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There are also a significant number of undecided voters in Central Nova, with one in four electors (25 per cent) uncertain how they’ll cast their ballots, according to the telephone poll of 652 residents in the riding.

Among decided and leaning voters, DeLorey leads with 36 per cent support, followed by the Liberals’ Fraser at 30 per cent and the NDP’s Landry at 26 per cent.

Approximately 81 per cent of DeLorey’s supporters say they won’t change their minds, according to the poll, which leaves him “well positioned,” Valentin said.

“His biggest nightmare has to be that the vote doesn’t split and that someone, either the NDP or the Liberals, manage to coalesce that change vote against him. Otherwise, he’s sitting pretty right now,” Valentin said.

“Should Stephen Harper be re-elected, he would be maybe the only Conservative from Nova Scotia. That’s not a bad place to be on tap for cabinet making.”

Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau made a stop Sunday in Central Nova for a rally to help give his candidate a boost before unveiling some key Liberal party defence promises at Pier 21 in Halifax.

The Newfoundland riding of Avalon is also one that political observers are keeping a close eye on.

Scott Andrews, the two-term incumbent MP, is running as an Independent after being booted from the Liberal caucus in March over an allegation of sexual misconduct against a female New Democrat MP. Andrews insists the claim is unsubstantiated.

Liberal candidate Ken McDonald, a popular local mayor, has a comfortable lead with 37 per cent support among all voters, according to the telephone poll of 679 Avalon residents, followed by the NDP’s Jeannie Baldwin at 16 per cent, with Andrews and Conservative candidate Lorraine Barnett both at 13 per cent.