From Timelines

This is a timeline of Carl Shulman publications. This timeline covers only publicly published work; Shulman apparently has "a giant folder of hundreds of blog post drafts to throw interesting ideas, citations, and links to" that this timeline does not cover.[1]

Big picture

Venue Time period Details Overcoming Bias 000000002006-12-01-0000 December 2006 – 000000002013-02-01-0000 February 2013 The Overcoming Bias About page states: "In '12, Robin wanted to cut back to make more time to write a book, and so Katja Grace, Rob Wiblin, and Carl Shulman joined as new-co-bloggers."[2] Robin Hanson introduces Shulman in a post on October 9, 2012.[3] Formal publications 000000002009-01-01-0000 2009 –present LessWrong 000000002009-03-01-0000 March 2009 – 000000002013-06-01-0000 June 2013 80,000 Hours 000000002011-11-01-0000 November 2011 – 000000002012-02-01-0000 February 2012 The 80,000 Hours website states Shulman was "Director of Careers Research in early 2012".[4] *Reflective Disequilibrium* 000000002012-03-01-0000 March 2012 – present Effective Altruism Forum 000000002013-11-01-0000 November 2013 – present

Full timeline

The "Comment count" column applies only to blog posts and relies on the comment counting provided by Disqus, Blogger, LessWrong, etc. (as the case may be) rather than manually counting up the comments. The column is blind to the identity of the commenter (e.g. a comment by Shulman himself counts as a comment, as well as any uncaught spam). The comment counts are as of June 5, 2017.

The "Word count" column was produced by the simple process of copying the text of the post into a buffer in Vim and counting with g CTRL-G . In the handful of cases checked, this matched the output of GNU wc 's wc -w . Blockquotes, footnotes, and tables were included in the count to make the process easier. For PDFs, a text dump was created by attempting to select all text with CTRL-A , in two PDF readers, Chrome on Linux and either PDF.js or Atril (in parentheses). For posts that were crossposted between *Reflective Disequilibrium* and another blog, the one on the former was used. Word counts are as of July 5, 2017.

Meta information on the timeline

How the timeline was built

The original timeline was written by Issa Rice. Vipul Naik provided funding through a stipend but no specific task payment.

The timeline was constructed by going through both formal publications and blog posts in various venues with substantive content.

On July 5, 2017 word counts were added at the suggestion of gwern.

Feedback for the timeline can be provided at the following places:

What the timeline is still missing

A quality rating and summary might be useful; see the comment by gwern.

"Will the future be good?" by Nick Beckstead and Carl Shulman is listed as unpublished at [1].

From [2]: Shulman, Carl, and Anna Salamon. 2011. “Whole Brain Emulation as a Platform for Creating Safe AGI.” Talk given at the Fourth Annual Conference on Artificial General Intelligence, Mountain View, CA, August 3–6.

Talk: "What can evolution tell us about the feasibility of artificial intelligence?" [3]

"Risk-averse preferences as AGI safety technique" [4]

Canada essay?

https://intelligence.org/2014/01/31/two-miri-talks-from-agi-11/

Go through new posts on Shulman's blog, EA Forum, LessWrong, and so forth.

See also