It really feels like the NFL season just started, and yet there are only 2 more of these posts left after this week. Where has the season gone? For that matter, where has the entirety of 2012 gone? Good thing I've already begun writing "2013" on all my checks to get ahead of the game.

The news is out there: the Chargers aren't very good at all this year. They're consistently ranked in the bottom 25% of the league. It's taken me a while to realize they're that bad now, but these rankings lately have really convinced me. Time to blow everything up! Let's start at the top: FIRE SAPNOS!

I still remain unconvinced about the Colts, and I still contend the same thing that happened to the 2010 Chiefs as will happen to the Colts should they make the playoffs.

Division Averages

Division Avg Ranking NFC West 13.0278 NFC South 14.6111 NFC North 14.8056 NFC East 14.8889 AFC North 15.7917 AFC East 17.8056 AFC South 18.9722 AFC West 22.0972

Stock Rising

Team Week 15 Average Week 16 Average Difference CAR 21.477 16.851 4.626 NO 19.693 16.007 3.686 WAS 11.602 8.617 2.985 ARI 28.290 25.948 2.342 ATL 7.278 5.026 2.252

Stock Falling

Team Week 15 Average Week 16 Average Difference NYG 5.881 9.409 -3.528 TB 16.006 19.494 -3.488 DET 21.318 24.299 -2.981 SDG 22.250 24.753 -2.503 PIT 13.773 16.058 -2.285

Bummer to see the Chargers on this list but is anyone really surprised?

Subjective Average

Subjective Broncos 2 1 1 3 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 1.546 0.909 49ers 1 2 3 1 2 2 1 1 3 2 2 1.818 2.182 Falcons 5 4 2 4 6 3 5 5 2 3 4 3.909 1.273 Texans 3 5 5 2 5 4 2 4 4 4 5 3.909 -1.000 Patriots 4 3 4 5 3 5 4 3 5 5 3 4.000 -3.000 Packers 6 6 6 6 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 5.818 0.091 Seahawks 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7.000 1.818 Redskins 8 8 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8.091 3.364 Colts 9 11 12/td> 11 10 11 12 11 10 10 11 10.727 -1.000 Ravens 11 9 11 14 11 14 9 10 9 11 10 10.818 -2.272 Giants 12 15 10 12 9 13 10 9 11 9 9 10.818 -4.182 Cowboys 10 13 14 9 13 9 11 12 12 14 12 11.727 1.909 Bengals 13 10 8 10 15 10 13 13 13 13 13 11.909 2.818 Vikings 15 12 16 13 12 12 14 14 14 15 14 13.727 1.546 Bears 14 14 13 16 14 17 16 15 15 12 16 14.727 -2.454 Steelers 16 16 15 15 16 15 15 16 16 16 15 15.546 -2.000 Saints 18 17 23 17 17 18 17 17 17 17 17 17.727 1.909 Rams 17 18 18 19 18 19 19 20 20 19 18 18.636 -1.090 Dolphins 19 19 25 21 19 20 18 21 19 18 19 19.818 2.364 Buccaneers 20 21 17 20 20 24 20 19 22 20 20 20.273 -2.637 Panthers 23 20 19 18 21 16 21 22 21 21 21 20.273 4.182 Browns 22 22 24 24 22 22 26 23 18 22 23 22.546 -0.728 Jets 21 26 21 22 24 25 22 18 24 26 22 22.818 -1.636 Titans 26 24 20 23 23 21 23 29 25 27 25 24.182 2.909 Chargers 24 23 22 26 25 26 25 24 26 23 24 24.364 -2.364 Bills 25 29 26 25 27 23 24 25 23 25 26 25.273 -0.637 Cardinals 27 25 27 27 26 27 29 27 29 28 27 27.182 2.273 Lions 28 28 28 29 28 29 27 26 27 24 28 27.455 -2.819 Eagles 29 27 29 28 29 28 28 28 30 29 29 28.546 -1.455 Raiders 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 28 30 30 29.818 0.818 Jaguars 31 31 32 32 32 31 31 31 31 31 31 31.273 -0.182 Chiefs 32 32 31 31 31 32 32 32 32 32 32 31.727 -0.909

Observations:

It happened to the 49ers, Texans and Falcons: the Patriots finally became the unanimous number-1 team and subsequently lose the following week. Don't worry New England fans, you're in good company.

There is no unanimous pick as to who should inherit that throne. Though the Broncos are now the leading candidate.

You'd think the team that beat he Patriots would take over their spot at the top of the rankings, but I guess the Broncos' current 9-game win streak trumps the 49ers victory.

13 teams currently have an average ranking of 12th or better. Yes, 13 teams in the top 12, heh.

CBS is pretty down on the Saints and Dolphins, and high on the Bengals.

