It’s Week 2 now, and some of you are probably completely panicking about your team. Well, I can’t help you with that, but I can show you some numbers and try to draw a little bit of meaning out of them in order to help you dig deeper into this week’s rankings and your squad.

This is a look at where last year’s top 20 overall experts disagreed most with this week’s default ECR. They were top experts last year, so maybe they know more than the crowd this year too, but take these numbers with a grain of salt. Use them as an indicator that you should look closer at the player, the match-up, and other factors, but don’t treat them as your gospel. A negative difference indicates that our top experts consider the player to be underrated, while a positive number signals an overrated player. The higher/lower the number the more overrated/underrated the player is.

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Quarterback

Out of the top 20 quarterbacks in the default ECR, here are the five where the top experts disagreed most. Obviously, we’re leaving out anyone who played in last night’s game.

Default ECR Top Experts Player Name Team Matchup Best Rank Worst Rank Avg Rank Std Dev Best Rank Worst Rank Avg Rank Std Dev Diff Between Top Experts and ECR Russell Wilson SEA at GB 2 14 6.95 2.57 2 10 5.53 2.23 -1.43 Cam Newton CAR vs. HOU 5 25 16.58 3.43 7 22 15.21 4.56 -1.37 Teddy B. MIN vs. DET 11 26 18.89 2.99 14 25 17.79 3.05 -1.10 Tom Brady NE at BUF 2 21 10.22 2.98 4 21 11.32 3.51 1.10 Carson Palmer ARI at CHI 1 18 7.64 3.04 4 18 8.68 3.77 1.05

So what does this mean? The top expert rankings suggest Russel Wilson is underrated, but you were probably starting him anyway. Cam Newton looks a bit underrated, but if you pay attention to the standard deviation, there is actually less consensus among the top experts than there was for the default ECR. Tom Brady‘s looking a bit overrated, and so is Carson Palmer. It’s worth noting that for all of these quarterbacks, the ranking differences are pretty small.



Running Backs

Out of the top 50 RBs in the default ECR, here are the 10 where the top experts disagreed the most.

Default ECR Top Experts Player Name Team Matchup Best Rank Worst Rank Avg Rank Std Dev Best Rank Worst Rank Avg Rank Std Dev Diff Between Top Experts and ECR Karlos Williams BUF vs. NE 23 68 49.67 8.05 26 67 45.44 10.68 -4.23 Duke Johnson CLE vs. TEN 22 56 43.74 4.58 22 48 40.24 5.82 -3.50 Frank Gore IND vs. NYJ 14 36 22.25 4.32 16 36 25.11 5.88 2.85 LeSean McCoy BUF vs. NE 4 36 12.41 4.59 9 34 15.05 6.34 2.64 Joique Bell DET at MIN 22 58 36.29 4.81 29 48 38.37 4.68 2.08 Benny Cunningham STL at WAS 8 58 38.58 7.90 26 52 40.61 7.49 2.03 C.J. Spiller NO vs. TB 16 90 40.32 8.51 17 47 38.29 9.12 -2.02 Chris Johnson ARI at CHI 17 49 29.25 4.96 17 34 27.26 4.64 -1.99 Khiry Robinson NO vs. TB 28 69 48.47 6.56 44 58 50.33 4.32 1.86 Bishop Sankey TEN at CLE 9 39 24.39 4.95 15 29 22.58 4.30 -1.81

Karlos Williams is looking like he could be seriously underrated, and I’ll definitely consider him as a DFS value play this week. That said, there isn’t a lot of consensus around the lower average rank among the experts. Duke Johnson is looking pretty underrated as well. Then we have Frank Gore, LeSean McCoy, and Joique Bell looking reasonably overrated. If you’re debating between them and another player on your roster, maybe think a bit more about it.

Wide Receivers

Out of the top 50 WRs in the default ECR, here are the 10 where the top experts disagreed the most.

Default ECR Top Experts Player Name Team Matchup Best Rank Worst Rank Avg Rank Std Dev Best Rank Worst Rank Avg Rank Std Dev Diff Between Top Experts and ECR Andre Johnson IND vs. NYJ 10 47 28.25 6.13 21 47 32.47 6.91 4.22 Steve Johnson SD at CIN 13 63 31.13 6.62 13 37 27.58 6.40 -3.55 Randall Cobb GB vs. SEA 3 33 11.08 3.97 9 33 14.16 6.33 3.07 Nelson Agholor PHI vs. DAL 18 87 41.62 9.23 31 74 44.47 10.47 2.86 Kendall Wright TEN at CLE 14 48 29.05 6.41 14 38 26.37 5.59 -2.69 Eric Decker NYJ at IND 10 50 32.36 6.75 10 49 29.68 9.00 -2.68 Steve Smith BAL at OAK 7 44 21.62 6.40 7 35 19.21 6.76 -2.40 Sammy Watkins BUF vs. NE 15 60 32.91 7.37 15 41 30.63 7.36 -2.28 Donte Moncrief IND vs. NYJ 19 58 34.22 7.48 20 48 32.05 6.82 -2.16 Brandon Marshall NYJ at IND 9 43 20.66 6.02 11 43 22.79 7.54 2.13

Andre Johnson is looking pretty overrated. If you’re debated between him and someone else, I’d take a closer look at the match-ups there. On the flip side, Steve Johnson is looking pretty underrated. Notably, the worst rank anyone gave him in the default ECR was 63, while the worst rank anyone gave him among the top experts was 37. I would definitely feel a bit better about his floor after seeing this. Randall Cobb is overrated, but the top experts still have him with an average rank of 14.16. It’s Randall Cobb, and you’re probably still starting him. Steve Smith is looking a bit underrated, and especially with the match-up against Oakland, I’d give him a second look if you had him on your bench.

Tight Ends

Out of the default ECR’s top 20 TEs, here are the five where the top experts disagreed the most.

Default ECR Top Experts Player Name Team Matchup Best Rank Worst Rank Avg Rank Std Dev Best Rank Worst Rank Avg Rank Std Dev Diff Between Top Experts and ECR Delanie Walker TEN at CLE 7 44 13.36 5.00 10 30 15.53 5.86 2.17 Ladarius Green SD at CIN 5 26 12.98 3.24 5 16 11.11 2.43 -1.87 Kyle Rudolph MIN vs. DET 4 25 14.71 2.69 9 17 13.28 2.53 -1.43 Jordan Cameron MIA at JAC 3 19 8.86 2.38 4 19 10.16 3.45 1.30 Larry Donnell NYG vs. ATL 11 27 17.94 3.20 15 23 19.12 2.47 1.18

Think twice about Delaine Walker, as he’s looking pretty overrated, and his standard deviation is twice as high for him as the other four here. What does that mean? It pretty much means the experts have no idea what to do with him, so just understand that he’s a risky play. Do a bit more research, look at your next best alternative, and go with your gut. Ladarius Green and Kyle Rudolph are both worth a second look as they’re a little bit underrated.

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I hope this helped. Good luck, and feel free to tell me if it did or why I ruined your season.

Matthew Rubin is a correspondent at FantasyPros. Follow Matthew on Twitter @mtthewrubiin.