No matter how hard they work to change the results of the gubernatorial and senate elections in Florida, Democrats continue to get bad news.

And that bad news has gotten worse for them.

National Review editor Charles C.W. Cooke shared a status update on the Florida election after it was announced on Saturday that a machine recount would begin, and guess what Democrats, you still lose.

It's noon on Saturday. The deadline for Florida's counties to report votes has now passed. Ron Desantis has a 34,509 vote lead over Andrew Gillum. Rick Scott has a 13,407 vote lead over Bill Nelson. — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

One caveat: It is unclear whether Palm Beach and Broward Counties have actually done this. The Florida elections website shows that they are still behind, but this may merely be a failure to update. pic.twitter.com/c9pPaWg703 — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

Update: Broward has now reported its final vote totals, and in so doing cut DeSantis's lead to 33,684 (a reduction of 825), and Scott's lead to 12,562 (a reduction of 845). pic.twitter.com/zSyWVg0PIV — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

Palm Beach County is still showing as unfinished. Given that the deadline has passed, it's unclear what this means or what the consequences will be. pic.twitter.com/dfmJ2SJevL — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

Florida update. All 67 counties have now reported, and we have an unofficial vote tally. As it stands, DeSantis leads Gillum by 33,684, and Scott leads Nelson by 12,562. That will precipitate an automatic recount for DeSantis, and a manual recount for Scott. (1) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

There are now two things left to do statewide: First, count yet-to-arrive overseas/military ballots; second, proceed to those mandatory recounts. All being equal, neither step looks as if it'll be enough for either Gillum or Nelson. (2) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

Around 20,000 overseas/military ballots have yet to be returned. Deadline for their return is the 16th. In reality, a lot of these will never be returned, will arrive too late, or will be rejected. (3) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

For the sake of argument, though, let's assume they're all returned—every last one. From what I can gather, we’re looking at ~5,000 military ballots, and then ~15,000 others from around the state. (4) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

Given that voters with no party also vote, the best we can do is apply known military registration rates to military data, and apply the results in each county thus far to the county data. If we do this, we get a net increase for both Nelson and Gillum of ~1600 votes. (5) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

That would yield a DeSantis lead of ~32,000, and a Scott lead of ~11,000. Which would require the recounts to flip, *net*, 16,000 votes to Gillum and 5,500 votes to Nelson. (6) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

Remember, that’s a generous estimate because we’re assuming every single outstanding overseas ballot comes in. But, for the sake of argument, let’s make it *more* generous, and assume these votes are twice as Democratic as has been the case thus far. Let's make it ~3,200. (7) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

Even in that generous scenario, DeSantis keeps a lead of 30,484, while Scott keeps a lead of 9,362. That means Gillum would need 15,242 votes to flip, and Nelson would need 4,681. That seems unlikely—although nothing is impossible. (8) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

Which brings us, finally, to Marc Elias's theory that the machines in Broward have undercounted the Senate line on the ballot by around 25,000 ballots. I doubt this—and Broward says it's not correct—but, arguendo, let's add it to our previous assumptions. Then what? (9) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

That would be a small enough lead that a recount could potentially change the result. But to get to that point we have to make a lot of pro-Democrat assumptions, and to assume facts not in evidence. It seems unlikely to me that either of these results is going to change. (11) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

Which is to say that, as it stands, Ron DeSantis is the next governor of Florida, and, barring some catastrophic errors in tabulation, or some remarkably creative lawyering, Rick Scott is Florida's next Senator. But it's Florida, so . . . (12/12) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

A few definitions. An "automatic recount" is required for any race with a margin under 0.5%. It involves feeding all the ballots back through the voting machines—including reconstructed damaged ballots. If the new result yields a winning margin over 0.25 the election is over. (1) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

A "manual recount" does not mean every vote is counted by hand. Rather, it involves canvassing boards checking every "undervote" and "overvote." An "overvote" is when a voter makes more choices than allowed; an "undervote" is when a voter makes no choice, or too few choices. (2) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

An "undervote" is almost never counted. If a voter declines to vote for a particular office, that's his choice and there's nothing anyone can do. As such, an "undervote" will only be counted if, say, the optical machine has made an error and failed to pick up a vote. (3) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

An "overvote" can be more complicated, as canvassing boards are, within reason, permitted to determine voter intent. If there is a faint mark in one candidate's oval but a full mark in another, that might plausibly be counted. A total mess, by contrast, will not be counted. (4) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

Because DeSantis is leading Gillum by 33,684 votes, a margin of 0.410%, his race will not be manually recounted—unless the automatic recount is so dramatic that it reduces the margin to 0.25% or below. Scott's lead, however, is 12,562—0.154%—so a manual recount is guaranteed. (5) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018

Deadline for the machine recount is November 15th at 3pm. Deadline for the manual recount is November 18th at noon. Deadline for remaining overseas/military ballots, which can be counted in the meantime, is November 16th (they must be postmarked on or before November 6th. (6) — Charles C. W. Cooke (@charlescwcooke) November 10, 2018