Subjective Standard Deviation

Subjective Seahawks 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 0.000 -1.113 Redskins 8 8 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 0.288 -1.017 Jaguars 31 31 32 32 32 31 31 31 31 31 31 0.445 -0.223 Chiefs 32 32 31 31 31 32 32 32 32 32 32 0.445 -0.584 Steelers 16 16 15 15 16 15 15 16 16 16 15 0.498 -0.659 Packers 6 6 6 6 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 0.575 -0.218 Raiders 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 28 30 30 0.575 -0.493 49ers 1 2 3 1 2 2 1 1 3 2 2 0.716 -0.023 Eagles 29 27 29 28 29 28 28 28 30 29 29 0.782 -0.011 Broncos 2 1 1 3 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 0.782 0.284 Patriots 4 3 4 5 3 5 4 3 5 5 3 0.853 0.853 Colts 9 11 12 11 10 11 12 11 10 10 11 0.862 0.245 Rams 17 18 18 19 18 19 19 20 20 19 18 0.881 0.225 Texans 3 5 5 2 5 4 2 4 4 4 5 1.083 0.087 Cardinals 27 25 27 27 26 27 29 27 29 28 27 1.113 0.222 Falcons 5 4 2 4 6 3 5 5 2 3 4 1.240 0.304 Vikings 15 12 16 13 12 12 14 14 14 15 14 1.286 0.234 Chargers 24 23 22 26 25 26 25 24 26 23 24 1.298 -0.050 Lions 28 28 28 29 28 29 27 26 27 24 28 1.373 -0.238 Bears 14 14 13 16 14 17 16 15 15 12 16 1.420 0.000 Buccaneers 20 21 17 20 20 24 20 19 22 20 20 1.656 0.885 Bills 25 29 26 25 27 23 24 25 23 25 26 1.656 -0.064 Ravens 11 9 11 14 11 14 9 10 9 11 10 1.696 1.040 Saints 18 17 23 17 17 18 17 17 17 17 17 1.710 0.484 Cowboys 10 13 14 9 13 9 11 12 12 14 12 1.710 0.484 Panthers 23 20 19 18 21 16 21 22 21 21 21 1.863 -0.154 Browns 22 22 24 24 22 22 26 23 18 22 23 1.876 -0.332 Dolphins 19 19 25 21 19 20 18 21 19 18 19 1.898 0.202 Giants 12 15 10 12 9 13 10 9 11 9 9 1.898 1.017 Bengals 13 10 8 10 15 10 13 13 13 13 13 1.975 0.923 Jets 21 26 21 22 24 25 22 18 24 26 22 2.328 -0.115 Titans 26 24 20 23 23 21 23 29 25 27 25 2.480 1.169

Observations:

Oh neat, the Seahawks are a unanimous ... 7th.

Redskins would have been a unanimous 8th, but CBS had to throw a wrench in it.

Jaguars and Chiefs are bad again, Steelers consistently mediocre.

Packers almost unanimous at #6, but this time it's SI messing it up.

Though the Bears moved down ~2.5 spots, they did so in unison; their deviation is the same as last week.

Both teams from New York are in the bottom 4 on this list.

Objective Average

Objective 49ers 4 2 2 2 3 2 2 2.429 0.196 Broncos 3 1 1 3 9 4 1 3.143 0.732 Patriots 1 7 3 1 5 1 7 3.571 -0.821 Seahawks 2 3 6 5 4 3 3 3.714 0.411 Texans 10 5 4 4 7 8 4 6.000 -1.250 Falcons 12 6 7 6 1 5 6 6.143 3.232 Packers 5 9 5 7 6 9 5 6.571 1.179 Giants 8 10 9 8 2 6 13 8.000 -2.875 Redskins 9 8 8 10 10 10 9 9.143 2.607 Bears 6 17 13 9 8 7 8 9.714 -0.464 Bengals 7 12 14 13 18 13 12 12.714 0.661 Panthers 11 4 18 17 14 16 14 13.429 5.071 Ravens 13 21 17 11 11 11 11 13.571 -1.321 Saints 14 15 15 14 15 12 15 14.286 5.464 Cowboys 17 16 11 15 12 15 18 14.857 0.768 Steelers 15 13 21 19 20 18 10 16.571 -2.571 Rams 18 11 16 18 22 19 17 17.286 -1.536 Vikings 23 27 10 12 17 14 22 17.857 2.143 Buccaneers 21 20 22 16 16 17 19 18.714 -4.339 Dolphins 20 18 19 20 26 20 16 19.857 1.018 Lions 16 14 27 23 25 22 21 21.143 -3.143 Colts 26 25 12 21 13 26 28 21.571 0.304 Jets 25 19 20 22 21 24 24 22.143 -1.268 Browns 19 23 23 27 28 25 23 24.000 -2.250 Bills 22 22 26 26 23 27 26 24.571 -1.446 Cardinals 27 30 25 24 24 23 20 24.714 2.411 Chargers 24 24 28 25 29 21 25 25.143 -2.643 Titans 28 29 24 28 19 29 27 26.286 1.089 Eagles 29 26 29 29 27 28 29 28.143 -0.893 Raiders 30 28 30 30 30 30 30 29.714 0.536 Jaguars 31 32 31 31 31 31 31 31.143 -0.643 Chiefs 32 31 32 32 32 32 32 31.857 -0.357

Observations:

Once again, the 49ers are atop this list even though not a single objective site ranks them as #1.

