By Noah Lieberman

Ballotcraft is a fantasy politics game (think fantasy football, but for politics). Play against your friends and win by best predicting what’s going to happen in upcoming elections. Sign up and play here: www.ballotcraft.com.

With the second Republican debate on the horizon, it’s time to start planning how you’ll best the competition on debate night in Ballotcraft’s upcoming game. Here are three suggestions for that night which will keep you ahead of the rest of your league.

Strategy 1: If they don’t get going early, they won’t at all

With the news earlier this week that CNN will be expanding the already bloated field for their September 16th debate to make room for Carly Fiorina, the sheer number of options on debate night may seem overwhelming. A good performance could come out of nowhere for many of these candidates, with almost no way of knowing at the start of the debate. But if you are willing to wait a little bit longer, you’ll have a much better idea of who will win in the end. At the end of the first commercial break of the last debate, only four candidates, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, and Scott Walker, had prices in double digits. Of those four only Scott Walker received no votes from our focus group, and only John Kasich received any votes without being in that set. So if you are trying to find the candidate who will win it all at the end, a half-hour wait may not be a bad idea.

Strategy 2: Go with big personalities to make early money

If, on the other hand, you are trying to make some quick credits so you’ll have more to throw around later in the night, you’ll want to look at a different set of candidates. Only four candidates ever saw their price rise above its starting value in the first half hour of the debate, Chris Christie, Donald Trump, Rand Paul, and Scott Walker. While Walker’s modest rise can mostly be attributed to the support of the traders coalescing around him, the other three shared one thing in common. They are all big personalities who held nothing back with their first impressions, and they each saw their stock price rise to 35, 64, and 85 percent higher than its initial value sometime in the first half hour. Be careful though, each of these three candidates saw their prices fall over the commercial break and only Paul saw it rise again. The real question is who will fall into this group this time around, with some candidates, like Mike Huckabee and Ted Cruz, desperate to get back in the race.

Strategy 3: Play it safe at the end

For those looking to win their leagues, however, only one strategy will work to get you there. You have to be invested in the candidate who wins the vote of the focus group. While there is a good chance selling out before the end of the night and sitting on your earnings could place you up near the top, getting the huge payout will always put you above the rest. But in the last debate, four candidates split the final vote pretty evenly, with Marco Rubio eventually edging out Jeb Bush, John Kasich, and Rand Paul. If this debate is anywhere as close as the last one, investing in one candidate is just too risky. I recommend picking two or three of the top contenders to invest in equally near the end, paying close attention to how the prices faired during the critically important end of the debate.

Noah Lieberman is the founder of election forecasting website PollingLab. Click here to see more of his analysis of the 2016 election.