In getting feedback on the rankings I previously posted, I went back and looked at some of my calculations and saw there was a very big discrepancy between the projected team totals and the sum of the projections for individual players. For example, I have ARI projected to have 258 passing yds, but when you added all of the players, it came out above 500 yds. I’ve updated the model to be based on team totals (pass, rush, and receiving yds & tds). The individual projections are based on that individuals contribution to the team total to date. Previously, I was forecasting attempts, and then using yds per and TDs per averages to predict individual performance. I think this change in the model will lead to more accurate rankings. I’ll compare how the rankings of this updated model (team stats driven) compare with the original approach (individual driven) when I compare my model with Fantasy Pros next Tuesday. Best of luck in week 5. Here’s the updated version:

REVISED 10/2/14 @ 10:30 EST based on new injury information: