White House 2008: Republican Nomination See also: Rating the contenders Polls listed chronologically . ► STATE POLLS are in our subscriber area. INFO . CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Aug. 23-24, 2008. N=432 registered Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 4.5. . "If it were up to you, who would you rather see the Republican Party choose -- John McCain or someone else -- as its nominee for president?" . McCain Someone

Else Unsure % % % 8/23-24/08 57 42 1 6/4-5/08 55 44 1 Gallup Poll daily tracking. Three-day rolling average. N=approx. 1,000 Republican and Republican-leaning voters nationwide. MoE ± 3. . Preference for Republican Nominee: McCain Huckabee Paul Other/

Unsure Romney Giuliani Survey end date % % % % % % 3/3/08 62 21 5 13 n/a n/a 3/2/08 64 19 5 12 n/a n/a 3/1/08 63 22 4 12 n/a n/a 2/29/08 62 24 3 11 n/a n/a 2/28/08 60 26 3 11 n/a n/a 2/27/08 61 24 3 12 n/a n/a 2/26/08 63 22 4 11 n/a n/a 2/25/08 64 20 5 11 n/a n/a 2/24/08 63 21 6 10 n/a n/a 2/23/08 65 20 6 10 n/a n/a 2/22/08 63 20 6 11 n/a n/a 2/20/08 62 22 5 11 n/a n/a 2/19/08 58 24 5 12 n/a n/a 2/18/08 54 26 6 14 n/a n/a 2/17/08 54 26 6 14 n/a n/a 2/16/08 53 29 6 13 n/a n/a 2/15/08 54 28 5 13 n/a n/a 2/14/08 53 28 5 14 n/a n/a 2/13/08 51 29 5 15 n/a n/a 2/12/08 51 29 6 15 n/a n/a 2/11/08 52 28 5 16 n/a n/a 2/10/08 56 25 6 14 n/a n/a 2/9/08 57 23 5 15 n/a n/a 2/8/08 53 21 5 12 10 n/a 2/7/08 46 19 5 12 18 n/a 2/6/08 40 21 3 9 26 n/a 2/5/08 41 21 4 10 25 n/a 2/4/08 41 21 4 10 24 n/a 2/3/08 45 17 4 9 25 n/a 2/2/08 43 18 4 11 24 n/a 2/1/08 44 16 5 11 24 n/a 1/31/08 39 17 5 13 24 3 1/30/08 37 17 4 13 22 7 1/29/08 32 18 4 15 21 11 1/28/08 31 17 4 16 19 13 1/27/08 29 18 5 15 21 13 1/26/08 31 18 5 14 21 12 1/25/08 30 20 5 12 20 13 1/24/08 31 20 5 12 19 14 Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Feb. 22-24, 2008. N=381 Republicans and leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5. . "If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" . 2/22-24/08 % John McCain 53 Mike Huckabee 27 Ron Paul 8 Other (vol.) 1 None (vol.) 7 Unsure 4 . 2/7-10/08 1/15-17/08 12/3-5/07 11/5-7/07 10/1-3/07 % % % % % John McCain 44 22 13 13 12 Mike Huckabee 30 16 18 10 7 Ron Paul 9 4 3 n/a n/a Other (vol.) 1 1 1 2 - None (vol.) 12 8 7 7 9 Unsure 4 10 9 8 8 Mitt Romney n/a 16 12 12 9 Rudy Giuliani n/a 14 26 29 25 Fred Thompson n/a 9 11 19 22 Newt Gingrich n/a n/a n/a n/a 7 Sam Brownback n/a n/a n/a n/a 1 . 9/21-25/07 9/10-12/07 7/9-11/07 6/4-6/07 3/5-7/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 21 24 21 27 35 John McCain 17 15 15 19 22 Fred Thompson 17 19 19 17 n/a Mitt Romney 10 7 11 10 8 Mike Huckabee 7 5 3 2 3 Newt Gingrich 5 6 5 7 11 Sam Brownback 2 2 1 3 3 Other (vol.) 1 - 2 1 - None (vol.) 7 9 8 4 6 Unsure 13 13 15 10 12 USA Today/Gallup Poll. Feb. 21-24, 2008. N=829 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ± 4. . "Next, I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primary for president. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in 2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ." Names rotated. Results from 9/07 & earlier calculated using second choice of Gingrich supporters. 2/21-24/08 % John McCain 61 Mike Huckabee 23 Alan Keyes 4 Ron Paul 4 Someone else 3 None (vol.)/Unsure 6 2/8-10/08 1/30 - 2/2/08 1/10-13/08 1/4-6/08 12/14-16/07 % % % % % John McCain 53 42 33 19 14 Mike Huckabee 27 18 19 25 16 Ron Paul 8 5 3 4 3 Alan Keyes 2 2 1 - 3 Someone else 2 2 1 2 - None (vol.)/Unsure 7 7 7 9 9 Mitt Romney n/a 24 11 9 14 Tom Tancredo n/a n/a n/a n/a 1 Rudy Giuliani n/a n/a 13 20 27 Fred Thompson n/a n/a 9 12 14 Duncan Hunter n/a n/a 2 1 - 11/30 -

