

Mixed messages ahead. Can anyone explain the apparent discrepancies?

The UK Department of Environment, Food & Rural Affairs has issued a warning: large areas of England will face significant risk of drought due to climate change, and water companies need to find billions of extra liters per day by 2050 to keep up, reports New Atlas.

But days earlier we had this from the Met Office Press Office:

Climate change to bring heavier rainfall events.

They say:

“WVL is the number of days that water vapour typically stays in the atmosphere before it is rained out. Climate change is causing the atmosphere to warm, which allows the air to hold more water, increasing WVL…

…under a scenario assuming high-emissions of greenhouse gases – WVL is projected to increase from eight days to ten, an increase of 25%. This is expected to result in heavier rainfall events in the future.”

Talkshop Summary: ‘significant risk of drought due to climate change’ and ‘heavier rainfall events in the future’. Good luck working that out.

– – –

Paper: Water vapour adjustments and responses differ between climate drivers