>suppose the AI can actually simulate 1M people. wouldn't it be more likely that you are in a simulation than not?

what is it called to argue about how rare something is but it is already a given?say it is pretty rare for there to be life on a planet, but we are on a planet with life, and without that condition there "would not be anybody" to reason about itI am sure I muddled up the ideas here, but it sounds like something similar to confirmation bias, but it might be something else.it might actually be just confirmation bias. You hear about winning the lottery all the time, so a negative makes sense to think about there. But you rarely hear about rare diseases, so if you yourself have a rare disease, it feels kind of dumb to talk about how rare it is since you already have it.