“The timing of our peak is a week earlier than I sort of anticipated but that certainly is not unreasonable,” said Dr. Williamson. “The number of deaths they are projecting of 1,700, that’s reasonable based on a death rate of less than 1-percent. Still substantially higher than influenza but certainly not as high as was seen in China or Italy. So I think the model actually gives me comfort that we’ve been thinking about and planning the right way. It clearly identifies what is going to be a huge crisis in our healthcare system in the coming weeks.”