I love getting toward the end of the season because we have so much more data to make better conclusions from. We’ve talked a lot about how players score more points at home than they do away – about 25% more. Naturally, there’s variation in the split for individual players. Here’s a table that shows the difference between home and away points per game for games where they played more than 45 minutes.

web_name team_short PPG home PPG away Home boost Alberg PHI 7.6 1.5 6.1 Boden ORL 6.6 2.1 4.5 Grella NY 6.9 2.5 4.4 Birnbaum DC 6.6 2.5 4.1 Horst HOU 6.2 2.2 4 Morales RSL 7.9 3.9 4 Ivanschitz SEA 7 3.1 3.9 Jones COL 7.2 3.3 3.9 Valeri POR 9.5 5.7 3.8 Jones SEA 5.7 2 3.7 Lade NY 6.4 2.8 3.7 Díaz DAL 9.2 5.6 3.6 Vincent CHI 5.7 2.1 3.6 Drogba MTL 8.7 5.2 3.5 Techera VAN 5.2 1.8 3.5 Maidana HOU 6.3 2.8 3.5 Aird VAN 4.9 1.5 3.4 Barnes VAN 6 2.7 3.3 Wenger HOU 5.9 2.6 3.2 Meira CHI 5.8 2.6 3.2 Harris DAL 6.7 3.5 3.2 Accam CHI 7.3 4.3 3 Nguyen NE 7.1 4.2 2.9 Duvall NY 5.5 2.6 2.9 Oyongo MTL 5.7 2.9 2.8 Francis SJ 4.6 1.8 2.8 Hines ORL 5.7 3 2.7 Kudo VAN 4.7 2 2.7 Camara MTL 5.9 3.2 2.6 Ciman MTL 6.3 3.7 2.6 Robles NY 6.1 3.5 2.5 Campbell CHI 6 3.5 2.5 Davis SKC 4.7 2.2 2.5 Harvey VAN 5 2.6 2.4 Opara SKC 6.1 3.7 2.4 Maund RSL 4.9 2.5 2.4 Finlay CLB 6.3 3.9 2.4 Molino ORL 8.3 5.9 2.4 Meram CLB 6.5 4.1 2.3 Abdul-Salaam SKC 5.3 3 2.3 Felipe NY 6.6 4.3 2.3 Waston VAN 5.3 3 2.3 Godoy SJ 6.3 4 2.3 Moor TOR 6.7 4.4 2.3 Adi POR 5.8 3.5 2.3 Bernardez SJ 5.8 3.5 2.3 Zimmerman DAL 6.5 4.2 2.3 Zizzo NY 4.9 2.6 2.3 Giovinco TOR 10.6 8.5 2.2 Mezquida VAN 5.4 3.2 2.2 Peterson SKC 4.7 2.5 2.2 Zavaleta TOR 6.2 4 2.2 Phillips RSL 6.3 4.1 2.1 Bolaños VAN 6.4 4.3 2.1 Alex HOU 5.7 3.6 2.1 Collin NY 5.4 3.3 2.1 Villa NYC 8 6 2 Kljestan NY 8.6 6.6 2 Gilberto CHI 4 2 2 Nogueira PHI 6 4 2 Alashe SJ 4.6 2.6 2 Woodberry NE 5.2 3.2 1.9 Sam DC 5.8 3.9 1.9 Urruti DAL 6.3 4.4 1.9 Glad RSL 5.3 3.4 1.9 Yaro PHI 5.6 3.8 1.9 Bono TOR 5.5 3.7 1.8 Miller COL 4.8 3 1.8 Burch COL 5.5 3.7 1.8 Neagle DC 6.2 4.4 1.8 Igboananike DC 4.9 3.1 1.8 Steres LA 5.8 4 1.8 Willis HOU 5.8 4 1.8 Cole LA 4.5 2.8 1.8 Rosenberry PHI 4.6 2.8 1.8 Wright-Phillips NY 6.8 5.1 1.7 Jewsbury POR 4.4 2.7 1.7 Johnson CHI 5.3 3.6 1.7 K. Kamara NE 5.5 3.8 1.7 Bingham SJ 5.7 4 1.7 Gerrard LA 8.1 6.4 1.7 Mears SEA 4.7 3 1.7 Espinoza SKC 5.2 3.5 1.7 Kemp DC 5.6 3.9 1.7 Tierney NE 5.2 3.6 1.7 Watson NE 5 3.3 1.7 Medranda SKC 5.8 4.1 1.7 Magee LA 5.4 3.8 1.7 Melano POR 4.7 3.1 1.6 Beasley HOU 6 4.4 1.6 Ridgewell POR 4.6 3 1.6 Rodriguez HOU 4.8 3.2 1.6 Evans SEA 5.3 3.8 1.6 Higuaín CLB 6.6 5 1.6 Beltran RSL 3.9 2.3 1.6 Quintero SJ 5.6 4 1.6 Wynne SJ 4.9 3.4 1.5 Wahl CLB 4 2.5 1.5 Dawkins SJ 5.6 4.1 1.5 Sapong PHI 5.7 4.2 1.5 Marshall SEA 5.4 3.9 1.5 Feilhaber SKC 7.1 5.6 1.5 Cabrera MTL 5.4 4 1.4 Figueroa DAL 4.8 3.3 1.4 