Here’s our latest weather outlook for India

Nationwide Forecast

Maha : The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) “Maha” in the Arabian Sea will move east, while its power will get downgraded to a Deep Depression (DD) off the south coast of Gujarat on late Thursday night. Hence, no impact is expected due to the cyclone.

Western Disturbance : Until Friday morning, heavy snow is expected over the Western Himalayan. Also, heavy rain with thunderstorms are expected in relatively low elevation areas of the Western Himalayan. Temperature will drop significantly over the plain areas of North India from Thursday, due to strong cold air mass on the upper layer.

Low pressure in the Bay of Bengal : There are still significant uncertainties in the forecast track of the Low pressure area after Saturday among Numerical Weather Prediction models. Two scenarios can be considered (both are common in that the power weakens before landing): (1) It will move towards Andhra Pradesh [by ECMWF model] (2) It will weaken in the back of Bay of Bengal [by GFS model].

Either way, very heavy rain with thunderstorm is expected over coastal West Bengal on Saturday (accumulated precipitation of 100 mm/24 hr or more). Further, based on GFS, very rough waves are expected over coastal West Bengal on Sunday dawn to afternoon (significant wave height of up to 5 m).

Rain and snow :

On Wednesday, heavy snow is expected over western Jammu & Kashmir (snowfall of 50 cm/24 hr or more). Fairly widespread thunderstorms are likely over Andaman & Nicobar Islands. Scattered thunderstorms are possible over southwestern Jammu & Kashmir, Konkan Coast & Malabar Coast.

On Thursday, scattered thunderstorms are likely over Jammu & Kashmir, Punjab, Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Andaman and Nicobar Islands.

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