The natural world is vastly more complex in quantity, quality, even in dimension, that the human brain can encompass in model. And like the fisherman with the two-inch netting who had sincere certainty that there were no fish in the waters larger than 2 inches, we continue on blindly.



Pushing the total natural system out of balance -- not just the simply models of partial subsystems that we think we understand -- we are setting ourselves up in the not-so-long term for a snap back of catastrophic consequences. Those who rail against such "paranoiac talk" waving past successes tend to be either very myopic to the whole picture, or do not yet see the end of the story which may be heading at us like an on-coming freight train.



Murphy's law that anything that can go wrong (whether or not dreamt of in your philosophy Horatio), will go wrong is not simple cynicism, but the Second Law of Dynamics multiplied by non-linearity and system complexity.



The only answer is the balance provided from the quantum level up of unification in to balanced system -- homeostasis at the level of component specificity. From atomic to macro-molecular structure, bacteria to unified bacteria megacolonies, insect colonies, animal flocks, schools, herds, and packs, single cells up into higher systems-- and symbiotic virus into celluar mitochondria (that prehistory alone should give pause!)



It is this force of unification over disintegration -- the altruistic "4th leg" of evolution, that we might call "love above hatred," that seems to be driving the present flow of Humanity into global integration with and interdependence between nations, corporate sub-entities, and individuals very much akin to organs, tissues, and cells of a living body.



One would suggest that a better use of our individual human know-how would be to focus on the issues of globalization. In particular, we should be extending behavioral economics into an intentional sense of mutual responsibility and guarantee, through integral education.



In sum, stop messing around with error-fraught hand calculations of cost-benefit analysis and concentrate on smoothly transitioning to the computerized spread sheet that "the IT folks at the Corporate Office" are in the process of installing.