With less than two weeks to go before the election, some polls suggest the race for governor in the Garden State appears to be all but over.

A new Quinnipiac University poll finds Democrat Phil Murphy leading Republican Kim Guadagno 57-37 percent.

The survey finds women voters favor Murphy 65-29 percent, and men favor Murphy 49-45.

Peter Brown, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll, said Murphy’s lead looks very difficult to overcome.

“He’s basically even among men, which is a Republican voting group, and he’s up 38 points among women — 38 points is a lot of points.”

Overall, Murphy has the support of 92 percent of Democrats, while Guadagno gets 89 percent of the Republican Vote.

Brown noted Murphy is “even getting 8 percent of the Republican vote, which is twice as much as Lt. Gov. Guadagno is getting among Democrats.”

Independent voters, meanwhile, favor Murphy 52 to 39 percent.

The poll also finds 83 percent of likely voters who can name a candidate for governor indicate their mind is made up, while 14 percent say it’s possible they may change their mind about who to cast their ballot for.

Brown adds the poll shows Murphy with a 44-34 percent favorability rating among likely voters, while Guadagno get’s a negative 33-41 percent favorability.

“History is not replete with a lot of examples of candidates who are down 20 points with less than twoweeks to go and coming back,” he said.

So what are voters most concerned about?

“Thirty-six percent of voters site taxes as the main issue and that’s obviously a huge chunk. The overall economy is sited by 14 percent," Brown said.

Eleven percent of poll respondents said they’re most concerned about health care, while 9 percent site education as the No. 1 issue.

Brown said fellow Republicans Chris Christie, with a 15 percent approval rating, and President Donald Trump with a 33 percent job approval rating, are hurting, not helping Guadagno’s chances.

The poll also finds 51 percent of respondents say Guadagno’s role as Christie’s lieutenant governor has a negative impact on their opinion of her, while 10 percent say it has a positive impact.

Thirty-seven percent say it doesn’t matter one way or the other.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,049 New Jersey likely voters over the phone, between Oct. 19. and 24, with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percentage points.

After the poll was released, Guadagno campaign pollster Adam Geller — who also worked as a pollster for the Trump campaign — questioned the results, releasing the following statement:

"Public polls have been wrong time and time again, and this Quinnipiac poll is no different. They used a random digit dialing methodology, a great methodology if you’re doing market research to sell soap but a terrible methodology for most elections, which is why internal campaign pollsters avoid it," he said.

You can contact reporter David Matthau at David.Matthau@townsquaremedia.com

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