After letting the AFC feel better about themselves for a while, the NFC is beginning to show their dominance again.

The Chargers faced their biggest test yet this past Sunday and they ... didn't completely embarrass themselves. I'm not sure whether to take solace in, or be infuriated by, the fact that they had a chance to win the game and just squandered opportunities. Much has been written on here about what some of our writers think of Mike McCoy's in-game decisions, so I won't rehash anything.

When it comes to the rankings this week, the Chargers fell a little bit. They didn't fall too much because (a) they weren't expected to win anyway (Vegas had given the Chargers 7 points) and (b) the Chargers actually looked competent in the second half.

Division Averages

Division Week 11 Average Week 10 Average Difference NFC West 11.0000 12.4625 1.4625 AFC West 12.6375 12.1125 -0.525 NFC North 15.1375 15.3375 0.2 NFC South 16.8375 17.7250 0.8875 AFC East 17.7125 16.2000 -1.5125 AFC North 18.2750 18.9750 0.7 NFC East 18.3125 19.6750 1.3625 AFC South 22.0875 19.5125 -2.575

The NFC West has surged this week to take the division crown away from the AFC West, mostly thanks to the Rams' surge (and the Raiders and Chargers dragging the AFC West down).

Stock Rising

Team Week 10 Average Week 11 Average Difference PHI 18.869 13.737 5.132 STL 25.823 20.828 4.995 NYG 25.737 22.146 3.591 PIT 28.000 24.828 3.172 CAR 8.732 5.571 3.161

Stock Falling

Team Week 10 Average Week 11 Average Difference IND 5.081 10.520 -5.439 MIA 16.667 20.510 -3.843 TEN 16.091 19.864 -3.773 BUF 22.889 26.101 -3.212 GB 9.551 11.909 -2.358

Subjective Average

Subjective Broncos 2 1 3 2 4 3 1 1 1 3 1 2.000 0.000 Chiefs 1 2 1 3 1 1 2 3 3 1 4 2.000 0.182 Seahawks 3 3 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2.182 0.454 Saints 4 7 5 4 3 4 5 4 4 5 3 4.364 2.545 Patriots 5 4 4 5 5 5 4 6 5 4 5 4.727 1.273 Panthers 6 5 7 6 6 9 6 5 8 6 6 6.364 3.545 49ers 8 6 8 8 8 7 8 9 7 9 7 7.727 -3.181 Colts 7 9 9 9 9 6 7 7 6 8 9 7.818 -3.545 Lions 9 8 6 7 7 8 10 8 9 7 8 7.909 1.546 Bengals 10 13 10 10 10 10 9 11 10 10 10 10.273 -1.546 Bears 11 10 12 12 12 16 11 15 11 11 11 12.000 -0.273 Packers 13 11 13 11 14 12 13 17 12 13 12 12.818 -2.272 Jets 12 12 14 17 13 11 15 18 14 12 16 14.000 1.273 Cowboys 15 15 11 14 15 14 16 20 13 16 13 14.727 -1.909 Cardinals 16 19 15 13 16 13 12 13 16 15 18 15.091 2.727 Eagles 14 14 16 15 11 15 17 19 17 14 17 15.364 4.818 Chargers 17 16 18 18 20 18 14 12 15 18 14 16.364 -1.000 Ravens 18 18 20 16 17 21 18 10 18 17 15 17.091 2.636 Browns 19 24 19 19 24 20 19 14 19 19 20 19.636 -0.545 Titans 21 23 17 22 21 19 20 22 21 21 21 20.727 -4.545 Dolphins 22 21 23 21 26 17 22 16 20 23 19 20.909 -3.909 Rams 20 20 24 20 19 23 21 21 22 20 27 21.546 4.545 Giants 25 17 25 23 18 22 23 23 23 22 23 22.182 3.182 Redskins 23 22 22 25 23 24 24 24 26 24 24 23.727 -1.727 Steelers 24 26 26 24 22 25 26 26 24 25 22 24.546 3.454 Bills 26 27 28 28 27 27 27 28 25 27 28 27.091 -3.091 Raiders 27 30 29 26 25 26 25 27 27 26 30 27.091 -1.909 Texans 28 28 21 30 29 29 29 25 28 29 25 27.364 -2.364 Vikings 30 25 27 27 28 31 28 31 30 28 29 28.546 1.545 Falcons 29 29 30 29 30 28 30 29 29 30 26 29.000 -1.909 Buccaneers 31 32 31 31 31 30 31 30 31 31 31 30.909 -0.091 Jaguars 32 31 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 31.909 0.091

