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Full list. 489 DVD threshold, 313 BD.

2014 09/22 – 09/28 Anime DVD List



2014 09/22 – 09/28 Anime BD List



WELP this is sure a depressing week!

Summer update:

Nozaki-kun v1 sells 7639/4137, total 11,776. Overestimated 8.8% on DVD and 5.3% on BD. Good thing most of its time spent insanely high at Amazon was after points stopped being tallied, or it would be quite a lot more overestimated. I did think its Amazon ranking was pretty wildly out of line with its storefront rankings, but it still managed to be fairly spot-on rather than heavily overestimated and wk2+ could be pretty strong. Really borderline for a 10k average, but depending on how big wk2 is and how small the event ticket drop is, it’s got a chance. And it’s still the lone surprise hit of the season.

Aldnoah v1 sells 7280/1013, total 8,293. Underestimated 62.9% on DVD and 50.2% on DVD. I think the Aniplex underestimations due to their new Amazon policies are pretty well proven at this point! Once again, >50% BD underestimation and very high DVD underestimation, following in the footsteps of Mahouka and Persona (and Kuroshitsuji but that was a given with its female fanbase though 120% is still very high).

Barakamon v1 sells 3941/1770, total 5,711. Modestly overestimated (28.8% DVD, 9.2% BD) but nos disastrously, and still clears 5k wk1 easily. With an event ticket in v2 as well and only 4 vols total, could keep a 5k average. Not pulling in a whole lot of money due to low volume count and price, but with the manga boost and all, a very clear success.

Prisma Illya s2 v1 sells 4384/504, total 4,888. BDs underestimated 27.4%, DVDs 0.8%.

Hanayamata v1 sells 3280/541, total 3,821. Assuming thresholds aren’t a bitch next week with all these discs vying for wk2s, should comfortably pass 4k. Better than expected! 45.5% underestimated on BD which is huge. On the downside, I only just found out now it came with an event ticket, that was way buried in the Amazon description. Shiiiit. I hope that doesn’t mean a big drop for v2+. That’s always so difficult to predict. Still, I was preparing myself for a 2k average, 3k being likely now at least puts it on the level of Yuyushiki. …Which is a pretty low bar to set but hey, SUCH IS MY LIFE, I need to be happy about shows selling only “mediocre” rather than “utterly dead”. It should actually be helped by DVDs not ranking v2+ (likely they won’t), even though that’s kind of a sad thing to hope for. (This counts as me being happy, see what sales have done to me? This is one depressing as hell hobby I’ve found for myself.)

Tokyo Ghoul v1 sells 2273/1394, total 3,667 with event ticket. Overestimated a whopping 36.2% on DVD, 19% on BD.

Yama no Susume s2 v1 sells 2616 BDs, and an estimated 250 DVDs, total 2,866. Much less overestimation than s1 or the s1 re-release, but still somehow 6.7% over on BD. Just terribly depressing performance all around, but somehow not even the worst story this week! For that… ↓

Locodol v1 sells 2074 BDs, and an estimated 400 DVDs, total 2,474. How in the hell was this overestimated 25% on BD? Yes it ranked okay on Amazon in the last two weeks, but it had been #2 at HMV for even longer, behind only the Idolmaster Movie. In the weekly lists! And yet 30.4% DVD and 25.4% BD overestimation. Conclusion: HMV DOESN’T ACTUALLY EXIST, it’s all a hoax like Gamers! Remember folks, if your favorite anime is doing insanely well at a retailer that isn’t named Amazon or Animate, it literally does not matter!

And this is the event ticket/OVA volume too, just, wow. There’s nothing quite like the feeling of intentionally being very pessimistic and having reality still be even worse than you expected.

Rokujouma v1 sells 1968 BDs, and an estimated 360 DVDs, total 2,328. 8.1% overestimated on BD.

Sabagebu! v1 sells 1,983 as a BD-only release. 3.6% overestimated.

Love Stage v1 sells 618/998, total 1,616. Overestimated 13.3% on DVD, underestimated 6.2% on BD.

Zantero v1 sells 1099 BDs, and an estimated 420 DVDs, total 1,519. Underestimated 36.8% on DVD and 31.9% on BD. Not as much as the other recent Aniplex titles, but with such low sales, the difference between 30% and 60% underestimation isn’t very much! The pattern holds.

Soresekai BD Box sells 667 BDs, and an estimated 305 DVDs, total 972.

Basara s3 v1 sells 669/569, total 1,238. Compare to 13,992 s2v1wk1. Holy shit wow. Even changing from a popular timeslot to a late night one can’t explain a >90% wk1 drop (and it’ll be worse if you compare totals!). One of the worst season drops in history coming up.

Tokyo ESP v1 sells 408 BDs, DVDs do not rank. They were too low (outside top 300, sub-174) to estimate.

Kuroshitsuji v2 sells 2860/2994, total 5,854. 22% drop on v1wk1, up to wks2+ to stop it from having a heavy drop.

Bakumatsu Rock v2 sells 1747/798, total 2,545. Down 34.2%.

