With All-Star Weekend in the books, it's time to look at which NBA Finals contenders are in the driver's seat for home-court advantage, which teams are still fighting for a playoff spot and which struggling clubs already have eyes on the draft.

Our panel (ESPN's Kevin Arnovitz, Tim MacMahon and Andre' Snellings, The Undefeated's Marc J. Spears and FiveThirtyEight's Chris Herring) ranks all 30 teams from top to bottom, taking stock of which teams are looking most like title contenders. For reference, we've included FiveThirtyEight's NBA projections, while turning to ESPN's Basketball Power Index for the latest draft lottery odds.

Previous rankings: Week 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | Training camp | Free agency

The NBA Finals contenders

1. Golden State Warriors

Record: 41-16 (1st in West)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals >99% 76% 60%

The Nuggets' staff might have coached in the All-Star Game, but the Warriors own the best record in the Western Conference. Keep an eye on Golden State and Denver as they battle it out for the top seed in the conference: The Warriors and Nuggets split a pair of games in Denver, while Golden State hosts the final two contests that could decide home-court advantage throughout the West playoffs. -- Spears

2. Milwaukee Bucks

Record: 43-14 (1st in East)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals >99% 37% 12%

With the best record in basketball, Milwaukee is sitting pretty and should be concerned merely about maximizing its playoff potential. The trade to secure floor-spacer Nikola Mirotic, who will make his Bucks' debut after the break, was seemingly a wise move in that direction. -- Herring

3. Toronto Raptors

Record: 43-16 (2nd in East)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals >99% 41% 14%

The Raptors have been one of the league's most consistent winners this season, even with the load management of Kawhi Leonard and Kyle Lowry's missed games. Now they're without Fred VanVleet, a vital member of their rotation, for a few weeks. The pressing question down the stretch for the Raps: Can this high-IQ group that has endured sporadic absences find the cohesiveness necessary to win an Eastern Conference title? -- Arnovitz

4. Oklahoma City Thunder

Record: 37-20 (3rd in West)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals >99% 15% 8%

The Thunder reached the All-Star break in third place out West, four games behind the Warriors. The Thunder have positioned themselves as a legitimate contender, built on the strength of a top-five defensive efficiency and two MVP-caliber team leaders, Russell Westbrook and Paul George. If defense and superstars win championships, a healthy Thunder squad is one that no one will want to face in the playoffs. -- Snellings

5. Denver Nuggets

Record: 39-18 (2nd in West)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals >99% 2% <1%

The Nuggets reached the break with the second-best record out West, despite injuries that have seen them miss a combined 82 games from their starting five. Nikola Jokic has turned in an MVP-caliber campaign thus far, ranking third in the NBA with a Real Plus-Minus of 6.46 that has led the Nuggets to the fourth-best offensive efficiency in the league. -- Snellings

6. Philadelphia 76ers

Record: 37-21 (T-4th in East)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals >99% 11% 2%

With the trades for Jimmy Butler and Tobias Harris, the Sixers let it be known to the world that their aspiration this season is nothing less than the NBA Finals. If the first four games and 73 minutes their new starting lineup has played together is any indication, they have a strong case to be a favorite in the East. The Philly Phive has an eye-popping net rating of plus-24.6 points per 100 possessions. -- Arnovitz

7. Boston Celtics

Record: 37-21 (T-4th in East)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals >99% 12% 2%

The Celtics are currently tied for fourth in the East with the 76ers, a game behind the Pacers. They are likely too far behind to catch the first-place Bucks or second-place Raptors, so their most likely scenario has them challenging for the third seed. However, they are widely considered to have one of the most talented rosters and own the third-best scoring margin (plus-6.4) in the NBA. Perhaps the best news for the Celtics is the recent play of Gordon Hayward, who has averaged 21.0 points (63.3 shooting), 4.7 assists and 4.7 rebounds during the three games leading into the break and looks like he is approaching full strength for the first time this season. -- Snellings

8. Houston Rockets

Record: 33-24 (5th in West)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals >99% 5% 2%

James Harden is working hard to make history. Can he keep that up and have enough gas left to go deep in the playoffs? Can 33-year-old Chris Paul stay healthy and find his superstar form again? Paul also has to figure out how to best fit with Harden being so ball-dominant. One good sign: Paul is plus-52 in the past four games despite not shooting well (39 assists, five turnovers). -- MacMahon

Don't forget about us

9. Portland Trail Blazers

Record: 34-23 (4th in West)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals 98% <1% <1%

The Blazers enter the post-All-Star break in a precarious position. Portland will have to be nearly perfect to catch up to Golden State, Denver or Oklahoma City in the top three West playoff spots. The Blazers currently own the fourth seed, which comes with home court in the first round of the playoffs. Meanwhile, Portland has four teams breathing down their necks trying to take it away. -- Spears

10. Indiana Pacers

Record: 38-20 (3rd in East)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals >99% <1% <1%

Credit to Indiana, which has gone 13-9 without injured All-Star Victor Oladipo this season after posting an 0-7 mark in games without him in 2017-18. As a third-place team, the Pacers should still be a lock to make the playoffs in the East, even without their best player. But it'd be a huge accomplishment to somehow hold on to home-court advantage. -- Herring