Observations:

Broncos and Chiefs in a dead heat.

Sharp delineation from Lions to Bengals.

Heh, look at that: in order, we have Lions and tigers and Bears (oh my).

SB Nation seems to be just a little off-kilter from everyone else.

Tampa Bay and Jacksonville starting to duke it out. They both win their first game in a week and now everyone is questioning their beliefs. Am I exaggerating a little since only 1 site put the Jags in 31st instead of 32nd? Probably.

Subjective Standard Deviation

Subjective Jaguars 32 31 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 0.288 0.288 Buccaneers 31 32 31 31 31 30 31 30 31 31 31 0.514 0.128 Seahawks 3 3 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 0.575 -0.575 Patriots 5 4 4 5 5 5 4 6 5 4 5 0.617 -0.337 49ers 8 6 8 8 8 7 8 9 7 9 7 0.862 -0.295 Bills 26 27 28 28 27 27 27 28 25 27 28 0.900 -0.514 Bengals 10 13 10 10 10 10 9 11 10 10 10 0.962 -0.090 Broncos 2 1 3 2 4 3 1 1 1 3 1 1.045 -0.083 Chiefs 1 2 1 3 1 1 2 3 3 1 4 1.045 -0.068 Saints 4 7 5 4 3 4 5 4 4 5 3 1.068 0.072 Lions 9 8 6 7 7 8 10 8 9 7 8 1.083 0.301 Falcons 29 29 30 29 30 28 30 29 29 30 26 1.128 -0.493 Redskins 23 22 22 25 23 24 24 24 26 24 24 1.136 -0.771 Panthers 6 5 7 6 6 9 6 5 8 6 6 1.150 -0.631 Colts 7 9 9 9 9 6 7 7 6 8 9 1.192 -0.409 Steelers 24 26 26 24 22 25 26 26 24 25 22 1.437 -0.321 Titans 21 23 17 22 21 19 20 22 21 21 21 1.543 0.351 Packers 13 11 13 11 14 12 13 17 12 13 12 1.585 -0.386 Raiders 27 30 29 26 25 26 25 27 27 26 30 1.730 0.145 Bears 11 10 12 12 12 16 11 15 11 11 11 1.758 -0.056 Vikings 30 25 27 27 28 31 28 31 30 28 29 1.777 1.263 Eagles 14 14 16 15 11 15 17 19 17 14 17 2.057 1.028 Cardinals 16 19 15 13 16 13 12 13 16 15 18 2.109 0.211 Jets 12 12 14 17 13 11 15 18 14 12 16 2.174 0.311 Cowboys 15 15 11 14 15 14 16 20 13 16 13 2.178 0.775 Rams 20 20 24 20 19 23 21 21 22 20 27 2.231 0.501 Chargers 17 16 18 18 20 18 14 12 15 18 14 2.267 0.713 Giants 25 17 25 23 18 22 23 23 23 22 23 2.405 -0.091 Texans 28 28 21 30 29 29 29 25 28 29 25 2.532 -0.198 Browns 19 24 19 19 24 20 19 14 19 19 20 2.568 0.417 Dolphins 22 21 23 21 26 17 22 16 20 23 19 2.712 -0.242 Ravens 18 18 20 16 17 21 18 10 18 17 15 2.745 0.292

Observations:

For there being a fight going on at the bottom of the rankings, they sure are pretty consistent in their rankings.

