Abstract Background Women with preeclampsia (PEC) and gestational hypertension (GH) exhibit insulin resistance during pregnancy, independent of obesity and glucose intolerance. Our aim was to determine whether women with PEC or GH during pregnancy have an increased risk of developing diabetes after pregnancy, and whether the presence of PEC/GH in addition to gestational diabetes (GDM) increases the risk of future (postpartum) diabetes. Methods and Findings We performed a population-based, retrospective cohort study for 1,010,068 pregnant women who delivered in Ontario, Canada between April 1994 and March 2008. Women were categorized as having PEC alone (n = 22,933), GH alone (n = 27,605), GDM alone (n = 30,852), GDM+PEC (n = 1,476), GDM+GH (n = 2,100), or none of these conditions (n = 925,102). Our main outcome was a new diagnosis of diabetes postpartum in the following years, up until March 2011, based on new records in the Ontario Diabetes Database. The incidence rate of diabetes per 1,000 person-years was 6.47 for women with PEC and 5.26 for GH compared with 2.81 in women with neither of these conditions. In the multivariable analysis, both PEC alone (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.08; 95% CI 1.97–2.19) and GH alone (HR = 1.95; 95% CI 1.83–2.07) were risk factors for subsequent diabetes. Women with GDM alone were at elevated risk of developing diabetes postpartum (HR = 12.77; 95% CI 12.44–13.10); however, the co–presence of PEC or GH in addition to GDM further elevated this risk (HR = 15.75; 95% CI 14.52–17.07, and HR = 18.49; 95% CI 17.12–19.96, respectively). Data on obesity were not available. Conclusions Women with PEC/GH have a 2-fold increased risk of developing diabetes when followed up to 16.5 years after pregnancy, even in the absence of GDM. The presence of PEC/GH in the setting of GDM also raised the risk of diabetes significantly beyond that seen with GDM alone. A history of PEC/GH during pregnancy should alert clinicians to the need for preventative counseling and more vigilant screening for diabetes. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary

Editors' Summary Background Diabetes is a chronic disease that occurs either when the pancreas does not produce enough insulin (a hormone that regulates blood sugar), known as type 1 diabetes, or when the body cannot effectively use the insulin it produces—type 2 diabetes. Raised blood sugar, is a common effect of uncontrolled diabetes and over time leads to serious complications and even death. Worryingly, the global burden of type 2 diabetes is increasing worldwide, and the World Health Organization estimates that 90% of the 347 million people with diabetes currently have type 2 diabetes. Previous studies have shown that type 2 diabetes can be prevented or delayed in high risk groups by a range of lifestyle and treatment interventions and so it is important to identify potential high risk groups to screen for type 2 diabetes. Why Was This Study Done? Gestational diabetes (a form of diabetes that is related to pregnancy) is a major risk factor for developing type 2 diabetes. Therefore, diabetes prevention strategies should target women with gestational diabetes. Likewise, other common disorders of pregnancy possibly associated with insulin resistance, such as preeclampsia (a condition in which affected women have high blood pressure, fluid retention, and protein in their urine) and gestational hypertension (high blood pressure associated with pregnancy), may lead to the future development of type 2 diabetes. So women with these conditions may also benefit from diabetes prevention strategies. Therefore, in this large database study from Ontario, Canada, the researchers examined whether pregnant women with preeclampsia or gestational hypertension had an increased risk of developing diabetes in the years following pregnancy even if they did not have gestational diabetes. What Did the Researchers Do and Find? The researchers used a comprehensive Canadian health database to identify all women age 15 to 50 years of age who delivered in an Ontario hospital between April 1994 and March 2008. They then identified women who had preeclampsia, gestational hypertension, or gestational diabetes through hospital records and outpatient information. The researchers then used records from the Ontario Diabetes Database to record whether these women went on to develop diabetes in the period from 180 days after delivery until March 2011. Using these methods, the researchers identified 1,010,068 pregnant women suitable for analysis, of whom 22,933 had only preeclampsia, 27,605 had only gestational hypertension, and 30,852 had only gestational diabetes: 2,100 women had both gestational diabetes and gestational hypertension and 1,476 women had gestational diabetes and preeclampsia. Overall, 35,077 women developed diabetes (3.5%) in the follow-up period (median of 8.5 years) at a median age of 37 years. In a modeling analysis, the researchers found that women with gestational diabetes had a 15-fold increased rate of developing diabetes compared to women without gestational diabetes, gestational hypertension, and preeclampsia, while women with gestational diabetes plus either preeclampsia or gestational hypertension had a 20- to 21-fold increased rate. These results were slightly reduced after adjusting for age, income quintile, hypertension prior to pregnancy, and co-morbidity, giving a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.95 for gestational hypertension alone, an HR of 2.08 for preeclampsia alone, an HR of 12.77 for gestational diabetes alone, an HR of 18.49 for gestational diabetes plus gestational hypertension and finally, an HR of 15.75 for gestational diabetes plus preeclampsia. These Findings Mean? These findings suggest that both preeclampsia and gestational hypertension without gestational diabetes are associated with a 2-fold increased incidence of diabetes in the years following pregnancy after controlling for several important variables. When combined with gestational diabetes, these conditions were associated with a further elevation in diabetes incidence additional to the 13-fold increased incidence resulting from gestational diabetes alone. A limitation of this study was the lack of information on obesity and body mass index, factors which are also associated with increased risk of developing diabetes. Nevertheless, these findings highlight a possible new risk factor for diabetes, and suggest that clinicians should be aware of the need for preventative measures and vigilant screening for diabetes in women with a history of preeclampsia or gestational hypertension. Additional Information Please access these Web sites via the online version of this summary at http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001425. NHS Choices has information about preeclampsia, gestational diabetes, and gestational hypertension

