After the Royals made it to the World Series a few years back, several MLB season projection sources boldly had them finishing below .500. Naturally, they made it back to the World Series that year. Other projections are on the extreme opposite end and don’t contain a single bold take. In those models, no team will win more than 93 games, Kershaw and Trout always win their respective awards and no one is surprised whatsoever. There is a place for both of those types of projections and both can be quite useful, but there is a third type also: the realistic narrative. Think of it this way, if we simulated 1,000,000 seasons, the best MLB team WOULD finish with 92 wins on average, Trout WOULD win the AL MVP most of the time, and Clayton Kershaw WOULD win the NL Cy Young more than anyone else. With that said, we all know every season is much more unique than that. We might see a surprise Diamondbacks team win 95 games, or perhaps Sean Manaea and Jharel Cotton turn into aces overnight and the A’s end up in the heat of the playoff race. Maybe Kershaw and Rich Hill both go down with injuries and the Dodgers win 80 games or the Brewers find a way to be competitive and trade for both Jose Quintana and a revived Sonny Gray to sneak into the playoffs. All of these scenarios could happen once or maybe a few times within the 1,000,000 seasons. Today, I’m going to pluck one season from the wide range of possible outcomes and the best way to do that is to hop into the FantasyPros Time Machine and write a review of the 2017.

Major 2017 Transactions

Todd Frazier to the Red Sox

Bobby Dalbec to the White Sox

Lorenzo Cain to the Dodgers

Brock Stewart and Austin Barnes to the Royals

Jose Quintana to Pirates

Austin Meadows and Kevin Newman to the White Sox

Sonny Gray to Yankees

Albert Abreu and Dillon Tate to the A’s

Matt Kemp to Indians

Yandy Diaz and Rob Kaminsky to the Braves

Luis Robert signed by the Cardinals for 5 years, 29 million

J.B. Bukauskas selected 1st overall in MLB Draft by the Twins

Standings

American League East

The Red Sox and Yankees began the season on scorching paces, but both experienced significant injuries to their rotation. The difference ended up being that Boston had depth and the Yankees young hitters, namely Gary Sanchez and Aaron Judge, both had major struggles. Tampa Bay made a late push after being carried all season by excellent defense and pitching. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays’ staff let them down as J.A. Happ and Aaron Sanchez both took big steps backward.

AL East Record Red Sox 90-72 Rays 85-77 Yankees 82-80 Orioles 81-81 Blue Jays 78-84

American League Central

After one month of the Royals appearing to be contenders, the Indians took over and never looked back. Michael Brantley returned to health and had a strong offensive season, while Andrew Miller was used to toss 115 dominant innings out of the bullpen. Many thought the Tigers would sell after getting off to a sluggish start, but when J.D. Martinez returned, they clawed their way back into the race. Eventually, Martinez, Justin Upton and Miguel Cabrera would combine to hit 110 homers.

AL Central Record Indians 98-64 *Tigers 88-74 Royals 75-87 Twins 70-92 White Sox 67-95

American League West

In what was quickly realized to be the best division in baseball, the Rangers, Mariners and Astros were neck, neck and neck all season. At one point in July, all three were among the top four records in baseball. King Felix returned to his throne, while Seattle’s’ offense did more than their fair share. It was the Astros’ best lineup and best bullpen in baseball, however, that ended on top, even though they missed out on the Quintana sweepstakes.

AL West Record Astros 91-71 *Mariners 90-72 Rangers 86-76 Angels 75-87 A’s 73-89

National League East

For the first time, Bryce Harper, Stephen Strasburg and Anthony Rendon all maintained their health for the length of the season. So as you might expect, the Nationals finished the season without surrendering the division lead for even a single day. Much of this was thanks to several key injuries in the Mets’ pitching staff, however. While break-out fill-ins, Rafael Montero and Brandon Nimmo did their part, it wasn’t enough to get New York into the playoffs.

NL East Record Nationals 95-67 Mets 83-79 Phillies 77-85 Marlins 73-89 Braves 68-94

National League Central

Jason Heyward had the best offensive season of his career while Mike Montgomery hit the ground running in the Cubs rotation, but Hendricks, Lester, Lackey and Kyle Schwarber were all disappointments as the Cubs came crashing back down to earth. The Cardinals found enough health in their rotation to compete and the Pirates’ new-founded three-headed-monster kept them in the race, but the Cubs had just enough to pull away in September.

