Here are the results of a poll run on a sample of Scottish web users between 7-9 September. The poll reported – when weighted to match the Scottish internet population’s general makeup – a 53.9% ‘Yes’ vote for the question “Should Scotland be an independent country?”

The poll results were from 1,000 people in Scotland (for context, the last YouGov poll was of 1084 poeple). The poll was displayed to web users as they browsed media, mobile, arts & entertainment websites. The question was displayed to 2,873 people, from which 1,000 responded. The “Yes” result was reported with 95% significance (meaning if the same poll were run 100 times, the answer would be “Yes” on at least 95 occasions).

Weighted Results: “Should Scotland be an independent country?

53.9% ‘Yes’

46.1% ‘No’

Unweighted Results: “Should Scotland be an independent country?”

The 1,000-person sample didn’t exactly match the makeup of the Scottish population (by age & gender), and therefore the above ‘weighted’ results have been altered to take that into account. For complete disclosure I’ve included the ‘unweighted’ results below, which actually lean further toward ‘Yes’. By unweighted results, I mean the results below are the ‘raw’ data, ignoring whether or not the age/gender of respondents matched the general internet users of Scotland.

55.1% ‘Yes’

44.9% ‘No’.

Do share this with others if you think they would find it interesting. Feel free to leave any/all comments below.

Appendix: Further Detail:

The poll ran & as displayed to a random sample of users within Scotland between 6:36pm on September 7th to 5:31pm on September 9th.

There was no “Don’t know” answer displayed.

The answers were displayed in the same order each time: ‘Yes’ first, ‘No’ second.

The question was worded as per the official question: “Should Scotland be an independent country?

There are lots of caveats with data such as this. It is a ‘snapshot’ rather than a ‘prediction’.

I have asked the specific ballot question, rather than framing it as “If you were to vote today, would you vote for Scotland to be an independent country?”.

I’ve left error bars on the results so that you can see the variability.

I included a series of caveats & additional notes on a previous similar poll I ran. You can read those in the ‘caveats’ section of this post.

For full clarity, here is the breakdown of respondents, and their bias vs the general ‘Internet Population’ of Scotland

Do share this with others if you think they would find it interesting. Feel free to leave any/all comments below.