The Clinton campaign is crumbling in Iowa







Several months ago, Clinton's "inevitability" was foundational to her lead in Iowa, and elsewhere.



Two weeks ago, the big news from Iowa was that Sanders had become a formidable opponent with a strong campaign; and that he was competitive in both IA and NH, while Hillary was losing serious ground.



So, the secret is out (and has been out for two weeks). Hillary is no longer inevitable. Without that foundation, it appears that her support is eroding even further.



How can you have crowds that small, as a Presidential candidate, two weeks before the Iowa caucuses? This is the critical time when crowds peak, because Iowans are making decisions and plugged into the campaigns. Clinton's crowds continue to dwindle further.



I think Iowa Democrats have serious Clinton fatigue.



She is running the exact campaign formula that she ran in 08. She started with inevitability, lost ground, started attacking when threatened and turned to kitchen-sink mode. To see this re-run of failed tactics is not only only tiresome, it's troubling. Furthermore, she's in attack mode, and she looks desperate. It's nearly impossible to gain ground when you're operating from a very visible position of weakness and desperation.



This formula gave her 3rd place in Iowa in 2008.



Most likely, serious movement toward Sanders will continue until caucus day. Without her inevitability to shore up support, she's lost her primary messaging point for keeping her support. Meanwhile, Sanders is drawing huge crowds and amassing enthusiasm for his campaign.



I think she will definitely lose Iowa and NH by wide margins. Look at this photo of Clinton's rally in Toledo, Iowa yesterday (Monday 1/18). Her crowds are dwindling. This is worse than 3 weeks ago, no doubt about it. Clinton's last Iowa campaign appearance was in eastern Iowa (Toledo is more central) more than five days ago, so she should have had a decent crowd. This is...dire for her, in my opinion.Several months ago, Clinton's "inevitability" was foundational to her lead in Iowa, and elsewhere.Two weeks ago, the big news from Iowa was that Sanders had become a formidable opponent with a strong campaign; and that he was competitive in both IA and NH, while Hillary was losing serious ground.So, the secret is out (and has been out for two weeks). Hillary is no longer inevitable. Without that foundation, it appears that her support is eroding even further.How can you have crowds that small, as a Presidential candidate, two weeks before the Iowa caucuses? This is the critical time when crowds peak, because Iowans are making decisions and plugged into the campaigns. Clinton's crowds continue to dwindle further.I think Iowa Democrats have serious Clinton fatigue.She is running the exact campaign formula that she ran in 08. She started with inevitability, lost ground, started attacking when threatened and turned to kitchen-sink mode. To see this re-run of failed tactics is not only only tiresome, it's troubling. Furthermore, she's in attack mode, and she looks desperate. It's nearly impossible to gain ground when you're operating from a very visible position of weakness and desperation.This formula gave her 3rd place in Iowa in 2008.Most likely, serious movement toward Sanders will continue until caucus day. Without her inevitability to shore up support, she's lost her primary messaging point for keeping her support. Meanwhile, Sanders is drawing huge crowds and amassing enthusiasm for his campaign.I think she will definitely lose Iowa and NH by wide margins. 224 Tweet