Florida State has been to a bowl game in 35 consecutive seasons, dating back to Bobby Bowden's seventh season in Tallahassee. It's the longest active streak in college football, but after the Seminoles fell to Louisville, 31-28, on Saturday, the streak is now in serious jeopardy.

FSU (2-4) needs to win four of its last five games to reach six wins. The 'Noles remaining contests are at Boston College, vs. Syracuse, at Clemson, vs. Delaware State, and at Florida. This would have been a ludicrous statement entering the year, but now it looks like Delaware State is the only true gimme on the schedule. Boston College appears to have undergone an offensive awakening, having followed up a 45-point showing against Louisville with a steamrolling of five-win Virginia. Syracuse recently defeated the reigning national champion. Clemson is the reigning national champion. And Florida is a difficult-to-predict in-state rivalry game.

Assuming a loss to Clemson and a win against Delaware State, FSU would have a 51.3 percent chance of beating each of BC, Syracuse, and Florida, based on the Football Power Index probabilities entering today. Those aren't terrible odds for the Seminoles, but few FSU fans expected to be entering the last week of October, with bowl eligibility coming down to a coin flip.

Of course, there's a very good chance Florida State could make a bowl without getting six wins. During each of the past two seasons, bowl invites have been extended to five-win teams based on APR scores when there weren't enough six-win teams to fill the games. Some five-win teams have elected to decline such invitations, but with a historic streak on the line, it's hard to imagine the Seminoles saying "thanks but no thanks."

The task of six wins would be less daunting if the 'Noels Sept. 9 game against Louisiana-Monroe had not been canceled because of Hurricane Irma. Should FSU fail to reach a bowl, Virginia Tech (25 straight bowls after the 2016 season) would hold the longest active streak.