Sports

Saints won’t run away with this one

Dave Tuley, senior reporter at VSiN, joins the Post’s Bettor’s Guide for the 2018 NFL season. His handicapping pieces appear in VSiN’s online magazine, Point Spread Weekly.

Thursday

Falcons (+13) over SAINTS: I know I got burned by fading the red-hot Saints (nine straight wins, eight straight covers) with the Eagles on Sunday, but I can’t resist getting nearly two touchdowns with the Falcons. When these teams met in Week 3, the Falcons were two-point home favorites so no matter how great the Saints have played and how mediocre the Falcons are, this 15-point adjustment is way too much even with the move to the Superdome (and remember the Saints won that first meeting just 43-37 in overtime and it could have gone either way). Expect a similar, close shootout on Thanksgiving night.





Sunday

49ers (+3¹/₂) over BUCCANEERS: Tampa Bay leads the league at 485.5 yards per game, but it doesn’t always convert those yards into points — and the 49ers’ No. 10 defense should keep them in the game. Nick Mullens came back to earth from his debut against the Raiders in his loss to the Giants in Week 10, but facing the Bucs’ No. 28 defense in yards allowed per game (395.9) and No. 32 in points allowed per game (32.9) should have him lighting up the scoreboard again.





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