STOCKHOLM — The numbers say Saturday’s UFC on FOX 14 main card showdown between Phil Davis and Ryan Bader could be an uneventful snoozefest.

Davis (13-2 MMA, 9-2 UFC) and Bader (18-4 MMA, 11-4 UFC) own some of some of the best defensive statistics in light heavyweight history. They are rarely hit clean and hard, which in the past has led to some underwhelming contests for both.

Will a stalemate occur when they go head-to-head at UFC on FOX 14? Nothing is guaranteed, but neither has visions of a boring affair.

“There’s going to be a watershed moment in this fight,” Davis told MMAjunkie. “I don’t know exactly what that’s going to be, I can’t script it, but something’s got to give. Something has to give.”

Davis, ranked No. 6 in the latest USA TODAY Sports/MMAjunkie light heavyweight rankings, meets No. 8 Bader at Tele2 Arena in Stockholm. The contest airs on the FOX-televised main card following prelims on FOX Sports 1 and UFC Fight Pass.

There are many similarities between the two longtime 205-pound vets. They entered the sport with a strong college wrestling background, but over the years have developed striking and submission attacks, as well.

Wrestling is still the foundation for both skill sets, though. For evidence, look no further than their most recent contests. Davis landed nine takedowns against in a decision win against Glover Teixeira and Bader landed nine in a decision win over Ovince Saint Preux.

Bader’s contest against Saint Preux was a lackluster affair by any definition. He repeatedly pressed “OSP” against the fence and landed takedowns for almost the entirety of five rounds.

“The Ultimate Fighter 7” winner has found success in the octagon many times with a similar strategy. However, Bader claims to have turned a corner lately and is confidant viewers can expect a different type of fight against Davis.

“We’re the two least-hit guys in the division, but if you look at my record against wrestlers, a lot of the wrestlers I’ve fought ended in me knocking them out,” Bader said. “It can go a lot of different ways. It could be who has the wrestling edge or it could be we cancel that out and we’re on out feet banging it out.

“I’ve had some injuries my past few fights. I’ve had to fight a certain way. I’m totally, 100 percent healthy now and I’ve got new tools I’m working with. You’re going to see a new fighter out there on Saturday. We’re two wrestlers, but I think it’s going to equal out to be an exciting fight.”

Davis echoed those sentiments. Past performances have created a narrative Davis vs. Bader won’t be the most thrilling bout, but both are convinced an engaging contest will occur. Considering the matchup is placed on the main card of a FOX event, there’s no better time than the present to put all the cards on the table.

“We’re not going to go out and play patty cake, I can promise you that,” Davis said. “Something’s got to give and it’s going to be fireworks.”

For more on UFC on FOX 14, check out the UFC Rumors section of the site.