This week’s straw poll results:

11/6 10/16 10/1 9/17 8/27 8/14 8/2 7/17 7/2 6/11 5/29 5/14 5/1 4/15 4/2 3/18 2/18 2/5 1/22 1/8 WARREN 36 33 41 43 39 34 33 35 29 34 25 25 19 12 12 12 10 17 18 22 SANDERS 17 18 15 15 17 23 25 20 25 25 34 26 34 40 33 38 44 13 12 11 BIDEN 15 11 10 9 11 10 12 11 7 12 10 14 18 5 8 - 8 11 13 14 BUTTIGIEG 13 11 7 7 7 6 6 7 7 10 9 9 10 21 18 6 - - - - HARRIS 5 5 5 5 6 8 7 14 19 7 11 11 8 9 11 11 15 27 27 14 OTHER 11 13 9 8 9 10 10 9 10 * * * * * * * * * * * UNSURE 3 9 2 2 2 2 2 ** ** 3 2 3 4 3 4 5 4 6 6 9 (VOTES) 44K 49K 60K 54K 58.5K 54K 59.3K 57.2K 63.2K 57.5K 39.8K 60K 53.1K 35.5K 40.2K 52.5K 56K 42.2K 28K 35.5K

The Elizabeth Warren-Bernie Sanders wing of the party continues to garner a combined 50-60% of the vote, as it has virtually the entire cycle. It shows how that wing of the party is a solid majority, but not a growing one—not online, at least. It may not matter in the primary, if the Joe Biden-Pete Buttigieg wing remains fragmented. But if the status-quo candidates end up consolidating (either around Biden or Buttigieg), then there may have to be some consolidation on the left as well. No need for that yet, however.

Buttigieg’s recent gains aren’t obvious in national polling, but they have showed up in one place: Iowa, where he seems on track to notch a respectable showing. Obviously, there’s still a fair amount of time (three months or so) and so much can and will happen. But he’s shown surprising resilience despite his lack of serious qualifications for the job.

Speaking of resilience, Joe Biden continues to stick around. I keep predicting his inevitable demise, and he keeps proving my fallibility (so far).

Kamala Harris’ 5% here mirrors the 5% she’s garnering in national polling. She’s found a floor, but as the campaign contracts nationally and masses in lily-white, rural Iowa for what looks like a final stand, it’s tough to see how she revives her fortunes.