Shane Black’s reboot of The Predator franchise is hitting theaters this weekend, along with presumably strong holdover business from The Nun. Meanwhile, Sony will also be opening their crime drama White Boy Rick, along with Unbroken: Path to Redemption.

The Predator carries a price tag of $88 million, a splash of controversial bad buzz in the last week, and a terrible 37% score on Rotten Tomatoes. All of these factors will almost certainly hinder the action pic’s ability to hit $30 million this weekend, as it seems as though this could wind up being a real dud for Fox. The last installment in the franchise, Predators, opened with a decent $24 million, but quickly plummeted with a stunning 72% drop in its second weekend. Another R-rated Fox sci-fi reboot, Alien: Covenant, faced a similar drop in May of 2017.

The film has had a somewhat troubled production, with the entire third act being reshot over the summer after poor test screenings, as well as recent news that director Shane Black hired a personal friend for a small role, without informing others of the actors status as a sex offender. Actress Olivia Munn, who played opposite the offender during the scene, brought it to both Fox executives and the public, responding in an apology from the director. Whether or not these events will really tank the film, however, is hard to say; no matter what it opens to this weekend, it will likely fail to make much more than double it domestically, at least going off the performances of Predators and Alien: Covenant.

The other big opening of the weekend is A Simple Favor, Lionsgate’s mystery thriller based on the novel of the same name. It stars Anna Kendrick and Blake Lively in the lead roles, and has garnered an impressive 84% on Rotten Tomatoes. A lack of films targeted towards women in the past few weeks may help this push past its low-teen tracking range, but anything much higher than that would be genuinely surprising.

Also opening in around 2,500 locations is White Boy Rick, Sony’s true-crime drama marketed as the story of a teen who became an FBI informant and drug kingpin before turning 16. That’s an admittedly intriguing premise, and the stylized, 80s riddled aesthetic of the trailer doesn’t hurt – unfortunately, critics haven’t been on board, with a weak 58% score. While that’s not terrible, adult oriented dramas tend to be affected the most by critical reception, so this could prevent it from hitting $10 million this weekend.

Pure Flix is also opening their spiritual successor Unbroken: Path to Redemption, serving as an unofficial sequel to the 2014 film about the same real-life character. While this may fair a bit better than last weekends God Bless the Broken Road, it likely won’t be able to push past the traditional low-single digits of most faith based releases, even with a wider theater count of over 1,600.

Predictions

The Predator – $26.5 million The Nun – $22 million A Simple Favor – $14.2 million White Boy Rick – $8 million Crazy Rich Asians – $7.8 million

Unbroken: Path to Redemption – $2.3 million