Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions for the 2015 Valero Texas Open

This Week’s Tournament Preview

Only two more events until the TOUR shifts to Augusta National as players make their final push to get in shape over on the mini-Texas swing. Texas born Jordan Spieth will grab quite a bit of attention in San Antonio this week along with other headliners like Furyk, Mickelson, Kuchar, and Dustin Johnson.

From a fantasy perspective, this season has proven that you cannot simply rely on the big names—and this has been proven over the last few weeks by names like Every, Hoffman, Kokrak, and Berger taking the top prize. This week will present another challenge for fantasy players with the abundance of all-star names mixed in with the hot hitting “no-namers” that are in the field. But don’t worry, we have you covered. We’ll dive into the course stats, as well as current streaks and player rankings to see who has the best chances of coming out on top this week in San Antonio.

As mentioned, the biggest story this week will be the return of Jordan Spieth after winning the Valspar Championship two weeks ago. Jordan recently became just the fourth player since 1940 to win twice on TOUR before his 22nd birthday. You can certainly bank on the Texas young gun to have plenty of family and fan support throughout the week.

Another big story this week will be Phil Mickelson’s return to action. Phil will make his final push before heading to Augusta for a shot at another green jacket. We don’t see much fire power in Lefty right now, but you can never rule him out…especially on a course like TPC San Antonio.

Last Week’s Fantasy Results

It was another solid week for our fantasy predictions segment as we notched yet another 7-figure week in fantasy dollars despite a late (and unexpected) WD from Bubba Watson Wednesday evening. Watson bowed out late due to the death of a family friend, but our horse pick Stenson carried the load as he came in just one putt short of going into a playoff on the 72nd hole. Henrik ended up finishing 2nd which marks our 6th runner up in only 17 events this season.

With the 2nd place finish and Kokrak’s T7, our fantasy picks for last week came in with $1,012,000 in total earnings to bring up our weekly average to $919K over 17 weeks this season.

With the Masters looming in just two and half weeks, we’ve already got our eyes set on who is in the best position to tackle Augusta this year and help you win some serious money in this year’s record-breaking DraftKings $2.2 Million Masters Contest.

The Field

Texas native Jordan Speith, who is currently sitting at No. 6 in the OWGR, will join recent winner Dustin Johnson and a handful of top rated studs in the field this week which includes 13 of the top 30 players in the world rankings. With them, FedExCup leader Jimmy Walker (another Texas native) will take on a tough field at a historically challenging course.

DJ has never played an event at TPC San Antonio, but that statistic doesn’t always have to factor heavily into your fantasy picks. Case in point, Stenson never played Innisbrook but he recently came in with a T4 there just two weeks ago.

With a field this deep, we’re looking for players with the right game to fit the course and weather conditions, as well as who has the hottest hand and best chance to finish in the Top 10, and perhaps take home the trophy. Remember, you normally won’t win a salary-cap league if you do not have the winner on your roster so you have to be confident in your horse pick.

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The Course

TPC San Antonio measures in at 7,435 yards and plays as a par 72. This Greg Norman/ Sergio Garcia design opened back in 2010 and plays across a mostly flat terrain. The track’s tougher challenge lies within the super narrow fairways and deep bunkers (some as deep as 10ft). If you recall in 2011, Kevin Na carded a 16 at the par-4 ninth hole after being unable to escape the nasty vegetation and rocks.

This course could eat players up and proof lies in the 2014 leaderboard where Bowditch’s -8 was enough to win the crown even after his 76 on Sunday.

Weather Forecast for San Antonio, Texas

There’s a moderate chance of rain on Thursday but early forecasts are predicting that the rest of the week will be dry. Temperatures should be steady in the low 70’s which is unseasonably cool for Texas but not cool enough to make a serious impact. Wind will most likely not be a factor this week either, especially in rounds 2, 3 and 4 which are set to see mostly clear skies.

Aside from some expected drizzle on Thursday morning the course should be mostly dry heading into the week and is expected to play fast and true.

2014 Valero Texas Open Results

Last year Australian Steven Bowditch almost gave away his victory after carding a 76 in the final round but the difficult TPC track was enough to keep the rest of the field at bay. Even with the 76, Bowditch was still able to beat out Will MacKenzie and Daniel Summerhays by one stroke.

It was a surprising victory being that he came into San Antonio with only two top-10 finishes in eight seasons, but as we all know, anything can happen out here on the PGA TOUR. Funny enough, his 76 was the highest final-round score by a winner since Vijay Singh’s 2004 PGA Championship victory with a final round 77.

