The Brexit Party will win if we take part in European elections, a new poll suggests.

Nigel Farage’s new party has a five-point lead for the first vote it would take part in.

The Brexit Party would take 27 per cent of the vote, ahead of Labour on 22 per cent and the Tories on 15 per cent.

The Brexit Party is in the lead (Picture: PA)

The party launched its election campaign last week, announcing that Jacob Rees-Mogg’s sister Annunziata would be among the candidates.


‘It is entirely plausible that we are facing another Farage-shaped upset at the ballot box,’ YouGov Political Research Manager Chris Curtis wrote in the Guardian. ‘While there are more than five weeks of campaigning to go, I certainly wouldn’t bet against him.’



It will reinforce fears among ministers that the Conservatives are heading for a crushing defeat if the poll on May 23 goes ahead as planned – a result which would almost certainly see fresh calls for Theresa May to quit.

The latest YouGov poll suggests that some of the increase in support for the Brexit Party comes from Ukip voters switching to the new party, with Ukip down from 14 per cent last week to 7 per cent.

Annunziata Rees-Mogg is one of the Brexit Party candidates (Picture: Getty)

Among the pro-Remain parties, the Greens came top with 10 per cent, followed by the Liberal Democrats on 9 per cent, Change UK on 6 per cent and the SNP/Plaid Cymru on 4 per cent.

The Prime Minister has said she is determined to get a Brexit deal through Parliament before May 23, which would mean voting would be cancelled.

However, that not only means winning a ‘meaningful vote’ on a deal – which has already been rejected three times by the Commons – but also then passing a bill formally ratifying the agreement in law.

The Tories could face a crushing defeat (Picture: Getty)

The People’s Vote campaign – which backs a second referendum – said the findings suggested Labour could stop the Brexit Party topping the poll if it backed a public vote on whether to go ahead with Brexit.

The poll showed that in those circumstances, support for Labour would increase slightly to 23 per cent, while support for the Brexit Party dropped to 26 per cent.

However if Labour’s manifesto commits it to going ahead with Brexit – even with a customs union which it is seeking to negotiate in the talks with the Government – its support drops to 15 per cent, level with the Conservatives and a resurgent Liberal Democrats.

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