General Election Polls: Who Does Better Against McCain State by State?

Senate map with polls Previous report Next report News: Updated Apr. 07



Both beat McCain ≥ 5% McCain beats both ≥ 5% Obama > Clinton by ≥ 5% Obama > Clinton by < 5% Clinton > Obama by < 5% Clinton > Obama by ≥ 5% In brown states, Obama does better than Clinton against McCain. In pink states Clinton does better.

Sometimes this means: does not lose as badly

But white centers are statistical ties.

News from the Votemaster

Not much news today except kid power. The NY Times has a story about how the college-age children of the superdelegates are badgering them to come out in support of Barack Obama.

One new primary poll though, in Oregon, where Barack Obama is leading Hillary Clinton.

State Pollster End date Clinton Obama McCain Huckabee Paul Oregon SurveyUSA Apr. 6 42% 52%

The polling results for all primaries and caucuses are available as a Web page and in .csv format.

Here are the delegate totals from various news sources rounded to integers (Democrats Abroad has 22 delegates, each with 1/2 vote). The sources differ because in most caucus states, no delegates to the national conventions have been chosen yet, just delegates to the district, county, or state convention so there is some guesswork involved. Furthermore, some of the unpledged delegates are elected at state conventions in May or June. Finally, the PLEOs (Party Leaders and Elected Officials) sometimes waver and may tell different reporters slightly different stories that they interpret differently.

Delegates

Source Clinton Obama BHO-HRC Edwards McCain Romney Huckabee Paul Washington Post 1502 1638 +136 1334 278 NY Times 1472 1628 +154 12 1162 142 232 5 AP 1502 1638 +136 18 1334 257 278 14 CNN 1486 1629 +143 26 1325 255 267 16 ABC 1496 1631 +135 32 1267 273 272 14 CBS 1492 1631 +139 26 1241 149 231 10 MSNBC 1507 1641 +134 26 1266 293 262 14

Needed to win: Democrats 2024, Republicans 1191.

Here is another source for delegate totals.