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After winning about five minutes worth of approval from the environmental movement for capping greenhouse gas emissions in the oilsands, Alberta Premier Rachel Notley is facing the uncomfortable task of deciding which projects get to benefit from her now-limited carbon budget.

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Indeed, despite orchestrating a show of unity behind her ‘climate leadership plan,’ the culmination of negotiations involving four major oilsands companies and four major environmental organizations, it’s becoming increasingly clear that hell will freeze over before the rest of Alberta’s oilsands sector lines up behind her with the plan as it is now.

As Glen Schmidt, president and CEO of Laricina Energy Ltd., one of Alberta’s junior oilsands companies, put it: “The group of four may have provided some views to the government that has allowed the government to say, ‘Here is our framework,’” he said in an interview. “The group of four doesn’t speak for the industry. The group of four speaks for themselves. And now we need to get into the heavy lifting of how we are going to manage under the policy position that the government has stated.”