Supplementary notes

The source provides the following information about the methodology: "four metrics are used from each match — goals scored, adjusted goals, shot-based expected goals and non-shot expected goals — to evaluate team performances. Those evaluations are expressed as offensive and defensive ratings for each team. And those ratings, in turn, let us calculate win/loss/draw probabilities for future matches and simulate the season thousands of times to estimate each team’s chances of winning the title.



Offensive SPI: the number of goals the team is expected to score in such a match

Defensive SPI: the number of goals the team is expected to concede in such a match

Overall SPI: the percentage of points the team is expected to take in such a match"