We stopped updating these forecasts at 2 p.m. Eastern time on Wed., Nov. 7. Follow the latest results here

Chance of House majority House composition National popular vote

The estimates for each race are based on the votes reported so far, how those places have voted in previous elections and the results of demographically similar districts where votes have been counted. Live Estimates of the Most Competitive Districts

Estimated vote margin Best guess 5% 50% of outcomes 95%

Our Estimates, Relative to Expectations Below, our estimates for the most competitive seatsevery House seat, grouped according to how they were rated before the election by the Cook Political Report. Est. win probability Dem. Rep. 65% 85% 95% Win Flip

How Our Estimate of House Composition Has Changed House composition Best guess 5% 50% of outcomes 95% The lines below include an estimate of uncertainty. As more races are called, the uncertainty around these estimates will narrow.

Possible Outcomes Remaining The chart below shows the estimated likelihood of each outcome for the majority party. As more races are called, the range of outcomes will narrow.