According to a report by Egyoffline, posted in English by Eman Nabih (h/t BNI), Russia has released a classified U.S. document that details plans by the Obama administration to excite domestic insurrections in Egypt. The reason? To overthrow the government that overthrew the Muslim Brotherhood’s Mohammed Mursi.

It is important to emphasize that while there are detailed descriptions of the “confidential report” and that much of it makes sense in the context of the Obama administration’s actions in the Middle East, no link to the report has been provided nor has any information about how it was obtained. Please consider this as you read the translation of the Egyoffline piece (we have also made slight grammatical corrections to Nabih’s translation). That said, another reason we decided to chime in on this story is that many of the data points presented by Egyoffline actually serve as the basis for our analysis at the end of this post. We think that, taken together, they may help to explain many of the inexplicable Obama administration policies.

Via Eman Nabih:

Recently, the Russians revealed a confidential U.S.Report about the USA’s plan to get the Egyptian Military involved in a civil war and the necessity of overthrowing General Abd Elfatah Alsisi, the Egyptian Minister of Defense before he can become the new Nasser. The U.S. report revealed by the Russians started by saying that if Egyptians don’t have a reason to kill each other, we must find them one… Our main goal is to push the Egyptian Military and the Egyptian People to fight each other before year 2015. If things remain the same as they are right now in Egypt, we will be facing a new Nasser in the Region. But this time Alsisi will be supported even by the oil-rich Gulf countries which was not the case of his predecessor. On the political and economic fronts, things won’t be for the interests of the USA. {emphasis ours}

Again, based on the very Muslim Brotherhood-friendly stance the Obama administration has taken since the President’s 2009 Cairo speech, throughout the Arab Spring, and since Mursi’s removal, such a revelation would be shocking but believable. Questions that still need to be answered: How did the Russians acquire this report and why would the U.S. have something so incredibly damning in writing? To whom was it released? When was it produced? Who was responsible for compiling it? The CIA?

In citing this report, Egyoffline gives as good an explanation as any for why countries like Saudi Arabia are backing al-Sisi over a Muslim Brotherhood that it funds around the globe, to include inside the U.S. (Muslim World League):

The popularity that the Egyptian Military and General Alsisi are having now is not just in Egypt, but we are seeing also an increasing admiration Towards al-sisi from the Gulf countries and Tunis, which has already started to look for an al-Sisi counterpart… …Recently, People from the Gulf (states) showed their inclination to get involved in the confrontation which has not been their habit in the past. This is due to their fears of threats towards their thrones from the Muslim Brotherhood, which began targeting the Gulf countries after their Regime was overthrown in Egypt. {emphasis ours}

So, if the gulf states are supporting al-Sisi against the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, why are they supporting the Muslim Brotherhood against Bashar al-Assad in Syria? The answer to that question is that the likes of Saudia Arabia fear Iran more than they do the Muslim Brotherhood.

We can conclude that if the classified report does exist, it was compiled after Mursi was removed from power on July 3rd, as Egyoffline seems to do:

This revealed report is under investigations by the US on how it got revealed by the Russians in the first place. There are suspicions that the Russians Intelligence is behind the spreading of this report. It also shows how successful active Russians Intelligence who appears in their new costume. This report revealed many things about what the US is planning and it is a strong slap to the American Security System to reveal such a report, especially that the report was revealed after a very short time from being issued and started to be in the executive form. Exposing this report by the Russians came at a very bad and critical time, as the U.S. is facing an obvious political failure on all levels. {emphasis ours}

Here is some potentially interesting detail:

The original report was issued in about 1736 pages which is a very accurate description study about the positions in the Gulf Countries and the Arab countries. There were approximately 1900 pages of documents that are considered to be the source of the most important research, studies and recommendations that was done according to field analyses supported in the above mentioned pages. These studies and research papers were prepared by Political institutions and universities and also by Military centers…etc The studies also contain many suggestions and proposed scenarios which are supposed to be enacted in stages and applied until the goal is achieved. This part of the report was supervised by four research units which included 120 strategic military and political experts. The majority of these strategic experts were Americans. {emphasis ours}

More key questions if this “confidential report” is to be given any credibility: Who were the political institutions, universities, and military centers involved? Who were the political experts who worked on the report?

