A: That always is the kind of thing that you don't know until you know. With so many of this season's top college prospects being freshman, it's not as if it is going to be an easy assessment. And then it still comes down to where the Heat draft. Yes, players such as Justise Winslow and Caron Butler have fallen to them at the end of the lottery, but that is more exception than rule. To me, it all comes down to how the Heat play this season, whether their pick will be factored into the approach. It was Pat Riley who told me in June that in 2008, "I was smart enough to say, 'It really is time to get a lottery pick.' " So the question is whether the belief this season comes to be something similar. The way the first half of this season plays out could determine the tenor of the second half.