Update: Follow along here as Mark chases the storm and shares live updates



Today still has a relatively high chance of severe weather across Lower Michigan. This includes damaging winds, large hail and even a tornado.

The graphics above were just released from the Storm Prediction Center.

Right now it looks like severe weather will come at Lower Michigan in two rounds. The first round should move into western Lower Michigan early this afternoon and move east to eastern Lower Michigan by late afternoon. This is the severe complex of storms hitting Iowa and Minnesota early this morning.

Here is an updated radar loop:

This thunderstorm complex should weaken some over the next few hours, and then possibly re-strengthen in the afternoon as it moves into Michigan. This storm complex has produced wind damage, flash flooding and especially large hail to our west. This complex of storms seems like it wants to track from Muskegon early afternoon straight east to the Saginaw and Bay City area by late afternoon. We will track this storm together.

Second round more widespread

The second round of storms is expected to be a more widespread line of storms that will sweep across Lower Michigan this evening and overnight. This line of storms comes with the most dynamics or energy. So it will likely be more severe than the afternoon storms. The Storm Prediction Center thinks the second round will be a line of storms with embedded individual supercells. The supercell thunderstorms are the storms that could produce a tornado.

Here's the scoop:

Get ready for a stormy afternoon or more likely evening. All severe weather will be isolated in nature compared to the big expanse of Michigan. Damaging winds more than 65 mph are possible. The black-hatched area in the above graphics show where the 75 mph winds are more likely. Large hail could be a real likelihood. Park the good car in your garage when you get home from work. There is plenty of shear for isolated tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center says even an isolated strong tornado is possible in Lower Michigan.

My plans

I'm heading to the Lake Michigan shore to be there around 1 p.m. I'll follow the first wave of storms east, posting all updates. This way you should know what is heading your way. Then I'll probably turn around and go back west, and wait for the second line of storms.

If you have any questions or pertinent weather information, please post below.

And watch for updates all day from all of us at MLive.

MLive Chief Meteorologist Mark Torregrossa has been forecasting Michigan weather for more than 25 years. He's been chief meteorologist at three television news stations in Michigan, and he's an avid gardener and hunter. Email him at mtorregr@mlive.com and find him on Facebook at facebook.com/mark.torregrossa and Twitter @weathermanmark