According to Fox News media critic Howard Kurtz, the internal polls from the Bush campaign show a much tighter race, and a jump for Cruz…

Internal poll for Bush PAC shows much tighter SC race: Trump 26, Cruz 24, Jeb 12, Rubio 11–while public surveys give Trump a huge lead — HowardKurtz (@HowardKurtz) February 15, 2016

This would be very much like what happened in Iowa, where the public polling was WAY off. Either they were just inaccurate, or Cruz got a late surge, and a big one.

Memo to Bush PAC says Cruz jump "based on significant support" in upstate S.C. "where evangelical Christians are heavily concentrated" — HowardKurtz (@HowardKurtz) February 15, 2016







Hmmmm… dang those Evangelicals!!! Who, by the way, were a tiny portion of the electorate in New Hampshire.

Bush PAC memo sees a "tight, volatile race" w/ "most any result," recalls Newt win in '12. But assumes traditional turnout, not Trump surge — HowardKurtz (@HowardKurtz) February 15, 2016

Again, in Iowa, the “surge” turned out AGAINST Trump, even though he later claimed it was for him.

Polls are snapshots, and often miss the mark. Take internal polls with grain of salt. Trump may attract new voters in SC, we don't know — HowardKurtz (@HowardKurtz) February 15, 2016

Shut up Kurtz!!! We need hope!!! Just kidding Howie, you’re cool.

Also what the heck, open thread – please take this time to tell me how awesome I am. You don’t do that enough. And it’s Valentine’s Day dammit.