Away team CLE DET NO X X X X X X X X X X X Pre-game win probabilities Pre-game CARM-Elo point spread 60% -2.5 24% 17% - - - - - - - - - - - 40% 76% -7 83% -10 - - - - - - - - - - - Home team CHI ATL GS X X X X X X X X X X X *If necessary Game Away Pre-game probabilities Pre-game

CARM-Elo spread Home CLE 60% -2.5 40% CHI DET 24% 76% -7 ATL NO 17% 83% -10 GS X NaN% NaN% X X NaN% NaN% X X NaN% NaN% X X NaN% NaN% X X NaN% NaN% X X NaN% NaN% X X NaN% NaN% X X NaN% NaN% X X NaN% NaN% X X NaN% NaN% X X NaN% NaN% X

Team-By-Team Forecast Forecast from Today Jun 13 Jun 6 May 30 May 23 May 16 May 9 May 2 Apr 25 Apr 18 Apr 14 Apr 11 Apr 4 Mar 28 Mar 21 Mar 14 Mar 7 Feb 29 Feb 22 Feb 15 Feb 8 Feb 1 Jan 25 Jan 18 Jan 11 Jan 4 Dec 28 Dec 21 Dec 14 Dec 7 Nov 30 Nov 23 Nov 16 Nov 9 Nov 2 Oct 27 (preseason) Avg. Simulated Season Avg. Simulation Playoff Chances Elo Carm-Elo 1-Week Change Team Conf. Record Proj. Record Point Diff/G Make Playoffs Make Play-offs Top Seed Win Title 1645 1732 Cavaliers East 63-19 +9.3 >99% 77% 28% 1743 1731 Warriors West 60-22 +8.1 98% 32% 18% 1564 1690 Thunder West 58-24 +7.0 97% 21% 11% 1667 1685 Spurs West 57-25 +6.6 97% 20% 11% 1647 1672 Clippers West 56-26 +6.0 95% 13% 9% 1617 1636 Rockets West 52-30 +4.5 88% 7% 5% 1583 1609 Grizzlies West 50-32 +3.5 81% 4% 3% 1520 1573 Celtics East 49-33 +3.0 90% 7% 2% 1570 1564 Bulls East 48-34 +2.6 88% 5% 2% 1521 1555 Pelicans West 45-37 +1.5 62% <1% 1% 1562 1543 Hawks East 46-36 +2.0 85% 4% 2% 1543 1542 Jazz West 45-37 +1.7 65% 1% 1% 1502 1526 Raptors East 44-38 +1.1 78% 3% 1% 1536 1498 Wizards East 41-41 -0.1 66% 1% <1% 1544 1489 Mavericks West 38-44 -1.2 29% <1% <1% 1440 1487 Kings West 38-44 -1.2 28% <1% <1% 1476 1485 Suns West 39-43 -1.0 30% <1% <1% 1427 1477 Hornets East 39-43 -0.6 60% <1% <1% 1544 1469 Trail Blazers West 36-46 -1.9 23% <1% <1% 1505 1465 Pacers East 38-44 -1.2 50% <1% <1% 1468 1460 Heat East 37-45 -1.6 48% <1% <1% 1472 1452 Pistons East 37-45 -1.7 45% <1% <1% 1360 1447 Magic East 36-46 -2.0 43% <1% <1% 1459 1432 Bucks East 34-48 -2.6 34% <1% <1% 1443 1360 Nuggets West 29-53 -5.1 5% <1% <1% 1324 1345 Timberwolves West 25-57 -6.5 2% <1% <1% 1318 1327 Knicks East 25-57 -6.6 6% <1% <1% 1339 1318 Lakers West 22-60 -7.8 <1% <1% <1% 1333 1295 76ers East 22-60 -7.9 3% <1% <1% 1470 1289 Nets East 22-60 -7.9 3% <1% <1%

Carm-Elo Adjustments During the NBA season, we use our CARMELO wins above replacement projections to adjust team ratings in response to trades and injuries. Team Amount Reason