The NBA MVP race is as wide-open as any we’ve witnessed in recent years. And while this season’s narrative has been shaped far more by team performances — the collaborative excellence of the Atlanta Hawks and Golden State Warriors, for example — than by individual brilliance, that’s not to say we haven’t seen individual brilliance.

Several players have been playing well enough to insert themselves into the MVP discussion. But so far, no one has been quite dominant enough to slam the door shut.

Since the All-Star break, the conversation has been focused in on three players — Stephen Curry, James Harden and Russell Westbrook. They are not the only names at the top, but they seem the most likely candidates.

(The case for Anthony Davis is undermined by his team’s struggles. LeBron’s resume is weakened by voter fatigue and that ugly November and December the Cavaliers slogged through. The Atlanta Hawks are viewed as a unit, and the stars of the Clippers and Trail Blazers have to deal with the ticket-splitting capabilities of multiple MVP candidates on the same team.)

In reality, it is the numbers themselves that reinforce the momentum-gaining notion that this is really a three-horse race. Feeding per-game player statistics into an MVP projection model spits out Curry, Harden and Westbrook as the most probable MVP candidates: