None of the major power rankings have them ranked worse than the second best team in the league and they are currently the oddsmakers’ favorite to win the Stanley Cup.

But this is a team from Washington, D.C., so there is always something to worry about, and in this case it’s the large number of non-shootout wins by a margin of a single goal.

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Historically, a team that leads the league in one-goal wins usually has a disastrous playoff run. Since the 2005-06 season, just two, the 2008-09 Carolina Hurricanes and the 2013-14 Anaheim Ducks, have made it past the second round. One, the 2011-12 Tampa Bay Lightning, didn’t even qualify for the playoffs. That’s because the really good teams tend to win by larger margins.

Take last year’s Stanley Cup winner, the Chicago Blackhawks, for example. Just 14 of their 40 non-shootout wins came with a one-goal margin. The champion a year earlier, the Los Angeles Kings, saw just 13 of their 38 non-shootout wins have the narrowest of margins. The Capitals, on the other hand, are tied for the league lead this season with 21 one-goal wins out of 45.

That certainly seems like an ominous omen. But it lacks context.

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Washington isn’t relying on these one-goal games to fuel all of their success. After adjusting their overall margin of victory for strength of schedule, the Capitals are 0.90 goals per game better than an average team. That may not seem like a lot, but consider the Blackhawks, the next best team by this metric, are only half as good (0.44).

Among the leaders for most one-goal wins in a season, only the aforementioned 2013-14 Ducks have been close to this level of dominance (0.68 goals per game better than an average) being shown by Washington. The rest of the group of big one-goal winners has not been close.

If you want to focus on the negative, you have your reason. But history says you’d be better of focusing on the positive. Not even the Wayne Gretzky led Edmonton Oilers or Mike Bossy’s New York Islanders were this dominant in terms of strength-of-schedule-adjusted margin of victory. In fact, no team has had this large of a lead in that category since the 1995-96 Detroit Red Wings, who would lose to the eventual Cup champion Colorado Avalanche in the conference finals. And before that it was Guy Lafleur’s Montreal Canadiens squad, who earned their third straight championship banner at the end of the 1977-78 season.