Draw Rate Calculator

Warning: This is experimental, and may produce incorrect results. You are responsible for verifying any results before you use them.

Graph the probability of drawing at least of: Orleans Standard Conifer Arjunan Bow Crimson Sapphire Excluding Maximum Draws Draw rates from in-game SS Rare Rates 6.00% SS Rare Character Weapons Rates Dainsleif (Altair) 0.020% Lohengrin (Percival) 0.020% Claíomh Solais (Charlotta) 0.020% Gottfried (Aglovale) 0.020% Nagelring (Izmir) 0.020% Ascalon (Siegfried) 0.020% Deep Desire (Vira) 0.020% Greatsword Andalius (Aletheia) 0.020% Heiliges Schwert (Lancelot) 0.020% Yyrkoon (Yuisis) 0.020% Caladbolg (Jeanne d'Arc) 0.020% Ethereal Lasher (Ferry) 0.020% Hauteclaire (Albert) 0.020% Hrotti (Seruel) 0.020% Symbol of Justice (Baotorda) 0.020% Blutgang (Black Knight) 0.040% Disparia (Jeanne d'Arc) 0.020% Fallen Sword (Olivia) 0.040% Gram (Beatrix) 0.020% Lyst Sin (Vira) 0.020% Mistilteinn (Vaseraga) 0.020% Hoarfrost Blade Persius (Lancelot) 0.020% Phantom Thief Blade (Chat Noir) 0.020% Arsene (Catherine) 0.020% Mirror-Blade Shard (Alexiel) 0.040% Thorny Rose (Rosetta) 0.020% Heaven's Cloud (Petra) 0.020% Diamond Edge (De La Fille) 0.020% Thunder Dirk Jove (Agielba) 0.020% Twin Helix (Rosamia) 0.020% Azoth (Vania) 0.020% Bloody Scar (Veight) 0.020% Gandring (Tanya) 0.020% Parazonium (Orchid) 0.040% Brionac (Zeta) 0.020% Feendrache Pennant (Lancelot and Vane) 0.020% Luin (Heles) 0.020% Pilum (Nezahualpilli) 0.020% Sacred Lance (Athena) 0.020% Daemon's Spine (Anne) 0.020% Draco Horn (Grea) 0.020% Galilei's Insight (Europa) 0.040% Gae Derg (Razia) 0.020% Gargantua (Arulumaya) 0.020% Deirdre's Symbol (Heles) 0.020% Galactic Impact (Sen) 0.020% Orleans Standard (Jeanne d'Arc) 0.300% Turpin Spear (Carmelina) 0.020% Cletine (Zeta) 0.020% Conifer (Naoise) 0.300% Eden (Lucio) 0.040% Shadow Viperlance (Azazel) 0.020% Skyrend Spear (Forte) 0.020% Sunspot Spear (Zeta) 0.020% Scarlet Crest Axe (Yuel) 0.020% Two-by-Four (Tsubasa) 0.020% Way Flyer (Aoidos) 0.020% Blossom Axe (Vane) 0.020% Mettle (Nemone) 0.020% Wurtzite Scythe (Vaseraga) 0.020% Split End (Melissabelle) 0.020% Windflash (Gawain) 0.020% Certificus (Vira) 0.040% Claidheamh Soluis (Charlotta) 0.020% Full Metal Recoil (Silva) 0.020% Ukonvasara (Lady Grey) 0.020% Master Key (Wulf and Renie) 0.020% Soul Eater (Hallessena) 0.020% Vassago (Melleau) 0.020% Forbidden Inferno (Anthuria) 0.020% Illusion Scepter (Magisa) 0.020% Starblaze Rings (Zahlhamelina) 0.020% Sunflower Wand (Io) 0.020% Blue Sphere (Drang) 0.040% Ice Crystal Staff (Lily) 0.020% Montague's Oath (Romeo) 0.020% Ouroboros (Cagliostro) 0.020% Thyrsus (De La Fille) 0.020% Kerykeion (De La Fille) 0.020% Returner Staff (Yurius) 0.020% Wing of the Pure (Korwa) 0.020% Capulet's Oath (Juliet) 0.020% Sealed Claustrum (Sarunan) 0.020% Black Ouroboros (Cagliostro) 