The first double gameweek of the season yielded 66 points for the Bookies’ Advantage squad, with our high hopes for captain Harry Kane ultimately misplaced as the England hitman returned a meagre 3 points. It was left to his teammates Heung-Min Son (12) and Jan Vertonghen (9), along with the in-form Raheem Sterling (9) and Brighton’s Glenn Murray (8) to salvage a respectable score. With domestic cup fixtures done and dusted, we return to Premier League action this weekend, so read on as we analyse the clean sheet and anytime goalscorer markets to help you with those all-important captaincy, transfer and squad selection decisions…

Defensive odds

Team Best clean sheet odds Implied chance of a clean sheet Tottenham 1.73 58% Man Utd 1.76 57% Chelsea 1.96 51% West Brom 2.15 47% Newcastle 2.3 43% Crystal Palace 2.3 43% Huddersfield 2.66 38% West Ham 2.88 35% Arsenal 2.88 35% Brighton 3.2 31% Watford 3.2 31% Southampton 3.75 27% Burnley 3.75 27% Swansea 4 25% Man City 4.35 23% Liverpool 5.8 17% Bournemouth 7.5 13% Everton 9.5 11% Leicester 11 9% Stoke 11.5 9%

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Tottenham top the bookies’ defensive rankings with a 58% chance of keeping a clean sheet when they host Everton. The Toffees, who suffered a 3-0 defeat in the reverse fixture back in September, have only scored twice in their last 5 games and are expected to be on the back foot at Wembley. We opt for Ben Davies as our Tottenham defender of choice, with the Welshman bringing plenty of attacking potential to the table, having scored twice and set up a further 4 goals this season.

Manchester United (57%) rank a close second ahead of their Old Trafford meeting with managerless Stoke. The Red Devils have registered 3 shutouts in a row in all competitions, whilst they have only conceded 5 times in 11 Premier League games in front of their own fans this term. With Ashley Young still suspended, Luke Shaw, who is in line to make a fourth successive start, provides the value route into Mourinho’s defence at £5.0m.

Chelsea (51%) and West Brom (47%) complete the top 4 defensive prospects for Gameweek 23. Having kept 5 clean sheets in their last 6 at Stamford Bridge, the Blues welcome Leicester to South West London this Saturday. West Brom, meanwhile, entertain Brighton, and have 2 shutouts from their last 4 at The Hawthorns, whilst, perhaps more significantly, the Seagulls have failed to score in their last 5 on the road. Starting for our squad, Andreas Christensen and Ben Foster provide good value and starting security respectively.

Ultra-budget £4.0m options look extremely sparse at present, both in goal and in defence, so our bench consists of Julian Speroni (£4.0m – 43%), with the Crystal Palace goalkeeping spot arguably still up for grabs, ahead of a home game against Burnley, whilst DeAndre Yedlin (£4.5m – 43%) welcomes rock-bottom Swansea to St James’ Park. Christopher Schindler (£4.5m – 38%) takes the final spot with West Ham visiting The John Smith’s Stadium on Saturday.

