Welcome to The Hill’s Morning Report. Happy Thursday! Our newsletter gets you up to speed on the most important developments in politics and policy, plus trends to watch. Alexis Simendinger and Al Weaver are the up-early co-creators. Find us @asimendinger and @alweaver22 on Twitter and CLICK HERE to subscribe!







Turkey began a fast-moving air and ground offensive in northeastern Syria on Wednesday aimed at destroying an American-backed Kurdish militia. The U.S. military, which vacated the area on Monday on President Trump Donald John TrumpFederal prosecutor speaks out, says Barr 'has brought shame' on Justice Dept. Former Pence aide: White House staffers discussed Trump refusing to leave office Progressive group buys domain name of Trump's No. 1 Supreme Court pick MORE’s orders, did nothing during six hours of air strikes that sent petrified civilians fleeing as Turkish troops and their Syrian rebel allies crossed the border (The Associated Press).

Turkey’s move to root out United States-allied Kurdish forces in Syria accelerated rapidly after Trump gave the operation his tacit approval during a phone call with President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on Sunday.

But three days of searing bipartisan criticism of his abrupt decision to move 50 to 100 U.S. forces out of the region before strikes began forced the president to amend his narrative.

His detractors, including Sen. Lindsey Graham Lindsey Olin GrahamLincoln Project mocks Lindsey Graham's fundraising lag with Sarah McLachlan-themed video The Hill's Morning Report - Sponsored by Facebook - Republicans lawmakers rebuke Trump on election Trump dumbfounds GOP with latest unforced error MORE (R-S.C.) and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell Addison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellDemocratic senator to party: 'A little message discipline wouldn't kill us' House to vote on resolution affirming peaceful transition of power Republican lawyers brush off Trump's election comments MORE (R-Ky.), say the president’s decision could destabilize the Middle East and encourage ISIS, Iran, Russia and Syria’s President Bashar al-Assad to continue grabs for power.

The Hill: Congress is set for showdown with Trump over the Kurds.

The president’s policy statements shifted again on Wednesday when he said NATO member Turkey had “invaded” Syria. “The United States does not endorse this attack and has made it clear to Turkey that this operation is a bad idea," he elaborated in a statement (The Hill).

Having commended the Kurds all week, the president later did an about-face to offer a new defense of Turkey’s assault on the stateless fighters, arguing the Kurds did not help the United States during World War II — a remark that left many puzzled.

“And as somebody wrote in a very, very powerful article today, they didn’t help us in the second World War, they didn’t help us with Normandy, as an example. They mentioned names of different battles. But they’re there to help us with their land and that’s a different thing,” Trump told reporters. Although the president did not cite the article he had in mind, it was presumed to be a reference to a commentary for TownHall by trial lawyer Kurt Schlichter.

Trump also said on Wednesday that he was open to imposing sanctions on Turkey if the Turks do not treat the Kurds humanely (Reuters).

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo Michael (Mike) Richard PompeoWatchdog confirms State Dept. canceled award for journalist who criticized Trump Trump's push for win with Sudan amps up pressure on Congress Putin nominated for Nobel Peace Prize MORE said the president could redeploy U.S. forces he ordered withdrawn, if necessary, to respond to ISIS threats. “It’s certainly the case that the president is mindful that ISIS might begin to rise up again. And so the president has said, when they do, we’ll come back and we’ll get this,” Pompeo said during a Sinclair media interview on Wednesday. “We will – we will go where we need to go to keep the American people safe from the threat of radical Islamic terrorism, whether that’s in Syria or Afghanistan.”

A member of U.S. special forces in Syria serving with Kurdish forces spoke by phone with Fox News national security correspondent Jennifer Griffin, who did not identify the soldier but tweeted his vigorous defense of the Kurds, now under Turkish attack. “I’m ashamed for the first time in my career,” Griffin quoted the soldier as saying.