12/2/07 11/11-14/07 11/2-4/07 10/12-14/07 10/4-7/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 25 28 34 32 32 Mike Huckabee 16 10 6 6 7 John McCain 15 13 18 14 16 Fred Thompson 15 19 17 18 20 Mitt Romney 12 12 14 10 9 Ron Paul 4 5 1 5 2 Duncan Hunter 1 1 1 1 1 Tom Tancredo 1 2 - 2 1 Someone else 1 2 1 2 1 None (vol.)/Unsure 10 9 9 9 11 Sam Brownback n/a n/a n/a 2 1 9/14-16/07 9/7-8/07 8/13-16/07 8/3-5/07 7/12-15/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 30 34 32 33 33 Fred Thompson 22 22 19 21 21 John McCain 18 15 11 16 16 Mitt Romney 7 10 14 8 8 Mike Huckabee 4 5 4 2 2 Ron Paul 4 1 3 2 3 Sam Brownback 2 2 1 1 2 Duncan Hunter 2 - 2 1 1 Tom Tancredo 1 1 1 1 - Someone else 1 1 1 2 1 None (vol.)/Unsure 10 8 11 10 11 Chuck Hagel n/a 1 1 1 - Tommy Thompson n/a n/a n/a 2 1 Jim Gilmore n/a n/a n/a n/a - . 7/6-8/07 6/11-14/07 6/1-3/07 5/10-13/07 5/4-6/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 32 29 35 32 36 Fred Thompson 21 21 12 12 14 John McCain 16 20 20 24 21 Mitt Romney 9 8 14 10 9 Duncan Hunter 3 2 1 - 1 Mike Huckabee 2 3 3 1 1 Tom Tancredo 2 1 2 1 1 Tommy Thompson 2 2 1 1 2 Sam Brownback 1 2 1 2 1 Chuck Hagel 1 1 - - 1 Jim Gilmore - 1 - 1 1 Ron Paul - 2 1 - - Someone else - - 1 2 1 None (vol.)/Unsure 10 8 10 13 11 . 4/13-15/07 4/2-5/07 3/23-25/07 3/2-4/07 2/9-11/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 38 42 34 49 42 John McCain 24 18 22 21 25 Fred Thompson 11 12 13 n/a n/a Mitt Romney 10 7 4 10 6 Jim Gilmore 2 - 1 - 2 George Pataki 2 2 - 1 1 Mike Huckabee 2 1 2 1 2 Ron Paul 2 2 1 n/a n/a Tommy Thompson 1 3 2 2 2 Sam Brownback 1 1 3 1 4 Duncan Hunter 1 1 1 1 2 Tom Tancredo - 2 1 1 2 Chuck Hagel - 1 - - 1 Someone else 1 1 2 2 2 None (vol.) 2 2 4 3 2 All/Any (vol.) - - 1 - - Unsure 4 5 9 8 8 Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Feb. 20-24, 2008. N=482 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. MoE ± 5. . "Which of the following Republican candidates would be your first choice for president: [see below]?" If unsure: "Just as of today, would you say you lean toward [see below]?" Names rotated . 2/20-24/08 1/30 - 2/2/08 1/9-13/08 12/19-30/07 % % % % John McCain 61 42 29 22 Mike Huckabee 23 20 20 17 Ron Paul 7 5 6 4 Other (vol.) 1 - - 1 None (vol.) 5 3 1 2 Unsure 3 8 5 12 Mitt Romney n/a 22 17 12 Rudy Giuliani n/a n/a 13 20 Fred Thompson n/a n/a 9 9 Duncan Hunter n/a n/a n/a 1 FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Feb. 19-20, 2008. N=294 Republican voters nationwide. MoE ± 6. . "If the 2008 Republican presidential primary were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were [see below]?" Names rotated. Results from 9/07 & earlier calculated using second choice of Gingrich supporters. . 