The Bookies’ Advantage squad put 47 points up on the board in Gameweek 13, as captain Harry Kane (16) produced a goal and 2 bonus at home to West Brom, whilst Dele Alli (6), David de Gea (6) and Kieran Trippier (5) also chipped in. Big returns were left on the bench though, as points from Ruben Loftus-Cheek (8) and Adrian Mariappa (6) went unharvested. Gameweek 14 takes place this Tuesday and Wednesday, so read on as we analyse the clean sheet and anytime goalscorer markets to help you with those all important captaincy, transfer and squad selection decisions…

Defensive odds

Team Best clean sheet odds Implied chance of a clean sheet Chelsea 1.71 58% Arsenal 1.81 55% Man City 1.91 52% Man Utd 2.38 42% Bournemouth 2.5 40% West Brom 2.55 39% Tottenham 2.62 38% Liverpool 2.7 37% Everton 2.75 36% Brighton 2.75 36% Crystal Palace 3.1 32% Newcastle 3.25 31% Burnley 4.05 25% West Ham 4.2 24% Leicester 5.5 18% Watford 6 17% Stoke 7.2 14% Swansea 13 8% Huddersfield 14 7% Southampton 18 6%

💰 WE GIVE AWAY CASH PRIZES TO THE BEST FANTASY MANAGERS THIS WEEKEND!

⚽ ENTER OUR FREE FANTASY CONTEST HERE

A home encounter against a struggling Swansea side sees Chelsea installed by the bookies as the team likeliest to keep a clean sheet in Gameweek 14, with a 58% chance of registering a shutout on Wednesday evening. The Blues have 3 clean sheets in their last 4 outings, whilst the Swans have been dire on the road of late, netting just once in their previous 4. Andreas Christensen has emerged as a first choice member of Antonio Conte’s back line in recent weeks and provides a value route into the improving Chelsea defence. The young Dane starts for our squad.

Arsenal (55%) are another club on the up defensively having produced back-to-back clean sheets, as well as 4 in their last 5 at home. An Emirates clash with Huddersfield, who have failed to score in each of their last 5 away games, certainly looks profitable. In order to capitalise, we draft Shkodran Mustafi, who has a goal and 4 bonus points from his 2 appearances since returning from injury, into our starting XI.

Manchester rivals City (52%) and United (42%) complete the top 4 ranked clubs from a defensive perspective for this gameweek. Pep Guardiola’s side welcome Southampton to The Etihad, with the Saints having scored just 3 goals on their travels this season (5 matches). Meanwhile, the Citizens have only conceded 4 goals in 6 games in front of their own fans, keeping 3 clean sheets in the process. With John Stones out injured and Vincent Kompany probably unable to play every game in a congested period of fixtures, we opt for Eliaquim Mangala, who looks likely to be handed a rare start at centre back and is priced at just £5.0m. In order to save funds for our midfield and strike force, we opt for a 2% reduction in clean sheet probability and select Asmir Begovic of Bournemouth (40%) in goal. The Cherries have recorded 3 successive shutouts in the league for the first time this term and host Burnley on Wednesday.

On the bench, Rob Elliott (£4.0m – 31%) travels to West Brom, whilst Adrian Mariappa (£4.0m – 17%), welcomes Manchester United to Vicarage Road, having played a part in 9 of the last 10 gameweeks to offer excellent budget value. Chancel Mbemba (£4.0m – 31%) is unlikely to see any game time, but was at least back on the bench at the weekend, with his rock-bottom price important for the makeup of our squad.

