



Federal Conservatives and Liberals Tied in Québec

Toronto, July 26th, 2019 – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 977 Québec voters, 3 in 10 (30%) say they would vote for the Liberals in a Federal election, while a similar proportion (28%) say they would support the Conservatives.

One-sixth (15%) say they would support the BQ.

1 in 10 say they would support the Green Party (10%) or the NDP (9%).

Few say they would support the PPC (4%) or another party (3%).

Respondents most likely to support the Liberals include those aged 55-64 (36%) or 65+ (35%), females (33%), supporting the provincial Liberals (72%), living in Montreal (41%), English-speakers (54%), and earning $100,000-$250,000 (34%).

Respondents most likely to support the Conservatives include those aged 45-54 (32%) or 55-64 (29%), males (33%), supporting the CAQ (50%), and living in Québec City (48%).

“The gap between the Liberals and Conservatives is narrowing in Québec and that is bad news for the Liberals,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “The Liberals need a strong showing in Québec and Ontario to win government, and a strong Conservative party, and a resurgent Bloc make that much, much more difficult.”