World Elo Ratings

1 Gen.G Esports 2016 2 Team Dignitas 1947 3 Ballistix Gaming 1792 4 Tempest 1733 5 Method 1658 6 Team BlossoM 1641 7 Leftovers 1638 8 Fnatic 1602 9 Heroes Hearth 1596 10 Tempo Storm 1589 11 Team Liquid 1574 12 Super Perfect Team 1568 13 Miracle 1563 14 Beyond the Game 1554 15 The One 1536 16 Crimson Gaming 1518 17 Team Freedom 1516 18 Mindfreak 1503 19 Chall Enge 1498 20 Team Octalysis 1462 21 Granit Gaming 1447 22 Endemic Esports 1446 23 RPG 1405 24 Roll 20 Esports 1399 25 Supernova 1395 26 Simplicity 1388 27 Luna Meow 1386 Southeast Asia 1381 28 A-Team 1379 29 Aztech Entertainment 1350 30 Monkey Menagerie 1340 31 LFM Esports 1336 32 Team Feliz 1307 33 Good Luck 1275 34 DFF 1274 35 Kudos Top 1272 36 No Tomorrow 1271 37 Team Nut 1271 38 The Avenger 1243 39 Twisted Vision 1234 40 For Second 1210 41 Thunder Predator 1206 42 Encore Gaming 1187 43 Ball Breaker Reborn 1170 44 Arrogancia 1159 45 Dynasty Gaming 1147 46 Times New Roman 1143 47 Sub18 1123 48 Frates 1119 49 Impenetrable Hill 1115 50 Stormborns Gaming 1087 51 Bring It On 1085 52 Pleb2Pro 1081 53 Xylophone Dudes 1075 54 About to Cry Esports 1075 55 BAOJA 1052 56 REEality 1046 57 Suicide Squad 1033 58 Complotters 1023 59 For the Kill Gaming 995 60 QueridesCompaners 982

North America

Team Elo Match

W-L Map +/- 3-[0,1,2] Blizzcon

autobid% Blizzcon

autobid+

playoff% Crucible% HeroesHearth Esports 1596 8-1 +20 [5,3,0] 74.8 93.5 Safe Tempo Storm 1589 7-1 +12 [3,2,2] 24.7 79.5 Safe Team Freedom 1516 6-2 +6 [2,1,3] 0.4 20.8 < 0.1 Team Octalysis 1462 4-4 +3 [1,3,0] < 0.1 3.9 0.2 ENDEMIC Esports 1446 3-5 -3 [2,0,1] < 0.1 2.1 0.6 Simplicity 1388 3-6 -7 [0,3,0] Eliminated 0.2 16.9 LFM Esports 1336 2-7 -13 [0,2,0] Eliminated < 0.1 82.6 No Tomorrow 1271 1-8 -18 [0,0,1] Eliminated < 0.1 99.8

What to watch in week 7

Europe

Team Elo Match

W-L Map +/- 3-[0,1,2] Blizzcon

autobid% Blizzcon

autobid+

playoff% Crucible% Team Dignitas 1947 8-0 +21 [5,3,0] > 99.9 > 99.9 Safe Team Liquid 1574 7-1 +10 [2,2,3] 26.7 50.2 Safe Method 1658 6-2 +9 [3,1,2] 72.6 88.3 < 0.1 Leftovers 1638 5-4 +1 [1,3,1] 0.2 39.9 < 0.1 Fnatic 1602 4-5 +2 [2,1,1] 0.5 21.3 < 0.1 Granit Gaming 1447 3-6 -7 [2,0,1] < 0.1 0.3 1.5 Monkey Menagerie 1340 1-8 -19 [1,0,0] Eliminated < 0.1 99.9 Roll 20 Esports 1399 0-8 -17 [0,0,0] Eliminated < 0.1 98.5

What to watch Week 7

Korea

Team Elo Match

W-L Map +/- 3-[0,1,2] Blizzcon

autobid% Blizzcon

autobid+

playoff% Crucible% Gen.G Esports 2016 7-1 +18 [5,2,0] > 99.9 > 99.9 Safe Tempest 1733 7-2 +15 [6,1,0] 52.8 89.0 Safe Ballistix 1792 6-2 +13 [5,1,0] 47.2 93.2 < 0.1 Miracle 1563 5-3 +5 [4,0,1] < 0.1 2.7 < 0.1 Team BlossoM 1641 5-4 +2 [3,2,0] < 0.1 15.1 < 0.1 Supernova 1395 2-7 -12 [2,0,0] Eliminated < 0.1 13.9 Team Feliz 1307 1-7 -19 [0,1,0] Eliminated < 0.1 86.5 Good Luck 1275 1-8 -22 [0,0,1] Eliminated < 0.1 99.6

