The Supreme Court Nomination

Who will Trump pick to be on the Supreme Court?

With the shock announcement of the retirement of Justice Kennedy from the Supreme Court of the United States Senate, the hunt is on for his successor.

With the Supreme Court already leaning to the right, another Republican replacement will mean that the US can expect a steady stream of Conservative judgements that may replace decades of jurisprudence.

Although Todd Johnson argues here that this shift to the right has been brewing for some time, liberals across America are fearful that the ‘Muslim travel ban’ or the ‘gay cake’ case which were both recently upheld by the Supreme Court are a taste of things to come.

The potential candidates in our market on Smarkets have been taken from two sources: the lists provided by Trump’s campaign in 2016 and a revised selection released by the White House on November 17, 2017.

Bet on the next US Supreme Court Judge here.

The front runners according to our market are:

Brett Kavanaugh (53)

Brett Michael Kavanaugh is a United States Circuit Judge of the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit. He was Staff Secretary in the Executive Office of the President of the United States under President George W. Bush.

Amy Coney Barrett (46)

Amy Coney Barrett is a United States Circuit Judge of the United States Court of Appeals for the Seventh Circuit who previously served as the Diane and M.O. Miller Research Chair of Law and Professor of Law at Notre Dame Law School.

Thomas Hardiman (52)

Thomas Michael Hardiman is a United States Circuit Judge of the United States Court of Appeals for the Third Circuit. He was previously a United States District Judge. He maintains chambers in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

Additional markets

We are also running markets on the age and gender of the next Supreme Court Judge. Two of the front runners are over 50, so may tip the balance towards the over 50 market and there are only five women on the total list, so there is a strong chance the appointee will be a man.