Election eve poll puts Tasmanian Liberals on track for majority government

Updated

Tasmania's Liberal Party looks set to win majority government, according to the latest Newspoll.

The poll of 1,500 people, and published in The Australian newspaper, found the Liberals look set for their biggest win since 1992.



The Liberal Party has 53 per cent of the primary vote, while Labor trails on 23 per cent.

The Greens polled 16 per cent and Palmer United Party, 4 per cent.

The undecided vote now sits at about one in 10 voters, down from about one in four in the last EMRS poll.

The margin of error is plus or minus 2.6 per cent.

The Liberal party could win as many as 15 seats, with Labor taking six and the Greens, four.

Premier Lara Giddings responded to the figures on ABC1's Breakfast program, saying she understands why some voters are disillusioned with her party.

"I can understand why people feel frustrated," she said.

"We have suffered from the global financial crisis and the follow-up of the high Australian dollar...and people like to blame someone.

"But I would say to people who are looking for change 'what are you change to?' (Liberal leader)Will Hodgman is a man who has promised $500 million worth of promises he can't deliver."

Liberal Leader Will Hodgman says his priority is returning a majority government.

"Another Labor-Green one, with perhaps a tinge of Palmer United thrown in, that's a frightening mix," he said.

Early result predicted

The ABC's election analyst Antony Green expects an indication of the result early in the evening.

"The polls are indicating the Liberal Party will win the election, will win it with the majority and from the figures in that poll it should be pretty clear early on who's going to win," he said.

"I suspect we'll know by 7:30pm whether the Liberal Party have won, given the size of the vote in that poll."

Thousands of Tasmanians have already voted in the state election.

The Tasmanian Electoral Commission says there have been 18,000 pre-polls and 24,000 people have asked to do a postal vote.

More than 1,000 people overseas have voted online.

Counting under Tasmania's Hare-Clark system will begin when polls close at 6pm (AEDT).

Topics: states-and-territories, elections, tas

First posted