Chance of winning a skin from twitch.tv/paladinsgame broadcast.

Hey there it's bugzy :D

I understand that it may NOT be completely accurate but I wouldn't consider it to be completely off, if I've done some of this math wrong let me know :)

So I wanted to breakdown your possibilities of getting a skin from twitch loot drops (cassie or ying)

During the broadcast of 17/06/2017 week 3 of qualifiers EU there were 1000 skin gaven away: https://twitter.com/RayndayGaming/status/876172778902355968

Now, considering there were around 9000people watching and 1000 skin were given away( that's 11.1% people watching) within 2.5h of broadcast.

so to put it to math, it's 1000 / 150minutes = 6.6 skins per minute so that's 396 skins per hour.



so to calculate the chance that you have per 1 HOUR of watching it's:

396/9000x100% = 4.4%. So you have 4.4% chance of winning A SKIN. BUT

if you want to have a specific skin let's say cassie, considering there are 2 skins to win you will only have 2.2% chance of winning. While also I've been told by couple people that they got duplicate skins which means the chance of getting the 2nd skin is not going back up to 4.4% it will always stay at 2.2% considering you're capable of getting a duplicate.



TL;DR : Your chance to win a skin on twitch.tv/paladinsgame during esports is 2.2% PER HOUR of watching a broadcast.



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