Dave Tuley, senior reporter at VSiN.com, is in his second season with the Post’s Bettor’s Guide. His handicapping pieces appear in VSiN’s online magazine, Point Spread Weekly.

MIAMI DOLPHINS (+19¹/₂) over New England Patriots: I know the Dolphins were destroyed by the Ravens in the opener 59-10, and the Patriots routed a much better team than the Dolphins in the Steelers, 33-3, last Sunday night, but that’s why we’re getting this overly inflated number (last week’s advance line was Pats -11). In fact, the Dolphins are the biggest NFL home underdogs since 2007, when the Ravens were +19¹/₂ vs. the Pats (and the big ’dog covered in a 20-17 loss). I like that’s it’s a divisional rivalry, and we have veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick hopefully working his magic. Besides, despite the ugly loss last week, the Dolphins are still 6-3 straight up the past seven years in September home games, including a 33-20 upset of the Patriots in 2014 in the heat and high humidity when the Patriots were still good and the Dolphins weren’t much better than this.

Arizona Cardinals (+13) over BALTIMORE RAVENS: I’ll also take the other double-digit ‘dog on Sunday. Again, we know the whole world is on the Ravens after that rout of the Dolphins, but I think the Cardinals will be a much tougher test, even with rookie QB Kyler Murray learning on the job (both offenses will look similar with him facing fellow Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson). For me, this comes down to the fact the advance line on this game last week was Ravens -9¹/₂ , and I think it’s too much of an adjustment of more than a field goal to the current line of 13.

Last week: 0-2.