In our latest poll of likely and early voters, Clinton keeps her lead in Florida, despite last week’s announcement regarding the FBI’s investigation of her emails as Secretary of State.

The toplines:





Clinton 49% Trump 45% Johson 3% Stein 1% Undecided 2%

Some highlights:

Clinton is winning the early/absentee vote: 53% to 44%

Election-day vote is split: 46% to 46%

Clinton wins 86% of Democrats; Trump wins 83% of Republicans

Clinton wins 51% of independents; Trump takes 36%

Clinton maintains her strong lead with the 30-44 demographic: 59% to Trump’s 37%

Trump just wins the 45-64 demographic: 47% to 45%



Trump wins the 65+ demographic: 53% to Clinton’s 44%

Trump wins the Panhandle, North Florida, and Central Florida/I-4 by margins of 5-10 points

Clinton is wins SE Florida by nearly 20 points

In the Senate race, Rubio has pulled away from Murphy, leading the Democratic challenger by four points: