Conservatives have wondered for some time about the “undercover Trump vote;” those disaffected, disgusted voters who plan to vote for Donald Trump, but simply won’t admit it in “polite society.”

Trump has been vilified in the media as a racist, bigoted, homophobic, misogynistic louse and his supporters have been saddled with that label as well. So it’s hard to blame someone if they hide their support for the Republican nominee in some circles.

And those voters are hard to find – most of them won’t tell the truth to a pollster. Until now.

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TheLos Angeles Times

hasreleased a pollshowing Donald Trump up by three points over Hillary. This is unusual, as most polls still show Hillary up. So why is Trump up in this poll? They explain:

The existence of a bloc of disaffected voters large enough to potentially swing the election Trump’s way is the main finding from an analysis of the first eight weeks of the daily tracking poll. Analysis of the polling data makes clear where most of the difference between the Daybreak poll and other surveys comes from. The poll respondents who did not vote in 2012 are disproportionately whites who did not graduate from college — Trump’s strongest supporters. Almost six in 10 of the 2012 nonvoters fall into that group. By contrast, non-college-educated whites make up about four in 10 of the poll respondents who did vote four years ago. Given those demographics, it’s no surprise that Trump does significantly better with the 2012 nonvoters than with people who cast a ballot last time around. And because the Daybreak poll includes more of those previous nonvoters than some other surveys, Trump performs better in its forecast.

They go further and explain that Trump actually leads by seven points among people who could have voted in 2012, but didn’t.

What that means is that Trump needs to get out the vote of people who normally

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an that Hillary needs tosuppress the vote. This is a switch from the normal playbook for Democrats and Republicans: The GOP usually benefits if fewer people vote and Democrats want anyone and everyone (the dead, illegal aliens, convicted felons) to vote.

So Republicans have to REALLY get out the vote, but if anyone can do it, it’s Donald Trump.

Democrats are so certain of a victory, they’re practically measuring the drapes. They’d do best to look over their shoulder and see who’s coming up fast from behind.

H/T: HotAir





