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Analyzing October surprise impact

Ten days ago, three October surprises hit this election, Trump's tape, Hillary's speeches and Podesta's emails. I have tracked the changes in the national and state polling and it appears Clinton has gained just over two points nationally and in the battleground states. Certainly this is not the final outcome of these scandals as they continue to play out. The majority of major media has focused mostly on Trump's problems. If Clinton's problems gain more focus her numbers will likely move down. Trump also has the chance to continue to rebut the accusations or they may just fade as a factor. He said/she said sexual allegations often have a short shelf life. So far, however, it is clear that Clinton has gained two points because of the October surprises. Final results for the seven-day October surprise tracker are below.

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