There’s still plenty of baseball left in the 2013 season, but fans already have an idea of which players are heading toward one of the league’s biggest annual awards.

Detroit Tigers slugger and last year’s winner Miguel Cabrera is well ahead of the pack of American League contenders with 39% of Major League Baseball fans who say he’s been the most valuable player this season. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that Baltimore’s Chris Davis, who is currently sitting on 40 homeruns, is in a distant second with 19% of the vote. Eight percent (8%) of fans think veteran David Ortiz of the Boston Red Sox has been this year’s MVP, while nearly as many (7%) say the same of Los Angeles Angels outfielder Mike Trout.

Ten percent (10%) think someone not named in the survey is the current MVP, while 12% more are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

The field for the National League MVP is a little tighter and features two catchers in the top three. Veteran catcher Yadier Molina of the St. Louis Cardinals comes in first with 20% of the vote for MVP, while 13% prefer Colorado Rockies outfielder Carlos Gonzalez. San Francisco Giants catcher and last year’s MVP Buster Posey comes in at 10% while New York Mets pitching sensation Matt Harvey draws seven percent (7%) of the vote. Six percent (6%) believe Cincinnati Reds slugger Joey Votto has been the league’s MVP so far this season. One in five fans (19%) thinks someone else not named in the survey should win, while just as many are undecided.

Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright and Arizona Diamondbacks first baseman Paul Goldschmidt each receive less than five percent (5%) support.

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The national survey of 745 baseball fans was conducted on July 17-18, 2013 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.