The schism on the Right has gone from interesting to unhelpful. Conservatives have indulged in too much infighting, fuelled by hubris. The Left will get their act together sooner than Conservatives would hope; Jeremy Corbyn is likely to be their rock bottom, from where they will be capable of mounting a resurgence. By 2020 the Conservatives will need to be more than the least-worst option.

It has long been the Prime Minister’s ambition to broaden the base of the Conservative Party. Last year, ahead of the general election, David Cameron urged kippers to "come back home". Now is the perfect moment for politicians like Evans to come in from the cold. Cameron is successfully managing to steer his party through what ought to be a disaster. The resignation of IDS aside, the even-tempered conduct from both sides of the EU referendum debate shows that Conservative Party loyalty has been stretched, but it has not snapped. Party loyalty - their big advantage over Labour - has not been completely lost. Instead, the Conservatives have advertised themselves as a broad and tolerant grouping for those who might have felt in recent years that Ukip was a more natural home. The Tories are smarter and more competent than Ukip, but they have proved themselves no less welcoming of those with strident opinions on Europe, too.