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Re: John -- an email from Richard Bender who designed the Iowa caucuses in 1971 and

From:ekriegel@hillaryclinton.com To: re47@hillaryclinton.com CC: john.podesta@gmail.com, John@algpolling.com, oshur@hillaryclinton.com, ha16@hillaryclinton.com, jbenenson@bsgco.com Date: 2016-01-14 20:30 Subject: Re: John -- an email from Richard Bender who designed the Iowa caucuses in 1971 and

Thanks John! This is actual great timing. We're working on a memo right now that actually discusses how the delegates might break down based on where each candidate's support is Should be ready tomorrow On Jan 14, 2016, at 4:52 PM, Robby Mook <re47@hillaryclinton.com> wrote: On top of this, he isn't organizing in every precinct, so this disparity will be even more exaggerated...not only does he have less support in these areas, but less organization too. On Thu, Jan 14, 2016 at 4:33 PM, John Podesta <john.podesta@gmail.com> wrote: > > > ---------- Forwarded message ---------- > From: *Paul Harstad* <paulh@harstadresearch.com> > Date: Thursday, January 14, 2016 > Subject: John -- an email from Richard Bender who designed the Iowa > caucuses in 1971 and > To: john.podesta@gmail.com > > > and how he has said for over half a year how they would benefit Hillary > Clinton. > > Best of luck in the coming weeks and months… > > HRC not looking so good in Colorado general. > > Paul > > > *From: *"Richard Bender" <richardbender@verizon.net> > *Subject: **A first for a newspaper and Victory for Hillary* > *Date: *January 14, 2016 at 10:28:06 AM MST > *To: *"Paul Harstad" <paulh@harstadresearch.com> > > The DSM Register ran a story, the first I can remember by a newspaper, > whose main point was the effect of delegate equivalents. Hopefully the > last, since expectations are so crucial. > The side story on the DSM Register poll noted one stat: that 27% of > Bernie supporters were in 3 university counties. > It did not mention that the total vote of those counties equaling a > little under 15% of the state delegate equivalents. But, of course the > university population is far more concentrated. Cedar Falls being 1.5% > of Black Hawk’s 4.93% of the general election vote, etc with similar > patterns at smaller colleges. > > So, I would expect, if you could fully factor in the stratified nature of > the delegate equivalent factor in the reporting of the poll results, > Hillary would probably have a double digit lead. > > A quick thought on how to recover a few votes on the 1971 state central > committee just before the meeting to pass the new caucus-convention plan – > my wacky state delegate equivalent idea to overcome Harold Hughes’ and > others’ objections-- could be a key to the presidential race 45 years > later!! > Richard. > > > >