It’s been a fun season for Leafs fans. Toronto currently has the second-best record in the NHL, they’re all but guaranteed to make the playoffs, and to top things off, Dom Luszczyszyn’s predictive model is giving them a 16 percent chance to win the Stanley Cup this season. How could Leafs nation possibly find anything to complain about?



Don’t worry, we always find a way.



Toronto’s elite finishing talent, stellar goaltending, and unsustainable puck luck have helped mask the fact that they haven’t been driving play that well this season at even strength. They haven’t been terrible, but when you compare them to a team like Tampa Bay (ranked fourth in shot differential and third in scoring chance differential), a team that also has elite finishing talent and a star goaltender, you can start to understand why the Lightning have been more successful this season.



These teams play a very similar style of game, but...