Florida

Bill Nelson

Nelson, a Florida institution, has been in elected or appointed office since 1973. He’s the only remaining elected statewide Democrat in Florida, but has carved out a moderate image.

Republican recruits

Rick Scott

Indiana

Joe Donnelly

Donnelly was another Democrat who benefited from weak 2012 opposition, but hopes his moderate image can protect him in a state Trump easily conquered.

Republican recruits

Luke Messer

Todd Rokita

Missouri

Claire McCaskill

Trump won the Show-Me State by 19 percentage points, but McCaskill, with the help of a terrible GOP candidate, had already defied expectations and won reelection here in 2012.

Republican recruits

Austin Petersen

Josh Hawley

Vicky Hartzler

Ann Wagner

Montana

Jon Tester

Tester, the DSCC chairman in the previous cycle, won his seat in 2006 and was reelected in 2012. Tester is known for keeping close eyes on his state, and still works his ranch in Montana.

Republican recruits

Troy Downing

Matt Rosendale

Ryan Zinke

Tim Fox

North Dakota

Heidi Heitkamp

Heitkamp, a former agriculture commissioner, narrowly defeated Rep. Rick Berg in 2012 even as Mitt Romney defeated President Barack Obama by 20 percentage points.

Republican recruits

Kevin Cramer

Tom Campbell

Ohio

Sherrod Brown

Brown, a populist beloved by unions, is considered a potential 2020 presidential nominee.

Republican recruits

Josh Mandel

J.D. Vance

Pat Tiberi

Pennsylvania

Bob Casey

Casey is the son of a beloved former governor, but has moved aggressively to the left during the Trump era, hoping to excite the state’s liberal base.

Republican recruits

Jeff Bartos

Lou Barletta

Mike Kelly

Pat Meehan

West Virginia

Joe Manchin

Trump won West Virginia by 42 points, but Manchin’s personal brand and moderate credentials are unmatched. He’s repeatedly won statewide in gubernatorial and Senate elections.

Republican recruits

Evan Jenkins

Patrick Morrisey

Wisconsin

Tammy Baldwin

This swing state has been increasingly red in recent years, with Baldwin the only Democrat holding on to statewide office. Baldwin has emphasized Trump-friendly parts of her own platform, including opposition to trade deals, as she’s begun her run for reelection.

Republican recruits

Kevin Nicholson

Eric Hovde

Leah Vukmir

Sean Duffy