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“Every illegal action and blockade perpetrated by the protesters and anarchists on Inauguration Day could have been avoided. The DC Metropolitan Police Department had a mountain of evidence, including videos of the perpetrators planning every one of these actions, provided by Oath Keepers on January 11th, 2017.” – NavyJack

Final Update 01/21/2017 – Donald J. Trump is Inaugurated President of the United States

As we accurately forecast below, protest marches commenced on January 14, 2017 from McPherson Square Park and continued every day until the inauguration. These protests did build, similar to the protests in Portland, OR and caused damages and injuries. The protests significantly disrupted the DC transportation systems.

As we accurately forecast, the Refuse Fascism organization was unable to muster the number of protesters needed to occupy the White House Ellipse and level their demand to President Obama that Donald Trump’s ascension to President be suspended until the completion of the Senate investigation into the “Russian Hacking” of the election.

As we accurately forecast below, the ANTIFA was able to block the entrances to the National Press Club and assault numerous attendees entering and leaving the Citizens for Trump DeploraBall. Some guests were pelted with eggs, D-cell batteries and other items. There were several injuries. Over 100 ticketholders failed to attend. The party itself was very successful and the planned smoke bomb attack was foiled by Project Veritas and Oath Keepers. Charges against the perpetrators for conspiracy to conduct a felony assault have been filed by the District Attorney and arrest warrants have been issued.

As we accurately forecast below, the DisruptJ20 organization was able to significantly disrupt the Presidential Inauguration. They initially blocked 10 of the 12 security entry portals and were able to hold 6 of them for the entire day. This significantly delayed the arrival of citizens seeking to attend the inauguration and the following parade.

As we accurately forecast below, the main highways into DC were blocked (Interstate 395 and the 12th Street Tunnel) and Metro subway service was disrupted. These events took place later than the DisruptJ20 protest organization had originally planned and were less effective than they anticipated due to the late start.

As we accurately forecast below, there were significant disruptions and the explosion of concussion grenades during the inauguration ceremony and the inauguration parade. Protesters were allowed to line the entire route. Riots commenced during the parade within a couple of blocks from the parade route itself. Buildings were damaged, vehicles were destroyed and numerous police officers were injured. There were 230 arrests, most were charged with felony rioting.

Numerous steps were taken, some last minute, to prevent the protesters from blocking the parade route by both the Secret Service and the DC Metropolitan Police.

Please see the new article titled “Oath Keepers at the Inauguration” for a complete update.

ORIGINAL ARTICLE

In my last article, “Communists Intend to Overthrow the United States before Inauguration Day”, I outlined the efforts of a new organization named Refuse Fascism to prevent the ascension of Donald Trump to President of the United States. My conclusion regarding this organization’s ability to achieve their objective was that they would fall short of their goal. I believe that this group will be unable to field more than 10,000 protesters by inauguration day. Today is their first planned action, a march starting at McPherson Square at 1600hrs EST. This march will be repeated daily until Inauguration Day. We will have observers in the area to determine if this group gains any traction.

In my article titled “#DisruptJ20 Threatens the Presidential Inauguration Ceremony” we reviewed the DisruptJ20 and ANTIFA organizations that have stated a desire to keep the Inauguration from taking place. These groups could potentially field as many as 6,000 protesters and have three basic components; the people who just want to protest, the people who are willing to violate minor laws (blocking traffic, blocking access to the inauguration security checkpoints, etc.) and the people who have no limits. Organizationally, they are very similar to the group responsible for the riots in Portland, OR immediately following the election. Somehow, the people not wanting to break the law accept those who will break the law into their plans but feel because they are not personally doing the illegal action, they are not really responsible for the results.

The fourth group we have reviewed is ANSWER Coalition. ANSWER is by far the largest of these four organizations and conservatively will bring 40,000 protesters to the inauguration day events. With the good weather that is forecast, the number could be significantly higher. They are primarily comprised of college age students and university staff members intent on protesting during the inauguration parade. They have remarkably achieved permits to stage their personnel at critical points along the inauguration parade route.

ANSWER Coaltion is the least militant of the four protest groups discussed. They have been infiltrated by members of the more militant organizations that intend to leverage their larger numbers to help achieve more significant results. The management of ANSWER Coalition is oblivious to this infiltration and these plans.