Living with diabetes is a useful resource for patients with diabetes

The Preeclampsia Foundation has more information about preeclampsia

Citation: Feig DS, Shah BR, Lipscombe LL, Wu CF, Ray JG, Lowe J, et al. (2013) Preeclampsia as a Risk Factor for Diabetes: A Population-Based Cohort Study. PLoS Med 10(4): e1001425. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001425 Academic Editor: Philippa Middleton, The University of Adelaide, Australia Received: October 14, 2012; Accepted: March 5, 2013; Published: April 16, 2013 Copyright: © 2013 Feig et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Funding: This study was funded by the Canadian Diabetes Association, grant #OG-2-10-3000-DF (http://www.diabetes.ca/). This study was supported by the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES), which is funded by an annual grant from the Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care. BRS and LL are supported by Canadian Institute of Health Research New Investigator awards. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The opinions, results, and conclusions reported in this paper are those of the authors and are independent from the funding sources. No endorsement by ICES or the Ontario Ministry of Health and Long-Term Care is intended or should be inferred. Competing interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist. Abbreviations: GDM, gestational diabetes; GH, gestational hypertension; HR, hazard ratio; PEC, preeclampsia

Introduction The prevalence of type 2 diabetes is increasing dramatically worldwide [1] with the greatest rise in incidence occurring in adults under the age of 50, including young women [2]. Randomized trials have shown that type 2 diabetes can be prevented or delayed in high-risk groups by a variety of lifestyle and therapeutic interventions [3],[4]. However, identifying at risk populations to screen for type 2 diabetes is a critical step in translating these findings into clinical practice. Gestational diabetes is a major risk factor for the development of diabetes [5] and thus women with this condition are an ideal population to target diabetes prevention strategies. Similarly, other disorders of pregnancy associated with insulin resistance may heighten the propensity for women to develop diabetes in the years following pregnancy, and such women may also be suitable targets for diabetes prevention. Hypertensive disorders in pregnancy, including gestational hypertension (GH) and preeclampsia (PEC), affect approximately 8% of all pregnancies [6]. More recently, women with PEC/GH have been noted to exhibit insulin resistance during pregnancy that is independent of obesity and glucose intolerance [7],[8]. Studies done during pregnancy suggest that insulin resistance predates the development of PEC, implying that insulin resistance may play a role in its etiology [7],[8]. Moreover, women with other disorders associated with insulin resistance tend to have increased rates of PEC/GH. For example, several studies have shown that women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) have an increased risk of PEC/GH [9],[10], as do women with polycystic ovary syndrome [11]. The risk of PEC/GH also increases with increasing glucose intolerance [10],[12],[13]. Given the finding of insulin resistance in women with PEC/GH, and the association of PEC/GH with other disorders associated with insulin resistance in pregnancy, these conditions may be a marker of future diabetes risk, even in the absence of GDM. A few studies have looked at this association but have failed to take into account the presence of GDM. This study sought to examine whether women with PEC or GH during pregnancy have an increased risk of developing diabetes in the years following pregnancy even in the absence of GDM, and to determine whether the combination of PEC/GH and GDM confers a greater risk of postpartum diabetes, over and above the risk seen with GDM alone.

