In the battle for the United States Senate, Democrats have very few potential pickup opportunities. One of those opportunities is in the state of Arizona where Arizona Republicans recently nominated Congresswoman Martha McSally to take on Democratic Congresswoman Kyrsten Sinema. The latest Gravis Marketing poll of Arizona likely voters gives McSally a narrow 49%-48% edge. McSally benefits from a more solidified base (Republicans back her 86%-13% with only 1% undecided while Democrats back Sinema 82%-14% with 4% undecided). Sinema holds a 54%-42% edge among independents in this poll.

On the Gubernatorial side, incumbent Governor Doug Ducey has consolidated his base after winning denomination. Ducey now holds a 48%-44% lead over David Garcia. Ducey holds 82%-10% of Republicans while Garcia only takes 74%-18% of Democrats. Garcia leads among independents 52%-38%. Ducey has also seen quite a bit of positive movement on the approval rating side of things, Arizona voters now approve of the job he is doing by a 52%-43% margin. In June, Gravis found Ducey with a 41%-47% approval spread.

Other approval ratings measured in the state are both underwater. Trump is at 45%-52% and Flake is at 40%-47%. The two other races measured in the poll show Republican advantages as well. Steve Gaynor, who recently defeated the incumbent Secretary of State in the Republican primary, currently leads Democrat challenger Katie Hobbs 45%-40%. For treasurer, Republican Kimberly Yee leads Democrat Mark Manoil 49%-38%.

Voters prefer candidates for Congress who will not back Nancy Pelosi for Speaker by a 49%-19% margin. They are split at 42% over the effect a candidate’s support for impeaching President Trump would effect their vote. Voters narrowly prefer a candidate for Senate who would vote to confirm Brett Kavanaugh 40%-38%. They feel that Kavanaugh is qualified (49%-28%) and that the Senate should consider his nomination (46%-39%).

Approval of the main stream media is at 45%-48%. Strong disapproval for Republicans is at 60% while strong approval from Democrats is at 45%. Rounding out the issues, voters disapprove of tax reform (35%-38%), support same sex marriage (56%-30%), oppose a complete abortion ban (50%-32%) and a 20-week abortion ban (43%-38%), support anti-discrimination laws to protect LGBTQ individuals (52%-23%), oppose withdrawing from the Iran Nuclear Deal (45%-37%) and oppose a border wall (48%-45%). Arizonans feel that the Russia investigation is justified by a 46%-44% margin and approve of the job Special Counsel Robert Mueller is doing by a 50%-34% margin.

This poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research and data firm. This poll of 882 likely voters was conducted September 5th through September 7th and has a margin of error of ±3.3%. The survey was conducted using an online panel of cell phone users and interactive voice responses (IVR). This poll was not commissioned by any campaign committee or other organization and was paid for by Gravis Marketing. Results are weighted by voting demographics. Questions can be direction to the managing partner of Gravis Marketing, Doug Kaplan.