Average of polls shows Labour ahead by six percent – best in five years and big enough for a clear parliamentary majority

Vote being cast at a polling station

A new graph of average ‘Westminster voting intention’ polling figures for the last two months shows Labour turning a Tory lead of almost eight points in March to a Labour lead of six points:

Graphic: Matt Thomas (@Trickyjabs)

As the chart’s creator Matt Thomas observed:

Labour now has a 6% lead in GE poll of polls over the Tories. Their highest lead since Feb 2014. Two months ago the Tories were leading by 7.6%. This is a record polling swing outside of a GE campaign.

But that’s not all. The latest polls suggest that if a general election was held now, Labour would win a convincing majority in the House of Commons – wiping out some of the Tories’ best-known names in the process:

Yes. If Labour's vote goes up even by 3% during a GE campaign (and given media neutrality, I think that's very likely), they would get a landslide. That may be absurd on only 37%, but that's FPTP for you. — Tom Gauterin (@Ruralmaestro) May 14, 2019

SKWAWKBOX view:

The concerted efforts of mainstream media and anti-Labour mouthpieces both inside and outside the party have persuaded some Labour activists that things are going badly under Jeremy Corbyn – a shameless return to the pre-2017 narrative.



But the numbers show that in spite of the complexity and challenges of the current situation, with the appalling rise of the far-right fuelled by the reckless arrogance of many centrists, Corbyn’s Labour is steering a course for the good of – and that appeals to – the many.



There’s certainly no room for complacency – Labour led in 2014 but lost the 2015 general election under Miliband. But there’s also neither room nor cause for despair. Labour are on course for government – and no MSM water-muddying should be allowed to divert or detract from that fact.

The SKWAWKBOX needs your support. This blog is provided free of charge but depends on the generosity of its readers to be viable. If you can afford to, please click here to arrange a one-off or modest monthly donation via PayPal or here for a monthly donation via GoCardless. Thanks for your solidarity so this blog can keep bringing you information the Establishment would prefer you not to know about.

If you wish to reblog this post for non-commercial use, you are welcome to do so – see here for more.

Like this: Like Loading...