Updated 5:30 p.m.

The nation will be more energy independent in the future as it boosts its production of oil, natural gas and renewable power such as solar and wind, the U.S. government predicted Monday.

Domestic crude oil production is expected to jump more than 20% in the coming decade, from 5.5 million barrels per day in 2010 to 6.7 million barrels per day in 2020 -- a level not seen since 1994, according to an annual forecast released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Much of that growth comes from tight oil, which is forced from shale rock in North Dakota's Bakken area.

FOLLOW: Green House on Twitter

Also, U.S. production of natural gas is projected to increase so much that it will exceed consumption early in the next decade. Renewables will take off, too, accounting for 16% of the U.S. electric supply in 2025 -- up from 10% today. As a result, the U.S. will import less energy. Net imports will account for 13% of total energy consumption in 2035, down from 22% in 2010.

The report comes within a week of the Obama administration's rejection of the 1,700-mile Keystone XL pipeline, which would have carried tar sands from Alberta, Canada, through seven U.S. states to Gulf Coast refineries.

Despite the projections, the U.S. will still depend on oil imports from the Persian Gulf, half of which Keystone XL could have replaced, says Rayola Dougher of the American Petroleum Institute, an industry group. She says the U.S. is producing more crude oil because of technological advances, not policy changes.

Daniel J. Weiss of the Center for American Progress, a think tank opposed to Keystone, says the report shows that the U.S. does not need the pipeline for its energy security."This is a very cautious projection, and even it says we'll be more energy independent," he says.

"These projections reflect increased energy efficiency throughout the economy... and projected slow economic growth," EIA's Acting Administrator Howard Gruenspecht said in announcing them. The report offers projections through 2035, based on already implemented policies or final regulations. It does not assume the near doubling in fuel economy standards that President Obama has proposed for vehicles made between 2017 and 2025.

In an interview, Gruenspecht said he's struck by the U.S. oil boom. "The speed of tight oil production recently is impressive," he said. "Some people might find it frightening."

The report also finds:

U.S. demand for energy will continue to increase but at a slower pace because of efficiency advances.

The nation's energy-related carbon dioxide emissions will remain below 2005 levels for the next 25 years.

Coal's share of overall electricity generation will fall from 49% in 2007 to 39% in 2035.

The fossil fuel share of energy consumption falls from 83% of total U.S. energy demand in 2010 to 77% in 2035.

In late spring, the Energy Information Administration plans to release its full 2012 report, including projections with differing assumptions on the price of oil, the rate of economic growth and the characteristics of new technologies.