Guest essay by Eric Worrall

IPCC Lead Author Professor Myles Allen, who just last year in 2014 stated that alarmism is unhelpful, appears to have changed his mind – his new position is that “normal weather is now a thing of the past”.

According to The Telegraph;

Global warming: normal weather is a ‘thing of the past’, claims scientist Oxford University’s Professor Myles Allen said we have ‘changed the odds’ on weather conditions, with wetter and warmer winters now more likely. Normal weather is now a “thing of the past”, a leading climate change scientist has said, after storms and heavy rain caused devastating floods in parts of Britain. December was record-breaking in both warmth and rainfall, according to the Met Office, with temperatures closer to those expected in April and May. For some parts of the UK, it was also the wettest December since records began in 1910. Professor Myles Allen, leader of the Climate Research Programme at the University of Oxford’s Environmental Change Institute said: “Normal weather is actually a bit of a thing of the past. “Here in Oxford we maintain the world’s longest daily weather record, we just beat the previous record by a whopping two and a half degrees and that record was set back in 1852.

Read more: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/environment/climatechange/12082013/Global-warming-normal-weather-is-a-thing-of-the-past-claims-scientist.html

This rather alarmist claim is a sharp contrast from Professor Allen’s more conciliatory statements in 2014.

NGOs have at times been alarmist over climate change … but the IPCC has been very clear and measured throughout. I think alarmism on any issue is unhelpful.

Read more: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/11/04/ipcc-lead-author-prof-myles-allen-alarmism-is-unhelpful/

Why has Professor Myles suddenly decided to be “unhelpful”? As noted previously by WUWT, the severity of the floods in Britain has likely been exacerbated by poor river management. If the British Government had maintained a sensible level of river dredging, the flood waters would have drained more efficiently, and the rivers might not have burst their banks.

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