Saturday's election could see Victoria's Legislative Council become as chaotic as the Senate. One online poll watcher predicts the Coalition will lose seats to the Sex Party, the Shooters and Fishers, the Liberal Democrats, the Country Alliance – and Labor and the Greens.

But that's just one estimate. Vary the votes slightly, and instead you could see the DLP, the Australian Christians, Family First and the Palmer United Party taking seats off the Government.

And if the votes shift other ways, power in the new upper house could be shared by the Australian Cyclists' Party, People Power – No Smart Meters, Voice for the West, Vote 1 Local Jobs, the Basics Rock n' Roll Party and the Rev Danny Nalliah's party Rise Up Australia.

One thing looks certain: whoever wins government tonight will not control the upper house – as the Coalition has since 2010 - but will have to negotiate its legislation with the opposition, and/or the Greens, and/or minor parties.

Online election site geekLections predicts the Coalition will lose six of its 21 seats, and Labor two of its 16. On its projections, the Greens would swell from three seats to seven, and the Coalition would also lose seats to former cop Jeff Bourman of the Shooters Party, Sex Party leader Fiona Patten, Robert Danieli of the Country Alliance and Abe Salt of the Liberal Democrats.