White House 2004 : Democratic Nomination

All data are from nationwide surveys of Americans 18 & older. See also:

Political figures Polls listed chronologically. . . CBS News Poll. Feb. 24-27, 2004. N=546 likely Democratic primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 4. . "Who would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate as its presidential candidate in 2004: [see below] , or someone else?" Names rotated . 2/24-27/04 2/12-15/04 . % % . Kerry 57 53 . Edwards 18 7 . Sharpton 4 4 . Kucinich 1 1 . Other (vol.) 8 12 . Don't know 12 15 . Dean n/a 8 . . 1/12-15/04 12/21-22/03 12/14-16/03 11/10-13/03 . % % % % . Dean 24 16 23 14 . Clark 12 10 10 9 . Gephardt 11 9 6 12 . Kerry 7 4 4 7 . Edwards 5 5 2 2 . Lieberman 5 6 10 9 . Braun 4 6 1 4 . Sharpton 3 2 5 3 . Kucinich 1 2 1 2 . Other (vol.) 13 16 10 15 . Don't know 15 24 28 23 . Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Feb. 19-20, 2004. N=391 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ± 6. . "Which of the following four Democrats would you MOST like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's presidential candidate this year?" Names rotated % . John Kerry 54 . John Edwards 19 . Al Sharpton 4 . Dennis Kucinich 2 . Howard Dean (vol.) 3 . None (vol.) 2 . Don't know 16 . . "If the Democratic presidential race comes down to a choice between John Kerry and John Edwards, which would you rather see as the party's candidate this fall?" Names rotated % . John Kerry 63 . John Edwards 26 . Neither (vol.) 2 . Don't know 9 . FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Feb. 18-19, 2004. N=345 registered Democrats nationwide . . "If a 2004 Democratic primary for president were held today, which ONE of the following candidates would you most likely vote for? " If "Not sure," ask: " Well, to whom do you lean at this time?" Names rotated 2/18-19 2/4-5 1/21-22 1/7-8 11/18-19 % % % % % John Kerry 58 54 29 7 8 John Edwards 21 12 13 4 3 Someone else/Other (vol.) 2 2 3 5 6 Wouldn't vote (vol.)/Not sure 19 12 17 27 25 Wesley Clark n/a 8 11 13 14 Howard Dean n/a 7 17 20 18 Al Sharpton n/a 5 3 2 2 Dennis Kucinich n/a - 1 3 2 Joe Lieberman n/a n/a 5 8 10 Dick Gephardt n/a n/a n/a 7 9 Carol Moseley Braun n/a n/a n/a 4 3 . 10/14-15 9/23-24 9/9-10 % % % John Kerry 10 10 17 Howard Dean 12 13 14 John Edwards 3 5 4 Wesley Clark 13 20 n/a Joe Lieberman 11 9 16 Al Sharpton 2 2 2 Dennis Kucinich 2 1 2 Someone else/Other (vol.) - 5 7 Wouldn't vote (vol.)/Not sure 35 21 26 Dick Gephardt 9 9 6 Carol Moseley Braun 3 2 3 Bob Graham n/a 2 3 . 8/12-13 6/17-18 5/6-7 2/25-26 1/14-15 % % % % % Howard Dean 11 4 5 4 2 Joe Lieberman 18 15 19 15 29 John Kerry 13 15 12 10 13 Dick Gephardt 12 7 14 16 15 Carol Moseley Braun 4 3 2 5 n/a John Edwards 3 5 5 6 8 Dennis Kucinich 2 2 1 2 n/a Al Sharpton 5 2 5 4 5 Bob Graham 2 5 4 n/a n/a Someone else/Other (vol.) 5 8 3 5 8 Wouldn't vote (vol.)/Not sure 25 34 30 33 20 CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Feb. 16-17, 2004. N=426 Democrats and Democratic leaners nationwide who are registered to vote. MoE ± 5. . "Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Democratic primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2004. . . ." Names rotated . 2/16-17 . % . John Kerry 65 . John Edwards 19 . Howard Dean 8 . Dennis Kucinich 2 . Al Sharpton - . Other/None/No opinion 6 . . 2/6-8 1/29 - 2/1 1/9-11 1/2-5 12/15-16 % % % % % John Kerry 52 49 9 11 7 Howard Dean 14 14 26 24 27 John Edwards 13 13 7 6 6 Wesley Clark 10 9 20 20 12 Al Sharpton 4 3 3 2 6 Dennis Kucinich 1 2 1 2 2 Other/None/No opinion 6 5 14 15 18 Joe Lieberman n/a 5 9 10 12 Dick Gephardt n/a n/a 7 9 7 Carol Moseley Braun n/a n/a 4 3 3 . 12/11-14 12/5-7 11/14-16 11/10-12 10/24-26 % % % % % Howard Dean 31 25 17 17 16 Wesley Clark 10 17 17 14 15 Joe Lieberman 13 10 13 15 12 John Kerry 10 7 9 10 10 Dick Gephardt 8 14 13 12 12 John Edwards 4 7 6 7 6 Carol Moseley Braun 3 5 4 4 4 Al Sharpton 5 3 5 3 6 Dennis Kucinich 1 2 3 3 1 Other/None/No opinion 15 10 13 15 18 . 10/10-12 10/6-8 9/19-21 9/8-10 8/25-26 % % % % % Howard Dean 13 16 13 14 12 Wesley Clark 18 21 22 10 2 Joe Lieberman 13 13 10 13 23 John Kerry 11 13 11 12 10 Dick Gephardt 10 8 11 16 13 John Edwards 6 2 4 5 5 Carol Moseley Braun 5 4 3 4 5 Al Sharpton 6 6 4 2 4 Dennis Kucinich 3 2 2 2 1 Other/None/No opinion 15 15 16 17 21 Bob Graham n/a n/a 4 5 4 University of Connecticut Poll. Feb. 12-16, 2004. N=474 registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or lean Democratic. MoE ± 4.5. . "Three main candidates for the Democratic presidential nomination are still in the race. Who would you like to see get the nomination for president -- would you say [see below]?" . % John Kerry 64 John Edwards 16 Howard Dean 8 Other (vol.) 1 Don't know 11 Time/CNN Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. Feb. 5-6, 2004. N=377 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ± 5. . "Thinking ahead to the 2004 presidential election, if you were asked to vote for a Democratic presidential nominee for president today, which of the following Democrats would you vote for? . . ." 2/5-6/04 1/14-15/04 12/30/03

