by Aaron Schatz

There were some big moves up and down the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings this week, but not at the top or the bottom of the rankings.

The Philadelphia Eagles are still No. 1, and their DVOA rating has gone up since last week. That makes a lot of sense when you consider that the No. 1 Eagles defense shut down the best offense in the league last Sunday. Seattle and Dallas traded places at No. 2 and No. 3 this week, which means that Sunday's Philadelphia at Seattle game presents us with the rare contest between the top two teams in DVOA. The Seahawks have something going for them that even the Eagles don't: after their offensive showing against the Patriots, they actually now kind of qualify as a balanced team. The Seahawks are 11th on offense, fifth on defense, and 13th on special teams. Only one other team ranks in the top half of the league in all three categories... but we'll get to that in a moment.

Just below Dallas, No. 4 Atlanta and No. 5 New England stay about the same in our ratings after their losses to the top two teams.

Then come the surprises.

Five weeks ago, the Miami Dolphins were 1-4 and ranked 28th in DVOA. After a four-game winning streak, the Dolphins are now 5-4 and have climbed all the way up to sixth in DVOA. They were 12th just one week ago, but they put up 66.4% DVOA in the win over San Diego on Sunday. (This is where I would usually put in one of those cool week-to-week graphs were this article not running so massively late because of continued data feed issues.)

Miami is the other team that ranks in the top half of the league with all three units. The Dolphins climb to 16th in offensive DVOA and seventh in defensive DVOA this week. They also rank 10th on special teams. Miami's rise gives the AFC East three teams in the top 10, something even the AFC West can't claim (although the NFC East can). The Dolphins are now ahead of the entire AFC West in DVOA; unfortunately for the Dolphins, they aren't ahead in wins and therefore they aren't ahead in playoff odds. Meanwhile, the Chargers drop from 13th to 20th with this loss, through they still have a positive overall DVOA. Yes, that's correct: there are 20 teams with positive DVOA right now. There's a huge pack of teams are just a little better than average, with 13 different teams between -0.5% DVOA and 7.0% DVOA.

Right behind the Dolphins are the Oakland Raiders, who move up two spots on their bye week thanks to changes in opponent adjustments. (By the way, this is the first week of the year with full opponent adjustments at 100 percent strength.) And then the No. 8 team is now Washington, which moves up from 15th to eighth after a solid win against the Vikings.

That close pack of teams that's just a little bit above average makes it a lot easier to move quickly up and down the rankings, and there are three other teams that move up six or more spots this week. Pittsburgh's close game with Dallas was good for both teams, and the Steelers go from 17th to 10th. DVOA believes the Saints clearly outplayed the Broncos, despite the fluke game-winning defensive two-point conversion, so the Saints move up from 20th to 14th while the Broncos drop from sixth to 11th. The Ravens also move up significantly for spanking the Browns, going from 22nd to 15th. The Ravens are now the No. 2 defense in the league according to DVOA, trailing only Philadelphia.

It's a little surprising that there aren't larger jumps for two teams that won big last week: Tampa Bay and Tennessee. The Titans' overall DVOA went up but they're still in the same place as last week, 21st. The Bucs move up slightly from 25th to 23rd. However, the teams they beat take a much larger hit. Green Bay falls all the way from seventh to 18th this week (from 9.4% to 1.5% in DVOA). Chicago drops all the way from 16th to 24th (from 2.5% to -8.0% in DVOA).

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Once again this season, we have teamed up with EA Sports to bring Football Outsiders-branded player content to Madden 17 Ultimate Team. Each week, we'll be picking out a handful of players who starred in that week's games. Some of them will be well-known players who stood out in DVOA and DYAR. Others will be under-the-radar players who only stood out with advanced stats. We'll announce the players each Tuesday in the DVOA commentary article, and the players will be available in Madden Ultimate Team packs the following weekend, beginning at 11am Eastern on Friday. We will also tweet out images of these players from the @fboutsiders Twitter account on most Fridays. The best player of each week, the Football Outsiders Hero, will require you to collect a set of the other four Football Outsiders players that week, plus a certain number of Football Outsiders collectibles available in Madden Ultimate Team packs.

