Week 11 Results:

Week 11 Results Season Results Consensus Picks 7-0-0 11-1-1 Drive Picks 10-3-0 17-9-1 Metric Picks 10-3-0 20-6-1 QBR Picks 10-3-0 17-9-1

As playoff pictures start to become clear, Week 11 is a crucial week for many NFL teams. Here are my model’s picks for this week:

Game Drive Pick Metric Pick QBR Pick CHI (-2.5) @ DET CHI -2.5 CHI -2.5 DET +2.5 WAS @ DAL (-7) WAS +7 WAS +7 WAS +7 ATL @ NO (-12.5) ATL +13 NO -13 ATL +13 OAK @ BAL (-10.5) BAL -10.5 BAL -10.5 OAK +10.5 JAX (-3) @ BUF BUF +3 BUF +3 JAX -3 SEA @ CAR (-3.5) SEA +3.5 SEA +3.5 SEA +3.5 CLE @ CIN (-3) CLE +3 CLE +3 CIN -3 NE (-9.5) @ NYJ NYJ +9.5 NYJ +9.5 NYJ +9.5 NYG @ PHI (-6) NYG +6 NYG +6 NYG +6 SF @ TB (-3.5) SF +3.5 TB -3.5 SF +3.5 MIA @ IND (-7.5) IND -7.5 IND -7.5 MIA +7.5 ARI @ LAC (-12.5) ARI +12.5 LAC -12.5 LAC -12.5 PIT (-3) @ DEN DEN +3 PIT -3 PIT -3 GB @ MIN (-3) GB +3 GB +3 GB +3 TEN @ HOU (-6) TEN +6 TEN +6 TEN +6

Methodology:

Drive Method: Uses average drive statistics such as Points per Drive and TD%

Metric Method: Uses advanced metrics such as SRS and EXP

QBR Method: Uses win statistics and Team QB Ratings

Consensus Picks:

WAS +7

SEA +3.5

NYJ +9.5

NYG +6

GB +3

TEN +6

