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The Shift of Pangaea for cfootball (Updated)

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Joined: 02 Apr 2006

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Location: Unconquered Territory Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 2:49 am Post subject: The Shift of Pangaea for cfootball (Updated)



Although marred by controversy (probation, recruiting violations, and scandals) and inherent flaws (no consensus to how to decide a champion), the college football system has provided state and national heroes that has only caused the popularity of the sport to skyrocket the past few decade. College Football has always been a fix in American history, the New Years Day games being an example of that; but with recent billion dollar TV dollars, new innovative offenses and stars, and the popularity of TV shows like ESPNs College Football Gameday , which was first introduced in 1993 (the highest rated American Sports Show), the sport has hit a new peak in popularity.







The new decade figures to continue flourishing with news stars being made and big time programs reemerging from the ashes. If the past decade is of any indication, expect the 2010's landscape of college football to be totally made over.



Going into the 21st Centuary



After Florida State won their second National Championship of the decade in the 2000 Sugar Bowl against Michael Vick and the Hookies, they were on top of the college football world, having finished in the top 5 thirteen straight seasons and being renown by many as a dynasty and team of the decade. One would have only expected that success to continue into the millennium.





It wasn't just the Seminoles that were having success. The Nebraska Cornhuskers won back to back national champions and were fixtures at the top of the polls. The Michigan Wolverines had won a national title and were considered the class of arguably the best conference in America, the Big 10 .



The Tennessee Volunteers were highly successful as were the Florida Gators , each winning a National Championships and combining for 6 SEC championships. Penn State bolstered one of the best defenses the sport saw (featuring the top 2 picks in the 2000 NFL draft, All Americans Lavar Arrintong and Courtney Brown ) and one of the best offenses the sport saw (before Bush , Leinart , and Jarrett , there was Kerry Collins, Kijana Carter , and Bobby Engram ) in the decade. Although they did not win a National Title, they had an undefeated season and five 10-win seasons.







The Wisconsin Badgers featured a heisman winner produced some good teams, Kansas State was a program on the rise, Colorado won a national title and if they could have found a way to beat Nebraska, could have played for more, and Ohio State put together strong seasons, despite too many losses to Michigan.



These programs collectively, shaped the face of college football as the premiere football programs going into the 2000's. So how did USC, LSU, Texas, Alabama, Oklahoma, and Georgia , take their place?





Pangaea Shifts



With 120 programs, one would think parity would run rampant. On the contrary, college football usually only has at any given time 10 programs with a legit chance at winning a national title every year. There are many Universities, with the potential to bolster a football powerhouse, but the stars have to align in order for them to maintain that success. This is why college football will always work in cycles. Coaching staffs help build relationships and pipelines with elite high school programs. Two successful recruiting classes could realistically result in half a decade worth of dominance (which is why some coaches can be successful with other coaches talent...see Larry Coker). This is why the wrong hire can set a program back for half a decade, if not longer.



Whenever these coaches depart for other jobs, then the process of rebuilding relationships and getting the elite of the elite starts all over again. Sure having the facilities, alumni support, and tradition will keep you relevant, but it takes the right coaching staff to keep you elite. Some teams struggle for years to get the right fit, and they in turn watch their elite qualities go to waste. This is how certain programs can lay dormant for a decade (see USC in the 90s).



The main thing that sustains programs for long periods of time is the relationships that coaches have within the program. College Football is all about relationships. College Football, maybe more than any other sport and certainly more than the NFL is about relationships. Building relationship with the coaches. Building relationships

with your team. Building relationship with parents, and alumni, and boosters and students and the president. Building relationships with high school coaches, who in turn have no problems or qualms with sending their star players to play for a specific program. This is how pipelines are built and entire regions or states become locked down by certain coaching staffs. The coaches that struggle to build relationships have trouble sustaining success, regardless of how good of an Xs and Os guy they may be.



When it comes to recruiting and selling a program, there is not much tangible difference from USC to Florida and Texas to Oklahoma. The top tier programs all offer great education, great facilities, great gameday experiences, and access to the NFL. Most of the top prospects have anywhere from 20, to 30, to 4o offers from the best colleges all around. Location will always be a factor but when there are three top programs in the state of Florida, its something else that is going to be the deciding factor for a lot of prospects. When a west coast recruit is being courted by USC, and UCLA, and Oregon, and Stanford, and Notre Dame, it is going to come down most of the time to the relationship they have with the coaches. It may sound simple (and it is), but this is why some NFL guys can be successful and then struggle in the college ranks (and vice versa). There are legitimately 25-30 programs capable of producing decade dominant teams, but there are only usually 10 or so coaches capable of getting those programs there. Its no wonder the highest paid coaches tend to produce the best teams.



College football experienced a great shift in power the past decade, and the direct cause for this shift can be attributed to the movement of coaches at the beginning of the decade. Bob Stoops became the Oklahoma headcoach in 1999 after being a successful defensive coordinator for the Gators, inheriting a Oklahoma team with talent and a great recruiting base, but one that had struggled for years.



Mack Brown left North Carolina in 1998 after making them a contender in the ACC to coach at Texas , a program that had not seen a National contender in years. Just recently, Texas was named the top money making University in college football.



Nick Saban left Michigan State in 2000 to coach at LSU , a program that had not won a national title in over four decades; they won one three years later. Mark Richt , the FSU offensive coordinator, left to become the Georgia Headcoach in 2001 after his FSU offense produced a Heisman winning QB and the number 1 ranked offense in the country. Georgia, a program located in fertile recruiting ground, had been a middle of the pack SEC team for decades.



Rich Rodriquez , who was an offensive coordinator for an undefeated Mid Major (Tulane), and offensive power (Clemson), became the West Virginia headcoach in 2001. West Virginia saw some success in the 90's, but was seen as mostly a second teir team in the Big East , after Virginia Tech, Miami, and Syracuse. Urban Meyer , a coordinator at Notre Dame and Colorado State would get his first headcoaching job at Bowling Green in 2001.



Butch Davis , the man that was responsible for reloading the Miami Hurricanes with the most NFL talent a college football program has ever produced, left the Hurricanes to coach the NFLs Cleveland Browns in 2000. Steve Spurrier, the man responsible for bringing the Florida Gators it's first National Title, surprisingly left for the NFL one year after Butch Davis left Miami.



Jim Tressell , a coach that won 4 National Championships at the 1-AA level, became the Ohio State headcoach in 2001, after headcoach John Cooper was fired for once again failing to beat heated rival Michigan (despite averaging nearly 9 wins a season, five 10 win seasons in 6 years, and a 70-30 record in the Big 10).



Pete Carroll , after being fired as a NFL headcoach, became the USC headcoach (I think it's to note that Carrol was not a first or second choice candidate to become headcoach, as many felt they "settled" for him).The Trojans, which saw dominance in the 1970's, had been largely mediocre in the decades that followed.



These coaching changes were like major earthquakes that would reshape the landscape of the college football world. The tectonic plate movement meant that new powers would emerge, new recruiting domination would ensue, and the winners of the 90's would fall to the back.



TV Deals and their impact





With the Big 10 Network being established and ESPN securing a billion dollar deal with the SEC, its apparent that TV will play a large role in establishing dominant teams and conferences. The SEC deals makes it possible for a program like Vanderbilt to receive 20 million dollars a year in TV deals alone, which could make it possible to attract one of the top tier coaches that can build relationships. This means that the other conferences have to play catch up or risk being left behind.



The ACC, Big 12, and Pac 10 all will be looking for TV deals within the next few years (with negotiations looking to pick up within the next year). One has to wonder will they look to stick together to try and get a deal with FOX (who has now lost the rights to the BCS), or will one of them try to form their own network? Will ESPN risk losing Duke and North Carolina for basketball? Will Ted Turner (TNT and TBS) look to get back into the world of College Football/Sports (ACC Basketball on TNT)?



The answer to these questions will be pivotal in trying to predict the future success of these programs. As long as perception plays a key in deciding national championships, then broadcasting will be huge to a conference and their individual programs. Its the difference between a 11-1 LSU getting in the championship game over a 11-1 Oregon.



Conference Realignment



What complicates the broadcasting subject is the fact that rumors have heated up that certain conferences may be looking to add teams. Adding teams means some conference may lose teams, which subsequently creates a domino effect of epic proportions. In the 90s, Penn State joined the Big 10, Miami joined the Big East, Florida State joined the ACC, the Big 12 was formed, the SEC created a championship game, and Notre Dame continued to stay independent.



In the 2000s, the ACC expanded to 12 teams and although it was thought that the conference would become a superconference, the results have been less than stellar. The past two decades have produced changes in conferences and I look for it to be no different in the next decade. If it happens, expect it to cause some programs to become more powerful and others to lose power. At this point, it is survival of the fittest. Conference supremacy will continue to be a hot topic.





Top Rivalries reflect the face of the decade



One easy way to understand who was the most dominant teams of the decade is by looking at the top rivalries. Some rivalries are "throw the record out" affairs, which is why games like Alabama vs Auburn or Army vs Navy will always be special games; regardless of the teams on the field success (or lack there of). But looking back at the past two decades, the best rivalries meant National implications and competitive hatred. In the 90's, these rivalries offered that and more.





5. Florida State vs Miami (FL)







Although Miami fell off towards the end of the decade, this rivalry still offered some of the most memorable moments in college football history. The two programs combined for three national championships and would have likely won more if they did not have to play each other every year (Miami kept FSU from 3 National Titles during the decade).



Decade Winner : Florida State at 6-4



4. Alabama vs Tennessee







One of the more competitive rivalries in the decade, both Alabama and Tennessee had much success in the 90's and played in some of the most classic SEC games since it expanded to 12 teams. The Third Saturday of October was also a game that had National implications as SEC title births were almost always on the line.



Decade Winner: Tennessee at 5-4-1



3. Michigan vs Ohio State









Although Michigan owned the series, this game was always large on a National scale as Heisman winners solidified their place in history (Eddie George, Charles Woodson) and unforgettable moments were achieved (Tim Biakabatuka rushing for 300 yards against undefeated Ohio State). It's the game everyone waited for, as it almost always lived up to the hype.



Decade Winner: Michigan at 7-2-1



2. Tennessee vs Florida







This early September battle became arguably the most anticipated rivalry of the 90's as SEC East supremacy was at stake along with the bragging rights that it brings. While the Vols were chosen by sportswriters year after year to contend for a National Championship, it was Steve Spurriers Gators that kept standing in their way. Peyton Manning, one of the most celebrated quarterbacks in history, went a puzzling 0-4 against the Gators which was only made more humiliating by comments of Spurrier who once commented "You cant spell Citrus without UT".



Decade Winner: Florida at 7-3



1. Florida State vs Florida





Or Bobby vs Steve. This became the rivalry of the decade as every single year produced at least one top 5 team (many years both teams were ranked top 10). The game always had National implications, especially as a end of the year game and it also produced a National Championship game. The rivalry was highlighted by a Florida Qb throwing a football at coach Bobby Bowdens head during warmups, to which Bobby commented "If he played for us, he would have hit me", Spurrier going 0-4-1 at Doak (highlighted by a 34-3 comeback by Florida State) and the Gators ruining FSU's 1997 run at a title. It lacked the tradition of other rivalries, but the intensity and passion here, fueled by fans only separated by a hundred miles, was the elite rivalry of the decade.



The 2000's offered a different variety of rivalry



As the new coaching staffs migrated to new powers, new hatred was born amongst coaches as new recruiting wars were initiated and then intensified. Conference pride also took on a new face with the help of the emergence of the BCS and the SEC became the power that it is known as today. The Big 10, known as the best conference for years, started to get a reputation of being an overrated conference. While rivalries like UF vs FSU faded to the back, old time rivalries caught fire once again. These rivalries would decide many of the National and Conference champions of the 2000's.





5. Utah vs BYU







With the emergence of BCS busters came added emphasis to mid major battles. The Holy War , as many fans refer to this game as, was the most competitive and dynamic of any. The rivalry could have a high scoring shootout one year(41-34 Utah win in 2005), and a defensive battle in another year (3-0 Utah win in 2003) this rivalry was unpredictable, with both teams winning 5 of the 10 games that were played. Urban Meyer added to the hatred by not allowing his Utah team to mention the acronym "BYU" during his tenure, instead they refereed to them as the team down south. In 04, Meyers Utah team would crush BYU on their way to becoming the first non-BCS team to play and win a BCS bowl game.



Decade Winner: Tie at 5-5





4. Ohio State vs Michigan







Like the 90's, this rivalry was lopsided but the pendulum swung to the other side. It was still one rivalry that captured the attention of college football fans almost every year. The game had national implications as Ohio State would almost annually be vying for a trip to the BCS championship and also offered the first number 1 vs number 2 regular season matchup in years (known by many as The Game ). Both teams would feature numerous NFL talents which resulted in both college football fans and NFL enthusiast tuning in each year.



Decade Winner : 8-2 Ohio State



3. LSU vs Arkansas







Georgia vs Florida (SEC Powers), Miami vs Florida State (Highest Rated ESPN games ever), Auburn vs LSU (Battle for the West year after year), and a few other rivalries would likely make more sense to some that are surprised to see this game this high, but this was maybe the most heated rivalry in the SEC the past decade. Not only was it one of the most competitive (2 overtime games, 7 games decided by a touchdown or less) but it went on to decide many times which team would go to the SEC title game. As a late season clash after or around thanksgiving, it was annually the perfect culmination to a great college football season.



Decade Winner: LSU at 6-4



2. Florida vs LSU



These two teams combined for four national championships and was the most consistent rivalry in the best conference in football. Florida spoiled the 2003 LSU Tigers unbeaten season (although they still won a BCS title) and Nick Saban helped to increase traffic to fireronzook.com after pasting Florida by four touchdowns in 2002. Surprisingly, these two teams never met in the SEC championship game, despite arguably being the two most successful teams within their respective divisions. Too bad we never got to see Saban vs Meyer with this rivalry either.



Decade Winner: Florida at 6-4



1. Texas vs Oklahoma







The Red River Shootout lost some of its luster during the 90's as both programs were down but gained its mojo back after Oklahoma won the first national championship of the decade. The beginning of the decade saw Bob Stoops and the Sooners dominate Mack Brown and the Longhorns, as golden boy Chris Simms struggled against annually ferocious Sooner defenses. Arguably the best player of the decade QB Vince Young would even the odds as he led Texas to an undefeated season, national championship, but got it going with a huge blowout of the Sooners. The Rivalry also featured The Play which will go down in both Sooner and college football histories lore, and 5 teams that appeared in national title games, each winning one. With a Heisman winning QB in one corner (Jason White) and the most winningest QB in college football history in the other (Colt McCoy) this rivalry became the rivalry of the decade in college football and one of the best in sports, period.



Decade Winner: Oklahoma at 6-4





We Got Some More Winning To Do



The end of the decade saw some amazing coaching runs come to an end (USC's streak of top 5 finishes) most definitely controversy (Kiffen leaving Tennessee, Meyer retiring for a week). When taking into consideration the moves of certain coaches and the revaming of their respective coaching staffs, its only logic to assume that the face of college football is shifting once again. The 2010's wont look like the end of the 2000's, especially in regards to the sports top powers. This is not a list of the best coaches; best is too subjective and does not take into account variables like program prestige, assistant coaches, and recruiting. Instead, this is a list of current successful coaches that have the best chance to keep on winning going into the new decade. The next 10 years will be as unpredictable as December was to January this off-season, but this is my best attempt at pegging which coaches will continue to have success going forward.



1. Bob Stoops, Oklahoma

Age : 47

Record: 117-29





He's young, recruits at a high level, and has a legacy to continue building, which includes shedding the perception that he is a choke-artist. His 2010 resume may end up looking even more impressive than his 2000 resume, which included becoming the fastest Oklahoma coach to reach 100 wins.



2. Nick Saban, Alabama

Age: 58

Record: 124-50-1





Saban produced an incredible college football tree (both Florida State and Tennessee have Saban disciples as their headcoach) and may go down as this generations greatest college coach, after becoming the first coach since the polls to win two national titles at two different schools. So why isn't he number 1? I doubt he coaches till he is 68, and the SEC will likely make each and every season a challenge.



3. Brian Kelly, Notre Dame

Age: 48

Record: 171-57-2





Kelly has already put together one heck of a career, but he can become special if he can turn the fortunes of the Irish around. I've heard this saying a few times and its absolutely true. If you go undefeated at a BCS school, you go to the hall of fame. If you go undefeated at Notre Dame, you go to Heaven. With a knack of gameplanning and coaching up talent, its no reason Kelly cant be one of the more successful coaches of the next decade.



4. Chris Peterson, Boise State

Age: 45

Record: 49-4





Peterson took the reigns from Hawkins and never looked back. He has led Boise State to two BCS Bowl wins and two undefeated seasons. Going into 2010, he has a realistic shot to lead the first non-BCS team to a BCS Championship game. He may not stick with Boise State after this next season, but either way, its reasonable to expect his success at the collegiate level will continue.



5. Jim Tressell, Ohio State

Age: 57

Record: 87-21





Tressell has dominated Michigan and won a national championship, something his predecessor was not able to do. One would think his fanbase would be anointing him as God after accomplishing what he was hired to accomplish. But after humiliation in championship games, more is wanted from the coach that has won 5 national championships in college football. Tressell is putting together top notch recruiting classes, and his teams should continue to be the cream of the conference. If that is the case, dont be surprised to see Tressell in a few more title games before his career is done.



6. Gary Patterson, TCU

Age: 49

Record: 85-28





TCU, along with Utah and Boise State, has blown up the BCS and helped to increase the talks of of a reformatted championship formula. The man responsible for that is Patterson, who has beaten BCS teams like Oklahoma and Clemson in his tenure. With six 10 win seasons and 9 bowl appearances, it's likely to see TCU continue to thrive as long as Patterson is in charge. The question is would he be willing to leave TCU? He turned down the Minnesota job when it became open, and with the great state of Texas to recruit in, he may not see an incentive to leave (especially if the Mountain West becomes a BCS conference).



7. Kirk Ferentz, Iowa

Age: 54

Record: 97-76





Ferentz has taken Iowa to two Orange Bowls, and has kept them competitive in the Big 10 for the majority of the decade. His teams are known for being hard-nosed and physical; a throwback and contrary to the spread-formation finesse teams of late. Ferentz has been mentioned for some NFL gigs, but none have came to fruition. If he stays at Iowa, expect his teams to be one of the better in the Big 10.





8. Bronco Mendenhall, BYU

Age: 43

Record: 49-15





Mendenhall has brought BYU back to national recognition and has also produced some of the more dynamic quarterbacks of the decade. With the Mountain West Conference gaining more notoriety, he may also be more inclined to stay at BYU for a while. He is young, has a fresh offensive mind, and is a great motivator. Regardless of where he decides to coach, I dont expect to see him fade into obscurity anytime soon.



9. Mark Richt, Georgia

Age: 49

Record: 90-27





Although the past two seasons have brought about criticism, and the Bulldogs failed to reach a BCS championship game despite talented teams, Richt has as impressive as a resume as almost any coach on this list. Georgia under Richt were road warriors, a testament to his coaching, and they more games than any teams of the 2000's. He has struggled against Florida which is a monkey he will have to get off of his back.



10. Les Miles, LSU

Age: 56

Record: 50-14





Miles had an amazing run after taking over for Saban, but he has not been without criticism. Although he won a national title, many critiques say it was with Sabans players and that team still lost two games. I've heard some even claim he is Larry Corker incarnated, but the man who led Oklahoma State to respectability and has produced in the SEC can't be as bad as some of his doubters are saying. He turned down Nebraska, and now is making nearly 4 million dollars a year, a comparable salary to Nick Saban and Urban Meyer. If Les does not start producing like Saban and Meyer, I dont expect him to be at LSU for too much longer. Even if that comes to fruition, I still expect him to continue to win 8-9 games a year, and be one of the biggest winners in the new decade.



11. Mack Brown, Texas

Age: 58

Record: 215-101-1





The lowest national champion on my list, Mack Brown won at North Carolina and Texas, two programs that were down in the dumps before he got there. The only reason I cant put him higher is because current defensive coordinator and head coach in waiting Will Muschamp is patiently waiting to become the headcoach of the team. Muschamp turned down a chance to coach at Tennessee in the SEC, which leads me to believe he feels that his chance to become the Longhorn coach will come sooner rather than later. Still, I dont think Brown is quite satisfied yet, he wants at least another national title.





12. Kyle Whittingham, Utah

Age: 50

Record: 47-17





Whittingham led Utah to a BCS bowl win over Nick Sabans Tigers and is a perfect 5-0 in Bowl Games. The son of a NFL coach, Whittingham has the pedigree and foundation to continue his success as a great college coach and I would not be surprised to see him take his talent to the NFL. That is the reason he is not higher on this list.





13. Bret Bielema, Wisconsin

Age: 40

Record: 38-14





A youngster on the list, Bielema took over for Alvarez and did not miss a beat. Wisconsin continues to be fly under the radar, but if their bowl game against Miami was any indication, then the Badgers may be ready to take that next step into being a BCS contender.



14. Rich Rodriguez, Michigan

Age: 46

Record: 113-78-2





Rich Rod has had some opposition from Michigan faithful that claim he is not a Michigan man, but its no doubt that he is one of the better offensive minds in the country. I'm still not sure that Michigan is his best fit, but there is no doubt in my mind that he will be one of the most successful coaches going forward.



15. Houston Nutt, Ole Miss

Age: 52

Record: 128-79





Nutt did great things at Arkansas and should continue his success at Mississippi. While his 2009 team fell short of expectations, how many times did Tubbervilles Auburn team fall below expectation before they had that undefeated season. Nutt is doing a great job at recruiting, and while he has to compete with Saban, Miles, Petrino, and even Mullen, I expect him to routinely get a nice sized slice of that SEC pie. He will get his, even if it comes in the form of upsets.



16. Jeff Tedford, California

Age: 48

Record: 67-35





Tedford came to prominence after having early success against USC and producing NFL Quarterback prospects like David Carr and Aaron Rodgers. He's a California guy, and should continue to have success in the Pac 10, as he becomes one of the elders of the conference with so many newcomers coming in. Cal does have to stop losing to teams they should be beating.



17. Paul Johnson, Georgia Tech

Age: 52

Record: 126-46





Many doubted whether Johnsons tripple option could work in a BCS conference, and marginal recruits, Johnson proved that it could. Although his teams have been stifled in bowl games when teams had extra time to prepare for it, I believe Johnson is stubborn enough to not adapt. He's still recruiting his guys, and the state of Georgia allows for Johnson to recruit big time athletes that should flourish in his system. If he can get that defense back to being respectable, Johnsons success should continue. I dont see him taking his game to the NFL, either.



18. Mike Riley, Oregon State

Age: 56

Record: 64-47





Riley figures to be the Beaver head coach for as long as they will have him, after not having interest in the USC head coaching job. His teams have been sneaky good during his time there, although there has been some criticism of slow starts. I dont know if I expect a national title from Riley, but a few BCS bowl games could definitely be in store.



19. Bobby Petrino, Arkansas

Age: 48

Record: 54-21





After building Louisville into a BCS bowl contender, Petrino left for the NFL as a hotshot headcoach. After surprisingly leaving the Falcons, his reputation has taken a hit in some regard. Regardless of that, reality is that he is still one of the best coaches in the game, and with Ryan Mallet back as QB, he should start the decade out with success. Getting past Bama, Ole Miss, and LSU to get to SEC Championships will be a daunting task, but getting Arkansas to bowl games annually seems within reach.





20. Butch Davis, North Carolina

Age: 58

Size: 70-38





Davis left the college game for the NFL and returned after a mediocre stint with the Browns. Had he stayed with the Hurricanes, he could have potentially won 2 or 3 national championships, considering the talent those Miami teams had stacked because of his recruiting. He's trying to get UNC at least back to the level that Mack Brown had them in the late 90's, and so far he's done a good job. I cant see UNC ever getting to the level of a National Title contender, but winning ACC titles in the next decade is not out of the question.



Notable Emissions:



Frank Beamer, Virginia Tech





The 63 year old coach has had a great career, turning Virginia Tech into a perennial power. But sadly, I think his career is starting to wind down. He may end up sticking around a lot longer than I expect, ala Joe Paterno, but with a guy like Bud Foster continuing to stick around, I think Frank--who has won over 230 games--may be looking to hang it up relatively soon.



Urban Meyer, Florida





The wildcard in all of this. I've heard from some close to the Florida Program that they dont think the 45 year old coach will coach football anytime soon. I also hear from many that he will be coaching come August. His leave of absence, despite him actively putting finishing touches on his 2010 recruiting class, ultimately leaves his career in doubt. I still anticipate there being more to the Urban Meyer story than what has come out. If he's back by September, He immediately shoots to the top of this list; if not, he'll have to settle for being one of the best coaches on the 2000's.







We Got Next



Unlike the last list, this one is for coaches that look like the future of the sport. These guys are either young, are still early into their headcoaching careers, or are considered top notch coordinators with the potential to be headcoaches. Ten years from now, expect a few of these guys to be national champions. The Urban Meyers of the world had to start from somewhere.



1. Jim Harbaugh , Stanford





The beatdown of the Trojans, Ducks, and Irish, may be the start to the resurgence of Stanford thanks to the 46 year old coach. Will academics hinder them?



2. Lane Kiffen , USC





He's a young (34 years young) USC guy and has a good coaching staff surrounding him. Maybe this is where we finally see what the fuss is about.



3. Bo Pelini , Nebraska





The blackshirts are back, all he needs to do is find some offense. The North is for the taking for this 42 year old coach.



4. Pat Fitzgerald , Northwestern





He'll have Northwestern competing for January Bowl games more times than not. He's one of the youngest coaches in the country (35 years)



5. Greg Schiano , Rutgers





Schiano (43 years old) wants to build Rutgers into a power. If he can monopolize the northeast in recruiting, then it's possible.



6. Chip Kelly , Oregon





Kelly (40 years old) led the Ducks to a Rose Bowl birth. Can he lead them past that?





7. Jimbo Fisher , Florida State





He fixed the anemic offense, but can the 44 year old do the same for the defense?



8. Mike Gundy , Oklahoma State





He's a man, and now he's 42. But can he push them past Cotton Bowl births?



9. Skip Hotlz , South Florida





Holtz (45 years old) is in an ideal situation. He can take the program where Leavitt could not.



10. Steve Sarkisian , Washington





Washington is a potential sleeping giant, and Sarkisians (35 years old) first season at Washington was a good start into awakening them.



11. Charlie Strong , Louisville





Strong (49 years old) finally gets a headcoaching gig after years of putting out top notch defenses at Florida. He has the staff already in place to get Louisville back in the Big East chase.



12. Will Muschamp , Texas (DC)





The head coach in waiting at Texas should not miss a beat when he becomes the man in charge. At 38 years old, he still can soak up game from headcoach Mack Brown while sharpening his skills as a coach.



13. Turner Gill , Kansas





After unseen success at Buffalo, the 47 year old looks to bring his game to the Big 12 North, a division looking for a consistently good team.



