If history is any indicator, Emmy voters like a little, well, history in their Outstanding TV Movie winners.

The last four champs in the category — 2010’s Temple Grandin, 2009’s Grey Gardens and 2008’s Recount and 2007’s Bury My Heart at Wounded Knee — all had their roots in real-life characters and situations.

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Heck, even in the last three years — when the Academy of Television Arts and Sciences merged Movies and Miniseries into one overarching division — two of the three victors (2012’s Game Change and 2013’s Behind the Candelabra) followed that trend.

That’s good news for several 2014 contenders: HBO’s Muhammad Ali’s Greatest Fight, NatGeo’s Killing Kennedy and HBO’s The Normal Heart (based on Larry Kramer’s largely autobiographical play of the same name).

Seeking to buck recent history? The pure fiction of PBS’ Sherlock: His Last Vow and Lifetime’s The Trip to Bountiful.

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What would you do if you had the power to honor one of these fine programs when the Emmys are handed out on Aug. 25? Take our poll below to vote for your favorite, then hit the comments to justify your pick!

Tomorrow and Friday, we’ll launch two more “Who Should Win” Emmy polls, so come back to TVLine.com to weigh in on who’s most worthy of TV’s biggest honor!