Here are the week 4 rankings based on regression of relevant stats against offensive and defensive seasonal averages. Players that are expected to not play have been excluded. Percentages of team rush attempts and pass targets were adjusted accordingly. Players that are listed as questionable, but still may play this week are in red.

With 6 teams out on bye and a slew of players recovering from injuries, it seems like slim pickings, especially in RB and TE.

If you’ve followed this from the beginning, the projections seem to becoming more reasonable. Allen Hurns remains an outlier because after 3 games a) He’s received 23% of all Jacksonville pass attempts. b) he has a ridiculous 26.57 yd/catch average. and c) He’s scoring 0.43 TDs per catch. With Cecil Shorts getting healthier, the emergence of Allen Robinson, and regression to the mean, I expect Hurns to fall. Though his targets and production suggest that he still may be relevant as a WR3/Flex. Good Luck in week 4.