I hope your Thanksgiving week was fantastic. And by that I mean you won your final fantasy matchups of the regular season and/or made the playoffs!

Once again, I’m going to try to help those who play this week as well as those who are already looking ahead to Week 15. Let’s point out a few teams on the chart that are owned in less than half of ESPN leagues:

We start with the top-dog on the chart this week. The New York Jets are hosting the Dolphins this week, who’ve actually been turning it up lately with a little Fitzmagic and a coming-out party for DeVante Parker. I’m still comfortable streaming the Jets defense, but with their dud last week and the matchup not being as great as it once was, I’m tempering expectations.

are hosting the Dolphins this week, who’ve actually been turning it up lately with a little Fitzmagic and a coming-out party for DeVante Parker. I’m still comfortable streaming the Jets defense, but with their dud last week and the matchup not being as great as it once was, I’m tempering expectations. Whoa, how did the Tampa Bay Buccaneers sneak up this list? Their defense dominated the past two weeks against the Falcons and Jags. They’ve moved up the DVOA ranks quite a bit over that stretch and now face a Colts team without four of its best skill players. Additionally, they’ll get a juicy matchup in Week 15 as seen later in the article.

sneak up this list? Their defense dominated the past two weeks against the Falcons and Jags. They’ve moved up the DVOA ranks quite a bit over that stretch and now face a Colts team without four of its best skill players. Additionally, they’ll get a juicy matchup in Week 15 as seen later in the article. You have to continue to trust the matchup against the Washington offense. In which case, the Green Bay Packers make for an interesting stream this week. The floor for sacks is way too nice and the Redskins can’t pound the rock like they want to if Green Bay is throttling them.

2019 Fantasy Football Week 14 Defense Stream-O-Matic

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Scoring

I use a traditional rotisserie scoring style commonly used in fantasy baseball season-long leagues to give point totals to each team.

Categories

The categories for the chart are listed below along with links to websites that I use to find this data.

Own% : Ownership percentages based on 12-team ESPN leagues gives us an idea of who is available. This doesn’t factor into the standings.

: Ownership percentages based on 12-team ESPN leagues gives us an idea of who is available. This doesn’t factor into the standings. Location : Generally speaking, defenses play better at home than on the road. Thus, a five-point advantage is given to all home teams.

: Generally speaking, defenses play better at home than on the road. Thus, a five-point advantage is given to all home teams. Wind : The only weather element that has shown a direct correlation with point totals is winds in excess of 15 MPH. Another five-point bonus is awarded to teams playing in such windy conditions.

: The only weather element that has shown a direct correlation with point totals is winds in excess of 15 MPH. Another five-point bonus is awarded to teams playing in such windy conditions. Vegas : Using Vegas odds, the spread and over/under generates a projected game score that the bettors go against. This game score portrays what the game flow could look like and, therefore, which fantasy football defenses are in a good position to succeed.

: Using Vegas odds, the spread and over/under generates a projected game score that the bettors go against. This game score portrays what the game flow could look like and, therefore, which fantasy football defenses are in a good position to succeed. oSAC% : To gauge how good (or bad) an opposing offensive line might be, look at the sack percentage for that team’s offense. Not only are some offensive lines bad, but some quarterbacks don’t show the ability to avoid the sack. ( NOTE : I’ll be incorporating a weighted average with 2018-2019 data.)

: To gauge how good (or bad) an opposing offensive line might be, look at the sack percentage for that team’s offense. Not only are some offensive lines bad, but some quarterbacks don’t show the ability to avoid the sack. ( : I’ll be incorporating a weighted average with 2018-2019 data.) oINT% : The opponent’s interception percentage obviously helps in streaming a defense. Turnover percentage is not used here because fumbles can be a little fluky and turnover percentage uses both fumbles and interceptions. ( NOTE : I’ll be incorporating a weighted average with 2018-2019 data.)

: The opponent’s interception percentage obviously helps in streaming a defense. Turnover percentage is not used here because fumbles can be a little fluky and turnover percentage uses both fumbles and interceptions. ( : I’ll be incorporating a weighted average with 2018-2019 data.) FPPG : I use ESPN defensive scoring rankings to determine a ranking of the fantasy football defenses.

