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New Ipsos MORI poll puts Conservatives at 45 per cent, just ahead of Labour at 40 per cent

Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn are getting ready for their final TV showdown tonight

The Labour leader gave a speech on jobs today as his manifesto continues to impress voters

The Tories have a 3 point lead over Labour in a YouGov poll but an 8 point lead in a Panelbase poll

Vast differences in the latest polls are due to the different ways that pollsters estimate turnout

Labour is 17 points ahead in London, according to the latest poll in the capital

A shock YouGov projection found that the Conservatives could lose seats, leading to a hung parliament TO CONTINUE TO FOLLOW OUR ELECTION 2017 COVERAGE – CLICK HERE

Saturday June 3 12.05pm Theresa May has warned of a coalition of chaos with "Diane Abbott as Home Secretary and Nicola Sturgeon pulling the strings”, as Labour closes the gap in the polls. Addressing a rally in West Yorskhire, the Prime Minister reminded voters that a Conservative victory hinges on just six seats. She said: “This is the most crucial election of my life.” “It’s an important of change for our country, that choice is between a strong and stable leadership… or Jeremy Corbyn and a coalition of chaos,” she added. 11.05pm Conservative Cabinet Minister Michael Fallon has told the Daily Telegraph that high earners would be exempt from Tax hikes under Tory plans. Asked if high earnes could vote for the Tories without risk of increasing their taxes, Sir Michael said: “Yes. “You've seen our record. We're not in the business of punishing people for getting on, on the contrary we want people to keep more of their earnings. "The only way they can be sure their taxes won't rise is to vote Conservative.” 9.20 YouGov is estimating the Tories could hold onto 313 seats on June 8 – if they receive a 42 per cent share of the vote. At 38 per cent, Labour would end with 257 seats. The Liberal Democrats, which are predicted to gain 10 per cent of the votes would only gain one seat in Parliament for a total of 10. Ukip are predicted to stay out of parliament, with only three per cent of the vote and no seat gains. 5am Nigel Farage will return to South Thanet today to campaign in support of Ukip candidate Stuart Piper. 12am Boris Johnson spoke on BBC'S Newnight and defended Theresa May's decision not to join EU leaders who had signed a joint statement urging allies to speed up effort to combat climate change after Donald Trump decided to withdraw the US from the Paris Accord. The Foreign Sectretary said: "The Prime Minister does not have to tag along with a bunch of other signatories to sign (a joint letter). “She was on the phone, talking to the American President, in a way the other EU leaders were not. We are going to work with the Americans on climate change.”

ELECTORAL CALCULUS The Electoral Calculus is predicting 363 for the Conservatives in the election

Friday June 2 9.30pm Mr Corbyn said they were fighting this election to win, and was not seeking to form a coalition with any other party – referring to recent reports about a possible deal with SNP. 9.20pm Jeremy Corbyn claims his Labour Party will have a "sensible relationship" with Europe. “We’re not approaching these negotiators by threatening Europe.” “A sensible relationship with them is important.” 9.15pm Jeremy Corbyn is next to appear before the Question Time audience and he has used the platform to criticise her absence from Wednesday night's debate. 8.40pm The Prime Ministers said she called the election over Brexit. 8.35pm Question Time with Jeremy Corbyn and Theresa May has begun on BBC1 and the Prime Minister is first up. An audience member quizzed over Mrs May over her “backtracking” and “u-turns” as Home Secretary and Prime Minister. Mrs May responds by listing her achievements as part of the Tory Government. 7.55pm Wildcard swing seats could be they key to success in the general election. Here are all the crucial swing seats mapped out. 7.13pm Bookies predict Jeremy Corbyn’s gamble with young people could pay off, as 70 per cent of 18 to 24-year-olds are backing Labour. Another 82 per cent of 25 to 34-year-old punters also gave their backing to Mr Corbyn’s party. Oddschecker spokesman Sam Eaton said: “Jeremy Corbyn appears to be pushing all the right buttons, he targeted the youth vote and judging from Oddschecker’s traffic and betting he’s succeeding. “Politics pages have become the second most popular section on-site behind racing for the age group 25-34. “Either people have become interested in politics following the EU Referendum, or they’ve realised they can make a quick bob or two from the results after the shock victories for both Donald Trump and Leave.” 4.30pm The Conservative and Labour leaders will appear separately on the BBC1 Question Time special tonight. The Prime Minister has refused to take part in TV debates. 3.30pm YouGov 2017 election model results for today: CON 42%, 279-346 seats / LAB 38%, 231-286 seats 3pm Professor Matthew Goodwin, senior fellow at Chatham House and the UK in a Changing Europe, said the latest poll points towards a Tory majority. He tweeted: “Today's Ipsos translates into a Conservative majority of approx 20. It's currently 17. Imagine. All of this & yet we end up where we began.” 2pm Ipsos Mori's latest poll shows the gap closing to five points with the Tories on 45 per cent - down four points on two weeks ago - while Labour are up six on 40 per cent. The poll, for the Evening Standard, shows the Tories' lead has been slashed to just five points. The Lib Dems are trailing behind on seven per cent. The latest Ipsos Mori data shows that support for the Prime Minister has fallen since she called the snap general election in late April. Half of Britons think Theresa May is more capable, down six points from two weeks ago, while 35 per cent backed Jeremy Corbyn, an increase of six points.