& 1/1/04 11/18-19/03 % % % % John Kerry 43 9 10 9 John Edwards 18 9 5 5 Wesley Clark 11 14 8 12 Howard Dean 8 19 22 14 Al Sharpton 6 6 6 5 Dennis Kucinich 5 2 5 2 Other 1 2 3 9 Not sure 8 17 23 23 Joseph Lieberman n/a 9 9 11 Dick Gephardt n/a 8 7 6 Carol Moseley Braun n/a 5 2 4 . 9/3-4/03 7/16-17/03 5/21-22/03 2/19-20/03 1/15-16/03 % % % % % John Kerry 16 14 14 8 11 John Edwards 7 6 7 7 12 Howard Dean 11 10 4 3 3 Al Sharpton 5 5 8 7 2 Dennis Kucinich 3 3 2 2 n/a Other 9 3 1 7 11 Not sure 21 23 30 30 27 Joseph Lieberman 13 16 13 16 21 Dick Gephardt 7 12 13 13 10 Carol Moseley Braun 4 4 3 4 n/a Bob Graham 4 4 5 3 3 Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Feb. 5-6, 2004. N=383 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ± 5. . "Now I'm going to name six Democrats in the race for president. After I read you their names, tell me which ONE you would most like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's presidential candidate this year. Here are the choices . . . ." Names rotated 2/5-6 1/29-30 1/22-23 1/8-9 12/18-19 % % % % % John Kerry 48 45 30 11 6 Howard Dean 13 14 12 24 26 John Edwards 10 11 13 3 5 Wesley Clark 9 5 12 12 15 Al Sharpton 4 2 6 5 7 Dennis Kucinich 1 1 3 3 1 Other (vol.) 0 - - 1 2 None (vol.) 1 2 3 3 5 Don't know 14 15 14 15 20 Joe Lieberman n/a 5 7 7 7 Dick Gephardt n/a n/a n/a 12 5 Carol Moseley Braun n/a n/a n/a 4 1 . 12/11-12 11/6-7 10/30-31 10/23-24 10/9-10 % % % % % John Kerry 5 7 11 8 11 Howard Dean 24 16 13 15 10 John Edwards 5 6 3 5 6 Wesley Clark 12 15 13 12 15 Al Sharpton 5 4 8 8 5 Dennis Kucinich 2 2 3 2 1 Other (vol.) 3 1 4 1 1 None (vol.) 5 4 3 3 5 Don't know 14 21 20 22 20 Joe Lieberman 12 8 9 10 13 Dick Gephardt 10 9 9 8 8 Carol Moseley Braun 3 7 4 6 5 . 9 /25-26 9 /18-19 7/03 1/03 % % % % John Kerry 10 12 10 13 Howard Dean 12 12 12 4 John Edwards 6 7 6 14 Wesley Clark 16 14 n/a n/a Al Sharpton 4 2 6 6 Dennis Kucinich 2 2 2 n/a Other (vol.) 2 1 1 1 None (vol.) 5 3 3 4 Don't know 20 19 23 13 Joe Lieberman 9 8 13 22 Dick Gephardt 10 10 14 13 Carol Moseley Braun 2 6 3 n/a Bob Graham 2 4 7 5 Gary Hart n/a n/a n/a 5 Quinnipiac University Poll. Jan. 28-31, 2004. N=420 Democratic voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.8. . "Now I'm going to name seven Democrats running for president this year. After I read all seven names, tell me which one you would most like to see the Democrats nominate for president this year. Here are the choices . . . ." 