Let’s freaking keep the train chugging and find some defenses to stream in Week 16 using the Stream-O-Matic generator. Here were some teams that stood out to me on the chart:

Highly-owned teams that are definite starts include the Patriots, Steelers, Ravens, and 49ers. Highly-owned teams that are definite sits include the Vikings, Bills, Rams, Bears, and Eagles.

If the Seattle Seahawks haven’t been picked up yet, go ahead and make that happen. They rank well in every category on the chart this week and Kyler Murray’s first game in Seattle can’t be an enviable spot for the average person. The Seahawks have averaged a DST1 performance since their Week 11 bye. On the other hand, the Cardinals have allowed a top-five finish to opponents in three of their last four games.

haven’t been picked up yet, go ahead and make that happen. They rank well in every category on the chart this week and Kyler Murray’s first game in Seattle can’t be an enviable spot for the average person. The Seahawks have averaged a DST1 performance since their Week 11 bye. On the other hand, the Cardinals have allowed a top-five finish to opponents in three of their last four games. This New York Jets-Pittsburgh Steelers matchup is going to be a dumpster fire. I’m hammering the under on the Vegas line of 38.5 as is the smart money. (The point total has gone down to 37.5 since I’ve started writing this.) I already mentioned starting the Steelers, but the Jets make a strong case on the other side. The Steelers have been the 9th best matchup for opposing defenses since Week 10. That list includes the Browns (twice), Bengals, and Cardinals. Yikes!

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The Denver Broncos should get a little more love this week on the streaming front. While the score wasn’t great, the held their own against the Chiefs last week. Giving up 23 points in a game where their offense consistently put them in bad situations is not bad. Besides, they put up DST1 performances in the previous two weeks against the Chargers and Texans. Hosting the Lions will be the easiest challenge this defense has faced all season.

should get a little more love this week on the streaming front. While the score wasn’t great, the held their own against the Chiefs last week. Giving up 23 points in a game where their offense consistently put them in bad situations is not bad. Besides, they put up DST1 performances in the previous two weeks against the Chargers and Texans. Hosting the Lions will be the easiest challenge this defense has faced all season. Let’s round out the teams with a composite score of over 100! I’m avoiding the Indianapolis Colts and Tampa Bay Buccaneers this week to be safe. However, don’t sleep on the Kansas City Chiefs defense, who has been playing well and takes on an inconsistent Bears offense.

2019 Fantasy Football Week 16 Defense Stream-O-Matic

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Scoring

I use a traditional rotisserie scoring style commonly used in fantasy baseball season-long leagues to give point totals to each team.

Categories

The categories for the chart are listed below along with links to websites that I use to find this data.

Own% : Ownership percentages based on 12-team ESPN leagues gives us an idea of who is available. This doesn’t factor into the standings.

: Ownership percentages based on 12-team ESPN leagues gives us an idea of who is available. This doesn’t factor into the standings. Location : Generally speaking, defenses play better at home than on the road. Thus, a five-point advantage is given to all home teams.

: Generally speaking, defenses play better at home than on the road. Thus, a five-point advantage is given to all home teams. Wind : The only weather element that has shown a direct correlation with point totals is winds in excess of 15 MPH. Another five-point bonus is awarded to teams playing in such windy conditions.

: The only weather element that has shown a direct correlation with point totals is winds in excess of 15 MPH. Another five-point bonus is awarded to teams playing in such windy conditions. Vegas : Using Vegas odds, the spread and over/under generates a projected game score that the bettors go against. This game score portrays what the game flow could look like and, therefore, which fantasy football defenses are in a good position to succeed.

: Using Vegas odds, the spread and over/under generates a projected game score that the bettors go against. This game score portrays what the game flow could look like and, therefore, which fantasy football defenses are in a good position to succeed. oSAC% : To gauge how good (or bad) an opposing offensive line might be, look at the sack percentage for that team’s offense. Not only are some offensive lines bad, but some quarterbacks don’t show the ability to avoid the sack. ( NOTE : I’ll be incorporating a weighted average with 2018-2019 data.)

: To gauge how good (or bad) an opposing offensive line might be, look at the sack percentage for that team’s offense. Not only are some offensive lines bad, but some quarterbacks don’t show the ability to avoid the sack. ( : I’ll be incorporating a weighted average with 2018-2019 data.) oINT% : The opponent’s interception percentage obviously helps in streaming a defense. Turnover percentage is not used here because fumbles can be a little fluky and turnover percentage uses both fumbles and interceptions. ( NOTE : I’ll be incorporating a weighted average with 2018-2019 data.)

: The opponent’s interception percentage obviously helps in streaming a defense. Turnover percentage is not used here because fumbles can be a little fluky and turnover percentage uses both fumbles and interceptions. ( : I’ll be incorporating a weighted average with 2018-2019 data.) FPPG : I use ESPN defensive scoring rankings to determine a ranking of the fantasy football defenses.

: I use ESPN defensive scoring rankings to determine a ranking of the fantasy football defenses. DVOA: Probably the most popular tool for evaluating defenses, the DVOA efficiency ratings are utilized to give a strong baseline to the rankings.

Stream-O-Matic Chart

Overall Defense Own% Opp Location Wind Vegas oSAC% oINT% FPPG DVOA 139.0 Patriots 98.9 BUF 5 0 31 29 10 32 32 134.0 Steelers 90.7 NYJ 0 0 30 23 19 31 31 129.0 Ravens 91.1 CLE 0 0 28 19 26 28 28 127.0 Seahawks 51.1 ARI 5 0 22 31 29 20 20 120.0 Jets 30.4 PIT 5 0 20 24 32 22 17 118.0 Broncos 18.8 DET 5 0 32 20 24 16 21 114.0 49ers 93.6 LAR 5 0 27 2 20 30 30 114.0 Colts 41.1 CAR 5 0 25 28 28 12 16 107.0 Saints 85.1 TEN 0 0 11 30 16 24 26 105.0 Chiefs 34.3 CHI 0 0 24 14 22 23 22 104.0 Buccaneers 28.2 HOU 5 5 3 22 23 21 25 97.0 Redskins 15.1 NYG 5 0 26 7 31 13 15 94.0 Vikings 76.3 GB 5 0 21 13 1 27 27 93.0 Bills 89.8 NE 0 0 16 12 7 29 29 87.0 Chargers 34.6 OAK 5 0 23 18 12 11 18 84.0 Giants 7.0 WAS 0 0 18 32 15 8 11 82.0 Falcons 5.6 JAX 5 0 29 21 8 6 13 81.0 Rams 71.8 SF 0 0 7 15 11 25 23 75.0 Texans 18 TB 0 5 13 17 27 7 6 71.0 Bengals 1.9 MIA 0 5 14 26 18 3 5 66.0 Bears 81.5 KC 5 0 9 5 4 19 24 63.0 Eagles 72 DAL 5 0 12 4 5 18 19 61.0 Cowboys 41.6 PHI 0 0 19 10 3 17 12 61.0 Dolphins 1.0 CIN 5 5 15 9 25 1 1 61.0 Raiders 11.2 LAC 0 0 8 16 30 5 2 57.0 Lions 11.3 DEN 0 0 17 11 21 4 4 55.0 Jaguars 51.1 ATL 0 0 5 25 13 9 3 55.0 Cardinals 5.1 SEA 0 0 1 27 17 2 8 54.0 Titans 32.4 NO 5 0 6 1 2 26 14 46.0 Packers 49.7 MIN 0 0 10 3 9 15 9 45.0 Browns 55.9 BAL 5 0 2 8 6 14 10 41.0 Panthers 46.3 IND 0 0 4 6 14 10 7

Defenses on Bye Week: NONE!

Optimum Score: 170

Minimum Score: 5

Early Week 17 Stream-O-Matic Rankings

Just in case some of you weirdos are playing in Week 17, I did an early run of the numbers on Week 17. I will not be doing an article next week, so take this as my final bow for the 2019 fantasy football season. Thanks, all, for joining me on this strange journey to stream the right defense each week. I hope these charts have been beneficial to you!

Patriots (vs. MIA) – 145 Ravens (vs. PIT) – 139 Rams (vs. ARI) – 136 Bills (vs. NYJ) – 135 Saints (at CAR) – 131 Vikings (vs. CHI) – 126 Chiefs (vs. LAC) – 123 49ers (at SEA) – 115 Cowboys (vs. WSH) – 110 Titans (at HOU) – 99 Broncos (vs. OAK) – 98 Buccaneers (vs. ATL) – 97 Jets (at BUF) – 97 Packers (at DET) – 96 Eagles (at NYG) – 95

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