September 25, 2019 - Warren Continues To Climb While Biden Slips Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Democratic Primary Is Neck And Neck

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Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is essentially tied with former Vice President Joe Biden in today's Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pea-ack) University national poll. Warren gets 27 percent of the vote while Biden gets 25 percent of Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic. Though well within the margin of error, this is the first time that a candidate other than Biden has had the numerical lead in the primary since Quinnipiac began asking the question in March.





The top two candidates are followed by Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders with 16 percent, South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 7 percent, and California Senator Kamala Harris at 3 percent. While this is Harris' lowest number yet, support for these candidates as well as the rest of the field has remained relatively stable since the last national poll in August. No other candidate tops 2 percent.





In the August national poll, Biden received 32 percent, Warren had 19 percent, Sanders got 15 percent, Harris had 7 percent, and Buttigieg got 5 percent.





While Warren picks up support across the board, she receives one of her largest gains among white voters with a college degree. These voters were split in August, with 29 percent supporting Biden and 25 percent supporting Warren, and today they support Warren over Biden 37 - 20 percent.





"After trailing Biden by double digits since March in the race for the Democratic nomination, Warren catches Biden," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy. "We now have a race with two candidates at the top of the field, and they're leaving the rest of the pack behind."





Warren is generating the most excitement among Democratic and Democratic leaning voters, who said 70 - 18 percent that they would be excited if she became the 2020 Democratic nominee. Biden and Sanders would also excite a majority of these voters, who say 56 - 35 percent that they would be excited about Biden and 55 - 38 percent that they would be excited about Sanders.





Half, or 50 percent, of Democratic and Democratic leaning voters want to see the Democratic nominee support policies that would result in major changes but would be more difficult to pass into law, while 42 percent want to see the Democratic nominee support policies that would result in minor changes but would be easier to pass into law. Moreover, 49 percent of these voters think the best way to handle health care is to replace the current private health insurance system with a Medicare for All system, compared to 44 percent who say keeping the current private health insurance system and building on Obamacare is the best way to handle health care. Democratic and Democratic leaning voters also say 55 - 29 percent that they would trust a government health insurance program more than a private health insurance company when it comes to their health care.





"Dig a little deeper, and the reasons behind Warren's rise become more clear. She generates a lot of excitement as a potential nominee," adds Malloy. "On top of that, half of Democrats want a presidential candidate that supports big changes - even if it means things are harder along the way."





Today, Biden's favorability rating among registered voters is split 45 - 45 percent, and his rating is a favorable 72 - 19 percent among Democratic and Democratic leaning voters. Both of these numbers have gotten worse for the former Vice President since he began his campaign for president. In a December 2018 survey, Biden's favorability rating was 53 - 33 percent among registered voters and 82 - 8 percent among Democratic and Democratic leaning voters.





Sen. Warren, though less well known than Biden, gets a similar mixed favorability rating among registered voters: 39 percent favorable and 41 percent unfavorable. Among Democratic and Democratic leaning voters, her favorability rating is slightly better than Biden's at 74 - 10 percent. Her trajectory on these numbers, however, is very different than his - both of her favorability ratings have gotten better since December, when her favorability rating was 30 - 37 percent among registered voters and 56 - 13 percent among Democratic and Democratic leaning voters.





President Trump





While the top two Democratic contenders have mixed favorability ratings among registered voters, President Trump's is underwater. His favorability rating is a negative 38 - 55 percent, nearly matching his rating at this point in the 2016 election cycle, which was 36 - 57 percent in a September 2015 Quinnipiac University poll. His opponent at the time, however, had a score that was almost as negative as his; Hillary Clinton's favorability rating was 41 - 55 in September 2015. If he ends up facing either Biden or Warren in 2020, he will have an opponent that is more well-liked at this stage of the game.





President Trump's job approval remains in the tight range that it has been in nearly his entire presidency, with 40 percent of registered voters approving of how he's handling his job, while 55 percent say they disapprove. This disapproval number is close to the percent of voters who say that they will definitely not vote for him in 2020, 54 percent, while 33 percent say that they will definitely vote for him and 10 percent say they will consider it. This 54 percent is the same percentage that did not vote for him in the 2016 election.





While more than half of voters disapprove of his job performance, only 37 percent of voters say that President Trump should be impeached and removed from office, while 57 percent say no, he should not be impeached.





Among Republican voters and independent voters who lean Republican, Trump remains very popular. He dominates the Republican primary with 80 percent support, while none of his three opponents get more than 2 percent. Additionally, 67 percent of these voters say that they would be very satisfied with Trump as the Republican nominee for 2020, and 17 percent say they would be somewhat satisfied.





U.S. House Background Check Bill





A huge 83 percent majority of voters support the background check bill that the U.S. House of Representatives passed in February of this year, while 14 percent oppose the bill. Support for the bill includes 71 percent of Republicans, 78 percent of gun households, and 72 percent of gun owners.





From September 19 - 23, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,337 self-identified registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points, including the design effect. The survey includes 561 Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic with a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percentage points, including the design effect, and 568 Republican voters and independent voters who lean Republican with a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percentage points, including the design effect.





The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.





Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll





Email poll@quinnipiac.edu, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.





1. How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for president; a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No A lot 48% 47% 59% 40% 51% 46% 56% 44% Some 25 28 23 30 26 25 27 25 Only a little 17 17 15 19 16 19 11 20 None at all 8 7 3 10 7 10 5 11 DK/NA 1 1 - - - 1 - 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp A lot 24% 46% 58% 62% 54% 47% 50% 50% 43% Some 35 28 21 20 26 26 26 18 21 Only a little 29 18 12 12 15 16 16 24 24 None at all 13 8 7 6 5 10 8 8 12 DK/NA - - 1 1 - 1 - - - DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No A lot 55% 66% 57% 48% 57% 54% 61% 51% 70% 48% Some 25 28 26 24 24 25 23 21 22 24 Only a little 15 6 11 21 14 16 11 27 7 17 None at all 4 - 6 6 4 4 4 1 - 10 DK/NA - - - 1 - 1 1 - - 1 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ A lot 59% 43% 26% 59% 62% 76% 46% 60% 65% Some 23 32 40 24 21 15 29 17 26 Only a little 15 15 30 11 11 8 17 18 8 None at all 3 9 4 6 6 1 8 3 2 DK/NA - - - - 1 - - 1 -

TREND: How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for president; a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?

