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Re: [CT] G3/S3/GV - INDIA/SECURITY - Thousands in India protest high food prices

Released on 2012-09-03 09:00 GMT

Email-ID 1891459 Date 2011-02-23 15:19:11 From animesh.roul@stratfor.com To ct@stratfor.com

Re: [CT] G3/S3/GV - INDIA/SECURITY - Thousands in India protest

high food prices







Absolutely..I agree with Ben....actualy Reuters report hyped the routine protest in Delhi....I have myself travelled near to the parliament area this afternoon for a work..i found nothing unusal



The fact is the Parliament session is on and this is Budget time...So this protest...





----- Original Message -----

From: Ben West <ben.west@stratfor.com>

To: CT AOR <ct@stratfor.com>

Sent: Wed, 23 Feb 2011 07:57:57 -0600 (CST)

Subject: Re: [CT] G3/S3/GV - INDIA/SECURITY - Thousands in India protest high food prices





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You can't compare India to what's going on elsewhere at all. They've

got over 1 billion people (so 100,000 is nothing) and they have a

centralized opposition party that can coordinate these kind of

things. <br>

<br>

On 2/23/2011 3:30 AM, Chris Farnham wrote:

<blockquote cite="mid:1031589288.819615.1298453451494.JavaMail.root@core.stratfor.com">

<style>p { margin: 0; }</style>

<div style="font-family: Times New Roman; font-size: 12pt; color:

rgb(0, 0, 0);"><span>

<div><span id="e88059ee-488c-4d0a-8003-3c50117b9cf0"><font class="Apple-style-span" color="#ff0000">Who are you if

you're not protesting these days...? [chris]</font></span></div>

<div><span id="e88059ee-488c-4d0a-8003-3c50117b9cf0"><br>

</span></div>

<div><span id="e88059ee-488c-4d0a-8003-3c50117b9cf0"><br>

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<div><span id="e88059ee-488c-4d0a-8003-3c50117b9cf0"><br>

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<h1 id="yn-title" style="margin: 0px 0px 14px; padding:

0px; font-size: 28px; font-weight: normal;

line-height: 33px; font-family: georgia,times,serif;">Thousands

in India protest high food prices</h1>

<a href="http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/reuters/brand/SIG=pd7i95;_ylt=AizE1RNhI8heEZ1xQfxyQJxn.3QA;_ylu=X3oDMTExaTJpa3NyBHBvcwMxBHNlYwN5bi1wcnZkbGluawRzbGsDcmV1dGVycw--/*http://www.reuters.com" id="yn-prvdlink" class="provider-logo ult-section" style="color: rgb(0, 88, 166); text-decoration: none;

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<div class="byline" style="margin: 0px 0px 7px; padding:

0px; font-size: 11px; color: rgb(119, 119, 119);"><cite class="vcard" style="font-style: inherit;

font-weight: inherit; font-family:

arial,verdana,sans-serif; font-size: 11px; color:

rgb(119, 119, 119);">By Krittivas Mukherjee </cite>– <abbr title="2011-02-23T00:31:07-0800" class="recenttimedate" style="border-width: 0px;

font-variant: normal;">49 mins ago</abbr></div>

<div class="yn-story-content" style="margin: 0px;

padding: 0px;">

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">NEW DELHI (Reuters) – <b>Tens

of thousands of </b><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20110223/wl_nm/us_india_protests;_ylt=AvSLadDeoAtCyeaH0Iwi5RkBxg8F;_ylu=X3oDMTJvZDN2NjhmBGFzc2V0A25tLzIwMTEwMjIzL3VzX2luZGlhX3Byb3Rlc3RzBHBvcwMxNQRzZWMDeW5fcGFnaW5hdGVfc3VtbWFyeV9saXN0BHNsawN0aG91c2FuZHNpbmk-#" class="kLink" target="_blank" id="KonaLink0" style="color: rgb(230, 123, 0) ! important;

text-decoration: none; border-style: none none

dotted ! important; cursor: pointer; font-family:

verdana; border-width: 0px 0px 2px ! important;

border-color: transparent transparent rgb(54, 99,

136) ! important; background-image: none !

important; background-color: transparent !

