Pixar’s long-awaited sequel Incredibles 2, whose title somewhat infuriatingly lacks the word ‘The’, is set to hit theaters following more than a decade of anticipation. Meanwhile, Tag looks to cash in on its unique premise, while Superfly hopes to rebound after a poor Wednesday start.

Incredibles 2 is leaping into a 4,410 locations this weekend, hitting theaters the same mid-June weekend shared by many other Pixar titles. The studio has clearly shown they can market almost anything, and this is the definition of a slam dunk; the original Incredibles is widely regarded as one of their best titles to date, and the marketing has done a great job offering fans the same elements they loved from the original. It will also have the Dory effect – that is, cashing in on nostalgia of teen and young adult audiences who grew up with the original, as well as a new generation of kids ready for another Pixar film. Because of that, Disney is predicting an opening between $120-140 million. For reference, the current highest opening weekend for an animated film is Pixar’s own Finding Dory at $135 million. With almost universally positive reviews and a total lack of animated competition, there’s a very good chance Incredibles takes down that number with flying colors.

Two R rated genre titles are attempting to counterprogram this weekend, namely Warner Brothers’ ensemble comedy Tag and Sony’s blaxploitation remake Superfly. Unfortunately, the latter started out with a terrible $1.2 million on its Wednesday debut. If it follows a similar pattern as Baby Driver (another R rated Sony crime film which launched on a Wednesday) it would barely top $6 million in its first five days. Of course, that film did burn off some demand from Edgar Wright’s fanbase, but Sony’s prediction of $10 million certainly seems insurmountable at this point. Things could pick up a bit by the time Friday rolls around, but anything over $8 million would be legitimately surprising.

Tag is set to enter a very wide 3,382 theaters, and Warner Brothers is expecting an opening between $12-16 million. The high end of that is the studios own Game Night from earlier this year, though that film did have significantly better reviews. Still, the excellent cast and fun trailers should be enough to get the film near $15 million, especially after the strong performances of Blockers and the aforementioned Game Night.

Also opening this weekend are Gotti and Race 3. Gotti is bizarrely targeting over 500 locations, despite almost no marketing push whatsoever. Bollywood action sequel Race 3 is hitting 315 theaters, some with 3D, and may manage to crack the top 10 if all goes well. Among holdovers, Hereditary may hold better than expected following very strong weekday performance, while Ocean’s 8 should be able to take second.

Predictions

Incredibles 2 – $146 million Ocean’s 8 – $19.5 million Tag – $14.8 million Deadpool 2 – $8.5 million Solo – $8.2 million Hereditary – $7 million Superfly – $4.5 million ($6.5 million five day)