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In BOTH cases there are some differences. For the Doctor Mario one, the angle of the head (can see an ear on Leak, not on older Doc. Stethoscope completely different etc. For the Mario one, head shape slightly different, different mouth shape, etc. They are both similar, even similar to EACH OTHER, which makes it seem much more likely a third one will show up similar to them both. But you can use your own judgement.



Further, various Mario models have been so similar to each other, one might be able to make the same argument with them:

In BOTH cases there are some differences. For the Doctor Mario one, the angle of the head (can see an ear on Leak, not on older Doc. Stethoscope completely different etc. For the Mario one, head shape slightly different, different mouth shape, etc. They are both similar, even similar to EACH OTHER, which makes it seem much more likely a third one will show up similar to them both. But you can use your own judgement.Further, various Mario models have been so similar to each other, one might be able to make the same argument with them:

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Sulk:





Ike:Sulk:

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It has been noted that Ness' shirt has been very consistent in every smash game to date, with a little bet of yellow appearing in a curve at the bottom of his shirt. This is not here in the new image.Possible counter: It is totally within the realm of possibilities that Sakurai and team have decided, despite being consistent up until now, to change the model.Bonus Counter:Though it's brief, Ness did NOT have his additional yellow stripe in the Melee introduction video: King Dedede appears taller in one of the scrolling character pictures but not the otherCounter: It's only an illusion, the pictures match up perfectly as seen here:: From this image, it can be seen that Little Mac and Shulk have similar facial featuresPossible Counter: While they are indeed similar, they are both human characters, and that is INDEED how Shulk looks. While it's possible that the leaker used the Little Mac image as a basis for Shulk, it's perfectly reasonable to assume that Sakurai and team might have done the same. Or another possibility is simply that it is simply a coincidence. It is also worth noting that the similarities actually begin and end with spacing. The eyes, nose and mouth are the same distances apart for both models. However, the shape of the nose, mouth, eyes, chin, and cheeks are indeed different. This might simply be due to the art style, rather than anything else.The build at E3 had names on the title screen. This one does not.Counter: Things can change. Whether things change in game, or things changed during development, both are possibilities.Yoshi is in the middle of of the Mario Team, while Shulk is with Third Parties.Possible Counter: Hard to know what the development team/leaker were thinking, but one can only assume when the full roster is shown people are placed in a proper position. Or Sakurai and team have decided on a completely different layout to change things up. It's impossible to know what goes on behind the scenes.Counter: It actually took editing the image we had to make these line up so nicely. This is not how the original leak looked.: The thickness of the lines in two of the characters on the bottom screen are thicker than the othersCounter: This is actually more evidence FOR the leak. This is an actual glitch/feature of the game itself that no one noticed until this leak, as seen in several videos.Several images have been found that are "similar" to the charactersCounter: All of these images have been shown to have some pretty vast differences that would require tonnes of work to modify, such as changing the angle of the head or adjusting the clothing.Here are some of the close calls for Dr. MarioFurther, ALL of the Fire Emblem characters have their facial features match up:: Ridley/Worlf/Other Character can't be out of the game, Dr. Mario Dark Pit and Duck Hunt Dog cannot be inCounter: This will NEVER be effective in proving a leak right or wrong.: The human players are given levels. This doesn't make any sense.Counter: I have no real explanation except that maybe the game doesn't work as we might expect. There is plenty of information that Sakurai has clearly been keeping quiet. I don't know how the levels might work, but that doesn't mean it is fake.I have come up with a few POSSIBILITIES, but this is just pure speculation. My attempt at an explanation include:Perhaps after a fight they "rank" you, ranking your fighting ability against computer levels, and then show that level before the next fight.Perhaps you can level characters up in multiplier that has an effect on your single player campaign.Perhaps customizable moves need to be unlocked by leveling up your character.: Game and Watch's model does not match what was shown at E3Counter: I have no explanation for this, except that we do not know with certainty what models Sakurai will have chosen in the end. E3 was some time ago, and the trailer was made some time before that. A lot can happen in that time.: Game and Watch's hand crosses over into Wario's boxCounter: Actually this is an illusion. Wario's shoulder is just dark, so it looks like Game and Watch's hand.: At the bottom of the victory screen is the world Disablad, which should be disabledCounter: I have no idea. It seems like an "a" for me, hard to argue otherwise. Games may have weird spelling mistakes before it's fully released. Ganondorf was misspelled for the Melee leaks back in the day before the game came out, but it was still real. But that's the best I got.Update: MasterLinkX has come and out said