14. Gene Chizik , Auburn





Chizik (48 years old) is recruiting like a mad man at Auburn, and after a solid first season could find himself competing for SEC West titles in the near future.



15. Kirby Smart , Alabama (DC)





He's a disciple of Saban and should be one of the hottest names in the country within the next few seasons. It's likely that the 34 year old becomes a head coach sometime during the decade.





Sleeping Giants



We've already discussed how football works in cycles, so its only a matter of time before the Notre Dames, Florida States, Michigans, Nebraskas, and Miamis of the world are back on top. This list though is for programs that have all of the resources to become major college programs if they can get the right situation. For example, this past decade the top 5 sleeping giants that emerged were



5. Georgia

4. Virginia Tech

3. West Virginia

2. Oregon

1. LSU



All of these teams had success prior to the 2000's and a few even won national championships. But each of them were largely considered middle of the pack programs for much of their conception as football programs. The thing that made them sleeping giaints, were their conference affiliation, great alumni support (money), fertile recruiting grounds, and an unwavering fanbase. All of these fans are known for being rowdy, despite not always being the most successful programs, and now each of them have won BCS games. Going forward, which programs have that type of potential to become major in the 2010's?





5. Cincinnati





They are adding to their stadium and after some very successful teams can look to start getting some more traction in the Ohio are for recruiting. Ohio State will always be top dog (does anyone remember Cincy almost upsetting Ohio State in 2002?), but I dont think it's inconceivable that Cincy cant be what Virginia Tech was in the Big East.



4. Washington





Washington has won a national championship before, but they have seem some very dismal lows the past decade, which is amazing since they started off the decade with a bang. This fanbase is too rowdy, this program is too storied, and the west coast has too much talent for Washington to continue to remain a doormat. Can they duplicate the success that Oregon enjoyed in the 2000's?





3. Stanford





Although many feel private institutions with high academic standards wont ever be able to consistently win in the new millennium, I think it will simply take the right situation for it to happen. Stanford may not be able to outrecruit Cal, USC, or Oregon, but like West Virginia in the 2000's, I think its very possible for them to win with talented guys that did not get offered by the the USCs or the Oregons of the West Coast. Consistent 8 win seasons with a few BCS games sprinkled in? I think its possible.



2. Texas A&M





They were the best Texas team of the 90's but one of the worst in the 2000's. The Aggies have a relatively successful past, but lack a post-World War 2 National Title and has consistently been the little brother to the rival Longhorns. I dont know if they have the right coach in place now, but sometime during the next decade, the right coaching staff could allow for them to become the power that they have the potential to be. They have the right recipes for great success (recruiting ground, tradition, fanbase) but just lack the chef. Reminds me of Georgia of the 2000's.





1. Clemson





They have a SEC-like fanbase, a state that cares about their football, a state that produces tons of college prospects, and the money and support that could easily push them to the top. One has to wonder why it has taken so long for Clemson to become a college power. In fact, it reminds me of LSU heading into the 2000's. In fact, I think Clemsons Death Valley at night is comparable to LSUs. Clemson had some good runs in the 80's and were consistent conference champions of the ACC pre-Florida State. But they have failed to live up to expectation since. I dont know if Dabo Sweeney is the man that will take them there, but if by 2020, Clemson is not considered an elite program, it will be the biggest waste of potential in college football.



Next batch of BCS Busters



Provided there is no playoff the next decade, BCS Busters from mid majors will continue to be an annual topic. Ever since Tulans undefeated season, there has seemingly always been one non-BCS program to look to join the party by going undefeated. TCU and Boise State have been two of the more consistent programs to do it. Whats interesting is that it would have been difficult to predict the success of many mid majors at this point 10 years ago.







Boise State, a former junior college, was a member of the Big West Conference, and while TCU was a former Southwest Conference member, they were left out of the Big 12 and were randomly with the WAC conference. A program like USF was an independent whose football program was only four years old. Fastforward 10 years, and each of those programs have risen in terms of perception , with one of them now a BCS power. Who will rise the next decade?



Troy has had success on the field and also has produced some NFL stars. SMU made its first bowl game since the death penalty this past season. Its possible that by 2013, Jacksonville State could move to the FBS. Western Kentucky and FIU have recently moved to FBS and more than a few other FCS schools are hoping to make the move the next decade.



Will there be another USF or Boise State? With parity increasing in college football, I think its possible.



Innovation



With the rise in popularity of spread offenses and the wildcat, college football has continually evolved. While the 90s teams mostly used Pro Style offenses and option offenses, resulting in dominant running games (4 of the Heisman winners of the 90s were running backs), the 2000s teams used short passing games as alternatives to running the ball and 5 wide sets with option reads allowing for QBs to become much more than a pocket QB. This allowed for offensive records to be broken, while defenses played catch up. Tim Tebow, became arguably the player of the decade because of this.



Spread offenses have reduced the need for one brute to carry the ball 25 times a game and maybe that is why the past decade only saw two Heisman winners at RB (and one was as much of a receiver and return man as a running back). Will this trend continue into the 2k10s? Will Paul Johnsons tripple option offense catch on with other programs? To counter the spread, will more big time teams start using the 3-3-5 defense? Florida used it some this past season to get their playmaking safeties on the field. College football is always changing, so the best bet is there will be many changes to both the offensive and defensive side of the ball.





In Closing



College Football will continue to be the sport of choice for this fan, and it might even become crazier if they ever decide on a fair and viable post-season format. Once considered mostly a southern sport, college football is starting to take off in all directions across the country. But one thing remains for sure, the next decade will offer plenty of fresh ups and downs as new national powers will emerge and previous powers will go into hibernation. The only question is what will it look like when the dust settles in 10 years.







