ORLANDO, Fla. — We got to see some sunshine to start our Tuesday, but widespread showers and storms developed over many Central Florida neighborhoods during the afternoon.

Low pressure drifting into the northeastern Gulf is situated between high pressure to our east and west. A south flow between these systems is bringing abundant moisture up the peninsula and led to another round of locally heavy rain Tuesday.

Showers wrap up early as our sky becomes partly cloudy overnight.

All eyes are on the low pushing over sea surface temps in the upper 80s, which should help fuel tropical development in the storm Wednesday into Thursday. For us, this means more deep moisture providing rain coverage at 60 to 70 percent the next few days.

Models are consistent in taking any tropical development toward Louisiana or Texas, with slightly drier air working into central Florida behind this system this weekend. Extended forecast highs stay in the upper 80s and lower 90s.

Beach and Surf Conditions

Surfing conditions will be poor through most of this week with a small east-southeast trade swell, and wave heights of only one to two feet. The rip risk is moderate and it is always best to swim near a lifeguard. Keep an eye on the sky for storms, and when thunder roars, go indoors.

A tropical disturbance will likely develop in the Gulf of Mexico by mid to late week. This will increase the coverage of rain across Central Florida for most of the upcoming week.

Forecast models are coming in better agreement that a system will develop in the Gulf and then drift to the west and northwest away from Central Florida. The intensity of the system is still uncertain.

Regardless of intensity, the system will move away from Central Florida and increase the coverage of rain for central Florida this week. Localized flooding could become an issue this week thanks to the rain we have already picked up the past few days and with the rain that is ahead this week.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs through Nov. 30. The next name on the list is Barry.

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