The rise of Pauline Hanson's One Nation Party in Queensland has given state politicians cause for concern.

In the July federal election, the right-wing, anti-immigration party polled 5.52 per cent of the Queensland vote in the House of Representatives, despite fielding candidates in only 12 of 30 electorates, and 9.19 per cent of the vote in the Senate.

The Liberal National Party in Queensland is clearly rattled by these results, with fears that One Nation could take up to 11 seats. A recent Newspoll showed the party's support in the state has almost doubled to 10 per cent.

So which state seats are vulnerable to a One Nation takeover? We've analysed polling booth data from the federal election to find out.

'Heartland' seats

In candid remarks to Victorian Liberal president Michael Kroger, which were picked up by a hot mic, Queensland LNP Senator George Brandis raised fears about the rise of One Nation in his state.

"The thing that's alarming everyone is, as you would expect, the sudden spike in One Nation, which is now at about 16 per cent," he said.

"One Nation, as you know, their strength is in heartland National Party seats and heartland Labor Party seats, the old industrial seats around Ipswich and western Brisbane."

The senator's fears are well-founded: the Queensland electorate with the strongest support for One Nation at the 2016 election, based on Senate polling booth data, was the seat of Lockyer, west of Brisbane.

The party attracted 27.7 per cent support in polling booths in the seat, behind the LNP's 30.2 per cent, putting it well within striking distance of a seat that Senator Hanson herself almost won at the 2015 state election.

ABC election analyst Antony Green said "any party which polls in double figures has done relatively well".

There are a number of Queensland state divisions, 33 of the 89 current divisions to be exact, where One Nation polled in the double digits — the graph below shows the top 10.

Seven of the top 10 electorates for One Nation support are held by LNP members, and while this should be concerning for the party, it doesn't tell the full story.

The graph below shows the 10 divisions with the smallest margins between One Nation's vote and the primary vote leader.

LNP-held Lockyer is still on top, but the only other LNP division in the top 10 of this list is Hervey Bay.

Six are currently held by Labor and two are held by Katter's Australia Party.

A bit of perspective

Of all these divisions, it seems Lockyer and Mirani are the most likely candidates for One Nation victory.

However, whilst the double-digit support of One Nation has begun to unnerve the Queensland political establishment, with memories of the party's haul of 11 seats at the 1998 election, a comparison with the electoral results in that year paints a very different picture.

In each of the seats which One Nation won in that year, the party's primary vote is much higher than the current best performer.

One Nation polled 18.8 per cent at the 2016 election in the division of Maryborough, but polled more than double that at 42.6 per cent in 1998 to win the seat.

The return of full preferential voting in Queensland could also prove a challenge: in 1998, One Nation won five of its 11 seats without meeting the two-party preferred threshold of 50 per cent.

Full preferential voting could see more preferences flow to One Nation's opponents, especially if that opponent is a left-wing party.

Furthermore, the party captured 22.7 per cent of the statewide vote in 1998, which is more than double the current opinion polls.

The next election in Queensland is due in 2018.