As Greece is still struggling with its debt crisis, the whole world is watching as the European Union and the Greek society look for a solution.

According to the publication of IMF in April, the trends may change in the following years. IMF is among many sources to foresee the collapse of the Greek economy. Showing a 173% debt to GDP ratio for 2015, this country is second on the list.

Surprisingly, Greece is actually the second in the list, right behind Japan.

Japan sits at the top of the list with a whopping 246% and the closest one, Greece has a 173% ratio of government debt to GDP. We know that Greece economy is not in a good shape, however does this mean that Japan isn’t doing well either? Some countries have a decreasing population, which leads to a drop in production in the long term. Also, some countries get very little loans, resulting in very low rates of debts to GDP. Japan is one of the 48 countries that are struggling to keep a steady population. At the end of the day, Japan has the industry and the resources Greece lacks, and is able to cope with the economic issues.

So, which country is likely to face the same problems as Greece?

Most countries follow a stable pattern, but some might have drastic changes. For example; projections show that Greece, Ukraine and Jamaica will have a lower ratio in 2020, whereas Libya, Oman and Lebanon will move the other way.

Keep in mind that this chart does not reflect a country’s overall development. Instead, it gives a varying result that needs interpretation with current international politics, infrastructure and development in mind. Strong fluctuations are not safe and too high or low values could mean that those countries have little effect in the world economy.

For 2020, we see Lebanon and Eritrea replacing Greece on the top of the list. Go ahead and check how your country might do in the near future.