We know the Chargers aren't very good. That's been made evident each week they step on the field. Whatever success they had to start the season quickly vanished following the epic collapse against the Broncos, a collapse from which the team has never been able to recover.

When we last visited these rankings (way back in Week 11), the Chargers were in the midst of a slide down the rankings. They continued to slide the last 3 weeks. What's evident here is that things haven't changed much in the last 3 weeks. I'm still unconvinced about the Colts, Texans are still the top team, etcetera etcetera etcetera. That's not to say there aren't some surprises or interesting trends.

Division Averages

Division Avg Ranking AFC North 13.5972 NFC North 14.0972 NFC West 14.4028 NFC South 15.2083 AFC East 16.8750 NFC East 17.0139 AFC South 18.5278 AFC West 22.2778

The AFC West is terrible and it's not even close. What amuses me, though, is how the NFC East is hyped up as a powerhouse division, but they're the worst NFC division at this point.

Stock Rising

Team Week 11 Average Week 14 Average Difference WAS 21.472 13.438 8.034 CIN 18.330 11.225 7.105 CLE 28.307 24.063 4.244 NE 6.881 2.663 4.218 BUF 26.188 22.063 4.125

All five teams are east of the Mississippi, and both Ohio teams are on this list.

Stock Falling

Team Week 11 Average Week 14 Average Difference MIN 14.938 19.775 -4.837 CHI 4.233 8.850 -4.617 PHI 24.540 28.638 -4.098 DET 16.767 20.163 -3.396 ARI 22.267 25.488 -3.221

All NFC teams.

Subjective Average

Subjective Texans 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.000 0.000 Falcons 2 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 3 2.500 -0.409 Patriots 3 4 3 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 2.700 4.936 Broncos 5 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3.900 2.282 49ers 4 5 6 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5.100 -0.373 Packers 7 6 7 6 5 6 8 7 6 7 6.500 -1.500 Ravens 6 7 5 7 8 7 7 6 7 6 6.600 -0.236 Bears 8 10 8 8 11 11 10 9 8 9 9.200 -5.109 Giants 10 12 11 10 13 8 6 8 9 8 9.500 1.318 Seahawks 12 8 12 12 7 10 9 13 10 12 10.500 0.773 Colts 9 13 10 11 9 12 11 11 12 10 10.800 0.564 Steelers 13 11 13 9 12 9 12 10 11 11 11.100 -3.100 Bengals 11 9 9 13 10 13 13 12 14 13 11.700 6.209 Redskins 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 14 13 14 14.000 8.818 Buccaneers 15 15 15 15 17 16 14 15 15 15 15.200 -1.927 Cowboys 16 16 16 16 18 15 16 16 17 16 16.200 0.073 Saints 18 18 18 18 16 17 17 18 18 17 17.500 -2.864 Vikings 17 19 19 17 19 18 18 17 16 18 17.800 -3.800 Rams 19 17 17 19 15 19 19 24 20 19 18.800 3.655 Dolphins 20 21 25 20 20 20 20 20 19 20 20.500 -1.136 Bills 23 23 21 21 21 22 22 19 22 21 21.500 4.500 Lions 21 22 24 22 24 21 23 22 21 22 22.200 -4.291 Jets 22 25 20 23 25 23 21 23 24 23 22.900 3.918 Browns 24 20 26 24 22 25 24 25 25 25 24.000 5.364 Chargers 25 24 23 25 28 24 25 26 23 24 24.700 -4.518 Titans 26 27 22 26 23 26 27 21 27 26 25.100 -1.645 Cardinals 27 26 27 28 27 28 26 28 26 28 27.100 -5.191 Panthers 28 31 28 27 26 27 29 27 28 27 27.800 0.382 Eagles 30 30 29 29 29 29 28 32 29 29 29.400 -5.945 Chiefs 31 29 30 30 30 30 30 31 32 30 30.300 1.155 Jaguars 32 28 31 31 31 32 31 30 31 32 30.900 0.646 Raiders 29 32 32 32 32 31 32 29 30 31 31.000 -2.545

Observations:

The "Change in Value" column is referencing Week 11, not Week 13 because I never entered the rankings for Weeks 12 or 13. #Baby

You'll notice no Sports Illustrated this week. Don Banks hadn't posted his power rankings at the time I published this post.

