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Week 15 Results:

Week 15 Results Season Results Consensus Picks 5-1-0 26-9-1 (.722) Drive Picks 10-6-0 56-32-1 (.629) Metric Picks 11-5-0 58-30-1 (.651) QBR Picks 9-7-0 46-42-1 (.517)

Another strong showing for the consensus picks, which have been positive every week but one so far. This week will be a lot harder to predict, however, as teams start sitting players and playoff races hit their peaks. Here are my model’s picks for this week:

Game Drive Pick Metric Pick QBR Pick WAS @ TEN (-10) WAS +10 WAS +10 WAS +10 BAL @ LAC (-4) LAC -4 LAC -4 LAC -4 NYG @ IND (-9) IND -9 IND -9 NYG +9 ATL (-3) @ CAR CAR +3 CAR +3 CAR +3 CIN @ CLE (-9) CLE -9 CIN +9 CIN +9 TB @ DAL (-7) DAL -7 TB +7 TB +7 MIN (-6) @ DET DET +6 DET +6 DET +6 JAC @ MIA (-4) MIA -4 JAC +4 JAC +4 BUF @ NE (-13.5) NE -13.5 NE -13.5 NE -13.5 GB (-3) @ NYJ NYJ +3 GB -3 GB -3 HOU @ PHI (-1) PHI -1 HOU +1 HOU +1 LAR (-14) @ ARI ARI +14 LAR -14 ARI +14 CHI (-4) @ SF SF +4 CHI -4 SF +4 PIT @ NO (-6) NO -6 NO -6 NO -6 KC (-2.5) @ SEA SEA +2.5 SEA +2.5 SEA +2.5 DEN (-3) @ OAK DEN -3 DEN -3 OAK +3

Methodology:

Drive Method: Uses average drive statistics such as Points per Drive and TD%

Metric Method: Uses advanced metrics such as SRS and EXP

QBR Method: Uses win statistics and team QB Ratings

Consensus Picks:

WAS +10

LAC -4

DET +6

CAR +3 (I’d stay away, Cam Newton is sitting)

NE -13.5

NO -6

SEA +2.5