Warner Brothers will try their hand at taking down Black Panther with Tomb Raider, the latest Hollywood adaptation of a video game franchise. Meanwhile, Love, Simon attempts to counterprogram, while 7 Days in Entebbe heads for limited release.

Tomb Raider carries a production budget of $94 million, and is shooting for an opening of around $20 million this weekend. Initially tracking closer to $30 million, the unexpectedly strong holds of Black Panther have taken it down a notch. Overseas grosses will likely be the real savior here, but domestically it may struggle; many woman-lead action films such as Ghost in the Shell, Atomic Blonde, and Red Sparrow all opened below $20 million. With mixed reviews and a lack of hype, a debut similar to those seems likely.

Love, Simon is notable for being one of the first LGBT films from a major studio, though it remains to be seen whether or not this can translate to a successful debut. With a budget of $17 million and fairly strong reviews, an opening in the low teens would be fine.

Also opening is I Can Only Imagine, a Christian drama releasing into 1,620 theaters. Christian films have not been performing particularly well as of late, notably Samson ($1.9 million) or All Saints ($1.5 million), and as a result it’s hard to imagine Imagine performing much better.

Mixed word of mouth will likely seal a 50% drop for A Wrinkle in Time, while other holdovers such as Game Night and Peter Rabbit should continue to see strong holds.

Weekend Predictions

Black Panther – $28M Tomb Raider – $17.5M A Wrinkle in Time – $16M Love, Simon – $11M Game Night – $5M Red Sparrow – $4.5M

I Can Only Imagine – $3.5M