It's clear who the pundits feel belong in the top 12. Well, actually it's the top 13, but the top 13 teams in this list have an average ranking of less than 12.

Chargers keep falling.

Whoah, Raiders are now the consensus worst team in the league, supplanting the Chiefs.

Subjective Standard Deviation

Subjective Texans 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.000 0.000 Redskins 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 14 13 14 0.447 -1.920 Falcons 2 3 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 3 0.500 0.212 49ers 4 5 6 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 0.539 -1.117 Patriots 3 4 3 2 2 3 2 3 3 2 0.640 -0.428 Saints 18 18 18 18 16 17 17 18 18 17 0.671 -0.627 Broncos 5 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 0.700 -1.100 Cowboys 16 16 16 16 18 15 16 16 17 16 0.748 -1.066 Buccaneers 15 15 15 15 17 16 14 15 15 15 0.748 -0.465 Chiefs 31 29 30 30 30 30 30 31 32 30 0.781 0.283 Ravens 6 7 5 7 8 7 7 6 7 6 0.800 -0.632 Packers 7 6 7 6 5 6 8 7 6 7 0.806 -0.322 Cardinals 27 26 27 28 27 28 26 28 26 28 0.831 -0.165 Vikings 17 19 19 17 19 18 18 17 16 18 0.980 -0.065 Eagles 30 30 29 29 29 29 28 32 29 29 1.020 -0.951 Lions 21 22 24 22 24 21 23 22 21 22 1.077 0.081 Bills 23 23 21 21 21 22 22 19 22 21 1.118 -0.296 Jaguars 32 28 31 31 31 32 31 30 31 32 1.136 0.638 Bears 8 10 8 8 11 11 10 9 8 9 1.166 -0.277 Raiders 29 32 32 32 32 31 32 29 30 31 1.183 0.195 Colts 9 13 10 11 9 12 11 11 12 10 1.249 0.270 Panthers 28 31 28 27 26 27 29 27 28 27 1.327 -0.314 Steelers 13 11 13 9 12 9 12 10 11 11 1.375 -0.532 Chargers 25 24 23 25 28 24 25 26 23 24 1.418 -1.468 Jets 22 25 20 23 25 23 21 23 24 23 1.513 0.484 Dolphins 20 21 25 20 20 20 20 20 19 20 1.565 -0.258 Browns 24 20 26 24 22 25 24 25 25 25 1.673 0.447 Bengals 11 9 9 13 10 13 13 12 14 13 1.735 0.059 Seahawks 12 8 12 12 7 10 9 13 10 12 1.911 1.049 Giants 10 12 11 10 13 8 6 8 9 8 2.013 0.747 Titans 26 27 22 26 23 26 27 21 27 26 2.119 0.195 Rams 19 17 17 19 15 19 19 24 20 19 2.227 -0.004

Observations:

Texans still the unanimous number-1 team.

Oh wow, look at the Redskins' consensus. Almost right in the middle and everyone is in agreement with that.

The Saints, Cowboys and Buccaneers are also pretty consistently-ranked in the middle.

Overall, teams are more consistently ranked this week. Look at how many green arrows there are compared to red arrows.

