Election 2016 results game: See how accurate your election predictions were

Updated

12 key election battles - and your predictions

We asked for your predictions on how the key contests will pan out. Now all of the results are in, check to see how you went — and explore the important battlegrounds.

1. Coalition claims victory

In the weeks following the election, we were faced with the prospect of a hung parliament, and the ABC's election analyst Antony Green grew ever more confident that the Coalition would be able to form minority government.

When counting concluded, the Coalition had just enough seats to govern in their own right. The majority of you correctly predicted this.

The election results game is an interactive component which is not supported on this platform. For the full experience, you will need a modern web browser with JavaScript enabled. Find out more about browser support at ABC News Digital.

2. Barnaby beats Tony

Deputy prime minister Barnaby Joyce faced a challenge from a resurgent Tony Windsor in the seat of New England. Mr Windsor had served in the seat for 12 years before retiring at the 2013 election.

Those of you who played our game were evenly split on this one. The minority turned out to be right: Just as he triumphed over Johnny Depp, Mr Joyce held out over Mr Windsor.

3. The X factor was strong

South Australian independent Nick Xenophon has caused all kinds of jitters this election among the two major parties.

Polling indicated his new Nick Xenophon Team (NXT) was on track to win Upper House seats in addition to his own, and ABC election analyst Antony Green thinks it's breaking down the two-party duopoly, which is pretty significant.

NXT managed to secure three senate spots, which you were spot on about.

4. Pyne holds out against team X

Xenophon's party also ran candidates in the Lower House, and the senator's home turf of South Australia was its dominant target.

Matthew Wright, an emergency room physician in Adelaide, ran against Liberal frontbencher Christopher Pyne for NXT in the east Adelaide electorate of Sturt.

More than 60 per cent you thought the senior Liberal figure would be able to hold onto his seat, and you've been proved right.

5. Albo holds his seat

Labor favourite Anthony Albanese, who narrowly lost out on the party leadership after the last election, faced a prominent Green campaign in his seat of Grayndler.

Albanese, who has held the inner-Sydney seat since 1996, also lost some of his support in a redistribution after the 2013 election.

Most of you thought the sometime-DJ known as Albo would hang onto his seat, and you've been proved right.

6. David Feeney retains Batman

The Labor MP for the seat of Batman, in Melbourne's inner north, had an unfortunate start to the campaign: it was revealed he failed to declare a $2.3 million house as a pecuniary interest and he later struggled to articulate key party policy during an interview on Sky News.

The Greens were hoping to win the hearts of disaffected Labor voters and claim Batman from Feeney. Most of you got this one wrong: Feeney has ended up holding his seat, though on a much reduced margin.

7. The fate of the former PUPs

Glenn Lazarus and Jacqui Lambie were founding members of Clive Palmer's Palmer United Party (PUP), but things went very pear-shaped and both ended up leaving — Lazarus last year and Lambie in 2014.

Lazarus, from Queensland, who quit PUP after the party sacked his wife, contested on behalf of the Glenn Lazarus Team. Jacqui Lambie ran as leader of the Jacqui Lambie Network. 41 per cent of you correctly predicted that only Lambie would be returned.

8. The question of Ricky Muir

Another senator elected in 2013 with a very low primary vote, Ricky Muir of the Australian Motoring Enthusiast Party, is attempting to retain his Victorian senate seat.

Changes to Senate voting laws earlier this year made it harder for micro parties to reach Parliament, which gave over 80 per cent of you the confidence to predict Muir wasn't sticking around.

9. Pauline Hanson has another go

The right-wing Queenslander and leader of the Pauline Hanson's One Nation party served as the independent Member for Oxley between 1996 and 1998. She has unsuccessfully contested various state and federal elections since then.

Only 37 per cent of you predicted her return to parliament, but don't feel too bad; very few could have predicted her One Nation party would score as many as four senate seats.

10. The TV personality versus the former PM

Channel Ten's Australian Idol made James Mathison a bit of a household name and now, more than a decade later, he started challenged former prime minister Tony Abbott in his Sydney seat of Warringah.

Abbott has easily won the seat in every election since 1994, and won easily again. Most of you accurately predicted Mathison's share of the primary vote.

11. Eden-Monaro no longer a bellwether

Bellwethers are the seats that generally fall to whomever ends up winning the election. Many are in New South Wales: it's the largest state, so trends there tend to more closely follow what happens nationally, according to ABC election analyst Antony Green.

Their significance is debatable — "that seats are bellwethers at all is often entirely due to coincidence", Green writes — but in any case they retain their fascination among election watchers.

Eden-Monaro was the country's most famous bellwether: it had been won by the party forming government at every election since 1972.

Labor's Mike Kelly has won it this time around, taking the seat from the Liberals' sitting member, Peter Hendy. 39 per cent of you predicted this.

12. Oakeshott's quest ends

Rob Oakeshott, former independent member for Lyne and one of the holy trinity who helped Julia Gillard to power in 2010, announced a late bid for the seat of Cowper, on the mid-north coast of New South Wales.

Two out of three of you correctly predicted Oakeshott wouldn't be returning to Parliament.

Credits





Topics: federal-elections, elections, government-and-politics, australia

First posted