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A tropical low in the western Gulf of Mexico is being monitored for possible development over the next few days and it could impact south Texas with heavy rainfall through midweek.

As of Monday afternoon, the low was only given a 20 percent chance of developing into a named storm by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), but it looks likely to dump several inches of rain across coastal southern Texas and northeast Mexico over the next two-to-three days.

The storm over the southwest Gulf of Mexico is poorly organized and part of a stalled frontal boundary. However, a weak low appears to have formed, and most of the computer models track the storm into eastern Mexico by late Tuesday or early Wednesday, although some of the models try and push it further north and into the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico, which could allow for potential development and the spread of the big rains into other parts of the Gulf coast.

Brownsville, Texas is more than 10 inches over its typical year-to-date rainfall, and the city saw extensive flash flooding late last month from a localized storm, leading to stranded vehicles and washed out roads. The rain could be of greater use further north, especially in northeast Texas, where some areas have moved into a severe and extreme drought following a bone-dry summer.

If it were to develop into the season’s ninth named storm, it would acquire the name Ida.

Stay with WeatherNation for the latest on this tropical low.

For WeatherNation: Meteorologist Chris Bianchi