Alright. First the initial pick.

2ND & 13 AT TB 7(00:54)

(:54) (Shotgun) J.Winston pass deep right intended for C.Godwin INTERCEPTED by M.Butler at TB 29. M.Butler to TB 6 for 23 yards (C.Godwin).

Its Doubles Left and they’re playing C3Z blitz; they show 2 deep and roll to C3Z.

The blitzer is the WLB (who is over Cam, in-line TE, on the other side).

The Doubles side features a 13 yard boundary Hitch and Godwin in the Slot.

Now the NCB over Godwin feints coming on the blitz and then he has Hook/Seam to Flat that side (they’re down 1 underneath defender).

Given all of that information and the fact that (a) Arians said that Godwin cut off his route to a Hitch when he shouldn’t have and (b) Jameis threw the Seam route (which the throw would have been where it needed to be if Godwin would have continued rather than Hitching up)…I have to think that the following likely occurred:

1) Brate may have supposed to read hot and Hitch up because the defender over him blitzed (he didn’t, he kept running Seam).

2) Godwin may have read hot erroneously (due to the feigned blitz by the NCB) and Hitched up. He was open because of the difficulty of the coverage by 1 Hook/Seam to Flat defender having to cover pair of Hitches…but that would be a weird read.

3) Godwin was actually supposed to continue with his Seam route (which Jameis threw) and it would have been opened.

In this case, I think the most reasonable interpretation of the play (despite Godwin being open) was that yes, Godwin did break his route off in error and Jameis made the correct play.

If that is the case (and I think it is), all of the impactful Giveaways (forget the last one as its a no TO heave) were not Jameis’ fault. The Jensen snap, this Godwin mis-adjustment, DSmith’s Sack Fumble where he got murdered off the Edge; all other players’ errors.

In my opinion (despite the fact that he had some other plays that were not good, including Turnover-Worthy-Throws), Jameis should not be involved in the conversation for “why we lost this game.”

We lost this game because of (i) the errors on the 3 players mentioned above (also Mike’s dropped TD early, Adams – I think – misalignment on GL defense, Jensen getting blown up in the run game, Watford with a terrible 2nd level Hold on an easy block which should have been a big run), (ii) some crappy play-calling and game management, (iii) and some bad officiating that went against us (at least one of those Davis Picks were good and the Fumble Return for a TD).