Transcript for FiveThirtyEight House forecast update for August 16, 2018

Yeah. We've launched our house forecast for the Tony eighteen mid term elections. Right now the model gives Democrats about a three in four chance of winning the majority semi 6%. Republicans have about a one in four chance of keeping control of the house. The four captions house battleground ask why. At least a 112 seats readiness at least some competitive I'm model meaning the model gives the grid in those districts less than a 95% chance of winning there's an 80% chance that the Democrats will gain anywhere from 1458. Seats. 20% of the time the model expects. The outcome to fall outside enemy edge. Here's a look at each race in every district country each taxing time represented on mr. if you take away the solid mr. One's a very likely democratic.

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