Free! s2 v1 adds 1394/1102, total 20,365. Got that 20k, but I kinda hoped it would start there, or really well above, given it doesn’t have long tails. Short of a surprise boost to like 24-25k for the event ticket volumes I don’t see this averaging 20k but who knows…

P4GA v1 adds 422 BDs, total 14,258.

Spring update:

Love Live s2 v4 sells 41,243 as a BD-only release. Not as high as I expected, but it depends on whether it has the 7.3k wk2 of v2 or 4.1k wk2 of v3. The wk1s have been almost identical for v2-4 (within ~600 discs).

v2 adds 425, total 54,195 in wk10.

v3 adds 703, total 47,870 in wk5.

Jojo s2 v3 sells 8541/1799, total 10,340. Only 12% down on s2wk1 which had an event ticket. Sticking to a 10k average over 12 volumes is still a tall order though.

Mahouka v3 sells 8057/2112, total 10,169. Very similar to Jojo, only down 9.3% from v2wk1 event ticket, also borderline due to length. This volume should have the first Aniplex+ bump since it ends the first arc, so if thresholds aren’t too crazy on Thursday we could see more added to v1-2.

Gochiusa v4 sells 7053/897, total 7,950. Held up decently with no artbox or event ticket this volume. But assuming it gets the exact same wk2-3 as v3, and v5-6 both sells the same as v4 (which is overly optimistic!) it would be around 10.1k. A more realistic guess puts it around 9.9k. However, the event ticket announced for v5 could help… somewhat anyway, it’s a “talk event” which is usually a lower tier of event worth less boost. It’ll come down to the wire, maybe literally to the wk2+ data of the last volume!

Nogenora v4 sells 5705/1245, total 6,950. Hoping it gets a decent wk2 and levels off above the 7k level for an almost 8k average.

Mekakushi v7 sells 2848/2223, total 5,071. Pretty steady with v6 if it has the same wk2.

Date A Live II v4 sells 3834/792, total 4,626. One left, on track for about a 5.6k average, down from 8.4k s1.

Mushishi s2 v2 sells 3088/778, total 3,866. Only down 6.4%, not bad considering the delay.

Kamiasobi v4 sells 1282/1716, total 2,998.

Brynhildr v2, final volume, sells 1,732 BD Boxes, DVDs do not rank. Series average: 1,840.

Daimidaler v3 sells 1,392 BDs, DVDs do not rank.

Chaika v4 sells 1,105 BDs, DVDs do not rank.

Captain Earth v3 sells 1,014 BDs, DVDs do not rank.

Mangaka-san v4 sells 549 BDs, DVDs do not rank.

Nanana v4 sells 462 BDs, DVDs do not rank.

Haikyuu v3 adds 2028/1910, total 21,747. Only about 3.4k below v2wk2.

Isshukan v4 adds 386 BDs, total 3,320.

Past seasons:

Monogatari v11 sells 28473/3451, total 31,924. Smallest v1, as usual no respect for poor Suruga. She had the lowest-selling Bake vol too. In the end it looks like Hanamono being counted in SS will slightly lower its average, not increase it.

Kurobas v9, final volume, sells 7004/7154, total 14,158. Series average: 18,152 and should rise to 18.4 or 18.5k by the end. Down ~25% on s1, not bad.

Nisekoi v7, final volume, sells 3807/1060, total 4,867. Series average: 5,734, should end up just below 5.8k total.

Magi s2 v9 sells 689/853, total 1,542. Still two volumes left, how is this not over yet?

Space Dandy v6 sells 813 BDs, DVDs do not rank.

Nobufool v6 sells 424 BDs, DVDs do not rank.

Chuunibyou Ren v7, final volume, adds 635 BDs, total 6,769. Series average: 6,892.

Yowapedal v10 adds 547/521, total 6,292. Up 34.4% on v9 now, 4th best selling volume.

Saki Zenkoku-hen v7, final volume, adds 465 BDs, total 4,205. Up 8.8% on v6. Series average: 4,565.

OVAs, Movies, Boxsets etc:

∀Gundam BD Box sells 3,449. That gets it onto the ¥100m list just barely (though it has a second box coming too, being 4 cour).

ef melodies BD Box sells 872.

Megami-sama TV s1 BD Box sells 849.

Ikkitousen GG BD Box sells 519. Exactly the same as the DD box.

Versailles no Bara BD Box sells 494.

Upcoming Releases for 2014 09/29 – 10/05 Anime DVD List

2014/10/01 Basquash BD Box v1

2014/10/01 Bokura wa Minna Kawaisou v4

2014/10/01 Glasslip v1

2014/10/01 Kanon DVD/BD Box

2014/10/01 Mahou Shoujo Lyrical Nanoha BD Box

2014/10/01 Minarai Diva

2014/10/01 Naruto Shippuuden Kakashi Anbu-hen ~Yami wo Ikeru Shinobu~ v1

2014/10/01 ONE PIECE 17th Season Dresrossa-hen v4

2014/10/02 Aikatsu! 2nd Season v6

2014/10/02 Wizard Barristers v4

Thankfully a small week to give this week’s flood a bit of breathing room for wk2s.