We are in the dregs of summer, so we take a critical look at the Winnipeg Jets organizational cupboards and highlight who we feel are the Jets’ “Top 20 Prospects” when looking at a combination of potential and probability of positive impact for the franchise.

We continue our prospect profile turning to a controversial selection, Logan Stanley.

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Logan Stanley

Age: 18 Position: LD Height: 6’7″ Weight: 225 lbs Draft Year: 2016 Round: One

The Winnipeg Jets traded their 22nd and 36th overall selections to move up the draft to number 18, while receiving an extra third round pick (79th) from the Philadelphia Flyers. The third-round was used to pick up our #10 ranked Luke Green, while the first-round selection the Jets paid a heavy price to move up was used on Logan Stanley.

There was a bit of controversy on the selection, as we had wrote two pre-draft articles on why the Jets should not use their 22nd overall on Logan Stanley and why Stanley numbers invoke skepticism and how using numbers would have improved even the Jets’ supposedly great draft and development program.

Read More: Jets hope to beat the odds with Logan Stanley

Looking at pGPS model, we see a decent percentage, 31 percent, of Stanley’s cohorts make the NHL, which separates this model’s results from the PCS one purchased by the Florida Panthers that I still have bits and pieces of the predecessor.

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What is interesting, though, is that Stanley has the exact opposite in terms of his cohorts peeks than Luke Green. While Green had almost all of his NHL cohorts play second pairing or higher, only two of Stanley’s statistical cohorts peaked at those points.

Read More: Why Logan Stanley could be a good player

Now numbers do not tell the whole story and the eye-test is an important part of the scouting process. The graph in the first two articles linked above suggest why Stanley is a risk, but they also show that scouts do detect legitimate non-scoring factors that go into success.

Stanley has the frame to be a physical menace in the NHL and his puck skills are far from non-existent. He can pass and has a huge shot. His largest weaknesses are his decision making with the puck and his skating, especially non-North/South skating. His skating has dramatically improved, though not great yet, which could be what the Jets hope to continue in projections.

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In the Why Logan Stanley could be a good player, we showed that there are those that moved on from low scoring defenders in junior and done well in the NHL. The caveat though was that essentially all of them developed into scorers, putting up at least 0.6 points per game, in their next season.

Just getting to 0.6 points per game will represent more than a doubling of his 0.27 draft-eligible season scoring. If he does reach that point, expect Stanley to rocket in our rankings next season, but for now we ranking him behind the Jets other first-round selections and high-performing prospects.

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