2/19-20/08 1/30-31/08 % % John McCain 51 48 Mike Huckabee 34 19 Ron Paul 7 5 Other (vol.) 4 - Unsure 4 5 Wouldn't vote (vol.) 1 2 Mitt Romney n/a 20 12/18-19/07 11/13-14/07 10/23-24/07 10/9-10/07 9/11-12/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 20 33 31 29 34 Mike Huckabee 19 8 5 5 2 John McCain 19 17 12 12 16 Mitt Romney 11 8 7 11 8 Fred Thompson 10 12 17 16 22 Ron Paul 3 3 1 2 2 Duncan Hunter 2 3 3 1 3 Tom Tancredo 1 1 2 2 1 Other (vol.) - - 2 1 1 Unsure 13 13 16 17 11 Wouldn't vote (vol.) 1 2 4 3 1 Sam Brownback n/a n/a n/a 2 1 Chuck Hagel n/a n/a n/a n/a 1 8/21-22/07 7/17-18/07 6/26-27/07 6/5-6/07 5/15-16/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 30 27 31 24 25 Fred Thompson 15 17 18 14 9 Mitt Romney 12 10 8 12 10 John McCain 7 17 18 15 18 Mike Huckabee 3 3 3 3 1 Ron Paul 3 2 - 2 1 Sam Brownback 1 1 1 - 2 Tom Tancredo 1 1 1 1 1 Chuck Hagel - - 1 1 - Duncan Hunter - - 1 1 1 Other (vol.) 2 2 1 - 2 Unsure 24 20 12 21 26 Wouldn't vote (vol.) 3 2 3 3 2 Tommy Thompson n/a 1 2 3 2 Jim Gilmore n/a n/a - 1 1 Diageo/Hotline Poll conducted by Financial Dynamics. conducted by Financial Dynamics. Feb. 14-17, 2008. N=266 Republican primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 6. . "If the 2008 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates were [see below] ? " If "All": " If you absolutely had to choose, which one person would you support?" Names rotated . 2/14-17/08 1/10-12/08 12/10-14/07 8/22-26/07 7/19-22/07 % % % % % John McCain 53 32 10 12 17 Mike Huckabee 25 17 17 4 1 Ron Paul 7 4 7 2 2 None of these (vol.) 2 3 4 2 3 Other (vol.) 3 - 1 1 2 All of these (vol.) - - 1 1 1 Unsure 10 9 14 18 21 Mitt Romney n/a 15 13 15 8 Rudy Giuliani n/a 12 21 27 20 Fred Thompson n/a 7 11 17 19 Duncan Hunter n/a 2 1 1 - Tom Tancredo n/a n/a - - 1 Sam Brownback n/a n/a n/a - 4 Tommy Thompson n/a n/a n/a n/a 1 Reuters/Zogby Poll. Feb. 13-16, 2008. N=434 likely Republican primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 4.8. . Preference for Republican Presidential Nominee: . 2/13-16/08 1/10-11/08 12/12-14/07 % % % John McCain 47 28 12 Mike Huckabee 32 23 22 Ron Paul 7 4 4 Someone else 7 - - Unsure 8 9 9 Fred Thompson n/a 14 13 Mitt Romney n/a 13 16 Rudy Giuliani n/a 9 23 Duncan Hunter n/a - 1 Tom Tancredo n/a n/a 1 . 11/14-17/07 10/10-14/07 9/13-16/07 7/12-14/07 3/22-26/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 29 28 27 21 27 Fred Thompson 15 20 24 22 9 Mike Huckabee 11 4 3 5 1 John McCain 9 8 13 9 13 Mitt Romney 9 14 7 11 9 Ron Paul 5 3 2 1 3 Duncan Hunter 1 - 1 1 1 Tom Tancredo - 2 1 - 1 Someone else 1 2 2 2 4 Unsure 21 18 20 25 28 Sam Brownback n/a 1 2 2 2 Tommy Thompson n/a n/a n/a - 1 Jim Gilmore n/a n/a n/a - n/a Chuck Hagel n/a n/a n/a n/a 1 American Research Group poll. Feb. 9-13, 2008. N=600 likely Republican primary and caucus voters nationwide. MoE ± 4. . "If the 2008 Republican presidential preference primary/caucus were being held today between [see below], for whom would you vote: [see below] , someone else, or are you undecided?" Names rotated . 2/9-13/08 1/9-12/08 % % John McCain 54 25 Mike Huckabee 31 19 Ron Paul 3 5 Unsure 12 11 Rudy Giuliani n/a 18 Mitt Romney n/a 17 Fred Thompson n/a 4 Duncan Hunter n/a 1 Alan Keyes n/a - . 