0.020% Gridarvor (Marquiares) 0.020% Kalaurops (Sarunan) 0.020% Meteora (Yngwie) 0.020% Vlisragna (Silva) 0.020% White Hawk (Cucouroux) 0.020% Stratomizer (Eustace) 0.020% Far Away (Lennah) 0.020% Tiamat Bolt Prime (Tiamat) 0.020% Railgun (Robomi) 0.020% Ruler of Fate (Zooey) 0.020% Arachne (Freezie) 0.020% Ishtar (Eustace) 0.020% Blushing Blossom Pin (Societte) 0.020% Brahma Gauntlet (Ghandagoza) 0.020% Draco Claw (Grea) 0.020% Magma Gauntlet (Aliza) 0.020% Metal Hand (Lady Katapillar and Vira) 0.020% Scarlet Vane (Societte) 0.020% Ancient Bandages (Ayer) 0.020% Neko Punch Pro (Dante and Freiheit) 0.020% Wyrmtiger Claw (Soriz) 0.020% Deirdre's Claws (Scathacha) 0.020% Gothic Cutlery (Dorothy and Claudia) 0.020% Coco & Mimi (Cerberus) 0.020% Cute Ribbon (Zooey) 0.040% Ruling Pen (Lunalu) 0.020% Arjunan Bow (Ilsa) 0.300% Purifying Thunderbolt (Shiva) 0.040% Roseate Aetherial Bow (Metera) 0.020% Gandiva (Ilsa) 0.020% Aetherial Bow (Metera) 0.020% Heroic Bow (Feena) 0.020% Levin Shooter (Levin Sisters) 0.020% Mobius Strip (Clarisse) 0.020% Melodic Sphere (Lilele) 0.020% Ocean Harp (Sophia) 0.020% Bella Aeterna (Yggdrasil) 0.020% Sandcastle Song-Lume (Sara) 0.020% Cords of Heaven Lillah (Arriet) 0.020% Cythara Anglica (Selfira) 0.020% Fusion Mobius (Clarisse) 0.020% Ixaba (Sturm) 0.040% Tanzanite Blade (Therese) 0.020% Izayoi (Yuel) 0.020% Venustas (Narmaya) 0.020% Crimson Sapphire (Yuel) 0.600% Dragon Slayer (Amira) 0.020% Sinensis (Siegfried) 0.020% Fudo-Kuniyuki (Yodarha) 0.020% Gigante Slicer (Nicholas) 0.020% Mikazuki (Danua) 0.020% SS Rare Summon Rates Agni 0.016% Athena 0.016% Michael 0.016% Prometheus 0.016% Satyr 0.016% Sethlans 0.016% Shiva 0.016% Sylph, Flutterspirit of Purity 0.016% Twin Elements 0.016% Zaoshen 0.016% Bonito 0.016% Ca Ong 0.016% Europa 0.016% Gabriel 0.016% Grani 0.016% Kaguya 0.016% Macula Marius 0.016% Macula Marius (Summer) 0.250% Neptune 0.016% Oceanus 0.016% Poseidon, the Tide Father 0.016% Snow White 0.016% Varuna 0.016% Ankusha 0.016% Baal 0.016% Cybele 0.016% Gilgamesh 0.016% Godsworn Alexiel 0.016% Gorilla 0.016% Marduk, Battlefield Reaper 0.016% Medusa 0.016% Tezcatlipoca 0.016% Titan 0.016% Uriel 0.016% Anat, for Love and War 0.016% Freyr 0.016% Garuda 0.016% Garula, Shining Hawk 0.016% Grimnir 0.016% Hamsa 0.016% Morrigna 0.016% Nezha 0.016% Quetzalcoatl 0.016% Raphael 0.016% Rose Queen 0.016% Setekh 0.016% Siren 0.016% Zephyrus 0.016% Adramelech 0.016% Aphrodite 0.016% Apollo 0.016% Grand Order 0.016% Halluel and Malluel 0.016% Hector 0.016% Lucifer 0.250% Magus, Triad of Wisdom 0.016% Odin 0.016% Thor 0.016% Vortex Dragon 0.016% Zeus 0.016% Anubis 0.016% Bahamut 0.016% Cerberus, Hellhound Trifecta 0.016% Dark Angel Olivia 0.016% Hades 0.016% Lich 0.016% Nacht 0.016% Satan 0.016% Tsukuyomi 0.016% Typhon 0.016% S Rare Rates 15.00% S Rare Character Weapons Rates Ember