OnlyA None A lot Some Little AtAll DK/NA Sep 25, 2019 48 25 17 8 1 Aug 28, 2019 47 30 16 6 1 Jul 29, 2019 48 28 15 9 1 Jun 11, 2019 42 30 18 10 - May 21, 2019 44 30 17 8 - Apr 30, 2019 49 28 13 8 1

2. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Wayne Messam, Tim Ryan, Michael Bennet, Steve Bullock, Joe Sestak, and Tom Steyer, for whom would you vote?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Biden 25% 13% 19% 31% 23% 26% 23% 40% 20% 27% Sanders 16 23 19 12 17 16 13 12 8 19 O'Rourke 2 3 3 1 2 2 2 1 1 4 Harris 3 3 4 4 5 2 3 4 4 2 Warren 27 36 30 21 27 26 33 19 37 26 Booker - 1 - - 1 - 1 - 1 - Klobuchar 2 3 - 1 - 2 1 - 2 - Castro 2 1 1 2 1 2 - 2 1 - Gabbard 1 1 2 - 2 - 1 - 1 - Delaney - - - - - - - - - - Buttigieg 7 7 9 6 9 6 10 2 13 6 Yang 2 - 3 2 1 2 1 - - 2 Williamson - - - - - - - - - - Messam - - - - - - - - - - Ryan - - - - - - - - - - Bennet 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 Bullock - - - - - - - - - - Sestak - - - - - - - - - - Steyer - - - - - - - - 1 - SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 DK/NA 13 8 10 16 10 14 9 19 7 12 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Biden 27% 17% 3% 23% 32% 41% 26% 25% 21% Sanders 15 20 39 14 9 3 20 16 8 O'Rourke 1 6 4 3 1 1 3 1 2 Harris 4 1 - 6 5 3 3 3 5 Warren 27 24 25 27 29 28 18 35 36 Booker 1 - 1 - - - - - 2 Klobuchar 2 1 3 - 1 2 - 1 1 Castro 1 2 - 4 2 - - 3 1 Gabbard 1 2 2 1 - 1 1 2 - Delaney - - - - - - - - - Buttigieg 6 10 4 16 4 5 3 8 12 Yang 1 4 4 2 1 - 3 1 1 Williamson - - - - 1 - - - - Messam - - - - - - - - - Ryan - - - - - - - - - Bennet 1 - - - 1 1 1 - 1 Bullock - - - - - - - - - Sestak - - - - - - - - - Steyer - - - - 1 - 1 - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - - - - - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 1 - - 3 - 1 1 1 DK/NA 13 10 16 4 12 14 20 5 8 DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS ATTN TO PRES CAMPAIGN Q1 Little/ A lot Some None Biden 29% 23% 16% Sanders 12 14 31 O'Rourke 1 6 1 Harris 4 1 4 Warren 31 27 12 Booker - 1 1 Klobuchar 1 3 - Castro 2 2 1 Gabbard - 2 1 Delaney - - - Buttigieg 8 8 3 Yang 1 1 4 Williamson - - - Messam - - - Ryan - - - Bennet 1 - 1 Bullock - - - Sestak - - - Steyer - - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) - - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 DK/NA 8 12 24

TREND: (If Democrat or Democratic Leaner) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Wayne Messam, Tim Ryan, Michael Bennet, Steve Bullock, Joe Sestak, and Tom Steyer, for whom would you vote?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS.......................................... Sep 25 Aug 28 Aug 06 Jul 29 Jul 02 Jun 11 May 21 Apr 30 Mar 28 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 2019 Biden 25 32 32 34 22 30 35 38 29 Sanders 16 15 14 11 13 19 16 11 19 O'Rourke 2 1 2 2 1 3 2 5 12 Harris 3 7 7 12 20 7 8 8 8 Warren 27 19 21 15 14 15 13 12 4 Booker - 1 2 1 3 1 3 2 2 Klobuchar 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 Castro 2 - 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 Gabbard 1 1 1 1 1 - 1 - - Delaney - - - - - - - - - Buttigieg 7 5 5 6 4 8 5 10 4 Yang 2 3 1 2 1 1 1 1 - Williamson - 1 - 1 - - - - - Messam - - - - - - - - na Ryan - - - - - 1 - - na Bennet 1 1 - - - - - na na Bullock - 1 - - - - - na na Sestak - - - - - na na na na Steyer - - - - na na na na na de Blasio na 1 - - - - - na na Gillibrand na - - - - - - - - Gravel na na - - - - na na na Hickenlooper na na - - - - - - 1 Inslee na na - - - - - 1 - Moulton na na - - - - - - na Swalwell na na na na - - - - na SMONE ELSE - 1 - - - - - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE 1 2 1 1 3 1 - 2 1 DK/NA 13 9 10 12 12 13 11 8 14

2a. (If candidate chosen q2) Is your mind made up, or do you think you might change your mind before the primary?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS CANDIDATE CHOSEN Q2.......... CANDIDATE OF CHOICE Q2 Tot Biden Warren Mind made up 34% 49% 30% Might change 63 46 68 DK/NA 3 5 3

3. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Would you be excited if - Joe Biden became the Democratic nominee for president in 2020, or not?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Yes/Excited 56% 45% 57% 62% 54% 58% 52% 70% 51% 54% No 35 48 39 28 43 31 41 19 44 36 DK/NA 8 6 4 11 3 11 7 11 5 10 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Yes/Excited 59% 47% 45% 60% 60% 66% 56% 57% 54% No 32 46 48 39 31 24 33 36 43 DK/NA 9 6 7 1 9 10 11 7 3

4. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Would you be excited if - Bernie Sanders became the Democratic nominee for president in 2020, or not?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Yes/Excited 55% 70% 57% 45% 59% 53% 46% 63% 42% 52% No 38 26 39 44 37 38 47 30 54 38 DK/NA 7 5 4 10 4 9 7 8 4 10 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Yes/Excited 54% 56% 73% 60% 55% 35% 60% 54% 49% No 38 36 18 39 39 55 32 41 44 DK/NA 7 7 9 1 6 10 8 5 7

5. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Would you be excited if - Kamala Harris became the Democratic nominee for president in 2020, or not?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Yes/Excited 49% 51% 48% 49% 49% 49% 49% 55% 55% 41% No 36 38 39 33 41 33 37 27 38 37 DK/NA 15 11 14 18 10 18 13 19 7 22 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Yes/Excited 51% 42% 43% 61% 52% 46% 49% 42% 61% No 36 35 32 34 35 42 32 45 31 DK/NA 13 23 25 5 13 12 18 12 8

6. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Would you be excited if - Elizabeth Warren became the Democratic nominee for president in 2020, or not?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Yes/Excited 70% 86% 75% 60% 74% 68% 74% 68% 78% 69% No 18 6 19 23 19 17 18 13 18 19 DK/NA 12 8 6 17 7 15 7 19 4 12 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Yes/Excited 71% 68% 65% 75% 74% 71% 67% 70% 78% No 18 17 17 18 15 21 18 20 17 DK/NA 11 15 18 7 11 7 15 10 5

7. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Would you be excited if - Pete Buttegieg became the Democratic nominee for president in 2020, or not?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Yes/Excited 46% 47% 54% 42% 50% 44% 53% 46% 60% 45% No 36 35 36 37 41 33 31 37 31 31 DK/NA 18 18 11 21 9 23 15 17 9 24 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Yes/Excited 48% 39% 31% 50% 54% 51% 41% 43% 56% No 35 39 41 37 33 36 35 43 37 DK/NA 17 21 28 13 13 13 24 14 7

8. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) In general, do you want to see the Democratic nominee support policies that would result in minor changes but would be easier to pass into law, or do you want to see the Democratic nominee support policies that would result in major changes but would be more difficult to pass into law?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Minor changes/ Easier to pass 42% 18% 50% 52% 41% 42% 44% 38% 46% 40% Major changes/ Difficult to pass 50 71 46 39 53 48 46 59 45 47 DK/NA 9 11 4 9 6 10 10 3 9 12 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Minor changes/ Easier to pass 41% 44% 41% 41% 49% 36% 34% 42% 48% Major changes/ Difficult to pass 50 48 57 51 43 49 56 50 45 DK/NA 9 8 2 8 8 15 10 8 7

9. (If Republican or Republican leaner) How would you feel if Donald Trump was the Republican nominee for president: very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS........................ POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Very satisfied 67% 90% 67% 39% 66% 67% 66% 74% Smwht satisfied 17 6 17 32 20 15 17 17 Smwht dissatisfied 6 1 5 13 5 6 7 4 Very dissatisfied 7 3 4 15 6 9 7 5 DK/NA 3 - 6 1 4 2 3 1 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. Rep RepLn 18-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Very satisfied 71% 52% 52% 76% 77% 63% 68% 65% Smwht satisfied 16 24 24 11 15 19 15 20 Smwht dissatisfied 4 10 9 4 3 6 7 6 Very dissatisfied 7 10 11 7 4 9 6 8 DK/NA 3 4 5 2 1 3 4 1

10. (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Donald Trump, Bill Weld, Joe Walsh, and Mark Sanford, for whom would you vote?

REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS........................ POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... CONSERVATIVE Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Lib Men Wom Yes No Trump 80% 93% 83% 62% 81% 79% 79% 87% Weld 2 - 1 6 1 3 2 - Walsh 2 - 3 5 3 2 3 1 Sanford 2 1 1 5 4 1 4 2 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 - 1 - - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - - 2 1 - 1 1 DK/NA 12 5 12 19 9 15 11 9 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS....... INCOME............. Rep RepLn 18-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Trump 83% 70% 69% 86% 88% 79% 82% 77% Weld 2 2 4 1 1 4 1 2 Walsh 2 3 3 3 - 5 1 2 Sanford 2 2 2 3 1 - 1 5 SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 3 2 - - - 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 - 1 - 1 1 - 1 DK/NA 10 21 18 6 9 10 13 14

TREND: (If Republican or Republican Leaner) If the Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Donald Trump, Bill Weld, Joe Walsh, and Mark Sanford, for whom would you vote?

REPUBLICANS/REPUBLICAN LEANERS Sep 25 Apr 30 2019 2019 Trump 80 84 Weld 2 3 Walsh 2 na Sanford 2 na Hogan na 3 SMONE ELSE 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE 1 1 DK/NA 12 8

11. In the 2020 general election for president, if Donald Trump is the Republican candidate, would you definitely vote for him, consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Definitely vote 33% 78% 2% 20% 36% 30% 33% 49% Consider voting 10 12 2 17 14 7 11 10 Definitely not vote 54 10 95 59 47 61 55 38 DK/NA 3 - 1 4 2 3 1 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Definitely vote 20% 30% 36% 41% 44% 39% 41% 4% 14% Consider voting 14 14 7 6 14 8 11 1 16 Definitely not vote 64 55 53 51 41 51 46 92 66 DK/NA 2 1 3 2 2 2 2 3 4

TREND: In the 2020 general election for president, if Donald Trump is the Republican candidate, would you definitely vote for him, consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?

