As the title suggests, I have been keeping track of the last 130 rounds I hosted on Legend difficulty, quickplay. Most games were played in blocks of 3 to 5 each if that matters, but since I never hosted without keeping track, so the “data” if you’d call it that is pretty authentic, I’d say. I give you the rundown first and the complete sequence afterwards.

First things first: Why did I go through the trouble of doing this? Mostly because I was curious how “legit” the game’s rng worked. As I have stated numerous times, I am rather sceptical about the game’s RNG mechanics. People have claimed it lies within the nature of RNG that certain results seem biased by perception, but I had a gut feeling that this is simply not the case here. Now, of course I know that 130 rounds is not yet statistically relevant. I chose 130 as a number because there are 13 maps, so roughly speaking, each and every map should have been played about 10 times - which, surprisingly, does hold true for the majority of maps, except for one: Skittergate. Skittergate is dramatically overrepresented and again, almost comically exactly by a factor of three when compared to the expected result of 10 times it should have come up. I have a few hypothesis about why that is so, but without further ramblings, here is are the results in alphatecial order:

Against the Grain 6

Athel Yenlui 13

Convocation of Day 9

Empire in Flames 10

Festering Ground 10

Fort Brachsenbrücke 9

Halescourge 5

Hunger in the Dark 5

Into the Nest 13

Righteous Stand 6

Screaming Bell 8

Skittergate 31

The Warcamp 5

I have had so many people claim that Skittergate seems to pop up more often in quickplay than other maps, yet most have been “shut down” with “this is how RNG works”. Well, again, I know this is not statistically relevant just yet, but after 130 rounds played, having one map pop up 3x more often than the others should at least lead to further investigation, especially considering how almost all other maps behaved exactly as one would predict.

My hypothesis as to why that is (just a stab in the dark, but it would make sense): The quickplay RNG doesn’t just randomly pick a map out of a pool of 13, but selects one ACT out of the three and then selects one map out of that act. Since Skittergate belongs to each and every act as a final mission, it would make sense that it has a higher chance to pop up and since there are 3 Acts, it would fit perfectly.

Make of this what you will, but I just thought I’d share my intelligence with you.

Here comes the whole sequence (You can call me biased on starting at Skittergate, but the idea to keep track came before that round even started ). There are some other very strange “regularities” and doubles and even triples have a very strong representation. Enjoy:

1 Skittergate

2 Festering Ground

3 Skittergate

4 Skittergate

5 Skittergate

6 Into the Nest

7 Empire in Flames

8 Into the Nest

9 Fort Brachsenbrücke

10 Fort Brachsenbrücke

11 Convocation of Decay

12 Skittergate

13 Skittergate

14 Into the Nest

15 Hunger in the Dark

16 Fort Brachsenbrücke

17 Athel Yenlui

18 Empire in Flames

19 Convocation of Decay

20 Athel Yenlui

21 Skittergate

22 Skittergate

23 Athel Yenlui

24 The Warcamp

25 Skittergate

26 Skittergate

27 Righteous Stand

28 The Warcamp

29 Hunger in the Dark

30 Festering Ground

31 Skittergate

32 Skittergate

33 Into the Nest

34 Skittergate

35 Athel Yenlui

36 Into the Nest

37 Fort Brachsenbrücke

38 Athel Yenlui

39 Skittergate

40 Screaming Bell

41 Against the Grain

42 Empire in Flames

43 Empire in Flames

44 Against the Grain

45 Festering Ground

46 Convocation of Decay

47 Screaming Bell

48 Righteous Stand

49 Athel Yenlui

50 Righteous Stand

51 Empire in Flames

52 Festering Ground

53 Into the Nest

54 Righteous Stand

55 Empire in Flames

56 Screaming Bell

57 Skittergate

58 Against the Grain

59 Skittergate

60 Skittergate

61 Into the Nest

62 Into the Nest

63 Righteous Stand

64 Athel Yenlui

65 Athel Yenlui

66 Athel Yenlui

67 Screaming Bell

68 Screaming Bell

69 Into the Nest

70 Hunger in the Dark

71 Into the Nest

72 Fort Brachsenbrücke

73 The Warcamp

74 Against the Grain

75 Screaming Bell

76 Festering Ground

77 Against the Grain

78 Convocation of Decay

79 Empire in Flames

80 Festering Ground

81 Into the Nest

82 Convocation of Decay

83 Righteous Stand

84 Fort Brachsenbrücke

85 Skittergate

86 Halescourge

87 Convocation of Decay

88 Festering Ground

89 Skittergate

90 Hunger in the Dark

91 Athel Yenlui

92 Empire in Flames

93 The Warcamp

94 Halescourge

95 Into the Nest

96 Hunger in the Dark

97 Halescourge

98 Screaming Bell

99 Screaming Bell

100 Empire in Flames

101 Festering Ground

102 Skittergate

103 Fort Brachsenbrücke

104 Convocation of Decay

105 Athel Yenlui

106 Halescourge

107 Skittergate

108 Skittergate

109 Empire in Flames

110 Into the Nest

111 Skittergate

112 Skittergate

113 Skittergate

114 Athel Yenlui

115 Against the Grain

116 Festering Ground

117 Skittergate

118 Skittergate

119 Fort Brachsenbrücke

120 Skittergate

121 Convocation of Decay

122 Skittergate

123 Fort Brachsenbrücke

124 Convocation of Decay

125 Skittergate

126 Halescourge

127 Festering Ground

128 Skittergate

129 The Warcamp

130 Athel Yenlui