Will North Carolina avenge last season's heartbreak in Monday's national championship game?

ESPN analyst and former Duke All-American Jay Williams doesn't think so.

He's picking the top-seeded Zags to upend the Tar Heels for their first title in program history.

"I'm going to go with the Zags,” Williams said on ESPN. "Not only does Gonzaga have the size height and size to negate North Carolina from rebounding off the offensive glass, but I think they’re going to involve North Carolina in a plethora of ball screens. If there’s one thing North Carolina struggles with defensively, it’s how those bigs hedge off those ball screens.

"If Nigel Williams-Goss can get in those gaps and force the defense to collapse, the Zags have the shooters on the outside."

Former Indiana coach Tom Crean and ESPN analyst Seth Greenberg picked North Carolina. The Tar Heels are a 2.5-point favorite, according to most recent odds.