It looks like we’re at the point in the evening that we’re not going to learn very much more that we don’t already know. Results in Alaska are fluctuating a bit, with “write-ins” now holding about a 5-point lead on Joe Miller. How many of those write-ins will eventually be deemed legal ballots for Lisa Murkowski is the question, of course. My hunch going into the election was that anything below a 5-point margin would probably trigger some kind of legal challenge, while anything above 5 points probably wouldn’t, and we’re right at that threshold.

Several races remain uncalled. County-by-county extrapolations suggest that Democrats are more likely than not to win the Senate races in both Colorado and Washington once all the votes are counted; Colorado might actually be the safer bet of the two, even though Michael Bennet trails slightly there based on the votes counted so far.

The Oregon gubernatorial race should wind up being extremely close. The Republican, Chris Dudley, leads by 2 points, but much of the outstanding vote is in Portland and its environs, where John Kitzhaber has performed strongly, as Democrats usually do.

Paul LePage, who leads the gubernatorial race in Maine by a single point, is a modest favorite to keep it, as the outstanding vote is fairly evenly distributed throughout the state.

I would hesitate to make any characterization of the gubernatorial race in Connecticut, which is also uncalled, and where there were ballot shortages in Bridgeport and the state has been unusually slow to report its vote.

Our current projection is that Republicans will finish with a total of 243 house seats: this would reflect a net gain of 65 from Democrats. The range of plausible outcomes is fairly small: our model thinks there is roughly a 90 percent chance that the G.O.P.’s total will eventually be somewhere between 64 seats and 66.

That’s an amazing result for Republicans — and far more remarkable from a historical perspective than the fact that Democrats were able to leg out a couple more wins than expected in the Senate. I’m not trying to be a media critic here, but Republicans have some legitimate gripe with portrayals of the night as having been a split decision.

Still, Democrats will finish with at least 52 of their Senators intact, unless they lose both Washington and Colorado, which is unlikely. That margin would be enough to prevent them from losing control of the Senate even if both Joseph I. Lieberman and Ben Nelson decided to caucus with Republicans.

The performance of polling firms was something we’ll take up in the coming days. While it was not wildly off-balance, it was somewhat more erratic than it might appear on the surface.

We appreciate your joining us tonight. Only 460 days until the Iowa caucuses!