Gameweek 15 saw the Bookies’ Advantage squad beat the gameweek average by 10 points (56 to 46) courtesy of goals from captain Diego Costa (12 points), Divock Origi (9) and Theo Walcott (7), whilst a pair of assists from Sadio Mane (8) and clean sheet from Marcos Alonso (8) also helped.

There is little respite, however, with Gameweek 16 taking place on Tuesday and Wednesday this week, so read on as we once again delve into the clean sheet and anytime goalscorer odds…

Defensive odds

Team Clean sheet odds Chance of a clean sheet Tottenham 1.83 55% Chelsea 2.1 48% Man City 2.1 48% Liverpool 2.38 42% West Ham 2.38 42% Man Utd 2.4 42% West Brom 2.7 37% Southampton 2.8 36% Arsenal 2.9 34% Bournemouth 3.4 29% Stoke 3.4 29% Leicester 4 25% Swansea 4.33 23% Crystal Palace 5.6 18% Everton 5.6 18% Burnley 5.75 17% Middlesbrough 6.6 15% Sunderland 9.6 10% Hull 12 8% Watford 14 7%

Tottenham sit atop the bookmakers’ defensive rankings for Gameweek 16 courtesy of their home game against Hull. 7 games at White Hart Lane have seen Mauricio Pochettino’s men concede just 4 goals and keep 4 clean sheets, making them the joint-best home defence in the division (along with Chelsea). The Tigers, meanwhile, have scored just 5 in 7 on their travels this season and blanked in each of their last 3 on the road. As a result, Kyle Walker, who tops the FPL points system for Tottenham defenders and sits third overall (courtesy of 2 assists and 9 bonus points), takes his place in our defensive setup.

Chelsea and Manchester City rank joint-second for the round with 48% chances of shutouts when they take on Sunderland and Watford respectively. Antonio Conte’s men have only conceded 2 goals in their last 9 outings, providing a solid source of returns for investors, whilst the Hornets have only scored 3 in their last 5 away games, which should instil some much needed hope into Pep’s shaky defense. Marcos Alonso’s OOP appeal and John Stones’ value see them take their places in our starting XI.

With Liverpool, West Ham and Manchester United all tied for fourth on 42% this gameweek, we opt for Darren Randolph, who has started the last 4 in goal for the Hammers, due to his £4.5m valuation, along with the fact that opponents Burnley have scored just once in 6 matches away from Turf Moor this term, making them the poorest travelling attack in the league.

To fill the remainder of our defensive slots, we opt for Stoke’s budget friendly Lee Grant (£4.0m – 29%) as our backup keeper, with West Brom’s goalscoring Gareth McAuley (£4.5m – 37%) and Swansea’s Jordi Amat (£4.0m – 23%) taking the second and third spots on our bench respectively.

Before moving onto our analysis of the bookmakers attacking odds, a quick look at the bottom rungs of the clean sheet ladder tells us that defensive assets from Sunderland (10% – home to Chelsea), Hull (8% – away to Tottenham) and Watford (7% – away to Man City) should be avoided this weekend.

