The Black Swan, Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility"

Incerto, Book 2

By: Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Narrated by: Joe Ochman

Length: 15 hrs and 48 mins

Unabridged

Overall 4.5 out of 5 stars 203 203

Performance 4.5 out of 5 stars 174 174

Story 4.5 out of 5 stars 173 173

A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world.