Blade (Carren) 0.032% Ram-Dao (Gayne) 0.032% Tanzanite Sword Mikoh (Therese) 0.032% Time-Tested Iron (Rosine) 0.032% Aquablade (Mina) 0.032% Bottle o' Blossoms (Lamretta) 0.032% Floaty Sword (Charlotta) 0.500% Macuahuitl (Farrah) 0.500% Ripple Rapier (Katalina) 0.032% Royal Rapier (Ange) 0.032% Sword of Sorcery (Owen) 0.032% Frying Pan (Yaia) 0.032% Grand Edge (Herja) 0.032% Prideful Sword (Beatrix) 0.032% Balisarde (Arthur and Mordred) 0.032% Kilij (Juri) 0.032% Pirate Sword (Lecia) 0.032% Silver Fan (Karteira) 0.032% Summer Souteyrand (Yuisis) 0.032% White Flag (Mimlemel and Stumpeye) 0.032% Arondight (Baotorda) 0.032% Samurai Sword (Mirin) 0.032% True Teardrop (Vermeil) 0.032% Lyst (Vira) 0.032% Purity Blade (Lucius) 0.032% Silver Shotel (Randall) 0.032% Tilvung (Helnar) 0.032% Soulbond Dirk (Teena) 0.032% Shrike's Beak (Jamil) 0.032% Sword of Lisblanc (Farrah) 0.032% Soul Edge (Ferry) 0.032% Katzbalger (Jamil) 0.032% Puppet Knife (Danua) 0.032% Scalpel (Shao) 0.032% Wyrm Claw (Tanya) 0.032% Flare Glaive (Mariah) 0.032% Raging Halberd (Vane) 0.032% Narval (Ulamnuran) 0.032% Titanium Harpoon (Sig) 0.032% Divine Spear (Razia) 0.032% Dreadflayer (Laguna) 0.032% Giant Fork (Redluck) 0.032% Golden Mop (Claudia) 0.032% Macho Hunter Weapon (The Lowain Bros) 0.032% Serpentine Longspear (Leona) 0.032% Lance d'Espoir (Jeanne d'Arc) 0.032% Brocken Lance (Deliford) 0.032% Massive Axe (Ryan) 0.032% Fremel Hammer (Almeida) 0.032% Gold-Plated Fremel (Almeida) 0.500% Great Hammer (Galadar) 0.032% Cloud Tomahawk (Eso) 0.032% Holy Axe (Sevastien) 0.032% Golden Woofer (Daetta) 0.032% Voulge (Zaja) 0.032% Arson (Elmott) 0.032% Arson Link (Blazing Teacher Elmott) 0.032% Nature's Mystery (Dante) 0.032% Soothing Torch (Rosamia) 0.032% Witch's Broom (Anna) 0.032% Ice Bough Staff (Erin) 0.032% Spritewood Staff (Mishra) 0.032% Tughril (Nezahualpilli) 0.032% Zhonpeli (Lamretta) 0.032% Aerial Cane (Arusha) 0.032% Flower Crown (Jasmine) 0.032% Wind-Rhyme Staff (Noa) 0.032% Sacred Codex (Johann) 0.032% Staff of the Star Seeker (Sophia) 0.032% Cursed Cane (Will) 0.032% Shadow Scepter (Goblin Mage) 0.032% Dolphin (Cucouroux) 0.032% Fire Piece (Mary) 0.032% Signal Flare (Karva) 0.032% Colorful Crackerjack (Pengy) 0.032% Quarrel (Sahli Lao) 0.032% Handy Arquebus (Jessica) 0.032% Standard Albion Bolt (Tyre) 0.032% Genius Squared (Skull) 0.032% Hunter's Rifle (Ludmila) 0.032% Chain Knuckles (Ezecrain) 0.032% Crimson Talons (Sen) 0.032% Cup and Saucer (Dorothy) 0.032% Red-Hot Noodles (Ippatsu) 0.032% Rope Knuckles (Ghandagoza) 0.032% Epoxy Boogie Plates (Cailana) 0.032% Kaiser Knuckles (Alec) 0.032% Demitasse (Catherine) 0.032% Impact Knuckles (Soriz) 0.032% Metal Glove (Ladiva) 0.032% Mythril Tonfa (Vanzza) 0.032% Sudarshana (Carmelina) 0.032% Merciless Chastening (Hazen) 0.032% Crocskin Glove (Barawa) 0.032% Heavy Blast Knuckles (Feather) 