Read this to learn more about how these projections work and this to understand the uncertainty each projection carries.



The Colorado Avalanche surprised everyone in the league last season with one of the greatest comeback seasons the NHL has ever seen, jumping from 48 points in 2016-17 to 95 last year, one point shy of doubling their total year-over-year.



The fact that was at all possible is simply insane. It takes a special kind of awful to earn a point total low enough to double to begin with as well as a massive lack/surplus of luck in back-to-back seasons to get there. While the Avalanche didn’t look as utterly hopeless last season as many expected, no one could’ve predicted such a leap forward.



That’s exactly why it’s safe to expect a step back this season. “Development isn’t linear” is starting to feel like my new catch-phrase, but it seems to apply to so many teams this season. There’s always an...