Kellyanne Conway tweeted a link to a story in the data analysis publication FiveThirtyEight that declared, “The Cubs Have A Smaller Chance Of Winning Than Trump Does.” | AP Photo Conway points to Cubs victory as proof Trump could win

Donald Trump’s campaign manager, Kellyanne Conway, is pointing to the Cubs’ victory in the World Series as proof that her candidate’s own unlikely bid for the White House could work out, despite polling that still shows him behind Hillary Clinton.

As Chicago sports fans continued to celebrate on Thursday morning, Conway tweeted a link to a story in the data analysis publication FiveThirtyEight that declared, “The Cubs Have A Smaller Chance Of Winning Than Trump Does.”


The story was published on Oct. 30, after the Cleveland Indians won their third game of four in the series. The Cubs climbed back from that 3-1 deficit to win Game 7 on Wednesday night, but FiveThirtyEight’s forecasting model was skeptical of their chances just a few days earlier.

“It will be hard for the Cubs to come back from this 3-1 deficit. As the Cavaliers taught us earlier this year, a 3-1 lead isn’t insurmountable, but Elo rates the Cubs’ ... total chance of winning the Series at a measly 15 percent,” it said, adding, “(That’s a smaller chance than FiveThirtyEight’s election forecast model currently gives Donald Trump to win the White House.)”

“#TBT,” Conway tweeted on Thursday morning, along with the article's headline, joining journalists and political commentators already noting the parallel on social media.

With some polling indicating that the race has tightened, FiveThirtyEight’s polls-only model now pegs Trump’s chances of winning the presidency at roughly 33 percent.