The 2016 Blast The latest POLITICO scoops and coverage of the 2016 elections. Email Sign Up

Tweets from https://twitter.com/politico/lists/team-politico



Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump gives a thumbs up to supporters after he spoke Monday, April 4, at a campaign rally. | AP Photo Trump soars to majority in New York poll

After losing the Wisconsin primary by double digits and 30 delegates, Donald Trump is poised for a warm embrace in his home state of New York, if the results of the latest Monmouth University poll of registered Republicans likely to vote is any indication.

Trump rocketed to 52 percent support in the poll, released Wednesday afternoon, more than doubling the 25 percent earned by Ohio Gov. John Kasich and 17 percent by Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, both of whom have recently been campaigning in the state ahead of the April 19 contest. Trump is holding an event on Long Island later in the evening, while Cruz is slated to stop over at a Chino-Latino restaurant in the Bronx on Wednesday afternoon before rallying supporters at a Christian academy in upstate Scotia and visiting a matzah bakery in Brooklyn on Thursday.

Six percent said they are undecided among the candidates.

In New York, a candidate receiving more than 50 percent of the vote in any of the state's 27 districts wins all of the district's delegates, though Trump's majority level of support is well within the poll's nearly 6-point margin of error.

Asked whether the fact that Trump is a fellow New Yorker makes them more proud or more embarrassed, 72 percent said they did not think about their association to the Manhattan real estate mogul like that. About 14 percent said it made them more proud, while 13 percent said it was more of an embarrassment.

A majority of 57 percent also said Trump's recent comments related to abortion and nuclear proliferation would have no impact on whether they would support Trump, while 29 percent said the remarks would make them less likely to support him and just 7 percent responded that it would make them more likely.

New York Republicans indicated that they would be more likely to support Trump in a general election than they would Cruz, but an even larger majority said they would support Kasich.

While 70 percent said they would vote for Trump in the general election if he is the party's nominee, 12 percent said they would back an independent candidate and 9 percent said they would support Hillary Clinton. Roughly two in three (66 percent) said they would vote for Cruz if he is the nominee in the general election, while 13 percent said they would support an independent and 10 percent said they would vote for Clinton.

If Kasich is the party's nominee, however, 81 percent said they would vote for the governor of Ohio, compared to just 4 percent who said they would pick an independent candidate and 3 percent who would vote for Clinton.

Monmouth conducted the survey via landlines and cellphones from April 3-5, drawing from a list of registered Republican voters in the state who participated in either primary election in 2012 or 2014 or who have voted in the past two general elections or have registered since 2014. Among the 302 likely voters surveyed, the margin of error is plus or minus 5.6 percentage points.