important; margin: 0px; padding: 0px ! important;

text-transform: none ! important; display: inline

! important; font-variant: normal; top: 0px;

right: 0px; bottom: 0px; left: 0px; outline-style:

none;"><font style="color: rgb(54, 99, 136) !

important; font-family:

arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif; font-size:

13px; position: static;" color="#366388"><span class="kLink" style="cursor: pointer;

border-top-width: 0px ! important;

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! important; color: rgb(54, 99, 136) !

important; background-image: none;

background-color: transparent; width: auto !

important; float: none ! important; display:

inline ! important; text-decoration: none;

font-family: arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif;

font-size: 13px; position: static;"><b>trade </b></span><span class="kLink" style="cursor: pointer;

border-top-width: 0px ! important;

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! important; color: rgb(54, 99, 136) !

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important; float: none ! important; display:

inline ! important; text-decoration: none;

font-family: arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif;

font-size: 13px; position: static;"><b>unionists</b></span></font></a>,

including those from a group linked to India's

ruling party,<b> marched through the streets of the

capital on Wednesday to protest food prices</b>,

piling pressure on a government already under fire

over graft.</p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">The demonstration in New Delhi

was the latest in a wave of protests sweeping across

the world, including the <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20110223/wl_nm/us_india_protests;_ylt=AvSLadDeoAtCyeaH0Iwi5RkBxg8F;_ylu=X3oDMTJvZDN2NjhmBGFzc2V0A25tLzIwMTEwMjIzL3VzX2luZGlhX3Byb3Rlc3RzBHBvcwMxNQRzZWMDeW5fcGFnaW5hdGVfc3VtbWFyeV9saXN0BHNsawN0aG91c2FuZHNpbmk-#" class="kLink" target="_blank" id="KonaLink1" style="color: rgb(230, 123, 0) ! important;

text-decoration: none; border-style: none none

dotted ! important; cursor: pointer; font-family:

verdana; border-width: 0px 0px 2px ! important;

border-color: transparent transparent rgb(54, 99,

136) ! important; background-image: none !

important; background-color: transparent !

important; margin: 0px; padding: 0px ! important;

text-transform: none ! important; display: inline

! important; font-variant: normal; top: 0px;

right: 0px; bottom: 0px; left: 0px; outline-style:

none;"><font style="color: rgb(54, 99, 136) !

important; font-family:

arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif; font-weight:

normal; font-size: 13px; position: static;" color="#366388"><span class="kLink" style="cursor: pointer; border-top-width: 0px

! important; border-top-style: none !

important; border-left-width: 0px ! important;

border-left-style: none ! important;

border-right-width: 0px ! important;

border-right-style: none ! important;

border-bottom-width: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1px

! important; color: rgb(54, 99, 136) !

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background-color: transparent; width: auto !

important; float: none ! important; display:

inline ! important; text-decoration: none;

font-family: arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif;

font-weight: normal; font-size: 13px;

position: static;">Middle </span><span class="kLink" style="cursor: pointer;

border-top-width: 0px ! important;

border-top-style: none ! important;

border-left-width: 0px ! important;

border-left-style: none ! important;

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border-right-style: none ! important;

border-bottom-width: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1px

! important; color: rgb(54, 99, 136) !

important; background-image: none;

background-color: transparent; width: auto !

important; float: none ! important; display:

inline ! important; text-decoration: none;

font-family: arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif;

font-weight: normal; font-size: 13px;

position: static;">East </span><span class="kLink" style="cursor: pointer;

border-top-width: 0px ! important;

border-top-style: none ! important;

border-left-width: 0px ! important;

border-left-style: none ! important;

border-right-width: 0px ! important;

border-right-style: none ! important;

border-bottom-width: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1px

! important; color: rgb(54, 99, 136) !

important; background-image: none;

background-color: transparent; width: auto !

important; float: none ! important; display:

inline ! important; text-decoration: none;

font-family: arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif;

font-weight: normal; font-size: 13px;

position: static;">and </span><span class="kLink" style="cursor: pointer;

border-top-width: 0px ! important;

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border-left-style: none ! important;

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! important; color: rgb(54, 99, 136) !

important; background-image: none;