6 of the 9 least consistently-ranked teams are AFC.

11 teams with a Standard Deviation above 2.0. A lot of uncertainty this week. Kind of refreshing seeing that this late in the season.

Objective Average

Objective Seahawks 2 1 2 2 1 4 3 1 1 1.889 1.000 Broncos 1 3 3 1 2 2 1 6 2 2.333 0.667 Saints 4 2 5 3 5 5 4 4 6 4.222 1.778 Panthers 3 8 4 7 12 1 2 2 4 4.778 2.778 Chiefs 8 16 1 5 4 3 6 3 3 5.444 -0.888 49ers 6 6 6 6 6 8 5 5 5 5.889 -1.111 Patriots 7 12 8 4 3 7 8 7 8 7.111 0.667 Lions 10 9 7 11 11 6 12 11 7 9.333 1.889 Bengals 9 4 13 8 19 9 7 9 13 10.111 -2.222 Packers 13 7 17 9 10 13 9 10 11 11.000 -2.444 Eagles 15 5 10 15 8 12 15 15 14 12.111 5.445 Bears 5 13 14 12 15 11 14 12 15 12.333 0.111 Cowboys 11 15 11 10 7 22 11 14 10 12.333 -0.444 Cardinals 12 10 9 17 9 17 13 18 12 13.000 2.111 Colts 14 14 12 13 29 10 10 8 9 13.222 -7.333 Chargers 17 17 19 16 23 19 18 17 17 18.111 -1.000 Ravens 23 29 22 14 13 14 16 16 18 18.333 1.111 Titans 27 21 21 19 16 15 19 13 20 19.000 -3.000 Dolphins 18 25 25 18 14 20 20 19 22 20.111 -3.778 Rams 16 27 16 20 27 18 17 24 16 20.111 5.445 Browns 26 19 20 22 17 26 21 21 21 21.444 -0.444 Giants 28 11 15 21 18 28 28 31 19 22.111 4.000 Redskins 30 24 23 24 21 16 26 22 24 23.333 -2.222 Jets 19 20 18 27 25 25 30 25 23 23.556 -1.556 Texans 29 18 29 25 28 24 25 20 25 24.778 0.555 Bills 25 23 26 29 30 21 22 23 27 25.111 -3.333 Steelers 21 22 24 23 24 29 27 30 26 25.111 2.889 Falcons 22 26 30 26 26 31 24 26 30 26.778 -1.556 Vikings 24 28 28 28 20 30 29 27 29 27.000 1.556 Buccaneers 20 30 31 30 31 23 23 29 31 27.556 -0.112 Raiders 31 31 27 31 22 27 31 28 28 28.444 -0.111 Jaguars 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32.000 -0.444

Observations:

Seahawks made up a lot of the ground they lost last week.

Chargers dropped 1.000 in both lists this week.

Beatgraphs has a few oddities, but they're actually pretty well in line with most the others.

Jaguars are finally the consensus bottom team in the Objective list.

