A Reuters/Ipsos poll shows the race is close, with Hillary up by two points. The poll was taken from August 26th to September 8th, including 613 likely voters. This close margin is consistent with their last two polls that actually showed Trump ahead. Google also found Trump ahead. Two other polls found Clinton only up five points, Emerson and Fox 2 Detroit. Michigan is always a tough state for Republicans. That Trump is close and even ahead in several polls taken in the last month, shows the party has a real chance this time. Trump would likely need a national lead of around three to four points to take the state. Follow my new account on Twitter for daily updates on the election!

Dead Heat in the Battlegrounds 0.17 point Margin in Ref's Battlegrounds. There are now four realisitic scenarios where Trump can win without Pennsylvania.