With two weeks remaining in the regular season, the battle for fourth place in the Western Conference – and with it, a home game to open the USL Championship Playoffs – remains unclear.

Sacramento Republic FC enters Wednesday in fourth after a 3-2 road victory over Tulsa Roughnecks FC last weekend, but Orange County SC (26 percent) and Real Monarchs SLC (28 percent) currently boast better odds than Sacramento (19 percent) to finish the season in that spot, according to fivethirtyeight.com.

While OCSC and Real have the potential to pass Republic FC with their games in hand, the fourth spot will likely come down to the result of a head-to-head round robin between the sides over the next two weeks, with each team playing the other two over the final stretch of the season.

Ahead of the start of that round robin on Wednesday night when the Monarchs host Orange County at Zions Bank Stadium, we’ve got one reason why each team will earn the fourth and final home game in the Western Conference Quarterfinals… and also one why they will fall short of that goal.