Apri l 2, 20 18 To: Interested Pa rtie s From: A nzalone Liszt Grov e Resea rch Re: Summ ary of Primary and Gener al Electi on Polli ng in CA -1 0

Recent polling in California’s 10

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congress ional distr ict finds that M ichael Eggman is the Democratic candidate best-positioned to defeat Congressman Jeff Denham. Not only does Eggman enter the rac e with s trong popularity, but he is the only c andidate tested who is able to defeat Denham in a head-to-head after balanced positive comm unication. Beyond this, he als o maintains his lead after balanced negatives against the candidates. The following are key findings based on polling among N=400 likely general election voters, as well as N=471 likely June primary voters. The poll was conducted March 13-15, 2018 by live interviewers in both English and Spanish, and 45% of all interviews were conducted via cell phone.

Michael Eggm an ent ers the race with solid popularity r atings

Nearly half of general election voters are familiar with Eggman, and he enters the race with strong popularity

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28% of voters are favorable t owards him / 18% are un favorable. Among likely primary voters, his popularity is even better, 36% favorable / 16% unfavorable. When filtered down to only Democratic-leaning primary voters, he has 4:1 popularity, 44% favorable / 11% unfavorable. No other p otential Democ ratic candidate has signific ant name I D at this s tage

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only 13% of general election voters are familiar with Josh Harder. Only 18% of Democratic-leaning primary vote rs can rate him.

Eggm an beg ins the ra ce aga inst Congressma n Jeff Denham w ithin the m argin of er ror

In a head-to-head against Denham, Michael Eggman b egins t he race down four p oints, 41% / 45%, with 13% of voters undecided. Denham is much better-positioned for reelection in a match-up against Harder, leaning him by 11 points, 48% / 37%.

Bala nced positiv e com m unication moves Eggma n to a lead, while Ha rder cont inues to trail Denham

A fter respo nd en ts were pro vi de d with sh ort p ositi ve bi ogr aph ical state ments from Egg man,

Harder, and Denham, Eggman’s strength as the best

-positioned Democrat to take on Denham solidifies

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he leads Denham 46% / 45% after positives, while Harder continues to trail by seven points, 42% / 49%. For the full text of the bi ographical statem ents tested, refer to Ap pendix A.

De nham ’s negativ e is m ost dam aging, while the attack on

Eggm an r aises the fewest concerns for v oters