There are three episodes left of The 100 season 2. Will we lose any more main characters this year? We give odds on the survival of Lincoln, Abby, Bellamy, Jasper and more!

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As we prepare ourselves for the back-three episodes of The 100 season 2, we try to calm ourselves down: no one died in The 100‘s season 1 finale (besides a ton of extras, of course).

So if we’re looking for a pattern, it’s this: Rothenberg’s team get the big deaths out of the way in the first half of the year, so our characters won’t be too distracted by grief when they have to fight the Big Bad.

But it’s not exactly a pattern yet when it’s only happened once! So even though we’ve already lost Finn and Anya this year, chances are that at least one more of our beloved regular (or recurring – we’re looking at you Lexa) characters will be departing before the season’s end.

So who will it be? We’ve broken down a list of the most likely suspects – do you agree with our verdicts? Vote in the poll and tell us in the comments who you think are most likely to die in the last three episodes of The 100 season 2.

Lexa (Alycia Debnam Carey)

Let’s get the big one out of the way first: Lexa is probably going to die. Not only is Alycia Debnam Carey set to star in The Walking Dead spin-off (and yes, they could just write that Lexa goes on holiday… but we somehow find that scenario unlikely), but Lexa’s death wouldn’t just be for shock value – it’d be be very significant for the rest of the characters.

Clarke, obviously, would mourn the death of her friend and ally. The fragile peace between the Grounders and the Sky People would be in jeopardy. And the Grounders would begin the search for their next Commander (I’ve already laid out why this might be Octavia).

Heading into season 3, Lexa’s death would throw all the cards up in the air yet again as we waited to see how the Grounders would react to the loss of their peace-seeking leader.

Odds of survival: poor .

Thelonious Jaha (Isaiah Washington)

It’s really a shame that this character has taken such a strange turn, because Jaha was so great on the Ark. Many fans probably wish he’d gotten his heroic exit in the season 1 finale, rather than embarking on his crazy Jesus quest.

Then again, the City of Light might actually turn out to be a real place, which we’ll need to return to in season 3. If so, the show can’t kill off Jaha, because then the only semi-main character left to spearhead that thread of story is Murphy. We love Murphy, but he needs someone who isn’t a glorified extra to feed off of.

But we’re still kind of hoping that the City of Light is some kind of fairytale, a dead place which glitters prettily, but in no way resembles the heavenly refuge which Jaha has somehow convinced himself exists. And if that’s the case, Jaha’s story is DONE, and someone really should your-fight-is-over him.

Odds of survival: could go either way .

Raven Reyes (Lindsey Morgan)

We hate to say this, but Raven really hasn’t had anything to do this year. She’s the girl everyone comes to for tech advice, and she’s served as a springboard for Abby and Murphy’s character arcs. She hasn’t had a storyline of her own since Abby removed the bullet from her spine.

If The 100 was a normal show, we’d say the odds was stacked against Raven: her closest link to the main action was severed when Finn died, and her potential love interest is a (albeit enigmatic) guest star. She can’t really walk, which means she’s off the guest list for Clarke’s adventure parties.

However, Raven is a fantastic character, despite the fact that she’s been criminally underused this year. She shines in every scene, and lucky for Raven fans, the writers don’t tend to kill off characters just because they can’t think of an immediate way to make them useful (perhaps with the exception of Wells). They probably want to keep her around just because she’s so awesome.

Of course the fact that she’s not heading off to war also means that, like Abby, she’s not in any immediate danger. But a lot can change in three episodes.

Odds of survival: pretty good .

Jasper and/or Monty (Devon Bostick and Chris Larkin)

Jasper took a dark turn this week, as he finally found his courage and violently fought back against the Grounders. He’s reached his breaking point, and while his situation is obviously different from Finn’s, the similarities are striking.

Jasper is the ringleader of the delinquents. He’s likely the Mountain Men’s number one target. His death – either as a sacrifice or a tragic misstep – would greatly impact both Monty and his friends, and Clarke who has been working so hard to save him. Even if she managed to rescue every single one of the delinquents inside Mount Weather (how many are left now? 43-ish?), Jasper’s death would still make her feel like she’d failed. Dark!Clarke would need an even bigger hood as we moved into season 3.

Monty is obviously also an option, and a safer one, since he’s slightly less central to the plot than Jasper. Killing either one and leaving the other alive would be tragic, like J.K. Rowling only killing one of the Weasley twins… and we wouldn’t put it past the writers to do it.

Or maybe they’ll both die, a joint sacrifice to save their friends. Leaving Earth the same way they arrived: together.

Odds of survival: poor .

