WCS Wars 2016 Preseason has begun!

Right now it's based on last year's format (WCS/GSL/SSL), with 25 placeholder tournaments, and the GSL Preliminaries. I'll be making changes as they're announced.The WCS Predictor 2015 thread is here http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/471444-wcs-predictor-2015 Here my review article of WCS 2015 http://wcs.battle.net/sc2/en/articles/the-biggest-surprises-of-wcs-2015 Here is the 2014 thread http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/436957-wcs-predictor-2014 And here is the 2013 thread http://www.teamliquid.net/forum/starcraft-2/429003-blizzcon-qualification-probabilities-simulation

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SSL S1 Qualifiers and GSL Preseason 1 Quarterfinals Complete!

Thursday, Dec 17 8:10pm GMT (GMT+00:00) (Sim #4936)



Friday, Dec 11 5:58am GMT (GMT+00:00)

32.49%

38.35%

70.83%

29.47%

23.68%

53.15%

28.21%

26.29%

54.5%

23.52%

41.67%

65.18%

21.08%

25.54%

46.63%

18.09%

49.5%

67.59%

15.04%

60.86%

75.9%

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12.2% , going from 6.45% to 18.65%

11.86% , going from 7.25% to 19.11%

11.14% , going from 71.68% to 82.82%

10.03% , going from 52.02% to 62.05%

9.69% , going from 5.99% to 15.68%

8.81% , going from 1.01% to 9.82%

8.56% , going from 12.34% to 20.9%

7.04% , going from 4.64% to 11.69%

7.03% , going from 77.67% to 84.7%

0.58% , going from 4.59% to 5.17%

0.56% , going from 2.87% to 3.43%

0.43% , going from 0.21% to 0.64%

0.25% , going from 0.44% to 0.69%

0.23% , going from 0.06% to 0.29%

0.21% , going from 0.27% to 0.48%

0.16% , going from 0.19% to 0.34%

0.13% , going from 4.56% to 4.69%

0.13% , going from 0.76% to 0.88%

0.12% , going from 2.26% to 2.38%

0.11% , going from 2.83% to 2.95%

0.1% , going from 0.68% to 0.78%

0.1% , going from 0.47% to 0.57%

Hurricane went up by, going fromto MyuNgSiK went up by, going fromto INnoVation went up by, going fromto soO went up by, going fromto Patience went up by, going fromto RagnaroK went up by, going fromto aLive went up by, going fromto Trust went up by, going fromto ByuN went up by, going fromto neeb went up by, going fromto Serral went up by, going fromto Forte went up by, going fromto Namshar went up by, going fromto Seither went up by, going fromto Lambo went up by, going fromto Bunny went up by, going fromto Snute went up by, going fromto Boombox went up by, going fromto uThermal went up by, going fromto Bunny went up by, going fromto MC went up by, going fromto HuK went up by, going fromto

20.1%

46.38%

26.28%

15.64%

20.2%

4.56%

10.82%

66.39%

55.57%

10.47%

32.23%

21.77%

10.13%

38.51%

28.38%

9.93%

19.3%

9.38%

9.89%

44.67%

34.78%

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9.72% , going from 31.46% to 21.74%

