On October 27, the Monero price attempted to initiate an upward move. However, it was unsuccessful since the price failed to break out above ₿0.0075. While it seems that XMR is close to beginning a long-term bullish movement, it has yet to break out above this resistance area.

The Monero price seemingly completed its correction on January 1 and as increased by roughly 10 percent since. This is a good start to the year since XMR decreased by 45 percent in 2019.

Cryptocurrency trader @devchart tweeted out that the XMR price reached a significant support area and began an upward move that caused it to increase by almost 10 percent. Currently, it is approaching the closest resistance area.

Long-Term Monero Outlook

The weekly Monero chart shows that the price has been decreasing since April 2018 and following a descending resistance line since July of the same year.

There are support areas at ₿0.006, where the price is currently trading and ₿0.004. When the price reached the former, it began a slight upward movement that is still ongoing.

We discussed the long-term outlook in-depth in our previous analysis and suggested that if the ₿0.006 area holds, which has been the case, we could see a breakout and the beginning of a bullish upward movement that continues well into 2020.

Previous Breakout

The XMR price had been following a descending resistance line since July. The price broke out in November but failed to move above the ₿0.0075 resistance area in three attempts before decreasing to validate the descending resistance line.

Once the price got there, it created a strong bullish divergence in both the RSI and MACD before beginning the current upward movement.

However, the price has yet to confirm that it has begun an upward movement. The rally stalled once the price reached the 100-day MA, and it has not even been close to the 200-day one. Additionally, the price has yet to make a higher low, which could act as a trendline for the possible upcoming movement.

Future Movement

While the support line has yet to be confirmed, it is entirely possible that the XMR price has created an ascending support line, which combined with the resistance area creates an ascending triangle — a breakout from which would possibly take the price to the previous breakdown level at ₿0.0105.

A stop-loss at ₿0.006 is recommended since, if the price decreases below this low, we would expect it to head towards ₿0.004. We are not giving a lot of importance to the wick low since it was not present in all exchanges.

To conclude, the XMR price has reached a significant support area and initiated a bounce. However, until it breaks out above ₿0.0075, we are considering the current upward move a retracement rather than the beginning of a new upward move. A breakout above the descending resistance trend-line would likely cause a rapid price increase.