June 18, 2019 - Biden, Sanders Lead Trump In Florida, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Most Sunshine State Voters Say They're Doing Better

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In an early look at the 2020 presidential race in Florida, former Vice President Joseph Biden leads President Donald Trump 50 - 41 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.





Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders leads President Trump 48 - 42 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds. Matchups between Trump and other leading Democratic contenders are too close to call:

Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 47 percent to Trump's 43 percent;

California Sen. Kamala Harris at 45 percent to Trump's 44 percent;

Former Texas U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke at 45 percent to Trump's 44 percent;

44 percent for South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg to 43 percent for Trump.

There are deep gender and racial divisions in the Biden-Trump matchup: Biden leads 58 - 34 percent among women, as men go 49 percent for Trump and 42 percent for Biden. Trump leads 52 - 42 percent among white voters, while Biden leads 79 - 9 percent among black voters and 57 - 32 percent among Hispanic voters.





Republicans back Trump 90 - 7 percent. Biden leads 91 - 3 percent among Democrats and 54 - 32 percent among independent voters.





Congress should not begin the process to impeach Trump, Florida voters say 62 - 32 percent. The only listed party, gender, education, age or racial groups supporting impeachment are Democrats, 64 - 28 percent, and black voters, 52 - 41 percent.





"Florida Republicans have won the last five major statewide elections, all by very close margins, but Sunshine State Democrats see these very early numbers as a sign that their losing streak might be coming to an end," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.





"President Donald Trump trails both former Vice President Joseph Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders in general election matchups and basically ties other leading Democratic challengers," Brown added. "While most Florida voters are feeling better financially, President Trump remains underwater with a 44 percent job approval rating and a 51 percent disapproval rating."





Trump Approval Rating





Most Florida voters, 54 percent, say they are better off financially today than they were in 2016, as 23 percent say they are worse off.





But Florida voters still give Trump a negative 44 - 51 percent job approval rating, his best approval rating in the state since he was elected and up from a negative 41 - 53 percent score in a March 14 Quinnipiac University poll.





Democratic Primary





With 41 percent among Florida registered Democrats, Biden leads the pack for the March 17 Democratic Primary.





Sanders has 14 percent, with 12 percent for Warren, 8 percent for Buttigieg and 6 percent for Harris. No other contender tops 1 percent, with 16 candidates polling at less than 1 percent.





"Vice President Biden is the big winner in this poll. He leads the Democratic pack by a considerable margin and he runs best of the Democratic candidates when matched up with President Trump," Brown said.





"Biden's 41 percent share of the Democratic primary vote is three times that of the second place contender, Sen. Sanders."





From June 12 - 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,279 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percentage points, including the design effect. The survey includes 417 registered Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 5.8 percentage points, including the design effect.





The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.





Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll





Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.





1. How much attention have you been paying to the election campaign for president; a lot, some, only a little, or none at all?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No A lot 48% 51% 59% 36% 48% 48% 60% 49% Some 24 27 19 26 24 24 25 25 Only a little 18 14 15 25 16 20 10 19 None at all 9 7 6 13 10 8 5 7 DK/NA 1 1 - - 1 1 - - AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp A lot 19% 39% 56% 68% 56% 53% 54% 47% 31% Some 29 26 25 18 25 24 25 22 24 Only a little 32 25 10 10 13 16 15 17 28 None at all 19 10 8 3 6 6 6 13 14 DK/NA 1 1 - 1 - - - - 3 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS................................ POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Non Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Wht A lot 60% 65% 50% 63% 65% 57% 67% 51% Some 22 28 26 18 20 23 21 23 Only a little 13 6 20 13 9 15 9 18 None at all 5 1 4 7 6 5 4 7 DK/NA - - - - - - - - AGE IN YRS INCOME............. 18-49 50+ <50k 50-100 100k+ A lot 42% 72% 54% 64% 63% Some 27 18 18 24 25 Only a little 22 7 18 10 9 None at all 9 3 9 2 2 DK/NA - - - - -

2. (If Registered Democrat) If the Democratic primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were: Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Kamala Harris, Elizabeth Warren, Cory Booker, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Julian Castro, Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee, John Hickenlooper, John Delaney, Pete Buttigieg, Andrew Yang, Marianne Williamson, Wayne Messam, Eric Swalwell, Tim Ryan, Seth Moulton, Michael Bennet, Steve Bullock, Bill de Blasio, and Mike Gravel, for whom would you vote?