Def Consdr DefNot Vote Voting Vote DK/NA Sep 25, 2019 33 10 54 3 Jul 29, 2019 32 12 54 3 May 21, 2019 31 12 54 3 Apr 30, 2019 33 13 52 2 Mar 28, 2019 30 13 53 3

12. Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 38% 82% 4% 29% 43% 33% 37% 54% Unfavorable 55 13 93 62 50 60 58 40 Hvn't hrd enough 4 3 3 4 4 3 1 4 REFUSED 3 2 1 5 3 4 3 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 24% 39% 41% 43% 52% 41% 46% 10% 20% Unfavorable 63 56 54 53 44 53 49 82 69 Hvn't hrd enough 8 3 3 1 3 3 3 4 7 REFUSED 5 2 2 2 2 3 2 4 4

TREND: Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Hvn't Fav Unfav HrdEn REF Sep 25, 2019 38 55 4 3 May 21, 2019 38 57 2 3 Jan 15, 2019 41 56 2 2 Dec 19, 2018 40 56 2 2 Feb 21, 2018 37 59 2 2 Jan 17, 2018 38 58 3 1 Oct 11, 2017 39 57 2 2 Sep 27, 2017 36 57 4 2 Aug 23, 2017 36 60 3 2 Aug 17, 2017 39 58 2 1

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13. Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 45% 16% 75% 47% 41% 48% 46% 33% Unfavorable 45 77 16 42 50 40 46 57 Hvn't hrd enough 9 6 8 7 6 10 5 9 REFUSED 2 1 2 3 2 2 3 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 40% 48% 46% 47% 36% 42% 39% 79% 41% Unfavorable 44 43 46 44 57 47 52 15 37 Hvn't hrd enough 14 8 7 5 5 9 7 5 21 REFUSED 1 1 2 3 2 2 2 1 2 DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Favorable 72% 67% 75% 74% 72% 72% 71% 85% 73% 69% Unfavorable 19 28 16 15 20 17 21 8 20 22 Hvn't hrd enough 7 3 7 10 6 8 5 7 4 7 REFUSED 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 - 4 1 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Favorable 75% 66% 55% 79% 75% 83% 68% 75% 77% Unfavorable 16 27 33 17 17 9 19 18 17 Hvn't hrd enough 8 5 12 3 7 5 11 5 4 REFUSED 2 2 - 1 1 3 2 1 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Joe Biden favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Hvn't Fav Unfav HrdEn REF Sep 25, 2019 45 45 9 2 May 21, 2019 49 39 11 2 Dec 19, 2018 53 33 12 2 Jan 17, 2018 53 29 17 1 Sep 24, 2015 50 34 14 1 Aug 27, 2015 48 39 11 1 Jul 30, 2015 49 39 10 2 May 28, 2015 43 41 12 3 Jul 08, 2014 42 44 14 - Dec 11, 2013 37 48 13 2

See additional trend information at top of page, including Democratic/Democratic leaner trends





14. Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 40% 8% 68% 45% 39% 41% 36% 28% Unfavorable 51 86 21 47 55 47 60 62 Hvn't hrd enough 8 5 9 7 5 11 3 9 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 58% 40% 38% 29% 31% 33% 32% 66% 56% Unfavorable 34 51 52 61 66 57 61 17 29 Hvn't hrd enough 7 8 9 8 3 9 6 13 14 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 3 1 DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Favorable 69% 84% 74% 58% 72% 67% 63% 73% 61% 67% Unfavorable 22 13 21 27 22 22 30 12 36 21 Hvn't hrd enough 8 2 5 13 5 10 5 15 1 12 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 - 2 - PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Favorable 68% 70% 85% 71% 67% 55% 69% 72% 65% Unfavorable 21 24 7 26 21 36 17 23 31 Hvn't hrd enough 9 5 7 2 11 9 14 5 2 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 - - 1 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Bernie Sanders favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Hvn't Fav Unfav HrdEn REF Sep 25, 2019 40 51 8 2 May 21, 2019 41 48 8 3 Dec 19, 2018 44 42 12 3 Jan 17, 2018 48 38 13 1 Mar 23, 2016 50 37 12 1 Feb 18, 2016 51 36 12 1 Feb 05, 2016 44 35 19 2 Dec 22, 2015 40 31 28 1 Dec 02, 2015 44 31 24 1 Nov 04, 2015 39 36 24 1

See additional trend information at top of page, including Democratic/Democratic leaner trends





15. Is your opinion of Beto O'Rourke favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 25% 5% 46% 25% 22% 27% 31% 15% Unfavorable 39 62 20 39 52 28 43 47 Hvn't hrd enough 34 32 32 33 24 43 25 37 REFUSED 2 1 2 2 2 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 25% 28% 24% 24% 21% 24% 22% 43% 25% Unfavorable 30 37 44 44 57 35 45 14 39 Hvn't hrd enough 43 35 30 31 21 40 31 41 34 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Favorable 45% 56% 44% 40% 47% 44% 49% 45% 55% 40% Unfavorable 20 16 25 21 30 14 23 12 21 26 Hvn't hrd enough 33 27 31 37 22 39 26 40 23 32 REFUSED 2 1 - 3 1 2 2 2 1 2 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Favorable 46% 42% 40% 52% 45% 48% 40% 43% 58% Unfavorable 20 21 14 21 23 23 18 23 21 Hvn't hrd enough 32 36 45 27 31 29 42 32 20 REFUSED 2 1 1 1 2 1 - 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Beto O'Rourke favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Hvn't Fav Unfav HrdEn REF Sep 25, 2019 25 39 34 2 May 21, 2019 20 32 46 2 Dec 19, 2018 24 20 55 1

See Democratic/Democratic leaner trends in additional trend information at top of page





16. Is your opinion of Kamala Harris favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 27% 6% 54% 23% 25% 30% 35% 18% Unfavorable 39 65 15 37 49 30 40 43 Hvn't hrd enough 32 28 28 37 25 39 23 38 REFUSED 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 21% 32% 29% 30% 25% 27% 26% 46% 23% Unfavorable 29 37 40 45 52 33 42 20 34 Hvn't hrd enough 49 30 28 23 21 39 31 31 42 REFUSED 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 3 1 DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Favorable 51% 56% 55% 47% 53% 49% 57% 50% 63% 48% Unfavorable 17 26 13 13 21 14 14 15 17 11 Hvn't hrd enough 30 17 32 37 24 34 28 31 18 41 REFUSED 2 - - 4 1 2 1 3 2 - PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Favorable 54% 40% 32% 60% 55% 59% 48% 47% 66% Unfavorable 15 22 18 18 14 18 16 22 13 Hvn't hrd enough 28 36 50 19 28 21 35 30 20 REFUSED 2 3 - 2 3 2 1 2 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Kamala Harris favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

