The three teams landed in this tier because they have the furthest to go for a playoff spot. We could easily see any of the teams in the tier above winning a playoff game, but it's tougher to imagine with this trio. The Bears and Bucs are in this tier because of roster holes. Tampa continues to re-start on offense, and Lovie Smith's defensive principles hardly took hold last year. Chicago has a quarterback it doesn't want and a defense bereft of talent. Washington brass can't get on the same page regarding their quarterback situation, and the drama feels too familiar.