Ipsos Mori General election polls 2017: The latest poll from Ipsos Mori

Ipsos Mori Only 43 per cent are satisfied with the way Theresa May is doing her job as Prime Minister

1.20pm Shadow foreign secretary Emily Thornberry says that Labour would opt to form a minority government rather than do deals with other parties. "If we end up in a position where we are in a minority, we will go ahead and put forward a Queen's Speech and a budget," Ms Thornberry told the Times. 1pm Theresa May has confirmed that Craig Mackinlay will remain the Conservative candidate for 2017 after he was charged with breaking campaign expenses rules in 2015. After being charged by the CPS, Craig Mackinlay said: “This is a shocking decision by the CPS given that I’ve done nothing wrong”. Noon: Tory MP Craig Mackinlay, who beat Nigel Farage in the last election, has been charged with breaking that campaign's expenses rules in 2015. Mr Mackinlay, who is standing for re-election in South Thanet in southeastern England, was charged with making false claims about his spending during the 2015 campaign. 11.30am Labour is fighting back in Wales and has overtaken the Tories in the latest Welsh opinion polls with less than a week to go until the general election. The latest Welsh Political Barometer poll found that Labour support has risen to 46 per cent but Tory support has fallen to 35 per cent. LATEST WELSH POLLS

Election 2017 LIVE Wed, May 31, 2017 Britain heads to the polls on June 8 for a snap general election. LIVE images as the campaign unfolds across the UK. Play slideshow 1 of 26

11am: There is a wild difference in the latest polls is “almost wholly to do with how pollsters treat turnout”, according to YouGov’s Anthony Wells. “It’s possible that, come Election Day, all that young enthusiasm for Jeremy Corbyn will translate into real votes, leading to a close election with perhaps a small Tory majority or even a hung Parliament,” he said. “The alternative is that all those young Corbynistas will prove a mirage and that some polls still contain too many of the sort of young people who vote, with the end result being that the Conservatives win a large or landslide majority.” 9.40am: Speaking in York, the Labour leader said Donald Trump is being "reckless and dangerous" by pulling out of the Paris climate change agreement. He attacked Theresa May opting for "silence" by not speaking out strongly enough against the US President's decision to quit the global pact to fight climate change. 9.25am: Jeremy Corbyn is giving a speech in York and is setting out plans to create a million "high quality" jobs by investing £250 billion in industry. He said: "When Labour talks about job creation we mean decent jobs, jobs which pay a real living wage, which people can get by on, and which give people a sense of pride and purpose.”

