The Bookies’ Advantage squad managed to shake off the Christmas hangovers as they scored 85 points, which is all the more impressive considering it was achieved without Harry Kane’s record-breaking hat trick. Captain Mo Salah (18 points), Roberto Firmino (13), Marcos Alonso (14) and Raheem Sterling (11) all produced double-digit hauls, whilst Nicolas Otamendi (8), Alvaro Morata (6), Richarlison and Kevin Long (both 5) all contributed too. With Gameweek 21 taking place this Saturday and Sunday, read on as we analyse the clean sheet and anytime goalscorer markets to help you with those all-important captaincy, transfer and squad selection decisions…

Defensive odds

Team Best clean sheet odds Implied chance of a clean sheet Chelsea 1.73 58% Man Utd 1.99 50% Man City 2.15 47% Watford 2.2 45% Liverpool 2.3 43% Newcastle 2.38 42% Huddersfield 2.4 42% Arsenal 2.62 38% Bournemouth 2.92 34% Burnley 3 33% Brighton 3.5 29% Everton 3.6 28% Swansea 5 20% West Brom 5.5 18% Southampton 8.5 12% Leicester 12.5 8% Crystal Palace 14 7% Stoke 15 7% Tottenham No Fixture No Fixture West Ham No Fixture No Fixture

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Chelsea top the bookies’ defensive rankings for the second gameweek running with a 58% chance of keeping a clean sheet ahead of their home game against Stoke. The Blues have shut out their opponents in each of their last 3, whilst Marcos Alonso is the highest scoring defender in FPL courtesy of 2 goals and an assist in his last trio of appearances. The Spaniard starts for our squad.

Manchester United (50%) rank second when they host Southampton. The Red Devils haven’t been at their defensive best of late, but have still only conceded 5 goals in 10 games at Old Trafford this season, recording 7 shutouts. David de Gea offers starting security and takes his place between the sticks for our side.

Manchester City (47%) and Watford (45%) complete the top 4 defensive prospects for Gameweek 21. The Citizens, who boast the best away defence in the top flight, with 6 clean sheets and just 5 goals conceded in 10 games, travel to Selhurst Park to take on Crystal Palace on Sunday. Nicolas Otamendi, who has 4 goals and 14 bonus points to his name this term, starts for our squad. He is joined by another goalscoring centre back in Christian Kabasele. The DR Congo defender has scored twice for the Hornets this season, and a home game against a troubled Swansea side, who have lost 7 on the trot away from home, blanking in 4 of those, offers him the platform to perform.

On the bench, Rob Elliott (£4.0m – 42%) and Chancel Mbemba (£4.0 – 42%) both welcome Brighton to St James’ Park, with the Seagulls having lost 4 in succession on their travels, whilst also failing to score in that stretch. Kevin Long (£4.0m – 33%) offers another budget option over the festive period with James Tarkowski suspended. He produced an assist at Old Trafford on Boxing Day and has a trip to Huddersfield to look forward to on Saturday.

