Does Being On ‘Hard Knocks’ Impact A Team’s Win Total Performance?

The NFL Draft has just finished which means the NFL win totals have just been released. Obviously eleven teams is a very small sample size when it comes to developing a trend, but teams who appear on ‘Hard Knocks’ have gone under their NFL win total 58% (7/12). ‘Hard Knocks’ generally likes to focus on teams that have a lot of hype going into their next season and fading teams backed by the public is historically a favorable strategy.

Year Team Name Win Total Actual Wins Result 2001 Baltimore Ravens 11 10 UNDER 2002 Dallas Cowboys 6.5 (OVER -160) 5 UNDER 2004 Jacksonville Jaguars 7.5 (OVER -140) 9 OVER 2007 Kansas City Chiefs 7.5 (OVER +100) 4 UNDER 2008 Dallas Cowboys 10.5 (OVER -135) 9 UNDER 2009 Cincinnati Bengals 7 (OVER -130) 10 OVER 2010 New York Jets 9.5 (OVER +125) 11 OVER 2012 Miami Dolphins 7.5 7 UNDER 2013 Cincinnati Bengals 8.5 (OVER +110) 11 OVER 2014 Atlanta Falcons 8 (OVER -130) 6 UNDER 2015 Houston Texans 8.5 (OVER -120) 9 OVER 2016 Los Angeles Rams 7 (OVER -130) 4 UNDER 2017 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8 ??? ???