+1 Republicans – Rick Scott Florida

According to the final early election totals (website below) in Florida, Democrats outvoted Republicans by a difference of 30,000. During the 2016 cycle, Democrats had a 97,000 vote lead going into election day (only shows party affiliation not actual vote). This reduction in vote margin could indicate a cannibalization of Republican vote. That aside, though there are a wide range of polls consistently they show that those intending to vote on election break heavy for Governor Scott. Due to this, we are predicting a Rick Scott victory in Florida. If Rick Scott has larger than a 2% margin of victory, it will be indicative of a Trump effect that could potentially help other candidates where he stumped (Ohio, Missouri, Montana, Indiana, Arizona, and Nevada).

https://countyballotfiles.elections.myflorida.com/FVRSCountyBallotReports/AbsenteeEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats

*ALL PREDICTIONS ARE PREDICATED UPON CURRENT POLLING DATA AND HISTORICAL ELECTION DATA