11. Utah Jazz

Record: 32-25 (6th in West)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals >99% 2% <1%

Ricky Rubio maintained his professionalism -- and sense of humor -- as the Jazz dangled him in an attempt to upgrade with Mike Conley. Utah probably needs Rubio, a free agent this summer, at his best to advance past the first round for the third straight year. The Jazz also need Dante Exum to come back strong after a long absence due to a left ankle sprain. -- MacMahon

12. San Antonio Spurs

Record: 33-26 (7th in West)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals 89% <1% <1%

Can DeMar DeRozan get his groove back? His production and efficiency have slipped significantly since the calendar flipped to 2019, as he has dealt with fatigue and nagging injuries. The Spurs look like a good bet to extend their playoff streak to record-tying 22 years. The question is whether Spurs can do any damage once they get there. -- MacMahon

California dreamin'

13. Los Angeles Lakers

Record: 28-29 (10th in West)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals 26% <1% <1%

LeBron James returned more than two weeks ago, but the Lakers still find themselves slotted at No. 10 in the Western Conference playoff race. Missing the postseason would be embarrassing for the Lakers, even with the tempered expectations set at the start of the season. Qualifying won't be easy, as the upstart Kings have shown no signs of tailing off, and the resilient and transitional Clippers still able to play .500 ball or better, irrespective of who's on the roster. -- Arnovitz

14. LA Clippers

Record: 32-27 (8th in West)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals 60% <1% <1%

The Clippers won't say it aloud, but most within the front office wouldn't mind being edged out at the finish line for a playoff spot, thus allowing them to retain their first-round draft pick this June. In the meantime, the top priority is the continuing development of rookie point guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The Clips would love to be able to enter free-agency pitches not only with cap space, but evidence that Gilgeous-Alexander is a point guard with the skills to lead an elite, contending team. -- Arnovitz

15. Sacramento Kings

Record: 30-27 (9th in West)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals 10% <1% <1%

Do the Kings finally have enough to make the playoffs for the first time since 2006? Adding quality veteran forward Harrison Barnes as a starter and veteran guard Alec Burks off the bench sure showed the club is going for it this season. De'Aaron Fox has been outstanding in his second year at point guard, and perhaps it's time for the Kings to take the training wheels off talented forward Marvin Bagley III and let him start. -- Spears

Chasing the playoffs

16. Brooklyn Nets

Record: 30-29 (6th in East)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals 80% <1% <1%

It's ironic that in a season the Nets finally own their first-round draft pick, they're playing their way into the postseason -- but Brooklyn will gladly take a pick in the teens in exchange for the playoff berth. Even with the Nets' recent slide, no team works harder, gets more out of its personnel and is better coached than Brooklyn. The gritty supporting cast has been a revelation, but the Nets' postseason hopes will rest in large part on the play of D'Angelo Russell, who has led the team in scoring in each of the past nine games. -- Arnovitz

17. Detroit Pistons

Record: 26-30 (T-8th in East)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals 65% <1% <1%

Detroit won five of its last seven games before the break and enters the second half of the season in a tie for the eighth and final playoff spot. The Pistons retooled their roster some, hoping to find a bit more support for Blake Griffin, who has been great, but at times looked overburdened on offense because of the team's lack of ball handlers. At this point, with just one playoff appearance in the previous nine seasons, Detroit will take some mid-April basketball anyway it can get it. -- Herring

18. Charlotte Hornets

Record: 27-30 (7th in East)

ODDS to make playoffs to make Finals to win Finals 45% <1% <1%

The Hornets were gracious hosts for All-Star Weekend, but their fans are more worried about getting back to the postseason. Charlotte, however, made no significant move at the trade deadline to help its cause. The Hornets have tough competition for the final two playoff spots with Detroit, Miami and Orlando. -- Spears

19. Minnesota Timberwolves

Record: 27-30 (11th in West)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals 10% <1% <1%

The Timberwolves desperately need to pick up some wins if they hope to make the postseason for the second year in a row. Minnesota is currently four games out of the playoff race behind the Clippers. Success would certainly help the cause for interim head coach Ryan Saunders in his hopes to be permanent. Consistent elite play from forward Andrew Wiggins to complement All-Star Karl-Anthony Towns would help, too. -- Spears

20. Orlando Magic

Record: 27-32 (10th in East)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals 62% <1% <1%

The Magic are having a season that exceeds expectations across the board. The team was expected to be in full rebuild mode, but instead the strong play of first-time All-Star Nikola Vucevic has them entering the break a half game out of the playoffs and on a five-game winning streak. In addition, the deadline deal to bring in 2017 No. 1 overall pick Markelle Fultz gives the Magic three top-five draft picks from the past two drafts (along with Mo Bamba and Jonathan Isaac) to develop as a potential future core. -- Snellings

21. Miami Heat

Record: 26-30 (T-8th in East)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals 32% <1% <1%

The Heat limped into the All-Star break, having lost six of their past eight games to fall into a tie for the last playoff spot. They remain one of four teams within a game of each other for seeds 7 through 10, though, and have a veteran-laden team that would like to send legend Dwyane Wade into retirement with a playoff berth. -- Snellings

22. Washington Wizards

Record: 24-34 (11th in East)

ODDS To make playoffs To make Finals To win Finals 16% <1% <1%

With the franchise clearly being built around Bradley Beal at this point, the next two months should be about establishing which teammates fit best alongside him for the coming years, and doing everything you can to keep Beal healthy for next season. Washington sits three games out of the No. 8 seed, so a late-season charge isn't out of the question, either. -- Herring

So, when's the lottery?