Erdoğan, who is scheduled to meet with Trump in the Oval Office on Nov. 13, announced Turkey’s military offensive on Twitter, asserting that his forces were battling terrorists, which is how Ankara perceives Syrian Kurds who have throttled Islamic State fighters at the behest of the U.S. military.

“Our mission is to prevent the creation of a terror corridor across our southern border, and to bring peace to the area,” Erdo ğ an tweeted

Reuters: Syrian Kurds outgunned but vow to inflict toll on Turkish army.

Trump has repeatedly maintained that ISIS was “defeated,” as measured by territory it once held, an assertion frequently challenged by counterterrorism experts. The time for the U.S. military to get out of the Middle East is now, the president said this week.

“Fighting between various groups that has been going on for hundreds of years. USA should never have been in Middle East. Moved our 50 soldiers out. Turkey MUST take over captured ISIS fighters that Europe refused to have returned,” Trump tweeted on Wednesday. “The stupid endless wars, for us, are ending!”

Analysis & Perspectives:

Elliot Ackerman: Trump betrays an ally at the Turkish border.

Carl Hulse: For once, Republicans break with Trump, but not on impeachment.

David Ignatius: Trump has opened the door for an Islamic State resurgence in Syria.

Hemin Kobane: Turkey wants to destroy us. Trump just gave them a green light.

Aaron David Miller and Richard Sokolsky: Trump’s incoherent Syria pullback should surprise no one.

Alaa Elassar: Who are the Kurds in Syria and why are they under attack?







LEADING THE DAY





IMPEACHMENT WATCH: Former Vice President Joe Biden Joe BidenFormer Pence aide: White House staffers discussed Trump refusing to leave office Progressive group buys domain name of Trump's No. 1 Supreme Court pick Bloomberg rolls out M ad buy to boost Biden in Florida MORE called for Trump’s impeachment during a speech on Wednesday as he continues to deal with the fallout from the Ukraine saga and constant attacks from Team Trump and the president’s allies.

Biden’s announcement came over two weeks after Speaker Nancy Pelosi Nancy PelosiDemocratic senator to party: 'A little message discipline wouldn't kill us' Overnight Health Care: New wave of COVID-19 cases builds in US | Florida to lift all coronavirus restrictions on restaurants, bars | Trump stirs questions with 0 drug coupon plan Overnight Defense: Appeals court revives House lawsuit against military funding for border wall | Dems push for limits on transferring military gear to police | Lawmakers ask for IG probe into Pentagon's use of COVID-19 funds MORE (D-Calif.) officially supported the inquiry into the president’s actions and dealings regarding Ukraine and push to investigate Biden and his son Hunter Biden. In his speech, Biden said that Trump has “violated his oath of office” and “committed impeachable acts.”

"To preserve our Constitution, our democracy, our basic integrity, he should be impeached,” Biden told supporters in Rochester, N.H. “That's not only because of what he's done. The answer to whether he has committed acts sufficient toward impeachment is obvious.”

"We see it in Trump's own words. We see it in the texts from State Department officials that have been made public. We see it in his pulling much of the United States government into his corrupt schemes, individuals within the government, his appointees," Biden said. "We have to remember that impeachment isn't only about what the president has done. It's about the threat the president poses to the nation."

Biden had already called for an inquiry, but he had until Wednesday avoided a direct impeachment call, which many of his 2020 rivals — including Sens. Elizabeth Warren Elizabeth WarrenOvernight Defense: Appeals court revives House lawsuit against military funding for border wall | Dems push for limits on transferring military gear to police | Lawmakers ask for IG probe into Pentagon's use of COVID-19 funds On The Money: Half of states deplete funds for Trump's 0 unemployment expansion | EU appealing ruling in Apple tax case | House Democrats include more aid for airlines in coronavirus package Warren, Khanna request IG investigation into Pentagon's use of coronavirus funds MORE (D-Mass.) and Bernie Sanders Bernie SandersSirota reacts to report of harassment, doxing by Harris supporters Republicans not immune to the malady that hobbled Democrats The Hill's Morning Report - Sponsored by Facebook - Republicans lawmakers rebuke Trump on election MORE (I-Vt.) — have loudly supported in recent months. The former vice president’s remarks also took place days before the fourth Democratic debate, where the issue will surely arise.

