“In wartime,” Churchill famously told Stalin, “truth is so precious that she should always be attended by a bodyguard of lies.” He said this on 30 November 1943 – by chance his 69th birthday – in an effort to impress upon the Soviet leader the importance of deception in the planning of D-Day. In fact, the Allies did deceive the Germans, whose Wehrmacht commanders thought the landings would be made in northern France rather than on the beaches of Normandy.

But the meaning of truth and lies – even the very word “wartime” – have so changed their meaning and usefulness in recent Middle East history that it’s almost impossible to apply Churchill’s quotation today. After its anti-aircraft missile destroyed Ukrainian Airways flight 752 this month, Iran’s initial lie – that its loss was due to engine problems – was uttered not to “attend” the truth but to protect the Iranian regime from being blamed in case its people discovered the truth.

Which, of course, they quickly did.

There was a time when you could get away with this sort of giant fib. In a pre-technology age, almost any catastrophe could be glossed – we still talk about a disaster “shrouded in mystery” – but phone cameras, missile-tracking, long-range radar and satellites quickly expose a lie. The loss of Malaysian Airlines flight MH370 almost six years ago is the only exception I can think of.

True, Mubarak actually surrounded Cairo’s television headquarters with tanks in 2011 in an antediluvian attempt to stop a revolution powered by mobile phone messages. But the Iranian Revolutionary Guards and the Iranian military are so computer-savvy that they could hardly have misunderstood what they had done to the Ukrainian aircraft. The idea, still touted by the regime, that there were “communications” problems (for more than three days, for heavens’ sake) is preposterous.

What really happened, I suspect, is that both President Hassan Rouhani and Ayatollah Ali Khamenei both knew within an hour what had happened, but were so appalled that a nation whose very name bears the title of “Islamic”, and whose supposedly revered if corrupted Revolutionary Guards had been promoted as both God-fearing and flawless, that they simply did not know how to respond. They were faced with The Truth. So they told a lie. Thus the very image of spotless theology which was supposed to sustain Iran’s image was shattered by error – and then by dishonesty.

No wonder Iranians returned to the streets.

Iran made a mistake, but to compound a tragic mistake with a blatant – and then admitted — falsehood was close to Original Sin. The people are not about to overthrow the regime, as Trump’s acolytes and the usual US “experts” suggest. But Iran has been changed forever.

Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Show all 25 1 /25 Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 People standing and analysing the fragments and remains of the Ukraine International Airlines plane Boeing 737-800 that crashed outside the Iranian capital Tehran on January 8 National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine/AFP Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 A hole in a part of Ukraine International Airlines Flight PS752 Iran said on January 11, it "unintentionally" shot down a Ukrainian passenger jet, killing all 176 people aboard, in an abrupt about-turn after initially denying Western claims it was struck by a missile Ukrainian Presidential Press Service/EPA Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Tehran Iranians protested in front of the Amir Kabir University in Tehran after the Iranian military released their statement about the flight EPA Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Debris of the wreckage Iranian president said a military probe into the tragedy had found "missiles fired due to human error" brought down the Boeing 737, calling it an "unforgivable mistake" National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine/AFP Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Tehran Local newspapers in Tehran carrying headlines such as: "National Mourning", "Apologize, Resign", "Unforgivable", "Great Disaster" ... concerning the downed Ukranian jetliner AFP via Getty Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Kiev, Ukraine Ukraine International Airlines President Yevhenii Dykhne stands next to a map of flight PS-752's departure path at a news briefing about the crash Reuters Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Tehran The Iranian students demonstrated following a tribute for the victims AFP via Getty Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 The Canadian passport of a victim This handout photograph taken and released on January 11, 2019, by The National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, shows the Canadian passport of avictim of the Ukraine International Airlines plane Boeing 737-800 that crashed outside the Iranian capital Tehran on January 8, 2020. - Iran said on January 11, 2020 it "unintentionally" shot down a Ukrainian passenger jet, killing all 176 people aboard, in an abrupt about-turn after initially denying Western claims it was struck by a missile. Iranian president said a military probe into the tragedy had found "missiles fired due to human error" brought down the Boeing 737, calling it an "unforgivable mistake". (Photo by STR / National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - MANDATORY CREDIT "AFP PHOTO / National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine" - NO MARKETING NO ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS - DISTRIBUTED AS A SERVICE TO CLIENTS (Photo by STR/National Security and Defense Co/AFP via Getty Images) STR National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine/AFP Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 This combination of satellite pictures shows a before and after image of the crash site in Tehran The image (top), according to Maxar, shows vehicles and personnel (centre) during accident recovery and investigation on January 11, with a wall by the soccer pitch (left) destroyed as well as a wall (top right). The image below was taken on November 27, 2019 Maxar Technologies/AFP Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Ukraine The portraits of victims with flowers and candles at Boryspil International Airport in Kiev EPA Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Holes in the wreckage This handout photograph taken and released on January 11, 2019, by The National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, shows holes in the wreckage of the Ukraine International Airlines plane Boeing 737-800 that crashed outside the Iranian capital Tehran on January 8, 2020. - Iran said on January 11, 2020 it "unintentionally" shot down a Ukrainian passenger jet, killing all 176 people aboard, in an abrupt about-turn after initially denying Western claims it was struck by a missile. Iranian president said a military probe into the tragedy had found "missiles fired due to human error" brought down the Boeing 737, calling it an "unforgivable mistake". (Photo by STR / National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - MANDATORY CREDIT "AFP PHOTO / National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine" - NO MARKETING NO ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS - DISTRIBUTED AS A SERVICE TO CLIENTS (Photo by STR/National Security and Defense Co/AFP via Getty Images) STR National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine/AFP Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Tehran People gathered for a candlelight vigil at the gate of Amri Kabir University AP Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 People standing and analysing the fragments and remains of the Ukraine International Airlines plane This handout photograph taken and released on January 11, 2019, by The National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, shows people standing and analysing the fragments and remains of the Ukraine International Airlines plane Boeing 737-800 that crashed outside the Iranian capital Tehran on January 8, 2020. - Iran said on January 11, 2020 it "unintentionally" shot down a Ukrainian passenger jet, killing all 176 people aboard, in an abrupt about-turn after initially denying Western claims it was struck by a missile. Iranian president said a military probe into the tragedy had found "missiles fired due to human error" brought down the Boeing 737, calling it an "unforgivable mistake". (Photo by STR / National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - MANDATORY CREDIT "AFP PHOTO / National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine" - NO MARKETING NO ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS - DISTRIBUTED AS A SERVICE TO CLIENTS (Photo by STR/National Security and Defense Co/AFP via Getty Images) STR National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine/AFP Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Protests against war with Iran took place in London The demonstration was co-organized by the Campaign For Nuclear