12/9-12/07 11/9-12/07 10/9-12/07 9/9-12/07 8/9-12/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 21 25 24 24 27 Mike Huckabee 21 6 6 4 3 John McCain 18 12 14 14 13 Mitt Romney 16 21 15 9 16 Fred Thompson 6 17 16 23 16 Ron Paul 5 4 2 1 1 Duncan Hunter 1 1 2 1 1 Tom Tancredo 1 1 2 2 1 Alan Keyes - 1 1 n/a n/a Unsure 11 12 17 15 14 Sam Brownback n/a n/a 1 1 1 Newt Gingrich n/a n/a n/a 6 7 Tommy Thompson n/a n/a n/a n/a 1 . 7/9-12/07 6/9-12/07 5/9-12/07 4/9-12/07 3/2-5/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 30 24 28 27 34 Fred Thompson 17 15 6 9 n/a John McCain 14 20 24 23 30 Newt Gingrich 10 12 13 10 12 Mitt Romney 10 10 8 12 7 Sam Brownback 1 1 1 1 1 Jim Gilmore 1 1 1 - 1 Chuck Hagel 1 1 1 1 1 Mike Huckabee 1 1 1 1 1 Duncan Hunter 1 1 1 - - Ron Paul 1 1 1 - 1 Tom Tancredo 1 1 1 1 1 Tommy Thompson 1 1 1 1 1 George Pataki - - - - 1 Unsure 11 11 13 14 9 Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Feb. 6-7, 2008. N=463 registered Republicans and leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5. . Preference for Republican Nominee: . % John McCain 51 Mike Huckabee 32 Ron Paul 6 Other/Unsure 11 . % John McCain 57 Mike Huckabee 37 Other/Unsure 6 CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll . Feb. 1-3, 2008. N=412 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. MoE ± 5. . "Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president: [see below]?" Names rotated. Results from 9/07 & earlier calculated using second choice of Gingrich supporters. . 2/1-3/08 1/14-17/08 1/9-10/08 % % % John McCain 44 29 34 Mitt Romney 29 19 14 Mike Huckabee 18 20 21 Ron Paul 6 6 5 Unsure 2 4 2 Rudy Giuliani n/a 14 18 Fred Thompson n/a 9 6 Duncan Hunter n/a 1 1 . 12/6-9/07 11/2-4/07 10/12-14/07 9/7-9/07 8/6-8/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 24 28 27 28 29 Mike Huckabee 22 10 5 5 3 Mitt Romney 16 11 13 11 12 John McCain 13 16 17 15 16 Fred Thompson 10 19 19 27 22 Ron Paul 6 5 2 1 2 Duncan Hunter 2 4 3 1 - Tom Tancredo 1 3 1 2 2 Unsure 6 5 11 8 10 Sam Brownback n/a n/a 1 2 3 Tommy Thompson n/a n/a n/a n/a 1 . 6/22-24/07 5/4-6/07 4/10-12/07 3/9-11/07 1/19-21/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 31 25 30 38 35 Fred Thompson 21 15 12 n/a n/a John McCain 19 24 24 19 27 Mitt Romney 11 11 10 10 8 Mike Huckabee 2 3 1 2 1 Ron Paul 2 1 1 2 1 Sam Brownback 1 2 1 2 3 Tom Tancredo 1 2 2 1 2 Tommy Thompson 1 2 1 1 1 Jim Gilmore - 3 1 2 3 Duncan Hunter - 2 - - 1 Unsure 11 9 13 18 17 George Pataki n/a n/a 2 3 3 Chuck Hagel n/a n/a 1 2 1 Cook Political Report/RT Strategies Poll . Jan. 31-Feb. 2, 2008. N=308 Republican primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 5.6. . "I am going to read a list of people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2008. I would like you to tell me who would be your FIRST CHOICE for the nomination. . . ." Names rotated . 1/31 - 2/2/08 12/15-17/07 11/8-11/07 9/13-16/07 % % % % John McCain 39 12 12 15 Mitt Romney 24 14 12 8 Mike Huckabee 18 18 8 4 Ron Paul 6 11 6 3 Other (vol.) 2 3 2 2 Unsure 12 8 16 17 Rudy Giuliani n/a 16 29 27 Fred Thompson n/a 12 12 18 Tom Tancredo n/a 3 3 - Duncan Hunter n/a 3 1 - Newt Gingrich n/a n/a n/a 5 Sam Brownback n/a n/a n/a 1 . 8/2-5/07 6/21-23/07 6/15-17/07 5/11-13/07 4/27-29/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 26 20 20 25 28 John McCain 16 20 16 24 21 Fred Thompson 14 14 15 8 10 Newt Gingrich 8 5 3 7 6 Mitt Romney 7 10 7 9 12 Duncan Hunter 2 - 1 - 1 Tommy Thompson 2 3 3 2 2 Jim Gilmore 1 1 1 1 - Chuck Hagel 1 1 1 1 1 Mike Huckabee 1 2 2 2 2 Tom Tancredo - 1 1 - 2 Sam Brownback - 1 1 1 1 Ron Paul - 2 2 1 1 Other (vol.) 2 2 3 - - Unsure 20 18 24 19 13 . 