Time once again for the Sunday morning look at the college football bowl picture, now with another week's worth of information to factor in. As always, these are guesses of how things will look at the end of the season.

The College Football Playoff paths appear clear in four Power 5 conferences, with Alabama and Ohio State beating AP top-10 conference opponents on Saturday (Tennessee and Wisconsin, respectively) and Clemson surviving an overtime threat by NC State. The paths are a little too clear, if you ask me, and we can expect a mayhem weekend somewhere down the line to wreck much of this. It always happens; there's just no way to tell when it's about to strike.

Below, picks for each bowl game, from the New Orleans Bowl to the National Championship. Your team is underrated, and I apologize.

Also, a few notes on the Playoff and New Year's Six sections, which hold steady this time around.

College Football Playoff Fiesta

Dec. 31, Glendale, AZ Clemson Michigan Playoff rankings top 4 Peach

Dec. 31, Atlanta Alabama Washington Playoff rankings top 4 National Championship

Jan. 9, Tampa Alabama Michigan Fiesta winner vs. Peach winner

This week, sticking with Michigan again over Ohio State. Regular readers know this particular spot changes frequently, drawing great angst in the comment section, my Twitter mentions, and my email inbox, no matter what.

After their respective games against Wisconsin, I'm slightly more comfortable at this point in saying the Wolverines have looked good enough to win at OSU.

New Year's Six bowls Cotton

Jan. 2, Arlington, TX Boise State Baylor At-large Rose

Jan. 2, Pasadena, CA Ohio State Utah Big Ten 1 vs. Pac-12 1 Sugar

Jan. 2, New Orleans Oklahoma Texas A&M Big 12 1 vs. SEC 1 Orange

Dec. 30, Miami Louisville Tennessee ACC vs. Big Ten/SEC/ND

After accounting for all of Week 7 and changing some games later on, I don't have anything to change in the whole New Year's Six this week. I considered Stanford over Utah. Houston, Western Michigan, and others of course remain in the mix for the Group of 5 autobid. Let's see after next week.



Conference selection order, not based on standings Outback

Jan. 2, Tampa Wisconsin Florida Big Ten 2-4 vs. SEC 3-8 Citrus

Dec. 31, Orlando Nebraska LSU Big Ten 2-4/ACC vs. SEC 2 TaxSlayer

Dec. 31, Jacksonville Miami Arkansas ACC 3-6/Big Ten 5-7 vs. SEC 3-8 Music City

Dec. 30, Nashville Indiana Ole Miss ACC 3-6/Big Ten 5-7 vs. SEC 3-8 Liberty

Dec. 30, Memphis Oklahoma State Georgia Big 12 5 vs. SEC 3-8 Sun

Dec. 30, El Paso, TX Pitt Stanford ACC 3-6 vs. Pac-12 5 Arizona

Dec. 30, Tucson Utah State Georgia Southern MWC vs. Sun Belt Alamo

Dec. 29, San Antonio Texas Washington State Big 12 2 vs. Pac-12 2 Belk

Dec. 29, Charlotte Virginia Tech Missouri ACC 3-6 vs. SEC 3-8 Birmingham

Dec. 29 Houston Syracuse** American vs. SEC 9 Foster Farms

Dec. 28, Santa Clara, CA Iowa USC Big Ten 5-7 vs. Pac-12 4 Pinstripe

Dec. 28, New York City North Carolina Maryland ACC 3-6 vs. Big Ten 5-7 Russell Athletic

Dec. 28, Orlando Florida State West Virginia ACC 2 vs. Big 12 3 Texas

Dec. 28, Houston TCU Auburn Big 12 4 vs. SEC 3-8 Cactus

Dec. 27, Tempe, AZ Kansas State Arizona State Big 12 6 vs. Pac-12 7 Heart of Dallas

Dec. 27 Minnesota WKU Big Ten vs. C-USA Holiday

Dec. 27, San Diego Penn State Colorado Big Ten 2-4 vs. Pac-12 3 Military

Dec. 27, Annapolis, MD Wake Forest USF ACC vs. American Independence

Dec. 26, Shreveport, LA Akron* Army* ACC vs. SEC St. Petersburg

Dec. 26 Georgia Tech Cincinnati ACC vs. American Quick Lane

Dec. 26, Detroit, MI UCF** Northwestern ACC vs. Big Ten Hawaii

Dec. 24, Honolulu MTSU Hawaii C-USA vs. MWC Dollar General

Dec. 23, Mobile, AL WMU South Alabama MAC 1 vs. Sun Belt 2 Armed Forces

Dec. 23, Fort Worth, TX Idaho* Navy Big 12 vs. Navy Bahamas

Dec. 23, Nassau Tulsa EMU American vs. MAC Potato

Dec. 22, Boise, ID CMU Air Force MAC 2 vs. MWC Poinsettia

Dec. 21, San Diego BYU San Diego State BYU vs. MWC Boca Raton

Dec. 20 Memphis Southern Miss American vs. C-USA Miami Beach

Dec. 19 UConn Ohio American vs. MAC Las Vegas

Dec. 17 Wyoming UCLA MWC 1 vs. Pac-12 6 Camelia

Dec. 17, Montgomery, AL Toledo Appalachian State MAC 3 vs. Sun Belt 3 Cure

Dec. 17, Orlando Temple Troy American vs. Sun Belt New Mexico

Dec. 17, Albuquerque UTSA New Mexico C-USA vs. MWC New Orleans

Dec. 17 UL Lafayette LA Tech Sun Belt 1 vs. C-USA

* = filling another conference's bid

** = here thanks to APR scores

OK, what do we think here?