9.25% , going from 23.17% to 13.92%

8.72% , going from 34.63% to 25.91%

8.58% , going from 27.95% to 19.38%

8.29% , going from 27.07% to 18.78%

7.79% , going from 25.72% to 17.93%

7.63% , going from 30.2% to 22.57%

7.6% , going from 27.04% to 19.44%

7.46% , going from 23.5% to 16.04%

5.64% , going from 36.18% to 30.54%

5.28% , going from 18.55% to 13.27%

4.86% , going from 13.85% to 8.99%

4.84% , going from 22.48% to 17.64%

4.63% , going from 43.86% to 39.23%

4.59% , going from 7.56% to 2.97%

4.1% , going from 8.46% to 4.36%

3.95% , going from 12.04% to 8.08%

3.64% , going from 5.91% to 2.27%

3.23% , going from 10.61% to 7.38%

3.21% , going from 16.28% to 13.08%

3.17% , going from 8.68% to 5.51%

2.19% , going from 4.59% to 2.4%

2.09% , going from 7.7% to 5.61%

2.06% , going from 6.05% to 3.99%

2.06% , going from 7.62% to 5.56%

1.87% , going from 5.43% to 3.56%

1.7% , going from 4.39% to 2.69%

1.68% , going from 4.51% to 2.83%

1.58% , going from 3.58% to 1.99%

1.56% , going from 7.63% to 6.06%

1.53% , going from 9.05% to 7.53%

1.34% , going from 7.75% to 6.41%

1.33% , going from 2.67% to 1.34%

1.24% , going from 5.42% to 4.18%

1.2% , going from 18.17% to 16.97%

1.18% , going from 3.18% to 2.01%

1.16% , going from 3.1% to 1.94%

1.14% , going from 4.07% to 2.93%

0.81% , going from 10.01% to 9.2%

0.8% , going from 1.68% to 0.89%

0.77% , going from 7.38% to 6.61%

0.77% , going from 1.74% to 0.97%

0.75% , going from 2.66% to 1.91%

Trap went down by, going fromto Bbyong went down by, going fromto Hydra went down by, going fromto Dear went down by, going fromto FanTaSy went down by, going fromto Curious went down by, going fromto Rogue went down by, going fromto ForGG went down by, going fromto Reality went down by, going fromto Zest went down by, going fromto HyuN went down by, going fromto GuMiho went down by, going fromto Polt went down by, going fromto Life went down by, going fromto Cure went down by, going fromto Impact went down by, going fromto Flash went down by, going fromto Super went down by, going fromto Sacsri went down by, going fromto Jaedong went down by, going fromto TaeJa went down by, going fromto DeParture went down by, going fromto DongRaeGu went down by, going fromto San went down by, going fromto viOLet went down by, going fromto First went down by, going fromto Ryung went down by, going fromto MMA went down by, going fromto Journey went down by, going fromto Bomber went down by, going fromto Nerchio went down by, going fromto StarDust went down by, going fromto Seed went down by, going fromto Losira went down by, going fromto TRUE went down by, going fromto Terminator went down by, going fromto Sora went down by, going fromto Apocalypse went down by, going fromto MarineLorD went down by, going fromto Arthur went down by, going fromto ShoWTimE went down by, going fromto HerO went down by, going fromto Creator went down by, going fromto

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ByuN is at 84.7% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 4775

INnoVation is at 82.82% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 4550

Solar is at 75.9% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 4050

herO is at 70.83% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 3700

Classic is at 67.59% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 3550

Dark is at 65.18% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 3425

soO is at 62.05% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 3300

sOs is at 55.57% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 3025

ByuL is at 54.5% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 2975

Stats is at 53.15% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 2925

Soulkey is at 46.63% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 2700

Life is at 39.23% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 2425

Rain is at 34.78% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 2275

Zest is at 30.54% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 2125

PartinG is at 28.38% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 2050

Maru is at 26.28% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 2000

Hydra is at 25.91% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1750

Rogue is at 22.57% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1850

TY is at 21.77% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1850

Trap is at 21.74% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1825

aLive is at 20.9% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 1850

ForGG is at 19.44% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1775

Dear is at 19.38% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1750

MyuNgSiK is at 19.11% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 1800

FanTaSy is at 18.78% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1750

Hurricane is at 18.65% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 1775

Curious is at 17.93% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1700

Polt is at 17.64% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1375

TRUE is at 16.97% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1675

Reality is at 16.04% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1650

Patience is at 15.68% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 1675

Bbyong is at 13.92% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1550

HyuN is at 13.27% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1525

Jaedong is at 13.08% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1200

Trust is at 11.69% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 1550

RagnaroK is at 9.82% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 300, Median Points: 1475

