We are facing an impending retirement crisis of epic proportions. The math is tough to look at. We have a growing population of aging baby boomers hitting retirement age with weak investment portfolios. Many will face increased healthcare costs since most of healthcare spending tends to hit in old age. Many older Americans are finding it tougher to retire and this also plugs up the pipeline for younger workers to move up through the employment channels. Many young Americans are confined to a new low-wage economy where pensions are extinct, benefits are lacking, and wages are far behind that of their parents even after adjusting for the corrosive power of inflation. The idea of retirement is actually a modern one. For most of our civilized history the only people that had time for fun and leisure were the top one percent of society. Life in other words was short and brutish for most of us. The US of course was the first nation to have a large and powerful middle class but this only came about after World War II. We are now trending back to the more historical norm of massive inequality for the bulk of the population. If nothing is done to reverse this trend, we will simply revert to how things were and the notion of retirement is going to disappear along with pensions. Most Americans still believe retirement is in the cards but their saving habits show a completely different future.

Americans make less than you think

It is still surprising to see that the mainstream press rarely focuses on the actual raw numbers for US households. It makes sense since most major broadcast stations are in it to sell you something via advertising. There is little benefit on showing how little most have if your goal is to have people part with the little money they have. Younger Americans tends to spend more on consumption goods yet they are now part of a growing low-wage economy in our country.

First, let us take a look at income distribution in the US:

The typical US household makes $50,000 per year. This is by definition, the “middle” in middle class. I always shake my head when the media tries to portray those making more than $200,000 as middle class. If you are in a household making $200,000 or more per year, you are in the top 4 percent of US households. This is basic math. A household making more than $135,000 per year puts you in the top 10 percent of households. If you were to watch only mainstream television you would believe that every US household was somehow making six-figures when that is clearly not the case. It might be illuminating to put together a mock budget of the typical $50,000 household.

The $50,000 median household income does not go very far

For our budget example, we’ll examine the state with the most people, California:

In California, a $50,000 household income results in a monthly net paycheck of roughly $3,287. At this income level this family is likely renting in the state. Housing consumes the biggest part of net income for most US households. This is why the trend of big investors buying up limited inventory and pushing up prices and rents is somewhat troubling but this is the end result of the Fed assisting member banks with artificially low rates. Higher prices with stagnant incomes eat deeper into household budgets.

We are being very modest here with the budget. We are spending $25 per month on gas assuming we are in an apartment at this rate. Electric at $50 per month since a small apartment in California should consume little energy. For cell phones, we are going with a pre-paid phone with Virgin Mobile of $15. We are stretching the budget here. For internet you can find a cheaper service for less than $40 per month.

Car insurance we are assuming $75 for liability only here on a used or older car. Health insurance for two healthy adults will cost $350 per month. Add a kid or someone with a pre-existing condition and this can add larger costs. Groceries will run about $500 per month if you shop carefully and buy prudently (i.e., less meat, no alcohol, non-chain markets with lower prices, etc). Gas will be $150 per month and we’ll assume one car for this family here.

You should be brining your lunch to work at this income level. We’ll throw in $40 for household items since you are renting here. $25 for regular household maintenance like light bulbs or other minor items since these should be covered by the property managers. We are throwing in $100 for entertainment here. This should cover Netflix, gym, and eating out at a cheaper restaurant. After all, we are talking about $50,000 per year here, not $200,000 per year.

You can get cheaper haircuts for $20 to $25 (for family) and $50 for vacations should be enough for one or two cheaper vacations for the year. These are monthly splits for annual costs. We haven’t even hit any savings for retirement!

Finally, we are putting away $150 per month in a retirement IRA. This is $1,800 per year. We are also saving $250 per month into an emergency account. We’ll leave $125 for other items like a dental fix up, glasses, or other items that pop up.

In the end, we are basically breaking even here. Does this family seem like they are indulging here? A $1,350 rental in California won’t get you much and many households face this kind of budget on a daily basis. Can you see why so few people are prepared for retirement?

Keep in mind this is merely an illustrative example. People differ. Habits are different from one person to another. Yet we absolutely know that $50,000 is the median household income so we can use this as a baseline to work off a hypothetical household. When we run these numbers it is easy to see why most are broke or have very little saved for retirement setting up a big disaster in the upcoming decades.

Most have nothing to very little saved for retirement

This is why it is no surprise that most Americans have no retirement plans:

This data is incredibly illuminating. First, the typical working-age household has $3,000 saved for retirement while those near-retirement have $12,000. But look at the information for younger households:

25-34 (median retirement account $0) 35-44 (median retirement account $1,400)

If things are bad for those nearing retirement now which would be baby boomers, this is only going to get tougher for younger Americans. Baby boomers had one of the hottest stock markets ever. Starting in the 1980s, we started going off pensions into more 401k like plans. In 1980, the S&P 500 was at 100. Today it is at 1,881. If people were saving diligently they would have money in their nest egg. Guess what? They don’t and I think the above mock budget gives you an example. The above budget is also for a couple living carefully while most have two cars, the latest phones, and spend money they don’t have via debt.

So by default, most are going to rely on Social Security as their primary source of income in retirement.

Typical Social Security payment very low

The vast majority of retiring Americans rely on Social Security as their primary source of income. Yet this income is not as big as you would expect:

The typical monthly payout is $1,250 for a retiree. In California that doesn’t even cover rent. It is important to note that you have to reach a certain age to draw on full benefits:

For most people, they are going to have to wait until they hit 67 before they can draw full benefits. This is why it is becoming more common to see older workers at places like Target, Wal-Mart, or many other retail establishments. People need to supplement their benefits with other income. Not exactly the ideal notion of walking on the beach with Margaritas riding into the sunset.

Conclusion

The figures are very clear and most Americans are simply winging it when it comes to retirement. What you can do if you can, is plan ahead. Gear up. Make sure you save if you can. If you live in an area where housing is affordable relative to rents, you should buy. At least this will lock in your biggest expense. You will still have taxes, insurance, and maintenance but these tend to be lower than your principal and interest. Try to have a solid emergency fund. The current system is not designed to protect you in retirement. For many in older age, the only option is to work and scrimp by. For many younger Americans start saving now. Invest in yourself and be wise with your money. Understand the difference between needs and wants. Time catches up on most and unfortunately, many Americans are starring at a retirement cliff with little time to financially change the situation.

If you enjoyed this post click here to subscribe to a complete feed and stay up to date with today’s challenging market!

