This election has presented some interesting results. With the dust now settled, the results accepted, and congratulations and commiserations given, mChallenge deems it necessary to give an analysis.

Overall Results:

Graphic kindly provided by the MBBC and used with permission. Note – results now out of date as of the 18/02/19, Something New! candidate Kwilson joined the Libertarian Party UK, removing one from Other and adding one to LPUK.

The results are clear: broadright has won the election. With 62 seats (35 Conservatives, 15 LPUK, 10 CLibs, and 2 New Britain) this parliament, just like the last one, and the one before that, is dominated by the right of this nation. This shows a clear failure in the broadleft on mobilising the people. One great betrayal seen in the election is that of Kwilson. Campaigning on a manifesto that was solidly centre-left – enough for groups such as Climate Rebellion and the Communist League to endorse Something New! – nearly 200,000 people voted for Kwilson. So when he joined the alt-right Libertarian Party UK a great disturbing betrayal was seen. The people of South West England was promised one extra left wing candidate, and they voted for that in the list seats. What they were given however is a far right MP no one asked for.

It should be noted, however, that many of the constituencies with high turnout had radical alternatives. Cheshire for example, with KingLARthur contesting the seat for the Communist League of Britain, had a turnout of 70%. Cumbria and Lancashire North with a Climate Rebellion candidate had an impressive turnout of 75.6%. Whether high turnout is a cause or correlation of the radical alternatives is something that will be seen in future elections and by elections.

What will Come Next:

There is one coalition that I think is most likely – Conservatives-LPUK-NB. With New Britain involved, that government would hold a majority in the commons, a rarity in recent times. The last term has shown that the Conservatives are willing to work with the alt-right libertarian-in-name-only LPUK as long as it means Leafy stays in Number 10. New Britain has shown it has absolutely no backbone when it comes to working with the Conservatives – they will gush over anything and everything Leafy tells them to. The future of the government lies entirely on friedmanites shoulders. His party are definitely the king makers of this parliament, and whether or not they choose to coalition with the Conservatives will determine if Leafy returns once again as Prime Minister.

Should the LPUK for some reason not enter coalition with the Conservatives, then that opens up the field for alternative coalitions. The Traffic Light Coalition would sit on 36 seats, just one more than the Conservatives on their own, which while might make for a good opposition would make for a poor government. Adding the CLibs to the equation however and this potential government has 46 seats – a far more respectable amount, and a workable minority. Whether the left of the TLC such as the Greens and some of Labour would accept working with the Classical Liberals, however, is yet to be seen. Perhaps a more amusing, fairytale coalition would be the return of the Liberty Bloc. With 38 seats, the Liberty Bloc fairs to secure even a comfortable minority. When asked about the possibility of working with the LPUK, Liberal Democrat leader Estoban06 when asked didn’t completely rule out the idea, though certainly implied they are not a priority.

Estoban06, however, did not rule out the possibility of a more broadleft coalition. When asked about going into coalition with further left parties such as the Greens (and by possible extent Climate Rebellion) Estoban06 said:

The key part here being “TLC coalition last term” which also included Plaid Cymru. The addition of Plaid Cymru and Climate Rebellion to the TLC+CLibs deal would put them at 48 seats in the Commons. It is doubtful, however, that the Classical Liberals would be comfortable with working with Labour, let alone parties further left. On the surface, Labour seems taken over by the far left – the withdrawal from the Welsh Government is just one example – but this is seemingly far from the case. When asked about the possibility of working with the CLibs, a vocal member of Labour (who shall remain anonymous) said:

This is very much against the public view of Labour being controlled by the far left, when vocal members are turning to the right of the party.

The future government is yet to be seen. The most likely outcome is a Conservative-LPUK-NB coalition, though this could all crumble if either Leafy or Friedmanite decide they do not want to work with each other. The most likely opposition at present is TLC, with possible support from Climate Rebellion and Plaid Cymru. The wildcard, it seems, is the Classical Liberals who could go either way, though with mounting pressure from prominent backbenchers such as Duncs11 it is yet to be seen whether Twistednuke will decide to stay out of coalitions all together.