3/29 - 4/1/07 2/15-18/07 11/9-12/06 8/25-27/06 6/1-4/06 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 34 32 27 32 24 John McCain 17 23 25 20 29 Fred Thompson 10 n/a n/a n/a n/a Newt Gingrich 9 13 10 10 6 Mitt Romney 6 10 9 5 8 Tommy Thompson 3 1 n/a n/a n/a Mike Huckabee 2 1 2 2 - George Pataki 2 4 2 1 4 Sam Brownback 1 2 1 1 1 Jim Gilmore 1 1 n/a n/a n/a Chuck Hagel - 1 - - 1 Duncan Hunter - 1 - n/a n/a Ron Paul - n/a n/a n/a n/a Tom Tancredo - 2 1 3 3 Other (vol.) 1 n/a n/a n/a n/a Unsure 13 8 19 14 15 Bill Frist n/a n/a 4 8 5 George Allen n/a n/a n/a 4 3 CBS News Poll. Jan. 30-Feb. 2, 2008. N=325 Republican primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 6. . "Who would you like to see the Republican Party nominate as its presidential candidate in 2008: [see below]?" . 1/30 - 2/2/08 1/9-12/08 12/5-9/07 % % % John McCain 46 33 7 Mitt Romney 23 8 16 Mike Huckabee 12 18 21 Ron Paul 9 5 4 Other (vol.) 2 2 2 Unsure 8 15 17 Rudy Giuliani n/a 10 22 Fred Thompson n/a 8 7 Duncan Hunter n/a 1 3 Tom Tancredo n/a n/a 1 ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Jan. 30-Feb. 1, 2008. N=1,249 adults nationwide. MoE ± 3. Fieldwork by TNS. . "If the Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated. Includes leaners. For 9/07 and earlier, includes second choices of Gingrich supporters. . Among likely Republican primary voters: . 1/30 - 2/1/08 % John McCain 48 Mitt Romney 24 Mike Huckabee 16 Ron Paul 7 Rudy Giuliani (vol.) 1 Fred Thompson (vol.) 1 None (vol.) 1 Unsure 2 . 1/9-12/08 12/6-9/07 % % John McCain 28 12 Mike Huckabee 20 19 Mitt Romney 19 17 Rudy Giuliani 15 25 Fred Thompson 8 14 Ron Paul 3 3 Duncan Hunter 2 2 Other (vol.) 1 - None (vol.) 2 3 Unsure 2 4 Tom Tancredo n/a 0 . Among Republicans and leaners: . 10/29 -

11/1/07 9/27-30/07 % % Rudy Giuliani 33 34 John McCain 19 12 Fred Thompson 16 17 Mitt Romney 11 11 Mike Huckabee 9 8 Ron Paul 3 3 Duncan Hunter 2 2 Tom Tancredo 1 1 None (vol.) 4 4 Wouldn't vote (vol.) - 1 Unsure 3 8 Sam Brownback n/a 1 . 9/4-7/07 7/18-21/07 5/29 - 6/1/07 4/12-15/07 2/22-25/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 28 37 34 35 53 Fred Thompson 19 15 13 10 n/a John McCain 18 16 20 22 23 Mitt Romney 10 8 10 10 5 Mike Huckabee 5 2 2 1 2 Sam Brownback 2 1 1 1 2 Duncan Hunter 1 2 1 1 - Ron Paul 1 2 2 1 1 Tom Tancredo - 2 1 1 1 Other (vol.) 1 - - 0 - None (vol.) 2 5 3 4 2 Wouldn't vote (vol.) 2 1 - - 1 Unsure 10 5 10 7 5 Tommy Thompson n/a 3 1 2 2 Jim Gilmore n/a n/a 1 2 - George Pataki n/a n/a n/a 1 1 Chuck Hagel n/a n/a n/a - 1 FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Jan. 30-31, 2008. N=297 Republican voters nationwide. MoE ± 6. . "If John McCain and Mitt Romney were the only choices in the Republican primary, how would you vote?" Names rotated . McCain Romney Unsure Wouldn't

