A number of big name players failed to live up to expectations as the Bookies’ Advantage squad returned a meagre 42 points in Gameweek 14. Chelsea duo Alvaro Morata and Eden Hazard each scored a solitary point, whilst Leroy Sane was a surprise omission from the Manchester City lineup. Aaron Ramsey (9 points), Raheem Sterling (7), Shkodran Mustafi (7) and Andreas Christensen (6) were the only saving graces. Gameweek 15 takes place this weekend, giving the bookies an immediate chance to redeem themselves, so read on as we analyse the clean sheet and anytime goalscorer markets to help you with those all important captaincy, transfer and squad selection decisions…

Defensive odds

Team Best clean sheet odds Implied chance of a clean sheet Chelsea 1.77 56% Man City 1.91 52% Leicester 2.1 48% Liverpool 2.38 42% Stoke 2.38 42% Everton 2.5 40% Tottenham 2.75 36% West Brom 2.85 35% Bournemouth 3.05 33% Crystal Palace 3.1 32% Southampton 3.3 30% Arsenal 3.5 29% Man Utd 3.75 27% Swansea 4.2 24% Burnley 4.5 22% Huddersfield 5 20% Watford 6 17% Brighton 6.7 15% Newcastle 11 9% West Ham 29 3%

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Chelsea retain top spot in the bookies’ defensive rankings ahead of their home game against Newcastle. The Blues now have 4 clean sheets in their last 5 matches, whilst the Magpies have blanked in 3 of their last 5 games, although they have found the net in both of their last 2 on the road. Andreas Christensen continues to provide the value route into Antonio Conte’s defence and starts for our squad.

Manchester City (52%) rank second prior to their hosting of West Ham. With the Hammers failing to score in 5 of their 8 away games this season, things look bright for City, who have conceded just 5 times in 7 at the Etihad in the league. Ederson provides a secure route into the Citizens back line for £5.5m and takes his place between the sticks for our side.

Leicester (48%) and Liverpool (42%) complete the top 4 defensive prospects this weekend. The Foxes welcome Burnley to The King Power on Saturday, giving Claude Puel’s men the opportunity to improve on a poor recent record of a single home clean sheet in their last 6. Furthermore, the Clarets have only blanked once in 6 away, versus Manchester City, but the bookmakers nonetheless see this as a favourable game for Leicester, perhaps based on Burnley’s reputation from last season as poor travellers. Liverpool, meanwhile, have, contrary to the norm, been defensively sound of late, conceding just 2 goals in their last 5 Premier League games and keeping 3 clean sheets in the process, including one in midweek away to Stoke. The Reds travel to Brighton on Saturday, with the Seagulls having blanked in both of their last 2. Danny Simpson and Alberto Moreno provide £4.5m entries into their respective defences and make our starting XI.

On the bench, Rob Elliott (£4.0m – 9%) travels to Chelsea, looking to regain his spot in the Newcastle goal having been dropped/rotated midweek, whilst Jonjoe Kenny recorded 11 points on Wednesday for an Everton side set to begin life under Sam Allardyce at home to Huddersfield this weekend. Adrian Mariappa (£4.0m – 17%) welcomes Tottenham to Vicarage Road having played a part in 10 of the last 11 gameweeks to offer excellent budget value.

Attacking odds

Player Best anytime goalscorer odds Implied chance of scoring Sergio Aguero 1.36 74% Gabriel Jesus 1.4 71% Alvaro Morata 1.66 60% Harry Kane 1.8 56% Leroy Sane 2 50% Raheem Sterling 2 50% Eden Hazard 2.12 47% Mohamed Salah 2.2 45% Jamie Vardy 2.2 45% Roberto Firmino 2.5 40% Oumar Niasse 2.55 39% Kevin de Bruyne 2.6 38% Romelu Lukaku 2.63 38% Sadio Mane 2.7 37% Pedro 2.7 37% Alexandre Lacazette 2.75 36% Wayne Rooney 2.75 36% Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2.88 35% Alexis Sanchez 2.95 34% Callum Wilson 3 33% Philippe Coutinho 3 33% Dele Alli 3 33% Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 3.1 32% Salomon Rondon 3.25 31% Mame Biram Diouf 3.39 29% Jay Rodriguez 3.4 29% Jese 3.4 29% Manolo Gabbiadini 3.5 29% Andre Gray 3.6 28% Tammy Abraham 3.6 28% Marcus Rashford 3.65 27% David Silva 3.75 27% Wilfried Zaha 3.8 26% Riyad Mahrez 3.85 26% Christian Eriksen 3.9 26% Laurent Depoitre 4 25% Chris Wood 4.1 24% Glenn Murray 4.1 24% Cesc Fabregas 4.1 24% Richarlison 4.1 24% Henrikh Mkhitaryan 4.5 22% Sam Vokes 4.5 22% Alex Iwobi 5 20% Andy Carroll 5 20% Paul Pogba 5 20% Sofiane Boufal 5 20% Dusan Tadic 5.2 19% Aaron Ramsey 5.3 19% Dwight Gayle 5.5 18% Ruben Loftus-Cheek 5.5 18% Mesut Ozil 5.6 18% Aaron Mooy 6.5 15% Anthony Knockaert 7 14% Michail Antonio 7 14% Pascal Gross 7 14% Andre Ayew 8 13% Robbie Brady 8 13% Abdoulaye Doucoure 8 13% Matt Ritchie 8.5 12% Harry Arter 9 11% Tom Carroll 10 10% Isaac Hayden 19 5%

