By Noah Lieberman

Ballotcraft is a fantasy politics game (think fantasy football, but for politics). Play against your friends and win by best predicting what’s going to happen in upcoming elections. Sign up and play here: www.ballotcraft.com.

This is part three of our three-part series analyzing Ballotcraft’s market data during the second Republican Presidential Debate. We’re looking at how a savvy investor could use this information to their advantage in the future.

While some strong performers from the last debate, namely John Kasich, Scott Walker, and Rand Paul, failed to replicate their results from August, two candidates managed to repeat in Simi Valley. Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush finished second and third respectively behind Carly Fiorina, and while the two Floridians were unable to give her a real challenge in the final vote, their accomplishments in the marketplace are still worth considering going forward. While Carly was certainly the headline throughout the night, the fact that Bush and Rubio were the only other two candidates to finish above their starting price means they are certainly threats in future debates and the primaries ahead. The biggest problem that the outsiders like Fiorina, Trump, and Carson have is that so far it appears as though they are all in it for the long run, perpetually dividing the attention, money, and votes they all are trying to attract. But the more seasoned politicians, who are potentially seeking cabinet positions or simply more political capital in the party, will not have an issue dropping out to help further the campaign of an ideologically similar peer. Just this week we’ve seen Rick Perry and Scott Walker drop out, with the latter urging more of his former competitors to follow suit.

As this trend continues, only the best establishment candidates will remain, and right now “the best” can only mean Rubio and Bush. This may not affect how our focus groups vote in the future, and probably won’t mean too much for their prices in the upcoming debates. But if they continue to stand above the rest of the insider pack on stage, then they should be the first stocks you buy when the real game starts.

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Noah Lieberman is the founder of election forecasting website PollingLab. Click hereto see more of his analysis of the 2016 election.