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Re: INSIGHT - ISRAEL/PNA - The Israeli public's perspective on the flotilla debacle

Released on 2013-03-04 00:00 GMT

Email-ID 1745302 Date 2010-06-02 00:55:56 From reva.bhalla@stratfor.com To analysts@stratfor.com, watchofficer@stratfor.com

Re: INSIGHT - ISRAEL/PNA - The Israeli public's perspective on the

flotilla debacle





seriously, man. hilarious.

on a more serious note, though, this guy is pretty adamant that the

coutnry is rallying around Bibi in this whole affair.

Are we then looking at a serious crisis internally for Israel? or does

this have the opposite effect of strengthening Bibi at home?

On Jun 1, 2010, at 5:49 PM, Marko Papic wrote:



Now, there have been some leftists and members of the usual sad violin

"I hate my father" crowd who have denounced the IDF, but they are on the

radical fringe. Even the most mustered up by the Meretz party, which

would be more than happy to bend over for the long, piercing phallus of

the Arab world, has been a call to have the raid "thoroughly

investigated". I'm not sure their slick wording even managed to condemn

the operation...yet.



Also, Mahmoud Abbas is pouting in his residential palace right now,

because Hamas has once again been able to steal his thunder and take the

[highly unfavorable] wind out of the sails peace negotiation. He's

reportedly demanding cheesecake and one of Arafat's prized "service

boys", after all the proper blood tests are done, of course.



Does this guy need a job? I think Fred is hiring for a personal

assistant.



Daniel Ben-Nun wrote:



This insight, from a reporter based in Jerusalem, describes the

Israeli public's perspective on the Gaza Flotilla.



Remember that while the perspective is obviously pro-Israel slanted,

it does provide a very good description of the national sentiment in

Israel at this time, which is often hard to judge by news articles

alone.



ATTRIBUTION: Jerusalem Post Reporter

SOURCE DESCRIPTION: Jerusalem Post Reporter based in Jerusalem

SOURCE RELIABILITY: Too early

ITEM CREDIBILITY: N/A

SUGGESTED DISTRIBUTION: Analysts

SPECIAL HANDLING: n/a

As I said on the phone and as I wrote yesterday, Israeli public

opinion on this matter is in no way shape or form turning on the

government. If anything, I have personally witnessed a rallying

around the troops and the IDF over the last 48 hours similar to any

war-time scenario in this country, as demonstrations from the north to

the south have been organized and executed, with hundreds, if not

thousands of Israelis waving Israeli flags and banners reading "we

salute you Tzahal!" and "Peace activists don't beat people with metal

rods."



And it's not surprising. This country's resilience is partially built

into its uncanny ability to drop all daily squabbles, differentiations

and denominations when in crisis, and join together as a congruous

force with one tenable goal - survival. This also explains why even

the most uneducated Israelis are so savvy in this area. Nearly

everyone, from the semi-literate Kurdish grocer to the vodka-swilling

cab driver understand and separate the world using a very clear lens:

Those who seek Israel's destruction and those who do not. So, they

don't need to see youtube videos of their soldiers being beaten, or

read detailed intelligence reports about the not-so-hidden terrorist

ties of the Turkish "humanitarian group" to know who was right and

wrong. The simple facts, that these people support Hamas, tried to

kill IDF soldiers and were, at least a good amount of them, fervent

Islamists intent on martyrdom tells the average Israeli who's side

they were on, and what needed to be done to thwart their plans.



That said, the only criticisms I've heard of, and certainly not from

the old Kurdish guys, is of Defense Minister Ehud Barak and COS Gabi

Ashkenazi, for not getting the footage of events out for the world to

see faster. There has been even lighter criticism of intel and

military planners for sending the commandos onboard so ill-prepared.

Had even one of the commandos been killed, the criticisms of the army

and government would have been stronger, however, even then, I doubt

it would have reached anything like the crap storm Olmert faced after

Lebanon II (and even there it was his penchant for corruption, not his

military failures that had him booted out of office).



Now, there have been some leftists and members of the usual sad violin

"I hate my father" crowd who have denounced the IDF, but they are on

the radical fringe. Even the most mustered up by the Meretz party,

which would be more than happy to bend over for the long, piercing

phallus of the Arab world, has been a call to have the raid

"thoroughly investigated". I'm not sure their slick wording even

managed to condemn the operation...yet.



Israelis are firmly ingrained with a very clear sense of "us vs. them"

and "the world is already against us so fuck it" attitude, and so, I

beg of you, scrap the idea that this will have political fallout in

Israel. If anything, Bibi is beloved right now, and everyone has

forgotten about the settlement freeze and all the thorny issue of

construction in Jerusalem (which were starting to become serious

issues for him before this whole thing happened). Also, Mahmoud Abbas

is pouting in his residential palace right now, because Hamas has once

again been able to steal his thunder and take the [highly unfavorable]

wind out of the sails peace negotiation. He's reportedly demanding

cheesecake and one of Arafat's prized "service boys", after all the

proper blood tests are done, of course.



