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Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm

Posts: 29586

Location: The Graveyard Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2018 (Daily Estimates, Pt Jack Sparrow wrote: Coco showing weakness over weekdays again compared to Doraemon and TBB



R136a1 wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: Coco showing weakness over weekdays again compared to Doraemon and TBB



I think that's expected since Coco is not as young-skewing as those films and is getting a smaller Spring Break boost. Doraemon and Boss Baby will likely drop noticeably harder than Coco once kids are back in school. I think that's expected since Coco is not as young-skewing as those films and is getting a smaller Spring Break boost. Doraemon and Boss Baby will likely drop noticeably harder than Coco once kids are back in school.



Correct. Correct.

_________________



Japan Box Office



“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”

"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."

“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”

“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”



Wakanda Forever





Tue Mar 27, 2018 6:31 pm

Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm

Posts: 29586

Location: The Graveyard Re: Japan Box Office: Highest Grossing DreamWorks Animation R136a1 wrote: Corpse wrote: The Boss Baby is DreamWorks Animation's first theatrical release in the market since 2012, following local distributor Toho-Towa acquiring distribution rights of DreamWorks Animation films by owning the distribution rights of Universal properties in the market.





Does this mean all future DreamWorks Animation films will get a Japan release? How to Train Your Dragon 3 is their next major film, but the franchise has a very poor track record in Japan. I wonder if a simple distributor change can turn it into a success. Does this mean all future DreamWorks Animation films will get a Japan release? How to Train Your Dragon 3 is their next major film, but the franchise has a very poor track record in Japan. I wonder if a simple distributor change can turn it into a success.



Yes, very likely. And the How to Train Your Dragon series is an unfortunate one in the market.



The first film had heavy competition from Pixar and Ghibli in Summer 2010, and with DreamWorks Animation films beginning to outright bomb terribly around that time, it was lost in the shuffle. It received excellent reviews, though, and its home video sales were quite impressive, especially compared to its dismal box-office results.



The second film didn't receive a theatrical release because DreamWorks Animation had already been abandoned by Fox/Paramount when it was released. There was a petition for the film to be released in Japan by fans, but it didn't result in anything. And Dean DeBlois (director) replied to me on twitter when I messaged him about the issue, saying he was really trying to get it financed and to find a distributor (his passion for HTTYD is incredible), but later posted on his twitter following others' similar questions that it wasn't possible.



Toho-Towa is a great distributor, a subsidiary of Toho, and I'm sure they're largely responsible for Illumination becoming a big success in Japan thanks to being better equipped to market to a Japanese audience, and they have key cooperation with Toho (Toho operates roughly a third of Japan's cinemas). I'm confident that they'll continue to deliver with DreamWorks Animation titles in the future as well. Yes, very likely. And the How to Train Your Dragon series is an unfortunate one in the market.The first film had heavy competition from Pixar and Ghibli in Summer 2010, and with DreamWorks Animation films beginning to outright bomb terribly around that time, it was lost in the shuffle. It received excellent reviews, though, and its home video sales were quite impressive, especially compared to its dismal box-office results.The second film didn't receive a theatrical release because DreamWorks Animation had already been abandoned by Fox/Paramount when it was released. There was a petition for the film to be released in Japan by fans, but it didn't result in anything. And Dean DeBlois (director) replied to me on twitter when I messaged him about the issue, saying he was really trying to get it financed and to find a distributor (his passion for HTTYD is incredible), but later posted on his twitter following others' similar questions that it wasn't possible.Toho-Towa is a great distributor, a subsidiary of Toho, and I'm sure they're largely responsible for Illumination becoming a big success in Japan thanks to being better equipped to market to a Japanese audience, and they have key cooperation with Toho (Toho operates roughly a third of Japan's cinemas). I'm confident that they'll continue to deliver with DreamWorks Animation titles in the future as well.

_________________



Japan Box Office



“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”

"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."

“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”

“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”



Wakanda Forever





Tue Mar 27, 2018 6:39 pm

Jack Sparrow Why is the rum gone???

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm

Posts: 32655 Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2018 (Daily Estimates, Pt I hope HTTYD3 finds its audience finally in Japan.





