Watch Now: Fantasy Football: Training Camp Winners ( 3:58 )

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One of the easiest starting points for projecting the upcoming season is looking at seasons past. So naturally, one of the easiest ways to find an edge is filtering out those things from the past that are unlikely to repeat themselves.

\Sometimes it's a volume issue because of changes in a player's circumstance, but sometimes it has nothing to do with circumstance at all. Often, what happened in the past is largely unrepeatable, and natural regression -- positive or negative -- is bound to happen.

In this piece we'll look at receivers likely to regress in one direction or another and how it will affect their Fantasy value: