THE ball is spiralling towards full-forward in the dying seconds of a close game and your team’s defender is one-out.

Who do you want hoping to kill the contest — Collingwood journeyman Lynden Dunn or triple All-Australian Alex Rance?

If you answered the Tiger, you are incorrect. According to Champion Data, that is, as revealed on this week’s episode of THE DRILL podcast.

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Dunn’s strike-rate in defensive one-on-one contests is No. 2 in the AFL, nudging third-best Rance.

Perhaps that was a factor last week as Dunn was selected by Nathan Buckley and swingman Ben Reid was sent to the VFL.

Dunn, 30, has lost just five of 37 contests this season. West Coast’s Jeremy McGovern is the defensive one-on-one king, beaten just four times from 50 contests.

media_camera Lynden Dunn arrived at Collingwood from Melbourne in a swap of late draft picks.

When plotting the Hail Mary kick forward to win the game, Taylor Walker, Lance Franklin and Joe Daniher are the targets you want isolated.

Those three forwards have the best winning percentages for offensive one-on-one contests inside 50m.

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As for targets all across the ground? Powerful Tiger Dustin Martin and Giants forward Toby Greene win out. Their stature suggest explosive Demon Christian Petracca might be on track to crack that category in seasons to come.

The Herald Sun’s Sam Landsberger and Champion Data AFL analyst Daniel Hoyne discussed the one-on-one kings in this week’s episode of The Drill.

Listen in to also hear why St Kilda’s first half against Richmond was the “close to perfection”, why Sydney can storm into the top four, some concerns at Adelaide and GWS and how Alastair Clarkson has rebuilt Hawthorn in 10 weeks.

Subscribe to The Drill on iTunes and tweet a question using #TheDrill.

OFFENSIVE ONE-ON-ONE CONTESTS

PLAYER CONTESTS WIN % 1 Dustin Martin 38 52.6% 2 Toby Greene 30 46.7% 3 Lance Franklin 74 45.9% 4 Joe Daniher 46 41.3% 5 Tom Hawkins 86 40.7% 6 Josh Jenkins 38 39.5% 7 Charlie Dixon 76 38.2% 8 Sam Reid 50 38.0% 9 Taylor Walker 73 37.0% 10 Jacob Weitering 30 36.7%

DEFENSIVE ONE-ON-ONE CONTESTS

PLAYER CONTESTS 1 Jeremy McGovern 50 8.0% 2 Lynden Dunn 37 13.5% 3 Alex Rance 85 16.5% 4 Easton Wood 42 16.7% 5 Jake Carlisle 36 16.7% 6 Nick Smith 40 17.5% 7 Steven May 51 17.6% 8 Heath Grundy 44 18.2% 9 Lachie Hansen 33 18.2% 10 Tom Lonergan 37 18.9%

OFFENSIVE ONE-ON-ONES INSIDE 50