Vote (vol.) % % % % 1/30-31/08 62 29 6 3 12/5-6/06 59 14 5 23 NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Jan. 20-22, 2008. Asked of Republicans, and non-Republicans who said they would vote in a Republican presidential primary (from a total sample of 1,008 adults nationwide). MoE ± 5.1. . "Let me mention some people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2008. If the next Republican primary for president were being held today, for which one of the following candidates would you vote . . . ?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?" . 1/20-22/08 12/14-17/07 11/1-5/07 9/28-30/07 9/7-10/07 % % % % % John McCain 28 14 16 15 14 Mike Huckabee 20 17 8 4 4 Mitt Romney 17 20 11 10 11 Rudy Giuliani 13 20 33 30 32 Fred Thompson 9 11 15 23 26 Ron Paul 4 4 4 2 2 Other (vol.) 1 1 1 1 n/a None (vol.) - 1 1 2 2 Unsure 8 9 7 10 6 Duncan Hunter n/a 2 2 1 1 Tom Tancredo n/a 1 2 1 1 Sam Brownback n/a n/a n/a 1 1 . 7/27-30/07 6/8-11/07 4/20-23/07 3/2-5/07 12/8-11/06 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 33 29 33 38 34 Fred Thompson 20 20 17 n/a n/a John McCain 17 14 22 24 29 Mitt Romney 11 14 12 8 8 Ron Paul 2 2 n/a n/a n/a Tommy Thompson 2 2 n/a n/a n/a Sam Brownback 2 1 1 2 2 Tom Tancredo 1 1 n/a n/a n/a Mike Huckabee 1 3 2 2 2 Duncan Hunter 1 1 1 1 n/a Other (vol.) 1 1 1 1 2 None (vol.) 2 1 2 3 3 Unsure 7 10 9 9 8 Jim Gilmore n/a 1 n/a n/a n/a Newt Gingrich n/a n/a n/a 10 10 Tommy Thompson n/a n/a n/a 2 1 George Pataki n/a n/a n/a n/a 1 . Without Thompson (recalculated, based on second choice of Thompson voters): . 1/20-22/08 . % . John McCain 29 . Mike Huckabee 23 . Mitt Romney 20 . Rudy Giuliani 15 . Ron Paul 4 . Other (vol.) 1 . None (vol.) - . Unsure 8 . Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg Poll. Jan. 18-22, 2008. N=337 likely Republican primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 5. . "If the Republican caucus or primary for president were being held in your state today and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote: [see below]?" Names rotated. Results include leaners. . 1/18-22/08 11/30 -

12/3/07 10/19-22/07 6/7-10/07 4/5-9/07 % % % % % John McCain 22 11 13 12 12 Mike Huckabee 18 17 7 3 3 Mitt Romney 17 9 11 10 8 Rudy Giuliani 12 23 32 27 29 Fred Thompson 10 14 15 21 15 Ron Paul 6 5 2 n/a n/a Duncan Hunter 1 3 2 1 2 Other (vol.) 1 1 - 1 3 Unsure 13 17 16 14 14 Tom Tancredo n/a - 2 - 2 Newt Gingrich n/a n/a n/a 9 7 Tommy Thompson n/a n/a n/a 2 3 Sam Brownback n/a n/a n/a - 2 ABC News/Facebook poll. Dec. 16-19, 2007. N=1,142 adults nationwide. Fieldwork by TNS. Results below are among leaned Republicans. . "If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" . % Rudy Giuliani 30 Mike Huckabee 14 John McCain 14 Mitt Romney 14 Fred Thompson 10 Ron Paul 6 Duncan Hunter 1 Tom Tancredo 1 Other/None (vol.) 3 Unsure 7 USA Today/Gallup Poll. Dec. 14-16, 2007. N=399 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5. . "Suppose the choice for the Republican presidential nomination narrows down to [see below]. Which one would you prefer the Republican Party nominate for president: [see below]?" Names rotated Giuliani Huckabee Unsure % % % 12/14-16/07 56 38 6 . Giuliani Romney Unsure % % % 12/14-16/07 57 37 6 10/4-7/07 66 24 10 9/7-8/07 68 23 9 George Washington University Battleground Poll conducted by the Tarrance Group (R) and Lake Research Partners (D). Dec. 9-12, 2007. N=1,013 likely voters nationwide. Results below are among Republican primary voters. . "If the Republican primary election for