The January jobs report is due on Friday, and you can bank on the fact President Trump and his supporters have celebratory tweets lined up already.

You know, something like this:

In fact, David Wohl, father of noted conservative conspiracy theorist Jacob Wohl, got a head start on Monday with this virtual cheer:

But Aaron Sojourner, a labor economist at the University of Minnesota, doesn’t quite see it that way. In his pinned tweet, he wrote: “If people would stop telling us the same lies over & over, I would happily stop repeating the same facts.”

So, with that in mind, he felt compelled to respond to Wohl’s tweet with this chart that quickly made its way around Finance Twitter this week.

As for the upcoming report, Larry Kudlow, Trump’s chief economic adviser, told Fox News that a drop in weekly U.S. jobless claims is signaling a strong number.

“It suggests very strongly that the jobs report for January will be up,” he said. “And it may be up a significant amount.”

ING economist James Knightley isn’t as sanguine. He said Tuesday that he expects payrolls growth of 140,000 versus the consensus economist survey of 165,000, which ranges from positive 230,000 all the way down to a drop of 40,000.

“The U.S. economy is in good shape, but we surely can’t get a repeat of this for January 2019?” he said. “For starters, the 20% plunge in the S&P 500 through 4Q18 reflected growing fears about escalating trade protectionism and what it might mean for global activity. This is likely to have made business somewhat wary and that could translate into weaker hiring at the start of this year.”

Knightley warned the weakness could spill over for the rest of the year.

“In general, we expect 2019 to see slower payrolls growth than we did in 2018,” he said. “There are more headwinds facing the U.S. economy, such as the fading support from the fiscal stimulus, lagged effects of higher interest rates and the strong dollar plus ongoing fears about trade protectionism at a time of weaker external demand. This is likely to mean that hiring will probably slow.”