(Hello, this is a feature that will run through the entire season and aims to recap the weekend’s events and boils those events down to one admittedly superficial fact or stupid opinion about each team. Feel free to complain about it.)

Let's say you flip a coin 20 times, and you really want to have it land on heads. And it does, 15 times out of those 20.

Does this make you an expert coin flipper? Of course it does not. Random chance just went your way a lot of times in a row, and while that worked out great for you at the time, it is not indicative of future success in getting the coin to land on heads.

However, if you didn't know any better, you would have no problem at all convincing yourself that you are the coin-flippingest coin-flipping genius that has ever flipped a coin, that mathematical convention proven over and over again simply does not apply to you because you do something that those other coin-flippers never figured out.

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But then you go and flip a coin 20 more times and you only get it to land on heads seven times. At that point, it probably becomes quite easy to blame yourself for not flipping the coin the way you did before, and to try to revisit the process and see where you might have gone wrong.

Similarly, the Calgary Flames excelled in high-leverage situations that won them a ton of points last year, and allowed them to squeak into the playoffs. For instance, there was their second-in-the-league third-period goal differential of plus-31. They scored a league-high nine times with the goalie pulled. And that sort of thing is enough to convince yourself, and those around you, that this too is a repeatable skill. It certainly helped to paint over the Flames' astonishingly bad possession numbers, and made it appear as though this was a club with a magical work ethic that simply got results that other teams could not.

And this came at a time when hockey fans, writers, players, coaches, and managers alike all accepted that what the Flames were doing was unsustainable. After a year of praising nothing but hard work, there was a bit of a media tour from Calgary brass this summer using the phrase “40-foot putt” a lot, to indicate that yeah, they knew what the problem was, and they were going to address it. So they brought in Michael Frolik and Dougie Hamilton, two guys who ostensibly help shore up poor possession to a significant extent, based on their track records. They reminded us that the core of the Flames team — Hamilton and Johnny Gaudreau and Sam Bennett and Sean Monahan and T.J. Brodie — were young enough that we could accept they would continue improving on impressive seasons, and that too would help to bridge the gaps where Calgary often fell short in having the solid foundational process that engenders wins in the long term.

People, in short, bought in on the Flames' newfound rationality in much the same way they'd bought into the kooky religion of just a few months prior.

And now this.

The second-worst record in the West through Saturday night, ahead of only the surprisingly bad Anaheim Ducks. Two points from five games for the first time since 1997-98, when they finished with 67 points and missed the playoffs by a mile. And not only that, but the possession problems have continued (46.6 percent, “good” for 25th in the league), and they've also been pummeled in the third period for seven goals in five games, scoring just three themselves. In their only win, they needed some of that old comeback magic to even get to overtime against division rival Vancouver, so that's also a point given away on top of everything else.

What's worse is that there are very few players on the roster who are even playing well. Mark Giordano, the guy who would have won a pair of Norris trophies in the last two seasons if he'd been able to stay healthy, has a sub-47 percent corsi-for Hamilton's is 44.1 percent, Dennis Wideman is 43.7 percent, Kris Russell is at a pathetic 39.7 percent. The team also has just 1.2 goals at 5-on-5 per game, and the offense has struggled mightily, and is somehow producing fewer shot attempts and high-quality chances for per 60 minutes than they were even last year, when they were 27th and tied for 23rd in the league, respectively, in those categories.