



Award Abstract #1101743

ICES: Large: Meme Diffusion Through Mass Social Media

NSF Org: CCF

Division of Computing and Communication Foundations

Initial Amendment Date: June 27, 2011 Latest Amendment Date: January 11, 2012 Award Number: 1101743 Award Instrument: Standard Grant Program Manager: Tracy Kimbrel

CCF Division of Computing and Communication Foundations

CSE Direct For Computer & Info Scie & Enginr Start Date: July 1, 2011 End Date: June 30, 2016 (Estimated) Awarded Amount to Date: $919,917.00 Investigator(s): Filippo Menczer fil@indiana.edu (Principal Investigator)

Alessandro Vespignani (Co-Principal Investigator)

Alessandro Flammini (Co-Principal Investigator)

Johan Bollen (Co-Principal Investigator)

Sponsor: Indiana University

509 E 3RD ST

Bloomington, IN 47401-3654 (317)278-3473 NSF Program(s): Algorithmic Foundations,

Inter Com Sci Econ Soc S (ICE) Program Reference Code(s): 7796, 7924, 7932, 9251 Program Element Code(s): 7796, 8052

ABSTRACT



The project is aimed at modeling the diffusion of information online and empirically discriminating among models of mechanisms driving the spread of memes. We explore why some ideas cause viral explosions while others are quickly forgotten. Our analysis goes beyond the traditional approach of applied epidemic diffusion processes and focuses on cascade size distributions and popularity time series in order to model the agents and processes driving the online diffusion of information, including: users and their topical interests, competition for user attention, and the chronological age of information. Completion of our project will result in a better understanding of information flow and could assist in elucidating the complex mechanisms that underlie a variety of human dynamics and organizations. The analysis will involve studying meme diffusion in large-scale social media by collecting and analyzing massive streams of public micro-blogging data.



The project stands to benefit both the research community and the public significantly. Our data will be made available via APIs and include information on meme propagation networks, statistical data, and relevant user and content features. The open-source platform we develop will be made publicly available and will be extensible to ever more research areas as a greater preponderance of human activities are replicated online. Additionally, we will create a web service open to the public for monitoring trends, bursts, and suspicious memes. This service could mitigate the diffusion of false and misleading ideas, detect hate speech and subversive propaganda, and assist in the preservation of open debate.

PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH



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(Showing: 1 - 10 of 30) (Showing: 1 - 30 of 30) Show All

A. Vespignani. "Modeling Dynamical Processes in Complex Socio-technical Systems," Nature Physics, v.8, 2012, p. 32. doiID



L. Weng, A. Flammini, A. Vespignani, and F. Menczer. "Competition among memes in a world with limited attention," Nature Scientific Reports, v.2, 2012, p. 335. doiID



M Conover, E Ferrara, F Menczer, and A Flammini. "The Digital Evolution of Occupy Wall Street," PLoS ONE, v.8, 2013, p. e64679. doiID



Delia Mocanu, Andrea Baronchelli, Nicola Perra, Bruno Gonçalves, Qian Zhang, Alessandro Vespignani. "The Twitter of Babel: Mapping World Languages through Microblogging Platforms," PLoS ONE, v.8, 2013, p. e61981. doiID



Zhang, Qian; Perra, Nicola; Goncalves, Bruno; Ciulla, Fabio; Vespignani, Alessandro. "Characterizing scientific production and consumption in Physics," SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, v.3, 2013, p. 1640. doiID



Conover, Michael D.; Davis, Clayton; Ferrara, Emilio; McKelvey, Karissa; Menczer, Filippo; Flammini, Alessandro. "The Geospatial Characteristics of a Social Movement Communication Network," PLOS ONE, v.8, 2013, p. e55957. doiID



M. Conover, B. Goncalves, A. Flammini, and F. Menczer.. "Partisan asymmetries in online political activity," EPJ Data Science, v.1, 2012, p. 6. doiID



Joseph DiGrazia, Karissa McKelvey, Johan Bollen, and Fabio Rojas. "More Tweets, More Votes: Social Media as a Quantitative Indicator of Political Behavior," PLOS ONE, v.8, 2013, p. e79449.



L. Weng, F. Menczer, and Y.-Y. Ahn. "Virality Prediction and Community Structure in Social Networks," Nature Sci. Rep., v.3, 2013, p. 2522. doiID



Márton Karsai, Nicola Perra, Alessandro Vespignani. "Time varying networks and the weakness of strong ties," Nature Scientific Reports, v.4, 2014, p. 4001. doiID



Physical Review Letters, v.112, 2014, p. 118702. doiID



Azadeh Nematzadeh, Emilio Ferrara, Alessandro Flammini, Yong-Yeol Ahn. "Optimal network modularity for information diffusion," Phys. Rev. Lett., v.113, 2015, p. 088701. doiID