Tue Mar 27, 2018 8:11 pm

Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm

Posts: 29586

Location: The Graveyard Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2018 Spring Break, Week 2 - Daily Estimates (03/26-30)



Monday (03/26)

¥140 million ($1.3 million), 0, ¥935 million ($8.9 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 6

¥135 million ($1.3 million), +148% , ¥3.40 billion ($32.1 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 24

¥125 million ($1.2 million), +47% , ¥1.81 billion ($16.9 million), Coco (Disney) Day 11

¥55 million ($520,000), +04% , ¥835 million ($7.9 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 10

¥40 million ($380,000), -14% , ¥3.75 billion ($35.4 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 39

¥20 million ($190,000), -25% , ¥510 million ($4.8 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 10

¥20 million ($190,000), 0, ¥270 million ($2.5 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 6

¥15 million ($140,000), -32% , ¥850 million ($8.1 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 17

¥15 million ($140,000), -31% , ¥640 million ($5.9 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 17

¥12 million ($115,000), -40% , ¥1.39 billion ($13.0 million), Black Panther (Disney) Day 26



Tuesday (03/27)

¥125 million ($1.2 million), +64% , ¥3.52 billion ($33.3 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 25

¥120 million ($1.1 million), 0, ¥1.05 billion ($10.0 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 7

¥110 million ($1.0 million), +04% , ¥1.92 billion ($17.9 million), Coco (Disney) Day 12

¥50 million ($475,000), -09% , ¥885 million ($8.4 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 11

¥35 million ($330,000), -32% , ¥3.79 billion ($35.7 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 40

¥20 million ($190,000), -32% , ¥530 million ($5.0 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 11

¥15 million ($140,000), 0, ¥285 million ($2.7 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 7

¥15 million ($140,000), -45% , ¥865 million ($8.2 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 18

¥12 million ($115,000), -46% , ¥650 million ($6.0 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 18

¥11 million ($105,000), -56% , ¥1.40 billion ($13.1 million), Black Panther (Disney) Day 27



Wednesday (03/28)

¥175 million ($1.6 million), -54% , ¥3.70 billion ($34.9 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 26

¥175 million ($1.6 million), -51% , ¥2.10 billion ($19.5 million), Coco (Disney) Day 13

¥165 million ($1.5 million), -46% , ¥1.22 billion ($11.5 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 8

¥60 million ($570,000), -56% , ¥945 million ($9.0 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 12

¥60 million ($570,000), -43% , ¥3.85 billion ($36.3 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 41

¥25 million ($235,000), -78% , ¥555 million ($5.2 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 12

¥20 million ($190,000), -74% , ¥305 million ($2.9 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 8

¥20 million ($190,000), -47% , ¥885 million ($8.4 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 19

¥15 million ($140,000), -57% , ¥665 million ($6.1 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 19

¥15 million ($140,000), -60% , ¥140 million ($1.3 million), Laughing Under the Clouds (Shochiku) Day 8



% changes versus same day last week.



NOTE: The Wed-to-Wed drops are large because last Wednesday was a national holiday (Vernal Equinox Day). The day itself though is very good, and percentage wise (versus a typical Monday/Tuesday) is a bit stronger than a usual Wednesday.

_________________



Japan Box Office



“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”

"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."

“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”

“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”



Wakanda Forever





Wed Mar 28, 2018 9:32 am

Jack Sparrow Why is the rum gone???

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm

Posts: 32655 Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2018 (Daily Estimates, Pt Female power coming in and Coco gets above TBB in dailies. I am really liking these updates, get to know the market in more detail. Thanks Corpse





Wed Mar 28, 2018 1:22 pm

pepe pippen The Dark Knight

Joined: Tue Jan 12, 2010 8:25 am

Posts: 735 Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2018 (Daily Estimates, Pt Thursday(admissions)



1.TBB

2.Doraemon

3.Coco





Thu Mar 29, 2018 10:11 am

Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm

Posts: 29586

Location: The Graveyard Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2018 (Daily Estimates, Pt I'd go with Doraemon being #1 in admissions, if just barely. The Boss Baby sold more tickets at the usual locations (75% of the market), but it was just a couple thousand more and Doraemon excels in the unaccounted for theaters in rural areas since it skews really young.



