OK, so let’s get this straight: As of today, Nate Silver’s “polls-plus” analysis gives Donald Trump a 25.1 percent chance of winning the election. Marco was not uniting the GOP in early March, and Trump is not doomed now. Most of the British betting houses are giving him about the same chance, with 3 to 1 odds being offered, according to Oddschecker. On PredictIt, Trump’s chances are selling for 28 cents âÂ meaning they give him a 28 percent chance. So there’s a pretty strong consensus that as of today, Trump has a one in four chance of being elected. That’s a better chance than the bookmakers are giving that the Washington Nationals will win the World Series (those odds are about 5 to 1). Now, no sportswriter is going to say that the Nationals have no chance of winning the World Series. It will be difficult, of course, but sports fans understand that they have a realistic chance. Similarly, everyone