What to watch week 7

China

Horizon Clash

Some notes: I lowered the starting elo (that is, before any games are calculated) for minor region teams by certain amounts to get their region representative score in line with past representatives. This is because as much as it's not fun to admit it, minor regions outside of the top Taiwanese team have never been competitive at Blizzcon. This change I feel produces more accurate elo numbers for minor region teams.In North America, HHE finally showed they were mortal with a 2-3 loss to Tempo Storm. Meanwhile, Simplicity started to claw their way away from the Crucible by beating the two teams they absolutely needed to beat this split. Meanwhile No Tomorrow may have sealed their fate with two series losses to start the split. LFM almost pulled a massive upset against Team Freedom, but were reverse swept.HHE is stilled the favorite to take the Blizzcon autobid thanks to their huge lead in the map score over Tempo Storm. However, Tempo Storm is still a big favorite to make Blizzcon as most simulations put them at the 2 seed in the playoff, needing to only win 1 set to advance.This chart:Elo: A calculate rating of the team, where 1500 is the mean. The higher the rating the stronger the team has played. This has been tracked for approaching 2 years, and accounts for roster changes, regional, and international play.Match W-L: Match recordMap +/-: The first tie breaker. Number of map wins - number of map losses.3-[0,1,2] - Number of 3-0, 3-1, and 3-2 victories (the 3rd and 4th tiebreakers after head to head)Blizzcon% (autobid): Simulated chance of earning an autobid to Blizzcon. In NA and China, this means finishing 1st place. In EU and Korea, this means finishing top 2.Blizzcon% (autobid + playoff): Simulated chance of earning a bid to Blizzcon, EITHER via autobid OR via playoff.Crucible% - simulated chance of going to Crucible (finishing bottom 2): Freedom was the highest finishing NA team at Western Clash, beating two European teams en route to winner's finals, before losing the next 6 maps to drop out of the tournament. Tempo Storm will look to show Freedom's finish was a fluke, while Freedom looks to show they are a legit threat to make Blizzcon.: Simplicity bought themselves some breathing room over the Crucible last weekend. A win this weekend could nearly secure a continued spot in HGC away from the Crucible. Octalysis, meanwhile, is looking to show that they have continued to improve since a disappointing part 1 of the phase.Endemic beat Octalysis in part 1, but was 1 map short of making Western Clash. The winner of this map can secure better seeding in the playoff for the last Blizzcon slot, as both these teams are not really in position to get an autobid.In Europe, Monkeys and Roll20 (formally Zealots) continued to struggle, going collective 1-9 over the weekend. Dignitas continued to flex, winning 3-1 over an improved Fnatic, and Method got a big win over suddenly threatening Leftovers.Dignitas is almost certainly taking one of Europe's 2 autobids to Blizzcon, thanks not just to their elo and match score, but their stellar +21 map score. Method, Liquid, Leftovers, and Fnatic will fight over the remaining autobid before the last team is decided in playoffs. All 4 teams could be threats in international play, but only 2 are going to make it.: Quackniix has said his team has improved. However, despite opportunities, they couldn't take a match off Fnatic. If Roll20 is going to avoid the Crucible, they basically have to win every match except Dignitas and maybe Method from here out. They've improved, but now they have to get this match win. Meanwhile, while the current 2nd place team, Liquid has looked vulnerable, especially after a dismal showing at Western Clash. Many are expecting them to fall off this split. We'll see if there are signs of that here.: Fnatic lost last split to Leftovers on a reverse sweep, which started Leftovers ascension to a new threat in EU. Now the rematch has critical implications for seeding in the playoff, if not possibly an autobid given enough chaos in EU.While the big three are still HEAVILY favored to go to Blizzcon in Korea, both Miracle and BlossoM have at times been threats. Most notably Miracle when they upset Gen.G last split. It's almost certain these teams will face again in the playoffs, but this match could show who the bigger threat is.: Speaking of Miracle pulling upsets, this is possibly their best chance to beat a member of Korea's big three again this season. A strong showing here could make Miracle not just a contender, but a favorite to take the top playoff seed and set themselves up with a chance to make Blizzcon.At this time, I have not been able to simulate the Chinese playoff for Blizzcon qualification, so I will be delaying all Chinese simulations to a later date (either this week or next week's update).

Luna Meow won the Taiwan region playoff in dominant fashion. Granted, due to the number of disbands, the 8th place team in Taiwan was actually in the playoff, but Luna Meow did 2-0 their biggest competition in the group stage DFF. They will face Mirrmaid out of Singapore for the Blizzcon ticket on September 1st.

Intercontinental Clash

Nothing new since last week. On September 15, we will see the ANZ and LATAM finals, before each winner plays in a best of 7 series to decide who goes to Blizzcon. ANZ is heavily favored at the moment, but we'll see if LATAM can challenge.ANZ finals will feature, unsurprisingly to everyone, Mindfreak and Crimson Gaming.The LATAM finals will feature Thunder Gaming vs. Encore Esports.