Electoral Votes: Obama 237 McCain 290 Ties 11 Go to Clinton vs. McCain Previous report Next report Main page



Strong Dem (142) Weak Dem (86) Barely Dem (9) Exactly tied (11) Barely GOP (120) Weak GOP (73) Strong GOP (97) 270 Electoral votes needed to win Map algorithm explained Presidential polls today: KY MI NC PA VA Dem pickups (vs. 2004): CO IA GOP pickups (vs. 2004): MI NH WI Complete polling data in .csv format. Data used to produce the map in .csv format. State Democrat Republican End Len Dem GOP I Pollster Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Apr 24 9 36% 55% Capital Survey Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 32% 64% SurveyUSA Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Apr 02 1 37% 55% Rasmussen Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Mar 27 4 30% 57% U. of South Alabama Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 35% 62% SurveyUSA Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 40% 54% SurveyUSA Alabama Barack Obama John McCain Jan 17 2 29% 63% SurveyUSA Alabama John Kerry George Bush 1 37% 63% Election 2004 Alaska Barack Obama John McCain Apr 07 1 43% 48% Rasmussen Alaska Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 43% 48% SurveyUSA Alaska John Kerry George Bush 1 35% 62% Election 2004 Arizona Barack Obama John McCain Apr 27 4 38% 47% Arizona State U. Arizona Barack Obama John McCain Apr 15 1 37% 57% Rasmussen Arizona Barack Obama John McCain Apr 08 10 33% 55% Northern Arizona U. Arizona Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 51% SurveyUSA Arizona Barack Obama John McCain Feb 24 4 38% 49% Arizona State U. Arizona John Kerry George Bush 1 45% 55% Election 2004 Arkansas Barack Obama John McCain Mar 18 1 30% 59% Rasmussen Arkansas Barack Obama John McCain Mar 11 6 27% 43% Opinion Res. Arkansas Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 33% 53% SurveyUSA Arkansas John Kerry George Bush 1 45% 54% Election 2004 California Barack Obama John McCain Apr 16 1 50% 43% Rasmussen California Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 50% 43% SurveyUSA California Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 54% 40% SurveyUSA California Barack Obama John McCain Mar 18 8 49% 40% Public Policy Institute of California California Barack Obama John McCain Mar 12 1 53% 38% Rasmussen California Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 51% 40% SurveyUSA California Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 61% 34% SurveyUSA California John Kerry George Bush 1 55% 44% Election 2004 Colorado Barack Obama John McCain Apr 16 1 46% 43% Rasmussen Colorado Barack Obama John McCain Mar 17 1 46% 46% Rasmussen Colorado Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 41% SurveyUSA Colorado John Kerry George Bush 1 47% 52% Election 2004 Connecticut Barack Obama John McCain Mar 24 6 52% 35% Quinnipiac U. Connecticut Barack Obama John McCain Mar 11 1 50% 38% Rasmussen Connecticut Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 55% 34% SurveyUSA Connecticut John Kerry George Bush 1 54% 44% Election 2004 D.C. John Kerry George Bush 1 90% 9% Election 2004 Delaware Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 41% SurveyUSA Delaware John Kerry George Bush 1 53% 46% Election 2004 Florida Barack Obama John McCain Apr 29 7 43% 44% Quinnipiac U. Florida Barack Obama John McCain Apr 10 1 38% 53% Rasmussen Florida Barack Obama John McCain Mar 31 8 37% 46% Quinnipiac U. Florida Barack Obama John McCain Mar 12 1 43% 47% Rasmussen Florida Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 45% 47% SurveyUSA Florida Barack Obama John McCain Feb 16 1 37% 53% Rasmussen Florida John Kerry George Bush 1 47% 52% Election 2004 Georgia Barack Obama John McCain May 06 1 39% 53% Rasmussen Georgia Barack Obama John McCain Mar 20 1 40% 53% Rasmussen Georgia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 54% SurveyUSA Georgia John Kerry George Bush 1 41% 58% Election 2004 Hawaii Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 61% 31% SurveyUSA Hawaii John Kerry George Bush 1 54% 45% Election 2004 Idaho Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 52% SurveyUSA Idaho John Kerry George Bush 1 30% 69% Election 2004 Illinois Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 60% 31% SurveyUSA Illinois John Kerry George Bush 1 55% 45% Election 2004 Indiana Barack Obama John McCain Apr 24 4 43% 51% Research 2000 Indiana Barack Obama John McCain Apr 23 4 49% 