Getty Election polls: Jeremy Corbyn meets laboratory staff during a tour of the Innovation Centre in York

9am: New Panelbase poll results (May 26 – June 1): CON 44 (-4) LAB 36 (+3) LD 7 (NC) UKIP 5 (+1) GRN 3 (+1) 8am: Nicola Sturgeon told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme that if the Conservatives fail to win an outright majority, the SNP would consider supporting a "progressive alliance" of other opposition parties on a case-by-case basis. "The most likely outcome here is a Tory (Conservative) victory, but a Tory victory no longer certain of an increased majority," she said, discussing her reading of opinion polls. 7.30am: SNP deputy leader Angus Robertson is on course to lose his seat in the General Election, according to analysis of a new poll. The survey, carried out for The Herald by BMG, puts support for the SNP at 43 per cent, 13 points above the Scottish Conservatives on 30 per cent. It has Labour on 18 per cent, the Liberal Democrats at 5 per and the Scottish Greens at 2 per cent, after "don't knows" have been excluded. Keep up-to-date with the latest Scottish opinion polls for the general election here.

PA General election polls: Theresa May during a campaign stop near Doncaster.

7am: The latest YouGov/ITV Wales poll of Welsh voters shows Labour on 46 per cent and the Conservatives on 35 per cent Plaid Cymru are on 8 per cent, the Liberal Democrats are on 5 per cent, and UKIP are on per cent. Thursday June 1 10pm: As campaigning continued Mrs May took questions from workers at a furniture factory in Pontefract, before heading to Derby for a rally with Tory activists at Pride Park. Addressing around 100 supporters in a lounge at the football ground, the Prime Minister insisted she was "optimistic" about Britain's future. She added that votes in the Midlands were vital to stop Labour taking power propped up by the Lib Dems and SNP. 8pm: The odds of Jeremy Corbyn winning have shortened from from 14/1 to 4/1. Theresa May’s odds of re-election are 1/5. Oddschecker spokesman Sam Eaton said: “If Jeremy Corbyn continues to follow the Donald Trump trend, expect his odds to slowly drift as we get nearer to the election, as high-staking punters lap up the extra value on May. “However, it may well be that on June 9th we are looking at a third shock result in two years as the UK election follows the pattern of both the US election and the EU Referendum.” 6.20pm: Speaking in Edinburgh, SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon said: "As the polls narrow across the rest of the UK, whether or not the Tories can increase their majority could come down to the outcome in Scotland. “So while they may still be on track to win the election in the rest of the UK, Scotland now has the opportunity to hold the Tories firmly in check.” Scottish Conservative leader Ruth Davidson, who was on the campaign trail in South Queensferry, said: "Too many SNP MPs in the last two years have failed to meet the standards we expect of them, and have failed to deliver.” 6pm: YouGov's controversial model now projects that the Tories will win 317 seats, well above Labour at 253 seats. 4pm: A poll of 1,000 Londoners, by YouGov, found that the Conservatives could potentially lose four seats in the capital. Based on the poll, two seats - – Croydon Central and Hendon - are expected to change hands to the Labour Party. The Liberal Democrats would also step in to take over Kingston and Surbiton, and Twickenham. 3.10pm: Jeremy Corbyn is outlining Labour’s approach to Brexit saying he will strike “a deal that will allow us to upgrade our economy through public investment in infrastructure and high skilled jobs”.

YouGov General election polls: This is the latest projection from pollster YouGov

Here's how we think the result would look if the election were held today:



CON 362 (+32)

LAB 206 (-26)



Read more: https://t.co/MlYKM1LC7q pic.twitter.com/OJuktlWbfO — Britain Elects (@britainelects) June 1, 2017