Team Efficiency is keeping their position of extremely bullish on the Panthers. Though the other sites are starting to catch on as Carolina has risen an average of 5 spots this week.

I'm surprised the Ravens didn't drop more, they looked pretty flat against Denver.

8 of the top 12 teams are in the NFC.

9 of the bottom 12 teams are in the AFC (10 of the bottom 13).

Objective Standard Deviation

Objective Jaguars 31 32 31 31 31 31 31 0.350 -0.516 Chiefs 32 31 32 32 32 32 32 0.350 -0.357 Raiders 30 28 30 30 30 30 30 0.700 -0.268 49ers 4 2 2 2 3 2 2 0.728 -0.129 Redskins 9 8 8 10 10 10 9 0.833 -1.213 Saints 14 15 15 14 15 12 15 1.030 -0.531 Eagles 29 26 29 29 27 28 29 1.125 -0.354 Seahawks 2 3 6 5 4 3 3 1.278 -0.258 Packers 5 9 5 7 6 9 5 1.678 -1.270 Bills 22 22 26 26 23 27 26 1.990 -1.699 Jets 25 19 20 22 21 24 24 2.100 -3.522 Texans 10 5 4 4 7 8 4 2.204 0.350 Buccaneers 21 20 22 16 16 17 19 2.250 -2.164 Cowboys 17 16 11 15 12 15 18 2.356 0.238 Chargers 24 24 28 25 29 21 25 2.474 -0.354 Patriots 1 7 3 1 5 1 7 2.556 0.278 Broncos 3 1 1 3 9 4 1 2.642 -0.024 Browns 19 23 23 27 28 25 23 2.778 -0.039 Dolphins 20 18 19 20 26 20 16 2.850 0.482 Cardinals 27 30 25 24 24 23 20 2.914 0.654 Falcons 12 6 7 6 1 5 6 2.997 0.821 Bengals 7 12 14 13 18 13 12 3.010 -0.488 Rams 18 11 16 18 22 19 17 3.104 -0.761 Giants 8 10 9 8 2 6 13 3.162 1.074 Titans 28 29 24 28 19 29 27 3.369 1.193 Bears 6 17 13 9 8 7 8 3.614 0.017 Ravens 13 21 17 11 11 11 11 3.659 -0.457 Steelers/a> 15 13 21 19 20 18 10 3.736 0.864 Lions 16 14 27 23 25 22 21 4.324 -0.896 Panthers 11 4 18 17 14 16 14 4.403 -3.423 Vikings 23 27 10 12 17 14 22 5.841 1.779 Colts 26 25 12 21 13 26 28 6.068 -0.648

Observations:

Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders: terrible across the board

Colts still lacking consistency, though it's slightly better.

Panthers' consistency is improving. Maybe Team Efficiency isn't so crazy in the end?

Pretty good agreement that the Chargers aren't great.

Overall Average

Subj vs Obj 49ers 1.818 2.429 2.123 1.190 Broncos 1.546 3.143 2.344 0.821 Patriots 4.000 3.571 3.786 -1.911 Texans 3.909 6.000 4.955 -1.125 Falcons 3.909 6.143 5.026 2.252 Seahawks 7.000 3.714 5.357 1.115 Packers 5.818 6.571 6.195 0.635 Redskins 8.091 9.143 8.617 2.985 Giants 10.818 8.000 9.409 -3.528 Ravens 10.818 13.571 12.195 -1.797 Bears 14.727 9.714 12.221 -1.460 Bengals 11.909 12.714 12.312 1.739 Cowboys 11.727 14.857 13.292 1.339 Vikings 13.727 17.857 15.792 1.844 Saints 17.727 14.286 16.007 3.686 Steelers 15.546 16.571 16.058 -2.285 Colts 10.727 21.571 16.149 -0.348 Panthers 20.273 13.429 16.851 4.626 Rams 18.636 17.286 17.961 -1.313 Buccaneers 20.273 18.714 19.494 -3.488 Dolphins 19.818 19.857 19.838 1.690 Jets 22.818 22.143 22.481 -1.453 Browns 22.546 24.000 23.273 -1.489 Lions 27.455 21.143 24.299 -2.981 Chargers 24.364 25.143 24.753 -2.503 Bills 25.273 24.571 24.922 -1.041 Titans 24.182 26.286 25.234 1.999 Cardinals 27.182 24.714 25.948 2.342 Eagles 28.546 28.143 28.344 -1.174 Raiders 29.818 29.714 29.766 0.677 Jaguars 31.273 31.143 31.208 -0.413 Chiefs 31.727 31.857 31.792 -0.633

Observations:

49ers still the top dog overall, though the Broncos are nipping at their heels.