Morrow TOR 6.1 4.8 1.4 Movsisyan RSL 5.6 4.2 1.3 Endoh TOR 4.3 3 1.3 Harrington CHI 3.7 2.3 1.3 Franklin DC 4.9 3.6 1.3 Goncalves NE 3.9 2.6 1.3 Cocis CHI 6 4.8 1.3 Espindola VAN 5 3.8 1.3 Hallisey SKC 3.8 2.6 1.2 Roldan SEA 4.8 3.6 1.2 Marquez PHI 4.6 3.4 1.2 Burling COL 6 4.8 1.2 Besler SKC 5.2 4 1.2 Parker VAN 3.8 2.7 1.2 Alston ORL 2.5 1.3 1.2 Lawrence NY 3.5 2.3 1.2 Castillo DAL 5.9 4.8 1.1 Hollingshead DAL 5.3 4.1 1.1 Le Toux COL 5.3 4.2 1.1 Tribbett PHI 4.8 3.7 1.1 Sarvas DC 5.5 4.4 1.1 Wondolowski SJ 6 4.9 1.1 Gruezo DAL 4.1 3 1.1 Francis CLB 4.2 3.1 1.1 Rivero VAN 3.4 2.3 1.1 Keane LA 5.9 4.8 1.1 Zusi SKC 5.3 4.2 1.1 Rimando RSL 4.9 3.9 1 Ousted VAN 4.9 3.9 1 Sjoberg COL 6.1 5.1 1 Carrasco ORL 4.1 3.2 1 Martinez RSL 5.3 4.3 0.9 Cronin COL 4.8 3.8 0.9 Valentin POR 4.3 3.3 0.9 Kappelhof CHI 4.2 3.3 0.9 Nagbe POR 6 5.1 0.9 Alvarez CHI 4.9 4 0.9 Shipp MTL 4.1 3.3 0.9 Hedges DAL 5.7 4.9 0.8 Mustivar SKC 4.7 3.8 0.8 Acosta DAL 5.2 4.4 0.8 Fabinho PHI 4.7 3.9 0.8 Anibaba HOU 4.6 3.8 0.8 Farrell NE 4.3 3.5 0.8 Larin ORL 6.8 6 0.8 Larentowicz LA 5.2 4.4 0.8 Irwin TOR 5.6 4.8 0.8 Mateos ORL 3.4 2.7 0.8 Barrios DAL 5.1 4.3 0.8 Koffie NE 4.6 3.9 0.7 Solignac CHI 4.6 3.8 0.7 Caldwell NE 3.6 2.9 0.7 Wingert RSL 2.5 1.8 0.7 Dwyer SKC 5.6 4.9 0.7 Powers COL 5 4.3 0.7 Beitashour TOR 5.1 4.4 0.7 Piatti MTL 8.4 7.7 0.7 Frei SEA 4.8 4.2 0.6 Afful CLB 5.2 4.6 0.6 Boswell DC 4.7 4.1 0.6 Perez Garcia ORL 4.2 3.6 0.6 Nocerino ORL 2.4 1.8 0.6 Lampson CHI 5.6 5 0.6 Pirlo NYC 5.6 5 0.6 Osorio TOR 4.8 4.3 0.6 Allen NYC 6 5.4 0.6 Morris SEA 5.1 4.5 0.5 Shea ORL 2.9 2.4 0.5 Trapp CLB 4.3 3.8 0.5 Acosta DC 3.8 3.2 0.5 O. Kamara CLB 7.7 7.2 0.5 Bernier MTL 3.2 2.7 0.5 Zemanski POR 3.5 3 0.5 Williams COL 5.9 5.4 0.5 Azira COL 4.8 4.3 0.5 Clark HOU 4.2 3.8 0.5 DeLaGarza LA 4.2 3.8 0.5 DeLeon DC 3.5 3 0.5 Rowe LA 5.8 5.3 0.5 Pontius PHI 6 5.6 0.4 Kaká ORL 8.8 8.3 0.4 Zardes LA 5.9 5.5 0.4 Iraola NYC 4.5 4.1 0.4 MacMath COL 5.5 5.1 0.4 Parkhurst CLB 3.9 3.6 0.3 Zubar NY 4.7 4.4 0.3 Valdez SEA 2.8 2.5 0.3 Saied CLB 3.9 3.6 0.3 Winter ORL 4.3 4 0.3 Chara POR 4.1 3.8 0.3 Bunbury NE 3.6 3.3 0.3 Delgado TOR 4.1 3.9 0.3 Laba VAN 4.2 3.9 0.3 Polster CHI 4.8 4.5 0.3 McCarty NY 5.5 5.2 0.2 Carroll PHI 3.5 3.3 0.2 Smith VAN 3.2 3 0.2 Bush MTL 4.2 4 0.2 Seitz DAL 5.1 5 0.1 Hamid DC 5.6 5.6 0 Bruin HOU 3.9 3.9 0 Warner HOU 3.4 3.4 0 Hernandez NYC 3.5 3.6 -0.1 Garcia HOU 5 5.1 -0.1 Clark CLB 4.3 4.4 -0.2 Ilsinho PHI 4 4.2 -0.2 Rolfe DC 2.8 3 -0.2 Loyd DAL 4 4.2 -0.2 Bradley TOR 5.8 6 -0.2 Ulloa DAL 3 3.2 -0.2 Powell POR 3.6 3.9 -0.2 Lletget LA 4.3 4.5 -0.3 Worra DC 4.7 5 -0.3 Amarikwa SJ 3.7 4 -0.3 Shuttleworth NE 4 4.3 -0.3 Alexander HOU 3.7 4 -0.3 Agudelo NE 3.7 4 -0.3 Rowe NE 4.5 4.8 -0.4 Bendik ORL 3.6 4 -0.4 Alonso SEA 6.2 6.6 -0.4 Gleeson POR 4.4 4.9 -0.4 Brillant NYC 4.3 