There’s good news and there’s bad news…

The bad news is that, because the gameweeks are so closely packed together, we are having to write this article before Gameweek 19 has even kicked off. As a result, we can’t tell you how the Bookies’ Advantage squad performed last time out, nor can we provide the most up to date stats or guarantee all of our picks for Gameweek 20 below will be available, so keep your eyes on injuries, suspensions and team news, as well as the results from Gameweek 19.

The good news, however, is that the festive season is upon us! So we would like to take this opportunity to wish you a happy holiday, and may Santa bring you what you truly desire – a sackful of fantasy points!

Defensive odds

Team Best clean sheet odds Implied chance of a clean sheet Chelsea 1.57 64% Man Utd 1.62 62% Liverpool 1.81 55% Man City 2.05 49% Tottenham 2.05 49% West Brom 2.7 37% Arsenal 2.7 37% Huddersfield 2.81 36% Stoke 3 33% Everton 3.1 32% Bournemouth 3.1 32% West Ham 3.5 29% Watford 3.6 28% Leicester 4 25% Crystal Palace 6 17% Southampton 8.1 12% Burnley 10.5 10% Brighton 11 9% Newcastle 13.5 7% Swansea 16 6%

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Chelsea top the bookies defensive rankings for Gameweek 20 with a 64% chance of keeping a clean sheet ahead of their home game against Brighton. The Seagulls have lost their last 3 on the road, failing to score in each, whilst Marcos Alonso is the highest scoring defender in FPL courtesy of a goal and an assist over his last 2. The Spaniard starts for our squad.

Manchester United (62%) rank second when they host Burnley. The fact that Jose Mourinho’s defence has the joint-best home record in the top flight (just 3 goals conceded), coupled with Burnley blanking in their last 2 on their travels, means that another Old Trafford shutout looks likely for the Red Devils. David de Gea offers starting security and takes his place between the sticks for our side.

Liverpool (55%) and Manchester City (49%) complete the top 4 defensive prospects for Gameweek 20. Both face sides currently in turmoil, with the Reds hosting Swansea, who have scored just 5 away goals this season, and the Citizens travelling to Newcastle, who have only managed 9 at home, blanking in 3 of their last 4 at St James’s Park. As a result, both Joe Gomez and Nicolas Otamendi, who also offer assist and goal potential respectively, make our starting XI.

On the bench, Julian Speroni (£4.0m – 17%) should have the opportunity to provide save points at home against Arsenal, whilst Adrian Mariappa (£4.0m – 28%) welcomes Leicester to Vicarage Road. Kevin Long (£4.0m – 10%) offers another budget option over the festive period with James Tarkowski suspended for 3 games. He faces a daunting trip to Old Trafford.

Attacking odds

Player Best anytime goalscorer odds Implied chance of scoring Sergio Aguero 1.62 62% Gabriel Jesus 1.67 60% Harry Kane 1.67 60% Mohamed Salah 1.67 60% Alvaro Morata 1.7 59% Romelu Lukaku 1.83 55% Roberto Firmino 1.91 52% Eden Hazard 1.95 51% Philippe Coutinho 2 50% Raheem Sterling 2.1 48% Alexandre Lacazette 2.2 45% Marcus Rashford 2.2 45% Sadio Mane 2.2 45% Jamie Vardy 2.4 42% Leroy Sane 2.5 40% Alexis Sanchez 2.5 40% Pedro 2.63 38% Callum Wilson 2.88 35% Andre Gray 3 33% Dele Alli 3 33% Richarlison 3 33% Kevin de Bruyne 3.1 32% Andy Carroll 3.2 31% Salomon Rondon 3.2 31% Henrikh Mkhitaryan 3.2 31% Cesc Fabregas 3.2 31% Paul Pogba 3.3 30% Laurent Depoitre 3.3 30% Michail Antonio 3.5 29% Jay Rodriguez 3.5 29% Wayne Rooney 3.5 29% David Silva 3.6 28% Marko Arnautovic 3.6 28% Christian Eriksen 3.6 28% Mesut Ozil 3.6 28% Riyad Mahrez 3.6 28% Mame Biram Diouf 3.75 27% Oumar Niasse 3.75 27% Dominic Calvert-Lewin 3.75 27% Chris Wood 3.8 26% Charlie Austin 4 25% Manolo Gabbiadini 4 25% Alex Iwobi 4 25% Dwight Gayle 4.2 24% Tammy Abraham 4.33 23% Wilfried Zaha 4.33 23% Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 4.33 23% Xherdan Shaqiri 4.33 23% Sam Vokes 4.33 23% Glenn Murray 4.75 21% Abdoulaye Doucoure 4.75 21% Aaron Mooy 4.75 21% Ruben Loftus-Cheek 5 20% Dusan Tadic 5.5 18% Matt Ritchie 5.5 18% Pascal Gross 6 17% Anthony Knockaert 7.5 13% Harry Arter 7.5 13% Tom Carroll 11 9% Isaac Hayden 11 9%

Up front, we opt for a change in formation, playing 3-5-2 for the first time courtesy of the recent value offered by midfielders compared to attackers. It is impossible to predict which Manchester City striker will start, and forgoing Harry Kane’s services, whilst dangerous, allows for a much healthier front 8. That sees Mohamed Salah installed as our captain ahead of a plum home tie against rock-bottom Swansea. The Egyptian is deemed to have a 60% chance of scoring, having already netted 14 this season.

In attack, we opt for Alvaro Morata (59%) and Salah’s teammate Roberto Firmino (52%). With Morata missing the Gameweek 19 game against Everton through suspension, he should be well-rested for the home clash with Brighton. The Spaniard has scored 2 in his last 3 starts in front of his own fans. Firmino, meanwhile, forms part of a Liverpool attacking double up for our side, but hasn’t scored at Anfield in the league since Gameweek 10. The Swans, however, offer him the perfect opportunity to get back on the scoreboard.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (27%) takes the first spot on our bench, with the budget striker, who has already chalked up 3 goals and 6 assists this term, travelling to The Hawthorns to tackle West Brom.

Joining Salah in a powerful midfield are Eden Hazard (51%), Raheem Sterling (48%), Leroy Sane (40%) and Richarlison (33%).

Hazard joins Morata as we double up on Antonio Conte’s main attackers for that tasty home game against Brighton. The pair perform better, and score higher, when on the pitch together, and the Belgian will be looking to add to the 2 goals and 1 assist he has produced in his last 2 Stamford Bridge starts.

The Manchester City duo have terrorised defences all season long, with Sterling currently on 11 goals and 6 assists, whilst Sane has scored 6 times and laid on another 8 goals for his teammates. A Newcastle side without a clean sheet in 9 has all the makings of another very profitable outing for the pair.

Richarlison’s consistent early-season form has tailed off slightly, with the Brazilian providing just a pair of assists in the last 6 gameweeks, but he still has 5 goals and 6 assists to his name in what has been a tremendous Premier League debut season thus far. He hosts a Leicester side who have only shut out their opponents once in their last 8 games.

Bookies Dream Team GW20

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Good luck with your fantasy teams this weekend!

May the odds be with you🙏

Daniel Victory is a Fantasy football and anytime goalscorer betting enthusiast. Enjoys SSS – statistics, strategizing and spreadsheets. Follow his great tips on Twitter.