2019 Game Projections

:: 2020 :: 2019

Average projection error (APE) is the average delta between projected margin and actual margin for all game projections, and median projection error (MPE) is the median delta. The percentage of games won by projected winners (SU) is also provided, along with the percentage of games won by projected winners within a given expected win likelihood range. (50-55 indicates games in which the projected win likelihood was between 50 and 55 percent, 95+ indicates games in which the projected win likelihood was greater than 95 percent, etc). The percentage of games won against the spread (ATS) is also provided, along with ATS success rates according to the delta between FEI projections and betting lines (3- indicates games in which the FEI projection and betting line differed by fewer than three points, 10+ indicates games in which the FEI projection and betting line differed by more than ten points, etc), and the ATS success rate in games in which FEI projections pick the underdog to win (U).

APE MPE SU 50-55 55-65 65-75 75-85 85-95 95+ ATS 3- 3+ 7- 7+ 10- 10+ U 13.0 10.8

.758 .606 .649 .733 .804 .913 .974 .516 .489 .520 .492 .557 .498 .586 .628

Game Projections identify each team's per possession scoring advantage (TA), per possession offensive advantage (OA), and per possession defensive advantage (DA) in the game, calculated from current FEI ratings. The projected win likelihood (PWL) and projected margin of victory (PM) are also provided. Remaining columns detail the results of the projections including the actual final score of the game (Final), the final scoring margin (FM), the projection error represented as the absolute value of the delta between projected margin and actual margin (PE), as well as whether the projection correctly identified the game winner (SU) and winner against the betting line (ATS).

Championship Game Projection

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Clemson LSU .02 .83 -.63 .533 1.6 L 25-42 -17 18.6 Loss Loss

Bowl Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Air Force Washington State .35 1.61 -.85 .685 9.7 W 31-21 10 .3 Win Win Alabama Michigan .63 1.44 .11 .823 18.8 W 35-16 19 .2 Win Win Appalachian State UAB .69 .57 .83 .820 18.5 W 31-17 14 4.5 Win Loss Auburn Minnesota .08 .12 -.09 .525 1.2 L 24-31 -7 8.2 Loss Win Boise State Washington .09 .05 .05 .538 1.8 L 7-38 -31 32.8 Loss Loss Buffalo Charlotte .33 .93 -.11 .687 9.8 W 31-9 22 12.2 Win Win BYU Hawaii .04 .92 -.76 .533 1.6 L 34-38 -4 5.6 Loss Win California Illinois .06 -.30 .49 .544 2.1 W 35-20 15 12.9 Win Loss Central Florida Marshall .75 1.02 .63 .853 21.0 W 48-25 23 2.0 Win Win Central Michigan San Diego State .09 -.11 .47 .572 3.5 L 11-48 -37 40.5 Loss Loss Cincinnati Boston College .39 .70 -.07 .680 9.4 W 38-6 32 22.6 Win Win Florida Virginia .55 .82 .28 .764 14.6 W 36-28 8 6.6 Win Win Florida Atlantic SMU .09 .53 -.39 .545 2.2 W 52-28 24 21.8 Win Win Florida International Arkansas State .00 .32 -.32 .501 .0 L 26-34 -8 8.0 Loss Win Florida State Arizona State .10 .16 .17 .572 3.6 L 14-20 -6 9.6 Loss Loss Georgia Baylor .19 -.42 .63 .579 3.9 W 26-14 12 8.1 Win Win Georgia Southern Liberty .08 .41 -.30 .537 1.8 L 16-23 -7 8.8 Loss Win Indiana Tennessee .07 .44 -.29 .540 1.9 L 22-23 -1 2.9 Loss Win Kentucky Virginia Tech .04 -.17 .28 .525 1.2 W 37-30 7 5.8 Win Win Louisiana Lafayette Miami (OH) .75 .87 .80 .854 21.1 W 27-17 10 11.1 Win Loss LSU Oklahoma .48 2.09 -1.22 .727 12.2 W 63-28 35 22.8 Win Loss Miami Louisiana Tech .11 -.02 .45 .587 4.3 L 0-14 -14 18.3 Loss Win Michigan State Wake Forest .09 -.20 .40 .551 2.5 W 27-21 6 3.5 Win Loss Mississippi State Louisville .14 1.01 -.79 .567 3.3 L 28-38 -10 13.3 Loss Win Navy Kansas State .17 .54 -.16 .595 4.7 W 20-17 3 1.7 Win Win North Carolina Temple .19 .06 .38 .609 5.5 W 55-13 42 36.5 Win Loss Notre Dame Iowa State .25 .43 .05 .629 6.6 W 33-9 24 17.4 Win Win Ohio Nevada .63 1.15 .04 .790 16.3 W 30-21 9 7.3 Win Loss Ohio State Clemson .22 .43 -.10 .601 5.1 L 23-29 -6 11.1 Loss Loss Penn State Memphis .09 .56 -.43 .541 2.0 W 53-39 14 12.0 Win Loss Pittsburgh Eastern Michigan .14 -.02 .35 .582 4.1 W 34-30 4 .1 Win Win Texas A&M Oklahoma State .09 .43 -.13 .566 3.2 W 24-21 3 .2 Win Win Tulane Southern Mississippi .22 .63 -.12 .625 6.4 W 30-13 17 10.6 Win Loss USC Iowa -.03 .00 .09 .504 .2 L 24-49 -25 25.2 Loss Win Utah Texas .46 .94 .03 .732 12.5 L 10-38 -28 40.5 Loss Loss Utah State Kent State .08 .67 -.50 .546 2.3 L 41-51 -10 12.3 Loss Win Western Kentucky Western Michigan .18 .36 -.12 .581 4.0 W 23-20 3 1.0 Win Push Wisconsin Oregon .32 .57 .04 .661 8.3 L 27-28 -1 9.3 Loss Loss Wyoming Georgia State .27 .71 -.32 .622 6.2 W 38-17 21 14.8 Win Loss

Week 15/16 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Appalachian State Louisiana Lafayette -.04 .23 -.29 .553 2.6 W 45-38 7 4.4 Win Loss Boise State Hawaii .47 1.32 -.48 .775 15.4 W 31-10 21 5.6 Win Win Central Michigan Miami (OH) .28 .38 .41 .674 9.1 L 21-26 -5 14.1 Loss Loss Clemson Virginia 1.24 1.31 1.34 .984 34.2 W 62-17 45 10.8 Win Win Florida Atlantic UAB .58 .36 .71 .817 18.3 W 49-6 43 24.7 Win Win LSU Georgia .32 .91 -.10 .684 9.7 W 37-10 27 17.3 Win Win Memphis Cincinnati .32 .83 -.16 .726 12.2 W 29-24 5 7.2 Win Loss Navy Army .57 1.16 .02 .776 15.4 W 31-7 24 8.6 Win Win Ohio State Wisconsin .58 1.10 .00 .769 15.0 W 34-21 13 2.0 Win Win Oklahoma Baylor .19 1.12 -.71 .604 5.2 W 30-23 7 1.8 Win Win Utah Oregon .39 .40 .30 .688 9.9 L 15-37 -22 31.9 Loss Loss

Week 14 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Air Force Wyoming .46 .90 -.01 .778 15.5 W 20-6 14 1.5 Win Win Alabama Auburn .67 1.03 .55 .783 15.9 L 45-48 -3 18.9 Loss Loss Appalachian State Troy .63 1.28 -.03 .743 13.2 W 48-13 35 21.8 Win Win Arizona State Arizona .32 .59 .02 .721 11.9 W 24-14 10 1.9 Win Win Arkansas State South Alabama .46 .34 .54 .662 8.4 L 30-34 -4 12.4 Loss Win Ball State Miami (OH) .02 -.23 .43 .603 5.2 W 41-27 14 8.8 Win Win Baylor Kansas 1.06 1.25 .89 .899 24.9 W 61-6 55 30.1 Win Win Boise State Colorado State .93 .93 .76 .841 20.1 W 31-24 7 13.1 Win Loss Buffalo Bowling Green 1.33 1.07 1.62 .990 39.0 W 49-7 42 3.0 Win Win BYU San Diego State .21 -.02 .49 .550 2.5 L 3-13 -10 12.5 Loss Win Central Florida South Florida .97 .84 1.01 .939 28.8 W 34-7 27 1.8 Win Win Central Michigan Toledo .32 .77 -.05 .732 12.6 W 49-7 42 29.4 Win Loss Charlotte Old Dominion .55 .86 .17 .700 10.6 W 38-22 16 5.4 Win Win Clemson South Carolina 1.36 .73 2.15 .981 33.8 W 38-3 35 1.2 Win Win Coastal Carolina Texas State .29 .38 .19 .708 11.1 W 24-21 3 8.1 Win Loss Eastern Michigan Kent State .28 1.41 -.81 .710 11.2 L 26-34 -8 19.2 Loss Loss Florida Florida State .38 .28 .43 .743 13.2 W 40-17 23 9.8 Win Loss Florida Atlantic Southern Mississippi .48 .58 .33 .784 16.0 W 34-17 17 1.0 Win Win Fresno State San Jose State .21 1.39 -.92 .551 2.5 L 16-17 -1 3.5 Loss Win Georgia Georgia Tech 1.32 1.05 1.37 .951 30.1 W 52-7 45 14.9 Win Win Georgia State Georgia Southern .15 .88 -.50 .521 1.0 L 10-38 -28 29.0 Loss Loss Hawaii Army .00 .75 -.67 .582 4.0 W 52-31 21 17.0 Win Win Illinois Northwestern .36 -.76 1.44 .736 12.8 L 10-29 -19 31.8 Loss Loss Indiana Purdue .27 .88 -.44 .560 2.9 W 44-41 3 .1 Win Win Iowa Nebraska .67 .08 1.02 .734 12.7 W 27-24 3 9.7 Win Loss Iowa State Kansas State .28 .63 -.08 .579 3.9 L 17-27 -10 13.9 Loss Win Kentucky Louisville -.07 .33 -.53 .526 1.2 W 45-13 32 30.8 Win Loss Liberty New Mexico State .61 1.13 .02 .830 19.3 W 49-28 21 1.7 Win Win Louisiana Lafayette Louisiana Monroe .75 1.85 -.38 .881 23.3 W 31-30 1 22.3 Win Loss Louisiana Tech UTSA .97 1.22 .59 .935 28.4 W 41-27 14 14.4 Win Loss LSU Texas A&M .71 1.54 -.17 .866 22.0 W 50-7 43 21.0 Win Win Marshall Florida International .24 .13 .10 .661 8.3 W 30-27 3 5.3 Win Win Memphis Cincinnati .32 .87 -.21 .725 12.1 W 34-24 10 2.1 Win Win Miami Duke .43 -.06 1.05 .669 8.8 L 17-27 -10 18.8 Loss Win Michigan State Maryland .86 .66 1.12 .918 26.7 W 19-16 3 23.7 Win Loss Mississippi State Mississippi .07 .49 -.38 .604 5.2 W 21-20 1 4.2 Win Win Missouri Arkansas .73 .69 .74 .781 15.7 W 24-14 10 5.7 Win Loss Navy Houston .67 1.10 .33 .767 14.8 W 56-41 15 .2 Win Win Nevada UNLV -.06 -.37 .24 .540 1.9 L 30-33 -3 4.9 Loss Win North Carolina North Carolina State .69 1.00 .40 .769 14.9 W 41-10 31 16.1 Win Win Notre Dame Stanford 1.11 1.16 1.07 .912 26.1 W 45-24 21 5.1 Win Win Ohio Akron 1.25 1.47 .92 .940 29.0 W 52-3 49 20.0 Win Win Ohio State Michigan .79 .76 .81 .805 17.4 W 56-27 29 11.6 Win Win Oklahoma Oklahoma State .48 1.80 -.77 .686 9.7 W 34-16 18 8.3 Win Loss Oregon Oregon State .80 1.97 -.20 .910 25.9 W 24-10 14 11.9 Win Loss Penn State Rutgers 1.83 1.65 1.88 .990 51.3 W 27-6 21 30.3 Win Loss Pittsburgh Boston College .10 .10 .01 .610 5.5 L 19-26 -7 12.5 Loss Win Rice UTEP .53 .69 .33 .696 10.4 W 30-16 14 3.6 Win Win SMU Tulane .23 1.24 -.80 .682 9.5 W 37-20 17 7.5 Win Win TCU West Virginia .68 .49 .75 .851 20.8 L 17-20 -3 23.8 Loss Loss Temple Connecticut 1.20 .83 1.43 .986 34.5 W 49-17 32 2.5 Win Win Tennessee Vanderbilt .74 .67 .83 .881 23.3 W 28-10 18 5.3 Win Win Texas Texas Tech .32 .97 -.28 .730 12.4 W 49-24 25 12.6 Win Win Tulsa East Carolina .58 1.04 .24 .736 12.8 W 49-24 25 12.2 Win Win UAB North Texas .33 .38 .37 .616 5.9 W 26-21 5 0.9 Win Win UCLA California -.03 -.03 -.07 .550 2.5 L 18-28 -10 12.5 Loss Loss Utah Colorado 1.28 1.82 .81 .990 38.1 W 45-15 30 8.1 Win Win Utah State New Mexico .58 .76 .41 .723 12.0 W 38-25 13 1.0 Win Loss Virginia Virginia Tech -.10 -.08 -.17 .510 .5 W 39-30 9 8.5 Win Win Wake Forest Syracuse .56 .59 .49 .709 11.1 L 30-39 -9 20.1 Loss Loss Washington Washington State .11 1.00 -.62 .645 7.4 W 31-13 18 10.6 Win Loss Western Kentucky Middle Tennessee .52 .45 .55 .801 17.1 W 31-26 5 12.1 Win Loss Western Michigan Northern Illinois .47 1.29 -.11 .699 10.5 L 14-17 -3 13.5 Loss Loss Wisconsin Minnesota .22 .97 -.56 .546 2.2 W 38-17 21 18.8 Win Loss

