The Broncos and Jaguars have been dethroned this week at their respective posts at the top and bottom of the rankings. Who takes their place?

Yes, I missed the rankings last week. I won't go into too much detail but I'll tell you that planning for and executing a child's first birthday is way more work than you could ever imagine if you never did it before. Now that that's behind me, I have time again to be able to compile these lists.

With that out of the way, how have things changed in the last two weeks? Well, for starters, the Broncos lost again and the Jaguars won again. You know who else lost this week? Kansas City. *snickering* That makes 2 in a row for the vaunted Chiefs, and with Denver coming up again, they're looking at the possibility of a 3-game losing streak. Are Kansas City's struggles reflected in the rankings? Yes and no. I'll explain as we go on.

Division Averages

Division Week 13 Average Week 11 Average Difference NFC West 8.5119 11.0000 2.4881 AFC West 13.4524 12.6375 -0.8149 NFC South 14.7381 16.8375 2.0994 AFC North 17.5000 18.2750 0.775 AFC East 18.0476 17.7125 -0.3351 NFC East 18.2262 18.3125 0.0863 NFC North 18.5952 15.1375 -3.4577 AFC South 22.9286 22.0875 -0.8411

Wow, the NFC West has a divisional average of 8.5. That's one strong division. The next nearest — the once–dominant AFC West — is almost 5 spots away from them.

Stock Rising

Team Week 11 Average Week 13 Average Difference PIT 24.828 18.417 6.411 TB 29.232 23.292 5.940 ARI 14.045 9.056 4.989 STL 20.828 16.653 4.175 CIN 10.192 7.514 2.678

Stock Falling

Team Week 11 Average Week 13 Average Difference NYJ 18.778 24.361 -5.583 DET 8.621 14.042 -5.421 CLE 20.540 25.639 -5.099 GB 11.909 16.611 -4.702 HOU 26.071 30.556 -4.485

As you can see, the rising and falling charts are comparing the rankings from two weeks ago.

Subjective Average

Subjective Seahawks 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1.000 1.182 Saints 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 2.250 2.114 Broncos 3 5 4 3 5 5 3 3 2 2 4 2 3.417 -1.417 Patriots 4 4 3 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 3 4 4.167 0.560 Panthers 5 3 5 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 4.167 2.197 Chiefs 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 7 6.333 -4.333 Bengals 8 6 7 7 8 7 8 6 6 8 8 8 7.250 3.023 49ers 7 8 8 8 7 8 7 8 9 7 7 6 7.500 0.227 Cardinals 9 10 9 9 10 9 9 9 8 9 9 12 9.333 5.758 Colts 10 11 10 12 12 13 10 10 11 10 10 10 10.750 -2.932 Eagles 11 9 11 13 9 11 13 12 14 13 11 11 11.500 3.864 Cowboys 12 12 12 10 11 10 12 11 15 12 12 13 11.833 2.894 Lions 13 14 13 11 17 14 11 13 10 11 13 9 12.417 -4.508 Bears 14 15 15 14 18 17 14 14 18 14 14 14 15.083 -3.083 Chargers 15 16 14 16 19 15 17 17 13 15 17 16 15.833 0.531 Packers 17 21 17 15 15 12 16 15 23 17 15 17 16.667 -3.849 Ravens 18 18 18 18 16 20 18 16 12 16 19 15 17.000 0.091 Steelers 16 13 19 19 14 19 20 18 20 20 18 18 17.833 6.713 Rams 19 17 21 17 13 16 22 20 17 19 16 20 18.083 3.463 Titans 20 19 16 20 20 18 19 19 19 21 21 21 19.417 1.310 Dolphins 21 22 20 21 24 22 15 21 16 18 20 19 19.917 0.992 Giants 23 23 23 22 22 23 23 22 22 22 22 22 22.417 -0.235 Jets 22 20 22 24 25 21 21 23 27 23 23 23 22.833 -8.833 Bills 24 24 25 23 23 24 26 26 24 24 24 25 24.333 2.758 Browns 25 30 24 25 26 25 24 25 21 25 26 26 25.167 -5.531 Buccaneers 27 25 27 26 21 26 27 24 25 26 25 24 25.250 5.659 Raiders 26 27 26 27 27 27 25 27 26 27 27 27 26.583 0.508 Vikings 28 26 29 29 28 28 29 28 29 29 29 29 28.417 0.129 Redskins 29 28 28 28 30 29 28 29 28 28 28 28 28.417 -4.690 Falcons 30 29 31 30 31 31 31 30 30 30 31 30 30.333 -1.333 Jaguars 31 31 30 31 29 30 30 31 31 31 30 31 30.500 1.409 Texans 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32.000 -4.636

