Golden State Warriors ( -8.5 ) @ Orlando Magic – O/U: 221.5

The line on this game moved down to around -7.5 earlier in the day and if it moves down any lower I think the writing is on the wall for a Warriors’ upset. The Magic have played well since the trade deadline and they have a newfound rejuvenation with Brandon Jennings in the lineup. He disappointed his owners on Monday night, but it wasn’t his fault, you can blame Scott Skiles for not giving him the minutes. However, that game was against the Sixers so I think Skiles wanted to see what he had in CJ Watson; this is the type of matchup that we’ll see a lot of Jennings in. Skiles will see how bad Elfrid Payton will be getting abused by Stephen Curry, and then boom, Jennings time!

It’s kind of crazy, but opposing centers have been bombarding the Warriors of late. Enter Nikola Vucevic into the picture and his 42.8 FD points per game since the All-Star break. He’s been unstoppable and there’s no reason for him to stop in this marquee matchup. Victor Oladipo seems like he’s priced a bit too high for this matchup with Klay Thompson. However, Dwayne Wade went nuts last night so maybe the Florida sunshine has these guys a little more relaxed than usual. Evan Fournier is priced just right for a run-and-gun matchup like this; he’s played 42+ minutes in six of his last seven games- the only one he didn’t was because of foul trouble (about three BS ticky-tack calls on Paul George).

Oh yes, how could I forget the Warriors? Same old story with their big guns, but I think Harrison Barnes is in for a big night here. He’s very cheap at the small forward position and could very well get into the high 20-point range tonight.

I’m very interested to see this matchup between Draymond Green and Aaron Gordon. I’m not necessarily sure that I want to roster either one tonight, but it’ll definitely be must watch TV for sure.

Milwaukee Bucks @ Boston Celtics ( -8 ) – O/U: 216

Have to stick with the usual narrative and go with opposing centers against the Celtics, so Greg Monroe, how you doin’? The Celtics are 26th in the NBA against centers, but it seems like they’re actually 94th. It would also be a good idea to have a piece of Giannis Antetokoumnpo in this up-tempo matchup; the freakish dude hailing from Greece had his first-career triple-double on Monday against the Lakers. I’m not going to predict a triple-double, but I do foresee a very productive evening.

You want to target three-point shooters against the Bucks, who give up the fourth-most per game in the NBA- Avery Bradley and Jae Crowder would be my recommendations. Evan Turner isn’t a bad idea either in the up-tempo setting.

The Bucks also give up a lot of rebounds so Jared Sullinger, who is on fire of late, would be a great play while Tyler Zeller could also shock some people as well.

Oklahoma City Thunder ( -5.5 ) @ New Orleans Pelicans – O/U: 220.5

The low spread and high total make me think this could be an Anthony Davis night, Serge Ibaka defense be damned. The Thunder took on the Mavs last night and Dirk Nowitzki went B-A-N-A-N-A-S against him, so here’s to Ibaka having a bad defense week. Jrue Holiday crushed it the last time these two played, exactly two weeks ago. His price is still quite steep for a guy coming off the bench and there are some decent value plays out there on the board tonight.

Crazy that I led with the Pelicans in this conversation, right? Well, that’s just how strongly I feel about AD tonight. However, I’d be Jerk of the Year if I didn’t mention Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant in the second portion. You don’t need an elaborate breakdown to know both guys are top plays every single night, the question is just whether you have the money to fit them in. My money is on Westbrook to outperform KD tonight.

If you’ve learned anything playing NBA DFS this year, it’s that you attack the center position against New Orleans as often as possible. Enes Kanter would be the choice for me over Stephen Adams, but by a narrow margin.

Brooklyn Nets ( -1.5 ) @ Phoenix Suns – O/U: 208.5

You’d be lost and wandering if you were trying to find a more consistent center in the NBA than Brook Lopez right now. The Big Ugly has posted FD point totals of 56.5, 43 and 53.6 in the three games since the All-Star break, and tonight with Tyson Chandler out and Alex Len banged up , there’s not a magic potion in this universe that can stop him. Thad Young is also a guy that can make himself useful in this game.

A couple of other Nets that are available on the cheap that could make an impact. Joe Johnson was just put on waivers and will no longer be a member of the Nets- don’t let the door hit you on the way out. Donald Sloan, Shane Larkin, Bojan Bogdanovic and Wayne Ellington could fly under the radar and get busy. Bogdanovic is probably the most intriguing now of all these value plays from the Nets.

It’s been a while since we talked about Devin Booker, but there’s obviously a reason he’s being brought up now. Booker’s price has now dropped just below $5000 on FanDuel and he’ll be able to take aim at a Nets’ defense that gives up points in bunches. His backcourt mate, Archie Goodwin, is in a prime position as the Nets are the third-worst team against point guards this season. Both guys will have more on their plates with the Suns’ injuries to their key contributors in the frontcourt. Ronnie Price has been getting 20+ minutes since the All-Star break so he’s a viable option as well.

PJ Tucker is another guy to look at; while the production has slumped of late, this is the Nets, so everyone go ahead and have a party. A revenge game for Mirza Teletovic sounds silly, but that’s exactly what we have here. He and Jon Leuer will have to pick up the slack for the injured Suns in the frontcourt.

There won’t be much defensive resistance in the desert tonight, so this game is where the majority of your value plays should come from.

Houston Rockets @ Portland Trail Blazers ( -4.5 ) – O/U: 222.5

The Blazers have the #1 rated defense in the NBA for the month of February, but that likely won’t mean much with such a high total in this game. Damian Lillard has put up 30+ points in five straight games and he’ll look to make it six in a row – Daaaaaaaamn Damian. CJ McCollum has also come out of the All-Star break firing on all cylinders with over 37 FD points in those three games. Al-Farouq Aminu, Maurice Harkless and Gerald Henderson all have significant value as well in this contest.

The Rockets are pretty bad everywhere on defense, so statistically it looks like the Blazers’ frontcourt could all have themselves productive nights. However, I like too many other options at the power forward and center spots.

For the Rockets, how could you not love you some James Harden? The Beard had himself a tremendous game against the Jazz on Monday, and coming down the stretch in the second half of the season he will be about as matchup proof as they come in the NBA. Dwight Howard will have no problem getting busy against a weak Blazers’ frontline; he could be the top scoring center of the night when it’s all said and done.

Patrick Beverley is a guy that I usually love rostering for value, but I think there’s some better options on the board. I’m nervous about Trevor Ariza and his matchup with Aminu, plus there’s some decent value options at small forward on the slate.

San Antonio Spurs ( -4.5 ) @ Utah Jazz – O/U: 195.5

This is not a fantasy-rich game and there are really only two plays to consider from each side. I’m not even sorry for cutting this portion short…

Spurs: Kawhi Leonard and LaMarcus Aldridge

Jazz: Derrick Favors and Rudy Gobert