The Football Outsiders stars for Week 10 are:

CB Marcus Peters (FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS HERO) : Game-winning forced fumble plus 4 passes defensed.

: Game-winning forced fumble plus 4 passes defensed. P Johnny Hekker, LARM : 7 punts for average of 51.7 gross yards and 50.3 net yards.

: 7 punts for average of 51.7 gross yards and 50.3 net yards. MLB Gerald Hodges, SF : Interception plus 4 run tackles of 2 yards or less.

: Interception plus 4 run tackles of 2 yards or less. RE Cameron Jordan NO : Led Saints with 9 combined tackles, including a sack and 2 run TFL, and 3 QB knockdowns.

: Led Saints with 9 combined tackles, including a sack and 2 run TFL, and 3 QB knockdowns. RG Brandon Scherff, WAS: Washington RB gained 80 yards on 14 carries to the right side, with 64 percent success rate against a top-10 run defense.

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All stats pages are now updated through Week 10 of 2016. Snap counts, playoff odds, and the premium DVOA database are also fully updated. We're still working on the programs that build drive and pace stats so we can bring those back in the near future.

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These are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings through ten weeks of 2016, measured by our proprietary Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) system that breaks down every single play and compares a team's performance to the league average based on situation in order to determine value over average. (Explained further here.)

OFFENSE and DEFENSE DVOA are adjusted to consider all fumbles, kept or lost, as equal value. SPECIAL TEAMS DVOA is adjusted for type of stadium (warm, cold, dome, Denver) and week of season. As always, positive numbers represent more points so DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE. As always, positive numbers represent more points so DEFENSE is better when it is NEGATIVE.

WEIGHTED DVOA represents an attempt to figure out how a team is playing right now, as opposed to over the season as a whole, by making recent games more important than earlier games.

To save people some time, please use the following format for all complaints:

<team> is clearly ranked <too high/too low> because <reason unrelated to DVOA>. <subjective ranking system> is way better than this. <unrelated team-supporting or -denigrating comment, preferably with poor spelling and/or chat-acceptable spelling>

TEAM TOTAL

DVOA LAST

WEEK WEI.

DVOA RANK W-L OFFENSE

DVOA OFF.

RANK DEFENSE

DVOA DEF.

RANK S.T.

DVOA S.T.

RANK 1 PHI 30.2% 1 31.3% 1 5-4 -6.3% 20 -26.6% 1 9.9% 1 2 SEA 23.6% 3 24.2% 2 6-2-1 5.4% 11 -17.1% 5 1.2% 13 3 DAL 20.9% 2 21.9% 3 8-1 23.4% 2 3.9% 19 1.4% 11 4 ATL 19.3% 4 20.7% 5 6-4 25.3% 1 8.8% 26 2.8% 7 5 NE 19.0% 5 20.9% 4 7-2 19.7% 3 2.7% 18 2.0% 8 6 MIA 12.0% 12 13.8% 6 5-4 -1.1% 16 -11.4% 7 1.7% 10 7 OAK 8.9% 9 9.3% 8 7-2 18.7% 4 11.1% 28 1.2% 12 8 WAS 8.5% 15 9.3% 7 5-3-1 10.9% 9 4.2% 21 1.8% 9 9 BUF 6.8% 10 8.3% 9 4-5 13.9% 6 5.7% 23 -1.4% 19 10 PIT 6.5% 17 5.4% 11 4-5 11.7% 8 4.1% 20 -1.0% 18 11 DEN 6.5% 6 6.6% 10 6-3 -12.5% 28 -18.5% 3 0.5% 17 12 MIN 4.4% 8 3.3% 14 5-4 -8.9% 23 -12.5% 6 0.8% 15 13 KC 3.9% 11 4.0% 12 7-2 -7.3% 22 -6.5% 9 4.7% 5 14 NO 3.0% 20 3.6% 13 4-5 17.5% 5 11.2% 29 -3.3% 24 15 BAL 2.3% 22 1.9% 17 5-4 -22.8% 32 -22.3% 2 2.9% 6 16 NYG 2.1% 14 1.9% 16 6-3 -2.8% 18 -8.7% 8 -3.8% 27 TEAM TOTAL

DVOA LAST

WEEK WEI.

