Several years ago, while browsing a variety of the numbers of the scientific journal Science for the overall, you were getting to reach a picture that shows three astronauts standing alongside one another written above: “As you sit and flick through this interesting number, 3 human beings are swimming within the world of space in Mission 58 … “. Well, you and that I know that a lot of things happen during the writing of those lines, during their publication and through your reading of them, and using an equivalent method employed by the magazine, perhaps we agree that the foremost uproaring events at this time are associated with the virus “COVID-19“. All of us, without exception, encounter news from here or there, advice to strengthen immunity, specific precautions, and our eyes monitor a meter that overburdens nerves for brand spanking new injuries or deaths spread across all continents.

In the program “GPS” on “CNN“, the journalist Farid Zakaria discusses the likelihood of the collapse of worldwide cooperation to face the present crisis of Corona with former Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, who expressed his dissatisfaction with the individuality of the solutions offered by each country in reducing The spread of the epidemic around the world, where he says that the matter started in China, which has an authoritarian state system, and on the idea of it addressed this crisis authoritarian, and when the matter moved to South Korea tried to confront it with technology, and when the disaster reached Italy, it’s treated with it because of the problem of Italy, not the ECU Union ( 1). Renzi said that the shortage of worldwide cooperation in adopting one system facing this catastrophe would cause a loss or lack of solutions, citing a speech by businessman Gates four years ago when he said: “The world isn’t ready for the subsequent epidemic.”

The discussion in the video

What is missing from the world?



In April of 2018, Gates began his speech by reclaiming their childhood fears of that previous time, saying: “The catastrophe that worried us was the nuclear war”, to start out preparing for this danger by storing cans and water in barrels and abandoning them within the basement. Here, the comparison begins, explaining that the catastrophe which will kill quite 10 million people within the coming decades won’t be an atomic explosion, or war, but rather a highly contagious virus, not missiles but microbes, explaining that the most reason for this happening is to take a position huge sums of deterrence, But we aren’t investing within the same size in confronting or stopping the epidemics, and he says: “We aren’t prepared for the subsequent epidemic,” recalling the spread of Ebola, and explaining that the rationale for the loss of control isn’t associated with the imbalance within the system, but rather the absence of a system from the original!

There was no system? Bill Gates says that there was no group of epidemiologists able to go and see what the disease was or to ascertain how quickly it spread, but all the knowledge came on paper, and it had been late within the internet and wasn’t very accurate, and there was no medical team able to go, and no There was no thanks to preparing people or prepare them for what awaited them, indicating that there are some efforts from a number of the organizations that organized the volunteers, but Gates believes that we are beyond what’s required which an epidemic is spreading and killing that needs many thousands of workers within the field, and he says: “He has it had been a worldwide failure. “

Among the explanations that Gates saw was a contribution to controlling Ebola, first of all, the character of the virus that’s not transmissible within the air, and also that it didn’t reach urban areas, which he considered only associated with luck when he said: “If he had reached the cities, the number of victims would are much greater.” He complements his assumption, assuming a future scenario of a private being infected with a contagious virus but doesn’t feel any chronic symptoms.

It is a state of war



While explaining, Gates presented a simulation by the Institute for Disease Modeling, which found that the emergence of a replacement sort of influenza-like that which killed 50 million people in 1918 could now kill 30 million people within six months, and therefore the disease that might surprise us with in the future was the one that we don’t realize Anything that we see for the primary time is like what happened with SARS, and what we see now with Corona. Gates draws attention to a really important observation, which is that the same that we began the report when he says: “If you tell your governments now that there’s a threat of weapons that might kill 30 million people, there’ll be a way of urgency about preparing for the threat, but within the case of biological threats, This sense of urgency doesn’t exist, “she said, noting that the planet must steel oneself against epidemics because it prepares for war.

This talk about war extends to what he sees as common between epidemics and wars, suggesting that we prepare and supply epidemics for what’s presented within the event of war: soldiers able to launch at any moment, reserves sufficient for giant numbers of individuals, and also proposing a replacement health system in poor countries which will successively help to reveal early the epidemics, and therefore the need for a trained, equipped, experienced and prepared medical staff and prepared to travel, and believes that accompanying the military to the medical team are going to be important, because the army has many advantages, including speed of movement, access, and area security. And he confirms that we’d like in-depth research within the field of vaccines and diagnostic means, and to conclude his speech that if there’s a lesson learned or a positive point which will be calculated for Ebola, it might be that Ebola was a tocsin or a call to awaken and prepare, which we’ve tools like science, research, and technology, but we’d like to integrate All of our tools are combined.

what the businessman Gates mentioned is in his place, which his efforts within the health and scientific fields are clear, and this might be a sign from him and a call for participation to the owners of the cash to take a position during this area which will constitute a paradigm shift in epidemic cases, indicating that businessman Gates recently published a crucial article (8) in February 2020, again seeking the assistance of Spanish fever as an example which may cost the planet tons of lives, indicating that the Coronavirus may be a disease of the century which can become List, stressing the necessity for concerted governments with science, industry, and finance for the manufacture of antiviral medicines and vaccines to beat this crisis.

Gates writes recently



At the start of March 2020, Gates returns to writing about “COVID-19” to mention that there are two powerful reasons why the Coronavirus poses such a threat. The first; it can kill healthy adults or elderly people with existing health problems, as data indicates even Now that the virus features a 1% mortality risk, this rate will make it more severe than seasonal flu, putting it somewhere between the 1957 influenza pandemic (0.6%) and therefore the 1918 flu pandemic (2%). As for the second reason, “COVID-19” is transmitted efficiently, because it transmits the affected person – the typical disease – to 2 or three others with an exponential rate of increase, as there’s strong evidence that the disease can spread by people with mild cases. or maybe initial symptoms.

This is what the Microsoft founder sees “difficult to contain”, and it’ll be far more difficult to contain than the center East respiratory syndrome or severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) that has spread less efficiently only by people with symptoms, Gates continued: “In fact, “COVID-19” has already caused 10 times the amount of SARS cases during a quarter of your time, “concluding his article that there’s no room to waste time, as governments must reach an agreement stating:” Simply, vaccines or antivirals can’t be sold to the very best bidder. “, Should be available and affordable to the people that are at the guts of the disease outbreak and most severely Need it. this is often the sole strategy to stop its spread and reduce future epidemics.

Was it possible predicting a flu outbreak?

Influenza viruses kill up to 646,000 people worldwide annually. Researchers are always performing on ways to urge them to regulate any future danger, and therefore the more technology advances, this progress is going to be more within the interest of research and forecasting epidemics. consistent with a 2012 Pew research facility study, about 184 million Americans (more than half the population) use the web to seek out health-related information, and these searches are a suggestion that explores the cause, allowing researchers to spot suspected flu cases. In 2006, Gunther Eisen Buck, professor of public health at the University of Toronto, found that searches for the term “flu” or “flu symptoms” had peaked every week before the explosion in doctors’ visits.

This is what was later called “informational epidemiology”, and what prompted Google to launch the influenza trends program using its big data to look for global influenza trends and their locations, but this program was canceled in 2014 for a reason that researchers didn’t expect because data collectors couldn’t understand what If you’re trying to find a “fever and headache” for you or a colleague, you’ll impose these symptoms on his child. In 2007, Americans suddenly began to look for “cholera”. Was the danger of cholera knocking on the doors? actually, no, the entire thing is that the journalist Oprah Winfrey recommended reading “Love within the Time of Cholera” for her book club, but we will be optimistic that the quantity of data we share that penetrates our thing or our father helps scientists – a minimum of – at some point to Detecting and forecasting epidemics the instant they’re threatened.