Here is a link to an article describing today's pro-IDF rallies (there

were many more after this article was published)

http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3897437,00.html



Now, on to the more pressing issues. While it's true that country

after country has been lining up to condemn the raid, most of that is

bluster and a lot of that is to appease their own Muslim populations

who who burn down their quaint European towns in a heartbeat if things

didn't go their way. But the hypocrisy of these condemnations won't

hold up. For example, China, who refused to condemn last week's North

Korean sinking of a South Korean navy ship, which killed something

like 64 people, has condemned the Israeli raid. China, Dan, a country

that throws baby girls in the trash because they have a fucking birth

quota and boys have more favorable odds of "great success". China,

Dan, whose own human rights record is on par with Iran -

coincidentally another country that unleashed a fiery condemnation

today [unsurprisingly] - and who has so dominated Google, that when

you type in Tiananmen Square in Shanghai, pictures of the square come

up - not tanks running over students.



Furthermore, while the left-wing apologists of jihad and terrorism

will continue to push their agendas through the pipelines of the New

York Times or the Guardian, other media outlets are beginning to wake

up, and others still, who want so badly to blame Israel, are simply

finding it too hard to ignore some rather uncomfortable discrepancies

with the flotilla activists' accounts.



Take a look at

this: http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/opinion/boatloads-of-bloody-minded-pacifists/story-e6frezz0-1225874166305



Also, another rather uncomfortable development for all those "peace

and love" cats, you know, the ones with the knives and metal rods, is

that today Egypt announced it was opening Rafah crossing



http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/africaandindianocean/egypt/7793599/Egypt-opens-border-with-Gaza-for-humanitarian-aid.html



And from what I understand it is still open. But given the historic

moodiness of the Egyptians (see Exodus 10:1 onwards) who knows when

they'll decide to shut it closed again. So, if I were a peace activist

dead-set on getting humanitarian aid into Gaza - so dead-set in fact,

that I'm willing to fight IDF commandos to the death on my way to

"break the siege of Gaza", wouldn't I seize this opportunity to begin

channeling massive efforts to get that aid in? It's a clean shot! But

no. Nothing. Not a drop. Rather strange, and in my opinion, a very

clear look at who these activists really are and what their true

motives can only be - conflict with Israel.



So, the media, at least some of the media, are starting to pick up on

these things, and we're seeing reports that are not biased against

Israel, and are actually airing out the facts here - who would of

thought? Journalists airing out the facts.



See this report: http://www.youtube.com/standwithus



However, the Gaza flotilla types don't like this at all. They have

actually accused the BBC of being pro-Israel (WTF?!?!) That's like

accusing a male drama student of having sex with your girlfriend. But

seriously- they don't like the media reporting the facts, and a mob of

pro-Palestinian thugs nearly burned down a BBC station in Manchester.

Look: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/england/manchester/10199808.stm?utm_source=ManchesterScoop&utm_medium=twitter



And while all that is fine and well - I mean, we shouldn't buy the MSM

ice cream for doing their fucking job, there are a lot of things that

aren't being reported. One big thing is a total whitewashing of the

IHH in mainstream news outlets - the Turkish "humanitarian" group

behind the flotilla, and whose members were aboard the Mavi Marmara.

Turns out, their founder has a penchant for photo-ops with Khaled

Mashaal and Ismail Haniyeh, gives Hamas shit-tons of money (arrested

Mavi Marmara passengers reportedly had thousands of dollars of cash on

their persons, along with kevlar vests and night vision goggles,

presumably to give to Hamas for use in operations against IDF forces)

and...here's the kicker... a form seized during a raid in the IDF's

2002 Operation Defensive Shield throughout the West Bank turned up a

document showing payments transferred from the IHH to families of

suicide bombers who had killed dozens of Israeli civilians. It's nutty

shit man - they're also tied to global jihad groups, you name

it....here is a great report from an Israeli intelligence source

detailing all of it:



http://www.terrorism-info.org.il/malam_multimedia/English/eng_n/html/hamas_e105.htm



Other than all that, and yes, I'm tired, is some recent footage that

came out here a couple hours ago showing that at least some of the

commandos did have helmet cams - and definitely did come under fire

from the IHH terror-supporting jihad peace activists aboard the Marvi

Marmara - this footage is straight from one of those cams, although it

was taken around 5:40 am and it's hard to see much....



http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mFGuwUGaI9o



Anyways man, I hope this helps, and please send feedback. I thrive on

it.



--

Daniel Ben-Nun

Strategic Forecasting, Inc.

www.stratfor.com





--

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Marko Papic

Geopol Analyst - Eurasia

STRATFOR

700 Lavaca Street - 900

Austin, Texas

78701 USA

P: + 1-512-744-4094

marko.papic@stratfor.com









