THREAD: The myth of the soft Brexit majority.



A majority in this parliament needs to get to 320. It's been repeated so often that it has become a truth—that there is a majority for a soft Brexit in parliament.



Here's why that's almost certainly not the case.



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Let's start with the Labour Party (245 MPs).



Soft Brexit is the position of the leadership (see JC letter to TM 6/2).



But there are at least 60 strong backers of a people's vote in the PLP & maybe 5 who want a harder Brexit.



So Labour brings max 180 MPs to soft Brexit.



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What would the SNP do?



Well, Scotland voted to Remain, and yesterday Sturgeon said: "preferably asking for a longer extension to put the issue back to voters".



So don't count on any SNP support for soft Brexit



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