Here are the Local ridings that are in play on Monday night:

ST. BONIFACE-ST. VITAL

When Shelly Glover announced in the spring she wouldn’t run again, many assumed Liberal candidate Dan Vandal would ultimately be the beneficiary of that decision. Six months later, there’s been little to suggest that initial assessment was wrong. Francois Catellier is running for the Tories, while former Southdale MLA Erin Selby is running for the NDP.

WINNIPEG SOUTH CENTRE

One-term MP Joyce Bateman is on shaky ground, as the Liberals machine has worked hard to take back the riding from the Conservatives for candidate Jim Carr. Well-regarded teacher Matt Henderson is running for the NDP.

WINNIPEG SOUTH

Gordon Giesbrecht’s chances of retaining the riding for the Tories were already on thin ice when a years-old video emerged of the professor comparing abortions to 9/11 and the holocaust. Liberal Terry Duguid, ever the bridesmaid in previous federal runs, may finally have a federal election night worth remembering.

WINNIPEG CENTRE

The one city race without a Tory in the mix to win has undoubtedly been the most interesting, as loudmouth NDP incumbent Pat Martin tries to hold on to the job he’s had for the past 18 years. Former mayoral contender turned Liberal Robert-Falcon Ouellette is telling anyone who will listen that the riding is his to win on Monday night.

KILDONAN-ST. PAUL

Tory Jim Bell, Liberal MaryAnn Mihychuk, and NDP’er Suzanne Hrynyk do battle for the right to replace outgoing area MP Joy Smith. Other races have gotten more headlines, but a Conservative win here isn’t quite a certainty.

ELMWOOD-TRANSCONA

The NDP entrusted Bill Blaikie’s son, Daniel, to bring this riding back into the fold, after Tory Lawrence Toet won it away four years ago. At least one poll suggested this race might end up being the closest of the night in this province.

CHARLESWOOD-St. JAMES-ASSINIBOIA-HEADINGLEY

After the NDP punted its local candidate from the race, Liberal Doug Eyolfson’s campaign began suggesting the move will unite the anyone-but-Harper voters behind their candidate, bolstering their chances of taking out longtime Conservative incumbent Steven Fletcher. If the Tories can’t win here, they likely haven’t won a single riding in Winnipeg.

WINNIPEG NORTH

Kevin Lamoureux managed to find a way to win this riding when the Liberals weren’t popular. Now that they’re poised to possibly win government again? He’ll be fine.

WHAT CONSTITUTES SUCCESS?

Regardless of what happens nationally, the campaigns of the three main parties all have different goals for success in Manitoba.

It will be a good night for Manitoba CONSERVATIVES if they can limit the damage. Losing St. Boniface-St. Vital or Winnipeg South Centre would hurt. But if that’s all the party loses in Manitoba, that’s a pretty good night for a decade-old government led by a guy two-thirds of the country hates. It would be a disaster if the party loses both of those ridings, plus suffer more genuine upsets in places like Winnipeg South and Kildonan-St. Paul.

It will be a good night for Manitoba LIBERALS if they don’t just re-open the door in Winnipeg, but kick it down. The Liberals will almost assuredly end the day with more Manitoba seats than when it began, it’s just a question of how many. Winning only an extra seat or two would probably be considered less of a victory than it would a wasted opportunity.

It will be a good night for Manitoba NEW DEMOCRATS if Pat Martin hangs on in Winnipeg Centre and Daniel Blaikie finds a way to win back Elmwood-Transcona for the party. It will not be a good sign for the party’s provincial government if both candidates come up short.