It’s the most wonderful time of the year! No, not Christmas, but the time when there are no more international breaks until mid-March, giving us a true feast of regular Premier League football from now until then – Gameweek 13 to Gameweek 31 inclusive! Putting our excitement momentarily to one side, and before we analyse the clean sheet and anytime goalscorer markets for the upcoming gameweek, let’s take a look at how the Bookies’ Advantage squad fared last time out…

A 57 point return was just about acceptable for Gameweek 13, with captain Mo Salah (16 points) scoring, but it was in defence where our picks really earned their keep. Andy Robertson (12) and Ricardo Pereira (9) both collected maximum bonus, whilst Kepa’s clean sheet (6) also contributed nicely. It was slim pickings elsewhere, however, with our strike force producing an anaemic total of 5 points between them.

Clean sheet odds

Team Best clean sheet odds Implied chance of a clean sheet Wolves 1.79 56% Man Utd 2.01 50% Everton 2.03 49% Man City 2.1 48% Liverpool 2.4 42% Newcastle 2.9 34% Burnley 2.98 34% Leicester 3 33% Brighton 3.25 31% Fulham 3.5 29% Southampton 3.65 27% Arsenal 3.8 26% Chelsea 4 25% Tottenham 4.05 25% Huddersfield 5.3 19% Bournemouth 6.1 16% Cardiff 7.1 14% Watford 7.5 13% Crystal Palace 7.5 13% West Ham 13 8% Fantasy Freeroll: Pick GW13 dream team & compete for £100 ⚽ Enter free team Sunday’s Molineux meeting with Huddersfield sees Wolves top the bookies’ defensive rankings, for the first time this season, with a 56% chance of keeping a clean sheet. Nuno Espirito Santo’s side have kept 2 clean sheets in their 6 home matches this season, both of which came against the 2 sides they have hosted from the bottom half of the table (Burnley and Southampton). This weekend looks a great opportunity for them to register their third home shutout, with the Terriers sat 19th, blanking in their last road game against Watford, and ranked worst in the top flight for big chances created away from home (4) this term. We are backing Matt Doherty to recover from a facial injury, with the Irish wing-back’s 2 assists to date coming in those aforementioned home fixtures against Burnley and Southampton.

Manchester United (50%) rank second when they welcome Crystal Palace to Old Trafford. The Eagles have failed to find the net in 3 of their last 5 Premier League games, which is something for the Red Devils to take heart from given their poor defensive form this season. Given that United are without a clean sheet in 8 in the league, and are, shockingly, yet to keep one at home this campaign, we opt for their cheapest defender in the form of Victor Lindelof, who is available for £5.0m and has started each of the last 4 (note: Luke shaw is suspended for this game).

Everton (49%) and Manchester City (48%) complete the top 4 defensive prospects for Gameweek 13. Marco Silva’s men have improved somewhat lately, from a defensive standpoint, especially at home, with shutouts in 2 of their last 3 at Goodison Park and just 1 goal conceded during that stretch. They have also allowed just 9 big chances against them in their 6 home games, the fifth-best record for that particular statistic in the top flight. Opponents Cardiff have lost 4 out of 5 games on their travels so far, blanking in 3 of those and not scoring more than once in an away game. The Champions trip to West Ham on Saturday looks equally profitable at the back, with the Hammers extremely inconsistent at home, failing to score in half of their London Stadium outings this season (3 out of 6). With City in possession of the joint-best away defence in the division (along with Chelsea), having conceded just a single goal away from The Etihad, it certainly wouldn’t be a surprise to see Pep’s side notch their eighth Premier League clean sheet of the season. Lucas Digne offers solid attacking potential and some set-piece threat, whilst Ederson provides a secure route into the City rearguard. Both men make our starting XI this weekend.

It’s as you were on our bench, with the value it provides continuing to prove unbeatable. Ben Hamer (19%) is unlikely to feature against Wolves, but is still the likeliest £4.0m keeper to see any game time, whilst Ryan Bennett (56%) and Aaron Wan-Bissaka (13%) remain superb options in defence at the same price point. This weekend they host Huddersfield and travel to Manchester United respectively.

