TRAYVEON WILLIAMS -- RB, TEXAS A&M

Todd Kirkland, Associated Press

Physical Measurables & Athletic Profile

Trayveon Williams did well for himself to measure in at the Combine at just over 5'8 and 206 pounds -- he'll never be a big back, but getting over that 3.00 pounds per inch threshold is important for his potential workload in the NFL. Of the 90 players in our database with at least one RB2-quality or better season on their resume, only 21 of them have been sub-210 pound backs with less than 3.00 pounds per inch on their frames. Williams is relatively light, but his dense, compact frame makes him more comparable to a Ray Rice or a Devonta Freeman than he is to a Bilal Powell.



Williams is an energetic runner on tape and I expected him to test as one of the better athletes in this year's RB class. That wasn't the case. His 4.51 40-time was fine, but his performance in the jumping drills resulted in a 38th-percentile Burst Score, and while I never thought Williams was an incredible stop-start cutter like Devin Singletary (I saw him as more of an open field weaver than a one-on-one juker), the Agility Score he posted is truly abysmal -- it's the 8th-worst mark in our entire database. Williams' Combine means his list of closest Athletic comps is made up of replacement-level backs and guys who weigh nearly 30 pounds more than he does.

Production Profile





Tool from @theDude_Z with data courtesy of @pahowdy Williams' early breakout and sustained success are especially impressive considering the quality of competition he faced in the SEC (Darrell Henderson and Devin Singletary were similarly dominant in the AAC and Conference USA, respectively). He enters the NFL Draft tied for the 3rd-highest final season Dominator Rating of all 2019 RBs, boasting a 34.5% mark that is in the 74th-percentile of RBs drafted since 2007.



Despite a final season Satellite Score in just the 35th-percentile, Trayveon Williams has a decent overall receiving profile, which, as a smaller back, is especially important for his potential role in the NFL. He posted at least 19 receptions in every year of his college career, had his target share increase each season, and ended his underclassmen campaigns with Satellite Scores in the 67th and 79th percentiles. It would have been nice to see Williams' target share increase proportionally to the increase in his overall offensive role during his junior year; his Dominator Rating almost doubled from 2017 to 2018, while his coaches chose to only marginally increase his involvement in the passing game. Players with Satellite Scores in the 25.0-28.0 range have targets make up an average of 19.1% of their total opportunities, less than the overall average of 23.2%, so that 25.8 figure Williams posted during his junior year in 2018 is not ideal. A broad look at his overall profile gives a more favorable indication of his receiving ability however, as his upper-percentile Satellite Score outputs during his freshman and sophomores campaigns coupled with his steady increase in year-to-year passing game involvement bode well for his prospects as a receiving threat in the NFL. He doesn't have elite receiving chops on the level of guys in this class like James Williams or Patrick Laird, but he has a chance to become good in enough in that area to function as a team's primary satellite back. The concern in this draft class, with guys like Williams and Laird and Memphis' Tony Pollard and Miami's Travis Homer, is that a team might not have a reason to draft Williams to be their third-down back when there are players available better suited to that role.



note: target data from 2016 is not available (as far as I know -- I'd love to see it if it is), so target share is estimated using 2016 reception total and 2017-18 catch rates Rushing Efficiency Trayveon Williams was one of the most efficient runners among class of 2019 RBs. He's the only player in the class who played in a Power Five conference and produced above the 80th-percentile in True YPC (discounting long runs to a maximum of 10 yards), Chunk Rate Over Team (measuring a player's rate of 10+ yard runs against the rest of his team's rate), and Breakaway Rate Over Team (using 20+ yard runs), showing that he's capable of being a homerun threat while also still able to pick up consistent yardage when he's not getting into the second level. Like most of the other small backs in the class, he did have an above-average rate of carries that lost yardage.

Trayveon Williams has one of the more impressive age-adjusted production profiles in this year's RB class, having met rushing yards market share thresholds for success every year of his college career (based on RBs with at least one top-24 PPR season):Williams' early breakout and sustained success are especially impressive considering the quality of competition he faced in the SEC (Darrell Henderson and Devin Singletary were similarly dominant in the AAC and Conference USA, respectively). He enters the NFL Draft tied for the 3rd-highest final season Dominator Rating of all 2019 RBs, boasting a 34.5% mark that is in the 74th-percentile of RBs drafted since 2007.Despite a final season Satellite Score in just the 35th-percentile, Trayveon Williams has a decent overall receiving profile, which, as a smaller back, is especially important for his potential role in the NFL. He posted at least 19 receptions in every year of his college career, had his target share increase each season, and ended his underclassmen campaigns with Satellite Scores in the 67th and 79th percentiles. It would have been nice to see Williams' target share increase proportionally to the increase in his overall offensive role during his junior year; his Dominator Rating almost doubled from 2017 to 2018, while his coaches chose to only marginally increase his involvement in the passing game. Players with Satellite Scores in the 25.0-28.0 range have targets make up an average of 19.1% of their total opportunities, less than the overall average of 23.2%, so that 25.8 figure Williams posted during his junior year in 2018 is not ideal. A broad look at his overall profile gives a more favorable indication of his receiving ability however, as his upper-percentile Satellite Score outputs during his freshman and sophomores campaigns coupled with his steady increase in year-to-year passing game involvement bode well for his prospects as a receiving threat in the NFL. He doesn't have elite receiving chops on the level of guys in this class like James Williams or Patrick Laird, but he has a chance to become good in enough in that area to function as a team's primary satellite back. The concern in this draft class, with guys like Williams and Laird and Memphis' Tony Pollard and Miami's Travis Homer, is that a team might not have a reason to draft Williams to be their third-down back when there are players available better suited to that role.