Richard Charnin

Nov. 23, 2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll

LINKS TO POSTS

This is an analysis of four election scenarios.

1. Gallup Party-ID and True Vote Model (TVM) vote shares

2. Gallup Party-ID and National Exit Poll (NEP) vote shares

3. NEP Party-ID and NEP vote shares

4. NEP Party-ID and TVM vote shares

It is a FACT: the Reported vote is NEVER equal to the True Vote. The pundits always brainwash the public into assuming that the Reported vote represents True voter intent.

The National Exit Poll is always forced to match the Reported vote (view Scenario 3).

NEP Party-ID is 36D-33R-31I.

Clinton leads Trump by 2.03 million votes: 47.7-46.2%.

Others (including Johnson and Stein) have just 6.1% combined. Stein has 1%.

The True Vote Model (Scenario 1) uses Gallup Party-ID: 40I-32D-28R.

Trump leads Clinton by 2.18 million votes: 45.7-44.0%. How many of the Other 10.3% voted for Jill Stein? Surely more than 1%. Probably close to 5%.

It is clear that the third party vote is a key factor. Jill Stein had an implausibly low 1% share. Where did her votes go? Compare Trump’s 2.18 million True Vote margin in Scenario 1, in which third parties had 10.3%, to his negative margins in scenarios 2 and 3 where third parties had 6-7%. The differential indicates that Stein did better than 1%. Her votes were stolen.

Exit poll discrepancies: http://tdmsresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/2016-Presidential-Election-Table_Nov-17.-2016.jpg

True Vote Sensitivity Analysis: Calculate Trump’s vote margins over a range of his shares of Republicans and Independents.

1. Gallup/TVM Party-ID Clinton Trump Other Dem 32% 89% 9% 2% Rep 28% 7% 90% 3% Ind 40% 34% 44% 22% TVM Total 100% 44.0% 45.7% 10.3% Votes (mil) 133.26 58.69 60.87 13.70 2. Gallup/NEP Party-ID Clinton Trump Other Dem 32% 89% 8% 3% Rep 28% 8% 88% 4% Ind 40% 42% 46% 12% Total 100% 47.5% 45.6% 6.9% Votes (mil) 133.26 63.33 60.77 9.17 3. NEP/NEP Party-ID Clinton Trump Other Dem 36% 89% 8% 3% Rep 33% 8% 88% 4% Ind 31% 42% 46% 12% Total 100% 47.7% 46.2% 6.1% Votes (mil) 133.26 63.57 61.54 8.16 4. NEP/TVM Party-ID Clinton Trump Other Dem 36% 89% 9% 2% Rep 33% 7% 90% 3% Ind 31% 34% 44% 22% Total 100% 44.9% 46.6% 8.5% Votes (mil) 133.26 59.82 62.07 11.37

True Vote Model Sensitivity Analysis

Scenario 1 Trump % Rep Trump 85.0% 87.0% 89.0% 91.0% 93.0% % Ind Trump 48% 46.2% 46.7% 47.3% 47.8% 48.4% 44% 44.6% 45.1% 45.7% 46.2% 46.8% 40% 43.0% 43.5% 44.1% 44.6% 45.2% Clinton 48% 43.6% 43.0% 42.4% 41.9% 41.3% 44% 45.2% 44.6% 44.0% 43.5% 42.9% 40% 46.8% 46.2% 45.6% 45.1% 44.5% Share Margin 48% 2.6% 3.7% 4.8% 6.0% 7.1% 44% -0.6% 0.5% 1.6% 2.8% 3.9% 40% -3.8% -2.7% -1.6% -0.4% 0.7% Vote (000) Margin 48% 3.5 5.0 6.4 7.9 9.4 44% -0.8 0.7 2.2 3.7 5.2 40% -5.1 -3.6 -2.1 -0.6 0.9

Summary Comparison (based on Party-ID)

Unadjusted Exit Poll Reported Vote True Vote Vote Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Avg 48.4% 45.8% 46.1% 49.6% 44.6% 48.4% Diff -2.6% 3.5% 3.9% OH 47.0% 47.1% 43.5% 52.1% 43.9% 51.4% NC* 48.6% 46.5% 46.7% 50.5% 45.9% 46.6% NJ 59.8% 35.8% 55.0% 41.8% 44.6% 46.4% PA* 50.5% 46.1% 47.7% 48.8% 47.8% 45.8% MI 46.8% 46.8% 47.5% 47.7% 45.3% 47.8% MO 42.8% 51.2% 38.0% 57.1% 41.5% 51.7% IA 44.1% 48.0% 42.2% 51.8% 41.1% 50.6% FL * 47.7% 46.4% 47.8% 49.1% 45.9% 47.7% WI * 48.2% 44.3% 46.9% 47.9% 48.2% 45.2% Share of Indep-endents Unadjusted Exit Poll Reported Vote True Vote Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Avg 47.3% 40.3% 39.2% 53.1% 36.1% 50.2% Diff -7.0% 13.9% 14.1% OH 50.0% 34.0% 38.0% 52.0% 38.0% 52.0% NC 44.0% 44.0% 38.5% 56.0% 35.0% 49.0% NJ 67.0% 28.0% 51.0% 48.0% 36.0% 52.0% PA 50.0% 43.0% 36.0% 56.0% 32.0% 53.0% MI 32.0% 52.7% 35.0% 56.3% 45.0% 56.3% MO 45.0% 40.0% 28.0% 62.0% 39.0% 45.0% IA 42.0% 41.0% 35.0% 51.0% 35.0% 51.0% FL 48.0% 43.0% 48.0% 50.5% 32.0% 53.0% WI 48.0% 37.0% 43.0% 46.0% 43.0% 46.0%