Either way, it was yet again another super close day between all three films like it's been every day since last Wednesday. I'll have Thursday estimates up soon.

_________________



Japan Box Office



“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”

"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."

“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”

“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”



Wakanda Forever





Thu Mar 29, 2018 3:12 pm

Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm

Posts: 29586

Location: The Graveyard Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2018 Spring Break, Week 2 - Daily Estimates (03/26-30)



Monday (03/26)

¥140 million ($1.3 million), 0, ¥935 million ($8.9 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 6

¥135 million ($1.3 million), +148% , ¥3.40 billion ($32.1 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 24

¥125 million ($1.2 million), +47% , ¥1.81 billion ($16.9 million), Coco (Disney) Day 11

¥55 million ($520,000), +04% , ¥835 million ($7.9 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 10

¥40 million ($380,000), -14% , ¥3.75 billion ($35.4 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 39

¥20 million ($190,000), -25% , ¥510 million ($4.8 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 10

¥20 million ($190,000), 0, ¥270 million ($2.5 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 6

¥15 million ($140,000), -32% , ¥850 million ($8.1 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 17

¥15 million ($140,000), -31% , ¥640 million ($5.9 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 17

¥12 million ($115,000), -40% , ¥1.39 billion ($13.0 million), Black Panther (Disney) Day 26



Tuesday (03/27)

¥125 million ($1.2 million), +64% , ¥3.52 billion ($33.3 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 25

¥120 million ($1.1 million), 0, ¥1.05 billion ($10.0 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 7

¥110 million ($1.0 million), +04% , ¥1.92 billion ($17.9 million), Coco (Disney) Day 12

¥50 million ($475,000), -09% , ¥885 million ($8.4 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 11

¥35 million ($330,000), -32% , ¥3.79 billion ($35.7 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 40

¥20 million ($190,000), -32% , ¥530 million ($5.0 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 11

¥15 million ($140,000), 0, ¥285 million ($2.7 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 7

¥15 million ($140,000), -45% , ¥865 million ($8.2 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 18

¥12 million ($115,000), -46% , ¥650 million ($6.0 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 18

¥11 million ($105,000), -56% , ¥1.40 billion ($13.1 million), Black Panther (Disney) Day 27



Wednesday (03/28)

¥175 million ($1.6 million), -54% , ¥3.70 billion ($34.9 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 26

¥175 million ($1.6 million), -51% , ¥2.10 billion ($19.5 million), Coco (Disney) Day 13

¥165 million ($1.5 million), -46% , ¥1.22 billion ($11.5 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 8

¥60 million ($570,000), -56% , ¥945 million ($9.0 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 12

¥60 million ($570,000), -43% , ¥3.85 billion ($36.3 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 41

¥25 million ($235,000), -78% , ¥555 million ($5.2 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 12

¥20 million ($190,000), -74% , ¥305 million ($2.9 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 8

¥20 million ($190,000), -47% , ¥885 million ($8.4 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 19

¥15 million ($140,000), -57% , ¥665 million ($6.1 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 19

¥15 million ($140,000), -60% , ¥140 million ($1.3 million), Laughing Under the Clouds (Shochiku) Day 8



Thursday (03/29)

¥125 million ($1.2 million), +42% , ¥1.34 billion ($12.7 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 9

¥120 million ($1.1 million), +94% , ¥3.82 billion ($36.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 27

¥115 million ($1.1 million), +49% , ¥2.21 billion ($20.6 million), Coco (Disney) Day 14

¥50 million ($470,000), +07% , ¥995 million ($9.5 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 13

¥35 million ($330,000), -07% , ¥3.88 billion ($36.6 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 42

¥20 million ($190,000), -27% , ¥905 million ($8.6 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 20

¥15 million ($140,000), -16% , ¥570 million ($5.4 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 13

¥15 million ($140,000), -43% , ¥320 million ($3.0 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 9

¥11 million ($105,000), -25% , ¥675 million ($6.2 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 20

¥10 million ($95,000), -15% , ¥1.42 billion ($13.3 million), Black Panther (Disney) Day 29



% changes versus same day last week.



