It’s September 27th, 2014, and UFC 178 is right around the corner.

In the main event, Demetrious Johnson (20-2-1 MMA, 8-1-1 UFC) will put his UFC flyweight championship on the line against Chris Cariaso (17-5 MMA, 7-3 UFC).

A win for Johnson would see him join Tito Ortiz, Matt Hughes, Anderson Silva, Georges St-Pierre, Jon Jones, and José Aldo in the list of UFC champions to have defended their titles five times or more.

Let’s take a look at the last three results of the two men headlining the event:

Johnson followed a fifth-round submission win against John Moraga with a first-round knockout of Joseph Benavidez and a unanimous decision win against Ali Bagautinov.

Johnson’s victory over Moraga, 23 minutes and 43 seconds into their contest, is the latest stoppage victory in UFC history.

Cariaso scored a second-round TKO win against Iliarde Santos before notching back-to-back decision victories over Danny Martinez and Louis Smolka.

A 10/1 underdog with the bookmakers, a victory for Cariaso would mark one of the greatest upsets in MMA history.

Here’s a look at how these two fighters fared when competing against common opponents shared throughout their careers. On the left of the graphic, you’ll see how Johnson fared against any shared opponents and on the right, you’ll see Cariaso’s results against the same men.

The two men share just one common opponent; John Moraga.

Johnson stopped Moraga in his aforementioned victory in July 2013, whilst Cariaso found himself on the wrong end of the last-round submission in his three-round contest against Moraga in December 2012.

The Dwyer Score Each event, I calculate a ‘Dwyer Score’ for the card. It essentially gives a numeric value to the momentum of fighters competing at any one event. I do this by assigning a figure to each fighter’s current streak; a fighter on a five-fight winning streak contributes +5 to an event’s score, whilst a fighter on a two-fight losing streak contributes -2 to the score. Only UFC results are considered and a fighter coming off a no-contest, a draw, or a bout with another promotion has a streak of 0. When you tally up the scores for every fighter on a card, you get a total for the event- the ‘Dwyer Score.’ This score does not claim to predict or measure the quality or excitement of any one card, but it does give you an idea of the general momentum of fighters heading into a specific event. The graphic to the above-right displays some of the highest-scoring events of all time, to help give some context to this score. UFC 178: Demetrious Johnson vs. Chris Cariaso checks in with a huge score of +44, ranking 2nd out of all 292 events in UFC history. Here’s a look at how this score compares to other events’ scores over the past year: