Number of cases about TRUMP gets 270+ Eletorates.

Basic Red States : 191 Electoral Votes



Alabama(9),Alaska(3),Arizona(11),Arkansas(6),Georgia(16),Wyoming(3)

Idaho(4),Indiana(11),Kansas(6),Kentucky(8),Louisiana(8),West Virginia(5) Mississippi(6) Missouri(10),Montana(3),Nebraska(5),South Carolina(9)

Texas(38),NorthDakota(3),Oklahoma(7),SouthDakota(3),Tennessee(11),

Utah(6) Total 191.





in my opinion, It is very likely TRUMP might win Colorado also.

November,2015 Quinnipiac Poll of Colorado. TRUMP 48 - Hillary 37.

https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/co/co11182015_c23tbvm.pdf







If TRUMP wins those states + Colorado(9)

Basically TRUMP has 200 electorates.





Number of cases about TRUMP gets 270+ Electorates.

(I didn’t cover every cases.)





if he wins one of the CT/WA/OR. it would be more easier to win. But I didn’t cover of those scenario at this time.(may be in next time!)







Combo 1.



200 + North Carolina(15) + Florida (29) + Ohio(18) + Pennsylvania(20) = 282





Combo 2. (The Path, Without Ohio)



200 + North Carolina(15) + Florida (29) + Pennsylvania(20) + Iowa(6) = 270





Combo 3. (The Path, Without Ohio)



200 + North Carolina(15) + Florida (29) + Pennsylvania(20) + Michigan(16) = 280





Combo 4. (The Path, Without Pennsylvania)



200 + North Carolina(15) + Florida (29) + Ohio(18) + Michigan(16) = 278





Combo 5. (The Path, Without Pennsylvania)



200 + North Carolina(15) + Florida(29) + Ohio(18)

+ Iowa(6) + Nevada(6) + New Hampshire(4) + Main 2nd(1) = 270





Combo 6. (the Path, which is without Florida)

200 + North Carolina(15) + Pennsylvania(20)+ Ohio(18)+ Michigan(16)

+ Maine 2nd distrcit(1) = 270.





Combo 7. (the Path, which is without Florida)



200 + North Carolina(15) + Pennsylvania(20)+ Ohio(18) + Minnesota(10) +Michigan (16) = 279





Combo 8. (the Path, which is without Florida)

200 + North Carolina(15) + Pennsylvania(20)+ Ohio(18)+ Michigan(16)



= 269.



This case, The United States House of Representatives elect the President.

But it is very likely, Republican Party would keep majority of the Congress. So TRUMP might win.





Combo 9. (the Path, which is without Florida)

200 + North Carolina(15) + Pennsylvania(20)+ Ohio(18)+ Minnesota(10)



+ Iowa(6) = 269. same case as Combo 3.





Combo 10. (the Path, which is without Florida)



200 + North Carolina(15) + Pennsylvania(20) + Ohio(18)

+ Iowa(6) + Nevada(6) + New Hampshire(4) + Main 2nd(1) = 270





Combo 11. (the Path, which is without Ohio and Florida)



200 + North Carolina(15) + Pennsylvania(20) + Michigan(16)



+Virginia(13) + Iowa(6) = 270.





Combo 12. (the Path, which is without Florida and PA)



200 + North Carolina(15) + Michigan(16) + Ohio(18)



+ Iowa(6) + NH(4) + Nevada(6) + MN(10) or WI(10) = 275.





Combo 13. (the Path, which is without Florida and PA)



200 + North Carolina(15) + Michigan(16) + Ohio(18)



+ Iowa(6) + Virginia(13) + NV(6) or NH(4) = 272~274.





Combo 14. (the Path, which is without Ohio and Florida and PA)



200 + North Carolina(15) + Michigan(16)



+Virginia(13) + Iowa(6) + Minnesota(10) + Nevada(6) + NH(4) = 270.





Combo 15. (the Path, which is without Ohio and Florida and PA)



200 + North Carolina(15) + Michigan(16)



+Virginia(13) + Iowa(6) + Minnesota(10) + Wisconsin(10) = 270.