Attacking odds

Player Best anytime goalscorer odds Implied chance of scoring Harry Kane 1.57 64% Alvaro Morata 1.7 59% Romelu Lukaku 1.73 58% Alexandre Lacazette 2.05 49% Alexis Sanchez 2.1 48% Eden Hazard 2.16 46% Sergio Aguero 2.18 46% Marcus Rashford 2.23 45% Son Heung-Min 2.5 40% Pedro 2.5 40% Jesse Lingard 2.6 38% Mohamed Salah 2.63 38% Dele Alli 2.8 36% Henrikh Mkhitaryan 2.85 35% Raheem Sterling 2.88 35% Dwight Gayle 2.88 35% Paul Pogba 3 33% Manolo Gabbiadini 3.05 33% Roberto Firmino 3.1 32% Leroy Sane 3.3 30% Callum Wilson 3.3 30% Salomon Rondon 3.3 30% Christian Eriksen 3.4 29% Jay Rodriguez 3.4 29% Richarlison 3.4 29% Wilfried Zaha 3.5 29% Laurent Depoitre 3.5 29% Andre Gray 3.5 29% Alex Iwobi 3.55 28% Sadio Mane 3.6 28% Tammy Abraham 3.65 27% Andy Carroll 3.75 27% Chicharito 3.75 27% Chris Wood 3.75 27% Mesut Ozil 4 25% Jamie Vardy 4.1 24% Glenn Murray 4.2 24% Sam Vokes 4.2 24% Cesc Fabregas 4.2 24% Kevin de Bruyne 4.33 23% Marko Arnautovic 4.5 22% Matt Ritchie 4.5 22% Collin Quaner 4.75 21% Manuel Lanzini 4.8 21% Jordan Ayew 5.1 20% Dusan Tadic 5.1 20% Aaron Mooy 5.4 19% Wayne Rooney 5.5 18% Abdoulaye Doucoure 5.5 18% Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 5.75 17% Luka Milivojevic 6 17% Anthony Knockaert 6 17% Oumar Niasse 6 17% Riyad Mahrez 6.4 16% Dominic Calvert-Lewin 6.4 16% Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 6.5 15% Mame Biram Diouf 7 14% Pascal Gross 7.5 13% Xherdan Shaqiri 8.5 12% Tom Carroll 11 9%

Harry Kane, despite a hugely frustrating double gameweek blank, remains top dog in the bookies’ eyes, with the odds compilers convinced that the England talisman will get back on the scoresheet against Everton this weekend – they give him a 64% chance of finding the back of the net. Kane has still scored 8 times in his last 5 outings in all competitions, and also bagged a brace against the Toffees earlier this season, so he takes our captain’s armband this weekend.

Unlike Kane, Alvaro Morata (59%) is woefully short of form and confidence at the moment, but the bookies are backing him to get back on track at home to Leicester on Saturday. The reason may be that the Foxes have kept just a single clean sheet on their travels this season, whilst they also have a number of defensive injuries to deal with, offering Chelsea’s Spanish striker the perfect opportunity to rediscover his goalscoring touch.

Once again, we go with 2 up top in order to exploit the value currently being produced in midfield. An injury to Collin Quaner sees us plump for Jordan Ayew (20%) to occupy the first spot on our bench ahead of his trip to Newcastle.

A quartet of midfielders in red-hot form make our starting XI for Gameweek 23. Raheem Sterling (35%) and Mohamed Salah (38%) go head to head at Anfield, with the pair currently the top 2 scoring FPL assets this season, tallying 146 and 168 points respectively. The duo have also netted 14 and 17 Premier League goals this campaign, and with an attacking showcase expected on Sunday both could be primed to profit further.

Heung-Min Son (40%) forms part of a Tottenham attacking double-up for our side. The South Korean has plundered the points for his owners over the last 7 games, rewarding them with 4 goals and 4 assists, all of which have come at home. Jesse Lingard (38%), meanwhile, has bagged 8 times in his last 10 outings for Manchester United, who host a beleaguered Stoke on Monday night. The Potters are without a clean sheet in their last 13 attempts in all competitions, and lost 2-1 to League 2 outfit Coventry City in the FA Cup at the weekend.

That wretched form prompts us to double up on Jose Mourinho’s attack by also selecting Paul Pogba (33%). United’s record signing produced 2 assists in Gameweek 22 to take his numbers to 3 goals and 9 assists in just 12 Premier League starts this term.

The bookies also fancy the chances of Alexis Sanchez and Eden Hazard, but the pair prove too expensive for us to acquire this weekend, whilst Pedro and Henrikh Mkhitaryan are omitted due to a lack of starting security. Dele Alli misses out because we have already maxed out our allocation of 3 Tottenham assets.

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Good luck with your fantasy teams this weekend!

May the odds be with you🙏

Daniel Victory is a Fantasy football and anytime goalscorer betting enthusiast. Enjoys SSS – statistics, strategizing and spreadsheets. Follow his great tips on Twitter.