



The reason I am publishing this hub now is mostly due to the fact that I wish to make it known, as I already have to the director of the UFO Reporting Center (NUFORC), that we are in the midst of a bigger UFO sighting scene than is usual for the first half of this year (director Peter Davenport has experienced first hand a record setting increase in sightings since July of last year but he has a wait and see attitude when it comes to future activity). January, usually a below average month for UFO sightings, turned out to be the biggest January ever for sightings.

Comparing the NUFORC data so far for 2012 to that of the first three months of the year from MUFON, the results are showing contradictory trends. MUFON, as is usual had only 88% as many reports for January as NUFORC had (468 to their 531), but in February the usual trend reversed itself; NUFORC now had 87% as many reports as MUFON had. NUFORC's director Peter Davenport recently announced that they would begin to scrutinize the reports more than they had in the past and it would seem that the change has already gone into effect. I am now curious to see how the full month of March will stack up when the second half of the reports for that month get posted. Based on the NUFORC data for December 2011 and January 2012, and the MUFON data for February and March of this year, it would appear that sightings peaked at around 1.58-1.56-1.63Xs greater than average amount in December 2011-January 2012-February 2012 period and was at the 1.49Xs greater than average level for March.

So March clearly is having above average results even if it is dropping off a bit. The reason that I felt March would have greater reports than usual is two fold: Not only is it close enough to January 26, the estimated date of the 3.19 year cycle's peak, but it also contains the date March 5, or when Mars will be at its closest point to earth in its orbit. March also often has at least average numbers of UFO sightings or one of the better months for the first half of the year. One thing that should be pointed out is that I also noticed that UFO waves and flaps (periods when sightings increase significantly above their average in wide or short areas of time and space) also correspond to my 3.19 year cycle. So even if there is no obvious crash (or even if there is you probably wouldn't hear about it right away), there is likely to be an upswing in sightings as I've already suggested.



As mentioned in an earlier hub (my UFO Window Report), there are also much shorter cycles that are measured in a matter of days rather than in years or months. But since, as related in still another hub (What Do Leap Seconds and UFOs Have in Common?), the UFOs (or aliens) are likely to come from our future, their days are probably longer than ours (by 1/2 hour per one of the proposed cycles). What that means is that the cycles don't quite mesh with days in exactly the same length and thus the seven day cycle proposed by John Keel in the '60s shifts forward a day every 50 days for one cycle and between 2.4 and 2.5 years for another cycle (at least that's the theory based on observing many reports over time). There is also a cycle that is shorter than a week by about 6 hours (perhaps relating to an advanced civilization that colonized the earth many thousands of years ago).

At the present time (April 2012), the primary day cycle (A) peaks on Friday night. By June, all three separate day cycles are expected to peak in unison on Sunday nights. The effects of the 3.19 year cycle will be fading at that point but still within range. June is also a transition month that represents a change in UFO activity from the more quite period of December through May to the increase in sighting experiences that usually accompany the period from July through October (November is a transition month as well but it bridges periods that are usually moving from a heightened to a weakened activity level). Because of these changes, sightings could slacken a bit in April and May before picking up again in June. However, the primary day cycle will be peaking on Friday and Saturday nights for those months so that a good portion of the best viewing should at least be conveniently timed.