NOTE: The Wed-to-Wed drops are large because last Wednesday was a national holiday (Vernal Equinox Day). The day itself though is very good, and percentage wise (versus a typical Monday/Tuesday) is a bit stronger than a usual Wednesday.

_________________



Japan Box Office



“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”

"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."

“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”

“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”



Wakanda Forever





Thu Mar 29, 2018 3:23 pm

Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm

Posts: 29586

Location: The Graveyard Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2018 Spring Break, Week 2 - Daily Estimates (03/26-30)



Monday (03/26)

¥140 million ($1.3 million), 0, ¥935 million ($8.9 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 6

¥135 million ($1.3 million), +148% , ¥3.40 billion ($32.1 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 24

¥125 million ($1.2 million), +47% , ¥1.81 billion ($16.9 million), Coco (Disney) Day 11

¥55 million ($520,000), +04% , ¥835 million ($7.9 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 10

¥40 million ($380,000), -14% , ¥3.75 billion ($35.4 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 39

¥20 million ($190,000), -25% , ¥510 million ($4.8 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 10

¥20 million ($190,000), 0, ¥270 million ($2.5 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 6

¥15 million ($140,000), -32% , ¥850 million ($8.1 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 17

¥15 million ($140,000), -31% , ¥640 million ($5.9 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 17

¥12 million ($115,000), -40% , ¥1.39 billion ($13.0 million), Black Panther (Disney) Day 26



Tuesday (03/27)

¥125 million ($1.2 million), +64% , ¥3.52 billion ($33.3 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 25

¥120 million ($1.1 million), 0, ¥1.05 billion ($10.0 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 7

¥110 million ($1.0 million), +04% , ¥1.92 billion ($17.9 million), Coco (Disney) Day 12

¥50 million ($475,000), -09% , ¥885 million ($8.4 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 11

¥35 million ($330,000), -32% , ¥3.79 billion ($35.7 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 40

¥20 million ($190,000), -32% , ¥530 million ($5.0 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 11

¥15 million ($140,000), 0, ¥285 million ($2.7 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 7

¥15 million ($140,000), -45% , ¥865 million ($8.2 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 18

¥12 million ($115,000), -46% , ¥650 million ($6.0 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 18

¥11 million ($105,000), -56% , ¥1.40 billion ($13.1 million), Black Panther (Disney) Day 27



Wednesday (03/28)

¥175 million ($1.6 million), -54% , ¥3.70 billion ($34.9 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 26

¥175 million ($1.6 million), -51% , ¥2.10 billion ($19.5 million), Coco (Disney) Day 13

¥165 million ($1.5 million), -46% , ¥1.22 billion ($11.5 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 8

¥60 million ($570,000), -56% , ¥945 million ($9.0 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 12

¥60 million ($570,000), -43% , ¥3.85 billion ($36.3 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 41

¥25 million ($235,000), -78% , ¥555 million ($5.2 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 12

¥20 million ($190,000), -74% , ¥305 million ($2.9 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 8

¥20 million ($190,000), -47% , ¥885 million ($8.4 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 19

¥15 million ($140,000), -57% , ¥665 million ($6.1 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 19

¥15 million ($140,000), -60% , ¥140 million ($1.3 million), Laughing Under the Clouds (Shochiku) Day 8



Thursday (03/29)

¥125 million ($1.2 million), +42% , ¥1.34 billion ($12.7 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 9

¥120 million ($1.1 million), +94% , ¥3.82 billion ($36.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 27

¥115 million ($1.1 million), +49% , ¥2.21 billion ($20.6 million), Coco (Disney) Day 14

¥50 million ($470,000), +07% , ¥995 million ($9.5 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 13

¥35 million ($330,000), -07% , ¥3.88 billion ($36.6 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 42

¥20 million ($190,000), -27% , ¥905 million ($8.6 million), Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei) Day 20

¥15 million ($140,000), -16% , ¥570 million ($5.4 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 13

