Poised to win the primary race

The Iowa caucuses were as close as it can get. In the end Hillary won by 2 delegates, 23 to 21. Iowa is one of the most Bernie friendly states in America, playing right to his main demographics. 97% White, almost 50% of Iowa Democrats self-identify as actual Socialists. Yet, Hillary won the state. Now, it is on to NH, Bernie’s next-door neighbor state, which Bernie is poised to win.

But, after that? The race moves to turf that has shown to be strongly Hillary friendly in polls. Nevada, South Carolina. Then Super Tuesday on March 1, 3 weeks from today. 12 states, most notable Texas (222 delegates), Georgia (102 delegates), Virginia (95 delegates), MA (91 delegates), Tennessee (67 delegates), etc. etc. A week later Michigan and Mississippi. IMO March 15 will likely be the end of all pretenses of a Bernie revolution actually happening, as four mega states go to vote, all very unfriendly turf for Bernie: Florida (214 delegates), North Carolina (107 delegates), Illinois (156 delegates), Ohio (143 delegates).

A trio of state polls are showing us the uphill climb Bernie has ahead of him when it comes to states with high POC concentrations, states that strongly dominate Super Tuesday on March 1, and Super Tuesday II on March 15.

UPDATED to include latest Texas poll

TEXAS:

Texas poll (part of March 1 Super Tuesday slate):

TEXAS POLL Hillary 50% Bernie 16%

While Senator Sanders has gained some ground among likely Democratic voters, the poll shows Clinton still holds a commanding lead over her rivals. Clinton was almost 50 points ahead of Sanders in the October poll. Now, her lead is down to 34 points. Clinton still holds the top spot with 50.33% compared to Sanders’ 15.51%.

The crosstabs show that in Texas Hillary does better with Hispanics than she does with AAs, although she is far ahead of Bernie in both POC groups. Hillary beats Bernie strongly in all Democratic ideological groups, gender and age groups.

GEORGIA:

Georgia poll (part of March 1 Super Tuesday slate):

Clinton, Trump lead among Georgia voters in new exclusive Channel 2 presidential poll