Week 13 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Air Force New Mexico 1.36 1.85 .82 .970 32.3 W 44-22 22 10.3 Win Loss Appalachian State Texas State 1.00 .53 1.49 .952 30.2 W 35-13 22 8.2 Win Loss Arkansas State Georgia Southern .19 .24 .10 .659 8.2 W 38-33 5 3.2 Win Win Ball State Kent State .35 1.02 -.21 .628 6.5 L 38-41 -3 9.5 Loss Loss Baylor Texas .11 .48 -.24 .629 6.5 W 24-10 14 7.5 Win Win Boise State Utah State .63 .41 .82 .739 13.0 W 56-21 35 22.0 Win Win Buffalo Toledo .45 .20 .73 .780 15.7 W 49-30 19 3.3 Win Win BYU Massachusetts 1.98 2.87 1.06 .990 48.9 W 56-24 32 16.9 Win Loss California Stanford .19 .07 .31 .531 1.5 W 24-20 4 2.5 Win Win Central Florida Tulane .66 1.43 -.16 .751 13.7 W 34-31 3 10.7 Win Loss Cincinnati Temple .43 -.06 1.00 .777 15.4 W 15-13 2 13.4 Win Loss East Carolina Connecticut .59 1.39 -.33 .714 11.5 W 31-24 7 4.5 Win Win Florida Atlantic UTSA 1.32 1.44 1.02 .953 30.4 W 40-26 14 16.4 Win Loss Fresno State Nevada .58 .75 .46 .830 19.3 L 28-35 -7 26.3 Loss Loss Georgia Texas A&M .50 .44 .34 .776 15.4 W 19-13 6 9.4 Win Loss Georgia State South Alabama .38 .90 -.16 .748 13.5 W 28-15 13 .5 Win Win Georgia Tech North Carolina State .16 .10 .30 .661 8.3 W 28-26 2 6.3 Win Win Hawaii San Diego State .00 .36 -.27 .582 4.1 W 14-11 3 1.1 Win Win Iowa Illinois .66 -.02 1.19 .841 20.1 W 19-10 9 11.1 Win Loss Iowa State Kansas 1.09 1.66 .53 .971 32.5 W 41-31 10 22.5 Win Loss Kansas State Texas Tech .31 .58 .12 .607 5.3 W 30-27 3 2.3 Win Win Louisiana Lafayette Troy .50 1.89 -.85 .801 17.1 W 53-3 50 32.9 Win Win Louisiana Monroe Coastal Carolina .11 1.09 -.69 .649 7.6 W 45-42 3 4.6 Win Loss Louisiana Tech UAB .39 .23 .38 .615 5.8 L 14-20 -6 11.8 Loss Win Louisville Syracuse .42 .67 .15 .762 14.5 W 56-34 22 7.5 Win Win LSU Arkansas 1.73 2.71 .76 .990 49.6 W 56-20 36 13.6 Win Loss Marshall Charlotte .39 1.37 -.65 .629 6.5 L 13-24 -11 17.5 Loss Loss Memphis South Florida .77 .91 .52 .789 16.3 W 49-10 39 22.7 Win Win Miami Florida International .59 .55 .73 .736 12.8 L 24-30 -6 18.8 Loss Win Miami (OH) Akron 1.29 .43 1.91 .990 36.2 W 20-17 3 33.2 Win Loss Michigan Indiana .43 .70 .26 .665 8.6 W 39-14 25 16.4 Win Loss Michigan State Rutgers 1.26 1.02 1.53 .952 30.2 W 27-0 27 3.2 Win Win Middle Tennessee Old Dominion .40 .22 .72 .771 15.1 W 38-17 21 5.9 Win Win Minnesota Northwestern 1.04 .54 1.59 .895 24.5 W 38-22 16 8.5 Win Win Missouri Tennessee .04 -.43 .65 .611 5.6 L 20-24 -4 9.6 Loss Loss Navy SMU -.04 .73 -.82 .551 2.5 W 35-28 7 4.5 Win Loss Nebraska Maryland .31 .53 .29 .621 6.1 W 54-7 47 40.9 Win Loss New Mexico State UTEP .27 .68 -.13 .702 10.7 W 44-35 9 1.7 Win Win North Texas Rice .25 .37 .05 .553 2.6 L 14-20 -6 8.6 Loss Win Northern Illinois Eastern Michigan .00 .48 -.59 .556 2.7 L 17-45 -28 30.7 Loss Win Notre Dame Boston College .84 1.43 .13 .900 25.0 W 40-7 33 8.0 Win Win Ohio Bowling Green 1.04 1.38 .56 .880 23.2 W 66-24 42 18.8 Win Win Ohio State Penn State .91 1.23 .63 .931 27.9 W 28-17 11 16.9 Win Loss Oklahoma TCU .56 1.68 -.44 .829 19.2 W 28-24 4 15.2 Win Loss Oklahoma State West Virginia .78 .99 .50 .796 16.8 W 20-13 7 9.8 Win Push Oregon Arizona State .79 .91 .78 .818 18.3 L 28-31 -3 21.3 Loss Loss San Jose State UNLV .30 .92 -.42 .577 3.8 L 35-38 -3 6.8 Loss Win Tulsa Houston .12 .40 .01 .653 7.9 L 14-24 -10 17.9 Loss Loss USC UCLA .52 .78 .28 .806 17.5 W 52-35 17 .5 Win Win Utah Arizona 1.28 1.59 .97 .955 30.6 W 35-7 28 2.6 Win Win Virginia Liberty .39 .72 -.07 .740 13.0 W 55-27 28 15.0 Win Loss Virginia Tech Pittsburgh -.02 -.59 .45 .547 2.3 W 28-0 28 25.7 Win Loss Wake Forest Duke .25 -.10 .52 .683 9.6 W 39-27 12 2.4 Win Win Washington Colorado .70 1.26 .23 .782 15.8 L 14-20 -6 21.8 Loss Loss Washington State Oregon State .40 2.09 -1.45 .741 13.1 W 54-53 1 12.1 Win Loss Western Kentucky Southern Mississippi .24 .15 .32 .558 2.8 W 28-10 18 15.2 Win Win Wisconsin Purdue 1.07 1.49 .75 .973 32.7 W 45-24 21 11.7 Win Loss Wyoming Colorado State .45 .46 .36 .769 15.0 W 17-7 10 5.0 Win Win

