This Saturday, as the sporting world goes into lockdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic, UFC action takes place behind closed doors.

In what is sure to be a strange main event, Kevin Lee (18-5 MMA, 11-5 UFC) takes on Charles Oliveira (28-8 MMA, 16-8 UFC) in a battle between the 8th and 13th-ranked UFC lightweights, respectively.

Let’s take a look at the last three results of the two men in Saturday night’s main event:

Lee followed a unanimous decision defeat against Al Iaquinta with a fourth-round submission loss to former UFC lightweight champion Rafael dos Anjos in what was Lee’s welterweight debut.

Lee returned to lightweight, and the win column, in November with a brutal first-round head-kick KO against the previously undefeated Gregor Gillespie.

Oliveira followed a second-round submission win against David Teymur with back-to-back TKO/KO victories against Nik Lentz and Jared Gordon.

Oliveira, who has stopped his last six opponents before the end of round 2, holds the record for the most submission wins in UFC history and only one man (Donald Cerrone) has more UFC stoppage victories and fight night bonuses.

Here’s a look at how these two fighters fared when competing against common opponents shared throughout careers. On the left of the graphic, you’ll see how Lee fared against any shared opponents and on the right, you’ll see Oliveira’s results against the same men.

The two men share just one common opponent; The Ultimate Fighter 8 winner Efrain Escudero.

Both men scored wins over Escudero, Lee’s victory coming in a three-round unanimous decision whilst Oliveira won via third-round submission.

The Dwyer Score Each event, I calculate a ‘Dwyer Score’ for the card. It essentially gives a numeric value to the momentum of fighters competing at any one event. I do this by assigning a figure to each fighter’s current streak; a fighter on a five-fight winning streak contributes +5 to an event’s score, whilst a fighter on a two-fight losing streak contributes -2 to the score. Only UFC results are considered and a fighter coming off a no-contest, a draw, or a bout with another promotion has a streak of 0. When you tally up the scores for every fighter on a card, you get a total for the event- the ‘Dwyer Score.’ This score does not claim to predict or measure the quality or excitement of any one card, but it does give you an idea of the general momentum of fighters heading into a specific event. The graphic to the above-right displays some of the highest-scoring events of all time, to help give some context to this score. UFC Fight Night 170: Kevin Lee vs. Charles Oliveira posts a solid score of +15. This score ranks 15th out of all 43 UFC events in the last year or 6th out of 25 Fight Nights in the same period. Here’s a look at how this score compares to other events’ scores over the past year: