Early exit poll: Clinton winning ground game

More voters say they were contacted by Hillary Clinton’s campaign than by Donald Trump’s, according to new, preliminary results from a Morning Consult/POLITICO Exit Poll that appear to confirm Clinton’s organizational advantage in the presidential race.

Seventeen percent of voters say they were contacted by Clinton’s campaign by phone or in person, compared to only 8 percent who say Trump’s camp reached them. Another 9 percent say they were contacted by both campaigns, and 62 percent say neither campaign made contact with them.


The results – based on online interviews with 9,704 early and Election-Day voters – are preliminary and could change significantly as the day goes on.

The Morning Consult/POLITICO Exit Poll also shows little “Obama effect” at the ballot box. Twenty-one percent of voters said their vote was to express support for President Barack Obama, while 19 percent said it was to express opposition to Obama. A 55-percent majority said their opinion of Obama was not a factor, but a 69-percent majority expect Clinton to mainly continue Obama’s policies.

Despite pre-election polls showing neither candidate poised to win a majority of the vote on Tuesday, a 55-percent majority thinks the winner of the election “has a mandate to take the country towards the vision they spoke about during the campaign,” while 23 percent don’t think the winner will have a mandate. Another 22 percent aren’t sure.

The Morning Consult/POLITICO Exit Poll was conducted October 18 - November 8, 2016 among 9,704 early/Election Day Voters. The interviews were conducted online and the data were weighted to approximate a target sample of registered voters based on age, race/ethnicity, gender, educational attainment. The results have a margin of error of +/- 1 percent.

Morning Consult is a nonpartisan media and technology company that provides data-driven research and insights on politics, policy and business strategy.

More details on the poll and its methodology can be found here: http://bit.ly/2fwxraE