Just yesterday, Twitchy featured a thread by Ben Domenech of The Federalist breaking down exactly why the Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s announcement of a formal impeachment inquiry into President Trump was basically a gift to Trump: the majority of Americans don’t want it, Pelosi has lost control of her caucus, and then, of course, was the roll of the dice that was the yet-to-be-released phone call transcript.

There’s a very similar thread today by YouTuber Kyle Kulinski, who describes his show as “news and politics commentary from the libertarian-left; populist; social democratic; agnostic-atheist perspective.” But even from that perspective, he’s not bullish on the idea of this impeachment going forward, and he laid out his reasons here:

Possible impeachment scenarios:

– Inquiry never even leads to impeachment vote in the house

– It leads to vote in the house but fails there

– It gets through the house, dies in the senate Not possible scenario:

– It gets through the house and the senate & Trump is removed — Secular Talk (@KyleKulinski) September 25, 2019

And even if the impossible happened … hello President Pence.

There are scenarios where impeachment failing still helps the left in 2020, but I find them very far-fetched. I think history is the best evidence we have rn & Clinton's approval went *up*. I honestly think most impeachment advocates just haven't thought through this at all. https://t.co/pUBzpkLysX — Secular Talk (@KyleKulinski) September 25, 2019

I mean just 36% of voters support impeachment. & you know there's a 0% chance of it getting through the senate. & you know the dems will bungle the arguments. & you know history indicates it could help the other side. I want to believe this isn't dumb, but https://t.co/6tLEWkRd0x — Secular Talk (@KyleKulinski) September 25, 2019

I'm sympathetic to the idea that this is simply a matter of principle. & I would take that position if I was even agnostic on who this helps. But since I think it's very likely to help Trump I can't bring myself to support it. I want him out ASAP and this is antithetical to that. — Secular Talk (@KyleKulinski) September 25, 2019

the kindest thing I can say about those who disagree with me here is that perhaps they're convinced it *won't* help Trump (and they believe we need to act on principle). But my question for them would be if they believed it *would* indeed help Trump, what would their position be? — Secular Talk (@KyleKulinski) September 25, 2019

I really really want to be wrong about all of this. I hope I'm dead wrong about all of this. — Secular Talk (@KyleKulinski) September 25, 2019

Sincerely speaking, we think he’s dead on.

Kyle being the only sane one in the room. — yellow vest america (@america_vest) September 25, 2019

It’s all fluid. I think those numbers will shift as the story unfolds. Gotta go to the tv circus first. — Adam Young (@youngsangha) September 25, 2019

Yes, but who do you think wins when the whole thing turns into a TV circus? Trump would love that.

It's about as dumb as Biden leading in the polls regardless of his other failed attempts at becoming president. This is why I'm an independent and refuse to claim any of these parties as my own. — Benjamin Wilson (@Benjami68199217) September 25, 2019

God they really just have to not blow the layup in order to win on this ? — Anthony Gonzalez El PaSo Strong ??? (@TonyWestside088) September 25, 2019

Right not we’re going with Kulinski’s first scenario: an impeachment vote never even makes it to the House floor. Pelosi might be Speaker in name only now, but we don’t think she’s going to let it happen, despite all the bluster Tuesday afternoon.

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