There is some evidence to support the prediction. The number of companies that can afford to compete in chip manufacturing is getting very small. Intel, GlobalFoundries (AMD's former manufacturing wing), Samsung and TSMC are the only big players left, and there's no guarantee that all of them will stick around. Intel's slower development pace is largely a reflection of how difficult it is to shrink transistors without introducing problems like excessive power leaks.

This doesn't mean that Moore's Law will be dead in 5 years. The use of 3D and other tricks may continue to double the complexity of chips for a while yet. And it's important to stress that this is a roadmap, not a guarantee. How many times have pundits predicted the end of progress in chip design, only to be proven wrong as a discovery keeps hope alive for a while longer? The biggest concern is that semiconductor giants may have to change how they increase the complexity and power of their products, not that they'll hit a wall.