Disarmament and the Stop the War Coalition, an activist group formed in 2001 Getty Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 A hole in a part of Ukraine International Airlines Flight epa08119576 An undated handout picture provided by the Ukrainian Presidential Press Service allegedly shows a hole in a part of Ukraine International Airlines Flight PS752, issued on 11 January 2020. According to media reports on 11 January 2020, the Iranian military released a statement claiming that Ukraine International Airlines flight PS752 was shot down due to 'human error.' The Ukrainian jet, flying from Tehran, Iran, to Kiev, Ukraine, crashed minutes after takeoff on 08 January 2020, killing all 167 passengers and nine crew members aboard. EPA/UKRAINE PRESIDENTIAL PRESS SERVICE HANDOUT BEST QUALITY AVAILABLE HANDOUT EDITORIAL USE ONLY/NO SALES UKRAINE PRESIDENTIAL PRESS SERVICE HANDOUT Ukrainian Presidential Press Service/EPA Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Labour Party leader spoke at the event Jeremy Corbyn posing with an anti-war banner during the demonstration against the threat of war on Iran, in Trafalgar Square AFP via Getty Images Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 A rose rests on a page featuring photographs of people who died in Iran Iranian Americans from across California converged in Los Angeles to participate in the California Convention for a Free Iran Reuters Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 A young boy protests against a possible war with Iran in London A young protester at a Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament demonstration against a possible war with Iran in Trafalgar Square, central London. PA Photo. Picture date: Saturday January 11, 2020. See PA story POLITICS Iran. Photo credit should read: Jonathan Brady/PA Wire Jonathan Brady PA Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Holes in the wreckage This handout photograph taken and released on January 11, 2019, by The National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, shows holes in the wreckage of the Ukraine International Airlines plane Boeing 737-800 that crashed outside the Iranian capital Tehran on January 8, 2020. - Iran said on January 11, 2020 it "unintentionally" shot down a Ukrainian passenger jet, killing all 176 people aboard, in an abrupt about-turn after initially denying Western claims it was struck by a missile. Iranian president said a military probe into the tragedy had found "missiles fired due to human error" brought down the Boeing 737, calling it an "unforgivable mistake". (Photo by STR / National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - MANDATORY CREDIT "AFP PHOTO / National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine" - NO MARKETING NO ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS - DISTRIBUTED AS A SERVICE TO CLIENTS (Photo by STR/National Security and Defense Co/AFP via Getty Images) STR National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine/AFP Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Rescue workers search the scene on January 8 In this Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2020, photo, rescue workers search the scene where a Ukrainian plane crashed in Shahedshahr, southwest of the capital Tehran, Iran. Iran on Saturday, Jan. 11, acknowledged that its armed forces "unintentionally" shot down the Ukrainian jetliner that crashed earlier this week, killing all 176 aboard, after the government had repeatedly denied Western accusations that it was responsible. (AP Photo/Ebrahim Noroozi) Ebrahim Noroozi AP Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Rescue workers search the scene In this Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2020 photo, rescue workers search the scene where a Ukrainian plane crashed in Shahedshahr, southwest of the capital Tehran, Iran. Iran on Saturday acknowledged that its armed forces "unintentionally" shot down the Ukrainian jetliner that crashed earlier this week, killing all 176 aboard, after the government had repeatedly denied Western accusations that it was responsible. (AP Photo/Ebrahim Noroozi) Ebrahim Noroozi AP Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Debris of the Ukraine International Airlines General view of the debris of the Ukraine International Airlines, flight PS752, Boeing 737-800 plane that crashed after take-off from Iran's Imam Khomeini airport, on the outskirts of Tehran, Iran January 8, 2020 is seen in this screen grab obtained from a social media video via REUTERS THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY. MANDATORY CREDIT. SOCIAL MEDIA Reuters Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Debris of the Ukraine International Airlines (FILES) In this file photo taken on January 8, 2020 rescue teams are seen at the scene of a Ukrainian airliner that crashed shortly after take-off near Imam Khomeini airport in the Iranian capital Tehran. - Iran said on January 11 that it unintentionally shot down the Ukrainian plane due to 'human error'. (Photo by Akbar TAVAKOLI / IRNA / AFP) (Photo by AKBAR TAVAKOLI/IRNA/AFP via Getty Images) AKBAR TAVAKOLI IRNA/AFP/Getty Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 One of the engines of the plane lies among the wreckage epa08118590 (FILE) - One of the engines of the plane lies among the wreckage after a Ukraine International Airlines Boeing 737-800 carrying 176 people crashed near Imam Khomeini Airport in Tehran, killing everyone on board, in Shahriar, Iran, 08 January 2020 (reissued 11 January 2020). According to media reports, the Iranian military released a statement on 11 January claiming that Ukraine International Airlines flight 752 was shot down due to a human error. EPA/ABEDIN TAHERKENAREH ABEDIN TAHERKENAREH EPA Iran plane crash: Tehran admits accidentally shooting Boeing 737 Debris of the Ukraine International Airlines FILE - In this Jan. 8, 2020, photo, debris is seen from an Ukrainian plane which crashed as authorities work at the scene in Shahedshahr, southwest of the capital Tehran, Iran. Iran announced Saturday, Jan. 11, that its military â€œunintentionallyâ€ shot down the Ukrainian jetliner that crashed earlier this week, killing all 176 aboard, after the government had repeatedly denied Western accusations that it was responsible. (AP Photo/Ebrahim Noroozi, File) Ebrahim Noroozi AP

