Richard Charnin

Nov. 16, 2016

Updated: Oct.2, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll

LINKS TO POSTS

Trump won four key battleground states (FL, NC, PA, WI). Unadjusted exit polls indicate that Clinton won all four and had 302 EV. But statistical analysis indicates Trump very likely won the four states.

View the summary tables for 9 Battleground states below.

Clinton won the WI unadjusted exit poll by 48.2-44.3%

Trump won the reported vote (party-ID) by 47.2-46.3%.

Trump won the reported vote (gender) by 48.4-46.6%.

The CNN adjusted exit poll calculation did not exactly match the reported vote.

WI Reported Vote (CNN)

Trump wins: 47.8-47.0% (23,000 vote margin)

Calculated: Trump wins: 48.1-46.1%

Trump won Independents: 50-40%

Party ID: 35D- 34R- 30I

WI Unadjusted exit poll

Clinton wins: 48.2-44.3% (118,000 vote margin)

Clinton won Independents: 48-37% (implausible)

Party ID: 35D- 34R- 30I

WI True Vote Model

Trump wins 48.2-45.2% (45,000 vote margin)

Trump wins Independents: 46-43%

Party ID: 33.9D -32.6R -33.5I (derived from Gallup)

CNN National Exit Poll (matched to the recorded vote)

Clinton wins 47.8-47.4%

Trump won Independents: 48-42%

National Party ID: 37D- 33R- 30I

True Vote Model

Gallup Party-ID: 32D- 28R- 40I (8% Party ID advantage to Independents)

Before Undecided Voter Allocation (UVA)

Trump wins the popular vote: 44.4-42.9% (1.6 million vote margin)

Trump wins the recorded Electoral vote: 306-232

True Vote: After Undecided Voter Allocation

Trump wins 48.5%-44.3% (5 million vote margin)

Trump wins the Electoral Vote: 351-187

Unadjusted Exit Polls: http://tdmsresearch.com/2016/11/10/2016-presidential-election-table/

SUMMARY COMPARISON (based on Party-ID)

Unadj EP Reported True Vote Vote Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Avg 48.39% 45.80% 46.14% 49.65% 44.57% 48.45% Diff -2.59% 3.51% 3.88% OH 47.0% 47.1% 43.5% 52.1% 43.9% 51.4% NC * 48.6% 46.5% 46.7% 50.5% 45.9% 46.6% NJ 59.8% 35.8% 55.0% 41.8% 44.6% 46.4% PA * 50.5% 46.1% 47.7% 48.8% 47.8% 45.8% MI 46.8% 46.8% 47.5% 47.7% 45.3% 47.8% MO 42.8% 51.2% 38.0% 57.1% 41.5% 51.7% IA 44.1% 48.0% 42.2% 51.8% 41.1% 50.6% FL * 47.7% 46.4% 47.8% 49.1% 45.9% 47.7% WI * 48.2% 44.3% 46.9% 47.9% 48.2% 45.2% % of Ind Unadj Reported True Vote Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Avg 47.33% 40.30% 39.17% 53.09% 36.11% 50.22% Diff -7.03% 13.92% 14.11% OH 50.0% 34.0% 38.0% 52.0% 38.0% 52.0% NC 44.0% 44.0% 38.5% 56.0% 35.0% 49.0% NJ 67.0% 28.0% 51.0% 48.0% 36.0% 52.0% PA 50.0% 43.0% 36.0% 56.0% 32.0% 53.0% MI 32.0% 52.7% 35.0% 56.3% 45.0% 56.3% MO 45.0% 40.0% 28.0% 62.0% 39.0% 45.0% IA 42.0% 41.0% 35.0% 51.0% 35.0% 51.0% FL 48.0% 43.0% 48.0% 50.5% 32.0% 53.0% WI 48.0% 37.0% 43.0% 46.0% 43.0% 46.0%

WISCONSIN

Unadj EP Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other Dem 35% 91% 7% 1% 1% 0% Rep 35% 6% 90% 3% 0% 1% Ind 30% 48% 37% 6% 2% 7% Calc 100% 48.4% 45.1% 3.2% 1.0% 2% Unadj 100% 48.2% 44.3% 2.0% 1.3% 4% Votes (000) 3,014 1,453 1,335 60 39 127 Margin -118 -3.9% Reported Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other Dem 35% 91% 7% 1% 1% 0% Rep 35% 6% 90% 3% 0% 1% Ind 30% 43% 46% 6% 2% 3% Calc 100% 46.9% 47.8% 3.2% 1.0% 1% Reported 100% 46.9% 47.9% 2.2% 0.7% 2.3% Votes (000) 3,014 1,380 1,404 106 31 93 Margin 24 0.93% True Vote Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other Dem 33.9% 91% 7% 1% 1% 0% Rep 32.6% 6% 90% 3% 0% 1% Ind 33.5% 43% 46% 6% 2% 2% TVM bef UVA 95.2% 42.7% 45.7% 4.3% 2.3% True Vote 100.0% 45.2% 48.2% 4.3% 2.3% Votes (000) 3,014 1,361 1,452 131 70 Margin 90 3.0%