Starting from his rookie year Nerlens Noel would be a little better than league average. For a 19 year old rookie that is very impressive. By his third year he clearly well above average, 0.140 WS, 18.1 PER, and a ORtg over DRtg delta of 11. Let there be no doubt, Nerlens Noel is the clear and away best player in this draft. Considering he would be 21 in his 3rd year, by year 23-25 he will be an all-star. Offensively Noel grades out as generally poor (ORtg of 99.4), but grades out as a potential defensive player of the year at some point (DRtg of 85.8 in year 3). Noel is a fairly average shooter, which is consistent with his a-little-above-average length. He is not a great rebounder, not as good as Anthony Davis, Derrick Coleman, or Dale Davis, similar to Tony Battie, and better than Rasheed Wallace and Kenyon Martin. As a shot blocker he is better than Wallace, Coleman, Battie, Dale Davis, and Martin, but not as good as Anthony Davis. At the FT line, compared to this group, he has an average %, but he gets to the line more often than Martin, Wallace, Dale Davis, and Tony Battie, about as often as AD, and not as often as Derrick Coleman. Jay Bilas among others have said he is not a consensus #1 pick, but I disagree. He is absolutely the best player, by a large margin and should easily be the #1 pick.