Week 10 Results:

Consensus Picks: 4-1-1

Drive Method: 7-6-1

Metric Method: 10-3-1

QBR Method: 7-6-1

Week 10 is a pivotal week for many playoff hopefuls, and features numerous marquee match-ups. Here are my model’s picks for this week:

Game Drive Pick Metric Pick QBR Pick GB @ SEA (-2.5) SEA -2.5 SEA -2.5 SEA -2.5 DAL @ ATL (-3) DAL +3 DAL +3 ATL -3 CIN @ BAL (-4.5) BAL -4.5 BAL -4.5 CIN +4.5 TEN @ IND (-2) IND -2 IND -2 IND -2 CAR (-4) @ DET DET +4 DET +4 DET +4 TB @ NYG (-1.5) NYG -1.5 NYG -1.5 TB +1.5 HOU (-3) @ WAS WAS +3 WAS +3 WAS +3 PIT (-5.5) @ JAC JAC +5.5 PIT -5.5 JAC +5.5 OAK @ ARI (-5.5) OAK +5.5 OAK +5.5 OAK +5.5 DEN @ LAC (-7) LAC -7 DEN +7 LAC -7 PHI @ NO (-9) PHI +9 PHI +9 NO -9 MIN @ CHI (-2.5) CHI -2.5 CHI -2.5 CHI -2.5 KC @ LAR (-3.5) KC +3.5 KC +3.5 KC +3.5

Methodology:

Drive Method: Uses average drive statistics such as Points per Drive and TD%

Metric Method: Uses advanced metrics such as SRS and EXP

QBR Method: Uses win statistics and Team QB Ratings

Consensus Picks:

SEA -2.5

IND -2

DET +4

WAS +3

OAK +5.5

CHI -2.5

KC +3.5