Week 12 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Air Force Colorado State .94 1.45 .24 .843 20.2 W 38-21 17 3.2 Win Win Alabama Mississippi State 1.08 2.20 .15 .915 26.4 W 38-7 31 4.6 Win Win Appalachian State Georgia State .47 1.18 -.33 .661 8.3 W 56-27 29 20.7 Win Loss Arizona State Oregon State .15 .96 -.67 .509 .4 L 34-35 -1 1.4 Loss Win Arkansas State Coastal Carolina .31 .98 -.33 .722 11.9 W 28-27 1 10.9 Win Win Ball State Central Michigan .01 -.09 .07 .572 3.6 L 44-45 -1 4.6 Loss Loss Boise State New Mexico 1.17 1.25 1.07 .986 34.5 W 42-9 33 1.5 Win Win Buffalo Kent State .55 .86 .33 .719 11.8 L 27-30 -3 14.8 Loss Loss Cincinnati South Florida .75 .35 1.18 .793 16.6 W 20-17 3 13.6 Win Loss Clemson Wake Forest 1.15 1.08 1.34 .989 34.9 W 52-3 49 14.1 Win Loss Duke Syracuse .51 .10 .93 .802 17.2 L 6-49 -43 60.2 Loss Loss Eastern Michigan Akron .94 .93 .87 .852 21.0 W 42-14 28 7.0 Win Win Florida Missouri .40 .24 .57 .641 7.2 W 23-6 17 9.8 Win Win Georgia Auburn .27 -.39 .78 .556 2.7 W 21-14 7 4.3 Win Loss Hawaii UNLV .51 1.29 -.26 .692 10.1 W 21-7 14 3.9 Win Win Iowa State Texas .14 1.20 -.84 .651 7.7 W 23-21 2 5.7 Win Loss Kansas State West Virginia .94 .86 1.00 .935 28.4 L 20-24 -4 32.4 Loss Loss Kentucky Vanderbilt .49 .33 .75 .694 10.2 W 38-14 24 13.8 Win Win Louisiana Lafayette South Alabama 1.20 1.24 1.22 .939 28.8 W 37-27 10 18.8 Win Loss Louisiana Monroe Georgia Southern .13 .76 -.41 .511 .5 L 29-51 -22 22.5 Loss Loss Louisiana Tech Marshall .37 .72 .18 .644 7.4 L 10-31 -21 28.4 Loss Loss Louisville North Carolina State .58 .95 .25 .725 12.1 W 34-20 14 1.9 Win Win LSU Mississippi 1.10 1.74 .49 .910 26.0 W 58-37 21 5.0 Win Loss Memphis Houston .59 1.29 -.11 .725 12.1 W 45-27 18 5.9 Win Win Miami (OH) Bowling Green .83 .29 1.26 .899 24.9 W 44-3 41 16.1 Win Win Michigan Michigan State .28 -.31 .85 .704 10.8 W 44-10 34 23.2 Win Loss Middle Tennessee Rice .48 .46 .46 .786 16.1 L 28-31 -3 19.1 Loss Loss Minnesota Iowa .12 .07 .40 .525 1.2 L 19-23 -4 5.2 Loss Loss North Carolina Pittsburgh .14 -.35 .59 .500 .0 L 27-34 -7 7.0 Loss Loss Northwestern Massachusetts 1.80 1.76 1.84 .990 51.3 W 45-6 39 12.3 Win Loss Notre Dame Navy -.09 .00 -.24 .513 .6 W 52-20 32 31.4 Win Loss Ohio State Rutgers 2.84 2.97 2.61 .990 71.4 W 56-21 35 36.4 Win Loss Oklahoma Baylor .27 1.41 -.83 .579 3.9 W 34-31 3 .9 Win Win Oklahoma State Kansas .73 1.36 .07 .874 22.7 W 31-13 18 4.7 Win Win Oregon Arizona .93 1.45 .38 .932 28.0 W 34-6 28 .0 Win Win Penn State Indiana .54 1.05 .09 .816 18.2 W 34-27 7 11.2 Win Loss San Diego State Fresno State -.05 -.04 -.18 .528 1.3 W 17-7 10 8.7 Win Loss Southern Mississippi UTSA 1.11 1.72 .36 .901 25.1 W 36-17 19 6.1 Win Win TCU Texas Tech .36 .28 .43 .619 6.0 W 33-31 2 4.0 Win Loss Texas A&M South Carolina .20 -.01 .53 .683 9.6 W 30-6 24 14.4 Win Loss Toledo Northern Illinois -.07 .16 -.16 .551 2.5 L 28-31 -3 5.5 Loss Loss Troy Texas State .44 .81 .11 .664 8.5 W 63-27 36 27.5 Win Win Tulane Temple .34 .55 .28 .630 6.6 L 21-29 -8 14.6 Loss Loss UAB UTEP .91 1.04 .82 .930 27.9 W 37-10 27 .9 Win Win USC California .33 .16 .54 .610 5.5 W 41-17 24 18.5 Win Win Utah UCLA .92 1.11 .78 .934 28.3 W 49-3 46 17.7 Win Win Virginia Tech Georgia Tech .20 .20 .14 .528 1.4 W 45-0 45 43.6 Win Loss Washington State Stanford .44 1.19 -.46 .758 14.2 W 49-22 27 12.8 Win Win Western Michigan Ohio .22 1.50 -.86 .574 3.6 W 37-34 3 .6 Win Win Wisconsin Nebraska 1.28 1.37 1.15 .952 30.2 W 37-21 16 14.2 Win Win Wyoming Utah State .41 .45 .38 .646 7.5 L 21-26 -5 12.5 Loss Loss

Week 11 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Alabama LSU .27 1.69 -1.03 .715 11.5 L 41-46 -5 16.5 Loss Loss Appalachian State South Carolina .16 -.23 .64 .528 1.4 W 20-15 5 3.6 Win Win Army Massachusetts 1.86 2.72 .94 .990 52.6 W 63-7 56 3.4 Win Win Baylor TCU .15 .10 .27 .522 1.0 W 29-23 6 5.0 Win Win Boise State Wyoming .18 .44 -.11 .658 8.1 W 20-17 3 5.1 Win Win BYU Liberty .33 .77 -.15 .724 12.1 W 31-24 7 5.1 Win Win Central Florida Tulsa .87 1.06 .59 .828 19.1 L 31-34 -3 22.1 Loss Loss Charlotte UTEP 1.08 2.12 -.20 .884 23.6 W 28-21 7 16.6 Win Loss Cincinnati Connecticut 1.46 1.57 1.37 .990 42.5 W 48-3 45 2.5 Win Win Clemson North Carolina State 1.68 1.26 2.24 .990 42.2 W 55-10 45 2.8 Win Win Colorado Stanford -.09 .57 -.71 .528 1.4 W 16-13 3 1.6 Win Win Florida Vanderbilt .95 1.09 .88 .943 29.3 W 56-0 56 26.7 Win Win Florida Atlantic Florida International .57 .72 .28 .809 17.7 W 37-7 30 12.3 Win Win Florida State Boston College .18 .65 -.31 .526 1.3 W 38-31 7 5.7 Win Win Fresno State Utah State .29 .31 .36 .721 11.8 L 35-37 -2 13.8 Loss Loss Georgia Missouri .71 .35 .88 .854 21.1 W 27-0 27 5.9 Win Win Georgia State Louisiana Monroe .34 1.84 -1.17 .609 5.5 L 31-45 -14 19.5 Loss Loss Hawaii San Jose State .24 1.52 -.99 .694 10.2 W 42-40 2 8.2 Win Loss Kentucky Tennessee -.10 -.54 .49 .538 1.9 L 13-17 -4 5.9 Loss Loss Louisiana Lafayette Coastal Carolina .52 1.17 .14 .726 12.2 W 48-7 41 28.8 Win Loss Louisiana Tech North Texas .48 1.01 -.03 .791 16.4 W 52-17 35 18.6 Win Win Miami Louisville -.02 .09 .07 .585 4.2 W 52-27 25 20.8 Win Loss Michigan State Illinois .45 -.21 1.16 .782 15.8 L 34-37 -3 18.8 Loss Loss Minnesota Penn State -.11 .17 -.20 .538 1.8 W 31-26 5 3.2 Win Win Mississippi New Mexico State .90 .86 .77 .914 26.3 W 41-3 38 11.7 Win Loss Notre Dame Duke .43 .05 .78 .650 7.7 W 38-7 31 23.3 Win Win Ohio Miami (OH) .17 .41 -.10 .653 7.9 L 21-24 -3 10.9 Loss Loss Ohio State Maryland 2.12 2.33 1.90 .990 59.8 W 73-14 59 .8 Win Win Oklahoma Iowa State .34 1.95 -1.28 .730 12.4 W 42-41 1 11.4 Win Win Old Dominion UTSA .42 .04 .61 .747 13.5 L 23-24 -1 14.5 Loss Loss Purdue Northwestern .20 -.57 .98 .540 1.9 W 24-22 2 .1 Win Win San Diego State Nevada .74 .24 1.22 .878 23.1 L 13-17 -4 27.1 Loss Loss SMU East Carolina 1.25 2.04 .51 .990 37.1 W 59-51 8 29.1 Win Loss South Florida Temple -.11 -.78 .60 .518 .9 L 7-17 -10 10.9 Loss Win Southern Mississippi UAB .06 .47 -.45 .590 4.5 W 37-2 35 30.5 Win Loss Texas Kansas State -.01 .44 -.53 .558 2.8 W 27-24 3 .2 Win Win Texas State South Alabama .13 -1.05 1.31 .637 7.0 W 30-28 2 5.0 Win Win Texas Tech West Virginia .30 .27 .18 .570 3.5 W 38-17 21 17.5 Win Win Toledo Kent State .09 .73 -.52 .620 6.1 W 35-33 2 4.1 Win Loss Troy Georgia Southern -.01 .68 -.64 .573 3.6 W 49-28 21 17.4 Win Win USC Arizona State .33 .45 .30 .615 5.8 W 31-26 5 .8 Win Push Virginia Georgia Tech .37 .26 .45 .741 13.1 W 33-28 5 8.1 Win Win Wake Forest Virginia Tech .41 .67 .16 .645 7.4 L 17-36 -19 26.4 Loss Loss Washington Oregon State .59 2.24 -.98 .734 12.7 W 19-7 12 .7 Win Win Washington State California .53 1.02 -.06 .689 9.9 L 20-33 -13 22.9 Loss Loss Western Kentucky Arkansas .63 .36 .93 .747 13.5 W 45-19 26 12.5 Win Win Western Michigan Ball State .19 .35 .03 .664 8.5 W 35-31 4 4.5 Win Loss Wisconsin Iowa .46 .25 .83 .796 16.8 W 24-22 2 14.8 Win Loss

