HIDALGO COUNTY, Texas- Health experts are trying to figure out when the Valley will hit its peak, in COVID-19 cases.

Hidalgo County is currently working with The UTRGV School of Medicine to help determine when Hidalgo County will see its maximum amount of cases.

Hidalgo County is currently leading the Valley in COVID-19 cases and health experts believe Hidalgo will peak in May or June.

Dr. John Krouse, Dean for the School of Medicine at UTRGV explains later is better.

“What we are finding is that is we did nothing at all we would have a very large peak in late May. That would be really disastrous, but what we are finding is that if we follow Judge Cortez orders, if we follow Hidalgo County’s shelter in place orders by inference the other counties, we will bring that down markedly. We may delay the peak in later in the summer but that is better it gives us more time to develop treatments,” said Dr. Krouse.

The factors they are taking into account now are the growth in daily

cases, current restrictions, death rate and hospitalizations.

When Judge Richard Cortez implemented Hidalgo Counties ‘stay at home order’ there was only 9-positive cases.

In just three days that number tripled to 27 cases and according to Dr. Krouse the restrictions are showing positive results in their projections.

“The peak period is going to depend on how well our controls are taking place, if we have a lot of adherence to our controls then the peak period is going to take longer, and shorten because we are reducing the infections. If our precautions and controls are not taking place no one is adhering to the rules then it’s going to come sooner,” said Hidalgo County Judge Richard Cortez.

Hidalgo County is currently working with @utrgv School of Medicine to project how many cases the county might see in the next few months. Dr. John Krouse says he estimates the peak will be in May or June with 10,000 to 20,000 cases by the end of the summer. @cbs4rgv #COVID19 — Clara Benitez CBS 4 (@ClaraBenitezTV) April 2, 2020

Dr. Krouse estimates by the end of the summer the Valley will see 10,000 to 20,000 cases.

Hidalgo County is the only one working currently with the UTRGV School of Medince to get projections.

Judge Cortez says they will have the full projections by next week and advises residents to stay home.

“You will help us by doing what we ask you to do because what we are asking you to do, there is a reason behind it,” said Cortez.