The fourth Democratic primary nominating contest and second primary is in the state of South Carolina where the Democratic primary electorate is majority African American. In 2016, Clinton won the primary in South Carolina by 47 points carrying 39 of 53 pledged delegates.

A new poll of Democratic voters in South Carolina from Gravis Marketing gives former Vice President Joe Biden a wide lead over the rest of the field. Biden leads with 34% compared to 10% for Senator Sanders, 9% for Senator Warren, 7% for Steyer, 6% for Senator Booker and 4% for Harris. No one else polled above 2%. Biden’s lead is fueled primarily by a 41% share of African American voters. Biden’s next closest competitor among African Americans is Tom Steyer with 10% followed by Sanders at 9%, Booker at 7% and Warren at 6%. Biden also holds a lead among white voters at 21% to 13% for Warren and 11% for Sanders.

Biden leads among every age group, though is weakest among those aged 18-29. Among those voters, Biden has 22% to Steyer’s 18% and Sanders’ 16%. Biden performs stronger among women than men taking 37% of women and 28% of men. Booker and Warren both take 10% in 2nd among women while Sanders takes second among men with 16%.

This poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research and data firm. This poll of 516 likely South Carolina Democratic primary voters was conducted October 3rd through 7th and has a margin of error of ±4.3%. The survey was conducted using an online panel of cell phone users and live agents. This poll was not commissioned by any campaign committee or other organization and was paid for by Gravis Marketing. Results are weighted by voting demographics. Questions can be direction to the managing partner of Gravis Marketing, Doug Kaplan.

South Carolina (October 10, 2019)

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