But the larger point is that we cannot afford to manage twenty-first century agriculture using grandpa's tools, economically, sociologically, and biologically.

I.L. Elwood & Co. Glidden Steel Barb Wire, non-dated Advertising Posters, Advertising Ephemera Collection, Baker Library Historical Collections, Harvard Business School

Some people have said, "Well, I think you are just ahead of your time with this stuff." I'm not sure that's true. In any case, in my personal opinion, if I'm not doing the research that looks twenty years out into future before it's adopted, then I'm doing the wrong kind of research. In 2005, Gallagher, one of the world's leading builders of electric fences, invited me to talk about virtual fencing. During that conversation, they told me that they believe that, by the middle of this century, virtual fencing will be the fencing of choice.

But here's the thing: none of us have gone to the food counter and found it empty. When you have got a full stomach, the things that maybe should be looked at for that twenty-year gap are often not on the radar screen. As long as the barbed wire fences haven't rusted out completely, the labor costs can be tolerated, and the environmental legislation hasn't become mandatory, then why spend money? That's human nature. You only do what you have to do and not much more.

The point is that it's going to take a number of sociological and economic factors, in my opinion, for this methodology of animal control to be implemented by the market. But speaking technologically, we could go out with an acceptable product in eighteen months, I believe. It wouldn't have multi-hop technology. It would equal the quality of the first automobile rather than being comparable to a Rolls Royce in terms of "extras" -- that would have to await a later date in this century.

And here's another idea: I think that there ought to be a tax on every virtual fencing device that is sold or every lease agreement that's signed in the developed world. That tax would go to help developing countries manage their free-ranging livestock using this methodology because that's where we need to be better stewards of the landscape and where we as a world would all benefit from transforming some of today's manual labor into cognitive labor.

Maybe with this technology, a third-world farmer could put a better thatched roof on his house or send his kids to school, because he doesn't need their manual labor down on the farm. It's fun for a while to be out on a horse watching the cows; what made the West and Hollywood famous were the cowboys singing to their cows. I love that; that's why I'm in this profession. Still, I'm not a sociologist, but it seems as though you could take some of that labor that is currently used managing livestock in developing countries and all of the time it requires and you could transfer it into things that would enhance human well-being and education.

It's in our own interest, too. If non-optimal livestock management is creating ecological sacrifice areas, where soil is lost when the rains come or the wind blows, that particulate matter doesn't stop at national boundaries.

I always say that virtual fencing is going to be something that causes a paradigm shift in the way we think, rather than just being a new tool to keep doing things in the same old way. That's the real opportunity.

This post was originally published at V-e-n-u-e.com.

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