Psst. We’ve got a secret. We’ll tell you, but you have to promise to keep it to yourself. It’s juicy, inside info regarding our method of analyzing stats to create fantasy projections. You ready?

Here it is: As of today, last season no longer matters.

In Week 1, all we had to lean on was last year’s data. In Week 2, you don’t want to lean too much on Week 1, so we use it as just 25 percent of our data input, with 75 percent from last year. We increase to 50/50 for Week 3. Week 4, we’re not quite ready to discard all of last season, but we only use 25 percent.

Now, Week 5, we officially can say goodbye to last year’s spreadsheets and focus all of our data on this season. This is also a good time for re-evaluation of previous forecasts. This is when we ask ourselves tough questions like: What if Jared Goff is actually … gasp … good?

The entire Rams offense gets a shift in outlook. New coach Sean McVay has young talent playing up to the potential heaped upon them earlier in their careers. Goff looks nothing like the lost rookie he was last year, and his improvement lifts all of those around him.

It doesn’t make Sammy Watkins an every-week starter, but it makes him a weekly consideration. It doesn’t lift Robert Woods or Cooper Kupp above backup status, but it makes them rosterable. Mostly, Goff’s improvement helps Goff. Well, him and Todd Gurley.

Gurley had a smashing debut over his first five games in 2015. But since then, a stretch of 24 games before this season, his rushing average was just 3.43 — and a miserable 3.18 last season. When he averaged just 2.11 in Week 1, we warned his two TDs were misleading, that he was still 2016 Gurley, not early-2015 Gurley.

Now that Week 1 game looks like the outlier in a new set of data. With an improved Goff, it raises Gurley’s floor. His 4.81 per-carry average over his past three games is much more agreeable, and now looks like the new norm. And he is being used heavily in the passing attack — three straight games with a receiving TD.

It also means, though some correction is order for Gurley’s TD rate — he has scored a touchdown every 15.1 touches, compared to the league average of 24.1 and RB average of 29.2 — that correction has a good chance to remain better than the average, though not to the degree it is now (consider: LeGarrette Blount’s TD rate last year was 16.6).

Among our other adjustments, certain defenses we will approach differently. We won’t lean so heavily toward a player who faces a Saints defense which is better than we imagined. We will treat the Patriots the way we used to treat the Saints, until they make expected adjustments that force another course correction. We will consider downgrades for those facing the Bills.

That’s how the Madman is going to do it. But, shhh, don’t tell anyone.

On the way up

Deshaun Watson QB, Texans

We always are shy with rookie QBs, but two of his three starts have been strong. Consider if you’re platooning or streaming QBs.

Alvin Kamara RB, Saints

Role as pass-catching back is established. At 5-foot-11, 215 pounds, sturdy enough to take on larger role if needed. Adrian Peterson won’t stand in his way, and Saints coaching staff has soured on starter Mark Ingram before.

Alex Collins RB, Ravens

Appears to have taken over a messy Baltimore backfield committee. Javorius Allen and Terrance West are likely incapable of putting up much resistance. Schedule is a bear, but can serve as bye-week filler if expected volume continues to develop.

Jared Cook TE, Raiders

In messy tight-end market, Cook looks like a decent back-end option. With Amari Cooper struggling and Michael Crabtree banged up, his role could increase.

On the way down

Joe Mixon RB, Bengals

After two weeks getting a healthy workload, he has not shown the vision, discipline or effectiveness that gave him huge upside. So, despite seemingly taking over, as projected, that takeover is less impressive than we envisioned.

Kelvin Benjamin WR, Panthers

Hasn’t been helped by the struggles of QB Cam Newton. Being outproduced by Devin Funchess in an offense that does not inspire confidence.

Jarvis Landry WR, Dolphins

Was always target reliant, and with Jay Cutler at QB, that target volume is not reliable. His air yards per catch is a striking 5.6, worse than several tight ends.

Hunter Henry TE, Chargers

Outside of a seven-catch game in Week 2, he has a combined two catches in three other games. Don’t be fooled by highlight-reel TD on Sunday.