Team Obama says their internal polling is more accurate and predictive than public polling. Obama team: Strong lead with women in key states

Forget the public national polls showing Mitt Romney pulling even with Barack Obama among women, according to senior Obama advisers steeped in internal data: Obama enjoys a “strong, double-digit” lead among female voters in battleground states like Ohio.

The same holds true in Pennsylvania, where the president remains on “solid” ground, despite several public polls showing a tightening race, according to senior campaign officials.


They also say their secret weapon in Wisconsin — a key to Obama’s Midwest-heavy electoral path — is the state’s same-day registration law, with new voters breaking to Obama by a predicted 2-to-1 margin.

That alone could account for as much as a “four-point gain on election day,” an official told POLITICO.

Those claims are part of a stepped-up effort by Obama officials to push what they believe is the only narrative worth following as the campaign hits the homestretch — a focus on the eight or nine battlegrounds to the exclusion of the national picture, which is narrowly favoring Romney. They also want to counter the Romney camp claim that they have growing momentum in the final days of the campaign.

“We don’t even conduct national polls,” said a senior Obama adviser — a day after the Romney campaign email-blasted tracking polls showing the GOP nominee with a 50 percent to 47 percent lead nationally.

Another point Team Obama wants to make: Their internal polling is more accurate and predictive than public polling because it relies on more sophisticated, expensive data that details a voter’s preferences and behavior over time, along with other information about their profile.