Tua Tagovailoa: -130

Justin Herbert - 130

Jordan Love +2800

Field +4500

My pick: TUA TAGOVAILOA

This one is crazy to me, and is a clear product of the nonsensical smoke screens that have been running rampant out of Miami the past several weeks. Sorry, I am not going to believe that the Dolphins are actually considering picking Justin Herbert over Tua Tagovailoa. I refuse to accept that. Put all your money on Tua here and don’t look back. Since before the 2019 NFL season even started, Miami’s “Tank for Tua” has been the most obvious story line in the league. I firmly believe every move they’ve made, every pick they’ve acquired, was done with one goal in mind: Make Tua Tagovailoa the next franchise quarterback of the Miami Dolphins. Miami has the most draft capital in the league with 3 first round picks and 2 second rounders, which is more than enough ammunition to beat any offer another team (like the Chargers) might make to get in front of them. Herbert to Miami is the most classic case of smoke-screening that exists in the NFL, as the Dolphins would obviously love to convince teams not to trade ahead of them for Tua, and have the Alabama product fall into their laps at pick #5 while keeping all of their other draft picks. I don’t see this happening, as I think a trade with Detroit up to #3 will be what it takes for the Dolphins to reel in their new quarterback, but it makes plenty of sense to at least try and convince teams you like Herbert as much as Tua. Wherever they end up picking, whether it’s 3 or 5, you can bank on Tua Tagovailoa being the newest Miami Dolphin when it’s all said and done.

Total LSU players drafted First Round: Over/Under 5.5

Over: + 280

Under: -380

My pick: OVER

Another great payout based on a specific school’s first round performance, I’m going all in on the over here. This bet will seemingly come down to wide receiver Justin Jefferson, and at this point I’d be surprised if he doesn’t hear his name called Thursday night. QB Joe Burrow, LB Patrick Queen, CB Kristian Fulton, EDGE K’Lavon Chaisson, and S Grant Delpit are all safe bets to be taken early, leaving Jefferson as the one guy on the fence. I’ve spoken a lot about the wide receiver class already, and Jefferson is just as good as any of them after the previously listed “big three” receivers. The numbers this guy put up last year are eye popping with 111 receptions, 1,540 yards and 18 touchdowns, and I think this kind of production will be too good to pass up for a team picking in the back half of the round. With a pay out of +280, you’ve got the potential to double up your cash by banking on the junior pass catcher from the Bayou.

What position will be Mr. Irrelevant?

Offense -120