¥15 million ($140,000), -43% , ¥320 million ($3.0 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) Day 9

¥11 million ($105,000), -25% , ¥675 million ($6.2 million), Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.) Day 20

¥10 million ($95,000), -15% , ¥1.42 billion ($13.3 million), Black Panther (Disney) Day 29



Friday (03/30)

¥130 million ($1.2 million), +48% , ¥1.47 billion ($13.9 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 10

¥120 million ($1.1 million), +58% , ¥2.33 billion ($21.7 million), Coco (Disney) Day 15

¥120 million ($1.1 million), +85% , ¥3.94 billion ($37.1 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 28

¥45 million ($420,000), +07% , ¥1.04 billion ($9.9 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 14

¥40 million ($375,000), 0, ¥40 million ($375,000), The Post (Toho-Towa) NEW

¥35 million ($330,000), -13% , ¥3.92 billion ($36.9 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 43

¥25 million ($235,000), 0, ¥25 million ($235,000), Red Sparrow (Fox) NEW

¥15 million ($140,000), 0, ¥15 million ($140,000), The Commuter (Gaga) NEW

¥15 million ($140,000), 0, ¥15 million ($140,000), Valerian: City of a Thousand Planets (Kino Films) NEW

¥15 million ($140,000), -05% , ¥585 million ($5.5 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 14



% changes versus same day last week.



NOTE: The Wed-to-Wed drops are large because last Wednesday was a national holiday (Vernal Equinox Day). The day itself though is very good, and percentage wise (versus a typical Monday/Tuesday) is a bit stronger than a usual Wednesday.

_________________



Japan Box Office



“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”

"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."

“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”

“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”



Wakanda Forever



Last edited by Corpse on Fri Mar 30, 2018 10:18 am, edited 1 time in total.





Fri Mar 30, 2018 10:09 am

Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm

Posts: 29586

Location: The Graveyard Re: Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2018 (Daily Estimates, Pt Unsurprisingly, all the openers this weekend look to disappoint/bomb. Films that are released on the tail-end of holiday periods are typically expected to underperform. The Post probably could be doing a bit more if it had earned any real award recognition. Honey opens tomorrow, adding a fifth wide opener for the weekend, but it's unlikely to make much of an impact either.



I'll post the Weekend Forecast later tonight. The last weekend of March/first weekend of April tends to be very strong for the holdovers, so look for minuscule declines and possible increases for them (especially with the 1st [discount day] landing on a Sunday this weekend) while the openers disappoint. I'm expecting the Top 5 to consist of the holdovers, while the Bottom 5 could potentially be all openers.

_________________



Japan Box Office



“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”

"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."

“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”

“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”



Wakanda Forever





Fri Mar 30, 2018 10:16 am

Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm

Posts: 29586

Location: The Graveyard Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (03/31-04/01) Weekend Forecast (03/31-04/01)

01 (01) ¥407,000,000 ($3.8 million), +08% , ¥2,750,000,000 ($25.6 million), Coco (Disney) WK3

02 (02) ¥389,000,000 ($3.6 million), +10% , ¥1,850,000,000 ($17.5 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) WK2

03 (03) ¥332,000,000 ($3.1 million), +03% , ¥4,275,000,000 ($40.2 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) WK5

04 (05) ¥138,000,000 ($1.3 million), -15% , ¥4,050,000,000 ($38.1 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) WK7

05 (04) ¥132,000,000 ($1.2 million), -22% , ¥1,175,000,000 ($11.2 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) WK3

06 (---) ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥165,000,000 ($1.5 million), The Post (Toho-Towa) NEW

07 (---) ¥80,000,000 ($750,000), 0, ¥105,000,000 ($980,000), Red Sparrow (Fox) NEW

08 (---) ¥75,000,000 ($705,000), 0, ¥90,000,000 ($845,000), Valerian: City of a Thousand Planets (Gaga) NEW

09 (06) ¥71,000,000 ($670,000), -25% , ¥650,000,000 ($6.2 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) WK3

10 (07) ¥68,000,000 ($640,000), -35% , ¥400,000,000 ($3.7 million), Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.) WK2



It's going to be once again, for the third-consecutive weekend, a very close race for the #1 spot. Coco, The Boss Baby, and Doraemon have remained incredibly close to one another on a day-to-day basis since March 21st, and that's not going to change just yet. All three films are looking at increases, with the former two likely to see the biggest potential gains and be the real race for #1 since Doraemon mostly benefits over the weekdays versus weekends during Spring Break (it'll keep the admissions race close, again).