In case you missed it, here is a recap of what happened in the final round of the 2014 Valero Texas Open:

This Week’s Broadcast Schedule

Television Broadcasts Thursday – Friday 3:00 pm – 6:00 pm EST (Golf Channel) Saturday – Sunday 1:00 pm – 3:00 pm EST (Golf Channel) Saturday – Sunday 3:00 pm – 6:00 pm EST (CBS)



Radio Broadcasts (PGA TOUR Radio on SiriusXM and PGATOUR.COM) Thursday – Friday 12:00 pm – 6:00 pm EST Saturday – Sunday 1:00 pm – 6:00 pm EST



Mobile Broadcasts Simultaneous coverage on the Golf Live Extra app for iPhone and iPad.



Where to Play this Week

Once again DraftKings comes out on top for anyone looking to play a one-week fantasy golf league with cash prizes (for more on where to play see the list of our favorite fantasy golf sites here). Besides getting your early entry in for the $2.2 Million Dollar Masters Event, we suggest another low priced option for the week: The PGA $2.2 Millionaire Maker SUPERS at [50x] is paying out 100 players a free entry into the big Masters event and the cost for entry this week is only $0.25. Our suggestion: why not throw $5 dollars at 20 chances to win a free seat into the big event for an even bigger chance at the $1M score?

If you want to go even cheaper, we suggest the free roll with a shot at winning $1k or you can try the $5 PGA Eagle at VICTIV for a shot at $300 for first place.

This Week’s Fantasy Notes

A lot of people will be jumping on the Spieth bandwagon this week due to the hometown advantage and his recent win, but will Jordan really be your best option for your horse pick? Keep in mind that he’s sitting at the most expensive spot at $14,000 in DraftKings salary cap leagues. While he seems like the logical choice, we’ll breakdown in our picks section whether or not we’re going with him this week and if we think the young star is worth the big fantasy price tag.

TPC San Antonio is a very aggressive and challenging track. The tight fairways and deep bunkers will test every golfer in the field and there is easily no clear-cut winning pick this week. But that doesn’t mean you have to throw darts at your picks this week either. We will take all of the nastiness that TPC SA has to offer and tie together all of our favorite stats (GIR, All-Around, Tee-to-Green, Driving Distance, and Accuracy) to come up with this week’s list of the top five picks to win plus two bonus sleeper picks.

Our Top 5 (and Top 2 Sleeper) Fantasy Picks and Odds to Win the 2015 Valero Texas Open

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Last Week’s Results: Top 5 Picks/Odds to Win the Arnold Palmer Invitational

Henrik Stenson (Golficity Odds 6/1) 2nd ($680,400)

Bubba Watson (Golficity Odds 8/1): WD – Personal Reasons

Jason Day (Golficity Odds 12/1): T17 ($91,350)

J.B. Holmes (Golficity Odds 18/1): MC

Jason Kokrak (Golficity Odds 26/1): T7 ($211,250)

Last Week’s Results: Sleeper Picks/Odds to Win the Arnold Palmer Invitational

Brendan Steele (Golficity Odds 40/1): T35 ($29,098)

Last Week’s Results Salary Cap Sleeper Pick/Odds to Win the Arnold Palmer Invitational

Robert Streb (Golficity Odds 75/1): MC

Fantasy Golf Predictions YTD Stats: 2014-2015 Season

Tournaments Played 2014-2015: 17 (119 picks – 7 per event).

17 (119 picks – 7 per event). Total Fantasy Dollars for the Season: $15,626,259 ($919,191 weekly average).

$15,626,259 ($919,191 weekly average). Total Top 10s: 32 out of 119 picks (26.89%).

32 out of 119 picks (26.89%). Total Top 3s: 16 out of 119 picks (13.45%).

16 out of 119 picks (13.45%). Runner-Up Finishes: 6 in 17 events (35.29%).

6 in 17 events (35.29%). Total Winners Picked: 3 in 17 events (17.65%).

3 in 17 events (17.65%). Total Missed Cuts: 18 out of 119 players picked (84.87% made the cut).

Remember to visit the The Clubhouse and our private Facebook group to discuss this week’s picks for 2015 Valero Texas Open with other Premium Members.

Also be sure to check out this week’s Tuesday Sleeper Report for even more fantasy golf picks and predictions for the Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio.

Cover Photo by @tpcsanantonio on iconosquare

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