

We’re deep enough into the season to where the results of the first couple weeks are getting close to any relevancy in helping us pick any players in a hot run of form. The following table shows us player form from week 5 onward.

web_name team_short position_short sum(minutes) sum(total_points) PP90 Giovinco TOR FWD 718 79 9.90 Drogba MTL FWD 470 49 9.38 dos Santos LA FWD 601 59 8.84 Nguyen NE MID 678 66 8.76 Saborio DC FWD 432 40 8.33 Kljestan NY MID 725 65 8.07 Williams TOR DEF 212 19 8.07 Gerrard LA MID 373 33 7.96 Espindola DC FWD 228 20 7.89 Manneh VAN FWD 507 44 7.81 Acosta DC FWD 358 31 7.79 Muyl NY MID 197 17 7.77 Ontivero MTL MID 188 16 7.66 Agudelo NE FWD 329 28 7.66 Baptista ORL MID 200 17 7.65 Sam NY MID 566 48 7.63 Villa NYC FWD 737 62 7.57 Keane LA FWD 239 20 7.53 Adi POR FWD 587 49 7.51 Morales VAN MID 411 34 7.45 Díaz DAL MID 353 29 7.39 Boateng LA FWD 280 23 7.39 Quintero SJ MID 550 45 7.36 Valeri POR MID 713 58 7.32 Perez VAN FWD 274 22 7.23 Meram CLB MID 573 46 7.23 Nagbe POR MID 615 49 7.17 Gashi COL FWD 600 47 7.05 Scott SEA DEF 180 14 7.00 Bolaños VAN MID 555 43 6.97 Felipe NY MID 700 54 6.94 Nyarko DC MID 528 40 6.82 Larin ORL FWD 460 34 6.65 Wright-Phillips NY FWD 718 53 6.64 Neagle DC MID 585 43 6.62 Akindele DAL FWD 574 42 6.59 Barnetta PHI MID 465 34 6.58 Rivas ORL MID 193 14 6.53 Piatti MTL MID 720 52 6.50 Morales RSL MID 432 31 6.46 Le Toux PHI MID 559 40 6.44 Zardes LA FWD 630 45 6.43 Molino ORL MID 449 32 6.41 Kaká ORL MID 450 32 6.40 Plata RSL FWD 380 27 6.39 Sarvas DC MID 540 38 6.33 Marshall SEA DEF 540 38 6.33 Sjoberg COL DEF 630 44 6.29 Serna COL MID 201 14 6.27 Grella NY MID 695 48 6.22 Higuaín CLB MID 623 43 6.21 Allen NYC DEF 392 27 6.20 Jones COL MID 610 42 6.20 Glad RSL DEF 540 37 6.17 Rimando RSL GKP 540 37 6.17 Pontius PHI MID 511 35 6.16 Bradley TOR MID 720 49 6.13 Ivanschitz SEA MID 338 23 6.12 Camara MTL DEF 265 18 6.11 Mendoza NYC FWD 444 30 6.08 Maidana HOU MID 415 28 6.07 Martinez RSL FWD 550 37 6.05 Johnson CHI GKP 180 12 6.00 Perez Garcia SJ MID 240 16 6.00 Wondolowski SJ FWD 720 48 6.00 Moor TOR DEF 720 48 6.00 Magee LA FWD 483 32 5.96 K. Kamara NE FWD 609 40 5.91 Creavalle PHI MID 366 24 5.90 Dawkins SJ MID 630 41 5.86 Frei SEA GKP 630 41 5.86 Kudo VAN FWD 262 17 5.84 Williams COL DEF 652 42 5.80 McInerney POR FWD 342 22 5.79 McCarty NY MID 703 45 5.76 Imperiale SJ DEF 360 23 5.75 Johnson TOR MID 720 46 5.75 Campbell CHI DEF 630 40 5.71 Alonso SEA MID 630 40 5.71 Mulholland RSL MID 284 18 5.70 McNamara NYC MID 553 35 5.70 Alvarez CHI MID 443 28 5.69 K Doyle COL FWD 463 29 5.64 Allen RSL MID 256 16 5.63 Koffie NE MID 609 38 5.62 Morris SEA FWD 609 38 5.62 Salinas SJ MID 323 20 5.57 Afful CLB DEF 614 38 5.57 Mattocks POR FWD 291 18 5.57 Barrios DAL MID 635 39 5.53 Toia MTL DEF 180 11 5.50 Dwyer SKC FWD 788 48 5.48 Phillips RSL DEF 379 23 5.46 Davis NY MID 198 12 5.45 Miranda HOU MID 248 