Black

40%

Each triangle represents a state. The vertex represents the share of each minority in each state.

30%

GEORGIA

20%

10%

OKLAHOMA

0%

TEXAS

Other minorities

Hispanic

MOSTLY BLACK

MOSTLY LATINO

OTHER MINORITIES

All of the Super Tuesday Southern states have significant black populations, and because most are Democrats, their share among primary voters is often double. In the Nevada primary, Clinton won black voters by more than three to one, according to a network entrance poll, and other surveys elsewhere have found similar margins in her favor among blacks.

A new national survey by the Washington Post and Univision News found Clinton leading Sanders two to one among Hispanic Democratic primary voters. In Texas, which has by far the most Hispanics among Super Tuesday states, they accounted for a third of Democratic primary voters in 2008.

In Oklahoma, one of the most diverse primary states, other minorities such as Native Americans and people who identify as multi-racial, account for about 16 percent of population.

Alabama

Texas

Minnesota

black

black

black

26%

12%

5%

3%

4%

5%

6%

8%

38%

Texas, with its large share of Hispanics, will clarify that group’s leanings. Last week’s Nevada entrance poll said Sanders won Hispanics there by eight points, but other polls elsewhere have shown Hispanics firmly behind Clinton.

Minnesota is a must-win for Sanders. It has all his key support groups, and his rallies have drawn large crowds. If he doesn’t win, it will show that, coming off of Clinton’s Saturday win in South Carolina, momentum has swung her way.

Arkansas

black

16%

4%

7%

Tennessee

black

17%

Colorado

black

Oklahoma

black

4%

5%

4%

6%

7%

21%

9%

16%

Virginia

black

19%

Massachusetts

black

Vermont

black

8%

9%

6%

8%

10%

1%

4%

2%

Georgia

black

30%

6%