Biden’s impeachment announcement also came a day after the White House opened up a new battle front in the impeachment war, saying they would not cooperate with House investigators, including requests and subpoenas for testimony and documents. According to one Biden adviser, Trump’s defiance of Congress helped propel the candidate to his new position.

“Fifteen days ago, VP Biden said that if Donald Trump and his Administration obstructed Congress' Constitutional right to investigate, it would be a tragedy of his own making, and one that would necessarily lead to impeachment proceedings. These last fifteen days have been a remarkable period in American political history,” the adviser said before detailing the events.

As for Trump, he is leaning into a defense that is checkered throughout by his 2020 strategy in a renewed push to hit back at the Democratic impeachment effort.

As Morgan Chalfant and Brett Samuels report, the president is attempting to undermine the legitimacy of the inquiry, attacking the lawmakers leading the effort, decrying the process as a “coup,” accusing the anonymous whistleblower who helped spark the investigation of working with partisan aims, while calling for the impeachment of numerous Democratic officials.

“This is a con being perpetrated on the United States public,” Trump told reporters on Wednesday afternoon.

In the House, Democrats are charging ahead with their inquiry despite the White House’s vow not to cooperate and are daring the president to stonewall the probe. They believe the lack of cooperation will add fuel to allegations that the obstruction itself is an impeachable offense, according to The Hill’s Mike Lillis.

Politico: Trump’s all-out blockade threatens Democrats’ impeachment drive.

The New York Times: On Ukraine aid, “nothing to see here”: Diplomats urged to play down funds’ release.

Bloomberg: Trump urged top aide to help Rudy Giuliani Rudy GiulianiThe Hill's Campaign Report: GOP set to ask SCOTUS to limit mail-in voting CIA found Putin 'probably directing' campaign against Biden: report Democrats fear Russia interference could spoil bid to retake Senate MORE client facing Justice Department charges.

Paul Kane: Focus on the GOP senators weighing history’s judgment for Trump’s fate.

> Whistleblower: Mark Zaid, the lawyer for the original whistleblower, defended his client’s political past after stories landed and attacks were lobbed charging that the individual had a “professional relationship” with one of the 2020 candidates seeking to unseat the president next year.

In a series of tweets, Zaid said that while the individual has come into contact with some candidates in both parties in their official capacities as elected officials, the person has never worked on behalf of any candidate and has served as an “apolitical” official for their entire career in government.

“The whistleblower is not the story,” the whistleblower’s legal team said in a statement. “To date, virtually every substantive allegation has been confirmed by other sources. For that reason the identity of the whistleblower is irrelevant.”

The Hill: Trey Gowdy Harold (Trey) Watson GowdySunday shows preview: Election integrity dominates as Nov. 3 nears Tim Scott invokes Breonna Taylor, George Floyd in Trump convention speech Sunday shows preview: Republicans gear up for national convention, USPS debate continues in Washington MORE joins Trump's legal team. C-SPAN tweeted a 2012 video clip relevant to the former congressman’s new role.

Politico: Impeachment threat is helping GOP recruit new candidates.







IN FOCUS/SHARP TAKES





POLITICS: The president will rally supporters in Minnesota tonight as he makes a renewed push to put a blue state he narrowly lost in 2016 into the red column in 2020.

Trump, who lost the state by a mere 1.4 percentage points (45,000 votes), counts Minnesota among the states he stands a chance to flip in 2020, along with Nevada, New Hampshire and New Mexico, but some strategists believe pulling off a victory there will be a tall task.

