Stop The Presses…..

There’s something odd that seems to consistently happen when corporate Wall Street media narratives are in diametric opposition to factual reality; they begin a process of trying to quantify their fallacy.

An example today comes from the notoriously globalist-minded Gallup Polling Group. But first, it’s important to understand the Gallup ideology (just to avoid being labeled “conspiratorial” etc.) – in their own words:

[…] Gallup has committed the next century to achieving a global endeavor of peerless magnitude, integrity, and strategic value — the Gallup World Poll. Gallup’s World Poll continually surveys the wellbeing, behaviors, and attitudes of the world’s citizens in more than 130 countries and areas — from the steppes of Central Asia to the savannahs of Africa — and provides a new access point to the voices, hearts, and minds of samples representing 95% of the Earth’s adult population. Worldwide core questions, as well as region-specific questions, are asked across countries over time, which enables leaders to compare data and spot emerging social and economic trends.

Globalization requires leaders to scrutinize how their nations, economies, and organizations not only fit into the dynamic global landscape, but also promote growth and create partnerships. The World Poll provides these insights by continually measuring key indicators such as Leadership, Law and Order, Food/Shelter, Work, Economics, Health, Wellbeing, Migration, Environment, Education, Entrepreneurship, and Engaged Citizens. (read more)

As you can see, every effective measure has an intent. While the media users of the data never talk about those intents, the intents -nonetheless- exist transparently.

Which leads to the Gallup presentation of the day, in essence they’re gauging: Can U.S.A. Hispanics/Latinos upset (ie. block) the pending tsunami of newly engaged non-Hispanic voters? (ie. white Americans)

Curiously, Gallup looks at Latinos two ways: ¹Those born in the U.S., and ²Those Not born in the U.S., with each measure attempting to quantify the support for Hillary Clinton.

Their analysis, while slanted by the ideological objectives mentioned above, actually indicates the Hispanic/Latino support for Hillary Clinton is much weaker and less influential than popular opinion (mostly by media) claims it to be.

Group Two – U.S. born Hispanics are registered to vote at approximately a level of 87%. Group One – Non-U.S. born Hispanics, hold only 28% voter registration levels. (Chart Below):

Less than half the larger group (the 87% born in U.S. group) support Hillary Clinton about 4/10 do (43% +/-). And about 3/10 (29%) support Donald Trump.

In the smaller registered voter group (28% Non-U.S. born Hispanics), support for Hillary Clinton is much higher: 87% pro-Hillary, and 13% pro-Trump. (Chart Below):

This is really interesting because it actually undermines the past six years of media narrative, although Gallup doesn’t present it that way.

Q: What does all of the Gallup data amount to?

Using their methodology (full pdf below) and extending their analysis, and assuming it is correct:

♦ Gallup has a sample of 906 total Hispanics [n=906].

♦ Gallup has a registered voter sample of 525 Hispanics (58%). [rv = 525]

Of the 525 registered voters: 456 are U.S. Born [87% of rv]

Of the 525 registered voters: 147 are Non-U.S. Born [28% of rv]

(Link to Gallup Article)

From the 456 U.S. Born Hispanics, Clinton gets 43% or 196 voters

From the 456 U.S. Born Hispanics, Trump gets 29% or 132 voters.

(Link To Gallup Article)

From the 147 Non-U.S. Born Hispanics, Clinton gets 87% or 128 voters

From the 147 Non-U.S. Born Hispanics, Trump gets 13% or 19 voters

Adding up the total voter support above you find 479 total votes [rv – non-committed].

Those total Hispanic votes break down:

Hillary Clinton Clinton 324 votes (68%)

(68%) Candiate Donald Trump 151 votes (32%)

Yes, that’s correct.

Folks This is Bigly Huge

Donald Trump is currently getting at least 32% of all National Hispanic Support according to Gallup’s own data.

But you’ll note that didn’t quite get the headline Gallup was pushing, did it?

See, it won’t be close folks…. it won’t even be close:

People who enjoy math and statistics please feel free to double check this analysis. I was so shocked I checked it myself three times. This is excellent news.