Goalscorer odds

Player Best anytime goalscorer odds Implied chance of scoring Sergio Aguero 1.67 60% Gabriel Jesus 1.88 53% Mohamed Salah 1.91 52% Harry Kane 2.2 45% Raheem Sterling 2.2 45% Alexandre Lacazette 2.2 45% Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 2.3 43% Romelu Lukaku 2.3 43% Richarlison 2.3 43% Cenk Tosun 2.38 42% Sadio Mane 2.4 42% Raul Jimenez 2.6 38% Jamie Vardy 2.62 38% Anthony Martial 2.62 38% Leroy Sane 2.63 38% Roberto Firmino 2.7 37% Eden Hazard 2.8 36% Callum Wilson 2.8 36% Alexis Sanchez 2.8 36% Danny Ings 2.9 34% Riyad Mahrez 2.9 34% Aleksandar Mitrovic 2.9 34% Dominic Calvert-Lewin 2.95 34% Theo Walcott 3 33% Alvaro Morata 3.1 32% Fernando Llorente 3.1 32% Charlie Austin 3.1 32% Diogo Jota 3.2 31% Gylfi Sigurdsson 3.25 31% Paul Pogba 3.25 31% Jesse Lingard 3.5 29% Chris Wood 3.6 28% Henrikh Mkhitaryan 3.65 27% Helder Costa 3.7 27% Joshua King 3.75 27% Ashley Barnes 3.75 27% Son Heung-Min 3.8 26% Aaron Ramsey 3.8 26% Bernardo Silva 3.8 26% Xherdan Shaqiri 3.8 26% Marko Arnautovic 4 25% Kelechi Iheanacho 4 25% Pedro 4 25% Willian 4 25% Yoshinori Muto 4 25% James Maddison 4.2 24% Mohamed Elyounoussi 4.2 24% Andre Schurrle 4.25 24% Ayoze Perez 4.33 23% Troy Deeney 4.4 23% Mesut Ozil 4.7 21% Jurgen Locadia 4.75 21% Kenedy 4.75 21% Wilfried Zaha 5 20% Erik Lamela 5.2 19% Ryan Sessegnon 5.25 19% Isaac Success 5.25 19% Steve Mounie 5.5 18% Kenneth Zohore 5.5 18% Anthony Knockaert 5.5 18% Jose Izquierdo 5.5 18% Gerard Deulofeu 5.5 18% Roberto Pereyra 5.6 18% Laurent Depoitre 6 17% Danny Ward 6 17% Jordan Ayew 6 17% Ryan Fraser 6 17% Ruben Neves 6 17% Matt Ritchie 6.25 16% Felipe Anderson 6.5 15% Stuart Armstrong 6.5 15% Andros Townsend 7 14% Johann Berg Gudmundsson 7.5 13% Alex Pritchard 8 13% Grady Diangana 8.5 12% Aaron Mooy 8.5 12% Luka Milivojevic 9 11% Aaron Lennon 9 11% Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 10 10% NGolo Kante 11 9% Philip Billing 17 6% Join our GW13 Premier League Fantasy Freeroll Compete for £100 A trip to West Ham sees Sergio Aguero top the bookies’ attacking estimations, with a 60% chance of scoring against the Hammers on Saturday afternoon. The classy Argentine has returned consistently in the Premier League this season, with 8 goals and 6 assists to his name so far, and will surely be looking forward to facing a defence that have just a solitary clean sheet to their name this term. His solid stream of points combined with West Ham’s shaky back line means that Aguero straps on our captain’s armband for Gameweek 13.

Joining Aguero up front in our starting XI are Alexandre Lacazette (45%) and Raul Jimenez (38%). Arsenal’s French number 9 has enjoyed his recent away games for the Gunners, scoring 3 goals, assisting a further 2 and garnering 5 bonus points in his last 4 away from The Emirates. He travels to Bournemouth on Sunday lunchtime, with the Cherries conceding a joint league-high 27 chances through the centre at home this season, meaning he should get plenty of opportunities to punish Eddie Howe’s men. Jimenez, meanwhile, was rested for the second of Mexico’s fixtures over the international break, allowing him sufficient time to return to Wolves in preparation for their Sunday afternoon home clash with Huddersfield. All 3 of his top flight goals have come at Molineux this term, whilst David Wagner’s side are yet to keep an away clean sheet, and are conceding at a rate of 2.8 goals per game on their travels – the worst away defence in the division.

The bookies also fancy the chances of big-hitting quartet Gabriel Jesus, Harry Kane, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Romelu Lukaku, but budget restrictions (and concerns over the starting security of Jesus and Lukaku) mean we forgo their services this time around.

In the middle of the park, regulars Mohamed Salah (52%) and Raheem Sterling (45%) feature once again. The PFA Player of the Year comes into the game in good form, having scored in 3 of his last 4 in the top flight, whilst he was also on target for Egypt over the international break (bonus: he only played once so should be well-rested). His opponents, Watford, have blown hot and cold at home this campaign, keeping a clean sheet in their last Vicarage Road outing against Huddersfield, but being trounced 4-0 by Bournemouth in the game prior to that. Fantasy managers will also need little reminding of Salah’s performances against the Hornets last season, scoring 5 times in 2 games (including a monster 29 point haul in March). Sterling, meanwhile, forms part of a double-up on City’s attacking riches for our squad, with the England international’s average of 7.9 points per match this highest in the game – he’s scored 6 goals and assisted a further 5 from 10 appearances.

Everton duo Richarlison (43%) and Theo Walcott (33%) complete our starting XI. Playing OOP up front for the Toffees, Richarlison is an extremely exciting prospect ahead of a home game against Cardiff. He bagged a brace in his last Goodison Park outing against Brighton, whilst he also scored for Brazil over the international break. Neil Warnock’s men are averaging 2.2 goals against per game on their travels, whilst Marco Silva’s team are scoring an average of 2 goals per game in front of their own fans (2-0 win .. anybody?), statistics which should give Walcott, who is without a fantasy return in 5 gameweeks, some much-needed confidence. That being said, 3 of his 4 fantasy attacking returns this season have come at home.

With £0.5m to spare, Kenedy (21%) takes the first spot on our bench prior to his trip to Burnley on Monday evening. The Magpies have seen an uptick in their goalscoring form of late, notching 5 in their last 5, with Chelsea’s on-loan Brazilian providing an assist last time out against Bournemouth. With the Clarets uncharacteristically porous in defence this season, being breached 10 times in 5 home matches so far, as well as conceding 31 chances down their right flank this season, more than any other side in the top flight, Kenedy could be amongst the points again come the end of the gameweek.

The bookmakers also rate Liverpool’s Sadio Mane, Manchester City pair Leroy Sane and Riyad Mahrez, along with Eden Hazard and Alexis Sanchez, but budget restrictions, squad selection restraints, and/or a lack of starting security mean we overlook the quintet this weekend.

Dream Team GW13

Good luck with your fantasy teams this weekend!

May the odds be with you

Daniel Victory is a Fantasy football and anytime goalscorer betting enthusiast. Enjoys SSS – statistics, strategizing and spreadsheets. Follow his great tips on Twitter.