(CNN) With the House now headed down a path that virtually guarantees President Donald Trump will be impeached, conventional wisdom has settled on the idea that the Republican-led Senate will never, ever remove him from office.

Which, I get! If you were a betting person -- which I am not! -- the strong likelihood is that the Senate acquits Trump. Because, well, math. There are 53 Republicans in the chamber currently and 47 Democrats and independents who caucus with Democrats. In order to remove Trump from office, 67 senators would have to vote to do so -- meaning you would need every Democrat and a 20-person Republican revolt.

Which is not likely!

But if the Trump presidency -- and the way in which he became president -- teaches us anything, it should be this: Never assume. Anything.

Politics, especially in this age of social media and of our first reality TV President both a) moves fast and b) is massively unpredictable. Fast forward to two weeks ago -- pre-whistleblower. Would you have put any amount of money on the idea that House Democrats would formally open an impeachment inquiry?

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