COVID-19 Policy Simulator

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COVID-19 Policy Simulator is an interactive tool to help policymakers decide how to respond to COVID-19 pandemic. The tool evaluates the impact of different social-distancing interventions (by varying their intensity and timing) on a reduction in the spread of coronavirus in 50 states and the District of Columbia. The information presented can help policymakers understand consequences such as the rate of new cases, the potential strain on the healthcare system, and projected deaths. The COVID-19 Simulator simulates the trajectory of COVID-19 at the state level from March 15, 2020, to December 28, 2020 in the United States.

COVID-19 Outbreak Tool

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The COVID-19 Outbreak Detection Tool detects recent COVID-19 outbreaks in U.S. counties. The tool leverages machine learning to predict how fast an outbreak could spread at the county level by estimating the doubling time of COVID-19 cases. It accounts for reported COVID-19 cases and deaths, face mask mandates, social distancing policies, the CDC’s Social Vulnerability Index, changes in tests performed and rate of positive tests. The tool offers an interactive map and a data explorer allowing users to filter and rearrange counties based on predicted trends, which get updated at least once per week.