After breaking down this week’s PGA Tour event in a couple of organized posts, it’s time to start picking apart the pricing on DraftKings. I predicted a winner in my initial Waste Management Phoenix Open betting preview, and I exposed five WMPO sleepers who offer value at their price.

This post offers advice on how to turn a $5 stab into a six-figure score. I’m referring to the massive GPP on DK entitled “PGA Tour $500K Drive the Green.”

I can’t promise my recommended lineup will enable you to pocket $100,000, but it’ll at least give you some hope. Let’s dive right into my Waste Management Phoenix Open DFS picks.

Top-Tier DFS Golfers for the 2020 WMPO

It’s hard to go wrong with any of the choices residing over $9k, but there are a few individuals who stand out among the rest.

Jon Rahm – $11,400

The only negative thing about rostering Jon Rahm this week is that a whole bunch of other golf enthusiasts will be doing the same thing. However, Jon Rahm playing well isn’t just an expectation at this point. It’s a fact.

Collin Morikawa – $9,200

Collin Morikawa’s ascension up the ranks of professional golf won’t be stopping anytime soon. The 22-year-old Cal product has already proven he doesn’t need years of experience playing a track to generate a productive game plan. Perhaps that’s because there isn’t a golf course on the planet that doesn’t reward immaculate ball-striking and a brilliant short game.

Bubba Watson – $9,000

Don’t look now, but Bubba Watson might be officially mounting his comeback — yellow ball and all. Those who need sufficient data to support that claim, how about the fact the Bubba led the field last week in strokes gained: tee to green and strokes gained: overall? Watson tallied a T-4th finish at last year’s WMPO, marking the fourth time he’s placed inside the top 5 in Phoenix.

Mid-Tier

Not only are you looking for guys who can contribute points for all four days in Scottsdale, but you want to target golfers who you could see on page one of the leaderboard come Sunday.

Scottie Scheffler – $8,500

Slotted 12th in total driving and 5th in percentage of putts made from 15-20,’ I could see Scottie Scheffler filling it up this week at the WMPO with some really low scores. In fact, I think latching onto Scheffler at $8,500 would be a serious discount.

Matthew Wolff – $8,000

Matthew Wolff shot 67 in the first round of the 2019 Waste Management Phoenix Open as an amateur, which propelled him into having one of the greatest collegiate seasons we’ve ever seen from a male golfer. Birdies and eagles earn you a lot of points in GPPs on DraftKings, so why not pursue a guy who launches it 320’ in the air and can get red-hot with his flat stick?

Russell Knox – $7,700

Russell Knox has strung together eight consecutive cuts made, plus he produced a top 10 here last season. TPC Scottsdale’s layout isn’t too long and will reward the players who can keep their ball in front of them. Enter Russell Knox, a man who has hit 74.67% of his greens in regulation as we sit here nearly a third of the way through the 2019/2020 campaign.

Brendan Steele – $7,500

As I mentioned in my Waste Management Phoenix Open sleepers post, I’m all over Brendan Steele this week in Scottsdale. I lost track of how many sub-66 rounds Brendan has fired at this venue, but I can tell you that Steele has accounted for a quartet of top-6 finishes at the WMPO. That includes shooting 62 in the third round of the 2014 edition.

Low-Tier

Here is the portion of the post where we start extrapolating DFS value from the bottom tier.

Sam Burns – $6,800

Here’s your “boom or bust” play. Sam Burns isn’t going to jump off the page for most recreational fans, but not everyone has had the privilege of watching this dude swing a golf club. The former Jack Nicklaus National Player of the Year at LSU placed 6th at the American Express a couple of weeks ago, and he ended last week at Torrey Pines ranked 8th in strokes gained: off-the-tee.

J.J. Spaun – $6,400

We’ll find out soon enough if J.J. Spaun’s slump is officially behind him. But instead of waiting a week and being late to the party, I’m willing to be a guinea pig. A top 30 last week in La Jolla was the first time Spaun cracked the top 35 this season, and I’m hoping it jolted some confidence into him. The Scottsdale resident placed 4th at the 2017 WMPO, so he’s got that going for him as well.

My DFS Lineup for the 2020 Waste Management Phoenix Open

Firing some wagers into the 2020 Waste Management Phoenix Open at the top PGA Tour betting sites isn’t a bad idea, but you’ll probably have more fun throwing lineups into GPPs on DraftKings.

If you just have a single five-dollar bill to spare, here is the lineup I would go with.

Collin Morikawa – $9,200

Bubba Watson – $9,000

Scottie Scheffler – $8,500

Matthew Wolff – $8,000

Russell Knox – $7,700

Brendan Steele – $7,500

Living in Nevada excludes me from participating on DK, so do me a favor and submit this lineup. Then I can at least vicariously live through you!