The fact that Texas could be competitive in the 2020 presidential election is a big story. You might, however, be looking at our poll and wondering why Trump even has a shot of winning.

His approval rating among all adults is just 42%. That is far behind his disapproval rating of 50%.

But Texas has one of the largest gaps in partisanship between voters and all adults in the entire nation.

Among registered voters, Trump has a 48% approval rating vs. a 47% disapproval rating. That's a 6-point jump for Trump in his approval rating among registered voters.

In our last national poll, Trump had a much smaller 2 point rise in his approval rating when we switched from adults to registered voters.

Much of that has to do with the fact that Texas has a lower share of its adult population registered as voters than the nation.

Additionally, the nonvoter population in Texas seems to be less friendly to Trump than nationally. In our latest Texas poll, his approval rating among nonvoters is 26%. Nationally, it was 33%. This could be because the nonvoter population in our polling is significantly less white in Texas than it is nationally.