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Arkansas' comeback win at LSU on Saturday kept the Razorbacks firmly on the bubble.

The victory resulted in a jump of six spots to No. 43 in the NCAA's official RPI, which is a major factor used by the NCAA Tournament selection committee. That is just within the typical range of at-large bids.

As noted in our story last Sunday, the highest RPI of a Power Five team to be left out of the tournament since the field expanded to 68 teams in 2011 was No. 49 Missouri in 2014.

So let's compare that Tigers squad to this year's Arkansas team...

21-10 (9-9) Regular-season record 18-7 (7-5) 8th SEC Tourney seed 4th 49 RPI 43 74 Strength of schedule 79 151 Non-conf. SOS 55 2 (home vs. 14, 42) Top 50 RPI wins 2 (home vs. 44; road vs. 46) 5 (home vs. 66, 77, 88; road vs. 55, 77) Wins vs. RPI 51-100 5 (home vs. 57, 74, 91; road vs. 64, 94) 2 (road vs. 120, 124) Losses vs. RPI 101-200 1 (home vs. 121) 0 Losses vs. RPI 201+ 1 (road vs. 242)

Missouri had a signature win - something the Razorbacks currently lack - when it beat a ranked UCLA team at home during non-conference play. The Tigers also lacked a really bad loss, which Arkansas had on the road at Missouri.

However, Arkansas' non-conference strength of schedule this season was much better than the Tigers' during the 2013-14 season. The Razorbacks' overall strength of schedule is slightly worse, but it will likely increase after road trips to South Carolina (Wednesday) and Florida (March 1).

With six games remaining, Arkansas needs only three wins to reach the 21-win mark of Missouri. A four-win finish to reach 22 wins before the SEC Tournament is not outside the realm of possibility, either.

ESPN's Basketball Power Index (BPI), a metic with multiple factors that generates season projections, gives the Razorbacks at least a 71 percent chance to win in half of their final six regular-season games. They are large underdogs at South Carolina and Florida and slight underdogs at Auburn, as seen in this chart:

at South Carolina 23.4 vs. Ole Miss 74.3 vs. Texas A&M 74.0 at Auburn 43.1 at Florida 5.9 vs. Georgia 71.7

Using these figures, you can calculate how likely it is for Arkansas to finish 6-0, 0-6 or anywhere in between.

6-0 0.23 5-1 5.08 4-2 23.56 3-3 37.97 2-4 25.11 1-5 7.29 0-6 0.78

The Razorbacks have a 28.9 percent chance to win at least four games down the stretch, which would get them to 22-9 entering the SEC Tournament. If they go 1-1 in the SEC Tournament like Missouri did in 2014, Arkansas would be sitting at 23-10 on Selection Sunday.

As for the RPI, using the RPI Wizard tool, Arkansas would be about No. 32 with losses to South Carolina and Florida and wins against everyone else. That would be well within the typical at-large bid range.

Assuming Arkansas remained fourth in the SEC standings and lost to the No. 5 seed - which is currently Alabama - in the first round of the SEC Tournament, it would still stay in the top 40 in the RPI.

Even if you add a loss to Auburn for a 3-3 finish, Arkansas' projected RPI would be No. 40, which is also usually good enough for an at-large bid. That would likely require a win in the SEC Tournament, though.

This may seem like putting the cart ahead of the horse, as the Razorbacks have proven to be inconsistent, but there is definitely a clear path to the NCAA Tournament.

RPI and advanced metrics for SEC teams

RPI and advanced metrics for Arkansas' non-conference opponents

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