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This is how nuts the market can be: The SEC is deciding whether to approve the first-ever ETF to track a digital currency. But the kicker is that you can now bet on whether it will do so.

“Such wagers can only be placed and settled in Bitcoin, naturally, on the BitMEX platform, which offers the ability to trade certain cryptocurrency derivatives with ‘up to 100x leverage,’” reports Bloomberg.

The ETF in question is the Winklevoss Bitcoin Trust (COIN). It was created by the twin brothers Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, known for suing Mark Zuckerberg over the ownership of Facebook. The SEC is supposed to decide on whether to approve the ETF on March 11.

What are the odds, you ask, that the bitcoin ETF will be approved? The prediction market says 36.37%. The fund’s backers have been trying to get it approved for more than three years, Bloomberg notes. The SEC could shoot the application down due to bitcoin’s history of security problems. Most notably, the Mt. Gox bitcoin exchange, in Tokyo, closed in 2014 after 850,000 bitcoins went missing. And last August, hackers stole some $65 million worth of the cryptocurrency.