With the NFL Draft wrapped up, I wanted to take a look at the 2019 DRAFT Best Ball Post-NFL Draft Rookies ADP Risers-Fallers.

I will also take a look at a few other situations that have arisen since then.

We will simply focus on RB and WR at the moment.

This isn’t anything groundbreaking, but it is always good to track player movement to give you a better feel on players come draft day.

I love Best Ball formats, and I find that the earlier you draft, the more value there is to be had – as long as you are prepared!

2019 DRAFT Best Ball Post NFL Draft ADP Risers-Fallers

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RB Risers

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These are mostly rookies, as expected. It gives us a glimpse of how the field views the initial fits.

The two highest risers on the board, both players slot into offenses where the bell-cow job is there for the taking. They were both being taken around pick 108, and are now going at 80. Montgomery comes into a room with Tarik Cohen and Mike Davis. It is always encouraging from a role perspective when a team trades up 13 spots to select you, and that seems to be factored into the ADP.

Sanders, on the other hand, joins an RBBC in Philly with former Bear Jordan Howard and Corey Clement, with Wendell Smallwood still on the roster and Darren Sproles debating another run at it. Sanders has the tools to be a three-down back, but the way the Eagles run their offense this is already a price that scares me off of Sanders, and I expect this to only rise. I have difficulties investing a 7th round pick in a rookie RB in a committee. However, there is no denying his upside; if Sanders takes a three-down role for most of the season he has a chance to be an incredible value. His pass blocking abilities will be key to getting on the field.

Other Notables

Josh Jacobs (41.8) entered the NFL draft as the highest rookie being selected, and that remains the case. He is expected to be the workhorse for Jon Gruden and is currently being drafted in the top half of the fourth round, and that seems like a fair price to pay for expected role/production.

Darrell Henderson (133.1) takes over the role of Todd Gurley’s backup, and as we saw last year that role can win fantasy championships. He’s now being selected in the 12th round in drafts, which seems a bit high for a backup. There a lot of non-believers in Gurley’s knees.

Devin Singletary is currently going in the 16th round, what I like to call the free zone (rounds 14-18 in standard DRAFT rosters). The young calf joins a RB room of old bulls. No idea what to expect with the Bills, but it’s not unrealistic to think he could have some counting games towards the end of the season. Never forget, however, that Frank Gore (215.7) is immortal. TJ Yeldon (201) made a half round jump as well.

Ronald Jones (108.3) is the notable non-rookie here. He was coming off the board in the 10th round pre-draft, and that has jumped almost a round post-draft. Tampa Bay didn’t do much to address their running back group, and there is a path to playing time for the second year player who had an extremely disappointing rookie season.

I loved Jones in the 10th and have exposure there already, and I still like it in the 9th. At that point, there is not a lot at RB and I hope he makes that leap. The role could be there, but the question remains if Jones is any good. As training camp comes around, I think this only goes up so I will try to draft him as often as possible around here before it gets too expensive.

RB Fallers

The Mike Davis era is over before it started… The #Bears have selected Iowa State RB David Montgomery. The former Cyclone is a legit 3-down back who can do it all. pic.twitter.com/pLPurIPx6T — Roto Street Journal (@RotoStJournal) April 27, 2019

Below are some notable fallers – most have an obvious correlation with the rookie running backs coming for their jobs.

Mike Davis (CHI) -16.4 ADP

Rex Burkhead (NE) -14.9

Matt Breida (SF) -10.3

Jordan Howard (PHI) -7.2

Jaylen Samuels (PIT) -6.3

LeSean McCoy (BUF) -4.8

Davis (98.4) drops over a round into the ninth with Montgomery being added, and that should continue to drop. He starts to get onto the radar for me in the 13+.

Similar case with these other veterans. I won’t have a single share of Jaylen Samuels (102.4) – on the other hand, I will likely be gobbling up Jordan Howard (74.2) and pray for that number to keep falling.

The Patriots drafted a Damien Harris in the third round, causing people to believe Rex Burkhead (164.4) is the odd man out. He is a situation to monitor because we know he’s capable of producing and could be a nice last round best ball pick when drafting in the summer.

Matt Breida (140.4), while a good runner, is in a crowded and unpredictable backfield with a lot of resources invested in it.

WR Risers

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Harry (114.6) is now being taken in the 9th round, as opposed to around 169 pre-draft. That might have something to do with his new quarterback, as well as being a first rounder. Not much more to that one – Harry is in a great spot.

The Colts took Campbell (170.7) in the third round, and I can see him corralling some bombs from Andrew Luck in single coverage. I will be taking some fliers on him at his current 14th round tag.

Samuel (183.4) has a high pedigree and came into a solid situation in San Francisco.

Other Notables

Isabella (192.7) is placed in an unknown yet exciting offensive situation in Arizona. Brown (151.6) is a similar concept of a highly drafted rookie, yet a more restrictive offense.

Robinson (191.4) and Watkins (54.1) are both boosted with the Tyreek Hill news. Watkins, of course, is most notable, as he jumps into the 5th round. If he ever puts it together for a full season…

WR Fallers

Report: Doug Baldwin's career might be over https://t.co/zN91onHCqV — ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) April 27, 2019

The Tyreek Hill (66.1) situation is obvious and doesn’t need to be discussed, but it must be noted as a slight board disruption. One less top wide receiver is available at the top of drafts.

Doug Baldwin (133.6) is currently going in the 12th round with his career in question, which is unfortunate. Not touching him.

I don’t see any Albert Wilson (185.2) picks for my future in the free zone, so it’s not like he’s being over-drafted.

Two names I LOVE on this list that are falling are Marquise Goodwin (190.5) and Nelson Agholor (207). They are basically coming in at a free price, play in what should be explosive offenses with creative coaches and franchise quarterbacks. I only advocate these players in best ball – All it takes is two bombs a season to count for that specific week.

I am targeting Goodwin a full two rounds above his current ADP. The Eagles are a team that I’ll be avoiding mostly in season long, but this offense can go off any week, and with this format, I want exposure at these prices.

Wrap

Nothing crazy here. The current ADP should be pretty calm over the next few weeks but will be monitored throughout OTAs and the summer.

Once training camp begins, things start to get messy. I look forward to the first tournaments opening on DRAFT, and once that begins I’ll be able to offer real, live data in the top tournaments the site has to offer.





This is a big year for DRAFT and best ball! As the weeks move forward, keep an eye out for targets, grenades, and general strategy for this exciting format.

Check out the rest of our Fantasy Football content to get you prepared for the 2019 NFL Fantasy Football season.