Financial Development and Output Growth in Developing Asia and Latin America: A Comparative Sectoral Analysis

NBER Working Paper No. 20917

Issued in January 2015

NBER Program(s):Development Economics, International Finance and Macroeconomics



We use data from the Groningen Growth and Development Centre (GGDC) database to perform preliminary empirical analysis of the interplay between quality and quantity of finance in accounting for the output growth of ten sectors. We review the existing literature and some salient open questions pertaining to the relationship between financial depth and output growth. Our analysis looks at the finance-growth nexus in 41 economies, including 11 East Asian and 9 Latin American economies for a comparison between two regions which are at similar income levels. We document large differences between the two regions in terms of the impact of financial depth on sectoral growth, and validate the negative impact of financial deepening on output growth in several sectors. Our results suggest that the impact of financial development on growth may be non-linear – i.e. it may promote growth only up to a point.

Acknowledgments and Disclosures

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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w20917

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