ZeroHedge makes the case that #BlackLivesMatters is the fourth stage in the insurgency cycle:

The airwaves are full of pundits screaming about violence against police officers. These are the same pundits that disregarded the warnings of experts in the field of insurgency when the Ferguson riots broke out and chose to dismiss the rioters as “thugs.” They continued to cheerlead for more police militarization even after the first officers were shot in targeted killings. They are now continuing their efforts to support police militarization. Those of us that warned of this last year, have watched in horror as all of our predictions came true. We are now in the fourth stage of the cycle of insurgency. The fifth stage is open insurrection… For a bit of background, review a brief synopsis of the cycle of insurgency from an article written in August of 2014: Pamphlets… Reactive Protests… Preemptive Rioting… Military or Law Enforcement backlash and crackdowns… Widespread rebellion and insurrection… We are now in the Fourth Stage… It is extremely important to note that in all of recorded history, an insurgency that matured through the phases and reached this stage has never been quelled through force. Ever. It may have been delayed, but the insurgency simply went underground until opposition forces relaxed. In some cases it took 800 years to achieve an insurgent victory. Once an insurgency reaches this stage, it wins. It is that simple.

I disagree thoroughly, on several fronts, because there are several things that are different this time.

First, you have the IQ issue. In previous cases you would be looking at a lower caste which was a part of a homogenous culture. I am not sure you have ever seen as great a disparity in IQ’s between insurgents and the powerful. Because the #BlackLivesMatters movement is composed of individuals who believe Michael Brown was a gentle giant despite the video evidence of him performing a strong-arm robbery, you have a sort of litmus test to entry which selects for the mentally-retarded and cognitively-impaired. This is not a movement which is based around a genuine grievance which would draw in high and low IQ alike. It is strictly an army of mental-midgets with diminished capacity. If your movement is about letting the stupidest in the country tell everyone else what to do, you have a fairly significant handicap that other movements have not had previously.

Second is the fact that the movement is not organic, but rather artifically agitated by a leftist movement which is terrified of poking the Police too hard. Without that artificial agitation by the r-strategists, #BlackLivesMatters collapses. That is why, whether it is the Black Panthers in the 60’s, or #BLM today, you never see these groups without the white rabbits on board. Once the white rabbits leave and stop agitating them, the movement is over.

Before this hits the fifth stage, I expect the left to back off and stop agitating it, for fear of upsetting their own applecart and turning the police on the left as a whole. The left wants its mentally-retarded foot soldiers voting, and while it will tolerate police mortality in pursuit of that objective, they will not want to unleash a full on Apocalypse with the Police, lest the conservative right and the police join together, pick up a few guns, and decide to end our rabbit problems once and for all. Leftists only threaten from safety. Once you might kill them, they fall right in line.

Third, I see the psychologies. Blacklives matter isn’t a movement of K-strategists, ready to fight. So far the killings are only produced by lone, mentally-ill individuals, while the majority of the movement is composed of welfarites and those dependent on the government. When there are killings, the response from those left is “unity protests” and apologies, lest the conflict begin to get too hot.

I’ll make a prediction. Once Trump is elected, #BlackLivesMatter will rapidly evaporate, because when they complain about something like the thug Michael Brown being shot, instead of getting a little bit of dopamine from a President backing them up and making them feel powerful, Trump will demean and humiliate them, and that will be such a negative amygdala-experience that they will abandon the effort.

Add a little wood shampoo and some lead infusions to that Presidential humiliation, and I’d expect us to rapidly return to the racial harmony and peacefulness we enjoyed back before we elected a black President.