Favorable weather conditions will welcome the Colts to Kansas City’s Arrowhead Stadium for “Sunday Night Football.”

The Chiefs’ passing offense is in position to dominate this Colts secondary. It is the NFL’s top-rated passing offense based on Football Outsiders’ defense-adjusted value over average ratings. Those same ratings list the Colts’ pass defense at 24th when fully healthy. In this contest, both of Indianapolis’ starting safeties are hobbled and unlikely to play.

While this is a matchup the Chiefs will exploit, explosive passing is not the most advantageous way to drain the clock when a team leads in the second half. Both the Lions and Ravens were able to close the gap with the Chiefs late in games because of the inability of Kansas City to run the ball with any effectiveness.

The Colts are aware that if they are to compete in this game, they’ll have to limit the Chiefs’ opportunities on offense by possessing the football. With running back Marlon Mack and receiver T.Y. Hilton back in the lineup, the Colts’ offense is in position to keep the 31st-ranked Chiefs’ rush defense on the field, which is an effective way to try to gain the lead, drain the clock and keep Kansas City’s offense on the sideline.

The play: Colts +11