The New York Times has Republican nominee Donald Trump at a 54 percent chance of winning some time after 9:30 p.m. Tuesday.

Earlier in the night Clinton was projected to win by a handy margin, but the forecast changed to a toss-up and then switched to favor a Trump win. The chart below illustrates the quick and dramatic turn in the NYT forecast.

Update: Trump now has 54 percent chance of victory – @nytimes projections https://t.co/bzSWocfsnI pic.twitter.com/0crefN1mBM — David Beard (@dabeard) November 9, 2016

Trump is considered likely to win North Carolina and Florida, two huge pickups that could swing the race. Real Clear Politics has Donald Trump at a 49.4 percent chance of winning, and Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton at a 46.6 percent chance of winning as of 9:30 p.m. Tuesday evening.

For live updates on the New York Times election predictions >>>

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