Objective Standard Deviation

Objective Jaguars 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 32 0.000 -1.257 49ers 6 6 6 6 6 8 5 5 5 0.875 -0.258 Seahawks 2 1 2 2 1 4 3 1 1 0.994 -0.376 Saints 4 2 5 3 5 5 4 4 6 1.133 -0.922 Broncos 1 3 3 1 2 2 1 6 2 1.491 -1.176 Chargers 17 17 19 16 23 19 18 17 17 1.969 0.683 Lions 10 9 7 11 11 6 12 11 7 2.055 0.437 Patriots 7 12 8 4 3 7 8 7 8 2.424 -0.275 Packers 13 7 17 9 10 13 9 10 11 2.789 0.380 Browns 26 19 20 22 17 26 21 21 21 2.793 0.849 Falcons 22 26 30 26 26 31 24 26 30 2.820 -1.061 Raiders 31 31 27 31 22 27 31 28 28 2.833 0.622 Bears 5 13 14 12 15 11 14 12 15 2.906 -1.740 Steelers 21 22 24 23 24 29 27 30 26 2.923 0.815 Vikings 24 28 28 28 20 30 29 27 29 2.944 1.445 Bills 25 23 26 29 30 21 22 23 27 2.961 0.181 Dolphins 18 25 25 18 14 20 20 19 22 3.315 -1.469 Cardinals 12 10 9 17 9 17 13 18 12 3.333 1.254 Panthers 3 8 4 7 12 1 2 2 4 3.359 -2.569 Eagles 15 5 10 15 8 12 15 15 14 3.478 1.212 Redskins 30 24 23 24 21 16 26 22 24 3.559 0.381 Texans 29 18 29 25 28 24 25 20 25 3.583 0.151 Jets 19 20 18 27 25 25 30 25 23 3.715 -0.880 Titans 27 21 21 19 16 15 19 13 20 3.859 -0.331 Cowboys 11 15 11 10 7 22 11 14 10 4.055 2.143 Buccaneers 20 30 31 30 31 23 23 29 31 4.058 0.754 Bengals 9 4 13 8 19 9 7 9 13 4.095 1.369 Chiefs 8 16 1 5 4 3 6 3 3 4.193 1.400 Rams 16 27 16 20 27 18 17 24 16 4.408 2.767 Ravens 23 29 22 14 13 14 16 16 18 5.011 -0.069 Colts 14 14 12 13 29 10 10 8 9 5.940 4.491 Giants 28 11 15 21 18 28 28 31 19 6.540 2.998

Observations:

Colts are the least consistent thanks to Beatgraphs. Otherwise they're very much a consistent 10-12.

AFC/NFC evenly distributed across the list.

Wow, Giants' Standard Deviation is over 6.

Chargers still one of the more consistent teams, despite their apparent reputation of being inconsistent.

Overall Average

Subj vs Obj Seahawks 2.182 1.889 2.035 0.728 Broncos 2.000 2.333 2.167 0.333 Chiefs 2.000 5.444 3.722 -0.353 Saints 4.364 4.222 4.293 2.162 Panthers 6.364 4.778 5.571 3.161 Patriots 4.727 7.111 5.919 0.970 49ers 7.727 5.889 6.808 -2.146 Lions 7.909 9.333 8.621 1.717 Bengals 10.273 10.111 10.192 -1.884 Colts 7.818 13.222 10.520 -5.439 Packers 12.818 11.000 11.909 -2.358 Bears 12.000 12.333 12.167 -0.081 Cowboys 14.727 12.333 13.530 -1.176 Eagles 15.364 12.111 13.737 5.132 Cardinals 15.091 13.000 14.045 2.420 Chargers 16.364 18.111 17.237 -1.000 Ravens 17.091 18.333 17.712 1.874 Jets 14.000 23.556 18.778 -0.142 Titans 20.727 19.000 19.864 -3.773 Dolphins 20.909 20.111 20.510 -3.843 Browns 19.636 21.444 20.540 -0.495 Rams 21.546 20.111 20.828 4.995 Giants 22.182 22.111 22.146 3.591 Redskins 23.727 23.333 23.530 -1.974 Steelers 24.546 25.111 24.828 3.172 Texans 27.364 24.778 26.071 -0.904 Bills 27.091 25.111 26.101 -3.212 Raiders 27.091 28.444 27.768 -1.010 Vikings 28.546 27.000 27.773 1.550 Falcons 29.000 26.778 27.889 -1.732 Buccaneers 30.909 27.556 29.232 -0.101 Jaguars 31.909 32.000 31.955 -0.177

Observations:

Seahawks and Broncos very close overall.

Chargers are the best of bottom half teams.

10 of the top 16 are NFC, compared the AFC's 6 representatives. That AFC dominance was short-lived.

