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As is tradition here at, we made domestic box office predictions for holiday 2014 releases ahead of the start of the season. Now that those movies are essentially at the end of their runs, it's time to grade that forecast.As usual, there were a healthy set of very accurate predictions (), along with a handful that were laughably inaccurate ().For each title, we will list the domestic forecast, the actual gross (in most cases an estimate) and the percentage difference [(Actual-Forecast)/Forecast]. Each prediction will be assigned a grade on the following arbitrary scale: A (less than 10% difference), B (10-19.9%), C (20-29.9%), D (30-39.9%) and F (over 40%).Forecast: $385 millionActual: $337 million (est.)Difference: -13%The previousmovies each earned over $408 million at the domestic box office; while it was unrealistic to expect the "Part 1" penultimate chapter to reach the same level, it did experience a surprisingly steep drop from the last installment (21 percent). Of course,was still a massive hit, ranking second among 2015 releases behindForecast: $265 millionActual: $188 million (est.)Difference: -29%We got caught up a bit in the hype here, and forgot thatandare the exception, not the rule. It's almost unheard of for an original movie to earn over $250 million, and when it does happen it's the result of a special combination of ingredients that's tough to pinpoint ahead of time. For what it was,actually did quite well; with even stronger international results, this should absolutely be viewed as a success.Forecast: $235 millionActual: $255 million (est.)Difference: +9%The expectation here was thatwould earn the same, or a bit less, than($258.4 million). There was a major drop off from the first to the second installment—with casual fans of thetrilogy bailing after the sub-par first outing—and then the franchise leveled off for the final installment. While the prediction was a bit too low, it was still generally in line with the final result.Forecast: $215 millionActual: $223 million (est.)Difference: 4%It was pretty clear thatwasn't going to perform like; it's not exactly easy to replicate a phenomenon like that. This movie felt more like, albeit with a bit of a bump thanks to the increased value of the Disney Animation brand. That theory turned out to be pretty much on point.Forecast: $140 millionActual: $128 million (est.)Difference: -9%wasn't in the same league as Disney's recent spate of live-action fantasy movies likeand, though it would have been unfair to expect that anyway. If anything, the slight miss here was thatwound up on par with($127 million) instead of($148.8 million).Prediction: $135 millionActual: $83 million (est.)Difference: -39%The thirdmovie earned $216.4 million at the domestic box office back in 2012; five months ago, it was tough to fathom that its spin-off,, would gross a dollar less than $100 million. Even more shocking is the fact thatis ending its run essentially tied with, which was a huge misfire last Summer. At leastsaved some face overseas, where its earned over $282 million.Prediction: $130 millionActual: $65 millionDifference: -50%In hindsight, it was probably unreasonable to expectto earn much more than fellow Old Testament movie($101.2 million). Still, it's pretty stunning that the big-budget Ridley Scott epic closed below past December bombs like($75 million) and($70.1 million).Prediction $120 millionActual: $113 million (est.)Difference: -6%This prediction was pretty much on the nose. While the third installment of thetrilogy did take a huge dive from the previous outing (down 36 percent), there was still enough interest among family moviegoers around the holidays to propel this past $100 million.Prediction: $105 millionActual: $116 million (est.)Difference: 10.5%This prediction was also more-or-less accurate; despite the lack of on-camera star power,still earned significantly more domestically than recent World War II movies likeand. Chalk this up to the popularity of the source material and director Angelina Jolie , and to the movie's strong appeal with religious moviegoers.Prediction: $100 millionActual: $54.5 millionDifference: -46%The firstearned $117.5 million back in Summer 2011; this $100 million prediction was based on the assumption that the sequel could retain at least 80 percent of that audience. In hindsight, the three-and-a-half year gap was too long, and whatever goodwill there was from that movie was probably exhausted byandPrediction: $95 millionActual: $86 million (est.)Difference: -9.5%As expected,did solid business, albeit not quite on par with the season's other family-friendly entertainment.Prediction: $90 millionActual: $6.1 millionDifference: -93%Well-documented, very unforeseen circumstances caused a dramatic alteration to this movie's release pattern. Mulligan, please.The Holiday Forecast listed all titles expected to earn over $90 million. Unfortunately, it missed two important titles.Most significantly, we failed to predict the overwhelming success of. The rationale at the time was that the best comparison for the movie was fellow modern warfare movie, which had earned $125.1 million a year earlier. We expected that's more contemplative approach to war—covering the post-traumatic stress angle, instead of being of a straightforward action movie—would result in lower box office. We also failed to take in to account the popularity of the book upon which it's based.Of course, even if all of that had been taken in to consideration, the best-case-scenario for this movie probably would have been around $150 million, which still would have been less than half of its expected $350 million final gross.The other miss was, which is going to ride strong awards season buzz to a final tally just north of $90 million.Box Office Mojo