Attacking odds

Player Best anytime goalscorer odds Implied chance of scoring Sergio Aguero 1.65 61% Alvaro Morata 1.73 58% Gabriel Jesus 1.75 57% Mohamed Salah 1.83 55% Romelu Lukaku 2 50% Eden Hazard 2 50% Raheem Sterling 2.2 45% Roberto Firmino 2.25 44% Philippe Coutinho 2.3 43% Alexandre Lacazette 2.38 42% Leroy Sane 2.4 42% Alexis Sanchez 2.5 40% Pedro 2.5 40% Marcus Rashford 2.6 38% Sadio Mane 2.75 36% Andre Gray 2.85 35% Richarlison 2.85 35% Callum Wilson 2.88 35% Jesse Lingard 3.2 31% Henrikh Mkhitaryan 3.25 31% Kevin de Bruyne 3.35 30% Wayne Rooney 3.35 30% Dwight Gayle 3.4 29% Jamie Vardy 3.5 29% Chris Wood 3.5 29% Paul Pogba 3.6 28% Laurent Depoitre 3.6 28% David Silva 3.6 28% Glenn Murray 3.6 28% Oumar Niasse 3.65 27% Salomon Rondon 3.75 27% Cesc Fabregas 3.85 26% Tammy Abraham 3.85 26% Dominic Calvert-Lewin 3.9 26% Jay Rodriguez 4 25% Sam Vokes 4.1 24% Alex Iwobi 4.5 22% Matt Ritchie 4.5 22% Collin Quaner 4.5 22% Mesut Ozil 4.7 21% Manolo Gabbiadini 5 20% Wilfried Zaha 5 20% Abdoulaye Doucoure 5 20% Riyad Mahrez 5.4 19% Aaron Mooy 5.5 18% Anthony Knockaert 5.5 18% Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 6.4 16% Ruben Loftus-Cheek 6.5 15% Pascal Gross 6.5 15% Mame Biram Diouf 8 13% Dusan Tadic 8 13% Xherdan Shaqiri 8.5 12% Tom Carroll 11 9% Isaac Hayden 11 9% Harry Kane No Fixture No Fixture Dele Alli No Fixture No Fixture Andy Carroll No Fixture No Fixture Michail Antonio No Fixture No Fixture Marko Arnautovic No Fixture No Fixture Christian Eriksen No Fixture No Fixture

With it once again proving impossible to guess who will start up top for Manchester City, we opt for Alvaro Morata as our captain. The Spaniard is deemed to have a 58% chance of scoring against Stoke City’s makeshift defence – the Potters, who have the conceded a league-high 41 goals, are without both Kurt Zouma and Ryan Shawcross. Morata scored a hat trick against Mark Hughes’ men in the reverse fixture back in September and looks primed to profit once again at Stamford Bridge on Saturday.

We also continue with Roberto Firmino (44%) in our attack. The Brazilian has bagged 4 goals in his last 3 games ahead of Liverpool’s hosting of Leicester, and further goals could be in the offing given the fact the Foxes have kept just a single clean sheet in their last 10 top flight outings.

Colin Quaner (22%) takes the first spot on our bench, with the budget striker, who has already chalked up 3 assists this term, hosting Burnley this weekend. With Elias Kachunga now out for a few months, Quanner, who costs a mere £4.5m, could now be set for an extended run in the Huddersfield starting XI, albeit on the wing.

The bookies also fancy the chances of Sergio Aguero, Gabriel Jesus and Romelu Lukaku, but rotation concerns and our preference to divert funds into the midfield see us omit all three this weekend.

Such is the form of Liverpool’s rampant attack, we triple up on the Reds’ attacking assets, with Mohamed Salah (55%) and Philippe Coutinho (43%) joining Firmino in our starting XI. Over the last 3 matches the Egyptian has scored twice and assisted a further 3 goals, whilst his Brazilian teammate has found the net 3 times and set up 2 goals, whilst also claiming 5 bonus points.

Eden Hazard (50%) joins Alvaro Morata in our side as we double up on Antonio Conte’s main attackers for their tasty home game against Stoke. The Belgian will be looking to add to the 2 goals and 1 assist he has produced in his last 3 Stamford Bridge starts.

Raheem Sterling (45%) and Richarlison (35%) complete our squad for Gameweek 21. The young England star is currently having a breakout season under Pep Guardiola, chalking up 12 goals and 6 assists in the Premier League so far. A trip to Selhurst Park, where the Eagles have not kept a clean sheet this season, will hold no fear. Meanwhile, Richarlison’s consistent early-season form has tailed off slightly, with the Brazilian providing just a trio of assists in the last 7 gameweeks, but he still has 5 goals and 7 assists to his name in a superb debut campaign. He arguably enjoys the best fixture of the weekend when he hosts rock-bottom Swansea City.

The bookies also rate Leroy Sane, Alexis Sanchez, Pedro and Sadio Mane for Gameweek 21, but the quartet weighs too heavily on our budget this time around.

Dream Team GW21

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Good luck with your fantasy teams this weekend!

May the odds be with you🙏

Daniel Victory is a Fantasy football and anytime goalscorer betting enthusiast. Enjoys SSS – statistics, strategizing and spreadsheets. Follow his great tips on Twitter.