Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey: Pres. Duterte's Net Satisfaction Rating falls to "Good" +45

by Social Weather Stations | Jul 10, 2018 03:53:08 PM

Net satisfaction rating down in all areas

SWS Report (printer-friendly version here).Â

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The Second Quarter 2018 Social Weather Survey, conducted from June 27-30, 2018, found 65% of adult Filipinos satisfied, 15% undecided, and 20% dissatisfied with the performance of Rodrigo R. Duterte as President.

Compared to March 2018, gross satisfaction with Pres. Duterte fell by 5 points from 70%, gross undecided fell by 2 points from 17%, and gross dissatisfaction rose by 6 points from 14% [Chart 1, Tables 1 and 2].

This brings the Presidentâ€™s net satisfaction rating to a new personal low of +45 (% satisfied minus % dissatisfied), classified by SWS as good.

This 11-point decline is down by one grade from the very good +56 (70% satisfied, 14% dissatisfied) in March 2018. It surpassed the previous personal low of good +48 in September 2017.

The SWS terminology for Net Satisfaction Ratings: +70 and above, "excellent"; +50 to +69, "very good"; +30 to +49, "good"; +10 to +29, "moderate", +9 to -9, "neutral"; -10 to -29, "poor"; -30 to -49, "bad"; -50 to -69, "very bad"; -70 and below, "execrable".

Net satisfaction rating down in all areas

The 11-point decline in President Duterte's net satisfaction rating from March 2018 to June 2018 was due to declines of 20 points in Metro Manila, 18 points in the Visayas, 6 points in Balance Luzon, and 6 points in Mindanao.

Pres. Duterteâ€™s net satisfaction rating fell by one grade from very good to good in Metro Manila, at +34 (59% satisfied, 25% dissatisfied) in June 2018, down by 20 points from +54 (72% satisfied, 18% dissatisfied) in March 2018 [Chart 2].

It also fell from very good to good in the Visayas, at +47 (67% satisfied, 20% dissatisfied) in June 2018, down by 18 points from +65 (75% satisfied, 9% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in March 2018.

It stayed good in Balance Luzon, at +33 (57% satisfied, 24% dissatisfied) in June 2018, although down by 6 points from +39 (58% satisfied, 19% dissatisfied) in March 2018.

It stayed excellent in Mindanao, at +76 (84% satisfied, 8% dissatisfied) in June 2018, although down by 6 points from +82 (87% satisfied, 5% dissatisfied) in March 2018.

Down more in urban than in rural areas

Urban net satisfaction with the President fell by one grade from very good to good, at +38 (61% satisfied, 23% dissatisfied) in June 2018, down by 18 points from +56 (70% satisfied, 14% dissatisfied) in March 2018 [Chart 3].

However, rural net satisfaction stayed very good, at +52 (69% satisfied, 17% dissatisfied) in June 2018, although down by 4 points from +56 (69% satisfied, 13% dissatisfied) in March 2018.

Down in class D but up in classes ABC and E

The President's net satisfaction rating fell by one grade from very good to good in class D or the masa, at +43 (63% satisfied, 21% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in June 2018, down by 14 points from +57 (70% satisfied, 13% dissatisfied) in March 2018 [Chart 4].

However, it rose by one grade from good to very good in class E, at +52 (69% satisfied, 17% dissatisfied) in June 2018, up by 4 points from +48 (65% satisfied, 17% dissatisfied) in March 2018.

It stayed very good in class ABC, at +66 (79% satisfied, 13% dissatisfied) in June 2018, up by 3 points from +63 (72% satisfied, 9% dissatisfied) in March 2018.

Down among both men and women

Pres. Duterte's latest net satisfaction rating fell from very good to good among men, at +46 (66% satisfied, 19% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in June 2018, down by 12 points from +58 (70% satisfied, 13% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in March 2018 [Chart 5].

It also fell from very good to good among women, at +45 (65% satisfied, 20% dissatisfied) in June 2018, down by 9 points from +54 (69% satisfied, 15% dissatisfied) in March 2018.

