Senate Projections

The table below shows the results of our prediction algorithm for the Senate Elections in November. The method by which a projection is determined is complicated, using local regression, but its all explained if you're really curious. The algorithm outputs a projected result for each candidate; the candidate with the highest projected percentage is declared and the associated party is credited with a Senator. The races in Arkansas, Wyoming-A and Wyoming-B are devoid of non-partisan polling, thus making a projection impossible; in these situations the previous Senate election results are used in place of a projection. The polls used in the calculations can be viewed on our polls and graphs page.

*60 Senators needed for filibuster proof majority. The two indepedent Senators are added to the Democratic total because they currently caucus with the Democrats.