Richard Charnin

August 7, 2016

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll

LINKS TO POSTS

Democratic Primary spread sheet

Strange polls: Jill Stein at 1% and just 14% of respondents are Independents?

According to the Ipsos/Reuters poll, only 14% of respondents were Independents and Jill Stein had just 2% of Independents. These results are implausible.

The latest Gallup Party-ID survey indicates that 42% are Independents, 28% Democrats and 28% Republicans. The 2-party shares: 60% Independents, 40% Democrats. http://www.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx

Are we expected to believe that all of Sanders’ primary voters have gone to Clinton and Trump? http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=7324

Ipsos Pct Stein Clinton Trump Johnson Ind 14% 2% 46% 46% 6% Dem 47% 1% 81% 18% 0% Rep 39% 1% 5% 80% 14% Total 100% 1.14% 46.31% 46.22% 6.33%

If Stein matched Sanders’ primary shares of Independents and Democrats, she could win a fair election. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1sGxtIofohrj3POpwq-85Id2_fYKgvgoWbPZacZw0XlY/edit#gid=610570359

Party-ID Gallup Survey Stein (est) Clinton (est) Trump (est) Johnson (est) Ind 42% 45% 30% 10% 15% Dem 29% 40% 50% 5% 5% Rep 29% 5% 5% 80% 10% Total 100% 31.95% 28.55% 28.85% 10.65% Votes 129,106 41,249 36,860 37,247 13,750 Elect Vote 538 308 3 227 0

In the primaries (25 exit and 2 entrance polls) Bernie Sanders had 65% of Independents, but just 45.3% of the total vote.

The 42I-28D-28R Gallup Party-ID survey equates to 60I-40D in the primaries. Using this split for the 27 adjusted exit polls, Clinton needed 83.4% of Democrats to match the recorded vote. The adjusted polls indicate that Sanders had 64.6% of Independents.

This is highly anomalous. http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls

Exit Poll States Gallup Pct Sanders Clinton IND 60.0% 64.6% 35.4% Dem 40.0% 16.6% 83.4% Recorded Match 100.0% 45.3% 54.7% Recorded Vote 45.3% 54.7%

If Sanders had 37% of Democrats, he would have had a total 53.6% share.

Exit Poll States Gallup Pct Sanders Clinton IND 60.0% 64.6% 35.4% Dem 40.0% 37.0% 63.0% Est. True Vote 100.0% 53.6% 46.4% Recorded 45.3% 54.7%

Jill Stein Polling Sensitivity analysis

Assuming Independents are 40% of the electorate, then for Jill Stein to have

5%(implausible), she needs 12% of Independents and 0% of Democrats and Republicans.

10%(conservative), she needs 17% of Independents and 5% of Democrats and Republicans.

20%(plausible), she needs 35% of Independents and 10% of Democrats and Republicans.

30%(optimistic), she needs 52% of Independents and 15% of Democrats and Republicans.

Sanders had 52% of Independents in the 11 RED states. Clinton needed an IMPLAUSIBLE 97% of Democrats to match the recorded vote.

Sanders had an estimated 65% of Independents in the 40 BLUE/OTHER states. If he had 30% of Democrats, he would have had 51%.

RED STATES Pct Sanders Clinton IND 58.6% 52.0% 48.0% Req. to Match Dem 41.4% 3.0% 97.0% Calc Match 100.0% 31.7% 68.3% Recorded 31.7% 68.3% OTHER STATES IND 60.0% 65.0% 35.0% Dem 40.0% 30.3% 69.8% Calc Match 100.0% 51.1% 48.9% Total Vote 51.1% 48.9% RED STATES 2-party Recorded 160 IND IND Sanders EV AL 37.6% 57.6% 19.8% 9 AR 39.6% 57.5% 31.0% 6 FL 44.5% 59.3% 34.1% 29 GA 38.7% 55.7% 28.3% 16 LA 58.9% 73.4% 24.6% 8 MS 37.4% 55.5% 16.6% 6 NC 45.5% 58.0% 42.8% 15 SC 38.0% 55.2% 26.1% 9 TN 39.0% 58.5% 32.9% 11 TX 41.7% 58.8% 33.7% 38 VA 38.6% 55.0% 35.4% 13 avg 41.8% 58.6% 29.6% Weighted Avg 42.0% 58.5% 31.7%