Hvn't Fav Unfav HrdEn REF Sep 25, 2019 27 39 32 2 May 21, 2019 27 30 41 1 Dec 19, 2018 20 22 57 -

See Democratic/Democratic leaner trends in additional trend information at top of page





17. Is your opinion of Elizabeth Warren favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 39% 6% 74% 43% 38% 40% 46% 27% Unfavorable 41 77 9 37 49 33 43 51 Hvn't hrd enough 19 17 15 18 12 25 10 22 REFUSED 1 - 2 2 1 1 2 - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 39% 39% 40% 43% 33% 38% 36% 60% 43% Unfavorable 29 44 42 45 54 41 47 16 27 Hvn't hrd enough 31 17 17 11 11 21 16 21 30 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 2 - DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Favorable 74% 87% 76% 67% 81% 70% 80% 71% 84% 73% Unfavorable 10 6 9 12 13 8 10 4 11 9 Hvn't hrd enough 15 6 15 19 6 21 9 22 3 17 REFUSED 1 - - 2 - 2 1 3 2 - PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Favorable 74% 74% 66% 78% 75% 81% 67% 78% 84% Unfavorable 9 12 8 17 6 10 10 10 11 Hvn't hrd enough 15 14 26 5 19 6 21 11 4 REFUSED 2 1 - 1 1 3 1 1 1

TREND: Is your opinion of Elizabeth Warren favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

Hvn't Fav Unfav HrdEn REF Sep 25, 2019 39 41 19 1 May 21, 2019 32 41 25 2 Dec 19, 2018 30 37 31 2 Jul 08, 2014 24 15 61 - Dec 11, 2013 17 19 63 1

See Democratic/Democratic leaner trends in additional trend information at top of page





18. Is your opinion of Cory Booker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 25% 3% 49% 26% 23% 26% 30% 16% Unfavorable 36 61 15 32 45 28 38 41 Hvn't hrd enough 38 35 36 41 31 45 31 42 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 20% 22% 28% 28% 22% 24% 23% 44% 19% Unfavorable 23 34 40 42 48 33 40 23 29 Hvn't hrd enough 56 43 31 28 30 42 36 32 51 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Favorable 47% 56% 46% 41% 49% 45% 51% 47% 57% 43% Unfavorable 16 17 17 15 20 13 18 15 18 19 Hvn't hrd enough 37 26 37 42 30 41 29 38 24 37 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Favorable 49% 40% 36% 45% 51% 55% 38% 47% 66% Unfavorable 15 18 8 18 18 20 15 18 14 Hvn't hrd enough 36 40 55 36 31 24 46 35 20 REFUSED 1 2 1 1 - 1 1 1 -

TREND: Is your opinion of Cory Booker favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Hvn't Fav Unfav HrdEn REF Sep 25, 2019 25 36 38 1 May 21, 2019 23 31 45 1 Dec 19, 2018 22 26 51 1

See Democratic/Democratic leaner trends in additional trend information at top of page





19. Is your opinion of Amy Klobuchar favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 20% 6% 36% 20% 18% 22% 29% 12% Unfavorable 25 42 13 21 31 20 25 28 Hvn't hrd enough 54 52 50 57 51 57 46 58 REFUSED 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 9% 19% 23% 26% 19% 21% 20% 24% 14% Unfavorable 19 22 28 30 32 22 27 17 24 Hvn't hrd enough 72 57 48 42 49 55 52 58 60 REFUSED - 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 2 DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Favorable 35% 38% 42% 31% 34% 36% 42% 26% 50% 33% Unfavorable 13 20 19 7 17 11 14 11 14 13 Hvn't hrd enough 51 41 39 61 48 52 43 62 35 54 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 - PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Favorable 36% 33% 15% 34% 43% 48% 30% 31% 45% Unfavorable 13 15 16 12 13 11 13 13 13 Hvn't hrd enough 50 51 69 53 44 38 56 55 40 REFUSED 1 1 - 1 - 2 - 1 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Amy Klobuchar favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

Hvn't Fav Unfav HrdEn REF Sep 25, 2019 20 25 54 1 May 21, 2019 16 19 64 1

See Democratic/Democratic leaner trends in additional trend information at top of page





20. Is your opinion of Pete Buttigieg favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 28% 7% 50% 29% 27% 28% 40% 21% Unfavorable 28 50 11 24 36 22 27 33 Hvn't hrd enough 43 43 38 45 36 49 33 46 REFUSED 1 - 1 2 1 1 - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 21% 28% 31% 32% 29% 32% 30% 30% 15% Unfavorable 18 25 30 37 36 24 30 16 27 Hvn't hrd enough 60 46 38 31 34 44 39 51 57 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 - - 4 1 DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Favorable 50% 60% 57% 43% 58% 46% 64% 35% 72% 53% Unfavorable 11 13 9 11 14 9 8 13 8 8 Hvn't hrd enough 37 26 33 44 27 43 28 48 20 39 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 1 2 1 4 1 - PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Favorable 50% 52% 34% 51% 58% 60% 38% 53% 68% Unfavorable 11 10 11 12 9 13 14 10 11 Hvn't hrd enough 38 35 53 35 31 26 49 34 21 REFUSED 1 2 1 2 2 - - 3 - TREND: Is your opinion of Pete Buttigieg favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? Hvn't Fav Unfav HrdEn REF Sep 25, 2019 28 28 43 1 May 21, 2019 23 19 57 1

See Democratic/Democratic leaner trends in additional trend information at top of page





21. Is your opinion of Julian Castro favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 15% 3% 30% 13% 15% 15% 18% 8% Unfavorable 34 51 21 32 42 28 37 39 Hvn't hrd enough 50 45 48 53 42 56 44 52 REFUSED 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 10% 17% 21% 13% 13% 12% 13% 29% 21% Unfavorable 21 31 35 47 45 32 38 20 21 Hvn't hrd enough 68 52 43 39 41 54 48 49 58 REFUSED - 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 - DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Favorable 27% 45% 26% 19% 32% 24% 29% 30% 34% 22% Unfavorable 20 16 18 24 22 19 24 20 26 20 Hvn't hrd enough 51 39 56 55 45 55 47 48 38 58 REFUSED 1 - - 2 - 2 1 2 2 - PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Favorable 30% 21% 17% 31% 40% 25% 22% 27% 35% Unfavorable 21 19 9 23 19 29 15 21 25 Hvn't hrd enough 48 59 73 46 39 45 62 52 39 REFUSED 1 1 - - 2 1 1 - -

