The ever inconsistent Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray presents yet another one of his grand political estimations (full pdf below). However, multiple notes of caution: #1) This is Patrick Murray, who hasn’t done an accurate poll in all of 2016 campaign season. #2) This poll was conducted prior to the GOP debate.

In addition to the prior notes of caution – a one day “private poll’ conducted on Sunday (post debate), shows Marco Rubio support has dropped significantly. This was reported in politico:

[…] Donald Trump holds a wide lead in the survey, receiving 35 percent. He more than doubles runner-up Kasich, who has 15 percent. In third is Jeb Bush, with 13 percent. Behind Rubio in fifth and sixth place, respectively, are Christie and Ted Cruz. Both receive 8 percent. (link)

The Sunday post debate poll shows a wider lead for Trump and a significant slip for Rubio – but again, polling this close to the vote is notoriously sketchcy.

Here’s the full Monmouth Result: