Ethiopia aims to increase the mining sector’s contribution to GDP to 10% by 2030 from the current 3%

Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed is shaking up several sectors in a liberalisation drive aimed at transforming Ethiopia into a middle-income country.

“Our ministry will keep reforming to remove uncertainties that held back the development of the mining industry,” minerals minister Samuel Urkato said in a keynote speech to a mining conference in Addis Ababa on Monday.

The government will give incentives to investors who develop minerals used in agriculture such as potash, a key ingredient in fertilizer, as well as construction minerals, a draft policy document seen by Reuters ahead of the speech showed.

The ministry is still working out the details on tax and incentive policies, Samuel told Reuters, and the revised mining law would be announced by August next year.

Ideal new mining destination?

Ethiopia set out its stall as “Africa’s ideal new mining destination” at the conference in the Sheraton Hotel.

Changes to its mining policies have been expected since February this year. Ethiopia aims to increase the mining sector’s contribution to GDP to 10% by 2030 from the current 3%.

The government cut the corporate income tax rate for miners to 25% more than two years ago from 35%, and has lowered the precious metals royalty rate to 7% from 8%.

Democratic Republic of Congo’s new mining code introduced last year increased the royalty rate for precious metals from 2.5% to 3.5% — half the Ethiopian rate

Despite such reforms, Ethiopia faces stiff competition on the continent in vying for much-needed foreign investment.

Democratic Republic of Congo’s new mining code introduced last year increased the royalty rate for precious metals from 2.5% to 3.5% — half the Ethiopian rate.

On the other hand, Ethiopia’s current law guarantees the government just a 5% minimum equity stake in projects — less than in many African countries.

Guinea’s mining code, for example, grants the government a free 15% stake in mining projects.

Access to hard currency remains a big stumbling block for international miners wanting to operate in Ethiopia, where foreign exchange reserves are low.

“It’s foreign exchange that is the key barrier to investing and growing investment within Ethiopia,” said Christopher Suckling, sub-Saharan Africa country risk analyst at IHS Markit.

Government guarantees of access to foreign exchange would help attract more miners to Ethiopia, he added, which in turn could help bring in more hard currency to bank coffers.

Norwegian fertilizer company Yara is among those planning to develop potash, found in the remote Danakil depression in the northern Afar region of the country, through its Yara Dallol project.

Kefi Minerals’ Tulu Kapi site in the west of the country is expected to produce its first gold in 2021, executive chairman Harry Anagnostaras-Adams said.

U.S. gold miner Newmont GoldCorp is exploring in Ethiopia’s Tigray region.

While Ethiopia’s conference pitch focused on industrial mining, analysts say it cannot achieve its goal solely by attracting large-scale miners, given the lengthy timeline for developing major projects.

The government is therefore enlisting the help of organisations such as the Canadian International Resources and Governance Institute (CIRDI) to develop the artisanal mining sector and increase government proceeds from these activities.

Of the high-value minerals Ethiopia produces, 60%-80% are mined artisanally, while that figure rises to 80%-95% for construction minerals such as basalt, pumice and limestone, according to Rahel Getachew, senior programme officer at CIRDI’s project supporting the ministry of mines.

(By Helen Reid; Editing by Richard Pullin, Omar Mohammed and David Evans)