WELCOME TO THE SEMI-FINALS!!! The Fantasy Semi-Finals are here, and every move you make to your roster will have giant implications on if your team will challenge for the fantasy championship. Great matchups do exist this week which should provide a great deal of production. Through our research and evaluation, these listed payers should be the ones you target and stay away from in week 15. ADF rides with you to the fantasy title showdown as we ourselves attempt achieving glory yet again. For the most part, we recommend sticking with the players that got you here as any deviation could result in taking a loss. Good luck this weekend and we’ll see you in the finals… The Fantasy Semi-Finals are here, and every move you make to your roster will have giant implications on if your team will challenge for the fantasy championship. Great matchups do exist this week which should provide a great deal of production. Through our research and evaluation, these listed payers should be the ones you target and stay away from in week 15. ADF rides with you to the fantasy title showdown as we ourselves attempt achieving glory yet again. For the most part, we recommend sticking with the players that got you here as any deviation could result in taking a loss. Good luck this weekend and we’ll see you in the finals…









Follow on twitter @chris_ADF1

Follow on Instagram ADF5000









START - GET THEM IN YOUR LINEUP





Quarterbacks:

Russell Wilson (SEA)

Even though Wilson saw his second worse outing of the season last week, rest assured that was the anomaly and not the regularity. Going up against the 49ers in week 15, a team they met just two weeks prior, Wilson should again prove to be a magical play on semi-final weekend. Securing a whopping 31 fantasy points verse San Francisco in week 13 gives us great confidence that he will see a very high floor in this one. Wilson will get you to the finals.





Tom Brady (NE)

th most to players at the position, and Brady has a great track record at Heinz Field. Seeing another 31 fantasy point performance may be a reach this week, but he will provide solid numbers. Admittedly, we haven’t been on board with the great Tom Brady as a weekly fantasy start for most of the season, but coming off a great showing in Miami a week ago, the prospects for Tom to provide once again is large, especially when facing off verse the Steelers. Pittsburgh gives up the 10most to players at the position, and Brady has a great track record at Heinz Field. Seeing another 31 fantasy point performance may be a reach this week, but he will provide solid numbers.





Cam Newton (CAR)

th most to quarterbacks and Newton should have a day in primetime. Witnessing the absolute collapse of the Panthers as the season prolonged, we literally are baffled as each weeks passes. Carolina is truly on life support while facing a division rival in the Saints on Monday Night, but should muster up everything they have left in hopes to compete. Cam has had a very strong season for the most part seeing his worst game of the season last week at the Browns producing less than 10 fantasy points. If Carolina has any shot at challenging for a wildcard spot, Cam will have to be on point in this one, and we believe he will be. The Saints give up the 5most to quarterbacks and Newton should have a day in primetime.









Running Backs:

Phillip Lindsay (DEN)

The Broncos undrafted rookie sensation Phillip Lindsay has been nothing short of spectacular this season and should once again find ways to generate big points for your club this weekend. Seeing a rough day from Phillip verse the 49ers last week, he eventually saved his day with a touchdown scamper late in the contest. Having yet another favorable matchup this week against the Browns, this time at home, we fully expect the Broncos to show up in almost every facet. Generating 10-15 fantasy points should be quite easy for Phil.





Joe Mixon (CIN)

While the Bengals really have nothing left to play for this season, we are encouraged with the prospects of Joe Mixon having another fabulous day. Seeing a season high in rush attempts and total touches last week, Mixon found his way to nearly 25 fantasy points on 31 touches, impressive. Having a great matchup verse the Raiders, who struggle at the best of times to slow anyone down, fire up Joe and don’t think twice about what he’ll be able to produce.





Doug Martin (OAK)

Reviewing the last couple weeks in terms of the Oakland Raiders overall play, we found signs pointing up form decent to solid production from certain players on this club. Doug Martin is in fact one of those players that coach Gruden seems to like and will utilize him on Sunday against the worst rush defense in the NFL. Martin has found the endzone in the last three games respectively and should be given the opportunity again with his usual 15-18 carries. Oakland has put up 92 points on the scoreboard in the last 4 weeks showing improvement in moving the ball. Martin could be a good earner this Sunday.









