There’s no shortage of speculation about how Tampa Bay will do this season as they try and recover from an awful 2-14 season. An interesting 2015 season preview revealed that the Buccaneers haven’t been crowned NFC South champions since the 2007 season, which is the longest drought in the division.

The NFC South was ripe for the taking last year with Carolina claiming the title despite a 7-8-1 record, which was the first time a team with a losing record won the division. The hapless Bucs went 0-6 in the division and finished with a 2-14 season, yet weren’t mathematically eliminated from contention for the NFC South crown until early December because the division was so bad.

Of course Tampa Bay’s consolation prize for finishing with the worst record in the league was the top pick in the 2015 NFL Draft, which netted Florida State quarterback Jameis Winston. After allowing a league-high 124 quarterback hits last year, the offensive line was retooled with second-round picks Donovan Smith and Ali Marpet expected to start at left tackle and right guard, respectively.

The Bucs defense added Bruce Carter at linebacker, George Johnson at defensive end, Chris Conte and DJ Swearinger at safety and Henry Melton at defensive tackle. But despite the new additions on defense, along the offensive line and a new quarterback, Tampa Bay might not be ready to make a move and challenge for the division in 2015.

In fact, the Bucs are 100/1 to win Super Bowl 50, and keep in mind that a rookie quarterback has never won the Super Bowl. Las Vegas has the over/under win total for Tampa Bay at six wins. A soft-schedule makes it tempting to take the over, but taking the under is probably a better choice due to the growing pains that Winston will likely experience as a rookie as the Bucs build towards the future and a time when they can once again contend for the NFC South title.