It's possible the San Francisco Bay Area will see no rain in November

FILE PHOTO: View of the Golden Gate Bridge from Land's End on a clear day. FILE PHOTO: View of the Golden Gate Bridge from Land's End on a clear day. Photo: Travis Jensen Photo: Travis Jensen Image 1 of / 9 Caption Close It's possible the San Francisco Bay Area will see no rain in November 1 / 9 Back to Gallery

A weather system known as a "high-pressure ridge" is parked along the California coast, acting like a wall and blocking Pacific storms.

Meteorologists don't see any signs of the weather pattern changing in the coming week, and the long-range forecast models that can look out two weeks indicate no or extremely small chances of rain in the next two weeks.

"Until we see substantial movement of that ridge, everything will be forced north of us," says Scott Rowe, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service's Bay Area office. "And so it's just a matter of seeing when that ridge breaks down and moves out of the area."

Some Bay Area folks might find themselves wondering, "Will the Bay Area see no rain in November?"

Yes, it's possible we could see not a single drop throughout the month.

The autumn month has been dry before. According to historic records going back 169 years, it has happened four times: in 1890, 1929, 1933 and 1959.

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The Bay Area is seeing an especially dry fall, with only one weak storm since the first day of the season.

Since Sept. 22, San Jose has recorded .03 inches of rain, SanFrancisco .21 inches and Santa Rosa 1.34. While all these totals are well below normal, meteorologist Jan Null of Golden Gate Weather Services say there's no relationship between autumn rainfall and the primary rainy season from December through February.

Null points out that in 2015-16, only .2 inches fell July through October, and the winter precipitation total ended up being normal. In 2012-13, a whopping 1.49 inches were recorded July through October, and that year ended up being below-normal rainfall.

While October rainfall might not be an indicator for the rainy season, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is monitoring other climate patterns including El Niño and the Madden-Julian Oscillation, which can impact winter weather.

MORE: Dry start to autumn in San Francisco Bay Area: Is this unusual?

It's still early in the season to make definitive weather forecasts, but at this point NOAA's Climate Prediction Center sees the possibility of above-normal temperatures December through February. The precipitation forecast remains less certain, with equal chances of above normal, below normal and normal.

That said, the forecast for the coming week is fairly certain. The high-pressure system is going to keep things dry.