As the dust settles from 2018, the redness of Florida is becoming self-evident.

The GOP has won the last six gubernatorial races and now controls both senate seats leaving Florida, for the first time, with no Democrat elected to any statewide post.

Turnout Wars

Last year, the real story is Republicans turned out at higher levels than Democrats.

…by 1.5% — even though Democrats outnumber Republicans by about 2% on the voter rolls.

Moreover, midterm white voters in Florida are coming out and voting Republican at historic levels.

According to Politico:

Exit polls in [both] 2016 and 2018 showed the Republican top-of-the-ticket candidates earning disproportionately high support from white voters, who comprise 63% of Florida’s voter rolls but cast more than 67% of the ballots, the new data show.

At 63%, turnout for 2018 – especially in Republican counties – was at Presidential levels.

For example, in the retirement area of Sumter County, white male turnout hit 80%. While in conservative Collier County, turnout was 73%.

This is great news for Team Trump 2020 as high turnout among whites and older Americans was a driving force behind Trump’s 2016 success.

But Hispanics also turned a bit more red in 2018.

Cuban-Americans also turned out in disproportionately high numbers for Republicans in 2018, off-setting other Latino groups who voted Democrat.

The Red Tide of Registration

But perhaps most troubling to Democrats is the sharp decline in their voter registration advantage since 2008.

Democratic Party Voter Registration Advantage Over Republicans Since 2006

2006 – +276,000

2007 – +312,000

2008 – +694,000

2009 – +670,000

2010 – +569,000

2011 – +491,000

2012 – +558,000

2013 – +488,000

2014 – +434,000

2015 – +355,000

2016 – +337,000

2017 – +263,242

2018 – +262,077

(SOURCE: FLORIDA DIVISION OF ELECTIONS)

At just over 260k, the Democrats have the lowest party advantage since at anytime this century. This is most probably because white voters – which make up a larger portion of the voter share – are moving in big numbers to the GOP.

Rise of the Red Machine

These facts underscore not just the continuing popularity of the President, but also the organisational skills of Republican GOTV efforts and the problems plaguing the once vaunted Florida Democrat machine.

Florida holds 29 electoral votes and is crucial to President Trump’s reelection. If he holds Florida and Ohio, he will most likely win reelection.

I shall be publishing my first prediction models with likely 2020 outcomes next month.

Keep checking back for more bold and edgy insight from The Renegade Deplorable.

Max is the host of The Max Radio Broadcast on YouTube and founder of The Max Warriors Network — a dedicated brigade of Deplorables which infiltrates and reports on Antifa activity.

Follow Max on Twitter @Maximus_4EVR and @Maximus_Legacy.

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