Overall Standard Deviation

Subj vs Obj Jaguars 31.909 32.000 0.218 -0.654 Seahawks 2.182 1.889 0.805 -0.455 Saints 4.364 4.222 1.100 -0.528 49ers 7.727 5.889 1.261 0.109 Broncos 2.000 2.333 1.276 -0.761 Lions 7.909 9.333 1.746 0.234 Patriots 4.727 7.111 2.064 -0.071 Steelers 24.546 25.111 2.249 0.325 Chargers 16.364 18.111 2.308 0.626 Bills 27.091 25.111 2.315 -0.093 Falcons 29.000 26.778 2.345 -0.670 Bears 12.000 12.333 2.351 -1.062 Packers 12.818 11.000 2.388 -0.005 Raiders 27.091 28.444 2.390 -0.068 Vikings 28.546 27.000 2.496 1.177 Panthers 6.364 4.778 2.535 -1.816 Redskins 23.727 23.333 2.539 -0.057 Browns 19.636 21.444 2.819 0.550 Bengals 10.273 10.111 2.839 0.807 Cardinals 15.091 13.000 2.920 0.524 Titans 20.727 19.000 2.958 0.010 Dolphins 20.909 20.111 3.025 -0.875 Buccaneers 30.909 27.556 3.216 0.421 Eagles 15.364 12.111 3.223 1.078 Texans 27.364 24.778 3.311 0.241 Cowboys 14.727 12.333 3.381 1.666 Chiefs 2.000 5.444 3.383 1.019 Rams 21.546 20.111 3.463 1.752 Ravens 17.091 18.333 3.978 0.113 Giants 22.182 22.111 4.736 1.701 Colts 7.818 13.222 4.888 3.156 Jets 14.000 23.556 5.605 0.850

Difference in Averages

Subj vs Obj Jets 14.000 23.556 9.556 2.829 Colts 7.818 13.222 5.404 3.788 Chiefs 2.000 5.444 3.444 1.070 Patriots 4.727 7.111 2.384 0.606 Browns 19.636 21.444 1.808 -0.101 Chargers 16.364 18.111 1.748 0.000 Lions 7.909 9.333 1.424 -0.344 Raiders 27.091 28.444 1.354 -1.798 Ravens 17.091 18.333 1.242 1.525 Steelers 24.546 25.111 0.566 0.566 Bears 12.000 12.333 0.333 -0.384 Broncos 2.000 2.333 0.333 -0.667 Jaguars 31.909 32.000 0.091 0.535 Giants 22.182 22.111 -0.071 -0.819 Saints 4.364 4.222 -0.141 0.768 Bengals 10.273 10.111 -0.162 0.676 Seahawks 2.182 1.889 -0.293 -0.546 Redskins 23.727 23.333 -0.394 0.495 Dolphins 20.909 20.111 -0.798 -0.131 Rams 21.546 20.111 -1.434 -0.899 Vikings 28.546 27.000 -1.546 -0.011 Panthers 6.364 4.778 -1.586 0.768 Titans 20.727 19.000 -1.727 -1.545 Packers 12.818 11.000 -1.818 0.172 49ers 7.727 5.889 -1.838 -2.070 Bills 27.091 25.111 -1.980 0.242 Cardinals 15.091 13.000 -2.091 0.616 Falcons 29.000 26.778 -2.222 -0.353 Cowboys 14.727 12.333 -2.394 -1.465 Texans 27.364 24.778 -2.586 -2.919 Eagles 15.364 12.111 -3.253 -0.627 Buccaneers 30.909 27.556 -3.354 0.020

Observations:

The Jets became even more over-ranked this week. Their Objective ranking dropped more than their subjective ranking.

Colts are seemingly over-ranked right now. We'll see in the next couple weeks if they get better or worse.

Since the Chargers moved the same amount in both lists, their difference remains the same.

Would you believe the Panthers are still under-ranked. In the Objective lists, they're a top-5 team.

AFC teams in general are over-ranked, NFC teams in general are under-ranked.

Sources