The Westgate Superbook has determined the fates of NBA teams for the 2016-17 season, and according to them the Memphis Grizzlies will be an entire game and a half better than they were in 2015-16.

The predictive mark for this year is 43.5 wins compared to the 50.5 wins predicted last year and the 42 they actually won last season. That’s a steep drop. Las Vegas apparently thinks that the addition of Chandler Parsons (and further aging of everyone else) will land the Grizzlies just one more game.5 in the win column, and that’s pretty sobering if you were still drunk on the summer fun.

Memphis was decimated by an incredibly unlucky string of injuries last season, and given the low expectation by Vegas for the Grizzlies to exceed that endeavor, I’d have to guess they’re predicting a really slow return from Marc Gasol and Mike Conley, or they might just be banking on the aging (and sometimes fragile) roster breaking down again over the span of the season.

Each Grizzlies season for the past few years has seemed to gain exponential amounts of “boom or bust” potential. I know I’d like to think that the planets could align and they could plow out 55 wins, but with the veteran core that much older and a new wave of young players (hopefully) waiting to be developed...I can see where the 43.5 makes sense to odds makers. With Gasol, Conley and, Parsons all having legitimate health questions, the Grizzlies could (IMO) be a blink of an eye away from their lowest winning percentage since 2008-09.

There’s a lot to digest, but thankfully we know Vegas can be very wrong. They were 8.5 games too generous to us last year so maybe they’ll be 8.5 too stingy this time around.

Here are the Southwest Division Odds:

Southwest Division

San Antonio Spurs 1/7

Memphis Grizzlies 8/1

Houston Rockets 15/1

Dallas Mavericks 25/1

New Orleans Pelicans 40/1

And here’s the entire list of win total predictions for 2016-17:

NBA Win Totals

Atlanta Hawks 43.5

Boston Celtics 51.5

Brooklyn Nets 20.5

Charlotte Hornets 39.5

Chicago Bulls 38.5

Cleveland Cavaliers 56.5

Dallas Mavericks 39.5

Denver Nuggets 34.5

Detroit Pistons 45.5

Golden State Warriors 66.5

Houston Rockets 41.5

Indiana Pacers 43.5

Los Angeles Clippers 53.5

Los Angeles Lakers 24.5

Memphis Grizzlies 43.5

Miami Heat 36.5

Milwaukee Bucks 39.5

Minnesota Timberwolves 41.5

New Orleans Pelicans 36.5

New York Knicks 38.5

Oklahoma City Thunder 45.5

Orlando Magic 36.5

Philadelphia 76ers 27.5

Phoenix Suns 26.5

Portland Trail Blazers 46.5

Sacramento Kings 32.5

San Antonio Spurs 56.5

Toronto Raptors 49.5

Utah Jazz 47.5

Washington Wizards 42.5