The Bookies’ Advantage squad chalked up a solid 61 points in Gameweek 29, with a trio of clean sheets in defence complemented by Riyad Mahrez’s last-gasp 10 points, a further 8 from the ever-reliable Mo Salah and 10 from captain Harry Kane’s assist. Still, things could have been brighter, as 12 points stared longingly at us from our bench in the form of Jordan Ayew (7) and Adrian Mariappa (5). Another round of Premier League fixtures take place this weekend, so read on as we analyse the clean sheet and anytime goalscorer markets to help you with those all-important captaincy, transfer and squad selection decisions…

Defensive odds

Team Best clean sheet odds Implied chance of a clean sheet Chelsea 1.86 54% Man City 1.91 52% Everton 2.39 42% West Ham 2.41 41% Tottenham 2.55 39% Huddersfield 2.65 38% Arsenal 2.7 37% Newcastle 2.98 34% Southampton 3 33% Leicester 3 33% Swansea 3.1 32% Burnley 3.2 31% West Brom 3.3 30% Brighton 3.4 29% Man Utd 3.6 28% Liverpool 3.75 27% Bournemouth 7.5 13% Watford 8.7 11% Crystal Palace 9 11% Stoke 13 8%

HAVE YOU TRIED DAILY FANTASY?

💰 COMPETE FOR £1000 WITH YOUR FANTASY TEAM THIS WEEKEND

⚽ ENTER OUR BIGGEST TOURNAMENT NOW

💷Only £11 to enter

Saturday’s late kick off sees Chelsea host Crystal Palace, and it’s the Blues who top the bookmakers’ defensive rankings for Gameweek 30 with a 54% chance of keeping a clean sheet. Antonio Conte’s men have recorded 5 shutouts in their last 6 at Stamford Bridge, but the Eagles have managed to find the net in each of their last 6 on the road. The return of N’Golo Kante could be key here, adding solidity to the Chelsea side. Starting for our squad this weekend is Andreas Christensen, who offers a cheap and secure route into the Blues’ defence.

Manchester City (52%) rank second when they travel to Stoke on Monday. The Citizens have been defensively sound away from home of late, with 4 clean sheets in 6. Nicolas Otamendi was given a well-deserved rest on Wednesday in the Champions League, so he should be fresh to return to the City starting XI. The Argentine has scored 4 times in the top flight this season, combined with the fact that Stoke have blanked in 3 of their last 6 at home, means Otamendi has the potential for points at both ends of the pitch on Monday night.

Everton (42%) and West Ham (41%) complete the top 4 defensive prospects this weekend. Both are in poor form defensively but see fixtures fall in their favour this gameweek, with the Toffees hosting Brighton and the Hammers entertaining Burnley. The Seagulls have only scored twice in their last 8 on their travels, blanking 6 times, whilst the Clarets have not fared much better, gracing the scoreboard just 4 times and failing to find the net in 5 of their last 8 away from home. Those statistics boost the prospects of Jordan Pickford and Patrice Evra, who both get the nod for our side this weekend.

It’s as you were on the bench, with it unlikely that Rob Elliott (£4.0 – 34%) will see gametime for Newcastle, and the same going for Kevin Long (£4.0m – 31%) now that James Tarkowski has returned to full fitness. Adrian Mariappa (£4.0 – 11%), however, continues to offer us an uber-budget playing option. He travels to Arsenal on Sunday, so whilst his chances of a clean sheet appear low, given the Gunners’ current malaise, anything is possible. As always, the trio’s bargain-bucket prices prove important for the overall makeup of our squad.