: I use ESPN defensive scoring rankings to determine a ranking of the fantasy football defenses. DVOA: Probably the most popular tool for evaluating defenses, the DVOA efficiency ratings are utilized to give a strong baseline to the rankings.

Stream-O-Matic Chart

Overall Defense Own% Opp Location Wind Vegas oSAC% oINT% FPPG DVOA 130.0 Jets 45.7 MIA 5 0 26 29 26 24 20 125.0 Vikings 63.9 DET 5 0 31 23 29 20 17 121.0 Saints 88.3 SF 5 0 23 20 18 27 28 115.0 Steelers 85.8 ARI 0 0 22 25 8 30 30 115.0 Rams 73.9 SEA 5 0 12 30 15 26 27 108.0 Eagles 76.4 NYG 5 0 27 13 23 17 23 106.0 Ravens 77.5 BUF 0 0 28 10 10 29 29 106.0 Buccaneers 2.8 IND 5 0 21 15 25 19 21 105.0 Packers 31.5 WAS 5 0 32 31 21 9 7 103.0 Browns 53.8 CIN 5 5 29 24 9 15 16 92.0 Patriots 98.6 KC 5 0 17 4 2 32 32 92.0 Colts 42.3 TB 0 0 8 14 30 16 24 92.0 Jaguars 61.1 LAC 5 0 15 18 32 11 11 91.0 Falcons 6.5 CAR 5 0 19 27 27 4 9 91.0 Titans 31.2 OAK 0 0 20 6 28 25 12 89.0 Texans 13.9 DEN 5 0 30 21 20 7 6 86.0 Cowboys 47.5 CHI 5 0 25 9 19 14 14 85.0 49ers 92.5 NO 0 0 13 3 7 31 31 84.0 Broncos 19.5 HOU 0 0 5 28 16 10 25 81.0 Bills 85.1 BAL 5 0 11 8 3 28 26 78.0 Seahawks 34.6 LAR 0 0 14 1 24 21 18 77.0 Bears 94.6 DAL 0 0 18 2 12 23 22 77.0 Chargers 37.7 JAX 0 0 24 17 11 12 13 77.0 Panthers 70.8 ATL 0 0 6 26 17 18 10 70.0 Cardinals 4.0 PIT 5 0 16 11 31 2 5 63.0 Bengals 2.4 CLE 0 5 10 19 22 3 4 58.0 Raiders 14.7 TEN 5 0 9 32 4 6 2 56.0 Chiefs 22.1 NE 0 0 4 5 6 22 19 47.0 Giants 4.6 PHI 0 0 2 16 13 8 8 45.0 Dolphins 0.9 NYJ 0 0 7 22 14 1 1 44.0 Redskins 19.1 GB 0 0 3 12 1 13 15 21.0 Lions 16.9 MIN 0 0 1 7 5 5 3

Defenses on Bye Week: NONE!

Optimum Score: 170

Minimum Score: 5

Early Week 15 Stream-O-Matic Rankings

I ran the numbers through the Stream-O for Week 15 (minus Vegas odds). Here are the teams that rated higher than the average Stream-O score of 85:

49ers (vs. ATL) – 139 Ravens (vs. NYJ) – 130 Patriots (at CIN) – 129 Bills (at PIT) – 126 Saints (vs. IND) – 122 Eagles (at WSH) – 120 Chiefs (vs. DEN) – 114 Vikings (at LAC) – 111 Steelers (vs. BUF) – 110 Titans (vs. HOU) – 105 Seahawks (at CAR) – 103 Buccaneers (at DET) – 97 Giants (vs. MIA) – 93

Among the teams under 50% owned, the Kansas City Chiefs are looking like an obvious streaming option next week. The Seattle Seahawks will be interesting against a Panthers team without much to play for moving forward. If the Lions are still rolling the Driskell-Blough combo at QB, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will once again be an interesting streaming option as well.

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