The Bookies’ Advantage squad came up trumps and smashed Gameweek 27 out of the park with a massive 98 point haul. Captain Sergio Aguero’s 4 goal masterclass against Leicester returned 42 points, whilst Mo Salah (13) and Kyle Naughton (12) joined the City striker in posting double-digit scores. Elsewhere, Raheem Sterling (8), Cesar Azpilicueta (8) and Harry Kane (6) also contributed. With domestic and European cup action done and dusted for now, the Premier League returns with a full complement of fixtures this weekend, so read on as we analyse the clean sheet and anytime goalscorer markets to help you with those all-important captaincy, transfer and squad selection decisions…

Defensive odds

Team Best clean sheet odds Implied chance of a clean sheet Liverpool 2.05 49% West Brom 2.1 48% Tottenham 2.25 44% Brighton 2.3 43% Leicester 2.45 41% Man Utd 2.62 38% Burnley 2.75 36% Southampton 2.75 36% Bournemouth 2.88 35% Watford 3 33% Swansea 3.4 29% Huddersfield 3.65 27% Man City 3.75 27% Everton 3.8 26% Chelsea 4 25% Newcastle 4 25% Stoke 5.25 19% Arsenal 6.5 15% Crystal Palace 7 14% West Ham 15 7%

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Ahead of their home game against West Ham, Liverpool top the bookies’ defensive rankings with a 49% chance of keeping a clean sheet. The Reds have the joint-second best home defence in the top flight, having conceded just 9 goals at Anfield this term. They will, however, need to be at their resolute best on Saturday given West Ham have scored in each of their last 6 on the road, including goals against both Tottenham and Manchester City. Virgil van Dijk provides starting security, a goal threat and solid bonus point potential, so Liverpool’s record signing starts for our squad this weekend.

West Brom (48%) rank second for Gameweek 28 when they host Huddersfield. Despite the turmoil at The Hawthorns of late, the Baggies have managed to record 3 shutouts in their last 6 at home, whilst the Terriers have failed to score in each of their last 3 on their travels. As a result, Ben Foster, who represents good value at £4.5m and is nailed on for Alan Pardew’s side, starts between the sticks for us.

Tottenham (44%) and Brighton (43%) complete the top 4 defensive prospects this weekend. Mauricio Pochettino’s men make the short trip across the capital on Sunday to tackle Crystal Palace in a London derby. The Lillywhites, who won the reverse fixture 1-0 back in November, have shut out their opponents in 2 of their last 3 in the league, and we once again opt for security of starts, with rotation risks looming large in the fullback positions, by plumping for Jan Vertonghen. Brighton, meanwhile, will be looking to add to their 4 clean sheets at The Amex this season on Saturday when they entertain Swansea. Despite an upturn in form under new manager Carlos Carvalhal, the Swans are still one of the lowest scoring sides in the division away from home, having found the net just 9 times in 13 attempts. Shane Duffy is the Seagulls’ highest scoring defender in the FPL standings (73 points) and makes our starting XI.

With uber-budget options scarce all-round at present, Matt Ryan (£4.5m – 43%) provides goalkeeping backup this weekend and joins Brighton teammate Duffy in our squad, whilst Ben Chilwell (£4.5m – 41%) offers a cheap and attacking route into the Leicester back line ahead of their home game against Stoke on Saturday lunchtime. Matt Lowton (£4.5m – 36%) takes the third spot amongst our substitutes prior to Burnley’s hosting of Southampton.

