Sum of all incidents relatively stable, increase in Donetsk, decrease around Mariupol.

In May, the Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF), affiliated militias and the separatists (sep) violated the ceasefire regularly. The Special Monitoring Mission of OSCE publishes daily reports on observed ceasefire violations (see here). The annexed summary tables of these reports serve as data for the charts below. (notes on coding, and the link to the spread sheet)

The charts visualize the sum of observed ceasefire violations by party, regions and over time (per day). Charts don’t include the severeness and duration of the violations. Therefore, the charts show the quantity but not the quality (severeness) of the current conflict in the east of Ukraine. SMM observers are restrained in doing their mission regularly due to security considerations, land mines and denied access by conflict parties.

Ceasefire violations by parties and over time

Fig. 1 Ceasefire violations by parties. The chart shows the sum of all reported violations by party.

Fig. 2 Ceasefire violations by parties over time.

Hot spots (Donetsk, Mariupol)

Fig. 3 Donetsk railway station, JCCC observation post (on separatist controlled territory). Direction of fire is related to the observers’ position.

Fig. 4 Mariupol and around (government controlled territory).

Regions (Lugansk, Donetsk, Mariupol)

Fig. 5 Ceasefire violations by regions and over time. All reported violations are assigned to one of the regions Mariupol, Donetsk or Lugansk (depending on geographical distance).

(wf)