Another group that receives a lot of attention is a pro-Trump group known as Bikers for Trump. They will also be present in significant numbers. Their staging area is close to the US Capital. It is not close enough to any of the protest groups planned activities to provide any meaningful resistance should the protests spin out of control.

The DC Metropolitan Police force can muster roughly 3,000 officers to provide general event security. Considering the placement of protest organizations and the unusually large area that will need to be secured, they may be unable to contain protest activities. The protesters will most likely be able to conduct direct actions both prior and during the inauguration schedule.

The DC National Guard will have 2,700 service members on the street that will primarily be tasked with containment of protest groups should events turn sour. Their commanding general will be stepping down at the moment Donald Trump becomes the 45th President of the United States. This does not appear to be anything nefarious. Prior to his announcement, this commanding general had organized the import of some 5,000 additional guardsmen from various states to assist with his mission of riot containment. It appears that the action to bring in additional guard members has been cancelled in conjunction with his decision to step-down from command. The deputy commander is a career spook.

The various Federal agencies involved (DHS, FBI Secret Service, etc.) are operating as if this inauguration will be no different than previous inaugurations. They may be understaffed should the protests spin out of control. Their senior leadership is fully aware of the planned activities of all of the major protest organizations.

The following is the most likely scenario of events at the time this article was written:

The more aggressive organizations discussed above are dwarfed by comparison to many other groups planning to protest the inauguration events, including the Women’s March Against Trump, The World Workers Party, La Raza and Black Lives Matter.

If you are coming to DC for the inauguration, I suggest you have a plan and find other Oath Keepers or patriots to move in groups. Do not think for a moment that your “Make America Great Again” red hat will not make you a target. Use your head and keep it on a swivel.

I will update this article daily or if a more serious situation arises.

Update 01/15/2017

Last night went well for Refuse Fascism. Leveraging the MLK March led by Al Sharpton, the Refuse Fascism group was able to hijack the MLK March participants and get their first protest march to snarl traffic and capture local headlines. They exceeded their own expectations. Tonight they will encircle the DC Trump Hotel and attempt to block access until the DC Police run them off. The DC Police have known for days that this was coming.

Update 01/16/2017

Yesterday, the Refuse Fascism protest activities lasted into the late evening. Starting at 1600hrs at McPherson Square Park, the organization marched to the Trump International Hotel in Washington, D.C. chanting and banging drums, picking up additional participants along the way.

A msg from @SunsaraTaylor in front of Trump Intl Hotel. We have 5 days & we have to use them like future depends on it. It's on all of us! pic.twitter.com/e1bNdyEr5t — #TrumpPenceMustGo (@RefuseFascism) January 15, 2017

The DC Police stayed at least 100 yards away from the main protest group and assisted the group by blocking intersections to enable the march to continue without encountering traffic. Guests entering and leaving the hotel expressed a range of reactions from curiosity to anxiety. Many were arriving International travelers, unfamiliar with this type of scene. After temporarily putting the hotel on a security lockdown by removing the hotel security barriers and entering the lobby with a bullhorn, the group decided to march to the White House.

On our way to the White House! We can't do it alone y'all. Need every1 following to get on in it to STOP this fascist regime #TheResistance pic.twitter.com/n0RvIDMqJv — #TrumpPenceMustGo (@RefuseFascism) January 15, 2017

The total number of participants did not exceed 1,000 and the protest march wrapped up at 2200hrs. There were no arrests.

Judge Jeanine Piro used her weekly FoxNews show opening address to hammer Rosie O’Donnell’s promotion of Refuse Fascism and her call for a declaration of martial law.

The Refuse Fascism group got started early this morning and is already working to hijack participants in the 11th annual Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. Parade.

Starting 9am, Anacostia station; we will connect up with the MLK march. We'll also be at the MLK memorial @ natl mall all day #nofascistusa pic.twitter.com/6HWhSx7jzM — #TrumpPenceMustGo (@RefuseFascism) January 16, 2017

DisruptJ20 posted a revised training schedule and updated their public action events page. Please note that this public page does not include the various illegal activities (blocking security checkpoints, blocking roads & bridges, disrupting subway and rail services, etc.) that will be carried out by the group over the coming days.