Not to sound like a broken record, but Sony’s Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle is set to repeat in first place yet again, despite a handful of new releases and expanding titles hitting theaters.

The biggest of these new releases is Warner Brothers’ war drama 12 Strong. The trailers have emphasized the action and dramatic elements, specifically using real footage of 9/11 and the “based on a true story” element. The closest comparison would be 13 Hours from 2016, which pulled in around $16M in its opening weekend, a number that Strong will likely wind up a bit below. Its numbers could be bolstered a bit by the IMAX release, but don’t count on anything over $20M. However, with a modest budget of $35M, that wouldn’t be too much of a problem.

STX is also opening an action thriller, the cops vs robbers film Den of Thieves. The closest comparison here is another early 2016 title, Triple 9. That film only opened to around $6M and barely managed to double that by the end of its run. With a running time of nearly two and a half hours, a lack of significant marketing, and trailers that don’t offer much outside of a generic heist plot, anything above that would be surprising for Den of Thieves.

Roadside Attractions is opening their first nationwide release in quite some time with Forever My Girl, a romantic drama primarily aimed at teenagers. Marketing has been essentially non existent, and the mid January release date and 1,000 theater count implies that Roadside is simply trying to dump this. Anything above $3M would be a surprise.

Phantom Thread is going into a somewhat shockingly wide 897 theaters this weekend. That’s one of the biggest expansions for a platform release during this awards season, which is strange considering the lack of marketing and seemingly little appeal to mainstream audiences. Anderson’s last film, Inherent Vice, expanded into around 650 theaters in January of 2015, where it could only muster a weekend of $2.7M. Matching that per theater average would net a weekend of $3.8M, which seems very unlikely. Anything over $3M would be a bit of a surprise. The Shape of Water and I, Tonya are also getting minor expansions into around 800 theaters each.

Call Me by Your Name is also supposedly scheduled for an expansion this weekend, though no numbers are available as of Thursday evening. With an excellent $7M in the bank from just 174 theaters, the interest certainly exists, but what remains to be seen is if the LGBT centered content of the film can translate to a successful expansion. Assuming an expansion of 600-700 theaters, a weekend around $2-$3M seems likely.

Predictions

Jumanji – $19.5M 12 Strong – $13M The Post – $12M The Greatest Showman – $8M The Commuter – $7M Insidious – $6M Den of Thieves – $5.4M

Forever my Girl – $2.9M