Labor’s climate change policies will lead to 32,000 West Australian jobs being axed over the next decade and $76 billion wiped from the local economy, according to new modelling.

Figures to be released today by Brian Fisher, from economic consultancy BAEconomics, give a clearer indication of the cost of Labor’s climate policies to the economy — something Bill Shorten was unable to do during The West Australian and Channel 7’s Perth Leaders’ Debate on Monday night.

The new figures put further pressure on the Opposition Leader and Labor to reveal their own costings for the policies.

Dr Fisher has produced four scenarios under Labor’s climate plan. The figures relating to the impacts on the WA economy have been based on Australian Bureau of Statistics data and gross State product, through to 2030.

The overall impact to the national economy could be up to 333,000 job losses, with $542 billion wiped from GDP.

For a full-time worker earning $106,000, $11,660 could be lost in wages.

In 2030, losses in GDP range from $53 billion to $187 billion, according to Dr Fisher’s modelling. Electricity price changes would range between $110 MWh and $135 MWh.

Thermal coal would be one of the sectors hardest hit, but there would also be a big impact on production and transport.

Asked during the leaders’ debate about the issue, Mr Shorten said it was not possible to quantify the cost to the economy of the package and that Labor’s policy would create jobs and economic growth.

But Dr Fisher’s modelling shows that is not the case.

Previous modelling by Dr Fisher in February showed the Coalition’s commitment to meeting a 26 to 28 per cent reduction under the Paris Agreement would have led to $70 billion in cumulative economic losses by 2030 and a 2 per cent hit to real wage growth.

Since that time, Mr Shorten and shadow minister for climate change Mark Butler have released additional policy detail, including extending the safeguard mechanism to cap industrial pollution; allowing the sale of off-set permits as well as the purchase of off-sets from international sources; shielding for emissions intensive trade exposed industries; and a national electric vehicle target of 50 per cent of sales of new vehicles by 2030.

Labor has also said it would not allow the use of the Kyoto carry-over credits for meeting its emissions reduction targets. Those are effectively credits for Australia exceeding previous abatement commitments.

Dr Fisher, a former head of the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics who also worked under the Hawke, Keating and Howard governments as a chief adviser on climate policy, said there would be a substantial economic cost to Australia under Labor’s climate plans.

“But as our modelling has consistently shown, these costs can be ameliorated with greater levels of policy flexibility,” he said. “We are going to see notable negative impacts on growth, employment and wages under any scenario, but these could be reduced, for example, with unrestricted use of international permits.”

Energy Minister Angus Taylor, who arrived in Perth last night for several events and fundraisers, said the modelling “confirms that Labor’s policies will be a wrecking ball through the WA economy”.

“The West relies on energy intensive industries,” Mr Taylor said. “Resources, agriculture, transport and construction will all be trashed under Labor’s policies.

“It’s no wonder Shorten is refusing to come clean on the impacts of those policies. This modelling has filled the vacuum.”

But Mr Butler said the figures were “the latest in a parade of dodgy numbers cooked up to try and excuse six years of delay, division and denial from the Liberals on climate change and energy policy”.

“We saw this bloke coming a mile away,” Mr Butler said.

“The PM’s own department don’t want any part of this. Australians won’t be fooled, or frightened, into ignoring climate change. I’m happy for Morrison to talk about climate change every day until the election.

“Because every time he opens his mouth he shows he doesn’t believe it and his divided and chaotic party has no plan to deal with it.”

The modelling comes ahead of Labor today announcing it will create 70,000 new jobs and support more young Australians to train in the jobs for the future through a $75 million renewables training package — including support for 10,000 apprentices in the renewable and clean energy industries.

“Scott Morrison and the Liberals are hopelessly divided on climate change,” Mr Shorten said yesterday.

“All they have are baseless scare campaigns and no plans to bring down power bills for Australian households and businesses.”