4. RICHMOND 14-6, 112.8, 56

Final two matches: West Coast (MCG), Brisbane Lions (MCG)

Richmond need to win their final two games to make sure they secure a double chance. One win will be enough if Collingwood only manage one more win, but it probably won't be enough if Collingwood win their final two matches. Losing to the Eagles and Lions would be a disaster for the Tigers because not only would they then need the Magpies to drop both of their remaining matches, which looks unlikely given the form Essendon are in, but they would also require GWS to lose a winnable game to either the Bulldogs or Gold Coast. 5. COLLINGWOOD 13-7, 113.9, 52

Final two matches: Adelaide (Adelaide Oval), Essendon (MCG)

To sneak into the top four, the Magpies would need to beat the Crows and Bombers and hope Richmond lose to either West Coast or Brisbane. If the Tigers drop both games, the Pies' chances would be enhanced considerably because then they would probably only need to win one more game to get their hands on a double chance. Can the Magpies sneak into the top four? Credit:AAP 6. GWS 12-8, 116.5, 48

Final two matches: Western Bulldogs (Giants Stadium), Gold Coast (Metricon Stadium)

Contrary to popular belief, the Giants haven't completely booked their ticket to the finals just yet. If they were to lose their final two games and if Essendon, Port Adelaide and Adelaide were to each win their final two games, there is a chance they could slip outside the top eight at the end of round 23. So to make a certainty of it, the Giants have to win one more game – and luckily for them they play the bottom-of-the-ladder Suns in the final round. As for their top-four hopes, they would have to win both of their games and cross their fingers that Richmond drop both of theirs and that Collingwood win no more than one more match. 7. ESSENDON 11-9, 93.5, 44

Final two matches: Fremantle (Optus Stadium), Collingwood (MCG)

For a few weeks now, the perception has been that the Bombers only have to win one more game to guarantee themselves a return to September. But that is not the case. To remove any doubt, John Worsfold's men now have to win their final two games. If they manage just one more win, due to their shocking percentage they can only afford one of Port Adelaide, Adelaide or the Western Bulldogs to win their final two games. If two of those sides rack up back-to-back wins in that situation, then the Bombers are cooked. If Essendon fail to beat either Freo or Collingwood, they would need a minor miracle to qualify for the finals.

8. PORT ADELAIDE 10-10, 109.0, 40

Final two matches: North Melbourne (Marvel Stadium), Fremantle (Adelaide Oval)

The equation is simple for the Power: beat North and the Dockers and they'll probably make the finals. Considering the slump Essendon find themselves in, it's hard to see them winning again this year, and even if they manage one victory, the Power would overtake them by winning two. But so tight is this year's finish to the season that another pair of wins might not be enough for Ken Hinkley's men. If the Bombers somehow beat both Freo and Collingwood, and Adelaide win their final two games by a combined margin of roughly four to five goals more than the Power win their games, then the Crows will push their bitter rivals out of the top eight. If the Power win both of their games, the Bulldogs' task of overtaking them would be more challenging because they would have to win their final two games by roughly 100 combined points more than Port Adelaide win theirs. 9. ADELAIDE 10-10, 107.5, 40

Final two matches: Collingwood (Adelaide Oval), Western Bulldogs (Mars Stadium)

The Crows would give themselves the best chance of making the finals by winning their final two games. In that scenario, they would be best served by the Power dropping one game. But as previously explained, Adelaide could still push the Power out of the top eight even if Port won their final two games. Losing one would make things tricky for the Crows, but they could still sneak in by overtaking Essendon. Losing both matches would end their finals dream, though. The Crows could keep their cross-town rivals from the finals. Credit:AAP 10. WESTERN BULLDOGS 10-10, 102.2, 40

Final two matches: GWS (Giants Stadium), Adelaide (Mars Stadium)

The Doggies' best shot of qualifying for the finals would be winning their final two games and hoping either Essendon or Port Adelaide drop at least one more. One win could still do it for Luke Beveridge's team, but in that situation they would first want it to come against Adelaide and secondly they would need two of Adelaide, Port Adelaide or Essendon to remain winless - a much harder route. Beating the Giants and Crows would make things much easier for them.