Gravis Marketing has released its first 2020 Iowa Caucus poll and finds Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders tied atop the field with the Pete Buttigieg running 5 points behind. Behind Biden, Sanders and Buttigieg are Harris and Warren at 6%, O’Rourke at 5%, Booker and Klobuchar at 4%, Delaney at 2% and everyone else at or below 1%. While the exact numbers will vary throughout the state at various precincts, the important threshold is 15% which is the lowest possible viability threshold for a precinct caucus.

Biden and Sanders both have measurable support across all age groups, but Biden is the strongest among those over 65 while Sanders is strongest among 18-29-year-old caucus goers. Interestingly, the O’Rourke and Buttigieg don’t register any support among the 18-29 block. Sanders and Biden register in the double digits through most ideological groups. Biden leads Sanders among moderates 26%-17% and somewhat liberal Democrats 19%-13%. Sanders leads 27%-26% among somewhat conservative Democrats, 40%-27% among very conservative Democrats and 24%-9% among very liberal Democrats.

There is also a notable educational divide with Sanders leading 31%-35% among those with only a high school diploma and Biden leading 23%-15% among those with a bachelor’s degree. Among those with a post graduate degree, Buttigieg takes 22% with Biden, Sanders and Harris tied at 11%.

This poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research and data firm. This poll of 590 registered Iowa Democrats was conducted April 17th through April 18th and has a margin of error of ±4.0%. The survey was conducted using an online panel of cell phone users and live agents. This poll was not commissioned by any campaign committee or other organization and was paid for by Gravis Marketing. Results are weighted by voting demographics. Questions can be direction to the managing partner of Gravis Marketing, Doug Kaplan.

Iowa (April 18, 2019) v2