



Today's Early Overnight Ratings

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Early Ratings Analysis

NOTE: The opinions expressed here are NOT those of SpoilerTV but of the Author of this Article, Marc Berman



NBC Expected to Rule in the Key Demos



Wednesday 12/03/14



Household

Rating/Share

CBS 5.4/ 9

NBC 5.1/ 8

ABC 4.9/ 8

Fox 2.5/ 4

CW 2.0/ 3



-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Wednesday 12/04/13:

CW: +11, ABC: + 9, CBS: – 2, NBC: – 4, Fox: -36

———-



Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. These overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.



-Winners:

“Christmas in Rockefeller Center” (NBC), “Survivor” (CBS), “The Middle” (ABC), “The Goldbergs” (ABC), “Arrow” (CW), “Modern Family” (ABC), “Black-ish” (ABC), Saturday Night Live: A Saturday Night Christmas” (NBC)



-Losers (excluding repeats):

“Red Band Society” (Fox), “The 100” (CW)

———-



Ratings Breakdown:

CBS led this first December Wednesday in the household overnights, besting No. 2 NBC by three-tenths of a rating point (or six percent). But NBC opened the evening on a winning note care of annual special “Christmas in Rockefeller Center” at a 6.6 rating/10 share from 8-9 p.m. Comparably, this was up by five percent from the 6.3/10 in the overnights on the year-ago evening (and that 6.3 rating translated into 9.74 million viewers and a 2.3 rating/7 share among adults 18-49, based on the Live Plus Same Day data).



Next on NBC was special “Saturday Night Live: A Saturday Night Christmas” at a 4.3/ 7 from 9-11 p.m., which was 10 percent below the 4.8/ 8 for the year-ago special. And that translated into 7.42 million viewers and a 2.6/ 8 in the demo, based on the Live Plus Same Day data. In other words, this night of specials is expected to lead NBC to victory in adults 18-49 (and all the key young adult demo groups). And the “SNL” special was still a very valid option despite the minor overnight erosion.



Two episodes of veteran “Survivor” on CBS, meanwhile, were on the map with a 5.7/ 9 in the 8 p.m. hour (#2) and a 5.5/ 8 (#1t) from 9-10 p.m. And it led into a dominant 4.9/ 8 for full season renewed freshman drama “Stalker” at 10 p.m., which will likely pale in comparison to the competing “SNL” holiday special on NBC in the young adult demos.



SPOILER ALERT: If you don’t want to know what happened on “Survivor” last night, stop reading. While the decision to vote out in the second episode was, as expected, either Alec or Keith, why did Natalie, who was gunning for Jon, not target Jaclyn after Jon won immunity? Alec, Keith and potentially bratty Baylor might have joined her. Why is everyone letting Jon and Jaclyn run away with the season?



Tops on ABC Wednesday, as always, was “Modern Family,” which scored a 6.7/10 in the 9 p.m. half-hour. And that led into a 5.2/ 8 (#3) for “Black-ish,” the highest rated new sitcom this season, which outdelivered failed year-ago occupant “Super Fun Night” (3.5/ 6 on 12/04/13) by 49 percent in the overnights. Comparably, the 78 percent overnight retention for “Black-ish” out of “Modern Family” last night was considerably above the 51 percent for “Super Fun Night” in this time period last season.



Earlier in the evening on ABC was the compatible combination of sitcoms “The Middle” (#3: 5.0/ 8) and “The Goldbergs” (#4: 4.6/ 7) from 8-9 p.m. Year-to-year, “The Goldbergs” was 31 percent above failed former time period occupant “Back in the Game” (3.5/ 6 on 12/04/13). And it is expected to grow out of “The Middle” once again by two or three-tenths of a rating point among adults 18-49.



ABC closed the evening with three year-old drama “Nashville” at a typical 3.9/ 7 in the household overnights, which was equal to the year-ago evening.



Over at The CW, “Arrow,” featuring the conclusion of the crossover with “The Flash,” rose to a 2.7/ 4 (#5) from 8-9 p.m., which was 17 percent above the 2.3/ 4 on the year-ago evening. One night earlier, “The Flash” (featuring “Arrow”) scored a 3.0/ 5. Despite the improved lead-in support, sophomore “The 100” could only muster a 1.3/ 2 in the 9 p.m. hour (#5), which was only equal to failed year-ago time period occupant “The Tomorrow People.”



In what could be series-finale news, freshman “Red Band Society” on Fox scored a 2.2/ 3 at 9 p.m. (#4), which was 21 percent below tired lead-in “Hell’s Kitchen” (2.8/ 4 at 8 p.m.). The pair, on average, was 36 percent below year-ago occupant “The X Factor” (3.9/ 6 on 12/04/13), which is rumored to be potentially returning next season. Three additional episodes of “Red Band Society” have been produced, but there is no word when…or if…Fox will air them.



