TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACK MAP

Severe Tropical Cyclone Harold

Current and Past Cyclone Details Forecast Cyclone Details

(at 24, 48 and 72 hours from issue) Current Location and Intensity Number Very Destructive Hurricane Force Winds Destructive Storm Force Winds Damaging Gale Force Winds Past Track and Movement Past Location and Intensity Number Forecast Location and Intensity Number Very Destructive Wind Boundary Destructive Wind Boundary Gale Force Wind Boundary Most Likely Future Track Range of Likely Tracks over 72 hours

The forecast path shown above is the Nadi's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks.

Name: Severe Tropical Cyclone Harold

Details:



Time (UTC) Intensity Category Latitude

(decimal deg.) Longitude

(decimal deg.) Estimated Position

Accuracy (km) 0hr 12 am April 9 4 23.4S 173.2W 85 +6hr 6 am April 9 4 24.6S 170.5W 30 +12hr 12 pm April 9 3 26.1S 167.5W 55 +18hr 6 pm April 9 3 27.6S 164.5W 85 +24hr 12 am April 10 3 29.3S 161.1W 110 +36hr 12 pm April 10 3 32.6S 154.6W 170 +48hr 12 am April 11 2 35.4S 148.6W 230 +60hr 12 pm April 11 1 37.1S 143.4W 320 +72hr 12 am April 12 1 38.1S 138.8W 405

Fiji time is UTC +12 hours.

For example, 0000 UTC Saturday is 1200 Saturday Fiji time.

For example, 1800 UTC Saturday is 0600 Sunday Fiji time.



Category Cyclone 1 has mean winds 34-47 knots with a central pressure greater than 985 hPa

Category Cyclone 2 has mean winds 48-63 knots with a central pressure 985-970 hPa

Category Cyclone 3 has mean winds 64-85 knots with a central pressure 970-945 hPa

Category Cyclone 4 has mean winds 86-107 knots with a central pressure 945-910 hPa

Category Cyclone 5 has mean winds greater than 107 knots with a central pressure less than 910 hPa

The next TC Threat Track Map is scheduled to be issued within six hours.