Republicans won't get their massive November victories with numbers like these:

Democrats lead Republicans by a slight 47% to 44% margin when registered voters are asked which party's congressional candidate they would support in their district "if the elections for Congress were being held today."

That's up from 44-44 in Gallup's last poll. The composite has a virtual tie, with Rasmussen propping up GOP support::

The differences are even more stark without Rasmussen or the crappy (pro-Democratic) internet YouGov poll included:

Now here's the catch -- voter preferences suggest a wash in November, but voter intensity is a whole different beast. Gallup catches the intensity gap we've been talking about for some time:

This is a new question for Gallup, so there are no trends. On our own polling, we've changed the voter screen from "all adults" to "registered voters" now that the elections are near, so we are also unable to compare voter intensity trends.

Expect Democratic intensity numbers to increase as health care reform passes, the election nears, GOP gets ever crazier (thanks Bunning!), and the consequences of letting GOP make significant gains becomes ever clearer.

Will we match GOP intensity? Hard to see it. They think they're fighting to prevent the communist takeover of America. That sort of craziness breeds intensity we'd be hard pressed to match. But if Democrats expand their generic ballot lead and close the intensity gap, we have the potential of shutting down those big gains Republicans already assume are theirs.