Lincoln (Ricky Whittle)

There are several reasons the show might be killing off Lincoln this year: first, his relationship with Octavia. We’d be devastated if Linctavia came to a tragic end, but let’s face it, the characters have spent a total of ten minutes together this season. Octavia’s on a whole new path now, and while Lincoln is still very important to her, he might also be a distraction that (from a story standpoint) should be eliminated before she can reach her full potential as Super Grounder Warrior Princess.

Second, atonement. Let’s not forget that our heroic Romeo character failed, effectively losing his hero card when he gave into his cravings and got Bellamy captured. If not for Maya, Bellamy would be dead right now, and it would be Lincoln’s fault. The characters and viewers may be quick to forgive him, but we’re sure Lincoln hasn’t forgiven himself – he was willing to lie down and give up until Octavia knocked some sense into him, and even after that he was more than ready to sacrifice himself in order for Clarke to kill the sniper.

Lincoln might look like the tall and proud Grounder warrior marching into battle with Octavia now, but it still feels like a redemption storyline is brewing. From a character arc standpoint, he still has to do something big and heroic to balance out the betrayal of Bellamy.

Two important things speak to his survival, however: the popularity of Linctavia, and the fact that Ricky Whittle seems like a cool guy the writers probably want to keep around. Decisions aren’t always made based on story alone.

Odds of survival: could go either way .

Abby Griffin (Paige Turco)

Abby is one of the most controversial characters in the series, with fans either hating her or vehemently defending her actions.

Lately she’s received even more backlash than usual, because of the way she’s been treating Clarke. She won’t win any Mother of the Year awards (actually she might, seeing as she’s the only mother on the show), but as many fans have pointed out, Abby’s reaction doesn’t make her a bad person.

Like her daughter, Abby has a very strong moral compass, and has fought against Kane, Jaha and now Clarke’s leadership styles since the beginning. With Finn gone, Abby is the only one left who isn’t willing to adopt the “needs of the many” mentality. If our heroes make it through the impending war, they’ll need a compassionate leader like Abby to guide them forward.

But her words to Clarke before they parted, “May we meet again,” were ominous. Her saying this out loud implies that they won’t, and since we’re putting Clarke’s odds of dying at about 5%, this leaves Abby at much greater risk. Because with Kane still alive to lead the Sky People, Abby is, arguably, expendable.

In terms of Clarke’s mental health, Abby’s death would be the final straw – and the writers just might want to see what happens when they bring their heroine over that edge. (Of course they might also decide to keep Abby alive for the simple reason that Clarke wouldn’t be able to handle it.)

However, one strong argument for keeping Abby around is that she’s one of the only remaining faces of the Sky People. If the Ark survivors making it to the ground has to keep being relevant to the show, they need to keep both Abby and Kane alive, to avoid suddenly being stuck with a group of nameless extras who nobody knows what to do with.

Odds of survival: could go either way .

Bellamy Blake (Bob Morley)

Hahahahaha we’re just kidding. The writers would never do that to us. Or would they?

Unless Bob Morley’s contract is up or something, killing Bellamy would be a murder-suicide for the series. I honestly believe that people would stop watching (even though whenever fans threaten to do that, they’re usually just being dramatic). So from a marketing standpoint, there’s no way Bellamy is dying.

From a story standpoint, however, Bellamy is undeniably the character in the most danger right now. He’s inside Mount Weather, he’s pretending to be Lovejoy (whom everyone seems to know, and it’s only a matter of time before Lovejoy Jr. starts missing his daddy), and last week the only reason he wasn’t caught was because he turned a corner two seconds before Cage appeared in the hallway.

But come on. The stakes are always highest for the lead characters. They usually pull through anyway.

Odds of survival: pretty good .

Is anyone safe?

Short answer: no. But if we were going to put our money anywhere (not that we would ever do that. Gambling is bad. Stay in school, kids), it’d be on Clarke and Octavia. Clarke is the main character of the show, and although we’re sure the writers are itching to do something super radical, she’s also the emotional center. The 100 simply could not survive without her.

Octavia’s development is hugely significant to the future of the Grounder/Sky People relationship. Whether or not she ends up being the Commander, she’s proven herself a strong leader, and both sets of people will need her (unintentional) diplomacy. If she died, it’d only because something insane happened like Mount Weather blowing up America, and we’d have no way of seeing that coming anyway.

Kane would actually have been one of the most likely deaths, if he hadn’t just survived something that very easily could have resulted in his (very emotional, heart-wrenching) demise. It seems unlikely that the show would let him live through the Tondc explosion, only to then kill him off three episodes later.

Finally, we’re going to go out on a limb and give Murphy a 0% death rate, because it feels like his story is only just beginning.

Now it’s your turn! Vote in the poll (because it’s a bloody show you can choose multiple options – please select only the ones you actually think will die, or vote “No major characters will die”), and tell us in the comments which characters – if any – will die in the last three episodes of The 100 season 2!

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