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important; float: none ! important; display:

inline ! important; text-decoration: none;

font-family: arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif;

font-weight: normal; font-size: 13px;

position: static;">Africa</span></font></a>,

ignited by a worldwide spike in food prices.</p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">India, Asia's third-largest

economy and home to more than a billion people, has

been grappling with double-digit food <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20110223/wl_nm/us_india_protests;_ylt=AvSLadDeoAtCyeaH0Iwi5RkBxg8F;_ylu=X3oDMTJvZDN2NjhmBGFzc2V0A25tLzIwMTEwMjIzL3VzX2luZGlhX3Byb3Rlc3RzBHBvcwMxNQRzZWMDeW5fcGFnaW5hdGVfc3VtbWFyeV9saXN0BHNsawN0aG91c2FuZHNpbmk-#" class="kLink" target="_blank" id="KonaLink2" style="color: rgb(230, 123, 0) ! important;

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normal; font-size: 13px; position: static;" color="#366388"><span class="kLink" style="cursor: pointer; border-top-width: 0px

! important; border-top-style: none !

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border-left-style: none ! important;

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inline ! important; text-decoration: none;

font-family: arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif;

font-weight: normal; font-size: 13px;

position: static;">inflation</span></font></a>.

Hundreds of millions of poor have been hit the

hardest.</p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">In one of the largest

anti-government protests in New Delhi in recent

years, <b>at least 50,000 people</b> representing

trade unions from the country's political parties,<b>

marched through the center of the capital toward

the </b><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20110223/wl_nm/us_india_protests;_ylt=AvSLadDeoAtCyeaH0Iwi5RkBxg8F;_ylu=X3oDMTJvZDN2NjhmBGFzc2V0A25tLzIwMTEwMjIzL3VzX2luZGlhX3Byb3Rlc3RzBHBvcwMxNQRzZWMDeW5fcGFnaW5hdGVfc3VtbWFyeV9saXN0BHNsawN0aG91c2FuZHNpbmk-#" class="kLink" target="_blank" id="KonaLink3" style="color: rgb(230, 123, 0) ! important;

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important; font-family:

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13px; position: static;" color="#366388"><span class="kLink" style="cursor: pointer;

border-top-width: 0px ! important;

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important; float: none ! important; display:

inline ! important; text-decoration: none;

font-family: arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif;

font-size: 13px; position: static;"><b>parliament </b></span><span class="kLink" style="cursor: pointer;

border-top-width: 0px ! important;

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inline ! important; text-decoration: none;

font-family: arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif;

font-size: 13px; position: static;"><b>building</b></span></font></a><b>.</b></p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">In a sea of red flags and hats

bearing their union name, protesters chanted slogans

and carried banners calling on the government to

provide food security.</p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">"Prices will now kill the common

man," read one banner.</p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">"We get paid 100-125 Rupees

($2-3) a day. How are we going to survive on this if

prices are so high?" said Kailash Sain, who had

travelled to the capital from the western state of

Rajasthan.</p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">"We have come here so that our

voices reverberate inside the house (parliament) and

they can see what pain the common man is going

through," said another demonstrator, Akhil Samamtray

from western Orissa state.</p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">Protesters arrived by bus and

train from all over the country and the numbers were

expected to rise.</p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">PJ Raju, secretary of the

Congress' trade union, told Reuters around 100,000

people from his party alone would be joining the

protest.</p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">The presence of trade union

members from <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20110223/wl_nm/us_india_protests;_ylt=AvSLadDeoAtCyeaH0Iwi5RkBxg8F;_ylu=X3oDMTJvZDN2NjhmBGFzc2V0A25tLzIwMTEwMjIzL3VzX2luZGlhX3Byb3Rlc3RzBHBvcwMxNQRzZWMDeW5fcGFnaW5hdGVfc3VtbWFyeV9saXN0BHNsawN0aG91c2FuZHNpbmk-#" class="kLink" target="_blank" id="KonaLink4" style="color: rgb(230, 123, 0) ! important;

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! important; color: rgb(54, 99, 136) !

important; background-image: none;

background-color: transparent; width: auto !

important; float: none ! important; display:

inline ! important; text-decoration: none;

font-family: arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif;

font-weight: normal; font-size: 13px;

position: static;">Minister </span><span class="kLink" style="cursor: pointer;

border-top-width: 0px ! important;

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! important; color: rgb(54, 99, 136) !

important; background-image: none;

background-color: transparent; width: auto !

