We thank C. Diamond and L. Wolf for their assistance. This work was supported by NSF Hazards SEES: Land Management Strategies for Confronting Risks and Consequences of Wildfire (EAR-1520847), a grant from the National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center and the Strategic Environmental Research Initiative at the Bren School, University of California, Santa Barbara. It was also supported by the Hoover Institution at Stanford University Adaptation to Climate Change Workshop, where we received thoughtful comments. We appreciate feedback from the University of Colorado Boulder Climate Conference, S. Stevenson, M. Burgess and S. Jasechko.