Wide Receivers:

Amari Cooper (DAL)

th fewest to fantasy receivers could give some owners fear that Cooper could bust. While that fact could transpire, the Cowboys have been a completely different team these last five games and should give the Colts a run for their money. Cooper is un-benchable right now. Over the last three weeks, Amari Cooper has been nothing short of impressive piling up a whopping 89.54 fantasy points in that span. Taking travel to Indianapolis this week while facing a defense that allows the 6fewest to fantasy receivers could give some owners fear that Cooper could bust. While that fact could transpire, the Cowboys have been a completely different team these last five games and should give the Colts a run for their money. Cooper is un-benchable right now.





Curtis Samuel (CAR)

The Panthers Curtis Samuel has become a fixture in this Carolina offense and should once again provide solid numbers on Monday Night. Facing the Saints this week with their league worst pass defense, Samuel should be at minimum your flex starter for the semi-finals. Cam Newton has been looking in Samuel’s direction a lot more these last 4 weeks providing a healthy 28 targets in that span. The gadget type of skillset that Curtis possesses provides an opportunity for him to find the endzone in most contests. High potential to produce this week exists.





DaeSean Hamilton (DEN)

While we wanted to wait and see how the Broncos would employ DaeSean last week before we could provide an endorsement, we can now fully get onboard with what his potential could become. In essence, Hamilton took on the Sanders role to perfection last week serving as the secondary option in both scheme and coverage seen. Seeing a fantastic 9 targets a week ago, we fully expect the Broncos coaching staff to feed the young man. Even as we review the tape from last week, DaeSean has a physical makeup mirroring that of Emmanuel Sanders. Expect another good day from him as the Browns will again be without Denzel Ward.









Tight-Ends:

Jared Cook (OAK)

th worst defense verse tight-ends. If you have Jared on your squad, start him with little debate. Since the Raiders shipped Cooper away to the Cowboys at the trade deadline, Jared Cook has been the most productive pass catcher on the club. Since week 11, Cook has seen 29 targets go for 19 receptions, 279 yards, while finding the endzone 3 times. All that production has translated into a strong 57.6 fantasy points (PPR format) leaving Cook a great play this week against the 12worst defense verse tight-ends. If you have Jared on your squad, start him with little debate.













SIT - LEAVE THEM ON THE BENCH





Quarterbacks:

Matthew Stafford (DET)

Our recommendations to bench Matthew Stafford last week was proven to be popular advice as the Lions pivot was only able to generate a mere 4.07 fantasy points. Going up against the Bills this week in New Era Field will again prove to be a daunting task that will leave those who start him, looking to next year’s fantasy season. Surprisingly, the Bills house the best overall defense in the NFL while holding the same mark against the pass. Matthew will have another very rough day this time in Western New York.





Jameis Winston (TB)

th fewest to fantasy throwers, and seeing Tampa travel up to Baltimore, this is something we are staying far away from this week. Turnovers should be the story on Sunday for Winston. Since returning to the starting role, Jameis Winston has shown consistency and improvement in his overall play. Racking up a nice 89.93 fantasy points in the last 4 weeks, some may contemplate firing up the Bucs quarterback for this upcoming contest. While the numbers could provide some credence, the Bucs opponent will have a lot to say about what Winston will accomplish. Facing the Ravens who give up the 7fewest to fantasy throwers, and seeing Tampa travel up to Baltimore, this is something we are staying far away from this week. Turnovers should be the story on Sunday for Winston.









Running Backs:

Elijah McGuire (NYJ)

While most fantasy player’s look for volume when deciding to employ a running back week-to-week, the Jets Elijah McGuire could be in for a giant workload, but should underperform in a terrible matchup. Even as the Jets host the Texans on Saturday, Houston will prove that their defense is up for the challenge to stifle the Jets fill-in back. Even as reports have confirmed that Isaiah Crowell has been placed on injured reserve leaving McGuire to carry the load, we don’t like the prospects of him generating a great deal for your team. Look elsewhere this week for your running back.





