Eli Morgan worked through some early struggles. (Shotgun Spratling)

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Final Field of 64 Projection

The NCAA tournament field of 64 will be unveiled at noon ET on Monday, but until then we still have time to speculate and project. Kendall Rogers, Aaron Fitt and Mark Etheridge convened Sunday night after the announcement of the 16 regional hosts to construct their final field of 64 projection.

Sunday was a brutal day for teams on the at-large bubble. Heading into the day, there were seven conference tournaments where a likely at-large team was still alive but teams outside at-large position had a chance to win the automatic bids, and the non-at-large teams won five of them. That made the bubble considerably smaller than usual. We entered our debate with 75 teams on the board for 64 spots, and the cutting was painful.

The last three teams in our field of 64 were Gonzaga, Old Dominion and Connecticut, in order of least safe to most safe. Our first three teams out were Texas A&M, St. John’s and Maryland, in that order — so Gonzaga was our last team in and Texas A&M was our first team out.