Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans ( -5 ) – O/U: 219.5

Both Karl-Anthony Towns and Gorgui Dieng are the preferred plays from the T-Wolves. The Pelicans have a hard time defending down low and both of these guys are playing huge minutes and paying off the value of their prices. These are two of the best plays on the board tonight.

Ricky Rubio, Andrew Wiggins and Zach LaVine are also interesting; the Pelicans are dead-last in the NBA over the last three weeks against opposing point guards so Rubio would be the recommended play in this trio; he’s topped at least 32 FDP in eight of his last 10 games. LaVine has played at least 32 minutes in six of his last eight games, being at or around 5x value in every game except his last.

I’m not fond of anyone from the Pelicans tonight. Anthony Davis has a tough matchup, and with Eric Gordon coming back to the lineup, that puts a lot of uncertainty in the minutes of most of these guys. The Pelicans are a strong fade for me tonight.

San Antonio Spurs ( -5.5 ) @ Houston Rockets – O/U: 214

I think we’ll have a pretty competitive game here in Houston, and it won’t be that typical slow-down Spurs’ tempo that we’re used to. The 214 total gives that away and I think there’s actually a lot of good fantasy plays in this one.

We’ve been told time-and-time again that it’s not a good idea to roster James Harden when he goes against the Spurs. Well, that’s mainly true, but it’s hard not to notice the tear he’s been on in these last five games. I think he’ll be fine tonight, but with Curry and Westbrook on the slate, it’s an unnecessary risk to look The Beard’s way tonight. Dwight Howard and Patrick Beverley are decent plays too, but that’s all I got from the Rockets.

The Spurs have plenty of great matchups, but no one has it better than Kawhi Leonard and LaMarcus Aldridge. Leonard has recently returned from a calf injury to put up two exceptional performances and he has a chance to do even better tonight; he also has seven steals in the last two games. Aldridge’s price on FD is down to $7000 and $6700 on DK; he goes against the worst team in the NBA against power forwards and he can fit in perfectly with all the studs you’ll need to tonight. Danny Green is going to be surprisingly popular tonight for the same reason of trying to fit in studs. He’s been pretty good against Houston this year, but we all know he’s capable of dropping duds at the worst possible time.

Portland Trail Blazers ( -4 ) @ Chicago Bulls – O/U: 209

If you’re not going with Curry or Westbrook, you better go with Damian Lillard. He’s got a great matchup tonight and there’s really no one on the Bulls that can stop him. CJ McCollum has been pretty good since the All-Star break, but he’ll be too expensive to fit in tonight. The Blazers have a couple different guys that can produce at value prices and provide that bang for your buck that you’ll need tonight. Al-Farouq Aminu, Ed Davis, Maurice Harkless and Gerald Henderson all fit into that category.

For the Bulls, it has to be Pau Gasol that gets it done tonight. The Blazers are very weak down low and that also provides an opportunity for Taj Gibson to get busy as well. We’re still not sure what the status of Derrick Rose is, but there aren’t too many good matchups anyway for the Bulls.

Detroit Pistons @ Milwaukee Bucks ( PK ) – O/U: 202.5

Andre Drummond should have a big night against the Bucks’ frontline that has no idea how to rebound. The statistics show the Bucks improving in terms of giving up fantasy points to opposing centers, but statistics be damned, Drummond should be just fine in this matchup.

I really like the matchup of Tobias Harris and Jabari Parker; both guys have similar traits and this could be a nice ping-pong effect to have in your lineups tonight. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has a good matchup according to the DvP as the Bucks are 26th in the NBA this year against shooting guards while also ranking 21st in the last three weeks. Marcus Morris isn’t a bad play either for the Pistons.

Golden State Warriors ( -3.5 ) @ Oklahoma City Thunder – O/U: 234

If you don’t have any players from this game, you might as well just mail a check straight to the DraftKings or FanDuel headquarters. This is the highest pace/total on the board so having a couple of the superstars in this one is oh so important.

I’m not sure if you can possibly go without having Stephen Curry or Russell Westbrook in your lineup. The last time these two played it was Kevin Durant who went bananas for OKC, but this time around I’m pretty sure it’ll be Westbrook that outscores him. The Warriors are 25th in the NBA against opposing point guards and dead-last in the last three weeks, so this is a good spot for Westy.

Klay Thompson was held in check during the last meeting and Draymond Green didn’t overwhelm, but I think both guys could be in store for slightly better nights. I mentioned Durant earlier, I think he’s a fine play as well, but I do like Westbrook more.

As for the value plays in this game, it’d be a good idea to take a couple from this game. We can target some of the guys down low for the Thunder because the Warriors have given up some big games to opposing centers recently, so Stephen Adams and Enes Kanter are in play. Serge Ibaka and Dion Waiters aren’t particularly bad in this matchup either. For the Warriors, I don’t mind Andrew Bogut, Harrison Barnes or Andre Iguodala.

Brooklyn Nets @ Utah Jazz ( -11 ) – O/U: 197.5

So we go from our main event to the must-not-watch game of the evening. This really isn’t a good spot for anyone, as the game will probably be out of reach about 12 minutes after the opening tip-off, but we can take a couple chances here.

The one guy from the Jazz that could maybe benefit would be Shelvin Mack. Since he’s only played three games with the Jazz, this is a perfect time for him to get some solid reps in without much resistance. Mack has already averaged 28 minutes per game in his short stint with the Jazz.

For the Nets, Bojan Bogdanovic and Markel Brown are interesting plays. Bogdanovic will see all the minutes he can handle for the rest of the season (38 minutes last game in a blowout win), and while the Jazz has a great defense, they do allow three-point shots to fall at around a 37% clip. I feel like Bogey will be very instrumental in the Nets’ offense tonight and you will surely get him at a low ownership percentage. Brown, on the other hand, is a very risky play but has fallen into favor with the Nets’ coaching staff once again. He played good minutes down the stretch last year and his athleticism is his biggest asset. Brown’s minutes have been fairly decent of late, and with the departure of Joe Johnson, they’ll only get better.

Memphis Grizzlies ( -6.5 ) @ Phoenix Suns – O/U: 207.5

The Grizz were able to fend off the Lakers rather quickly last night, so the back-end of a back-to-back should have no effect on them tonight. Mike Conley and Zach Randolph are the go-to guys here; both have very favorable matchups according to the DvP and it’s not the biggest secret that the Suns suck on defense. Brendan Wright had a great game against the Lakers last night and the Suns are the fourth-worst team in the NBA against centers in the last three weeks. Matt Barnes, yes, we remember you. He takes aim at a team that is dead-last in the NBA against small forwards this season.

The Suns are not in a good spot tonight, and the only one I might take a chance on is Ronnie Price; he’s averaged 27.5 FDP in his last two games and he even got 38 minutes against the Nets on Thursday. Archie Goodwin struggled to hold down that point guard spot, but the Price seems to be right here. You see what I did there?