No longer can its religious leaders claim papal infallibility. If they can lie about killing innocents on a Ukrainian airliner – most of them Iranian — then surely their jurisprudence might prove equally flawed. Those who demand obedience from their loyal followers cannot expect their audience to accept their future pronouncements – on Trump or God – with the same sacred trust. For quite a while, the Revolutionary Guards who hitherto presented themselves as potential martyrs for Islam are going to be known as The Guys Who Fired the Missile.

Now let’s remember that we in the West have grown so used to our own dishonesty – and being caught out – that we scarcely flinch at the word “lie”. Let me ask a frank question: save for the flies around Trump, is there anyone who actually believes the “intelligence” information about Qassem Suleimani’s plans to attack or blow up four US embassies (or five, or six, or whatever)?

Maybe it’s true. Maybe it’s not. But given the sloppy replies of US defence secretary Mark Esper and his chums, I’d hazard a bet that this stuff was a Trump potboiler, a mix of Hollywood, haze and an early morning tweet. Who cares if it’s true or not? Suleimani was a bad guy. Hands up who in the West was really upset that he’d been murdered (let us at least use this word once today)? Even Boris Johnson said he wouldn’t mourn Suleimani’s passing, though no one had actually asked him to. He would say the same – and probably will say the same – if America or Israel, or both, assassinated the Lebanese Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah.

The problem is that we’ve grown so used to lies – on Brexit, on the Middle East, you name it – that we hardly care any more.

If we can go to war on WMD, 45-minute warnings, promises of democracy for Iraq and half a million deaths, or a million, or a quarter of a million — see how we can play with the souls of the dead in this part of the world? – then we don’t safeguard truth with a bodyguard of lies: we search for a simple truth to protect us from the lies. Isn’t the world better without Qassem Suleimani? Isn’t the world better without Saddam?

But this only works up to a point. Does anyone really think that Boris Johnson’s hodgepodge about a “new” nuclear deal with Iran is anything more than a sop to Trump? There was a deal and – in theory, as the Iranians keep reminding us – there still is a deal. And the Iranians are prepared to go back to it. Or, as we must remember now, so they say.

And clearly, the Americans are going to suffer in the days and weeks and months to come. Those bases in the Iraqi desert are looking less and less like the “lily pads” that Donald Rumsfeld once called them and more and more like potential death traps.

The odd thing is that when the Americans originally claimed the Iranians were behind the guerrilla assaults on their occupation troops after the 2003 invasion, Iraqis knew this wasn’t true. Iraq itself was awash with weapons and very skilled weapons experts – all newly available from Saddam’s old and abandoned army – and didn’t need Suleimani and his chums to teach them what they already knew.

No one should doubt Suleimani’s encouragement, but to suggest that he was effectively running the Iraqi resistance – another of the reasons produced for assassinating him – was ridiculous. The irony is that when the US claimed the Iranians were behind the attacks on their soldiers in Iraq, they were likely not. And now the Americans have killed the Revolutionary Guards Quds force commander, the Iranians are indeed behind the attacks on the American bases. They even said so: a remarkable truth, uttered even as they lied about their own destruction of the Ukrainian airliner.

You can see why Trump might find all this confusing. For until now, the Americans have had a monopoly on deceit. Just look at the plans for what the Arabs still call “Palestine” – the “deal of the century”, as we journos like to call it – which effectively destroys any chance of giving the Palestinians a nation-state of their own. It is the antithesis of the Oslo agreement, always supposing Oslo was really intended to give the Palestinians a country of their own in the first place. Trump’s ‘policies’, if they can be called that, will lead inevitably to the permanent Israeli occupation of the West Bank and the dispossession of the Palestinians.

Yet we are supposed to believe – and the Arabs are supposed to believe, even the Palestinians themselves – that the further colonisation of the West Bank, not to mention the existence of the new US embassy in Jerusalem, is intended to bring peace to the region. Merely by discussing this absurd scenario, we are helping to propagate a lie.

Oddly, in a world where the assassination of a military commander is not regarded as an act of war, we are beginning to accept these lies. They have become normal, even acceptable in a routine kind of way. The west, of course, is hoping that the liar-in-chief will depart next year. But I wouldn’t be too sure. And what about the other nation which feasts upon lies? I’m talking about the state which never, ever, sent its special forces into Ukraine, which never had any hand – even in the remotest way – in shooting down another airliner, Malaysian Airlines Flight MH17.