1/28-31 1/21-25 12/4-8 10/23-27 % % % % John Kerry 42 30 8 10 Howard Dean 11 17 22 13 John Edwards 10 14 5 8 Wesley Clark 10 14 12 17 Joe Lieberman 6 8 13 13 Al Sharpton 5 4 8 5 Dennis Kucinich 1 1 2 3 Don't know 14 12 18 17 Dick Gephardt n/a n/a 9 12 Carol Moseley Braun n/a n/a 3 3 . 9/11-15 7/17-22 6/4-9 . % % % . John Kerry 13 13 15 Howard Dean 14 10 5 John Edwards 7 4 5 Joe Lieberman 14 21 22 Al Sharpton 4 6 5 Dennis Kucinich 2 2 1 Don't know 21 21 21 Dick Gephardt 13 16 17 Carol Moseley Braun 7 4 4 Bob Graham 4 3 6 . "If you had to choose, would you rather see the Democrats nominate Howard Dean or John Kerry for president this year?" Kerry Dean Unsure % % % 1/28-31/04 64 23 13 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Robert Teeter (R). Jan. 10-12, 2004. Asked of Democrats, and non-Democrats who said they would vote in a Democratic presidential primary (from a total sample of 1,002 adults nationwide). . "Let me mention some people who might seek the Democratic nomination for president in 2004. If the next Democratic primary for president were being held today, for which one of the following candidates would you vote: [see below]?" If "Not sure," ask: "Well, which way do you lean?" 1/10-12 12/14 12/13 11/ 8-10 9/03 % % % % % Howard Dean 24 25 29 15 17 Wesley Clark 19 11 10 17 16 Joe Lieberman 12 9 7 11 16 Richard Gephardt 11 11 12 12 8 John Kerry 7 5 6 11 11 John Edwards 5 3 5 5 4 Al Sharpton 5 2 6 4 3 Carol Moseley Braun 3 2 3 3 1 Dennis Kucinich 2 4 2 3 2 None (vol.) 3 5 4 6 4 Other (vol.) 1 1 - 1 1 Not sure 9 21 16 12 14 Bob Graham n/a n/a n/a n/a 2 . 7/03 5/03 4/03 1/03 % % % % Howard Dean 12 3 3 3 Richard Gephardt 11 16 14 17 Joe Lieberman 25 21 19 25 John Kerry 14 17 13 14 Dennis Kucinich 2 1 n/a n/a John Edwards 4 5 4 7 Carol Moseley Braun 5 4 4 n/a Al Sharpton 3 2 2 2 None (vol.) 7 6 14 5 Other (vol.) - 1 1 1 Not sure 14 21 23 20 Bob Graham 4 4 3 6 Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates . Jan. 6-11, 2004 . N=415 likely Democratic primary/caucus voters nationwide . MoE ± 5: . " I am going to read you the names of some possible candidates for the Democratic nomination for president in 2004. After I read all the names, please tell me which one you would most like to see nominated as the Democratic Party ' s candidate for president . . . ." Names rotated. If " None" or " Don’t know": " Well as of today, to whom do you most lean? "

