Dr. Roger Pielke Sr. directs me to this new forecast product from NOAA’s Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL). If it holds, it suggests a big cooling event ahead.

NOAA/ESRL PSD and CU CIRES Forecast in Global Tropics Domain

LIM forecasts of SST anomalies based on November-December-January 2015-2016 initial conditions. Contour interval is 0.3 degrees C. For numerical values click here.

Source: http://esrl.boulder.noaa.gov/psd/forecasts/sstlim/for4gl.html

He adds:

IF https://t.co/pLfsfXkJF4 is correct,global SST,lower trop T and upper ocean heat anomalies should fall.Good test of global climate models. — Roger A. Pielke Sr (@RogerAPielkeSr) February 19, 2016

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