Adrian Peterson (WAS)

We have witnessed the percentage of owners willing to play AP this week move up a fair bit these last couple days, but are confused with the rational. We fully understand that the Jags left the flood gates open last week allowing Derrick Henry to run wild on their defense, it truly shouldn’t be the case in week 15. First, the Jags are back at home where they feel comfortable, and this defense will not allow a journeymen quarterback (Josh Johnson) to gain any traction. Why is that important? It means that stacked boxes will be the mainstay for this defense making it extremely difficult for Peterson to gain much yardage. Look away from AP this week.





Aaron Jones (GB)

rd fewest to running backs and proved their dominance by shutting down the great Todd Gurley last week in primetime. While we don’t consider this to be a must bench play, it will shape up more as a straight bust when all is said and done. If you are forced to play Jones, hope that other players on your club will cover what Aaron misses. There is no question that Aaron Jones is turning into a solid running back for the Packers right in front of our eyes, but facing the Bears in week 15 literally makes us sick. The Bears give up the 3fewest to running backs and proved their dominance by shutting down the great Todd Gurley last week in primetime. While we don’t consider this to be a must bench play, it will shape up more as a straight bust when all is said and done. If you are forced to play Jones, hope that other players on your club will cover what Aaron misses.









Wide Receivers:

Mike Evans (TB)

th best in the business. This recommendation is solely based on risk as the Ravens should provide a wall of trouble for this Bucs offense. Target share is normally not an issue for Evans, but we really fear what type of production he’ll be able to muster. While it’s never popular to suggest benching a star player in any format, we have no choice but to caution the fantasy community of the great risk in playing Evans this weekend. Taking travel to Baltimore is a difficult situation all in itself, the Ravens add to that by shutting down receivers to the tune of being the 5best in the business. This recommendation is solely based on risk as the Ravens should provide a wall of trouble for this Bucs offense. Target share is normally not an issue for Evans, but we really fear what type of production he’ll be able to muster.





Calvin Ridley (ATL)

Rookie Calvin Ridley started the season with great flash, only to fall back down to earth as the Falcons offense began struggling nearly on a weekly basis. Going up against the Cardinals, who are known to possess a solid defensive unit that can shut down receivers with the best in the game, leaves Ridley in a bad spot. We have discussed this play looking at the prospects in both directions thinking Julio will see a heavy dose of Patrick Peterson, which could open up Ridley to exploit that matchup. However, we have never been supporters of Steve Sarkisian and will never trust his game plans. Far too risky to start this week in our minds.





Kenny Golladay (DET)

The Lions Kenny Golladay is without question a fantastic up and coming young talent in the league that has shown great ability this season. However, facing the Bills in Buffalo, who hold the best defensive unit against the pass, we really don’t like the potential for an A-Class showing from Detroit and Golladay. This play also falls into the bust category. Kenny has the ability to find the endzone stickily from his size being his greatest advantage over defensive backs, but we really question how often Detroit will find their way into the redzone in this one. Looking for another option at receiver would be in your best interest.









Tight-Ends:

Kyle Rudolph (MIN)

th most to players at the position, we feel the target share hasn’t been consistent enough to garner much interest from us to recommend. Even though this matchup shows good potential to become a solid play this weekend, we can no longer throw trust in the direction of Kyle Rudolph. The Vikings offense hasn’t proven to look to Kyle more than a handful of times each game deferring to their playmakers, Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs. Even as the Dolphins give up the 10most to players at the position, we feel the target share hasn’t been consistent enough to garner much interest from us to recommend.













POTENTIAL BIG DAY – ALL ABOUT THE RISK/REWARD





Quarterbacks:

Dak Prescott (DAL)

It’s clear that the Cowboys have fixed their offensive issues reverting back to allowing Zeke Elliott to regain his place as the main piece in the offensive scheme. This effect has propelled Dak Prescott to once again find that juice which made him a highly touted fantasy quarterback before the season started. Utilizing the play action pass is the feature which allows Dak to exploit defenses while they attempt to slow down Elliott and that great run game. Even though the Colts give up middle of the pack numbers to quarterbacks, Prescott could again see 20+ points on Sunday.