-Written by HeHateMe Maybe no other sport in America has united or (in the case of interstate collisions) divided entire regions like college football has over the course of the past century and change. Combining the purity of high school athletics with the skill of professional athletics, college football has managed to combine the best of both worlds for football fans, and can make the case for being the countries past-time.Although marred by controversy (probation, recruiting violations, and scandals) and inherent flaws (no consensus to how to decide a champion), the college football system has provided state and national heroes that has only caused the popularity of the sport to skyrocket the past few decade. College Football has always been a fix in American history, the New Years Day games being an example of that; but with recent billion dollar TV dollars, new innovative offenses and stars, and the popularity of TV shows like ESPNs, which was first introduced in 1993 (the highest rated American Sports Show), the sport has hit a new peak in popularity.The new decade figures to continue flourishing with news stars being made and big time programs reemerging from the ashes. If the past decade is of any indication, expect the 2010's landscape of college football to be totally made over.Afterwon their second National Championship of the decade in the 2000 Sugar Bowl against Michael Vick and the Hookies, they were on top of the college football world, having finished in the top 5 thirteen straight seasons and being renown by many as a dynasty and team of the decade. One would have only expected that success to continue into the millennium.It wasn't just the Seminoles that were having success. Thewon back to back national champions and were fixtures at the top of the polls. Thehad won a national title and were considered the class of arguably the best conference in America, theThewere highly successful as were the, each winning a National Championships and combining for 6 SEC championships.bolstered one of the best defenses the sport saw (featuring the top 2 picks in the 2000 NFL draft, All Americansand) and one of the best offenses the sport saw (before, and, there was, and) in the decade. Although they did not win a National Title, they had an undefeated season and five 10-win seasons.Thefeatured a heisman winner produced some good teams,was a program on the rise,won a national title and if they could have found a way to beat Nebraska, could have played for more, andput together strong seasons, despite too many losses to Michigan.These programs collectively, shaped the face of college football as the premiere football programs going into the 2000's. So how did, take their place?With 120 programs, one would think parity would run rampant. On the contrary, college football usually only has at any given time 10 programs with a legit chance at winning a national title every year. There are many Universities, with the potential to bolster a football powerhouse, but the stars have to align in order for them to maintain that success. This is why college football will always work in cycles. Coaching staffs help build relationships and pipelines with elite high school programs. Two successful recruiting classes could realistically result in half a decade worth of dominance (which is why some coaches can be successful with other coaches talent...see Larry Coker). This is why the wrong hire can set a program back for half a decade, if not longer.Whenever these coaches depart for other jobs, then the process of rebuilding relationships and getting the elite of the elite starts all over again. Sure having the facilities, alumni support, and tradition will keep you relevant, but it takes the right coaching staff to keep you elite. Some teams struggle for years to get the right fit, and they in turn watch their elite qualities go to waste. This is how certain programs can lay dormant for a decade (see USC in the 90s).The main thing that sustains programs for long periods of time is the relationships that coaches have within the program. College Football is all about relationships. College Football, maybe more than any other sport and certainly more than the NFL is about relationships. Building relationship with the coaches. Building relationshipswith your team. Building relationship with parents, and alumni, and boosters and students and the president. Building relationships with high school coaches, who in turn have no problems or qualms with sending their star players to play for a specific program. This is how pipelines are built and entire regions or states become locked down by certain coaching staffs. The coaches that struggle to build relationships have trouble sustaining success, regardless of how good of an Xs and Os guy they may be.When it comes to recruiting and selling a program, there is not much tangible difference from USC to Florida and Texas to Oklahoma. The top tier programs all offer great education, great facilities, great gameday experiences, and access to the NFL. Most of the top prospects have anywhere from 20, to 30, to 4o offers from the best colleges all around. Location will always be a factor but when there are three top programs in the state of Florida, its something else that is going to be the deciding factor for a lot of prospects. When a west coast recruit is being courted by USC, and UCLA, and Oregon, and Stanford, and Notre Dame, it is going to come down most of the time to the relationship they have with the coaches. It may sound simple (and it is), but this is why some NFL guys can be successful and then struggle in the college ranks (and vice versa). There are legitimately 25-30 programs capable of producing decade dominant teams, but there are only usually 10 or so coaches capable of getting those programs there. Its no wonder the highest paid coaches tend to produce the best teams.College football experienced a great shift in power the past decade, and the direct cause for this shift can be attributed to the movement of coaches at the beginning of the decade.became theheadcoach in 1999 after being a successful defensive coordinator for the Gators, inheriting a Oklahoma team with talent and a great recruiting base, but one that had struggled for years.left North Carolina in 1998 after making them a contender in the ACC to coach at, a program that had not seen a National contender in years. Just recently, Texas was named the top money making University in college football.left Michigan State in 2000 to coach at, a program that had not won a national title in over four decades; they won one three years later., the FSU offensive coordinator, left to become theHeadcoach in 2001 after his FSU offense produced a Heisman winning QB and the number 1 ranked offense in the country. Georgia, a program located in fertile recruiting ground, had been a middle of the pack SEC team for decades., who was an offensive coordinator for an undefeated Mid Major (Tulane), and offensive power (Clemson), became theheadcoach in 2001. West Virginia saw some success in the 90's, but was seen as mostly a second teir team in the, after Virginia Tech, Miami, and Syracuse., a coordinator at Notre Dame and Colorado State would get his first headcoaching job atin 2001., the man that was responsible for reloading the Miami Hurricanes with the most NFL talent a college football program has ever produced, left the Hurricanes to coach the NFLsin 2000. Steve Spurrier, the man responsible for bringing the Florida Gators it's first National Title, surprisingly left for the NFL one year after Butch Davis left Miami., a coach that won 4 National Championships at the 1-AA level, became theheadcoach in 2001, after headcoach John Cooper was fired for once again failing to beat heated rival Michigan (despite averaging nearly 9 wins a season, five 10 win seasons in 6 years, and a 70-30 record in the Big 10)., after being fired as a NFL headcoach, became theheadcoach (I think it's to note that Carrol was not a first or second choice candidate to become headcoach, as many felt they "settled" for him).The Trojans, which saw dominance in the 1970's, had been largely mediocre in the decades that followed.These coaching changes were like major earthquakes that would reshape the landscape of the college football world. The tectonic plate movement meant that new powers would emerge, new recruiting domination would ensue, and the winners of the 90's would fall to the back.With the Big 10 Network being established and ESPN securing a billion dollar deal with the SEC, its apparent that TV will play a large role in establishing dominant teams and conferences. The SEC deals makes it possible for a program like Vanderbilt to receive 20 million dollars a year in TV deals alone, which could make it possible to attract one of the top tier coaches that can build relationships. This means that the other conferences have to play catch up or risk being left behind.The ACC, Big 12, and Pac 10 all will be looking for TV deals within the next few years (with negotiations looking to pick up within the next year). One has to wonder will they look to stick together to try and get a deal with FOX (who has now lost the rights to the BCS), or will one of them try to form their own network? Will ESPN risk losing Duke and North Carolina for basketball? Will Ted Turner (TNT and TBS) look to get back into the world of College Football/Sports (ACC Basketball on TNT)?The answer to these questions will be pivotal in trying to predict the future success of these programs. As long as perception plays a key in deciding national championships, then broadcasting will be huge to a conference and their individual programs. Its the difference between a 11-1 LSU getting in the championship game over a 11-1 Oregon.What complicates the broadcasting subject is the fact that rumors have heated up that certain conferences may be looking to add teams. Adding teams means some conference may lose teams, which subsequently creates a domino effect of epic proportions. In the 90s, Penn State joined the Big 10, Miami joined the Big East, Florida State joined the ACC, the Big 12 was formed, the SEC created a championship game, and Notre Dame continued to stay independent.In the 2000s, the ACC expanded to 12 teams and although it was thought that the conference would become a superconference, the results have been less than stellar. The past two decades have produced changes in conferences and I look for it to be no different in the next decade. If it happens, expect it to cause some programs to become more powerful and others to lose power. At this point, it is survival of the fittest. Conference supremacy will continue to be a hot topic.One easy way to understand who was the most dominant teams of the decade is by looking at the top rivalries. Some rivalries are "throw the record out" affairs, which is why games likeorwill always be special games; regardless of the teams on the field success (or lack there of). But looking back at the past two decades, the best rivalries meant National implications and competitive hatred. In the 90's, these rivalries offered that and more.Although Miami fell off towards the end of the decade, this rivalry still offered some of the most memorable moments in college football history. The two programs combined for three national championships and would have likely won more if they did not have to play each other every year (Miami kept FSU from 3 National Titles during the decade).: Florida State at 6-4One of the more competitive rivalries in the decade, both Alabama and Tennessee had much success in the 90's and played in some of the most classic SEC games since it expanded to 12 teams. Thewas also a game that had National implications as SEC title births were almost always on the line.Tennessee at 5-4-1Although Michigan owned the series, this game was always large on a National scale as Heisman winners solidified their place in history (Eddie George, Charles Woodson) and unforgettable moments were achieved (Tim Biakabatuka rushing for 300 yards against undefeated Ohio State). It's the game everyone waited for, as it almost always lived up to the hype.Michigan at 7-2-1This early September battle became arguably the most anticipated rivalry of the 90's as SEC East supremacy was at stake along with the bragging rights that it brings. While the Vols were chosen by sportswriters year after year to contend for a National Championship, it was Steve Spurriers Gators that kept standing in their way. Peyton Manning, one of the most celebrated quarterbacks in history, went