Texas primary 222 delegates (145 district, 77 statewide)

Another Southern state, another likely Clinton win — though her margin of victory may be smaller in Texas than elsewhere in the South. Texas has fewer black voters and a lot of white liberals around Austin, which could help Sanders. Still, black voters were a higher share of the Democratic electorate in Texas in 2008 than they have been this year in any state that has voted so far besides South Carolina. The Lone Star State will be an interesting test of how much Sanders has improved his standing among Hispanics. If it’s a lot, the contest in Texas may be closer than expected. If not, Clinton will probably win easily. One interesting side note: Although delegates are usually awarded proportionally on the state and congressional district level in Democratic contests, they will be awarded proportionally on the state and state Senate district level in Texas.