president was held today and you had to make a choice from this list of candidates, for whom would you vote: [see below]?" If unsure: "And which candidate do you lean toward slightly?" . % Mike Huckabee 23 Rudy Giuliani 21 Mitt Romney 16 John McCain 15 Fred Thompson 10 Ron Paul 5 Duncan Hunter 1 Tom Tancredo 1 Unsure 7 Associated Press/Pew Research Center poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca, & Bucuvalas . Nov. 20-26, 2007. N=448 likely Republican primary voters nationwide. MoE ± 5.5. . "Which one of the following Republican candidates would be your first choice for president: [see below]?" If unsure: "Just as of today, would you say you LEAN toward [see below]?" Names rotated . % Rudy Giuliani 26 John McCain 17 Mitt Romney 13 Fred Thompson 13 Mike Huckabee 11 Ron Paul 4 Duncan Hunter 1 Tom Tancredo 0 Other (vol.) 1 None (vol.) 3 Refused 11 Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Oct. 31-Nov. 1, 2007. N=430 registered Republicans and leaners nationwide. MoE ± 6. . "Now I’m going to name eight Republican presidential candidates. After I read all the names, tell me which ONE you would most like to see nominated as the Republican Party’s presidential candidate in 2008. The choices are [see below]?" Names rotated . 10/31 - 11/1/07 8/1-2/07 6/20-21/07 % % % Rudy Giuliani 30 30 27 Fred Thompson 15 22 19 John McCain 14 13 15 Mitt Romney 12 10 12 Mike Huckabee 7 2 4 Ron Paul 3 2 2 Duncan Hunter 2 1 - Tom Tancredo - 1 1 Other - 2 1 None/No preference 6 5 5 Unsure 11 10 8 Sam Brownback n/a 1 2 Tommy Thompson n/a 1 2 Michael Bloomberg n/a n/a 2 Jim Gilmore n/a n/a - WNBC/Marist Poll . Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2007. N=306 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.5.. . "If the 2008 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?" . 10/29 -

11/1/07 % Rudy Giuliani 30 John McCain 17 Mitt Romney 13 Fred Thompson 12 Mike Huckabee 5 Ron Paul 2 Duncan Hunter 1 Tom Tancredo - Unsure 20 . 4/26 - 5/1/07 2/12-15/07 2/13-15/06 10/12-13 &

17/05 4/18-21/05 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 28 28 28 31 27 John McCain 18 21 24 24 20 Fred Thompson 13 n/a n/a n/a n/a Newt Gingrich 8 11 8 5 8 Mitt Romney 7 10 5 1 1 Tommy Thompson 3 1 n/a n/a n/a Mike Huckabee 2 1 n/a n/a n/a Sam Brownback 2 1 - 1 - Duncan Hunter 2 1 n/a n/a n/a Tom Tancredo 1 1 1 1 n/a Chuck Hagel 1 - 1 1 1 Ron Paul - 1 n/a n/a n/a John Cox - - n/a n/a n/a Unsure 15 22 22 25 24 George Pataki n/a 2 3 2 2 Bill Frist n/a n/a 4 4 3 George Allen n/a n/a 4 5 - Jeb Bush n/a n/a n/a n/a 10 Rick Santorum n/a n/a n/a n/a 3 Haley Barbour n/a n/a n/a n/a 1 Bill Owens n/a n/a n/a n/a - Quinnipiac University Poll. Oct. 23-29, 2007. N=678 registered Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 3.8. . "If the 2008 Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" . 