Background and aims

Visit-to-visit variability in biological measures has been suggested as an independent predictor of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Although low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) are important risk factors of CVD, there are few studies investigating the effect of variability in LDL-C and HDL-C on cardiovascular outcomes. We investigated the association between visit-to-visit variability in LDL-C, HDL-C, and non-HDL-C and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) in patients who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

Methods

Data from 1792 subjects who underwent PCI from January 2004 to December 2009 were analyzed. Visit-to-visit variability was calculated using various indices: standard deviation (SD), coefficient of variation, and corrected variability independent of mean (cVIM). MACCE comprised all-cause death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and stroke.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 65 months, 114 subjects (6.4%) experienced MACCE: 68 (3.8%) all-cause death; 43 (2.4%) stroke, and 15 (0.8%) non-fatal myocardial infarction. Visit-to-visit variability in LDL-C, HDL-C, and non-HDL-C was significantly higher in the MACCE group compared to the non-MACCE group. In multiple regression analysis, all LDL-C, HDL-C, and non-HDL-C variability parameters were independent predictors for MACCE after adjusting for potential confounding factors. Each 1-SD increase of cVIM in LDL-C, HDL-C, and non-HDL-C increased the risk of MACCE by 34% (HR 1.34 [95% CI, 1.18–1.52]), 50% (HR 1.50 [95% CI 1.32–1.71]), and 37% (HR 1.37 [95% CI, 1.20–1.57]), respectively. These relationships were observed in various subgroups according to age, sex, and diabetes status.

Conclusions

Visit-to-visit variability in LDL-C, HDL-C, and non-HDL-C is associated with MACCE in subjects with previous PCI.