DAILY UPDATE - COVID-19 I write a daily newsletter with verified statistics & interesting news about Covid. We only show data related to death tolls; data is provided by the John Hopkins University. My background is in statistical analysis & political science.



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Any feedback? Just reply to this email! 🗞️ SUMMARY ANALYSIS 🗞️ in March, the daily death toll from Covid-19 in European countries was as much as 77% higher than reported daily numbers. Scroll down to see the analysis! 📊 The analysis in the 'Graph of the day' section suggests that 🌎 This Saturday, the global death toll from Coronavirus approached the 160k mark.



While the US (+1,997 deaths) reached total death toll of 40k, the White House and Democrats are nearing a deal on aid for small businesses. The $450 billion agreement would also include more money for hospitals and coronavirus testing, which Democrats have insisted on. In the meantime, US governors (democrats & republicans) continued to clash with Trump over virus testing, saying that more needs to be done before lockdowns can be lifted. Protests against lockdown continued in the US. In Denver, medical personnel blocked downtown intersections to counter protesters demanding that the lockdown be lifted. Link to photos In Europe, Germany and Norway are easing lockdowns. Germany will start allowing the reopening of most shops with a surface area of less than 800 m2. In Norway, basic services and schools are progressively re-opening.



In the meantime, Spain and France are maintaining lockdowns and clarifying their exit strategy. Spain's coronavirus deaths climb by lowest daily amount in a month (+410 deaths) but the state of emergency was extended for an additional 2 weeks. In France, Prime Minister Edouard Phillipe outlined the government's exit strategy, which will require the maintenance of sanitary precautions for long months, based on massive tests and the isolation of patients. He declared that the wearing of masks on public transport would “most probably" be mandatory.



Coronavirus cases in Peru top 15,000, second highest in Latin America. The crisis has paralyzed Peru and left millions without jobs. The central bank has said the economy had been “severely affected” temporarily by simultaneous supply and demand shocks. Link to article 📊 WORLD STATISTICS 📊 💡 GRAPH OF THE DAY 💡 [ORIGINAL CONTENT] How much did we under-estimate the death toll from Covid-19 in March? (Weekly death toll in European countries) The ongoing debate on Coronavirus death toll numbers is that they are being underestimated.



Indeed, different countries have different ways to account for deaths. While in France, deaths in nursing homes and probable deaths are included in the daily death toll, they are not in the UK.



Assuming that deaths in 2020 should mirror that of 2019, we can estimate the 'excess mortality' in each country. The analysis above suggests that: In Italy: the true daily death toll from Covid-19 in March was ~70% higher than the reported daily numbers.

the true daily death toll from Covid-19 in March was In Spain: the true daily death toll from Covid-19 in March was ~62% higher than the reported daily numbers.

the true daily death toll from Covid-19 in March was In the UK: the true daily death toll from Covid-19 in March was ~77% higher than the reported daily numbers.

the true daily death toll from Covid-19 in March was In France: the death rate from Covid-19 seems to be reported accurately. Overall, this analysis suggests that countries should harmonize their death toll accounting to include nursing home deaths & 'probable' deaths from Covid-19. 🔥 MUST READS 🔥 Coronavirus & Drug trade. Great story of how the Coronavirus is dealing a gut punch to the illegal drug trade, paralyzing economies, closing borders and severing supply chains in China that traffickers rely on for the chemicals to make such profitable drugs as methamphetamine and fentanyl.



🔥 Everyone seems to be baking. Well-documented exploration of the 'baking craze': searches for bread-making-related terms have ballooned by as much as 5,343%. Some entrepreneurs have completely pivoted their companies to meet the demand.



🔥 The impact of being confronted to Covid-19 every day. Even though health care professionals are trained to handle death, doctors say the sheer volume of dying patients is devastating. “Unless you work in health care,” says one, “you cannot even begin to fathom what is occurring on a daily basis.” Great article on the bravery & mental resilience of health care professionals around the world. A must-read. Great story of how the Coronavirus is dealing a gut punch to the illegal drug trade, paralyzing economies, closing borders and severing supply chains in China that traffickers rely on for the chemicals to make such profitable drugs as methamphetamine and fentanyl. Link to article Well-documented exploration of the 'baking craze': searches for bread-making-related terms have ballooned by as much as 5,343%. Some entrepreneurs have completely pivoted their companies to meet the demand. Link to article . Even though health care professionals are trained to handle death, doctors say the sheer volume of dying patients is devastating. “Unless you work in health care,” says one, “you cannot even begin to fathom what is occurring on a daily basis.” Great article on the bravery & mental resilience of health care professionals around the world. A must-read. Link to article

📚 GOOD READS 📚 China’s week in photos. Link to article



📚 New Zealand’s Prime Minister is doing things differently, and it’s working. Jacinda Ardern’s leadership style, focused on empathy, isn’t just resonating with her people; it’s putting the country on track for success against the coronavirus.



📚 Where have the 'other' patients gone? Patients with heart attacks, strokes and even appendicitis have vanished from hospitals. Apparently, everybody is too worried to go to the ER.



📚 Why counting coronavirus deaths is not an exact science. Link to article



📚 Why China is losing the coronavirus narrative. Link to article



📚 In the UK, Sunak’s job retention scheme is set to go live. Designed in 48 hours, delivered in 2 weeks, will it work?



📚 Being on a global cruise during a pandemic. Link to article



📚 The exit strategy: how countries around the world are preparing for life after Covid-19.



📚 How does coronavirus kill? Clinicians trace a ferocious rampage through the body, from brain to toes. and it’s working. Jacinda Ardern’s leadership style, focused on empathy, isn’t just resonating with her people; it’s putting the country on track for success against the coronavirus. Link to article Patients with heart attacks, strokes and even appendicitis have vanished from hospitals. Apparently, everybody is too worried to go to the ER. Link to article Designed in 48 hours, delivered in 2 weeks, will it work? Link to article how countries around the world are preparing for life after Covid-19. Link to article Clinicians trace a ferocious rampage through the body, from brain to toes. Link to article Copyright © 2020 Daily Corona Virus Update, All rights reserved.





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