YouGov General election 2017: Latest Welsh opinion poll from YouGov

2.55pm: Labour is ahead by 17 points in London, a new YouGov poll has found. The party is polling at 50 per cent in the capital and is on course for its best London result since 1997. The poll put the Conservatives on 33 per cent. Professor Philip Cowley, director of the Mile End Institute at Queen Mary University of London, says that if the poll proves accurate then the Conservatives will lose four seats. The survey suggests that Conservative Zac Goldsmith, who lost his seat in a recent by-election, will lose his bid to win back his seat in Richmond. 1.24pm: Taking questions from journalists in Middlesborough, the Prime Minister reiterated her “strong and stable” mantra and claimed that Jeremy Corbyn “has no plan for Brexit”. Mrs May said that she told Donald Trump the importance of the Paris climate change agreement at the G7 summit last week, as the President pulls out of the treaty. When asked about her vanishing poll lead, Mrs May said that the only poll that matters is the one next week. 1.18pm: Theresa May has said that Amber Rudd did “an absolutely excellent job” during last night’s debate. Boris Johnson called the BBC audience “the most left-wing ever” earlier today, despite a BBC insisting that the crowd represented the political make-up of the UK. 1.11pm: Funding the NHS depends on having a strong economy in order to generate those funds, Mrs May has said. “People should vote Conservative to make sure the economy doesn’t go down hill,” she added. 1.06pm: Mrs May says that this election is “not about the old tribal politics of the past” at a speech in Middlesborough – traditionally a Labour stronghold. In a riff on Labour’s “for the many, not the few” slogan, the PM vowed to build a nation “not just for the privileged few, but for everyone”. Mrs May was booed by the crowd for repeating her claim that “some people” would pursue the worst possible Brexit deal at the highest possible price. 12.50pm Theresa May is currently giving a stern speech on Brexit in Middlesbrough South after missing the BBC debate last night. The Prime Minister just said she has the the “determination and the plan” to take the UK out of the EU. Other party leaders mocked Theresa May for not showing up to last night's TV debate where Home Secretary Amber Rudd took her place. 12.00pm: Bookies have seen a flurry of bets on Boris Johnson to become the next Prime Minister after last night’s BBC election debate. Betfair spokesperson Naomi Totten said: “Boris Johnson was backed to a low of 12/1 this morning, perhaps a sign that punters think May will be ousted as leader given her lacklustre campaign performance.” More than £500,000 was matched during the programme, with Jeremy Corbyn’s odds of becoming Prime Minister hiting a low of 4/1. Theresa May’s odds drifted slightly to 1/4. Yesterday evening, Boris refused to answer five times whether he would run for Conservative leader if Mrs May resigned following an election loss. Speaking on LBC, he eventually admitted: “Of course I’m ruling it out. “What we want at this election is a strong administration led by Theresa. And that’s very much what I hope the British people will deliver.” 11.52am: Labour has released excerpts of a Brexit speech that Jeremy Corbyn will give later today. Mr Corbyn will argue that leaving the EU without a deal “would be the worst outcome for Britain”. Theresa May has said no deal is better than a bad deal. “The Conservatives’ reckless approach has left us isolated and marginalised, increasing the chances of Britain crashing out of the EU without a deal,” he will say. The Labour leader will also accuse Boris Johnson of lying to the public during the EU referendum campaign. “We know the three Tories in whose hands Theresa May has placed our national future - David Davis, Boris Johnson and Liam Fox. “Now you know I don’t do personal attacks, so let me just say that in Labour’s Brexit team, there is no one who has fibbed to the British people about spending an extra £350m a week on the NHS because of Brexit, and nobody who has promised to use Brexit to slash workers’ rights or slash tax for big corporations in a continental race to the bottom.” 11.32am: A new Ipsos MORI poll for STV predicts that the SNP will remain the largest party in Scotland. Among those who say that they are certain to vote. 43 per cent backed Nicola Sturgeon’s party, with Labour and the Conservatives both winning 25 per cent support. When asked how they would vote in a second independence referendum, 47 per cent said that they would vote to leave, with 53 per cent saying that they would vote to remain. 