DVOA RANK W-L OFFENSE

DVOA OFF.

RANK DEFENSE

DVOA DEF.

RANK S.T.

DVOA S.T.

RANK 17 CIN 2.0% 19 2.4% 15 3-5-1 10.6% 10 5.4% 22 -3.2% 23 18 GB 1.5% 7 1.5% 18 4-5 1.5% 13 -3.5% 12 -3.5% 25 19 ARI 1.1% 18 -1.2% 21 4-4-1 -11.2% 26 -17.5% 4 -5.3% 30 20 SD 0.8% 13 0.3% 20 4-6 -2.3% 17 -4.7% 11 -1.5% 20 21 TEN -0.3% 21 0.4% 19 5-5 12.8% 7 9.5% 27 -3.6% 26 22 CAR -4.6% 23 -5.6% 22 3-6 -0.1% 14 -0.4% 15 -4.8% 29 23 TB -5.9% 25 -5.6% 23 4-5 -3.7% 19 -0.6% 14 -2.7% 22 24 CHI -8.0% 16 -7.0% 24 2-7 -7.0% 21 1.5% 16 0.5% 16 25 LARM -9.0% 24 -8.1% 25 4-5 -21.1% 30 -6.2% 10 6.0% 3 26 DET -14.4% 27 -15.3% 27 5-4 3.2% 12 22.6% 32 5.0% 4 27 IND -16.4% 26 -15.2% 26 4-5 -0.9% 15 22.4% 31 6.9% 2 28 JAC -16.8% 28 -16.0% 28 2-7 -12.2% 27 2.1% 17 -2.4% 21 29 SF -16.9% 29 -18.0% 29 1-8 -9.6% 24 8.2% 25 0.9% 14 30 HOU -27.0% 30 -27.5% 30 6-3 -22.8% 31 -2.4% 13 -6.6% 31 31 NYJ -29.7% 32 -31.1% 31 3-7 -15.3% 29 6.6% 24 -7.8% 32 32 CLE -35.7% 31 -36.4% 32 0-10 -10.3% 25 21.1% 30 -4.3% 28

NON-ADJUSTED TOTAL DVOA does not include the adjustments for opponent strength or the adjustments for weather and altitude in special teams, and only penalizes offenses for lost fumbles rather than all fumbles.

does not include the adjustments for opponent strength or the adjustments for weather and altitude in special teams, and only penalizes offenses for lost fumbles rather than all fumbles. ESTIMATED WINS uses a statistic known as "Forest Index" that emphasizes consistency as well as DVOA in the most important specific situations: red zone defense, first quarter offense, and performance in the second half when the score is close. It then projects a number of wins adjusted to a league-average schedule and a league-average rate of recovering fumbles. Teams that have had their bye week are projected as if they had played one game per week.

uses a statistic known as "Forest Index" that emphasizes consistency as well as DVOA in the most important specific situations: red zone defense, first quarter offense, and performance in the second half when the score is close. It then projects a number of wins adjusted to a league-average schedule and a league-average rate of recovering fumbles. Teams that have had their bye week are projected as if they had played one game per week. PAST SCHEDULE lists average DVOA of opponents played this season, ranked from hardest schedule (#1, most positive) to easiest schedule (#32, most negative). It is not adjusted for which games are home or road.

lists average DVOA of opponents played this season, ranked from hardest schedule (#1, most positive) to easiest schedule (#32, most negative). It is not adjusted for which games are home or road. FUTURE SCHEDULE lists average DVOA of opponents still left to play this season, ranked from hardest schedule (#1, most positive) to easiest schedule (#32, most negative). It is not adjusted for which games are home or road.

lists average DVOA of opponents still left to play this season, ranked from hardest schedule (#1, most positive) to easiest schedule (#32, most negative). It is not adjusted for which games are home or road. VARIANCE measures the statistical variance of the team's weekly DVOA performance. Teams are ranked from most consistent (#1, lowest variance) to least consistent (#32, highest variance).