Arlington, VA info@expeditionstrategies.com

T o: Inter ested Parties Fr: Pete Brodnitz, Expedition Strategies Re:

Recent polling in Virginia’s 10

th

Congressional District Date: October 13, 2016 The results of our recent

poll of likely general election voters in Virginia’s 10

th

Congressional District shows LuAnn Bennett taking the lead in the race for Congress and in a strong position to defeat Congresswoman Barbara Comstoc k in Nov ember.

Bennett Has Closed The G ap On The Ballo t, N ow Leads Coms tock

In our September poll, Barbara Comstock led by 4% (41% Bennett, 45% Comstock, 1% another candidate and 12% und ecided). Now , LuAnn Bennett leads by 4% (46 % Bennett, 42% Comstock, 1% another candidate and 11 % undecided). After pushing un decided v oters to s ee which way they lean, Bennett remains up by 4% (48% Bennett, 44% Comstock, 1% another candidate and 7% undecided). If the

N ovem ber 201 6 ele ction for Congress

were held today, would you vote for

…?

May 2016 September 2016 October 2016

Δ

Diff erence -11 -4 +4 +8

Democrat LuAnn Bennett 36 41 46

+5

Repu blican Barbar a Comstock 47 45 42

-3

Another c andida te 2 1 1

0

Don’t know

15 12 11

-1 Diff erence -10 -2 +4 +6

Bennett w / leaners 40 45 48

+3

Comstock w / leaner s 50 47 44

-3

Another w/ leaner s 3 1 1

0

Don’ t k now w / leaners

7 7 7

0

Most Vote rs Se e Comstock’s Un

-E ndorsement For What It is , Poli tical E xp edi ency

A majority (57%) of v oters say B arba ra Comstock ’s anno uncement that s he will not support Dona ld

T rump shows t hat she will d o what is in her political self-interest, while 28% say it shows she is an indepe nden t minded person who is willing t o brea k with her party whe n she believ es it is the right thing. Even among Republic ans, m ore (48%) s ee her mov e as moti v ated by self -interes t than as trying to do the right thing (35%).

Whic h is closer to your v iew of Barba ra Comstock ’s annou ncement that she will

not support Trump

?

Q19

All Pa r ty ID Dem Ind Rep

Diff erence +29 +38 +33 +13

It shows that she will do what is in her

political self-interest

. For months she

ov erloo ked all of T rump’s other demean ing statements and now is doing this just to

save her re-election 57 61 60 48 It shows that she is an

independent minded

person who is willing to break with her party when s he be liev es it is the rig ht thing 28 23 27 35

Don’t know