The Liberals now trail the Bloc by 15 points among Francophone voters, according to Leger TVA poll.

A new Leger TVA Nouvelles survey shows Liberal support in Quebec is at risk of collapsing, as the Bloc Quebecois embarks on a massive surge in support.

The Liberals are down 6% points, to 31%, while the Bloc is up 13% points, also at 31%. The Conservatives are also struggling, down 8% points, while the NDP is up 5% points. The Greens are down 2%, and the PPC is down 2% as well, to 6% and 2% of the Quebec vote respectively.

These numbers show the Liberals are in big trouble, as they had been counting on a surge in Quebec in order to make up for expected losses in Western Canada, Ontario, and Atlantic Canada.

But instead, the surge is going to the Bloc.

If the Bloc continues gaining support in the upcoming days, they could leapfrog the Liberals entirely, putting the Liberals at risk of a near total collapse in the province.

Notably, the Liberals now trail the Bloc by 15 points among Francophone voters, with the Bloc at 39% and the Liberals at 24% among the largest voting cohort in Quebec.

What this shows is that the Liberals have successfully weakened the Conservatives in Quebec, yet aren’t benefiting from that at all. Instead, the benefit is going to the Bloc, while the Liberals desperately struggle to try and salvage what seats they can in the province, rather than making any gains.

Spencer Fernando

Photo – Twitter

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