23. Dallas Mavericks

Record: 26-31 (12th in West)

ODDS lottery top 10 top 5 top 3 No. 1 98% 49% 14% 10% 3% * Pick will go to Atlanta if outside top 5

Rookie sensation Luka Doncic will be pushed to his limits, as he has as much responsibility on his shoulders the rest of the season as anyone but a couple recent MVPs. Dorian Finney-Smith, Maxi Kleber, Jalen Brunson get extended auditions to prove they're good fits as role players who complement the kid. -- MacMahon

24. New Orleans Pelicans

Record: 26-33 (13th in West)

ODDS lottery top 10 top 5 top 3 No. 1 97% 30% 10% 7% 2%

The rest of the season is about managing the Anthony Davis dumpster fire and figuring out who will be the Pelicans' point man in trade discussions this summer. As coach Alvin Gentry does his best to keep the Pelicans focused amid all the distractions, the league office might need to reconsider whether the franchise has the right to act in its own best interest by putting Davis on the shelf for the rest of the season. -- MacMahon

25. Atlanta Hawks

Record: 19-39 (12th in East)

ODDS lottery top 10 top 5 top 3 No. 1 >99% >99% 45% 32% 11%

There are some who would argue that the Hawks are doing themselves a disservice by winning games and decreasing their odds in the Zion Williamson sweepstakes. But Atlanta will happily take the incremental progress of its young core -- Trae Young, John Collins and Kevin Huerter most notably -- and the cultural foundation being laid down by head coach Lloyd Pierce. It's an inexperienced group that may still lose a ton of games down the stretch, but the Hawks seem to have recused themselves from the 2019 Tankathon. -- Arnovitz

26. Memphis Grizzlies

Record: 23-36 (14th in West)

ODDS lottery top 10 top 5 top 3 No. 1 >99% 98% 34% 25% 8% * Pick will go to Boston if outside top 8

Hey, hey, let's convey! Not quite an inspiring rally cry, but the Grizzlies' primary goal is to get rid of the top-eight protected pick they owe the Celtics now, not when it's top-six protected next year or unprotected in 2021. Mike Conley will surely get shopped again this summer, but he's helping mentor Jaren Jackson Jr. to be Memphis' future face of the franchise. -- MacMahon

27. Chicago Bulls

Record: 14-44 (14th in East)

ODDS lottery top 10 top 5 top 3 No. 1 >99% >99% 61% 38% 13%

The chief curiosity for Chicago heading into the second half should be seeing how Otto Porter Jr. continues to fit alongside Zach LaVine and Lauri Markkanen. The early results have been more than encouraging: In their 110 minutes as a trio, Chicago has outscored opponents by 14 points per 100 possessions. Seeing what that group does once Wendell Carter Jr. returns should be somewhat instructive for next year. -- Herring

28. Cleveland Cavaliers

Record: 12-46 (14th in East)

ODDS lottery top 10 top 5 top 3 No. 1 >99% >99% 82% 40% 14% * Pick will go to Atlanta if outside top 10

Cleveland has a handful of things to monitor once it resumes play. Can Cedi Osman, who has averaged 20 points per game over the past month or so, become a consistent second scorer going forward? Can Kevin Love, now healthy again, restore his value as a franchise-caliber player? (If not as a legitimate centerpiece, then as trade asset.) But the most important question will come in mid-May, when the Cavs have a chance to win the lottery. -- Herring

29. Phoenix Suns

Record: 11-48 (Last in West)

ODDS lottery top 10 top 5 top 3 No. 1 >99% >99% 82% 40% 14%

As bad as things seem to be for the Suns, the good news is there finally seems to be some stability. There is no potential change in head coach, general manager or even arena on the horizon and they finally have a point guard, Tyler Johnson. Don't be surprised if the Suns play the role of spoiler the rest of the regular season. Foes will take the Suns lightly, but with young stars Devin Booker and Deandre Ayton and other budding talent, they can be competitive. -- Spears

30. New York Knicks

Record: 11-47 (Last in East)

ODDS lottery top 10 top 5 top 3 No. 1 >99% >99% 77% 40% 14%

The Knicks had parlayed an impressive 18-game losing streak into the worst record in the NBA before winning the last pre-break game to move a half-game ahead of the Suns. However, under the new draft lottery rules, the teams with the three worst records share the same chance at the No. 1 overall pick. The Knicks are three full games behind the Bulls for the fourth-worst record in the league, so they have some wiggle room while continuing their season-long youth movement without fear of lowering their lottery odds. -- Snellings