One of the night’s few mortal locks, Zellweger came on strong early this season with her passionate performance as Judy Garland and she has never given up her place as the best-actress front-runner. Though Johansson is the only nominee who’s also fronting one of the best-drama contenders, this is Zellweger’s to lose — and she won’t.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama

Christian Bale, “Ford v Ferrari"

Antonio Banderas, “Pain and Glory”

Adam Driver, “Marriage Story”

Joaquin Phoenix, “Joker”

Jonathan Pryce, “The Two Popes”

Driver couldn’t be having a better year: Alongside recent star turns in “The Report” and “Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker,” he has delivered one of his most moving performances in “Marriage Story,” which scored more Golden Globe nominations than any other film. If he weren’t up against Phoenix, he’d win this in a walk, but Phoenix, a six-time nominee who won a Golden Globe for “Walk the Line,” likely has the edge for his more talked-about, transformational performance.

Best Motion Picture, Drama

“1917”

“The Irishman”

“Joker”

“Marriage Story”

“The Two Popes”

If the Hollywood Foreign Press Association picks Martin Scorsese’s “The Irishman” or Noah Baumbach’s “Marriage Story,” everyone will simply nod and say, “That seems about right.” Which is why I think it may not happen! After all, this is the voting body that curved last year’s perfectly respectable best-drama choice, “A Star Is Born,” and selected “Bohemian Rhapsody” instead. It wouldn’t be a Globes ceremony without a big win that comes out of left field, and I think “Joker” could provide the shock of the night.