But 65 per cent of women polled would preference the Liberals first or higher than Labor. This would translate into women making up 57 per cent of the Liberal Party's two-party preferred vote. If this result was repeated across the state, Ms Harvey would be holding an election-winning lead. The confidential briefing also suggested that fewer women than men believe the McGowan Government has delivered on its 2017 election promise to address unemployment and create more jobs. Only 20 per cent of women believed the state government had created more jobs, as opposed to 30 per cent of men.

Ms Harvey told Nine News Perth's Gary Adshead that women were worried about job security, mortgage stress, and the state of the economy and Labor had failed on its promise to create more jobs. "Women are often the ones who pay the bills in the family household and certainly among my family and friends, many of us have children who are teenagers and into their 20s who can't find work," she said. Ms Harvey said the government was failing to resolve the issues of unemployment, cost of living, the sluggish economy and Labor's promise to create more jobs. "None of those things have happened," she said.

"You get between a mother and the success of her child, you're in pretty dangerous territory and I think that's where this government is at the moment." According to the confidential briefing, Roe 8 and 9 was supported by two thirds of voters in both the northern and southern suburbs. While the document listed the seats the party could target at the next election, including some presumed to be safe for Labor such as Willagee and Baldivis, it did not include details of the party's primary vote. University of Notre Dame politics expert Martin Drum said the polling numbers in the leaked document seemed overly optimistic, but the electorate was so volatile the Liberals were not out contention in the 2021 election despite Labor's massive majority.

"I've always believed that the Liberal Party are not out of the 2021 election, and just as there was a big swing last time, it can always go back the other way," he said. "Having said that, there are some elements of the polling that sound a bit too good to be true. "I would actually expect the Liberals to be leading in some of those marginal seats, particularly the outliers that Labor won probably against the odds." But Dr Drum said he would be surprised if the Liberals picked up seats like Kingsway, Willagee or Baldivis, which were "pretty solid Labor".

Loading He said the data showing two out of every three women would be voting Liberal seemed like an outlier. "I'm not that surprised that the Coalition would do better with women than we often expect, there's a sense that Labor has women's issues, but that ignores the fact that there's a whole range of cost of living issues that affect women disproportionately," he said. "I'm not surprised they're doing better, it's just the extent that really surprised me." A Liberal majority?

Liza Harvey's Liberals need to win 17 seats to take government in their own right, but only 11 to form government in coalition with the WA Nationals. According to the Path to Victory document, the Liberals could pick up a swag of seats in Perth's northern and eastern suburbs and in regional WA. A page from the WA Liberal document reveals seats the party could target ahead of the 2021 state election. In the regions, the party would target Albany and Collie, where MPs Peter Watson and Mick Murray are expected to retire and the seats of Murray-Wellington, the Pilbara and Bunbury, all held by first-term Labor MPs. In the northern suburbs, the document's Liberal majority "path to victory" suggests targeting Joondalup, Burns Beach, Balcatta, Kingsley, Wanneroo, Mount Lawley and the new seat of Kingsway.