that HE has made that change. While he says he will not be posting any additional pictures that have not been leaked (including the originals he has used) he apparently had already uploaded the following image to his tumblr:Which does spell "disabled": The fighter's name is ESRB0083, but the ESRB does NOT actually play the game. This makes no sense.Counter: There are a couple possible explanations, such as this part of a video that was given to ESRB, and Nintendo purposely put this name in to mark it so they would know where a leak came from. However, this is only one possible explanation and it's not possible to know what goes on behind the scenes.Shulk's jab appears to be near identical to Ike's from Brawl.Counter: While some have noted small differences, it's really hard to tell for sure, but the moves do look near identical. It is possible that they simply have similar jabs, since they are both sword using characters, it`s also possible Shulk is a clone of Ike. Aside from these statements, this is an issue for the leak. One major difference though is that while Ike is holding his sword during his jab, Shulk has his sword on his back.It has also been conjectured that this is Shulk's dash attack, with the idea that he does not carry his sword while running. While this does not necessarily disprove the similarities to Ike, it is interesting to think about.There is precedence for characters having similar movements:: Ganondorf`s model looks VERY similar to the brawl model in the fight. It looks like this could be a brawl mod, trying to pose as Smash 3dsCounter: *Shrugs* It`s true. Even the positioning of the roll has been shown to be very similar. However, both Zelda and Link are both still based on their Twilight Princess model and very similar to Brawl, so it's not super surprising the same is true for Ganondorf.On the left: Brawl Ganondorf, on the right: Leak GanondorfAnother point is that the shadows are circles, which was not true in Brawl, but is true in 3DS. This does prove or disprove anything, but adds a bit to it's authenticity.: Ganondorf's character select screen is very, very similar to the previous screenCounter: The models for Link and Zelda are also very similar to the Brawl model, but yes, this character select screen is even more so similar.Famitsu has released a picture that appears to match up with the character select screen we have been given.The original scan can be seen here.Counter: It has been conjectured that the "leaked" version of the Tomodachi life level is actually more similar (in terms of angle) to the picture of the day image that the Famitsu image. From here, one might conclude that the leaker edited the picture of the day image to remove occurrences of characters and switch things around. There are many apartments in Tomodachi life, so any rearrangement would look like AN apartment in the game. It is also peculiar that the level select screen has zoomed in so close to the level only to show the one apartment, when the map is clearly larger.Although this is my own bias, I personally do not see this counter as fully valid. The plant in the leak appears similar to the Famitsu leak, as well as the overall apartment structure. Further, there are several levels that are zoomed in, if a level can be characterized fully by the zoomed in image.While the Famitsu leak appears to support the leak, it is by no means 100% conclusive.Guyz Guyz!!11! Duck Hunt Dog TOTTALLY comes from here!Counter: Where is the origins of that picture? (poster has no response)This picture is literally copied out of the leak. If the leak is fake, this image is a fake of a fake. If the leak is real, this image is still a fake.Counter: Remember, anyone can add stuff to 4chan. If he is telling the truth, this is confirmation. If he is lying, it doesn't really mean anything. So I don't think we can really do much with this, but it's here.In the stage select screen, the stage on the bottom right crosses the red line of the menu items. Such sloppiness would not be present in the game.Counter: This looks exactly like it would if someone took a digital camera. Pixel leaking is common.: Where are they?Counter: Customization is disablad (I couldn't resist) in the character select screen here, so the Mii's are not visible. You must turn on customization for the mii's to show up.Wario's eye appears to be missing. Where did it go? Here's one thing to look at on this topic:Notice Wario's mouth is open, and the same eye is missing. This can be taken two ways:1. The leaker used this image to fake Wario's select space. However, a lot of changes would be needed to the angle of the head, the teeth, moustache, etc etc. And why would the leaker put in all the effort for those changes JUST to leave the eye like it is?2. Precedence that sometimes Wario is cross-eyed, and hence this is just how the development team chose to depict him.Either way, this is very interesting evidence.Further, it was pointed out that the Brawl model on the CSS also has crossed eyesThough it is clearly not as pronounced.Yes, they can. Here are a bunch of well done examples:However note that we know the images that these images are based off of. We have not been able to find the images the leak has based theirs off of. This is what makes it believable. But even so, it IS POSSIBLE to fake renders and so no matter what, this puts doubt into whether this is all one big elaborate hoax.Ice Climbers being cut doesn't make any sense. They have been in the game since Melee as part of the starting roster, and there are polar bears in Smash Run. There is no way they are not in the game. Also Rosalina and Luma are similar in nature and they are still in.Counter: Sakurai stated they were having difficulty getting the Ice Climbers to work for the 