Objective Average

Objective Patriots 1 8 1 1 3 1 1 5 2.625 3.500 Texans 8 3 2 2 1 2 4 1 2.875 -0.750 Broncos 2 1 3 4 5 9 3 2 3.625 0.250 49ers 4 2 5 3 9 3 2 3 3.875 0.500 Falcons 14 7 4 7 4 7 7 4 6.750 0.375 Giants 7 6 12 6 8 5 6 11 7.625 3.500 Seahawks 3 5 9 9 10 10 8 7 7.625 0.000 Bears 6 14 13 5 11 4 5 10 8.500 -4.125 Packers 5 11 6 8 13 13 9 6 8.875 -3.750 Ravens 10 20 7 10 2 6 10 9 9.250 -0.625 Bengals 9 10 11 12 7 12 13 12 10.750 8.000 Steelers 13 16 10 14 6 11 14 8 11.500 0.125 Redskins 11 9 14 13 16 15 12 13 12.875 7.250 Buccaneers 12 15 17 11 20 8 11 14 13.500 -2.250 Rams 20 13 15 16 15 26 18 16 17.375 2.250 Saints 16 22 18 17 19 16 16 15 17.375 -0.250 Lions 15 12 24 19 25 14 19 17 18.125 -2.500 Cowboys 19 18 22 15 18 19 15 21 18.375 -5.625 Dolphins 21 17 19 21 23 18 23 20 20.250 0.125 Panthers 18 4 28 24 32 17 22 19 20.500 -1.875 Vikings 23 26 23 18 21 21 17 25 21.750 -5.875 Jets 26 19 16 22 12 30 24 26 21.875 2.375 Colts 27 25 8 23 14 25 27 27 22.000 -0.375 Bills 17 23 20 25 17 29 26 24 22.625 3.750 Chargers 22 21 26 20 28 22 20 23 22.750 -1.250 Cardinals 25 30 27 26 24 20 21 18 23.875 -1.250 Browns 24 24 21 27 27 23 25 22 24.125 3.125 Titans 29 28 25 28 22 27 29 28 27.000 -2.125 Eagles 28 27 32 29 26 24 28 29 27.875 -2.250 Jaguars 30 32 29 31 30 28 31 30 30.125 1.000 Raiders 32 29 30 30 29 32 32 31 30.625 -1.625 Chiefs 31 31 31 32 31 31 30 32 31.125 0.375

Observations:

Patriots now ahead of Texans, but it's very close. AFC Championship game, anyone? Broncos aren't far behind either. Booooo.

For as weak as the AFC is overall, I'm okay with seeing the top 3 teams here being AFC teams, even though all of the next six are NFC teams.

I'm not the only one still unconvinced about the Colts. In fact, they actually dropped in Objective Rankings since 3 weeks ago.

Huh ... Seattle's objective ranking is exactly the same as it was 3 weeks ago. Yay for consistency.

Chiefs are still the worst team in the league using the objective rankings, but the Raiders are closing in.

Objective Standard Deviation

Objective Chiefs 31 31 31 32 31 31 30 32 0.600 0.100 Jaguars 30 32 29 31 30 28 31 30 1.166 0.239 Raiders 32 29 30 30 29 32 32 31 1.218 -0.440 Bengals 9 10 11 12 7 12 13 12 1.854 -1.298 Browns 24 24 21 27 27 23 25 22 2.027 0.635 Dolphins 21 17 19 21 23 18 23 20 2.046 -0.349 Redskins 11 9 14 13 16 15 12 13 2.088 -1.131 Saints 16 22 18 17 19 16 16 15 2.118 -2.689 49ers 4 2 5 3 9 3 2 3 2.147 0.151 Texans 8 3 2 2 1 2 4 1 2.147 0.182 Eagles 28 27 32 29 26 24 28 29 2.204 -1.399 Titans 29 28 25 28 22 27 29 28 2.236 -3.496 Seahawks 3 5 9 9 10 10 8 7 2.342 -0.655 Broncos 2 1 3 4 5 9 3 2 2.342 -1.065 Cowboys 19 18 22 15 18 19 15 21 2.342 0.120 Giants 7 6 12 6 8 5 6 11 2.395 -0.318 Patriots 1 8 1 1 3 1 1 5 2.446 -1.839 Chargers 22 21 26 20 28 22 20 23 2.681 -0.925 Vikings 23 26 23 18 21 21 17 25 2.948 0.100 Packers 5 11 6 8 13 13 9 6 2.977 1.286 Falcons 14 7 4 7 4 7 7 4 3.072 0.868 Steelers 13 16 10 14 6 11 14 8 3.162 0.820 Buccaneers 12 15 17 11 20 8 11 14 3.571 1.293 Bears 6 14 13 5 11 4 5 10 3.708 1.532 Cardinals 25 30 27 26 24 20 21 18 3.723 0.485 Rams 20 13 15 16 15 26 18 16 3.806 -0.580 Bills 17 23 20 25 17 29 26 24 4.029 0.715 Lions 15 12 24 19 25 14 19 17 4.314 1.359 Ravens 10 20 7 10 2 6 10 9 4.815 1.143 Jets 26 19 16 22 12 30 24 26 5.533 3.148 Colts 27 25 8 23 14 25 27 27 6.652 -0.148 Panthers 18 4 28 24 32 17 22 19 7.874 2.444