Attacking odds

Player Best anytime goalscorer odds Implied chance of scoring Sergio Aguero 1.46 68% Gabriel Jesus 1.5 67% Alvaro Morata 1.53 65% Alexandre Lacazette 1.58 63% Harry Kane 1.72 58% Alexis Sanchez 1.76 57% Romelu Lukaku 1.88 53% Eden Hazard 2.02 50% Leroy Sane 2.05 49% Raheem Sterling 2.12 47% Mohamed Salah 2.12 47% Roberto Firmino 2.32 43% Sadio Mane 2.32 43% Pedro 2.55 39% Callum Wilson 2.6 38% Marcus Rashford 2.65 38% Philippe Coutinho 2.65 38% Dele Alli 2.8 36% Wayne Rooney 2.8 36% Salomon Rondon 2.88 35% Alex Iwobi 2.9 34% Kevin de Bruyne 3.05 33% Jamie Vardy 3.1 32% Aaron Ramsey 3.1 32% Dominic Calvert-Lewin 3.1 32% Henrikh Mkhitaryan 3.15 32% Jay Rodriguez 3.2 31% David Silva 3.25 31% Mesut Ozil 3.3 30% Chris Wood 3.45 29% Dwight Gayle 3.5 29% Andy Carroll 3.6 28% Paul Pogba 3.6 28% Wilfried Zaha 3.85 26% Sam Vokes 3.85 26% Cesc Fabregas 3.9 26% Andre Gray 3.95 25% Christian Eriksen 4 25% Jese 4 25% Anthony Knockaert 4.25 24% Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 4.3 23% Mame Biram Diouf 4.3 23% Michail Antonio 4.4 23% Andre Ayew 4.4 23% Richarlison 4.9 20% Harry Arter 5 20% Ruben Loftus-Cheek 5 20% Manolo Gabbiadini 5.1 20% Tammy Abraham 5.1 20% Matt Ritchie 5.4 19% Pascal Gross 5.4 19% Riyad Mahrez 5.5 18% Laurent Depoitre 5.5 18% Robbie Brady 6.75 15% Dusan Tadic 7.5 13% Sofiane Boufal 8 13% Aaron Mooy 8.5 12% Abdoulaye Doucoure 9.5 11% Isaac Hayden 11.5 9% Tom Carroll 14 7%

With Pep Guardiola splitting games and minutes between Sergio Aguero and Gabriel Jesus seemingly at random, we opt to forgo the selection headache that choosing either provides. That sees us hand our captain’s armband to Alvaro Morata, deemed to have a 65% chance of scoring, ahead of his plum home fixture against Swansea. The Spaniard has scored twice in his last 3 outings for the Blues, whilst the Swans sit 19th in the league, having lost each of their last 3 away games.

Alexandre Lacazette (63%) and Roberto Firmino (43%) complete our front line for Gameweek 14. Arsenal’s record-signing has been in indifferent form of late, managing to score in 2 of his last 5 top flight games, but it is the away malaise of opponents Huddersfield, who have conceded 9 in their last trio of road games, that boost his prospects in the eyes of the bookies. Firmino, likewise, hardly enters his fixture, away to Stoke, in goalscoring form. The Brazilian has scored just once in his last 9 Premier League appearances for the Reds, but the fact that the Potters have conceded 15 goals in their last 6 outings, the second worst defensive form in the division, means he could be back amongst the goals come Wednesday night.

The bookies also fancy the chances of the aforementioned City duo, who we overlook due to insecurity of starts, along with Harry Kane and Romelu Lukaku, who both prove too heavy on the budget this time round.

In the middle of the park, we double up on Chelsea’s attacking assets with Eden Hazard (50%). The Belgian wizard has scored 3 goals, set up another 3, and achieved maximum bonus points 3 times in his last 5 matches, meaning he goes into his home game against Swansea behind only Mohammed Salah in the FPL form charts.

Our omission of both Sergio Aguero and Gabriel Jesus upfront allows us to double up on Pep Guardiola’s midfield riches by selecting Leroy Sane (49%) and Raheem Sterling (47%), who sit second and third respectively in the overall FPL standings. In the Premier League, the German flyer has hit 6 goals and laid on a further 6 for his teammates, whilst his English counterpart has scored 8 and provided 4 assists. The visit of Southampton, who have kept a single clean sheet in 8, could see both profit again.

A couple of goals, 3 assists and 5 bonus points sees Aaron Ramsey (32%) complete an in-form midfield and an Arsenal attacking double-up for our squad, with the bookies deeming the home clash against Huddersfield as one too good to pass up. Ruben Loftus-Cheek (20%) scored his first Premier League goal for Palace at the weekend and takes the first spot on our substitutes’ bench ahead of a trip to Brighton on Tuesday

The bookies also rate the prospects of Liverpool trio Mohamed Salah, Sadio Mane and Philippe Coutinho, Tottenham’s Dele Alli, and big ticket pair Alexis Sanchez and Kevin de Bruyne, but they all prove too expensive for us to select, whilst Pedro and Alex Iwobi are overlooked due to a lack of starting security.

Team of the week

CAN YOU PICK A BETTER TEAM THAN THE BOOKIES?

SET UP YOUR DREAM TEAM FOR GAMEWEEK 14 AND WIN CASH PRIZES

ENTER OUR FREE FANTASY CONTEST NOW

Good luck with your midweek fantasy teams!

May the odds be with you🙏

Daniel Victory is a Fantasy football and anytime goalscorer betting enthusiast. Enjoys SSS – statistics, strategizing and spreadsheets. Follow his great tips on Twitter.