REGISTERED DEMOCRATS................................ POLITICAL PHILOSOPHY LIBERAL..... Mod/ Non Tot Very Smwht Cons Men Wom Wht Wht Biden 41% 17% 42% 51% 41% 42% 41% 41% Sanders 14 27 13 8 17 12 8 20 O'Rourke 1 2 1 - - 1 2 - Harris 6 9 4 6 6 6 6 7 Warren 12 22 16 6 10 13 14 8 Booker 1 - - 2 2 1 1 1 Gillibrand - - - - - - - - Klobuchar 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 - Castro - - - - - - - - Gabbard - - - - - - - - Inslee - - - - - - - - Hickenlooper - - - - 1 - - 1 Delaney - - - - - - - - Buttigieg 8 12 9 5 7 8 14 - Yang - - - - - - - - Williamson - - - - - - - - Messam - - - - - - - - Swalwell - - - - - - - - Ryan - - - - - - - - Moulton - - - - - - - - Bennet - - - - - - - - Bullock - - - - - - - - de Blasio - - - - - - - - Gravel - - - - - - - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - - 3 1 2 1 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 - 2 4 4 2 3 2 DK/NA 12 10 13 12 12 12 8 17 AGE IN YRS INCOME............. 18-49 50+ <50k 50-100 100k+ Biden 26% 52% 42% 42% 44% Sanders 28 5 16 14 7 O'Rourke 2 - - 2 2 Harris 5 7 4 10 5 Warren 14 11 8 11 23 Booker 2 - 2 - - Gillibrand - - - - - Klobuchar - 1 1 1 1 Castro - - - - - Gabbard - - - - - Inslee - - - - - Hickenlooper 1 - - 1 - Delaney - - - - - Buttigieg 7 8 8 7 7 Yang - - - - - Williamson - - - - - Messam - - - - - Swalwell - - - - - Ryan - - - - - Moulton - - - - - Bennet - - - - - Bullock - - - - - de Blasio - - - - - Gravel - - - - - SMONE ELSE(VOL) - 2 2 2 - WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 2 2 1 2 DK/NA 12 10 15 7 8

3. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Biden the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Biden 50% 7% 91% 54% 42% 58% 46% 38% Trump 41 90 3 32 49 34 47 57 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 1 2 2 3 1 1 1 DK/NA 6 3 3 9 5 7 5 3 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Biden 51% 51% 53% 48% 33% 51% 42% 79% 57% Trump 34 38 40 49 61 43 52 9 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 4 1 - - 1 1 1 1 3 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 1 2 - 2 1 1 2 3 DK/NA 7 9 5 2 4 4 4 9 5

4. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Bernie Sanders the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Sanders 48% 5% 90% 51% 40% 55% 44% 38% Trump 42 91 3 34 51 34 50 56 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 2 - - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 3 3 3 2 3 1 DK/NA 6 3 4 10 4 8 3 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Sanders 60% 47% 48% 44% 31% 49% 41% 77% 56% Trump 32 40 42 50 64 44 53 9 32 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 1 4 4 2 2 2 2 3 4 DK/NA 6 9 5 4 3 4 4 9 8

5. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Elizabeth Warren the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Warren 47% 3% 92% 47% 37% 56% 44% 36% Trump 43 92 4 37 53 35 50 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 3 2 1 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 2 1 4 3 2 2 1 DK/NA 6 2 3 10 5 7 4 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Warren 53% 44% 47% 46% 29% 49% 40% 73% 53% Trump 36 44 42 50 64 45 54 10 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 2 - 1 - 1 1 1 3 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 4 3 3 1 2 1 2 4 4 DK/NA 5 9 6 2 4 4 4 10 5

6. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Harris 45% 4% 90% 44% 35% 55% 43% 34% Trump 44 93 4 38 55 35 50 58 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 - 2 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 2 - 2 4 3 1 1 2 DK/NA 7 2 4 13 6 8 6 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Harris 48% 44% 48% 45% 28% 47% 39% 75% 50% Trump 37 44 45 50 65 45 54 16 35 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 1 - 1 1 - 2 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 2 1 2 1 2 3 2 DK/NA 12 10 4 3 5 5 5 6 11

7. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Pete Buttigieg the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Buttigieg 44% 4% 86% 44% 34% 53% 43% 33% Trump 43 91 4 37 53 34 48 57 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 1 1 2 1 1 - 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 1 4 4 1 1 2 DK/NA 9 3 9 14 8 11 7 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Buttigieg 47% 42% 45% 45% 29% 46% 38% 68% 48% Trump 37 42 42 50 63 44 53 15 34 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 - - 1 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 2 3 1 2 1 1 4 4 DK/NA 11 13 9 5 5 9 7 12 12

8. If the election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Beto O'Rourke the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No O'Rourke 45% 4% 89% 44% 36% 54% 43% 33% Trump 44 92 4 38 54 34 49 57 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 2 2 1 1 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 1 2 5 3 3 2 2 DK/NA 7 3 5 11 6 9 5 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp O'Rourke 49% 44% 47% 45% 29% 46% 38% 72% 51% Trump 39 42 42 50 64 44 53 12 36 SMONE ELSE(VOL) 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) 3 5 3 1 2 2 2 3 4 DK/NA 8 9 7 4 4 7 6 11 8

12. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Approve 44% 93% 3% 36% 53% 35% 49% 62% Disapprove 51 6 93 56 42 59 48 37 DK/NA 5 1 3 8 5 6 3 1 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Approve 37% 40% 43% 51% 65% 46% 55% 14% 32% Disapprove 57 52 52 47 33 51 43 79 58 DK/NA 5 8 4 2 2 3 2 7 10

13. Do you think that Congress should begin the process to impeach President Trump, which could lead to his removal from office, or don't you think so?

WHITE...... COLLEGE DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No Yes/Begin process 32% 2% 64% 31% 25% 38% 28% 26% No 62 96 28 62 69 55 69 70 DK/NA 6 1 8 7 6 7 3 5 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp Yes/Begin process 34% 31% 33% 32% 19% 34% 27% 52% 36% No 58 65 61 63 79 61 69 41 52 DK/NA 8 5 6 4 3 5 4 7 12

14. Would you say that you are better off or worse off financially today than you were in 2016?