11.09am: Theresa May will win the election with an increased majority, top pollsters have predicted. The UK’s six top polling companies – ICM, Ipsos MORI, ComRes, Opinium, Survation and YouGov – have all told Bloomberg that Mrs May is better positioned to win than Jeremy Corbyn. Five of the six predict a majority of at least 40 seats, with Iposos MORI’s chief executive Ben Page saying she could even achieve a landslide of up to 200. “In this type of election, which has switched back to two-party politics, once you start polling in the 40s you can win big.,” Mr Page said. Adam Drummond, senior research manager at Opinium, said that the Conservatives should win a majority of 50 to 70, even if their lead continues to diminish. He cites the party’s continued popularity among older voters "who always go out to vote”. 11.04am: Jeremy Corbyn will lay out his approach to Brexit negotiations today, two days after Theresa May accused him of having no plan. The Labour leader has already said that he would approach negotiations “in a very serious way, primarily to gain and continue this tariff-free access to the European market”. Speaking on Sunday, he said: "But we're not approaching the negotiations by threatening Europe, by threatening that if you don't give us everything we want on day one, we're going to walk away, slash corporation tax, give lots of giveaways to very big corporations in order to set up some kind of rival tax haven on the shores of Europe. Theresa May will also talk Brexit today and will say: “The promise of Brexit is great, the opportunities before us are enormous.” 9.56am: Mr Johnson says that it is a “good thing” that the polls are tightening leading up to the election. He told the BBC: “If people feel it could go to the wire then as far as I’m concerned, that's great. "I want people to focus on it - I want people to come out and vote. This is the most important election for a long time because we have to get Brexit right." 9.26am: Boris Johnson has said that last night’s BBC debate audience was the “most left-wing I’ve ever seen”. He added: “You had Tim Farron and the Scottish Nationalists supporting Corbyn, and they would effectively be going into the negotiations in Brussels backing him up, but with a very different view of what they want the outcome of the Brexit talks to be.” The BBC has clarified that the audience was selected by polling company ComRes to be “representative of the country demographically and politically”. Mr Johnson also defended Theresa May’s decision not to take part in last night’s debate, saying it showed “wisdom”. 8.42am: YouGov's latest seat estimates are that the Conservatives will win 311 seats, Labour 255, the SNP 51 and the Liberal Democrats 10. 7.30am: Theresa May’s absence in last night’s debate showed “contempt for the British public”, Labour’s Andy McDonald has said. Speaking on BBC Breakfast, he claimed that voters are “very much warming” to Jeremy Corbyn’s message. The shadow transport secretary also spoke about Labour’s plans to renationalise the railways. He said that rail franchises cost “hundreds of millions of pounds”, money which could help deliver “fares that are affordable”. Today Mrs May will talk Brexit in the north east of England, traditionally a Labour stronghold. The Prime Minister is expected to give more detail on her post-Brexit immigration plans, and will say: “If we get Brexit right, we can be a confident, self-governing country once again. A country that takes the decisions that matter to Britain here in Britain.” Mr Corbyn will be out in the south east, and Tim Farron is in London ahead of his Andrew Neil interview tonight, 12.15am: Theresa May’s bid to increase her Commons majority has been plunged into chaos after a recent poll showed the Labour party have reduced the Conservatives’ lead to just three points with only a week to go until Britain goes to the polls. The YouGov poll for the Times, conducted over past two days (May 30-31), puts the Tories on 42 per cent with the Labour party close behind on 39 per cent. The Tories three point lead is the lowest of the campaign so far, while Labour’s 39 per cent is the party’s highest poll result since February 2014. The pollster, who garnered responses from 1,875 British adults, put the Lib Dems down two points on seven per cent, with Ukip behind on four per cent.

