Todd McShay has a message for Detroit Lions fans hoping to land Chase Young with the No. 3 pick in April's NFL draft – don't get your hopes up.

McShay, speaking on a conference call Tuesday, said he gives Young only about a 10-15% chance of being on the board when the Lions make their pick.

"I don’t think it’s going to happen," McShay said.

Young, the NCAA sack leader last season at Ohio State, is regarded universally as the best non-quarterback prospect in this year's draft and has been widely mocked to Washington with the No. 2 pick.

More:Dave Birkett's NFL mock draft 2.0: Projecting the first round

LSU quarterback Joe Burrow is expected to go No. 1 overall to the Cincinnati Bengals, but teams in need of a quarterback – including the Miami Dolphins at No. 5, Los Angeles Chargers at No. 6 and Carolina Panthers at No. 7 – could trade up as high as No. 2 for Alabama's Tua Tagovailoa.

Tagovailoa is recovering from a fractured and dislocated hip that's impacted his draft stock, but McShay said the quarterback's long injury history - he also underwent surgery on both ankles in college - isn't why he sees Young going No. 2 to Washington.

"I think Washington really loves Chase Young," McShay said. "I think Daniel Snyder loves (current Washington quarterback Dwayne) Haskins. That was very apparent last year. And I think, it just seems to me from everything I’ve heard, all the information I’ve gotten, that Chase Young – if Burrow goes one, it’s going to be Chase Young at two for the Redskins. And then the draft kind of starts at three, if you will, in terms of some possible movement and all of that."

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Lions general manager Bob Quinn said last month that he's open to trading the No. 3 pick, and Washington coach Ron Rivera and New York Giants general manager Dave Gettleman shared a similar sentiment about their choices at the NFL combine last week.

Rivera said Washington, which spent a first-round pick on Haskins last year, will bring Burrow and Tagovailoa in for pre-draft visits.

The Giants, who own the fourth pick of the draft, also took a quarterback in the first round last year, Daniel Jones.

McShay he would consider Tagovailoa as a replacement for Haskins if he were making the pick at No. 2.

"I would," he said. "I’d have to have a lot more information on the medical, but if my doctors were saying that he is progressing and he is going to – we don’t forecast it being an issue moving forward, then, yeah. I would think long and hard about passing on Tua Tagovailoa because if he’s healthy and I know he’s going to be healthy, I’d put him right up there with Burrow and I’ve said before, I would lean Tua over Burrow because I think he’s special.

[ USA TODAY NFL mock draft: Lions take Auburn DT Derrick Brown at No. 3 ]

"I think both of these guys are special, obviously. But the problem is the reality. The reality is Daniel Snyder’s not going to let that happen, the owner, from what I understand. He thinks Dwayne Haskins is the guy, they’re going to build around him and see where they can go. Whether that’s true or not, we’ll find out, but clearly Daniel Snyder has a history with Haskins and loves him and they as an organization brought him in and they want him to be the guy."

McShay gave Ohio State cornerback Jeff Okudah to the Lions in his latest mock draft, released late Monday night.

“I don’t see Detroit getting (Young) at three," he said. "It’d really surprise me. I think at that point, if you’re Detroit, do you want a quarterback or are you looking on the defensive side? Jeff Okudah from Ohio State the cornerback is a possibility. Derrick Brown is worth the pick. I don’t know that that’s where they want to go. Isaiah Simmons is worth the pick as a linebacker with versatility. But I think three with the Lions and four with the Giants is where the movement could very possibly start in order for a team to go up and get Tua Tagovailoa."

Contact Dave Birkett at dbirkett@freepress.com. Follow him on Twitter @davebirkett. Read more on the Detroit Lions and sign up for our Lions newsletter.