Image by Daniel Schwen

The poll released yesterday by Morning Consult/Politico shows former Vice President Joe Biden with an 8 point lead over Donald Trump in the 2020 presidential election. To many that is shocking because the president’s approval rating and numbers have been quite high at this point in his presidency, even higher than Barack Obamas during the first 2 years.

However, if you dig below the surface of the polling data, the reason for this anomoly becomes starkly clear. The poll shows this big of a lead because most polled were Democrats.

See the data below taken from the Morning Consult polling data publicly released.

The poll shows widespread support among women for Biden; of course it does, because Dem women were the biggest group polled.

The poll shows an obvious overrepresentation of those who voted Democrat in the last election.

As the 2020 election season heats up, beware of polling that has an agenda.