Nov.-Dec. 2003 wording: " Which one of the following Democratic candidates would be your first choice for president: [see below]? " If "Don’t know": "Just as of today, would you say you LEAN toward [see below]? " . 1/6-11/04 12/19/03-

1/4/04 11/18-

12/1/03 % % % Howard Dean 26 27 15 Wesley Clark 14 10 15 Joe Lieberman 13 13 12 Richard Gephardt 9 10 12 John Kerry 8 7 6 Al Sharpton 5 5 5 John Edwards 4 6 5 Carol Moseley Braun 3 3 4 Dennis Kucinich 1 2 2 Other (vol.) 1 1 1 Don't know/No answer 16 16 23 Associated Press poll conducted by Ipsos-Public Affairs. Jan. 5-7, 2004. N=241 likely Democratic presidential primary/caucus voters nationwide. MoE ± 6.4. . " It is early, but if you had to choose today, which ONE of the following nine candidates would you be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president? . . ." 1/5-7/04 11/18-20 &

12/1-3/03 % % Howard Dean 30 18 Wesley Clark 17 14 Joe Lieberman 12 10 Richard Gephardt 11 14 John Edwards 6 6 John Kerry 5 13 Dennis Kucinich 2 2 Carol Moseley Braun 2 4 Al Sharpton - 4 Other/None/Not sure 15 15 Time/CNN Poll conducted by Harris Interactive. Dec. 30, 2003 & Jan. 1, 2004. N=399 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. . "After the first few primaries in previous elections, there were only a few candidates remaining in the race. Suppose this happens in 2004 and there are only two candidates left in the race for the Democratic nomination. If you had to choose, would you vote for Howard Dean or [see below]?" Dean Clark Unsure . % % % . 12/03 - 1/04 46 32 22 . . Dean Lieberman Unsure . % % % . 12/03 - 1/04 50 32 18 . . Dean Edwards Unsure . % % % . 12/03 - 1/04 53 24 23 . . Dean Gephardt Unsure . % % % . 12/03 - 1/04 53 28 19 . . Dean Kerry Unsure . % % % . 12/03 - 1/04 51 29 20 . ABC News / Washington Post Poll . Dec. 18-21 , 200 3 . Registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents (from a total sample of 1,001 adults). Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch . "If the 2004 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote ?" Names rotated 12/18-21 12/10-14 10/26-29 10/9-13 % % % % Howard Dean 31 20 17 17 Richard Gephardt 9 6 14 14 Joseph Lieberman 8 12 13 10 John Kerry 8 7 8 11 Wesley Clark 7 7 14 14 John Edwards 5 2 5 2 Al Sharpton 4 7 7 3 Carol Moseley Braun 4 3 3 4 Dennis Kucinich 2 2 2 2 Other (vol.) 1 - - - None (vol.) 5 12 5 9 Wouldn't vote (vol.) 1 2 1 1 No opinion 14 20 10 13 9/10-13 % Howard Dean 15 Richard Gephardt 14 Joseph Lieberman 21 John Kerry 14 Wesley Clark 6 John Edwards 3 Al Sharpton 5 Carol Moseley Braun 4 Dennis Kucinich 2 None (vol.) 3 Wouldn't vote (vol.) 2 No opinion 8 Bob Graham 3 The Harris Poll. Dec. 10-16, 2003. N=393 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents nationwide. . "Which of the following Democratic presidential candidates have you heard of? . . . And which one of these would you prefer to be the Democratic candidate?" Name ID Preference % % Howard Dean 76 21 Joe Lieberman 85 10 Wesley Clark 52 7 Richard Gephardt 67 7 Carol Moseley Braun 43 6 Al Sharpton 70 6 John Kerry 65 4 John Edwards 58 3 Dennis Kucinich 27 1 Not sure n/a 34 Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Dec. 11-12, 2003. N=357 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ± 6. . "As you may know, this week Al Gore endorsed Howard Dean for president. Does Gore's endorsement make you more likely or less likely to support Dean in the Democratic race for president -- or does Gore's endorsement not make much difference?" More

