After a stronger than anticipated opening weekend, Universal’s Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom is set to easily hold onto first place, with around $55-65 million. Meanwhile, two genre titles hope to counterprogram niche audiences; Lionsgate’s sports comedy Uncle Drew and Sony’s action sequel Sicario: Day of the Soldado.

Mediocre reviews be damned, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom has actually been holding fairly well throughout the week. Even going back to its opening, the film dipped 15.1% on Saturday – a far better hold than most traditional blockbusters, and more akin to titles like Rampage, implying the monster thrillers appeal strongly to family audiences who don’t exclusively show up on Thursday and Friday nights. A drop of 55% would equal a second weekend of around $67 million, which would be a very solid result. Worst case scenario would likely be a drop of around 62% ($57 million) though that doesn’t seem particularly likely.

Also opening this weekend are Uncle Drew and Sicario: Day of the Soldado. Uncle Drew is somewhat of a wild card, as there aren’t exactly a plethora of comprable titles to go off of. Lionsgate has definitely given the film a major marketing push and is targeting an opening in around 2,700 locations. That should be enough for a debut in the mid teens, which would be a fine start.

Sicario: Day of the Soldado is also hard to predict, simply because the original film isn’t exactly the type that would traditionally receive a sequel. It opened in limited release back in 2015, before a solid $12 million nationwide expansion, which legged it out to around $47 million thanks to great reviews and word of mouth. However, its $84 million worldwide take against a $30 million budget for an arthouse title is not exactly the type of result that has studio suits scrambling to get a sequel out – much less one three years later, and in the heat of summer to boot. Fans have been quick to note the absence of original director Denis Villeneuve and star Emily Blunt, both of whom dropped out due to scheduling conflicts. These issues and others lead to Lionsgate swapping domestic distribution rights to Sony, while still retaining them overseas. A lack of adult oriented choices and a heavy marketing push should be enough to at least match its predecessors debut, which is a necessity given the $35 million budget.

In terms of other holdovers, Incredibles 2 should regain its footing after a hefty second weekend drop, Ocean’s 8 should remain in the top 5, and Hereditary looks to surpass $40 million.

Predictions

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom – $64 million Incredibles 2 – $45 million Sicario: Day of the Soldado – $14.5 million Uncle Drew – $13 million Ocean’s 8 – $8 million