Last cycle, nine members left Congress to try to become governor and five ended up winning the state’s top job. But this cycle will be a different story. While 38 states elected a governor in 2017 or 2018, just 14 states will elect a governor in the next two years. And fewer opportunities to move up will limit the exodus from the House.

Currently, there’s just one House member running for governor, and he doesn’t have to give up his seat to do it.

[Election Guide 2020]

Republican Ralph Abraham is running in Louisiana this year, which means he could hypothetically run for re-election next year if he falls short in the statewide race. Abraham could face former Louisiana GOP Rep. John Fleming in the initial jungle primary and Democratic Gov. John Bel Edwards in a competitive general election.

Kentucky Rep. James Comer flirted with running for governor this year, but the filing deadline passed with the congressman declining to challenge wealthy Gov. Matt Bevin in the Republican primary. Mississippi will also elect a governor this year, but no members are mentioned as potential candidates.