How bad are Justin Trudeau’s political fortunes these days?

The latest polling numbers from Campaign Research are the best he’s seen in some time and he’s still losing to Andrew Scheer and the Conservatives.

Distroscale

A poll of 1,471 adult Canadians conducted on April 30 and May 1 found 35% would back the Conservatives while 31% would back the Liberals.

The NDP under leader Jagmeet Singh were in a distant third place with 17% support.

Believe it or not, those are good numbers for Trudeau these days.

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He’s been dealing with some polls, like Leger, putting him at 27% support to Scheer’s 40%, and Angus Reid putting the Conservatives at 38% to the Liberals 25%.

Most polls show a tighter race, as does the latest from Campaign Research, and even then it is not good news for Trudeau and his team.

Regionally, his party only has a commanding lead in Quebec where the Liberals best the Conservatives 36% to 21% support. The Liberals have lost their lead in Atlantic Canada to the Conservatives and in British Columbia, things are looking bad with the Conservatives holding a 15 point lead over the Liberals.

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The Liberals are actually in third place in B.C. with 23% support compared to 24% for the NDP and 38% for the Conservatives.

Their one bright spot is Ontario where the provincial government of Doug Ford may actually be helping Trudeau.

The Liberals have actually grown in support in Ontario since the last poll a month ago and lead with 36% support to the Conservatives 33% support, perhaps the result of the Ford government’s budget and controversies around the provincial PCs.

Yet in the middle of this, Trudeau is dealing with some major problems.

The SNC-Lavalin scandal that rocked his government costing him two cabinet ministers and two top advisors was back into the news this past week.

Not only was it back in the news due to The Simpsons episode that made it a punchline but also because of revelations about illegal donations to the Liberal Party and the ongoing court battle by the company to escape their bribery and corruption charges.

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Add to that the news that star Liberal candidate Andrew Leslie is not running in the next election and will actually testify against the government in a trial and Trudeau’s week got worse.

Leslie, a former top commander in the military was seen as a star for the Liberals in 2015 because he brought military prestige as a former commander in Afghanistan. Now he will not only relinquish his Ottawa area seat, he is set to be called as a witness against the government in the trial of Vice-Admiral Mark Norman.

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Vice-Admiral Norman, who is facing a prosecution that some see as overly political, is charged with leaking cabinet secrets over a navy shipbuilding deal.

It is too early to write off the Liberals for the next election — a week, as they say, is a lifetime in politics.

Yet when their best polls still have them losing, when Trudeau is tied with Scheer for best PM, as he is with these Campaign Research numbers, when the disapproval numbers for the PM are hitting 56% and that is an improvement, then things are not looking up for Trudeau.

It will be an interesting ride between now and voting day in October.