For the second straight week, I hit 3 out of 10 bold predictions thanks to Curtis Samuel getting back in the end zone plus Deshaun Watson and Eric Ebron‘s struggles. That cuts the magic number down to eight with six weeks to hit my season goal of 30% since I am far above the goal. Keep in mind, a bold prediction is something the general public would give less than a 10% shot of happening, but I put it at 25% or higher. I’m hoping to nail four this week so I can realistically reach the season-long goal even before fantasy playoffs get underway. Here we go!

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#10 Deshaun Watson isn’t a top 15 QB again this week

It has been working so I’m going right back to the well in an even more difficult matchup for him. There are so many things going against the idea of him as a QB1. Let me tell you a few: His QB-rate over the course of his career is astronomical and entirely unsustainable, he throws fewer than 25 passes every single game, he hasn’t thrown for over 240 yards since Week 5 and he already has 4 weeks with 11 or fewer than 12 fantasy points. That bust-rate is enormous and not something I recommend messing with against a slow-tempo team with a great defense like the Titans.

Final Prediction: 16 for 23, 212 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 4 carries, 11 yards

#9 Eli Manning is a top 12 QB this week

It is no secret that Eli is on the back-end of his career, but take a look at his numbers and you will quickly realize that he is having one of his strongest seasons ever. Sure, this can be credited to having a healthy Odell Beckham Jr. and Saquon Barkley, but that is part of the equation. Toss in an Eagles secondary missing all three starting cornerbacks this week and it looks more like the easiest matchup of the week than what most people would imagine.

Final Prediction: 26 for 39, 352 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT



#8 Josh Adams will end up a top 15 RB this week

Although Adams has just 7 carries in each of his past two games, he has emerged as the clear-cut lead back. The issue, of course, has been game script. Now that the Eagles should be ahead most of the week, we could finally see him get in the neighborhood of Jay Ajayi work which against this Giants’ defense should equal a monster game. They may not look so awful on paper, but since New York dealt Damon Harrison away to the Lions, they have been the worst run defense in football.

Final Prediction: 15 carries, 101 yards, 1 TD, 2 receptions, 8 yards

#7 Austin Ekeler will be a top 24 RB this week

It sounds as though Melvin Gordon is going to end up playing and this prediction is with that in mind, since if Gordon sits, Ekeler would be a top 10 RB in almost everyone’s rankings. Rather, this is built around the notion that with a 14 point spread, the Chargers may opt to remove Gordon for the majority of the second half and let Ekeler, who is entirely capable, do his thing against the Cardinals who are among the worst run defending units in football.

Final Prediction: 10 carries, 82 yards, 1 TD, 2 receptions, 15 yards

#6 DJ Moore won’t be a top 30 WR this week

With Devin Funchess sitting, everyone has seemingly deemed this DJ week. While the ideal is interesting, I can’t fully buy in. Funchess hasn’t been all that useful to this offense over the past month so losing him doesn’t quite mean what you’d instinctually expect. Instead, I think this hurts Moore since Funchess has been absorbing the majority of tough matchups. Plus, keep in mind that the Panthers still have Christian McCaffrey, Greg Olsen, Curtis Samuel and a handful of other weapons that Cam Newton seems to trust.

Final Prediction: 6 targets, 5 receptions, 49 yards, 2 carries, 8 yards

The Last Five

#5 Courtland Sutton will be a top 20 WR

Final Prediction: 8 targets, 6 receptions, 106 yards

#4 Devante Parker will finish as a top 30 WR

Final Prediction: 10 targets, 6 receptions, 72 yards, 1 TD

#3 Rob Gronkowski will be the #1 fantasy TE

Final Prediction: 7 targets, 6 receptions, 120 yards, 1 TD

#2 The Carolina/Seattle game will finish 15 points above the Vegas over

Final Prediction: 34-28 Carolina win

#1 Joe Mixon will total over 200 yards from scrimmage

Final Prediction: 21 carries, 134 yards, 1 TD, 5 receptions, 68 yards, 1 TD



**Bonus Super Duper Bold Prediction**

Nick Vannett will be a top 5 TE this week

Final Prediction: 6 targets, 6 receptions, 81 yards, 1 TD

Thanks for reading and happy football season!



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