000 WTPZ45 KNHC 070839 TCDEP5 Remnants Of Julio Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP152020 300 AM MDT Mon Sep 07 2020 Moderate easterly shear has continued to take a toll on the compact tropical cyclone. In fact, recent satellite imagery and ASCAT data indicate that the small circulation has opened up into a trough of low pressure. Therefore, Julio has dissipated and this will be the final NHC advisory on this system. Julios demise occurred much quicker than forecast, owing to the difficulty in predicting the intensity (both up and down) of small tropical cyclones. The remnants are moving westward around the northern portion of a broad area of low pressure to the southwest of Socorro Island, and the remnants should be absorbed within that system later today. The global models indicate that moderate to strong easterly shear will persist over the larger low pressure area in which Julio is being absorbed, and this will likely prevent significant development of that system over the next few days. This is last NHC advisory on this system. For additional information on the remnants of Julio please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 07/0900Z 19.5N 112.6W 25 KT 30 MPH 12H 07/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Brown