These are outdated tables. You can find a newer and more detailed version of this on my twitter profile. If you have any questions or suggestions, you contact me there @fussbALEXperte

Last updated on 07/12/2018

The probabilities are based on my own prediction model, which is an adaptation of Googles Page Rank algorithm to fit for football teams. I haven’t written about the methodology in detail yet, but you can compare the accuracy to other models here.

You can download the probabilities for the rest of the season here: epl_season1819.