3ds. What I would speculate as to what happened is that they tried to get them to work deep into development, but realized that it would take too long to get it right. They are more demanding on the 3ds than Rosalina and Luma since Luma never needs to act without an input command from the controller. Luma comes and goes on command, attacks on command. Nana, on the other hand, would attack, move, chase you, and act independently when separated.THE FOLLOWING IS MY SPECULATION: Why could they just change the Ice Climbers, so they acted like one, rather than remove them? Well then they would need to be totally reworked. Since part of the gimmick was that they got weaker after Nana died, damage would need to be nerfed, moves altered, etc. They would need to rethink the moves. This means they are practically back to the drawing board. The development time would take roughly the same as a newcomer and hence they had to choose between Ice Climbers and a newcomer, they chose not to cut a newcomer.The reason the Polar Bears are still there is a remnant of the fact they planned on having the Ice Climbers. It just didn't work out.Mewtwo appears on the roster checklist with a "?" over him. What's up with that?Counter: My understanding of this is that, while the other characters were typically part of the starting roster, the leaker assumed they were cut if they were not in the game, especially that late when most characters were unlocked. However Mewtwo, having been one of the last characters to unlock in Melee, would still be unknown.OR he was just trying to screw with us all.The smash reddit twitter account mentioned this leak and was soon after suspended. This makes it sound like Nintendo taking action on this account, which lends some credibility to the leak.Counter: Other leaks on the twitter account have been quickly removed, this was typically done to make the leak "appear" real. Further, other twitter accounts have also shown the pictures and have yet to be suspended. It is possible Smash Reddit Twitter was suspended for another reason.However, a twitter account cannot suspend itself, so the first point is moot. SmashReddit is also a more popular twitter account, so that's why it might have been targeted. Once again, like most points, we end without conclusion.Nearly every returning stage from Melee or Brawl presented in the stage select screen uses the same images from Melee and Brawl, except two: Mushroom Kingdom and Distant WorldThis seems like an odd thing for a leaker to do, but the Smash Design team might have thought those were the only two that needed improvement.Counter: Perhaps the leaker was just lazy, and didn't bother to change the rest. However, come on, is this leaker REALLY lazy?Further, the Pictochat image shows a sketch that was not in Brawl.Even further, the gameboy stage contains images never shown in a POTD, though clearly based on Kirby's Dreamland. The POTD did feature Kirby and King Dedede, the leaker would have had to take that as a hint that it would be a kirby game featured in the level.The select hand has been changed from E3I don't know if this is a point either for or against, but it's a change.Counter: So apparently the hand ISN'T different. Just like random glitches showing up due to these being photos of a screen, you can get the images looking the same by playing with contrast and sizing, and nothing else:: In the E3 demo, Fox's background was greenBut in the current leak, it's blue. Mistake?Counter: Actually, it appears after E3 the colour WAS changed to blue, as can be seen here:Since the leaker did his homework, the cropping on all the characters are correct. Except for characters he had not seen before, then he could only guess. Well, there were a bunch of characters shown that he probably missed:The cropping on the images of characters in this video are wrong when they weren't shown in the E3 demo.Counter: Actually, a BUNCH of the characters are "wrong", even if they were in the E3 demo. For example, Toon Link, Megaman and Samus.A new leak has appeared, this time a video, showing Metal Sonic as an alternate costume for sonic. It displays the same CSS lower screen as the original leak. It seems pretty hard to fake.: In the CSS screen, the black border around Pikachu is larger than any other character, and cuts in slightly into Marth, Palutena and Ike's boxesCounter: I don't see it, personally. But for those who do, it could just be attributed to pixel bleeding, as many other things are.It's odd that the bottom row of the stage select isn't centered (there's a gap on the far right) when the character selection bottom is centered.Counter: Perhaps there's another stage, or perhaps that is the "random" spot. Hard to say, but it is odd.: The duck in the Duck Hunt profile has a head that appears a bit far from the neck. In order to turn it's head so far, it must have a very long neckCounter: I think it's just a design choice, personally. Doesn't seem like much of a problem. to me.: Crosses over onto the bottom screen.Counter: This is because it is a video being played off a moniter. The top and bottom screens are touching in the video, and after taking a picture there is pixel bleeding.In an odd find, it ends up that many of the leaked images lack the "gray bar" that appears in nearly every POTD that shows the bottom screenCounter: It is possible that this is an optional feature, as while it is important information for your 3DS, it is not so important for gameplay. It is also missing from this picture of the day:However, it seems as though Sakurai simply cut it out for picture purposes. This could mean that Nintendo also cut it out of the video for the ESRB, though I don't find that explanation likely as it would seem like a lot of work for no real reason.