Texans beat the Colts and still drop overall, interesting.

Redskins are surging quite nicely. The NFC East is a pretty fun race to watch this year.

Panthers also surging.

Giants were absolutely embarrassed this week, and their rankings reflect it appropriately.

Overall Standard Deviation

Subj vs Obj Chiefs 31.727 31.857 0.416 -0.552 Jaguars 31.273 31.143 0.416 -0.396 Raiders 29.818 29.714 0.629 -0.416 Redskins 8.091 9.143 0.764 -0.900 49ers 1.818 2.429 0.780 -0.262 Eagles 28.546 28.143 0.951 -0.185 Packers 5.818 6.571 1.197 -1.005 Patriots 4.000 3.571 1.740 0.028 Seahawks 7.000 3.714 1.789 -0.872 Bills 25.273 24.571 1.826 -1.002 Chargers 24.364 25.143 1.886 -0.231 Texans 3.909 6.000 1.909 0.221 Broncos 1.546 3.143 1.922 0.017 Buccaneers 20.273 18.714 2.055 -1.283 Rams 18.636 17.286 2.157 -0.549 Saints 17.727 14.286 2.240 0.861 Jets 22.818 22.143 2.266 -1.831 Dolphins 19.818 19.857 2.315 0.207 Cardinals 27.182 24.714 2.347 0.364 Falcons 3.909 6.143 2.370 -0.235 Browns 22.546 24.000 2.378 -0.105 Steelers 15.546 16.571 2.415 0.342 Bengals 11.909 12.714 2.462 -0.036 Cowboys 11.727 14.857 2.505 0.575 Giants 10.818 8.000 2.825 1.139 Ravens 10.818 13.571 2.961 -0.314 Titans 24.182 26.286 3.037 1.303 Bears 14.727 9.714 3.505 0.531 Lions 27.455 21.143 4.230 -0.640 Vikings 13.727 17.857 4.282 0.671 Panthers 20.273 13.429 4.560 -1.505 Colts 10.727 21.571 6.536 -0.893

Observations:

Yep, the Redskins are consistently that good.

18 green arrows, 14 red arrows. Slowly becoming more consistent overall.

Again, no surprise the Colts are at the bottom of this list again this week.

Difference in Averages

Subj vs Obj Colts 10.727 21.571 10.844 -1.304 Vikings 13.727 17.857 4.130 -0.597 Cowboys 11.727 14.857 3.130 1.141 Ravens 10.818 13.571 2.753 -0.952 Falcons 3.909 6.143 2.234 -1.959 Titans 24.182 26.286 2.104 1.820 Texans 3.909 6.000 2.091 0.250 Broncos 1.546 3.143 1.597 0.176 Browns 22.546 24.000 1.455 1.523 Redskins 8.091 9.143 1.052 0.756 Steelers 15.546 16.571 1.026 0.571 Bengals 11.909 12.714 0.805 2.157 Chargers 24.364 25.143 0.779 0.279 Packers 5.818 6.571 0.753 -1.088 49ers 1.818 2.429 0.610 1.985 Chiefs 31.727 31.857 0.130 -0.552 Dolphins 19.818 19.857 0.039 1.346 Raiders 29.818 29.714 -0.104 0.282 Jaguars 31.273 31.143 -0.130 0.461 Eagles 28.546 28.143 -0.403 -0.562 Patriots 4.000 3.571 -0.429 -2.179 Jets 22.818 22.143 -0.675 -0.368 Bills 25.273 24.571 -0.701 0.810 Rams 18.636 17.286 -1.351 0.445 Buccaneers 20.273 18.714 -1.558 1.703 Cardinals 27.182 24.714 -2.468 -0.138 Giants 10.818 8.000 -2.818 -1.307 Seahawks 7.000 3.714 -3.286 1.407 Saints 17.727 14.286 -3.442 -3.556 Bears 14.727 9.714 -5.013 -1.990 Lions 27.455 21.143 -6.312 0.324 Panthers 20.273 13.429 -6.844 -0.889

Observations:

Colts still grossly overrated. Though it got slightly better this week (10.7% improvement).

Holy cow. All of the 9 most under-ranked teams are in the NFC. Is this on purpose?

Even though it was unanimous on the subjective side, the Seahawks at #7 are about 50% under-ranked.

Panthers are being slept on now.

Sources