The Reds and Marlins are two of the bottom-eight offenses in terms of runs per game in baseball and will square off in Miami on Monday.

Pablo Lopez will make his first start for the Marlins since June 15 and had been dealing before going on the injured list. In his past six starts, he had a 2.27 ERA, giving up under 0.8 home runs per nine innings and 1.8 walks per nine in that stretch. He also has an ERA of 4.23 for the year with his fielding independent pitching at 3.57, which should lead to some positive regression if he picks up where he left off.

The Reds counter with Sonny Gray, who in 24 innings across four starts in August has given up just one run. Gray is also striking out more than 10.5 batters per nine innings and the Reds are 6-0 in his last six games and 11-2 in his past 13.

Though the Reds and Marlins are in the bottom six in bullpen ERA since the All-Star break, the Marlins ranking dead last in home runs per game and both bullpens being in the top five in home runs per nine innings allowed should offset that.

The Reds entered the week with 60.2% of their games staying Under the total with 61% of their road games staying Under.

With a pair of very good starters on the mound Monday, it should lead to a chance to make some money with the Under.

The Play: Marlins-Reds, Under 8 runs.