This Hottest 100 I made a program to scrape Instagram for hottest 100 votes. I then collated the predictions from other programs (100 Warm Tunas and ZestfullyGreen’s Twitter scraper) and scored them based on performance, you can see the results here (I also opened this up to manual entries, one which outscored all the predictors).

I also decided to combine the results of the twitter scraper and my Instagram scraper, which turned out the be a better predictor than any of them. Next year I will have to incorporate a twitter scraper into my predictor.

Below is a summary of some interesting stats about the three automated prediction methods, plus the combination of 100 Toasty Tofu(s) and ZestfullyGreen’s Twitter scraper. I decided to take the results from ZestfullyGreen’s twitter scrape and add them to my results to see if this would be any better. I had a look at my predictions that included duplicate votes, however these performed worse than everything except the twitter prediction, so I have excluded them. This means my hypothesis on excluding duplicate votes (that they make the prediction less accurate) seems confirmed.

The final question that remains is, who truely is the internet’s most accurate Hottest 100 predictor? As you can see below, there isn’t really an answer for this. By my (somewhat arbitary) scoring system, 100 Warm Tunas and myself have a very similar accuracy. I think we will have to wait until next year to really test them.

JG 100 Tunas ZG JG + ZG Points 7289/10000 7288/10000 5679/10000 7297/10000 Number of Songs in Correct Position 7/100 4/100 1/100 3/100 Number of Correct Songs in any Position 83/100 83/100 70/100 83/100 Number of Correct Top 5 Songs in Correct Position 2/5 2/5 1/5 2/5 Number of Correct Top 5 Songs in any Top 5 Position 4/5 4/5 4/5 4/5 Number of Correct Top 10 Songs in Correct Position 2/10 2/10 1/10 2/10 Number of Correct Top 10 Songs in any Top 10 Position 8/10 8/10 5/10 8/10 Number of Correct Top 20 Songs in Correct Position 2/20 3/20 1/20 2/20 Number of best predictions (see below) 45 50 34 45 Number of worst predictions (see below) 16 20 65 15 Number of Correct Top 20 Songs in any Top 20 Position 16/20 16/20 11/20 16/20 Guessed #1? Yes Yes No Yes