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Gameweek 6 Goal Scoring Analysis For Fantasy Premier League.

Which team has the best attacking potential for Gameweek 6? We’ve analysed attacking form, fixture difficulty and the bookies odds to reveal which teams are going to score the highest.

Last game week the table suggested that Everton, Man City & Arsenal had the highest potential whilst Swansea, Burnley & Hull had the lowest. This proved semi-accurate with the top three scoring six goals and the bottom three scoring just twice.

The table also suggested that Crystal Palace & West Brom had the easiest fixture, this proved correct with Palace beating Stoke 4-1 and The Baggies putting four past West Ham.

Ahead of Gameweek 6, @CallumRead has compiled the data and created another forecast which hopefully provides results with a similar accuracy to last week. Not only is this useful when selecting your FPL team, it’s also a great visual aid for daily fantasy players.

How is the data calculated?

Every team has been rated 1 to 20 (1: best in the league, 20: worst in the league) based on form, fixture and odds. We’ve then totalled up all three scores and colour coded them for you to easily visualise which ones have the best goalscoring potential for Gameweek 6.

Gameweek 6 Attacking Potential: Form Vs. Fixture Vs. Odds:

Observations from the table:

Manchester City top the table for the second week running and are ranked inside the top five teams for each category. They also welcome back Sergio Aguero to their side and may field the Argentine after he was rested for the EFL Cup win over The Swans. Be warned though, Pep Guardiola’s side face Celtic on Wednesday night, meaning Aguero may not play the full 90 minutes in Gameweek 6.

Also at risk of being hooked off early is Kevin De Bruyne, the Belgian is proving himself as one of the best players in Europe right now and has become a much more dangerous player in the final third under Pep. He’s created the joint most chances in the league (17), had 13 attempts on goal, scoring twice and assisting three times, he really is worth investing in.

Everton fall into second place and come into this fixture having scored three goals in each of their last two Premier League games. As Guy Sanchez as noted numerous times on his podcast, Everton are the new Arsenal, and before you raise your pitchforks, let me explain.

Arsenal have such a wide variety of high quality attacking midfielders that;

Rotation in midfield is bound to happen. The points are so unpredictable from the midfielders you’ll kick yourself if you don’t own the one who scores.

Because of this, we only feel comfortable tipping Romelu Lukaku (he is currently carrying a 75% chance of playing of FPL at the time of writing.) The former Chelsea forward has scored four times this season, all of which have come in his last two games and also grabbed one assist. Lukaku has also showed his creative side creating eight chances, the third most out of the strikers in the league. Finally, he’s had the most Big Chances (7) and 16 attempt on goal, so he’s getting into the right positions and making the right runs.

We also get a small feeling that Liverpool are falling into the same trap as Everton in the fact they have so much attacking quality that you could end up kicking yourself if you don’t own the right player come the weekend.

Roberto Firmino looks to be your best bet moving forwards he’s created the joint second most chances in the league (14) and had 10 attempts on goal scoring twice, both of which game in the 4-1 win over Leicester City. The Brazilian missed the 2-1 win over Chelsea but came back into Jurgen Klopp’s starting XI against Derby in the EFL Cup so has shrugged off the problem that saw him miss last Friday’s game.

Arsenal, Watford and Tottenham complete the top six teams, but seriously, can anyone really ignore Etienne Capoue any longer? His underlying stats really aren’t that great, 0 Big Chances, only 5 Chances created and just seven attempts on goal – but he’s scored four times this season already and at just £5.0m, you’ve got yourself the perfect bargain player.

Put it this way, had Hazard, Alexis, Sterling, Mahrez etc found the net four times this season, would they be in your side had they been priced at under £5.0m? If the answer is yes, then get Capoue in.

Olivier Giroud is expected to start for Arsenal when they face Chelsea this weekend, his red card in the Champions League draw with PSG means he is unavailable for the Basel game. He didn’t feature at all against Nottingham Forest suggesting that Arsene Wenger is keeping him fresh for the visit of Antonio Conte’s side.

It’s fair to say Conte will be furious with his team’s defensive performances this season, they’ve conceded two goals in each of their last three games and look incapable of keeping a clean sheet at this moment in time. They will, however, welcome John Terry back to the starting XI, but Wenger and the Arsenal fans will still fancy their side to find the back of the net this weekend.

Spurs managed to score five goals without Harry Kane against Gillingham, albeit a League One side yes, but, it will give Mauricio Pochettino confidence his side can score goals without the Englishman. Christian Eriksen is in fine form this season, registering 10 attempts on goal, the great Dane has also created 10 chances this season. The 24-year-old has collected two assists this season and found himself on the scoresheet twice against Gillingham.

Other findings

For this eagle eyed amongst you, you’ll have noticed West Brom place first on the fixture category, they travel to Stoke City this weekend and will be looking to build off their 4-2 win last time out. One player who most FPL managers will have an eye on following his move from Spurs is Nacer Chadli, the Belgian scored twice against West Ham and seemed to build a partnership with striker Salomon Rondon. We know it’s incredibly hard to put your faith in a West Brom midfielder as they aren’t renowned for scoring goals, but if you’re after a cheap midfielder than £6.4m Chadli could well fill that void this weekend.

You may also have noticed that Southampton slot into second on the fixture category. Former QPR striker Charlie Austin has scored four goals in his last three games, across them three fixtures, he was only on the pitch for a total of 170 minutes. It’s almost impossible for Claude Puel to exclude him from the starting XI against West Ham this weekend and he’s also taken on penalty taking duties when he’s on the pitch. If you’re part of the cult that owns both Ibrahimovic and Aguero then opting for the £6.2m Charlie Austin could be a shrewd transfer.

Crystal Palace blew Stoke out of the water last weekend, English winger Andros Townsend got his first goal in a Palace shirt and was a standout performer in the win. He’s had an impressive start to his time at Selhurst Park, he’s created nine chances and had 18 Goal Attempts, (Antonio and Coutinho are the only midfielders to record more). The addition of target man Christian Benteke makes Townsend an appealing figure due to his delivery from wide positions.

We’ve looked at the teams placing high on the tables, what about those at the bottom – in particular Middlesbrough. 26.1% of managers own Alvaro Negredo, who hasn’t scored more than two points since Gameweek 2. We completely understand he’s a cheap third striker option but he’s only scored one goal and had five attempts, for a man leading the line each week these are incredibly disappointing stats, especially when compared to other strikers around his price. If you’re one of the managers owning Negredo then maybe it’s time to say goodbye.

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