Week 10 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Air Force Army .77 1.56 -.12 .880 23.2 W 17-13 4 19.2 Win Loss Appalachian State Georgia Southern .79 .70 .81 .890 24.1 L 21-24 -3 27.1 Loss Loss Arizona Oregon State .14 1.21 -.91 .644 7.4 L 38-56 -18 25.4 Loss Loss Arkansas State Louisiana Monroe .15 1.04 -.80 .502 .1 W 48-41 7 6.9 Win Loss Auburn Mississippi .67 .08 1.13 .847 20.5 W 20-14 6 14.5 Win Loss Baylor West Virginia 1.15 1.57 .75 .985 34.2 W 17-14 3 31.2 Win Loss Boise State San Jose State .86 1.04 .60 .826 18.9 W 52-42 10 8.9 Win Loss Boston College Syracuse .18 .39 -.03 .528 1.3 W 58-27 31 29.7 Win Win Bowling Green Akron -.07 -.33 .04 .515 .7 W 35-6 29 28.3 Win Loss Buffalo Eastern Michigan .17 .20 .23 .535 1.7 W 43-14 29 27.3 Win Win Central Florida Houston .87 1.38 .31 .914 26.3 W 44-29 15 11.3 Win Loss Cincinnati East Carolina 1.59 1.48 1.77 .990 39.3 W 46-43 3 36.3 Win Loss Coastal Carolina Troy .11 .91 -.90 .599 5.0 W 36-35 1 4.0 Win Win Colorado State UNLV .04 .24 -.11 .597 4.9 W 37-17 20 15.1 Win Loss Florida International Old Dominion .52 .50 .75 .823 18.7 W 24-17 7 11.7 Win Loss Florida State Miami .14 -.10 .24 .625 6.4 L 10-27 -17 23.4 Loss Loss Georgia Florida .50 .11 .70 .723 12.0 W 24-17 7 5.0 Win Win Hawaii Fresno State -.11 .78 -.93 .523 1.1 L 38-41 -3 4.1 Loss Win Illinois Rutgers 1.08 .72 1.42 .969 32.2 W 38-10 28 4.2 Win Win Indiana Northwestern .31 -.14 .60 .702 10.7 W 34-3 31 20.3 Win Win Kansas State Kansas .61 1.08 .21 .742 13.1 W 38-10 28 14.9 Win Win Liberty Massachusetts 1.40 2.29 .50 .980 33.6 W 63-21 42 8.4 Win Win Louisiana Lafayette Texas State .68 .41 1.13 .874 22.7 W 31-3 28 5.3 Win Loss Marshall Rice .67 .52 .50 .726 12.2 W 20-7 13 .8 Win Win Memphis SMU -.05 .60 -.75 .539 1.9 W 54-48 6 4.1 Win Loss Michigan Maryland 1.01 .80 1.29 .887 23.9 W 38-7 31 7.1 Win Win Middle Tennessee Charlotte .11 1.29 -.86 .517 .8 L 20-34 -14 14.8 Loss Win Mississippi State Arkansas .46 .83 .11 .670 8.9 W 54-24 30 21.1 Win Win Navy Connecticut 1.62 1.73 1.45 .990 39.2 W 56-10 46 6.8 Win Win Nevada New Mexico .00 .18 -.17 .573 3.6 W 21-10 11 7.4 Win Win North Carolina Virginia .21 -.07 .55 .681 9.5 L 31-38 -7 16.5 Loss Loss North Texas UTEP 1.05 1.62 .36 .956 30.6 W 52-26 26 4.6 Win Win Northern Illinois Central Michigan .21 .12 .18 .527 1.3 L 10-48 -38 39.3 Loss Loss Notre Dame Virginia Tech .78 1.03 .47 .887 23.9 W 21-20 1 22.9 Win Loss Oregon USC .21 .30 .11 .543 2.1 W 56-24 32 29.9 Win Loss Pittsburgh Georgia Tech .42 -.08 1.07 .667 8.7 W 20-10 10 1.3 Win Loss Purdue Nebraska .05 -.01 -.01 .581 4.0 W 31-27 4 .0 Win Win South Carolina Vanderbilt .48 .08 .86 .786 16.1 W 24-7 17 .9 Win Win TCU Oklahoma State .23 .32 .14 .553 2.6 L 27-34 -7 9.6 Loss Loss Tennessee UAB -.02 -.04 -.17 .538 1.8 W 30-7 23 21.2 Win Loss Texas A&M UTSA 1.39 1.66 1.01 .990 39.7 W 45-14 31 8.7 Win Loss Tulane Tulsa .20 .64 -.42 .650 7.7 W 38-26 12 4.3 Win Loss UCLA Colorado .21 1.03 -.51 .687 9.8 W 31-14 17 7.2 Win Win Utah Washington .67 1.06 .34 .766 14.7 W 33-28 5 9.7 Win Win Utah State BYU -.09 -.61 .36 .514 .7 L 14-42 -28 28.7 Loss Win Wake Forest North Carolina State .62 .73 .54 .842 20.2 W 44-10 34 13.8 Win Win Western Kentucky Florida Atlantic -.15 -.67 .53 .511 .5 L 24-35 -11 11.5 Loss Loss

Week 9 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Air Force Utah State .64 .71 .62 .851 20.8 W 31-7 24 3.2 Win Win Alabama Arkansas 1.89 2.86 1.18 .990 55.6 W 48-7 41 14.6 Win Win Appalachian State South Alabama 1.22 1.00 1.44 .940 29.0 W 30-3 27 2.0 Win Loss Arizona Stanford .19 .03 .46 .547 2.3 L 31-41 -10 12.3 Loss Loss Arizona State UCLA .38 .24 .42 .616 5.9 L 32-42 -10 15.9 Loss Loss Arkansas State Texas State .29 .00 .56 .708 11.1 W 38-14 24 12.9 Win Loss Army San Jose State .30 .63 -.12 .705 10.9 L 29-34 -5 15.9 Loss Loss Ball State Ohio .15 .44 -.01 .661 8.4 L 21-34 -13 21.4 Loss Loss Buffalo Central Michigan .09 -.42 .67 .625 6.3 W 43-20 23 16.7 Win Win Central Florida Temple .76 .45 1.15 .803 17.3 W 63-21 42 24.7 Win Win Charlotte North Texas -.07 .95 -1.28 .507 .3 W 39-38 1 .7 Win Win Clemson Boston College 1.24 1.14 1.34 .990 36.5 W 59-7 52 15.5 Win Win Connecticut Massachusetts .74 1.13 .33 .786 16.1 W 56-35 21 4.9 Win Win Eastern Michigan Toledo .27 .72 -.27 .564 3.1 L 34-37 -3 6.1 Loss Loss Florida Atlantic Old Dominion .75 .22 1.25 .788 16.2 W 41-3 38 21.8 Win Win Florida International Middle Tennessee .45 1.13 -.25 .661 8.3 L 17-50 -33 41.3 Loss Loss Florida State Syracuse .35 .33 .36 .735 12.7 W 35-17 18 5.3 Win Win Fresno State Colorado State .69 .97 .36 .858 21.4 L 31-41 -10 31.4 Loss Loss Georgia Southern New Mexico State .22 .25 .00 .658 8.2 W 41-7 34 25.8 Win Loss Georgia State Troy .02 1.15 -1.00 .597 4.8 W 52-33 19 14.2 Win Win Hawaii New Mexico .67 1.68 -.21 .773 15.2 W 45-31 14 1.2 Win Win Indiana Nebraska .45 .45 .14 .627 6.5 W 38-31 7 .5 Win Win Iowa Northwestern .68 -.72 1.95 .751 13.7 W 20-0 20 6.3 Win Win Iowa State Oklahoma State .58 1.56 -.33 .832 19.4 L 27-34 -7 26.4 Loss Loss Kent State Miami (OH) -.03 .61 -.59 .566 3.2 L 16-23 -7 10.2 Loss Loss Liberty Rutgers .84 .47 1.29 .832 19.4 L 34-44 -10 29.4 Loss Loss Louisiana Tech UTEP 1.31 1.34 1.14 .954 30.4 W 42-21 21 9.4 Win Win LSU Auburn .48 1.18 -.07 .803 17.3 W 23-20 3 14.3 Win Loss Memphis Tulsa .67 .58 .59 .742 13.2 W 42-41 1 12.2 Win Loss Minnesota Maryland .90 1.34 .63 .937 28.6 W 52-10 42 13.4 Win Win Missouri Kentucky .74 .45 .91 .775 15.3 L 7-29 -22 37.3 Loss Loss Navy Tulane .54 1.05 .22 .829 19.2 W 41-38 3 16.2 Win Loss North Carolina Duke .10 -.13 .28 .616 5.8 W 20-17 3 2.8 Win Win Northern Illinois Akron .82 .52 .92 .888 23.9 W 49-0 49 25.1 Win Win Notre Dame Michigan .36 .16 .51 .613 5.7 L 14-45 -31 36.7 Loss Loss Ohio State Wisconsin .39 .73 -.02 .746 13.4 W 38-7 31 17.6 Win Loss Oklahoma Kansas State .82 1.72 .03 .827 19.0 L 41-48 -7 26.0 Loss Win Oregon Washington State .39 1.28 -.29 .774 15.3 W 37-35 2 13.3 Win Loss Penn State Michigan State .41 .08 .65 .634 6.8 W 28-7 21 14.2 Win Win Pittsburgh Miami .19 -.39 .71 .658 8.2 L 12-16 -4 12.2 Loss Loss Purdue Illinois .18 .18 .23 .667 8.6 L 6-24 -18 26.6 Loss Win San Diego State UNLV .63 .25 1.02 .745 13.3 W 20-17 3 10.3 Win Loss SMU Houston .75 1.61 -.09 .793 16.6 W 34-31 3 13.6 Win Loss South Carolina Tennessee .44 -.37 1.20 .652 7.8 L 21-41 -20 27.8 Loss Loss South Florida East Carolina .23 -.09 .48 .544 2.2 W 45-20 25 22.8 Win Win Southern Mississippi Rice .51 1.09 -.20 .676 9.2 W 20-6 14 4.8 Win Loss TCU Texas -.14 .26 -.42 .512 .6 W 37-27 10 9.4 Win Loss Texas A&M Mississippi State .14 .29 -.03 .640 7.2 W 49-30 19 11.8 Win Loss Texas Tech Kansas .21 .58 -.19 .539 1.9 L 34-37 -3 4.9 Loss Win USC Colorado .72 1.38 .10 .784 16.0 W 35-31 4 12.0 Win Loss Utah California .74 .18 1.39 .885 23.7 W 35-0 35 11.3 Win Win Virginia Louisville .15 .31 .02 .513 .6 L 21-28 -7 7.6 Loss Win Western Kentucky Marshall .54 .05 1.09 .710 11.2 L 23-26 -3 14.2 Loss Win Western Michigan Bowling Green 1.18 1.61 .88 .990 35.7 W 49-10 39 3.3 Win Win Wyoming Nevada .87 1.03 .76 .921 26.9 W 31-3 28 1.1 Win Win

