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David Richard/Associated Press

Odds they land the top pick: 3-1

The Cleveland Browns aren't even close being competitive right now. They aren't even in competitive's galaxy. Though their three AFC North rivals haven't lit the world on fire this year, each of them has already crushed Cleveland. The Browns also lost to a bad Colts team and a worse Jets team, which makes it hard to see a win anywhere on their remaining schedule.

Rookie second-round pick DeShone Kizer performed well enough in the preseason to give Cleveland some hope at quarterback, but he's off to a uniquely terrible start. As a result, head coach Hue Jackson announced Wednesday that Kevin Hogan will start in place of him against the Houston Texans in Week 6.

The Browns have a new-look roster, so it might take some time for them to establish chemistry. Their revamped offensive line could still become an asset, and top pick Myles Garrett appears poised to make an impact on defense after he missed the first four games with a high ankle sprain. However, that might not be enough to help the Browns win more than a few games between now and the end of the year.

Who they should pick: UCLA QB Josh Rosen

If the Browns do wind up with the NFL's worst record, that likely doesn't bode well for Kizer's odds of succeeding down the road. And after punting on chances to draft Carson Wentz, Deshaun Watson and Dak Prescott, among others, they Browns can't afford to keep waiting to swing on an early first-round QB.

They know how badly they need a franchise signal-caller, Browns owner Jimmy Haslam told Peter King of The MMQB over the summer, especially if Kizer isn't panning out and they've already committed so many picks and so much money to other positions.

"There's nothing that compares to it. You need a great starting pitcher, a great closer in baseball. You need a great point guard in basketball. But there's not one position that comes anywhere close in sports, I don't think, to quarterback in football. If you ask any one of our football people, they'd all say getting the quarterback right is number one. I can tell you this: It's on the top of our list daily. Once you get that, the game's much easier."

It's impossible to know right now which quarterback will emerge as the favorite for No. 1 overall between Rosen and USC's Sam Darnold, but Rosen looks like the more polished, NFL-ready option. And since the Browns appear to be getting low on patience, that might make more sense here.