NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, accompanied by Katrina Chen, MLA for Burnaby-Lougheed, plays on a slide as he makes a childcare announcement at a campaign stop at Hastings Park Childcare in Vancouver on Monday, Sept. 30, 2019. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Andrew Vaughan

With just 10 days left before voters head to the polls, the Conservatives are narrowly ahead of the Liberals in the national fight for first, while the NDP continues to grow its support in the wake of Monday’s English-language leaders’ debate, according to new polling numbers from Mainstreet Research.

According to the latest results from the firm’s daily tracker phone, which captured the opinions of 2,274 voters between Oct. 8-10, 31.7 per cent of leaning and decided respondents said they’d vote for the Conservatives if the election was held today, while 28.9 per cent said they’d cast a ballot for the Liberals. Another 16.6 per cent said they’d vote for the NDP, while 9.4 per cent opted for the Greens, 7.6 per cent backed the Bloc, 4.2 per cent favoured Maxime Bernier’s People’s Party and 1.5 per cent said they’d vote for another party.

The Tory lead is larger than the survey’s margin of error, which Mainstreet reported as plus or minus two percentage points.

Compared to the results from Thursday, the Conservatives, Liberals and Greens are all down by numbers within the poll’s margin of error, while the NDP, Bloc and People’s Party are showing an uptick in support, though this too falls within the margin of error.

In Thursday’s results, 32.2 per cent of leaning and decided respondents said they’d vote for the Conservatives, while 30.2 per cent said they’d cast a ballot for the Liberals, 15.1 per cent said they’d vote for the NDP, 9.8 per cent opted for the Greens, 7.2 per cent backed the Bloc, four per cent favoured Maxime Bernier’s People’s Party and 1.6 per cent said they’d vote for another party.

READ MORE: Singh held as victor of Monday night debate, new poll suggests

Friday’s numbers suggest NDP support has grown in the wake of the English-language leaders’ debate, which a separate Mainstreet Research poll released yesterday showed a plurality of respondents thought Singh won.

Out of 1,541 Canadians polled by Mainstreet Research for iPolitics from Oct. 8-9, 28 per cent said that, based on what they had seen and heard, Singh came out atop of his opponents during the debate earlier this week. Mainstreet estimates their margin of error for the new poll at plus or minus 2.5 per cent.

The poll also suggests that Conservative leader Andrew Scheer came in second place in the debate, chosen as the victor by 19 per cent of respondents. Fifteen per cent chose Liberal leader Justin Trudeau to have had the best performance, and 25 per cent of respondents did not select any leader at all — out of Singh, Scheer, Trudeau, Bloc Québécois leader Yves-Francois Blanchet, Green leader Elizabeth May and People’s Party leader Maxime Bernier.

The debate Monday night was the first to feature all six leaders of the Liberals, Conservatives, NDP, Greens, Bloc Québécois and People’s Party. The event featured few new revelations, and saw leaders drawing comparisons between their rivals, insisting on their differences with those on similar ends of the political spectrum, and debating fervently on Quebec-related issues like Bill 21 and SNC-Lavalin.

More results from the poll, including provincial and regional numbers and leader favourability ratings, are available exclusively to Premium Election Package subscribers here.

(PREMIUM ELECTION SUBSCRIBERS ONLY): Daily Election Tracker

Methodology note:

Total attempts: 42,369 Those participating: 10,875 (25.7%) Those refused: 34990 (72.2%) Those saying they’re ineligible: 302 (0.7%)

For the full methodology statement, please click here.