Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat ( -1.5 ) – O/U: 198

We have a very interesting situation on our hands in Miami tonight. This will be the third game for the Wizards in three days and I’m expecting a major letdown from them tonight. The Wiz won the first two games of this stretch, so it seems somewhat natural that they would mail it in against the Heat and get ready for their next game on Tuesday. However, you would think Vegas took this into account but the line does not reflect anything out of the ordinary. With all of that being said, I think the Wizards may be in a better spot than we may think.

John Wall would be the go-to guy again without question. I would rather pay up for the point guards in the Clippers/Warriors game, but if you want diversify yourself, this is how to get it done. After that, it’s really just one big crapshoot for the Wizards. Nene Hilario won’t play so that means the minutes for Jared Dudley and Markieff Morris are up in the air. It’s probably best to avoid the Wizards altogether tonight.

It’s that time of the year again for the Heat where their roster starts falling apart piece by piece. That’s a good thing tonight for us though because there’s tons of value plays going against a shitty defense that is playing their third game in three days. Get all that?

Goran Dragic, Luol Deng, Justise Winslow and Gerald Green are our guys tonight. It’s feasible that every single one of them gets busy tonight at their discount prices. Hassan Whiteside is interesting as well; with Dwayne Wade listed as questionable and Chris Bosh out indefinitely, he could see his usage rate increase. This is also Whiteside’s first game back since being suspended so he could have a little extra motivation on his side.

Milwaukee Bucks @ Atlanta Hawks ( -8.5 ) – O/U: 205

Vegas thinks the Hawks are going to win by a healthy margin this evening, so let’s run with that narrative. The Bucks can’t rebound or really do anything noteworthy down low, so Paul Millsap and Al Horford are the top plays for the Hawks. They have also had trouble again wing players so I don’t mind Kent Bazemore in this spot, but I think you can find better options on the board.

If you’re trying to cut cost and be able to afford an extra big name in your lineup, think about slotting in Kyle Korver. He’s played at least 35 minutes in three of his last four games and gotten at least 24.2 FanDuel points in those last four as well. Korver’s three-point stroke seems to be back as he’s hit for 52% from behind the arc in the last five games.

Speaking of having trouble with wing players, Atlanta has the same problem, so Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton could turn out to be pretty beneficial tonight. The projection sheets are buzzing over Middleton if that means anything to you. Jabari Parker has been playing a ton of minutes, but I don’t think he’s going to have the kind of major outburst that he had last night against Millsap.

New York Knicks @ Minnesota Timberwolves ( -2 ) – O/U: 207

I had the pleasure of seeing this Knicks team in person last night and boy was I glad to see my Nets thump them at home, where the crowd was about 80% Knicks’ fans. Sons a bitches, that’s what you get for coming to the BK with that BS! On a brighter note, I think tonight is the night that the Knicks finally end this godforsaken losing streak. It’s been a rough road these last couple weeks, but they do have stretches where they look like an actual NBA team; the problem is that they just can’t put a complete four quarters together.

Carmelo Anthony is my man at small forward tonight. On Friday against the Nets, he got off to a very hot start and then simmered down in the second half. If it’s Andrew Wiggins that draws the assignment of guarding Melo, I think that benefits the seasoned vet a lot more. If the T-Wolves pull Tayshaun Prince out of the cellar, he might not have as great of a night.

Aaron Afflalo has the best DvP matchup here as the T-Wolves are the second-worst team in the NBA against shooting guards in the last seven games.

Love me some Ricky Rubio tonight and there’s a little bit of narrative to go along with it. Numerous rumors have said the Knicks want to bring the Spanish-born point guard to Manhattan via free agency in July. I don’t know about you, but I think it would be pretty cool to play professional basketball in the city so nice they named it twice. This is basically an audition of sorts for Rubio tonight.

The Knicks have struggled everywhere lately, but mainly down low. In the last seven games, the Knicks rank 24th in the NBA against power forwards and 29th against centers. Gorgui Dieng and Karl-Anthony Towns stand to benefit from those numbers.

Golden State Warriors ( -3.5 ) @ Los Angeles Clippers – O/U: 224

Ladies and gentlemen, I now give you the main event!

The line on this game in susceptibly low for the Warriors, but maybe that’s Vegas trying to bait you into taking one side or the other. I’m not sure yet, but one thing I know, we’re going to see a shitload of points at the Staples Center.

Same story as always for the Warriors- Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green are all tremendous plays. I really like Andrew Bogut tonight because he’s the only guy the Warriors have that can stick with DeAndre Jordan. Against a similar player in Dwight Howard on Feb.9, Bogut logged eight more minutes than his season average of 20.7 and that bodes well for tonight’s matchup. He’s cheap and efficient, so if this game stays close like its intended to, you’ll have the steal of the night.

We saw what the wonders of the Warriors’ pace did for Damian Lillard last night and it’s reasonable to think Chris Paul will have the same success in this game. With Blake Griffin out of the lineup, it’s been the CP3 Show pretty much every night and another heavy dosage is in order tonight.

As for the rest of the Clippers, there are points to be had here. Jamal Crawford has been getting a boatload of minutes lately, so he’s a viable option. JJ Redick, Paul Pierce and Wesley Johnson are in the discussion as well. Oh yes, don’t forget about DeAndre.