The data provides reason to believe that this will be feasible for her to accomplish. Almost 60 percent of voters who have not formed an opinion about Mark Kelly already have a favorable view of President Trump, leading one to assume that they are more likely to have an unfavorable view of Kelly, once they learn more about him.

“If the parable of the tortoise and the hare taught us anything,” says OHPI Data Analyst, Jacob Joss, “it’s that no matter how far behind someone may seem, a race is never over. Seven months is an eternity in a political campaign and if Martha McSally turns on her afterburners there’s a real possibility she could overtake Mark Kelly come November.”