Killer Debt: The Impact of Debt on Mortality

Laura M. Argys, Andrew I. Friedson, and M. Melinda Pitts



Working Paper 2016-14

November 2016

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This study analyzes the effect of individual finances (specifically creditworthiness and severely delinquent debt) on mortality risk. A large (approximately 170,000 individuals) subsample of a quarterly panel data set of individual credit reports is utilized in an instrumental variables design. The possibility of the reverse causality of bad health causing debt and death is removed by instrumenting for individual finances post 2011 using the exposure to the housing crisis based on their 2005 residence. Worsening creditworthiness and increases in severely delinquent debt are found to lead to increases in individual mortality risk. This result has implications for the benefit of policies such as the social safety net, which aims to protect individual finances, by adding reduced mortality to the benefit of any intervention.

JEL classification: I1, D14

Key words: debt, mortality, creditworthiness

The authors would like to thank David Frisvold, Hope Corman, and Chris Ruhm, as well as participants at the Southern Economic Association, Eastern Economic Association, and the American Society of Health Economists (ASHEcon) meetings for insightful comments. Additional thanks are due to Dana George for research assistance. The views expressed here are the authors’ and not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta or the Federal Reserve System. Any remaining errors are the authors’ responsibility.

Please address questions regarding content to Laura M. Argys, University of Colorado Denver and IZA, Department of Economics, PO Box 173364, Denver, CO 80217-3364, 303-556-3949, laura.argys@ucdenver.edu; Andrew I. Friedson, University of Colorado Denver, Department of Economics, PO Box 173364, Denver, CO 80217-3364, 303-315-2038, andrew.friedson@ucdenver.edu; or M. Melinda Pitts, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Research Department, 1000 Peachtree Street NE, Atlanta, GA 30309-4470, 404-498-7009, melinda.pitts@atl.frb.org.

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