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Tesla’s stock is of sufficient interest to investors–both bullish and bearish–that just about any day could bring a sharp move for just about any imaginable reason. Another big one could occur this week.

The electric auto maker typically reports the previous three months’ deliveries and production numbers shortly after each quarter ends. Tesla doesn’t announce the date in advance, but Monday is the last day of September.

Tesla usually discloses deliveries by model, illuminating likely margins. Wall Street expects 98,000 third-quarter deliveries, a bit above the second quarter’s 95,386. (On Thursday, the Electrek website reported that an internal email from CEO Elon Musk said that Tesla has “a shot” at 100,000 deliveries. The company did not respond to Barron’s request for comment.) The range of guesses tracked by FactSet—89,000 to 108,000—is narrow, compared to that for the bottom line.

Wall Street’s consensus estimate is for a loss of 42 cents a share. Some analysts, however, foresee a deficit of more than a dollar per share; others expect a profit. Musk has said that Tesla might break even in the third quarter, then post a fourth-quarter profit. The shares have nevertheless fallen 8.7% since before Tesla’s last earnings report on July 24.

Some probably have already moved past the third-quarter outlook. “Gross margins, and whether Tesla has a viable economic model, remain the paramount questions,” wrote Bernstein analyst Toni Sacconaghi on Tuesday. “It is unclear investors will get clear answers in the foreseeable future.”

Next Week

Monday 9/30

The Institute for Supply Management releases the MNI Chicago Purchasing Managers Index for September. Economists forecast a 50 reading, roughly even with August’s data. In June and July, the Chicago PMI was below 50, indicating that the manufacturing and service sectors were contracting.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas releases its Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey for September. Consensus estimates are for a 2.1 reading, down from August’s 2.7.

Tuesday 10/1

Spice maker McCormick reports third-quarter earnings.

The Reserve Bank of Australia announces its monetary-policy decision. The futures market predicts a better than 50% chance that the central bank will cut its cash rate from 1% to 0.75%.

The Census Bureau reports construction spending data for August. Expectations are for a 0.4% bump

to a seasonally adjusted annual rate

of $1.29 trillion.

Wednesday 10/2

Lamb Weston Holdings, Lennar, and Paychex release quarterly results.

Ford Motor reports U.S. sales data for the third quarter.

Eli Lilly hosts a webcast to update investors on some of its cancer drugs.

Clorox hosts a webcast of its 2019 analyst day. The company’s management will discuss its new corporate strategy.

ADP releases its National Employment Report for September. Expectations are for a gain of 150,000 private-sector jobs, down from August’s 195,000 rise.

Thursday 10/3

Constellation Brands, Costco Wholesale, and PepsiCo hold conference calls to discuss earnings.

HP Inc. holds a securities analyst meeting in Palo Alto.

Intuit hosts its annual investor day

in Mountain View, Calif.

The ISM releases its Non-Manufacturing Index for September. Consensus estimates are for a 55.3 reading, below August’s 56.4 figure. Unlike ISM’s Manufacturing Index, which dipped below 50 in August, the Non-Manufacturing Index has been comfortably above the expansionary level of 50 this year.

Friday 10/4

The Federal Reserve Board holds a Fed Listens event in Washington, D.C. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will give the opening remarks at the symposium, where the subject will be “Perspectives on Maximum Employment and Price Stability.”

Email: editors@barrons.com