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1 GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (27-14, 65.9%): Winning 73 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 55-27 (28-13 rest of season)

Their current odds of winning the West are 1/3 and in simulations they win the conference 59.2% of the time. The odds of them winning the NBA Championship are 1/2 and they win it all in 44.4 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are down from 56% on January 6. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #3.

Sportsline uses these situations where a team's power ranking is not in line with what oddsmakers and the public think to find great values against the spread.

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2 BOSTON CELTICS (25-16, 61%): Winning 64 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 52-30 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 65.9% 27-14 record)

Their current odds of winning the East are 7/5 and in simulations they win the conference 24.1% of the time. The odds of them winning the NBA Championship are 6/1 and they win it all in 9.5 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are down from 18.5% on December 13. Their power ranking is up 3 spots since 11/23. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #4.

3 MILWAUKEE BUCKS (29-11, 72.5%): Winning 63 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 56-26 (Projected to win just 64.3% 27-15 rest of the season)

They have a 25.8 percent chance of reaching the Finals (Odds stand at 4/1). The odds of them winning the NBA Championship are 14/1 and they win it all in 10 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are up significantly since 12/14 where they were at 1%. Their power ranking is up 7 spots since 12/7.

4 TORONTO RAPTORS (31-12, 72.1%): Winning 63 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 57-25 (Projected to win just 66.7% 26-13 rest of the season)

They have a 21.3 percent chance of reaching the Finals (Odds stand at 3/2). They have a 9.5 percent chance of winning the championship (Odds 7/1). Their chances are down from 21.4% on December 21. They are not as good as their projected win-loss record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #1.

5 HOUSTON ROCKETS (23-17, 57.5%): Winning 62 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 50-32 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 64.3% 27-15 record)

Computer simulations give them a 13.6% chance of winning the West with Vegas odds at 6/1. They have a 6.9% chance of winning the championship with Vegas odds at 12/1. Their chances have dropped since 1/4 when they were at 15.3 percent. Their power ranking is up 3 spots since 11/12. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #7.

6 PHILADELPHIA 76ERS (27-15, 64.3%): Winning 61 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 52-30 (25-15 rest of season)

Computer simulations give them a 13.8% chance of winning the East with Vegas odds at 5/1. They have a 5.1% chance of winning the championship with Vegas odds at 16/1. Their chances are down from 8.3% on December 20. Their power ranking is down 3 spots since 11/12.

7 INDIANA PACERS (27-14, 65.9%): Winning 59 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 51-31 (Projected to win just 58.5% 24-17 rest of the season)

Their current odds of winning the East are 25/1 and in simulations they win the conference 12.2% of the time. They have a 4.1 percent chance of winning the championship (Odds 80/1). Their chances are down from 8.4% on January 7. Their power ranking is up 5 spots since 12/7.

8 LOS ANGELES LAKERS (23-19, 54.8%): Winning 59 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 45-37 (22-18 rest of season)

They have a 5.8 percent chance of reaching the Finals (Odds stand at 12/1). The odds of them winning the NBA Championship are 25/1 and they win it all in 2.1 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances have dropped since 12/14 when they were at 6.2 percent. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 28 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is down 4 spots since 12/14. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #12.

9 UTAH JAZZ (21-21, 50%): Winning 59 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 47-35 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 65% 26-14 record)

Computer simulations give them a 6.2% chance of winning the West with Vegas odds at 20/1. They have a 2.9 percent chance of winning the championship (Odds 40/1). Their chances are up significantly from 0.7% on 12/12. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 8 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 10 spots since 11/28.

10 OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER (25-16, 61%): Winning 58 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 48-34 (Projected to win just 56.1% 23-18 rest of the season)

Computer simulations give them a 6.1% chance of winning the West with Vegas odds at 7/1. They have a 2.5 percent chance of winning the championship (Odds 14/1). Their chances are up significantly from 0.4% on 12/15. Their power ranking is down 4 spots since 12/21.

11 SAN ANTONIO SPURS (25-18, 58.1%): Winning 56 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 47-35 (22-17 rest of season)

Their current odds of winning the West are 30/1 and in simulations they win the conference 3.7% of the time. They have a 1.4% chance of winning the championship with Vegas odds at 60/1. They were essentially looking at a 0% chance of winning the championship on 12/13. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 8 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 12 spots since 12/7.

12 NEW ORLEANS PELICANS (20-22, 47.6%): Winning 54 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 41-41 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 52.5% 21-19 record)

They have a 25% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances are down from 54% back on 12/14. If they do make the playoffs, they have a 5% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is up 7 spots since 12/24. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #17.

