The excitement was palpable, and thanks certainly goes to the New York City Bar for the great venue as well as a number of NYC firms that provided conference space.

We were invited to speak about the European attitudes toward the Rotterdam Rules at the offices of Curtis Mallet in the 37th floor of 101 Park Avenue, an imposing, glossy black skyscraper. Our presentation touched on the significant recent changes to the German HGB, but the presentation moved then into the European perspective on the Rotterdam Rules ("the Rules"). Our opinions were duly disclosed prior to attendance with the title: "Does Germany’s Maritime Law Reform Signal Troubled Waters for the Rotterdam Rules in the EU?" Despite their moniker, the Rules have not had the uptake in Europe that was expected at the exciting signing ceremony in Rotterdam in 2009. The mood at the ceremony, captured in the commemorative DVD released immediately following, was one of congratulatory optimism. A record number of countries signed the Rules, but only three have ratified since then (Spain, the Congo and Togo). The Rules have not, as of yet, lived up to the hype. Our thesis: Although the discussion of the Rules at the supranational level in the EU has mostly died down since 2010, the discussion is still taking place at the national (i.e., Member State) level in some countries. This was, perhaps, a sobering experience for our American friends, and the chairwoman described our presentation as "frank." The initial question for the debate that followed the presentation was: if the United States ratified the Rules, would the rest of Europe follow?

The reality is that European states have been aware of the Rules for some time now, and have already thoroughly debated their merits. Some countries, like Germany, have implemented certain provisions into law while dismissing others (e.g. the liability increase from 2 SDRs to 3 SDRs per kilogram of cargo). Such "cherry picking" was the worst scenario from the standpoint of the American committee. On the other end of the spectrum and to the north we have Denmark. In June 2013, the Danish parliament passed the legislation that would automatically implement the Rules in Demark upon Denmark's ratification. The Rules will not themselves be given effect in Demark but will be, instead, transformed into Danish law vis-a-vis the Danish Merchant Shipping Act. Denmark's ratification is pending the ratification by a major maritime country. One question that remains, not only in Denmark, is what constitutes a "major maritime country." There continues to be uncertainty as to what constitutes a "major maritime jurisdiction." Most if not all countries have both China and the US on their unofficial "list," but Japan, the UK and Germany also on most lists, whether alone or together.

Holland, as it stands now, will not cherry pick and will instead wait for tthe Rules to be accepted internationally - or rejected. Although this could be seen as an exercise in remarkable and admirable restraint, the decision is likely more pragmatic. For example, the Netherlands does not face the inland transport logistical difficulties that other countries face (i.e., concerns over multi-modal transportation are more an international issue for the Dutch than national one) and, as such, they may see little value in expending limited political capital making unilateral reforms that have not been taken up by the rest of the world (or at least a large part of it).

In any case, we do feel that the clock is ticking and we made this clear to the audience; further still, the limited momentum that does exist is dissipating. The German Maritime Law Reform Act of 2013 demonstrated that Berlin is more than willing to go ahead with its own goals and actively reject and/or dismiss the Rules' suggestions. Germany also co-opted many major selling points of the Rules, e.g. electronic bills of lading, and implemented these into national legislation - removing much of the sense of urgency. The new German Commercial Code is, in most respects, adequately modern without the influence or addition of Rules elements. And since maritime law reforms in Germany have traditionally been the work of long decades of experts laboring in obscurity, the likelihood of a fresh effort is low. We will be polishing our presentation into a final paper to be published, ideally by the year's end and will update the article and these pages accordingly when the paper is released.