Top psephologists of the country on Friday said the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), look poised to secure a majority in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections.

Speaking at the "Crystal Ball: Who's winning #India2019. And why" session at India Today Conclave 2019, the number crunchers predicted that NDA government and BJP are well-placed to perform well in the elections in the wake of the Pulwama terror attack.

Pradeep Gupta, psephologist, Axis My India, explained that each election has three major components: People, leaders, governmenance of the day.

He made an important point saying that the concept of elections has transformed in India and most people vote as if they are directly electing the leader, even if it is a Lok Sabha election.

He was of the view that NDA government is currently in a very good position and could very well achieve 300 plus seats in the upcoming general elections.

Congress data expert Praveen Chakravarthy, on the other hand, suggested that it is very important for leaders to work on the ground and "resonate with the people".

Citing the three assembly election victories, he said the Congress party has been activiely taking party in regional politics and stiching alliances to take on BJP.

He said the seat sharing, taking into consideration the current state off affairs, will be 180 seats for the NDA, 180 for the United Progressive Alliance (UPA) and 180 for others.

Sandeep Shastri, psephologist, Lokniti CSDS, stressed on Gupta's point who mentioned that the concept of elections have transformed in India. He said it is important to understand to understand the voters at a regional level as it affects the political outcome at the Centre.

"Every state is voting differently so it is important to understand what goes on in the state level. Leadership at the local level equally important at a state level," he said.

"We have not done our surveys yet; I think after events of last two weeks, NDA seems to be close to majority mark, not the BJP. 269-272 for NDA but in the campaign spark could push numbers close to 2014 mark," he added.

VK Bajaj, a psephologist from Today's Chanakya, said clearly that the momentum at present is with the ruling party at the Centre. However, he mentioned that several factors could weigh upon the election including, especially any new development in Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal.

He declined when asked to predict the fate of the Lok Sabha elections 2019. "At the moment, no numbers from me. The base is not clear," he said.

Cvoter psephologist Yashwant Deshmukh said it is going to be a normal election. He went on to suggest that BJP could see a 5 per cent upswing in votes.

"Everything went right for the BJP that could go right. On today's date, I agree with what Rahul is saying, clear advantage BJP and NDA," he said. He said BJP could either win by an absolute majority, adding that the NDA is closer to a majority.

Political leader Yogendra Yadav, however, was not impressed with the predictions. He said if the election is played out in its fundamentals, the outcome would be against the BJP.

"If you go by Agriculture, employment and other fundamentals, BJP will lose at least 100 seats from 2014," he said.

"Don't know how Pulwama will affect the elections. This is one of the most brazen attempts to rob democrcy of its electoral mandate," he added.

"War as a means to win elections, national security a petty game. If you would have asked me 2 weeks ago, BJP around 170 and NDA below 200. After Pulwama BJP has got an advantage," Yadav said.

Rahul Verma, psephologist, CPR Fellow, Doctoral Candidate, Berkeley said BJP was in a tough spot in 2019 but have improved their position since losing three states to Congress last year.

He said the government has now become cautious of its actions and paying more attention to regional issues. Though he was apprehensive about giving a clear cut number, he predicted the NDA to win 270 seats.