Whether you are analyzing the approach to Super Bowl prognostication by seasoned experts or average fans, all of these wannabe seers seem to fit into a few identifiable categories. Potentially the most popular category would be the "play it safe" category. People in this category normally want to come off sounding like they know what they are talking about, but also want to avoid looking like an idiot at all costs. As such, play-it-safe people almost always pick last year's Super Bowl champion to repeat based on the team's "experience." Next are the "big splash" people. These are the people that simply pick the team that signed the most big-name free agents and garnered the most media coverage in the offseason. Not surprisingly, the Eagles will be a near-unanimous pick of the big-splash category this year. Then there are the "just for the hell of it" types, whose picks are primarily intended to shock and irritate others, and to be so irrational that in the event they turn out to be right, they will brag about it incessantly and without end. These people have probably gone with the Texans a few times in recent years, and it is sometimes shocking how many so-called experts employ this strategy. Lastly we have the "homers," which are obviously a pretty self-explanatory group. The nice thing about the way the season is shaping up is that here in Philadelphia this season most of us homers can mask our bias by pointing to all the "big splashes" the Birds have made in the offseason.