WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The hardest-hit states won’t get back to their housing-boom-era peak prices this decade.

That’s according to a MarketWatch analysis of the latest home-price data from CoreLogic. For this analysis, MarketWatch looked at the year-over-year growth rates both nationally and at state levels for the states where prices skidded at least 20% from their peaks.

The news is actually better for Florida and Nevada, the hardest-hit states, than some of the states in the Northeast. Since Connecticut prices were actually lower on the year, by 1.3%, that means that, at the current rate, the Nutmeg State will never get back to its peak in home prices. Similarly, at the current, paltry 1.3% rate of appreciation, it will take 28 years for Rhode Island to recapture the bubble peak.

By contrast, Florida and Nevada may reach their previous peaks in prices in the early part of the 2020s.

State Peak to current price Years to peak at state growth rate Years to peak at national growth rate Arizona -28.6% 10 7 Connecticut -24.8% Never 6 Florida -32.6% 7 8 Illinois -22.5% 7 5 Nevada -35.3% 6 8 New Jersey -22% 9 5 Rhode Island -29.9% 28 7

Nationally, the picture is better. With home prices down 12.7% from their peak in April 2006, the U.S. as a whole should get back to that prior peak in three years at current sales-growth rates.

A handful of states, including New York and Texas, have already surpassed pre-bubble peaks, and a few others, such as Alaska and Kentucky, are on the verge of doing so.

Prices grew 1.1% nationally in January, taking the year-on-year change to 5.7%. CoreLogic forecasts that prices will rise 5.3% in the next year.