Read this to learn more about how these projections work and this to understand the uncertainty each projection carries.



Over the last five seasons the Flyers have been a perfect picture of mediocrity. In four of those five years the team has earned between 38 and 42 wins, settling into a cozy spot just outside or inside the playoff picture depending on the year. The team has been mind-numbingly average for a while now, but last year inspired some hope that brighter days are ahead.



I tend to agree, with the Flyers ranking in the league’s top 10 by my model with an average projection of 96.5 points (and 43.7 projected wins). It’s still relatively close to the bubble, yes, but at this point it’s safe to say the Flyers are likely a playoff team come April, with a 72 per cent chance of getting there.



The most likely range is 95-to-105 points (and as you’ll see later a large majority of this team’s fan base agrees), but that’s...