We’ve got a lot to cover here in this ever-important week of fantasy football. There are the usual Stream-O-Matic rankings that you’ve come to love. Additionally, I take a peek into the playoff weeks of these defenses and see which ones you may want to stash.

Before we get to the chart, here were some of my key findings:

The chart might be underestimating that the New York Jets will be facing Andy Dalton instead of Ryan Finley this week. However, I also think that the general fantasy public is overestimating the switch at QB for Cincy. It’s not like Dalton was ripping it up early on, hence his benching. I love streaming the Jets this week.

will be facing Andy Dalton instead of Ryan Finley this week. However, I also think that the general fantasy public is overestimating the switch at QB for Cincy. It’s not like Dalton was ripping it up early on, hence his benching. I love streaming the Jets this week. Hey, everyone, let’s increase the ownership percentage of the Carolina Panthers defense before Sunday. Vegas says they are only allowing 15 points to the Redskins. Washington’s only touchdown last week was on a kickoff return in a win. The Panthers will get ahead early and force Haskins into his normal incompetence.

defense before Sunday. Vegas says they are only allowing 15 points to the Redskins. Washington’s only touchdown last week was on a kickoff return in a win. The Panthers will get ahead early and force Haskins into his normal incompetence. Last we saw Philip Rivers, he was spoon-feeding turnovers to the Chiefs average defense. With the Denver Broncos playing host in a much different climate, I am all aboard the Denver streaming train. (And, by the way, those in deeper leagues could do worse than the Los Angeles Chargers in this same matchup with the switch at QB for Denver.)

Good luck and Happy Streamsgiving!

2019 Fantasy Football Week 13 Defense Stream-O-Matic

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Scoring

I use a traditional rotisserie scoring style commonly used in fantasy baseball season-long leagues to give point totals to each team.

Categories

The categories for the chart are listed below along with links to websites that I use to find this data.

Own% : Ownership percentages based on 12-team ESPN leagues gives us an idea of who is available. This doesn’t factor into the standings.

: Ownership percentages based on 12-team ESPN leagues gives us an idea of who is available. This doesn’t factor into the standings. Location : Generally speaking, defenses play better at home than on the road. Thus, a five-point advantage is given to all home teams.

: Generally speaking, defenses play better at home than on the road. Thus, a five-point advantage is given to all home teams. Wind : The only weather element that has shown a direct correlation with point totals is winds in excess of 15 MPH. Another five-point bonus is awarded to teams playing in such windy conditions.

: The only weather element that has shown a direct correlation with point totals is winds in excess of 15 MPH. Another five-point bonus is awarded to teams playing in such windy conditions. Vegas : Using Vegas odds, the spread and over/under generates a projected game score that the bettors go against. This game score portrays what the game flow could look like and, therefore, which fantasy football defenses are in a good position to succeed.

: Using Vegas odds, the spread and over/under generates a projected game score that the bettors go against. This game score portrays what the game flow could look like and, therefore, which fantasy football defenses are in a good position to succeed. oSAC% : To gauge how good (or bad) an opposing offensive line might be, look at the sack percentage for that team’s offense. Not only are some offensive lines bad, but some quarterbacks don’t show the ability to avoid the sack. ( NOTE : I’ll be incorporating a weighted average with 2018-2019 data.)

: To gauge how good (or bad) an opposing offensive line might be, look at the sack percentage for that team’s offense. Not only are some offensive lines bad, but some quarterbacks don’t show the ability to avoid the sack. ( : I’ll be incorporating a weighted average with 2018-2019 data.) oINT% : The opponent’s interception percentage obviously helps in streaming a defense. Turnover percentage is not used here because fumbles can be a little fluky and turnover percentage uses both fumbles and interceptions. ( NOTE : I’ll be incorporating a weighted average with 2018-2019 data.)

: The opponent’s interception percentage obviously helps in streaming a defense. Turnover percentage is not used here because fumbles can be a little fluky and turnover percentage uses both fumbles and interceptions. ( : I’ll be incorporating a weighted average with 2018-2019 data.) FPPG : I use ESPN defensive scoring rankings to determine a ranking of the fantasy football defenses.

: I use ESPN defensive scoring rankings to determine a ranking of the fantasy football defenses. DVOA: Probably the most popular tool for evaluating defenses, the DVOA efficiency ratings are utilized to give a strong baseline to the rankings.

Stream-O-Matic Chart

Overall Defense Own% Opp Location Wind Vegas oSAC% oINT% FPPG DVOA 133.0 Eagles 60.8 MIA 0 0 30 30 26 21 26 130.0 Bears 94.2 DET 0 0 31 22 25 25 27 130.0 Jets 34.7 CIN 0 0 27 28 20 27 28 128.0 Ravens 76.5 SF 5 0 25 17 23 29 29 125.0 Panthers 55.0 WAS 5 0 32 32 24 19 13 125.0 Patriots 98.5 HOU 0 0 17 26 18 32 32 110.0 Colts 42.0 TEN 5 0 22 31 19 15 18 109.0 Browns 61.0 PIT 0 0 28 15 29 17 20 108.0 Steelers 86.5 CLE 5 0 21 5 17 30 30 100.5 Broncos 19.4 LAC 5 0 19 14 31 10.5 21 99.0 Saints 89.5 ATL 0 0 18 16 14 26 25 96.0 Chargers 34.1 DEN 0 0 29 27 16 16 8 89.0 Rams 74.6 ARI 0 0 15 23 5 24 22 87.0 Chiefs 22.3 OAK 5 5 23 8 13 14 19 87.0 Titans 31.7 IND 0 0 14 7 28 23 15 87.0 Jaguars 63.9 TB 5 5 10 12 32 13 10 87.0 49ers 92.9 BAL 0 0 7 9 9 31 31 85.0 Redskins 19.4 CAR 0 0 9 25 27 12 12 84.0 Vikings 65.3 SEA 0 0 5 29 7 20 23 80.0 Lions 17.7 CHI 5 0 20 20 21 5 9 77.0 Packers 24.0 NYG 0 0 26 24 8 8 11 76.0 Cowboys 42.5 BUF 5 0 24 3 12 18 14 72.0 Seahawks 35.7 MIN 5 0 13 13 2 22 17 72.0 Bills 90.2 DAL 0 0 4 1 15 28 24 69.0 Bengals 2.7 NYJ 5 0 16 21 22 2 3 64.5 Buccaneers 2.8 JAX 0 5 12 11 10 10.5 16 54.0 Cardinals 4.0 LAR 5 0 8 4 30 3 4 46.0 Giants 4.8 GB 5 0 6 19 1 9 6 39.0 Dolphins 0.9 PHI 5 0 3 18 11 1 1 36.0 Texans 14.1 NE 5 0 11 2 4 7 7 32.0 Falcons 10.2 NO 5 0 2 10 6 4 5 23.0 Raiders 29.7 KC 0 5 1 6 3 6 2

Defenses on Bye Week: NONE!

Optimum Score: 170

Minimum Score: 5

Early DST Rankings for Playoffs

I ran the numbers through the Stream-O for the next three weeks (minus Vegas odds) to retrieve rankings for the playoffs. I then averaged the rankings and sorted descending to see which defenses had the best three-game stretches. (Forgive the informal Excel table.) Enjoy!

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