According to Bloomberg, it’s a dead heat in Iowa among the top tier. This is extremely good news for the Paul campaign, given Cain’s poor organization on the ground in the state and given that Paul’s supporters will likely come out in larger numbers than the polls indicate. Caucuses are long, drawn-out affairs, and only the truly committed attend. Paul did much better in 2008 in Iowa than the polls suggested he would, and as I’ve noted before, at this year’s Ames Straw Poll he was polling at 16% among supposedly likely poll-goers, but among those who actually bothered to show up, he got 28%.