PPC (4.9%). Few (2.1%) are supporting another party.

If these results were projected into seats, we expect a Conservative Minority with 168 seats to 138 Liberal.

The NDP would win 16, the BQ would win 11, and the Green would win 5. The PPC and other parties project to win none.

Environment and Economy continue to lead as top issues

% Feb 27 - 28, 2019 April 3 - 6, 2019 June 28 - 30, 2019 July 26- 28, 2019 September 11, 2019 Sample 1301 1634 1812 1733 1001 Environment 15 21 26 26 22.8 Economy 26 28 25 25 22.8 Healthcare 17 13 16 14 15 Taxes 12 12 8 8 10.5 Education 8 7 6 7 8.4 Immigration 10 5 8 8 7.7 Housing 4 5 5 5 3.9 Public Safety 3 3 2 2 3.2 Something else 6 6 5 5 5.7

Economy, Healthcare, and Taxes biggest second issues

The economy (16.6%), Healthcare (15.7%), and Taxes (14.4%).

The environment (11.6%) and no second issue (12.1%) follow behind.

Education (9.8%) and immigration (7.3%) are next.

Housing (5.5%), public safety (4.1%), and something else (2.8%) bring up the rear.

“On Day 1 we see the Conservatives resume their lead, but it's only slight,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “The environment and the economy continue to lead as issues foremost to Canadians right now. How the campaign shifts to match these issues, and how the parties address them, will be fascinating to watch."