15 5.44 Willis HOU GKP 431 26 5.43 Feilhaber SKC MID 746 45 5.43 Rosenberry PHI DEF 630 38 5.43 Collin NY DEF 450 27 5.40 Shelton NYC FWD 484 29 5.39 Yaro PHI DEF 540 32 5.33 Rivero VAN FWD 255 15 5.29 Sapong PHI FWD 630 37 5.29 Perquis TOR DEF 460 27 5.28 Zusi SKC MID 632 37 5.27 Barnes HOU FWD 719 42 5.26 Mustivar SKC MID 360 21 5.25 Rowe NE MID 720 42 5.25 Irwin TOR GKP 720 42 5.25 Amarikwa SJ FWD 311 18 5.21 Oduro MTL FWD 658 38 5.20 Ramos CHI DEF 540 31 5.17 Nogueira PHI MID 523 30 5.16 Iraola NYC DEF 314 18 5.16 Kemp DC DEF 630 36 5.14 Worra DC GKP 630 36 5.14 Burling COL DEF 720 41 5.13 MacMath COL GKP 810 46 5.11 Jones SEA DEF 529 30 5.10 Friberg SEA MID 318 18 5.09 Ashe CLB DEF 248 14 5.08 Hallisey SKC MID 266 15 5.08 Burch COL DEF 626 35 5.03 Maund RSL DEF 395 22 5.01 Lampson CHI GKP 450 25 5.00 Agus HOU DEF 540 30 5.00 Husidic LA MID 436 24 4.95 Badji COL FWD 309 17 4.95 Hollingshead DAL MID 660 36 4.91 Lletget LA MID 349 19 4.90 Matarrita NYC DEF 699 38 4.89 Cabrera MTL DEF 405 22 4.89 Bernardez SJ DEF 720 39 4.88 Boswell DC DEF 630 34 4.86 Alex HOU MID 630 34 4.86 Marquez PHI DEF 630 34 4.86 Duvall NY DEF 559 30 4.83 Calistri CHI FWD 261 14 4.83 Olum SKC MID 505 27 4.81 Solignac COL FWD 767 41 4.81 Coelho SKC DEF 900 48 4.80 Castillo DAL MID 694 37 4.80 Polster CHI MID 339 18 4.78 Ousted VAN GKP 810 43 4.78 Bingham SJ GKP 720 38 4.75 Clark CLB GKP 630 33 4.71 Birnbaum DC DEF 630 33 4.71 Blake PHI GKP 630 33 4.71 Zizzo NY DEF 631 33 4.71 Bekker MTL MID 459 24 4.71 Pappa COL MID 230 12 4.70 Horst HOU DEF 556 29 4.69 Robles NY GKP 810 42 4.67 Saied CLB MID 523 27 4.65 Ceren ORL MID 525 27 4.63 Tissot MTL MID 428 22 4.63 Zimmerman DAL DEF 720 37 4.63 Abdul-Salaam SKC DEF 683 35 4.61 Parkhurst CLB DEF 625 32 4.61 Kobayashi NE MID 196 10 4.59 Zubar NY DEF 353 18 4.59 Azira COL MID 810 41 4.56 Evans SEA DEF 535 27 4.54 Godoy SJ MID 418 21 4.52 Beitashour TOR DEF 718 36 4.51 Roldan SEA MID 439 22 4.51 Bunbury NE MID 302 15 4.47 Carrasco ORL MID 302 15 4.47 Acosta DAL MID 506 25 4.45 Stephens CHI MID 365 18 4.44 Hurtado VAN MID 203 10 4.43 Franklin DC DEF 630 31 4.43 Seitz DAL GKP 630 31 4.43 Rogers LA DEF 306 15 4.41 Medranda SKC MID 510 25 4.41 Alashe SJ MID 615 30 4.39 Pirlo NYC MID 575 28 4.38 Torres HOU FWD 206 10 4.37 Techera VAN MID 600 29 4.35 Finlay CLB MID 477 23 4.34 Saunders NYC GKP 810 39 4.33 Beasley HOU DEF 520 25 4.33 Gilberto CHI FWD 417 20 4.32 Anderson SEA FWD 188 9 4.31 Fabinho PHI DEF 377 18 4.30 Besler SKC DEF 608 29 4.29 Morrow TOR DEF 692 33 4.29 Kappelhof CHI DEF 630 30 4.29 Tierney NE DEF 274 13 4.27 Deric HOU GKP 275 13 4.25 Clark HOU MID 720 34 4.25 Delgado TOR MID 383 18 4.23 Wahl CLB DEF 426 20 4.23 Jeffrey DC MID 192 9 4.22 Mezquida VAN MID 365 17 4.19 Wynne SJ DEF 630 29 4.14 Laba VAN MID 720 33 4.13 Anibaba HOU DEF 438 20 4.11 Teibert VAN MID 243 11 4.07 Igboananike CHI FWD 597 27 4.07 Borchers POR DEF 686 