Still winning.

Still winning.

Colorado (PPP, 10/16-18): Obama 50, Romney 47

Florida (Newsmax/Zogby, 10/14-16): Obama 47, Romney 44

Iowa (Marist/NBC, 10/15-17): Obama 51, Romney 43

Michigan (EPIC-MRA, 10/17): Obama 52, Romney 46

North Carolina (Rasmussen, 10/17): Obama 46, Romney 52

Ohio (Rasmussen, 10/17): Obama 49, Romney 48

Ohio (SurveyUSA, 10/12-15): Obama 45, Romney 42

Virginia (PPP, 10/15-16): Obama 49, Romney 48

Wisconsin (Marist/NBC, 10/15-17): Obama 48 51, Romney 47 45

Obviously, Steve Singiser will have his crazy comprehensive polling roundup later tonight, but I wanted a quick update of the key numbers today. Any dates before 10/17 were pre-second presidential debate.Those Marist/NBC polls are a dagger in the heart of GOP hopes. Despite running stronger in North Carolina and Florida (Zogby notwithstanding, because I don't trust any of his results, no matter how much I like them), Mitt Romney hasn't been able to make serious inroads in the Midwest.

Florida and North Carolina gets Romney to 235 Electoral Votes. Virginia would get him to 248. And none of those states (no matter what you might read some places) have been conceded.

Note that a big chunk of this data is also pre-debate, and remember that it took about a week before the first debate was fully reflected in the polling. So if there's a post-debate effect, it's too early to see it. These numbers reflect a fading Romney bounce, but say nothing about any potential Obama bounce. And still, we lead where we need to lead.

One more point, we're leading big with confirmed voters, not "likely" ones:

