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Mayor David Miller would likely earn “a whopping win” if he ran again, a new poll indicates, with about four in ten Torontonians saying they would rather vote for the two-term incumbent than any of the candidates vying to replace him.

Of 400 people who participated in the Ipsos Reid telephone survey, 39% said they would choose Mr. Miller over any of the competition, while 58% said they would select another candidate even if Mr. Miller was in the race.

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Conducted on behalf of the National Post

, Global Television and Newstalk 1010 from Friday to Sunday, the poll shows the power of incumbency, experts say, but also highlights a void on the left.

“The flag carrier for the left, or the progressive side, of the municipal agenda in the mayoralty race has not been particularly robust,” said Myer Siemiatycki, an expert in municipal politics at Ryerson University.

Recent poll numbers show Rob Ford — a right-winger running on promises to reduce wasteful spending at City Hall — has taken an 11-point lead in the mayoral race, with 32% support.