Week 8 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Air Force Hawaii .33 1.18 -.80 .571 3.5 W 56-26 30 26.5 Win Loss Alabama Tennessee 2.02 2.77 1.49 .990 58.7 W 35-13 22 36.7 Win Loss Appalachian State Louisiana Monroe .48 1.39 -.54 .779 15.6 W 52-7 45 29.4 Win Loss Auburn Arkansas 1.21 1.15 1.23 .936 28.5 W 51-10 41 12.5 Win Win Ball State Toledo .00 -.30 .38 .583 4.1 W 52-14 38 33.9 Win Win Baylor Oklahoma State .38 .90 -.06 .641 7.2 W 45-27 18 10.8 Win Win Boise State BYU .77 .42 1.00 .788 16.2 L 25-28 -3 19.2 Loss Loss Boston College North Carolina State -.14 .02 -.23 .506 .3 W 45-24 21 20.7 Win Win Buffalo Akron 1.11 .89 1.35 .912 26.1 W 21-0 21 5.1 Win Win California Oregon State .72 1.66 -.32 .865 22.0 L 17-21 -4 26.0 Loss Loss Central Florida East Carolina 1.79 2.01 1.41 .990 50.1 W 41-28 13 37.1 Win Loss Central Michigan Bowling Green .97 .88 1.10 .872 22.5 W 38-20 18 4.5 Win Win Cincinnati Tulsa .56 .10 .91 .809 17.7 W 24-13 11 6.7 Win Loss Clemson Louisville 1.02 1.28 .95 .899 24.9 W 45-10 35 10.1 Win Win Coastal Carolina Georgia Southern .71 .88 .53 .774 15.3 L 27-30 -3 18.3 Loss Win Duke Virginia .40 .17 .71 .649 7.7 L 14-48 -34 41.7 Loss Loss Florida South Carolina .11 -.82 1.17 .505 .3 W 38-27 11 10.7 Win Loss Florida Atlantic Marshall .64 .65 .65 .848 20.6 L 31-36 -5 25.6 Loss Loss Florida International UTEP 1.13 1.81 .55 .985 34.3 W 32-17 15 19.3 Win Loss Fresno State UNLV .43 .32 .32 .747 13.5 W 56-27 29 15.5 Win Loss Georgia Kentucky 1.08 .98 .89 .952 30.3 W 21-0 21 9.3 Win Loss Georgia State Army -.15 .61 -.62 .530 1.4 W 28-21 7 5.6 Win Win Houston Connecticut 1.41 1.67 1.17 .983 34.0 W 24-17 7 27.0 Win Loss Indiana Maryland .59 1.11 -.06 .713 11.4 W 34-28 6 5.4 Win Loss Iowa Purdue .67 .29 .94 .847 20.5 W 26-20 6 14.5 Win Loss Iowa State Texas Tech .79 1.22 .46 .817 18.3 W 34-24 10 8.3 Win Push Louisiana Lafayette Arkansas State .25 .96 -.27 .588 4.4 W 37-20 17 12.6 Win Loss Louisiana Tech Southern Mississippi .23 .98 -.59 .675 9.1 W 45-30 15 5.9 Win Win LSU Mississippi State 1.06 2.47 -.30 .901 25.1 W 36-13 23 2.1 Win Win Memphis Tulane -.09 .39 -.39 .547 2.3 W 47-17 30 27.7 Win Loss Miami Georgia Tech .62 .48 .78 .842 20.2 L 21-28 -7 27.2 Loss Loss Miami (OH) Northern Illinois .06 -.28 .39 .601 5.0 W 27-24 3 2.0 Win Win Minnesota Rutgers 1.73 1.86 1.65 .990 42.9 W 42-7 35 7.9 Win Win Mississippi Texas A&M -.09 -.02 -.11 .531 1.5 L 17-24 -7 8.5 Loss Loss Missouri Vanderbilt 1.59 1.58 1.51 .990 38.2 L 14-21 -7 45.2 Loss Loss Navy South Florida .95 .81 1.24 .948 29.8 W 35-3 32 2.2 Win Win North Carolina Virginia Tech .68 1.04 .29 .761 14.4 L 41-43 -2 16.4 Loss Loss North Texas Middle Tennessee .41 .88 -.19 .748 13.5 W 33-30 3 10.5 Win Loss Ohio Kent State .07 .77 -.71 .595 4.7 W 45-38 7 2.3 Win Win Ohio State Northwestern 1.58 .83 2.32 .990 38.5 W 52-3 49 10.5 Win Win Oklahoma West Virginia 1.27 2.37 .22 .990 37.6 W 52-14 38 .4 Win Win Oregon Washington .39 .14 .65 .636 6.9 W 35-31 4 2.9 Win Win Penn State Michigan .54 -.01 .98 .802 17.2 W 28-21 7 10.2 Win Loss Pittsburgh Syracuse .54 -.19 1.42 .722 11.9 W 27-20 7 4.9 Win Win Rice UTSA .55 .66 .47 .713 11.4 L 27-31 -4 15.4 Loss Loss San Diego State San Jose State .71 .53 .94 .780 15.7 W 27-17 10 5.7 Win Win SMU Temple .66 .39 1.05 .864 21.9 W 45-21 24 2.1 Win Win Stanford UCLA .21 .55 -.35 .649 7.6 L 16-34 -18 25.6 Loss Loss TCU Kansas State .38 -.07 .91 .640 7.2 L 17-24 -7 14.2 Loss Loss Texas Kansas 1.11 1.68 .58 .977 33.2 W 50-48 2 31.2 Win Loss Troy South Alabama .72 .88 .61 .877 23.0 W 37-13 24 1.0 Win Win UAB Old Dominion .60 .27 1.09 .847 20.6 W 38-14 24 3.4 Win Win USC Arizona .22 .50 -.05 .679 9.3 W 41-14 27 17.7 Win Loss Utah Arizona State .32 .45 .42 .748 13.5 W 21-3 18 4.5 Win Loss Utah State Nevada .77 .74 .82 .890 24.1 W 36-10 26 1.9 Win Win Wake Forest Florida State .25 .65 -.21 .687 9.8 W 22-20 2 7.8 Win Win Washington State Colorado .28 2.03 -1.56 .696 10.4 W 41-10 31 20.6 Win Loss Western Kentucky Charlotte .67 1.05 .46 .870 22.4 W 30-14 16 6.4 Win Win Western Michigan Eastern Michigan .51 1.29 -.02 .720 11.8 L 27-34 -7 18.8 Loss Loss Wisconsin Illinois 1.90 2.08 1.84 .990 47.8 L 23-24 -1 48.8 Loss Loss Wyoming New Mexico 1.02 1.63 .43 .956 30.7 W 23-10 13 17.7 Win Loss

Week 7 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Air Force Fresno State .15 .08 .00 .620 6.1 W 43-24 19 12.9 Win Win Alabama Texas A&M 1.54 2.37 .96 .990 39.1 W 47-28 19 20.1 Win Win Appalachian State Louisiana Lafayette .18 1.25 -.82 .537 1.8 W 17-7 10 8.2 Win Win Arizona State Washington State .09 .83 -.71 .610 5.5 W 38-34 4 1.5 Win Win Army Western Kentucky .26 -.09 .65 .574 3.7 L 8-17 -9 12.7 Loss Win Baylor Texas Tech .93 1.61 .26 .934 28.2 W 33-30 3 25.2 Win Loss Boise State Hawaii .48 .63 .16 .771 15.1 W 59-37 22 6.9 Win Win Central Michigan New Mexico State .55 .63 .24 .793 16.6 W 42-28 14 2.6 Win Win Cincinnati Houston .35 .84 -.09 .621 6.1 W 38-23 15 8.9 Win Loss Clemson Florida State 1.10 .92 1.20 .969 32.2 W 45-14 31 1.2 Win Win Coastal Carolina Georgia State .54 1.67 -.87 .786 16.1 L 21-31 -10 26.1 Loss Loss Colorado State New Mexico .14 .91 -.48 .525 1.2 W 35-21 14 12.8 Win Loss Duke Georgia Tech .76 .63 .80 .879 23.1 W 41-23 18 5.1 Win Win Eastern Michigan Ball State .24 .10 .24 .672 9.0 L 23-29 -6 15.0 Loss Loss Florida Atlantic Middle Tennessee .70 .92 .29 .852 20.9 W 28-13 15 5.9 Win Win Florida International Charlotte .10 1.04 -.76 .632 6.7 W 48-23 25 18.3 Win Win Georgia South Carolina 1.03 .67 1.17 .945 29.4 L 17-20 -3 32.4 Loss Loss Indiana Rutgers 1.21 1.48 .61 .979 33.6 W 35-0 35 1.4 Win Win Iowa State West Virginia .49 1.02 .11 .699 10.5 W 38-14 24 13.5 Win Win Kent State Akron .41 .66 .25 .655 8.0 W 26-3 23 15.0 Win Loss Kentucky Arkansas .36 .52 .21 .741 13.1 W 24-20 4 9.1 Win Win Louisiana Monroe Texas State .21 .63 .04 .576 3.8 W 24-14 10 6.2 Win Win Louisiana Tech Massachusetts 1.61 2.05 .87 .990 44.4 W 69-21 48 3.6 Win Win LSU Florida .66 .77 .42 .842 20.2 W 42-28 14 6.2 Win Loss Marshall Old Dominion .07 -.23 .23 .590 4.5 W 31-17 14 9.5 Win Win Memphis Temple .38 -.19 1.06 .644 7.4 L 28-30 -2 9.4 Loss Loss Miami Virginia .00 -.29 .26 .567 3.3 W 17-9 8 4.7 Win Win Michigan Illinois .71 .38 1.11 .783 15.9 W 42-25 17 1.1 Win Win Minnesota Nebraska .37 .38 .17 .725 12.1 W 34-7 27 14.9 Win Win Mississippi State Tennessee .72 1.02 .57 .794 16.6 L 10-20 -10 26.6 Loss Loss Missouri Mississippi .59 .43 .60 .815 18.2 W 38-27 11 7.2 Win Loss Navy Tulsa .17 .58 -.11 .538 1.8 W 45-17 28 26.2 Win Win North Carolina State Syracuse .18 .03 .32 .657 8.1 W 16-10 6 2.1 Win Win North Texas Southern Mississippi .27 1.02 -.44 .578 3.9 L 27-45 -18 21.9 Loss Loss Notre Dame USC .51 .50 .40 .788 16.2 W 30-27 3 13.2 Win Loss Ohio Northern Illinois .34 .26 .38 .728 12.3 L 36-39 -3 15.3 Loss Loss Oklahoma Texas .58 2.33 -1.12 .781 15.8 W 34-27 7 8.8 Win Loss Oregon Colorado .63 1.00 .21 .839 19.9 W 45-3 42 22.1 Win Loss Penn State Iowa .18 -.17 .67 .547 2.3 W 17-12 5 2.7 Win Loss Purdue Maryland .01 .19 -.22 .570 3.4 W 40-14 26 22.6 Win Win San Diego State Wyoming .19 -.40 .69 .654 7.9 W 26-22 4 3.9 Win Win San Jose State Nevada .11 .68 -.24 .520 .9 L 38-41 -3 3.9 Loss Push South Florida BYU -.04 -.53 .23 .520 1.0 W 27-23 4 3.0 Win Win Toledo Bowling Green 1.17 1.74 .58 .927 27.5 L 7-20 -13 40.5 Loss Loss Tulane Connecticut 1.47 1.51 1.22 .990 41.2 W 49-7 42 .8 Win Win UAB UTSA 1.16 1.45 1.07 .938 28.7 W 33-14 19 9.7 Win Win Utah Oregon State .68 2.13 -.46 .793 16.6 W 52-7 45 28.4 Win Win Vanderbilt UNLV .40 .58 -.06 .729 12.3 L 10-34 -24 36.3 Loss Win Wake Forest Louisville .29 .83 -.23 .712 11.3 L 59-62 -3 14.3 Loss Loss Washington Arizona .31 .77 -.05 .607 5.4 W 51-27 24 18.6 Win Loss Western Michigan Miami (OH) .45 .88 .00 .775 15.3 W 38-16 22 6.7 Win Win Wisconsin Michigan State .53 .18 .84 .804 17.4 W 38-0 38 20.6 Win Win

