Here are the SRS ratings as of this morning — that is, through seven weeks and the Patriots/Dolphins game last night. The formula here was pretty simple: I took the difference between each team’s points scored and points allowed in each game, and added 3 points for home field, and that was it. The Patriots have a HFA-adjusted average margin of victory this season of 16.1, against a schedule that (after iterating) has been 0.5 points below average. That gives New England an SRS of 15.7.

Rk Tm G MOV SOS SRS 1 NWE 7 16.1 -0.5 15.7 2 ARI 7 13.3 -2.4 10.9 3 CIN 6 10.0 -0.5 9.5 4 NYJ 6 7.3 1.3 8.6 5 GNB 6 9.5 -2.4 7.1 6 PIT 7 4.3 2.3 6.6 7 PHI 7 3.7 1.8 5.5 8 CAR 6 8.7 -3.4 5.3 9 DEN 6 7.2 -2.6 4.5 10 ATL 7 6.6 -2.3 4.3 11 SEA 7 4.1 0.1 4.2 12 STL 6 -1.8 3.7 1.9 13 NYG 7 1.0 -0.5 0.5 14 BAL 7 -2.6 2.6 0.0 15 BUF 7 -0.4 0.3 -0.1 16 MIN 6 3.7 -4.0 -0.3 17 KAN 7 -2.7 1.5 -1.2 18 NOR 7 -3.0 1.3 -1.7 19 OAK 6 -1.5 -0.3 -1.8 20 DAL 6 -6.2 4.1 -2.1 21 WAS 7 -3.3 1.2 -2.1 22 MIA 7 -1.9 -0.5 -2.3 23 SDG 7 -5.1 1.2 -3.9 24 CLE 7 -4.6 0.3 -4.3 25 IND 7 -4.3 -0.4 -4.7 26 TEN 6 -4.3 -2.9 -7.3 27 SFO 7 -11.4 4.1 -7.3 28 CHI 6 -9.8 1.8 -8.0 29 DET 7 -9.1 1.0 -8.1 30 HOU 7 -6.0 -2.6 -8.6 31 JAX 7 -8.6 -0.8 -9.3 32 TAM 6 -6.5 -4.0 -10.5

I’m short on time today, but here is also the results of every game this year. The top game was by Arizona, courtesy of a 40-point home win (worth 37 points after adjusting for MOV) against a team that is 7.3 points below average; that translates to a single-game SRS of 29.7.

Rk Tm H/R Opp Week Day Result PF PA MOV SOS SRS 1 ARI SFO 3 Sun W 47 7 37 -7.3 29.7 2 BUF @ MIA 3 Sun W 41 14 30 -2.3 27.7 3 NWE @ DAL 5 Sun W 30 6 27 -2.1 24.9 4 MIA @ TEN 6 Sun W 38 10 31 -7.3 23.7 5 NWE MIA 8 Thu W 36 7 26 -2.3 23.7 6 NWE JAX 3 Sun W 51 17 31 -9.3 21.7 7 CIN @ OAK 1 Sun W 33 13 23 -1.8 21.2 8 TEN @ TAM 1 Sun W 42 14 31 -10.5 20.5 9 ARI @ CHI 2 Sun W 48 23 28 -8.0 20.0 10 PIT ARI 6 Sun W 25 13 9 10.9 19.9 11 ARI @ DET 5 Sun W 42 17 