So, we set up the proportion :

.19 * .52 = .81 * x

x = 12 %.

So, Willard must win the remaining votes by 12 %.

Not. going. to. happen.

And Willard has no credible, realistic path to 270 Electoral College votes without Ohio.

So, let's donate, call, and get our voters to the polls.

Gravis hoodwinked Nate. But the reality is that we are ahead in pretty much every swing state.

He will catch up to reality. by November 7.

McLaughlin (polling for George Allen in Virginia) has Willard up 7. Nobody else has anything close to that number. And now Nate has Virginia as light pink and favors Willard to win it. No wonder Nate is confused. And his model is confused.

Laughable mistake by Nate.