Down in all age groups except 18-24

The President's net satisfaction rating fell from very good to good among 25-34 year olds, at +43 (65% satisfied, 22% dissatisfied) in June 2018, down by 26 points from +69 (80% satisfied, 11% dissatisfied) in March 2018 [Chart 6].

It fell from very good to good among those 55 years old and older, at +44 (65% satisfied, 22% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in June 2018, down by 10 points from +54 (67% satisfied, 13% dissatisfied) in March 2018.

It fell from very good to good among 45-54 year olds, at +47 (64% satisfied, 17% dissatisfied) in June 2018, down by 9 points from +56 (67% satisfied, 12% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in March 2018.

It also fell from very good to good among 35-44 year olds, at +46 (65% satisfied, 19% dissatisfied) in June 2018, down by 6 points from +52 (67% satisfied, 15% dissatisfied) in March 2018.

However, it rose from good to very good among 18-24 year olds, at +50 (68% satisfied, 18% dissatisfied) in June 2018, up by 2 points from +48 (68% satisfied, 20% dissatisfied) in March 2018.

Down especially among elementary and high school graduates

Pres. Duterte's net satisfaction rating fell from very good to good among elementary school graduates, at +40 (60% satisfied, 21% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in June 2018, down by 13 points from +53 (69% satisfied, 15% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in March 2018 [Chart 7].

It also fell from very good to good among high school graduates, at +46 (67% satisfied, 20% dissatisfied, correctly rounded) in June 2018, down by 8 points from +54 (68% satisfied, 14% dissatisfied) in March 2018.

However, it stayed very good among college graduates, at +52 (71% satisfied, 19% dissatisfied) in June 2018, although down by 17 points from +69 (80% satisfied, 11% dissatisfied) in March 2018.

It also stayed very good among non-elementary school graduates, at +50 (67% satisfied, 17% dissatisfied) in June 2018, although down by 8 points from +58 (70% satisfied, 12% dissatisfied) in March 2018.

Survey background

The June 2018 Social Weather Survey was conducted from June 27-30, 2018 using face-to-face interviews of 1,200 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 300 each in Metro Manila, Balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao (sampling error margins of Â±3% for national percentages, and Â±6% each for Metro Manila, Balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao).

The area estimates were weighted by Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population projections for 2018 to obtain the national estimates.

The quarterly Social Weather Survey item on public satisfaction with the President is non-commissioned. It is included on SWS's own initiative and released as a public service.

The survey question on public satisfaction with the President is as follows: â€œMaaari po bang pakisabi ninyo kung gaano kayo nasisiyahan o hindi nasisiyahan sa pagganap ng tungkulin ni RODRIGO DUTERTE bilang Presidente ng Pilipinas. Kayo ba ay lubos na nasisiyahan, medyo nasisiyahan, hindi tiyak kung nasisiyahan o hindi, medyo hindi nasisiyahan, lubos na hindi nasisiyahan, o wala pa kayong narinig o nabasa kahit na kailan tungkol kay RODRIGO DUTERTE?â€ [â€œPlease tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are with the performance of RODRIGO DUTERTE as President of the Philippines. Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, undecided if satisfied or dissatisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, very dissatisfied, or you have not ever heard or read anything about RODRIGO DUTERTE?â€].

SWS terminology for Net Satisfaction Ratings: +70 and above, â€œexcellentâ€; +50 to +69, â€œvery goodâ€; +30 to +49, â€œgoodâ€; +10 to +29, â€œmoderateâ€, +9 to â€“9, â€œneutralâ€; â€“10 to â€“29, â€œpoorâ€; â€“30 to â€“49, â€œbadâ€; â€“50 to â€“69, â€œvery badâ€; â€“70 and below, â€œexecrable.â€ SWS considers the movement from one classification to another as either an â€œupgradeâ€ or â€œdowngrade.â€

SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-processing, and analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations. This report was prepared by Leo S. Laroza.Â

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