Week 6 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Arkansas State Georgia State .58 1.07 .16 .730 12.4 L 38-52 -14 26.4 Loss Loss Army Tulane .26 .37 .16 .698 10.5 L 33-42 -9 19.5 Loss Loss Auburn Florida .37 .29 .49 .628 6.5 L 13-24 -11 17.5 Loss Loss Baylor Kansas State .15 .76 -.35 .526 1.3 W 31-12 19 17.7 Win Win Boise State UNLV 1.19 1.37 .97 .930 27.9 W 38-13 25 2.9 Win Push Central Florida Cincinnati .37 .82 -.11 .620 6.1 L 24-27 -3 9.1 Loss Loss Colorado Arizona .05 .75 -.63 .599 5.0 L 30-35 -5 10.0 Loss Loss Duke Pittsburgh .08 -.03 -.13 .572 3.5 L 30-33 -3 6.5 Loss Loss Eastern Michigan Central Michigan .21 .05 .56 .567 3.3 L 16-42 -26 29.3 Loss Win Florida International Massachusetts 1.02 1.91 -.19 .935 28.4 W 44-0 44 15.6 Win Win Georgia Tennessee 1.43 1.61 1.37 .990 35.4 W 43-14 29 6.4 Win Win Georgia Southern South Alabama .50 .57 .26 .666 8.6 W 20-17 3 5.6 Win Win Iowa Michigan .20 -.05 .44 .536 1.7 L 3-10 -7 8.7 Loss Loss Liberty New Mexico State .47 .66 .20 .664 8.5 W 20-13 7 1.5 Win Win Louisville Boston College .08 .19 -.28 .581 4.0 W 41-39 2 2.0 Win Loss LSU Utah State .80 .90 .48 .880 23.2 W 42-6 36 12.8 Win Loss Marshall Middle Tennessee .16 .38 -.12 .508 .4 L 13-24 -11 11.4 Loss Win Maryland Rutgers .55 .50 .67 .718 11.7 W 48-7 41 29.3 Win Loss Memphis Louisiana Monroe .72 1.30 .10 .775 15.3 W 52-33 19 3.7 Win Loss Miami Virginia Tech .54 .18 .88 .810 17.7 L 35-42 -7 24.7 Loss Loss Minnesota Illinois .43 .64 .22 .770 15.0 W 40-17 23 8.0 Win Win Mississippi Vanderbilt .35 .78 -.02 .744 13.3 W 31-6 25 11.7 Win Win Missouri Troy .63 .84 .19 .824 18.8 W 42-10 32 13.2 Win Loss Navy Air Force -.01 1.19 -1.09 .581 4.0 W 34-25 9 5.0 Win Win Nebraska Northwestern -.08 -.79 .71 .539 1.9 W 13-10 3 1.1 Win Win North Carolina Georgia Tech .32 .42 .12 .587 4.3 W 38-22 16 11.7 Win Loss Northern Illinois Ball State .08 -.08 .09 .593 4.6 L 20-27 -7 11.6 Loss Loss Notre Dame Bowling Green 1.82 2.09 1.44 .990 51.2 W 52-0 52 .8 Win Win Ohio Buffalo .16 .43 -.19 .505 .2 W 21-20 1 .8 Win Win Ohio State Michigan State .74 .58 .86 .877 23.0 W 34-10 24 1.0 Win Win Oklahoma Kansas 1.38 2.83 .03 .982 33.9 W 45-20 25 8.9 Win Loss Oklahoma State Texas Tech .67 1.64 -.23 .767 14.8 L 35-45 -10 24.8 Loss Loss Oregon California .45 .15 .75 .776 15.4 W 17-7 10 5.4 Win Win Penn State Purdue .77 .81 .66 .883 23.5 W 35-7 28 4.5 Win Win San Diego State Colorado State .76 .77 .60 .780 15.7 W 24-10 14 1.7 Win Win San Jose State New Mexico -.02 .75 -.75 .567 3.3 W 32-21 11 7.7 Win Loss SMU Tulsa .41 .72 .06 .756 14.1 W 43-37 6 8.1 Win Loss South Florida Connecticut .68 .51 .78 .756 14.1 W 48-22 26 11.9 Win Win TCU Iowa State .21 .04 .47 .555 2.7 L 24-49 -25 27.7 Loss Loss Temple East Carolina .81 .29 1.39 .820 18.5 W 27-17 10 8.5 Win Loss Texas West Virginia .25 1.07 -.40 .586 4.3 W 42-31 11 6.7 Win Loss UAB Rice .72 .82 .71 .879 23.2 W 35-20 15 8.2 Win Win UCLA Oregon State .47 1.61 -.62 .789 16.3 L 31-48 -17 33.3 Loss Loss UTEP UTSA .19 .17 .20 .665 8.5 L 16-26 -10 18.5 Loss Loss Washington Stanford .58 1.04 .35 .746 13.4 L 13-23 -10 23.4 Loss Win Western Kentucky Old Dominion .38 .26 .43 .621 6.1 W 20-3 17 10.9 Win Win Western Michigan Toledo .40 1.35 -.53 .642 7.3 L 24-31 -7 14.3 Loss Loss Wisconsin Kent State 1.42 1.28 1.39 .990 40.1 W 48-0 48 7.9 Win Win

Week 5 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Air Force San Jose State .69 1.08 .20 .855 21.2 W 41-24 17 4.2 Win Loss Akron Massachusetts .40 .60 .00 .613 5.7 L 29-37 -8 13.7 Loss Win Alabama Mississippi 1.40 1.92 .84 .990 40.5 W 59-31 28 12.5 Win Loss Appalachian State Coastal Carolina .77 1.43 .16 .892 24.3 W 56-37 19 5.3 Win Win Arizona UCLA .08 .54 -.44 .603 5.2 W 20-17 3 2.2 Win Push Auburn Mississippi State .11 -.06 .15 .610 5.5 W 56-23 33 27.5 Win Loss Baylor Iowa State .24 .99 -.58 .680 9.4 W 23-21 2 7.4 Win Win California Arizona State -.10 -.03 -.11 .527 1.3 L 17-24 -7 8.3 Loss Win Central Florida Connecticut 1.54 2.31 .81 .990 44.6 W 56-21 35 9.6 Win Loss Cincinnati Marshall .30 .18 .52 .602 5.1 W 52-14 38 32.9 Win Win Clemson North Carolina 1.26 1.19 1.40 .955 30.5 W 21-20 1 29.5 Win Loss Florida Atlantic Charlotte .11 .43 -.08 .506 .3 W 45-27 18 17.7 Win Loss Florida State North Carolina State -.03 .12 -.28 .543 2.1 W 31-13 18 15.9 Win Loss Fresno State New Mexico State .84 1.22 .59 .836 19.7 W 30-17 13 6.7 Win Win Georgia Southern Louisiana Lafayette .06 .63 -.71 .577 3.8 L 24-37 -13 16.8 Loss Loss Houston North Texas .17 .77 -.36 .529 1.4 W 46-25 21 19.6 Win Win Iowa Middle Tennessee .83 .62 .84 .892 24.3 W 48-3 45 20.7 Win Win Liberty New Mexico .31 .55 -.05 .707 11.0 W 17-10 7 4.0 Win Loss Louisiana Monroe South Alabama .52 .96 -.01 .795 16.7 W 30-17 13 3.7 Win Loss Louisiana Tech Rice .78 .88 .63 .798 16.9 W 23-20 3 13.9 Win Loss Memphis Navy .48 1.30 -.57 .765 14.7 W 35-23 12 2.7 Win Win Miami (OH) Buffalo -.06 .26 -.51 .522 1.1 W 34-20 14 12.9 Win Win Michigan Rutgers 1.09 .69 1.36 .964 31.6 W 52-0 52 20.4 Win Win Michigan State Indiana .42 .15 .84 .781 15.8 W 40-31 9 6.8 Win Loss Minnesota Purdue .34 .39 .18 .597 4.9 W 38-31 7 2.1 Win Win Nevada Hawaii .12 .63 -.53 .615 5.8 L 3-54 -51 56.8 Loss Loss Notre Dame Virginia .47 .22 .54 .767 14.8 W 35-20 15 .2 Win Win Ohio State Nebraska 1.00 1.32 .62 .873 22.7 W 48-7 41 18.3 Win Win Oklahoma Texas Tech 1.07 2.79 -.62 .969 32.2 W 55-16 39 6.8 Win Win Oklahoma State Kansas State .00 .94 -.94 .570 3.4 W 26-13 13 9.6 Win Loss Old Dominion East Carolina .22 .55 -.14 .675 9.1 L 21-24 -3 12.1 Loss Loss Penn State Maryland .42 .28 .55 .649 7.6 W 59-0 59 51.4 Win Win SMU South Florida .20 .41 .09 .552 2.5 W 48-21 27 24.5 Win Loss South Carolina Kentucky -.04 -.07 -.20 .525 1.2 W 24-7 17 15.8 Win Loss Southern Mississippi UTEP .91 .77 .65 .900 25.0 W 31-13 18 7.0 Win Win Stanford Oregon State .64 1.56 -.12 .763 14.5 W 31-28 3 11.5 Win Loss TCU Kansas .71 .37 1.07 .872 22.6 W 51-14 37 14.4 Win Win Temple Georgia Tech .12 .04 .10 .621 6.1 W 24-2 22 15.9 Win Loss Texas A&M Arkansas .52 .68 .32 .747 13.5 W 31-27 4 9.5 Win Win Toledo BYU -.11 .32 -.51 .517 .8 W 28-21 7 6.2 Win Win Troy Arkansas State .13 .17 -.03 .621 6.1 L 43-50 -7 13.1 Loss Win Utah Washington State -.08 .41 -.70 .510 .5 W 38-13 25 24.5 Win Loss Utah State Colorado State .82 1.46 .09 .897 24.7 W 34-24 10 14.7 Win Loss Vanderbilt Northern Illinois .13 .17 .12 .640 7.2 W 24-18 6 1.2 Win Loss Virginia Tech Duke -.08 .00 -.27 .514 .7 L 10-45 -35 35.7 Loss Win Wake Forest Boston College .21 .17 .17 .533 1.6 W 27-24 3 1.4 Win Win Washington USC .25 .52 .07 .702 10.7 W 28-14 14 3.3 Win Loss Western Kentucky UAB .00 -.08 -.31 .521 1.0 W 20-13 7 6.0 Win Win Western Michigan Central Michigan .51 .68 .32 .798 16.9 W 31-15 16 .9 Win Win Wisconsin Northwestern .90 .31 1.37 .918 26.7 W 24-15 9 17.7 Win Loss Wyoming UNLV .35 .43 .21 .730 12.4 W 53-17 36 23.6 Win Win

