The "Anti-Corruption" Inquisition

'Constitutional Coups' And Color Revolutions

A Heightened Risk Of Hybrid War

Concluding Thoughts

Brazil is in the midst of a prolonged regime change operation, as documented step-by-step by Pepe Escobar in his articles for Sputnik RT , and the Strategic Culture Foundation . The author's intent isn't to get into the situational specifics of each and every detail behind the US' techniques, but to provide a general overview of the strategies that are at play and their contribution to Hybrid War theory.The Chinese announced last year that they plan to build the Twin Ocean Railroad between Brazil's Atlantic Coast and Peru's Pacific one. Because this mega project is located in the US' own hemisphere, the "Monroe Doctrine"-obsessed Exceptionalists accelerated their existing regime change plans for Brazil with the intent of overthrowing its government and replacing it with a pro-unipolar quisling.Many observers are scratching their heads wondering how to properly describe what they're witnessing in Brazil, and while there's certainly visible evidence of a Color Revolution , it would be inaccurate to describe it solely through the prism of this definition. At the same token, while it's been likened to a Hybrid War , it only fits the 'conventional' informational/economic aspects of this term, too, and doesn't really satisfy the regime change perquisites of a phased transition from a Color Revolution to an Unconventional War (or at least not yet). Similarly, while there's definitely a 'constitutional coup' going on, it's also not entirely this form of regime change, either. Rather,, and they interact in a unique dynamic that might represent the unveiling of a new patterned approach that aims to subvert leading multipolar states. What's important to point out is that, meaning that practically every country in the world is potentially vulnerable to this sort of asymmetrical destabilization.The key vehicle in exerting pressure on President Rousseff isn't the Color Revolution movement, itself an outgrowth of the " Cashmere Revolution " and the return of which the author warned about last summer, butthat are being orchestrated to remove her from power. It's worthwhile to remember that these are built upon an "anti-corruption" investigation that, as Pepe Escobar has repeatedly pointed out,. It was revealed in September 2013 as part of the Snowden Leaks thatIt shouldn't be seen as coincidental that the "Car Wash" 'anti-corruption' investigation began nearly half a year later in March 2014, which was the run-up to the 6BRICS Summit in Fortaleza, Brazil that summer. During that major international event,that would later become known as the BRICS/New Development Bank and officially instituted one year later in Ufa. At the time, "Car Wash" wasn't big enough to derail any of this, but it also wasn't meant to be an immediate bombshell. Instead, it can be conceived of as a ticking time bomb that was preplanned to go off at a future date, whether or not Rousseff would have even remained in office by that time. The reader should remember that she barely won reelection that fall, and if she hadn't, then it would have been the "opposition" that could have been implicated or discretely blackmailed with the threat thereof.After all, "Car Wash" is a one-sided anti-corruption scandal that, regardless of whichever one they might have been. In the case of Rousseff and her Worker's Party, they're targeted for regime change, whereas the Brazilian Social Democracy Party of her 2014 election rival would have been targeted for blackmail in order to keep it in line with American strategic precepts for the country. One way or another, after having initiated the 'Car Wash" inquisition, the US was going to exploit it however it could in order to attain and then maintain its hold on power over the Brazilian political establishment. With Rousseff winning reelection while the investigation was still ongoing and nowhere near 'conclusively' finished, it was inevitable in hindsight that it would be used as a weapon for toppling her government and initiating a 'constitutional coup'.Once Rousseff was implicated (most 'convincingly' in the court of public opinion) for her alleged involved in "Car Wash", the embedded pro-American regime change elements in Brazil's government sprang into action in initiating the 'constitutional coup' proceedings against her. By itself and nakedly presented as a one-sided 'anti-corruption' inquisition,, which necessitated a dramatic move in order to 'justify' it. This was the role that the nascent Color Revolution ended up playing,. Instead, the US' hand in all of this would be even more obvious than during Latin America's last 'constitutional coup' in 2012 Paraguay . Additionally,- it's a leading multipolar power and a nation many times larger than its landlocked neighbor,in Brazil than it ever would in Paraguay.Therefore, the Color Revolution itself is inconsequential in pressuring Rousseff's government or enacting any leadership concessions from her whatsoever.This can be proven by the copious media coverage given to the thousands of people who are protesting against her and rallying around a giant inflatable yellow duck compared to the considerable. Clearly, the reason for this is that the US is engaging in a concerted effort to shift the international dialogue over the issue from the origins of the political crisis to the 'normative legitimacy' of Rousseff's rule, strongly implying that the Color Revolution protesters have somehow invalidated her democratic and legitimate reelection and more than 'normatively' compensate for the shady 'constitutional coup' dealings that are being employed against her.At the moment, it looks like the 'constitutional coup'-Color Revolution two-step might succeed in removing Rousseff and replacing her with Vice-President Michel Temer,in a recently leaked speech . Should this happen, then there wouldn't be any reason whatsoever for the US to intensify its regime change operation into a Hybrid War by prompting an Unconventional War, but. If this transpires, then the country would definitely be thrown into a low-level Hybrid War, albeit one in which this development uncharacteristically occurs after the US is successful in its mission and not beforehand, which in any case would take a course which is impossible to accurately predict at this time.However, considering just how beloved the left wing is to millions of destitute people in Brazil and taking a cue from their armed comrades in Venezuela,. Remembering the astonishing rate of crime that already exists inside of the country, it's foreseeable that anti-coup activists/insurgents could easily procure whatever weapons they might need in order to create a destabilizing stir. Furthermore,, which might grant an added degree of normative support to any militias that agitate on her behalf.On the other hand, if the regime change process isn't proceeding apace around the time of the Summer Olympics in Rio and something or another happens to derail it (e.g. the Senate doesn't vote to continue the impeachment process),. This would seek to provoke an international incident that destabilizes the Brazilian government even more than it already is, precisely at the moment when it would need the best media coverage that it can get and when it's most vulnerable to a flurry of unipolar media condemnation against it. Looked at from another angle, if the plot against Rousseff succeeds by that time, with or without the advent of any anti-regime change rebels, then some countries might choose to boycott the Olympics in order to show solidarity with the legitimate government that was illegally deposed of. This wouldn't change any facts on the ground, but it would be a strong and symbolic statement of support that might encourage whatever nascent armed resistance movement there might be by that time.Assessing the US' regime change strategy against Rousseff, it's evident that the NSA's findings were used to spark the 'constitutional coup' proceedings that have been 'normatively justified' by the preplanned Color Revolution (a continuation of the so-called "Cashmere Revolution" of 2014). The protests have thus far not led to any degree of substantial pressure on the government despite their massive size, with the only agency of tangible anti-government force coming from the 'legal' inquisition that's been launched against the Brazilian President. Nothing at this point indicates that the government is threatened by the street activists, although everything points to it being totally destabilized by the "Car Wash" conspiracy against it.While no discernable Hybrid War traces can be found thus far (as in the author's regime change definition of this concept), that doesn't preclude any from popping up in the near future, whether led by anti-government right-wing terrorists or pro-government post-coup insurgents. There's no guarantee that either will happen, but the possibility can't be ruled out in general and must be prepared for by both sides. No matter what ultimately happens in Brazil,Andrew Korybko is the American political commentator currently working for the Sputnik agency.