Kansas’s Frank Mason III won college basketball’s player of the year honors last year. Josh Hart was a finalist, a season after leading Villanova to a national championship. For their comprehensive accomplishments and years of stellar performance, their reward during Thursday’s NBA Draft will likely be hearing their names called...in the second round.

There isn’t much missing from this year’s draft. In the days leading up, the Celtics traded the No. 1 pick to the 76ers. More shuffling could ensue with a bevy of stars potentially on the move in exchange for one or more of the top selections.

But don’t expect Mason and Hart to be a big part of the draft-night conversation. They are afflicted with professional basketball’s equivalent of a scarlet letter: They’re both entering the draft after their senior years in college. And they’re part of a class that may get completely ignored during the entire first round.

Even in the “one-and-done” era when freshmen have routinely dominated the top picks, this year’s forecast is unprecedented. In each of the prior 11 drafts, since high-school players were excluded from making the immediate leap to the NBA, at least three seniors have gone in the first round every year. The average is more than five.

This year, just one, Colorado guard Derrick White projects to land in the first round, according to DraftExpress.com. And that’s not even a sure thing—that mock draft has him barely making it in at pick No. 26.