Attacking odds

Player Best anytime goalscorer odds Implied chance of scoring Mohamed Salah 1.67 60% Harry Kane 1.73 58% Roberto Firmino 1.9 53% Sergio Aguero 1.96 51% Jamie Vardy 2.1 48% Sadio Mane 2.3 43% Callum Wilson 2.5 40% Raheem Sterling 2.55 39% Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 2.55 39% Son Heung-Min 2.8 36% Alexandre Lacazette 2.85 35% Romelu Lukaku 2.88 35% Jay Rodriguez 3 33% Salomon Rondon 3 33% Alexis Sanchez 3.2 31% Dele Alli 3.2 31% Glenn Murray 3.25 31% Andre Gray 3.3 30% Alvaro Morata 3.4 29% Richarlison 3.4 29% Dwight Gayle 3.4 29% Guido Carrillo 3.5 29% Manolo Gabbiadini 3.5 29% Cenk Tosun 3.6 28% Sam Vokes 3.6 28% Riyad Mahrez 3.6 28% Tammy Abraham 3.7 27% Christian Eriksen 3.7 27% Eden Hazard 3.75 27% Marcus Rashford 3.75 27% Wayne Rooney 3.75 27% Kevin de Bruyne 3.8 26% Henrikh Mkhitaryan 3.85 26% Dominic Calvert-Lewin 4 25% Gerard Deulofeu 4 25% Anthony Martial 4.2 24% Theo Walcott 4.2 24% Laurent Depoitre 4.25 24% Pascal Gross 4.3 23% Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 4.33 23% Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 4.33 23% Chicharito 4.5 22% Mame Biram Diouf 4.6 22% Mesut Ozil 4.6 22% Jesse Lingard 5 20% Matt Ritchie 5 20% Alexander Sorloth 5 20% Pedro 5.1 20% Jordan Ayew 5.1 20% Alex Iwobi 5.1 20% Marc Albrighton 5.1 20% Dusan Tadic 5.2 19% Abdoulaye Doucoure 5.4 19% Paul Pogba 5.5 18% Xherdan Shaqiri 5.6 18% Collin Quaner 6 17% Alex Pritchard 6.5 15% Luka Milivojevic 8 13% Cesc Fabregas 8.5 12% Tom Carroll 13 8%

Liverpool’s Anfield meeting with West Ham sees Mo Salah top the bookmakers’ attacking ranks with a 60% chance of finding the back of the net on Saturday. The Hammers have conceded 8 goals over their last 4 away matches, an average of 2 per game, which coincides nicely with Salah’s home form – 49 points over his last 4 (12.25 points per game), courtesy of 5 goals, 3 assists and 6 bonus. That sees the Egyptian wizard don our captain’s armband for Gameweek 28.

Up front, Roberto Firmino (53%) joins his teammate as we double up on Jurgen Klopp’s attack. The Brazilian is also enjoying a good run of form, having scored 7 goals and assisted 4 times in his last 10 Premier League outings.

Our striking selection is completed by England duo Harry Kane (58%) and Jamie Vardy (48%), who, like the aforementioned Salah and Firmino, come into this weekend’s fixtures in superb form. Kane has got himself on the scoresheet in 8 of his last 9 games in all competitions, scoring 10 times over that stretch, whilst Vardy has bagged a goal in each of his last 5. Lying in wait are two of the worst defences in the league; Crystal Palace, who have conceded 42 goals (6th highest) and Stoke, who have let in a league-high 53 goals this term.

The bookies also fancy the chances of Sergio Aguero, but with a cup final prior to his Gameweek 28 excursion, along with a high price, we opt to go without the explosive Argentine this time round.

In midfield for our squad, Raheem Sterling (39%) once again joins Salah. The England star is also in a sustained period of good form, producing returns in 8 of his last 10 league starts, with 6 goals, 6 assists and 9 bonus points during that run. After City’s Carabao Cup showdown against Arsenal on Sunday, the pair will meet again on Thursday evening at The Emirates, and the Gunners are without a clean sheet in 9 in the league.

Heung-Min Son (36%) and Richarlison (29%) return from the fantasy wilderness to complete our starting XI for the gameweek. Both undoubtedly possess FPL pedigree, but, in contrast with the rest of our midfield and attack, are woefully out of form: Tottenham’s classy South Korean is without returns in his last 4, whilst Watford’s Brazilian trickster has failed to produce in his last 6. Son travels with Kane to Selhurst Park, whilst Watford entertain Everton, who have conceded 14 in their last 6 in the league, the second worst defence in the top flight on current form. Those fixtures offer both players the chance to re-establish themselves on fantasy radars.

Luka Milivojevic (13%) will line up opposite Kane and Son on Sunday, and he takes the first seat on our subs bench. Palace’s designated penalty taker has profited from the spot of late, with 4 goals in his last 6.

This weekend, the bookies also rate Sadio Mane, Dele Alli and Alexis Sanchez, but we have already maxed out our allocation of 3 assets from Liverpool and Spurs respectively, whilst Sanchez weighs too heavily on the budget to be considered for selection.

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Good luck with your fantasy teams this weekend!

May the odds be with you🙏

Daniel Victory is a Fantasy football and anytime goalscorer betting enthusiast. Enjoys SSS – statistics, strategizing and spreadsheets. Follow his great tips on Twitter.