Pre-election Presidential polls: preparing for a stolen election

Richard Charnin

Oct. 19, 2016

Just published: 77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud

Matrix of Deceit

Proving Election Fraud

The media wants voters to believe that Clinton has a substantial lead in the polls – while maintaining that the Russians are working with Wikileaks and are preparing to hack the voting machines for Trump. But the media won’t discuss the history of election fraud going back decades on proprietary voting machines and central tabulators. And that 2016 Election fraud is proven by exit poll discrepancies favoring Clinton in 24 of 26 states.

The latest Fox poll shows Clinton leading 45-39% over Trump. Johnson and Jill Stein have 5% and 3%, respectively.The Party-ID weights are 43% Dem, 38% Rep and 19% Ind. Candidate vote shares were calculated to match the poll results.

In order to match the Fox poll, Clinton had approximately 35% of Independents and Trump 30%. Approximately 17% of Independents support Johnson and Stein while 18% (can we consider them Independents?) show no preference..

But the latest Gallup party affiliation survey indicates that 40% are Independents, 32% Democrats and 28% Republicans. Using the survey percentages, and assuming that 50% of Independents support Johnson and Stein, then Trump is leading Clinton by 36-35%, with 16% for Stein and 13% for Johnson.

Applying the Gallup weights adjusted proportionally to each of 15 battleground states, Trump leads by 36.9-34.5% and wins 13 states with a 142-51 lead in electoral votes.

In anticipation of the final presidential debate, it is instructive to recall the Democratic primaries. Eleven of 26 exit poll discrepancies exceeded the margin of error – a 1 in 77 billion probability.

Wikileaks documents provide confirmation that the primaries were rigged against Sanders while Donald Trump easily won the Republican primaries.

Other than Fox News, the Clinton email scandal is ignored in the mainstream media. They would rather focus on Trump’s locker room comments years ago- which are no different than the language used every day on cable and in films. The media would rather dwell on this non-issue than discuss the monumental Clinton/DNC scandals unfolding every day.

View the spreadsheet calculations and source data links.

The Fox Poll

Party-ID Pct Clinton Trump Johnson Stein na Ind 19% 35% 30% 10% 7% 18% Dem 43% 85% 5% 2% 2% 6% Rep 38% 5% 82% 6% 2% 5% Calc 100% 45.1% 39.0% 5.0% 3.0% 7.9% Poll 100% 45.0% 39.0% 5.0% 3.0% 8.0%

True Vote: Gallup party affiliation survey

Gallup Pct Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Ind 40% 20% 30% 20% 30% Dem 32% 80% 5% 5% 10% Rep 28% 5% 80% 12% 3% Calc 100% 35.0% 36.0% 13.0% 16.0% Poll 92% 45.0% 39.0% 5.0% 3.0% Diff 8% -10.0% -3.0% 8.0% 13.0%

15 Battleground states

Gallup Pct Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Ind 38.7% 20% 30% 20% 30% Dem 31.6% 80% 5% 5% 10% Rep 29.7% 5% 80% 12% 3% Calc 100% 34.5% 37.0% 12.9% 15.7% Poll 95.0% 45.4% 42.9% 5.4% 1.3% Diff 5.0% -10.9% -6.0% 7.5% 14.4%

Gallup Party-ID EV Dem Rep Ind AZ 11 22.8% 27.3% 49.8% CO 9 24.4% 26.2% 49.5% FL 29 30.6% 27.8% 41.5% GA 16 30.8% 34.2% 35.0% IA 6 24.5% 25.4% 50.0% ME 4 25.2% 21.5% 53.3% MI 16 34.7% 29.4% 35.9% MN 10 34.7% 31.0% 34.3% MO 10 30.8% 35.0% 34.2% NC 15 32.9% 24.2% 42.9% NV 6 31.3% 27.5% 41.2% OH 18 32.4% 33.4% 34.2% PA 20 39.1% 29.2% 31.8% VA 13 31.6% 33.4% 35.0% WI 10 33.9% 32.6% 33.5% Total Evote 193 Average 30.6% 29.2% 40.1% Wtd Avg 31.6% 29.7% 38.7%

Polls Trump Clinton 10/19 Clinton Trump Johnson Stein EVote EVote AZ 42 44 9 1 11 CO 45 37 10 3 9 FL 48 44 4 1 29 GA 42 48 4 0 16 IA 39 43 6 2 6 ME 44 36 9 3 4 MI 47 37 7 4 16 MN 43 43 4 2 tie tie MO 42 47 4 1 10 NC 48 47 4 0 15 NV 47 40 7 0 6 OH 45 45 6 1 tie tie PA 47 41 6 1 20 VA 46 43 6 0 13 WI 47 39 1 3 10 Total EV 43 122 Average 44.8 42.3 5.8 1.5 Wtd Avg 45.4 42.9 5.4 1.3

Gallup Party_ID Trump Clinton True Vote Clinton Trump Johnson Stein EVote EVote AZ 29.6% 38.0% 14.4% 18.1% 11 CO 30.7% 37.0% 14.3% 18.1% 9 FL 34.2% 36.2% 13.2% 16.3% 29 GA 33.4% 39.4% 12.6% 14.6% 16 IA 30.9% 36.6% 14.3% 18.2% 6 ME 31.9% 34.5% 14.5% 19.1% 4 MI 36.4% 36.0% 12.4% 15.1% 16 MN 36.2% 36.8% 12.3% 14.7% 10 MO 33.2% 39.8% 12.6% 14.4% 10 NC 36.1% 33.9% 13.1% 16.9% 15 NV 34.7% 35.9% 13.1% 16.3% 6 OH 34.4% 38.6% 12.5% 14.5% 18 PA 39.1% 34.9% 11.8% 14.3% 20 VA 34.0% 38.8% 12.6% 14.7% 13 WI 35.5% 37.8% 12.3% 14.4% 10 Total EV 142 51 Average 34.0% 36.9% 13.1% 16.0% Wtd Avg 34.5% 36.9% 12.9% 15.7%