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The great Canadian folksinger Valdy penned the line “I’d rather be lucky than smart when it comes to affairs of the heart.”

I can attest to the veracity of that statement.

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Valdy could have said the same about politics. Smart is good. Lucky is better.

I have wondered for the past few weeks if Doug Ford would find the luck he needs to win the Ontario election.

Ford is obviously smart enough. He won the Ontario PC leadership, against some heavy odds, with a combination of hard work and smart tactics.

But winning the general election is a different kettle of fish.

Ford faces some tough headwinds.

He is a first time leader. First-time leaders do not have an enviable track record in Ontario politics.

He became leader of a divided party just week ahead of an election. Winning campaigns usually spend a year or more planning, preparing and building a team.

The Ford team is literally being assembled as he campaigns across the province.