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Watch Mat's post Swansea match video report

Villa have 35 points, with a -17 goal difference, the best in the bottom five.

Three points or more

Villa would mathematically guarantee safety with three points or more in the final three matches, taking their tally to 38 or higher. Doing so with a home win against Hull this weekend would be best. But, failing that, a win at Manchester City or Tottenham would keep them up, as would three draws.

Two points

If they get two draws and two points, taking their tally to 37, they are 99.9 per cent safe, barring a dramatic results/goal difference swing against them.

One point

If Villa get one draw and one point, taking their tally to 36, then two of the following scenarios must happen for Villa to be relegated.

1 Cardiff beat Newcastle (a) and Chelsea (h), with a 21-goal swing.

2 Fulham beat Stoke (a) and Crystal Palace (h).

3 Norwich beat Chelsea (a) and Arsenal (h) or get four points from a win and a draw, with a 15-goal swing.

4 Sunderland take four or more points from Manchester United (a), West Brom (h) and Swansea (h).

Even if two of those were to occur, Villa could still stay up if West Brom fail to take a point from Arsenal (a), Sunderland (a) and Stoke (h) and there is a five-goal swing in Villa’s favour.

No points

If Villa get no points, leaving their tally at 35, then two of the following scenarios must happen for them to be relegated.

1 Cardiff beat Newcastle (a) and Chelsea (h).

2 Fulham beat Stoke (a) and Crystal Palace (h) or get four points with a win and a draw, with a 25-goal swing.

3 Norwich beat Chelsea (a) or Arsenal (h) with a 15-goal swing, or win both, or win one and draw one.

4 Sunderland win one game with a three-goal swing, or win one and get a least a draw in the other two games.