Likely Less

Likely Not

Much

Differ-

ence Don't

Know % % % % 12/03 35 9 48 8 Quinnipiac University Poll. Dec. 4-8, 2003. N=384 Democratic voters nationwide. MoE ± 5. . "Suppose New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decides to run for president in 2004. Who would you most like to see the Democrats nominate for president in 2004? . . ." 12/4-8 10/23-27 9/11-15 7/17-22 6/4-9 % % % % % Hillary Rodham Clinton 43 43 45 48 40 Howard Dean 14 7 9 4 3 Wesley Clark 9 10 n/a n/a n/a Joe Lieberman 7 8 6 11 16 Dick Gephardt 5 8 6 7 10 John Kerry 5 7 8 7 8 John Edwards 3 5 4 3 2 Al Sharpton 3 1 1 1 1 Carol Moseley Braun 1 1 2 2 1 Dennis Kucinich 1 1 2 2 1 Don't know 10 10 14 12 12 Bob Graham n/a n/a 2 3 4 Associated Press poll conducted by Ipsos-Public Affairs. Nov. 18-20 & Dec. 1-3, 2003. N=539 likely Democratic presidential primary/caucus voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.3. . " It is early, but if you had to choose today, which ONE of the following nine candidates would you be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president? . . ." % Howard Dean 18 Wesley Clark 14 Richard Gephardt 14 John Kerry 13 Joe Lieberman 10 John Edwards 6 Al Sharpton 4 Carol Moseley Braun 4 Dennis Kucinich 2 Other/None/Not sure 15 . Asked of those who made a choice and did not volunteer Hillary Rodham Clinton: " If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decided to seek the Democratic nomination for president, would you continue to support [response from question above] or would you prefer to support Hillary Rodham Clinton?"

Asked of those who did not have an initial preference: "If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decided to seek the Democratic nomination for president, would she be your first choice for the nomination?" Recalculated preference: % Hillary Rodham Clinton 41 Howard Dean 9 Wesley Clark 9 Richard Gephardt 8 John Kerry 8 Joe Lieberman 5 John Edwards 2 Dennis Kucinich 1 Al Sharpton 1 Carol Moseley Braun 1 Other/None/Not sure 15 Ipsos-Reid/Cook Political Report Poll. Nov. 4-6 & 18-20, 2003. N=527 likely Democratic presidential primary/caucus voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.4. . " It is early, but if you had to choose today, which ONE of the following nine candidates would you be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president? . . ." 11/03 9/16-18 9/2-4 7/ 22-24 5/03 % % % % % Howard Dean 20 15 14 12 7 Wesley Clark 16 13 n/a n/a n/a Richard Gephardt 14 9 15 14 14 Joe Lieberman 12 9 13 14 18 John Kerry 10 12 20 20 15 John Edwards 5 9 5 6 9 Dennis Kucinich 4 n/a n/a n/a n/a Al Sharpton 3 7 4 3 5 Carol Moseley Braun 3 1 3 3 3 Hillary Rodham Clinton (vol.) 1 - 2 2 3 Other/None/Not sure 12 21 23 23 18 Bob Graham n/a 4 3 3 8 . 4/03 2/03 % % Howard Dean 6 4 Wesley Clark n/a n/a Richard Gephardt 14 15 Joe Lieberman 14 18 John Kerry 19 18 John Edwards 10 10 Dennis Kucinich n/a n/a Al Sharpton 4 5 Carol Moseley Braun 4 3 Hillary Rodham Clinton (vol.) 1 2 Other/None/Not sure 22 20 Bob Graham 6 5 . Asked of those who made a choice and did not volunteer Hillary Rodham Clinton: " If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decided to seek the Democratic nomination for president, would you continue to support [response from question above] or would you prefer to support Hillary Rodham Clinton?"

