Liberals hold steady lead in Newfoundland and Labrador

NDP loses share in final poll

TORONTO November 29th, 2015 - In a random sampling of public opinion taken the day before the provincial election by the Forum Poll™, among 1014 Newfoundland and Labrador voters, just more than one half will vote Liberal (54%), while 3-in-10 (31%) will vote for the Progressive Conservatives. The NDP vote is common to one sixth (15%). This stands in comparison to 5 days ago, when the Liberals had a lead of 23 points (November 24, Liberals - 52%, Progressive Conservatives - 29%). In that poll, the NDP had one fifth of the vote (19%).

McCurdy’s favourables down

While Dwight Ball has seen his approval hold steady (44% this week, 45% last), as has Paul Davis (40% now, 39% on November 24), Earle McCurdy has seen his approval drop from 3-in-10 (30%) to just more than a quarter (27%).

Dwight Ball with slim lead for best Premier

Dwight Ball (35%) and Paul Davis (33%) are almost tied for who would make the best Premier, but Earle McCurdy is not competitive (11%).





“While a vote share of more than half the province is impressive, it may not be enough to propel the Liberals into a government with no opposition, which appeared to be the case at the beginning of the campaign. We project the Liberals to win 34 seats to 5 for the Progressive Conservatives and one for the NDP," said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.