The actual number of deaths in NY City, as of April 3, 2020 at 9:30 AM are 1,584. According to the New York Department of Health. See:

https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid-19-daily-data-summary-deaths.pdf

As the table above shows, of those 1,584 who died, 1,178 had underlying conditions….and they might have died from those conditions, rather than from the virus. Of the remaining 406 people who died, 26 had no underlying conditions and the other 380 may or may not have had underlying conditions. If we assume that all of those 406 were in good health, without any underlying conditions, then the

The probability of dying from Covid-19 (if you’re healthy) is 406/9,000,000 = one chance out of 22,168. Tiny.

Thanks to Dr. B

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