

New Hampshire Presidential Primary Preference: New Hampshire Likely Republican

Primary Voters Jan 8-9

2012 Gingrich 10% Huntsman 18% Paul 17% Perry 1% Romney 37% Santorum 11% Other 2% Undecided 4% Mitt Romney leads the final American Research Group 2012 New Hampshire Republican Presidential Preference Primary survey with 37%. Jon Huntsman is in second place with 18%. Huntsman is followed closely by Ron Paul with 17%. Rick Santorum is in fourth place with 11% and Santorum is followed closely by Newt Gingrich with 10%. Romney leads among registered Republicans with 46%, followed by Paul with 15%, Huntsman with 13%, and Gingrich and Santorum with 10% each. Huntsman and Romney lead among undeclared voters (independents) with 25% each, followed by Paul with 20%, Santorum with 13%, and Gingrich with 10%. Romney leads among Tea Party supporters with 29%, followed by Paul with 22%, Gingrich with 19%, and Santorum with 18%. Among those likely Republican primary voters saying they are not Tea Party supporters or that they are undecided about the Tea Party, Romney leads with 40%, followed by Huntsman with 25%, and Paul with 15%. Romney leads among men with 31%, followed with Paul at 20%, Huntsman with 19%, Gingrich with 12%, and Santorum with 11%. Romney leads among women with 43%, followed by Huntsman with 17%, Paul with 14%, and Santorum with 12%. Comparison to Past Surveys: New Hampshire Likely Republican

Primary Voters Apr

2011 Jul

2011 Sep

2011 Nov

2011 Dec 11-14

2011 Jan 6-7

2012 Jan 8-9

2012 Bachmann 1% 12% 7% 2% 4% ni ni Barbour - ni ni ni ni ni ni Cain 2% 4% 4% 9% ni ni ni Daniels 1% ni ni ni ni ni ni Gingrich 8% 7% 4% 22% 16% 8% 10% Giuliani 8% 9% ni ni ni ni ni Huckabee 8% ni ni ni ni ni ni Huntsman - - 10% 8% 13% 17% 18% Johnson 1% * - 1% - ni ni Karger - ni ni ni ni ni ni Palin 2% 8% 4% ni ni ni ni Pataki - ni ni ni ni ni ni Rand Paul 2% ni ni ni ni ni ni Ron Paul 8% 4% 12% 12% 21% 16% 17% Pawlenty 2% 5% ni ni ni ni ni Perry ni 2% 13% 2% 2% 1% 1% Roemer - - 1% 1% * ni ni Romney 32% 29% 30% 33% 35% 40% 37% Santorum - 2% 2% 1% 1% 12% 11% Trump 17% ni ni ni ni ni ni Other/Undecided 8% 18% 13% 9% 8% 6% 6% Preference by party: New Hampshire Likely Republican

Primary Voters Republicans (56%) Independents (44%) Gingrich 10% 10% Huntsman 13% 25% Paul 15% 20% Perry 1% 1% Romney 46% 25% Santorum 10% 13% Other 2% 1% Undecided 3% 5% Preference by Tea Party support: New Hampshire Likely Republican

Primary Voters Supporter (32%) Not/Undecided (68%) Gingrich 19% 6% Huntsman 5% 25% Paul 22% 15% Perry 2% 1% Romney 29% 40% Santorum 18% 8% Other 1% 2% Undecided 4% 3% Preference by Sex: New Hampshire Likely Republican

Primary Voters Male (53%) Female (47%) Gingrich 12% 8% Huntsman 19% 17% Paul 20% 14% Perry 1% 1% Romney 31% 43% Santorum 11% 12% Other 2% 1% Undecided 4% 4% About this Survey - Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc. The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985. Sample Size: 600 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Republican primary voters living in New Hampshire (334 Republicans and 266 undeclared voters (independents)). An "*" in the tables indicates responses of less than 1/2 of 1 percent. Sample Dates: January 8-9, 2012 Margin of Error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. Question Wording: If the 2012 Republican presidential preference primary were being held today between (names rotated) Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote? Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or not? Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you will definitely not vote in the 2012 Republican presidential preference primary and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2012 Republican presidential preference primary, what number would you give as your chance of voting in the 2012 Republican presidential preference primary?