There. My title says it. Do I really need to go on?

Regardless of whether I need to, I will.

One of the most talked about free agents on the 2015 offseason is DeAndre Jordan, the Clippers’ big man, best rim protector, and one of the aldermen of Lob City. But now his contract with Los Angeles is up, and the entire state of Texas seems to be rejoicing over the fact D.J. may don the Maverick blue and white come October.

The Mavericks have lost Tyson Chandler, essentially lost Monta Ellis, don’t have a legitimate point guard, and didn’t get anyone terribly exciting in the draft. The biggest draws to playing in Dallas are sharing a frontcourt with Dirk and playing for a team owned by Mark Cuban. (The jury is still out on whether the latter is a pro or a con.) Yet, somehow Jordan still hasn’t committed to returning to L.A. In fact, things are looking less likely than they did at the start of free agency.

Rising concern tonight in Clipperland about DeAndre Jordan bolting. They were confident until today, now feel it's "50-50" — Ramona Shelburne (@ramonashelburne) July 2, 2015

The reasons why D.J. should stay in L.A. are overnumerous, but most free agent deals boil down to two things: 1. The potential to win. 2. The money. The Clippers are far and above ahead in both of those categories.

First, the easy bit, the money. The Clippers can offer (and reportedly will) a five-year, $108-million contract. The best the Mavs can do is $80 million over four years. That $28 million and one less year of job security might make sense if he was moving from the Kings to the Spurs. Or the Nuggets to the Spurs. Or the Lakers to the Spurs. But he’s not. He’d be moving from a team that was points away from a spot in the Western Conference Finals to a team that was completely overmatched in last year’s first round playoff series.

In L.A., Jordan gets to play with the best pure point guard in the league1 and gets to share the frontcourt with a guy who, barring injury, is going to be one of the NBA’s 15 best players for the next decade.

Even if the Clippers are unable to make any more major moves this offseason, their 2015-16 rotation is going to look something like this:

Chris Paul

J.J. Redick

Lance Stephenson

Blake Griffin

DeAndre Jordan

Jamal Crawford

Paul Pierce

CJ Wilcox

It seems safe to assume that Austin Rivers returns and they do something in the way of finding an improvement for Spencer Hawes to backup Jordan down low.

Compare that with what the Mavericks will be running out next year. Granted, they likely have a lot more work to do in free agency, but for this lineup, let’s assume they sign Wesley Matthews and Jordan.

Devin Harris

Wesley Matthews

Chandler Parsons

Dirk Nowitzki

DeAndre Jordan

Ray Felton

Dwight Powell

I don’t doubt that the Mavericks will find a way to fill out the other holes in their lineup, but that doesn’t look like a playoff team in the West, especially with the improvement of the Suns and the (assumed) improved health of the Thunder.

There have also been reports that Jordan wants a bigger role in the offense. I’m not really sure what that means. He’s not going to be bringing the ball up the court for any team, and he’s certainly not going to be a guy who’s shooting outside the paint very often. He could be the pick in a pick and roll more often, but the Clippers always find a way to utilize him in that spot. Plus, playing with a guy who can be a point forward like Griffin just opens up the paint for Jordan to bully the defenders who get marked on him.

Last year Jordan led the league in both rebounds per game (15.0) and field goal percentage (71%). 91.8% of his shots came at the rim, and he shot 74% on those. Jordan is not a bad offensive player by any means. He’s a guy who does one thing very, very well. Maybe better than anyone in the league. And the Clippers have created a system for him where that’s all he has to do, leaving him the energy to have a 24.5% rebound rate. Not only that, but he’s able to gobble up offensive rebounds as well and get easy putbacks. Last season, he averaged 2.3 field goal attempts per game before the shot clock hit 22.2 That means he’s getting the ball off the rim and putting it right back in. He took zero dribbles before scoring an incredible 87.6% of the time. Now maybe he wants the opportunity to dribble more, but for a guy who doesn’t do that all that well, catching and throwing it down right away is likely a good thing.

The best way to put the fallacy of DJ having a bigger role in the Mavs offense is probably to show what Tyson Chandler did last year with the Mavs. Chandler and Jordan have a very similar offensive game (though Jordan is more skilled at it). Last year Chandler’s usage rate on the Mavericks was 12.6%. Jordan’s in L.A.? 13.5%. That’s not a drastic difference, but that’s kind of the point. If Jordan stays in Los Angeles, he knows what he’s getting, he knows he plays a valuable role in the offense and he knows they’re going to be a competitive playoff team.

If he goes to Dallas, nearly everything is a major unknown.