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Canadians wondering where the Conservative government thinks the 2015 federal election will be won or lost need only to look at Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s travels in the last six months.

Harper has hit the road for more than 40 events since the fall parliamentary sitting started in September, with roughly 70 per cent of those stops in Ontario and about half in the Greater Toronto Area alone.

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Many of the government’s major economic and tough-on-crime announcements, including family tax cuts and the new anti-terrorism bill, happened in the so-called 905 belt of seats around Toronto.

Another big focus for the prime minister in the countdown to the scheduled Oct. 19, 2015, election has been the ridings in and around Quebec City — where polls indicate the Conservatives have been gaining ground. Harper has also spent significant time in southwestern Ontario and B.C.

“The places that they’ve been, it’s almost like you could draw an election strategy on a map and they’re going exactly where they should be going,” said pollster Darrell Bricker, CEO of Ipsos Public Affairs.