Methods Ethics Statement This protocol received ethical approval from the Institutional Review Board at Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre in Toronto. Data Sources We conducted a population-based cohort study using administrative health claims to examine the impact of PEC/GH on the subsequent risk of diabetes. The Government of Ontario acts as a single payer for all medically necessary services across a full spectrum of providers and hospitals to provide all residents of Ontario (approximately 12 million residents) with universal public health insurance. Large provincial health administrative databases are used to capture the details of this utilization and can be linked anonymously on an individual level using a unique personal identifier to provide a complete health services use profile for each resident. Study Population and Eligibility We identified all women age 15 to 50 y of age who delivered in an Ontario hospital between April 1, 1994 and March 31, 2008 from the Canadian Institute for Health Information Discharge Abstract Database. For women who had multiple deliveries during the time period, one delivery was chosen at random to be the index episode from which they were followed forward in time. Women with a diagnosis of diabetes before their pregnancy were identified and excluded from the study using the Ontario Diabetes Database [14], an administrative data derived registry of Ontario residents diagnosed with non-gestational diabetes. The database has been validated against primary care charts and was shown to have a sensitivity of 86% and a specificity of greater than 97% [14]. We restricted the cohort to women who were residents of Ontario and had coverage under the province's health plan for a full 2 y prior to baseline so that we could reliably determine their diabetes status. Women in our cohort were categorized as having PEC, GH, or GDM on the basis of their hospitalization records and outpatient data from physicians' services claims. Women who were diagnosed with both PEC and GH were assigned to the PEC group. Women assigned to the GH group had GH alone. Women whose hospitalization record at the time of delivery included a diagnostic code for diabetes or who had three or more outpatient medical claims for diabetes up to 120 d prior to their delivery were identified as having GDM. Women were considered to have a premature delivery if the delivery was <37 wk gestation. Baseline Variables and Study Outcomes Women in our cohort were followed from 180 d post delivery (to avoid the potential misclassification of women with GDM undergoing routine postpartum follow-up) until March 31, 2011 for the development of diabetes, on the basis of the presence of a new record in the Ontario Diabetes Database. We gathered demographic and clinical characteristics from administrative data to be applied in our adjusted multivariable models (see Text S1 for codes used). The age of the women was obtained through the Registered Persons Database, which contains demographic and residential information on all residents of Ontario. The Johns Hopkins Adjusted Clinical Groups (ACG) System [15] was used to create separate case-mix categories (known as collapsed ambulatory diagnostic groups [CADGs]) that reflect an individual's underlying level of morbidity. These groups were created using diagnostic codes from hospitalization records and physicians' services claims from the period 2 y prior to but excluding the delivery date. This system is a widely used method for case-mix adjustment and correlates well with health care utilization. The stable chronic medical category includes a variety of chronic conditions such as hypercholesterolemia, mitral valve disorders, atrioventricular block, and simple chronic bronchitis. The unstable chronic disease includes such conditions as ischemic heart disease, chronic obstructive lung disease, chronic liver disease, chronic kidney disease, and malignancy, among others (see Table S1 for a listing of all categories). Diagnostic codes for diabetes and hypertension were not included in the creation of the case-mix categories. Hypertension prior to pregnancy was assessed using the Ontario Hypertension Database, a validated database that identifies all individuals in Ontario who have been diagnosed with hypertension with sensitivity of 73% and a specificity of 95% [16]. For the purpose of our study, a woman was identified to have prior hypertension if the diagnosis date was greater than 280 d before the delivery. Women found to be in the Hypertension Database and diagnosed with GH were removed from the cohort, as women, by definition, cannot have GH and have hypertension prior to pregnancy. Information on individual-level income was not available in our data sources; therefore, neighborhood characteristics derived from the Canadian census were used as a proxy. The median household income level of each woman's neighborhood of residence was attributed to them using their postal code at the time of their delivery. Baseline parity was only available for a subgroup of women in our cohort who delivered between April 1, 2002 and March 31, 2008, therefore a sensitivity analysis was performed in this subset to assess the influence of parity on the association between PEC and diabetes incidence. To test whether the severity of PEC modified the association between PEC and diabetes incidence, we stratified our population of women with this condition (with or without concomitant GDM) on the basis of whether or not they had a premature delivery. Statistical Analysis We calculated descriptive statistics and used one-way ANOVA, the Kruskal–Wallis test, and the chi-square test to compare the baseline characteristics of women in our different exposure groups. Incidence rates were expressed on the basis of the number of new cases of diabetes per 1,000 person-years of follow-up. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the impact of PEC, GH, or GDM (with or without concomitant PEC or GH) on the risk of developing diabetes. Women were censored when follow-up was terminated; this happened at the time of death, loss of health care coverage if the women moved out of the province, if they experienced an outcome event, or at the end of the observation window. The covariates included in our model were age, socioeconomic status, hypertension (prior to pregnancy), co-morbidity, and parity (for the subset of women for whom it was available). The proportional hazards assumption was tested [17], and interaction terms using a time-dependent covariate were inserted into the model in a second sensitivity analysis. Parity was felt to be an important covariate but was only available after 2002. For this reason a sensitivity analysis was done to assess the influence of parity on the risk of development of diabetes during the period after 2002. Women with PEC who deliver early are considered to have more severe PEC. Using PEC along with preterm delivery as a proxy for PEC severity, we performed a sub-analysis. Number needed to follow was also calculated among a random sample of 100,000 women [18]. The analyses were done using SAS version 9·2 (SAS Institute Inc).

Discussion In this study the presence of PEC or GH, in the absence of GDM, was associated with a 2-fold increased incidence of diabetes when followed up to 16.5 years after pregnancy, after controlling for several important confounding variables. In the setting of GDM, these conditions were associated with a further elevation in diabetes risk, over and above the already substantial (∼13-fold) increase resulting from GDM alone. This risk was even higher in the setting of preterm delivery, suggesting that diabetes incidence rises with increasing severity of these hypertensive disorders. These findings highlight a possible new risk factor for diabetes, and support the need to counsel patients with hypertensive disorders of pregnancy regarding postpartum diabetes screening prevention. Common pathogenic pathways may underlie the association between both GDM and PEC/GH leading to an increased risk of diabetes. Firstly, each of these conditions is associated with insulin resistance [7],[8],[11],[19],[20]. Not only do women with PEC/GH have insulin resistance during pregnancy, several studies have also found higher levels of insulin resistance in women with a history of PEC/GH years after delivery, even after controlling for body mass index and excluding women with previous GDM [21],[22]. Women with a history of PEC/GH also show manifestations of the metabolic syndrome years after delivery, a syndrome known for its association with insulin resistance [23]–[26]. Endothelial dysfunction and markers of chronic vascular inflammation have been found in women with PEC as well as women with GDM, both during and after pregnancy [27]–[30]. These entities have been shown to precede the development of overt hyperglycemia in patients at risk for type 2 diabetes [30]. We hypothesize that these common mediators are likely to increase the risk of type 2 diabetes in women with a history of PEC. We found that the risk of developing diabetes over the years was stable for those with GH and PEC alone; however, the risk decreased over time in women with GDM. It may be that those with a very high risk develop diabetes early on. Those who remain have an inherently lower risk leading to the lower HR ratio observed. This finding is consistent with what we know about the natural history of diabetes postpartum. Some groups develop diabetes at a very high rate early on (50% within 5 y of delivery) [31]. Three previous studies looked at the risk of developing type 2 diabetes in women with a history of PEC/GH. In one study, women enrolled in the Mater–University of Queensland Study of Pregnancy between 1981 and 1984 who had PEC/GH at baseline were 1.76 times more likely to report having developing diabetes 21 y later [32]. However, approximately one-half of their original cohort were lost to follow-up. In a Danish cohort of women with PEC or GH, the risk of diabetes postpartum was also found to be increased over a median of 14.6 years [33]. Neither of these preceding studies were able to isolate the risk imparted by PEC/GH from that of GDM. A third registry study of women with PEC in Norway also found an increased risk of diabetes in women with PEC, however follow-up was short, only 3.7 y, and the diagnosis of diabetes was made in women using medications for diabetes, possibly under-estimating the true incidence of diabetes [34]. Strengths of our study include that this study was a large, population-based study with long and complete follow-up (over 1,000,000 women followed for up to 16.5 y). Our study also examined the risk of diabetes associated with both GH and