Week 2 ADJUSTED

NOTE: I decided to make an adjustment to the algorithm. I was finding that using weighted ranks, versus weighted adjustments to actual numbers was not capturing some of the variance between different ranks. Consequently, I am adjusting the Week 2 rankings, which will be the process moving forward. The adjusted rankings are immediately below, with the old version below them. The Change column represents the change from the old Week 2 position to the modified. Please enjoy!

Rankings are based upon the following five variables in descending order of bias: PPG (I weight wins as 4:1, not 3:1); Trend (5 games, with descending value per game past); League position from 2015/16 (This will decrease in bias over the first four games, and no longer be used after Week 5’s games are played); GPG ; GAPG .

Rank Team Score Change 1 Manchester City 4.64 1 2 Manchester United 4.56 (1) 3 Chelsea 1.71 0 4 Hull City 1.32 0 5 Tottenham Hotspur 0.89 0 6 Everton 0.70 0 7 West Ham United 0.60 1 8 Middlesbrough 0.60 (1) 9 Liverpool 0.52 0 10 Burnley 0.52 0 11 West Bromwich … 0.51 0 12 Swansea City 0.51 1 13 Leicester City 0.44 1 14 Arsenal 0.42 (2) 15 Southampton 0.39 1 16 Watford 0.37 1 17 Stoke City 0.36 (2) 18 Crystal Palace 0.32 2 19 Sunderland 0.31 (1) 20 AFC Bournemouth 0.30 (1)

Week 2

Rankings are based upon the following five variables in descending order of bias: PPG (I weight wins as 4:1, not 3:1); Trend (5 games, with descending value per game past); League position from 2015/16 (This will decrease in bias over the first four games, and no longer be used after Week 5’s games are played); GPG ; GAPG .

Rank Team Score Change 1 Manchester United 11.15 0 2 Manchester City 3.09 0 3 Chelsea 1.03 1 4 Hull City 0.82 3 5 Tottenham Hotspur 0.58 3 6 Everton 0.39 5 7 Middlesbrough 0.32 6 8 West Ham United 0.29 8 9 Liverpool 0.29 (6) 10 Burnley 0.26 10 11 West Bromwich Albion 0.24 (5) 12 Arsenal 0.22 2 13 Swansea City 0.22 (8) 14 Leicester City 0.20 1 15 Stoke City 0.18 (5) 16 Southampton 0.17 (7) 17 Watford 0.17 (5) 18 Sunderland 0.13 0 19 AFC Bournemouth 0.12 (2) 20 Crystal Palace 0.12 (1)

Notes

Teams that are new (or returning) to the Premier League this season will suffer in ranking as if they had been 18 th in the league in the 2015/16 season, but this will only last for the first four weeks.

in the league in the 2015/16 season, but this will only last for the first four weeks. Scores are set to average to 1 to reveal parity. This reveals, since it is the first week of the season, the parity differences are small between the teams with a draw; the same goes for the losing teams.

Even though it is the lowest weighted coefficient right now, rankings are going to most skewed by GAPG due to many shared ranks. This accounts for the skew of Man Utd’s high disparity ranking at the top; this will level off as more games are played.

due to many shared ranks. This accounts for the skew of Man Utd’s high disparity ranking at the top; this will level off as more games are played. Arsenal is the only team whose league points are less than the team they are ahead of in the power rankings, but that isn’t too great of a surprise since they have already played “Ever-Inconsistent” Liverpool and “How long before they are relegated?” Leicester.

Hull hosting Man Utd will be the game of the week next week, at least based on power rankings and league position, and it has a prime position as Saturday’s night game.

Liverpool going to White Hart Lane should be a great watch, and since they lost to Burnley, Klopp’s men will come to play with a lot of fire. If Spurs can keep their discipline, this should be a wonderful match. If you are up and not bust, don’t miss this match.

West Ham at the Etihad will be the third match to watch live. The Hammers have both won and lost games late this season so far. Man City could have shown a little better at home against Sunderland, but were in fine form away at Stoke.

For Saturday’s midday matches, I recommend either Leicester hosting Swansea or Burnley at Stamford Bridge. If Leicester can’t find more than a point at home against another recently promoted team, the worry will have to start setting in. As for Burnley, Tom Heaton has been a monster in goal, and will have to be against Conte’s Chelsea, especially in London.