Ordinarily, I would not pry into a family’s business. So why should anyone care whether new vice presidential candidate, Sarah Palin, is the mother of Trig, or her 16 year old daughter is? The answer is – blackmail by foreign powers at the level of the Oval Office. Such a prize has never before been available to our opponents, and we cannot allow it to occur now.

If Sarah Palin’s minor daughter is the mother of Trig as appears near certainty, then depending on the paternity of the child, Trig may be a smoking gun for a major felony compounded by felonies to cover up. There are several motives that could drive Governor Palin to cover up her daughter’s pregnancy. Some motives are benign, but others are extremely powerful motivators, and the more Sarah appears to cover up, the higher the probability she is motivated by something serious.

If Sarah’s daughter got pregnant by a boy in her age group and the doctor said the baby had Down’s syndrome, Sarah could take the baby to spare her daughter that task, and to spare herself the political embarrassment of a daughter with an out of wedlock child. Neither I, nor most sensible people would think this wrong.

If her daughter got pregnant by a young man known to the family who would face a statutory rape charge, Sarah could take the baby as hers to protect her daughter that pain and the young man prison, because if the baby is Sarah's, no DA can order a test of paternity. This is also understandable, and many people with humanity would do the same.

If the girl got pregnant by Sarah’s husband while he was drunk and Sarah was busy eclipsing him in her governorship, her husband would face statutory rape with special conditions while Sarah would face career ruin, family destruction and a financial trainwreck. Note that heavy drinking and marital isues are two of the three major correlates of what therapists will tell you is a very common family incident.

If the daughter got pregnant by Sarah’s older son, the son could go to prison, he would be dishonorably discharged, and Sarah’s political career would probably be over. This also happens more commonly than most believe, but I consider it less likely.

It is with great reluctance that I write this. But the possible problems are nothing less than compromise of the presidency through blackmail by a foreign power, and that requires us to invert the normal standards which would require extraordinary proof before breathing a word of such possibilities.

This has the appearance of a textbook example of the kind of personal problem that agents look for to force someone to be a traitor to their country. The keys to the kingdom of compromise are sex, drugs, and financial problems. The Kremlin and the gentlemen in Beijing would like nothing quite so much as to have a lever worth hundreds of billions of dollars in armaments. For that matter, so would Iran’s Pasdaran, a secret service which is quite capable for such a small nation, and worth being concerned about.

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