This is the bi-weekly visible open thread. There are hidden threads every few days here. Post about anything you want, ask random questions, whatever. Also:

1. Arbital has made an interactive page with my 2017 predictions where you can add your own guesses and automatically get graded and compared to everyone else at the end of the year. Try it!

2. A while ago, I tried to predict various aspects of the Trump administration and made bets with a couple of readers. Trump has now mostly finished picking his cabinet, and depending on how you count it’s 13%-14% minority. I made my 90% bet (it would be at least 10% minority) but failed my 70% bet (at least 20%) and my 30% bet (at least 30%). I think I might owe money to someone, but I can’t remember who. Send me an email about it and I’ll pay up.

3. Speaking of Trump, I agree with Aceso Under Glass’ thoughts on his latest actions, and if you feel like donating to the ACLU now might be a good time.

4. Comment of the week is Vidur Kapur on studies of saturated fat and the Mediterranean Diet.