***** People something Epic is happening in North Carolina ***** Last edited Mon Oct 22, 2012, 01:29 PM - Edit history (1)



You see pollsters have to put a person in a box. Are you registered? Are you likely to vote?



Well in North Carolina there is only one category for those that 'get your butt off the sofa' and those that 'stay glued to the TV'.



The reason is that with "One Stop Registering and Voting" there is no such thing as an unregistered voter during early voting.



Look at this picture. Some may be registered. Some may not be. Soon they will have all voted:







Thanks to courseofhistory for the link



http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251162085



You want to see a real poll?



matttx at daily kos (with some other friends) have real numbers of actual voters. Of course we don't know how people actually voted but you can get a pretty good idea and you can check out his methodology on his first post:



http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/21/1147522/-NC-Early-Voting-Day-3-Epic-Turnout-42-709-Unlikely-Voters-Have-Already-Voted









It is showing Obama 2012 beating Obama 2008 by 50,000 votes and Obama 2012 beating Romney by 40,000 votes



Here is what Nate show an astounding 85% chance that Romney will take North Carolina even though the last poll shows Obama up by 3.



http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/author/nate-silver/



but then Nate is still giving high marks to Gravis polling that is showing Romney up by 9 points.



Real Clear Politics has Romney ahead by 5 points.



Wouldn't be something if it was all those trashy polls that motivated the fine citizens of North Carolina to get out and re elect President Obama.



Oh by the way in a thread at FR Kaplan reveals that he has gone out and hired a statistician.



In so doing he confirms one of our primary assertions, that he doesn't have the expertise.



Now if Romney can't win Ohio, he has a very slender chance of winning the electoral college but if he can't win in North Carolina and Ohio there is no scenario that gets him in.





Now those of you that are betting that Gravis numbers in North Carolina are 'solid gold', you aren't drawing to an inside straight you are betting that aliens will land before January 1, 2013 and that bigfoot steps out speaking fluent Navajo.



And for you I have this link:



http://www.amazon.com/Speak-Navajo-Alan-Wilson/dp/1579701981



Tell them you go to one of the several diploma mills that Douglas Kaplan says he went to and they will ship it FREE.



Call now operators are waiting.









Edited to add



Sunday numbers here, more good news



http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/22/1147893/-NC-Early-Voting-Day-4-African-American-Turnout-Doubles-White-GOP-Turnout-Sunday



will update later No place shows the underside of how fragile the whole polling world is than North Carolina.You see pollsters have to put a person in a box. Are you registered? Are you likely to vote?Well in North Carolina there is only one category for those that 'get your butt off the sofa' and those that 'stay glued to the TV'.The reason is that with "One Stop Registering and Voting" there is no such thing as an unregistered voter during early voting.Look at this picture. Some may be registered. Some may not be. Soon they will have all voted:Thanks to courseofhistory for the linkYou want to see a real poll?matttx at daily kos (with some other friends) have real numbers of actual voters. Of course we don't know how people actually voted but you can get a pretty good idea and you can check out his methodology on his first post:It is showing Obama 2012 beating Obama 2008 by 50,000 votes and Obama 2012 beating Romney by 40,000 votesHere is what Nate show an astounding 85% chance that Romney will take North Carolina even though the last poll shows Obama up by 3.but then Nate is still giving high marks to Gravis polling that is showing Romney up by 9 points.Real Clear Politics has Romney ahead by 5 points.Wouldn't be something if it was all those trashy polls that motivated the fine citizens of North Carolina to get out and re elect President Obama.Oh by the way in a thread at FR Kaplan reveals that he has gone out and hired a statistician.In so doing he confirms one of our primary assertions, that he doesn't have the expertise.Now if Romney can't win Ohio, he has a very slender chance of winning the electoral college but if he can't win in North Carolina and Ohio there is no scenario that gets him in.Now those of you that are betting that Gravis numbers in North Carolina are 'solid gold', you aren't drawing to an inside straight you are betting that aliens will land before January 1, 2013 and that bigfoot steps out speaking fluent Navajo.And for you I have this link:Tell them you go to one of the several diploma mills that Douglas Kaplan says he went to and they will ship it FREE.Call now operators are waiting.Edited to addSunday numbers here, more good newswill update later 62 Tweet