Marners Contract by the Numbers

Initial Creation Date: Feb 7, 2019

Published: Feb 7, 2019 at 2:50

Team: 2019-20 Toronto Maple Leafs

Legend Lefthanded Original Team Righthanded Position No Move/Trade Clause Expiry Status Term Remaining McDavid, Connor $12,500,000 C NMC UFA - 5

Team Explanation

First I'm going to use points per game on ELC vs % of cap



Nylander - 135PTS - 185GP = 0.73 pts/g - 6.962 AVV / 79.5 CAP = 8.77% of cap

Matthews - 179PTS - 183GP = 0.98 pts/g - 11.634 AVV / 83 CAP = 14.02% of cap



Marner - 191PTS - 207GP = 0.92 pts/g



If we want the pts per game ratio to % percentage of cap



Nylander - 0.73 / 8.77 = 0.083

Matthews - 0.98 / 14.02 = 0.070



Using Nylander's ratio - % of cap = 11.08 --> 9.196 AVV

Using Matthew's ratio - % of cap = 13.14 --> 10.906 AVV



Using the average of the two, which is fair because Marner isn't a center, but he's also a one of a kind winger - 12.11 % of cap --> 10.051 AVV



As an elite winger comparison, Kane got 11.09 % of the cap on a 5 year deal.



12.11 % of cap could either be for 5 or 6 years, I will calculate both just to see the difference.



I'm going to use Chris Johnston's tweet that speculates the AAV for an 8 year contract for Matthews as a reference to see how the term affects the AAV. Part of me believes the leafs organization actually leaked this number to calm the fan base about the 5 year term.



Here's the tweet - https://twitter.com/reporterchris/status/1092859349473640452



5 year - 11.643 AAV / 83 CAP = 14.02%

8 year - 13.8 AAV / 83 CAP = 16.63%



That's a 0.87 % increase per year



5 year - 11.643 AAV

6 year - 12.359 AAV

7 year - 13.081 AAV

8 year - 13.8 AAV



Doing the same exercise with Marner's 12.11% of cap we got earlier...



First column will be for 12.11 % as the 5 year number, second as the 6 year number



5 year - 10.051 AAV - 9.329 AAV

6 year - 10.773 AAV - 10.051 AAV

7 year - 11.496 AAV - 10.773 AAV

8 year - 12.217 AAV - 11.496 AAV



I think the second column is more realistic if you consider Kane's 11.09% of the cap on a 5 year deal ( 9.205 AAV with a 83 CAP ).



Personally I'd rather the 6 x 10.051 to stagger the contracts and to leave more room for the Johnsson/Kapanen contracts.



*** Reminder that cap crunchs with talented young players are a good thing ***

Free Agent Signings RFA YEARS CAP HIT Marner, Mitchell 6 $10,051,600

Buyouts

Mikhail Grabovski: $0

Retained Salary Transactions Phil Kessel: $1,200,000 (15%)

Robin Lehner: $1,100,000 (22%)

DRAFT YEAR ROUND 1 ROUND 2 ROUND 3 ROUND 4 ROUND 5 ROUND 6 ROUND 7 1 2 2020 2021 2022

ROSTER LONG-TERM OUTLOOK EMBED TEXT-EMBED

ROSTER SIZE SALARY CAP CAP HIT OVERAGES BONUSES CAP SPACE 16 $83,000,000 $78,461,299 $0 $0 $4,538,701 Left Wing Center Right Wing Marleau, Patrick $6,250,000 LW, C NMC UFA - 1 Tavares, John $11,000,000 C NMC UFA - 6 Marner, Mitchell $10,051,600 RW UFA - 6 Marleau, Patrick $700,000 LW, C UFA - 1 Matthews, Auston $11,634,000 C UFA - 5 Nylander, William $6,962,366 RW, LW UFA - 5 Hyman, Zach $2,250,000 LW, RW NTC UFA - 2 Kadri, Nazem $4,500,000 C NTC UFA - 3 Brown, Connor $2,100,000 LW, RW RFA - 1 Gauthier, Frédérik $675,000 C RFA - 1 Left Defense Right Defense Goaltender Rielly, Morgan $5,000,000 LD UFA - 3 Zaitsev, Nikita $4,500,000 RD NTC UFA - 5 Andersen, Frederik $5,000,000 G NTC UFA - 2 Muzzin, Jake $4,000,000 LD UFA - 1 Holl, Justin $675,000 RD UFA - 1 Dermott, Travis $863,333 LD RFA - 1 Scratches Injured Reserve (IR) Long Term IR (LTIR) Horton, Nathan $5,300,000 RW NMC NTC UFA - 1

Embed Code To display this team on another website or blog, add this iFrame to the appropriate page

Customize the height attribute in the iFrame code below to fit your website appropriately. Minimum recommended: 400px.

Text-Embed Click to Highlight CapFriendly.com Armchair-GM User-Generated Roster FORWARDS (10) Right wing: Mitchell Marner ($10,051,600) - William Nylander ($6,962,366) Centre: John Tavares ($11,000,000) - Auston Matthews ($11,634,000) - Nazem Kadri ($4,500,000) - Frédérik Gauthier ($675,000) Left wing: Patrick Marleau ($6,250,000) - Patrick Marleau ($700,000) - Zach Hyman ($2,250,000) - Connor Brown ($2,100,000) DEFENSE (5) Right: Nikita Zaitsev ($4,500,000) - Justin Holl ($675,000) Left: Morgan Rielly ($5,000,000) - Jake Muzzin ($4,000,000) - Travis Dermott ($863,333) GOALTENDER (1) Frederik Andersen ($5,000,000) BUYOUTS (1) Mikhail Grabovski ($0) RETAINED SALARY TRANSACTIONS (2) Phil Kessel ($1,200,000) - Robin Lehner ($1,100,000) DETAILS Roster Size: 16 Salary Cap: $83,000,000 Cap Hit: $78,461,299 Cap Space: $4,538,701