Are Boris’ days numbered? (Picture: Getty Images)

With a no-deal Brexit looking more and more likely, support to oust Boris Johnson as Prime Minister is growing.

His plans to pull the UK out of the EU on 31 October, with or without a deal, continue to polarise the Conservative Party and the country at large.

From Jeremy Corbyn’s proposal to install him as caretaker Prime Minister, to Jo Swinson’s claims that Ken Clarke or Harriet Harman should step up, the opposition seem united on only one front: to get Boris out.

But how likely are they to have their way, and what are the odds of Boris serving his full term as PM? We look at the picture being painted by the bookies.




How long is Boris Johnson likely to stay in office as PM?

The current odds are in favour of BoJo keeping office for at least another year.

According to Oddschecker, there is a 7/2 chance Boris will leave office in 2020 OR stay until 2023 or later.

The odds are in Boris’ favour – but only just (Picture: Reuters/Toby Melville)

Both those scenarios have a 22% chance of coming true.

There’s a 4/1 chance of him leaving office in 2019 (around 20%).

So, anything could happen.

What are the odds on who will be the next Prime Minister?

Jeremy Corbyn is the bookies’ favourite to become next Prime Minister (11/4), followed by Lib Dems leader Jo Swinson (16/1).

Could Jeremy Corbyn become PM? (Picture: Reuters/Simon Dawson)

What are the odds of a no-deal Brexit?

The odds are slightly against a no-deal Brexit happening.

Oddschecker quote odds of 11/17 (approx. 61% probability) that a no-deal Brexit won’t happen, meaning the Withdrawal Agreement is ratified, Article 50 is extended beyond 2019 or Article 50 is revoked.

The probability of the UK leaving without a deal is around 43.5% (13/10).

Watch this space…

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