NJ weather: Nor'easter brewing, Jersey Shore on notice

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A potential nor'easter threatens the New Jersey coast with rain, wind and coastal flooding on Friday, according to the National Weather Service.

An energetic, low-pressure system over the Midwest is striding toward the Atlantic Coast, according to Lance Franck, a meteorologist at the weather service's Mount Holly office.

The system represents a multi-faceted menace: It will bring snow to higher elevations, up to 2 inches of rain elsewhere, strong winds and potential serious tidal flooding to the Jersey Shore. Watch the video above to see the hallmarks of a true nor'easter.

But the storm is still days away and much could change.

"The main uncertainties are what happens when it gets to the Atlantic waters and strengthens," Franck said. "How progressive is it — and by that, I mean how quickly does it move — and how strong does it become?"

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Coastal flooding

There will be a full moon on Thursday night, which means tides will already be running higher than normal.

Combined with a strong northeasterly wind, Franck said, there is the possibility of some minor or moderate to severe flooding across the entire weekend — although Friday looks to be the worst.

Below are some predictions for the Shore from the Davidson Laboratory at Stevens Institute for Technology.

Keansburg

Sandy Hook

Sea Bright

Manasquan

Barnegat Light

Tuckerton

Atlantic City

Rain

The Shore area just slogged through a rainy weekend, with precipitation totals between 1 to 1½ of rain from Friday through Sunday, according to data compiled by the NJ Weather & Climate Network.

Much of New Jersey could get that much rain on Friday alone from this storm.

Wind

Just offshore, wind gusts will range from about 30 to 35 mph on Friday morning and continue to build in power through Saturday afternoon.

By then, sustained winds will be above 20 mph on the immediate coast, with gusts approaching 40 mph just a few miles out to sea.

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Russ Zimmer: 732-557-5748, razimmer@app.com, @russzimmer