Following a busy Labor Day weekend, Warner Brothers looks poised to hold onto first for the fifth weekend in a row, as The Nun is set to start off with an opening that could top $40 million. Meanwhile, STX will hope that the third time is the charm with Peppermint, while Crazy Rich Asians should continue its excellent performance.

The Nun is the latest installment of the Conjuring cinematic universe, and follows up last years surprise success Annabelle: Creation, which surprised by opening just a tad below its predecessor, and then legging it out to over $100 million domestic. So far, all four films in the Conjuring franchise have opened to over $35 million, and all but one have closed over $100 million. That’s an incredible result for any franchise this young, and it doesn’t seem like there’s any reason why The Nun would end that winning streak.

New Line has wisely taken a few pages out of the It playbook, by releasing this film on the same post-Labor Day weekend as last year (back from its original mid-July release date), as well as releasing the film in IMAX, and essentially having a monopoly on other premium screens without much in terms of competition. Unfortunately, critics have trashed the film, with it currently sitting at a rotten 38%. That didn’t stop Annabelle back in 2014, however, but may spring a leak in its chances of hitting $40 million.

After two strikeouts in August, STX is trying their hand once again with Peppermint, an original R rated action film starring Jennifer Garner. The studio is on shaky ground after both The Happytime Murders and Mile 22 both flopped, but Peppermint does seem to have an outside chance at being a surprise hit. For one, the premise has been clearly laid out in all the advertising, STX is also scaling back the release of this one, opting for around 2,850 locations, whereas Happytime and Mile were in 3,200+ and 3,500+ respectively. Tracking currently has it opening around $10-13 million, which is the same range as both the aforementioned titles, though don’t be shocked if it winds up a bit higher.

The other new release of the weekend is God Bless the Broken Road, a faith based pic targeting around 1,200 locations. This is being released just one week before another faith related title, the unofficial sequel Unbroken: Path to Redemption. While these types of films aren’t exactly uncommon, it is certainly unusual to see two of them being released back to back. Expect low single digits for the weekend.

Predictions

The Nun – $36 million Crazy Rich Asians – $17 million Peppermint – $14.5 million The Meg – $5.7 million Searching – $3.9 million

God Bless the Broken Road – $2.9 million