Chicago Fire Playoff Chances Did not play, playoff odds down 3.1 to 70.2% 4 points 1-1-0 Add your own league How are these numbers calculated? Big Games How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/11 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Win MLS Cup 100.0* Supporters Shield 100.0* Wooden Spoon 100.0* Average seed Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 +6.5 +0.7 +1.3 -1.5 +0.5 Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 -1.1 -0.1 -0.1 Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 -0.6 -0.1 -0.0 Dynamo 3 Crew 1 +0.5 +0.1 +0.0 Impact 2 Sounders 2 +0.5 +0.0 Union 2 Toronto FC 2 +0.4 +0.1 +0.1 NYCFC 4 DC United 0 -0.2 +0.1 Galaxy 0 Timbers 1 -0.1 -0.1 Sporting KC 0 FC Dallas 0 +0.1 If winner is: Home Draw Away Revolution vs Orlando -0.2 +0.4 -0.1 *+0.0 +0.1 -0.1 +0.1 +0.1 -0.2 If winner is: Home Draw Away Week of 3/18 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Win MLS Cup 100.0* Supporters Shield 100.0* Wooden Spoon 100.0* Average seed Atlanta vs Fire -4.6 +0.6 +9.7 -0.7 +0.1 +1.4 -1.7 -0.2 +4.2 +0.4 -0.1 -0.7 -0.4 +0.0 +0.8 Whitecaps vs Toronto FC +0.5 *+0.0 -1.0 +0.1 *+0.0 -0.1 +0.0 +0.0 -0.1 +0.0 +0.0 -0.1 FC Dallas vs Revolution +0.4 -0.0 -1.1 +0.0 *+0.0 -0.1 -0.1 +0.1 +0.1 +0.0 -0.0 -0.1 Sounders vs Red Bulls +0.3 *-0.0 -0.6 +0.1 +0.0 -0.1 +0.1 +0.1 -0.3 +0.0 +0.0 -0.1 DC United vs Crew -0.2 +0.5 -0.1 -0.0 +0.1 -0.0 NYCFC vs Impact -0.1 +0.4 -0.2 -0.0 +0.1 +0.0 -0.1 +0.1 +0.1 Orlando vs Union -0.1 +0.4 -0.2 -0.0 +0.1 -0.0 -0.1 +0.1 +0.1 Timbers vs Dynamo -0.1 +0.2 -0.0 Sporting KC vs Earthquakes +0.0 +0.1 -0.2 Rapids vs Minnesota -0.1 +0.1 +0.1 -0.0 -0.0 +0.1 * A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If Chances based on how well the Fire finish out the regular season. Explain 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Supporters Chance will finish regular season at seed Wooden TP W - D - L playoffs Shield 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Spoon Count 84 -100 In Yes 100 No 37,593 * 83 25 - 4 - 3 In 99.2 % 99 1 No 132 * 77 -82 In 99.9 100 No 13,390 * 76 22 - 6 - 4 In 99.9 100 0 No 11,211 * 75 22 - 5 - 5 In 99.9 100 0 No 19,911 * 74 21 - 7 - 4 In 99.8 100 0 No 33,927 * 73 21 - 6 - 5 In 99.7 100 0 No 55,857 * 72 21 - 5 - 6 In 99.4 100 0 No 91,473 * 71 20 - 7 - 5 In 99.2 100 0 No 145,023 * 70 20 - 6 - 6 In 98.6 100 0 0 No 224,357 * 69 19 - 8 - 5 In 97.8 99 1 0 No 341,460 * 68 19 - 7 - 6 In 96.6 99 1 0 No 507,635 * 67 19 - 6 - 7 In 94.8 98 2 0 No 738,832 * 66 18 - 8 - 6 In 92.1 97 3 0 No 1,049,773 * 65 18 - 7 - 7 In 88.5 96 4 0 0 No 1,465,503 * 64 18 - 6 - 8 In 83.4 94 6 0 0 No 2,004,135 * 63 17 - 8 - 7 In 76.9 91 9 0 0 No 2,681,458 * 62 17 - 7 - 8 In 68.6 87 13 0 0 No 3,519,904 * 61 16 - 9 - 7 In 58.7 82 17 1 0 0 No 4,518,808 * 60 16 - 8 - 8 In 47.6 75 23 2 0 0 No 5,690,900 * 59 16 - 7 - 9 In 35.9 67 29 4 0 0 No 7,025,549 * 58 15 - 9 - 8 In 24.7 58 35 6 0 0 0 No 8,489,643 * 57 15 - 8 - 9 In 15.1 48 40 11 1 0 0 No 10,065,885 * 56 15 - 7 - 10 100.0 % 8.0 37 44 16 3 0 0 0 No 11,694,232 * 55 14 - 9 - 9 100.0 3.5 27 44 23 5 1 0 0 No 13,320,819 * 54 14 - 8 - 10 100.0 1.2 18 40 31 10 1 0 0 0 0 No 14,871,823 * 53 14 - 7 - 11 100.0 0.3 11 33 36 16 4 0 0 0 No 16,258,438 * 52 13 - 9 - 10 99.9 0.1 6 25 37 24 8 1 0 0 0 No 17,430,265 * 51 13 - 8 - 11 99.6 0.0 2 16 33 31 14 3 0 0 0 No 18,313,146 * 50 12 - 10 - 10 98.7 0.0 1 8 25 34 22 7 1 0 0 0 No 18,854,925 * 49 12 - 9 - 11 96.1 0.0 0 4 16 31 30 14 4 0 0 0 No 19,027,558 * 48 12 - 8 - 12 90.0 No 0 1 8 24 33 23 8 2 0 0 0 No 18,806,152 * 47 11 - 10 - 11 78.8 No 0 0 4 15 30 31 16 4 1 0 0 No 18,205,002 * 46 11 - 9 - 12 62.5 No 0 0 1 7 22 32 25 10 2 0 0 No 17,264,570 * 45 11 - 8 - 13 43.6 No 0 0 0 3 13 28 32 19 5 1 0 No 16,035,440 * 44 10 - 10 - 12 26.1 No 0 0 0 1 6 19 32 28 12 2 0 No 14,582,546 * 43 10 - 9 - 13 13.3 No 0 0 0 2 11 27 33 20 6 1 0.0 % 12,980,454 * 42 10 - 8 - 14 5.7 No 0 0 0 1 5 18 33 30 12 2 0.0 11,310,766 * 41 9 - 10 - 13 2.1 No 0 0 0 2 10 28 36 20 4 0.0 9,641,713 * 40 9 - 9 - 14 0.6 No 0 0 1 5 20 37 30 8 0.1 8,043,260 * 39 9 - 8 - 15 0.2 No 0 0 0 2 12 33 38 15 0.7 6,551,921 * 38 8 - 10 - 14 0.0 No 0 0 1 6 26 43 24 2.4 5,225,493 * 37 8 - 9 - 15 0.0 No 0 0 0 3 18 44 35 6.3 4,069,600 * 36 8 - 8 - 16 0.0 No 0 0 1 11 41 46 12.9 3,095,014 * 35 7 - 10 - 15 0.0 No 0 0 0 7 35 57 22.5 2,299,480 * 34 7 - 9 - 16 Out No 0 0 4 29 68 34.0 1,666,353 * 33 7 - 8 - 17 Out No 0 0 2 22 76 46.5 1,177,964 * 32 6 - 10 - 16 Out No 0 0 1 16 83 58.4 813,324 * 31 6 - 9 - 17 Out No 0 0 11 88 68.8 546,100 * 30 6 - 8 - 18 Out No 0 0 8 92 77.7 356,968 * 29 5 - 10 - 17 Out No 0 5 95 84.5 226,618 * 28 5 - 9 - 18 Out No 0 3 97 89.6 139,925 * 27 5 - 8 - 19 Out No 0 2 98 93.1 83,858 * 26 4 - 10 - 18 Out No 1 99 95.7 48,600 * 25 4 - 9 - 19 Out No 1 99 97.4 27,598 * 24 4 - 8 - 20 Out No 0 100 98.3 14,892 * 23 3 - 10 - 19 Out No 0 100 99.2 8,011 * 22 3 - 9 - 20 Out No 0 100 99.6 3,968 * 19 -21 Out No 100 99.8 3,305 * 18 2 - 8 - 22 Out No 1 99 99.5 184 * 4 -17 Out No 100 Yes 37,620 * Total: 70.2 % 7.1 % 15 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 1.2 % 331,770,264 * Row combines multiple less frequent records. First Round Opponent What If First round opponent based on how well the Fire finish out the regular season. Explain If finish: Chance will play in first round TP W - D - L Win Cup Bye Red Bulls Orlando NYCFC Atlanta Toronto FC Union DC United Revolution Impact Crew 66 -100 12.5 % Yes 65 18 - 7 - 7 12.4 100 0 0 64 18 - 6 - 8 12.5 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 63 17 - 8 - 7 12.5 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 62 17 - 7 - 8 12.5 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 61 16 - 9 - 7 12.5 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 60 16 - 8 - 8 12.5 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 59 16 - 7 - 9 12.5 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15 - 10 - 7 12.5 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 58 15 - 9 - 8 12.4 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 16 - 6 - 10 12.5 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 