No, seriously.

Enthusiasm for Warren is artificially amplified by a sympathetic media echo chamber– a phenomenon not unlike Huntsman ’12…

MA Senate ’12

You may recall that in 2012, Scott Brown thoroughly out-campaigned Warren– and would have won, were it not for 3 factors out of his control…

Fundraising (1) Republican groups didn’t want to waste money in MA and

(2) Tea Party activists couldn’t bring themselves to back a moderate NE GOP… Candidate Raised Spent Scott Brown $28,159,602 $35,058,354 Elizabeth Warren $42,506,349 $42,211,677

Justice Scalia An error, by most accounts– but what was he supposed to say…??

Obama-Romney The Brown campaign drowned in a general election Obama wave. Excited Democrats flocked to the polls to reelect Obama, while Brown was tied to a deeply unpopular fmr. MA gov. that signed Romneycare and exploded the debt.

Despite Obama’s landslide victory (61-38), Warren won by a narrower margin: 53-47— meaning a significant number of Obama voters abstained or defected to Brown.

That cycle, many Democrat Senate candidates– running in much less favorable territory– won by greater margins:

√ Tom Carper 66.4%

√ Sheldon Whitehouse 64.8%

√ Joe Manchin 60.6%

√ Bob Menendez 58.9%

√ Debbie Stabenow 58.8%

√ Ben Cardin 56.0%

√ Bill Nelson 55.2%

√ Claire McCaskill 54.8%

√ Chris Murphy 54.8%

√ Bob Casey, Jr. 53.7%

Pray Hillary picks Warren.