Winter storm warning: Up to 10 inches of snow, record-low temperatures coming to Rochester

Ryan Miller | Democrat and Chronicle

Show Caption Hide Caption NOAA winter weather forecast by temperature, precipitation NOAA issued its 2019-2020 winter outlook for temperature, precipitation, and drought across the United States.

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Say it ain't snow.

It is. A lot of it.

The first snowstorm of the season is expected in the Rochester region Monday and could topple local snowfall and frigid low temperature records.

The National Weather Service in Buffalo issued a winter storm warning for western New York from 11 a.m. Monday through 9 a.m. Tuesday.

Six to 10 inches of heavy snow is expected, according to the NWS. The Monday commutes could be sloppy. The NWS warns that travel conditions will deteriorate throughout the day and the heaviest snowfall and worst travel conditions will be late Monday afternoon through late Monday night.

The winter storm warning covers most of western and central New York.

The first winter storm of the season is coming soon, with snow potentially beginning to stick on area roadways as early as Monday morning. Remember to slow down as conditions will become slippery and have your emergency winter car kit items in your vehicle before leaving home. pic.twitter.com/VCFqBydDya — NWS Buffalo (@NWSBUFFALO) November 11, 2019

Rochester could set a record low on Tuesday, which will have a high near 26 degrees. As the cold front moves through the region — and most of the country — temperatures are projected to plummet to an overnight low of 16 on Tuesday. The Rochester record low for Nov. 12 is 21 degrees in 1983.

The normal high for this time of year is 50 degrees and the normal overnight low is 35 degrees.

The most snow on record for Nov. 11 is 5.2 inches and the record for Nov. 12 is 5 inches.

On average, the first flakes fall on Oct. 23 in Rochester The first measurable snowfall — defined as at least one-tenth of an inch —is recorded on Nov. 8 each year. The area typically receives its first inch of snow on Nov. 20.

Rochester's last snowfall typically happens in mid-April but we all know May can bring snow showers instead of flowers. So bundle up for the next six months and 90 inches or so of snow.

More: Hundreds of records could fall as cold, snow, ice sweep across nation