On Sunday night, the Academy Awards ceremony ended on a warm note, handing the final statuette of the night to Guillermo del Toro’s swoon-worthy love story, The Shape of Water. The handoff signaled the official end of the 2017-2018 awards season, capping a run that celebrated films like Lady Bird, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, and Get Out. It’s been a beautiful, lengthy, trying, and competitive six-month process spent pitting front-runners against each other and prognosticating all the way until __Jimmy Kimmel__delivered his opening monologue at the Oscars ceremony itself. So: that’s it! We’re free! It’s all over, folks! Time to cry winsomely into a crackling fireplace and reflect on the journey we’ve been on.

Or is it? In an industry where awards-season hopefuls make their debuts during the Sundance Film Festival—more than 12 months before the Academy Awards at which they’ll hopefully compete—and where certain films (like Get Out) can sustain a prestige narrative for an entire year, it’s really never too early to start predicting which films will make a splash at next year’s Oscars. Stop groaning; you know we’re all mere peons in the grip of a never-ending awards season. That means it’s time to chin up, settle in, and guess which films are going to be part of the conversation come fall.

As mentioned previously, Sundance is often a hotbed of Oscar hopefuls. While this year didn’t present any obvious entries, there were still plenty of buzzworthy films that could make an impact with voters down the line. Gus Van Sant’s Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Far on Foot was one such film, earning warm early reviews; the biopic about artist John Callahan stars Joaquin Phoenix, Jonah Hill, and Rooney Mara, a triple axel of awards-bait talent. Meanwhile, A24 picked up the drama Eighth Grade, Bo Burnham’s directorial debut about a teen girl on the verge of exiting middle school. Vanity Fair’s Richard Lawson praised the film for all its tender, humane qualities, zeroing in particularly on young newcomer Elsie Fisher. Maybe she can get some tips on navigating awards season from The Florida Project star and fellow newcomer Brooklynn Prince.

Over in the documentary realm, Morgan Neville’s film Won’t You Be My Neighbor? seems like an early lock; the doc about the life and work of Fred Rogers (Mister Rogers, to all his PBS fans) warmed hearts at Sundance, bruising smile lines into everyone’s faces and racking up generous reviews. Plus, Neville isn’t new to this circuit; he won an Oscar back in 2014 for his musical documentary 20 Feet from Stardom. Expect to see him again, or to cry foul if his film is rejected for more topical material—as at this year’s show, which neglected to nominate apparent early favorite Jane in the feature doc category.

Outside of the festival circuit, Wes Anderson’s Isle of Dogs seems a natural contender. The Oscar-nominated filmmaker is a beloved cinematic aesthete, and a regular presence on the scene whenever he’s promoting a film. His upcoming film is a stop-motion dramedy about a group of dogs who have been quarantined on an island, and it features a stacked cast (Greta Gerwig, Bryan Cranston, Jeff Goldblum, and more). If the reviews are solid, expect an Oscar nod or two to follow, particularly in the best-animated-film category.