With an overall .606 estimated 2018 fantasy team win percentage, the star breakout provided his fantasy teams an estimated 7.27 wins per regular season (13 weeks minus one for bye). Meanwhile, double-digit dad Philip Rivers’ replacement level .457 estimated team win percentage provided his fantasy teams with an estimated 5.94 wins per season. The difference between the two gives Mahomes’ rounded WAR figure of 1.78.

So effectively, if you drafted Pat Mahomes instead of Philip Rivers, and held the same average level team otherwise, you would likely have won two more games during the fantasy regular season.

WAR and even WAA can give you an idea of how much better the top ranked players at any position are than either replacement or average level. But as any reputable mutual fund commercial will tell you, past performance does not predict future outcome. But the same can be said of VBD. The beauty of WAR is that you have a better idea on how all players, regardless of position, contributed to fantasy WINS instead of simple points.

The biggest advantage WAR has over VBD is that WAR reduces the value of points scored for boom performances – thus putting a greater emphasis on player week-to-week consistency. Take the Fitzpatrick performance from earlier. Had he scored another five points on top of his 42.28 against the Saints, the increase in his fantasy team’s win percentage for that week would not be as much as the increase from five points added to, say, a replacement level 21.75 point performance.

UPDATE: I’ve finished the results for running back, wide receiver, DST and Tight End WAR:

Running Back WAR

Wide Receiver WAR

DST WAR

TE WAR

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– 3 out of 4 2018 fantasy league Champion El Jefe