One other paragraph from Nabih’s translation piece:

…the study considered that as Iran is a strategic first degree enemy to the United States of America, Iranian Military can get in a direct confrontation with the Saudi Military. At the same time, street wars will be directed from Bahrain, Yemen, and the Eastern region.

We must stress that this report needs much more corroboration before it can be confirmed but when these scenarios are pieced together, much of what’s happening in the Middle East – coupled with Obama administration policies – might be understood better by reading the Egyoffline account.

Throughout Obama’s first term and into the first few months of his second, it could be argued that he was acting in concert with the Saudis. That all changed when Mursi was overthrown. It’s obvious that the Obama administration chose the Muslim Brotherhood while the Saudis chose al-Sisi. In Syria, Obama has been siding with the Muslim Brotherhood rebels, as have the Saudis, though presumably for disparate reasons. The Saudis see Iran as a greater threat than the Brotherhood, which they prefer to keep at arms length, as seen by their decision to back al-Sisi in Egypt.

There was arguably a much wider schism created between the Saudis and the Obama administration when the latter didn’t attack Assad.

Now with news that Obama has been working to lift sanctions on Iran for months, it’s been difficult to understand the endgame. For the purposes of this analysis, consider three factions in the Middle East – Iranian Shi’ites (Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Hezbollah, etc.); Gulf States (Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, etc.); and the Muslim Brotherhood (seeks dissolution of national borders and a return to the Ottoman Empire in Turkey, which is also supported by Turkish Prime Minister Erdogan).

Instead of helping the gulf states by attacking Assad, the Obama administration appears to be helping Iran. It doesn’t make sense – unless the objective is to sic Iran and Saudi Arabia on each other. Does this not weaken Assad in Syria? Does it not weaken Saudi Arabia? Does it not weaken Iran?

By process of elimination, who does that help?

The Muslim Brotherhood – the same Muslim Brotherhood the Obama administration allegedly wants back in power in Egypt. The following excerpt from the U.S. Declaration of Independence was written about Great Britain’s King George III:

He has excited domestic insurrections amongst us, and has endeavoured to bring on the inhabitants of our frontiers, the merciless Indian Savages, whose known rule of warfare, is an undistinguished destruction of all ages, sexes and conditions. – U.S. Declaration of Independence

With one minor tweak, Egyptians may be able to apply that to Barack Obama:

He has excited domestic insurrections amongst us, and has endeavoured to bring on the inhabitants of our frontiers, the merciless Indian Brotherhood Savages, whose known rule of warfare, is an undistinguished destruction of all ages, sexes and conditions.

For added irony, Mursi was removed from power one day before July 4th.

**UPDATE at 5:35am EST on November 15, 2013**

Not sure how we missed including this in the original post but consider what Anne Patterson – the U.S. Ambassador to Egypt at the time of Mursi’s removal – reportedly warned al-Sisi of a civil war if Muslim Brotherhood members jailed were not released.

Via Gatestone:

Last week, for example, El Fagr reported that, during their most recent phone conversation, Patterson demanded that Egypt’s recently appointed Supreme Commander of the Egyptian Armed Forces, General Abdul Fatah al-Sisi, release all Muslim Brotherhood members currently being held for questioning: “And when Sisi rejected this order, the American ambassador began threatening him that Egypt will turn into another Syria and live through a civil war, to which Sisi responded violently: ‘Neither you nor your country can overcome Egypt and its people.'” {emphasis ours}

Since then, Patterson has left her position as ambassador and is up for a promotion as Barack Obama’s choice for Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs. She is one of two nominees Senator Lindsey Graham is not putting a hold on until he gets access to Benghazi witnesses. It would seem that a hold should be placed on Patterson indefinitely, regardless of what Benghazi witnesses are allowed to come forward.

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