Attacking odds

Player Best anytime goalscorer odds Implied chance of scoring Sergio Aguero 1.7 59% Harry Kane 1.75 57% Gabriel Jesus 1.8 56% Alvaro Morata 1.91 52% Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 2 50% Olivier Giroud 2.04 49% Eden Hazard 2.1 48% Raheem Sterling 2.3 43% Leroy Sane 2.35 43% Jamie Vardy 2.63 38% Son Heung-Min 2.75 36% Henrikh Mkhitaryan 2.75 36% Mohamed Salah 2.85 35% Romelu Lukaku 2.85 35% Bernardo Silva 2.85 35% Pedro 3 33% Mesut Ozil 3.1 32% Steve Mounie 3.1 32% Dele Alli 3.25 31% Laurent Depoitre 3.25 31% Roberto Firmino 3.3 30% Chicharito 3.3 30% Kevin de Bruyne 3.3 30% Dwight Gayle 3.35 30% Manolo Gabbiadini 3.5 29% Callum Wilson 3.5 29% Cenk Tosun 3.5 29% Guido Carrillo 3.55 28% Alexis Sanchez 3.6 28% Christian Eriksen 3.6 28% Salomon Rondon 3.6 28% Glenn Murray 3.6 28% Jay Rodriguez 3.6 28% Alex Iwobi 3.6 28% Oumar Niasse 3.6 28% Andre Gray 3.75 27% Wayne Rooney 3.75 27% Jordan Ayew 3.95 25% Sadio Mane 4 25% Sam Vokes 4 25% Riyad Mahrez 4.2 24% Anthony Martial 4.33 23% Jesse Lingard 4.33 23% Richarlison 4.33 23% Theo Walcott 4.5 22% Cesc Fabregas 4.5 22% Alex Pritchard 4.7 21% Dusan Tadic 5 20% Matt Ritchie 5 20% Collin Quaner 5 20% Pascal Gross 5.5 18% Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 5.6 18% Paul Pogba 6 17% Will Hughes 6 17% Xherdan Shaqiri 6.5 15% Marc Albrighton 6.75 15% Abdoulaye Doucoure 6.75 15% Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 7.5 13% Luka Milivojevic 9.5 11% Andy King 10 10%

Sergio Aguero, our captain, tops the bookies’ attacking rankings with a 59% chance of scoring when he travels to Stoke in the final fixture of Gameweek 30, with the Argentine hitting 8 goals in his last 6 Premier League appearances (albeit all at home). Stoke, meanwhile, have tightened up lately under new boss Paul Lambert, conceding just once in their last 3 at home, but taking on City and their attacking riches is a different proposition to anything else in the top flight, whilst memories of the 7-2 thrashing in the reverse fixture back in October will surely be on the Potters’ minds.

Joining Aguero up front this week are Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (50%) and Steve Mounie (32%). Arsenal’s record signing will be fresh as he is ineligible to play in the Europa League for the Gunners on Thursday night, with a home game against Watford on Sunday awaiting him as he looks to add to the 2 goals in 4 Premier League games he has scored since arriving in January. Mounie, meanwhile, has been in good form of late, notching twice and assisting another 2 in his last 3 matches. The Beninese international will welcome Swansea, who are without an away clean sheet in the league since September (11 games), to The John Smith’s Stadium on Saturday.

The bookies also fancy the chances of Harry Kane, Gabriel Jesus, Chelsea duo Alvaro Morata and Olivier Giroud, Jamie Vardy and Romelu Lukaku, but budget restraints and/or a lack of starting security means we overlook the sextet this time around.

In midfield, Eden Hazard (48%) provides us with Chelsea representation ahead of their potentially plum home game against Crystal Palace. The Belgian’s last Stamford Bridge outing resulted in a 16-point haul, courtesy of 2 goals against West Brom, whilst in his last 8 he has chalked up 6 strikes, 1 assist and 11 bonus points. With Roy Hodgson’s men conceding 8 in their last 3 on the road, Hazard could be in line for another bumper haul come Saturday evening.

The selections of Leroy Sane (43%) and Henrikh Mkhitaryan (36%) see us double up on Manchester City and Arsenal attacking assets respectively. City’s German flyer has produced 2 goals and 1 assist in his last pair of away games for the Citizens, whilst Arsenal’s silky Armenian has produced 3 assists in his two Emirates appearances in the league. Both will be looking to continue to build on those numbers this weekend.

Heung-Min Son (36%) completes our starting XI and gives us Tottenham attacking coverage ahead of their trip to the South Coast to face Bournemouth, who are without a home clean sheet in 8 in the league. It was a night of bitter disappointment for Mauricio Pochettino’s men on Wednesday as they crashed out of the Champions League to Juventus, but the South Korean was once again on the scoresheet – his fifth goal in his last 3 outings in all competitions. Andy King (£4.5m – 10%) is our new uber-budget midfielder of choice after scoring his first goal for Swansea last weekend, and he takes the first spot on our subs bench for Gameweek 30.

This weekend, the bookies also rate Raheem Sterling’s chances, but with the winger still to make a matchday squad for City since his injury, we opt for the security of his teammate Leroy Sane instead.

Dream Team Gameweek 30

CAN YOU PICK A BETTER TEAM THAN THE BOOKIES?

SET UP YOUR DREAM TEAM FOR GAMEWEEK 30 AND WIN CASH PRIZES

ENTER OUR FREE FANTASY CONTEST NOW

Good luck with your fantasy teams this weekend!

May the odds be with you🙏

Daniel Victory is a Fantasy football and anytime goalscorer betting enthusiast. Enjoys SSS – statistics, strategizing and spreadsheets. Follow his great tips on Twitter.