Source: Nielsen Media Research data



Source: Marc Berman@tvmediainsights Metered Market Wednesday RatingsNBC Expected to Rule in the Key DemosWednesday 12/03/14HouseholdRating/ShareCBS 5.4/ 9NBC 5.1/ 8ABC 4.9/ 8Fox 2.5/ 4CW 2.0/ 3-Percent Change from Year-Ago Evening – Wednesday 12/04/13:CW: +11, ABC: + 9, CBS: – 2, NBC: – 4, Fox: -36———-Note: The following labels are based on the household overnights and are subject to change given the availability of other pending data streams. These overnights are your first look at the ratings and a precursor to what could lie ahead. And we take into account other benchmarks including the expected demographic ratings, potential DVR usage, the critical acclaim (or lack of) and the social media presence.-Winners:“Christmas in Rockefeller Center” (NBC), “Survivor” (CBS), “The Middle” (ABC), “The Goldbergs” (ABC), “Arrow” (CW), “Modern Family” (ABC), “Black-ish” (ABC), Saturday Night Live: A Saturday Night Christmas” (NBC)-Losers (excluding repeats):“Red Band Society” (Fox), “The 100” (CW)———-Ratings Breakdown:CBS led this first December Wednesday in the household overnights, besting No. 2 NBC by three-tenths of a rating point (or six percent). But NBC opened the evening on a winning note care of annual special “Christmas in Rockefeller Center” at a 6.6 rating/10 share from 8-9 p.m. Comparably, this was up by five percent from the 6.3/10 in the overnights on the year-ago evening (and that 6.3 rating translated into 9.74 million viewers and a 2.3 rating/7 share among adults 18-49, based on the Live Plus Same Day data).Next on NBC was special “Saturday Night Live: A Saturday Night Christmas” at a 4.3/ 7 from 9-11 p.m., which was 10 percent below the 4.8/ 8 for the year-ago special. And that translated into 7.42 million viewers and a 2.6/ 8 in the demo, based on the Live Plus Same Day data. In other words, this night of specials is expected to lead NBC to victory in adults 18-49 (and all the key young adult demo groups). And the “SNL” special was still a very valid option despite the minor overnight erosion.Two episodes of veteran “Survivor” on CBS, meanwhile, were on the map with a 5.7/ 9 in the 8 p.m. hour (#2) and a 5.5/ 8 (#1t) from 9-10 p.m. And it led into a dominant 4.9/ 8 for full season renewed freshman drama “Stalker” at 10 p.m., which will likely pale in comparison to the competing “SNL” holiday special on NBC in the young adult demos.SPOILER ALERT: If you don’t want to know what happened on “Survivor” last night, stop reading. While the decision to vote out in the second episode was, as expected, either Alec or Keith, why did Natalie, who was gunning for Jon, not target Jaclyn after Jon won immunity? Alec, Keith and potentially bratty Baylor might have joined her. Why is everyone letting Jon and Jaclyn run away with the season?Tops on ABC Wednesday, as always, was “Modern Family,” which scored a 6.7/10 in the 9 p.m. half-hour. And that led into a 5.2/ 8 (#3) for “Black-ish,” the highest rated new sitcom this season, which outdelivered failed year-ago occupant “Super Fun Night” (3.5/ 6 on 12/04/13) by 49 percent in the overnights. Comparably, the 78 percent overnight retention for “Black-ish” out of “Modern Family” last night was considerably above the 51 percent for “Super Fun Night” in this time period last season.Earlier in the evening on ABC was the compatible combination of sitcoms “The Middle” (#3: 5.0/ 8) and “The Goldbergs” (#4: 4.6/ 7) from 8-9 p.m. Year-to-year, “The Goldbergs” was 31 percent above failed former time period occupant “Back in the Game” (3.5/ 6 on 12/04/13). And it is expected to grow out of “The Middle” once again by two or three-tenths of a rating point among adults 18-49.ABC closed the evening with three year-old drama “Nashville” at a typical 3.9/ 7 in the household overnights, which was equal to the year-ago evening.Over at The CW, “Arrow,” featuring the conclusion of the crossover with “The Flash,” rose to a 2.7/ 4 (#5) from 8-9 p.m., which was 17 percent above the 2.3/ 4 on the year-ago evening. One night earlier, “The Flash” (featuring “Arrow”) scored a 3.0/ 5. Despite the improved lead-in support, sophomore “The 100” could only muster a 1.3/ 2 in the 9 p.m. hour (#5), which was only equal to failed year-ago time period occupant “The Tomorrow People.”In what could be series-finale news, freshman “Red Band Society” on Fox scored a 2.2/ 3 at 9 p.m. (#4), which was 21 percent below tired lead-in “Hell’s Kitchen” (2.8/ 4 at 8 p.m.). The pair, on average, was 36 percent below year-ago occupant “The X Factor” (3.9/ 6 on 12/04/13), which is rumored to be potentially returning next season. Three additional episodes of “Red Band Society” have been produced, but there is no word when…or if…Fox will air them.Source: Nielsen Media Research data

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This table shows the early overnight ratings. These ratings are normally adjusted later in the day when all the ratings have been consolidated to take into account any local preemptions and/or overruns. You can find all the final adjusted numbers in our Ratings Database . (See the About section below for details about ratings)The analysis below is based on the early household numbers and are NOT the same as the numbers that will be posted in the above table later. (See the About section below)For more information on the Nielsen Ratings see this Wikipedia Entry Each day (except Sunday) during the main TV Season we post the TV Ratings for the previous nights primetime shows for the major broadcast networks (ABC, CBS, CW, FOX, NBC). Cable Network ratings will be added to the Ratings Database The first item that gets posted (normally around 2pm GMT) is the early overnight analysis based on the early household numbers (these are not the same as the Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers that are posted later).Next, if available, we will post the Top 25 Market 18-49 Ratings to give you a rough idea of the ratings to following.Later on (normally between 4pm-5pm GMT) we post the official early overnight Total Viewers and 18-49 Demo numbers in the table above (We also where possible now post the 18-34 and 25-54 Demo Numbers).Finally, later in the evening (10pm-11pm GMT) or the following day, the final adjusted ratings numbers are released, these are then posted in the Ratings Database . The Final Adjusted numbers are what we use for all our Renew/Cancellation Tables, Full Season Tables, Ratings Scorecards etc (see below). Friday's Final Adjusted Ratings are normally available on the following Monday.If you’re interested in Ratings/Renewals/Cancellations then we have a number of resources here at SpoilerTV that we recommend you check out.