22. Is your opinion of Andrew Yang favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 20% 7% 30% 22% 23% 17% 23% 12% Unfavorable 27 42 17 23 32 23 31 33 Hvn't hrd enough 52 51 51 54 44 58 44 54 REFUSED 1 - 1 1 1 1 2 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 22% 26% 19% 15% 20% 15% 17% 28% 25% Unfavorable 19 24 29 35 36 29 32 14 15 Hvn't hrd enough 58 49 51 49 42 56 49 56 60 REFUSED 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 - DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Favorable 31% 35% 32% 29% 35% 29% 33% 30% 36% 29% Unfavorable 18 17 21 17 21 16 23 11 26 19 Hvn't hrd enough 49 46 47 52 43 54 43 56 37 52 REFUSED 1 1 - 2 1 1 1 3 2 - PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Favorable 30% 37% 31% 39% 32% 26% 29% 35% 32% Unfavorable 17 19 12 20 18 22 13 19 27 Hvn't hrd enough 51 44 56 41 48 51 58 46 40 REFUSED 1 1 - - 2 2 - - 1

23. Is your opinion of Tom Steyer favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Favorable 7% 2% 12% 9% 9% 6% 8% 5% Unfavorable 22 34 15 19 28 17 26 25 Hvn't hrd enough 69 64 71 71 62 75 65 70 REFUSED 1 - 2 2 1 1 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Favorable 3% 8% 8% 9% 8% 5% 6% 13% 3% Unfavorable 15 23 23 29 29 22 25 11 22 Hvn't hrd enough 82 68 67 61 63 72 67 74 74 REFUSED - - 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Favorable 13% 14% 8% 14% 18% 11% 14% 15% 17% 11% Unfavorable 14 17 15 13 19 12 18 8 22 13 Hvn't hrd enough 70 68 76 69 62 75 65 75 60 73 REFUSED 2 1 - 4 1 2 2 2 2 3 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Favorable 12% 17% 4% 18% 14% 17% 13% 14% 15% Unfavorable 15 14 12 18 12 18 12 13 19 Hvn't hrd enough 71 66 84 63 72 63 74 72 64 REFUSED 2 2 - 1 2 2 1 1 1

24. As you may know, the youngest someone can be in order to serve as President of the United States is 35 years old. Would you support or oppose limiting the oldest someone can be to serve as president?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 41% 41% 41% 41% 39% 42% 36% 45% Oppose 52 51 52 53 55 49 57 47 DK/NA 8 8 7 7 6 9 7 8 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Support 44% 43% 42% 36% 37% 43% 40% 47% 40% Oppose 49 49 52 53 59 47 52 45 53 DK/NA 7 8 6 11 4 10 7 8 7

25. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 40% 85% 5% 32% 46% 35% 40% 55% Disapprove 55 11 94 61 49 61 57 41 DK/NA 5 3 2 7 5 4 3 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 30% 40% 44% 43% 54% 43% 48% 7% 29% Disapprove 64 56 53 53 43 53 48 89 65 DK/NA 6 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 6

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

App Dis DK/NA Sep 25, 2019 40 55 5 Aug 28, 2019 38 56 6 Jul 29, 2019 40 54 6 Jun 11, 2019 42 53 5 May 21, 2019 38 57 5 May 02, 2019 41 55 5 Mar 26, 2019 39 55 5 Mar 05, 2019 38 55 6 Jan 29, 2019 38 57 5 Jan 15, 2019 41 55 3

See additional trend information at top of page





25a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q25) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve strongly 29% 67% 2% 18% 33% 25% 27% 41% Approve smwht 11 18 2 14 13 10 13 14 Disapprove smwht 7 6 6 9 5 9 6 8 Disapprove strongly 48 5 87 51 43 52 51 33 DK/NA 5 3 2 7 6 5 4 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve strongly 16% 25% 34% 34% 38% 31% 35% 7% 16% Approve smwht 13 15 10 8 15 12 13 - 14 Disapprove smwht 12 7 4 6 5 8 7 11 3 Disapprove strongly 52 49 48 47 37 45 41 76 62 DK/NA 7 4 4 5 4 4 4 6 6

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?

APPROVE...... DISAPPROVE..... Strngly Smwht Smwht Strngly DK/NA Sep 25, 2019 29 11 7 48 5 Aug 28, 2019 27 11 5 50 6 Jul 29, 2019 28 12 7 47 7 Jun 11, 2019 29 13 7 46 5 May 21, 2019 28 10 8 48 5 May 02, 2019 30 10 8 46 6 Mar 26, 2019 28 11 8 47 6 Mar 05, 2019 28 9 9 46 8 Jan 29, 2019 29 9 6 50 5 Jan 15, 2019 33 8 5 50 4

See additional trend information at top of page





26. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Very satisfied 15% 36% 2% 7% 18% 12% 15% 21% Smwht satisfied 25 40 8 26 27 23 25 31 Smwht dissatisfied 22 15 24 26 23 20 20 21 Very dissatisfied 37 8 66 38 31 43 39 27 DK/NA 2 1 - 3 2 2 1 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Very satisfied 6% 14% 19% 18% 21% 15% 18% 6% 7% Smwht satisfied 24 30 23 21 29 27 28 7 23 Smwht dissatisfied 31 19 19 18 22 19 20 27 29 Very dissatisfied 37 36 38 42 27 38 33 61 39 DK/NA 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 - 2

TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in the nation today; are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?

