Following a very expensive and troubled production, Solo will finally hit theaters over the four-day Memorial weekend. It is also the only wide relase of the holiday, the first time that’s happened since Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull back in 2008. Meanwhile, Deadpool 2 hopes to stay steady, and Infinity War will continue to stay past $600 million.

Solo is an interesting beast; since the announcement of the project, it’s received very mixed buzz from fans who felt the project was unneeded, as well as others who felt it was a lost cause after original directors Phil Lord and Chris Miller were fired after much of the production had already been wrapped. Because of this, the budget has ballooned to an undefined number of over $250 million, making it more expensive than Rogue One or The Last Jedi.

While many outlets have been saying it only needs to hit $140 million to break the opening weekend record, that’s not entirely accurate; the current record holder is Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End back in 2007. However, that film also made $17 million from Thursday previews before those were rolled into Friday numbers (which didn’t happen for several more years). Not to mention, with inflation it’s at over $200 million – all without 3D, IMAX, or Premium Large Format theaters like Dolby Atmos or RPX. Point being, the Memorial Day record is perfectly safe as it is.

Online buzz – positive or negative – has been proven countless times to not be an entirely accurate measure of what general audiences want, so even though aspects like the 37% ‘Want to See’ rating on Rotten Tomatoes seems alarming, all that matters is who actually shows up to see it.

One other interesting note is that last weekends Show Dogs received plenty of flack for a controversial scene that many felt was a tasteless joke about sexual assault (yes, in a PG rated dog movie). In a rather unprecedented move, Global Road has edited the scene out of the film for the version that will be in theaters this weekend.

In second place, Deadpool 2 aims for a drop of about 55% over the four day frame, while Book Club and Infinity War should see strong holds.

Predictions (Four Day)

Solo – $117M Deadpool 2 – $56M Avengers: Infinity War – $23M Book Club – $11M