Should I implement the complete izolation in my country?

Dear president of a country,

This simulator intends to show you the impact of your political decisions. In particular it estimates the Coronavirus death toll and makes some estimates of your chances of getting reellected. These are very rough estimates, but they give you an idea that despite the curve being flat at the beginning, it goes crazy after a couple of weeks.

If your are not the leader of your country, kindly forward it to your president, prime minister, or supreme leader. 😜

Population of your country in mln: The day at which you plan to implement the total lockdown (counting from patient 100) Show/hide advanced info Dear president, here are some extra model assumptions, consult it with your epidemiologist! Ventilators per thousand citizens Daily increase with no policy (%) How quickly does the number of new cases increase every day without any policies.

Daily decrease with a policy (%) How quickly does the number of new cases decrease every day with your policy.



Number of day of simulation

Further readings

This is definitely not an exhaustive analysis of the situation and should be taken as educational material. It's just an illustration that one day delay in implementation of policies can cost you thousands of lives. DO NOT TAKE ACTUAL POLICICAL DECISIONS BASED ON THAT. Consult your epidemiologists.This simulator was motivated by some of the online readings on coronavirus and epidemiology:If you want to improve my elementary model and simulations, push to this repository . You can learn more about the author here