Week 4 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Alabama Southern Mississippi 1.43 1.73 1.34 .990 43.0 W 49-7 42 1.0 Win Win Appalachian State North Carolina .52 .78 .41 .713 11.3 W 34-31 3 8.3 Win Win Arizona State Colorado .25 .42 -.09 .673 9.0 L 31-34 -3 12.0 Loss Loss Arkansas San Jose State .58 .60 .47 .817 18.3 L 24-31 -7 25.3 Loss Win Auburn Texas A&M .26 .39 .19 .578 3.8 W 28-20 8 4.2 Win Win Baylor Rice 1.21 1.97 .51 .942 29.1 W 21-13 8 21.1 Win Loss Boise State Air Force .39 .84 -.02 .756 14.1 W 30-19 11 3.1 Win Win Boston College Rutgers .41 .08 .82 .655 8.0 W 30-16 14 6.0 Win Win Central Florida Pittsburgh .46 .89 .08 .674 9.1 L 34-35 -1 10.1 Loss Loss Clemson Charlotte 1.57 1.48 1.70 .990 45.6 W 52-10 42 3.6 Win Win Coastal Carolina Massachusetts .34 1.05 -.59 .581 4.0 W 62-28 34 30.0 Win Loss Florida Tennessee .41 .25 .64 .767 14.8 W 34-3 31 16.2 Win Win Florida State Louisville .39 .48 .25 .747 13.5 W 35-24 11 2.5 Win Win Georgia Notre Dame .39 .73 .04 .752 13.8 W 23-17 6 7.8 Win Win Houston Tulane .19 .51 -.09 .538 1.8 L 31-38 -7 8.8 Loss Loss Indiana Connecticut 1.11 1.63 .40 .965 31.7 W 38-3 35 3.3 Win Win Iowa State Louisiana Monroe .48 .95 .04 .791 16.4 W 72-20 52 35.6 Win Loss Kent State Bowling Green .20 .25 -.02 .650 7.7 W 62-20 42 34.3 Win Loss Louisiana Tech Florida International .11 .43 -.11 .640 7.1 W 43-31 12 4.9 Win Win LSU Vanderbilt .96 1.01 .75 .853 21.0 W 66-38 28 7.0 Win Loss Miami Central Michigan .77 .06 1.44 .886 23.8 W 17-12 5 18.8 Win Win Michigan State Northwestern .24 -.84 1.28 .552 2.5 W 31-10 21 18.5 Win Loss Mississippi California .11 .17 .08 .630 6.6 L 20-28 -8 14.6 Loss Loss Mississippi State Kentucky .51 .36 .65 .799 17.0 W 28-13 15 2.0 Win Win Missouri South Carolina .42 .65 .20 .766 14.7 W 34-14 20 5.3 Win Win Nebraska Illinois .28 .59 .15 .603 5.2 W 42-38 4 1.2 Win Win Nevada UTEP .64 .29 .75 .723 12.0 W 37-21 16 4.0 Win Loss New Mexico New Mexico State .11 .41 -.17 .629 6.5 W 55-52 3 3.5 Win Loss North Carolina State Ball State .77 1.14 .39 .887 23.9 W 34-23 11 12.9 Win Loss North Texas UTSA .65 .49 .73 .844 20.3 W 45-3 42 21.7 Win Win Ohio Louisiana Lafayette .36 1.35 -.60 .742 13.2 L 25-45 -20 33.2 Loss Loss Ohio State Miami (OH) 1.19 1.64 .70 .989 34.8 W 76-5 71 36.2 Win Loss Oregon Stanford .29 .52 -.02 .574 3.7 W 21-6 15 11.3 Win Loss Syracuse Western Michigan -.14 .21 -.45 .501 .1 W 52-33 19 18.9 Win Loss TCU SMU .42 .21 .65 .768 14.8 L 38-41 -3 17.8 Loss Loss Temple Buffalo .51 .63 .25 .675 9.1 L 22-38 -16 25.1 Loss Win Texas Oklahoma State -.11 .80 -1.01 .514 .7 W 36-30 6 5.3 Win Win Texas State Georgia State .14 .27 -.05 .634 6.8 W 37-34 3 3.8 Win Push Toledo Colorado State .37 1.26 -.58 .617 5.9 W 41-35 6 .1 Win Win Troy Akron .58 .18 .97 .720 11.8 W 35-7 28 16.2 Win Loss Tulsa Wyoming .20 -.02 .36 .663 8.5 W 24-21 3 5.5 Win Loss UAB South Alabama .59 .68 .56 .835 19.6 W 35-3 32 12.4 Win Win Utah USC .25 .06 .33 .549 2.4 L 23-30 -7 9.4 Loss Win Utah State San Diego State .12 -.12 .55 .519 .9 W 23-17 6 5.1 Win Loss Virginia Old Dominion .77 .88 .65 .888 23.9 W 28-17 11 12.9 Win Win Washington BYU .41 .39 .59 .664 8.5 W 45-19 26 17.5 Win Win Washington State UCLA .47 1.28 -.28 .790 16.4 L 63-67 -4 20.4 Loss Win West Virginia Kansas .79 .96 .54 .800 17.1 W 29-24 5 12.1 Win Win Wisconsin Michigan .15 -.17 .40 .638 7.0 W 35-14 21 14.0 Win Win

Week 3 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Alabama South Carolina 1.26 1.61 .95 .952 30.2 W 47-23 24 6.2 Win Loss Arizona Texas Tech .01 .77 -.86 .562 3.0 W 28-14 14 11.0 Win Win Arkansas Colorado State .40 .76 -.17 .735 12.7 W 55-34 21 8.3 Win Win Army UTSA 1.10 1.05 1.16 .909 25.9 W 31-13 18 7.9 Win Win Auburn Kent State 1.15 .90 1.52 .989 34.8 W 55-16 39 4.2 Win Loss Boston College Kansas .61 .26 .93 .835 19.6 L 24-48 -24 43.6 Loss Loss Buffalo Liberty .22 .65 .05 .583 4.1 L 17-35 -18 22.1 Loss Win California North Texas .26 .16 .39 .700 10.6 W 23-17 6 4.6 Win Win Central Florida Stanford .21 .60 -.23 .668 8.7 W 45-27 18 9.3 Win Loss Central Michigan Akron .04 -.80 .83 .586 4.3 W 45-24 21 16.7 Win Win Charlotte Massachusetts .33 .50 -.17 .691 10.1 W 52-17 35 24.9 Win Loss Cincinnati Miami (OH) .44 .38 .41 .763 14.5 W 35-13 22 7.5 Win Loss Clemson Syracuse 1.12 .92 1.35 .916 26.5 W 41-6 35 8.5 Win Loss Colorado Air Force -.01 .42 -.39 .573 3.6 L 23-30 -7 10.6 Loss Loss Florida Kentucky .37 .01 .56 .603 5.2 W 29-21 8 2.8 Win Win Florida Atlantic Ball State .22 .56 -.01 .564 3.1 W 41-31 10 6.9 Win Win Georgia Arkansas State .94 1.03 .72 .928 27.7 W 55-0 55 27.3 Win Loss Illinois Eastern Michigan .11 -.02 -.09 .584 4.2 L 31-34 -3 7.2 Loss Win Iowa Iowa State .40 .14 .60 .632 6.7 W 18-17 1 5.7 Win Loss Louisiana Tech Bowling Green .66 .91 .29 .744 13.3 W 35-7 28 14.7 Win Win Memphis South Alabama 1.08 1.39 .52 .883 23.5 W 42-6 36 12.5 Win Win Michigan State Arizona State .19 -.15 .50 .661 8.3 L 7-10 -3 11.3 Loss Win Middle Tennessee Duke -.13 -.06 -.13 .511 .5 L 18-41 -23 23.5 Loss Loss Minnesota Georgia Southern .17 .14 .17 .652 7.8 W 35-32 3 4.8 Win Win Mississippi State Kansas State .44 .53 .48 .786 16.1 L 24-31 -7 23.1 Loss Loss Navy East Carolina .07 .69 -.44 .621 6.1 W 42-10 32 25.9 Win Loss Nebraska Northern Illinois .11 .01 .25 .632 6.7 W 44-8 36 29.3 Win Loss Northwestern UNLV .66 .52 .76 .849 20.7 W 30-14 16 4.7 Win Loss Notre Dame New Mexico 1.22 1.30 .96 .988 34.7 W 66-14 52 17.3 Win Win Ohio Marshall .22 .39 .12 .559 2.9 L 31-33 -2 4.9 Loss Win Ohio State Indiana .60 1.16 .22 .749 13.6 W 51-10 41 27.4 Win Loss Oklahoma UCLA .75 2.09 -.48 .801 17.1 W 48-14 34 16.9 Win Loss Oklahoma State Tulsa .44 1.17 -.23 .666 8.6 W 40-21 19 10.4 Win Loss Penn State Pittsburgh .40 .35 .51 .762 14.5 W 17-10 7 7.5 Win Win San Diego State New Mexico State .87 .59 1.01 .823 18.7 W 31-10 21 2.3 Win Win SMU Texas State .26 .13 .36 .694 10.2 W 47-17 30 19.8 Win Loss TCU Purdue .18 .03 .33 .528 1.3 W 34-13 21 19.7 Win Loss Temple Maryland .10 -.04 .21 .617 5.9 W 20-17 3 2.9 Win Win Texas Rice .85 1.11 .79 .887 23.9 W 48-13 35 11.1 Win Loss Troy Southern Mississippi -.02 -.40 .50 .581 4.0 L 42-47 -5 9.0 Loss Loss USC BYU .15 .20 .17 .519 .9 L 27-30 -3 3.9 Loss Win Virginia Florida State -.11 -.44 .37 .533 1.6 W 31-24 7 5.4 Win Push Wake Forest North Carolina .05 .31 -.16 .604 5.2 W 24-18 6 .8 Win Win Washington Hawaii .78 1.09 .75 .912 26.2 W 52-20 32 5.8 Win Win Washington State Houston .34 1.26 -.54 .615 5.8 W 31-24 7 1.2 Win Win West Virginia North Carolina State .04 .41 -.42 .581 4.0 W 44-27 17 13.0 Win Win Western Kentucky Louisville .23 .48 -.02 .622 6.2 L 21-38 -17 23.2 Loss Loss Western Michigan Georgia State .57 1.30 -.29 .811 17.8 W 57-10 47 29.2 Win Win

