The Seattle Sounders can finish anywhere between second and fifth in the Western Conference after their Decision Day clash with the San Jose Earthquakes on Sunday at CenturyLink Field (1:30 p.m. PT; JOEtv, YouTube TV, 950 KJR AM, El Rey 1360 AM | TICKETS). Here’s what FiveThirtyEight’s predictions showed for the Audi 2018 MLS Cup Playoffs:

The Sounders have a 45 percent chance of earning a Knockout Round bye.

The Sounders have a 69 percent chance of winning on Sunday, a 12 percent chance of losing and a 19 percent chance of a draw.

The Sounders would earn a Knockout Round bye with a win, and if FC Dallas draws or loses at the Colorado Rapids. Here are those predictions:

FC Dallas has a 41 percent chance of winning, and a 59 percent chance of dropping points (32 percent loss, 27 percent draw).

You can see FiveThirtyEight’s full predictions here, and full Sounders playoff scenarios here.