Example 2:

Assume that a team has a 50/50 W/L record. Does the team produce the same type of errors regardless of victories or losses? Has the error rate changed throughout the season and is there any pattern? Is the pattern consistent across multiple weeks or months? Are there any other changes in tendencies across the same time-span?

We cannot draw valid or invalid conclusions as spectators, but we can make strong and weak arguments. Say that the team looks disorganized in an official match.

We can ask ourselves “When was the last time the team looked organized and what are the differences?”. That allows us to make new assumptions and possibly ask something along the lines of “Does the disorganizing stem from a play the opponents made?”.