Article content

Despite a recent poll surge that put the NDP ahead of the Tories, Thomas Mulcair’s party is now tied with the Conservatives, according to a new Forum Poll for the National Post.

The poll has the NDP and Tories neck-and-neck with 35% of the national vote, with the Liberals on 19% followed by the Bloc Quebecois (6%) and the Green party (3%).

We apologize, but this video has failed to load.

tap here to see other videos from our team. Try refreshing your browser, or Surging Tories escape omnibus backlash as poll shows NDP support is stalling Back to video

The new data suggests the NDP has lost traction since mid-June when the party claimed on 37% of the vote. The Tories, however, rose in popularity to 35% from 30% mid-month, suggesting any backlash over the controversial omnibus budget bill, which was passed last month in a marathon session of parliament, was short-lived.

[np-related]

If these predictions held true on Election Day, the Conservatives would capture a minority government with 144 seats — 17 more seats than the NDP’s 127. The Liberals would take 32 seats and the Bloc Quebecois four.

The Green Party would retain its one seat held by Elizabeth May.