After two Must-Not-See TV games the past two Thursday nights, we get a marquee NFL matchup with the Philadelphia Eagles visiting the Green Bay Packers this week.

The game has lost a bit of its luster after the injury-plagued Eagles’ slow start (1-2 straight up, 0-3 vs. spread), but quarterback Carson Wentz wasn’t in a panic in his press conference the other day and I almost expected him to pull an Aaron Rodgers and tell fans to “R-E-L-A-X.”

Despite their relative woes, Wentz and the Eagles’ offense are still averaging 25.3 points per game (the Packers average just 19.3) and their losses to the Falcons and Lions both could have been wins (though admittedly they were lucky to escape with a come-from-behind victory over the Redskins in the season opener). Still, I still have the Eagles rated as the better team and there’s definite value in getting more than a field goal.

Granted, the Packers are off to a great start (3-0 SU & ATS) and they were four-point favorites at most sportsbooks as of Wednesday afternoon after getting bet at high as -5¹/₂ in Las Vegas on Monday. But I’m ready to fade them because they’re not as good as their record indicates. I’m especially not buying the narrative that they have a dominant defense (allowing an NFL-best 11.7 points per game) as they benefited from catching the Bears before their offense got in sync, and the Vikings would have scored more and beaten them if not for Kirk Cousins’ unforced errors.

While “The Play” here is Eagles +4, I also like Over 46. Both offenses should have success and this total is shaded a little low as Unders are 8-2 thus far in NFL prime-time games this season (and I’m willing to fade that trend as well).

The play: Eagles, +4.