On Wednesday, Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi suggested that three key U.S. industries amounting to about one-fifth of the nation’s economy are now in contraction — spelling trouble for jobs around the country:

Moody’s Analytics’ Mark Zandi says one-fifth of economy – manufacturing, farming, and shipping – is essentially in recession. #economy — Chris Rugaber (@ChrisRugaber) October 2, 2019

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It should be noted that a recession in these industries will be particularly devastating for areas of the country that supported President Donald Trump. States like Iowa, for example, are heavily reliant on agriculture — possibly one of the reasons Iowa has seen one of the sharpest approval swings against the president as the trade war has cut farm exports.