Polls reveal Labour rebounding in spite of constant centrist efforts to push party to remain stance

Labour centrists led by Tom Watson have spent weeks attempting to push Labour into a remain stance.

In spite of Labour’s win in the Peterborough by-election and the humiliation of Wes Streeting on BBC This Week on Friday when interviewer Andrew Neil pointed out his position would see Labour negotiating a better Brexit deal and then campaigning against it, the narrative has not abated or changed course.

That narrative has relied on EU election results and subsequent polls to support the claim that Labour must adopt a remain position to fight off remain parties.

But polling by Survation and Opinium both suggest that the foundations of the narrative are collapsing and Labour are bouncing back.

Suvation’s poll of Westminster voting intention shows Labour leading in almost every scenario – and even in the worst case, level top:

Opinium’s poll of Westminster voting intention shows Labour with a clear lead over all other parties – more than enough to be the largest party in Parliament:

Opinium’s comparative polling also shows Labour gaining from both leave and remain voters:

By contrast, if Labour were to adopt a remain position, the consequences would be disastrous, as one of the MPs who signed an open letter to Corbyn urging him to reject pressure to swing to remain pointed out:

I said on #marr that 40 plus @UKLabour seats could be lost. To be precise polls show 48 seats lost to Brexit Party, just 4 to Libdems. Including every seat in Sunderland, Barnsley, Wolverhampton & Stoke plus rock solid Labour seats represented by @Ed_Miliband & @YvetteCooperMP — Caroline Flint (@CarolineFlint) June 23, 2019

The claims by Corbyn’s opponents and other hard remainers that the people of the UK want to stop Brexit or put the issue to another referendum persist and will continue to be amplified by helpful media.

But the latest polling strongly suggests that Jeremy Corbyn and his team must resist calls to any attempt to overturn the 2016 result, just as an array of Labour MPs in leave-supporting seats stated last week in a public letter.

Edit 26/6/19: This article originally contained a third poll concerning voter sentiment about remaining in the EU. It has been removed because of questions about its applicability.

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