Washington (CNN) The election is coming! The election is coming!

Two weeks from today, the country will head to the polls and offer us the first nationwide report card -- not just on President Donald Trump, but also the Republican and Democratic parties.

So at this point, what do we know? And what do we know we don't know? Here's my attempt to answer both of the questions.

1. History is on the side of Democrats. Since the Civil War, there have only been three midterm elections in which the president's party didn't lose seats in the House. THREE! Could this be the fourth? Sure. But it's not the likeliest outcome -- especially when you consider Trump's approval rating is in the mid-40s. Historically, that means losses of 30+ seats for the president's party.

2. Women are energized. And not for Trump. In the . And not for Trump. In the 69 battleground House districts identified by The Washington Post , women are going for the Democratic candidate over the Republican candidate by 13 points. That's especially meaningful when you consider that of the 69 districts, 48 of them were carried by Trump in the 2016 election.

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