In order to understand the potential for our movement to achieve long-term results, we should consider the factors that are beginning to undermine the old order. In the context of human history, upheaval is the norm, not the exception. This is something for which we are long overdue.

We’re beginning to see a bit of it now, but much more is on the way. The groundwork for the establishment’s demise has already been laid. It’s a question of time and severity now. Here are a several salient factors shaping the future that you may wish to read up on:

Demographics

The Baby Boomer generation is retiring. They are larger than the generations that follow them, which are getting progressively smaller and poorer. This makes it impossible for the Boomer retirement to be funded by the ensuing generations. In a taste of things to come, pension plans are already failing in 7 states, and host of municipalities. In other words, we face perpetually rising costs that must be met by a perpetually contracting productive white population. This contraction will likely get sharper as none of the factors that formed it are improving. It is important to emphasize because it makes reversing economic and financial problems difficult, if not impossible under our present structure.

What makes our demographic situation so dangerous is that it’s coupled by the frantic importation of very expensive diversity. The multiplicative effects of chain migration coupled with open borders make population projections unreliable. On top of that, nonwhite births already outnumber whites. Vibrancy will eclipse the white population sooner than we’re lead to believe. The burden of providing 1st world services to a nation increasingly comprised of the 3rd world is already crippling governments across the West. Keep these two demographic trends in mind when considering the following issues:

Deficits & Debts

Every year, the Federal government alone overspends in excess of 600 billion dollars. Right now, the national debt stands at 20.4 trillion in contrast to last year’s overestimated GDP of 18.6 trillion. That’s well past the historical point of no return. This is actually just a small piece of the problem. Once unfunded liabilities for things like Medicare and Social Security are added to the budget deficit, economist Laurence Kotlikoff estimates the fiscal gap to be around 200 trillion dollars.

Of course, this is just the Federal Government. There are a multitude of states and municipalities in crisis or about to enter one. Illinois and Chicago are currently the standouts, but they will become the norm, not the exception. At all levels of government, many are now operating on a model of underfunding liabilities (pensions, etc.), running deficits, and then borrowing at very low interest rates. This is how they continue to function on a daily basis.

Energy Transition

Energy is another looming predicament that seems to elude mainstream discussion. The MSM is constantly bombarding us with rosy news about electric cars. The darling boy for all of this is the huckster Elon Musk. In reality, Tesla is billions in debt and has never made a profit. Yet, the prevailing stories tend to be puff pieces about its products.

The problem with electric cars is this: Sure, we need to transition to electric vehicles because the oil needed to power conventional automobiles is finite. But, the need to do something doesn’t equal the ability to do it within an adequate frame of time. Transitioning will be enormously expensive and difficult for a variety of dynamics. To start, an electric vehicle generally costs twice the conventional equivalent that it needs to replace.

Also, current battery technologies rely on lithium. Putting costs aside, it’s really not clear if there’s enough minable lithium on the planet to replace every machine that currently uses gasoline. There’s lots of hype about future breakthroughs, but right now that’s simply all it is. Provided these are quickly achieved, there’s little frank discussion on the sheer scale of the infrastructure and industrial adjustments that would need to happen.

The amount of new power plants and EV infrastructure enhancements that would need to be built in order to replace the energy provided by gasoline is astronomical. Where’s the human and financial capital going to come for the biggest transition in history? The oil-based economy was built from scratch by a wealthy and growing white population when the cost of this fundamental resource was miniscule. Replacement will be even more costly, while the means to do so will be disturbingly small in comparison.

Oil

Meanwhile, the general public is lulled into complacency with talk about the US being an oil exporter. This is true mainly because much of what we produce needs to be blended before it’s usable. There isn’t sufficient refinery capacity to do all of that domestically. Second, when the fracking boom began, optimism was fueled by gross overestimates of how much there was to extract. These haven’t proven true, so this source of oil will likely be gone in as little as 15 years. Like Tesla, the fracking companies aren’t making a profit because production costs vastly exceed prices. Right now, they’re borrowing money fairly cheap in order to stay in operation. See a pattern here?

Compounding this problem is the fact that government subsidies can’t make either industry profitable. Tesla receives actual subsidies to promote “green energy”, while shale oil producers are implicitly subsidized because the government tends to look the other way on the severity of their industry’s environmental impacts.

Processes like fracking require an enormous amount of energy to produce a small return. The price of gasoline has always been based on minimal extraction costs for conventional sources in places like Saudi Arabia. Once these reserves are insufficient, what remains will have to be extracted at immensely higher expense in other areas like deep water or oil sands.

Thus, the current low price of oil is not indicative of the long term supply because the era of inexpensive oil has already passed. This doesn’t mean that we’re running out of oil, but that the majority of the easy stuff has already been utilized. Thus, we’ll likely see a stiff rise energy prices over the coming years because there’s lots of remaining oil, but it requires much more effort get from the source into your gas tank. Since oil is the blood of the economy, and an inherent component in the price of most products and services, any significant increase in its price will make a huge impact. Crippling price increases could occur within a single decade while any potential EV transition would likely require at least two or three. This is just another reason why it’s sensible to expect rough times ahead.

The Ramifications Are Already Being Felt

Problems are already arising from these trends. Regrettably, just like everything else of importance, they’re not being discussed honestly. For obvious political reasons, government agencies would rather measure things like GDP, unemployment, and inflation by analyzing selective data in ways that are explicitly deceitful. Politicians don’t like bad news on their watch, so does that come at any surprise?

John Williams, an outstanding economist, does these calculations honestly, and publishes them at www.shadowstats.com. These figures paint quite a different picture, for instance, negative GDP growth ever since the 2008 crisis and unemployment over 20%.

If you’re too MAGA to give these figures any credence, then look at a plethora of other key indicators like the ongoing retail apocalypse, record personal and government debt levels, or lack of savings, marriage, and reproduction to see that things are already going very wrong around here. It will take far more than an election or tax legislation to fix this stuff.

What Happens Next?

All of the issues described in this article are of an existential nature. None of them involve anything remotely sustainable. Ask yourself: Will this all start coming apart?That could happen as soon as 2018, with the next financial crisis as a catalyst. Or, the current West could take a more gradual course to profound emergency. We’ll look at that in the next article. Right now, the worst thing to do when all the fundamentals are rapidly changing is to assume that Western Civilization will persist as it did in the past under a new, opposite set of circumstances.

White Nationalism Is Not a Pipedream. It’s Our Only Hope.

Consider the prospect of a Brazilian America or an Islamic/African Europe surmounting this trio of colossal obstacles. Do you really think we’d have even a fool’s hope unless parts of the USA can be carved into white ethno states? Meeting the challenges presented by the current age requires abandoning comfortable paradigms that don’t apply any longer. White people can only afford to devote their increasingly limited resources towards each other. It’s really that simple. Times ahead will be rough, yet full of opportunity. In the next article, we’ll check out potential paths to a crisis.

-By Tommy Shackleford and originally published on Identity Dixie.