PEC, while controlling for the presence of GDM, and examined the combined impact of GDM and PEC/GH together. We were also able to examine the severity of PEC with the addition of preterm delivery. Some limitations of this study include our inability to adjust for clinical factors, in particular, obesity, which in itself is associated with insulin resistance, and is a well-known risk factor for the development of GDM [35] and PEC [36]. Obesity is not well captured in our inpatient hospitalization database, nor is it well coded in our outpatient database, which is based on physician outpatient billing codes. Furthermore, family history, physical activity, glucose, and blood pressure measures are also known risk factors. We were, however, able to adjust for several other important confounding variables including maternal age, prior hypertension, income quintile, parity, and co-morbidity. One previous study was able to adjust for obesity and physical activity, and the risk of developing diabetes was still significant [30]. From our data sources we could not differentiate type 1 from type 2 diabetes; however, given the mean age at diagnosis was 37.4 y, it is most likely that the majority of the women developed type 2 diabetes in the years after pregnancy. Women with a history of GDM may be offered routine glucose testing postpartum, thus leading to more diagnoses of diabetes compared with women with a history of PEC. This situation may have led to under-reporting of diabetes in women with a history of PEC; therefore the rate of development of diabetes in these women may even be higher than reported. Follow-up of women with hypertensive disease in pregnancy may lead to more interactions with the health care system compared to women without hypertensive diseases in pregnancy, thus leading to more diabetes testing and diagnosis and a possible bias towards overestimating the risk; however, there is currently no standard recommendation to screen women with GH/PEC for diabetes postpartum. Our capture of GH and PEC may have been incomplete. In a study looking at the accuracy of hospital data in the perinatal period using ICD-10 codes, when diagnosing GH and PEC, sensitivity was reduced (58.6% and 50.0%, respectively), however specificity was excellent (99% and 99.8%, respectively) [37]. Finally, the algorithms used to describe a number of the variables used in the study (GDM, PEC, GH) have not been formally validated. In summary, in this large, population-based study, we found that the presence of either PEC or GH during pregnancy were strong predictors for the development of diabetes years following the pregnancy, and the presence of PEC or GH in a woman with a history of GDM increased the risk of diabetes over and above that observed with GDM alone. These findings have important implications for maternal health, especially given the increase in obesity-related diseases. A history of PEC or GH during pregnancy should alert clinicians to the need for preventative counseling and more vigilant screening for diabetes.

Acknowledgments We thank Charles Victor for his invaluable assistance with analysis and interpretation of data.

Author Contributions Conceived and designed the experiments: DSF BS LL JR JL GB. Performed the experiments: FW. Analyzed the data: DSF BRS LLL FW JGR JH GLB. Wrote the first draft of the manuscript: DSF. Contributed to the writing of the manuscript: DSF BRS LLL FW JGR JL JH GLB. ICMJE criteria for authorship read and met: DSF BRS LLL FW JGR JL JH GLB. Agree with manuscript results and conclusions: DSF BRS LLL FW JGR JL JH GLB.