Observations:

The bottom-3 teams as far as overall average are also the most consistently-ranked teams. The Chiefs, Raiders and Jaguars are consistently bad ... still.

Chargers are about in the middle as far as ranking consistency.

The Panthers' are at the bottom of this list thanks to Team Efficiency. They like something the Panthers are doing, but they're the only ones.

Overall Average

Subj vs Obj Texans 1.000 2.875 1.938 -0.375 Patriots 2.700 2.625 2.663 4.218 Broncos 3.900 3.625 3.763 1.265 49ers 5.100 3.875 4.488 0.063 Falcons 2.500 6.750 4.625 -0.017 Packers 6.500 8.875 7.688 -2.625 Ravens 6.600 9.250 7.925 -0.431 Giants 9.500 7.625 8.563 2.409 Bears 9.200 8.500 8.850 -4.617 Seahawks 10.500 7.625 9.063 0.386 Bengals 11.700 10.750 11.225 7.105 Steelers 11.100 11.500 11.300 -1.487 Redskins 14.000 12.875 13.438 8.034 Buccaneers 15.200 13.500 14.350 -2.089 Colts 10.800 22.000 16.400 0.094 Cowboys 16.200 18.375 17.288 -2.777 Saints 17.500 17.375 17.438 -1.557 Rams 18.800 17.375 18.088 2.952 Vikings 17.800 21.750 19.775 -4.837 Lions 22.200 18.125 20.163 -3.396 Dolphins 20.500 20.250 20.375 -0.506 Bills 21.500 22.625 22.063 4.125 Jets 22.900 21.875 22.388 3.146 Chargers 24.700 22.750 23.725 -2.884 Browns 24.000 24.125 24.063 4.244 Panthers 27.800 20.500 24.150 -0.747 Cardinals 27.100 23.875 25.488 -3.221 Titans 25.100 27.000 26.050 -1.885 Eagles 29.400 27.875 28.638 -4.098 Jaguars 30.900 30.125 30.513 0.822 Chiefs 30.300 31.125 30.713 0.764 Raiders 31.000 30.625 30.813 -2.086

Observations:

Overall, the top-10 has an even 6-6 split between the AFC and NFC, and it's also relatively evenly distributed.

Chargers are a bottom-third team. Let's play for draft picks now!

After a promising run in the middle weeks, the Dolphins are faltering again. The inverse is true of the Bills

The overall rankings are bookended by 3 AFC teams.

Oh cool, now the Raiders are the overall worst team in the NFL. I'll take it.