41% Selzer Indiana Barack Obama John McCain Apr 16 3 44% 51% IPFW U. Indiana Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 50% SurveyUSA Indiana Barack Obama John McCain Feb 04 2 40% 50% SurveyUSA Indiana John Kerry George Bush 1 39% 60% Election 2004 Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Apr 23 3 49% 41% Research 2000 Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 49% 42% SurveyUSA Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Mar 31 1 46% 42% Rasmussen Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 50% 44% SurveyUSA Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 41% SurveyUSA Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Feb 18 1 44% 41% Rasmussen Iowa Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 51% 41% SurveyUSA Iowa John Kerry George Bush 1 49% 50% Election 2004 Kansas Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 37% 54% SurveyUSA Kansas Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 39% 51% SurveyUSA Kansas Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 50% SurveyUSA Kansas Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 44% 50% SurveyUSA Kansas John Kerry George Bush 1 37% 62% Election 2004 Kentucky Barack Obama John McCain May 09 3 33% 58% Research 2000 Kentucky Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 29% 63% SurveyUSA Kentucky Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 28% 64% SurveyUSA Kentucky Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 33% 54% SurveyUSA Kentucky Barack Obama John McCain Feb 04 2 32% 61% SurveyUSA Kentucky John Kerry George Bush 1 40% 60% Election 2004 Louisiana Barack Obama John McCain Apr 09 1 41% 52% Rasmussen Louisiana Barack Obama John McCain Apr 09 15 35% 51% Opinion Res. Louisiana Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 54% SurveyUSA Louisiana John Kerry George Bush 1 42% 57% Election 2004 Maine Barack Obama John McCain Apr 01 1 49% 39% Rasmussen Maine Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 53% 39% SurveyUSA Maine John Kerry George Bush 1 53% 45% Election 2004 Maryland Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 53% 40% SurveyUSA Maryland Barack Obama John McCain Mar 01 8 51% 37% Gonzales Res. Maryland John Kerry George Bush 1 56% 43% Election 2004 Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Apr 23 1 51% 39% Rasmussen Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 48% 46% SurveyUSA Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Mar 18 1 49% 42% Rasmussen Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 47% 47% SurveyUSA Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 49% 42% SurveyUSA Massachusetts Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 48% 46% SurveyUSA Massachusetts John Kerry George Bush 1 62% 37% Election 2004 Michigan Barack Obama John McCain May 08 1 44% 45% Rasmussen Michigan Barack Obama John McCain May 07 1 44% 45% Rasmussen Michigan Barack Obama John McCain Apr 08 6 43% 41% EPIC-MRA Michigan Barack Obama John McCain Mar 25 1 42% 43% Rasmussen Michigan Barack Obama John McCain Mar 10 1 41% 44% Rasmussen Michigan Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 45% SurveyUSA Michigan John Kerry George Bush 1 51% 48% Election 2004 Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Apr 22 1 52% 38% Rasmussen Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 49% 43% SurveyUSA Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Mar 19 1 47% 43% Rasmussen Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 46% 47% SurveyUSA Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 49% 42% SurveyUSA Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 16 1 53% 38% Rasmussen Minnesota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 55% 40% SurveyUSA Minnesota John Kerry George Bush 1 51% 48% Election 2004 Mississippi Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 41% 54% SurveyUSA Mississippi John Kerry George Bush 1 40% 60% Election 2004 Missouri Barack Obama John McCain May 06 1 41% 47% Rasmussen Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 42% 50% SurveyUSA Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Mar 24 1 38% 53% Rasmussen Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 39% 53% SurveyUSA Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 48% SurveyUSA Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 49% 43% SurveyUSA Missouri Barack Obama John McCain Feb 12 1 40% 42% Rasmussen Missouri John Kerry George