“Minnesota is definitely an uphill climb for Trump,” said Alex Conant, a GOP strategist who is from the state. “There’s more Democrats than Republicans in the state, so a lot needs to happen for Trump to win. Specifically: Trump needs to unite and excite every Republican in the state, and hope that a lot of Democrats don’t like the Democratic nominee.”

“That could happen. In 2016, a lot of Minnesota Republicans didn’t support Trump. He’s done a really good job consolidating their support since then,” Conant continued. “Minnesota Democrats [who] win statewide tend to be more like Tim Walz Tim WalzGOP Senate candidate says Trump, Republicans will surprise in Minnesota Presidential race tightens in Minnesota as Trump plows resources into state National Guard activated in Minneapolis after homicide suspect's reported suicide MORE & Amy Klobuchar Amy Klobuchar3 reasons why Biden is misreading the politics of court packing Social media platforms put muscle into National Voter Registration Day Battle lines drawn on precedent in Supreme Court fight MORE than [Rep. Ilhan Omar Ilhan OmarOmar urges Democrats to focus on nonvoters over 'disaffected Trump voters' Omar fires back at Trump over rally remarks: 'This is my country' Trump attacks Omar for criticizing US: 'How did you do where you came from?' MORE (D-Minn.)] and Elizabeth Warren. The Twin Cities are really liberal, but there’s a lot of union Democrats in northern Minnesota [who] are more moderate.”

The rally comes as Trump feuds with another Democrat, this time Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey, who wanted to charge the reelection campaign about $500,000 for extra security needed to put on the rally. Trump’s campaign labeled Frey as a “radical leftist mayor,” and argued that he was “abusing the power of his office and attempting to extort President Trump’s re-election campaign by conjuring a phony and outlandish bill for security in an effort to block a scheduled Keep America Great rally.”

The back and forth with Frey is by no means his only high-profile spat with a Minnesota Democrat. Trump has frequently warred with Omar in recent months. Ironically, the Minneapolis rally will take place in Omar’s district.

The rally is also Trump’s first since House Democrats opened their impeachment inquiry against him and will take place as he takes body shots from all sides over the situation in Syria. As Brett Samuels writes, the one-two combo and Trump's tendency to lash out during free-wheeling rallies sets the stage for what could be a fiery event.

The rally will also play as counterprogramming to the 2020 Democratic town hall on LGBTQ issues, which CNN is hosting.

The New York Times: Trump is serious about carrying Minnesota, the one that got away in 2016.

The Associated Press: “Welcome to Minneapolis”: Trump rally roils liberal bastion.

The president’s battle with Biden took another turn on Wednesday after his attacks came in the form of a new 30-second ad by his reelection campaign, which Trump also tweeted out.

Biden’s team bashed the new ad, arguing its claims are “comprehensively-debunked conspiracy theory”

“It’s puzzling that Donald Trump claims he’d ’love’ to run against Joe Biden, seeing as how he just sent his administration into a tailspin by trying to bully a foreign country into spreading a comprehensively-debunked conspiracy theory about the vice president,” said Andrew Bates, a Biden spokesperson, in a statement. “Donald Trump knows what over 70 polls - including his own internals - have demonstrated: Joe Biden would beat this pathological liar like a drum.”

“Soon Trump will run out of countries he can pressure to bail him out politically, and he will lose the old-fashioned way: an intervention by his own country — courtesy of the American people — in 2020,” Bates added.

The spot is part of a $7 million national ad buy, and will be part of a separate $1 million campaign in early primary states.

Politico: Sen. Kamala Harris Kamala HarrisTexas Democratic official urges Biden to visit state: 'I thought he had his own plane' The Hill's Campaign Report: Biden on Trump: 'He'll leave' l GOP laywers brush off Trump's election remarks l Obama's endorsements A game theorist's advice to President Trump on filling the Supreme Court seat MORE (D-Calif.) comes up short as Sen. Dianne Feinstein Dianne Emiel FeinsteinTrump plans to pick Amy Coney Barrett to replace Ginsburg on court Trump faces tricky choice on Supreme Court pick The Hill's Morning Report - Sponsored by Facebook - Trump previews SCOTUS nominee as 'totally brilliant' MORE (D-Calif.) endorses Biden.

