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Moore — a relative unknown when she announced her campaign through an interview in the Saskatoon Express — lagged behind the veteran mayor and councillor throughout September, but jumped to the front of the pack in early October, when she polled at 27 per cent, ahead of Atchison, who was at 25 per cent.

Clark, who was statistically tied with Atchison before Moore entered the race, has seen his support plateau as some of the anti-Atchison vote appeared to coalesce behind Moore. While Clark polled at 26 per cent in July, he dipped to his lowest level of support last week, when he polled at 19 per cent.

“As of now, it looks like Mr. Atchison may be re-elected as mayor of Saskatoon,” observed David Valentin, executive vice-president of Mainstreet Research.

Clark and Moore continue to have large amounts of soft support compared to Atchison. More than a quarter of respondents who said they’d vote for Clark — 27 per cent — said they may change their minds by Oct. 26, while 25 per cent of Moore’s supporters said they might change their minds. Only 12 per cent of Atchison’s supporters said they might switch candidates.

Atchison continues to be the most popular candidate among poll respondents over the age of 34, while Moore is the top pick for respondents aged 18 to 34.

Atchison’s support is strongest and Clark’s support is weakest amongst seniors. Atchison polled at 34 per cent with this demographic and Clark at 15 per cent. More than one in five seniors — 22 per cent — said they still don’t know who they will vote for.