The NCAA Tournament selection committee will release its projected top 16 seeds at 11:30 a.m. CT Saturday on CBS, in an effort that mirrors the first release of the College Football Playoff rankings. And while the releasing of the official bracket is still more than a month away, the committee's ability to name the top seeds this far out makes the rankings worth watching.

How accurate is the committee’s projection? It depends on the year. One season, the committee locked in 15 of the 16 top-four seeds. Last year was a bit less accurate, with 11 of 16 correct come Selection Sunday.

Last year, most of the committee’s misses came at the bottom of the projected seeds—all three of the committee’s misses were projected No. 4 seeds, while two more were No. 3 seeds. The committee was especially strong at nailing teams at the top; not only did each of the top eight seeds finish as No. 1 or 2 seeds — not one was a miss in that respect — but the committee got three of the No. 1 seeds and three of the No. 2 seeds correct.

The only mixup was the committee picking Tennessee as a No. 1 seed and North Carolina as a No. 2 seed; on Selection Sunday, those two teams were reversed, with North Carolina climbing to a top seed and Tennessee sliding to a No. 2.

With all that in mind, we took aim at predicting the committee's picks.