a puzzling 0-4 against the Gators which was only made more humiliating by comments of Spurrier who once commented "You cant spell Citrus without UT".Florida at 7-3Or Bobby vs Steve. This became the rivalry of the decade as every single year produced at least one top 5 team (many years both teams were ranked top 10). The game always had National implications, especially as a end of the year game and it also produced a National Championship game. The rivalry was highlighted by a Florida Qb throwing a football at coach Bobby Bowdens head during warmups, to which Bobby commented "If he played for us, he would have hit me", Spurrier going 0-4-1 at Doak (highlighted by a 34-3 comeback by Florida State) and the Gators ruining FSU's 1997 run at a title. It lacked the tradition of other rivalries, but the intensity and passion here, fueled by fans only separated by a hundred miles, was the elite rivalry of the decade.As the new coaching staffs migrated to new powers, new hatred was born amongst coaches as new recruiting wars were initiated and then intensified. Conference pride also took on a new face with the help of the emergence of the BCS and the SEC became the power that it is known as today. The Big 10, known as the best conference for years, started to get a reputation of being an overrated conference. While rivalries like UF vs FSU faded to the back, old time rivalries caught fire once again. These rivalries would decide many of the National and Conference champions of the 2000's.With the emergence of BCS busters came added emphasis to mid major battles., as many fans refer to this game as, was the most competitive and dynamic of any. The rivalry could have a high scoring shootout one year(41-34 Utah win in 2005), and a defensive battle in another year (3-0 Utah win in 2003) this rivalry was unpredictable, with both teams winning 5 of the 10 games that were played. Urban Meyer added to the hatred by not allowing his Utah team to mention the acronym "BYU" during his tenure, instead they refereed to them as the team down south. In 04, Meyers Utah team would crush BYU on their way to becoming the first non-BCS team to play and win a BCS bowl game.Like the 90's, this rivalry was lopsided but the pendulum swung to the other side. It was still one rivalry that captured the attention of college football fans almost every year. The game had national implications as Ohio State would almost annually be vying for a trip to the BCS championship and also offered the first number 1 vs number 2 regular season matchup in years (known by many as). Both teams would feature numerous NFL talents which resulted in both college football fans and NFL enthusiast tuning in each year.: 8-2 Ohio State(SEC Powers),(Highest Rated ESPN games ever),(Battle for the West year after year), and a few other rivalries would likely make more sense to some that are surprised to see this game this high, but this was maybe the most heated rivalry in the SEC the past decade. Not only was it one of the most competitive (2 overtime games, 7 games decided by a touchdown or less) but it went on to decide many times which team would go to the SEC title game. As a late season clash after or around thanksgiving, it was annually the perfect culmination to a great college football season.LSU at 6-4These two teams combined for four national championships and was the most consistent rivalry in the best conference in football. Florida spoiled the 2003 LSU Tigers unbeaten season (although they still won a BCS title) and Nick Saban helped to increase traffic to fireronzook.com after pasting Florida by four touchdowns in 2002. Surprisingly, these two teams never met in the SEC championship game, despite arguably being the two most successful teams within their respective divisions. Too bad we never got to see Saban vs Meyer with this rivalry either.Thelost some of its luster during the 90's as both programs were down but gained its mojo back after Oklahoma won the first national championship of the decade. The beginning of the decade saw Bob Stoops and the Sooners dominate Mack Brown and the Longhorns, as golden boy Chris Simms struggled against annually ferocious Sooner defenses. Arguably the best player of the decade QB Vince Young would even the odds as he led Texas to an undefeated season, national championship, but got it going with a huge blowout of the Sooners. The Rivalry also featuredwhich will go down in both Sooner and college football histories lore, and 5 teams that appeared in national title games, each winning one. With a Heisman winning QB in one corner (Jason White) and the most winningest QB in college football history in the other (Colt McCoy) this rivalry became the rivalry of the decade in college football and one of the best in sports, period.Oklahoma at 6-4The end of the decade saw some amazing coaching runs come to an end (USC's streak of top 5 finishes) most definitely controversy (Kiffen leaving Tennessee, Meyer retiring for a week). When taking into consideration the moves of certain coaches and the revaming of their respective coaching staffs, its only logic to assume that the face of college football is shifting once again. The 2010's wont look like the end of the 2000's, especially in regards to the sports top powers. This is not a list of the best coaches; best is too subjective and does not take into account variables like program prestige, assistant coaches, and recruiting. Instead, this is a list of current successful coaches that have the best chance to keep on winning going into the new decade. The next 10 years will be as unpredictable as December was to January this off-season, but this is my best attempt at pegging which coaches will continue to have success going forward.: 47117-29He's young, recruits at a high level, and has a legacy to continue building, which includes shedding the perception that he is a choke-artist. His 2010 resume may end up looking even more impressive than his 2000 resume, which included becoming the fastest Oklahoma coach to reach 100 wins.58124-50-1Saban produced an incredible college football tree (both Florida State and Tennessee have Saban disciples as their headcoach) and may go down as this generations greatest college coach, after becoming the first coach since the polls to win two national titles at two different schools. So why isn't he number 1? I doubt he coaches till he is 68, and the SEC will likely make each and every season a challenge.48171-57-2Kelly has already put together one heck of a career, but he can become special if he can turn the fortunes of the Irish around. I've heard this saying a few times and its absolutely true. If you go undefeated at a BCS school, you go to the hall of fame. If you go undefeated at Notre Dame, you go to Heaven. With a knack of gameplanning and coaching up talent, its no reason Kelly cant be one of the more successful coaches of the next decade.4549-4Peterson took the reigns from Hawkins and never looked back. He has led Boise State to two BCS Bowl wins and two undefeated seasons. Going into 2010, he has a realistic shot to lead the first non-BCS team to a BCS Championship game. He may not stick with Boise State after this next season, but either way, its reasonable to expect his success at the collegiate level will continue.5787-21Tressell has dominated Michigan and won a national championship, something his predecessor was not able to do. One would think his fanbase would be anointing him as God after accomplishing what he was hired to accomplish. But after humiliation in championship games, more is wanted from the coach that has won 5 national championships in college football. Tressell is putting together top notch recruiting classes, and his teams should continue to be the cream of the conference. If that is the case, dont be surprised to see Tressell in a few more title games before his career is done.4985-28TCU, along with Utah and Boise State, has blown up the BCS and helped to increase the talks of of a reformatted championship formula. The man responsible for that is Patterson, who has beaten BCS teams like Oklahoma and Clemson in his tenure. With six 10 win seasons and 9 bowl appearances, it's likely to see TCU continue to thrive as long as Patterson is in charge. The question is would he be willing to leave TCU? He turned down the Minnesota job when it became open, and with the great state of Texas to recruit in, he may not see an incentive to leave (especially if the Mountain West becomes a BCS conference).5497-76Ferentz has taken Iowa to two Orange Bowls, and has kept them competitive in the Big 10 for the majority of the decade. His teams are known for being hard-nosed and physical; a throwback and contrary to the spread-formation finesse teams of late. Ferentz has been mentioned for some NFL gigs, but none have came to fruition. If he stays at Iowa, expect his teams to be one of the better in the Big 10.4349-15Mendenhall has brought BYU back to national recognition and has also produced some of the more dynamic quarterbacks of the decade. With the Mountain West Conference gaining more notoriety, he may also be more inclined to stay at BYU for a while. He is young, has a fresh offensive mind, and is a great motivator. Regardless of where he decides to coach, I dont expect to see him fade into obscurity anytime soon.4990-27Although the past two seasons have brought about criticism, and the Bulldogs failed to reach a BCS championship game despite talented teams, Richt has as impressive as a resume as almost any coach on this list. Georgia under Richt were road warriors, a testament to his coaching, and they more games than any teams of the 2000's. He has struggled against Florida which is a monkey he will have to get off of his back.5650-14Miles had an amazing run after taking over for Saban, but he has not been without criticism. Although he won a national title, many critiques say it was with Sabans players and that team still lost two games. I've heard some even claim he is Larry Corker incarnated, but the man who led Oklahoma State to respectability and has produced in the SEC can't be as bad as some of his doubters are saying. He turned down Nebraska, and now is making nearly 4 million dollars a year, a comparable salary to Nick Saban and Urban Meyer. If Les does not start producing like Saban and Meyer, I dont expect him to be at LSU for too much longer. Even if that comes to fruition, I still expect him to continue to win 8-9 games a year, and be one of the biggest winners in the new decade.58215-101-1The lowest national champion on my list, Mack Brown won at North Carolina and Texas, two programs that were down in the dumps before he got there. The only reason I cant put him higher is because current defensive coordinator and head coach in waiting Will Muschamp is patiently waiting to become the headcoach of the team. Muschamp turned down a chance to coach at Tennessee in the SEC, which leads me to believe he feels that his chance to become the Longhorn coach will come sooner rather than later. Still, I dont think Brown is quite satisfied yet, he wants at least another national title.5047-17Whittingham led Utah to a BCS bowl win over Nick Sabans Tigers and is a perfect 5-0 in Bowl Games. The son of a NFL coach, Whittingham has the pedigree and foundation to continue his success as a great college coach and I would not be surprised to see him take his talent to the NFL. That is the reason he is not higher on this list.4038-14A youngster on the list, Bielema took over for Alvarez and did not miss a beat. Wisconsin continues to be fly under the radar, but if their bowl game against Miami was any indication, then the Badgers may be ready to take that next step into being a BCS contender.46113-78-2Rich Rod has had some opposition from Michigan faithful that claim he is not a Michigan man, but its no doubt that he is one of the better offensive minds in the country. I'm still not sure that Michigan is his best fit, but there is no doubt in my mind that he will be one of the most successful coaches going forward.52128-79Nutt did great things at Arkansas and should continue his success at Mississippi. While his 2009 team fell short of expectations, how many times did Tubbervilles Auburn team fall below expectation before they had that undefeated season. Nutt is doing a great job at recruiting, and while he has to compete with Saban, Miles, Petrino, and even Mullen, I expect him to routinely get a nice sized slice of that SEC pie. He will get his, even if it comes in the form of upsets.4867-35Tedford came to prominence after having early