13 MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES (20-21, 48.8%): Winning 53 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 42-40 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 53.7% 22-19 record)

Their playoff chances currently stand at 28 percent. Their chances are down from 71% back on 12/12. They have a 2% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is up 6 spots since 11/12.

14 MIAMI HEAT (20-20, 50%): Winning 53 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 43-39 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 54.8% 23-19 record)

Their projected win total is down since 2/7 when it was at 39 wins. Their power ranking is up 11 spots since 11/23.

15 DENVER NUGGETS (28-12, 70%): Winning 52 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 49-33 (Projected to win just 50% 21-21 rest of the season)

Computer simulations give them a 3.2% chance of winning the West with Vegas odds at 25/1. They have a 0.8% chance of winning the championship with Vegas odds at 50/1. The simulation based percentages have held steady over the past 30 days. Their power ranking is down 6 spots since 11/30. They are not as good as their projected win-loss record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #8.

16 PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (25-17, 59.5%): Winning 50 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 45-37 (Projected to win just 50% 20-20 rest of the season)

They have a 67% chance of making the playoffs. This is a big jump from the 45% chance they had back on 12/14. They have a 10% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is down 11 spots since 11/12.

17 SACRAMENTO KINGS (21-21, 50%): Winning 48 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 39-43 (Projected to win just 45% 18-22 rest of the season)

They make the playoffs in 7% of simulations. Their chances are down from 31% back on 12/14. They have virtually no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 8 spots since 11/12.

18 WASHINGTON WIZARDS (17-25, 40.5%): Winning 47 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 41-41 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 60% 24-16 record)

They have an 89% chance of making the playoffs. This is a big jump from the 5% chance they had back on 12/15. They have virtually no chance of getting home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 8 spots since 11/30.

19 MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES (19-22, 46.3%): Winning 46 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 38-44 (19-22 rest of season)

On 2/7 their projected win total was up to 40 wins. While not great, they still have an outside shot at making the playoffs (3.7%). Their power ranking is up 7 spots since 11/12.

20 DALLAS MAVERICKS (19-22, 46.3%): Winning 45 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 36-46 (Projected to win just 41.5% 17-24 rest of the season)

On 2/6 their projected win total was up to 39 wins. Their power ranking is up 5 spots since 12/17.

21 LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS (24-17, 58.5%): Winning 44 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 41-41 (Projected to win just 41.5% 17-24 rest of the season)

Their playoff chances currently stand at 24 percent. Their chances are down from 62% back on 12/12. They have a 1% chance of getting home court advantage in the first round. Their power ranking is down 11 spots since 11/16. They are not as good as their projected win-loss record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #16.

22 DETROIT PISTONS (17-23, 42.5%): Winning 43 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 36-46 (19-23 rest of season)

Their playoff chances currently stand at 32 percent. Their chances are down from 68% back on 12/14. Their power ranking is down 11 spots since 11/21.

23 ORLANDO MAGIC (17-24, 41.5%): Winning 41 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 32-50 (Projected to win just 36.6% 15-26 rest of the season)

They make the playoffs in 7% of simulations. Their chances are down from 67% back on 12/19. Their power ranking is down 7 spots since 11/28.

24 BROOKLYN NETS (21-22, 48.8%): Winning 40 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 37-45 (Projected to win just 41% 16-23 rest of the season)

They have a 54% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances are down from 78% back on 12/28. Their power ranking is down 8 spots since 12/21.

25 CHARLOTTE HORNETS (19-21, 47.5%): Winning 40 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 35-47 (Projected to win just 38.1% 16-26 rest of the season)

They make the playoffs in 21% of simulations. Their chances are down from 82% back on 12/13. Their power ranking is down 12 spots since 11/12.

26 NEW YORK KNICKS (10-31, 24.4%): Winning 36 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 27-55 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 41.5% 17-24 record)

Their projection is up from 21 wins on January 3. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 11/12.

27 PHOENIX SUNS (10-33, 23.3%): Winning 35 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 22-60 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 30.8% 12-27 record)

Their projected win total is down since 1/17 when it was at 18 wins.

28 CHICAGO BULLS (10-31, 24.4%): Winning 34 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 23-59 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 31.7% 13-28 record)

Their projection is up from 18 wins on December 13.

29 ATLANTA HAWKS (12-29, 29.3%): Winning 32 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 25-57 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 31.7% 13-28 record)

Their projected win total is down since 1/20 when it was at 21 wins. Their power ranking is down 3 spots since 12/10.

30 CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (8-34, 19%): Winning 28 Percent of Neutral Court Simulations

Projected Win-Loss: 18-64 (Projected to increase win% rest of season to 25% 10-30 record)

Their projected win total is down from 23 wins on December 21. Their power ranking is down 3 spots since 12/17.