July 8, 2014 - Clinton Owns Dem 2016 Nod; Tops Top Republicans, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 2014 Generic House Race Tied, But Voters Hate Dems Less

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Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton sweeps the Democratic primary field for the 2016 presidential race, taking 58 percent of the vote, and tops several possible Republican candidates by margins of 7 to 9 percentage points, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today.





There is no front-runner in the Republican presidential primary field, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.





Secretary Clinton leads the Democratic primary with 58 percent, followed by U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts with 11 percent, Vice President Joseph Biden with 9 percent and New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo with 4 percent. No other candidate tops 1 percent and 15 percent are undecided.





The GOP primary shows U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky with 11 percent, New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush with 10 percent each, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker and U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin with 8 percent each, U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio with 6 percent, no other candidate over 3 percent, with 20 percent undecided.





"Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton takes a ton of heat on wealth, book sales and her legacy at the State Department, but she emerges with no serious Democratic challenger, while the Republican field remains clustered and flustered," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.





In the 2016 presidential race, American voters back Hillary Clinton over leading Republican contenders:

47 - 38 percent over Christie;

49 - 40 percent over Paul;

49 - 40 percent over Huckabee;

48 - 41 percent over former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush;

48 - 41 percent over U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin.

In these races, Clinton's lead among women ranges from 16 percentage points to 19 points. The margin among men in each race is too close to call.





By a slim 48 - 43 percent margin, American voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton, but that tops all other contenders who get negative or divided favorability scores or where more than 50 percent of voters don't know enough about them to form an opinion.





2014 Congressional Races





In the 2014 Congressional races, 46 percent of American voters want Republicans to win control of the U.S. Senate while 44 percent want Democratic control of the Senate. The same too-close-to-call 46 - 44 percent margin applies to control of the House of Representatives.





American voters disapprove 73 - 18 percent of the job Republicans in Congress are doing and have a negative 36 - 52 percent opinion of the Republican Party.





Voters disapprove 63 - 29 percent of the job Democrats in Congress are doing, and give the Democratic party a negative 41 - 49 percent favorability rating.





The Tea Party gets a negative 30 - 44 percent favorability rating, compared to a negative 27 - 47 percent score in a November 13 Quinnipiac University poll.





"Americans are split on whether they want Republican or Democratic wins in the midterms, but on one thing they are in complete agreement - Congress as a whole is doing a lousy job," Malloy said.





From June 24 - 30, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,446 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. The survey includes 620 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points and 610 Democrats with a margin of error of 4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.





The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.





For more information, visit http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling, call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter





1. If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Republican 39% 85% 3% 38% 43% 35% 27% 34% 45% 44% Democratic 41 4 87 32 37 44 47 47 35 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 3 2 2 2 3 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 - 3 3 1 3 4 1 - DK/NA 17 10 9 24 16 17 20 13 18 16

TREND: If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or for the Democratic candidate in your district?

DEMOCRATIC ADVANTAGE High Low Jul 08 Apr 02 Jan 21 Jan 08 Dec 10 Oct 01 Dec 10 2014 2014 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 Republican 39 38 38 38 41 34 41 Democratic 41 40 37 37 38 43 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 2 2 3 4 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 DK/NA 17 18 21 21 16 17 16

2a. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Scott Walker, Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum and Mike Huckabee, for whom would you vote?

REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS Tot Men Wom Bush 10% 9% 10% Rubio 6 7 4 Ryan 8 8 9 Walker 8 9 7 Christie 10 8 11 Jindal 1 2 - Paul 11 11 10 Cruz 8 8 7 Kasich 2 3 1 Perry 3 4 3 Santorum 2 2 2 Huckabee 10 11 10 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 1 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 DK/NA 20 15 25

TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Scott Walker, Chris Christie, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Rick Perry, Rick Santorum and Mike Huckabee, for whom would you vote?

REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS........ Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 Oct 02 Apr 03 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 Bush 10 11 11 11 10 Rubio 6 8 7 12 19 Ryan 8 13 9 10 17 Walker 8 6 5 4 2 Christie 10 12 17 13 14 Jindal 1 3 3 3 3 Paul 11 13 14 17 15 Cruz 8 9 13 10 na Kasich 2 2 2 na na Perry 3 na na na na Santorum 2 na na na na Huckabee 10 na na na na McDonnell na na na na 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - 2 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 1 1 - DK/NA 20 22 17 19 18

2b. (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Elizabeth Warren, Martin O'Malley and Brian Schweitzer, for whom would you vote?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS Tot Men Wom Clinton 58% 57% 59% Biden 9 13 6 Cuomo 4 1 6 Warren 11 13 10 O'Malley 1 1 1 Schweitzer 1 2 - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 1 DK/NA 15 12 16

TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for President were being held today, and the candidates were: Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Elizabeth Warren, Martin O'Malley and Brian Schweitzer, for whom would you vote?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......... Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 Oct 02 May 02 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 Clinton 58 65 66 61 65 Biden 9 8 8 11 13 Cuomo 4 3 3 2 4 Warren 11 7 7 7 na O'Malley 1 1 - - 1 Schweitzer 1 1 1 na na Dean na 2 1 na na Patrick na na na na 1 Warner na na na 1 1 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 - DK/NA 15 13 12 15 14

4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 18% 35% 8% 15% 18% 18% 21% 18% 16% 17% Disapprove 73 56 87 74 74 73 71 73 77 73 DK/NA 9 9 5 11 8 10 9 9 7 9

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job? (* High also 34% Mar 3 2011, Mar 2010, ** Low also 17% Oct 2013)

APPROVE....... High Low Jul 08 Apr 02 Jan 21 Jan 08 Dec 10 Mar 31 Jan 21 2014 2014 2014 2014 2013 2011* 2014** Approve 18 18 17 19 19 34 17 Disapprove 73 73 76 73 74 55 76 DK/NA 9 9 7 7 7 11 7

5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Approve 29% 5% 63% 20% 25% 32% 33% 32% 26% 27% Disapprove 63 91 30 69 69 59 61 59 67 64 DK/NA 8 4 7 11 6 9 6 9 7 9

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job? (* Low also 24% Sep 2011, Oct 2011)

APPROVE....... High Low Jul 08 Apr 02 Jan 21 Jan 08 Dec 10 Mar 4 Nov 23 2014 2014 2014 2014 2013 2009 2011* Approve 29 30 27 29 27 45 24 Disapprove 63 60 66 64 67 45 69 DK/NA 8 10 7 7 6 10 7

6. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Very satisfied 2% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% Smwht satisfied 24 8 44 21 21 27 40 22 21 21 Smwht dissatisfied 31 25 35 31 31 31 29 39 26 27 Very dissatisfied 43 66 18 46 47 40 29 37 51 48 DK/NA - - - - - 1 - - - 1

TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low Jul 08 Apr 02 Jan 22 Jan 08 Dec 10 Dec 11 Nov 13 2014 2014 2014 2014 2013 2001 2008 Very satisfied 2 2 2 1 2 21 2 Smwht satisfied 24 24 22 24 22 47 14 Smwht dissatisfied 31 33 32 31 30 19 38 Very dissatisfied 43 40 43 43 46 10 44 DK/NA - 1 1 1 - 3 2

7. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 47% 12% 90% 40% 43% 51% 53% 53% 43% 42% Christie 38 74 5 42 42 35 27 32 44 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 2 1 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 6 - 8 7 5 5 7 6 6 DK/NA 7 6 5 7 6 8 12 5 5 7

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Chris Christie the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 Nov 13 Oct 02 Jul 12 Mar 07 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 Clinton 47 46 41 42 49 46 45 Christie 38 38 42 43 36 40 37 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 4 3 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 6 5 3 4 3 3 4 DK/NA 7 9 9 9 9 8 12

8. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 49% 14% 91% 43% 43% 54% 54% 55% 45% 45% Paul 40 80 4 43 46 35 31 37 45 43 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 1 5 4 3 3 4 3 4 DK/NA 6 4 4 8 6 6 11 3 5 7

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Rand Paul the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 Nov 13 Oct 02 Jul 12 May 31 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2013 Clinton 49 49 48 49 53 50 49 Paul 40 39 41 40 36 38 41 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 2 3 3 2 2 DK/NA 6 8 6 7 6 7 6

9. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Mike Huckabee the Republican, for whom would you vote?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 49% 12% 92% 44% 44% 53% 55% 57% 44% 44% Huckabee 40 81 4 41 46 35 30 33 47 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 1 6 4 4 3 5 4 3 DK/NA 6 4 3 8 5 7 11 4 5 6

10. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 48% 10% 92% 42% 42% 53% 56% 55% 43% 43% Bush 41 81 4 43 45 37 31 35 45 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 5 - 7 5 4 3 6 5 4 DK/NA 5 4 3 6 6 5 9 3 5 6

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Jeb Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 May 31 2014 2014 2013 2013 Clinton 48 49 48 48 Bush 41 38 39 40 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 3 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 5 3 3 3 DK/NA 5 7 6 7

11. If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Paul Ryan the Republican, for whom would you vote?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Clinton 48% 8% 92% 44% 42% 53% 48% 54% 46% 44% Ryan 41 84 4 41 46 37 36 36 44 46 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 - 7 5 3 3 5 3 3 DK/NA 6 4 3 8 5 6 12 3 5 5

TREND: If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Paul Ryan the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Jul 08 Nov 13 Mar 07 2014 2013 2013 Clinton 48 49 50 Ryan 41 40 38 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 3 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 2 DK/NA 6 5 7

12. Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 48% 12% 88% 41% 43% 52% 52% 54% 44% 44% Unfavorable 43 78 6 47 49 38 28 39 49 47 Hvn't hrd enough 8 9 4 10 7 8 20 5 5 7 REFUSED 2 - 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

FAVORABLE..... High Low Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 Oct 02 Jul 12 Feb 08 May 03 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2007 Favorable 48 51 53 56 55 61 44 Unfavorable 43 40 42 36 38 34 46 Hvn't hrd enough 8 7 4 6 5 4 7 REFUSED 2 2 1 2 2 1 3

13. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 32% 55% 13% 35% 38% 27% Unfavorable 37 15 61 32 36 38 Hvn't hrd enough 29 30 25 31 25 33 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Jeb Bush favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Dec 11 May 31 Feb 08 2014 2013 2013 2013 Favorable 32 31 29 25 Unfavorable 37 38 29 29 Hvn't hrd enough 29 30 42 45 REFUSED 1 1 1 2

14. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 27% 51% 7% 28% 32% 21% Unfavorable 25 9 43 23 28 22 Hvn't hrd enough 47 39 50 49 38 56 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 -

TREND: Is your opinion of Marco Rubio favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Dec 11 Feb 08 2014 2013 2013 Favorable 27 26 27 Unfavorable 25 25 15 Hvn't hrd enough 47 47 57 REFUSED 1 1 1

15. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Paul Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 36% 63% 8% 37% 44% 29% Unfavorable 33 8 61 27 32 33 Hvn't hrd enough 31 29 30 35 23 37 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Paul Ryan favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Dec 11 Feb 08 2014 2013 2013 Favorable 36 38 34 Unfavorable 33 31 36 Hvn't hrd enough 31 30 29 REFUSED 1 2 1

16. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 18% 39% 3% 16% 24% 13% Unfavorable 17 3 33 14 20 15 Hvn't hrd enough 64 58 64 70 55 72 REFUSED - - 1 - 1 -

TREND: Is your opinion of Scott Walker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Dec 11 2014 2013 Favorable 18 21 Unfavorable 17 16 Hvn't hrd enough 64 62 REFUSED - 1

17. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 37% 47% 20% 47% 37% 36% Unfavorable 38 28 55 30 40 37 Hvn't hrd enough 23 25 25 21 21 25 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 2 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Chris Christie favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Jan 21 Dec 11 Oct 02 Jul 12 Oct 05 2014 2014 2013 2013 2013 2011 Favorable 37 33 47 40 45 23 Unfavorable 38 30 23 22 18 17 Hvn't hrd enough 23 34 28 36 34 59 REFUSED 1 3 2 2 2 1

18. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 21% 37% 6% 23% 26% 17% Unfavorable 19 4 39 14 23 16 Hvn't hrd enough 59 59 55 62 51 67 REFUSED 1 - - 1 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Bobby Jindal favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Dec 11 2014 2013 Favorable 21 21 Unfavorable 19 15 Hvn't hrd enough 59 63 REFUSED 1 1

19. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 32% 55% 7% 32% 38% 26% Unfavorable 32 9 60 27 34 30 Hvn't hrd enough 36 36 33 39 27 44 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Rand Paul favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Dec 11 Oct 02 Jul 12 May 31 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 Favorable 32 34 30 31 32 Unfavorable 32 31 33 28 24 Hvn't hrd enough 36 33 37 39 42 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 1

20. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 23% 44% 4% 23% 31% 17% Unfavorable 26 8 43 26 30 23 Hvn't hrd enough 50 48 53 50 38 60 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 1 -

TREND: Is your opinion of Ted Cruz favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Dec 11 Oct 02 2014 2013 2013 Favorable 23 27 16 Unfavorable 26 27 25 Hvn't hrd enough 50 44 58 REFUSED 1 1 1

21. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 23% 42% 5% 23% 25% 21% Unfavorable 30 10 49 29 33 27 Hvn't hrd enough 46 46 45 47 40 51 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 2 -

TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Santorum favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Feb 22 2014 2012 Favorable 23 34 Unfavorable 30 31 Hvn't hrd enough 46 34 REFUSED 1 2

22. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 38% 69% 12% 39% 42% 33% Unfavorable 34 17 52 27 33 34 Hvn't hrd enough 28 14 35 34 23 32 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Mike Huckabee favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Nov 22 Oct 31 2014 2010 2007 Favorable 38 41 15 Unfavorable 34 25 13 Hvn't hrd enough 28 33 70 REFUSED 1 2 2

23. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 23% 50% 5% 19% 29% 18% Unfavorable 31 9 48 31 39 24 Hvn't hrd enough 45 41 46 49 31 57 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Rick Perry favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Nov 02 Oct 05 Aug 31 2014 2011 2011 2011 Favorable 23 18 22 22 Unfavorable 31 45 35 23 Hvn't hrd enough 45 35 42 55 REFUSED 1 1 1 1

24. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 13% 19% 5% 16% 16% 10% Unfavorable 9 5 14 6 12 7 Hvn't hrd enough 78 76 80 77 72 83 REFUSED 1 - - 2 1 -

TREND: Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Dec 11 2014 2013 Favorable 13 12 Unfavorable 9 9 Hvn't hrd enough 78 78 REFUSED 1 1

25. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 42% 15% 73% 37% 38% 44% Unfavorable 44 72 18 43 48 40 Hvn't hrd enough 14 12 8 19 13 15 REFUSED - - 1 - - 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Dec 11 Jul 12 May 31 Feb 08 Nov 12 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 2008 Favorable 42 37 38 37 46 50 Unfavorable 44 48 44 44 41 23 Hvn't hrd enough 14 13 16 19 11 25 REFUSED - 2 2 1 2 2

26. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 19% 10% 33% 19% 18% 20% Unfavorable 28 38 16 25 36 20 Hvn't hrd enough 53 51 50 56 45 59 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Dec 11 2014 2013 Favorable 19 19 Unfavorable 28 23 Hvn't hrd enough 53 57 REFUSED 1 1

27. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 4% 4% 7% 2% 4% 4% Unfavorable 6 6 5 6 7 4 Hvn't hrd enough 89 89 88 91 86 91 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 3 -