Attacking odds

Player Anytime goalscorer odds Chance of scoring Harry Kane 1.67 60% Diego Costa 1.73 58% Kelechi Iheanacho 1.79 56% Nolito 2.14 47% Eden Hazard 2.23 45% Son Heung-Min 2.23 45% Alexis Sanchez 2.3 43% Olivier Giroud 2.38 42% Zlatan Ibrahimovic 2.38 42% Kevin de Bruyne 2.4 42% Dele Alli 2.4 42% Salomon Rondon 2.4 42% Callum Wilson 2.6 38% Divock Origi 2.65 38% Sadio Mane 2.75 36% Yaya Toure 2.75 36% Christian Eriksen 2.75 36% Romelu Lukaku 2.8 36% Marcus Rashford 2.8 36% Raheem Sterling 2.8 36% Dimitri Payet 2.88 35% Andre Ayew 2.9 34% Theo Walcott 2.95 34% Roberto Firmino 2.95 34% Nacer Chadli 3 33% Jamie Vardy 3.1 32% Joshua King 3.2 31% Pedro 3.25 31% Islam Slimani 3.25 31% Christian Benteke 3.5 29% fernando llorente 3.55 28% Anthony Martial 3.6 28% Wilfried Bony 3.7 27% Michail Antonio 3.75 27% Sofiane Boufal 3.75 27% Nathan Redmond 3.8 26% Riyad Mahrez 3.85 26% Ilkay Gundogan 3.85 26% Alvaro Negredo 3.95 25% Jermain Defoe 4 25% Sam Vokes 4 25% Gylfi Sigurdsson 4.2 24% Dusan Tadic 4.2 24% Jonathan Walters 4.2 24% Juan Mata 4.25 24% Marko Arnautovic 4.35 23% James Milner 4.5 22% Junior Stanislas 4.5 22% Mesut Ozil 4.6 22% Matt Phillips 4.6 22% Troy Deeney 5 20% Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain 5 20% Kevin Mirallas 5 20% Cristhian Stuani 5 20% Gerard Deulofeu 5.5 18% Ross Barkley 5.75 17% Victor Anichebe 5.8 17% Gaston Ramirez 6.4 16% Andros Townsend 6.75 15% Wilfried Zaha 7 14% Emre Can 7 14% Robert Snodgrass 7.5 13% Adama Traore 8 13% Etienne Capoue 8.5 12% Ryan Mason 12 8%

Harry Kane tops the bookies’ attacking rankings, and takes our captain’s armband, with a 60% chance of scoring when Hull City visit White Hart Lane on Wednesday evening. The England international has been in fine form of late, hitting 5 goals in his last 5 league games, and with opponents Hull having the worst defence in the division, 32 conceded in 15 matches, he has the perfect opportunity to continue his hot streak.

Diego Costa (58%) and Kelechi Iheanacho (56%) complete our strike force for Gameweek 16. Chelsea’s fiery Spanish striker notched his 12th Premier League goal of the campaign last time out against West Brom and continues to exceed expectations at the tip of the Blues’ attack. Opponents Sunderland have conceded an average of 2 goals per game at home this term, so further returns for Costa can be expected. Iheanacho, despite blanking at Leicester on Saturday, should continue to deputise for the suspended Sergio Aguero as the focal point for City’s attacking riches. The Nigerian starlet has bagged 3 goals in the league this season despite only starting 4 matches, and with Watford conceding 9 in their last 2 away games, the potential for points sits positively with the young Sky Blues’ striker.

Turning to our midfield, a goal off the bench against the champions last weekend sees Nolito (47%) take the first spot in the middle of the park for our team. That strike was the Spaniard’s fourth of the season for Pep’s side, and he’ll now be hoping for consistency both in terms of his starts and his attacking returns. Eden Hazard (45%) joins Nolito in our starting XI ahead of a potentially lucrative game at the Stadium of Light. Despite being known as more of a “home performer”, the skilful Belgian has chalked up 2 goals and an assist in his last 3 away games.

Also harbouring a 45% of finding the back of the net this gameweek is Tottenham’s Heung-Min Son. His last 2 home games have seen him register a goal and 3 assists, and with the aforementioned worst defence in the league coming to town on Wednesday, further returns look likely. Theo Walcott (34%) completes our starting XI. The English speedster was back amongst the goals against Stoke last weekend, taking his league tally to 7 for the campaign, and travels to Goodison Park on Tuesday night to take on an Everton side that has conceded 11 times in their last 5 outings. As is customary, Etienne Capoue (12%) takes the first spot on our bench, with his £4.5m price tag absurd value given the 74 FPL points (the same as Kevin de Bruyne) he has accrued to date this term.

The bookmakers also fancy the chances of Alexis Sanchez (43%), Sadio Mane (36%) and Dimitri Payet (35%), but we have to overlook the trio due to budget constraints, whilst Kevin de Bruyne and Dele Alli (both 42%), Yaya Toure, Christian Eriksen and Raheem Sterling (all 36%) are all omitted as we have already reached our full complement of 3 players from Tottenham and Manchester City.