2019 Daytona 500 Odds, Picks and Predictions – Favorites & Bad Bets: The 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season is set to begin this weekend with the most famous race in the sport’s history, the Daytona 500. The 61st installment of “The Great American Race” will go green Sunday afternoon, and a win in the Daytona 500 is on every driver’s bucket list.

Betting on the Daytona 500 can be a little tricky because restrictor-plates are involved, and the pack racing created by the plates keeps almost every driver in the hunt. This type of racing can also create some big wrecks, and winning the 500 can be as much about surviving and being in the right place at the right time as it is about raw speed.

While plate races are a great opportunity to bet on longshots, the truth is that the Daytona 500 is usually won by some of the biggest names in the sport. With that in mind, I’ve highlighted some of my top bets for Sunday’s season opener.

2019 Daytona 500 Odds, Picks and Predictions

Favorites to Bet

Brad Keselowski (7/1)

Although a Daytona 500 win has eluded him, no driver has flexed more muscle at the plate tracks than Keselowski. His six restrictor-plate wins lead all active drivers, and over the last 10 races, his 331 laps led are the most in the series. More impressively, Keselowski has led more than 20 laps six times in that span. You know he is showing up with a car capable of winning on Sunday.

Joey Logano (8/1)

I had Logano as my top-ranked driver for the Daytona 500 coming into Speedweeks, and his win in his qualifying race only solidified his status in my eyes. His five restrictor-plate wins are the second most among active drivers, and his seven top-10s over the last 10 plate races lead the series.

Denny Hamlin (10/1)

He just seems to have a knack for running up front at Daytona. In addition to his Daytona 500 win, Hamlin owns three wins in the Advance Auto Parts Clash and three wins in the Gander RB Duel qualifying races. He also ranks in the top 5 in points scored over the last 10 plate races. Hamlin secured a top-10 starting spot with a solid run in his duel Thursday, and he has proven that he is one of the safest bets to be in the mix Sunday. At a track like Daytona, that’s all you can ask for.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (15/1)

His aggression can get him in trouble in these plate races at times, but it also gets him to the front. Over the last 10 restrictor-plate events, Stenhouse’s two wins and six top-five finishes are both tied for the most in the series. He’s already flexed his muscles during Speedweeks with a second-place run in his qualifying race, and these are quality odds on a driver I have on my short list of favorites this weekend.

2019 Daytona 500 Odds, Picks and Predictions

Bad Bets

Clint Bowyer (9/1)

He is not a bad plate racer by any means, but it is borderline absurd that Bowyer is getting the third-best odds to win this weekend. He does own a couple of wins at Talladega in his career, but while I’d call him an underrated plate racer, he’s not a powerhouse by any means. There’s a long list of drivers who have longer odds that I’d rather have this weekend.

Kyle Busch (11/1)

I know Busch is capable of winning any race at any track, but I have a hard time backing him at 11/1. He’s been boom or bust at the restrictor-plate tracks, and he’s been mired in a slump recently, finishing 25th or worse in six of the last 10 races. I’ll give Busch a puncher’s chance, but he is getting the odds of a favorite.

2019 Daytona 500 Odds

2019 Daytona 500 Odds – Race Winner

Brad Keselowski +800

Joey Logano +700

Clint Bowyer +1200

Kevin Harvick +800

Denny Hamlin +1200

Chase Elliott +1500

Aric Almirola +1500

Ricky Stenhouse Jr +1500

Ryan Blaney +1500

Kyle Busch +1500

Martin Truex Jr +1800

Kurt Busch +2200

Daniel Suarez +2500

Erik Jones +3000

Jimmie Johnson +2500

Alex Bowman +3000

Kyle Larson +4000

Austin Dillon +3500

Paul Menard +2000

Bubba Wallace +6000

Ryan Newman +3000

Daniel Hemric +6000

Ryan Preece +6000

Jamie McMurray +5000

Field +1500

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