NBC News: Sanders says he “misspoke” about scaling back rallies after heart attack, vows 'vigorous' 2020 campaign.

> Shock poll: Just over a year away the 2020 election, half of Americans say they believe the vote will be conducted openly and fairly, according to a new survey that reveals a growing mistrust in the U.S. electoral system.

As Reid Wilson exclusively reports, a new Ipsos Public Affairs for C-SPAN found that 53 percent of registered voters believe next year’s elections will be open and fair, while only 46 percent said they have a great deal or a fair amount of trust and confidence in a fair election outcome.

“The deck is stacked because of all the gerrymandering that’s gone on,” said Charles Flink, a retired teacher who lives in White Oak, Pa., just outside of Pittsburgh. “You’ve got huge amounts of money that are buying votes all over the place, blocking minority people from voting, scaring people away from the polls and doing all these kinds of nonsense.”

The survey results also exhibit a sharp partisan divide between voters of the two parties as 72 percent of GOP voters have confidence in a fair election, compared to only 39 percent for Democrats. 44 percent of independents say they have confidence in a fair and open election.

The Hill: Planned Parenthood on Wednesday announced it will spend $45 million to defeat Trump and help Democrats try to flip the Senate.







The Morning Report is created by journalists Alexis Simendinger and Al Weaver. We want to hear from you! Email: asimendinger@thehill.com and aweaver@thehill.com. We invite you to share The Hill’s reporting and newsletters, and encourage others to SUBSCRIBE!







OPINION





Republicans in Congress must find the courage to call out abuses of power, by Chris Gagin, opinion contributor, The Hill. https://bit.ly/2p3Bl3Y

What makes Adam Schiff Adam Bennett SchiffSchiff to subpoena top DHS official, alleges whistleblower deposition is being stonewalled Schiff claims DHS is blocking whistleblower's access to records before testimony GOP lawmakers distance themselves from Trump comments on transfer of power MORE tick? by former Rep. Steve Israel Steven (Steve) J. IsraelThe Hill's Morning Report - Sponsored by Facebook - Trump previews SCOTUS nominee as 'totally brilliant' The Hill's Morning Report - Presented by Facebook - Trump, Biden intensify battleground focus as 2020 race tightens Biden allies express confidence as convention begins MORE (D-N.Y.), opinion contributor, The Hill. https://bit.ly/2IEszjH







WHERE AND WHEN





Hill.TV’s “Rising” at 9 a.m. ET features Terren Klein, CEO of College Plus, who talks about Chegg and College Plus teaming up to survey more than 1,500 college students across the country about the 2020 presidential campaign; and Michael McCann, director of the Sports and Entertainment Law Institute at the University of New Hampshire School of Law and a legal analyst for Sports Illustrated, who talks about college sports and state and potentially federal challenges to the NCAA. Find Hill.TV programming at http://thehill.com/hilltv or on YouTube at 10 a.m.

The House is expected to return to work on Tuesday.

The Senate convenes on Friday at 2:15 p.m. for a pro forma session.

The president departs the White House this afternoon for Minneapolis to hold a reelection rally at 8 p.m. Trump is scheduled to return to the White House after midnight.

Vice President Pence will also travel to Minnesota to meet with Minneapolis Police Officers in the afternoon and then take a tour of Safety Signs, a family-owned business in Lakeville. Pence will introduce Trump at 7 p.m. at their campaign rally held at the Target Center.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin Steven Terner MnuchinThe Hill's Morning Report - Sponsored by Facebook - Republicans lawmakers rebuke Trump on election On The Money: Anxious Democrats push for vote on COVID-19 aid | Pelosi, Mnuchin ready to restart talks | Weekly jobless claims increase | Senate treads close to shutdown deadline Vulnerable Democrats tell Pelosi COVID-19 compromise 'essential' MORE participates in U.S.-China trade talks today and Friday.

