After that double episode, the tribe shook up a bit. Let’s see where everyone falls

1. Nick – Nick is still on top despite being on the wrong side of the vote. Somehow no one is targeting him. The move was more against Carl than Nick. I think Nick can slide back in with his alliance easily. Nick is a threat at the end and the only way he doesn’t win is Christian being there. Overall, Nick took a hit but it did not hurt him enough to knock him down.

2. Davie – Davie just lost his number 2 ally and he is still number 2. Davie still has a great shot to win due to his likability but that could be his downfall. Davie is safe this vote due to other targets like Christian and Alison. Davie needs to cut Nick to win. I’m not sure he knows that but it would be close. Overall, Davie is a possible winner.

3. Kara – Of the Goliaths, she has the best shot of getting to the end. She is playing an under the radar game that is more based on her relationships. I’m not sure that the jury respects that but she does have a connection with everyone currently on the jury. She can win if she is with two other Goliaths. With Gabby possibly flipping, a girls alliance might happen. Kara is a solid player who could win due to the jury liking her more.

4. Gabby – Gabby made a big move and is not stopping anytime soon. She needed Carl out because he was slowly phasing her out. The Christian move in the preview could work if she makes a girls alliance because Nick will go after her if she pulls this off. Gabby needs to be the last David standing in order to win. All the other Davids beat her currently. Gabby has a shot but it is a long shot.

5. Christian – Christian is winning if he gets to the end but no one wants him there. Good news is that he has an idol. Bad news is that his blind spot is Gabby. I don’t think Christian would see Gabby turning on him coming. I am convinced he either goes next episode or he is the finale heartbreak. Christian is the number one winner candidate but I don’t think he is getting there.

6. Alison – Alison almost went to jury and I don’t think her target will go away. Alison has the skill to win but people recognize that. Alison has a tough road to the end but she can beat some of the people left like Mike and Angelina. Alison also has the advantage of being able to win immunity. Overall, Alison and Christian are in the same spot but Christian’s win would be more of a done deal compared to Alison.

7. Angelina – Master negotiator Angelina! Angelina is not respected by the jury. Angelina is a lock for final 4 since almost everyone can beat her. I’ll give her credit for infiltrating the David alliance but, she will lose against almost all of them. I don’t count Angelina out because there is a slim chance that someone could burn bridges enough that people vote for her. Angelina is guaranteed to make finale but she has a 5% chance of winning.

8. Mike – Mike is not winning. He has the celebrity label and he has not done much in the game. Mike is a goat and anyone could beat him. Mike is the most likely to be the zero vote finalist of the season. Mike is not going anywhere but he is drawing dead.

I think that Mike is the most likely to be invisible next episode. Recap is on Thursday.

Grab your stuff and head back to camp!