EU LCS PLAYOFF PICTURE

by Derek 'Kathix' Adams and Benson 'Sarcasmappreciated' Li

The regular season of the 2015 EU LCS spring split concludes next week with every team playing two games. With 10 games left in the season, there are a total of 1024 (2^10) different potential outcomes in the final standings. We generated all 1024 outcomes and analyzed how each result would affect the final standings.

The first table below shows the probability of every team finishing in places 1 thru 10 (including ties). Hovering over a team name will display a second table that has the breakdown of the raw tie scenarios for the potential finishes. The results assume that each team has a 50% chance to win each game, and the values in the tables below represent percentages. The results do not factor in the head-to-head tiebreakers; the results simply compare the raw ties in each team’s total number of wins. Here's the NA LCS Playoff Picture.

PLACEMENT PROBABILITY (INCLUDING TIES)

TEAM 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th

TIE POTENTIAL

PLACE Solo 2-Way Tie 3-Way Tie 4-Way Tie

For example: The first table shows that SK Gaming has a 100% chance to finish in 1st place. In looking at the tie breakdown in the second table, SK has an 87.50% chance to finish solo-first and a 12.50% chance to finish in a 2-way tie.