31 4.07 Oyongo MTL DEF 559 25 4.03 Babouli TOR FWD 269 12 4.01 Ciman MTL DEF 720 32 4.00 Cronin COL MID 810 36 4.00 Melia SKC GKP 810 36 4.00 Espinoza SKC MID 900 40 4.00 Caldwell NE MID 566 25 3.98 Wenger HOU MID 614 27 3.96 Kovar SEA MID 274 12 3.94 Melano POR FWD 754 33 3.94 Dempsey SEA FWD 527 23 3.93 Winter ORL MID 390 17 3.92 Lade NY DEF 414 18 3.91 Francis SJ DEF 623 27 3.90 Brillant NYC DEF 810 35 3.89 Hernandez NYC DEF 810 35 3.89 Bush MTL GKP 720 31 3.88 Movsisyan RSL FWD 628 27 3.87 Altidore TOR FWD 466 20 3.86 Trapp CLB MID 630 27 3.86 Bendik ORL GKP 630 27 3.86 Mears SEA DEF 630 27 3.86 Urruti DAL FWD 585 25 3.85 Davis SKC MID 615 26 3.80 Loyd DAL DEF 642 27 3.79 Stertzer RSL MID 215 9 3.77 Endoh TOR MID 384 16 3.75 Dia SKC DEF 456 19 3.75 Harvey VAN DEF 720 30 3.75 Beckerman RSL MID 630 26 3.71 Ulloa DAL MID 611 25 3.68 DeLeon DC MID 540 22 3.67 Rowe LA GKP 540 22 3.67 Garcia HOU MID 247 10 3.64 Chara POR MID 720 29 3.63 Vincent CHI DEF 299 12 3.61 Jacobson VAN MID 349 14 3.61 Cocis CHI MID 475 19 3.60 Harris DAL DEF 352 14 3.58 Rolfe DC MID 277 11 3.57 Beltran RSL DEF 630 25 3.57 Steres LA DEF 555 22 3.57 Woodberry NE DEF 303 12 3.56 Wingert RSL DEF 303 12 3.56 Gleeson POR GKP 581 23 3.56 Bravo NYC MID 559 22 3.54 Kwarasey POR GKP 229 9 3.54 Francis CLB DEF 382 15 3.53 Gomez SEA FWD 358 14 3.52 Hedges DAL DEF 180 7 3.50 Zemanski POR MID 206 8 3.50 Watson NE DEF 704 27 3.45 Figueroa DAL DEF 810 31 3.44 Alexander MTL MID 236 9 3.43 Gruezo DAL MID 604 23 3.43 Jewsbury POR MID 372 14 3.39 Farrell NE DEF 720 27 3.38 Osorio TOR MID 427 16 3.37 Hines ORL DEF 489 18 3.31 Lawrence NY DEF 572 21 3.30 Fagundez NE MID 632 23 3.28 Van Damme LA DEF 606 22 3.27 Donadel MTL MID 470 17 3.26 Parker VAN DEF 810 29 3.22 Venegas MTL MID 256 9 3.16 Lefevre MTL DEF 315 11 3.14 Olave RSL DEF 319 11 3.10 Carroll PHI MID 377 13 3.10 O. Kamara CLB FWD 233 8 3.09 Redding ORL DEF 321 11 3.08 Sarkodie SJ DEF 440 15 3.07 Shipp MTL MID 499 17 3.07 Higuita ORL MID 354 12 3.05 Diskerud NYC MID 386 13 3.03 Smith NE DEF 180 6 3.00 Mateos ORL DEF 360 12 3.00 Ridgewell POR DEF 450 15 3.00 Taylor POR DEF 630 21 3.00 Harrington CHI DEF 421 14 2.99 Miller COL DEF 337 11 2.94 Bernier MTL MID 342 11 2.89 S Williams HOU DEF 344 11 2.88 Sunny RSL MID 314 10 2.87 DeLaGarza LA DEF 350 11 2.83 Aird VAN DEF 607 19 2.82 Shea ORL DEF 514 16 2.80 LaBrocca CHI MID 194 6 2.78 Valentin POR DEF 630 19 2.71 Klute POR DEF 617 18 2.63 Shuttleworth NE GKP 720 21 2.63 Bruin HOU FWD 309 9 2.62 Goncalves NE DEF 450 13 2.60 Opara SKC DEF 347 10 2.59 Gaddis PHI DEF 245 7 2.57 Lopez NYC MID 527 15 2.56 Powell POR DEF 180 5 2.50 Ramos ORL DEF 483 13 2.42 Meira CHI DEF 301 8 2.39 Kah VAN DEF 307 8 2.35 Rodriguez HOU DEF 360 9 2.25 Waston VAN DEF 590 14 2.14 Sinovic SKC DEF 259 6 2.08 Cole LA DEF 519 12 2.08 Nocerino ORL MID 440 10 2.05 Ouimette NY DEF 356 8 2.02 Gonzalez DAL GKP 180 4 2.00