Kirk Cousins (MIN)

th most to quarterbacks and just proved their inadequacies last week verse the Patriots allowing Brady to move up and down the field at will. Again there is risk here, but we have supported Cousins all season and will ride this ship to glory. While we’ve seen the utter demise transpire these last couple weeks for Kirk Cousins and the Minnesota offense, we feel this week could be something of a resurgence with a new play caller on the team. Kirk is just two games removed from a 32 point effort verse the Packers which is where this play could ultimately go. Miami gives up the 11most to quarterbacks and just proved their inadequacies last week verse the Patriots allowing Brady to move up and down the field at will. Again there is risk here, but we have supported Cousins all season and will ride this ship to glory.





Josh Allen (BUF)

Do the Buffalo Bills finally have an answer at quarterback for the long term? Josh Allen is definitely making his case strong with solid performances these last 3 weeks. Not only has his passing improved, but Allen is showing his skill in the run game which is lifting him into fantasy relevance. Josh still has a lot of work to do before he can be taken seriously, but from the fantasy perspective, his matchup verse the Lions could take you over the top into the finals. There is great risk here that Allen could fall on his face, but the way it’s been moving these last few weeks, Allen has a solid uptick.









Running Backs:

Kenneth Dixon (BAL)

The Ravens are the staple of consistency when it comes to feeding the ground game and coach Harbaugh has nothing but kind words for his running back. Kenneth is truly a favorite of Harbaugh which leads us to believe they will provide him more carries in this week’s contest. Going up against the Bucs who give up top five numbers to fantasy runners, Dixon is prime to not only handle goal line work, but steal touches from his teammate Gus Edwards. Starting Dixon could give you great joy when this week is done.





Lamar Miller (HOU)

While Miller isn’t normally a risk to produce, the potential for him to be one of the highest earners this weekend is extremely real. Facing the Jets who give up great numbers to opposing running backs, Miller and the Texans should be able to make easy work of this New York defense. Lamar started the season slow but has picked up the pace over the last seven weeks lifting his outlook to what we envisioned at the start of the season. Trust Miller this week as he will gallop to very good production.









Wide Receivers:

Josh Reynolds (LAR)

nd most points to players at the position making Josh a viable option this week. Bust factor is real based on the past couple games, but finding his way back with this high octane offense is a real possibility. Since the Rams came off the bye-week, this offense has been sour with timing and execution. Seemingly moving away from running heavy with their star Todd Gurley, this has had a compounding effect on Jared Goff and this pass game. The Rams this week have a glorious matchup against the Eagles whose defense still struggles with injures, leaving great potential for Reynolds to get back on track in a very big way. Philly gives up the 2most points to players at the position making Josh a viable option this week. Bust factor is real based on the past couple games, but finding his way back with this high octane offense is a real possibility.





Tyler Lockett (SEA)

th most to receivers and conceded a touchdown to him just two weeks ago. Russell Wilson will continue to feed Lockett especially with Doug Baldwin at less than 100%. Seeing six targets a week ago was very encouraging as that could be the normal amount of work to come his way moving down the stretch. Finding the endzone should be the floor for Tyler this week. The Seahawks Tyler Lockett and his career season continues as they face the 49ers who give up the 9most to receivers and conceded a touchdown to him just two weeks ago. Russell Wilson will continue to feed Lockett especially with Doug Baldwin at less than 100%. Seeing six targets a week ago was very encouraging as that could be the normal amount of work to come his way moving down the stretch. Finding the endzone should be the floor for Tyler this week.





Robert Foster (BUF)

The Bills have seen more than enough of former Alabama product Robert Foster to cut ties with Kelvin Benjamin promoting him to have a greater role on this offense. For those unaware, Foster did measure very well in combine type testing but lost traction in the draft process due to injury history. Now looking more like the player we envisioned, Foster has put up 11 or more fantasy points in 3 of the last 4 games. Robert saw an increase in his target share last week to 8 (career high) which provides positive outlooks for this week. If you require a flex starter with a solid matchup, Foster could be your man.









Tight-Ends:

CJ Uzomah (CIN)