The Baltimore Ravens delivered the upset of the week with a convincing win over the previously undefeated Patriots, and New England’s Super Bowl chances took a significant hit as a result.

To determine which teams have the best chance of making the playoffs in 2019, we crunched the numbers from the most recent playoff models from three major outlets – ESPN FPI, Football Outsiders, and Five Thirty Eight. Each team is ranked in order of their average projected chance to qualify for the playoffs. We’ve also included each team’s Super Bowl chances, according to the models.

BIG WINNER FROM WEEK 9:

Texans: The Texans were the only AFC South team to win in Week 9, and the blowout victory over the Jags, combined with the Colts’ loss, raised the Texans’ playoff chances to 85.7%.

Seahawks: The Buccaneers pushed the Seahawks to overtime, but Seattle held on to remain within striking distance of the 49ers in the NFC West. A week 10 showdown against undefeated San Francisco is the must-watch game of the week.

BIG LOSER FROM WEEK 9:

Colts: The Colts’ have an easier path to a Wild Card berth than any NFC contender, but Indianapolis lost control of the division with its close loss to Pittsburgh.

Here are the current playoff and Super Bowl chances for all 32 NFL teams:

T-29. Dolphins (1-7)Playoff percentage: 0.05%Change: DOWN 0.02Next game: at ColtsSuper Bowl chances: 0.025%

© Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

T-29. Bengals (0-8)Playoff percentage: 0.05%Change: DOWN 0.02Next game: vs. RavensSuper Bowl chances: 0.025%

© Steve Flynn-USA TODAY Sports

T-29. Redskins (1-8)Playoff percentage: 0.05%Change: DOWN 0.02Next game: BYESuper Bowl chances: 0.025%

© Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

T-29. Falcons (1-7)Playoff percentage: 0.05%Change: DOWN 0.02Next game: at FalconsSuper Bowl chances: 0.025%

© Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

T-27. Giants (2-7)Playoff percentage: 0.1%Change: DOWN 0.4%Next game: at JetsSuper Bowl chances: 0.025%

© Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

T-27. Jets (1-7)Playoff percentage: 0.1%Change: DOWN 1.6%Next game: vs. GiantsSuper Bowl chances: 0.025%

© Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

26. Cardinals (3-5-1)Playoff percentage: 0.2%Change: DOWN 0.1%Next game: at BuccaneersSuper Bowl chances: 0.025%

© Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

25. Buccaneers (2-6)Playoff percentage: 0.3%Change: DOWN 1.0%Next game: vs. CardinalsSuper Bowl chances: 0.025%

© Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

24. Broncos (3-6)Playoff percentage: 0.7%Change: DOWN 1.0%Next game: BYESuper Bowl chances: 0.025%

© Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

23. Bears (3-5)Playoff percentage: 2.7%Change: DOWN 2.9%Next game: vs. LionsSuper Bowl chances: 0.025%

© Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

22. Lions (3-4-1)Playoff percentage: 5.4%Change: DOWN 3.7%Next game: at BearsSuper Bowl chances: 0.025%

© Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

21. Titans (4-5)Playoff percentage: 6.7%Change: DOWN 7.9%Next game: vs. ChiefsSuper Bowl chances: 0.025%

© Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports

20. Browns (2-6)Playoff percentage: 8.2%Change: DOWN 11.8%Next game: vs. BillsSuper Bowl chances: 0.025%

© Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

19. Chargers (4-5)Playoff percentage: 10.8%Change: UP 4.0%Next game: at RaidersSuper Bowl chances: 0.08%

© Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

18. Jaguars (4-5)Playoff percentage: 16.8%Change: DOWN 16.0%Next game: BYESuper Bowl chances: 0.18%

© Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

17. Panthers (5-3)Playoff percentage: 19.8%Change: DOWN 0.3%Next game: at PackersSuper Bowl chances: 0.23%

© Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

16. Raiders (4-4)Playoff percentage: 26.9%Change: UP 5.4%Next game: vs. ChargersSuper Bowl chances: 0.23%

© Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

15. Steelers (4-4)Playoff percentage: 36.6%Change: UP 8.6%Next game: vs. RamsSuper Bowl chances: 0.18%

© Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

14. Rams (5-3)Playoff percentage: 40.2%Change: DOWN 2.4%Next game: at SteelersSuper Bowl chances: 0.7%

© Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

13. Eagles (5-4)Playoff percentage: 49.1%Change: UP 4.2%Next game: BYESuper Bowl chances: 0.7%

© Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

12. Colts (5-3)Playoff percentage: 58.8%Change: DOWN 11.8%Next game: vs. DolphinsSuper Bowl chances: 1.3%

© Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

11. Seahawks (7-2)Playoff percentage: 59.0%Change: UP 11.6%Next game: at 49ersSuper Bowl chances: 1.1%

© Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

10. Bills (6-2)Playoff percentage: 63.4%Change: UP 5.9%Next game: at BrownsSuper Bowl chances: 0.13%

© Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

9. Cowboys (5-3)Playoff percentage: 69.6%Change: UP 4.6%Next game: vs. VikingsSuper Bowl chances: 3.7%

© Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

8. Vikings (6-3)Playoff percentage: 70.6%Change: DOWN 6.6%Next game: at CowboysSuper Bowl chances: 3.6%

© Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

7. Texans (6-3)Playoff percentage: 85.7%Change: UP 14.2%Next game: BYESuper Bowl chances: 5.0%

© Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

6. Packers (7-2)Playoff percentage: 87.8%Change: DOWN 4.7%Next game: vs. PanthersSuper Bowl chances: 4.6%

© Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

5. Chiefs (6-3)Playoff percentage: 90.8%Change: UP 2.5%Next game: at TitansSuper Bowl chances: 12.6%

© Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

4. Ravens (6-2)Playoff percentage: 94.2%Change: UP 9.3%Next game: at BengalsSuper Bowl chances: 6.4%

© Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports

3. Saints (7-1)Playoff percentage: 97.6%Change: UP 0.6%Next game: vs. FalconsSuper Bowl chances: 13.9%

© Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

2. 49ers (8-0)Playoff percentage: 97.9%Change: UP 1.6%Next game: vs. SeahawksSuper Bowl chances: 18.8%

© Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

1. Patriots (8-1)Playoff percentage: 99.9%Change: No change from last weekNext game: BYESuper Bowl chances: 26.8%

© Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports