October 2, 2018 - GOP Cuts Into Dem Lead In House Races, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; More Voters Want Democrats To Control Senate

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Five weeks before the Midterm Elections, 49 percent of American voters back the Democratic candidate in their local race for the U.S. House of Representatives and 42 percent support the Republican candidate, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today.





This compares to the results of a September 12 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University National Poll, showing Democrats with a 52 - 38 percent lead.





White voters back Republicans 52 - 42 percent. Democrats win 82 - 10 percent support among black voters and lead 63 - 28 percent among Hispanic voters.





American voters say 50 - 43 percent they want Democrats to control the U.S. Senate.





American voters disapprove 53 - 41 percent of the job President Donald Trump is doing, compared to a 54 - 38 percent disapproval September 10.





"The numbers suggest the big blue wave may have lost some of its momentum as House races tighten. President Donald Trump's approval remains deeply in the red," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.





"But five weeks out, voters prefer Democrats to take control of the Senate, putting the more elusive prize for Democrats within reach."





From September 27 - 30, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,111 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points, including the design effect.





The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.





Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll





Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.





1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic candidate or more toward the Republican candidate?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Democratic candidate 49% 5% 95% 50% 43% 55% 51% 33% Republican candidate 42 92 3 39 48 37 43 59 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - 1 1 - - 1 DK/NA 8 3 3 10 9 7 6 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Democratic candidate 54% 54% 43% 51% 35% 47% 42% 82% 63% Republican candidate 35 37 50 45 58 46 52 10 28 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - - - 1 - 1 - 1 DK/NA 9 9 6 4 6 7 6 8 7

TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your congressional district? (If undecided) As of today, do you lean more toward the Democratic candidate or more toward the Republican candidate?

SMONE Dem Rep ELSE DK/NA Oct 02, 2018 49 42 - 8 Sep 12, 2018 52 38 - 9 Aug 15, 2018 51 42 1 7 Jul 25, 2018 51 39 - 10 Jul 02, 2018 50 41 1 8

2. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Republican Party 43% 91% 4% 41% 50% 37% 43% 60% Democratic Party 50 6 94 51 42 57 53 33 DK/NA 8 3 2 8 9 6 4 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Republican Party 36% 36% 51% 46% 60% 45% 52% 9% 29% Democratic Party 58 56 43 50 34 50 43 83 64 DK/NA 6 9 6 4 6 5 6 8 7

TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?

Rep Dem Party Party DK/NA Oct 02, 2018 43 50 8 Jun 20, 2018 44 49 7 Jun 06, 2018 41 48 11 Apr 25, 2018 42 48 10 Apr 11, 2018 43 46 10 Mar 21, 2018 43 49 8 Mar 07, 2018 39 49 12 Feb 20, 2018 39 54 7 Feb 07, 2018 42 49 9 Jan 24, 2018 39 53 8

See additional trend information at top of page





3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 41% 83% 8% 37% 48% 35% 40% 58% Disapprove 53 12 90 53 44 60 56 36 DK/NA 6 4 2 10 7 6 3 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 35% 35% 48% 44% 56% 44% 49% 8% 24% Disapprove 57 60 47 53 38 52 45 80 70 DK/NA 8 5 5 3 6 4 5 12 5

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

App Dis DK/NA Oct 02, 2018 41 53 6 Sep 10, 2018 38 54 8 Aug 14, 2018 41 54 5 Jul 24, 2018 38 58 4 Jul 03, 2018 40 55 4 Jun 20, 2018 43 52 6 Jun 06, 2018 40 51 8 Apr 25, 2018 39 54 7 Apr 10, 2018 41 52 7 Mar 21, 2018 40 53 7

See additional trend information at top of page





3a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q3) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve strongly 31% 70% 4% 24% 36% 27% 31% 44% Approve smwht 10 13 4 13 12 8 9 13 Disapprove smwht 6 5 6 7 7 5 4 5 Disapprove strongly 46 7 84 46 37 55 52 30 DK/NA 7 5 2 11 8 6 4 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve strongly 25% 24% 36% 37% 43% 34% 38% 6% 20% Approve smwht 9 11 12 7 14 10 11 2 5 Disapprove smwht 4 9 6 5 5 5 5 12 10 Disapprove strongly 53 51 40 48 32 47 40 68 61 DK/NA 9 5 6 3 7 4 6 12 5

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?

APPROVE...... DISAPPROVE..... Strngly Smwht Smwht Strngly DK/NA Oct 02, 2018 31 10 6 46 7 Sep 10, 2018 27 10 6 48 9 Aug 14, 2018 30 10 6 48 6 Jul 24, 2018 28 10 7 51 5 Jul 03, 2018 30 10 8 47 5 Jun 20, 2018 32 10 5 47 6 Jun 06, 2018 29 11 8 44 9 Apr 25, 2018 31 8 6 47 8 Apr 10, 2018 30 10 10 42 7 Mar 21, 2018 30 9 7 46 8