I did this map last November and it displays my projections of a possible Obama victory with only 270 electoral votes.

2012 Presidential Election: Electoral Map.

This is what the electoral map currently looks like according to realclearpolitics.com:

Dark blue represents states likely to go for President Obama for a total of 161 electoral votes:

California (55) Connecticut (7) Delaware (3) District of Columbia (3) Hawaii (4) Illinois (20) Maryland (10) Massachusetts (11) New York (29) Rhode Island (4) Vermont (3) Washington (12)

Light blue represents states leaning towards President Obama for a total of 66 electoral votes:

Maine (4) Michigan (16) Minnesota (10) New Jersey (14) New Mexico (5) Oregon (7) Wisconsin (10)

Red states are the states likely to go to presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney for a total of 131 electoral votes:

Alabama (9) Alaska (3) Arkansas (6) Idaho (4) Kansas (6) Kentucky (8) Louisiana (8) Mississippi (6) Nebraska (5) North Dakota (3) Oklahoma (7) South Dakota (3) Tennessee (11) Texas (38) Utah (6) West Virginia (5) Wyoming (3)

Light red are the states leaning toward Mitt Romney for a total of 39 electoral votes:

Georgia (16) Indiana (11) Montana (3) South Carolina (9)

Finally, gray represents the toss-up states totaling 141 electoral votes:

Arizona (11) Colorado (9) Florida (29) Iowa (6) Missouri (10) Nevada (6) New Hampshire (4) North Carolina (15) Ohio (18) Pennsylvania (20) Virginia (13)

Now, let us look at the most recent polls:

Rasmussen Tracking 4/14 – 4/16 1500 LV 45 46 Romney +1 CNN/Opinion Research 4/13 – 4/15 910 RV 52 43 Obama +9 Reuters/Ipsos 4/12 – 4/15 891 RV 47 43 Obama +4 Gallup Tracking 4/11 – 4/15 2265 RV 45 47 Romney +2 FOX News 4/9 – 4/11 910 RV 44 46 Romney +2

About that CNN poll disregard that 9 point lead for President Obama it’s WHOHA! That news organization better explain it.

The Reuters/Ipsos 4 point lead for the President is down from the double-digit lead he held in their prior poll.

Basically, all this shows, is no matter what anyone thinks, this is going to be a long ugly campaign with the possibility of my November nightmare scenario becoming a reality.

Update: While there is a long way to go, the current trend towards Romney is comfirmed with today’s Gallup tracking Romney 48, Obama 43 and the new Pew Research poll has only a 4 point advantage for the President, down from the12 point lead he enjoyed last month.