I believe Coco will edge out the victory again to claim its third-consecutive weekend at #1, but I also believe it'll come in second/third in admissions for a third-consecutive weekend as well.



>The Post appears to be the only opener to make much of an impact over the weekend, and if it gets lucky, it may manage to crack the Top 5. This film probably would have been a little bigger in the market had it performed better during award season, considering its star power.



>Red Sparrow and Valerian: City of a Thousand Planets are likely to miss the ¥100 million mark in their debuts, unless they receive a significant boost tomorrow. Neither film was expected to perform well, but missing ¥100 million on a discounted weekend with Spring Break in effect (even if it primarily boosts weekdays) is underwhelming.



>Honey isn't included in my forecast because its morning ticket sales are abysmal, but its pre-sales are solid, so it likely has some stage greetings happening later. It's not playing very wide, so unless it has an ample number of stage greetings today AND tomorrow, I don't really seeing it making the Top 10. We'll see -- accurately predicting a barely wide film with stage greetings on a discount weekend is just luck.

_________________



Japan Box Office



“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”

"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."

“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”

“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”



Wakanda Forever





Fri Mar 30, 2018 9:40 pm

pepe pippen The Dark Knight

Joined: Tue Jan 12, 2010 8:25 am

Posts: 735 Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (03/31-04/01) Saturday admissions(usual locations)



1.Coco-78,408

2.TBB-77,694

3.Doraemon-65,810





Sat Mar 31, 2018 3:31 pm

Jack Sparrow Why is the rum gone???

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm

Posts: 32655 Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (03/31-04/01) Incredibly close for Top 3 again. How big of a drop well these the see next weekend after the holidays?





Sat Mar 31, 2018 8:52 pm

pepe pippen The Dark Knight

Joined: Tue Jan 12, 2010 8:25 am

Posts: 735 Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (03/31-04/01) Sunday:



Coco-134,401.

TBB-123,168.

Doraemon-111,195.





Sun Apr 01, 2018 10:38 am

Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm

Posts: 29586

Location: The Graveyard Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (03/31-04/01) I'll have Weekend Estimates up soon.



Very good weekend, maybe slightly weaker than what I forecast above. And while the race for #1 was close again, it was less so this weekend, meaning Coco does repeat for a third weekend and probably claimed its first weekend victory in admissions.

_________________



Japan Box Office



“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”

"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."

“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”

“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”



Wakanda Forever



Last edited by Corpse on Sun Apr 01, 2018 12:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.





Sun Apr 01, 2018 12:08 pm

Jack Sparrow Why is the rum gone???

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm

Posts: 32655 Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (03/31-04/01) Given those updates from Pepe it does look like Coco won the weekend overall and quite comfortably.





Sun Apr 01, 2018 12:22 pm

Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm

Posts: 29586

Location: The Graveyard Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (03/31-04/01)

(C)2018 Disney/Pixar. All Rights Reserved.



Weekend Estimates (03/31-04/01)

01 (01) ¥397,000,000 ($3.7 million), +06% , ¥2,750,000,000 ($25.6 million), Coco (Disney) WK3

02 (02) ¥359,000,000 ($3.3 million), +02% , ¥1,825,000,000 ($17.3 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) WK2

03 (03) ¥317,000,000 ($3.0 million), -02% , ¥4,250,000,000 ($40.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) WK5

04 (04) ¥141,000,000 ($1.3 million), -17% , ¥1,175,000,000 ($11.2 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) WK3

05 (05) ¥135,000,000 ($1.3 million), -18% , ¥4,050,000,000 ($38.1 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) WK7

06 (---) ¥130,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥170,000,000 ($1.6 million), The Post (Toho-Towa) NEW

