1. Parties officially submitted preferences are loaded

2. Estimations are made of parties' votes, using aggregated polls

3. The Scenario Engine runs 1000 Monte Carlo simulations based on each party's estimated votes.

4. Results are tabulated, election probabilities are calculated.





Whereas most Senate estimators utilise only a single point estimate, the power of Truth Seeker's model allows for more realistic modelling of parties' likely chances of election. Also, Truth Seeker models have been used to "fact check" various what-ifs regarding what could have been alternative inter-party preference deals.

Truth Seeker takes an innovative approach to modelling actual and hypothetical the outcome of Senate elections.