Sergio Aguero tops the bookies’ attacking hierarchy, and takes our captain’s armband, with a 74% chance of scoring when West Ham visit The Etihad on Sunday afternoon. The explosive Argentine has 11 goals in all competitions for City this term (15 appearances) and will be licking his lips at the prospect of facing the worst defence in the league (30 goals conceded), with the Hammers also being breached 16 times in their last 6.

Alvaro Morata (60%) and Jamie Vardy (45%) complete our front line for Gameweek 15. Morata takes on Newcastle in Saturday’s early kick off at Stamford Bridge, with the fact that the Magpies have conceded 6 times in their last 2 away games meaning the Spaniard will be confident about notching his ninth goal of his maiden Premier League campaign. Vardy, meanwhile, has returned to fantasy form over his last 2 matches, registering a goal, an assist and 2 bonus points, taking him up to sixth in the FPL forward standings. He hosts Burnley this weekend, who will no doubt provide stubborn resistance as one of the meanest defences in the top flight, but it should be noted that the Clarets have conceded in 5 of their 7 road trips this term.

The bookies also fancy the chances of Gabriel Jesus and Harry Kane, but the pair prove too expensive for our squad this time round.

In midfield, Raheem Sterling (50%) gains top billing, with teammate Leroy Sane a doubt due to illness. Nevertheless, the young Englishman is the form player between the two anyway, having produced 2 goals, an assist and 5 bonus points over the last 2 rounds of fixtures. His selection sees us double up on Guardiola’s attacking juggernaut, with West Ham’s appalling defence lying in wait.

Having both started on the bench midweek, Eden Hazard (47%) and Mohamed Salah (45%) should be fresh to feature from the off on Saturday against Newcastle and Brighton respectively. The Belgian has chalked up 3 goals, 3 assists and 9 bonus points for his owners over the last 6 gameweeks, and forms part of a Chelsea attacking double up for our squad this weekend. Salah, meanwhile, has incredibly hit 7 goals over his last 4 Premier League games. The Egyptian now has 12 goals, 3 assists and 12 bonus points to his name this term and is pretty much an essential pick given his current form. His opponents on Saturday, Brighton, have conceded in 3 of their last 4 in front of their own fans, and against much weaker attacks than the Reds (Stoke, Southampton, Everton).

With funds now limited, Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (32%) completes our starting XI. The Cameroonian has been playing up front for Stoke of late, and has been a decent source of points at home for his owners, with 2 goals and 3 assists across his last 6 outings at The Bet365 Stadium. Swansea, who have lost 4 on the bounce away from South Wales, are the visitors this weekend. Ruben Loftus-Cheek (18%) takes the first spot on our bench ahead of a trip to the Midlands to face West Brom, with a pair of assists and a goal in his last 5 outings making the young England midfielder superb value at just £4.5m.

The bookies also rate the prospects of Manchester City duo Leroy Sane and Kevin de Bruyne, along with Chelsea’s Pedro, but we have already reached our maximum allocation of 3 players from both sides, whilst Alexis Sanchez, Philippe Coutinho, Sadio Mane and Dele Alli are all overlooked due to budget constraints.

Team of the week

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Good luck with your fantasy teams this weekend!

May the odds be with you🙏

Daniel Victory is a Fantasy football and anytime goalscorer betting enthusiast. Enjoys SSS – statistics, strategizing and spreadsheets. Follow his great tips on Twitter.