Labour face electoral disaster as boundary changes cull MPs

Theresa May would win 100-strong majority at 2020 election

Labour would have lowest number of MPs since 1920s

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Theresa May looks set to win the 2020 election with a majority of 100 seats, leaving Jeremy Corbyn's Labour trailing on under 200 MPs, new analysis of the boundary changes shows.

The Conservatives would hold 349 seats in the House of Commons while Labour would have just 176, the first time the party would have fewer than 200 MPs since the 1920s, based on the review and current opinion polls.

Analysis by electoral expert Martin Baxter of Electoral Calculus also revealed the Mr Corbyn has just a six per cent chance of winning the 2020 election with an outright majority compared to Mrs May's 76 per cent chance.

Boundary changes are being proposed to reduce the number of MPs from 650 to 600 and to more evenly distribute the number of voters in each constituency.

Which MPs could lose their seats?

A number of high-profile MPs will lose their seats according to the proposals, including moderate Labour MPs Stephen Kinnock, Rachel Reeves and Tristram Hunt, the exclusive analysis shows.

Diane Abbott is also thought to be at risk, as her seat is being split between a number of other areas leaving her without a territorial claim over any new constituency.