CLEVELAND, Ohio -- At various points during the game, the Indians' odds of winning were less than one-tenth of one percent on Aug. 5, 2001.

So how did the Tribe tie a major-league record -- one that hadn't been matched in three-quarters of a century -- and reverse course on a 12-run deficit? A lot of offense, some late-inning pitching and a dose of magic. Read more about memories of the comeback in this oral history of the unforgettable night at Jacobs Field.

Now, let's examine the Indians' win expectancy throughout the night. It was a long, arduous road from close to 0 percent to 100 percent. Somehow, the Indians navigated the path to victory in a historic triumph against the record-setting Seattle Mariners.

The makings of a comeback

How did the Indians manage to turn deficits of 12-0 and 14-2 into a 15-14 win? Let's examine their chances of winning throughout the evening, as determined by FanGraphs.

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Cleveland Indians' Kenny Lofton is carried by his teammates after scoring the winning run in the 11th inning against the Seattle Mariners on Sunday, Aug. 5, 2001, in Cleveland. The Indians tied a major league record Sunday night and became the first team in 76 years to overcome a 12-run deficit to win, defeating the Mariners 15-14. John Rocker, left, got the win in relief. (AP Photo/Mark Duncan)

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Seattle Mariners Al Martin beats the tag by Cleveland Indians shortstop Omar Vizquel for a second inning double Sunday, August 5, 2001, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Ron Schwane)

The start of a long night: 48.5 percent

Al Martin notched Seattle's first hit, a one-out double in the second inning off of Tribe starter Dave Burba. When Martin slid into second, the Indians' odds of winning dipped below 50 percent.

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Seattle Mariners Mike Cameron doubles off Cleveland Indians pitcher Dave Burba to drive in Al Martin in the second inning Sunday, Aug. 5, 2001, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Mark Duncan)

The first strike: 39.2 percent

Mike Cameron followed Martin's double with one of his own. The Mariners struck first and the Indians' odds of winning decreased to 39.2 percent.

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Cleveland Indians manager Charlie Manuel, center, takes starting pitcher Dave Burba (34) out of the game against the Seattle Mariners in the third inning Sunday, August 5, 2001, in Cleveland. Catcher Einar Diaz waits at left. (AP Photo/Ron Schwane)

Quick hook: 9.2 percent

Seattle scored four times in the second inning and the Mariners loaded the bases with no outs in the third. At that juncture, with the Indians' odds of winning down to 9.2 percent, Tribe manager Charlie Manuel yanked Burba for rookie Mike Bacsik.

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A dissapointed Charlie Manuel looks at the stats board as the tribe falls behind the Mariners 12-0 Sunday, August 5, 2001 at Jacob's Field. (Joshua Gunter/ The Plain Dealer)

A mountain to climb: 1.6 percent

By the time the Mariners grabbed a 12-0 lead after the top of the third inning, thanks to an eight-run frame, the Indians' odds of winning stood at a bleak 1.6 percent.

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Cleveland Indians Jim Thome hits a towering two-run home run off Seattle Mariners pitcher Aaron Sele in the fourth inning Sunday, Aug. 5, 2001, in Cleveland. The homer was Thome's 35th of the season. (AP Photo/Mark Duncan)

A heartbeat: 1.1 percent

Even after Jim Thome socked a two-run homer off of Aaron Sele in the fourth, the Indians boasted just a 1.1 percent chance of winning.

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The Tribe's Kenny Lofton shows a look of surprise after home plate umpire Jeff Nelson calls him out Sunday, August 5, 2001 at Jacob's Field. Lofton tried to get home on a wild pitch thrown by Norm Charlton in the eigth inning. (Joshua Gunter/ The Plain Dealer)

Out at the plate: 0.8 percent

A three-run seventh and a four-run eighth pushed the score to 14-9 in Seattle's favor. Kenny Lofton scampered home on a wild pitch in the bottom of the eighth, but he was thrown out at the plate. That dropped the Indians' odds to 1.7 percent. When Jolbert Cabrera struck out to end the inning, the odds tumbled to 0.8 percent.

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Cleveland Indians Omar Vizquel, right, celebrates with third base coach Joel Skinner after Vizquel's bases-loaded triple in the ninth inning tied the game with Seattle Sunday, Aug. 5, 2001, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Mark Duncan)

Omar Vizquel's triple: 63.8 percent

With two outs and the bases loaded and the Indians staring at a 14-11 deficit in the bottom of the ninth, Omar Vizquel delivered a bases-clearing, game-tying triple down the right-field line. For the first time since the start of the second inning, the odds were in the Indians' favor. Prior to Vizquel's feat, the Indians had a 10.8 percent chance of winning.

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Seattle Mariners pitcher Kazuhiro Sasaki walks off the field in the ninth inning after giving up a bases loaded triple to Cleveland Indians' Omar Vizquel to tie the game Sunday, Aug. 5, 2001, in Cleveland. The Indians came back from a 12-run deficit and won it in the 11th inning 15-14. (AP Photo/Mark Duncan)

Heading to extras: 50 percent

Seattle closer Kaz Sasaki forced the game into extra innings as he retired Cabrera to end the ninth. Back to even.

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Cleveland Indians' Kenny Lofton slides into home plate past Seattle Mariner's catcher Dan Wilson to score the winning run in the 11th inning at Jacob's Field on Sunday, Aug. 5, 2001, in Cleveland. Also pictured are Mariners pitcher Jose Paniagua, center bottom, Indian's Eddie Taubensee, right, and home-plate umpire Jeff Nelson. The Indians tied a major league record and became the first team in 76 years to overcome a 12-run deficit to win, defeating the Mariners 15-14 in 11 innings Sunday night. (AP Photo)

Comeback complete: 100 percent

Cabrera's broken-bat RBI single scored Lofton from second and handed the Indians an implausible victory. The Indians' odds went from 0.1 percent to 100 percent.

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A look at the Indians' odds of winning

Here's FanGraphs' win expectancy graph from that game. For the vast majority of the evening, the Mariners' chances of winning were all but certain.