ODDSCHECKER Jeremy Corbyn could be set for a shock victory after closing the gap in his odds before election day

Wednesday May 31 10.40pm: Theresa May is to call on voters on both sides of the Europe debate to come together in next week's General Election to give her a mandate to "fulfil the promise of Brexit". In a bid to return Brexit to the heart of the General Election campaign after coming under fire for ducking a TV debate with other party leaders, Mrs May will use a high-profile speech in the North-East on Thursday to set out her vision of European Union (EU) withdrawal as part of a "great national mission" to build a stronger, fairer and more prosperous Britain. 10.00pm: Mr Corbyn claimed that the Home Secretary was not “credible” on the issue of living standards. He said: “You tried to take personal independence payment’s away from people with disabilities and then you turned yourselves around in a few days on that, you are not credible on this issue.” The Home Secretary blasted that his promises in the Labour manifesto would need a “magic money tree”. She said: “Jeremy I know there is no extra payment you don’t want to add. No tax you don’t want to rise, but the fact is we have to concentrate our resources on the people who need it most. “We have to stop thinking as you do, that there is a magic money tree. You have to be accountable on the money you want to spend.” 9.00pm Jeremy Corybn criticised the Conservatives for not raising living standards during their time in power. Amber Rudd shot back that the Labour leader would not be able to provide his manifesto promises. The Home Secretary said: “We are a party who will always support those in most need and the welfare bill for helping people with disabilities has gone up £7billion in the past seven years and is now at £50billion. “We will always provide that safety net when it is needed.” 7.53pm: Jeremy Corbyn has promised to deliver a country “for the many not just the few”. The Labour leader said there would be no tax rises “for 95 per cent of tax payers” while adding that those with “most” will contribute more. At the debate Mr Corbyn has also promised to lift the pay cap on the public sector while introducing a new living wage of £10 an hour by 2020. Ukip leader Paull Nuttal meanwhile promised to scrap the VAT on fuel bills and remove green levies, while also promising to raise the personal allowance to £13,500. “People know how to spend their money better than any government,” he said.

6.30pm: The BBC election debate will broadcast on BBC One at 7.30pm tonight. Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn, Liberal Democrat Tim Farron, SNP deputy leader Angus Robertson and Ukip’s Paul Nutall will join Plaid Cymru leader Leanne Wood and the Green’s Caroline Lucas. Home Secreatry Amber Rudd will step in to replace Theresa May. BBC ELECTION DEBATE LIVE UPDATES 5pm: YouGov today updated its election result projection which shows that the UK is heading towards a hung parliament. WHAT IS A HUNG PARLIAMENT? The latest projection puts the Conservatives at 311 seats, just below the 326 seats needed to get a majority in the House of Commons. YouGov founder Stephan Shakespeare said: “Currently our model is showing the Conservatives set to take 311 seats and Labour 255, the SNP on 51 and the Liberal Democrats on 10, putting us on hung parliament territory. “However these are just the midpoints and, as with any model, there is leeway either side. For example, the Tories could end up with as many as 344 and Labour as few as 227 – leading to an increased Conservative majority.” The Tory campaign was rocked this morning when the Times published the first YouGov projection using its new model. 3.30pm: Theresa May has defended her decision to refuse to take part in the TV debate by saying that she is answering questions from voters on the campaign trail. “I think debates where the politicians are squabbling among themselves doesn’t do anything for the process of electioneering," she said. "I think it’s about getting out and about, meeting voters and hearing directly from voters.” 1.49pm: Speaking at an event in Bath, Theresa May said that unless people vote for the Conservatives, they are voting for Jeremy Corbyn to become Prime Minister of a hung parliament. 1.30pm: The Conservative Party has said that “there are no changes to the Prime Minister’s plans” regarding tonight’s debate. In a statement, Jeremy Corbyn said: “I will be taking part in tonight’s debate because I believe we must give people the chance to hear and engage with the leaders of the main parties before they vote. “I have never been afraid of a debate in my life. Labour’s campaign has been about taking our polices to people across the country and listening to the concerns of voters. “The Tories have been conducting a stage-managed arms-length campaign and have treated the public with contempt. Refusing to join me in Cambridge tonight would be another sign of Theresa May’s weakness, not strength.” 1.15pm: Lord Ashcroft has launched a new seat-by-seat poll which uses the MRP model – the same model which YouGov used to predict a hung parliament. But Lord Aschcroft’s poll predicts a Tory majority of 142. He put the Conservatives on 396 seats, Labour on 180, the SNP on 47 and the Liberal Democrats on six.

