Since May 15, the Miami Marlins are 24-26, which while not great is a far cry from their 10-31 start to the season. They have fared better thanks to young starters pitching well — particularly Jordan Yamamoto, who has been terrific since getting called up. Yamamoto is 3-0 with a 1.24 ERA while averaging just under six innings through five starts. He has yet to give up a home run.

Padres starter Logan Allen also began the year in the minors and has had some early success. In three starts and one long relief appearance, he is 2-1 with a 4.50 ERA, though it seems as if regression might be setting in for him.

Allen had a 5.15 ERA at Triple-A and proceeded to allow just two earned runs in his first two starts. In the last two games he’s entered, he has allowed eight total runs (seven earned), in five innings.

The teams have incredibly similar bullpen ERAs, with each hovering around a 4.90. The Padres have a leg up in hitting home runs, averaging 1.54 per game, but with the way Yamamoto keeps the ball in the yard, that should be mitigated and allow the Marlins to pull out a tight game.

The Play: Marlins, +115.