What is that pooling in the pit of the main lift shaft in Trump Tower? The lubricant of a transition pow-wow on the 58th floor purring effortlessly towards an early conclusion? Or is it blood from a scene worthy of Game of Thrones as daggers are thrown and bodies are discreetly removed?

One week after the election, the pressure on Team Trump to announce its first batch of appointments - beyond those of Reince Priebus as White House Chief of Staff and Stephen Bannon, formerly of Breitbart, as Chief Strategist - grows by the hour. Here are five reasons why it seems reasonable to surmise that it’s blood, not oil, that is seeping through the Manhattan skyline.

The abrupt removal of Governor Chris Christie as head of the transition effort - the most visible corpse of all - has been the clearest indication of turmoil on the top floor. The official explanation: Mike Pence, with his years as a member of Congress, is better placed to navigate the traps and crevasses of the Washington complex.

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But in the days since at least five more Christie loyalists have been tossed on the pyre, including former Congressman Mike Rogers, who had been seen by many in the Republican establishment as the last sane voice standing in choosing Mr Trump’s foreign policy team.

All fingers are pointing at new Trump dauphin, son-in-law Jared Kushner. Seen by some as the man most close to the president-elect’s ear, he has special reason to hold a grudge against Christie and all who are loyal to him: his father spent two years in prison after pleading guilty in 2005 to tax evasion and witness tampering. Mr Christie was the prosecutor in the case.

By all accounts, this is the only attribute that matters to Mr Trump as he peruses candidates not just for his cabinet, but other top jobs in the White House, including on his national security staff, and no fewer than 4,000 other positions scattered across Washington.

Rewarding loyalists only risks Mr Trump surrounding himself with sycophants and mediocrity. A glimpse of what might be happening was offered by Eliot Cohen, a State Department counselor from 2007-2009, who described in the Washington Post how his attempts to suggest one possible candidate for office to a friend at Trump Tower was scornfully rejected when he said the person in question was not ready yet to submit his resume but would be open to receiving an inquiring call. His furious friend, he concluded, “is in the midst of a transition team that was never well-prepared to begin with and is now torn by acrimony, resignations and palace coups”.

Mr Christie had been supervising a transition operation in Washington since September, but if the effort is now in a state of chaos, the reason may be this: nobody in Trumpland, including the president-elect himself, imagined they were actually going to win.

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This means for one thing that the urgency that Ms Clinton’s transition crew presumably possessed was always missing in the Christie operation. When the votes were in, Messrs Trump and Pence discovered to their dismay that the Governor was still offering them a mostly blank sheet of paper. (Maybe his firing was deserved.) But another thing was going on: with almost no one in Washington thinking a Trump victory was possible, there was never the cacophony of would-be applicants they might have expected knocking their door down to get on board.

Much to the doubtless pique of Mr Trump, he can’t give plum jobs to just anybody and expect them to sail through the confirmation process in the Senate. Embarrassing information leaking out at the last minute and dooming any of his nominees is an event that can be crippling in the early days of an administration, feeding perceptions of amateur hour.

Case in point: Rudy Giuliani has been the subject of fevered speculation for several days that he is Mr Trump’s first choice to be Secretary of State. (Its that loyalty thing again - Mr Giuliani abandoned all caution and courtesy during the campaign standing up for Trump and vowing to imprison Ms Clinton.) But now as early vetting of Mr Giulani has got under way, the team has suddenly encountered some snags to do with his private-sector record of recent years of providing security consulting to some clients, the long list of which we have yet to see.

In short, Mr Trump and many of the people around him, including the Dauphin and his other adult children - Donald Jr, Eric and Ivanka - don’t have a clue what they are doing. There is no idiot’s guide in Barnes & Noble to building a government in seventy days to take over the running of the world greatest, and most complex, superpower.