Leg two of the Florida Swing gets underway this week at the pristine venue just southwest of Orlando. Nestled in between Disney World and Universal Studios in the heart of the Sunshine State, Bay Hill Club and Lodge plays host to the Arnold Palmer Invitational for the 42nd consecutive year.

Sungjae Im prevailed last week at PGA National in blustery conditions to earn the first win of his promising career, marking the fourth straight week we’ve seen a non-American march to victory on the PGA Tour. Im is already the third member of the 2019 International Team at the Presidents Cup to triumph in 2020 (Cameron Smith, Adam Scott), and we could very well see that number jump to four come Sunday.

Before I reveal my prediction for who wins the API, let’s begin with the Arnold Palmer Invitational odds.

2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds to Win

Rory McIlroy +500 Tommy Fleetwood +1400 Bryson DeChambeau +1600 Hideki Matsuyama +1800 Xander Schauffele +2000 Adam Scott +2200 Brooks Koepka +2500 Patrick Reed +2500 Sungjae Im +2500 Jason Day +2800 Henrik Stenson +3300 Rickie Fowler +3300 Tony Finau +3300 Bubba Watson +4000 Byeong Hun An +4000 Justin Rose +4000 Marc Leishman +4000 Matthew Fitzpatrick +4000 Abraham Ancer +5000 Billy Horschel +5000 Collin Morikawa +5000 Lee Westwood +5000 Tyrrell Hatton +5000 Viktor Hovland +5000 Max Homa +6600 Phil Mickelson +6600 Rafael Cabrera Bello +6600 Brenden Steele +8000 Charl Schwartzel +8000 J.B. Holmes +8000 Joaquin Niemann +8000 Kevin Kisner +8000 Scottie Scheffler +8000 Click to Open

Shopping your odds at Bay Hill across the best golf betting sites is important to ensure you latch onto the best prices available. For example, if you thought Brooks Koepka looks appealing at +2500, check Brooksy out at one of the other top PGA Tour sportsbooks online.

At leading betting site MyBookie, BK is +3000 to win the 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Frankly, though, I’ll be steering clear of the world #3 until he demonstrates that he’s going to take the PGA Tour seriously.

Through four starts thus far in the 2019/2020 campaign, Koepka has completed 72 holes just once.

What Happened at the 2019 Arnold Palmer Invitational?

What was supposed to be a Sunday duel between good friends Rory McIlroy and Matthew Fitzpatrick turned into the Francesco Molinari show. The 2018 Champion Golfer of the Year shot a sizzling bogey-free 64 to storm up the leaderboard and claim the trophy, climbing to #7 in the OWGR in the process.

Twelve months later, the Italian has plummeted down to #26 and is sitting at a whopping +100000 to defend his title.

Fitzpatrick wound up as the runner-up while Sungjae Im and Tommy Fleetwood were joined by Rafa Cabrera Bello in a tie for third. Several notables missed the cut, including Phil Mickelson and Brooks Koepka.

Jason Day was forced to withdraw just six holes into Thursday’s opening round.

Could Sungjae Im Win Two in a Row?

Now that the lid has been popped off, there’s no telling how many golf tournaments Sungjae Im is going to win. The 21-year-old South Korean plays just about every week, and I’ve never seen a golf course that doesn’t play into the hands of a golfer who rarely misses a golf shot.

Sungjae finished 3rd here in 2019, and the way he attacked pins coming down the stretch Sunday at the Bear Trap says a lot about where this kid’s confidence is at.

I wouldn’t look past Im getting into the mix this weekend at Bay Hill; I’d just advise you to head to Bovada to invest. At +2800 to win, there’s a little bit of extra incentive.

My Pick to Win the Arnold Palmer Invitational

In the introduction, I mentioned that another one of Ernie Els’ pupils in Melbourne could visit the winner’s circle this Sunday.

Now I’m putting my money where my mouth is.

I’ll obviously be highlighting Abraham Ancer as a value-play in my Arnold Palmer Invitational sleepers post later this week, especially considering the discrepancies with his price. Ancer’s odds to win the API ranged from +5000 at BetOnline all the way to +8000 at Bovada.

Ranked 2nd in scrambling and 16th in total driving, the 27-year-old has an extremely well-rounded game that doesn’t have any glaring weaknesses to speak of. We know he craves playing on the big stage, and his current form has him lined up for what could be a special week.

Coming off a 12th-place showing in Mexico City, Ancer has already racked up three top 10s and has earned more than $1.6 million in 2019/2020.

A victory this week at the API would double those earnings.

Pick Abraham Ancer +8000

The Rundown

My series of Arnold Palmer Invitational betting previews is just getting started. A five-pack of API sleepers is on the way, and Arnold Palmer Invitational DFS picks will follow shortly after, as will my trio of matchup picks.

If your plan is to bet on this week’s PGA Tour event, following our golf blog sets the stage for success.

Following through and pulling the trigger on the suggested wagers is up to you.