NL Central Record Cubs 92-70 *Cardinals 90-72 Pirates 84-78 Brewers 75-87 Reds 59-103

National League West

Despite major improvement from the Rockies and Diamondbacks, the Dodgers managed to be the best team in baseball from Opening Day until September thanks for full seasons from both Kershaw and Rich Hill. San Francisco struggled to score runs, leaving the door open for the Rockies to crash the Wild Card party. They couldn’t be slowed down on offense once David Dahl and Tom Murphy returned from injury.

NL West Record Dodgers 101-61 *Rockies 85-77 Giants 81-81 Diamondbacks 81-81 Padres 58-104

Awards

Leaders

Playoffs

Tigers/Mariners (Wild Card)

Justin Verlander vs Felix Hernandez

Most expected a pitcher’s dual, but this game saw six homers including two from Mike Zunino. As was true the entire season, the Tigers bullpen was their detriment and Seattle won 10-8.

Cardinals/Rockies (Wild Card)

Jeff Hoffman vs Michael Wacha

The Rockies didn’t have the luxury of tossing ace, Jonathan Gray, to combat the re-invented Wacha. That was the difference, as Hoffman was rocked in a 9-2 Cardinals win.

Astros/Red Sox (Divisional Series)

In a battle of the offenses, the Astros used their home-field advantage to jump out to a 2-0 series lead, then sealed the deal in Game Four as Lance McCullers shut down Boston for the second time in the series.

Indians/Mariners (Divisional Series)

Seattle’s bashers, including white-hot rookie call-up, Tyler O’Neill, were neutralized by the Indians power arms as Kluber, Salazar and Carrasco led the Indians to a quick three-game sweep.

Nationals/Cubs (Divisional Series)

Chicago carried a six-game winning streak into the playoffs and seemed to maintain the momentum when they rocked Strasburg in Washington, but the Cubs’ fatigued pitching staff melted down in the following three games.

Dodgers/Cardinals (Divisional Series)

Historically, St. Louis has had Kershaw’s number in the playoffs, but the lefty-duo had the Cardinals tied in knots, winning all three of the games they pitched in the four-game series win.

Indians/Astros (AL Championship)

The best pitching staff in baseball against the best offense. This series lasted all seven games with 6’7″ rookie, David Paulino, drawing the final start against Corey Kluber on short-rest. Cleveland jumped out to a 3-1 lead, but the Astros’ fought back and their bullpen tossed eight scoreless innings. An A.J. Reed pinch-hit two-run homer put the Astros on top in the 11th and they held on for a trip to the World Series.

Nationals/Dodgers (NL Championship)

Pitching dominated this series with Kershaw, Strasburg, Hill and Scherzer all tossing gems. Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy and Corey Seager all struggled on the offensive side. The difference in the series ended up being two kids and future stars, Cody Bellinger and Julio Urias. Bellinger swatted three homers in the series while Urias tossed a complete game shutout in Game Six to send the Dodgers onward.

Astros/Dodgers (World Series)

McCullers defeated Kershaw in a Game One duel, but the Dodgers won the next two on the backs of Hill, Urias and their electric bullpen led by Kenley Jansen and Grant Dayton. From that moment on, the Astros’ hitting carried the day with extra-base-hits galore including five doubles and two homers from playoff legend and 2017 World Series MVP, Carlos Beltran.

2018 Top 10 Prospects

#1 Eloy Jimenez (OF, CHC)

#2 Victor Robles (OF, WAS)

#3 Kevin Maitan (SS, ATL)

#4 Gleybar Torres (SS, NYY)

#5 Yadier Alvarez (SP, LAD)

#6 Cody Bellinger (1B, LAD)

#7 Jason Groome (SP, BOS)

#8 Luis Robert (OF, STL)

#9 Triston McKenzie (SP, CLE)

#10 Vlad Guerrero Jr. (3B/TOR)

Thanks for reading. Happy Opening Day!