Ceiling: 10-6. For the Bills-win-10-games-and-make-the-playoffs-for-the-first-time-since-1999 scenario to come true, several things would have to occur, like Geno Smith faltering for the Jets (yes, that's possible), the Dolphins playing awfully inconsistent football (certainly possible) ... and Buffalo beating New England. And there's the rub. Too often -- as in Week 1 last season -- the Bills have been unable to close the door against the Pats. The other thing that has to happen in this 10-win deal? EJ Manuel develops into a solid pocket passer in his second year as a pro, becoming efficient enough to win games while avoiding the mistakes that lose them -- call it a low-turnover year. It would also be nice if running back C.J. Spiller were to reclaim his career.