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Chris O'Meara/Associated Press

Age (as of September 2015): 21

Pro Football Focus Stat of Note: Plus-74 passing grade in 2014 (college)

Football Outsiders Stat of Note: 61.3 percent chance of busting

After considering all angles of Jameis Winston's hilariously oversaturated predraft process, Winston can be a good NFL quarterback but probably not a great one.

Winston has great mechanics, and the Bucs picked him No. 1 overall because he fits what NFL teams are more comfortable with: the classic pocket passer who had more tight-window opportunities to show off his arm strength, even if he tries to squeeze a bit too many into coverage. Dating back to 2004, five of the 12 No. 1 overall picks have been this style quarterback: Winston, Sam Bradford, Matthew Stafford, JaMarcus Russell and Eli Manning.

At the same time, I am less comfortable with him than I would be with, say, Stafford or Manning because, hey, we need to acknowledge that the off-field life he lives is less than stellar for an NFL franchise. Maybe he fixes that, or maybe he doesn't. This ranking is a reflection of that uncertainty.

Either way, we're going to see an inconsistent rookie season—remember that Manning and Stafford were pretty bad when they first started, too.