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A team of experts in Japan Wednesday warned that more than 400,000 people would die from COVID-19 in Japan if no measures are taken to contain infections.

The team of experts was set up by Japan’s health ministry to help stop the spread of the virus. They reported their estimate on Wednesday.

According to them, the number of seriously ill patients would peak about 60 days after the infection starts to expand, if no social distancing measures are taken.

At the peak, 200,000 people aged 15 to 64, and 650,000 people aged 65 or older would be in serious condition. In total, 850,000 patients would need ventilators.

The team says half of them would likely die because of a shortage of ventilators, based on a study from China that showed a similar fatality rate.

Following the report, Japan has urged its citizens to stay home as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is now under pressure to hand out more cash.

Japan, which tests only people with symptoms of the coronavirus, has so far recorded more than 8,000 infections as of April 15, including passenger who caught the virus on a cruise ship, with nearly 150 deaths.