Observations:

The Chargers had an impressive win this week over the Chiefs. Why didn't they rise more? Well, these numbers are compared to two weeks ago. The Chargers had fallen last week and rose again this week. Also, allowing Kansas City's pedestrian offense to put up 38 points tends to temper excitement about your team.

Seattle is now a unanimous top pick. The Saints were near unanimous at number 2.

Denver is still ranked above New England, despite Sunday's result.

Are the Panthers a top-5 team? Survey says: yes.

Poor Houston. After beginning the season as a favorite to make the Super Bowl, the mighty Texans are now a unanimous bottom pick.

Subjective Standard Deviation

Subjective Seahawks 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.000 -0.575 Texans 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 0.000 -2.532 Saints 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 0.433 -0.635 Chiefs 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 7 0.471 -0.574 Giants 23 23 23 22 22 23 23 22 22 22 22 22 0.493 -1.912 Falcons 30 29 31 30 31 31 31 30 30 30 31 30 0.624 -0.504 Redskins 29 28 28 28 30 29 28 29 28 28 28 28 0.640 -0.496 Raiders 26 27 26 27 27 27 25 27 26 27 27 27 0.640 -1.090 Jaguars 31 31 30 31 29 30 30 31 31 31 30 31 0.646 0.358 Panthers 5 3 5 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 0.687 -0.463 49ers 7 8 8 8 7 8 7 8 9 7 7 6 0.764 -0.098 Patriots 4 4 3 5 3 4 5 5 5 5 3 4 0.799 0.182 Bengals 8 6 7 7 8 7 8 6 6 8 8 8 0.829 -0.133 Vikings 28 26 29 29 28 28 29 28 29 29 29 29 0.862 -0.915 Cardinals 9 10 9 9 10 9 9 9 8 9 9 12 0.943 -1.166 Bills 24 24 25 23 23 24 26 26 24 24 24 25 0.943 0.043 Colts 10 11 10 12 12 13 10 10 11 10 10 10 1.010 -0.182 Broncos 3 5 4 3 5 5 3 3 2 2 4 2 1.115 0.070 Cowboys 12 12 12 10 11 10 12 11 15 12 12 13 1.280 -0.898 Titans 20 19 16 20 20 18 19 19 19 21 21 21 1.382 -0.161 Eagles 11 9 11 13 9 11 13 12 14 13 11 11 1.500 -0.557 Chargers 15 16 14 16 19 15 17 17 13 15 17 16 1.518 -0.749 Bears 14 15 15 14 18 17 14 14 18 14 14 14 1.552 -0.206 Buccaneers 27 25 27 26 21 26 27 24 25 26 25 24 1.639 1.125 Jets 22 20 22 24 25 21 21 23 27 23 23 23 1.818 -0.356 Browns 25 30 24 25 26 25 24 25 21 25 26 26 1.951 -0.617 Ravens 18 18 18 18 16 20 18 16 12 16 19 15 2.041 -0.704 Lions 13 14 13 11 17 14 11 13 10 11 13 9 2.060 0.977 Steelers 16 13 19 19 14 19 20 18 20 20 18 18 2.230 0.793 Rams 19 17 21 17 13 16 22 20 17 19 16 20 2.431 0.200 Dolphins 21 22 20 21 24 22 15 21 16 18 20 19 2.465 -0.247 Packers 17 21 17 15 15 12 16 15 23 17 15 17 2.779 1.194

Observations:

Unanimous agreement at the top and bottom of the rankings.

