[Note: Forgive the anachronisms, but since this page is still the landing-spot for a lot of new readers, I’ve added some links to the subsequent articles into this post. There is also a much more comprehensive outline of the series, complete with a table of relevant points and a selection of charts and graphs available in The Case for Dennis Rodman: Guide.]

If you’ve ever talked to me about sports, you probably know that one of my pet issues (or “causes” as my wife calls them), is proving the greatness of Dennis Rodman. I admit that since I first saw Rodman play — and compete, and rebound, and win championships — I have been fascinated. Until recently, however, I thought of him as the ultimate outlier: someone who seemed to have unprecedented abilities in some areas, and unprecedented lack of interest in others. He won, for sure, but he also played for the best teams in the league. His game was so unique — yet so enigmatic — that despite the general feeling that there was something remarkable going on there, opinions about his ultimate worth as a basketball player varied immensely — as they continue to today. In this four-part series, I will attempt to end the argument.

While there may be room for reasonable disagreement about his character, his sportsmanship, or how and whether to honor his accomplishments, my research and analysis has led me to believe — beyond a reasonable doubt — that Rodman is one of the most undervalued players in NBA history. From an analytical perspective, leaving him off of the Hall of Fame nominee list this past year was truly a crime against reason. But what makes this issue particularly interesting to me is that it cuts “across party lines”: the conventional wisdom and the unconventional wisdom both get it very wrong. Thus, by examining the case of Dennis Rodman, not only will I attempt to solve a long-standing sports mystery, but I will attempt to illustrate a few flaws with the modern basketball-analytics movement.

In this post I will outline the major prongs of my argument. But first, I would like to list the frequently-heard arguments I will *not* be addressing:

“Rodman won 5 NBA titles! Anyone who is a starter on 5 NBA champions deserves to be in the Hall of Fame!” [As an intrinsic matter, I really don’t care that he won 5 NBA championships, except inasmuch as I’d like to know how much he actually contributed. I.e., is he more like Robert Horry, or more like Tim Duncan?]

“Rodman led the league in rebounding *7 times*: Anyone who leads the league in a major statistical category that many times deserves to be in the Hall of Fame!” [This is completely arbitrary. Rodman’s rebounding prowess is indeed an important factor in this inquiry, but “leading the league” in some statistical category has no intrinsic value, except inasmuch as it actually contributed to winning games.]

“Rodman was a great defender! He could effectively defend Michael Jordan and Shaquille O’Neal in their primes! Who else could do that?” [Actually, I love this argument as a rhetorical matter, but unfortunately I think defensive skill is still too subjective to be quantified directly. Of course all of his skills — or lack thereof — are relevant to the bottom line.]

“Rodman was such an amazing rebounder, despite being only 6 foot 7!” [Who cares how tall he was, seriously?]

Rather, in the subsequent parts in this series, these are the arguments I will be making:

Stay tuned….