See all the Reaper’s past predictions here.

TV Grim Reaper’s predictions are for scripted broadcast primetime show renewals for the 2017-18 season or cancellations by the end of the 2016-17 season.



ABC Program % Renewal Chance Secrets And Lies 5% Time After Time 15% Quantico 20% Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D. 25% The Real O’Neals 30% Once Upon A Time 50% Designated Survivor 75% Dr. Ken 80% Last Man Standing 90% Fresh Off The Boat 90% Speechless 99% American Housewife 99% The Goldbergs 99% Modern Family 99% black-ish 100% Conviction canceled Notorious canceled How To Get Away With Murder renewed The Middle renewed Scandal renewed Grey’s Anatomy renewed CBS Program % Renewal Chance Ransom 5% Training Day 5% cancelled Elementary 10% The Odd Couple 40% 2 Broke Girls 50% Code Black 60% Superior Donuts 65% Criminal Minds 65% Mom 85% Life in Pieces 85% MacGyver 90% Hawaii Five-0 90% NCIS: Los Angeles 90% Man With A Plan 90% Kevin Can Wait 90% Great Indoors 90% Blue Bloods 90% Bull 99% The Big Bang Theory 99% Madam Secretary 100% NCIS: New Orleans 100% Scorpion 100% Pure Genius canceled Doubt canceled NCIS renewed CW Program % Renewal Chance No Tomorrow 5% Frequency 5% Riverdale 50% renewed The 100 60% renewed Reign canceled The Vampire Diaries canceled Crazy Ex-Girlfriend renewed Jane The Virgin renewed Arrow renewed Supernatural renewed DC’s Legends Of Tomorrow renewed Supergirl renewed The Flash renewed Fox Program % Renewal Chance Scream Queens 5% Sleepy Hollow 10% The Exorcist 15% Pitch 15% Rosewood 25% APB 30% Making History 45% Son of Zorn 50% 24: Legacy 55% The Last Man On Earth 75% New Girl 90% Gotham 95% Brooklyn Nine-Nine 95% Family Guy 99% Bones canceled The Mick renewed Bob’s Burgers renewed Lucifer renewed Star renewed Lethal Weapon renewed The Simpsons renewed Empire renewed NBC Program % Renewal Chance Emerald City 10% Timeless 20% Powerless 20% The Blacklist: Redemption 40% Blindspot 50% The Blacklist 60% Shades Of Blue 60% Chicago Justice 75% Taken 75% Chicago Med 99% Chicago P.D. 99% Law & Order: SVU 99% Chicago Fire 99% Grimm canceled The Good Place renewed Superstore renewed This Is Us renewed

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The 100 is likely to be renewed.

At the end of this season, its fourth, The 100 will have produced 58 episodes.

While The CW often cancels its ultra low rated shows after 4 seasons, it hasn’t canceled any with fewer than 70 episodes that have gone more than 2 seasons.

Reign 4 seasons, 78 episodes

4 seasons, 78 episodes Beauty & The Beast 4 seasons, 70 episodes

4 seasons, 70 episodes Hart Of Dixie 4 seasons, 76 episodes

4 seasons, 76 episodes Nikita 4 seasons, 73 episodes

The reaper’s predicting that ~70 episodes (and not 4 seasons) is the crucial threshold for The CW’s renewal decision, and he’s moved the renewal prediction for The 100 to a barely confident 60% on the assumption another ~13 episodes will be ordered.

Why just 60% chance of renewal? If the CW’s threshold is instead “4 seasons” and the number of episodes is irrelevant, as a reasonable person could guess, then the show’s done, and the reaper’s going to suffer a prediction miss. Either way, its current slightly below the CW average ratings aren’t going to matter one way or the other.

While the reaper had intended to wait until iZombie & The Originals premiered to change his The 100 prediction, he decided that their results really don’t change the reasons for the reaper’s conclusions on The 100, so there’s no time like the present.

The reaper had promised that Blacklist:Redemption would be in this week’s headline, but given its ratings increase last week, the reaper will hold off to see if it was a fluke. If the ratings hold, his prediction will adjust upwards.

Where did the emojis go? Why did the prediction table change? Explained in the Week 24 post here.

Are you missing the ratings information from previous prediction posts? You can view the reaper’s entire spreadsheet of ratings here.

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The reaper’s running prediction tally this season: 25-0-2

Right: Notorious, The Simpsons, Conviction, Pure Genius, Jane The Virgin, Supernatural, Legends of Tomorrow, Arrow, Supergirl, The Flash, Empire, This Is Us, The Middle, The Good Place, Scandal, Greys Anatomy, How To Get Away With Murder, Lucifer, Superstore, Star, Lethal Weapon, The Mick, Doubt, The 100, Training Day

Wrong:

Draw (renewed or canceled while a toss up): Crazy Ex-Girlfriend, Riverdale

Reign, canceled before the reaper had a prediction for it, is not included in the tally above.

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How good have TV Grim Reaper’s predictions been in past seasons? See his past prediction record here.