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The pollster projects that if the numbers hold, the NDP would form the official opposition.

Bozinoff noted the drop in Tory support coincided with an aggressive media campaign by union-funded Working Families and Working Ontario Women that targeted Brown as a Donald Trump clone and social conservative.

“This shows a minimal impact — the Tories are down a little bit, the NDP are up a little bit,” he said.

The Liberals are down pretty much to their base — those who will vote for them regardless of events, he said.

Wynne’s popularity numbers aren’t helping, he said.

The Forum poll found that 15% approve of her performance as premier, compared to 74% who thought she was doing a bad job of it, while 10% had no opinion.

Former premier Dalton McGuinty came close to winning a third majority government despite popularity numbers in the low 20s, but these findings are even lower, Bozinoff said.

It’s still about six months away from a provincial election and voters might be tuned out at the moment or just parking their vote to make up their minds later, he said.

One problem that will face all political leaders — the same poll found that almost nobody faithfully believes their promises.

One percent – practically zero – say they have a lot of trust in election promises, Forum found. Another 28% said they have some trust, 46% said not a lot of trust.

Roughly one out of every three people polled, 32%, said they had no trust at all in pre-election offerings.

Forum Research polled 861 Ontario voters between Nov. 29-30 through an interactive voice response telephone survey, and its results are considered accurate plus or minus 3%, 19 times out of 20.

aartuso@postmedia.com