Bratislav Mi?i?, Richard F. Betzel, Azadeh Nematzadeh, Joaquin Goñi, Alessandra Griffa, Patric Hagmann, Alessandro Flammini, Yong-Yeol Ahn, Olaf Sporns. "Cooperative and Competitive Spreading Dynamics on the Human Connectome," Neuron, v.86, 2015, p. 1518. doiID



Dong X, Bollen J.. "Computational Models of Consumer Confidence from Large-Scale Online Attention Data: Crowd-Sourcing Econometrics," PLoS ONE, v.10, 2015, p. e0120039. doiID



Giovanni Luca Ciampaglia, Alessandro Flammini, Filippo Menczer. "The production of information in the attention economy," Nature Sci. Rep., v.5, 2015, p. 9452. doiID



Giovanni Luca Ciampaglia, Prashant Shiralkar, Luis M. Rocha, Johan Bollen, Filippo Menczer, Alessandro Flammini. "Computational fact checking from knowledge networks," PLoS ONE, v.10, 2015, p. e0128193. doiID



Grabowicz, P and Aiello, L M and Menczer, F. "Fast filtering and animation of large dynamic networks," EPJ Data Science, v.3, 2014, p. 27. doiID



JafariAsbagh, Mohsen and Ferrara, Emilio and Varol, Onur and Menczer, Filippo and Flammini, Alessandro. "Clustering memes in social media streams," Social Network Analysis and Mining, v.4, 2014, p. 237. doiID



Lilian Weng, Filippo Menczer. "Topicality and Social Impact: Diverse Messages but Focused Messengers," PLoS ONE, v.10, 2015, p. e0118410. doiID



C. A. Davis, O. Varol, E. Ferrara, A. Flammini and F. Menczer. "BotOrNot: A system to evaluate social bots," WWW '16 Companion: Proceedings of the 25th International Conference Companion on World Wide Web, 2016, p. 273. doiID



C. Shao, G. L. Ciampaglia, A. Flammini and F. Menczer. "Hoaxy: A Platform for Tracking Online Misinformation," Proc. Third Workshop on Social News On the Web (SNOW). In WWW '16 Companion Proceedings of the 25th International Conference Companion on World Wide Web, 2016, p. 745. doiID



Dimitar Nikolov, Diego F.M. Oliveira, Alessandro Flammini, Filippo Menczer. "Measuring online social bubbles," PeerJ Computer Science, v.1, 2015, p. e38. doiID



Emilio Ferrara, Onur Varol, Alessandro Flammini, and Filippo Menczer. "Detection of Promoted Social Media Campaigns," Proc. Tenth International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media (ICSWM), 2016, p. 13034. doiID



Ferrara E, Yang Z. "Measuring Emotional Contagion in Social Media," PLoS ONE, v.10, 2015, p. e0142390. doiID



Ferrara E, Yang Z.. "Quantifying the effect of sentiment on information diffusion in social media," PeerJ Computer Science, v.1, 2015, p. e26. doiID



Ferrara, E.; Varol, O.; Davis, C.; Menczer, F.; and Flammini, A.. "The Rise of Social Bots," Comm. ACM, v.57, 2016, p. 96. doiID



Gao, X., Emilio Ferrara, Judy Qiu. "Parallel Clustering of High-Dimensional Social Media Data Streams," Proceedings of the 15th IEEE/ACM International Symposium on Cluster, Cloud and Grid Computing (CCGrid), 2015, p. 323. doiID



Jaehyuk Park, Giovanni Luca Ciampaglia, and Emilio Ferrara. "Style in the Age of Instagram: Predicting Success within the Fashion Industry using Social Media," Proceedings of the 19th ACM Conference on Computer-Supported Cooperative Work & Social Computing (CSCW '16), 2016, p. 64. doiID



Lei Le, Emilio Ferrara, and Alessandro Flammini. "On Predictability of Rare Events Leveraging Social Media: A Machine Learning Perspective," Proceedings of the 2015 ACM on Conference on Online Social Networks (COSN '15), 2015, p. 3. doiID



