Indiana state Rep. Jim Baird won the Republican nomination for the 4th District on Tuesday, defeating two opponents who outraised and outspent him.

With 98 percent of precincts reporting, Baird had 36 percent of the vote to 30 percent for businessman Steve Braun and 15 percent for former gubernatorial aide Diego Morales, according to The Associated Press.

Baird will meet Democratic Army veteran Tobi Beck in November. Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales rates the 4th District race Solid Republican, so Baird is likely the next congressman from this seat, which Republican incumbent Todd Rokita vacated to run for Senate. He lost that race Tuesday night.

Baird’s victory here is a surprise. Many eyes had been on Braun, a former state representative whose brother, former state Rep. Mike Braun, won the GOP nomination for Senate on Tuesday.

In an interview in the district last month, Baird said he hadn’t been in touch with the National Republican Congressional Committee and hadn’t done any polling.