Asked of those who did not have an initial preference: "If New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decided to seek the Democratic nomination for president, would she be your first choice for the nomination?" Recalculated preference: 11/03 9/16-18 9/2-4 7/ 22-24 5/03 % % % % % Hillary Rodham Clinton 41 38 42 40 38 Howard Dean 11 8 7 9 4 Wesley Clark 11 10 n/a n/a n/a Richard Gephardt 7 5 7 8 8 John Kerry 6 8 9 11 10 Joe Lieberman 6 5 8 7 10 John Edwards 3 5 3 2 6 Dennis Kucinich 3 n/a n/a n/a n/a Al Sharpton 1 2 2 - 2 Carol Moseley Braun - - 2 1 1 Other/None/Not sure 11 18 18 21 16 Bob Graham n/a 1 2 1 5 . 4/03 2/03 % % Hillary Rodham Clinton 41 40 Howard Dean 3 2 Wesley Clark n/a n/a Richard Gephardt 7 7 John Kerry 13 11 Joe Lieberman 6 11 John Edwards 6 6 Dennis Kucinich n/a n/a Al Sharpton 2 2 Carol Moseley Braun 1 2 Other/None/Not sure 17 17 Bob Graham 4 2 The Los Angeles Times Poll. Nov. 15-18, 2003. N=662 Democratic primary and caucus voters nationwide. MoE ± 4 (total sample). . "If the presidential primary or caucus were being held in your state today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated ALL Men Women % % % Howard Dean 12 13 12 Wesley Clark 11 14 9 Joe Lieberman 11 14 9 Dick Gephardt 10 4 14 John Kerry 7 10 5 Carol Moseley Braun 4 2 5 John Edwards 3 2 4 Al Sharpton 3 4 2 Dennis Kucinich 1 1 1 Someone else (vol.) 1 1 - Don't know 37 35 39 CBS News Poll. Nov. 10-13, 2003. N=376 likely Democratic primary voters nationwide. . "From what you have heard or read, can you name any of the candidates running for the 2004 Democratic nomination for president?" If “Yes”: "Who is the first one who comes to mind?" . % Yes, can name a candidate 55 Howard Dean 21 Wesley Clark 9 John Kerry 9 Richard Gephardt 4 Joe Lieberman 2 John Edwards 2 Dennis Kucinich 2 Al Sharpton 2 Carol Moseley Braun 1 Hillary Clinton 1 Other 2 No, can't name a candidate 45 Zogby America Poll. Nov. 3-5, 2003 . N = 558 likely Democratic voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.2 . . ". . . If the Democratic primary for president were held today and the candidates were [see below] , for whom would you vote? " 11/3-5 10/15-18 9/22-24 9/3-5 % % % % Howard Dean 15 12 12 16 Wesley Clark 10 10 12 3 Dick Gephardt 9 5 6 8 Joe Lieberman 9 8 5 12 John Kerry 7 9 7 13 Al Sharpton 4 3 4 2 John Edwards 3 3 2 3 Dennis Kucinich 2 1 1 1 Carol Moseley Braun 2 5 4 2 Other 6 6 3 3 Not sure 34 38 43 38 Bob Graham n/a n/a 1 - . 7/16-17 3/5-7 1/24-26 % % % Howard Dean 12 4 2 Joe Lieberman 12 18 21 Dick Gephardt 12 11 9 John Kerry 9 9 10 Al Sharpton 4 4 6 John Edwards 3 4 7 Carol Moseley Braun 2 1 n/a Dennis Kucinich 2 1 n/a Bob Graham 1 1 1 Other 6 7 5 Not sure 39 37 33 Wesley Clark n/a - - Gary Hart n/a 3 6 Marist College Poll. Oct. 27-29 , 200 3 . N=339 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents nationwide. MoE ± 5.5. . "If the next Democratic presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are . . . ?" 10/03 4/03 2/03 1/03 10 /02 % % % % % Howard Dean 16 3 - 1 1 Joseph Lieberman 12 17 18 20 21 Richard Gephardt 10 13 8 9 18 John Kerry 9 10 14 14 6 Wesley Clark 8 n/a n/a n/a n/a Al Sharpton 5 4 5 3 3 John Edwards 4 5 4 7 3 Carol Moseley Braun 3 3 n/a n/a n/a Dennis Kucinich 1 1 n/a n/a n/a Undecided 32 39 42 35 38 Bob Graham n/a 2 3 6 n/a Gary Hart n/a 3 6 5 n/a Tom Daschle n/a n/a n/a n/a 10 CBS New s/New York Times Poll . Sept. 28-Oct. 1 , 2003 . N=353 Democratic primary voters nationwide . MoE ± 5 (total sample). . (A) "Who would you like to see the Democratic party nominate as its presidential candidate in 2004: Howard Dean, John Edwards, Richard Gephardt, Bob Graham, John Kerry, Dennis Kucinich, Joe Lieberman, Carol Moseley Braun, Al Sharpton, or someone else?" Names rotated. Half-sample (Form A)



