Sorry for the late update; I had a busy day and there were a ton of new polls today:

The general pro-Obama trend seems to be holding with the exception of a few deviations. West Virginia, a state Obama led briefly in our projection is securely back in the Safe Rep category. The Kentucky Senate race also appears to have calmed down; the tie in yesterday's poll appears to be an anomaly.

Speaking of anomalies: there has been some chatter regarding the "tightening of the race," mainly by the Associated Press, after their national poll revealed Obama with just a percentage point lead. People, specifically the liberal side, have been quick to discredit the merits of poll. While it does not align with the vast majority of national polling, that doesn't mean its result is invalid. When dealing with population sampling there are many factors taken into account, but ultimately the random sample decides the outcome. If you get a bad sample no amount of finagling can change that. Rather the outcome of the AP-Gtk poll is nothing more than a statistical outcome. Given the monumental number of polls taken this election cycle, the standard distribution principle dictates that any set of data will have outliers. The AP poll is simply an outlier, nothing more, nothing less; but apparently the Associated Press failed to realize this mathematical caveat given the degree to which they pushed this singular poll.

I hope to have an article pertaining to the Bradley Effect later tonight, and then after that I'll look to finish the new Senate Projection page.