Despite the incredible success the Dallas Cowboys have had as a franchise, there has only been one time a Cowboys player has come away with the NFL’s Most Valuable Player award. That distinction belongs to the league’s all-time leading rusher Emmitt Smith, for his work during the 1993 season in which he held out the first two games in a hotly contested contract dispute with owner Jerry Jones.

Will 2019 be the year Dallas breaks the curse? A look through the betting odds from MyBookie indicate it’s unlikely.

Here are the Cowboys players most likely to take home the award this season, what it would take to do so, and if it’s worth throwing some money at.

Ezekiel Elliott – Running Back +5000

While he has the best odds of all Dallas players, the last running back named MVP was Adrian Peterson in 2012, who ran for over 2000 yards at six per carry.

Since the year 2000, there have been four running backs to win the award, not one of them averaged less than five yards a carry, and on average they had 2,196 yards per scrimmage and an unbelievable 24.5 touchdowns. Elliott is capable of clearing 2000 yards per scrimmage, he did it last year while sitting out the regular season finale, but he has never had more than 16 touchdowns in a season.

A combination of Elliott’s 2018 pass catching numbers in conjunction with his rookie year rushing numbers could put him in contention, but it seems unfathomable in today’s NFL for a quarterback to not take home the award. Elliott wasn’t even able to beat out quarterback Dak Prescott for Rookie of the Year despite incredible numbers.

Stay away from this bet.