Every fan of a losing team in the NFL is excited about the offseason. Now’s the time for their franchises to draft the next Hall of Fame player or hire a big name coach whose led their previous team to the Super Bowl.

Many fans would love to have Gruden’s grimace or Cowher’s antics prowling their team’s sideline next season. We believe these coaches will take our team from the losers pile and heap us amongst the perennial Super Bowl and playoff contenders.

But is this accurate? For a long time I’ve thought there was something wrong with this logic. It seemed like coaches who went to new teams, after coaching in their first Super Bowl, rarely rekindled their previous success.

To confirm my theory, I decided to pull all the numbers from the twenty-two coaches who went to a Super Bowl since 1967—win or lose—and then switched to another team or came back to their first team after a hiatus. In the cases of Bill Parcells (four teams), Dan Reeves and Dick Vermeil (three teams), I combined their numbers from their third and forth teams with the majority of coaches who only went on to a second team.

As a note, there are some differences when you look at any person who coached before the NFL-AFL merger, but I’ve left these coaches in the analysis and I’ve added their numbers from pre-merger.