57 15 - 8 - 9 12.4 99 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 - 11 - 7 12.5 99 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 56 15 - 7 - 10 12.4 97 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 - 10 - 8 12.4 97 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 55 14 - 9 - 9 12.3 94 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 15 - 6 - 11 12.3 94 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 54 14 - 8 - 10 12.0 89 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 - 11 - 8 12.0 88 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 15 - 5 - 12 12.1 89 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 53 14 - 7 - 11 11.6 80 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 13 - 10 - 9 11.5 79 2 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 12 - 13 - 7 11.6 80 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 52 13 - 9 - 10 10.8 66 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 14 - 6 - 12 10.9 68 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 12 - 12 - 8 10.8 66 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 51 13 - 8 - 11 9.8 51 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 12 - 11 - 9 9.7 50 5 6 6 6 5 5 4 4 4 3 14 - 5 - 13 9.9 53 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 50 12 - 10 - 10 8.2 34 6 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 4 13 - 7 - 12 8.4 36 6 7 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 4 11 - 13 - 8 8.3 35 6 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 4 49 12 - 9 - 11 6.5 20 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 13 - 6 - 13 6.8 22 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 11 - 12 - 9 6.4 19 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 48 12 - 8 - 12 4.8 10 6 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 4 11 - 11 - 10 4.7 10 6 7 7 7 6 6 5 5 5 4 47 11 - 10 - 11 2.9 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 12 - 7 - 13 3.1 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 46 11 - 9 - 12 1.7 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 45 11 - 8 - 13 0.8 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 44 10 - 10 - 12 0.3 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 43 10 - 9 - 13 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 42 10 - 8 - 14 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 41 9 - 10 - 13 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 9 - 9 - 14 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 39 9 - 8 - 15 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 38 9 - 7 - 16 0.0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 37 9 - 6 - 17 No 0 0 4 -36 No Total: 6.4 % 40.1 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.6 Points (Full Screen) Chance Will Make Playoffs (Full Screen) Lottery Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big Games Week of 3/11 100.0* Lottery seed Fire 2 Real Salt Lake 0 -1.0 Minnesota 1 Atlanta 6 +0.1 Red Bulls 1 Rapids 0 +0.1 Union 2 Toronto