07 (---) ¥75,000,000 ($705,000), 0, ¥100,000,000 ($940,000), Red Sparrow (Fox) NEW

08 (06) ¥62,000,000 ($580,000), -35% , ¥650,000,000 ($6.2 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) WK3

09 (---) ¥55,000,000 ($520,000), 0, ¥55,000,000 ($520,000), Honey (Toei/Showgate) NEW

10 (---) ¥55,000,000 ($520,000), 0, ¥55,000,000 ($520,000), The Commuter (Gaga) NEW



Note: Everything performed approx. 5-10% better in terms of admissions this weekend (e.g. a 20% decline in gross is likely a 10% decline in admissions) due to the 1st (discount day) falling on the weekend; however, that drives down the weekend average ticket prices. And as such, estimates can vary more versus actuals when this happens.



Coco continues to reign atop the box-office over the weekend, likely securing a third-consecutive week at #1 and earning its first weekend at #1 in admissions -- it had ranked second in admissions the last two weekends. Overall, Pixar's latest is doing very well, and is aiming for a total around ¥4.5 billion ($40 million+), which would be above the standard Pixar gross of ¥4 billion. Can Japan get it to $800 million worldwide?



The Boss Baby is already DreamWorks Animation's fifth or sixth (pending actuals) highest-grossing film ever, and its second weekend is bigger than any opening weekend for any DreamWorks Animation film as well. It's locked now to outgross Shrek 2 to become the studio's highest-grossing film in the market, and it's not going to be close, really. The surprise hit is aiming for a total above ¥3 billion ($30 million).



Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island remains in third place, and delivers the biggest fifth weekend in franchise history. The thirty-eighth entry in the series is now just a few hundred million away from becoming the highest-grossing film in franchise, and should finish around ¥5.5 billion ($50 million+).



The Greatest Showman, as usual, holds well once again and should have exceeded the ¥4 billion milestone after Sunday. It's going to surpass The Phantom of the Opera in the coming days to become the fourth highest-grossing live-action musical in the market, and is very likely to outgross La La Land to become the third highest-grossing live-action musical as well. Incredible success.



The Post, depending on tomorrow's actuals, might have cracked the Top 5, but either way its debut is a tad disappointing. If the film had any award buzz, I believe it could have opened above ¥200 million without much trouble. As is, it's going to be a struggle to reach the ¥1 billion ($10 million) milestone, and I'd bet against it doing so.



Red Sparrow performed alright given the little expectations. It might be able to reach ¥500 million ($5 million), which I'd consider decent enough since Lawrence isn't a known name in the market (The Hunger Games franchise bombed, X-Men franchise has a very niche audience, etc.).

_________________



Japan Box Office



“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”

"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."

“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”

“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”



Wakanda Forever





Sun Apr 01, 2018 12:44 pm

Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm

Posts: 29586

Location: The Graveyard Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (03/31-04/01) Jack Sparrow wrote: Incredibly close for Top 3 again. How big of a drop well these the see next weekend after the holidays?



Nothing too bad, look for drops in the 30-40% range. The weekdays is where you'll see the huge drops, probably declines of 70-80%. Schools are still out the first few days of April, though, so they'll be benefiting from Spring Break for a little bit longer. Nothing too bad, look for drops in the 30-40% range. The weekdays is where you'll see the huge drops, probably declines of 70-80%. Schools are still out the first few days of April, though, so they'll be benefiting from Spring Break for a little bit longer.

_________________



Japan Box Office



“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”

"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."

“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”

“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”



Wakanda Forever





Sun Apr 01, 2018 1:41 pm

Jack Sparrow Why is the rum gone???

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm

Posts: 32655 Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (03/31-04/01)



I wonder how much would TBB have made without the Spring holidays boost. Cool. Thanks as always for the infoI wonder how much would TBB have made without the Spring holidays boost.





