Nothing certain yet. But Eric Cantor, House Majority Leader, appears to be in the process of losing his seat in the House tonight, going down to defeat in a primary barely anyone was watching.

7:41 PM: As of this moment, Cantor is losing to David Brat 56.9% to 43.1%, with 60.2% of the vote in. More notably, the folks who really know where the votes are, what counties to watch and so forth, are saying this is over.

I’ve seen enough, it’s over. Sitting Majority Leader of the House, Rep. Eric Cantor (R), has lost his primary to Prof. Dave Brat (R) #VA07 — Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) June 10, 2014

7:47 PM: It would be wrong to say that no one saw that Cantor had a real primary challenge on his hands. But virtually everyone was seeing this as a ‘how big a margin does he need’ type of race – one that was a test of his hold on the district and discontent on the right – rather than one anyone thought he could lose.