If you only read one thing: We’re almost there. Polls will close nationwide in a little over two weeks, and already millions of votes have been cast. As we enter the final stretch here is what we know. Hillary Clinton is the prohibitive favorite to win on Election Day, with multiple paths to victory. Taking a favorable baseline map for Democrats and expanding it with an impressive field and early voting operation, she will bank enough votes in several key states to ensure victory before Nov. 8. Donald Trump would need to be perfect to win—picking up heavily contested states like North Carolina, Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania. Given the state of polling, the ground game and the television air war such result for him remains unlikely—and that’s before factoring newly-competitive red states like Utah and Arizona. Two weeks out, there is greater uncertainty over just how large her margin is, and what the impact of that will be down-ballot. Polls have been somewhat inconsistent, and most Republicans are running at least several points ahead of Trump, meaning a shift in the margin of victory a few points either way can have a dramatic effect on the makeup of Congress.

With time running down, Trump is devoting ever larger portions of his stump speech to an airing of campaign grievances against Clinton, the media, polls, and members of his own party. His angry tirades are becoming his core message, further deepening both his hole with voters at large and the anger and resentment of his own supporters.

Meanwhile, Democrats are fretting about the Obama administration’s announcement that premiums for the Affordable Care Act aka Obamacare will rise significantly next year. In a normal year this would dominate the news cycle, but Trump hasn’t seized on the issue, nor has he displayed the type of discipline to ensure that his message on the subject resonates. But it may be a significant boost to down-ballot Republicans who need all the help they can get.

Trump’s campaign manager saves face. His running-mate name-checks Dewey. And Obama gets funny about Trump.

Here are your must reads:

Must Reads

Trump at Raucous Rally: Clinton ‘Lies More Than Any Human Being’

As Election Day approaches, Trump grows more angry [Washington Post]

Obamacare Premiums Will Increase by Double-Digit Percentages Next Year

GOP gets a talking point [Associated Press]

Donald Trump Argues Polling Methods Are Rigged Against Him

Unskew the polls! [TIME]

Presidential Campaigns Haven’t Agreed To ‘Acceptable’ Post-Election Press Access

The White House Correspondents’ Association says not having a protective pool would be a “serious breach of historical precedent.” [Huffington Post]

How the GOP’s First Female Presidential Campaign Manager Manages Donald Trump

Trump’s campaign manager looks to save face

What’s in a Name? When It’s ‘Trump Place,’ It’s a Revolt

Marquee Trump property looks for a split [New York Times]

Get our Politics Newsletter. The headlines out of Washington never seem to slow. Subscribe to The D.C. Brief to make sense of what matters most. Please enter a valid email address. Sign Up Now Check the box if you do not wish to receive promotional offers via email from TIME. You can unsubscribe at any time. By signing up you are agreeing to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy . This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply. Thank you! For your security, we've sent a confirmation email to the address you entered. Click the link to confirm your subscription and begin receiving our newsletters. If you don't get the confirmation within 10 minutes, please check your spam folder.

Sound Off

“You had this glamorous guy named Dewey…Truman wasn’t having any of it.” — Indiana Gov. Mike Pence to Rush Limbaugh, comparing the 2016 race to 1948

“I’ve been endorsed largely, at least conceptually, by the military.” — Donald Trump to a Jacksonville TV station

Bits and Bites

Professor Joe Biden? [Politico]

GOP Looks to Ex-Marine Ward Baker in Bid to Keep Senate Control [Wall Street Journal]

Fearing Trump, Bar Association Stifles Report Calling Him a ‘Libel Bully’ [New York Times]

President Obama Says He Laughs ‘Most of the Time’ At Donald Trump [TIME]

Watch Elizabeth Warren Turn Donald Trump’s ‘Nasty Woman’ Line Against Him [TIME]

Donald Trump’s Visit to Mexico Could Have Gone Better, President Peña Nieto Says [TIME]

President Obama Takes Aim at Republicans for Sticking By Trump [TIME]

Trump took $17 million in insurance for damage few remember [Associated Press]

Trump brand loses luster with affluent [Associated Press]

Breitbart coordinated with liberal activist and organizer who disrupted GOP primary campaign events [Politico]

Poll: Young voters now coming through for Hillary Clinton [Associated Press]

Trump on porn actress who accused him of misconduct: ‘Oh, I’m sure she’s never been grabbed before’ [CNN]

Contact us at letters@time.com.