Pompeo meets with El Salvadoran Foreign Minister Alexandra Hill at 8 a.m. at the State Department.

Economic indicator: The Consumer Price Index for September will be released at 8:30 a.m.

Washington’s Humane Rescue Alliance is preparing for its 32nd annual “Bark Ball” fundraiser on Oct. 19 at 6 p.m. at the Washington Hilton. Up first: Charitably minded online bidding opened on Monday to all comers for more than 200 donated items. Find ticket info for the black-tie ball (canine guests welcome), plus event details HERE.







ELSEWHERE





➔ State Watch: California will become the first state in the country to allow pharmacies to dispense HIV-prevention drugs without a doctor’s prescription (The New York Times). …Louisiana is now a new hub for immigrant detention under Trump (The Associated Press).

➔ Alleged leaker: Federal officials arrested a counterterrorism analyst for the Defense Intelligence Agency when he showed up for work on Wednesday. They charged Henry Frese, 30, of Alexandria, Va., with leaking top-secret details about foreign countries’ weapons systems to two journalists, including a reporter with whom he was apparently romantically involved. Frese “was caught red-handed disclosing sensitive national security information,” the Justice Department said. The two journalists were not identified (The Washington Post). The government detailed the FBI's surveillance of phone calls and direct messages on Twitter between Frese and two journalists, who apparently both covered national security (The Hill).

➔ Economy: The Federal Reserve at its September meeting exchanged mixed views about the risk of recession, according to official minutes of the discussion released on Wednesday. Several Fed governors referenced some statistical models that found the likelihood of a recession had “increased notably in recent months.” But several officials stressed that such models were difficult to interpret. Seven of the central bank’s 17 policymakers last month indicated they think there will be one more rate cut this year on top of the reductions in July and September (Reuters). Fed officials also expressed concerns last month about the effect on hiring and consumer spending of a slowing economy (The New York Times).

➔ MLB Playoffs: The Washington Nationals pulled off a massive upset Wednesday night out West and defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers, 7-3, in Game 5 of the National League Division Series. The Nats used the long ball to do the trick, launching back-to-back home runs in the 8th inning off Dodger ace Clayton Kershaw and a grand slam in the 10th inning by Howie Kendrick to punch their ticket to the National League Championship Series against the St. Louis Cardinals. Game 1 is slated for Friday at Busch Stadium (ESPN).

➔ Boeing 737 Max: American Airlines said Wednesday it expects federal officials to sign off on software updates and other changes to Boeing’s 737 Max jets later this year and plans to resume passenger service on the aircraft on Jan. 16. The Federal Aviation Administration insists there is no timeline for returning the planes to service, and said it has not given airlines a date when the aircraft’s grounding will be lifted (The Washington Post).







THE CLOSER





And finally … It’s Thursday, which means it’s time for this week’s Morning Report Quiz! Inspired by pro basketball in the headlines, we’re eager for some smart guesses about the NBA, basketball and China.

Email your responses to asimendinger@thehill.com and/or aweaver@thehill.com, and please add “Quiz” to subject lines. Winners who submit correct answers will enjoy some richly deserved newsletter fame on Friday.

In 2002, who became the first Chinese-born player to appear in an NBA game?

Yao Ming Wang Zhizhi Yi Jianlian Jeremy Lin

How tall is Yao Ming, who is known as one of the best Chinese basketball players of all time?

7 feet 7 feet 2 inches 7 feet 4 inches 7 feet 6 inches

What former NBA star became a household name in China by playing seven seasons and averaging 20 points per game in the Chinese Basketball Association from 2011 to 2018?

Allen Iverson Stephon Marbury Josh Smith Spud Webb

In November 2017, what NCAA program had three of its basketball players arrested for shoplifting while in China during a preseason tour?

Stanford University University of Southern California Arizona State University University of California, Los Angeles