FC 2 -0.1 Impact 2 Sounders 2 -0.0 Dynamo 3 Crew 1 -0.0 NYCFC 4 DC United 0 +0.0 If winner is: Home Draw Away Week of 3/18 100.0* Lottery seed Atlanta vs Fire +0.7 -0.1 -1.6 Sounders vs Red Bulls -0.0 -0.0 +0.1 Whitecaps vs Toronto FC -0.0 -0.0 +0.1 FC Dallas vs Revolution -0.0 -0.0 +0.1 NYCFC vs Impact +0.0 -0.1 +0.0 Orlando vs Union +0.0 -0.1 +0.0 DC United vs Crew +0.0 -0.1 +0.0 What If 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance will finish season at seed TP W - D - L 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 84 -100 100 83 25 - 4 - 3 99 1 82 24 - 6 - 2 100 81 24 - 5 - 3 100 0 80 24 - 4 - 4 100 79 23 - 6 - 3 100 0 78 23 - 5 - 4 100 0 77 23 - 4 - 5 100 0 76 22 - 6 - 4 100 0 0 75 22 - 5 - 5 100 0 0 74 21 - 7 - 4 100 0 0 73 21 - 6 - 5 100 0 0 72 21 - 5 - 6 99 0 0 71 20 - 7 - 5 99 1 0 70 20 - 6 - 6 99 1 0 0 69 19 - 8 - 5 98 2 1 0 68 19 - 7 - 6 97 2 1 0 67 19 - 6 - 7 95 3 2 0 0 66 18 - 8 - 6 92 5 3 0 0 65 18 - 7 - 7 88 7 4 0 0 0 64 18 - 6 - 8 83 10 6 0 0 0 63 17 - 8 - 7 77 14 9 0 0 0 0 62 17 - 7 - 8 69 18 13 0 0 0 0 61 16 - 9 - 7 59 23 17 0 1 0 0 0 60 16 - 8 - 8 48 28 22 1 2 0 0 0 59 16 - 7 - 9 36 31 27 2 4 0 0 0 0 58 15 - 9 - 8 25 33 31 4 6 0 0 0 0 0 57 15 - 8 - 9 15 33 32 8 10 0 1 0 0 0 56 15 - 7 - 10 8 29 30 14 16 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 55 14 - 9 - 9 3 23 24 20 21 2 5 0 1 0 0 0 54 14 - 8 - 10 1 17 16 24 25 6 10 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 53 14 - 7 - 11 0 10 8 25 24 12 15 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 52 13 - 9 - 10 0 5 3 21 18 19 21 3 7 0 1 0 0 0 0 51 13 - 8 - 11 0 2 1 15 10 23 22 9 13 1 3 0 0 0 0 50 12 - 10 - 10 0 1 0 8 4 22 18 17 19 3 7 0 1 0 0 0 49 12 - 9 - 11 0 0 0 4 1 15 9 22 21 9 14 1 4 0 0 0 48 12 - 8 - 12 0 0 1 0 8 3 21 16 17 20 3 8 2 0 0 0 47 11 - 10 - 11 0 0 0 4 1 14 8 22 20 10 15 5 1 0 0 0 46 11 - 9 - 12 0 0 0 1 0 7 2 19 14 19 21 12 4 1 0 0 0 0 45 11 - 8 - 13 0 0 0 0 3 0 12 6 22 20 21 11 3 1 0 0 0 0 44 10 - 10 - 12 0 0 0 0 1 0 6 2 18 12 24 22 12 4 1 0 0 0 43 10 - 9 - 13 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 11 5 17 26 23 12 4 1 0 0 0 42 10 - 8 - 14 0 0 0 0 1 0 5 1 7 19 27 23 12 4 1 0 0 41 9 - 10 - 13 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 9 21 28 23 11 3 0 0 40 9 - 9 - 14 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 11 23 29 22 9 2 0 39 9 - 8 - 15 0 0 0 0 0 1 4 14 26 30 19 6 1 38 8 - 10 - 14 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 18 30 29 14 2 37 8 - 9 - 15 0 0 0 0 0 2 9 24 34 24 6 36 8 - 8 - 16 0 0 0 0 1 4 16 33 34 13 35 7 - 10 - 15 0 0 0 0 1 9 27 41 22 34 7 - 9 - 16 0 0 0 4 19 42 34 33 7 - 8 - 17 0 0 2 12 40 47 32 6 - 10 - 16 0 1 7 34 58 31 6 - 9 - 17 0 0 4 27 69 30 6 - 8 - 18 0 0 2 21 78 29 5 - 10 - 17 0 0 1 15 84 28 5 - 9 - 18 0 0 10 90 27 5 - 8 - 19 0 0 7 93 26 4 - 10 - 18 0 4 96 25 4 - 9 - 19 0 3 97 24 4 - 8 - 20 0 2 98 23 3 - 10 - 19 1 99 22 3 - 9 - 20 0 100 21 3 - 8 - 21 0 100 20 3 - 7 - 22 0 100 19 2 - 9 - 21 0 100 18 2 - 8 - 22 1 99 4 -17 100 Total: 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 1