The Marvel Cinematic Universe is aiming to break more records this weekend, as the highly anticipated Captain Marvel is launching into a massive 4,310 locations – the widest for any March release on record. As a result, there’s a good chance the title opens over $150 million this weekend. The question is, just how high will Captain Marvel wind up by Sunday?

The current March opening weekend record belongs to Beauty and the Beast, which opened to a whopping $174 million back in 2017. The odds of it winding up above that seem slim, but after the overperformance of Black Panther last year it would be foolish to write off anything too spectacular at this point.

So how did Captain Marvel shoot its way up the tracking ranks from a $100 million weekend to over $150 million? Quite simply, pre-sales were far higher than expected, both domestically and abroad, signaling that interest is much higher than initially anticipated. It doesn’t hurt that Marvel produced the film for a relatively thrifty $152 million, the lowest budget for any title in the MCU since the Ant-Man back in 2015.

Elsewhere, things should be relatively quiet. How To Train Your Dragon will likely take a big hit as a result of losing many of its 3D and Premium screens, while Madea will also likely see a sharp decline, as the Madea films tend to be fairly front loaded. Other titles like Alita and Greta will also slip further down the top 10, as the arrival of such a massive title simply sucks most of the air out of the box office.

Predictions

Captain Marvel – $168 million How to Train Your Dragon – $15 million A Madea Family Funeral – $12 million Alita: Battle Angel – $3 million