Using the most advanced computer technology ever invented, and a proprietary algorithm devised by a secret government think tank, The Dissolve created The Speculometron to determine the mathematical probability of the Internet’s latest movie rumors.

Rumor: Wolverine might join the Avengers.

Source: Hugh Jackman, discussing the possibility at the junket for The Wolverine.

Evidence: “Tom from Marvel who works with all the other studios, he works with Sony and Fox, that’s his job to liaise. I said, ‘Man, can this happen?’ and he goes ‘Look, it’s not gonna be easy because you’re working with different studios and they’re their properties.’ But I believe—maybe I’m optimistic, I understand at Marvel they’ve got The Avengers, they’ve got a lot of big things going on, but at some point I just find it almost impossible that there’s not a way to bring Iron Man, all the Avengers characters, Wolverine, the X-Men characters, Spider-Man, and somehow get them in together.”

The Speculometron's calculations: Even if Jackman thinks it's possible, and helpfully provides his own potential solution to the problem (let the studios split all costs and profits of a crossover movie evenly) that doesn't mean it will be so simple. Movie studios fight about everything. Two studios are currently fighting over the rights to a 100-year-old movie title. Marvel and Fox recently got into a spat over their mutual desire to use a fairly obscure character named Quicksilver. Both sides refused to back down; as a result we'll probably see two different versions of the hero played by two totally different actors in Avengers 2 and X-Men: Days of Future Past.

That was over a character most of the public at large has never even heard of; now these guys are going to suddenly learn to share—and agree on a single creative direction for—their most lucrative and iconic franchises? The Speculometron says no.

Odds: 10,000 to 1.