Week 2 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Alabama New Mexico State 2.11 2.38 1.76 .990 59.2 W 62-10 52 7.2 Win Loss Appalachian State Charlotte 1.00 .69 1.37 .954 30.5 W 56-41 15 15.5 Win Loss Arkansas State UNLV .37 .71 .09 .632 6.7 W 43-17 26 19.3 Win Win Auburn Tulane .84 .53 1.06 .902 25.2 W 24-6 18 7.2 Win Win Baylor UTSA .91 .98 .73 .921 27.0 W 63-14 49 22.0 Win Win Boise State Marshall .56 .45 .63 .815 18.1 W 14-7 7 11.1 Win Loss Central Florida Florida Atlantic .57 .94 .15 .711 11.3 W 48-14 34 22.7 Win Loss Clemson Texas A&M .79 .83 .69 .890 24.1 W 24-10 14 10.1 Win Loss Colorado Nebraska -.05 .11 -.21 .545 2.2 W 34-31 3 .8 Win Win Florida International Western Kentucky .02 .42 -.50 .567 3.3 L 14-20 -6 9.3 Loss Win Florida State Louisiana Monroe .66 .69 .47 .839 19.9 W 45-44 1 18.9 Win Win Fresno State Minnesota -.22 -.42 .35 .503 .1 L 35-38 -3 3.1 Loss Push Georgia Tech South Florida .08 .62 -.34 .628 6.5 W 14-10 4 2.5 Win Loss Hawaii Oregon State .23 1.21 -.84 .674 9.1 W 31-28 3 6.1 Win Loss Illinois Connecticut .71 1.43 -.14 .763 14.5 W 31-23 8 6.5 Win Win Iowa Rutgers .96 .44 1.41 .937 28.6 W 30-0 30 1.4 Win Win Kansas Coastal Carolina -.06 .43 -.34 .568 3.3 L 7-12 -5 8.3 Loss Win Kansas State Bowling Green .74 1.07 .23 .865 22.0 W 52-0 52 30.0 Win Loss Kentucky Eastern Michigan .47 .15 .68 .773 15.2 W 38-17 21 5.8 Win Loss Louisiana Lafayette Liberty .15 .72 -.43 .644 7.4 W 35-14 21 13.6 Win Loss LSU Texas .63 .36 .66 .717 11.6 W 45-38 7 4.6 Win Win Miami North Carolina .35 .12 .67 .625 6.3 L 25-28 -3 9.3 Loss Loss Michigan Army .29 .41 .11 .704 10.8 W 24-21 3 7.8 Win Win Michigan State Western Michigan .21 .10 .45 .689 9.9 W 51-17 34 24.1 Win Loss Mississippi Arkansas .18 .63 -.15 .676 9.2 W 31-17 14 4.8 Win Win Mississippi State Southern Mississippi .55 .20 1.19 .841 20.1 W 38-15 23 2.9 Win Win Missouri West Virginia .10 .38 -.19 .621 6.1 W 38-7 31 24.9 Win Loss Ohio State Cincinnati .51 .81 .26 .805 17.4 W 42-0 42 24.6 Win Win Oregon Nevada .39 .49 .31 .755 14.0 W 77-6 71 57.0 Win Loss Penn State Buffalo .65 .71 .43 .838 19.8 W 45-13 32 12.2 Win Loss Pittsburgh Ohio -.06 .44 -.68 .525 1.2 W 20-10 10 8.8 Win Loss Purdue Vanderbilt -.02 .22 -.30 .557 2.8 W 42-24 18 15.2 Win Loss SMU North Texas -.02 .09 -.19 .552 2.5 W 49-27 22 19.5 Win Loss Stanford USC .12 .26 .07 .505 .3 L 20-45 -25 25.3 Loss Loss Syracuse Maryland .16 .04 .22 .507 .3 L 20-63 -43 43.3 Loss Loss Tennessee BYU .14 .03 .10 .623 6.2 L 26-29 -3 9.2 Loss Loss Texas Tech UTEP .89 1.14 .37 .904 25.4 W 38-3 35 9.6 Win Loss Tulsa San Jose State .41 .38 .45 .646 7.5 W 34-16 18 10.5 Win Win UAB Akron .35 .01 .92 .645 7.4 W 31-20 11 3.6 Win Loss UCLA San Diego State .02 -.17 .19 .580 4.0 L 14-23 -9 13.0 Loss Win Utah Northern Illinois .46 -.25 1.04 .768 14.9 W 35-17 18 3.1 Win Win Virginia Tech Old Dominion .70 .95 .19 .846 20.5 W 31-17 14 6.5 Win Win Wake Forest Rice .61 .72 .60 .745 13.4 W 41-21 20 6.6 Win Push Washington California .49 .12 1.03 .810 17.7 L 19-20 -1 18.7 Loss Loss Wisconsin Central Michigan 1.02 .44 1.53 .952 30.2 W 61-0 61 30.8 Win Loss Wyoming Texas State .14 -.29 .73 .527 1.3 W 23-14 9 7.7 Win Loss

Week 1 Game Projections

Projected Winner

Projected Loser TA OA DA PWL PM Final FM PE SU ATS Alabama Duke 1.37 1.50 1.15 .990 35.8 W 42-3 39 3.2 Win Win Arizona State Kent State .68 .88 .63 .872 22.6 W 30-7 23 .4 Win Win Arkansas State SMU .21 .29 .28 .692 10.1 L 30-37 -7 17.1 Loss Loss Army Rice .96 1.42 .69 .953 30.3 W 14-7 7 23.3 Win Loss Auburn Oregon .30 .48 .16 .660 8.3 W 27-21 6 2.3 Win Win Boise State Florida State .16 .23 .37 .621 6.1 W 36-31 5 1.1 Win Win Boston College Virginia Tech -.17 -.31 .24 .517 .8 W 35-28 7 6.2 Win Win Cincinnati UCLA .19 .33 .10 .670 8.9 W 24-14 10 1.1 Win Win Clemson Georgia Tech 1.11 1.42 .66 .968 32.1 W 52-14 38 5.9 Win Loss Colorado Colorado State .46 .67 .08 .708 11.1 W 52-31 21 9.9 Win Loss Eastern Michigan Coastal Carolina .10 .51 -.07 .515 .7 W 30-23 7 6.3 Win Loss Florida International Tulane .29 .29 .00 .545 2.2 L 14-42 -28 30.2 Loss Loss Georgia Vanderbilt 1.00 1.23 .68 .872 22.5 W 30-6 24 1.5 Win Win Illinois Akron .18 -.15 .30 .635 6.9 W 42-3 39 32.1 Win Loss Indiana Ball State .61 .88 .34 .788 16.2 W 34-24 10 6.2 Win Win Iowa Miami (OH) .59 .28 .85 .825 18.9 W 38-14 24 5.1 Win Win Kentucky Toledo .13 .46 -.21 .635 6.9 W 38-24 14 7.1 Win Loss LSU Georgia Southern .60 .61 .60 .834 19.6 W 55-3 52 32.4 Win Loss Memphis Mississippi .20 .86 -.71 .641 7.2 W 15-10 5 2.2 Win Win Michigan Middle Tennessee .74 .57 .77 .868 22.3 W 40-21 19 3.3 Win Win Michigan State Tulsa .54 .12 .95 .811 17.8 W 28-7 21 3.2 Win Win Mississippi State Louisiana Lafayette .92 1.34 .59 .900 25.0 W 38-28 10 15.0 Win Loss Missouri Wyoming .73 .43 .96 .776 15.4 L 31-37 -6 21.4 Loss Loss Nebraska South Alabama .83 1.12 .38 .894 24.5 W 35-21 14 10.5 Win Win Nevada Purdue -.02 .00 -.16 .546 2.2 W 34-31 3 .8 Win Win North Carolina State East Carolina .62 .98 .31 .845 20.4 W 34-6 28 7.6 Win Win Notre Dame Louisville .79 1.16 .53 .817 18.2 W 35-17 18 .2 Win Win Ohio State Florida Atlantic .99 1.46 .46 .945 29.4 W 45-21 24 5.4 Win Loss Oklahoma Houston .72 2.09 -.68 .871 22.5 W 49-31 18 4.5 Win Loss Oklahoma State Oregon State .76 1.93 -.29 .806 17.5 W 52-36 16 1.5 Win Win Pittsburgh Virginia .00 -.11 .05 .563 3.1 L 14-30 -16 19.1 Loss Loss Rutgers Massachusetts .30 .23 .15 .690 10.0 W 48-21 27 17.0 Win Loss South Carolina North Carolina .25 .64 -.07 .640 7.2 L 20-24 -4 11.2 Loss Win Stanford Northwestern .05 -.18 .39 .611 5.6 W 17-7 10 4.4 Win Loss Syracuse Liberty .53 .46 .60 .700 10.6 W 24-0 24 13.4 Win Loss Tennessee Georgia State .78 1.07 .35 .881 23.3 L 30-38 -8 31.3 Loss Win Texas Louisiana Tech .11 .12 .33 .655 8.0 W 45-14 31 23.0 Win Loss Texas A&M Texas State .79 .80 .85 .900 25.0 W 41-7 34 9.0 Win Loss USC Fresno State .15 -.11 .15 .614 5.7 W 31-23 8 2.3 Win Win Utah BYU .36 -.01 .57 .602 5.1 W 30-12 18 12.9 Win Win Utah State Wake Forest .37 .42 .48 .646 7.5 L 35-38 -3 10.5 Loss Win Washington State New Mexico State 1.08 1.63 .52 .968 32.1 W 58-7 51 18.9 Win Loss Wisconsin South Florida .60 .47 .70 .728 12.3 W 49-0 49 36.7 Win Win

Week 0 Game Projections