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We will see whether these Benghazi hearings shape shake up the poll numbers in the Democratic race for the presidential nomination. But in the meantime we have a new Bloomberg Politics Des Moines Register Iowa poll. What that shows is Hillary Clinton leading Bernie Sanders in the Hawkeye State 48 to 41 percent mark if you believe that events drive poll numbers . What events are driving these poll numbers. Well if you look at our poll and our pollster Ann Selzer kind of teases out the gun issue you know IBEX before the debate not too many Iowa Democrats thought much about Bernie Sanders position on guns . Hillary Clinton really emphasized that and in our poll you can see people Democrats and I were bothered by his record in the past and supporting in opposing some gun control measures . They're less bothered by the fact that he's a socialist. I'm fine with that but it shows you the power of Hillary Clinton's opposition research team her ability to take that research and then her ability to play it. I always thought it'd be hard for her to go negative on Bernie Sanders their instincts and her instincts were right. This was one issue where she could get away with it and drive numbers in a critical. She not only did it effectively in the debate which was you know the big stage for it she did it early in the debate when people were paying attention. She did it in a powerful but respectful way she did it in a contrasting way to make herself look good and look more liberal. And he was as you pointed out over overreach at the time woefully ill prepared for what should have been an expected attack. He had a really bad set of answers to that question . All of that combines to a real for a real problem for him especially among liberal Iowans. Our Iowa poll our New Hampshire poll shows like Sanders and Clinton close in both states it's pick them right now. The reality though and again piggy piggy backing off her strong week at 10 day period. If Hillary Clinton can break Bernie Sanders back politically in Iowa New Hampshire she will be the Democratic nominee by now . What have you heard. No question about that. So two best states for. Those are the states he can win. So her operation has to be competent. If she has to have increased confidence if they come up with issues like this kind of yeah and she drives that effectively in these upcoming debates she can put this thing and this and this is also why this Jefferson Jackson dinner is coming up on Saturday is important you remember again I've now mentioned 2008 a couple of times but that was a big night for Barack Obama where he began to turn the tide and Al Gore in 2000 Al Gore aimed to Destroy Bill and John Kerry in 2004 at a very big at a better big night at the White House Jack . And my hunch is that Miss preparation means preparation will come into the dinner guests with a prepared speech. Let's see if Sanders is smart enough to use the dinner. People expect this will be a big moment for Bernie Sanders does the marching students to the streets if Hillary Clinton has a big night on Saturday. That could be a huge moment as Sanders is prepared Saturday .