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Alfre Woodard, Clemency

This week, Mark Harris noted pundits’ unfortunate habit of assuming this category’s four highest-profile white contenders are locks, leaving all the nonwhite actresses to compete against each other for the fifth spot. I’ve been guilty of thinking that way, so the reminder is heeded. And would you look at that, this week Woodard didn’t just get a Best Actress nomination at the Spirits, but Clemency itself also showed up across the board. However, I’ve seen reports the film hasn’t sent out SAG screeners yet, a crucial step for this late-December release.