10/23-29/07 8/7-13/07 6/5-11/07 4/25 - 5/1/07 2/13-19/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 27 28 27 27 40 Fred Thompson 17 12 15 14 n/a Mitt Romney 14 15 10 8 7 John McCain 13 11 15 19 18 Mike Huckabee 6 2 2 2 2 Ron Paul 2 2 1 - 1 Duncan Hunter 1 1 1 1 2 Tom Tancredo 1 1 1 - 1 Other (vol.) 1 3 2 2 1 Wouldn't vote (vol.) 1 2 1 1 - Unsure 15 16 17 16 15 Newt Gingrich n/a 7 5 8 10 Sam Brownback n/a 1 1 1 1 Tommy Thompson n/a 1 1 1 1 Jim Gilmore n/a - - - - George Pataki n/a n/a n/a 1 1 Chuck Hagel n/a n/a n/a - - Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Oct. 17-23, 2007. N=648 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republicans. MoE ± 4.5. . "I'm going to read you the names of some Republican presidential candidates. Who would you most like to see nominated as the Republican Party's candidate for president in 2008: [see below]?" If unsure: "Is there anyone you are leaning toward as of today?" Names rotated . 10/17-23/07 9/12-16/07 7/25-29/07 4/18-22/07 3/21-25/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 31 32 27 32 33 John McCain 18 15 16 23 23 Fred Thompson 17 21 18 10 n/a Mitt Romney 9 9 10 8 8 Mike Huckabee 8 4 1 3 1 Ron Paul 3 1 2 n/a n/a Tom Tancredo 1 1 1 n/a n/a Other (vol.) 1 1 1 1 2 None (vol.) 4 2 3 3 5 Unsure 8 6 11 8 12 Newt Gingrich n/a 6 8 9 7 Sam Brownback n/a 2 1 - 2 Tommy Thompson n/a n/a 1 2 3 Duncan Hunter n/a n/a n/a 1 1 Jim Gilmore n/a n/a n/a - 3 CBS News Poll. Oct. 12-16, 2007. N=372 Republican primary voters nationwide. . "Suppose the race for the Republican Party's presidential nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice among [see below]. Who would you most like to see nominated: [see below] , or would you rather see someone else nominated?" Names rotated . 10/12-16/07 9/4-9/07 8/8-12/07 7/9-17/07 6/26-28/07 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 29 27 38 33 34 Fred Thompson 21 22 18 25 22 John McCain 18 18 12 15 21 Mitt Romney 12 14 13 8 6 Mike Huckabee 4 n/a n/a n/a n/a Other/None 9 9 1 11 7 Unsure 7 10 18 8 10 Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Oct. 1-3, 2007. N=358 Republicans and leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.1. . "If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" . Without Gingrich (recalculated, based on second choice of Gingrich voters): . 10/1-3/07 9/21-25/07 9/10-12/07 % % % Rudy Giuliani 27 23 26 Fred Thompson 23 18 21 John McCain 13 17 16 Mitt Romney 11 11 7 Mike Huckabee 7 7 5 Sam Brownback 1 2 2 Other (vol.) - 1 - None (vol.) 9 7 9 Unsure 9 14 14 ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Sept. 27-30, 2007. N=398 Republicans and leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5. Fieldwork by TNS. . "If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated. Includes leaners. . 9/27-30/07 9/4-7/07 7/18-21/07 % % % Rudy Giuliani 30 26 34 Fred Thompson 15 18 14 John McCain 12 18 16 Newt Gingrich 9 5 7 Mitt Romney 9 9 8 Mike Huckabee 7 5 2 Ron Paul 3 1 2 Duncan Hunter 2 1 2 Sam Brownback 1 2 1 Tom Tancredo - - 1 Other (vol.) - 1 - None of these (vol.) 4 2 5 Wouldn't vote (vol.) 1 2 1 Unsure 7 9 5 Tommy Thompson n/a n/a 3 . 5/29 - 6/1/07 4/12-15/07 2/22-25/07 1/16-19/07 12/7-11/06 % % % % % Rudy Giuliani 32 33 44 34 34 John McCain 19 21 21 27 26 Fred Thompson 11 9 n/a n/a n/a Newt Gingrich 9 6 15 9 12 Mitt Romney 9 9 4 9 5 Mike Huckabee 2 1 2 1 - Sam Brownback 1 1 1 1 1 Jim Gilmore 1 1 - 1 n/a Duncan Hunter 1 1 - - 1 Ron Paul 1 1 1 1 n/a Tom Tancredo 1 1 - 1 - Tommy Thompson 1 2 2 1 2 None of these (vol.) 3 4 2 2 6 Wouldn't vote (vol.) - - 1 1 - Unsure 8 6 4 9 9 George Pataki n/a 1 1 2 3 Chuck Hagel n/a - 1 - - Earlier polling on the Republican nomination