John Tory stretches lead

Now 10 points ahead of Doug Ford, Chow falls back

TORONTO SEPTEMBER 29th, 2014 - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 1167 decided and leaning Toronto voters, more than 4-in-10 will vote John Tory for mayor if the municipal election were held today (43%) while one third will vote for Doug Ford (33%). One fifth will vote Olivia Chow (20%) and very few will vote for another candidate (3%).





These findings stand in contrast to last week, when the two leading candidates were closer (September 22, Tory - 38%, Ford - 31%), and Olivia Chow's vote share was higher (September 22 - 25%).

Doug Ford's vote is common to the youngest (38%), males (36%), in North York (46%), Scarborough (38%) and among provincial PC voters (45%). Tory's vote is characterized by the oldest (57%), in Etobicoke (50%) and York (57% - caution: small base size) and among provincial PCs (53%) and Liberals (52%). Chow's vote is characterized by the youngest (25%), in the downtown (29%) and East York (32%) and past provincial NDP voters (31%).

John Tory leads in all of the 6 former cities which make up Toronto except North York, where Ford leads, and Scarborough, where these two candidates are tied.

"This is an improvement for John Tory since last week, and it appears Olivia Chow's resurgence was short-lived. However, with basically the length of an entire federal election campaign to go before the election, it's too early to say either of the two leaders has an insurmountable advantage," said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.



