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CNN’s latest poll gives Trump 41% support among Republicans, more than double Cruz. None of the “establishment” candidates – Rubio, Bush, Christie — even draws double figures.

It barely matters any more. CNN’s latest poll gives Trump 41% support among Republicans, more than double Cruz. None of the “establishment” candidates – Rubio, Bush, Christie — even draws double figures. It might be time to quit asking if Trump can win and ponder this instead: What happens when he does. Democrats are giddy at the prospect. They can’t imagine there’s a Democratic candidate bad enough to actually lose to Trump.

Perhaps they’re right. The odds are still pretty strong that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic nominee, even if she can’t manage to defeat Sen. Bernie Sanders, her only real challenger, in New Hampshire and Iowa. She’s been First Lady, New York senator and Secretary of State, yet she can’t outpoll a wild-eyed socialist from Vermont, a state with precisely three votes in the electoral college. Is it all that certain, then, that she would easily triumph over Trump, who many Democrats assumed wouldn’t make it through the summer?

Michael Bloomberg isn’t convinced, or he wouldn’t be floating the possibility of entering the race as an independent. And while Clinton still leads nationally, her gap over Sanders is narrowing. Let’s say, just for the sake of it, that Democrat voters become so convinced of Trump’s electability that they decide to roll the dice and make Sanders the nominee? It seems unlikely, but his message clearly has great emotional pull. The Democratic party has shifted firmly to the left under President Barack Obama, and leftists don’t believe Clinton is truly one of them. She’s a centrist, pretending to be whatever voters want at the moment. Sanders is promising free, single-payer health coverage for everyone, and free college tuition. He’s not worried about the cost; he says the rich will pay, and besides, it will be cheaper in the long run. What’s Hillary offering in return?