Saints are pretty comfortable at number 2, as are the Chiefs at ~6 and Giants at ~22.

No surprise here: Miami is one of the most inconsistently-ranked teams.

Green Bay, however takes the crown this week.

Objective Average

Objective Seahawks 1 2 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 1.444 0.445 Saints 4 1 3 4 6 4 2 4 2 3.333 0.889 Broncos 2 3 4 2 5 3 5 2 4 3.333 -1.000 Panthers 3 10 2 3 7 2 3 3 3 4.000 0.778 49ers 6 6 6 5 9 5 8 5 5 6.111 -0.222 Patriots 5 9 7 7 2 6 7 7 6 6.222 0.889 Bengals 7 5 12 10 1 8 6 12 9 7.778 2.333 Chiefs 9 21 11 6 8 7 4 6 7 8.778 -3.334 Cardinals 11 8 5 9 11 9 10 8 8 8.778 4.222 Eagles 10 4 13 13 12 13 9 11 15 11.111 1.000 Colts 17 18 10 11 3 12 15 10 10 11.778 1.444 Cowboys 12 22 8 8 10 10 17 9 11 11.889 0.444 Rams 14 30 9 14 15 11 19 13 12 15.222 4.889 Lions 18 11 20 16 14 18 14 17 13 15.667 -6.334 Chargers 19 13 14 12 22 14 18 14 19 16.111 2.000 Bears 8 17 21 20 16 20 13 16 14 16.111 -3.778 Packers 13 7 25 19 23 16 11 19 16 16.556 -5.556 Titans 22 23 19 18 13 19 12 18 20 18.222 0.778 Dolphins 21 16 17 17 21 15 22 20 17 18.444 1.667 Steelers 15 15 16 21 18 23 20 22 21 19.000 6.111 Ravens 23 28 22 15 27 17 16 21 18 20.778 -2.445 Giants 26 12 18 22 20 25 28 15 23 21.000 1.111 Buccaneers 16 29 15 24 19 21 21 23 24 21.333 6.223 Bills 20 19 23 23 29 22 23 25 22 22.889 2.222 Jets 25 26 24 30 17 31 29 26 25 25.889 -2.333 Browns 28 14 31 27 28 26 26 29 26 26.111 -4.667 Falcons 24 24 26 25 25 24 31 30 27 26.222 0.556 Redskins 29 27 28 29 26 27 24 27 28 27.222 -3.889 Raiders 31 31 29 26 24 29 27 24 29 27.778 0.666 Vikings 27 25 30 28 30 28 30 28 30 28.444 -1.444 Texans 30 20 32 31 32 30 25 31 31 29.111 -4.333 Jaguars 32 32 27 32 31 32 32 32 32 31.333 0.667

Observations:

Much like the Subjective list, the Objective list is in agreement that the Seahawks are the best.

Yes, the Panthers are that good.

The Chiefs slip to about a ranking around 8th, which is close to where they've been most the season. They're a good team, yes. But not the best team in the NFL.

Chargers are right around the middle again. If only the defense wasn't historically bad.

Despite their recent 2-1 record, Jaguars still holding things down in the bottom.