success against USC and producing NFL Quarterback prospects like David Carr and Aaron Rodgers. He's a California guy, and should continue to have success in the Pac 10, as he becomes one of the elders of the conference with so many newcomers coming in. Cal does have to stop losing to teams they should be beating.52126-46Many doubted whether Johnsons tripple option could work in a BCS conference, and marginal recruits, Johnson proved that it could. Although his teams have been stifled in bowl games when teams had extra time to prepare for it, I believe Johnson is stubborn enough to not adapt. He's still recruiting his guys, and the state of Georgia allows for Johnson to recruit big time athletes that should flourish in his system. If he can get that defense back to being respectable, Johnsons success should continue. I dont see him taking his game to the NFL, either.5664-47Riley figures to be the Beaver head coach for as long as they will have him, after not having interest in the USC head coaching job. His teams have been sneaky good during his time there, although there has been some criticism of slow starts. I dont know if I expect a national title from Riley, but a few BCS bowl games could definitely be in store.4854-21After building Louisville into a BCS bowl contender, Petrino left for the NFL as a hotshot headcoach. After surprisingly leaving the Falcons, his reputation has taken a hit in some regard. Regardless of that, reality is that he is still one of the best coaches in the game, and with Ryan Mallet back as QB, he should start the decade out with success. Getting past Bama, Ole Miss, and LSU to get to SEC Championships will be a daunting task, but getting Arkansas to bowl games annually seems within reach.5870-38Davis left the college game for the NFL and returned after a mediocre stint with the Browns. Had he stayed with the Hurricanes, he could have potentially won 2 or 3 national championships, considering the talent those Miami teams had stacked because of his recruiting. He's trying to get UNC at least back to the level that Mack Brown had them in the late 90's, and so far he's done a good job. I cant see UNC ever getting to the level of a National Title contender, but winning ACC titles in the next decade is not out of the question.Notable Emissions:Frank Beamer, Virginia TechThe 63 year old coach has had a great career, turning Virginia Tech into a perennial power. But sadly, I think his career is starting to wind down. He may end up sticking around a lot longer than I expect, ala Joe Paterno, but with a guy like Bud Foster continuing to stick around, I think Frank--who has won over 230 games--may be looking to hang it up relatively soon.Urban Meyer, FloridaThe wildcard in all of this. I've heard from some close to the Florida Program that they dont think the 45 year old coach will coach football anytime soon. I also hear from many that he will be coaching come August. His leave of absence, despite him actively putting finishing touches on his 2010 recruiting class, ultimately leaves his career in doubt. I still anticipate there being more to the Urban Meyer story than what has come out. If he's back by September, He immediately shoots to the top of this list; if not, he'll have to settle for being one of the best coaches on the 2000's.Unlike the last list, this one is for coaches that look like the future of the sport. These guys are either young, are still early into their headcoaching careers, or are considered top notch coordinators with the potential to be headcoaches. Ten years from now, expect a few of these guys to be national champions. The Urban Meyers of the world had to start from somewhere.1., StanfordThe beatdown of the Trojans, Ducks, and Irish, may be the start to the resurgence of Stanford thanks to the 46 year old coach. Will academics hinder them?2., USCHe's a young (34 years young) USC guy and has a good coaching staff surrounding him. Maybe this is where we finally see what the fuss is about.3., NebraskaThe blackshirts are back, all he needs to do is find some offense. The North is for the taking for this 42 year old coach.4., NorthwesternHe'll have Northwestern competing for January Bowl games more times than not. He's one of the youngest coaches in the country (35 years)5., RutgersSchiano (43 years old) wants to build Rutgers into a power. If he can monopolize the northeast in recruiting, then it's possible.6., OregonKelly (40 years old) led the Ducks to a Rose Bowl birth. Can he lead them past that?7., Florida StateHe fixed the anemic offense, but can the 44 year old do the same for the defense?8., Oklahoma StateHe's a man, and now he's 42. But can he push them past Cotton Bowl births?9., South FloridaHoltz (45 years old) is in an ideal situation. He can take the program where Leavitt could not.10., WashingtonWashington is a potential sleeping giant, and Sarkisians (35 years old) first season at Washington was a good start into awakening them.11., LouisvilleStrong (49 years old) finally gets a headcoaching gig after years of putting out top notch defenses at Florida. He has the staff already in place to get Louisville back in the Big East chase.12., Texas (DC)The head coach in waiting at Texas should not miss a beat when he becomes the man in charge. At 38 years old, he still can soak up game from headcoach Mack Brown while sharpening his skills as a coach.13., KansasAfter unseen success at Buffalo, the 47 year old looks to bring his game to the Big 12 North, a division looking for a consistently good team.14., AuburnChizik (48 years old) is recruiting like a mad man at Auburn, and after a solid first season could find himself competing for SEC West titles in the near future.15., Alabama (DC)He's a disciple of Saban and should be one of the hottest names in the country within the next few seasons. It's likely that the 34 year old becomes a head coach sometime during the decade.We've already discussed how football works in cycles, so its only a matter of time before the Notre Dames, Florida States, Michigans, Nebraskas, and Miamis of the world are back on top. This list though is for programs that have all of the resources to become major college programs if they can get the right situation. For example, this past decade the top 5 sleeping giants that emerged were5. Georgia4. Virginia Tech3. West Virginia2. Oregon1. LSUAll of these teams had success prior to the 2000's and a few even won national championships. But each of them were largely considered middle of the pack programs for much of their conception as football programs. The thing that made them sleeping giaints, were their conference affiliation, great alumni support (money), fertile recruiting grounds, and an unwavering fanbase. All of these fans are known for being rowdy, despite not always being the most successful programs, and now each of them have won BCS games. Going forward, which programs have that type of potential to become major in the 2010's?They are adding to their stadium and after some very successful teams can look to start getting some more traction in the Ohio are for recruiting. Ohio State will always be top dog (does anyone remember Cincy almost upsetting Ohio State in 2002?), but I dont think it's inconceivable that Cincy cant be what Virginia Tech was in the Big East.Washington has won a national championship before, but they have seem some very dismal lows the past decade, which is amazing since they started off the decade with a bang. This fanbase is too rowdy, this program is too storied, and the west coast has too much talent for Washington to continue to remain a doormat. Can they duplicate the success that Oregon enjoyed in the 2000's?Although many feel private institutions with high academic standards wont ever be able to consistently win in the new millennium, I think it will simply take the right situation for it to happen. Stanford may not be able to outrecruit Cal, USC, or Oregon, but like West Virginia in the 2000's, I think its very possible for them to win with talented guys that did not get offered by the the USCs or the Oregons of the West Coast. Consistent 8 win seasons with a few BCS games sprinkled in? I think its possible.They were the best Texas team of the 90's but one of the worst in the 2000's. The Aggies have a relatively successful past, but lack a post-World War 2 National Title and has consistently been the little brother to the rival Longhorns. I dont know if they have the right coach in place now, but sometime during the next decade, the right coaching staff could allow for them to become the power that they have the potential to be. They have the right recipes for great success (recruiting ground, tradition, fanbase) but just lack the chef. Reminds me of Georgia of the 2000's.They have a SEC-like fanbase, a state that cares about their football, a state that produces tons of college prospects, and the money and support that could easily push them to the top. One has to wonder why it has taken so long for Clemson to become a college power. In fact, it reminds me of LSU heading into the 2000's. In fact, I think Clemsons Death Valley at night is comparable to LSUs. Clemson had some good runs in the 80's and were consistent conference champions of the ACC pre-Florida State. But they have failed to live up to expectation since. I dont know if Dabo Sweeney is the man that will take them there, but if by 2020, Clemson is not considered an elite program, it will be the biggest waste of potential in college football.Provided there is no playoff the next decade, BCS Busters from mid majors will continue to be an annual topic. Ever since Tulans undefeated season, there has seemingly always been one non-BCS program to look to join the party by going undefeated. TCU and Boise State have been two of the more consistent programs to do it. Whats interesting is that it would have been difficult to predict the success of many mid majors at this point 10 years ago.Boise State, a former junior college, was a member of the Big West Conference, and while TCU was a former Southwest Conference member, they were left out of the Big 12 and were randomly with the WAC conference. A program like USF was an independent whose football program was only four years old. Fastforward 10 years, and each of those programs have risen in terms of perception , with one of them now a BCS power. Who will rise the next decade?Troy has had success on the field and also has produced some NFL stars. SMU made its first bowl game since the death penalty this past season. Its possible that by 2013, Jacksonville State could move to the FBS. Western Kentucky and FIU have recently moved to FBS and more than a few other FCS schools are hoping to make the move the next decade.Will there be another USF or Boise State? With parity increasing in college football, I think its possible.With the rise in popularity of spread offenses and the wildcat, college football has continually evolved. While the 90s teams mostly used Pro Style offenses and option offenses, resulting in dominant running games (4 of the Heisman winners of the 90s were running backs), the 2000s teams used short passing games as alternatives to running the ball and 5 wide sets with option reads allowing for QBs to become much more than a pocket QB. This allowed for offensive records to be broken, while defenses played catch up. Tim Tebow, became arguably the player of the decade because of this.Spread offenses have reduced the need for one brute to carry the ball 25 times a game and maybe that is why the past decade only saw two Heisman winners at RB (and one was as much of a receiver and return man as a running back). Will this trend continue into the 2k10s? Will Paul Johnsons tripple option offense catch on with other programs? To counter the spread, will more big time teams start using the 3-3-5 defense? Florida used it some this past season to get their playmaking safeties on the field. College football is always changing, so the best bet is there will be many changes to both the offensive and defensive side of the ball.College Football will continue to be the sport of choice for this fan, and it might even become crazier if they ever decide on a fair and viable post-season format. Once considered mostly a southern sport, college football is starting to take off in all directions across the country. But one thing remains for sure, the next decade will offer plenty of fresh ups and downs as new national powers will emerge and previous powers will go into hibernation. The only question is what will it look like when the dust settles in 10 years.



