Saturday night, boxer Floyd Mayweather and non-boxer Conor McGregor will box. It’s apparently a big deal.

Also going on: the mini-Opening Day of college football. There’s a weird smattering of college football games on the schedule, five days before the big stuff gets going. The late game: No. 14 Stanford vs. Rice in Sydney, Australia.

Stanford, like Mayweather, is consistently elite and at its best when it forces its opponent to make mistakes until superior mechanics win the match. Just watch head coach David Shaw’s eyes gleam whenever punting is the topic.

Rice, like McGregor, is so mismatched that it might as well be playing a different sport. The Owls are one of the worst teams in one of the worst conferences.

Stanford’s favored by at least four touchdowns. Mayweather’s status as a massive favorite has shrunk due to tons of small McGregor bets, but it looks like the sharps are just waiting to strike with Mayweather bets.

Amid all that, we have this from Bovada:

What will there be more of?

Total punches landed by Conor McGregor (5/7 odds)

Total Stanford-Rice margin of victory (1/1 odds)

The McGregor odds are friendlier to Bovada, and Stanford’s expected to win by about 30 points, so that means McGregor’s expected to land at least 30 shots.

In Mayweather’s 15 pay-per-view fights, his opponents have landed an average of a meager 93 punches. Those were actual, full-time, professional boxers, but considering Mayweather doesn’t tend to go for knockouts and McGregor’s still a prime professional athlete, more than 30 isn’t unreasonable.

If there is a gigantic upset in this fight, it’ll be on par with Rice beating Alabama in football. Hey, guess which program has the country’s best all-time football record vs. Bama?