Conservative leader Andrew Scheer makes an announcement during a campaign stop at the Abilities Centre in Whitby, Ont., Monday, September 30, 2019. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Jonathan Hayward

Andrew Scheer’s Conservatives have surged to a nearly three point lead in Mainstreet Research’s latest daily tracking poll results, breaking a virtual deadlock with the Liberals that has lasted for most of the past week.

According to the results, which cover polling conducted between Sept. 28-30, 36.1 per cent of leaning and decided respondents said they would vote for the Conservatives if a federal election were today, compared to 33.3 per cent for the Liberals, 11.6 per cent for the NDP, 10 per cent for the Greens, 5.3 cent for the Bloc Québécois and 2.9 cent for the People’s Party.

READ MORE: Liberals, Conservatives remain in extremely close race: Mainstreet poll

That 2.8 percentage point lead is the first advantage recorded by the tracking poll that is higher than the survey’s margin of error (MOE) in weeks. For Tuesday’s results, the MOE is plus or minus 2.1 percentage points at the 95 per cent confidence level, according to Mainstreet.

In polling numbers released Monday, the Liberals were leading the Conservatives among leaning and decided voters by 34.4 per cent to 34.1 per cent. Meanwhile, the NDP drew the support of 10.9 per cent of leaning and decided respondents, compared to 10.5 per cent for the Greens, 5.6 per cent for the Bloc Québécois and 3.4 per cent for the People’s Party of Canada.

National polling numbers have been relatively stable throughout the campaign, showing the Liberals and Conservatives neck-and-neck with little separation.

As a daily tracking poll, Mainstreet’s numbers are consistently updated to provide a snapshot of voter preferences over the past three days. The question they asked voters relating to party preference is: If an election were held today, which party would you vote for?

More results from the poll, including provincial and regional numbers and leader favourability ratings, are available exclusively to Premium Election Package subscribers here.

(PREMIUM ELECTION SUBSCRIBERS ONLY): Daily Election Tracker

Methodology note:

Total attempts: 41,115

Those participating: 10,836 (26.3%)

Those refused:29,949 (72.8%)

Those saying they’re ineligible: 330 (0.7%)