Welcome to the site that tries to make sense of chance, risk, luck, uncertainty and probability. Mathematics won't tell us what to do, but we think that understanding the numbers can help us deal with our own uncertainty and allow us to look critically at stories in the media.

Sex by Numbers, by David Spiegelhalter, is now available for purchase!

Details of reviews, interviews, (and errors) are all featured here.



Ice cream, gender and risk: How to communicate uncertainty?



Safer sat nav routes



Popularity measure as column height



Rare comma events



Data Overload?



Winter Wipeout



Microlives



Doubtful adoption league



A Maserati for £1



Cochrane visualisation

Elsewhere on UnderstandingUncertainty:

Do you have a coincidence story? David Spiegelhalter is collecting them over at http://cambridgecoincidences.org