Democratic primary: Sanders’ approval ratings match to pre-election and exit polls indicate fraud

Richard Charnin

June 8, 2016

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll

LINKS TO POSTS

Democratic Primaries spread sheet

Recommended reading: election fraud-Nina Illingworth

This brief post will provide further evidence that Sanders is leading the total primary vote. It is based on the historical fact that approval ratings are highly correlated to national pre-election polls, exit polls and vote shares.

Clinton is leading by approximately 3 million votes (56-44%). But she has a 42% favorability rating. It is highly anomalous and counter-intuitive when compared to Sanders 49% rating. Clinton’s declining ratings are a source of worry for the DNC.

Current polls show that Sanders does better than Clinton against Trump.

Sanders vs. Trump Clinton vs. Trump

Clinton favorable/unfavorable ratings – Real Clear Politics

In a previous post, the True Vote was estimated from actual caucus votes, exit polls, estimated manipulation of voter rolls, absentee and provisional ballots. Sanders leads by 51.5-48.5% (800,000 votes). https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/2016/05/28/democratic-primaries-is-clinton-leading-by-3-million-votes/

Sanders exit poll share exceeded his recorded share in 24 of the 26 primaries exit polled. The probability is 1 in 190,000. The difference between his exit poll share and recorded share exceeded the margin of error in 11 primaries. The probability is 1 in 77 billion.

Sanders won 13 of 14 caucuses with an average 65.4% vote share and 9 of 36 primaries with a 43.9% average share. The probability of the 21.5% difference occurring by chance is 2.27% (the probability of election fraud is 97.73%).

Prob = 97.73% =normsdist (ZS), where ZS = 2.00 = .21/ sqrt(.135/36 +.109/14)

.135 is the standard deviation for the primaries

.109 is the standard deviation for the caucuses

Current polls show that Sanders does better than Clinton against Trump.

Sanders vs. Trump Clinton vs. Trump

2004 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

In the 2004 election, the Bush approval rating trend was highly correlated (0.87) to his monthly pre-election polls.

The UNADJUSTED STATE EXIT POLLS tracked closely to the STATE APPROVAL RATINGS. There was a near-perfect 0.99 CORRELATION between the polls and approval ratings.