By Michael “Tizz” Trainor

@elitetizz @EliteDynastyPod

Sometimes in my posts I’ll write a little prelude to set up what’s expected in the article and other times I’ll dive right in. Here’s a list of players, in no particular order, who I believe are going too high for their current ADP for a 12 team rookie draft according to Dynastynerds.com.

Kareem Hunt ADP – 1.10

A shifty runner with power. Great vision and instincts. Superior balance with an excellent spin move. Plus hands. These are all reasons why the fantasy community has fallen in love with Kareem Hunt. When talking about any running back these are all things you wish they have. These traits help make a great football player, but not necessarily a great fantasy player. This fits Hunt to a tee. What Hunt really lacks in his game is big play potential. At 4.62 speed and minimal burst, he’s not a home run threat. What he can do is grind out defenses. He may get fed touches, but he seems like a RBBC (Running Back by Committee) player. This means his touches will be scarce if he doesn’t have the hot hand. Pair Spencer Ware up with Hunt and a rotation of Charcandrick West time to time and I believe that this backfield will thrive as a committee, which is great for the Kansas City Chiefs, but bad for your fantasy team!

Samaje Perine ADP – 1.12

As much as I like Perine, the hype train needs to slow down a little bit. I understand he was a battering ram in college who broke tackles with ease, but now he’ll be facing guys like Fletcher Cox and Damon Harrison. He might break their arm tackles, but he’s not going to break away when they have him lined up one on one. Additionally, reports out of OTAs show that Rob Kelley aka “Fat Rob” is no longer fat, dropping his body fat percentage from 18% to 13%. Kelley is a favorite of Jay Gruden’s due to his plus effort and more importantly ball security. With all that being said, I do like Perine’s upside in the future though. He is a very intelligent player who has a great feel for the game with his above average vision and instincts. But for his rookie year, it seems like he’s looking at a RBBC situation with Kelley being the “starter,” Perine being the short yard/goal line specialist, and Chris Thompson being the passing down back.

Cooper Kupp ADP – 3.01

Sometimes haters are going to hate and I hate Kupp. People will get fooled by his production, as it was through the roof, but that’s because he was playing against lesser talent in the Big Sky Conference. Kupp was not explosive at the combine as he ran 4.62 40-yard dash, posted a 31 inch vert, and a 116 inch broad, all of which are in the lower end of the spectrum for wide receiver combine results. However, he did post a blazing fast 3-cone drill clocking in at 6.75 seconds. When scouting Kupp’s film, I endlessly found myself asking “Is this Chris Hogan’s college tape?” After scouting Kupp, I found he would best serve as a complimentary possession receiver out of the slot. He’s going to be one of those players who will be a better real life football player compared to a fantasy player. With all this being said I would try to avoid Kupp until the middle of the third round. The Rams receiver you’re looking to take a flier on this year is fellow rookie Josh Reynolds.

Jamaal Williams ADP – 2.07

Williams is a player I happen to like a decent amount. At 6’0″ 212, he has good size and a frame that can add weight if needed. He consistently finds his way back to the LOS (Line of Scrimmage) and always gives a plus effort. He also has a great forward lean, helping him pick up extra yards when tackled. Because of this, I’ve seen Williams ranked in the top 10 for rookie fantasy prospects. Personally I have him closer to 20 on my big board. His combine stats aren’t overly impressive and at 23 years old, he’s one of the oldest running backs in this years draft. There’s also the fact that I’m a believer in Ty Montgomery. With Lacy gone, a full year underneath his belt at the running back position and bulking up to 220lbs, Montgomery is primed for a breakout year as the former receiver will also be a threat out of the backfield. Ty’s a perfect fit for Mike McCarthy’s offense, whereas Williams is a good player but he seems destined for the James Starks role.

Adam Shaheen ADP – 3.06

HeThroughout the draft process Shaheen has been overvalued. A lot of people will see a big bodied tight end with a basketball background who dominated when he transitioned to the gridiron. I see a player who yes, was physically too big to be stopped but that’s because he’s a physical specimen playing against JV level talent. When athletics aren’t there, size wins. That’s why Shaheen is being way too overhyped. There is no way he should have been a second round draft pick because NFL players are some of the most elite athletes in the world. But that’s why God blessed us with Ryan Pace. The same guy who traded the third pick overall to move up one spot to second pick in the draft to snag a quarterback they could have gotten if they just stayed put at three. The way he left the 49ers roster in shambles, I try to avoid Bear’s players. Pace is one of the league’s worst GMs, especially when it comes to evaluating talent. He may think Shaheen’s size will create mismatches all over the field, but I believe the NFL is too athletic for Shaheen to make an immediate impact. He could become a lethal red zone threat at some point in his career, but don’t see him being anything more than that.