According to the Prediction Machine, Las Vegas has it all wrong. The favorites for Super Bowl XLVIII in New Jersey are the Seattle Seahawks.

Prediction Machine simulated the Super Bowl 50,000 times and came out with the Seahawks beating the Broncos in 54.8 percent of the games. Vegas currently has the Broncos installed as somewhere around 2.5-point favorites.

Of course, Vegas is just trying to make money. They likely know that the public favors the offensive team, specifically when their quarterback is named Peyton Manning, and that the money will tilt in that direction. So they make the betting line with that in mind.

Prediction Machine doesn’t have a bias. It’s strictly a mathematical simulation based on statistics that has the average final score at 23.8-21.5 in favor of the Seahawks.

The most surprising numbers are for Manning's passing stats. It has the All-Pro quarterback throwing for close to 241 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. Manning had better than a 5:1 TD to interception ratio during the season.

But he didn’t play against the NFL’s top-ranked defense. Seattle allowed the fewest passing yards this season.

The over/under for Sunday’s Super Bowl is 47 points. Prediction Machine says there is a slight advantage (52.7 percent) for the under.

Not a believer in the Prediction Machine? They claim to be undefeated against the spread for the in the conference championship round for the fourth straight year and 8-1-1 against the spread in the playoffs this year.