Last edited by He Hate Me on Sat Feb 20, 2010 1:04 am; edited 3 times in total Back to top Blknite01





Joined: 09 Jan 2005

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Location: Apopka, FL Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 3:06 am Post subject: Will you marry me?

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Joined: 28 Feb 2007

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Location: Los Angeles CA Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 3:16 am Post subject:

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A very comprehensive and interesting read. Kudos._________________ GRINDIN' wrote: No more late night Boggle with Paul Giamatti. Back to top rabbisson





Joined: 26 Dec 2004

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Location: #PoWwW York City Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 3:24 am Post subject:



But no Randy Edsall/UCONN mention? At all? Considering at the beginning of this decade they were in the FCS? And storied minds like Houston Nutt and Jeff Tedford make it?



That's a bit of a surprise to me, just because of the fact that he essentially built the program from the ground up, led them to a Big East Championship in 2006, and guided them through a ridiculous tragedy this year. To me, that reads more than Nutt and Tedford's empty bowl wins with teams that should consistently compete. I'd even call them disappointments.



IMO, no coaches in the country do a better job at evaluating and maximizing talent than Randy Edsall and Jim Grobe. And they're both only going to get better as time goes on.

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Sensational post...But no Randy Edsall/UCONN mention? At all? Considering at the beginning of this decade they were in the FCS? And storied minds like Houston Nutt and Jeff Tedford make it?That's a bit of a surprise to me, just because of the fact that he essentially built the program from the ground up, led them to a Big East Championship in 2006, and guided them through a ridiculous tragedy this year. To me, that reads more than Nutt and Tedford's empty bowl wins with teams that should consistently compete. I'd even call them disappointments.IMO, no coaches in the country do a better job at evaluating and maximizing talent than Randy Edsall and Jim Grobe. And they're both only going to get better as time goes on._________________ Iggles wrote: This guy gets it. Seriously, the ideas being espoused here need to get to 88 mph so they can go back to the 1950's.

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Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 3:41 am Post subject: rabbisson wrote: Sensational post...



But no Randy Edsall/UCONN mention? At all? Considering at the beginning of this decade they were in the FCS? And storied minds like Houston Nutt and Jeff Tedford make it?



That's a bit of a surprise to me, just because of the fact that he essentially built the program from the ground up, led them to a Big East Championship in 2006, and guided them through a ridiculous tragedy this year. To me, that reads more than Nutt and Tedford's empty bowl wins with teams that should consistently compete. I'd even call them disappointments.



IMO, no coaches in the country do a better job at evaluating and maximizing talent than Randy Edsall and Jim Grobe. And they're both only going to get better as time goes on.



I love your #1 Sleeping Giant pick. I sure hope it happens, and Clemson will have an elite recruiting class in 2011 which is a great start.



According to the early rankings, Clemson will have the #10 (Brandon Shell-very strong lean), #16 (Jay Rome, legacy recruit, Clemson lock, called best TE prospect since Gresham), #22 (Cheron Peake-SC player, very strong lean), #32 (Marlin Lane-already committed), #93 (Shon Carson-lean) and is in great position to land the #14 (Stephone Anthony) and #88 (Phillip Dukes). That is one hell of a potential class. Already have 7 really good commitments, and even though NSD for 2010 hasn't arrived, Clemson coaches keep talking about their 2011 class.



Great post He Hate Me

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It isn't his list of best coaches, it is the list of coaches who have the best chance at success. Edsall hasn't proven enough, and Wake is too hard of a place to recruit.I love your #1 Sleeping Giant pick. I sure hope it happens, and Clemson will have an elite recruiting class in 2011 which is a great start.According to the early rankings, Clemson will have the #10 (Brandon Shell-very strong lean), #16 (Jay Rome, legacy recruit, Clemson lock, called best TE prospect since Gresham), #22 (Cheron Peake-SC player, very strong lean), #32 (Marlin Lane-already committed), #93 (Shon Carson-lean) and is in great position to land the #14 (Stephone Anthony) and #88 (Phillip Dukes). That is one hell of a potential class. Already have 7 really good commitments, and even though NSD for 2010 hasn't arrived, Clemson coaches keep talking about their 2011 class.Great post He Hate Me_________________ Back to top He Hate Me





Joined: 02 Apr 2006

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Location: Unconquered Territory Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 3:50 am Post subject: rabbisson wrote: Sensational post...



But no Randy Edsall/UCONN mention? At all? Considering at the beginning of this decade they were in the FCS? And storied minds like Houston Nutt and Jeff Tedford make it?



That's a bit of a surprise to me, just because of the fact that he essentially built the program from the ground up, led them to a Big East Championship in 2006, and guided them through a ridiculous tragedy this year. To me, that reads more than Nutt and Tedford's empty bowl wins with teams that should consistently compete. I'd even call them disappointments.



IMO, no coaches in the country do a better job at evaluating and maximizing talent than Randy Edsall and Jim Grobe. And they're both only going to get better as time goes on.



Edsall was on my list (he came in at around 22, I was going to do honorable mentions but decided not to) but I could not see him having more success going forward than the guys I had ahead of him. And while Grobe proved he was one of the best coaches this decade (as a Nole Fan, I saw firsthand how good his teams could be) I could not put him above any other the coaches I had either. Since Grobe still has not left, I'm starting to doubt him going anywhere else. And going forward I cant see Grobe having top 20 win success at Wake Forrest. Both can both make the case for being one of the top 20 best college coaches in america. Back to top TheManster





Joined: 30 Oct 2007

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Location: started out on burgundy Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 4:39 am Post subject:



One would think, though, that June Jones is position for a tremendous amount of success at SMU and in the C-USA. In his first full recruiting class, he has already pulled in the best class since the death penalty. He has a wealth of options in state, especially in the Dallas area, to pull great athletes from. I could easily see SMU having around 90 wins in the decade, possibly more.

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Fan of: Cowboys, Rangers, SMU Mustangs, Chelsea FC, Pirlo's Hair Great post.One would think, though, that June Jones is position for a tremendous amount of success at SMU and in the C-USA. In his first full recruiting class, he has already pulled in the best class since the death penalty. He has a wealth of options in state, especially in the Dallas area, to pull great athletes from. I could easily see SMU having around 90 wins in the decade, possibly more._________________Fan of: Cowboys, Rangers, SMU Mustangs, Chelsea FC, Pirlo's Hair Back to top playmaker8267





Joined: 03 Jan 2008

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Location: Connecticut Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 8:00 am Post subject: TheManster wrote: Great post.



One would think, though, that June Jones is position for a tremendous amount of success at SMU and in the C-USA. In his first full recruiting class, he has already pulled in the best class since the death penalty. He has a wealth of options in state, especially in the Dallas area, to pull great athletes from. I could easily see SMU having around 90 wins in the decade, possibly more.

I completely agree, it's just that I think a BCS conference program would snatch Jones up before he could lead SMU to 90+ wins.



He Hate Me , fantastic stuff. I learned a lot by reading this, and enjoyed it thoroughly. I'll probably re-read it when I get home. I won't do the rab thing and complain about my team not being mentioned on this list .

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Bruins // Patriots // Red Sox // Chelsea I completely agree, it's just that I think a BCS conference program would snatch Jones up before he could lead SMU to 90+ wins., fantastic stuff. I learned a lot by reading this, and enjoyed it thoroughly. I'll probably re-read it when I get home. I won't do thething and complain about my team not being mentioned on this list_________________ bkobow05 wrote: Ban playmaker iyam imo fwiw. Back to top ianlewis16





Joined: 07 Dec 2004

Posts: 24071

Location: Proud Eagles Forum First Ballot HOF Member Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 10:03 am Post subject: I second the marriage comment.



Great read dude, nice to see Peterson getting some credit. I actually feel i learnt something after reading this!

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Joined: 02 Apr 2006

Posts: 11507

Location: Unconquered Territory Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 10:20 am Post subject: Great point by June Jones. Did a lot for Hawaii and resurrected SMU. He should most def be among the biggest winners of the new decade. Top 20? I think its possible. Back to top B_wolf84





Joined: 17 Apr 2008

Posts: 1491

Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 11:14 am Post subject: Blknite01 wrote: Will you marry me?



A Gator and a Nole? thats just wrong! wrong I say lol



Great post man. I enjoyed the read alot. The one thing I have concerns about is Mark Richt. I can see his run at Georgia ending in near future, and now Tenn coach being thier top canidate depending on the job he does at Tenn. Richt needs to have success quickly, the talent of his teams vs the production he has had have not been up to Geo standards as of late.



I am not sure just how well Dan Mullen will do, but he looks to have already stepped things up for Miss St and look for a decent rise out of that team in the next few years. He might be worth an honorable mention as they have a team that could benifit from lack luster Tenn, Geo and the always under acheving S. Car in the SEC.

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Joined: 02 Apr 2006

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Location: Unconquered Territory Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 11:27 am Post subject: If you ask me, Richt raise the standards at Georgia. Even if he leaves Georgia, I see him having success elsewhere. I could def see someone like Kirby Smart being the Richt replacement if he did end up getting the axe (which I still dont think would happen).



Mullen would have most def been on the "We Got Next" list if I would have expanded it to 20 coaches. Back to top vikingsnumber1





Joined: 29 Jan 2007

Posts: 2120

Location: Winona State University Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 12:06 pm Post subject:



Awesome read. Made my morning a whole lot better.

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props to mack. on the sick sig Awesome read. Made my morning a whole lot better._________________props to mack. on the sick sig Back to top d_stanton2lions





Joined: 18 Mar 2007

Posts: 3324

Location: Boulder, Colorado Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 1:46 pm Post subject: One of the better posts I've read in a while, fantastic job. Completely unbiased, and remained neutral. Props to that. Makes me want to sit down tomorow and watch a college football game, but unfortunately, I can't. Back to top Dolphins82





Joined: 29 Apr 2007

Posts: 13686

Location: The 2015 Parade Posted: Fri Jan 22, 2010 2:10 pm Post subject:



But no Miami returning to dominance.....



Miami if going to win the first title to set it off.

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Not 1, not 2, not 3...........it's not a joke, it's a threat Damn....But no Miami returning to dominance.....Miami if going to win the first title to set it off._________________Not 1, not 2, not 3...........it's not a joke, it's a threat Back to top Display posts from previous: All Posts 1 Day 7 Days 2 Weeks 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months 1 Year Oldest First Newest First

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