4.8 -0.5 Jacobson VAN 3.5 4 -0.5 Higuita ORL 3.5 4 -0.5 Husidic LA 4.2 4.7 -0.5 J Taylor POR 3.7 4.2 -0.5 Olum SKC 3.9 4.4 -0.5 Ashe CLB 3.4 4 -0.6 Tchani CLB 4.7 5.3 -0.6 Blake PHI 4.3 4.9 -0.6 Saunders NYC 4.1 4.8 -0.7 Diskerud NYC 3.8 4.5 -0.7 Barnetta PHI 4.7 5.4 -0.7 Morales VAN 6.1 6.9 -0.8 Van Damme LA 4.1 4.9 -0.8 Kovar SEA 2.6 3.4 -0.8 Chapman TOR 3.7 4.5 -0.8 de Jong LA 3.6 4.4 -0.9 Nyarko DC 5.4 6.3 -0.9 K Doyle COL 3.6 4.4 -0.9 Borchers POR 3.5 4.4 -0.9 Plata RSL 5.8 6.7 -0.9 Ceren SJ 3.3 4.4 -1 Ramos CHI 4.6 5.7 -1 Melia SKC 3.8 4.8 -1.1 McNamara NYC 4.6 5.7 -1.1 Lefevre MTL 3.4 4.5 -1.1 Bravo NYC 2.8 4 -1.2 Rogers LA 3.8 5 -1.2 Matarrita NYC 4.9 6.1 -1.3 Beckerman RSL 3.3 4.6 -1.3 Dempsey SEA 4.3 5.6 -1.3 Redding ORL 2.3 3.6 -1.3 Fagundez NE 3.1 4.4 -1.3 Stephens CHI 3.8 5.5 -1.7 Mulholland RSL 3.6 5.4 -1.8 Oduro MTL 3.3 5.3 -2 dos Santos LA 5.2 7.6 -2.4 Coelho SKC 4 6.5 -2.5 Shelton NYC 3.4 6.3 -2.9 Gashi COL 4.2 7.6 -3.4 Hamilton TOR 2.7 7 -4.3

I’ll just point out a couple players that caught my eye with an interesting H/A split and let you guys sort through the numbers yourselves:

Horst and Maidana – Houston look better than they did for most of the season. As we approach the end of the season, they present a great opportunity to try to make up ground starting in week 30. Boden – Want to bet against Giovinco without actually dropping him? Boden is your man in week 25 and has two upcoming DGW in 28 and 31. Jorales – Plenty of people will grab him for round 28. Don’t let his overall PPG turn you away from him as he’ll have 3 weeks of home games. Drogba and Montreal defenders – two home games now and two DGW coming up… Montreal as a team are way better at home than they are away. I might even take a hit this week to bring in Drogba and ditch Keane. Finlay and Meram – Columbus play through the three massive bye weeks and have a bunch of favorable home games against bad away defenses between now and 31. Joevin Jones – Seattle are a new team offensively which allows them to better define their roles defensively. The defense looks better than it did and Jones is the best point of entry. Gashi – I’m kicking myself for giving up on him too early after the unlimited transfer week. He’s continued to be great and he’s the 5th best player in the game when away from home. Blake – Plays through the next two bye weeks and is the hands-on favorite to replace Rowe in most of our line-ups. Accam – Has a string of home games… against good defenses. If you’re looking for a high-risk, high-reward play, Accam deserves a look. Diaz and Valeri – These guys are studs at home and just above average away. Neither have great schedules going forward and might not see the light of day in my squad.

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