Bush 1 46% 53% Election 2004 Montana Barack Obama John McCain Apr 06 1 43% 48% Rasmussen Montana Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 47% SurveyUSA Montana John Kerry George Bush 1 39% 59% Election 2004 Nebraska Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 45% SurveyUSA Nebraska John Kerry George Bush 1 32% 67% Election 2004 Nevada Barack Obama John McCain Apr 21 1 43% 48% Rasmussen Nevada Barack Obama John McCain Mar 19 1 45% 41% Rasmussen Nevada Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 41% SurveyUSA Nevada Barack Obama John McCain Feb 12 1 50% 38% Rasmussen Nevada John Kerry George Bush 1 48% 51% Election 2004 New Hampshire Barack Obama John McCain Apr 30 1 41% 51% Rasmussen New Hampshire Barack Obama John McCain Apr 30 6 43% 49% U. of New Hampshire New Hampshire Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 1 43% 46% Rasmussen New Hampshire Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 44% SurveyUSA New Hampshire John Kerry George Bush 1 50% 49% Election 2004 New Jersey Barack Obama John McCain Apr 28 5 56% 32% Monmouth U. New Jersey Barack Obama John McCain Mar 27 1 45% 46% Rasmussen New Jersey Barack Obama John McCain Mar 30 7 47% 42% Fairleigh Dickinson U. New Jersey Barack Obama John McCain Feb 27 1 43% 45% Rasmussen New Jersey Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 43% 43% SurveyUSA New Jersey John Kerry George Bush 1 53% 47% Election 2004 New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 44% 50% SurveyUSA New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Apr 08 1 45% 42% Rasmussen New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 51% 45% SurveyUSA New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 43% SurveyUSA New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Feb 18 2 44% 44% Rasmussen New Mexico Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 55% 40% SurveyUSA New Mexico John Kerry George Bush 1 49% 50% Election 2004 New York Barack Obama John McCain May 01 1 52% 35% Rasmussen New York Barack Obama John McCain Apr 15 2 47% 39% Quinnipiac U. New York Barack Obama John McCain Apr 16 4 45% 40% Siena Coll. New York Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 52% 43% SurveyUSA New York Barack Obama John McCain Apr 08 6 46% 48% Marist Coll. New York Barack Obama John McCain Mar 18 3 49% 38% Quinnipiac U. New York Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 52% 44% SurveyUSA New York Barack Obama John McCain Mar 11 1 51% 38% Rasmussen New York Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 52% 38% SurveyUSA New York Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 57% 36% SurveyUSA New York John Kerry George Bush 1 58% 41% Election 2004 North Carolina Barack Obama John McCain May 08 1 45% 48% Rasmussen North Carolina Barack Obama John McCain Apr 30 3 41% 50% Research 2000 North Carolina Barack Obama John McCain Apr 10 1 47% 47% Rasmussen North Carolina Barack Obama John McCain Apr 10 2 39% 48% Tel Opinion Research North Carolina Barack Obama John McCain Mar 20 1 42% 51% Rasmussen North Carolina Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 45% 47% SurveyUSA North Carolina John Kerry George Bush 1 44% 56% Election 2004 North Dakota Barack Obama John McCain Apr 03 11 38% 44% Dakota Wesleyan U. North Dakota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 42% SurveyUSA North Dakota John Kerry George Bush 1 36% 63% Election 2004 Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Apr 29 7 42% 43% Quinnipiac U. Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 45% 47% SurveyUSA Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Apr 08 1 40% 47% Rasmussen Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Mar 31 8 43% 42% Quinnipiac U. Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 43% 50% SurveyUSA Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Mar 13 1 40% 46% Rasmussen Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 50% 40% SurveyUSA Ohio Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 47% 44% SurveyUSA Ohio John Kerry George Bush 1 49% 51% Election 2004 Oklahoma Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 34% 57% SurveyUSA Oklahoma John Kerry George Bush 1 34% 66% Election 2004 Oregon Barack Obama John McCain May 07 1 52% 38% Rasmussen Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 51% 42% SurveyUSA Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Mar 26 1 48% 42% Rasmussen Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 50% 41% SurveyUSA Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 49% 41% SurveyUSA Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 48% 47% SurveyUSA Oregon Barack Obama John McCain Feb 13 1 49% 40% Rasmussen Oregon John Kerry George Bush 1 52% 48% Election 2004 Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain May 06 6 46% 39% Susquehanna Polling Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Apr 29 7 47% 38% Quinnipiac U. Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Apr 24 1 43% 44% Rasmussen Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Apr 09 1 47% 39% Rasmussen Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Mar 31 8 43% 39% Quinnipiac U. Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Mar 10 1 43% 44% Rasmussen Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Mar 10 6 41% 45% Susquehanna Polling Pennsylvania Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 42% 47% SurveyUSA Pennsylvania John Kerry George Bush 1 51% 49% Election 2004 Rhode Island Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 53% 38% SurveyUSA Rhode Island John Kerry George Bush 1 60% 39% Election 2004 South Carolina Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 45% 48% SurveyUSA South Carolina John Kerry George Bush 1 41% 58% Election 2004 South Dakota Barack Obama John McCain Apr 03 11 34% 51% Dakota Wesleyan U. South Dakota Barack Obama John McCain Mar 04 1 38% 48% Rasmussen South Dakota Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 43% 47% SurveyUSA South Dakota John Kerry George Bush 1 38% 60% Election 2004 Tennessee Barack Obama John McCain Apr 03 1 31% 58% Rasmussen Tennessee Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 38% 54% SurveyUSA Tennessee John Kerry George Bush 1 43% 57% Election 2004 Texas Barack Obama John McCain May 07 3 39% 52% Research 2000 Texas Barack Obama John McCain May 01 1 43% 48% Rasmussen Texas Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 46% 47% SurveyUSA Texas John Kerry George Bush 1 38% 61% Election 2004 Utah Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 39% 50% SurveyUSA Utah John Kerry George Bush 1 26% 71% Election 2004 Vermont Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 63% 29% SurveyUSA Vermont John Kerry George Bush 1 59% 39% Election 2004 Virginia Barack Obama John McCain May 08 1 44% 47% Rasmussen Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 44% 52% SurveyUSA Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Mar 27 1 41% 52% Rasmussen Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 48% 47% SurveyUSA Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 47% 47% SurveyUSA Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 19 1 44% 49% Rasmussen Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 51% 45% SurveyUSA Virginia John Kerry George Bush 1 45% 54% Election 2004 Washington Barack Obama John McCain Apr 16 3 53% 40% SurveyUSA Washington Barack Obama John McCain Mar 27 1 48% 43% Rasmussen Washington Barack Obama John McCain Mar 20 3 45% 39% Elway Poll Washington Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 52% 41% SurveyUSA Washington Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 1 44% 45% Rasmussen Washington Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 52% 38% SurveyUSA Washington Barack Obama John McCain Feb 04 2 55% 38% SurveyUSA Washington John Kerry George Bush 1 53% 46% Election 2004 West Virginia Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 35% 53% SurveyUSA West Virginia John Kerry George Bush 1 43% 56% Election 2004 Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain May 05 1 43% 47% Rasmussen Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Apr 24 10 47% 43% U. of Wisconsin Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Apr 13 3 49% 44% SurveyUSA Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Apr 05 12 46% 42% St. Norbert Coll. Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Mar 26 1 46% 48% Rasmussen Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Mar 16 3 48% 44% SurveyUSA Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 51% 40% SurveyUSA Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Feb 21 1 44% 43% Rasmussen Wisconsin Barack Obama John McCain Feb 17 3 52% 42% SurveyUSA Wisconsin John Kerry George Bush 1 50% 49% Election 2004 Wyoming Barack Obama John McCain Feb 28 3 35% 54% SurveyUSA Wyoming John Kerry George Bush 1 29% 69% Election 2004