Objective Standard Deviation

Objective Seahawks 1 2 1 1 4 1 1 1 1 0.956 -0.038 Broncos 2 3 4 2 5 3 5 2 4 1.155 -0.336 49ers 6 6 6 5 9 5 8 5 5 1.370 0.495 Saints 4 1 3 4 6 4 2 4 2 1.414 0.281 Redskins 29 27 28 29 26 27 24 27 28 1.474 -2.085 Jaguars 32 32 27 32 31 32 32 32 32 1.564 1.564 Vikings 27 25 30 28 30 28 30 28 30 1.641 -1.303 Cardinals 11 8 5 9 11 9 10 8 8 1.750 -1.583 Patriots 5 9 7 7 2 6 7 7 6 1.812 -0.612 Dolphins 21 16 17 17 21 15 22 20 17 2.409 -0.906 Falcons 24 24 26 25 25 24 31 30 27 2.485 -0.335 Raiders 31 31 29 26 24 29 27 24 29 2.529 -0.304 Panthers 3 10 2 3 7 2 3 3 3 2.539 -0.820 Lions 18 11 20 16 14 18 14 17 13 2.708 0.653 Bills 20 19 23 23 29 22 23 25 22 2.726 -0.235 Steelers 15 15 16 21 18 23 20 22 21 2.906 -0.017 Eagles 10 4 13 13 12 13 9 11 15 3.035 -0.443 Chargers 19 13 14 12 22 14 18 14 19 3.247 1.278 Bengals 7 5 12 10 1 8 6 12 9 3.326 -0.769 Titans 22 23 19 18 13 19 12 18 20 3.457 -0.402 Texans 30 20 32 31 32 30 25 31 31 3.784 0.201 Bears 8 17 21 20 16 20 13 16 14 3.871 0.965 Jets 25 26 24 30 17 31 29 26 25 3.900 0.185 Buccaneers 16 29 15 24 19 21 21 23 24 4.083 0.025 Colts 17 18 10 11 3 12 15 10 10 4.263 -1.677 Cowboys 12 22 8 8 10 10 17 9 11 4.408 0.353 Ravens 23 28 22 15 27 17 16 21 18 4.417 -0.594 Browns 28 14 31 27 28 26 26 29 26 4.557 1.764 Chiefs 9 21 11 6 8 7 4 6 7 4.709 0.516 Giants 26 12 18 22 20 25 28 15 23 4.967 -1.573 Packers 13 7 25 19 23 16 11 19 16 5.377 2.588 Rams 14 30 9 14 15 11 19 13 12 5.846 1.438

Overall Average

Subj vs Obj Seahawks 1.000 1.444 1.222 0.813 Saints 2.250 3.333 2.792 1.501 Broncos 3.417 3.333 3.375 -1.208 Panthers 4.167 4.000 4.083 1.488 Patriots 4.167 6.222 5.194 0.725 49ers 7.500 6.111 6.806 0.002 Bengals 7.250 7.778 7.514 2.678 Chiefs 6.333 8.778 7.556 -3.834 Cardinals 9.333 8.778 9.056 4.989 Colts 10.750 11.778 11.264 -0.744 Eagles 11.500 11.111 11.306 2.431 Cowboys 11.833 11.889 11.861 1.669 Lions 12.417 15.667 14.042 -5.421 Bears 15.083 16.111 15.597 -3.430 Chargers 15.833 16.111 15.972 1.265 Packers 16.667 16.556 16.611 -4.702 Rams 18.083 15.222 16.653 4.175 Steelers 17.833 19.000 18.417 6.411 Titans 19.417 18.222 18.819 1.045 Ravens 17.000 20.778 18.889 -1.177 Dolphins 19.917 18.444 19.181 1.329 Giants 22.417 21.000 21.708 0.438 Buccaneers 25.250 21.333 23.292 5.940 Bills 24.333 22.889 23.611 2.490 Jets 22.833 25.889 24.361 -5.583 Browns 25.167 26.111 25.639 -5.099 Raiders 26.583 27.778 27.181 0.587 Redskins 28.417 27.222 27.819 -4.289 Falcons 30.333 26.222 28.278 -0.389 Vikings 28.417 28.444 28.431 -0.658 Texans 32.000 29.111 30.556 -4.485 Jaguars 30.500 31.333 30.917 1.038

Observations:

There's Seattle, then there's everyone else.

NFC once again is asserting their dominance. 10 of the top 16 teams are in the NFC.

Pittsburgh has quietly been putting things together and playing well again.

