After two weeks on the road covering the conventions, the podcast crew is back in the New York studio. And with the primaries officially in our rear-view mirror, we thought this would be a good opportunity to look at how the FiveThirtyEight forecast models have moved since we launched them and answer listener questions about recent ups and downs. We also try to figure out why some of Donald Trump’s incendiary remarks tend to stick in the news cycle and others don’t. His criticisms of Khizr and Ghazala Khan, the parents of a Muslim-American soldier killed in Iraq, for example, have dominated the news since he made them.

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The FiveThirtyEight Elections podcast publishes Monday evenings, with occasional special episodes throughout the week. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on Apple Podcasts. Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.