It may seem like a month ago, but it hasn’t even been two weeks since President Trump nominated Judge Brett M. Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court. And amid the noise of this especially frenetic news cycle, you may worry you’ve missed out on a new development.

Actually, not much has changed. His confirmation still appears to be unstoppable, barring some unforeseen revelation. The possibility that a small handful of Democratic senators from conservative-leaning states could vote to confirm him also remains very real, as they feel the pressure from Trump-approving voters. But the vast majority of Democrats are likely to vote no.

Until confirmation hearings begin, much of the focus on Judge Kavanaugh — from activists on the left and right, journalists and politicians — will be on answering one question: “How will he rule?” That is where the debate shifted over the last few days.

If you have a question about Judge Kavanaugh’s nomination, or how it may affect the elections, email us at supremecourt@nytimes.com.