Trump is not alt right, but the alt right is Trumpist. Jeff Flake was a cuckservative enemy of Trump, and went out denouncing Trump. The alt right is successfully nailing Trump’s enemies.

Mencius Moldbug interpreted the Democrats as the inner party, and Republicans as the outer party, as subservient to the Democrats. Which accurately describes and predicts their inability to build a wall, halt race replacement, or repeal Obamacare.

But Trump, whatever his faults, is not part of the Outer Party, is manifestly an enemy of the inner party.

The inner party has been investigating Trump for imaginary crimes, but inevitably the investigation started turning up Clinton crimes, not Trump crimes, since the Clintons are criminals, and Trump is not. I expected the investigation to lead to a left wing coup or an attempted left wing coup, with some judge no one has heard of issuing a warrant for Trumps arrest on the basis of a grand jury indictment, to be followed not long afterwards with arrests of numerous prominent Republicans for insufficient leftism, but it looks like it is just going to evaporate.

With a permanent government coup against Trump evaporating, this makes a Trump coup against the permanent government (“You’re fired”) far more feasible, as everyone rushes to support the strong horse.

The Moldbug analysis is that all this is just a distraction. No Trump coup, Trump will never take power, Trump will merely delay some parts of the inner party program by eight years, thus ensuring that the frog is slow boiled, rather than fast fried.

So far, Trump is not in power, and nailing Jeff Flake, and perhaps nailing the Clintons, is merely a step towards getting him into power. But it is a step that Moldbuggians and neoreaction would not have predicted.

If Trump turns out to be just another chump, retreading the steps of Nixon, then the Moldbuggian analysis is confirmed. All Nixon’s rightward measures evaporated like the morning dew. A recalcitrant governing apparatus simply failed to give any lasting effect to them. All Nixons leftward concessions proved permanent, fundamental, massive, disastrous, and irreversible.

Trump has taken important and major steps to defunding the left. He has had far more success in defunding the left than Ronald Reagan. But the left is still massively government funded, while the alt right is still massively government persecuted.

If Trump takes power, falsifying the Moldbug thesis, it will be that the alt right frog marched him into power, as King David’s mighty men conscripted him into Kingship, and the junior officers hauled Pinochet off to the still smoking presidential palace. It is striking that Jeff Flake conceded on the same day, or within a few days, of the investigation into Trump going off the rails, indicating that both are merely symptoms of a deeper change, that deeper change being recognition of the strong horse. We are still far away from Trump actually being in power, but today, not as far as it was.

Trump actually in power would be able to use the resources of the state to ensure his re-election. The presidency has gathered power so overwhelming as to render democracy largely moot, giving itself legislative, judicial, and budgetary authority, as for example funding Obamacare without regard of the inability of Congress to agree on paying for the freebies they had already agreed to. If Trump actually had power, he could just direct the wall to be built, without regard for any budget. After all, congress has not been able to pass a budget for a mighty long time. The budget process is starting to resemble the Queen riding a stagecoach to open the houses of Parliament. Thus Trump actually in power would likely result in a Trump dynasty. The Whitehouse press corps are de-facto government employees, working at government desks using government office services. Trump actually in power would simply fire them. If not yet fired, Trump not yet in power.