MJA study predicts ICUs will be swamped in 10 days

Australia may face the same fate as Italy, 'or worse', with high mortality

Grim new COVID-19 surge modelling predicts that Australian ICUs will be swamped in just 10 days if case numbers continue to climb at the current trajectory.

According to Macquarie University Sydney research, published preprint by the Medical Journal of Australia, exponential growth suggests Australian hospitals do not have the capacity to cope, leading to much higher mortality than previously predicted.

The MJA editor-in-chief, Professor Nick Talley, says based on this surge modelling despite all the work underway across