With Grapefruit Season over and the regular season yet to begin, it’s time to check in with my annual predictions column. These are not safe picks and if history is a guide, a majority won’t come true. Last year was a pretty good year as I got seven out of 15 right and a couple just missed. My goal is to hit over 50% and hopefully this will be the year.

So, here are my 15 predictions for the 2014 Mets.

1. The Mets have three pitchers win 12 or more games for the first time since 2007.

2. Daniel Murphy avoids negative numbers in UZR, finishing at 0 or better at 2B for the year.

3. Jose Valverde spends the entire year in the majors with the Mets.

4. John Lannan does not.

5. Curtis Granderson finishes with at least 10 triples.

6. The Mets will have a stretch of at least 20 games where they post a .700 or better winning percentage.

7. While the three projection systems at FanGraphs predict Bartolo Colon for a WAR under 2.0 – he winds up with a 3.0 or greater mark.

8. Juan Lagares ends up with an OPS 50 points below his .711 Spring Training mark.

9. For the first time under Terry Collins, the Mets finish above .500 at home.

10. Travis d’Arnaud becomes the first Mets catcher to top 500 PA in a season since 2006.

11. Zack Wheeler has the highest ERA among team pitchers with a minimum of 10 starts.

12. David Wright steals 20 bases for the first time since 2009.

13. For the first time since 2005, the Mets have two outfielders start at least 120 games.

14. Mets relievers have the worst differential in ERA compared to their starters than any NL club.

15. Ike Davis records fewer than 250 PA with the Mets

I’m feeling generous so here’s a bonus prediction, recycled from last year:

16. The Mets will finish with more wins than the Yankees.

This prediction will appear in the column until it comes true.

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