28 -8.1 19.9 12 PHI @ NYJ 3 Sun W 24 17 10 8.6 18.6 13 DAL @ PHI 2 Sun W 20 10 13 5.5 18.5 14 PHI NYG 6 Mon W 27 7 17 0.5 17.5 15 PHI NOR 5 Sun W 39 17 19 -1.7 17.3 16 NYG @ BUF 4 Sun W 24 10 17 -0.1 16.9 17 STL @ ARI 4 Sun W 24 22 5 10.9 15.9 18 CIN @ BUF 6 Sun W 34 21 16 -0.1 15.9 19 ATL HOU 4 Sun W 48 21 24 -8.6 15.4 20 SEA CHI 3 Sun W 26 0 23 -8.0 15.0 21 PIT SFO 2 Sun W 43 18 22 -7.3 14.7 22 NYJ CLE 1 Sun W 31 10 18 -4.3 13.7 23 SFO MIN 1 Mon W 20 3 14 -0.3 13.7 24 KAN PIT 7 Sun W 23 13 7 6.6 13.6 25 CAR PHI 7 Sun W 27 16 8 5.5 13.5 26 WAS STL 2 Sun W 24 10 11 1.9 12.9 27 GNB STL 5 Sun W 24 10 11 1.9 12.9 28 SEA @ SFO 7 Thu W 20 3 20 -7.3 12.7 29 NWE NYJ 7 Sun W 30 23 4 8.6 12.6 30 BAL @ PIT 4 Thu W 23 20 6 6.6 12.6 31 ATL @ DAL 3 Sun W 39 28 14 -2.1 11.9 32 NYJ @ NWE 7 Sun L 23 30 -4 15.7 11.7 33 PIT @ NWE 1 Thu L 21 28 -4 15.7 11.7 34 NYJ @ IND 2 Mon W 20 7 16 -4.7 11.3 35 NOR ATL 6 Thu W 31 21 7 4.3 11.3 36 GNB SEA 2 Sun W 27 17 7 4.2 11.2 37 CAR @ SEA 6 Sun W 27 23 7 4.2 11.2 38 PIT @ STL 3 Sun W 12 6 9 1.9 10.9 39 NWE @ BUF 2 Sun W 40 32 11 -0.1 10.9 40 CIN KAN 4 Sun W 36 21 12 -1.2 10.8 41 STL CLE 7 Sun W 24 6 15 -4.3 10.7 42 NYJ N MIA 4 Sun W 27 14 13 -2.3 10.7 43 NWE PIT 1 Thu W 28 21 4 6.6 10.6 44 MIN SDG 3 Sun W 31 14 14 -3.9 10.1 45 GNB @ SFO 4 Sun W 17 3 17 -7.3 9.7 46 SEA @ CIN 5 Sun L 24 27 0 9.5 9.5 47 NYJ WAS 6 Sun W 34 20 11 -2.1 8.9 48 DEN @ KAN 2 Thu W 31 24 10 -1.2 8.8 49 TAM @ NOR 2 Sun W 26 19 10 -1.7 8.3 50 MIA @ WAS 1 Sun W 17 10 10 -2.1 7.9 51 SDG @ CIN 2 Sun L 19 24 -2 9.5 7.5 52 ATL @ NYG 2 Sun W 24 20 7 0.5 7.5 53 ARI NOR 1 Sun W 31 19 9 -1.7 7.3 54 DEN @ OAK 5 Sun W 16 10 9 -1.8 7.2 55 OAK @ SDG 7 Sun W 37 29 11 -3.9 7.1 56 CIN @ BAL 3 Sun W 28 24 7 0.0 7.0 57 DEN @ DET 3 Sun W 24 12 15 -8.1 6.9 58 CAR @ TAM 4 Sun W 37 23 17 -10.5 6.5 59 MIA HOU 7 Sun W 44 26 15 -8.6 6.4 60 CLE @ BAL 5 Sun W 33 30 6 0.0 6.0 61 BAL @ ARI 7 Mon L 18 26 -5 10.9 5.9 62 NYG WAS 3 Thu W 32 21 8 -2.1 5.9 63 GNB KAN 3 Mon W 38 