Giovinco still comes in first despite his double gameweek dud. Drogba and Dos Santos (GDS) come in second and third. I mentioned GDS last week as someone I thought should be in consideration, but he is vastly outperforming his expected goals numbers. Going into this weekend, he had 5 goals scored compared to expected goals of just 1.17. He’s ranked 48th in shots inside the penalty area this season with just 1.1 per game. His shot conversion rate is 35%, higher even than Pedro Morales’ penalty fueled 32% and about three times higher than the league-wide conversion rate. Basically, he’s scoring at an unsustainable rate and I’m predicting him to regress. Tack on that Zardes (confirmed) and Keane (provisional) are likely to be gone for a couple weeks with national team, he won’t have the same space to work with as he usually does.

Other players who I think are likely outperforming and I’d be hesitant to grab: Saborio, Williams, Espindola, Manneh, Acosta, Agudelo, Sam, P. Morales, Boateng, Quintero,

Giovinco and Drogba, on the other hand, are scoring much closer to their expected goals rate. Last season, Drogba became a must-own player and finished at basically the same PP90 as Giovinco. Neither have a game in week 13, but both have reasonable schedules from week 14 until our unlimited transfer window in 19.

Realistically, the next couple weeks will be dominated by navigating that week 13 mega bye week. I think David Villa is still probably the safest bet, despite the drubbing last weekend. Larin is the highest player in this list from our week 12 options with Barnetta, Le Toux, Molino, and Kaka close behind. Ilsinho is closing in on fitness so Le Toux and/or Barnetta might see the bench to start some of the upcoming games. My man, CJ Sapong, unfortunately doesn’t even make the top 100 but will remain in my team with two double game weeks and a game in 13.

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