TREND: Is your opinion of Martin O'Malley favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Dec 11 2014 2013 Favorable 4 3 Unfavorable 6 9 Hvn't hrd enough 89 87 REFUSED 1 1

28. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Elizabeth Warren favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 24% 7% 42% 21% 26% 22% Unfavorable 15 30 5 13 19 11 Hvn't hrd enough 61 63 53 66 54 67 REFUSED - - 1 - - -

TREND: Is your opinion of Elizabeth Warren favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

Jul 08 Dec 11 2014 2013 Favorable 24 17 Unfavorable 15 19 Hvn't hrd enough 61 63 REFUSED - 1

29. (Split Sample) Is your opinion of Brian Schweitzer favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Favorable 3% 3% 4% 2% 5% 2% Unfavorable 6 3 7 6 5 6 Hvn't hrd enough 90 94 88 89 89 91 REFUSED 1 - - 2 1 -

TREND: Is your opinion of Brian Schweitzer favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Jul 08 Dec 11 2014 2013 Favorable 3 3 Unfavorable 6 7 Hvn't hrd enough 90 89 REFUSED 1 1

30. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Republican Party 46% 92% 5% 48% 50% 42% 35% 43% 49% 50% Democratic Party 44 4 91 38 40 48 51 48 42 42 DK/NA 10 4 5 15 10 10 13 9 9 8

TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States Senate?

Jul 08 Apr 02 Jan 21 Jan 08 Dec 10 2014 2014 2014 2014 2013 Republican Party 46 45 43 46 47 Democratic Party 44 45 44 42 42 DK/NA 10 11 13 12 11

31. If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Republican Party 46% 91% 5% 48% 50% 41% 37% 41% 51% 49% Democratic Party 44 5 90 38 40 48 50 50 41 41 DK/NA 10 4 5 14 9 10 13 9 8 9

TREND: If the election were today, would you want to see the Republican Party or the Democratic Party win control of the United States House of Representatives?

Jul 08 Apr 02 Jan 21 Jan 08 Dec 10 2014 2014 2014 2014 2013 Republican Party 46 45 43 46 47 Democratic Party 44 46 45 44 42 DK/NA 10 10 12 10 11

32. Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 41% 6% 84% 33% 35% 46% 47% 44% 39% 38% Unfavorable 49 85 10 55 56 44 39 46 54 52 Hvn't hrd enough 8 9 5 10 7 9 12 7 6 8 REFUSED 2 - 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 2

TREND: Is your opinion of the Democratic Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?

FAVORABLE..... High Low Jul 08 Nov 13 May 30 Apr 03 Jul 11 Nov 12 Apr 21 2014 2013 2013 2013 2012 2008 2010 Favorable 41 38 42 38 37 55 32 Unfavorable 49 48 47 44 50 35 52 Hvn't hrd enough 8 11 8 15 11 6 12 REFUSED 2 3 3 3 2 4 3

33. Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 36% 71% 8% 34% 37% 35% 38% 30% 39% 36% Unfavorable 52 20 81 51 51 52 44 58 52 51 Hvn't hrd enough 11 8 10 11 10 11 18 11 5 11 REFUSED 2 1 - 4 1 2 - 1 3 2

TREND: Is your opinion of the Republican Party favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it? (* Low also 25% Jul 2009)

FAVORABLE.... High Low Jul 08 Nov 13 May 30 Apr 03 Jul 11 Nov 22 Oct 8 2014 2013 2013 2013 2012 2010 2009* Favorable 36 31 35 28 33 40 25 Unfavorable 52 54 50 52 50 45 53 Hvn't hrd enough 11 13 11 17 14 13 18 REFUSED 2 3 3 3 3 3 4

34. Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?

AGE IN YRS.............. Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom 18-29 30-49 50-64 65+ Favorable 30% 53% 7% 32% 34% 27% 23% 28% 34% 31% Unfavorable 44 19 69 43 45 44 35 48 48 45 Hvn't hrd enough 24 26 23 23 19 28 40 23 17 22 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 3

TREND: Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about it?