Subrahmanian, V.; Azaria, A.; Durst, S.; Kagan, V.; Galstyan, A.; Lerman, K.; Zhu, L.; Ferrara, E.; Flammini, A.; Menczer, F.; and others. "The DARPA Twitter Bot Challenge," IEEE Computer, v.49, 2016, p. 38. doiID S. Liu, N. Perra, M. Karsai, A. Vespignani. "Controlling contagion processes in activity-driven networks,", v.112, 2014, p. 118702.Azadeh Nematzadeh, Emilio Ferrara, Alessandro Flammini, Yong-Yeol Ahn. "Optimal network modularity for information diffusion,", v.113, 2015, p. 088701.Bratislav Mi?i?, Richard F. Betzel, Azadeh Nematzadeh, Joaquin Goñi, Alessandra Griffa, Patric Hagmann, Alessandro Flammini, Yong-Yeol Ahn, Olaf Sporns. "Cooperative and Competitive Spreading Dynamics on the Human Connectome,", v.86, 2015, p. 1518.Dong X, Bollen J.. "Computational Models of Consumer Confidence from Large-Scale Online Attention Data: Crowd-Sourcing Econometrics,", v.10, 2015, p. e0120039.Giovanni Luca Ciampaglia, Alessandro Flammini, Filippo Menczer. "The production of information in the attention economy,", v.5, 2015, p. 9452.Giovanni Luca Ciampaglia, Prashant Shiralkar, Luis M. Rocha, Johan Bollen, Filippo Menczer, Alessandro Flammini. "Computational fact checking from knowledge networks,", v.10, 2015, p. e0128193.Grabowicz, P and Aiello, L M and Menczer, F. "Fast filtering and animation of large dynamic networks,", v.3, 2014, p. 27.JafariAsbagh, Mohsen and Ferrara, Emilio and Varol, Onur and Menczer, Filippo and Flammini, Alessandro. "Clustering memes in social media streams,", v.4, 2014, p. 237.Lilian Weng, Filippo Menczer. "Topicality and Social Impact: Diverse Messages but Focused Messengers,", v.10, 2015, p. e0118410.C. A. Davis, O. Varol, E. Ferrara, A. Flammini and F. Menczer. "BotOrNot: A system to evaluate social bots,", 2016, p. 273.C. Shao, G. L. Ciampaglia, A. Flammini and F. Menczer. "Hoaxy: A Platform for Tracking Online Misinformation,", 2016, p. 745.Dimitar Nikolov, Diego F.M. Oliveira, Alessandro Flammini, Filippo Menczer. "Measuring online social bubbles,", v.1, 2015, p. e38.Emilio Ferrara, Onur Varol, Alessandro Flammini, and Filippo Menczer. "Detection of Promoted Social Media Campaigns,", 2016, p. 13034.Ferrara E, Yang Z. "Measuring Emotional Contagion in Social Media,", v.10, 2015, p. e0142390.Ferrara E, Yang Z.. "Quantifying the effect of sentiment on information diffusion in social media,", v.1, 2015, p. e26.Ferrara, E.; Varol, O.; Davis, C.; Menczer, F.; and Flammini, A.. "The Rise of Social Bots,", v.57, 2016, p. 96.Gao, X., Emilio Ferrara, Judy Qiu. "Parallel Clustering of High-Dimensional Social Media Data Streams,", 2015, p. 323.Jaehyuk Park, Giovanni Luca Ciampaglia, and Emilio Ferrara. "Style in the Age of Instagram: Predicting Success within the Fashion Industry using Social Media,", 2016, p. 64.Lei Le, Emilio Ferrara, and Alessandro Flammini. "On Predictability of Rare Events Leveraging Social Media: A Machine Learning Perspective,", 2015, p. 3.Subrahmanian, V.; Azaria, A.; Durst, S.; Kagan, V.; Galstyan, A.; Lerman, K.; Zhu, L.; Ferrara, E.; Flammini, A.; Menczer, F.; and others. "The DARPA Twitter Bot Challenge,", v.49, 2016, p. 38.

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BOOKS/ONE TIME PROCEEDING



B. Goncalves, M. Conover, and F. Menczer. "Abuse of social media and political manipulation", 07/01/2011-06/30/2012, , Markus Jakobsson"The Death of The Internet", 2012, "Wiley".



Conover, B Goncalves, J Ratkiewicz, A Flammini, and F Menczer. "Predicting the Political Alignment of Twitter Users", 07/01/2011-06/30/2012, "Proceedings of 3rd IEEE Conference on Social Computing (SocialCom)", 2011, "IEEE".



M. D. Conover, J. Ratkiewicz, B. Gonçalves, M. Francisco, A. Flammini, F. Menczer. "Social Media and the Networked Public Sphere", 07/01/2011-06/30/2012, "Workshop on Information in Networks", 2011, "http://www.winworkshop.net/".



Michael Conover, Jacob Ratkiewicz, Matthew Francisco, Bruno Goncalves, Alessandro Flammini, and Filippo Menczer. "Political Polarization on Twitter", 07/01/2011-06/30/2012, "Proc. 5th International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media (ICWSM)", 2011, "AAAI".



Jacob Ratkiewicz, Michael Conover, Mark Meiss, Bruno Goncalves, Alessandro Flammini, and Filippo Menczer. "Detecting and Tracking Political Abuse in Social Media", 07/01/2011-06/30/2012, "Proc. 5th International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media (ICWSM)", 2011, "AAAI".



Karissa McKelvey, Alex Rudnick, Michael Conover, and Filippo Menczer. "Visualizing Communication on Social Media: Making Big Data Accessible", 07/01/2011-06/30/2012, "Proc. CSCW Workshop on Collective Intelligence as Community Discourse and Action", 2012, "http://events.kmi.open.ac.uk/cscw-ci2012/programme-papers-demos/".



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