From the day Donald Trump Donald John TrumpUS reimposes UN sanctions on Iran amid increasing tensions Jeff Flake: Republicans 'should hold the same position' on SCOTUS vacancy as 2016 Trump supporters chant 'Fill that seat' at North Carolina rally MORE assumed office, pundits have been looking toward the 2020 presidential election. Although a great deal of attention has focused on potential Democratic challengers, conversation has also centered on the possibility that Trump would not be at the top of the Republican ticket. Talk of impeachment, resignation, or his choosing to only serve one term has occurred throughout the president’s first months in office. Such conjecture is atypical and Trump has proved to be an atypical president.

Trump’s historic disapproval ratings, the specter of the Russia investigation, and the Republicans’ failure to achieve any type of health care reform in spite of their controlling both the executive and legislative branches have led some to conclude that Trump is already a lame duck and fuel speculation that he will not finish his first term of office.

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Although seemingly far-fetched, PredictIt market shares indicating Trump would be president by the end of 2018,

currently stand

at $.72 (yes) to $.28 (no). The market is

less bullish

that he is president by the end of 2019 — $.60 (yes) to $.40 (no).

Put another way, the PredictIt market suggests there is a 72 percent chance that he is the president by the end of 2018 and a 60 percent chance that he is the president by the end of 2019. The suggestion that a president would not serve out a single term is pretty foreign. In fact, no president has failed to serve out their first term of office, except for those who died in office.

The president’s most recent target, Senator Bob Corker Robert (Bob) Phillips CorkerHas Congress captured Russia policy? Tennessee primary battle turns nasty for Republicans Cheney clashes with Trump MORE (R-Tenn.), has revealed just how fractious Trump is viewed within his own party. Corker likened the president to being a child, tweeting that the White House is like a “day care center.” Corker has further indicated that the president is chaotic, his actions could lead the country toward World War III, and that “anyone who cares about our nation” should be concerned with Trump. Supporting Corker’s claim that nearly every Senate Republican shares his concerns, speaking Sunday, Sen. Ron Johnson Ronald (Ron) Harold JohnsonThe Hill's Morning Report - Sponsored by The Air Line Pilots Association - White House moves closer to Pelosi on virus relief bill Second GOP senator to quarantine after exposure to coronavirus GOP-led panel to hear from former official who said Burisma was not a factor in US policy MORE (R-Wis.) echoed Corker’s sentiments contending that political, rather than military solutions were the primary means in dealing with North Korea.

Trump’s legislative failures are heightened given his own party’s majorities in the House of Representatives and the Senate. Presidents historically have been most successful when their party holds control of the legislative branch. In spite of his self-proclaimed deal making abilities, Trump has come up short within his own party and has actively alienated those within his party.

Over the course of the past few months, fellow Republicans have increasingly become the targets of Trump’s ire. Sens. John McCain John Sidney McCainMomentum growing among Republicans for Supreme Court vote before Election Day McConnell urges GOP senators to 'keep your powder dry' on Supreme Court vacancy McSally says current Senate should vote on Trump nominee MORE (R-Ariz.), Jeff Flake Jeffrey (Jeff) Lane FlakeJeff Flake: Republicans 'should hold the same position' on SCOTUS vacancy as 2016 Republican former Michigan governor says he's voting for Biden Maybe they just don't like cowboys: The president is successful, some just don't like his style MORE (R-Neb.), Mitch McConnell Addison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellMomentum growing among Republicans for Supreme Court vote before Election Day Trump expects to nominate woman to replace Ginsburg next week Video of Lindsey Graham arguing against nominating a Supreme Court justice in an election year goes viral MORE (R-Ky.), and Corker have all been on the end of barbed Trump tweets. Attorney General Jeff Sessions Jefferson (Jeff) Beauregard SessionsTrump's policies on refugees are as simple as ABCs Ocasio-Cortez, Velázquez call for convention to decide Puerto Rico status White House officials voted by show of hands on 2018 family separations: report MORE and, more recently, Secretary of State Rex Tillerson Rex Wayne TillersonGary Cohn: 'I haven't made up my mind' on vote for president in November Kushner says 'Alice in Wonderland' describes Trump presidency: Woodward book Conspicuous by their absence from the Republican Convention MORE have also been undercut by the president. While this may play well for some within his base, it has caused great concern for many Republicans.

Making matters worse for Trump is that a large number of prominent Republicans would prefer that some other Republican be at the top of their party’s ticket in 2020. In my survey of the 2016 Electoral College for the second edition of my book, I found that just 54 percent of Republican electors indicated they wanted to see Trump head the ticket in 2020. Thirty-eight percent indicated they wanted someone else and 8 percent did not answer the question.

Recall that two Republican electors did not vote for Trump when the Electoral College met. Although Trump has not been a darling of the establishment, these responses were unexpected.

Apart from Trump, Mike Pence Michael (Mike) Richard PenceMomentum growing among Republicans for Supreme Court vote before Election Day Sunday shows preview: Justice Ginsburg dies, sparking partisan battle over vacancy before election McConnell urges GOP senators to 'keep your powder dry' on Supreme Court vacancy MORE was most often cited by Republican electors as their preferred choice in 2020. Earlier this year, several news outlets reported that Pence was testing the waters by forming his own fundraising committee this Spring. Not surprisingly, Pence denied these accusations and has indicated his support for Trump.

Gov. John Kasich (R-Ohio), Rep. Paul Ryan Paul Davis RyanKenosha will be a good bellwether in 2020 At indoor rally, Pence says election runs through Wisconsin Juan Williams: Breaking down the debates MORE (R-Wis.), Sens. Marco Rubio Marco Antonio RubioSunday shows preview: Justice Ginsburg dies, sparking partisan battle over vacancy before election Florida senators pushing to keep Daylight Savings Time during pandemic Hillicon Valley: DOJ indicts Chinese, Malaysian hackers accused of targeting over 100 organizations | GOP senators raise concerns over Oracle-TikTok deal | QAnon awareness jumps in new poll MORE (R-Fl.), and Ted Cruz Rafael (Ted) Edward CruzVideo of Lindsey Graham arguing against nominating a Supreme Court justice in an election year goes viral Sunday shows preview: Justice Ginsburg dies, sparking partisan battle over vacancy before election Democrat on Graham video urging people to 'use my words against me': 'Done' MORE (R-Texas) were also cited as preferred choices to run for president among Republican electors. Kasich, in particular, has continued to stay in the national spotlight as a vocal critic of Trump, fueling speculation that he may challenge him in 2020. Interestingly, both former Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) and former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice had at least one elector who would like to see them run.

Trump’s not being on the 2020 ticket would be historic and perhaps a dream scenario for many of his critics. The fact that many of those entrusted to cast their electoral votes for Trump would prefer to see someone else at the top of their party’s ticket is telling. That Trump has picked so many fights among fellow Republicans has probably further alienated many of the party faithful.

Although an early exit for Trump is unlikely, if it were to happen, it probably would not be met with many tears among the party’s most devoted members.

Robert Alexander is professor of Political Science at Ohio Northern University and author of “Presidential Electors and the Electoral College: An Examination of Lobbying, Wavering Electors, and Campaigns for Faithless Votes.”