Leenock is at 9.38% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1375

MarineLorD is at 9.2% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 625

GuMiho is at 8.99% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1350

Flash is at 8.08% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1325

Nerchio is at 7.53% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 550

Sacsri is at 7.38% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1275

ShoWTimE is at 6.61% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 500

StarDust is at 6.41% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 875

Bomber is at 6.06% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1225

DongRaeGu is at 5.61% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1175

viOLet is at 5.56% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 850

TaeJa is at 5.51% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 1175

neeb is at 5.17% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 425

Snute is at 4.69% , 0% AFK Chances, Min WCS Points: 0, Median Points: 425

Full Player List



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Chances of 1+ foreigners from 87.2% down to 86.34%

Chances of 2+ foreigners from 46.7% down to 44.28%



Top Foreigner Hopes

MarineLorD 3.05% chance to be the only foreigner, 9.2% chance overall.

Nerchio 2.39% chance to be the only foreigner, 7.53% chance overall.

ShoWTimE 2.08% chance to be the only foreigner, 6.61% chance overall.

neeb 1.52% chance to be the only foreigner, 5.17% chance overall.

Snute 1.44% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.69% chance overall.

NaNiwa 1.37% chance to be the only foreigner, 4.54% chance overall.

Petraeus 1.16% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.9% chance overall.

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HeRoMaRinE 1.14% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.7% chance overall.

MajOr 1.07% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.68% chance overall.

Serral 1.03% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.43% chance overall.

Happy 1.02% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.34% chance overall.

Lilbow 0.99% chance to be the only foreigner, 3.29% chance overall.

Bunny 0.9% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.95% chance overall.

Kelazhur 0.79% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.7% chance overall.

Beastyqt 0.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.54% chance overall.

Bly 0.75% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.52% chance overall.

PtitDrogo 0.71% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.34% chance overall.

puCK 0.7% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.52% chance overall.

uThermal 0.7% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.38% chance overall.

iAsonu 0.7% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.47% chance overall.

Scarlett 0.69% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.44% chance overall.

Zanster 0.67% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.25% chance overall.

FireCake 0.6% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.04% chance overall.

Sen 0.6% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.09% chance overall.

MaSa 0.59% chance to be the only foreigner, 2.08% chance overall.

Rail 0.57% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.93% chance overall.

MaNa 0.51% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.7% chance overall.

PiLiPiLi 0.49% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.67% chance overall.

qxc 0.46% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.65% chance overall.

Pigeon 0.41% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.63% chance overall.

Bails 0.35% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.64% chance overall.

TargA 0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.52% chance overall.

GunGFuBanDa 0.29% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.54% chance overall.

TooDming 0.06% chance to be the only foreigner, 1.55% chance overall.

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Chances of 1+ foreigners fromdown toChances of 2+ foreigners fromdown tochance to be the only foreigner,chance overall.chance to be the only foreigner,chance overall.chance to be the only foreigner,chance overall.chance to be the only foreigner,chance overall.chance to be the only foreigner,chance overall.chance to be the only foreigner,chance overall.chance to be the only foreigner,chance overall.

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1.09% of the time 2425 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

10.16% of the time 2600 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

27.66% of the time 2725 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

52.32% of the time 2850 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

71.49% of the time 2950 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

90.02% of the time 3100 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon

98.96% of the time 3325 points is enough to qualify for Blizzcon



Biggest Winners and Losers since(Sim ID #4887 vs Sim ID #4936) herO went up by, going fromto Stats went up by, going fromto ByuL went up by, going fromto Dark went up by, going fromto Soulkey went up by, going fromto Classic went up by, going fromto Solar went up by, going fromto Maru went down by, going fromto Dream went down by, going fromto sOs went down by, going fromto TY went down by, going fromto PartinG went down by, going fromto Leenock went down by, going fromto Rain went down by, going fromtoOver these past 7 days, Zerg and Protoss have gone up while Terran has dropped hard.Zerg went from 5.18 estimated Blizzcon representatives up to 5.59.Terran went from 5.04 down to 4.17.Protoss went from 4.77 up to 5.24.

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