Napoli have won just one of their three matches in the Champions League so far but they are in a really horrible group. Even so, they remained undefeated against Paris Saint Germain, Napoli and Red Star Belgrade. Napoli will now return home after a 2-2 draw against Paris Saint Germain, and will hope for a better result in front of their home crowd. Paris Saint Germain have won just once so far and will be looking for nothing other that a win here that would push them to the 2nd spot.

Date/Time: 11-6-2018, 16:00 EDT

Spread: Napoli +0.25

Total: 3 Goals

Napoli (1-0-2) started the Champions League with a really frustrating goal-less draw on the road against Red Star. But they were great in their next match, where they defeated Liverpool by a slim 0-1 at home. Napoli were excellent in their last match where they played for a 2-2 draw on the road against Paris Saint Germain. They actually took the lead twice in that match but conceded a late goal to split the points. Napoli have lost two of their last four home European matches. However, they lost just four of their last 27 European matches at home (17-4-6). The win against Liverpool was only Napoli’s third in their last seven home games in the Champions League, but have lost three in that sequence. Napoli have won their last two home games against French clubs, beating Nice 2-0 in last season’s play-offs.

On the other hand, Paris Saint Germain (1-1-1) met a really tough loss in their Champions League opener. They had managed to pull themselves back after conceding twice to Liverpool, but conceded once again at the stoppage time to eventually lose by 2-3. But they bounced back with a massive 1-6 win at home against Red Star, only to be held to a 2-2 draw against Napoli in their last match. Paris Saint Germain have lost their last three European away games, conceding three goals in each of them. Before beating Red Star they had lost four European matches in a row, which was the worst run in their history. They have won just once in their nine visits to Italy (1-5-3) and have won just twice in their last 19 regardless of venue (2-9-8).

Napoli have won six of their seven home matches in all competitions so far, keeping four clean sheets in the process. Paris Saint Germain have won five of their six away matches this season, losing only to Liverpool. They have scored at least twice in all their away matches so far, a total of 17 goals.

It will be very hard for Napoli to keep a clean sheet, as Paris Saint Germain have been lethal on the road this season. But they have not done well in Italy over the years, and some times these things matter. Napoli might hold out for another draw to keep themselves at the 2nd spot. But I will go with the Over 3 Goals here, in what can easily turn into a goal-fest.

Champions League Napoli vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction: Over 3 Goals (-115)

Furthermore, check out my other Free Soccer Picks here:

Champions League Red Star Belgrade vs Liverpool Spread and Prediction

Champions League Atletico Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund Spread and Prediction

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