I got nothing clever so let’s get into it.

Note: Ranking are based on how likely are they staying in the game during the premerge then become about winning in the post merge.

Lairo

Elizabeth – Elizabeth had a solid week. She won the swimming race, did not get busted by Vince and kept her ally Tom in the game. Elizabeth is well liked by the tribe and has some sway in the majority alliance. The only knock on her is Karishma putting her in the sorority group but it should not hurt her. Overall, a great week for Elizabeth.

2. Elaine – Very similar to Elizabeth in terms of position but she was not included in Karishma’s breakdown at tribal. Elaine has not been in the spotlight recently so it might hurt her chances. Overall, Elaine is good for now.

3. Missy – Missy has a nice handle on the girls alliance. She is the leader so she might be the obvious target for an idol play but Chelsea has the idol and Vince went home with an idol so she should be safe. Overall, she is solid this week.

4. Chelsea – Chelsea is in the majority and has an idol. The only worry is the showmance in the preview. Other than that, Chelsea is doing well.

5. Aaron – The tribe needs Aaron right now so he is the safest of the boys. Aaron is aware of the girls alliance and tried to counter it without them noticing. Unfortunately, Vince blabbed so he could be in danger. Overall, had a rocky start but he is gaining his footing.

6. Dean – Dean Diaz-Twine masterminded this week. He got the split vote he wanted. I give him credit for getting no blame on the puzzle so he must be doing well socially. He did stumble by talking about a split with everyone around. Also, the showmance could put him on top of the target list to prevent Chelsea from flipping. Overall, He blew up this week in a good and bad way.

7.Tom – Tom was on the chopping block this week. He doesn’t have the awareness to know he was in danger so that worries me. Also, he is stagnant in his answer. On the bright side, he does have Elizabeth and Elaine vouching for him. Overall, he needs to get his head in the game.

8. Karishma – She deserves to be at the bottom for that episode performance. She solidified herself as the bottom of the girls and the whole tribe. The girls could easily see her as too much effort to keep in the game and sacrifice her. Karishma also bombed the puzzle and broke down at tribal. Karishma is a trainwreck. Overall, this week tanked her game.

Vokai

Tommy – This is an obvious number one pick. Everyone goes to him for plans and they all trust him. Tommy is killing this game and kept his relationship with Jack and Jamal alive. Overall, one of the best people in the game. Kellee – Kellee is also playing a good game. she still has the idol that is good for two more tribal and everyone trusts her. The one wrench in her plan is someone realizing that Kellee lied about the Island. Kellee will be fine based on the fact that Vince was not able to rat out Elizabeth. Kellee also did well in the challenge as the bag grabber. Overall, Kellee is someone to pay attention to. Jack – Despite being blindsided, Jack is back in a good spot. He handled the blindside perfectly and went back into the fold. Jack is gonna get overlooked due to his chill persona and might be able to Fabio his way to the end. Overall, Jack had a good rebound week. Janet – Janet once again proved to be a physical asset in the challenge. She almost out swam an olympic swimmer. Janet is also well liked on the tribe and is close to Tommy. Overall, Janet is doing well. Lauren – Lauren had a quiet week after pulling off a blindside. I was suprised we heard nothing from her. This is good in the sense that she did not get any backlash but she did not get credit for it. Overall, not much to say other than she did a good job last week. Jason – Jason is starting to become a part of the tribe. He is not in the conversation for targets and he was an important player in the challenge by helping Kellee. Jason is only gonna get better the longer he stays. Overall, great week for Jason. Dan – Dan had an ok week. he pitched the obvious target thinking it was an original idea then was targeted by Jamal. There seems to be a theme of Dan taking credit for other people’s moves in his confessionals. He is low due to him being put on the radar and being expendable. Overall, Dan is doing fine but not that great. Jamal – Jamal played this blindside so poorly. Telling Tommy he was a free agent was bad and he then pitched Dan for personal reason coming off as irrational to Tommy. Molly leaving broke Jamal’s game and I can see him playing himself out of this game. Overall, Jamal’s game only seems to get worse over time. Noura – Noura is still the bottom for annoying her tribe in a week she was not getting airtime. Noura is the definitive bottom of the totem pole. She is the easy target and will probably go if Vokai loses. She needs Jamal to blow up more in order for her to stay. Overall, Noura is not looking good.

I predict that if Lairo wins that we won’t see Dan next episode. If Vokai loses, we will not see Tom next episode. The clear front runner is Tommy while Jamal, Noura and Karishma are dead in the water. I predict that Vokai loses and Noura is voted out.

Grab your stuff and head back to camp!