A new poll from the Boston Herald and Franklin Pierce University shows Bernie Sanders beating Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire for the first time, drawing 44 percent support to her 37 percent. It's best not to overinterpret the findings of a single poll, but here are some broader thoughts on the state of the Democratic race right now:

Winning New Hampshire would be great for Sanders, but to present a serious challenge to Clinton outside of small white states, Sanders will have to increase his appeal to the nonwhite voters who are increasingly important to the Democratic coalition. This is Sanders's biggest problem, as Jonathan Allen wrote in June, and the biggest question mark about his stronger-than-expected campaign is still whether he can manage to do something about it.

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