Sun Apr 01, 2018 2:06 pm

Chaplainfan Full Fledged Member

Joined: Fri Mar 24, 2017 9:12 pm

Posts: 57 Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (03/31-04/01) Hey Corpse,



On IMDB I just found that the Spider-Man movie spinoff Venom will be released in December of this year in Japan, Since it is a spin-off of Spider-Man who is the most popular Western Superhero in Japan and Since Venom had an appearance in Spider-Man 3 from 2007 which was a success in Japan Can Venom since it is Spider-Man related do good numbers like between 1 to 2 billion yen in Japan?



Last edited by Chaplainfan on Mon Apr 02, 2018 10:16 am, edited 1 time in total.





Sun Apr 01, 2018 11:58 pm

pepe pippen The Dark Knight

Joined: Tue Jan 12, 2010 8:25 am

Posts: 735 Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (03/31-04/01) Monday:



1.TBB-72,979.

2.Doraemon-58,816.

3.Coco-56,410.





Mon Apr 02, 2018 9:52 am

Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm

Posts: 29586

Location: The Graveyard Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (03/31-04/01) Chaplainfan wrote: Hey Corpse,



On IMDB I just found that the Spider-Man movie spinoff Venom will be released in December of this year in Japan, Since it is a spin-off of Spider-Man who is the most popular Western Superhero in Japan and Since Venom had an appearance in Spider-Man 3 from 2007 which was a success in Japan Can Venom since it is Spider-Man related do good numbers like between 1 to 2 billion yen in Japan?





I wouldn't expect much from it. Maybe ¥1 billion if Sony doesn't mess the marketing up. I wouldn't expect much from it. Maybe ¥1 billion if Sony doesn't mess the marketing up.

_________________



Japan Box Office



“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”

"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."

“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”

“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”



Wakanda Forever





Mon Apr 02, 2018 11:13 am

Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm

Posts: 29586

Location: The Graveyard Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (03/31-04/01) The Weekend Actuals that are available right now are pretty close to my estimates (although I did overestimate Coco's cumulative total), so I'm going to go ahead and post Monday's Estimates and adjust them afterwards where needed. Weekend Actuals will, of course, be posted later this evening when they're all available.



The box-office is still benefiting from Spring Break, and should for a few more days, so I'll keep posting daily estimates until things return back to normal (probably on Thursday or Friday).

_________________



Japan Box Office



“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”

"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."

“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”

“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”



Wakanda Forever





Mon Apr 02, 2018 11:26 am

Corpse Don't Dream It, Be It

Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm

Posts: 29586

Location: The Graveyard Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (03/31-04/01) Spring Break 2018 - Daily Estimates, Final Days (04/02-06)



Monday (04/02)

¥135,000,000 ($1.3 million), -03% , ¥1,950,000,000 ($18.6 million), The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa) Day 13

¥115,000,000 ($1.1 million), -15% , ¥2,800,000,000 ($26.2 million), Coco (Disney) Day 18

¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million), -24% , ¥4,350,000,000 ($40.9 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho) Day 31

¥45,000,000 ($425,000), -21% , ¥1,240,000,000 ($11.7 million), Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho) Day 17

¥25,000,000 ($235,000), 0, ¥195,000,000 ($1.8 million), The Post (Toho-Towa) Day 4

¥25,000,000 ($235,000), -38% , ¥4,110,000,000 ($38.6 million), The Greatest Showman (Fox) Day 46

¥15,000,000 ($140,000), 0, ¥115,000,000 ($1.1 million), Red Sparrow (Fox) Day 4

¥15,000,000 ($140,000), -31% , ¥660,000,000 ($6.3 million), Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei) Day 17

¥13,000,000 ($120,000), 0, ¥77,000,000 ($725,000), Honey (Toei/Showgate) Day 3

¥10,000,000 ($95,000), 0, ¥92,000,000 ($865,000), The Commuter (Gaga) Day 3



% changes versus same day last week.

_________________



Japan Box Office



“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”

"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."

“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”

“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”



Wakanda Forever



Last edited by Corpse on Mon Apr 02, 2018 6:46 pm, edited 2 times in total.





Mon Apr 02, 2018 11:55 am

pepe pippen The Dark Knight

Joined: Tue Jan 12, 2010 8:25 am

Posts: 735 Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (03/31-04/01) Thanks.





Mon Apr 02, 2018 1:20 pm