The prevailing theory around Game of Thrones Season 6 is that this is the year book readers won’t be able to predict what’s going to happen. But is that actually true? Trailers have confirmed that in certain plotlines, the HBO series is actually going backwards to revisit old, abandoned plots from A Dance with Dragons, A Feast for Crows, and even further back than those books. Add to that revealing interviews and contextual clues from trailers and preview clips, and it’s actually quite possible to predict some of the big twists and turns that are in store for the residents of Westeros and Essos this year. Here are our best guesses at the big moments in store this year. It’s all speculation, but the spoiler-averse should read at their own risk.

Are they gone? Good.

Daenerys Gets a New Dothraki Horde

In most of the Daenerys footage and images we’ve seen from Season 6, the former khaleesi is captive and submissive to the Dothraki. But book readers don’t expect she’ll stay that way for long. In George R.R. Martin’s original outline for the A Song of Ice and Fire series, Dany doesn’t spend several novels (or seasons) wandering Essos freeing the slave cities. When Khal Drogo dies, she uses her dragons to get an all-new khalasar. And if baby dragons could win her a loyal Dothraki army in the books (and, to a certain, depleted extent, in Season 1), then imagine what the full force of Drogon will get her. Daenerys’s biggest dragon may not have been by her side when the Dothraki nabbed her at the end of Season 5, but he’s napping right around the corner. When he wakes up to find the mother of dragons gone, what will he do to get her back? And if his rescue involves an impressive display of fire, doesn’t that seem like effective recruitment material for Daenerys? Odds are she gets her army of horse lords (and some rumors from the set bear this out) and is finally back on track to hook up with the main Game of Thrones plot.