Elizabeth Warren has mounted a quiet and steady rise in the polls throughout the spring, crisscrossing the country and touting her massive trove of policy proposals as a counter to President Donald Trump. | Elise Amendola/AP Photo 2020 election Trump pollster predicts Warren will be Dem front-runner by fall

President Donald Trump’s pollster on Thursday put in writing his prediction that Sen. Elizabeth Warren would soon lead the Democratic primary field, estimating that her rise, coinciding with former Vice President Joe Biden's fall, would be cemented by October.

GOP strategist Ward Baker on Thursday commented on a video of Biden refusing to apologize for comments touting his past ability to work with segregationist senators to get things done in the chamber. "By October he will be #3 in polls," he tweeted. "Just give it time."


"Agreed," Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio responded, tagging Warren in the tweet, "and @ewarren will be leading."

The former vice president has led in nearly every primary poll since jumping into the race this spring. But Biden’s support may be facing its first real test, as his opponents have seized on a number of stumbles by the former veep after the segregationist comments and his recent reversal on public funding for abortion.

That’s mixed news for Fabrizio and Trump — internal polling conducted by Trump’s campaign several months ago found Biden leading the president in head-to-head matchups in several key states, and public polls in critical states have signaled danger for the president as well. While the campaign let several pollsters go after the internal numbers leaked, Fabrizio was not included in the purge.

But the campaign has recently begun to focus its efforts on Warren as well, conceding that there’s much about the Massachusetts senator that could cut into Trump’s populist message, and that her discipline as a candidate could be a major boon to her chances. Others in Trump world have argued that the campaign should hold off on attacking Warren just yet, maintaining that her liberal policies would make her an easier target in the general election.

Warren has mounted a quiet and steady rise in the polls throughout the spring, crisscrossing the country and touting her massive trove of policy proposals as a counter to Trump.

In two recent polls in the early voting states of Nevada and California, Warren leapfrogged Sanders for second place behind Biden. And the Democratic establishment has also begun to signal a level of comfort with Warren as the potential nominee.

It won't hurt that Warren will likely be able to escape the fray of the party's first primary debates, as she is the only front-runner who will appear on stage when debates kick off next week, while Biden, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Sen. Kamala Harris and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg will battle it out on the second night of debates.

