WHY DEMOCRATS LOST

Studies estimate about 13% of Trump voters once supported Barack Obama but lost trust in the Democratic Party in 2016. We’re talking as many as 8 MILLION PEOPLE switching from D to R.

The impact in the Midwest battleground states was obviously far higher because Obama won blue collar Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin safely in 2012.

That is backed up by the fact that Trump won 51% of non-college graduates in 2016 but Obama won 51% in 2012 — a big swing in votes with half the electorate.

So, how come Hillary didn’t lose the popular vote? Because Trump lost 6% with college graduates who became Romney-Hillary Voters and Romney-Johnson Voters.

Meanwhile, non-college voters also didn’t vote at the same rate as 2012 but even if those people were mostly Democrats those numbers wouldn’t have had a major impact in the favor of Hillary Clinton. There’s a possibility they were doing Democrats a favor by not showing up and voting GOP.

Overall, Voter turnout was actually higher than in 2012 and about the same in Michigan for example. Meanwhile, black turnout fell but so did the share of the white vote as the the youth and minority electorate actually rose overall.

That explains why Trump actually increased GOP margins with minority voters and was flat overall with white voters.

But at the same time, Trump probably lost the most support to third party candidates considering 4 MILLION VOTERS supported a Republican-friendly Libertarian.

The “MATH” is more simple when you look at 2016 exit polls which showed that Obama’s popularity was 10 Points higher (54% v 44%) than our democratic nominee. That was a better number than his 2012 exit poll.

So, don’t listen to folks who say “When They Go Low, We Go High” didn’t work. That was a line from a Michelle Obama speech and that’s about it.

But I am going to avoid rehashing that choice for now because something unique happened in the key battleground states.

So, what should we do about it?