We all know that when it comes to assessing the strength of football programs, the AP Top 20, ESPN FPI, and your uncle's gut always gets it wrong. But leg-breaking high-rollers aren't messing around. Las Vegas released its college football win totals for every FBS program, projecting who's a sure bet in the Sun Belt and who's ULM.

Life for the Jags, Bobcats, Aggies and Warhawks could be worse. North Texas Mean Green is only expected to collect 2 wins. Meanwhile, Vegas expects Troy to make the bowl leap, which is cool news for 2nd-year head coach Neal Brown. Maybe this Win Dance worked!

Please feel free to argue with Vegas in the comments section.