0.032% Misanga Bracelet (J.J.) 0.032% Tiger Fang (Mimlemel) 0.032% Cruel Claw (Predator) 0.032% Summer Night Peak (Arulumaya) 0.032% Vampire's Nail (Vania) 0.032% Glass Bow (Sutera) 0.032% Ice Bow (Milleore) 0.032% Sutera's Bow (Sutera) 0.032% Slingshot (Sarya) 0.032% Aquarium Harp (Ejaeli) 0.032% Summer Beach Sphere (Lilele) 0.032% Songsmith's Harp (Elta) 0.032% Stravaria (Keehar) 0.032% Humming Bard (Elta) 0.032% Wandering Blade (Lucius) 0.032% Unsigned Blade (Mirin) 0.032% Zanbato (Sevilbarra) 0.032% S Rare Non-Character Weapons Rates Fragarach 0.166% Almace 0.166% Ilhoon 0.166% Twisted Dagger 0.166% Mirage Knife 0.166% Stiletto 0.166% Fusetto 0.166% Sword Breaker 0.166% Trident 0.166% Partisan 0.166% Dragonfliar Cutter 0.166% Shura Vhara 0.166% Vajranda 0.166% Bullova 0.166% Shoka 0.166% Horseman's Hammer 0.166% Yagrush 0.166% Pastoral Staff 0.166% Holy Cane 0.166% Dragon Tail 0.166% Wheellock Axe 0.166% Crosswind 0.166% Snaphance 0.166% Swallowtail 0.166% Mauler 0.166% Neko Punch 0.166% Jamadhar 0.166% Imperial Bow 0.166% Sarnga 0.166% Aves 0.166% Elfin Bow 0.166% Shadow Bow 0.166% Athanasius 0.166% Iron Tiger 0.166% Fluorithium Blade 0.166% Sauria 0.166% S Rare Summon Rates Garnet Carbuncle 0.190% Hellhound 0.190% Hydra 0.190% Vrazarek Firewyrm 0.190% Angelie Cascade 0.190% Aquamarine Carbuncle 0.190% Wilinus Icewyrm 0.190% Clay Golem 0.190% Doomworm 0.190% Golem 0.190% Myconid 0.190% Ruination Gargoyle 0.190% Stone Golem 0.190% Zircon Carbuncle 0.190% Elmenhilde Windsprite 0.190% Elusious Windwyrm 0.190% Griffin 0.190% Wyvern 0.190% Opal Carbuncle 0.190% Pixie 0.190% Onyx Carbuncle 0.190% Rare Rates 79.00% Rare Character Weapons Rates Fire Sword (Farrah) 0.166% Vintage Flat Iron (Rosine) 0.166% Shrimp Lure (Yodarha) 0.166% White Sword (Bridgette) 0.166% Heavy Metal Comb (La Coiffe) 0.166% Two-Handed Sword (Herja) 0.166% Xiphos (Volenna) 0.166% Lightbringer (Stan) 0.166% Old Sword (Krugne) 0.166% Paper Fan (Karteira) 0.166% Practice Sword (Thelonim) 0.166% Blue Crest (Cordelia) 0.166% Prism Tear (Vermeil) 0.166% Thunder Rapier (Rosamia) 0.166% Dark Sword (Leonora) 0.166% Broken Bottle (Lamretta) 0.166% Little Scarlet (Drusilla) 0.166% Wooden Dagger (Walder) 2.000% Mandau (Zehek) 0.166% Spin Blade (Spinnah) 0.166% Bloody Piercer (Tanya) 0.166% Cleaver (Lowain) 0.166% Switchblade (Lowain) 0.166% Silver Pole (Joel) 0.166% Ghillie Fork (Elmelaura) 0.166% Night Horn (Deliford) 0.166% Iron Pliers (Viceroy) 0.166% Soldier Axe (Ryan) 0.166% Draph Hammer (Galadar) 0.166% Sky Tomahawk (Eso) 0.166% Morning Star (Daetta) 0.166% Forest Hermit Staff (Dante) 0.166% Rubia Rod (Camieux) 0.166% Torch (Camieux) 0.166% Snowman Rod (Suframare) 0.166% Student Notebook (Alistair) 0.166% Stone Pole (Norcel) 0.166% Taiaha (Jasmine) 0.166% Feather Wand (Anna) 0.166% Moss Tree Staff (Petra) 0.166% Light Staff (Philosophia) 