Interestingly, Clinton’s poll numbers almost exactly matched her results in all five of these states, but Trump’s poll numbers were way off, seeing swings of anywhere from 3% (Florida) to 7% (Wisconsin). But, this was not an anomaly. The polls seem to have underestimated Trump’s chance of winning in almost every single state. Trump’s actuals were higher than the polls in 49 of the 50 states—Nevada was the only exception—with swings ranging from 0.5% to almost 15%. On average, his actuals were 6.2% higher than the polls. On the other hand, Clinton’s actuals were higher than her poll numbers in 32 states, with swings ranging from 0.2% to 8.2%. In the other 18 states, her actuals were lower than her poll numbers, with swings ranging from 0.1% to 5.9%. Her overall average was an increase of 1.0%.