Reuters General election polls latest: Jeremy Corbyn reveals he will take part in the TV debate

12.20pm: Jeremy Corbyn has confirmed that he will appear in tonight's BBC debate and challenged the Prime Minister to go head-to-head with him. He said: “It’s very odd that you have an election campaign where we go out and talk to people all the time and the Prime Minister seems to have difficulty in meeting anyone or having any debates. “There is a debate in Cambridge tonight, I invite her to go to Cambridge and to debate her policies, debate her record, debate their plans, debate their proposals and let the public make up their mind.” Leaving the rally in Reading, he added: "I have to go now because I'm going to Cambridge to get ready for the debate tonight because there is no hiding place. "We'll put our views out there and let the public decide." Noon: Jeremy Corbyn has taken to Twitter to challenge Theresa May to “come and debate me – any time, any place”. The Labour leader tweeted: “Britain deserves to see the only two people who could be the next Prime Minister debate.” Mrs May has refused to take part in tonight’s seven-way leaders’ debate on the BBC, sending home secretary Amber Rudd in her place.

PA General election latest: Theresa May samples cheese at the Royal Bath and West Show

11.08am: Jeremy Corbyn has refused to rule out an informal pact with the SNP that could keep the Conservatives out of government in the event of a hung parliament. Mr Corbyn has previously said that he would not enter into a coalition with the SNP, but following today’s YouGov poll, questions have been raised about a potential “confidence and supply deal”. Such a deal could see the SNP backing a minority Labour government in House of Commons votes on motions of confidence and legislation which authorises the government to spend money. 10.30am: YouGov has clarified the polling methods used in its latest release, which predicts a hung parliament. Pollsters interview around 7,000 people every day about their voting intentions, which over a week boils down to around 75 voters per constituency. This data is used to create a model which estimates the way in which probability that a voter with specific characteristics will vote. Using information from the UK Office of National Statistics, the British Election Study, and past election results, YouGov then estimates the number of each type of voter per constituency, and combines this with the date to produce a result. This method of polling consistently predicted that Leave would beat Remain in the EU referendum, and that Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote in the US presidential election, but that midwestern battleground states were too close to call. 10.01am: Jeremy Corbyn says that Theresa May’s comment that he would be “naked in the negotiating chamber” was “inappropriate”. The Labour leader says that he would approach Brexit negotiations seriously, but would not threaten Europe. Shadow health secretary Jonathan Ashworth says that Labour would put more money into social care. He adds that the £72,000 proposed cap is “sound”, but says that Labour would consult on the plans.

GETTY Theresa May meeting fishermen in Plymouth

9.52am: Speaking in Plymouth, Theresa May claimed that Labour wants “uncontrolled migration”. She said: "I want to ensure we are controlling migration because too high uncontrolled migration puts pressure on our public services but it also lowers wages at the lower end of the income scale.” Mrs May was referring to The Telegraph’s front page, which reports that a leaked policy paper shows “Labour’s secret plan to increase migration”. The paper reportedly proposes bringing back a special visa scheme for people seeking "low-skilled, unskilled and seasonal work" in the UK. Jeremy Corbyn says that the document was one discussed by researchers, and that Labour’s policy can be found in its manifesto. He adds that free movement would end when the UK leaves the EU, and that Labour will not make false promises about immigration, as Mrs May “is doing now”.

GETTY Jeremy Corbyn speaking at a campaign event

9.41am: Speaking in Plymouth, Theresa May said: "The only poll that matters is the one that's going to take place on June 8 and then people will have a choice as to who they want to see as leader, who they want to see as prime minister taking this country forward in the future, me or Jeremy Corbyn. "I have the plan for the Brexit negotiations but I've also got a plan to build a stronger and more prosperous Britain and I'm confident we can do that because I believe in Britain and I believe in the British people." 9.35am: Speaking at a Labour event, Shadow health secretary Jonathan Ashworth said the Conservatives wanted to gloss over public services, but the public want proper answers. 9.20am: Jeremy Corbyn is holding a press conference on the NHS and schools, which he says are “anything but strong and stable”. He is attacking Conservative tax cuts and austerity, reminding the audience that Labour will invest in public services and give public sector staff a pay rise.

GETTY Election 2017: Jeremy Corbyn's Labour could prevent Theresa May's Conservatives from a majority