

Iowa Presidential caucus preference: Iowa Likely Democratic

Caucus-Goers Jan 6-10 Jan 21-24 Clinton 44% 45% O'Malley 3% 3% Sanders 47% 48% Other * * Undecided 5% 4% *= Less than 1/2 of 1%

Preference by party registration: Iowa Likely Democratic

Caucus-Goers Democrats (86%) No party (14%) Clinton 47% 36% O'Malley 3% 2% Sanders 47% 55% Other - 1% Undecided 3% 6% Preference by age: Iowa Likely Democratic

Caucus-Goers 18 to 49 (44%) 50 and older (56%) Clinton 38% 51% O'Malley 3% 3% Sanders 55% 42% Other 1% * Undecided 3% 4% Preference by sex:



Iowa Likely Democratic

Caucus-Goers Male (45%) Female (55%) Clinton 38% 51% O'Malley 2% 3% Sanders 56% 41% Other 1% - Undecided 3% 5%

Preference by likely to vote: Iowa Likely Democratic

Caucus-Goers Definite - 10 (83%) Probably - 7-9 (17%) Clinton 48% 33% O'Malley 3% 3% Sanders 46% 55% Other * 1% Undecided 3% 8% Preference by type of contact: Iowa Likely Democratic

Caucus-Goers Landline (62%) Cell phone/other (38%) Clinton 49% 38% O'Malley 3% 3% Sanders 45% 53% Other - 1% Undecided 3% 5%

About this Survey - Survey Sponsor: American Research Group, Inc. The American Research Group has been conducting surveys of voters since 1985. Sample Size: 400 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of likely Democratic caucus-goers living in Iowa (345 Democrats and 55 no party voters (independents)). Sample Dates: January 21-24, 2016 Margin of Error: ± 5 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split. Question Wording: If the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus were being held today between (names rotated) Hillary Clinton, Martin O'Malley, and Bernie Sanders, for whom would you vote? Using a scale of 1 to 10, with 1 meaning that you will definitely not vote in the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus and 10 meaning that you will definitely vote in the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus, what number would you give as your chance of voting in the 2016 Democratic presidential caucus?