28 7 -1.2 5.8 64 OAK @ CLE 3 Sun W 27 20 10 -4.3 5.7 65 IND NWE 6 Sun L 27 34 -10 15.7 5.7 66 WAS PHI 4 Sun W 23 20 0 5.5 5.5 67 BUF IND 1 Sun W 27 14 10 -4.7 5.3 68 NWE @ IND 6 Sun W 34 27 10 -4.7 5.3 69 PHI @ ATL 1 Mon L 24 26 1 4.3 5.3 70 ARI BAL 7 Mon W 26 18 5 0.0 5.0 71 BUF NWE 2 Sun L 32 40 -11 15.7 4.7 72 CAR @ JAX 1 Sun W 20 9 14 -9.3 4.7 73 HOU @ JAX 6 Sun W 31 20 14 -9.3 4.7 74 MIN @ DEN 4 Sun L 20 23 0 4.5 4.5 75 ATL PHI 1 Mon W 26 24 -1 5.5 4.5 76 NOR @ IND 7 Sun W 27 21 9 -4.7 4.3 77 CIN SEA 5 Sun W 27 24 0 4.2 4.2 78 STL SEA 1 Sun W 34 31 0 4.2 4.2 79 DET @ SEA 4 Mon L 10 13 0 4.2 4.2 80 MIN @ DET 7 Sun W 28 19 12 -8.1 3.9 81 CLE TEN 2 Sun W 28 14 11 -7.3 3.7 82 NOR @ CAR 3 Sun L 22 27 -2 5.3 3.3 83 SDG @ GNB 6 Sun L 20 27 -4 7.1 3.1 84 PIT @ SDG 5 Mon W 24 20 7 -3.9 3.1 85 DEN BAL 1 Sun W 19 13 3 0.0 3.0 86 GNB @ CHI 1 Sun W 31 23 11 -8.0 3.0 87 JAX N BUF 7 Sun W 34 31 3 -0.1 2.9 88 CHI @ KAN 5 Sun W 18 17 4 -1.2 2.8 89 BAL CIN 3 Sun L 24 28 -7 9.5 2.5 90 SFO BAL 6 Sun W 25 20 2 0.0 2.0 91 NYG DAL 7 Sun W 27 20 4 -2.1 1.9 92 NOR @ ARI 1 Sun L 19 31 -9 10.9 1.9 93 SEA @ STL 1 Sun L 31 34 0 1.9 1.9 94 MIN KAN 6 Sun W 16 10 3 -1.2 1.8 95 DEN @ CLE 6 Sun W 26 23 6 -4.3 1.7 96 BAL @ DEN 1 Sun L 13 19 -3 4.5 1.5 97 KAN @ HOU 1 Sun W 27 20 10 -8.6 1.4 98 IND @ HOU 5 Thu W 27 20 10 -8.6 1.4 99 WAS @ ATL 5 Sun L 19 25 -3 4.3 1.3 100 HOU @ CAR 2 Sun L 17 24 -4 5.3 1.3 101 OAK BAL 2 Sun W 37 33 1 0.0 1.0 102 NOR DAL 4 Sun W 26 20 3 -2.1 0.9 103 ATL WAS 5 Sun W 25 19 3 -2.1 0.9 104 SFO @ NYG 5 Sun L 27 30 0 0.5 0.5 105 CAR NOR 3 Sun W 27 22 2 -1.7 0.3 106 SEA @ GNB 2 Sun L 17 27 -7 7.1 0.1 107 KAN @ GNB 3 Mon L 28 38 -7 7.1 0.1 108 GNB SDG 6 Sun W 27 20 4 -3.9 0.1 109 NYG @ DAL 1 Sun L 26 27 2 -2.1 -0.1 110 TAM @ WAS 7 Sun L 30 31 2 -2.1 -0.1 111 DEN MIN 4 Sun W 23 20 0 -0.3 -0.3 112 SDG PIT 5 Mon L 20 24 -7 6.6 -0.4 113 MIN DET 2 Sun W 26 16 7 -8.1 -1.1 114 ATL @ TEN 7 Sun W 10 7 6 -7.3 -1.3 115 CLE DEN 6 Sun L 23 26 -6 4.5 -1.5 