The 2016 Blast The latest POLITICO scoops and coverage of the 2016 elections. Email Sign Up

Tweets from https://twitter.com/politico/lists/team-politico



John Kasich earned 34 percent of Ohio voters surveyed. | Getty Poll: Kasich leads Trump in Ohio

John Kasich leads Donald Trump in his home state of Ohio, according to a new Fox News poll of likely Republican primary voters out Wednesday, while Trump is blowing Marco Rubio out of the water in a separate survey of Florida primary voters.

The governor earned 34 percent of Ohio voters surveyed, followed by 29 percent for Trump, 19 percent for Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and just 7 percent for Florida Sen. Marco Rubio. Just 5 percent said they did not know whom they would support.

Kasich drew support from 38 percent of likely voters with a college degree, compared to 23 percent for Trump. He also leads among self-described white evangelicals, 32 percent to Trump's 27 percent. Cruz took 23 percent in that demographic group.

Women also preferred Kasich over Trump 35 percent to 25 percent, while men were more divided (33 percent for Kasich and 32 percent for Trump).

Roughly seven-in-10 voters (70 percent) in Ohio said they are certain about their candidate, but 80 percent of Trump supporters said they are set on their candidate. About three-in-four (75 percent) of likely Kasich voters said they are certain about their candidate.

In Florida, Trump leads Rubio 43 percent to 20 percent, with Cruz close behind at 16 percent. Kasich finished last with 10 percent in the state, with 6 percent saying they don't know whom they will support on Tuesday

The Manhattan real-estate mogul led by varying margins in all demographics, across lines of gender, race, income, education and religion.

Rubio drew a mixed job rating from likely primary voters in his home state, with 48 percent saying they approved of the job he is doing as senator and 38 percent disapproving.

The polls were conducted March 5-8, surveying 806 likely primary voters in Ohio with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points and 813 likely primary voters in Florida, also with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.