March 21, 2019 - Biden Is By Far The Most Favored Dem In New York State, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; 64% Of New Yorkers Say They Won't Vote For Trump

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In an early look at possible 2020 Democratic presidential contenders, former Vice President Joseph Biden is "King of the Hill, A No. 1" among New York State voters, with a 62 - 24 percent favorability rating, higher than any other leading Democrat, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today.





Vice President Biden led other Democrats in similar surveys by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll in Texas and Florida.





In New York, Biden has the highest net favorability ratings among Democrats and among voters 18 to 34 years old.





With a negative 24 - 49 percent favorability rating, New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio has the worst net score among any Democrat in the survey. New York City voters give their mayor a negative 36 - 48 percent favorability.





President Donald Trump gets a negative 28 - 67 percent favorability rating and 64 percent of New York State voters say they definitely will not vote for him if he is the Republican candidate for president in 2020.





Another 21 percent say they definitely will vote for him and 12 percent say they will consider voting for him. Definitely voting for President Trump are 67 percent of Republicans, 3 percent of Democrats and 16 percent of independent voters.





"It's no surprise in blue New York that Democrats are eager to send President Donald Trump packing in 2020," said Mary Snow, polling analyst for the Quinnipiac University Poll.





"But New Yorkers aren't cutting any slack to their own elected officials looking to replace him. As Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand makes her presidential bid official, her net favorability score is her worst ever."





"For New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio, who hasn't yet decided whether he'll run, his statewide net favorability rating is at an all-time low since taking office in 2014," Snow added.





"While name recognition isn't helping New Yorkers on the list of 2020 Democratic candidates or potential candidates, it is working to the advantage of former Vice President Joe Biden. His favorability rating is positive across the board except one category: Republicans. But even there, it's higher than any other Democrat who's listed."





New York State voters give Trump a negative 28 - 68 percent job approval rating. Republicans approve 83 - 15 percent and white voters with no college degree are divided as 45 percent approve and 50 percent disapprove. Every other party, gender, education, age, racial and regional group disapproves.





Favorability ratings in New York State for other leading Democrats are:

51 - 38 percent for U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont;

21 - 22 percent for former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke of Texas;

27 - 25 percent for U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris of California;

Negative 31 - 38 percent for U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts;

31 - 28 percent for U.S. Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey;

70 percent haven't heard enough about U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota to form an opinion of her.

Native son and daughters, whether running for president or not, get low favorability ratings from New York State voters:

Negative 29 - 35 percent for U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand;

42 percent favorable and 45 percent unfavorable for Gov. Andrew Cuomo;

Negative 31 - 38 percent for U.S. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

From March 13 - 18, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,216 New York State voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points, including the design effect.





The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.





Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll





Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.





1. In the 2020 general election for president, if Donald Trump is the Republican candidate, would you definitely vote for him, consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Definitely vote 21% 67% 3% 16% 25% 17% 24% 37% Consider voting 12 20 2 17 14 10 12 15 Definitely not vote 64 7 93 60 57 69 62 44 DK/NA 4 6 1 6 4 4 2 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... Non 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Wht Definitely vote 11% 22% 21% 27% 34% 26% 30% 5% Consider voting 12 11 12 8 14 13 13 8 Definitely not vote 74 64 62 62 50 57 54 81 DK/NA 2 3 5 3 2 3 3 5 AREA............. UpStat NYC Sub Definitely vote 29% 12% 23% Consider voting 13 7 18 Definitely not vote 53 78 56 DK/NA 5 4 3

2. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 28% 83% 5% 27% 32% 24% 31% 45% Unfavorable 67 14 94 64 62 71 66 51 Hvn't hrd enough 2 2 - 5 2 2 1 2 REFUSED 3 1 1 5 4 2 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... Non 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Wht Favorable 21% 27% 27% 34% 41% 33% 37% 13% Unfavorable 77 66 68 62 56 63 60 80 Hvn't hrd enough 1 5 2 1 1 2 1 3 REFUSED 1 2 3 3 2 1 2 4 AREA............. UpStat NYC Sub Favorable 37% 18% 31% Unfavorable 58 78 62 Hvn't hrd enough 1 2 4 REFUSED 4 2 2

3. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 62% 29% 82% 57% 55% 67% 61% 48% Unfavorable 24 57 6 23 30 18 28 35 Hvn't hrd enough 13 10 11 16 12 13 8 15 REFUSED 2 3 1 3 3 1 4 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... Non 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Wht Favorable 64% 61% 62% 63% 51% 60% 55% 74% Unfavorable 19 20 25 27 36 26 31 9 Hvn't hrd enough 15 17 10 7 9 12 11 17 REFUSED 1 2 2 2 4 2 3 1 AREA............. UpStat NYC Sub Favorable 53% 72% 56% Unfavorable 32 12 30 Hvn't hrd enough 11 14 13 REFUSED 3 1 2

4. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 51% 12% 69% 51% 48% 53% 46% 35% Unfavorable 38 81 20 36 43 33 47 52 Hvn't hrd enough 9 6 8 12 5 12 6 10 REFUSED 3 1 3 1 3 2 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... Non 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Wht Favorable 64% 56% 48% 40% 38% 44% 41% 67% Unfavorable 27 33 42 50 55 45 50 17 Hvn't hrd enough 6 7 9 9 4 10 7 12 REFUSED 3 5 1 1 3 1 2 4 AREA............. UpStat NYC Sub Favorable 41% 64% 42% Unfavorable 48 27 41 Hvn't hrd enough 8 6 16 REFUSED 2 4 1

5. Is your opinion of Beto O'Rourke favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 21% 3% 32% 21% 20% 22% 27% 16% Unfavorable 22 45 11 22 28 17 24 29 Hvn't hrd enough 55 51 56 56 49 60 48 54 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... Non 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Wht Favorable 22% 21% 22% 22% 23% 21% 22% 20% Unfavorable 13 22 23 26 31 21 26 14 Hvn't hrd enough 63 56 53 50 44 57 51 64 REFUSED 2 1 1 2 1 - 1 2 AREA............. UpStat NYC Sub Favorable 19% 23% 23% Unfavorable 25 16 26 Hvn't hrd enough 53 60 50 REFUSED 2 1 1

6. Is your opinion of Kamala Harris favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 27% 5% 41% 21% 26% 27% 33% 17% Unfavorable 25 57 10 25 33 18 27 32 Hvn't hrd enough 47 38 47 53 39 54 38 50 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... Non 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Wht Favorable 28% 24% 29% 28% 25% 27% 26% 28% Unfavorable 17 25 27 26 38 21 30 15 Hvn't hrd enough 54 47 44 45 35 51 43 56 REFUSED 1 4 - 1 1 1 1 1 AREA............. UpStat NYC Sub Favorable 25% 30% 24% Unfavorable 30 19 27 Hvn't hrd enough 43 50 48 REFUSED 2 1 -

7. Is your opinion of Elizabeth Warren favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 31% 5% 47% 28% 30% 32% 35% 22% Unfavorable 38 73 20 40 41 35 47 45 Hvn't hrd enough 30 21 32 31 27 32 17 32 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... Non 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Wht Favorable 33% 29% 35% 32% 29% 29% 29% 36% Unfavorable 19 42 40 45 51 42 46 23 Hvn't hrd enough 48 27 24 20 19 28 24 40 REFUSED - 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 AREA............. UpStat NYC Sub Favorable 26% 37% 30% Unfavorable 46 28 43 Hvn't hrd enough 26 34 27 REFUSED 2 1 -

8. Is your opinion of Cory Booker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 31% 4% 50% 24% 29% 33% 36% 20% Unfavorable 28 58 11 30 36 21 32 35 Hvn't hrd enough 39 36 38 44 34 44 31 43 REFUSED 2 3 1 1 2 2 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... Non 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Wht Favorable 26% 32% 36% 34% 27% 30% 29% 36% Unfavorable 20 25 31 31 41 26 33 17 Hvn't hrd enough 54 40 32 32 30 43 37 45 REFUSED - 4 1 2 2 1 1 2 AREA............. UpStat NYC Sub Favorable 25% 39% 28% Unfavorable 29 23 33 Hvn't hrd enough 45 36 37 REFUSED 2 1 2

9. Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 29% 9% 42% 23% 23% 33% 34% 26% Unfavorable 35 69 20 35 41 30 43 40 Hvn't hrd enough 35 20 36 41 34 35 20 31 REFUSED 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... Non 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Wht Favorable 30% 30% 30% 27% 27% 34% 31% 27% Unfavorable 13 36 39 48 49 35 42 21 Hvn't hrd enough 56 32 29 22 22 28 25 52 REFUSED - 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 AREA............. UpStat NYC Sub Favorable 32% 30% 22% Unfavorable 43 28 34 Hvn't hrd enough 23 41 43 REFUSED 2 1 1

10. Is your opinion of Amy Klobuchar favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 13% 1% 22% 9% 14% 13% 22% 9% Unfavorable 16 25 13 14 15 16 17 17 Hvn't hrd enough 70 73 64 75 70 70 59 72 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... Non 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Wht Favorable 11% 11% 14% 17% 17% 16% 16% 9% Unfavorable 11 15 17 21 19 16 17 12 Hvn't hrd enough 79 73 67 61 62 67 65 78 REFUSED - 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 AREA............. UpStat NYC Sub Favorable 13% 16% 11% Unfavorable 18 15 14 Hvn't hrd enough 68 68 75 REFUSED 2 2 -

11. Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 42% 11% 59% 38% 36% 46% 35% 29% Unfavorable 45 83 25 50 52 40 56 58 Hvn't hrd enough 10 5 13 9 9 12 6 10 REFUSED 3 1 3 2 3 2 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... Non 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Wht Favorable 42% 43% 44% 39% 28% 36% 32% 58% Unfavorable 35 47 47 52 62 52 57 26 Hvn't hrd enough 20 8 6 6 6 9 8 14 REFUSED 3 3 3 3 4 2 3 2 AREA............. UpStat NYC Sub Favorable 32% 52% 39% Unfavorable 57 33 48 Hvn't hrd enough 7 12 13 REFUSED 3 4 1

12. Is your opinion of Bill de Blasio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 24% 5% 36% 21% 21% 27% 16% 15% Unfavorable 49 72 38 51 54 45 57 54 Hvn't hrd enough 24 21 24 26 21 26 24 27 REFUSED 3 2 3 2 4 2 2 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... Non 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Wht Favorable 34% 21% 23% 20% 15% 16% 16% 39% Unfavorable 31 51 55 56 62 50 56 37 Hvn't hrd enough 33 22 19 22 19 32 26 21 REFUSED 2 5 2 3 4 2 3 3 AREA............. UpStat NYC Sub Favorable 12% 36% 21% Unfavorable 45 48 58 Hvn't hrd enough 40 12 19 REFUSED 3 4 2

13. Is your opinion of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?