FiveThirtyEight released their probabilities for the 2019 season of Major League Soccer, including who has the strongest team, who is likeliest to make the playoffs and win MLS Cup.

According to FiveThirtyEight, Atlanta United are favorites to repeat as MLS Cup champs at 16 percent, narrowly ahead of the New York Red Bulls (14%) and Sporting Kansas City (11%). Those three clubs are near-locks for the playoffs, with ATL and RBNY at 90 percent and SKC at 87 percent.

Atlanta are rated the strongest squad with the Red Bulls second strongest. ATL have the best attack and Red Bulls the best defense, according to FiveThirtyEight.

Interestingly, FiveThirtyEight give D.C. United the eighth-best chances of making the playoffs in the Eastern Conference, behind the Montreal Impact and Philadelphia Union. The simulation also fancies the chances of Toronto FC, giving them a 70% shot at the playoffs.

Out in the Western Conference, the LA Galaxy are expected by FiveThirtyEight to end their two-year postseason drought with the Houston Dynamo narrowly missing out. The simulations also see Minnesota United missing out as well.

The revamped Colorado Rapids are judged by FiveThirtyEight to have the longest shot to make the playoffs at just 15%, with Orlando City (23%) and FC Cincinnati (25%) also facing steep climbs.

FiveThirtyEight's MLS Week 1 probabilities:

Philadelphia 50% win Toronto FC 27% win Draw 23% Orlando 34% win NYCFC 42% win Draw 25%

Columbus 43% win NY Red Bulls 29% win Draw 29% FC Dallas 56% win New England 20% win Draw 24%

Houston 48% win Real Salt Lake 28% win Draw 23% Colorado 32% win Portland 42% win Draw 26%

Vancouver 53% win Minnesota 25% win Draw 21% LA Galaxy 60% win Chicago 20% win Draw 21%

San Jose 40% win Montreal 35% win Draw 25% Seattle 66% win Cincinnati 12% win Draw 22%