French physicist Serge Galam has published a fourteen-page paper which claims the Front National Leader could still win mathematically. His theory of “differentiated abstention” hinges on variation in voter turnout.



Mr Galam has said that Ms Le Pen could win by 50.07 percent, if turnout for the two camps varies widely from pollsters’ estimates.



"If 90 percent of people who said they would vote for Le Pen go through with it it, and at the same time only 65 percent of people who declared they would vote for Macron actually vote, then it's Marine Le Pen who wins the election with a score of 50.07 percent", the paper claims.

All eyes are now on the second and final round of voting to be held in a few days time on 7th May 2017 when Centrist Macron and Far Right Le Pen go head to head. The consensus view is that Marine Le Pen just CANNOT Win, as the odds are heavily stacked against her with the polls giving Macron a healthy lead of 60% against Le Pen trailing heavily behind on 40%,that's a 20% gap!

Surely such a poll lead is insurmountable. However, similarly Britain's BrExit was never supposed to happen which lit the fuse in the Untied States for MR BrExit Donald Trump to win the US Presidential Election. So can the BrExit factor, an invisible swing to the pollsters deliver Marine Le Pen victory and be crowned Madam BrExit ?

We'll having correctly called Britain's BrExit and Trump winning the US election with before that the UK 2015 General Election and before that the Scottish Independence referendum, here is my analysis of the most probable outcome of the French Presidential Election as part of my series of video analysis in the BrExit war series.