important; float: none ! important; display:

inline ! important; text-decoration: none;

font-family: arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif;

font-weight: normal; font-size: 13px;

position: static;">Manmohan </span><span class="kLink" style="cursor: pointer;

border-top-width: 0px ! important;

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! important; color: rgb(54, 99, 136) !

important; background-image: none;

background-color: transparent; width: auto !

important; float: none ! important; display:

inline ! important; text-decoration: none;

font-family: arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif;

font-weight: normal; font-size: 13px;

position: static;">Singh's</span></font></a> ruling

Congress party -- a rare instance of a protest

against their own government -- is a telling sign of

the concerns within the party about government

policies that have been unable to tame inflation.</p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">The government has looked

increasingly helpless as it tries to introduce

policies to rein in food prices, which analysts say

have come far too late.</p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">India's central bank, the

Reserve Bank of India, has raised interest rates

seven times in a year to try and tame rising prices

but has warned fiscal policies would be largely

ineffective against rising food prices which stem

largely from bad weather and problems on the supply

side.</p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">The protests also come only a

day after Singh relented to months of opposition

demands for a parliamentary probe into a

multi-billion dollar scandal over sales of telecoms

licenses for kickbacks.</p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">The scandals have piled enormous

pressure on the reformist 78-uear-old prime

minister, seen as a lame duck who plays second

fiddle to Congress <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20110223/wl_nm/us_india_protests;_ylt=AvSLadDeoAtCyeaH0Iwi5RkBxg8F;_ylu=X3oDMTJvZDN2NjhmBGFzc2V0A25tLzIwMTEwMjIzL3VzX2luZGlhX3Byb3Rlc3RzBHBvcwMxNQRzZWMDeW5fcGFnaW5hdGVfc3VtbWFyeV9saXN0BHNsawN0aG91c2FuZHNpbmk-#" class="kLink" target="_blank" id="KonaLink5" style="color: rgb(230, 123, 0) ! important;

text-decoration: none; border-style: none none

dotted ! important; cursor: pointer; font-family:

verdana; border-width: 0px 0px 2px ! important;

border-color: transparent transparent rgb(54, 99,

136) ! important; background-image: none !

important; background-color: transparent !

important; margin: 0px; padding: 0px ! important;

text-transform: none ! important; display: inline

! important; font-variant: normal; top: 0px;

right: 0px; bottom: 0px; left: 0px; outline-style:

none;"><font style="color: rgb(54, 99, 136) !

important; font-family:

arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif; font-weight:

normal; font-size: 13px; position: static;" color="#366388"><span class="kLink" style="cursor: pointer; border-top-width: 0px

! important; border-top-style: none !

important; border-left-width: 0px ! important;

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! important; color: rgb(54, 99, 136) !

important; background-image: none;

background-color: transparent; width: auto !

important; float: none ! important; display:

inline ! important; text-decoration: none;

font-family: arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif;

font-weight: normal; font-size: 13px;

position: static;">party </span><span class="kLink" style="cursor: pointer;

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! important; color: rgb(54, 99, 136) !

important; background-image: none;

background-color: transparent; width: auto !

important; float: none ! important; display:

inline ! important; text-decoration: none;

font-family: arial,helvetica,clean,sans-serif;

font-weight: normal; font-size: 13px;

position: static;">head</span></font></a> Sonia

Gandhi. Some believe further revelations could force

him from power early and lead to an interim leader

before a 2014 general election.</p>

<p style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px 0px 1em;

line-height: 18px;">(Writing by Jonathon Burch;

Additional reporting by C.J. Kuncheria: Editing by

Alistair Scrutton and Sanjeev Miglani)</p>

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</span></div>

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<br>

-- <br>

<span></span><br>

<br>

Chris Farnham<br>

Senior Watch Officer, STRATFOR<br>

China Mobile: (86) 186 0122 5004<br>

Email: <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:chris.farnham@stratfor.com" target="_blank">chris.farnham@stratfor.com</a><br>

<a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="http://www.stratfor.com" target="_blank">www.stratfor.com</a><span></span><br>

</span></div>

</blockquote>

<br>

<pre class="moz-signature">--

Ben West

Tactical Analyst

STRATFOR

Austin, TX

</pre>

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--

Animesh









