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The results in the table were generated by simulating the NCAA tournament using the same simulator we used for Bracketology. The probabilities shown represent the proportion of the 1,000 simulations run in which each team advanced to the various stages of the tournament.

Last updated: May 23 9:42 PM

Team Wins Title Makes Final Makes Final 4 Makes Quarters

1 Penn State 56.8% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

2 North Carolina 43.2% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

3 Villanova 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%

4 Yale 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%

5 Richmond 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

6 Maryland 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

7 Boston U 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

8 Georgetown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0%

9 Providence 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

10 Penn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

12 Marist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

13 Duke 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

14 Syracuse 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

15 UMBC 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

16 Cornell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%