Note:

Vote totals for Elizabeth Warren represents estimated early vote shares. Those who have not voted have had their vote imputed from second choice.

Data for Progress conducted a poll of 348 likely MO voters from 03/04/2020 to 03/07/2020. Likely voters were identified from the voter file and weighted to a likely electorate. The survey was conducted via text-to-web and web panel, with 47% from text to web and 53% from panel data. The margin of error is +/- 5.3

Data for Progress conducted a poll of 340 likely MS voters from 03/04/2020 to 03/07/2020. Likely voters were identified from the voter file and weighted to a likely electorate. The survey was conducted via text-to-web and web panel, with 86% from text to web and 14% from panel data. The margin of error is +/- 5.1