Among Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, a Quinnipiac University poll found that Joe Biden continues to hold a commanding lead in the Democratic primary field. | Elise Amendola/AP Photo 2020 elections Poll shows Biden beating Trump in Texas

A new poll out Wednesday spells danger for President Donald Trump’s reelection chances in one of the unlikeliest of places: Texas.

The Quinnipiac University poll shows that Joe Biden would top Trump by four points — 48 percent to 44 percent — in a general election matchup there, an outcome the ruby red state hasn’t seen in four decades.


But even while Biden is the only Democratic presidential candidate to beat Trump in a head-to-head matchup in Texas, the poll signals trouble for the president there in that it found five other candidates within the poll’s margin of error, including home-state politicians Beto O’Rourke and Julián Castro.

Perhaps surprisingly, the next strongest candidate in the state was Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, who the poll found losing to the president by only 1 point, 46 percent to 45 percent. Next was South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg, whose rising star landed him within 2 points of Trump in a head-to-head matchup.

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But among Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters, the poll found that Biden continues to hold a commanding lead in the primary field, with 30 percent of voters backing Biden, followed by 16 percent for O’Rourke, 15 percent for Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and 11 percent for Warren.

Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) and Castro were far behind with 4 percent each, followed by Buttigieg with 3 percent. No other Democrat topped 2 percent in the poll.

But as the president continues to struggle in the Rust Belt states that handed him the White House in 2016 — in part due to Biden's popularity with working-class voters — his campaign has begun to seek out alternate paths to a second term, including plans to compete in blue states like New Mexico, Nevada and New Hampshire.

O’Rourke has previously caught flak for his insistence than Texas and its 38 Electoral College votes could be in play in next year’s election, but Biden’s strong performance in the GOP stronghold will bolster his argument that he is the most electable 2020 Democrat.

Though O’Rourke, who has faltered in more recent national and early state polling, jumps up to second place in the Texas poll, Democratic voters there would much rather see him ditch his White House bid to challenge GOP Sen. John Cornyn, by a nearly 2-1 margin.

And though the former Texas congressman put up a fight in his 2018 run to unseat Sen. Ted Cruz, earning him early presidential front-runner chatter, he has faltered in more recent national and early-state polling. While he jumps up to second place in the Texas poll, Democratic voters there would much rather see O'Rourke ditch his White House bid to challenge GOP Sen. John Cornyn by a nearly 2-1 margin.

The Quinnipiac poll surveyed 1,159 Texas voters from May 29 to June 4, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. Among 407 Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters, the margin of error is plus or minus 5.8 percentage points.