Very Smwht Smwht Very sat sat dis dis DK/NA Sep 25, 2019 15 25 22 37 2 Aug 28, 2019 14 22 22 39 3 Jan 15, 2019 10 27 23 39 1 Dec 18, 2018 13 28 22 35 2 Sep 10, 2018 15 26 20 37 2 Jun 06, 2018 8 29 26 36 1 Feb 20, 2018 8 21 22 47 1 Jan 18, 2018 9 31 22 37 1 Dec 20, 2017 7 26 24 43 1 Nov 22, 2017 7 25 29 38 1

See additional trend information at top of page





27. What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?

Tot Politicians Total 16% Politicians/Government 1 President Trump/Trump Admin. 7 Democrats/Liberals 3 Political Gridlock/Division 2 Political corruption 2 Politicians other 1 Immigration Total 14% Immigration general 9 Illegal immigration 4 Border security/Wall 2 Environment Total 8% Climate Change 7 Environment/Pollution 1 Economy Total 6% Economy general 4 Unemployment/Jobs 1 Economy other 1 Healthcare 6% Divided country/People/Hatred 5% Foreign Affairs Total 5% Foreign affairs/policy general 2 Trade Issues/China/Tariffs 1 Middle East 1 Racism/Race relations 3% Crime Total 3% Crime/Violence general 1 Mass shootings/Gun violence 1 Drugs 1 Gun control 2% Class/Income inequality 2% Terrorism 2% The media/News/Fake news 2% Abortion 1% Budget 1% Education 1% Lack of ethics/Morality 1% Lack of religion 1% Partisanship 1% Poverty/Homeless 1% Socialism 1% War 1% Other 12% DK/NA 5% DEMS/DEM LEANERS Politicians Total 19% President Trump/Trump Admin. 13 Political corruption 2 Political Gridlock/Division 1 Lack of Political Leadership 1 Republicans/Conservatives 1 Campaign finance reform 1 Politicians other 1 Environment Total 15% Climate Change 14 Environment/Pollution 1 Healthcare 9% Immigration 7% Economy Total 6% Economy general 3 Unemployment/Jobs 2 Economy other 1 Divided country/People/Hatred 5% Racism/Race relations 5% Gun control 4% Class/Income inequality 3% Foreign Affairs 3% Crime Total 2% Crime/Violence general 1 Mass shootings/Gun violence 1 Terrorism 2% Education 1% Lack of ethics/Morality 1% Partisanship 1% Poverty/Homeless 1% War 1% Other 11% DK/NA 4%

(Results may not add to 100% due to rounding)





27a. (If answered most important problem q27) Which party do you think would do the best job handling that problem: the Democratic party or the Republican party?

ANSWERED MOST IMPORTANT PROBLEM Q27........................ WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Democratic party 47% 6% 90% 50% 41% 53% 52% 31% Republican party 37 83 4 26 43 33 36 54 DK/NA 15 11 7 24 16 15 13 15 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Democratic party 54% 47% 47% 45% 37% 45% 41% 74% 60% Republican party 26 34 42 42 48 42 45 6 31 DK/NA 19 19 11 13 15 14 14 20 9

28. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - the economy?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 48% 92% 9% 46% 55% 42% 48% 63% Disapprove 47 7 86 49 41 53 48 32 DK/NA 5 1 5 5 4 5 3 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 39% 50% 51% 50% 62% 51% 56% 15% 33% Disapprove 53 48 46 46 35 44 40 80 60 DK/NA 7 2 4 5 2 6 4 4 7

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the economy?

App Dis DK/NA Sep 25, 2019 48 47 5 Aug 28, 2019 46 49 5 May 21, 2019 48 45 7 Mar 05, 2019 49 45 7 Jan 29, 2019 46 51 3 Jan 15, 2019 49 48 4 Nov 20, 2018 53 42 5 Jul 24, 2018 49 47 5 Jul 03, 2018 50 45 5 Jun 20, 2018 51 45 5

See additional trend information at top of page





29. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - foreign policy?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 37% 81% 3% 29% 45% 30% 37% 52% Disapprove 57 14 92 64 51 62 58 42 DK/NA 6 4 4 7 4 8 5 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 25% 37% 41% 41% 53% 38% 45% 8% 21% Disapprove 66 58 55 53 44 54 49 89 68 DK/NA 8 5 4 6 3 8 6 3 10

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling foreign policy?

App Dis DK/NA Sep 25, 2019 37 57 6 Aug 28, 2019 38 56 6 May 21, 2019 37 58 6 Mar 05, 2019 38 56 6 Jan 29, 2019 37 58 5 Jan 15, 2019 40 56 4 Nov 20, 2018 42 53 6 Jul 24, 2018 38 58 4 Jul 03, 2018 43 53 4 Jun 20, 2018 44 53 3

See additional trend information at top of page





30. Do you believe President Trump has too friendly of an attitude towards allies of the United States, too unfriendly of an attitude towards U.S. allies, or has about the right attitude towards U.S. allies?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Too friendly 6% 4% 8% 7% 5% 8% 4% 6% Too unfriendly 43 8 75 48 42 45 49 29 Right attitude 44 84 11 38 48 40 43 58 DK/NA 7 4 7 7 5 8 4 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Too friendly 10% 5% 6% 5% 3% 7% 5% 10% 12% Too unfriendly 46 46 44 41 38 39 39 65 50 Right attitude 36 44 46 46 56 47 51 14 31 DK/NA 8 5 5 7 4 7 5 10 8

TREND: Do you believe President Trump has too friendly of an attitude towards allies of the United States, too unfriendly of an attitude towards U.S. allies, or has about the right attitude towards U.S. allies?

Too Too Right frndly unfrndl att DK/NA Sep 25, 2019 6 43 44 7 Jun 20, 2018 5 47 45 4

31. Do you believe President Trump has too friendly of an attitude towards adversaries of the United States, too unfriendly of an attitude towards adversaries, or has about the right attitude towards U.S. adversaries?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Too friendly 39% 8% 69% 45% 38% 41% 45% 28% Too unfriendly 11 4 16 11 9 12 8 7 Right attitude 41 84 7 34 47 37 42 55 DK/NA 8 4 8 10 6 11 5 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Too friendly 36% 43% 42% 40% 34% 38% 36% 56% 48% Too unfriendly 18 12 9 8 7 8 8 22 15 Right attitude 33 42 43 44 54 45 49 12 27 DK/NA 13 4 6 8 5 9 7 10 10

TREND: Do you believe President Trump has too friendly of an attitude towards adversaries of the United States, too unfriendly of an attitude towards adversaries, or has about the right attitude towards U.S. adversaries?

