‘Significantly Inflated’ Estimates

Where does the 22,000 number come from? It was not taken out of thin air or invented -- at least not by the National Safety Council. The NSC says it is based on CDC mortality data from 2015 -- when 22,598 overdoses were initially blamed on opioid pain relievers.

However, as PNN has reported, CDC researchers recently admitted that number and many other overdose estimates are wrong, because they included deaths involving illicit fentanyl and other synthetic opioids that “significantly inflate estimates.”

A more accurate number to blame on opioid pain medication, according to one CDC critic, is 16,610 overdoses – a number that has remained relatively stable over the last few years. It’s also about 25% lower than the number of pills on display in the NSC exhibit.

When PNN asked the NSC to explain the discrepancy, we were emailed a nonsensical response by a spokesperson that only bends the truth further:

“The number of pills on the wall – 22,000 – represents the number of people who overdosed on prescribed opioids or prescribed fentanyl. However, some of the faces represent people who eventually overdosed on heroin. All of these addictions, however, began with prescribed medications.”

For starters, the notion that all addictions begin with prescriptions is -- to put it kindly -- misinformed. Toxicology tests also cannot differentiate between prescription fentanyl and illicit fentanyl, although the latter is now believed to be responsible for more overdoses than any other drug. And why would the faces of people who overdosed on heroin be included in a memorial to victims who died from prescription opioids?