By Andrew Lynch

Getty Images Jared Wickerham

With the NFL season right around the corner, everyone's trying to get a leg up on predicting who will win Super Bowl LI. We know all the old cliches. "Defense wins championships." "You have to win the turnover battle." "The quarterback must go down, and he must go down hard." But which stats actually matter — and which are just window dressing? We looked back at the past 10 Super Bowl winners to find some commonalities and sorted through the numbers you can ignore. While not every one of the recent champions necessarily fits each of the categories 100 percent, the trends are clear enough to come to a few conclusions. If your favorite team is going to win the title this year, here's what it'll need to do.