Too Too Right frndly unfrndl att DK/NA Sep 25, 2019 39 11 41 8 Jun 20, 2018 37 11 45 7

32. Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Excellent 16% 36% 1% 13% 20% 13% 19% 19% Good 43 49 36 45 48 38 47 48 Not so good 28 10 44 29 22 32 27 21 Poor 11 3 16 11 7 14 6 10 DK/NA 2 1 3 2 2 3 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Excellent 7% 13% 20% 22% 23% 16% 19% 4% 8% Good 42 46 40 43 54 41 47 28 35 Not so good 35 27 26 25 17 31 24 38 39 Poor 13 13 11 9 5 11 8 26 13 DK/NA 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 4 6

TREND: Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as excellent, good, not so good, or poor?

Not so Exclnt Good Good Poor DK/NA Sep 25, 2019 16 43 28 11 2 Aug 28, 2019 18 43 27 10 2 Jun 11, 2019 19 51 20 8 1 May 21, 2019 22 49 20 8 1 Jan 15, 2019 15 49 26 9 2 Dec 18, 2018 14 51 25 10 1 Sep 10, 2018 21 49 20 8 3 Aug 14, 2018 15 52 23 9 2 Jun 06, 2018 13 49 26 11 2 Apr 11, 2018 9 51 27 12 1

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33. Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Better 32% 65% 4% 26% 34% 30% 33% 42% Worse 33 7 56 37 30 36 35 23 The same 33 27 39 35 34 33 31 32 DK/NA 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Better 24% 28% 36% 36% 38% 38% 38% 7% 19% Worse 44 32 30 29 25 32 29 48 43 The same 30 38 34 32 35 28 32 44 37 DK/NA 2 1 1 3 1 2 2 1 2

TREND: Do you think the nation's economy is getting better, getting worse, or staying about the same?

Better Worse Same DK/NA Sep 25, 2019 32 33 33 2 Aug 28, 2019 31 37 30 2 Jun 11, 2019 39 23 37 2 Aug 14, 2018 45 21 31 3 Mar 07, 2018 42 21 35 2 Aug 17, 2017 43 15 39 2 Jun 28, 2017 37 19 42 2 May 10, 2017 36 21 41 1 Apr 20, 2017 34 16 49 2 Apr 04, 2017 32 16 48 4

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34. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially today than you were in 2016?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Better off 50% 79% 27% 49% 57% 44% 54% 57% Worse off 25 6 41 24 19 31 23 22 SAME(VOL) 22 12 31 24 21 23 21 19 DK/NA 3 3 2 3 2 3 3 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Better off 61% 55% 47% 40% 64% 47% 55% 32% 42% Worse off 26 23 27 26 16 28 22 38 32 SAME(VOL) 10 20 23 33 18 22 20 30 24 DK/NA 3 1 3 1 2 4 3 - 2

TREND: Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially today than you were in 2016?

Better Worse off off SAME DK/NA Sep 25, 2019 50 25 22 3 May 21, 2019 52 21 23 4

35. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) Which comes closer to your point of view: the best way to handle health care is to keep the current private health insurance system and build on Obamacare, or the best way to handle health care is to replace the current private health insurance system with a Medicare for All system?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Keep current/ Build on Obamacare 44% 26% 46% 53% 40% 46% 44% 50% 50% 35% Replace current w/ Medicare for All 49 67 48 39 54 45 49 40 45 53 NEITHER(VOL) 2 1 2 2 2 2 3 - 3 3 DK/NA 6 6 5 6 4 7 5 9 2 9 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Keep current/ Build on Obamacare 44% 42% 23% 44% 46% 61% 33% 50% 49% Replace current w/ Medicare for All 47 53 73 50 42 32 59 44 43 NEITHER(VOL) 2 2 1 - 2 4 1 3 1 DK/NA 7 3 2 6 10 4 7 3 6

36. (If Democrat or Democratic leaner) If you had to choose, who would you trust more when it comes to your health care: a private health insurance company or a government health insurance program?

DEMOCRATS/DEMOCRATIC LEANERS....................................... POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY WHITE...... LIBERAL..... Mod/ COLLEGE DEG Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Blk Yes No Private insurance 29% 12% 31% 38% 27% 31% 26% 39% 22% 32% Government program 55 73 53 47 62 50 56 54 60 50 DK/NA 16 15 16 16 11 19 18 7 18 19 PARTYID..... AGE IN YRS.............. INCOME............. Dem DemLn 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Private insurance 28% 32% 30% 34% 29% 25% 30% 30% 23% Government program 55 55 57 56 53 57 55 57 60 DK/NA 17 12 13 11 18 18 15 13 17

37. Do you think that President Trump should be impeached and removed from office, or don't you think so?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Impeached 37% 4% 73% 34% 32% 43% 36% 25% No 57 95 21 58 64 51 61 69 DK/NA 6 2 6 8 4 7 3 6 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Impeached 40% 36% 40% 37% 26% 33% 30% 68% 52% No 50 60 57 59 70 61 65 23 45 DK/NA 10 4 4 4 4 6 5 9 3

38. As you may know, the U.S. House of Representatives has passed a bill that would require background checks on all gun sales, including those at gun shows and through online retailers. Do you support or oppose this bill?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Support 83% 71% 96% 85% 76% 88% 86% 79% Oppose 14 25 3 11 20 8 10 17 DK/NA 4 5 1 5 4 3 4 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Support 86% 79% 84% 85% 77% 87% 82% 97% 75% Oppose 13 19 13 10 19 10 14 3 24 DK/NA 1 2 3 5 4 3 4 - - GUN......... HsHld Owner Support 78% 72% Oppose 18 23 DK/NA 4 4

TREND: As you may know, the U.S. House of Representatives has passed a bill that would require background checks on all gun sales, including those at gun shows and through online retailers. Do you support or oppose this bill?