I think the odds are against The Donald, but then I thought that last year too.

You know who correctly predicted Trump's victory? Michael Moore, and he's got something to say again.



In an interview with Fast Company on Monday, Moore said he predicts Trump will win a second term if he runs for reelection. "I should say re-appointed, because we will have an even larger population that will vote against him in 2020," he noted. "But he will win those electoral states as it stands now."

Moore predicted that Trump would win in 2016, despite poll results that weren't much more favorable toward him than his current approval ratings are. Last September, a Washington Post poll found that 62 percent of Americans didn't think he was qualified to be president. A month earlier, an NBC poll found that 64 percent did not find Trump to be trustworthy, to have the temperament to serve as president, to share their values, or to care about people like them. Yet Trump's unexpected electoral victories in crucial states including Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin won him the White House.

In those states, Trump now has approval ratings between 33 and 36 percent, as NBC political correspondent Steve Kornacki noted last week—similar to how he polled there during the campaign.

In other words, all those "Trump's poll numbers are cr*p" diaries on the GOS don't mean sh*t.

The problem, both then and now, has been the Democrats. Not Trump.



The fact is that the Dems poll numbers are terrible.



The poll — conducted from Aug. 17-22 with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points — also found:

Democrats remain the less disliked party, with a negative 33-52 percent favorability rating among American voters, including a negative 25-56 percent among independent voters.

Republicans have a negative 25-63 percent favorability, including a negative 17-68 percent among independent voters.

Yes, the GOP is worse, but not a lot worse. And nothing like what you would read in liberal echo chambers.

As for the media, which is overwhelmingly against Trump, well, that might not be enough to save the Dems either.



The good news for the White House is that by a 55-40 margin, respondents say they disapprove of the way the media covers the president. Some of that, of course, is probably people who think the media is too soft on Trump. But by and large it seems like Trump is basically convincing people of his core thesis about the media: They should be nicer to him.

On the other hand, the very same poll says that by a 62-35 margin, respondents disapprove of how Trump talks about the media. And by a 54-36 margin, people say they trust the media over Trump “to tell you the truth about important issues.”

In short, it seems that Trump’s media bashing has been a negative-sum game that’s eroded confidence in the press while also eroding confidence in Trump.

The good news is that the Dems have an Ace in the hole - Bernie Sanders.

Bernie the only politician in America with a positive rating with the general public.

Yes, Bernie could probably win both the Dem nomination and GOP nomination at the same time.

So it's a good thing the Dem establishment isn't so stupid as to reject Bernie and instead embrace yet another corporate Dem, amirite?

Gawd, that would be embarrassingly idiotic if the Dems did that. It's a good thing that absolutely no one is that stupid.