116 DAL NYG 1 Sun W 27 26 -2 0.5 -1.5 117 TEN ATL 7 Sun L 7 10 -6 4.3 -1.7 118 SEA CAR 6 Sun L 23 27 -7 5.3 -1.7 119 CIN SDG 2 Sun W 24 19 2 -3.9 -1.9 120 PHI @ WAS 4 Sun L 20 23 0 -2.1 -2.1 121 IND @ TEN 3 Sun W 35 33 5 -7.3 -2.3 122 JAX MIA 2 Sun W 23 20 0 -2.3 -2.3 123 WAS @ NYJ 6 Sun L 20 34 -11 8.6 -2.4 124 STL PIT 3 Sun L 6 12 -9 6.6 -2.4 125 ARI @ PIT 6 Sun L 13 25 -9 6.6 -2.4 126 KAN @ CIN 4 Sun L 21 36 -12 9.5 -2.5 127 NYG ATL 2 Sun L 20 24 -7 4.3 -2.7 128 PHI @ CAR 7 Sun L 16 27 -8 5.3 -2.7 129 CHI OAK 4 Sun W 22 20 -1 -1.8 -2.8 130 BAL @ OAK 2 Sun L 33 37 -1 -1.8 -2.8 131 ARI STL 4 Sun L 22 24 -5 1.9 -3.1 132 BUF @ TEN 5 Sun W 14 13 4 -7.3 -3.3 133 KAN @ MIN 6 Sun L 10 16 -3 -0.3 -3.3 134 HOU TAM 3 Sun W 19 9 7 -10.5 -3.5 135 DAL @ NYG 7 Sun L 20 27 -4 0.5 -3.5 136 CHI GNB 1 Sun L 23 31 -11 7.1 -3.9 137 STL @ GNB 5 Sun L 10 24 -11 7.1 -3.9 138 CLE @ SDG 4 Sun L 27 30 0 -3.9 -3.9 139 TEN BUF 5 Sun L 13 14 -4 -0.1 -4.1 140 SDG CLE 4 Sun W 30 27 0 -4.3 -4.3 141 MIA N NYJ 4 Sun L 14 27 -13 8.6 -4.4 142 OAK DEN 5 Sun L 10 16 -9 4.5 -4.5 143 NYJ PHI 3 Sun L 17 24 -10 5.5 -4.5 144 CAR HOU 2 Sun W 24 17 4 -8.6 -4.6 145 JAX @ IND 4 Sun L 13 16 0 -4.7 -4.7 146 DAL @ NOR 4 Sun L 20 26 -3 -1.7 -4.7 147 TAM JAX 5 Sun W 38 31 4 -9.3 -5.3 148 KAN DEN 2 Thu L 24 31 -10 4.5 -5.5 149 DET @ SDG 1 Sun L 28 33 -2 -3.9 -5.9 150 PIT BAL 4 Thu L 20 23 -6 0.0 -6.0 151 SDG DET 1 Sun W 33 28 2 -8.1 -6.1 152 BUF CIN 6 Sun L 21 34 -16 9.5 -6.5 153 OAK @ CHI 4 Sun L 20 22 1 -8.0 -7.0 154 NYG SFO 5 Sun W 30 27 0 -7.3 -7.3 155 DET @ MIN 2 Sun L 16 26 -7 -0.3 -7.3 156 IND NYJ 2 Mon L 7 20 -16 8.6 -7.4 157 WAS @ NYG 3 Thu L 21 32 -8 0.5 -7.5 158 DET CHI 6 Sun W 37 34 0 -8.0 -8.0 159 SEA DET 4 Mon W 13 10 0 -8.1 -8.1 160 CHI @ DET 6 Sun L 34 37 0 -8.1 -8.1 161 PIT @ KAN 7 Sun L 13 23 -7 -1.2 -8.2 162 JAX CAR 1 Sun L 9 20 -14 5.3 -8.7 163 ATL @ NOR 6 Thu L 21 31 -7 -1.7 -8.7 164 BAL @ SFO 6 Sun L 20 25 -2 -7.3 -9.3 165 IND JAX 4 Sun W 16 13 0 -9.3 -9.3 166 MIA @ JAX 2 Sun L 20 23 0 -9.3 -9.3 167 CLE @ NYJ 1 Sun L 10 31 -18 8.6 -9.4 168 TEN IND 3 Sun L 33 35 -5 -4.7 -9.7 169 DAL ATL 3 Sun L 28 39 -14 4.3 -9.7 170 SFO GNB 4 Sun L 3 17 -17 7.1 -9.9 171 IND @ BUF 1 Sun L 14 27 -10 -0.1 -10.1 172 BAL CLE 5 Sun L 30 33 -6 -4.3 -10.3 173 MIA @ NWE 8 Thu L 7 36 -26 15.7 -10.3 174 DET DEN 3 Sun L 12 24 -15 4.5 -10.5 175 IND NOR 7 Sun L 21 27 -9 -1.7 -10.7 176 HOU KAN 1 Sun L 20 27 -10 -1.2 -11.2 177 DAL NWE 5 Sun L 6 30 -27 15.7 -11.3 178 NYG @ PHI 6 Mon L 7 27 -17 5.5 -11.5 179 TAM CAR 4 Sun L 23 37 -17 5.3 -11.7 180 CLE OAK 3 Sun L 20 27 -10 -1.8 -11.8 181 KAN CHI 5 Sun L 17 18 -4 -8.0 -12.0 182 WAS MIA 1 Sun L 10 17 -10 -2.3 -12.3 183 BUF N JAX 7 Sun L 31 34 -3 -9.3 -12.3 184 DET MIN 7 Sun L 19 28 -12 -0.3 -12.3 185 WAS TAM 7 Sun W 31 30 -2 -10.5 -12.5 186 SDG OAK 7 Sun L 29 37 -11 -1.8 -12.8 187 CLE @ STL 7 Sun L 6 24 -15 1.9 -13.1 188 STL @ WAS 2 Sun L 10 24 -11 -2.1 -13.1 189 NOR @ PHI 5 Sun L 17 39 -19 5.5 -13.5 190 OAK CIN 1 Sun L 13 33 -23 9.5 -13.5 191 SDG @ MIN 3 Sun L 14 31 -14 -0.3 -14.3 192 JAX @ TAM 5 Sun L 31 38 -4 -10.5 -14.5 193 HOU IND 5 Thu L 20 27 -10 -4.7 -14.7 194 PHI DAL 2 Sun L 10 20 -13 -2.1 -15.1 195 TEN @ CLE 2 Sun L 14 28 -11 -4.3 -15.3 196 JAX @ NWE 3 Sun L 17 51 -31 15.7 -15.3 197 SFO @ PIT 2 Sun L 18 43 -22 6.6 -15.4 198 TAM @ HOU 3 Sun L 9 19 -7 -8.6 -15.6 199 SFO SEA 7 Thu L 3 20 -20 4.2 -15.8 200 BUF NYG 4 Sun L 10 24 -17 0.5 -16.5 201 CHI ARI 2 Sun L 23 48 -28 10.9 -17.1 202 DET ARI 5 Sun L 17 42 -28 10.9 -17.1 203 HOU @ MIA 7 Sun L 26 44 -15 -2.3 -17.3 204 CHI @ SEA 3 Sun L 0 26 -23 4.2 -18.8 205 HOU @ ATL 4 Sun L 21 48 -24 4.3 -19.7 206 NOR TAM 2 Sun L 19 26 -10 -10.5 -20.5 207 MIN @ SFO 1 Mon L 3 20 -14 -7.3 -21.3 208 JAX HOU 6 Sun L 20 31 -14 -8.6 -22.6 209 SFO @ ARI 3 Sun L 7 47 -37 10.9 -26.1 210 MIA BUF 3 Sun L 14 41 -30 -0.1 -30.1 211 TEN MIA 6 Sun L 10 38 -31 -2.3 -33.3 212 TAM TEN 1 Sun L 14 42 -31 -7.3 -38.3

I’ll leave the commentary to you guys today.