Transcript for Introducing FiveThirtyEight's governor forecast

Yeah. Last week we launched our government's forecast and Derek 36 governor seats up for election this fall means of course that there are fourteen states with no gubernatorial elections. But here's how the 36 races are shaping up. There are those that we think are solidly democratic or Republican. Likely democratic or Republican. Leaning democratic or Republican. And finally the tossup races in Nevada Ohio Georgia and Wisconsin. Overall our forecasters predicting the 24 states will be governed by Democrat. And 26 will be governed by Republicans. Democrats are expected to win fewer states. But they're likely to govern more Americans. A 197. Million people. Compared with a 132 million people in Republicans. One specific race worth taking a closer look at is the gubernatorial race in Alaska. After current independent governor Bill Walker dropped out the race tightens between Republican Mike Dunleavy and Democrat mark baggage. Most polls currently have Dunleavy in the league. Model gives him at two in three chance of winning. But if baggage ends up winning this race he would be the first time since 1998. And Alaska elected a Democrat as governor and visit 538 dot com slash governor forecast to explore the modeled for years and.

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