by Camilo Arenivar

So, Oscar season for me is like what the playoffs leading up to the Super Bowl is to football fans. It’s something that captures my interest and in the past I’ve posted some fairly accurate Oscar predictions. The nominations will be announced very early in the morning of Tuesday, January 22nd. This year, I have been paying so much attention and making lists etc. etc. that I am going to publish my predictions of who will be nominated! One week before the awards, I will make my Predictions on the winners.

Best Supporting Actress

the nominees as seen in their roles they are nominated for

Amy Adams, “Vice”

Emma Stone, “The Favourite”

Rachel Weisz, “The Favourite”

Regina King, “If Beale Street Could Talk”

Claire Foy, “First Man”

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali, “Green Book”

Timothee Chalamet, “Beautiful Boy”

Adam Driver, “BlacKkKlansman”

Sam Elliott, “A Star Is Born”

Richard E. Grant, “Can You Ever Forgive Me”

Best Actress

Glenn Close, “The Wife”

Olivia Colman, “The Favourite”

Lady Gaga, “A Star Is Born”

Melissa McCarthy,” Can You Ever Forgive Me”

Emily Blunt, “Mary Poppins Returns”

Best Actor

Christian Bale, “Vice”

Bradley Cooper, “A Star Is Born”

Viggo Mortensen, “Green Book”

Rami Malek, “Bohemian Rhapsody”

John David Washington, “BlacKkKlansman”

Best Screenplay

Adam McKay, “Vice”

Alfonso Cuarón, “Roma”

Deborah Davis, Tony Mcnamara, “The Favourite”

Bryan Woods, Scott Beck, John Krasinski — A Quiet Place

Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie and Peter Farrelly, “Green Book

Best Adapted Screenplay

Spike Lee, David Rabinowitz, Charlie Wachtel, Kevin Wilmott, “BlacKkKlansman”

Nicole Holofcener, Jeff Whitty, “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”

Ryan Coogler, Joe Robert Cole “Black Panther”

Barry Jenkins, “If Beale Street Could Talk”

Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters, Eric Roth, “A Star is Born”

Best Director

Bradley Cooper — A Star is Born

Alfonso Cuaron — Roma

Peter Farrelly — Green Book

Spike Lee — BlacKkKlansman

Adam McKay — Vice

Best Picture

8–9 of these are certain, the others are outliers

Black Panther

BlacKkKlansman

Bohemian Rhapsody

Crazy Rich Asians

The Favourite

Green Book

Roma

A Star Is Born

Vice

I feel reasonably confident in these Best Picture nominees and at one point thought there would be only eight but I could not eliminate any of these so I left it at 9.

Dark Horses: If Beale Street Could Talk, The Quiet Place, Mary Poppins Returns.

If there are 10 nominees, it will be one of these dark horses.