Overall Standard Deviation

Subj vs Obj Seahawks 1.000 1.444 0.663 -0.142 Saints 2.250 3.333 1.119 0.019 Broncos 3.417 3.333 1.133 -0.143 Jaguars 30.500 31.333 1.207 0.989 Redskins 28.417 27.222 1.231 -1.308 Vikings 28.417 28.444 1.256 -1.240 49ers 7.500 6.111 1.269 0.008 Cardinals 9.333 8.778 1.377 -1.543 Patriots 4.167 6.222 1.676 -0.388 Panthers 4.167 4.000 1.743 -0.792 Raiders 26.583 27.778 1.823 -0.567 Bills 24.333 22.889 2.050 -0.265 Bengals 7.250 7.778 2.281 -0.558 Eagles 11.500 11.111 2.296 -0.927 Chargers 15.833 16.111 2.420 0.112 Dolphins 19.917 18.444 2.548 -0.477 Titans 19.417 18.222 2.562 -0.396 Steelers 17.833 19.000 2.607 0.358 Falcons 30.333 26.222 2.647 0.302 Bears 15.083 16.111 2.839 0.488 Lions 12.417 15.667 2.856 1.110 Texans 32.000 29.111 2.860 -0.451 Colts 10.750 11.778 2.938 -1.950 Cowboys 11.833 11.889 3.044 -0.337 Jets 22.833 25.889 3.270 -2.335 Chiefs 6.333 8.778 3.331 -0.052 Giants 22.417 21.000 3.347 -1.389 Browns 25.167 26.111 3.360 0.541 Buccaneers 25.250 21.333 3.526 0.310 Ravens 17.000 20.778 3.773 -0.205 Packers 16.667 16.556 4.100 1.712 Rams 18.083 15.222 4.475 1.012

Observations:

Pretty good consensus about the top 3 teams.

Fairly good consensus about the Chargers being in the middle.

Who really knows about the Packers? You want to count them out but they come back and tie with Matt Flynn.

Could this finally be the year St. Louis puts together a winning season. Who knows?

Difference in Averages

Subj vs Obj Ravens 17.000 20.778 3.778 2.536 Lions 12.417 15.667 3.250 1.826 Jets 22.833 25.889 3.056 -6.500 Chiefs 6.333 8.778 2.445 -0.999 Patriots 4.167 6.222 2.056 -0.328 Raiders 26.583 27.778 1.195 -0.159 Steelers 17.833 19.000 1.167 0.601 Saints 2.250 3.333 1.083 1.224 Bears 15.083 16.111 1.028 0.695 Colts 10.750 11.778 1.028 -4.376 Browns 25.167 26.111 0.944 -0.864 Jaguars 30.500 31.333 0.833 0.742 Bengals 7.250 7.778 0.528 0.690 Seahawks 1.000 1.444 0.444 0.737 Chargers 15.833 16.111 0.278 -1.470 Cowboys 11.833 11.889 0.056 2.450 Vikings 28.417 28.444 0.028 1.574 Broncos 3.417 3.333 -0.083 -0.416 Packers 16.667 16.556 -0.111 1.707 Panthers 4.167 4.000 -0.167 1.419 Eagles 11.500 11.111 -0.389 2.864 Cardinals 9.333 8.778 -0.556 1.535 Redskins 28.417 27.222 -1.195 -0.801 Titans 19.417 18.222 -1.195 0.532 49ers 7.500 6.111 -1.389 0.449 Giants 22.417 21.000 -1.417 -1.346 Bills 24.333 22.889 -1.444 0.536 Dolphins 19.917 18.444 -1.472 -0.674 Rams 18.083 15.222 -2.861 -1.427 Texans 32.000 29.111 -2.889 -0.303 Buccaneers 25.250 21.333 -3.917 -0.563 Falcons 30.333 26.222 -4.111 -1.889

Observations:

Pundits desperately want to believe the defending Super Bowl champions are better than they are.

The Jets aren't nearly as over-ranked as they once were. They've fallen to the level they've been playing.

Atlanta has looked back of late, yes, but not as bad as you'd think it seems.

As much fun as it is to point and laugh at the circus in Tampa, they've been playing decent football.

Sources