A survey of Atlantic Canadians by Narrative Research suggests support for Justin Trudeau's government is highest in Nova Scotia

With an federal election looming later this year, it appears a repeat of 2015's red wave sweep of the East Coast is unlikely.

A new poll by Narrative Research -- formerly known as Corporate Research Associates -- indicates, among decided voters in Atlantic Canada's four provinces, the federal Liberals and Conservatives are in a statistical tie.

Support for the Liberals stands at 39 per cent in the region, down from 49 per cent one year ago. The federal Conservatives are at 36 per cent, compared with 29 per cent in May 2018. The Green Party has surged to 14 per cent up from 5, and the NDP have dropped to 9 per cent from 15.

"The federal NDP is struggling to maintain its position as the third party of choice in Atlantic Canada, and findings suggest they could be replaced by the Greens as the main alternative to the Liberals or Conservatives," says Margaret Brigley, CEO of Narrative Research in a news release.

Justin Trudeau's government has the most support here in Nova Scotia, with 42 per cent of us saying if an election were held today, they'd mark an X beside the name of a Liberal candidate. However that's down from 51 per cent a year ago.

Twenty seven per cent of Nova Scotians would vote Conservative, the results were the same in May 2018. The Green Party is up to 15 per cent in Nova Scotia from 5, and the NDP are at 13 per cent, down from 15 per cent last year.

Trudeau is also the top pick when it comes to leader preference. Thirty three per cent of Nova Scotians would like to see him stay on as Prime Minister, 19 per cent would prefer the Conservative's Andrew Scheer to lead Canada, 17 per cent want the Green Party's Elizabeth May in office, and 10 per cent support the NDP's Jagmeet Singh.