(B) "Who would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate as its presidential candidate in 2004: General Wesley Clark, Dr. Howard Dean, Senator John Edwards, Congressman Richard Gephardt, Senator Bob Graham, Senator John Kerry, Congressman Dennis Kucinich, Senator Joe Lieberman, former Senator Carol Moseley Braun, Reverend Al Sharpton, or someone else?" Names rotated. Half-sample (Form B). . (A)

Names

Alone (B)

Names &

Titles Combined

Results % % % Wesley Clark 14 10 12 Richard Gephardt 5 15 10 Howard Dean 9 9 9 Joe Lieberman 5 13 9 John Kerry 4 11 8 Carol Moseley Braun 7 1 4 Al Sharpton 3 4 3 Bob Graham 3 3 3 John Edwards 1 3 2 Dennis Kucinich 1 1 1 Other (vol.) 27 10 18 Don't know 21 20 21 Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates. Sept. 18-19, 2003. N=377 registered Democrats and independents who lean Democratic nationwide. MoE ± 6. . "Now I'm going to name 10 Democrats in the race for president. After I read you their names, tell me which ONE you would most like to see nominated as the Democratic Party's presidential candidate in 2004. Here are the choices [see below]. . . . Al Gore and Hillary Clinton have both said they will NOT run for president in 2004. If they were both in the race NOW, would either Al Gore or Hillary Clinton be your FIRST CHOICE for the Democratic presidential nomination, or would you prefer another candidate?" If "Yes," probe: "Which one: Al Gore or Hillary Clinton?" . Nomination preferences, factoring in Gore and Clinton support: % Hillary Clinton 33 Al Gore 28 Wesley Clark 7 Howard Dean 7 Joe Lieberman 5 John Kerry 5 John Edwards 2 Bob Graham 2 Dick Gephardt 1 Al Sharpton 1 Dennis Kucinich 1 Carol Moseley Braun - None (vol.) 1 Don't know 7 Quinnipiac University Poll. Sept. 11-15, 2003. N=466 Democratic voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.5. . "Would you like to see Al Gore run for the Democratic nomination for president in 2004 or not?" Yes No Don't

Know . % % % . 9/03 43 53 4 . ABC News Poll . Sept. 10-13 , 200 3 . Registered voters nationwide who are Democrats or Democratic-leaning independents. Fieldwork by TNS Intersearch . . "If the 2004 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote ?" Names rotated ALL Likely

Voters . % % . Joseph Lieberman 21 19 Howard Dean 15 20 John Kerry 14 19 Richard Gephardt 14 15 Wesley Clark 6 6 Al Sharpton 5 5 Carol Moseley Braun 4 4 John Edwards 3 4 Bob Graham 3 4 Dennis Kucinich 2 3 None (vol.) 3 0 Wouldn't vote (vol.) 2 0 No opinion 8 - Earlier polling on the Democratic nomination