Overall Standard Deviation

Subj vs Obj Chiefs 30.300 31.125 0.817 0.318 Jaguars 30.900 30.125 1.212 0.471 Raiders 31.000 30.625 1.213 -0.127 Saints 17.500 17.375 1.499 -1.996 Redskins 14.000 12.875 1.537 -1.525 49ers 5.100 3.875 1.606 -0.210 Broncos 3.900 3.625 1.652 -1.187 Patriots 2.700 2.625 1.700 -1.291 Texans 1.000 2.875 1.708 0.317 Dolphins 20.500 20.250 1.799 -0.343 Eagles 29.400 27.875 1.820 -1.157 Browns 24.000 24.125 1.840 0.174 Bengals 11.700 10.750 1.850 -0.596 Cowboys 16.200 18.375 1.979 -0.668 Chargers 24.700 22.750 2.291 -0.983 Steelers 11.100 11.500 2.352 -0.408 Titans 25.100 27.000 2.368 -1.690 Giants 9.500 7.625 2.381 0.369 Packers 6.500 8.875 2.386 0.991 Seahawks 10.500 7.625 2.551 -0.180 Buccaneers 15.200 13.500 2.587 0.579 Bears 9.200 8.500 2.643 0.849 Bills 21.500 22.625 2.867 0.455 Vikings 17.800 21.750 2.872 0.658 Falcons 2.500 6.750 2.965 0.089 Cardinals 27.100 23.875 3.019 0.758 Rams 18.800 17.375 3.114 -0.482 Ravens 6.600 9.250 3.521 0.673 Lions 22.200 18.125 3.608 1.258 Jets 22.900 21.875 3.891 1.743 Panthers 27.800 20.500 6.457 0.437 Colts 10.800 22.000 7.177 0.418

Observations:

This table actually looks fairly familiar. It's pretty close to the "Objective Standard Deviation" table.

Unlike that table though, looks like more red arrows than green arrows this week. You'd think by now teams would be figured out and we'd be able to get their standard deviation way down.

Difference in Averages

Subj vs Obj Colts 10.800 22.000 11.200 0.939 Falcons 2.500 6.750 4.250 -0.784 Vikings 17.800 21.750 3.950 2.075 Ravens 6.600 9.250 2.650 0.389 Packers 6.500 8.875 2.375 2.250 Cowboys 16.200 18.375 2.175 5.698 Titans 25.100 27.000 1.900 0.479 Texans 1.000 2.875 1.875 0.750 Bills 21.500 22.625 1.125 0.750 Chiefs 30.300 31.125 0.825 0.779 Steelers 11.100 11.500 0.400 -3.225 Browns 24.000 24.125 0.125 2.239 Patriots 2.700 2.625 -0.075 1.436 Saints 17.500 17.375 -0.125 -2.614 Dolphins 20.500 20.250 -0.250 -1.261 Broncos 3.900 3.625 -0.275 2.032 Raiders 31.000 30.625 -0.375 -0.921 Bears 9.200 8.500 -0.700 -0.984 Jaguars 30.900 30.125 -0.775 -0.354 Bengals 11.700 10.750 -0.950 -1.791 Jets 22.900 21.875 -1.025 1.543 Redskins 14.000 12.875 -1.125 1.568 49ers 5.100 3.875 -1.225 -0.873 Rams 18.800 17.375 -1.425 1.405 Eagles 29.400 27.875 -1.525 -3.696 Buccaneers 15.200 13.500 -1.700 0.323 Giants 9.500 7.625 -1.875 -2.182 Chargers 24.700 22.750 -1.950 -3.268 Seahawks 10.500 7.625 -2.875 0.773 Cardinals 27.100 23.875 -3.225 -3.941 Lions 22.200 18.125 -4.075 -1.791 Panthers 27.800 20.500 -7.300 2.257

Observations:

Colts, still grossly over-ranked. And that disparity grew again in the last three weeks. Guess a last-second touchdown inflates people's perception of you.

Falcons are still over-rated as well, though it's gotten a little better, it's still there.

Oh hey look, the Chargers are under-ranked finally! Too bad it's a difference of 24.7 versus 22.75.

Interesting how the AFC teams are generally the ones over-ranked and the AFC teams are the ones under-ranked.

Sources