0.166% The Cross (Will) 0.166% Derringer (Barawa) 0.166% Flame Bolt (Karva) 0.166% Sawed-Off Shotgun (Garma) 0.166% Self Defender (Richard) 0.166% Petronel (Mary) 0.166% Chopsticks (Ippatsu) 0.166% Boogie Plates (Cailana) 0.166% Cold Noodles (Ippatsu) 0.166% Oven Mitts (Nene) 0.166% Tattoo Fist (Randall) 0.166% Iron Guard (Balurga) 0.166% Mythril Knuckles (Hazen) 0.166% Tonfa (Vanzza) 0.166% Enchanted Nail (Chloe) 0.166% Light Buckler (Pavidus) 0.166% Blast Knuckles (Feather) 0.166% Flame Bow (Flesselles) 0.166% Bronze Bell (Bakura) 0.166% Night Bell (Lunalu) 0.166% Rare Non-Character Weapons Rates Anelace 0.646% Claymore 0.646% Falchion 0.646% Flame Rapier 0.646% Ice Sword 0.646% Icey Nail 0.646% Earth Cutlass 0.646% Fire Baselard 0.646% Kila 0.646% Mailbreaker 0.646% Water Kukri 0.646% Kris 0.646% Emerald Dagger 0.646% Leaf Dagger 0.646% Holy Kris 0.646% Assassin's Dagger 0.646% Dark Knife 0.646% Couse 0.646% Fire Glaive 0.646% Flame Halberd 0.646% Langdebeve 0.646% Aquan Killer 0.646% Earth Halberd 0.646% Halberd 0.646% Harvester 0.646% Battle Axe 0.646% Earth Zaghnal 0.646% Rock Hammer 0.646% Wind Axe 0.646% Tabar 0.646% Thunder Kalinga Axe 0.646% Neckchopper 0.646% Cane 0.646% Ocean Rod 0.646% Water Rod 0.646% Feather Staff 0.646% Emerald Cane 0.646% Wind Rod 0.646% Shareeravadi 0.646% Evil Wand 0.646% Grenade 0.646% Matchlock 0.646% Straight Anchor 0.646% Ranger Pistol 0.646% Hand Pistol 0.646% Jezail 0.646% Fireball 0.646% Heated Pata 0.646% Pata 0.646% Fish Tooth 0.646% Gauntlet 0.646% Tidal Wraps 0.646% Rock Cutter 0.646% Mythril Baghnakhs 0.646% Whirlwind Wraps 0.646% Composite Bow 0.646% Mythril Bow 0.646% Longbow 0.646% Earth Bow 0.646% Power Bow 0.646% War Bow 0.646% Wrapped Bow 0.646% Lyre of Lamia 0.646% Nodachi 0.646% Mythril Katana 0.646% Rare Summon Rates Minotaur 1.041% Twilight Devil 1.041% Venom Lancer 1.041% Walking Torch 1.041% Angelie 1.041% Crusher 1.041% Jawfish 1.041% Purgatorian 1.041% Rivacuda 1.041% Slime 1.041% Swordshark 1.041% Bonethorn 1.041% Crawler 1.041% Lumacie Griffin 1.041% Mandrake 1.041% Sleepyhead 1.041% Belle 1.041% Dragonflair 1.041% Hornbird 1.041% Rodfly 1.041% Ghost Light 1.041% Cave Bat 1.041% Imp 1.041% Skeleton 1.041% Built-in draw rates last updated 2019-03-18.

Probability of drawing at least exactly a particular number of items from the selection in N draws

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Results will be slightly (~1%) off from the real rate as calculations are made by summing the individual draw rates, which are given rounded.

Draws are currently only calculated as single draws. In 10-part draws, real SR rates will be slightly higher and real R rates will be slightly lower. If you know how to efficiently calculate the cumulative probability of two binomial distributions with different probabilities, I'd like to hear from you.